WEBVTT - FINAL NFL Week 10 Bets: Eagles-Packers, Giants-Bears, Patriots-Bucs, Bills-Dolphins, Rams-49ers and more 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:04.960 Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bet. We 0:00:05.000 --> 0:00:07.440 are part of the Volume podcast Network. This is the 0:00:07.480 --> 0:00:09.880 show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise 0:00:09.920 --> 0:00:10.760 guys pay attention. 0:00:11.480 --> 0:00:12.360 I am Chadmlman. 0:00:12.400 --> 0:00:15.240 I am joined as always by my bff, my companion, 0:00:15.320 --> 0:00:18.319 Mike ca Padre, my co host professional better sign Man Hunter. 0:00:19.079 --> 0:00:21.400 Hello, So I am in Chad. How are we doing? 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:22.320 My brother? 0:00:22.400 --> 0:00:29.120 I am rocking the Indiana University hoodie today because man, 0:00:29.960 --> 0:00:31.520 my alma mater did all. 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:32.000 Of us proud. 0:00:32.040 --> 0:00:35.960 We had our first ever Indiana football Gus Johnson moment. 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.720 It was brilliant, it was ecstatic, it was glorious. I 0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:45.240 cannot believe it actually happened. Heisman Doza menia is real. 0:00:45.840 --> 0:00:47.599 This is what it's like to be a college football fan, 0:00:47.680 --> 0:00:54.120 my friend to have graduated from a college football school. 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:07.640 It was a credible game. I had Penn State. 0:01:07.680 --> 0:01:10.399 Didn't want to text you beforehand and letting you know, hey, 0:01:10.840 --> 0:01:14.280 this might be a trap spot for your team. I 0:01:14.360 --> 0:01:16.399 was glad I didn't because I had halftime. You guys 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:18.399 were up ten and lamentum felt like it was going 0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:22.280 your way. But it's it's always funny. Watching these games 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:23.919 is it Gus Johnson, the guy's name. 0:01:23.800 --> 0:01:24.480 That calls the games. 0:01:24.560 --> 0:01:25.320 Yeah, that's yeah. 0:01:25.360 --> 0:01:26.840 He cracks me up because he is this. 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:29.400 I mean, everyone knows he's the He goes insane and 0:01:29.440 --> 0:01:32.160 goes crazy. He also does these like non sequitors that 0:01:32.200 --> 0:01:34.240 are just hilarious to me. He'd be like, this guy 0:01:34.360 --> 0:01:37.720 was homeless eating trash just nine months ago. He is 0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:40.959 now has an interception in this game. What an amazing story. 0:01:41.240 --> 0:01:43.520 What a brow parent his parents must be. 0:01:43.680 --> 0:01:46.760 And it's like huge, and then it's third and two. 0:01:47.040 --> 0:01:49.000 And it's like the most insane thing. 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:52.320 I watched the clips of Gus Johnson again and again 0:01:52.360 --> 0:01:55.040 and again and again because he literally lost his breath. 0:01:55.520 --> 0:01:59.840 It was it was so wonderful as an Indiana football 0:02:00.000 --> 0:02:01.560 and you didn't need to tell me it was a 0:02:01.560 --> 0:02:06.560 trap game. My Indiana text chain. The last comment from 0:02:06.600 --> 0:02:10.000 like a group of thirteen people from one of my 0:02:10.040 --> 0:02:11.840 buddies who went to IU with me, it was like, 0:02:12.160 --> 0:02:14.240 I'm not liking the metrics here. I don't like the 0:02:14.240 --> 0:02:17.240 way this looks. And I didn't want to say to 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:20.800 him it's gonna be okay, And then I'm glad I 0:02:20.840 --> 0:02:22.840 didn't because it got ugly there for a second. 0:02:22.880 --> 0:02:25.359 But then you know, we hoosiered. That's what we do. 0:02:25.680 --> 0:02:27.200 Who's the great game? Are you? 0:02:27.760 --> 0:02:29.000 This is the strip down in the room. 0:02:29.040 --> 0:02:31.200 He's dropping version of Sharper Square. We're going to make 0:02:31.240 --> 0:02:33.960 some final picks. We're gonna make our final five. Now 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:39.120 that some injuries have been reported, lines have moved, you know, quickly. 0:02:39.160 --> 0:02:42.679 We debated the Broncos heavily. Fortunately we did not put 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:44.240 them in. I thought we were going to go there. 0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:46.280 You thought we were going to go there. We had 0:02:46.280 --> 0:02:48.320 a quick conversation. We decided it was not the way 0:02:48.360 --> 0:02:50.680 to go. So we got a full slate of five. 0:02:50.760 --> 0:02:52.880 We got to pick. Are you ready, my brother? 0:02:53.280 --> 0:02:53.800 Yes, sir? 0:02:54.120 --> 0:02:57.519 All right? So Minnesota Baltimore. 0:02:57.560 --> 0:02:59.520 We've been talking about this one back and forth, back 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:03.040 and forth on the show, and felt like the number 0:03:03.120 --> 0:03:05.760 was getting too high. And now it's come back down 0:03:05.800 --> 0:03:08.679 to three and a half, and it's three and a 0:03:08.720 --> 0:03:12.360 half everywhere we'd want to play it. That's super hard 0:03:12.440 --> 0:03:15.720 not to be tempted by Baltimore up minus three and 0:03:15.760 --> 0:03:17.640 a half. And even though I know the wise guys 0:03:17.639 --> 0:03:21.520 are chirping about Minnesota and it's kind of moved in 0:03:21.560 --> 0:03:22.440 Minnesota's way. 0:03:22.480 --> 0:03:24.080 The last twenty four hours. 