WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 15 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.080 Check it down, man down. Then good Monday morning too. 0:00:12.160 --> 0:00:13.800 It is a numbers game right here at dudes in 0:00:13.880 --> 0:00:16.560 these sports betting network Visa dot Com, Visa that Football, 0:00:16.560 --> 0:00:19.520 It's league a game plus. I mentioned this skill, Alexander. 0:00:19.560 --> 0:00:21.160 I think I did. Jason conn is here as well, 0:00:21.200 --> 0:00:25.360 producing number seven. How you doing, Jason? I can't hear you. Jason? 0:00:25.400 --> 0:00:27.800 Are you my here? Morning two? You know we hear you. 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:31.440 There we go, Good morning, Jason, Quickly developing the reputation 0:00:31.480 --> 0:00:34.880 of getting every detail prepared for the show Survivor of 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:37.839 the Visa Store, the promost, you name the detail, he's 0:00:37.840 --> 0:00:40.280 got it. And then right before the show, what do 0:00:40.360 --> 0:00:42.640 you You're like? Oh, I forgot to call Chris a 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:44.400 little bit of a head smack moment. But we got 0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:46.320 everything in order, about three or four of those. Now 0:00:46.400 --> 0:00:49.519 that's that's your new thing. There's just one thing I'm forgetting. 0:00:49.520 --> 0:00:51.760 I can't remember what it is. Uh. It is guessing 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:53.960 lines for week fifty. That's what we do on Monday's 0:00:53.960 --> 0:00:57.360 here doing football season. We'll look ahead to uh week fifteen, 0:00:57.560 --> 0:01:01.240 our tribute to the old stardust radio show of that ILK, 0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:05.360 where Chrissy will post the actual line at the south 0:01:05.400 --> 0:01:07.640 Point Chris Andrews. That is, right after the show, I 0:01:07.680 --> 0:01:09.120 will I've been in the coon, I will take a 0:01:09.160 --> 0:01:12.080 guess as what I think it will be. And within 0:01:12.120 --> 0:01:14.960 that exercise, prior to him telling us what he will 0:01:15.000 --> 0:01:17.760 actually put on, we hope to extract some value. Usually 0:01:17.760 --> 0:01:22.320 our first instincts our best. Oftentimes that is the case, 0:01:22.319 --> 0:01:23.720 and then we fool ourselves the rest of the week 0:01:23.720 --> 0:01:25.840 talking ourselves out of it. But that's the way doing. 0:01:25.840 --> 0:01:28.120 Of course, in the process will look back at another 0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:30.679 wacky week in the National Football League Week four team. 0:01:30.720 --> 0:01:32.360 Let's bring him in. The star of the show, my 0:01:32.440 --> 0:01:35.600 mish bocha who runs the south Point Hotel Casino sports book. 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:38.639 Right here at the tip of the strip, it's Chris Andrews. Everybody, 0:01:38.640 --> 0:01:42.160 how you doing Chris? Good morning, I'm doing great, Yo. 0:01:42.240 --> 0:01:44.360 How are you? I'm doing well. Let's get the let's 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:46.320 get the sort of details out of the way. How 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:52.240 the book do? Uh did okay? Actually not great? But 0:01:52.760 --> 0:01:55.240 you know, we held more than we're probably entitled to. 0:01:55.520 --> 0:01:58.280 The uh. We had a lot going into the Buffalo 0:01:58.320 --> 0:02:01.560 Pittsburgh game last night, and even though we were very 0:02:01.640 --> 0:02:05.480 evenly booked on that game. UH. The only thing we 0:02:05.520 --> 0:02:07.880 really needed was for it to fall out of the 0:02:07.920 --> 0:02:10.720 teaser bracket. It looked like a great teaser game, you know, 0:02:10.800 --> 0:02:13.760 going into it really did, and it did fall out 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:17.000 of the bracket both with the total and the point spread. 0:02:17.360 --> 0:02:19.240 So that capped off a pretty good night. But all 0:02:19.240 --> 0:02:22.480 in all, no complaints, good day. Yeah, Buffalo ended up 0:02:22.480 --> 0:02:24.200 being a really good result for me. That ended up 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:26.919 being a fine, fine end to the weekend of what 0:02:26.960 --> 0:02:30.040 was choppy a t s otherwise, but a survive, but 0:02:30.080 --> 0:02:32.280 a survivor survival once again. We'll get into all that 0:02:32.800 --> 0:02:35.600 as the show goes on. Let us begin, Chrissy, because 0:02:35.600 --> 0:02:39.200 we got sixteen games to get to. We'll talk about yesterday, 0:02:39.520 --> 0:02:41.480 everything that's happened in week fourteen. We'll look ahead here 0:02:41.480 --> 0:02:46.799 in a week fifteen. Let us begin with Thursday, my friend, Thursday, 0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:50.600 we have the Chargers at the Raiders, the Raiders with 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:55.320 a new defensive coordinator. I guess, yeah, that that was quick. 