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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. And the end of a very

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Speaker 2: good NFL season is upon us because we nailed it.

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Speaker 2: Exactly what we wanted to have happened has happened. The

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Speaker 2: Patriots and the Seahawks are both into the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: We don't have to do anything side.

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Speaker 1: We're good.

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Speaker 2: Patriots eleven to one, Seahawks fourteen to one. It doesn't

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Speaker 2: matter who wins. We're gonna clear double digit numbers off

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Speaker 2: of this.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: We've been hedging and so we've been trimming it back

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Speaker 2: and the Patriots are about a nine to one and

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Speaker 2: the Sealks are about thirteen to one. I'll give you

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Speaker 2: that doesn't matter. We could be pretty aggressive. We can

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Speaker 2: have some fun with this knowing it doesn't matter who wins. Okay, So,

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Speaker 2: like I've said before, when what year was the bet placed?

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Speaker 2: So we're up fourteen units last year in twenty five, well,

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Speaker 2: we're going to add probably ten more units onto that,

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Speaker 2: and we're going to be up twenty four units for

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Speaker 2: twenty and twenty five. The bets made the hedge bets

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Speaker 2: made in twenty six will count for the twenty twenty

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Speaker 2: six record, but yesterday was a completely flat day Broncos

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Speaker 2: Rams money line. Those were hedges. Those will count to

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Speaker 2: twenty six. We wash those out with the teaser that

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Speaker 2: comes in easily. The Patriots push on the first half

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Speaker 2: and the hard rock bet of the day cashes. We're

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Speaker 2: now thirteen and nine on the hard rock bet of

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Speaker 2: the day, so that comes in for one unit, two

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Speaker 2: to two and one, completely and totally flat on the day.

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Speaker 1: No harm, no foul.

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Speaker 2: But it is a winning week for us here with

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast, and it puts us into a

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Speaker 2: pretty nice position where we will most likely be winning

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Speaker 2: for the month. So good start to two thousand and

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Speaker 2: twenty six. I'll recap all of that coming up at

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Speaker 2: the end of the month. So a couple things to

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Speaker 2: remind you guys. Here Monday, Tuesday, I am here in Vegas.

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Speaker 2: I'll tape Wednesday's podcast also in Vegas, so you're going

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Speaker 2: to see Tuesday night tape to Wednesday viewing of the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice and then I head to New Orleans with

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Speaker 2: the rest of us from betting pros and I will

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Speaker 2: be there to tape on Wednesday night, Thursday night and

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Speaker 2: Friday night.

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Speaker 1: Back to Vegas on Saturday. So just a heads up.

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Speaker 2: Normally when I go on these trips, I tend to shrink.

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Speaker 2: The podcast is pretty fast, we don't really go in depth.

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Speaker 2: I'm here, I will do the podcast, but you won't

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Speaker 2: get a traditional, typical twenty minute rant every night type

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Speaker 2: daily juice podcast. So just a heads up on that

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Speaker 2: we are traveling. And then the next week after that,

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Speaker 2: I am traveling to San Francisco where I will be

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Speaker 2: on radio Row Media Row for the Bostonian Versus the Book,

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Speaker 2: which I could not be more ecstatic and excited about.

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Speaker 2: If you guys do want to hear my rants and

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Speaker 2: ravings about the Seahawks and the Patriots and how we

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Speaker 2: got here, you can join me later today at one

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Speaker 2: pm Eastern Time for the Bostonian Versus the Book. I

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Speaker 2: will be on for an hour plus on my YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel at Boston Versus the Book and on ex Twitter

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Speaker 2: at Boston Versus the Book, with a podcast that can

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Speaker 2: be found wherever you guys get your podcasts. Just go

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Speaker 2: and search the Bostonian Versus the book as a Patriot fan,

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Speaker 2: get ready for a lot of.

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Speaker 1: Taking names.

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Speaker 2: And talking about the media members who were so adamant

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Speaker 2: that this Patriots team would lose to the Chargers, that

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Speaker 2: they were frauds, that they were so adamant that they

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Speaker 2: would lose to the Texans, and they were completely convinced

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Speaker 2: that the Broncos defense was going to be the best

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Speaker 2: unit on the field, and that Drake May was not

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Speaker 2: going to make enough plays, and that the Patriots were

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Speaker 2: going to lose at Denver like they had the four

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Speaker 2: previous games.

