1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: This is the only way that banks will survive. Now, 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: unless you've been living under rock, you know that the 3 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: banks have been under amazing stress. As a matter of fact, 4 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: we have seen more banks collapsing at a higher level, 5 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: at a higher dollar value than we saw in two. 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: Thousand and eight. 7 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: And while many people think it's getting over, it is not. 8 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 2: It's only just beginning. 9 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: And so I'm sitting down with a banking expert. I'm 10 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: talking about Caitlin Long, someone who's been in the inner 11 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: workings of the banking and financial industry and is in 12 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: the process of setting up her own bank right now. 13 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about the problem that's been created, 14 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: but from a whole different level than. 15 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 2: You've heard before. 16 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: We're talking about the way money is flowing, how the 17 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: Fed is causing this, the only way the banks are 18 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: going to be able to protect themselves from this damage 19 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: and destruction that's coming in the way. We're going to 20 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: talk about the damage that will happen in the economy 21 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: from centralizing the entire banking process. We're going to talk 22 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: about her revolutionary bank and why the Federal Reserve does 23 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: not want to allow it to happen. 24 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 2: We're going to talk. 25 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 1: About the FED now system and the new CBDC that 26 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 1: everybody's afraid of, the UCC Universal Commercial Code filings that 27 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: are making it so you don't own any more money 28 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: than so much more. We cover a lot of ground. 29 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 1: It was amazing conversation with Kitlin. 30 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 2: Long. 31 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and just jump right into it. Caitlin, 32 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: thanks so much for taking the time to join me today. 33 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: I know you are super busy, so I appreciate it. 34 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 2: Dealing with all kinds of banking stuff. 35 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: So I want to dig into the banking stuff, past, 36 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: current and potential future where this is going. And so 37 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: you're certainly one of the people that are kind of 38 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: on the forefront that can help with this. But I 39 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: first wanted to start in talking about you know, I 40 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: know you're the founder ce CEO of Custodia Bank, and 41 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 1: so I want to get into that. But before we 42 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: kind of get into that, I just want to talk 43 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: about like this current banking shuffle that we're in right now, 44 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:52,279 Speaker 1: this consolidation of banking, and so we're seeing smaller banks 45 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 1: going down consolidating to bigger banks. At this point, we 46 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: have like eight banks that are probably you know, too 47 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: big to fail, right and We're starting to see kind 48 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: of this flow to these too big defail. 49 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: And it seems like. 50 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 1: It's almost like the only banks that can survive this 51 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: type of situation the FED has put them in is 52 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: these two big defail banks unless maybe one the FED 53 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: decides to cut rates down below the two to three 54 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 1: percent range where where the banks can be profitable, you know, 55 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: or they greatly loosen the financial conditions. 56 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 2: So one or the other. 57 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 1: And if it's not that, then it seems almost like 58 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:36,959 Speaker 1: we would need a fully reserved bank. 59 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 3: Ah wow, okay, yes, well, so I actually tweeted out today. 60 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 3: We're recording this on the twenty third of May. I 61 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:49,119 Speaker 3: tweeted out today in response to Jamie diamond saying there's 62 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 3: going to be more consolidation in banking, And of course 63 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 3: I suspect he's looking as chops at JP Morgan because 64 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 3: they are beneficiary. They're one of the eight or so 65 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 3: banks that you describe as likely too big defail, and 66 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 3: because they've been subject to Basil three, they've had to 67 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 3: pay attention to their liquidity in a way that all 68 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 3: the other banks that are not subject. The vast majority 69 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 3: of the quantity of banks in the United States are 70 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 3: not subject to any real liquidity requirements. They'll run some 71 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 3: stress tests, but they'll assume, you know that thirty five 72 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 3: percent of their deposits get withdrawn within the span of 73 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 3: a week as a stress test. Well, we saw in 74 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 3: Silicon Valley Bank twenty five percent be withdrawn within the 75 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 3: span of hours. And the small banks in this country 76 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 3: have about seven cents now of cash on their balance sheets. 77 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 3: Only seven cents for every dollar on their balance sheet 78 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 3: is cash. So if twenty five cents gets withdrawn in 79 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 3: this short period of time, you start to see the problem. 80 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,119 Speaker 3: They need to start to liquid aid assets, and they're 81 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 3: liquid aiding assets at a loss, which is what took 82 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 3: Silicon Valley Bank down. Okay, so that's the background. I 83 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 3: tweeted up today that in ninety four there was a 84 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 3: huge consolidation wave and it was something I worked on 85 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 3: at the early stage of my career in the bank world. 86 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 3: There were more than ten thousand banks back then, and 87 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 3: what caused that consolidation wave was that they were very 88 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 3: cost and efficient in spite of the fact that green 89 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 3: Span at the time had engineered a steep yeal curve. 90 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 3: So I would go back to the way you asked 91 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 3: the question. It's not so much rates coming down to 92 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,559 Speaker 3: two or three percent, it's the steepness of a yeld 93 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:32,600 Speaker 3: curve because those businesses, those banks, traditional banks, make money 94 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 3: based upon borrowing short term and lending long term, and 95 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 3: they don't really care in the grand scheme of things, 96 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 3: with the exception of mark to markets, which will come 97 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 3: back to in a minute, whether interest rates are you know, 98 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 3: five percent short term and eight percent long term and 99 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 3: they capture the three percent spread, or you know, one 100 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 3: percent short term versus four percent long term and capture 101 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 3: the three percent spread. It's a three percent spread either way. 102 00:04:57,600 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 3: Now that presumes. 103 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, except go ahead, I could ask, except for the 104 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: big draw away from the banks is because the FED 105 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:07,039 Speaker 1: is paying five percent so well, folks are forced to 106 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: compete with that, So if the Fed were to bring 107 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 1: it down, then it wouldn't be as competitive. 108 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:15,359 Speaker 3: Well, that's absolutely right in the So that's why you 109 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 3: can't look at this in a vacuum. First of all, 110 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 3: I was going to add that the banks may have 111 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 3: marked to market losses on their balance sheet, which is 112 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,679 Speaker 3: what's killing the regional and community banks right now because 113 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 3: they during all the COVID era. The way the plumbing works. 114 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 3: Is all that money that came from all the fiscal 115 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 3: stimulus had to go through the banking system. So the 116 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 3: banks suddenly found themselves flush with cash and there was 117 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 3: no loan demand. And so what did they do. They 118 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 3: bought treasuries. But because treasuries had no capital charge, they 119 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 3: rolled the dice and played the yield curve. And this 120 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 3: is where the management's made the mistake. They didn't have 121 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 3: to do what they did. They invested in long term treasuries. 122 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 3: Now those long term treasuries have a big mark to 123 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 3: market loss. And your point is also very well taken, 124 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 3: which is their something different now that didn't exist back 125 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 3: in nineteen ninety four, the last time we came off 126 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 3: a big rate rising environment. But the FED had engineered 127 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 3: a steep yield curve, and that is money market funds, 128 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 3: ding ding ding ding. You can earn right now north 129 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 3: of five percent in a US government money market fund, 130 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 3: where you're taking US government credit risk, whereas banks are 131 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 3: paying little to no interest and you're taking bank credit risk. 132 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 3: A lot of money is walking with its feet. In fact, 133 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 3: actually at one point there was an estimate that eight 134 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 3: hundred and fifty billion of deposits had been had exited 135 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 3: the traditional banks for the crypto industry back at the 136 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 3: peak of the crypto craze, and now we're almost at 137 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 3: that amount of money that's been withdrawn from the banking 138 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:52,119 Speaker 3: industry to go to the money market funds. It's really 139 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 3: stunning how much money has moved from the banking industry, 140 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 3: and traditional banks were just not ready for this. 141 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 2: So that's one of the things. 142 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 1: So obviously one the risk that you said bank risk 143 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: versus government risk. So there's the risk that they're dealing with, 144 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: and so that has people on edge. And then there's 145 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: the carrot dangling where like, hey, I can go make 146 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: five percent instead of the two percent or I'm sorry, 147 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: the zero point two five. 148 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 3: Or whatever it is. 149 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, whatever, And I've got counterparty. 150 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 3: Credit risk, right, so if you adjust that for the 151 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 3: counterparty credit risk, it's negative yield. 152 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, which, while I was thinking, so, if inflation stays 153 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: where it's at, interest rates and banking regulations remain where 154 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: they're at, it just seems like there's just no way 155 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: these small, too big defail or non two big defail 156 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 1: banks can stay in business. 157 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 2: It just seems like they're almost guaranteed. 158 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 1: To fail, Like I said, unless something were to happen, 159 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: and that's what I was saying. If the FED were 160 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: to bring the rates down, it eases the banks. Also 161 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 1: takes away that big demand for people to move like 162 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: that'd be one thing that I was thinking. 163 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 3: But if they're going to recapitalize the banks, they need 164 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 3: to do what green Span did in the early nineties 165 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 3: and engineer a steep yield curve, which is what he did, 166 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 3: and it recapitalized the banks back then. And that's the 167 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 3: last time we really had rising rates and you had 168 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 3: a big bank consolidation wave, big banking consolidation wave. We 169 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 3: didn't have the giant banks back then that we do today. 170 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 3: But right now there's a balance sheet problem in the 171 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 3: banking industry. And so long story short, this is the 172 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 3: type of consolidation wave where profits are going to be 173 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 3: privatized and losses are going to be socialized, unlike the 174 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 3: bank consolidation wave I worked on in beginning of nineteen 175 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:40,200 Speaker 3: ninety four, where it was a win win because you 176 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 3: had a lot of banks that, in spite of the 177 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 3: fact that they were earning high spreads, just couldn't keep 178 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 3: up because they were cost inefficient. So it was a 179 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 3: win win to consolidate back then. Now this consolidation wave 180 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 3: is more about balance sheet weakness. And you have seen 181 00:08:55,840 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 3: a couple of really strongly performing bank stocks, and as 182 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 3: who they've been, they've been the winners of the auction processes, 183 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 3: buying these these defunct banks out of the bank auction 184 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,959 Speaker 3: process and immediately booking again and their stocks go up. Okay, 185 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:17,680 Speaker 3: that's that's the privatization of profits and socialization of losses 186 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 3: that everybody should be upset about. 187 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, certainly. 188 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:24,839 Speaker 1: Now, you know, one of the big things with consolidation 189 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 1: of bank is through the consolidation getting getting rid of 190 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: sort of this like local regional relationship of the banker 191 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: and then potentially pushing more and more like credit decisions 192 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: up to the larger you know, national type corporations and 193 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: things like that. I know, about half of US employment 194 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: is with firms that have less than five hundred employees, 195 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: so about half of that business environment could potentially be affected. 196 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 2: I mean, these some of the risks that you see 197 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 2: with consolidation. 198 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 3: Absolutely, but it's happening anyway. Matt Levine at Bloomberg has 199 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 3: been correctly pointing out money market funds are basically just 200 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 3: narrow banks. Okay, so the bank, all the almost six 201 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 3: hundred billion of deposits that have been withdrawn from the 202 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 3: banking system and deposited into money market funds, is maybe 203 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 3: permanently leaving the banking industry. And so all the concern 204 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 3: about that's implied in your question, which is that that's 205 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:22,120 Speaker 3: where credit comes from. You got to have regional banks 206 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 3: that can provide that can make loans, because that's where 207 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 3: credit to small and medium sized businesses comes from. It 208 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 3: doesn't come from the large banks. They're not set up 209 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 3: to do that. And so but yet I look at 210 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 3: it and say, it's already happening, folks, because people are 211 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 3: voting with their feet to go to money market funds. 212 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 3: This is not rocket science. And unfortunately, if we had 213 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 3: to start all over again, we wouldn't structure the banking 214 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 3: system the way it's structured today, where you have this 215 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 3: enormous maturity transformation maturity mismatch in banks borrowing short term, 216 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:01,079 Speaker 3: lending long term, and trying to capture a three percent spread. 217 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 3: Why because it's fundamentally unstable. As Matt pointed out, I 218 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 3: think it was in yesterday's column that the assumption that 219 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 3: was made for decades is that banking deposits were sticky 220 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:18,960 Speaker 3: and they might be withdrawn from one bank to go 221 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 3: to another, but that would that was a zero sum 222 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 3: game because it all stayed within the banking system. Well, 223 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:27,959 Speaker 3: now they're not sticky. The banking deposits are leaving. They 224 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,320 Speaker 3: left to go to crypto and now they're leaving to 225 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 3: go to the money market fund industry, and that is 226 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 3: outside of the banking industry. And here's the irony. This 227 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 3: is where those of us who liked to talk plumbing 228 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 3: of the money markets. Look at what the FED did 229 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 3: with the RRP facility, the reverse repo facility. That's exactly 230 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 3: what's allowing the money market fund industry to invest in 231 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 3: all of these high yielding US government instruments and they 232 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 3: can invest in repail and pick up even extra yield. 233 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 3: And the impact of that is if anybody could get 234 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 3: direct balance sheet exposure to the FED, then there's an 235 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 3: incentive to there's less credit risk than going through a bank, 236 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 3: so you're picking up higher yields and you're getting US 237 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 3: government slash FED counterparty credit risk. It's it's you know, 238 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 3: this is why money is voting with its feet. And 239 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 3: so the concern about credit availability in the small and 240 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 3: medium sized businesses. Boy, the bank regulators should have had 241 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 3: that concern in mind a long time ago. It's so 242 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 3: interesting because this is bread and butter stuff for the 243 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:45,959 Speaker 3: banking industry, and yet it's amazing how many really smart 244 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:46,680 Speaker 3: people missed it. 245 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:47,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. 246 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 1: I think banking is sticky. It's just getting less and 247 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: less sticky. 248 00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 2: Right. Technology has made it easier to move. 249 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: I've been with my same bank since ever I first 250 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: been kind of overopened, and it's like still there because 251 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: it's a pain the butt to go close bank accounts. 252 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 1: It's really difficult, and so it is pretty sticky. But 253 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 1: to your point, it's getting much easier and money moves 254 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: a lot faster now than I ever did before. I 255 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: was reading a report from Christopher Whale, and he was 256 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: talking about the FDIC report saying that most of the 257 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 1: banking system is insolvent already. Yes, they're just not realizing 258 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: the losses correct, right, And so a lot of these 259 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 1: assets that they have on their books potentially like commercial 260 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: real estate and regular mortgage backed securities, et cetera, underwater, 261 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: you know, mortgage loans, things like that. We can see 262 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 1: delinquencies are going through the roof cars, credit cards, et cetera. 263 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 2: Things like that. 264 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 1: And so we have this, but every time it seems 265 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 1: like they, you know, FED or the banking systems kind 266 00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: of like backs against the wall. It's like another three 267 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: or four letter letter special. 268 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, pops up, right. So I mean, I mean, there's 269 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 2: really nothing stopping them. 270 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:52,559 Speaker 1: I mean, the FED can just continue to take these 271 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 1: assets off the books apar, put them off the balance 272 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: sheet in some tucked away. 273 00:13:56,800 --> 00:14:00,199 Speaker 2: Corner, and just kind of keep this going. Right. 274 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 3: Well, sure, right, but here's the thing, and this is 275 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 3: where I think those who thought that the expansion of 276 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 3: the Fed's balance sheet is by definition inflationary, the credit 277 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 3: creation is what's inflationary. And you know, prior to the 278 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 3: financial crisis, the fed's balance sheet was eight hundred billion. 279 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 3: It was you know, it was nothing compared to what 280 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 3: it's been in the trillions today. And and nonfinancial sector 281 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 3: debt is ninety five trillion ish last I looked. Okay, 282 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 3: so there's been ninety five trillion ish of US dollar 283 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 3: credit issued in the United States, of which nine trillion 284 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 3: ish has been monetized by the FED. Those are approximate numbers. 285 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 3: But you see the point where I'm going about ten percent. 286 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 3: The FED has monetized about ten percent of the credit 287 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 3: that got issued. Okay, by the time this is all 288 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 3: said and done, a lot of it's going to end 289 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 3: up on the fed's balance sheet through the mechanisms you 290 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 3: just talked about. But what a lot of folks miss 291 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 3: is that that's not the inflation. The inflation occurred when 292 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 3: the credit got created in the first place. How did 293 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 3: it get created. It got created in the banking system, 294 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 3: and it got created in the shadow banking system, which 295 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 3: is through securities markets, et cetera. But the credit creation 296 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 3: was what was inflationary. It wasn't the expansion of the 297 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 3: fed's balance sheet per se. That's a piece of it, 298 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 3: but it's not the vast majority of it, even with 299 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 3: the FED basically backstopping. So what they're doing is basically 300 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 3: filling a hole. Right when you get into deflationary environments 301 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 3: where debt is defaulting, the credit outstanding is shrinking, that 302 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 3: is small d deflation. The FED has expanded its balance 303 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 3: sheet in order to keep credit inflated. Okay, So they're 304 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 3: not trying to issue ninety five trillion more of debt. 305 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 3: What they're trying to do is keep that ninety five 306 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:52,280 Speaker 3: trillion on its normal trajectory. And here's the interesting thing. 307 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 3: If you go look at the data. I haven't updated 308 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 3: this in a little while, but if you look at 309 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 3: the non financial sector debt in the United States, it's 310 00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 3: pretty much to straight line up and you can't tell 311 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 3: when Republicans were in charge, which is when Democrats were 312 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 3: in charge. Okay, so we've had two and a half 313 00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 3: to three trillion dollars of non financial sector debt growth 314 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 3: in each of the last ten years, and it's you know, 315 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 3: it's essentially keeping me total economy inflated. Only a small 316 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 3: percentage of that historically has been the FED itself. The 317 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 3: real inflation came from the credit that was created in 318 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 3: both the traditional banking system and in the non traditional 319 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,520 Speaker 3: i either shadow banking system. But it all got created 320 00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 3: in the financial system and then got intermediated out into 321 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 3: the real economy. And so you know, basically there's a 322 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 3: big debate over the stability of the US dollar banking system. 323 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 3: I look at it, and you know, as you said, 324 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 3: the FDIICE is saying, hey, the banking systems in soolveent. Okay, well, 325 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 3: it really always has been. This is not new fractional 326 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 3: reserve banking is not new. Bank runs are not new. 327 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 3: None of this is new. What's new is that people 328 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:10,160 Speaker 3: are much more aware of what the issue has been 329 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 3: all along. But it was always there, bubbling under the surface, 330 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 3: building up, and fundamentally, this is not a stable system. 331 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 3: It seems stable because they've been able, as you point out, 332 00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 3: to pull the rabbit out of the hat with the 333 00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 3: latest alphabet soup program. But all that is doing is 334 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:34,120 Speaker 3: taking defaulted credit off the traditional banking system's balance sheet 335 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 3: and putting it onto the Fed's balance sheet to try 336 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 3: to keep the aggregate of total credit inflated. 337 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 1: And while that doesn't cause the deflation, because the aggregate 338 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:45,399 Speaker 1: credit is still there, and even though it may be 339 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,720 Speaker 1: tucked away somewhere, it's still a drag on the overall economy, 340 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 1: and it's still a drag on growth and production because 341 00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:53,959 Speaker 1: whoever owes that debt is still being held down by that, 342 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 1: right So even though it's kind of like tucked away, hidden, 343 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:58,880 Speaker 1: you know, out ofside, out of mind, it's still there. 344 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,679 Speaker 1: It's still dragging the situation down. So it never allows 345 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: us to kind of heal and start growing again. 