0:03:24.760 --> 0:03:27.600 Yeah, this will be our biggest public bet of the week, 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:30.880 no doubt. Both love the Ravens. Can't believe it's come 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.000 back down to or it is. Maybe we're missing something 0:03:34.040 --> 0:03:36.560 here right with this Ravens defense and their problems aren't 0:03:36.600 --> 0:03:38.760 fixed and this is gonna be a good match for KOC. 0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:41.920 But I just you're betting on it feels like you're 0:03:41.920 --> 0:03:44.000 betting on lightning to strike twice if you're back in 0:03:44.080 --> 0:03:46.320 JJ mccarth and this Vikings team after last week in 0:03:46.400 --> 0:03:48.320 lines and we see. 0:03:48.160 --> 0:03:49.640 These things happen in football a time, right. 0:03:49.960 --> 0:03:52.680 These professionals lock on the teams that go on these 0:03:52.680 --> 0:03:54.560 little runs and they get in these little streaks, and 0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:57.280 I think that's what they're looking for here. With JJ 0:03:57.520 --> 0:03:59.680 joining back this Vikings team and maybe getting a little 0:03:59.720 --> 0:04:01.680 role here, we're I think we're in sick. On the 0:04:01.680 --> 0:04:03.920 flip side, it just feels like this is a great 0:04:03.920 --> 0:04:07.520 spot for this Ravens team. The line doesn't make sense. 0:04:07.560 --> 0:04:09.360 We're getting great value on it at four and a half. 0:04:09.400 --> 0:04:11.640 I think we both were avoiding this one, but not 0:04:11.960 --> 0:04:13.920 minus three and a half. It's just too good to 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:14.920 pass on that opportunity. 0:04:15.440 --> 0:04:20.159 Lamar against the Blints against the Blint against the Blints, 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:24.560 it's not Sunday morning at the Delhi. Lamar against the 0:04:24.600 --> 0:04:28.520 Blitz has been brilliant the past couple of years, best 0:04:28.520 --> 0:04:32.360 than football, and in his limited time this year, absolutely 0:04:32.400 --> 0:04:36.000 beyond brilliant. So I like the matchup, all. 0:04:35.880 --> 0:04:38.520 The matchups, like even diving into it, like all the numbers. 0:04:38.560 --> 0:04:42.120 It's great run. I just like the floor is the 0:04:42.200 --> 0:04:44.640 name the defensive game. Floors is gonna need here, and 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:47.760 the coaching the caseesn need. Offensively, they're gonna need to 0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:50.679 be perfect. That's what we're fading them being perfect here 0:04:50.800 --> 0:04:54.320 where it's it's gonna be the most public side we're 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:55.480 gonna be on this week, no doubt. 0:04:56.920 --> 0:04:59.400 Great Baltimore minus three and a half that is in 0:04:59.480 --> 0:05:03.520 New England at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay, Dude, this was 0:05:03.600 --> 0:05:07.200 chat choice. I cannot believe it's still sitting at two 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:08.200 and a half. 0:05:08.040 --> 0:05:09.560 It frustrates me to know. 0:05:09.760 --> 0:05:12.320 And the more I think about this game, the more 0:05:12.400 --> 0:05:14.080 I feel like the Bucks are the side here. 0:05:15.520 --> 0:05:19.680 I know you're with me, Yeah, I'm with you. Tons 0:05:19.720 --> 0:05:22.080 of pushback this week about this line for us. The 0:05:22.120 --> 0:05:24.760 pros are obviously on the other side. They love the Patriots. 0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:27.160 They of them catching points here. They actually view these 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:29.039 two teams as equals, which is shocking to me. I 0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:31.600 just have such a higher grade on this book. So yeah, 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:34.520 we could be missing it here. Maybe what their view 0:05:34.640 --> 0:05:36.800 is that the Bucks will come out slow. This is 0:05:36.800 --> 0:05:38.360 a bad spot for them coming out of the bye 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:40.800 week against a new one team that's just been a 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:42.680 well aweayed machine these last couple of weeks. Ready, when 0:05:42.680 --> 0:05:45.400 they play bad, they're still squeaking out wins. So I 0:05:45.440 --> 0:05:46.799 guess the pro see, Hey. 0:05:47.640 --> 0:05:49.800 Really good competitive Raabel team here catching two and a 0:05:49.800 --> 0:05:53.040 half points. We should we should take it. But we're aligned. 0:05:53.080 --> 0:05:56.719 It's like this Bucks team, the veterans they are, They're 0:05:56.720 --> 0:05:58.960 easily gonna make this a one sided game. They're gonna 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:01.120 make Drake may beat them. Right, we already know vidave 0:06:01.279 --> 0:06:03.440 taken away that rung game. It's going to be the 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:07.320 number one priority here. So our biggest question is do 0:06:07.440 --> 0:06:11.760 we get Baker after you know, two three weeks, did 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:12.760 he get his body right? 