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Speaker 1: I thought they were going to lose. I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to lie.

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Speaker 2: I thought there was a good shot if the Patriots

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Speaker 2: played the way that they're capable on defense, that Jared

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Speaker 2: Sindham woul struggle and you were waiting for the mistake

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Speaker 2: all game. You were waiting for the mistake, and you

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Speaker 2: got the mistake out of Jared's Didham. Why didn't Sean

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Speaker 2: Payton kick the field goal when he was up seven

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Speaker 2: to nothing? The entire game swung. Analytics and arrogance. Those

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Speaker 2: are the two reasons why believing too much trying to

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Speaker 2: go for a kill shot in the first half, bad move,

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Speaker 2: bad decision, changed the whole game. And it's why the

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Speaker 2: Broncos will be right there with us at home watching

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl because they could not do anything else

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Speaker 2: besides that long throw and in a touchdown for the Broncos,

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Speaker 2: they couldn't score. Patriots defense is legit and for everybody

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Speaker 2: running to the window and betting Seattle, Okay, I think

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Speaker 2: this is again a massive head fake. I thought the

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Speaker 2: Broncos line was a massive head fake it closed at

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Speaker 2: three and a half. I think this five is a

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Speaker 2: massive head fake. I think it's gonna wind up closing

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Speaker 2: closer to three when it's all said and done. I

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Speaker 2: expect a pretty big buyback on the Patriots at some

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Speaker 2: point over the next two weeks. But we have two

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Speaker 2: weeks to go, so I think all the quick action

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Speaker 2: it opened at three and a half was bet to

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Speaker 2: five and a half in just one way traffic here

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Speaker 2: on Seattle. I think that number is going to get

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Speaker 2: to be too high, and I think we're going to

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Speaker 2: see a big buy back on the Patriots later when

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Speaker 2: the limits get extended and opened up.

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Speaker 1: But it is the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: There is so much money in play, the future wagers

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Speaker 2: factor in and everything else. There are some people that

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Speaker 2: have some very big tickets on Seattle. The Patriots were

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Speaker 2: eighty to one, Seattle was fifty to one. We have

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Speaker 2: fourteen to one and eleven to one. A lot of

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Speaker 2: people have our tickets. A lot of people sit the

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Speaker 2: same way we are. The books have some interesting liability

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Speaker 2: here coming up for this game, but for our side perspective,

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Speaker 2: were not doing anything. However, we are brett betting the

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Speaker 2: total right now. Why, I'll tell you about it in

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Speaker 2: just one second, but first let me tell you about

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Speaker 1: The big game is set.

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Speaker 2: We know it's New England in Seattle, and hard Rock

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Speaker 2: first deposit today. So what are we doing with the total?

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Speaker 2: Forty five and a half and climbing? Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: way too low. It is way too low. The Patriots

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Speaker 2: offense is going to be able to do some similar

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Speaker 2: things that the Rams just did. And the Rams in

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Speaker 2: their last two games at Seattle scored thirty eight and

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Speaker 2: twenty seven points against that vaunted Seahawks defense. The Patriots

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Speaker 2: don't have Davante Adams and they don't have Pukinakua, but

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Speaker 2: they have a quarterback who can really hurt you with

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Speaker 2: his legs, something that Matthew Stafford did not do at

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Speaker 2: all last game yesterday, and he should have. He had

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Speaker 2: running lanes all over the place. Seattle gets upfield fast.

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Speaker 2: He watched their pass rush. They get upfield really fast.