346 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 3: Absolutely well, and we don't know what real market interest 347 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 3: rates are We have no idea. The one thing I'm 348 00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 3: pretty confident of, although no one knows for sure, is 349 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 3: that they would be hired than they are today right 350 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:19,199 Speaker 3: if free markets really rained. But this is why the 351 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 3: most important price that needs to be left alone and 352 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 3: not controlled by the government is the price of borrowing money, 353 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 3: because it is the traffic light that allocates capital across 354 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 3: industries and across time. And when that is controlled, which 355 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 3: it is in every major economy in the world right now, 356 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 3: because there's something called a central bank, and the central 357 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 3: banks have desks that literally buy and sell government obligations 358 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 3: to control those interest rates. And so when they're controlling 359 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 3: those interest rates to their target levels, you know they're 360 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,440 Speaker 3: not free market interest rates. And so to your point, 361 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,639 Speaker 3: we're not allowing all of the dead weight of the 362 00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:03,199 Speaker 3: economy to burn. And I like a nessin Teleb's analogy 363 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: of forest fires. If you don't allow the underbelly, the 364 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:12,560 Speaker 3: undergrowth to burn every now and then when the real 365 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,720 Speaker 3: one comes, you get a conflagration, and it might burn 366 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,680 Speaker 3: hot enough that it burns all the bacteria in the soil, 367 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 3: and nothing grows for decades until you know an elk 368 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 3: or a moose comes along and takes you know what, 369 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 3: and then the bacteria regenerates in the soil, but it 370 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 3: takes decades for that to happen. I'm literally watching that happen. 371 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 3: There were terrible forest fires not far from where I 372 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:39,119 Speaker 3: live here in Wyoming a couple of years ago, and 373 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 3: nothing is growing back because they didn't let it burn 374 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 3: in the more mild years, and when it finally came, 375 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 3: everything including the bacteria in the soil, burned. It's really sad. 376 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:54,360 Speaker 2: I recently went out to Wyoming. 377 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 1: I was out there earlier this year for the Bitcoinski 378 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,360 Speaker 1: Week and boy was it beautiful. Absolutely, Oh yes, sure 379 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: it is. Yeah, it is wild, big country out there, 380 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: for sure. 381 00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:05,920 Speaker 2: Man, Wow, God blessed. 382 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,600 Speaker 3: Whyom I go? I keep it wild's yeah, that's for sure. 383 00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 2: It made me. It made me think, I mean, this 384 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,120 Speaker 2: is off track. But we went. I went. 385 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,199 Speaker 1: We were there in Jackson Hole, right and then we 386 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: went about to forty five minutes out and did a 387 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 1: little helly scheme. But I got to kind of drive 388 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: out and see that that rugged country and just get 389 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:23,120 Speaker 1: to meet some of the people that are out there. 390 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 1: And I left thinking these people are never going to 391 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 1: live in fifteen minute cities in metaverse like correct, these 392 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 1: are the cowboys out here, right, And it made me 393 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:33,760 Speaker 1: feel a little bit better. 394 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 2: So I'm just gonna say, Hey, I lived on. 395 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,359 Speaker 3: The East Coast for thirty years in big cities, so 396 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:42,400 Speaker 3: I can move easily from one environment to the other. 397 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 3: But I grew up here, and I totally get it. 398 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 3: I'm much, you know, much more, much more comfortable here, 399 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 3: and you know, boy, there are a lot of people 400 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,720 Speaker 3: who are moving here who are like that, escaping the 401 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 3: cities and appreciating the big, wide open spaces and generally 402 00:20:58,560 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 3: being left alone. 403 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,360 Speaker 1: Though. I can say I'm here in southern California and 404 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 1: in Orange County along the beach Newport Beach, Corona del Mar, 405 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,280 Speaker 1: Laguna Beach, I mean some of the most expensive real 406 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: estate anywhere, and I was completely shocked how expensive it 407 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: was out Jacksonming. 408 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 3: Yeah. 409 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm like thirty forty minutes from the airport 410 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 1: in the in the middle of seemingly nowhere, and these 411 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,600 Speaker 1: homes are like fifteen million dollars on yep, what is 412 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 1: going on us? 413 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 3: Oh? I watched that for years, and you know, they're 414 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:29,159 Speaker 3: very land constrained around Jackson. The rest of Wyoming's not 415 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:32,159 Speaker 3: like that. When I moved from the New York City area, 416 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 3: my cost of living went down by two thirds. It's 417 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 3: the rest of Wyoming isn't like that. But you know 418 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 3: what's interesting is people Jackson's like a gateway drug to Wyoming. 419 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,440 Speaker 3: A lot of people fall in love with Wyoming when 420 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,600 Speaker 3: they see that, and then they realize, wow, the once 421 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 3: you go not far from Jackson any directions, it's equally beautiful, 422 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 3: but the real estate prices are a lot lower, and 423 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 3: you don't have the craziness of the resort town. And 424 00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 3: so now the joke is the billionaires are driving out 425 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 3: the millionaires, and the millionaires in Jackson who used to 426 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 3: be in Jackson are now really scattered all over Wyoming, 427 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:14,160 Speaker 3: and as you can imagine, it's causing a little bit 428 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:18,160 Speaker 3: of friction with the locals. 429 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,359 Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, yeah, So jumping back onto this, you know 430 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: what we were saying about kind of setting the price 431 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 1: of money. A lot of people don't realize that you 432 00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,679 Speaker 1: actually buy money. You use money to buy things, but 433 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: you also buy money when you borrow the money. And 434 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 1: while most people understand the dangers of price fixing, which 435 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 1: of course we're already starting to hear talks of price 436 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: fixing because inflation is so bad yield curve control. So 437 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: most people kind of understand intuitively that price fixing. 438 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:45,479 Speaker 2: Isn't a good thing. It's actually a very dangerous thing. 439 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 1: But they don't think to the point that you made, 440 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,680 Speaker 1: that setting the price of money actually sets the price 441 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,920 Speaker 1: of everything. And also they don't realize how much information 442 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,439 Speaker 1: is in that price. So if I'm a business owner, 443 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: if the interest rate is very low, that means there's 444 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,440 Speaker 1: lots of excess some money in the system, and people 445 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 1: are healthy and wealthy, and I should probably launch a 446 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 1: new product or business, and if the rates are high, I. 447 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 2: Might I might know the opposite. 448 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: And so when that's all distorted, all types of misallocation, unfortunately, 449 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: people's lives get ruined, you know, in a small business 450 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 1: sector specifically, going back to this, so in this you know, 451 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 1: banking situation, as I kind of said, it almost seems 452 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,400 Speaker 1: like no bank's really going to survive unless either these 453 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,879 Speaker 1: conditions change or there was like some sort of like 454 00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,159 Speaker 1: a full reserve bank, which of course Custodia Bank was 455 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: trying to do. And I know that you and I 456 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 1: got to talk about this a little bit in Miami, 457 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: and I know you can't lay out a whole lot 458 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:39,960 Speaker 1: of details, but you had a full reserve bank idea. 459 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: Seemingly they didn't want that, at least that's what it appears, like, 460 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:45,879 Speaker 1: what kind of information can you give us on that? 461 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 3: What it's so interesting because we have full reserve banks. 462 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,439 Speaker 3: They're called money market funds. They're not banks in the 463 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 3: sense that they don't take deposits, but they're really the 464 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 3: same thing, right. They have liabilities in the form of 465 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,439 Speaker 3: fund shares, and they have assets in the form of 466 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:06,440 Speaker 3: t bills and repo that back one hundred percent of 467 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 3: the obligations. That's really one hundred percent reserve bank. And again, 468 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,880 Speaker 3: people are voting the money market funds, taking money out 469 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,199 Speaker 3: of the banking system to put them into money market funds, 470 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 3: voting with their feet because that's what they that's what 471 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,880 Speaker 3: they want. There's something else out there that is essentially 472 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,879 Speaker 3: a full reserve bank. It's called a money transmitter. The 473 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 3: fifty states have money transmitter licensing regimes. That's how most 474 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 3: of fintech's are licensed. They just can't take a US 475 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 3: dollar deposit. A bank is a unique animal. It is 476 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 3: a corporation bestowed by law with the right to accept 477 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 3: US dollar deposits. But the FinTechs are not banks yet, 478 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 3: they're effectively one hundred percent reserve banks. Why because they 479 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,639 Speaker 3: are not allowed to lend their customer funds. They have 480 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,199 Speaker 3: to hold one hundred percent of their customer funds in 481 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:56,880 Speaker 3: something called permissible investments, and the permissible investments are generally 482 00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:02,000 Speaker 3: short term, high quality liquid asset. Okay, So if we 483 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,879 Speaker 3: want to step back and look at it objectively, we 484 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 3: already have one hundred percent reserve banks. They're just not 485 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:13,359 Speaker 3: legally banks because they can't accept deposits, but they're effectively 486 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 3: the same thing. They're called FinTechs, and they're called money 487 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,400 Speaker 3: market funds. And so what's funny is. 488 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,719 Speaker 1: How do they money market funds not collect deposits? 489 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 3: Well, because deposits are a US dollar that is deposited 490 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 3: into a bank. So legally, a money market fund is 491 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 3: a security. You're buying a security. Now, you and I 492 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,680 Speaker 3: look at that and say, it's effectively the same thing, 493 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,720 Speaker 3: but the plumbing is very different and the legal structure 494 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:46,120 Speaker 3: is very different. A money market fund cannot be used 495 00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 3: to make a payment that has to be done through 496 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:52,119 Speaker 3: a bank. Now, if we segregate out what are the 497 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 3: functions of our bank. We really use our bank for 498 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:04,120 Speaker 3: basically two things, for storing our deposits, storing our US 499 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 3: dollars and for making payments. So the storage of the 500 00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 3: US deposits that can be handled through a money market 501 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 3: fund with arguably higher yields and lower risk, which is 502 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 3: why again so many people are voting with their feet. 503 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,919 Speaker 3: A lot of people have commented that this isn't a 504 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,919 Speaker 3: bank run, it's a bank walk. It's the slow bleed 505 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:28,679 Speaker 3: of deposits out of the banking system into money market 506 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,800 Speaker 3: funds just simply because of the economics, the risk adjusted 507 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 3: returns okay, And that's a situation that has been created 508 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 3: by the FED itself. But we also use the bank 509 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:43,440 Speaker 3: for payments, and the money market fund cannot offer access 510 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,119 Speaker 3: to fedwire and ACCH. In order to get access to 511 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:49,439 Speaker 3: fedwire and ACCH as a financial institution, you must be 512 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:49,879 Speaker 3: a bank. 513 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 1: Where where do like Charles Schwab and those types, because 514 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: they offer they have bank subsidiaries. 515 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 3: They either have bank subsidiaries, which is what Charles Schwab 516 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,199 Speaker 3: and Morgan Stanley for example, have, or they use a 517 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 3: clearing bank like a JP. Morgan what would be called 518 00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:13,240 Speaker 3: a correspondent bank, and basically it's really passing through their 519 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 3: balance sheet and that's how they get access to the FED. 520 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,200 Speaker 3: So this whole question of who gets access to FED 521 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 3: accounts is a very interesting one because in other countries, 522 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 3: non banks get access to central bank accounts. So the 523 00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,159 Speaker 3: FinTechs like the paypals and Stripes and squares of the 524 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:31,240 Speaker 3: world in the UK, for example, would be eligible to 525 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 3: get a clearing account at the FED. However in the 526 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,360 Speaker 3: US that's not the case. Well, in the UK would 527 00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 3: be the Bank of England, but in the US that's 528 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 3: not the case. The law says you have to be 529 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 3: a depository institution. Now, an eligible depository institution. What is 530 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 3: that defined as? Number one, it's insured depository institutions, so 531 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 3: FDIC insured banks or NCUA insured credit unions. That's a 532 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:58,240 Speaker 3: group number one insured depository institutions. And number two is 533 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 3: depository institutions eligible to apply for insurance. Custodia falls into 534 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 3: that second bucket. We are uninsured. The FDIC was refusing 535 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:11,679 Speaker 3: to ensure any companies applying for insurance that were involved 536 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 3: in the digital asset industry. Incidentally, I agree with them. 537 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,199 Speaker 3: We can come back and talk about that later if 538 00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 3: you want to. But the point is that second bucket 539 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 3: is in federal statute, and federal law says the Federal 540 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:29,399 Speaker 3: Reserve shall provide services to eligible depository institutions. If shall 541 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 3: means shall, then that means a federal reserve should or 542 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 3: will have to provide those services. Both the FED and 543 00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:42,920 Speaker 3: the FDIC started to reinterpret the laws that apply to them, 544 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 3: shall we say. 545 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: And. 546 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 3: Start to pick and choose who they got to serve 547 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 3: and who they didn't want to serve. And that has 548 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 3: resulted in the politicization of the banking system. And that 549 00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 3: is something I have spoken out about broadly. Banking should 550 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:05,520 Speaker 3: not be politicized. If there are fights over whether marijuana 551 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 3: is legal, or whether abortion clinics should have access to 552 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 3: the financial service to you know, to banks, or whether 553 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:16,960 Speaker 3: oil and gas companies should have access to banks, those 554 00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 3: should be fought out in the regulatory realm, not behind 555 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:28,840 Speaker 3: closed doors in a bank supervisors exam one. 556 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a big deal. That's a big deal. 557 00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: Now what about you'd said the two functions of the bank, 558 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: But there's a third function of the bank too, which 559 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 1: is extending credit. That's to the point that you're making earlier. 560 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 1: That's where the money is actually created issues through the bank. 561 00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 3: Correct. Not everybody borrows from a bank, right, So now 562 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 3: we can actually do we can divide banks into lending 563 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 3: banks and banks that are really just payment banks. Or 564 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 3: there's a third category, which is custody banks. So custody 565 00:29:56,960 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 3: banks like Bank of New York, Mellon, Stay Street, Northern Trust, 566 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 3: most of their business is providing custody for securities. They 567 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 3: do have small lending books, but that if you go 568 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,920 Speaker 3: if you look at the balance sheets of those banks, 569 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 3: they are teeny tiny compared to the assets under custody. 570 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 3: It's i don't know, like one hundred billion of on 571 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:24,920 Speaker 3: balance sheet assets and twenty trillion of off balance sheet 572 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 3: assets under custody at those banks. Directionally, those ratios are right. 573 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 3: They really are not in the business of making loans. 574 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 3: They're mostly in the business of providing services. And that's 575 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:41,560 Speaker 3: that's that's a well trodden path for banks. So it's 576 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 3: not the case that every bank makes loans. 577 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: Okay, So custodia is not dead in the water. You're 578 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: up and running, just not full services at this point, 579 00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 1: is that correct? 580 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,440 Speaker 3: We're not taking third party customer funds right now. We've 581 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 3: actually been operating since October. We kept it quiet, but 582 00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:02,720 Speaker 3: we've been operating since October, and we got our certificate 583 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:04,960 Speaker 3: of authority to operate from the Wyoming Division of Banking 584 00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 3: last October. But stay tuned. We will have announcements coming 585 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 3: out relatively soon about a pivot. 586 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll certainly be hanging on that. I'm curious then, 587 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 1: you know, part of I think what custodia and maybe 588 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 1: potentially you can tell me about the name, but kind 589 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 1: of like custodian I'm guessing right. 590 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 2: Full reserve, but also involved. 591 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 1: Bitcoin and I think maybe other crypto assets as well, 592 00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,440 Speaker 1: and taking custody of those. And I'm just curious, you know, 593 00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 1: like we're obviously in this transition and most of us 594 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:38,200 Speaker 1: alive today are used to banks holding our money for us. Now, 595 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 1: of course, we have bitcoin that allows us to take 596 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:41,200 Speaker 1: custody of our own assets. 597 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:42,360 Speaker 2: You know, we have this. 598 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 1: We're kind of stuck between generations. Some people are still 599 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 1: going to want that custody, et cetera, and especially maybe 600 00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: with institutions and things like that. I'm just curious your 601 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 1: take on that, given what's happened over the weekend with Ledger. 602 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 3: Well, look, I mean what Ledger revealed is something that 603 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 3: a lot of folks did not understand about the nature 604 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:10,680 Speaker 3: of the hardware provider having software control over the extraction 605 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,560 Speaker 3: of private keys and a hardware device. Okay, So what 606 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 3: that's underscoring is that if you are not self custodying 607 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 3: literally by you generating a random seed phrase and you 608 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 3: storing it yourselves in a secure way, then you're relying 609 00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 3: on someone else and it's just a different layer of trust. So, 610 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 3: you know, I think a lot of the engineers who 611 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,840 Speaker 3: said this is no big deal understood it all along. 612 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,960 Speaker 3: A lot of people who were really shocked just didn't 613 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 3: understand that's what that's what the hardware devices were all along. 614 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 3: So there was a really interesting panel that I was 615 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,120 Speaker 3: honored to be part of that Jamison Lop of KASA 616 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 3: hosted with Obe of Fetiment, and it's basically three different 617 00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 3: models of custody, with KASA being self being a three 618 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 3: of five multi sig, with custodia being a structure that 619 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 3: is very different than traditional full service third party custody 620 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:17,479 Speaker 3: because the legal structure of the Wyoming law allows you 621 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:21,160 Speaker 3: to retain title legal title to your assets even when 622 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 3: you turn over your private keys. And then there's the 623 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 3: community custody model, where essentially you're segregating out parts of 624 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 3: the keys into the your trusted community. 625 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: And then of course would you put that third model 626 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,320 Speaker 1: sort of like with a coinbase kind of model. 627 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,480 Speaker 3: Well, no, it's not, because in that case you're keeping 628 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,600 Speaker 3: parts of your key, as I understand it, with trusted 629 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 3: people in your community. Coinbase full service counterparty risk. What 630 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 3: you have as an IOU, you don't have legal title 631 00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 3: to the asset, and as the SEC properly required Coinbase 632 00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:01,320 Speaker 3: to disclose last spring, and this applies to all third 633 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 3: party custody that exists in the US market right now. 634 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,319 Speaker 3: The way that legal structure works is when you turn 635 00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,200 Speaker 3: over your bitcoin to a custodian, they give you an 636 00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 3: IOU back, and if they go out of business because 637 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 3: of their legal structure, they're subject to the US Bankruptcy 638 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,400 Speaker 3: Code and you're stuck in a bankruptcy line getting your 639 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:20,919 Speaker 3: money back. 640 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,280 Speaker 1: It looks like though, with Celsius and Blockfi they're letting 641 00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:26,719 Speaker 1: people who are in custody solutions get their money back, 642 00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 1: but not in their earn or yield products. 643 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:33,680 Speaker 3: Well, again, some of that is a function of just 644 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:38,160 Speaker 3: how much money the custodian has. So they were able 645 00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,000 Speaker 3: and willing to be able to pay those out and 646 00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,080 Speaker 3: they were deemed to be senior claims. So now we 647 00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:49,800 Speaker 3: get into some very esoteric legal structures as to whether 648 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,960 Speaker 3: the account was an omnibus account or not. If it's 649 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:53,960 Speaker 3: an omnibus account or not, you are definitely in a 650 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 3: debtor credit or relationship. But if you have a trust 651 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:03,560 Speaker 3: account owned, there's a better argument for segregation. What Coinbase 652 00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 3: was required by the SEC to disclose, and it was 653 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,880 Speaker 3: about a year ago. There was a big bruhaha over oh, 654 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 3: it's Coinbase going bankrupt. Well, no, I didn't think they 655 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,000 Speaker 3: were going bankrupt. What they asked. What the SEC made 656 00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:17,839 Speaker 3: them disclosed is that if they ever did that, there 657 00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:22,680 Speaker 3: is a risk that that the people who are holding 658 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:26,279 Speaker 3: money in their trust company might not find that their 659 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:29,800 Speaker 3: assets are segregated right at the moment when they need 660 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 3: the assets to be segregated. Why. Because the US Bankruptcy 661 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 3: Code is US bankruptcy Court judges are empowered under the 662 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 3: US Bankruptcy Code to be able to break contracts and 663 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,040 Speaker 3: in a trust company or a money transmitter legally in 664 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 3: the United States, the asset segregation is by contract, Okay, 665 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,440 Speaker 3: big difference with a bank like Custodia or a broker dealer. 666 00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 3: Banks and broker dealers have special statutory segregation of assets 667 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:02,040 Speaker 3: and special receivership regimes. A bank judge cannot break the 668 00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:06,360 Speaker 3: statutory segregation of assets. That judge must respect it. Okay. 669 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,520 Speaker 3: So what that means, and that is that the greater 670 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,239 Speaker 3: likelihood is that if anything happened to a custodian that 671 00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,919 Speaker 3: was a bank or a broker dealer, you were more 672 00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:17,560 Speaker 3: likely to get your money back. Ultimately, in the case 673 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,360 Speaker 3: of Lehman, pretty much everybody got their money back. It 674 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,840 Speaker 3: took some time, but that's because they had statutory segregation 675 00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 3: of assets and they paid out the money fairly quickly. 676 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:30,319 Speaker 3: So it does depend on how deep the loss is 677 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,040 Speaker 3: and whether they recover sufficient assets to start to pay 678 00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:39,160 Speaker 3: out creditors fast. Bankruptcy judges want to pay out creditors fast, 679 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:45,400 Speaker 3: for sure. But the gist is this is complicated stuff. 680 00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 3: There's one other piece I'll add, which is that Wyoming 681 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:52,160 Speaker 3: offers something called bailman. Bailman is the law of valet 682 00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:55,200 Speaker 3: parking for your car or a code check you are 683 00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:57,919 Speaker 3: not handing legal title to your car when you perk 684 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,520 Speaker 3: it at the garage to the garage, the garage can 685 00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,600 Speaker 3: do one and one only one thing only, which is 686 00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 3: park your car. They can't take it on a joy ride. 687 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,759 Speaker 3: They can't, you know, rent it out to an uber 688 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:13,280 Speaker 3: driver and pocket the earnings and securities custody. That's exactly 689 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 3: how it works. You custody, You deposit your securities with 690 00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:20,680 Speaker 3: a custody bank. They take your securities for a joy ride, 691 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,240 Speaker 3: stick you with the risk, and they pocket the losses. 692 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,440 Speaker 3: That's the way it works. Okay. So the Wyoming bailment 693 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:32,600 Speaker 3: law not only keeps title with statutory segregation with the 694 00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 3: customer if the customer elects the bailance. However, also it 695 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:42,280 Speaker 3: prohibits the custodian from the proverbial joy ride with your assets. 696 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,759 Speaker 3: The only thing that you can do as a custodian 697 00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:49,880 Speaker 3: under Wyoming law is what your customer specifically directs you 698 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,640 Speaker 3: to do. Whereas in the securities custody world, the Bank 699 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:57,680 Speaker 3: of New York's the you know, the the Northern Trust, 700 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,319 Speaker 3: the State streets go read the fine for rent. They 701 00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:05,120 Speaker 3: can they can lend out your assets without your express 702 00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:09,080 Speaker 3: consent and it's called securities lending. These are big, big 703 00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:13,160 Speaker 3: businesses for these banks. Uh, and they're pocketing profits. 704 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:13,640 Speaker 1: Uh. 705 00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,719 Speaker 3: And you're arguably getting a lot of risk that you're. 706 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:21,439 Speaker 1: Part of the whole rehypothification and it goes down absolutely right, Yes, 707 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,239 Speaker 1: without getting going down that whole rabbit hole. But I'm 708 00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:28,359 Speaker 1: just curious, you know, to the point of the securities. 709 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:30,840 Speaker 1: I mean, like, so I don't own the apple stock. 710 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:33,120 Speaker 1: E trade owns it and they owe it to me. 711 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,120 Speaker 1: But then E Trade doesn't own it either. It's owed 712 00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 1: to them, which is owed to them, And there's I 713 00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: don't know, five five, five six people in this process, 714 00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 1: this DTCC kind of clearing services that does all this. 715 00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:49,279 Speaker 1: It seems like now we have technology that could fix 716 00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:52,400 Speaker 1: that problem. So you know, whether that be on some 717 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 1: blockchain or on top of the bitcoin blockchain, we have 718 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:58,360 Speaker 1: like you know, potentially like a taro layer that we could. 719 00:38:58,160 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 2: Now own securities. 720 00:38:59,719 --> 00:38:59,919 Speaker 3: Yeah. 721 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:00,359 Speaker 2: Yeah. 722 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:02,880 Speaker 1: And it wasn't that long ago that stocks used to 723 00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:05,400 Speaker 1: be bearer instruments. It was a stock certificate. It was 724 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,799 Speaker 1: actually a certificate. You know, we've we've we've grown yeah, 725 00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 1: paper and we've grown up. Seen the movies. I don't 726 00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:10,960 Speaker 1: know if they still do it, but they had, like 727 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 1: you know, the criminals, like give me the bearer bonds, right, 728 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,239 Speaker 1: like bear bonds were like bear instruments and so like. 729 00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:19,400 Speaker 1: It wasn't that long ago that these securities were bare instruments, 730 00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:21,560 Speaker 1: and now we have the technology to do that again. However, 731 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:26,880 Speaker 1: there's this whole establishment that seems to rent seek in 732 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: the middle. 733 00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 2: Of every opportunity to hear back. 734 00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,320 Speaker 1: And not just rent seek taking a piece of the transaction, 735 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,080 Speaker 1: but actually leveraging them out, use them to your point 736 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,520 Speaker 1: of joy, joy writing your cart while you're gone. 737 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 2: Do you think I mean, is that going to be 738 00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:39,640 Speaker 2: a big. 739 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:44,040 Speaker 1: If not almost insurmountable obstacle in the way of letting 740 00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:45,400 Speaker 1: technology fix that solution. 741 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,520 Speaker 3: Well, so this is interesting. This is a broader question. 742 00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:54,280 Speaker 3: Do the bank regulators want technology innovation in the banking system? 743 00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:57,360 Speaker 3: And here's what I think happened. I think the answer 744 00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:57,680 Speaker 3: is no. 745 00:39:58,040 --> 00:39:58,680 Speaker 2: I would say no. 746 00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:02,759 Speaker 3: And here's why they let the back end systems of 747 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:06,840 Speaker 3: the banking industry atrophy. And now here come all these 748 00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:10,920 Speaker 3: FinTechs with these ferrari front ends that have to plug 749 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,960 Speaker 3: into the horse and buggy back end. And then here 750 00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:16,960 Speaker 3: comes crypto on top of that, which is in some 751 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:20,439 Speaker 3: ways even faster and more efficient than the FinTechs because 752 00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 3: they've got their own separate settlement systems. Wow, that's scarce. 753 00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 3: The banking regulators and here's the problem. They're in a 754 00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:31,920 Speaker 3: catch twenty two. We talked at the beginning of this 755 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 3: conversation about the catch twenty two they're in with, which is, 756 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,920 Speaker 3: if they keep raising interest rates and have an inverted 757 00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,640 Speaker 3: yield curve, they cause more banks to go bust. Now 758 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 3: they're in a catch twenty two on technology too, that 759 00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,600 Speaker 3: very few people are talking about. People are voting with 760 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:49,400 Speaker 3: their feet to use the better technology, especially the millennials 761 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:52,560 Speaker 3: and gen zs. They've never set foot in a bank branch. 762 00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:57,160 Speaker 3: Yet liquidity and capital in the banking world are calibrated 763 00:40:57,160 --> 00:41:00,759 Speaker 3: to an analog world. So people are voting with their 764 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:07,359 Speaker 3: feet to go digital. They want regulated digital asset service providers. 765 00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:13,400 Speaker 3: They'd rather do business within the regulated world, but the 766 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:17,960 Speaker 3: traditional regulators are trying to shove them backwards in technology. 767 00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:21,320 Speaker 3: I talked to one of the gen Z folks at Miami. 768 00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,120 Speaker 3: He's never written a check and has only set foot 769 00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:29,600 Speaker 3: in a bank branch once in his life. So there 770 00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:31,960 Speaker 3: you go. Now, try to make somebody like that live 771 00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:34,680 Speaker 3: in an analog world. Yeah, not going backwards. 772 00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:37,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, they're not going back It makes me think of 773 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:41,160 Speaker 1: a quote from Christine Legard and she said that innovation 774 00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 1: is a threat to our financial stability. 775 00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:45,120 Speaker 2: Which it is. 776 00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's innovation. It disrupts the old way of 777 00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,160 Speaker 1: doing things. That's the entire point. And it's actually a 778 00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:53,960 Speaker 1: conversation I had with Robert Breedlove while we were in Miami, 779 00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:55,840 Speaker 1: and I was explaining kind of how I was thinking 780 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,080 Speaker 1: through this, and like from many ways, we had a 781 00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:00,720 Speaker 1: long rip on his podcast. 782 00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:02,200 Speaker 2: We talked about it, but how like. 783 00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:04,759 Speaker 1: Our current form of government was built for the industrial 784 00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,640 Speaker 1: age and now we've moved, we've moved to the information age, 785 00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:10,799 Speaker 1: and we still have an industrial age government, but we 786 00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,239 Speaker 1: have an information age world. And one of those things 787 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:14,799 Speaker 1: I didn't talk about it necessarily with him, but one 788 00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:16,600 Speaker 1: of those things that I was thinking about is that, 789 00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:20,280 Speaker 1: you know, we've gone from a slow settlement to instance 790 00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:24,239 Speaker 1: or not I'm sorry, slow transactions to instant transactions, and 791 00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,160 Speaker 1: so kind of to the point earlier about moving money 792 00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:27,600 Speaker 1: from bank to bank, I can literally do it with 793 00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:29,719 Speaker 1: a push of a button instead of driving to the 794 00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,239 Speaker 1: bank and filling out the forms, et cetera, and or 795 00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:33,640 Speaker 1: whether I buy things, you know, I used to have 796 00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:34,919 Speaker 1: to go to the store and I push a button. 797 00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:38,360 Speaker 1: So now we have instant transactions, but the settlement still 798 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,040 Speaker 1: is in the dark ages here, right, And so that's 799 00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:42,680 Speaker 1: kind of the point that you're making. The banks have 800 00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:45,320 Speaker 1: this cart and buggy back end, and how we have 801 00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:49,640 Speaker 1: these ferrari or even spaceship set transactions, and so there's 802 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:50,919 Speaker 1: just this big gap that's there. 803 00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:53,800 Speaker 3: Well, and that's what Custodia set out to solve. We 804 00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,920 Speaker 3: we really truly were a friendly and we're actively working 805 00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:00,919 Speaker 3: with both sides to figure out how to make sure 806 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,439 Speaker 3: that neither side caused problems for the other. And in fact, 807 00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:09,080 Speaker 3: unfortunately what happened is both sides caused problems for the other. Right, 808 00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:13,600 Speaker 3: we saw the traditional banking system, you know, through the 809 00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 3: through the d banking, and just like the small number 810 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,479 Speaker 3: of banks that were willing to serve this industry caused 811 00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:21,520 Speaker 3: a lot of problems for the digital asset industry. And 812 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:24,400 Speaker 3: by the way, the digital asset industry arguably blew up 813 00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:27,640 Speaker 3: some of those banks because going back to FTX, there 814 00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:32,520 Speaker 3: were eleven banks, including three gesibs that provided financial services 815 00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 3: to FTX, which which appears to have been just a 816 00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 3: giant fraud and allegedly and yet eleven banks didn't catch that, 817 00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:48,279 Speaker 3: including three gesives including by the way, three us G SIPs. 818 00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:50,640 Speaker 3: I think there were two non us G SIPs as well. 819 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:52,800 Speaker 3: These are supposed to be the best of the best 820 00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 3: at catching money laundering, at catching you know, know, your 821 00:43:56,680 --> 00:44:02,640 Speaker 3: customer violations, and they were apparently allowing wires allegedly to 822 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:07,120 Speaker 3: be sent to FTX that ended up instead being sent 823 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:07,959 Speaker 3: to Alameda. 824 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:08,279 Speaker 2: Yeah. 825 00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:10,160 Speaker 1: I saw that with silver Gate, and I was just like, 826 00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:11,560 Speaker 1: I couldn't believe it. I mean, how do you not 827 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 1: pick something like that up. 828 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:14,920 Speaker 3: Well, I got to tell you, this is one of 829 00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:18,520 Speaker 3: the things that makes me sad about the attempt to 830 00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:21,319 Speaker 3: just shove this entire industry offshore and out of the 831 00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,560 Speaker 3: banking industry, is that there were some of us as 832 00:44:24,640 --> 00:44:30,000 Speaker 3: I think you know, who actively knew about some of 833 00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:33,120 Speaker 3: the frauds. Right, let's go back to my public statements 834 00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:35,840 Speaker 3: against the lenders. It was clear to me the lenders 835 00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:37,960 Speaker 3: were going to blow up. You cannot take an asset 836 00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,799 Speaker 3: that is finite in quantity and start rehapothecating it. The 837 00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,759 Speaker 3: moment you do that, somebody's insolvent and it's just a 838 00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:47,239 Speaker 3: matter of time before they blow up. And there is 839 00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:49,200 Speaker 3: no lender of last resort, unlike there is in the 840 00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:53,440 Speaker 3: traditional finance industry. And then I have publicly disclosed that. 841 00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:56,200 Speaker 1: You've been about that since you came into the space 842 00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,840 Speaker 1: years now, You've been pounded the table on that, right. 843 00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,359 Speaker 3: And so those of us who spun all that and 844 00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 3: who and who also were working with law enforcement, to 845 00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:08,879 Speaker 3: the criticism of people in the in the you know, 846 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 3: the purists, I look at that and say, even the 847 00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:17,759 Speaker 3: purest libertarians should recognize that fraud is an attack on 848 00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:21,719 Speaker 3: property rights, and we should want to rid this industry 849 00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:25,560 Speaker 3: of fraud. And you know, behind the scenes, I've been helping. 850 00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:29,000 Speaker 3: I just heard of a horrific situation yesterday where somebody 851 00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:33,040 Speaker 3: was defrauded a substantial amount of money out of their IRA. 852 00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:37,000 Speaker 3: And you know the sad thing is it was done 853 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,239 Speaker 3: through an offshore crypto exchange into a D five protocol. 854 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:44,879 Speaker 3: He thought this was a regulated entity, and had there 855 00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,840 Speaker 3: been a regulated entity, he would have been handling his 856 00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,200 Speaker 3: business through the regulated entity. But because of the way 857 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:53,719 Speaker 3: the US has shoved this all offshore. What have they done. 858 00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:57,120 Speaker 3: They've just empowered the criminals and the illicit finance part 859 00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:00,680 Speaker 3: of the industry and the crazy leverage I'm seeing now 860 00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:04,920 Speaker 3: two hundred to one leverage futures come back. I mean, 861 00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:06,160 Speaker 3: this is just awful. 862 00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:08,600 Speaker 1: I wish we could there's certainly that, and there's a 863 00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:11,920 Speaker 1: complete breakdown in our regulatory agency as well, which I 864 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:14,400 Speaker 1: always have to preface this with a disclaimer, I'm not 865 00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:15,920 Speaker 1: for this. I think we should be free to do 866 00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,000 Speaker 1: what we want with our property and we'll take the responsibility, 867 00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:19,920 Speaker 1: and I think the SEC should shut down in disgrace. 868 00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:21,960 Speaker 2: That being said, they're here, so I guess we got 869 00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:22,480 Speaker 2: to deal with that. 870 00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:25,480 Speaker 1: But you know, back to the FTX scenario, okay, I 871 00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:27,839 Speaker 1: mean it was part in the US. Part was of Bahamas. 872 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 1: It was American investors, and we consider here and argue 873 00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:34,560 Speaker 1: about that. But they bought what the only US licensed 874 00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:38,879 Speaker 1: crypto derivatives exchange Ledger, and that went through the CFTC. 875 00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 1: They don't even have any bank accounts. Everything was commingled 876 00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:45,919 Speaker 1: like nobody even looked at that, and supposedly they kept 877 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,760 Speaker 1: everything on a spreadsheet. 878 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,200 Speaker 2: Like what kind of compliance are they doing? 879 00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:50,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know about that. 880 00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:54,480 Speaker 1: With led Ledterx was not part of the bankruptcy, but 881 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:57,720 Speaker 1: that because I was bought by FTX US or whatever. 882 00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:00,520 Speaker 3: Yes, but it was a separate legal So here's the 883 00:47:00,520 --> 00:47:05,200 Speaker 3: interesting thing this is, this is a really important point. 884 00:47:05,800 --> 00:47:09,560 Speaker 3: Ledger X just got sold. It had positive equity value, 885 00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:12,839 Speaker 3: it was solvent, and I don't believe ledier X was 886 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:17,000 Speaker 3: included in the bankruptcy filing and it just got sold. 887 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:20,000 Speaker 3: Of course the equity interest was owned by FTX. 888 00:47:19,680 --> 00:47:23,439 Speaker 1: But business the CFTC approved the sell for. 889 00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:24,279 Speaker 2: FTX to buy that. 890 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,719 Speaker 1: Yes, they did, right, and they didn't they didn't look 891 00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:28,520 Speaker 1: into FTX. 892 00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:30,720 Speaker 2: That that's my that's my point. 893 00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:34,520 Speaker 3: I agree. Uh And again like I don't there were 894 00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:36,960 Speaker 3: so many due diligence failures. But again I got to 895 00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,360 Speaker 3: tell you, like you know, what was going on behind 896 00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:43,120 Speaker 3: the scenes of this industry. Those of us who had 897 00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:46,719 Speaker 3: been around for a while were quietly all talking to 898 00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:49,799 Speaker 3: each other saying, how the hell did FTX make as 899 00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:51,959 Speaker 3: much money as it did as fast as it did. 900 00:47:52,239 --> 00:47:55,080 Speaker 3: We knew what the economics were in this industry, and 901 00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:58,920 Speaker 3: we were we knew something was wrong there, and it 902 00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:03,920 Speaker 3: wasn't until until later that evidence started piling up that 903 00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:07,120 Speaker 3: something was very wrong there, and how is it that 904 00:48:07,160 --> 00:48:10,799 Speaker 3: the banks didn't catch that? You know? Unfortunately, for better 905 00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:14,440 Speaker 3: or for worse, the structure of the US system relies 906 00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:19,640 Speaker 3: on the banks as the government's cop right. They're supposed 907 00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 3: to do the anti money laundering and know your customer 908 00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:26,879 Speaker 3: and O fact checks. And based on what I saw 909 00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:31,800 Speaker 3: from the FDICS Inspector General report, eleven US banks plus 910 00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:35,560 Speaker 3: several other non US banks failed on that front. What happened? 911 00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so that was a little bit of a rapple. 912 00:48:38,719 --> 00:48:40,080 Speaker 1: I didn't really intend to go down to but it 913 00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:42,200 Speaker 1: is super interesting and it's important to understand as we 914 00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:44,399 Speaker 1: go through this transition. But going back to here kind 915 00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:47,120 Speaker 1: of the horse and buggy bank back end and strapping 916 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:50,080 Speaker 1: to a Ferrari front end, we now have the launch 917 00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,680 Speaker 1: of the fed now system that's coming up in about 918 00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:55,080 Speaker 1: forty days, about just a little over a month that's 919 00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:58,200 Speaker 1: supposed to launch. Now I've tried to do my research. 920 00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:00,520 Speaker 1: I don't see a whole lot of information on this. 921 00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:03,480 Speaker 1: You know, it allows the banks to move money back 922 00:49:03,560 --> 00:49:06,200 Speaker 1: and forth faster. It's a new rail, it's not a currency. 923 00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,120 Speaker 1: So if we have like the BI we have the 924 00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:10,000 Speaker 1: bitcoin network, which is the network, and then we have 925 00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:11,880 Speaker 1: Bitcoin is the asset that SIT's honest, this is just 926 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:13,840 Speaker 1: the network, the rail, not the asset. 927 00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:15,399 Speaker 2: But when I look at that, you. 928 00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:17,240 Speaker 1: Know, one of the things that doing is they're allowing okay, 929 00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:20,759 Speaker 1: you know now twenty four to seven settlement. But like, 930 00:49:21,920 --> 00:49:25,040 Speaker 1: if there's no asset moving back and forth, what settlement 931 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,840 Speaker 1: is there? All there is is a ledger that the 932 00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:30,439 Speaker 1: Fed's going, okay from bank number one to bank number two. 933 00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:34,400 Speaker 1: I mean, I would imagine this can happen in a database, 934 00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:39,279 Speaker 1: a blockchain, a database or whatever. Yeah, I mean yeah, 935 00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:40,759 Speaker 1: it's not like you need somebody there with like a 936 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:42,800 Speaker 1: pencil like tracking it. So like he went home or 937 00:49:42,840 --> 00:49:44,440 Speaker 1: took a break to go to lunch or something, and 938 00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:47,239 Speaker 1: so I was like, okay, so like what are they settling? 939 00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:50,080 Speaker 2: I mean yeah, I mean what you. 940 00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:53,000 Speaker 3: What you're underscoring is that all money is really just 941 00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:55,759 Speaker 3: a ledger. System used to be done you know, in 942 00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:59,280 Speaker 3: caweri shells. Then it was done in you know, pencil 943 00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:02,840 Speaker 3: and paper, and now it's done in bits in a 944 00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,799 Speaker 3: computer database. But it's just a ledger, that's all it is. 945 00:50:07,200 --> 00:50:09,759 Speaker 3: And the whole reason why there is such a thing 946 00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,480 Speaker 3: called settlement, is that the adults screwed up with the 947 00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 3: kids understood. The kids used to trade baseball cards with 948 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:19,120 Speaker 3: both kids holding both baseball cards, and on account of 949 00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:21,080 Speaker 3: three you let go of the one you're trading right now, 950 00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:22,440 Speaker 3: that's simultaneous settlement. 951 00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:24,000 Speaker 2: Give me the drugs, No, give me the money. No 952 00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:25,239 Speaker 2: give me the drugs, give me the money. 953 00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:30,080 Speaker 3: But obviously it doesn't work that way because of the 954 00:50:30,160 --> 00:50:33,200 Speaker 3: layers of intermediaries and the way technology has worked and 955 00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:36,799 Speaker 3: still works at most banks, by quantity is that they're 956 00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:41,800 Speaker 3: batch processing their transactions, so they're not real time settling. 957 00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:44,719 Speaker 3: They're delayed settling, and then trying to settle as many 958 00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,720 Speaker 3: of them net, they'll net all the debits and credits together. 959 00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:50,960 Speaker 3: It used to be when processing power is expensive and 960 00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:55,560 Speaker 3: when computer storage was expensive, that it made sense to 961 00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:58,680 Speaker 3: do it that way. Well, now those two things are 962 00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,920 Speaker 3: not expensive anymore. We can move data at the speed 963 00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:03,280 Speaker 3: of light. We can go back to what the kids 964 00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:06,440 Speaker 3: we're so smart about, which is real time grows settlement. 965 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,240 Speaker 3: Both legs of the transaction happen at the same time. 966 00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:13,960 Speaker 3: Nobody therefore carries an unsettled transaction, which is really a 967 00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:17,000 Speaker 3: counterparty credit risk, and we can reduce the risk in 968 00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:20,080 Speaker 3: the system as a whole. So FED now is designed 969 00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:22,920 Speaker 3: to do that. Now here's the problem. Remember when I 970 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:26,480 Speaker 3: said that the bank's balance sheets and liquidity were calibrated 971 00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 3: for an analog world. They were calibrated for the world 972 00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,319 Speaker 3: where you had to go line up and fill out 973 00:51:33,320 --> 00:51:36,600 Speaker 3: a form to get money out of a bank. Now, 974 00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:39,560 Speaker 3: with online banking, we've now learned everything moves a lot 975 00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:43,439 Speaker 3: faster in terms of transaction instructions. The settlement is still 976 00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:45,799 Speaker 3: happening behind the scenes on the back end in the 977 00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:47,920 Speaker 3: horse and buggy. But FED now is going to replace 978 00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,520 Speaker 3: that horse and buggy settlement system. So now we're going 979 00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,520 Speaker 3: to twenty four to seven three sixty five. What do 980 00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:56,200 Speaker 3: you think is going to happen to bank runs if 981 00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,640 Speaker 3: we can start to settle US dollars twenty four seven 982 00:51:58,680 --> 00:51:59,680 Speaker 3: three sixty five. 983 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,719 Speaker 2: Well, certainly speed it up, you bet. 984 00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:06,960 Speaker 3: Big increase in bank runs, big increase in problems in 985 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:10,080 Speaker 3: the banks. Ergo, here's the punchline. They're gonna have to 986 00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:14,600 Speaker 3: gate it. It's not really going to be a widely 987 00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:19,040 Speaker 3: used real time gross settlement payment system because right now 988 00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:21,280 Speaker 3: they're proposing to have a two hundred and fifty thousand 989 00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:25,040 Speaker 3: dollars payment cap. Well, heck, if you've got fifteen employees 990 00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:27,160 Speaker 3: in your business, your payrolls more than two hundred and 991 00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:31,560 Speaker 3: fifty thousand. Okay, how useful is this? Really, it's not 992 00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,600 Speaker 3: going to be that useful. But the alternative is to 993 00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:37,279 Speaker 3: go to one hundred percent reserve banks and then have 994 00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:42,120 Speaker 3: an unlimited cap on the payments because everything has to 995 00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:45,600 Speaker 3: be pre funded and it's real time grows settlement. That 996 00:52:45,600 --> 00:52:46,920 Speaker 3: that would be a real innovation. 997 00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:53,960 Speaker 1: I read this very very interesting article from Deep Throat 998 00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:55,240 Speaker 1: Deep Throat Ipo. 999 00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:56,000 Speaker 2: I think it is. 1000 00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:57,800 Speaker 1: I sent it to a few people. I sent it 1001 00:52:57,920 --> 00:52:59,800 Speaker 1: Joseph Wing, you know the fed guy. I sent to 1002 00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 1: a people get their opinions on it, and he basically 1003 00:53:03,360 --> 00:53:04,320 Speaker 1: highlights how. 1004 00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:05,960 Speaker 2: Well. 1005 00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:07,399 Speaker 1: I won't go into the whole background of the story, 1006 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:11,520 Speaker 1: but basically, how you have these the four largest banks 1007 00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:15,640 Speaker 1: in the world being Chinese banks having having money offshore. 1008 00:53:16,600 --> 00:53:18,880 Speaker 1: Tong Longo says, yeah, but don't forget about the eurobanks, 1009 00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:21,640 Speaker 1: the Euro dollar banks as well. But let's just say in 1010 00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:23,480 Speaker 1: the point we have we have four for of the 1011 00:53:23,560 --> 00:53:26,120 Speaker 1: largest banks in the world are Chinese banks that are 1012 00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:28,399 Speaker 1: in the you know, Cayman Islands or whatever they're in, 1013 00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:34,759 Speaker 1: and they're trillions and trillions of dollars. They He has 1014 00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:37,919 Speaker 1: all the math. It's an amazing article, so so dense. 1015 00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,360 Speaker 1: He had to highlight just the key points. But in 1016 00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:43,480 Speaker 1: the US banking system, we have like eight hundred billion. 1017 00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:46,840 Speaker 1: So he's like, they have trillions. All they have to 1018 00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:48,960 Speaker 1: do is just move from bank A to bank B 1019 00:53:49,080 --> 00:53:50,319 Speaker 1: with a bank with a push of a button and 1020 00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:51,480 Speaker 1: up that bank's done up. 1021 00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:52,320 Speaker 2: Now transfer from this. 1022 00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,520 Speaker 1: And he's like, even JP Morgan is powerless to this, 1023 00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,320 Speaker 1: and and he goes on to say, like, the only 1024 00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:01,239 Speaker 1: way that the US could defend itself from this is 1025 00:54:01,280 --> 00:54:03,799 Speaker 1: by putting in the gates exactly what you just. 1026 00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:05,880 Speaker 3: Said, right, They have to get all this right. But 1027 00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:08,880 Speaker 3: remember also what I just said. As the banks fail, 1028 00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:12,759 Speaker 3: it's a swap from the bank's balance sheets when they 1029 00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:16,399 Speaker 3: fail to the FED through these alphabet soup. 1030 00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:16,920 Speaker 1: Right. 1031 00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:20,400 Speaker 3: So I have always expected the Fed's balance sheet to 1032 00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:23,960 Speaker 3: expand massively. It's not a shock to me that it 1033 00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:26,960 Speaker 3: went from eight hundred billion to almost ten trillion at 1034 00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:30,240 Speaker 3: its peak. It's going to go a lot higher over time, 1035 00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:33,800 Speaker 3: but that's not necessarily inflationary. This is where the Austrian 1036 00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:37,560 Speaker 3: school folks got it wrong, because all they're doing is 1037 00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:42,960 Speaker 3: filling up the whole from the defunct balance sheet whose 1038 00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:46,040 Speaker 3: credit creation went away when the bank failed. 1039 00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:51,160 Speaker 1: But that's where I have a little bit of a 1040 00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:53,800 Speaker 1: disagreement with the likes of the Jeff Schneiders of the 1041 00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:57,919 Speaker 1: world that maybe take that viewpoint, because to your point 1042 00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:00,400 Speaker 1: from an Austrian lens, you're not increasing the money supply, 1043 00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:05,879 Speaker 1: you're just moving it. But by making that, by making 1044 00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 1: that policy decision, by putting that fed put into play, 1045 00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,839 Speaker 1: it puts people into this easy mindset that makes them, yes, 1046 00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:13,480 Speaker 1: spend more. 1047 00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:18,439 Speaker 3: Money, privatized profits, socialized losses. Again, this should make every 1048 00:55:18,719 --> 00:55:20,560 Speaker 3: fair minded human angry. 1049 00:55:20,880 --> 00:55:24,759 Speaker 1: Right, So, even though that's factually correct, it's not. It 1050 00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:27,680 Speaker 1: didn't increase the money supply, it's not inflationary. It's actually 1051 00:55:27,719 --> 00:55:30,280 Speaker 1: not correct because by seeing that, it makes me feel 1052 00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:32,319 Speaker 1: better about going to getting a loan, which then did 1053 00:55:32,360 --> 00:55:33,400 Speaker 1: increase the money supply. 1054 00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:38,080 Speaker 3: Absolutely, the money'pply already increased. That's the point. It's already there. Right. 1055 00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:41,200 Speaker 3: There's ninety five trillion of non financial sector debt outstanding 1056 00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:45,640 Speaker 3: that all got intermediated through the financial system and it's 1057 00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:48,480 Speaker 3: been growing two and after three trillion a year, and 1058 00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:50,200 Speaker 3: as long as the FED can keep it growing too 1059 00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:52,720 Speaker 3: and after three trillion a year, through turning the dials 1060 00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:56,240 Speaker 3: behind the curtain, they keep the economy inflated. The moment 1061 00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:59,920 Speaker 3: they can't keep that number continuing to go up to 1062 00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:03,160 Speaker 3: and after three trillion a year, that's when things start 1063 00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:06,759 Speaker 3: to become really dicey. But your point is that that 1064 00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:12,359 Speaker 3: caused distortions. I agree, absolutely it did. So I don't 1065 00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:16,560 Speaker 3: think we're disagreeing. I just think we're talking past each 1066 00:56:16,600 --> 00:56:18,520 Speaker 3: other a little bit on the semantics. 1067 00:56:18,600 --> 00:56:22,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, so back to the FED now then, very interesting. 1068 00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:24,480 Speaker 2: I hadn't really thought about that part specifically. 1069 00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:27,160 Speaker 1: So it's not really real time settlement because they have 1070 00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:29,080 Speaker 1: to put these gates in play. To your point, it's 1071 00:56:29,080 --> 00:56:31,719 Speaker 1: actually a pretty low number. So yeah, I mean, is 1072 00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:33,719 Speaker 1: this then just kind of like the first step that 1073 00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,759 Speaker 1: you think this kind of is this gateway drug, kind 1074 00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:38,799 Speaker 1: of like Jackson Jackson Hill. 1075 00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:40,440 Speaker 2: It's like this gateway drug where it. 1076 00:56:40,480 --> 00:56:42,960 Speaker 1: Kind of opens up to the FED in the banking system, 1077 00:56:43,000 --> 00:56:45,640 Speaker 1: to these new rails, and over time they'll probably grow 1078 00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:47,440 Speaker 1: it and maybe it moves towards sort of like a 1079 00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:50,279 Speaker 1: CBDC Or is it just like, hey, they updated their 1080 00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:52,080 Speaker 1: software on the back end, We don't care what software 1081 00:56:52,080 --> 00:56:52,560 Speaker 1: they used today. 1082 00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:54,200 Speaker 2: Why do I care what software they used tomorrow? Kind 1083 00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:54,480 Speaker 2: of thing. 1084 00:56:54,920 --> 00:56:57,200 Speaker 3: Well, no, we really do care what software they use. 1085 00:56:57,400 --> 00:57:01,800 Speaker 3: But there's not a limit on fedwire. Fed Now is 1086 00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,920 Speaker 3: supposed to replace fedwire, but until the banking system's liquidity 1087 00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:11,799 Speaker 3: gets massively increased, then it's not really a replacement. They're 1088 00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:14,400 Speaker 3: going to keep both systems going for a long time anyway, 1089 00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:17,000 Speaker 3: but they're never really going to be able to take 1090 00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:20,480 Speaker 3: the gate off fed now until you get to essentially 1091 00:57:20,480 --> 00:57:22,800 Speaker 3: one hundred percent reserve system. Why, because the money is 1092 00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:25,520 Speaker 3: going to be slashing around like that old Hoover quote. 1093 00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:28,960 Speaker 3: You know, it's like a cannon ball loose on a 1094 00:57:29,720 --> 00:57:33,320 Speaker 3: on a ship during a tempest tossed era, right, the money. 1095 00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:36,320 Speaker 3: Can you imagine if Silicon Valley Bank weekend, if we'd 1096 00:57:36,320 --> 00:57:40,720 Speaker 3: had twenty four seven three sixty five withdrawls, the amount 1097 00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,360 Speaker 3: of money slashing around the banking system from bank to 1098 00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:46,720 Speaker 3: bank that weekend would have been staggering. Right, But this 1099 00:57:46,840 --> 00:57:49,520 Speaker 3: is exactly why they have to gate it, and so 1100 00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:52,840 Speaker 3: it really isn't going to replace fedwire fedwire is the 1101 00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:58,360 Speaker 3: slow analog system that's basically digitizing analog data. It's not 1102 00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:01,600 Speaker 3: literally paper, so there is a digitization, but it's not 1103 00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:05,720 Speaker 3: natively digital data. And so but it's a slow system. 1104 00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:08,600 Speaker 3: You're still filling out the form in an analog way. 1105 00:58:08,720 --> 00:58:11,440 Speaker 3: Even if it's a form fill on your bank's online 1106 00:58:11,440 --> 00:58:16,000 Speaker 3: banking website, it's still analog. And as a result, you 1107 00:58:16,040 --> 00:58:19,760 Speaker 3: can't program it to have a wire go through at 1108 00:58:19,760 --> 00:58:22,880 Speaker 3: eleven fifty nine pm on a Saturday night. You can't 1109 00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:27,720 Speaker 3: do that. It settles only during business hours and only 1110 00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:31,240 Speaker 3: when the FED gets around to settling it. So you 1111 00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:33,880 Speaker 3: know it's that's the only scenario in which the FED 1112 00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:38,439 Speaker 3: is willing to have an unlimited transfer value. But not 1113 00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,120 Speaker 3: with not with FED. Now where I thought you were 1114 00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:44,080 Speaker 3: going as the CBDC debate, which is is this a 1115 00:58:44,080 --> 00:58:47,560 Speaker 3: gateway drug to CBDCs? And you know this is a 1116 00:58:47,800 --> 00:58:53,640 Speaker 3: this is an interesting question because the states, the Red states, 1117 00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:56,760 Speaker 3: it started with South Dakota and Florida got involved in 1118 00:58:56,800 --> 00:59:00,680 Speaker 3: now Texas and Alabama. I mean, a number of are 1119 00:59:00,800 --> 00:59:04,200 Speaker 3: saying they're not going to adopt the proposed UCC Article twelve, 1120 00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:09,240 Speaker 3: which is the update to allow electronic controllable records electronic 1121 00:59:09,280 --> 00:59:13,640 Speaker 3: financial instruments right, including crypto of all forms. It's an 1122 00:59:13,640 --> 00:59:17,680 Speaker 3: important update and it got politicized unfortunately because of the 1123 00:59:17,720 --> 00:59:22,440 Speaker 3: way they handled the concept of a prospective center by 1124 00:59:22,480 --> 00:59:26,520 Speaker 3: digital currency. And so now there is zero possibility of 1125 00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:31,240 Speaker 3: all fifty states having a uniform commercial code on controllable 1126 00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:34,920 Speaker 3: electronic records. But that said, I have said that a 1127 00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:38,120 Speaker 3: CBDC is a hill I'm willing to die on, because 1128 00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:42,880 Speaker 3: it is true that once you get to a digitized 1129 00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:47,240 Speaker 3: government money, you get to government control. One thing most 1130 00:59:47,280 --> 00:59:51,360 Speaker 3: folks don't realize now is how surveiled all financial transactions are. 1131 00:59:51,640 --> 00:59:55,080 Speaker 3: The government can and will get every financial transaction on 1132 00:59:55,160 --> 00:59:58,920 Speaker 3: you if it wants to without even without having to 1133 00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:01,440 Speaker 3: show probable cost. Doesn't get a warrant. There is no 1134 01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:06,160 Speaker 3: Fourth Amendment anymore on data that you provide to a 1135 01:00:06,200 --> 01:00:09,400 Speaker 3: third party. It's called the third party doctrine. It's been 1136 01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:12,240 Speaker 3: upheld at the Supreme Court as valid. You have no 1137 01:00:12,280 --> 01:00:15,320 Speaker 3: privacy interests in data that you give up to a 1138 01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:18,760 Speaker 3: third party. And this was a Supreme Court case, the 1139 01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:21,720 Speaker 3: Miller case in nineteen seventy seven that upheld the Bank 1140 01:00:21,800 --> 01:00:25,400 Speaker 3: Secrecy Act, and then it was started to it's been 1141 01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:29,600 Speaker 3: starting to chip away because cell phone location data is 1142 01:00:29,640 --> 01:00:32,840 Speaker 3: something anyone, not just the government, but anyone can buy 1143 01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:37,080 Speaker 3: so they can track you using your cell phone pings 1144 01:00:37,200 --> 01:00:43,680 Speaker 3: on cell phone towers, and a lot of Fourth Amendment violations, 1145 01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:46,840 Speaker 3: in my mind, have taken place by the government just 1146 01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:49,040 Speaker 3: going out and buying that data from a third party 1147 01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:52,920 Speaker 3: under the guise that you have no privacy interest anymore 1148 01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:56,800 Speaker 3: because you gave up your data to a third party. Well, 1149 01:00:57,040 --> 01:01:00,000 Speaker 3: luckily in the Carpenter case two years ago, three years ago, 1150 01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:02,680 Speaker 3: now the Supreme Court has started to walk that back 1151 01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:05,760 Speaker 3: and say, you can't live in the modern world without 1152 01:01:05,800 --> 01:01:08,960 Speaker 3: giving up your you know, some data to a third party, 1153 01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:11,040 Speaker 3: and you might not have even realized you did it. 1154 01:01:11,520 --> 01:01:14,840 Speaker 3: And so they started to carve back a third party doctrine. 1155 01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:18,000 Speaker 3: But what I want to the listeners to realize is 1156 01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:20,880 Speaker 3: there is no financial privacy. You should assume there already 1157 01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:24,800 Speaker 3: is none. And so the CBDC proponents look at that 1158 01:01:24,960 --> 01:01:27,400 Speaker 3: and say it's no different than where it is now. 1159 01:01:27,720 --> 01:01:31,479 Speaker 3: Most people they'll perceive that their bank is only going 1160 01:01:31,520 --> 01:01:34,520 Speaker 3: to give up their give up data to the government 1161 01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:38,920 Speaker 3: if there's a valid search warrant or a subpoena. 