0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:14.880 And that's what we were betting into the unknown year. 0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:17.640 That's probably the only fear for me is we just 0:06:17.720 --> 0:06:19.839 don't know the full health of Baker, and we know 0:06:19.960 --> 0:06:21.560 he was banged up heading into this he just did 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:23.320 not look right two games heading into the Spy a 0:06:23.360 --> 0:06:25.760 week so under a field goal. 0:06:25.839 --> 0:06:28.000 Like you said, it's it's it's too tempting not to 0:06:28.000 --> 0:06:28.600 pass this one. 0:06:28.680 --> 0:06:32.560 So yeah, two favorites for us this week, Ravens Bucks 0:06:32.680 --> 0:06:33.960 love them both well. 0:06:33.960 --> 0:06:39.880 Look also, Remandre Stevenson is out, Kayshawn Booty is out, 0:06:40.240 --> 0:06:45.200 and Booty's been Drake May's down the field security blanket 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:49.839 even more than Stefan Diggs for this Patriots offense going deep, 0:06:49.880 --> 0:06:50.760 deep down field. 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:52.160 So we'll see how much of. 0:06:52.080 --> 0:06:55.280 An impact that has on the game and the Patriots 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:58.800 as well. All Right, our brass balls bet of the 0:06:58.800 --> 0:07:04.520 week press by hard Rock Bett was the Arizona Cardinals 0:07:04.520 --> 0:07:05.240 at plus six and. 0:07:05.240 --> 0:07:10.720 A half at Seattle. We're still in it. We're still 0:07:10.760 --> 0:07:11.320 in this game. 0:07:11.320 --> 0:07:13.720 There are actually sevens, even some seven and a half's 0:07:13.720 --> 0:07:17.040 out there on Arizona. I would recommend you take those. 0:07:17.240 --> 0:07:19.840 We're both going to be on Arizona here. We like 0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:23.119 the Cardinals plus six and a half in this spot 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:24.120 at Seattle. 0:07:24.440 --> 0:07:28.360 And like we keep saying, sharpest book, hard rock only 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:30.600 book right now with the minus six and or plus 0:07:30.600 --> 0:07:32.760 six and a half for the Cardinals in Jersey. 0:07:32.800 --> 0:07:33.880 Every other book is seven. 0:07:34.280 --> 0:07:37.120 Like Chad said, there's one book out there still seven 0:07:37.160 --> 0:07:38.520 and a half, but they're going out of business, so 0:07:38.520 --> 0:07:39.920 they're trying to get as much money as they can 0:07:40.040 --> 0:07:40.640 at this point. 0:07:41.280 --> 0:07:43.160 It's interesting though. 0:07:43.000 --> 0:07:46.160 Like we've talked about, I thought this would be seven 0:07:46.160 --> 0:07:48.920 to seven and a half once it was. Jacoby Wes said, 0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:51.920 just because it's a love affair with the Seahawks team. 0:07:51.960 --> 0:07:54.920 This whole week, it's just been joke the Chad there. 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:57.600 People are loving the DBA score of the Sea Ox team. 0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:00.160 They're the highest rated team in like ten years, one 0:08:00.200 --> 0:08:03.080 years in the top five. It's it's just all love 0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:06.000 for this team and people are gonna see a theme here. 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:10.200 We think this division NFC West, all these divisional games 0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:11.720 will be close. It just feels like it's gonna be 0:08:11.720 --> 0:08:14.280 the pattern for the season. And we're banking out of here. 0:08:14.480 --> 0:08:17.240 We're taking a dog here in a matchup that you 0:08:17.280 --> 0:08:21.160 know defensively, this is actually this great matchup scheme wise 0:08:21.200 --> 0:08:23.440 for the Seayawks team. So I'm really exciting to see 0:08:23.440 --> 0:08:25.120 you if your covery per second keep doing what he's 0:08:25.160 --> 0:08:27.280 been doing, which is really attacking the middle of the field. 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:30.760 That's the Seahawks' biggest weakness. They don't have many defensively. 0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:33.200 That is a weakness for them. In their secondary, you 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:35.480 can attack the middle of the field. So we're set. 0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:38.200 Come on, buddy, don't fail us here, big big bet 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:39.600 on him this week at six and a half. 0:08:39.880 --> 0:08:43.040 There is one fear is that the Cardinals secondary is 0:08:43.080 --> 0:08:45.840 still pretty depleted. They're missing a couple of key players, 0:08:45.880 --> 0:08:48.800 and that's a real opportunity for Sam Darnolds, who's just 0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:52.040 been lighting teams up and taking advantage of weaknesses defensively. 0:08:52.400 --> 0:08:55.920 But the flip side is the defensive line for the 0:08:55.920 --> 0:08:59.079 Cardinals has been getting much much better and they have 0:08:59.240 --> 0:09:02.720 been a physical team that has been keeping games close 0:09:02.840 --> 0:09:07.480 all year long. So that's another reason why there we're 0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:11.559 on the Cardinals side is they are not the kind 0:09:11.600 --> 0:09:13.760 of team that so far this year has let games 0:09:14.320 --> 0:09:18.320 get away from them, especially with Jacoby Brissett playing quarterback 0:09:18.360 --> 0:09:21.559 now and sort of entrenched as the starter on that team. 0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:28.199 All right, Los Angeles rams at the San Francisco forty 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:28.720 nine Ers. 0:09:29.000 --> 0:09:34.199 The Niners are now six point underdogs at hard Rock 0:09:34.679 --> 0:09:35.680 that the San. 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:40.640 Francisco forty nine ers are going to be our rock 0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:44.800 in a Hard Place, Hard Rock, Better the Week a lot. 0:09:49.200 --> 0:09:52.240 I've been informed by our producer Matt Mitchell that our 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:54.920 hard rock Rock and a Hard Place Better the Week 0:09:55.640 --> 0:10:00.520 has won six straight this game, Simon, it's going from 0:10:00.520 --> 0:10:03.120 three and a half to four, to four and a 0:10:03.160 --> 0:10:05.199 half to five, to five and a half to six. 0:10:06.200 --> 0:10:11.640 We're betting on the team that the line is going 0:10:12.120 --> 0:10:16.520 away from where we would like it to be, going 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:20.079 to show how good we think this number is. Because 0:10:21.000 --> 0:10:23.520 six scares me the fact that so much money is 0:10:23.559 --> 0:10:24.880 coming in on the RAMS. 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:28.079 Yeah, because it is about looking at the matchups right 0:10:28.120 --> 0:10:31.959 when you're really breaking it down for this RAMS team. Defensively, 0:10:32.040 --> 0:10:34.319 you expect them to be able to get after Mac Jones. 0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:36.000 This should be a really good matchup for their front. 0:10:36.400 --> 0:10:38.800 They're really good against the run, which that's another thing. 0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:41.320 If they can take that away, that's a huge deal. 0:10:41.320 --> 0:10:45.920 And offensively, Stafford's playing at MVP level. So I get 0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:48.559 why professionals in the public are coming in on this 0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:51.319 RAMS team. I mean, we talked earlier in the week. 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:53.440 I couldn't believe where it opened at three, but I 0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:55.120 said at three and a half, that's when you start 0:10:55.200 --> 0:10:58.000 making a four nine ers line and feels true right now. 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:01.880 I don't know if you saw the news mac Jones 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:05.520 was named the start of this weekend, brock Purty was questionable. Yeah, 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:10.400 you want to eat some crow chat or no, you 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:13.719 were so sure of yourself and just ripping me for 0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:16.319 my mac Jones take, which again isn't my take I 0:11:16.320 --> 0:11:18.000 was getting from other people. I don't want to believe 0:11:18.040 --> 0:11:20.880 in mac Jones, but my god, I couldn't want to 0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:21.520 see as I saw that. 0:11:21.559 --> 0:11:24.440 Oh my god, don't text chat. Save it for those shows. 0:11:24.480 --> 0:11:25.120 It's so funny. 0:11:25.160 --> 0:11:28.680 It's so funny you say that, because I did see 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:31.040 the news, and by the way, then the number moved 0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.839 off of the mac Jones announcement. I couldn't find any 0:11:33.880 --> 0:11:35.800 other reason for the number to move like it moved 0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:40.040 literally that second's fair, And I was surprised by it 0:11:40.080 --> 0:11:43.120 because I thought this was already a mac Jones line 0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:45.600 like to me. I saw the news and I thought 0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:49.199 of you, and I was like, but this isn't really 0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:52.600 news to me, like I expected mac Jones to be starting. 0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:55.040 I think they've said this injury with perty has been 0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:58.600 lingering to me. I'm still seeing it at face value. 0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:00.880 You're seeing it as a Kyler Murray situation, which is 0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:03.920 different to me than brock Perty is all of a 0:12:03.920 --> 0:12:05.760 sudden going to be on the bench because they'd rather 0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:06.920 be playing Mac Jones. 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:08.560 I just do the tenement full of hat on because 0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:11.280 I thought this was a possibility and people had told 0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:14.040 me it. I was shocked that Cheney and just put 0:12:14.080 --> 0:12:17.439 it out there so nonchalantly that like they're both practicing 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:22.080 Pretty's questionable regardless the starters Mac Jones this week, but 0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.120 it's also it could be like we always say the 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:27.400 Hens to the wolves, right, they're just rather than putting 0:12:27.400 --> 0:12:30.359 Pretty out on a horrible spot, yeah and him getting demolished, 0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:32.960 maybe let mac Jones go out there look terrible. So 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:34.880 now you don't have to question the team can't question you. 0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:38.520 Now give them the job back to Purdy and yeah 0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:40.640 again we have a we'll come back around we go 0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:41.360 to our final five. 0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:42.800 I have another opinion on this game. 0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:51.079 Oh interesting, all right, Buffalo at Miami, Dude, this one's 0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:52.960 moving down a little bit. It's nine and a half 0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:54.880 in a lot of places, but it's nine at hard 0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:57.520 Rock Bat. You've been trying to convince me on this 0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:01.000 game all week. I know Miami is the right side. 0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:04.040 I'll be honest, I still have not bet it. I have, 0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:07.960 like I just I've every single day I go and 0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:10.400 I look at the lines, and I go to bed 0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:15.520 this game and I cannot get my thumb to press 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:19.319 except on the button when I finally have to make 0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:19.800 a decision. 0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:23.440 I hate it too, but it's what we do. It's 0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:24.200 a long term winner. 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:26.400 We know the data backs it up when you dive 0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:27.280 into the matchups. 0:13:27.360 --> 0:13:28.320 It's a good matchup. 0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:30.560 And I think we just both have the same fear 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.839 where we just do not like this Miami team. 0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:33.800 We don't trust the SAMI team. 0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:36.560 We don't trust to We're worried they've simply quit it 0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:40.240 on this team in the season and they're just terrible 0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:42.520 and every out, So I get why you're scared, and 0:13:42.760 --> 0:13:44.880 we have even mentioned it. They were whole secondary is 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:46.200 like injured as well, and they just give away their 0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:47.560 number one pass rush for Miami. 0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.040 So there's a lot to be negative here. But it's 0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:51.559 again all about trusting the line. 0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:54.080 It's just a big, big number, and Josh Allen tends 0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.319 to not cover them, especially in a letdown spot after 0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.360 such an emotional game the previous week. But could we 0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:01.880 usually get rolled here by forty points. Jed, Yes, that's 0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:05.000 that's life betting these ugly, gross dogs. I've come to 0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:07.920 terms with it. But I just love this line so much, 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:11.040 And like you said, it's luckily in moving with us. 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:15.720 So if this got to ten, I would be honestly scared, 0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:17.800 because that would be mean, that would mean there's a 0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:21.160 lot of professional love on this Bills team. Luckily, this 0:14:21.240 --> 0:14:22.920 is a couple of books in Jersey. I've already moved 0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:25.120 to eight and a half, so this seems like this 0:14:25.200 --> 0:14:27.880 is really a prosrus Joe's line, which I thought it 0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:31.840 would be a long term feels like we're on the 0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:33.840 right side here. I know that scares you with contest 0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:35.600 place because you're trying to just live for this week, 0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:38.440 but I just love this spot from Miami. We've just 0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.160 seen time and time again Tua on these homesteads. He 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:43.600 bounces back and I gave you that crazy stat and 0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:46.080 I know it's a small stample in his career. On 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:47.760 the second back to back game after a loss, when 0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:50.720 he's underdog once again, three and oh straight up, three 0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:52.920 and three and oh against the spread, So I don't 0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:54.800 know if he's gonna win this one, but I think 0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:56.840 they keep it close, and that backdoor opportunity is always 0:14:56.840 --> 0:15:00.320 going to be there against this suspect Bills defense, all. 0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:01.040 Right, So. 0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:07.160 I'm having a hard time finding a fifth, to be honest. 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:10.240 We also talked a little bit about the Giants and 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:13.080 the Bears. That game had gotten up to four and 0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:16.640 a half Giants plus four and a half at Chicago. 0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:20.120 It's going to be clear for the game. 0:15:20.280 --> 0:15:22.600 Snow right now, but it's supposed to clear up for 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:26.000 the game. It's going to be very cold, thirty four degrees. 0:15:26.400 --> 0:15:28.720 It's going to feel much colder because the wins are 0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:29.680 going to be fifteen. 0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:30.040 Miles an hour. 0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:32.440 This is shaping up to be the kind of game 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:35.480 where the expectation is it's going to be two teams 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:39.400 trying to run the ball a lot. And obviously, the 0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:44.080 Bears rush offense has been so good amongst the best 0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:47.000 in the NFL, and the Giants rush defense is literally 0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.360 the worst in the NFL, so that's what worries me. 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:52.960 But the Bears defense is so bad that I do 0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:56.120 think Jackson Dart will find opportunities to keep this game close. 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:58.440 I can't get this one out of my head. Like 0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.680 the weather's not going to be something that I think 0:16:00.920 --> 0:16:03.920 scares us. In fact, it could just play to an 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.640 advantage for both teams and not making stupid mistakes through 0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:06.920 the air. 0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:10.600 Yeah, you're right, and I still looked. You know, I 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:12.200 think up there is a show just to take a 0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:14.200 position on the under. I believe it was forty seven 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:16.080 or forty six and a half at that point, and 0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:18.080 you said it's come down. Now it's up the it's 0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:20.720 down to forty five and a half. So still some 0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:22.560 value there in my opinion if those wins are gonna 0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:25.360 be what it is. And my biggest issue with the 0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:30.960 Giants is their secondary has their own rash of injuries. 0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:33.760 Another secondary I couldn't afford to have a ton of injuries. Yeah, 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:35.440 and as much as hay as we like to give Caleb, 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:37.960 he is good at pushing the ball down the field, 0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:40.800 and like when he plays within the offense, you have 0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:42.880 a coach that schemes it up that the first read 0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:45.200 is usually wide open, whether it be your tight end 0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:47.560 streaking down the middle, a room of dunes, or you 0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:49.240 know DJ Moore like there's you guys just have so 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.040 many weapons. I mean, it's why you're a top five, 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:55.440 top ten offense right now, So I get where you're 0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:59.760 coming from. If this was no bad weather, I honestly 0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:01.560 would you on the giants here take a position on 0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.000 But I just can't get there. And you're on the 0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:05.680 side of the professionals. I'm kind of on the side 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.240 of the public area. I'm liking the bears. 0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:14.840 All right, let's let's take a quick word from hard rock. 0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:18.680 And then we got to make our final five decision here. 0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:21.880 Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, 0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:25.000 hard Rock Bet. It's that time of year when every 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.160 day feels like a big game day. 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