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Speaker 2: I think Drake May is going to kill the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: running the football. Okay, I think the Patriots offense is

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Speaker 2: going to move the ball against this Seahawks defense. On

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Speaker 2: the flip side, I do expect Seattle to be able

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Speaker 2: to score. I think Sam Darnold with JSN and this

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Speaker 2: running game with Kenneth Walker, I think they're going to

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Speaker 2: move the ball on the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I really do.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a way higher scoring game than

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Speaker 2: people think. And the Patriots defense has been so good

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Speaker 2: all postseason. But this is a neutral, this is at

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Speaker 2: you know, San Francisco, this is outdoors. I both these

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Speaker 2: teams love playing on the road. The Patriots are the

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Speaker 2: first team in NFL history to go nine to oh

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Speaker 2: on the road in a single season. No one's done

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Speaker 2: that before Patrick nine and oh away from home. That's insane.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots also became the first team to win three

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Speaker 2: games against three top five defenses in the postseason, and Seattle,

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Speaker 2: depending on where you look at the metrics, they could

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Speaker 2: be the fourth top five defense that the Patriots are

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Speaker 2: going to face here when they play the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: But it's a neutral, it's not a road game, but

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Speaker 1: it's not home.

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Speaker 2: Seattle's eight to one ats this year away from home.

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Speaker 2: Mike McDonald prefers to play away from home for whatever reason.

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Speaker 2: But the Twelfth Man really made it difficult on both

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Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers and the Rams, and the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: aren't playing a divisional opponent. They're playing Josh McDaniels, they're

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Speaker 2: playing Mike Vrabel. This is a little bit going to

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Speaker 2: be outside their comfort zone because they don't have a

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Speaker 2: laundry list, a gigantic backlog of information to fall back on.

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Speaker 2: They haven't played They played the Niners two times, and

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Speaker 2: then the playoffs. They played the Rams two times, and

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Speaker 2: then the playoffs. They haven't played the Patriots yet. What

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Speaker 2: happens if Sam Donald goes back to the New York

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Speaker 2: Jet version of Sam Donald. I'm just saying Patriots defense

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Speaker 2: is better than people want to give them credit for.

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Speaker 2: And I'm saying that with the expectation that Seattle's going

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Speaker 2: to score twenty points. But I also think the Patriots

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Speaker 2: are going to score twenty points plus, and I think

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Speaker 2: this game is going over forty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't need stats.

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Speaker 2: I don't need to wait for trends, just what my

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Speaker 2: eyes tell me watching both these teams. Remember I was

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Speaker 2: on Seattle way back in October. They have been my

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Speaker 2: number one rated team in the NFL for most of

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Speaker 2: the season. I have an extremely high on Mike McDonald,

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Speaker 2: extremely high on this offense and this defense in particular

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Speaker 2: at home, but more so on the Eastern time zone,

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Speaker 2: where Seattle was outstanding this year. This game, though, in

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Speaker 2: the Pacific time zone. Vrabel becomes a player to go

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Speaker 2: and win a Super Bowl, and now he's coaching in.

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Speaker 1: The Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: The story is unbelievable for Mike Vrabel, I think we're

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Speaker 2: seeing points. I don't think this is going to be

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Speaker 2: a low scoring game. I think we're gonna see points.

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Speaker 2: I've already bet it. We're betting it now. Patriots Seahawks

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Speaker 2: over forty five and a half at minus one ten.

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Speaker 2: Let's go tonight on the hardwood. Massive game in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk a bit about Arizona on the road at BYU.

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Speaker 2: This game is at Provo. Arizona is twenty to zero.

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Speaker 2: BYU has been phenomenal this season as well. They've got

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Speaker 2: only two losses on their schedule. Yukon beat them and

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech beat them. One was on a road in Hartford,

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Speaker 2: the other was on a true road game against Texas Tech.

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Speaker 2: They've won everything else. Kempom has this as a three

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Speaker 2: point win for Arizona. They are fourth in offensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: They are twenty fifth in effective field goal percentage. BYU

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Speaker 2: defensively has been very good, twenty fifth ineffective field adjust

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Speaker 2: efficiency defensively and forty six in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: But BYU's offense up against Arizona's defense is going to

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Speaker 2: be the key here. Zona's defense adjusted efficiency third, effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage defensively ninth. They are fifth in two

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Speaker 2: point defense. They are seventy second in three point defense.