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:58.640 I guess John Gruden took inspiration from what the Jets 0:02:58.680 --> 0:03:01.160 did across the field from him SST weekend was like oh, 0:03:01.200 --> 0:03:03.160 he was like a yeah, I'm told you could do 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:06.040 that mid season. Let me do that. I'll fire by 0:03:06.080 --> 0:03:08.480 defense coordinator. Well, we start with the Chargers though, right 0:03:08.560 --> 0:03:10.080 charges at the Raiders, and it's funny that we have 0:03:10.120 --> 0:03:15.320 to start here, because uh, it is just amazing. It 0:03:15.480 --> 0:03:21.520 is amazing that this happens every week, this time in victory. Right. 0:03:21.560 --> 0:03:24.640 The Chargers do end up getting the win over the 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:29.280 Falcons yesterday seventeen, So good on them for that. It's 0:03:29.320 --> 0:03:31.880 their first win versus a team with more than two 0:03:31.880 --> 0:03:36.520 wins all year long. So Mazoltov to you, l a Chargers. 0:03:36.600 --> 0:03:39.080 They went it on a badgeley forty three yard field goals. 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:42.080 Time expired, but let's just go through it real quick. 0:03:42.160 --> 0:03:45.520 Twenty two seconds left and a half. The clock is stopped. 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:48.520 There are no timeouts for the Chargers. A third and 0:03:48.560 --> 0:03:51.920 one at the Atlanta eight down seventeen to ten, all right, 0:03:52.000 --> 0:03:55.040 the Chargers decided to run the football. That's the first 0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:57.680 thing where you're like, oh, no, okay, but maybe even 0:03:57.720 --> 0:04:00.280 after the run, maybe it maybe if you bike it 0:04:00.480 --> 0:04:02.840 right afterwards, you know, maybe I'm just gonna give him 0:04:02.840 --> 0:04:05.560 a little leeway there. Um, you know, you can get 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:08.080 away with this. But the clock keeps ticking and with 0:04:08.120 --> 0:04:10.720 about nine seconds left, they decided to rush the field 0:04:10.720 --> 0:04:12.400 goal unit. Out instead of taking a shot at the 0:04:12.440 --> 0:04:14.920 end zone, which they had time for. Of course, they 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:16.680 don't get off a twenty five yard or before the 0:04:16.680 --> 0:04:19.320 clock goes to zero at the field goal. Units on 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:22.280 the field, offensive players lollygagging on the way off the 0:04:22.320 --> 0:04:25.360 field would have been too many men on the field anyway, 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:27.760 even if at the field goal had gone through. And 0:04:27.800 --> 0:04:30.120 then at the end tie game seventeen to seventeen, a 0:04:30.279 --> 0:04:32.720 Chargers pick l A gets the ball on its own 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:36.080 twenty six with thirty seconds remaining because after Michael Davis 0:04:36.080 --> 0:04:38.440 picked off Matt Ryan's pass intended for Calvin Ridley an 0:04:38.520 --> 0:04:43.160 unnecessary roughness call, and nobody the announcer say nothing like 0:04:43.240 --> 0:04:45.800 this is That's exactly what the Chargers do. Yeah, let's 0:04:45.800 --> 0:04:49.839 make it fifteen yards harder this time. They win in regulation. Nonetheless, 0:04:49.839 --> 0:04:53.159 Herbert justin Herbert directing his first game winning drive three 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:55.640 or four passes on the drive, even more impressive considering 0:04:55.839 --> 0:04:58.760 he was without the starting right side of his offensive line, 0:04:58.800 --> 0:05:01.400 while receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams were also sidelined. 0:05:01.400 --> 0:05:04.080 He ends up thirty six forty two forty three, two touchdowns, 0:05:04.279 --> 0:05:06.800 one pick. He was sackings Ekeler fifteen of seventy nine 0:05:06.839 --> 0:05:09.440 on the ground, nine catches for sixty seven yards. They 0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:11.800 were plus two in turnovers, and those are the big 0:05:11.839 --> 0:05:14.600 turnovers because Matt Ryan was throwing the ball away late. 0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:16.760 By the way, it's Gill, Alexander, Chris Andrews. This is 0:05:16.760 --> 0:05:19.159 guessing lines for Week fifteen in the NFL right here 0:05:19.480 --> 0:05:21.520 on a numbers game at Visa and Visa dot com. 0:05:21.520 --> 0:05:23.800 And the Visa app is how you watch us food 0:05:23.839 --> 0:05:27.640 bo slinging game plus is how you take us in. Otherwise, um, 0:05:27.640 --> 0:05:29.520 this is a tribute to the old Stardust radio show. 0:05:29.520 --> 0:05:33.599 As far as the Raiders are concerned, eighth game this season, 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:36.280 the Raiders lose. I should probably say that at the top. 0:05:36.520 --> 0:05:38.760 The Raiders lose to the Colts, and they lose pretty 0:05:38.800 --> 0:05:41.000 badly in the end, forty four to twenty seven. Kept 0:05:41.040 --> 0:05:43.520 up with them the first half and then just couldn't 0:05:43.560 --> 0:05:46.120 in the second half. Eighth game this season, the Raiders 0:05:46.160 --> 0:05:49.279 have a laugh. Have allowed thirty plus points, the second 0:05:49.400 --> 0:05:52.520 most behind the Jets in that category. They've given up 0:05:52.520 --> 0:05:55.280 a hundred fifty points in their last four games with 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:58.039 as you said in battle, defensive coordinator Paul Gunther's unit, 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:01.240 yielding an average of three yards per game in that stretch. 0:06:01.279 --> 0:06:04.080 It cost him his job. After the game, Jon Gruden 0:06:04.160 --> 0:06:07.520 said no more of that. Relieved of his duties, only 0:06:07.520 --> 0:06:09.520 a last set can come back against the windless Jets. 0:06:09.560 --> 0:06:12.120 Remember last week have prevented the Raiders from going oh 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:14.320 and four since they're six and three start of the season. 0:06:14.560 --> 0:06:19.279 Car three sixteen, two touchdowns, two picks, seven of eleven 0:06:19.320 --> 0:06:21.479 on third down, but they allowed Indianapolis to go eight 0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:24.640 of eleven on third down. Total yards, but they allowed 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:27.599 indian Apples to have four hundred fifty six yards minus 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:29.839 three in turnovers. That's all you need to know. Ten 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:33.000 turnovers in their last three games. All of that said 0:06:33.040 --> 0:06:36.240 for a Thursday night game, must win for the Raiders. 0:06:36.839 --> 0:06:40.920 Chargers eliminated. I'll say the Raiders minus two and a half, 0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:45.280 just because I don't know where else to put it. Yeah, 0:06:45.360 --> 0:06:48.599 my numbers come to two on the Raiders. However, I'm 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:52.279 looking and I see it higher. It's three with a 0:06:52.320 --> 0:06:55.000 pretty strong juice on the favorite or three and a half. 0:06:55.080 --> 0:06:58.120 Probably three and a half is the predominant number. I'm 0:06:58.120 --> 0:07:00.160 gonna definitely open it on a lower rim and I'm 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:03.320 gonna open it at three, take a bet. Uh you 0:07:03.360 --> 0:07:06.200 know the Raiders, I mean, what do we expect their 0:07:06.240 --> 0:07:11.240 defense will improved? Round? Um? So the guy, so the 0:07:11.240 --> 0:07:13.920 other guy, he had all the answers, and he just 0:07:14.080 --> 0:07:17.880 was afraid to speak up during these defensive meetings. I'm 0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:20.040 not even sure where they named the defensive coordinator for 0:07:20.080 --> 0:07:23.800 this coming week. The defense just horrible. And you know 0:07:23.840 --> 0:07:27.840 evidently they you know, okay, they they can put points 0:07:27.880 --> 0:07:31.640 on the board. But like you said, they lost yesterday, 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:33.840 and I thought they looked pretty bad that loss, and 0:07:33.880 --> 0:07:35.840 you go back the week before. I mean, they were 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:38.040 pretty lucky to beat the Jets. I mean, come on, 0:07:38.640 --> 0:07:42.400 and just again you approved what they were yesterday too. 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:44.320 I'm sure we'll get to them a little later. So 0:07:44.440 --> 0:07:46.800 I don't know, I think three is a little I 0:07:46.840 --> 0:07:48.920 think that hy I'm gonna open at three just because 0:07:48.960 --> 0:07:51.320 I see three and a half out there. But I'm 0:07:51.320 --> 0:07:55.520 certainly gonna take a bet at minus three, uh before 0:07:55.520 --> 0:07:58.040 I'm moving on up a little bit. But yeah, you know, 0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:01.560 we're one game and going already. I liked your number 0:08:01.600 --> 0:08:04.120 a little bit. Thank you, Thank you very much. By 0:08:04.120 --> 0:08:07.280 the way, Rod Merridelli is now the interim defensive coordinator 0:08:07.320 --> 0:08:10.160 with the Raiders. Can you believe the Charger stuff? Chrissie though, Like, 0:08:10.200 --> 0:08:12.320 I mean, it's just as it was happening. I was like, 0:08:12.560 --> 0:08:17.200 this real life? Is this happening again? We said the 0:08:17.240 --> 0:08:19.320 same thing. We're sitting there, you know, and we we 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:21.520 really didn't need anything in that game, so we're just 0:08:21.600 --> 0:08:24.600 kind of laughing, you know. I mean, this looks like 0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:27.520 remember the old Blooper show that you know, uh, you 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:29.720 know Mark Albert would yeah, I mean, it looks like 0:08:31.240 --> 0:08:33.280 a high school team. You know. He had half the 0:08:33.320 --> 0:08:34.959 team ready to pick a field goal and the other 0:08:34.960 --> 0:08:37.520 guys are running off, and so we spiked the ball 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:40.240 to you know, I mean, it was it was comical, 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:42.800 It really was. And it's it's sad because I think 0:08:42.840 --> 0:08:45.680 there's team has some talent. I think Anthony Lynn, I 0:08:45.679 --> 0:08:47.959 would assume is gonna be fired after this year, but 0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:50.000 that might be a team to watch out for next year. 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:52.640 The Chargers. They got a new coach in there, and uh, 0:08:52.880 --> 0:08:55.000 you know, somebody knows what they're doing. Because this team 0:08:55.000 --> 0:08:57.320 does have some talent, they should certainly be a lot 0:08:57.320 --> 0:08:59.080 better than what they are. For sure. By the way, 0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:01.480 you said, I like your Number Better available now in 0:09:01.520 --> 0:09:04.320 the Visa store. I'm not making this up the part 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:07.480 of the the Gill Alexander collection. It's like I'm versace. 0:09:08.400 --> 0:09:11.320 I like your number better. I like your number better. 0:09:11.400 --> 0:09:13.520 Is a is a T shirt available at the in 0:09:13.600 --> 0:09:15.640 the Visa store there. It is pictured at Visa dot 0:09:15.720 --> 0:09:18.200 com and the Visa app. Um, we have a few 0:09:18.240 --> 0:09:21.480 of these now, right, so, Uh, you have your standard 0:09:21.520 --> 0:09:23.400 of numbers game, your standard Tanka pull loose, the T 0:09:23.480 --> 0:09:25.600 shirts that have already been in there. I like your 0:09:25.640 --> 0:09:29.800 number better. Uh, it's all. It's all plink oh, Betting 0:09:29.800 --> 0:09:34.560 truth Serum, pre flopper in game, Uh, Trenchmen's and of 0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:38.200 course everybody's favorite EGA with exclamation Boys and more to come. 0:09:38.520 --> 0:09:42.360 All the different things that we have started on this show. 0:09:43.040 --> 0:09:44.920 I'm buying all of them. I have another one that 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:49.400 I started, another T shirt available. It's not it's not 0:09:49.520 --> 0:09:51.760 under until it's over. It's not that. That was my 0:09:51.840 --> 0:09:55.439 saying that might be the biggest selling T shirt of 0:09:55.480 --> 0:09:57.480 the whole bunch in the whole store. I think it's not. 0:09:57.559 --> 0:10:02.120 Actually get a residual for that. Get something to Brian Musburger. 0:10:02.720 --> 0:10:04.959 Let's get on that fact. Let's stop the show. Let's 0:10:04.960 --> 0:10:08.640 call him right now. All right, we have Saturday games. 0:10:08.679 --> 0:10:11.480 I'm told, yes, two Saturday games. Jason tells me, Okay, 0:10:11.679 --> 0:10:16.040 what's Saturday. By the way, it's a hell of a Saturday, 0:10:16.080 --> 0:10:18.960 A lot of college football, and I haven't even looked 0:10:18.960 --> 0:10:21.679 at the college basketball get Saturday is gonna be crazy, 0:10:21.720 --> 0:10:26.600 which is fantastic. I could hardly wait. Okay, first, well, 0:10:26.600 --> 0:10:28.400 this is I don't order. You might go in order 0:10:28.600 --> 0:10:35.640 or chronologically on Saturday. Yeah, final, okay? Uh. The early game, 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:40.280 one thirty West Coast time, Buffalo at Denver, Buffalo, coming 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:42.240 off the win, by the way, championship games and two 0:10:42.360 --> 0:10:46.120 NFL games, championship games all day long in college football. 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:48.600 All right, Buffalo at Denver, Buffalo with the win against 0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:51.800 the Steelers last night, in case you missed it, UH 0:10:51.960 --> 0:10:57.800 twenty six to fifteen, a game that really changed late 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:00.320 in the first half. First of all, Buffalo inches closer 0:11:00.360 --> 0:11:02.280 to claiming their first a f C East title since 0:11:02.400 --> 0:11:05.880 nineteen five with the win and their third playoff berth 0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:08.720 in four seasons. They can clinch both as early as tonight. 0:11:09.120 --> 0:11:13.480 If Baltimore loses to Cleveland tonight, the a f C 0:11:13.679 --> 0:11:17.240 East UH goes to no, that's not true. The a 0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:19.720 f C East doesn't. But the playoff berth will go 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:22.560 to Buffalo. The a f C East will be unaffected. 0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:25.200 They've won six of seven. Now they've at least ten 0:11:25.240 --> 0:11:27.880 of their first thirteen games. They have won at least 0:11:28.040 --> 0:11:29.720 ten of their first thirteen games of the season for 0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:33.880 the first time since ninete the old Jim Kelly, Thurman, 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:38.000 Thomas Andre Reid, Bruce Smith, Bills. That's a considerable switch. 0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:41.360 Remember seventeen year playoff drought they had before McDermott arrived 0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:44.680 in twenty seventeen, which was the longest in professional sports. 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:48.640 First half yesterday, though against Pittsburgh, only six first downs 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:52.120 for Buffalo and a hundred two yards on seven possessions. 0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:54.680 But as I said, this was late. Steelers were up 0:11:54.800 --> 0:11:57.040 late in the first half. A lot of people had 0:11:57.440 --> 0:11:59.960 first half bets on Buffalo, first half bets on Pitts 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.560 bring and it all changed with under a minute left, 0:12:02.559 --> 0:12:05.760 Toron Johnson providing the offense by stepping in front of 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.360 a big Ben pass intended for Smith. Schuster returned at 0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:10.920 fifty one yards to the house. Buffalo, after a missed 0:12:10.920 --> 0:12:13.720 extra point, went up nine seven with fifty two seconds 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:15.839 remaining in the first half, and that's how they went 0:12:15.880 --> 0:12:19.480 to the locker room. Second half, totally different story. Buffalo 0:12:19.520 --> 0:12:23.800 went to town. Josh Allen finished two thirty eight, two touchdowns, 0:12:23.880 --> 0:12:27.560 one pick, and a sack. Thirty five combined touchdowns for 0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:31.400 Alan this year twenty eight passing, six rushing, one receiving. 0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:34.040 Stefon Diggs was big last night, ten for one thirty 0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:36.120 in a touchdown. And then there's Denver and we'll get 0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:39.320 into the survivor implications of this yesterday. But two people 0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:42.520 picked the Panthers yesterday and survivor it's the very first thing. 0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:44.959 As soon as the uh, the breakout of who picked 0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.560 what yesterday came out immediately texted Ian Felika, I go, 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.920 two people picked the Panthers and one on the Cowboys. 0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:54.560 What was that interesting? Uh? Denver beats the Panthers, Drew 0:12:54.640 --> 0:12:57.839 lock Through for two yards, a career high four touchdowns. 0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:00.600 Deante Spencer returning upon eighty three arts for his first 0:13:00.600 --> 0:13:03.199 career score. Broncos held on to beat Carolina thirty two 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:07.480 to twenty seven. Love two eighty four touchdowns, no no picks, 0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.000 and he was sacked once for touchdowns career high for 0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:13.479 Drew lock kJ Hamler too for eighty six two touchdowns. 0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:16.480 The Broncos sacked Teddy Bridgewater four times, but you know 0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:18.760 they're just kind of playing it out. I will say, 0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:24.880 Buffalo minus six, Okay, second time, I like your number better. 0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:29.160 Uh my number came the six and a half Buffalo. However, 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:32.120 I'm looking at this and this opened four and a 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:35.800 half in some spots last night. Uh this, I think 0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:38.520 it may even have vote on four. Anyway, it's creeping 0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:41.480 up and one. You know Bookmaker who you know takes 0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.200 some of the biggest plays in the in the world. 0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:46.800 They're up to five and a half with this game. 0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.280 But I still see a lot of four and a 0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:52.160 half out there. But I'm definitely gonna be on the 0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:54.439 high end here. I'm opening five and a half. I 0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:57.360 see this creep up to six. I'm definitely gonna go there. 0:13:58.120 --> 0:14:00.400 Uh listen, how you gotta be in I sent the 0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:03.439 bills and you're talking about Stefan days. I mean he 0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:09.920 he murdered the steal, he really did. I mean I 0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.880 had that well, you know, you know, I didn't need 0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.960 anything in the game, particularly, but you rooting for the Steelers. 0:14:16.280 --> 0:14:20.040 My goodness, could somebody please cover this guy. But Buffalo, 0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:23.240 I mean they're they're really good. I mean it's a good, 0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:26.520 good team. I mean, would anybody be surprised if they're 0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:28.600 in the Super Bowl or even win the Super Bowl? 0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:31.800 I I wouldn't at all. Um. You know, Denver, they 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:34.400 played well, they played Okay Locke, you know, his best 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.720 game probably that he ever played. And by the way, 0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:38.960 I'm starting to see more five and a halfs pop up. 0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:41.320 So this, if you see a four and a half 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:43.240 out there, you want the Bills, I would recommend you 0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:46.040 go play it now. Yeah, and it ain't gonna last. 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:48.040 And uh, like I said, I see a five and 0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:50.360 a half of this goes to six, I'm gonna I'm 0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:53.400 gonna go there very quickly. Mark me down at this 0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:55.240 point for five and a half to like that, if 0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:59.360 I see a six flash anywhere, I'm going very quickly. 0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:01.120 All right, mark him down for a five and a half. 0:15:01.160 --> 0:15:03.600 But six the second he season one, all right, second 0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:08.920 game on Saturday, second of two. Okay, the Panthers at 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:11.960 the Packers. Okay, so the Panthers lose to the Broncos. 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:14.200 As we just mentioned, they've lost seven of their last eight. 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.640 Teddy Bridgewater thirty of forty no touchdowns, no picks, asn't mentioned, 0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:20.840 sacked four times. Robby Anderson was as biggest target eight 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.640 for eighty four. Uh enough said about that there four 0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:27.480 and nine no Christian McCaffrey. Yesterday, green Bay they clinched 0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:30.200 the NFC North with their win over Detroit, and that 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.600 coupled with New Orleans lost to Philadelphia, which we'll get into, 0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:36.200 they're the number one seed in the a f C. 0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:41.360 I did not remember that in four previous NFC championship games, 0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:45.360 none of them were at Lambeau. Didn't remember that fact. 0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:48.560 Fifty seven yard field goal, up seven with three thirty 0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:51.320 left to seal the deal. I was surprised that up 0:15:51.400 --> 0:15:54.440 seven with three thirty left, that green Bay opted for 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:58.720 the fifty seven yarder from Mason Crosby because he misses 0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:01.160 that and maybe they don't win the football game with 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:03.160 the short field of Detroit is able to tie and 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:08.360 four o t instead Crosby nails it. Katie bar the 0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:12.479 door Rogers twenty six for thirty three for two ninety 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:16.440 three touchdowns, no picks, no no sacks. How many times 0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.240 this year if we said three touchdowns, no picks, thirty 0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:22.880 nine thirty nine touchdowns on this season for Rogers, four 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:25.600 picks on the season, thirty nine and four. It's the 0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.240 ninth we can answer my own question. Ninth game this 0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:32.000 season with three plus touchdowns and no picks for Rogers. 0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:34.800 It's the most in the Super Bowl era in that category. 0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:37.200 And DeVante did his thing seven for one, fifteen and 0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:40.440 a touchdown. He's got eight straight games with a touchdown 0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:43.280 DeVante Adams. There were seven eleven on third, they were 0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:45.160 one of one on four. Detroit just couldn't get him 0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.920 off the field. They did have twelve penalties for sixty 0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.680 eight yards, so they got to clean that up. But wow, 0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:52.960 this could be one of these I don't know, one 0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:54.600 of these picks where I might be way off. Green 0:16:54.640 --> 0:17:00.080 Bay minus ten against Carolina, You're a shade how I 0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:04.399 see it? Eight and a half and nine. Um, you know, 0:17:04.520 --> 0:17:07.879 I didn't think they looked all that great yesterday green Bay. 0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:11.679 My numbers come to eight. I think I'm gonna kind 0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:13.640 of stick to the eight and a half. And then 0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:15.840 at this point, it's, like I said, eight and half 0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.919 and nine pretty much evenly distributed. So I'm gonna go 0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.119 with eight and a half. Just that's closure. With my 0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.680 my number, which which came to eight. So I'm gonna 0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:28.080 go there and we just see what happens. And before 0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.159 we go any further, I see six is popping up 0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:34.560 on the Bills. I will open at game six. Six. Okay, 0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:39.280 there it is just like that six after four and 0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.520 half out there go grab it? Can ill last? Yeah, 0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:44.760 I thought my guess was pretty good. It's a four 0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:46.960 and a half seemed odd. All right, Let's do one 0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:51.760 Sunday morning game before we take a break here one 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:56.800 Sunday morning. A first one up. We got the Houston 0:17:56.880 --> 0:18:01.479 Texans at the Colts Houston. For those wondering eliminated from 0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:06.000 playoff contention, uh with their loss yesterday to Chicago. There, listen, 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:09.040 I didn't. I'm not surprised they lost to Chicago, but 0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:12.959 thirty six to seven they lose to the Bears. Deshaun 0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:16.120 Watson twenty one of thirty for two nineteen one touchdown note, 0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.520 picks sacked six times. Remember that's been the Achilles heel 0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:22.880 of his young career, only two hundred sixty three total 0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:25.399 yards against the Bears. They were minus two in turnovers, 0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:28.320 and the Colts, as we mentioned, beat the Raiders. The 0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:32.040 Colts scored on seven of their first eight drives in 0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:34.560 their fourth victory in five games against the Raiders. Rivers 0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:37.679 nineteen of twenty eight for two forty four two touchdowns. 0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:40.280 Note picks he was not sacked. Man. He's good when 0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:44.680 he's not pressured. Jonathan Taylor twenty for one fifty two touchdowns. 0:18:45.280 --> 0:18:47.879 T Y Hilton back from the dead five for eighties 0:18:47.920 --> 0:18:50.840 six and two touchdowns. They were eight of eleven on 0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:53.320 third down. They had four hundred fifty six total yards 0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:56.440 two hundred twelve rushing. They were plus three in turnovers. 0:18:56.880 --> 0:18:59.119 I don't usually go injury report on Monday morning, but 0:18:59.400 --> 0:19:01.840 they had pretty bad injury port Xavier Rhodes went to 0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:03.760 the locker room in the second quarter with a knee injury. 0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:06.680 Darius Leonard left in the second half of a back injury. 0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:09.680 Their left tackle Anthony Costanzo, missed last week with a 0:19:09.720 --> 0:19:11.760 knee ligament injury. He was on and off the field 0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:15.400 early before getting comfortable. So all those things you got 0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:17.560 a monitor with the Colts moving forward, But as far 0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:20.320 as yesterday forty four to twenty seven, they easily cover 0:19:20.400 --> 0:19:22.439 the two and a half points spread. After its kind 0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:24.040 of nip and tuck first half and then they blew 0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:27.160 the Raiders out in the second. I'll say Colts at 0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:30.399 home versus the Texans. I always seem to get the 0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:34.600 Colts numbers way off, and then I have value on 0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:40.879 the Colts sort of perpetually. I'll say Colts minus six here, Uh, 0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:45.359 you're lights, it's seven the other way, and I see 0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.600 even seven going up a little bit seven with a 0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:50.639 little bit of juice on the favorite and just had 0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.520 a couple of spots. Uh, my numbers came to eight 0:19:54.560 --> 0:19:57.399 and a half here ago. First of all, let's go 0:19:57.480 --> 0:19:59.560 to the Texans, you know. I mean, I loved the 0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:02.080 Shawn Watson. I remember last year I said a few 0:20:02.119 --> 0:20:05.960 people I thought Watson was better than Lamar Jackson. The 0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:08.359 guy said, yoh, you're crazy, And I mean, there's no 0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:10.639 doubt to have a better year. But I just I 0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:13.360 love this kid. I think he's really good man. He's 0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:15.520 got a bad line up around him, he really does. 0:20:15.680 --> 0:20:17.520 I mean, I don't want to see him turning into 0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.919 like a Matthew Stafford, where you have a potential Hall 0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:25.879 of Fame career just get pretty much wasted. Um. But 0:20:26.200 --> 0:20:28.520 I don't I don't like much going on with the Texans, 0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:30.240