1162 01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:41,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, and to your point, I mean they already 1163 01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:43,360 Speaker 1: have all that data, even with the whole to your point, 1164 01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:45,840 Speaker 1: your cell phones tracking you and this whole uh, you know, 1165 01:01:45,880 --> 01:01:48,240 Speaker 1: this whole noise being made about the whole TikTok situation, 1166 01:01:48,280 --> 01:01:49,880 Speaker 1: and the Chinese are still in your data. It's like 1167 01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:52,640 Speaker 1: that they're they already sell all that data, like they're 1168 01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:53,959 Speaker 1: probably already buying that data. 1169 01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:56,000 Speaker 2: It's all out there. 1170 01:01:56,440 --> 01:01:58,560 Speaker 1: But in regards to this back to yes, I did 1171 01:01:58,560 --> 01:02:01,600 Speaker 1: want to take from the FED noalysid into this UCC filing. 1172 01:02:02,040 --> 01:02:03,920 Speaker 1: And part of what I was thinking I wanted to 1173 01:02:03,920 --> 01:02:06,040 Speaker 1: ask you about on the UCC filing is that it's 1174 01:02:06,080 --> 01:02:09,200 Speaker 1: about who owns the property, right, That's what the UCC 1175 01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:11,560 Speaker 1: filings about, right, who owns the property. And so we 1176 01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:14,240 Speaker 1: kind of already understand that, like okay, well, you know, 1177 01:02:14,360 --> 01:02:15,920 Speaker 1: most people don't put they're waking up to the fact 1178 01:02:15,920 --> 01:02:18,560 Speaker 1: that the money in my bank is isn't my money anymore, 1179 01:02:18,560 --> 01:02:20,200 Speaker 1: it's the bank's money. And I have a claim and 1180 01:02:20,200 --> 01:02:22,760 Speaker 1: I owe you to that. And in regards to the 1181 01:02:22,760 --> 01:02:27,000 Speaker 1: CBDC versus a bitcoin or another crypto asset, if I 1182 01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:29,640 Speaker 1: have that bitcoin or a crypto asset, then that's my property. 1183 01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:32,160 Speaker 1: But if I have a CBDC, I think per the 1184 01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:35,760 Speaker 1: UCC filing, it's not my CBDC, it's not my money. 1185 01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:38,600 Speaker 1: Is that part of what that UCC was about to 1186 01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:41,800 Speaker 1: basically say that all of the CBDC money that exists 1187 01:02:41,800 --> 01:02:46,200 Speaker 1: in society will actually be owned by the banks, not 1188 01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:47,400 Speaker 1: by us the people. 1189 01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:51,120 Speaker 3: Well, again, it was set up to recognize that that 1190 01:02:51,840 --> 01:02:55,360 Speaker 3: government issued money isnt io you. So really is it 1191 01:02:55,440 --> 01:02:58,160 Speaker 3: that different than the dollar bill in your wallet if 1192 01:02:58,160 --> 01:03:01,480 Speaker 3: you still carry one, Because if you pull out that 1193 01:03:01,520 --> 01:03:04,120 Speaker 3: dollar bill, it says pay to the order of that 1194 01:03:04,280 --> 01:03:05,320 Speaker 3: dollar bill is in iou. 1195 01:03:05,840 --> 01:03:08,720 Speaker 1: So it used to be an iou for gold, right, 1196 01:03:08,720 --> 01:03:10,800 Speaker 1: But when they severed the gold standard to iow you 1197 01:03:10,800 --> 01:03:12,040 Speaker 1: for it's not io you anymore. 1198 01:03:12,080 --> 01:03:13,880 Speaker 3: Turtles all the way down. It's an io you to 1199 01:03:13,920 --> 01:03:15,720 Speaker 3: an io you to an i owe you to to 1200 01:03:15,720 --> 01:03:18,920 Speaker 3: an io Right. What is the full faith and credit 1201 01:03:18,920 --> 01:03:21,040 Speaker 3: of the US government? People would say, well, it's the 1202 01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:25,320 Speaker 3: taxing authority, or it's the you know, warships or you 1203 01:03:25,360 --> 01:03:28,560 Speaker 3: know national parks. Right, there are there are some massets there, 1204 01:03:28,560 --> 01:03:30,240 Speaker 3: but the government itself is insolved. 1205 01:03:30,400 --> 01:03:32,640 Speaker 1: It's it's only as good, it's only as good as 1206 01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:33,880 Speaker 1: the next person will take it from me. 1207 01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:36,880 Speaker 3: Well, but that's the point where this gets to. Once 1208 01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:39,360 Speaker 3: you make that leap, you just made the most important 1209 01:03:39,760 --> 01:03:43,919 Speaker 3: leap to understanding why bitcoin has value. And a lot 1210 01:03:43,960 --> 01:03:47,000 Speaker 3: of folks who were trained in a traditional world think 1211 01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:49,840 Speaker 3: that money has to be backed by something. No, what 1212 01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:54,080 Speaker 3: you just said is brilliant. Everything is subjective everything. Okay, 1213 01:03:55,080 --> 01:03:57,960 Speaker 3: once you realize that that piece of paper in your 1214 01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:01,439 Speaker 3: wallet with a picture of a dead president in green ink, 1215 01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:05,200 Speaker 3: the intrinsic value of that is a fraction of a penny. 1216 01:04:05,240 --> 01:04:07,080 Speaker 3: It's just a piece of linen with some green ink 1217 01:04:07,160 --> 01:04:10,560 Speaker 3: on it. But yet, why is it that I can 1218 01:04:10,600 --> 01:04:13,200 Speaker 3: trade one of those pieces of paper that says a 1219 01:04:13,240 --> 01:04:17,240 Speaker 3: dollar one dollar on it for a can of Coca 1220 01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:21,880 Speaker 3: cola because it's a recognized medium of exchange. What makes 1221 01:04:21,880 --> 01:04:25,000 Speaker 3: it recognized even though it's intrinsic value as virtually zero, 1222 01:04:25,560 --> 01:04:29,960 Speaker 3: It's because somebody else accepts it as that. It's all subjective. 1223 01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:34,400 Speaker 3: It is always all subjective, And once you realize that 1224 01:04:34,400 --> 01:04:38,080 Speaker 3: it's always all subjective, that's why bitcoin has value. So 1225 01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:42,320 Speaker 3: many people say, so many smart people, so many well trained, 1226 01:04:42,520 --> 01:04:46,040 Speaker 3: including economics PhDs, we'll say bitcoin has no value because 1227 01:04:46,080 --> 01:04:48,520 Speaker 3: they're not backed by anything. What you've got to realize 1228 01:04:48,600 --> 01:04:51,360 Speaker 3: is neither is the US dollar. It's not backed by anything. 1229 01:04:51,400 --> 01:04:53,400 Speaker 3: The full faith and credit of the US government is 1230 01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:57,000 Speaker 3: as ephemeral as anything. In fact, I would much rather 1231 01:04:57,080 --> 01:05:00,880 Speaker 3: trust math than trust the wa of math and trust 1232 01:05:00,920 --> 01:05:01,640 Speaker 3: the laws of man. 1233 01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:06,320 Speaker 1: The backed by something is when gold was money and 1234 01:05:06,360 --> 01:05:08,800 Speaker 1: the paper was the iou for that. 1235 01:05:09,040 --> 01:05:10,200 Speaker 2: So the dollar that I. 1236 01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:13,240 Speaker 1: Had was backed by the gold that was in the bank, 1237 01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:15,120 Speaker 1: and so if I gave it to you, you can go 1238 01:05:15,200 --> 01:05:17,080 Speaker 1: redeem it. So it was backed by that. 1239 01:05:17,160 --> 01:05:18,960 Speaker 3: But what gave the gold value? 1240 01:05:19,160 --> 01:05:21,720 Speaker 2: Nothing? It was suggested. Yeah, no, I know. 1241 01:05:22,240 --> 01:05:24,160 Speaker 1: The point I was trying to make is only debt 1242 01:05:24,320 --> 01:05:27,360 Speaker 1: needs to be backed by something. Oil is not backed 1243 01:05:27,360 --> 01:05:30,240 Speaker 1: by anything. Gold's not backed by anythink Bitcoin's not backed 1244 01:05:30,280 --> 01:05:33,560 Speaker 1: by anything. Only debt is backed and so anyone that says, 1245 01:05:33,680 --> 01:05:36,520 Speaker 1: but what is it backed by? In my opinion, shows 1246 01:05:36,560 --> 01:05:39,120 Speaker 1: that they don't really understand how this system works. They're 1247 01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:42,320 Speaker 1: referring to a debt based system when dollars actually used 1248 01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:44,120 Speaker 1: to be backed by something they're not anymore either. 1249 01:05:45,080 --> 01:05:47,760 Speaker 3: So well, that's a great point because the way I 1250 01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:50,520 Speaker 3: like to phrase it is slightly different than but it's 1251 01:05:50,560 --> 01:05:52,920 Speaker 3: exactly the same point you just made, which is that 1252 01:05:54,240 --> 01:05:57,360 Speaker 3: you don't want money to be issued by anyone. So 1253 01:05:57,480 --> 01:06:02,520 Speaker 3: Toshi gifted society, gifted humanity with money that is not 1254 01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:06,120 Speaker 3: issued by anyone. And gold was not issued by anyone. 1255 01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:12,000 Speaker 3: Silver was not issued by anyone. Calalie shells, wamp them, 1256 01:06:12,000 --> 01:06:16,440 Speaker 3: beads were not issued by anyone. They were things that 1257 01:06:16,480 --> 01:06:22,480 Speaker 3: occurred in nature and Satoshi's invention their commodities exactly, and 1258 01:06:22,520 --> 01:06:27,240 Speaker 3: they were goods that exchange, were commonly accepted in exchange, 1259 01:06:27,640 --> 01:06:30,960 Speaker 3: and then evolved because they were so commonly accepted in 1260 01:06:31,000 --> 01:06:33,920 Speaker 3: exchange to be what we know as money. Here's the 1261 01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:36,280 Speaker 3: crazy thing. The vast majority of people working in the 1262 01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:39,680 Speaker 3: financial services industry don't understand money. It took me a 1263 01:06:39,720 --> 01:06:41,520 Speaker 3: long time to figure that out. Took me a long 1264 01:06:41,560 --> 01:06:44,760 Speaker 3: time to understand money. Most people don't realize what money is. 1265 01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:49,200 Speaker 3: It's the most confusing concept in society, and yet every 1266 01:06:49,280 --> 01:06:53,520 Speaker 3: day we all interact with it. But you know, to 1267 01:06:53,600 --> 01:06:56,920 Speaker 3: your point about social media and the bank runs, More 1268 01:06:56,960 --> 01:06:59,040 Speaker 3: and more people are waking up to realize that the 1269 01:06:59,120 --> 01:07:02,160 Speaker 3: money in their bank is not theirs legally, it's alone. 1270 01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:05,720 Speaker 3: You've lent your money to the bank and the bank 1271 01:07:05,760 --> 01:07:08,840 Speaker 3: goes it back to you. Even fewer people realized the 1272 01:07:08,840 --> 01:07:11,440 Speaker 3: same is true of securities. You've lent your securities to 1273 01:07:11,440 --> 01:07:13,680 Speaker 3: your broker dealer, and they owe it back to you. 1274 01:07:14,240 --> 01:07:17,760 Speaker 3: And what we realize is that when companies like FTX 1275 01:07:17,840 --> 01:07:21,880 Speaker 3: took money in exchange for bitcoin, they sold bitcoin to 1276 01:07:21,920 --> 01:07:24,440 Speaker 3: their customers, they didn't go out and actually buy the bitcoin. 1277 01:07:24,440 --> 01:07:27,040 Speaker 3: They just pocketed the money. But that bitcoin I owe 1278 01:07:27,080 --> 01:07:29,560 Speaker 3: you was always there. Now that ended up with a 1279 01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:32,640 Speaker 3: lot more people thinking they owned bitcoin than really did. 1280 01:07:33,520 --> 01:07:38,120 Speaker 3: And anytime an institution goes naked short, that's called naked short. 1281 01:07:38,160 --> 01:07:41,600 Speaker 3: They sold more bitcoin than they actually had. Anytime they 1282 01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,040 Speaker 3: do that, it's just a matter of time before that 1283 01:07:44,160 --> 01:07:47,720 Speaker 3: institution blows up. And this is one of the reasons 1284 01:07:47,760 --> 01:07:49,840 Speaker 3: why I'm a big proponent of not your keys, not 1285 01:07:49,920 --> 01:07:54,040 Speaker 3: your coins. You only own the assets that you directly control. 1286 01:07:54,080 --> 01:07:57,960 Speaker 3: And back to the UCC point, that's what's sad about 1287 01:07:58,040 --> 01:08:01,040 Speaker 3: the way this whole thing evolved. The Wyoming original version. 1288 01:08:01,040 --> 01:08:04,520 Speaker 3: Wyoming was the first state to create an appendix for 1289 01:08:04,560 --> 01:08:08,880 Speaker 3: digital assets, an interpretive appendix to the UCC Uniform Commercial Code. 1290 01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:12,320 Speaker 3: Why did Wyoming do that? Wanted to make a roadmap 1291 01:08:12,360 --> 01:08:15,720 Speaker 3: for judges so that judges had a means by which 1292 01:08:15,760 --> 01:08:20,040 Speaker 3: to adjudicate disputes and not clog up the court system. 1293 01:08:20,479 --> 01:08:24,120 Speaker 3: We want clear obligations, rights and obligations of parties to 1294 01:08:24,240 --> 01:08:27,120 Speaker 3: a transaction involving digital assets, so that the legal system 1295 01:08:27,160 --> 01:08:29,920 Speaker 3: couldn't be used as an attack vector on bitcoin. That 1296 01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:34,040 Speaker 3: was the concept. So Wyoming started this whole thing, and 1297 01:08:34,080 --> 01:08:38,519 Speaker 3: guess what Wyoming did. Wyoming created an appendix that defines 1298 01:08:38,600 --> 01:08:42,920 Speaker 3: bitcoin in the category of money, So digital assets with 1299 01:08:42,960 --> 01:08:45,400 Speaker 3: no issuer are in the category of money for commercial 1300 01:08:45,439 --> 01:08:48,559 Speaker 3: law purposes in Wyoming. And I think ultimately many of 1301 01:08:48,560 --> 01:08:50,200 Speaker 3: the Red States are going to end up going in 1302 01:08:50,240 --> 01:08:53,360 Speaker 3: that same direction. But it's sad because it kind of 1303 01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:56,720 Speaker 3: got co opted. This whole multi state effort for the 1304 01:08:56,840 --> 01:08:59,880 Speaker 3: Uniform Law Commission, of which I supported and was in 1305 01:09:00,760 --> 01:09:04,040 Speaker 3: to be an observer. The whole thing got co opted 1306 01:09:04,200 --> 01:09:07,960 Speaker 3: by this central bank digital currency issue. And it's sad 1307 01:09:08,040 --> 01:09:10,920 Speaker 3: because the Uniform Law Commission did a lot of good 1308 01:09:10,920 --> 01:09:14,560 Speaker 3: work there, but because of that one sentence in the 1309 01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:21,559 Speaker 3: draft Uniform Law, it got vetoed. And it's the governors 1310 01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:24,200 Speaker 3: who are vetoing it are not wrong in their sentiment, 1311 01:09:24,320 --> 01:09:26,920 Speaker 3: they were looking in the wrong place. But they were 1312 01:09:26,920 --> 01:09:29,560 Speaker 3: not wrong in their sentiment that they want to avoid 1313 01:09:29,720 --> 01:09:34,280 Speaker 3: having a central bank digital currency recognized in their states 1314 01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:37,080 Speaker 3: as a means by which to protect their citizens. They 1315 01:09:37,120 --> 01:09:40,040 Speaker 3: are absolutely right in that philosophy. 1316 01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:45,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, that's a lot. We've covered a lot, and 1317 01:09:45,880 --> 01:09:47,880 Speaker 1: I kind of got involved in that UCC and a 1318 01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:50,519 Speaker 1: couple conversations around that, and it was a little bit confusing. 1319 01:09:51,680 --> 01:09:53,840 Speaker 1: But to your point, that's the helial dion, so we 1320 01:09:53,880 --> 01:09:56,960 Speaker 1: have to stay vigilant on that. And so you know, 1321 01:09:57,080 --> 01:09:59,840 Speaker 1: sometimes these laws seem a little bit vague, and maybe 1322 01:09:59,880 --> 01:10:01,559 Speaker 1: the should clean that up and try it again. But 1323 01:10:02,120 --> 01:10:04,519 Speaker 1: I think we'll stop with that. We've gone super long. 1324 01:10:04,720 --> 01:10:07,759 Speaker 1: I really appreciate how your time. You've been more than generous. 1325 01:10:08,160 --> 01:10:12,639 Speaker 1: Custodiabank dot com. Follow that what's going on Caitlin long 1326 01:10:12,760 --> 01:10:15,080 Speaker 1: underscore on Twitter, will link to all that down below. 1327 01:10:15,120 --> 01:10:17,439 Speaker 1: Anything else you want to call attention to or close 1328 01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:17,840 Speaker 1: it out with. 1329 01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:22,040 Speaker 3: No, thank you, it's just fun. We missed each other 1330 01:10:22,280 --> 01:10:24,519 Speaker 3: in Miami and we got to actually go a little 1331 01:10:24,520 --> 01:10:26,600 Speaker 3: bit deeper as a result, So thanks for making the 1332 01:10:26,640 --> 01:10:28,280 Speaker 3: time to reschedule. Really appreciate it. 1333 01:10:28,560 --> 01:10:30,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, it works out all right, Caitlyn, Thank you so much. 1334 01:10:31,120 --> 01:10:32,799 Speaker 2: Thank you all right. That's a wrap. 1335 01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:35,400 Speaker 1: Hopefully you enjoy this conversation with Caitlin as much as 1336 01:10:35,520 --> 01:10:38,720 Speaker 1: I did. Now, I've done another conversation with Caitlin, just 1337 01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:41,000 Speaker 1: in the past, not too far ago. We'll link to 1338 01:10:41,000 --> 01:10:42,599 Speaker 1: that down below if you want to get caught up 1339 01:10:42,800 --> 01:10:45,240 Speaker 1: so you can stay at the same pace with us. Otherwise, 1340 01:10:45,320 --> 01:10:46,800 Speaker 1: let me know what you think. Leave me a comment, 1341 01:10:46,840 --> 01:10:48,000 Speaker 1: give me thumbs up if you like it. If you 1342 01:10:48,040 --> 01:10:50,160 Speaker 1: don't give me thumbs down, that's okay, but at least 1343 01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:52,240 Speaker 1: tell me why I hit that subscribe button so you 1344 01:10:52,280 --> 01:10:54,360 Speaker 1: don't when I put new videos out, and that's what I. 1345 01:10:54,280 --> 01:10:55,520 Speaker 2: Got to your success. 1346 01:10:55,920 --> 01:11:04,160 Speaker 1: I'm out.