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Speaker 2: They hit their free throws. Both these teams are decent

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Speaker 2: at the free throw line. Both teams have offenses that

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Speaker 2: can hurt you. But look, AJ's tremendous. He's going to

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Speaker 2: be a top five pick in the draft. But you

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Speaker 2: really cannot sleep as to what we've seen from Pete.

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Speaker 2: He's been awesome and I think he's got the physicality,

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Speaker 2: the ability to bang on the inside. This is going

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Speaker 2: to be an awesome game in an awesome atmosphere. But

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Speaker 2: until further notice, I'll lay the one and a half

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Speaker 2: points game opened at too. It's been bet down to

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Speaker 2: one and a half. It's essentially a money line bet

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Speaker 2: here with Arizona to keep it rolling. Winning on the

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Speaker 2: road in college basketball is really difficult. But this Arizona

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Speaker 2: team has been absolutely awesome this year on the road,

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Speaker 2: winning at UCF recently on the road, winning at TCU

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Speaker 2: recently on the road, winning at Utah recently on the road.

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Speaker 2: They've beaten UCLA, They've beaten Yukon, They've beaten Auburn, They've

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Speaker 2: beaten Alabama, they've beaten Kansas State. They just beat up

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Speaker 2: on West Virginia at home eighty eight to fifty three.

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Speaker 2: And they're going into a game against BYU that I

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Speaker 2: think Tommy Lloyd's club is going to be focused Arizona's

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Speaker 2: twenty to zero until further notice. I'm laying it with

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Speaker 2: Arizona minus one and a half with Arizona Number three.

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Speaker 2: Bet of the day Where to go in to the

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Speaker 2: Lakers and the Bulls. These two teams have been over

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Speaker 2: when they play each other seven too and one over

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Speaker 2: the last ten games when the Bulls and the Lakers

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Speaker 2: match up, but they haven't played yet this season. Those

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Speaker 2: numbers are from last year. The Lakers have seen four

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Speaker 2: consecutive games go under. Now they've won three of those

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Speaker 2: four games that have gone under against Toronto at Denver,

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Speaker 2: at the Clippers at the Mavericks. The Bulls have had

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Speaker 2: their last two games go under at Minnesota and at

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Speaker 2: home against the Boston Celtics, who are off of a

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Speaker 2: double overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets the game before,

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Speaker 2: so they won the game one fourteen to one eleven.

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Speaker 2: When you look at what these teams have done this season,

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Speaker 2: the Bulls have been an under team at home and

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Speaker 2: the Lakers have been in an under team on the road,

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Speaker 2: I expect both these teams to be lower scoring outputs.

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Speaker 2: Chicago is fifteen to nine to the under at home

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Speaker 2: this year. The Lakers are fourteen and ten to the

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Speaker 2: under on the road against over the last ten games,

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Speaker 2: six and four to the under for both of these

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Speaker 2: teams two thirty seven and a half. The Lakers last

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Speaker 2: four games have had totals lower than this that have

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Speaker 2: all gone under two thirty two and a half and

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Speaker 2: two thirty nine and a half for the last two

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Speaker 2: games for the Bulls games going under by seven and

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Speaker 2: a half and by four and a half. I'm going

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Speaker 2: to take the under here tonight for the Bulls and

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Speaker 2: the Lakers under two thirty seven and a half. I

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Speaker 2: will also have an NBA player prop that I will

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Speaker 2: put on the BP app. By going downloading the Betting

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Speaker 2: pros app and searching at Sports Talk Matt, I will

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Speaker 2: have one tonight. I missed that last time, but I

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Speaker 2: will have it. So our play is for today. Three

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Speaker 2: of them happening today. One happening in the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: or taking the Seahawks and the Patriots over forty five

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Speaker 2: and a half, the Arizona BYU game. I'm gonna l

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Speaker 2: one and a half with Arizona on the road. Awesome

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Speaker 2: game in college basketball tonight, We're gonna go under Bulls

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Speaker 2: and the Lakers under two thirty seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: and an NBA player prop will come at you later

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Speaker 2: on today by going and searching at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: on the Betting pros app. Go and download it wherever

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Speaker 2: you get your apps. Mine's Matt Parol. You guys can

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Speaker 2: follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice