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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt defulding me on Twitter. This podcast is being

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Speaker 2: Go take advantage of those offers with the code Juice

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Speaker 1: Okay, so it's been.

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Speaker 2: Not a good run. It's four days in a row.

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Speaker 2: We're called officially. This is when if you guys want

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Speaker 2: to fade my plays, you can go ahead and fade

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Speaker 2: my place.

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Speaker 1: Okay, this is part of it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: One of the things that's always very interesting whenever I

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Speaker 2: go through one of these cold snaps is that people

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Speaker 2: start throwing labels and names and insults in things.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 2: I signed up for this. But it's a good lesson

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Speaker 2: because transparency means honesty, and honesty means we don't win

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Speaker 2: all the time. We don't win every month, win win

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Speaker 2: every week. We have bad weeks, we have bad months.

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Speaker 2: Some people have bad years. It's really possible. This podcast

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Speaker 2: is still profitable since I've come back, but we're in

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a ruts.

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Speaker 1: Actually, I don't know where we are. It's a good

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Speaker 1: question to see where. Yeah, so we're up.

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Speaker 2: You know about thirteen units since I've come back, So

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Speaker 2: it's profitable.

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Speaker 1: Okay, we're winning right now, we're not. So if you

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Speaker 1: want to fade, I don't. I don't get angry. Just

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Speaker 1: don't be mean about it.

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Speaker 2: Just say hey, I couldn't tell you, Matt, sorry, your

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Speaker 2: bets been bad this week.

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Speaker 1: I went against you.

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Speaker 2: I went two and one. Awesome, I went one and two.

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Speaker 2: I'm down, you're up, no problem. I do three for

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Speaker 2: that very reason. Three picks is kind of where I've

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Speaker 2: settled into three picks a night, sometimes four, but mostly three,

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Speaker 2: and it just works. Now on a college football Saturday,

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Speaker 2: we'll have six on an NFL Sunday, we could have

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Speaker 2: four props and five bets. Okay, it's just the different

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Speaker 2: type of betting and different type of intensity options and whatnot. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so we're down about two point six units for the week. Okay,

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Speaker 2: plenty of time to have a winning week. Had a

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Speaker 2: winning week last week, plenty of time to have another one.

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Speaker 2: So we just got to get back on the horse

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Speaker 2: here and keep riding. Okay, speaking of getting back on

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Speaker 2: the horse, that's where we're going with the first pick.

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Speaker 2: This one might be a little bit nasty by the

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Speaker 2: time you guys get up. My gut tells me you're

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Speaker 2: going to get a better number than what I got.

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Speaker 2: But there is a thing called the Vegas flu when

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Speaker 2: teams stay here in Vegas. It's been pretty well documented

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Speaker 2: that when they come here, and it happens with hockey

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Speaker 2: really the only sport, but a little bit with football

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Speaker 2: with the Raiders, and a little bit with football with

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Speaker 2: the UNLV Rebels. But the longer you stay in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: the harder it is for teams to focus. The more

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Speaker 2: likely it is the team goes out in parties, the

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Speaker 2: more likely that the teams go out and have a

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Speaker 2: good old time and aren't thinking about winning basketball games.

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Speaker 2: The New York Liberty just won the Commissioner's Cup. They

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Speaker 2: got extra five thousand dollars in their pocket for winning

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Speaker 2: that championship, and now they play a Vegas team who

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Speaker 2: is going to be very angry. Vegas is favored by

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Speaker 2: six points, which is a half a point down what

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Speaker 2: we saw on Tuesday night when Vegas got crushed. I

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Speaker 2: don't want to touch a total or a team total here, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't know how the game goes to be quite honest.

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Speaker 2: Liberty are really good defensively. Could be a grinder you

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Speaker 2: may want to take. If you want to say, Matt,

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Speaker 2: your ice cold. I'm taking six and a half because

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Speaker 2: six and a half is widely available right now now

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Speaker 2: at DraftKings. You can get Vegas minus six. You might

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Speaker 2: get five and a half, you might get five. The

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Speaker 2: move is on the Liberty, Okay, the dog is getting

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Speaker 2: the money. I just think Vegas at home, they've been

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Speaker 2: sitting and stewing. They've been whipped by this team two

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Speaker 2: times in a row. I think this is going to

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Speaker 2: be an angry Aces team. I think you can lay

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Speaker 2: the first half number three, three and a half, not

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Speaker 2: out the moment, but tomorrow or today, when you guys

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Speaker 2: are listening and watching, you might be able to jump

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Speaker 2: on it. For the official play. I think Asia Wilson.

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Speaker 2: I think Vegas. I think they win and they cover

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Speaker 2: minus six Vegas to win and to get some revenge

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Speaker 2: here against the New York Liberty who have beaten them

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Speaker 2: down the last two games. We're going against the trends here.

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Speaker 2: We're going against the world. Vegas minus six for one

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Speaker 2: point one units at minus one ten that's available at DraftKings,

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Speaker 2: going up against the world. Man, I can't believe I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna do this, but I was doing Sports Grid and

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Speaker 2: my partner on that show, a guy named Marc Zeno,

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Speaker 2: talked me into this, and I think this is the

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Speaker 2: right side. The Dodgers have won ten games in a row.

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Speaker 2: But lance Lynn is starting tonight. Lancelyn's not very good.

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Speaker 2: We've got burns going for Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: He is very good. He needs a W in a

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Speaker 1: really really bad way.

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Speaker 2: He needs a W. Milwaukee needs a W. This is

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Speaker 2: going to be a play that everyone's gonna go against

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Speaker 2: because everyone's gonna bet the streak. And I don't mind

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Speaker 2: it because I'm going to try to go first five.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna come in and try to get involved

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Speaker 2: too heavily here and say, all right, get with their bullpens.

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Speaker 2: I just want to get into with the starting pitchers

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Speaker 2: and lance Lynn. It's nine to nine with a five

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Speaker 2: point eight eight ERA up against Corbyn Burns. Lance Lynn

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Speaker 2: coming over from on with the trade from Chicago. He's

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Speaker 2: given up three one and he was pretty good at

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Speaker 2: his last start. He gave up zero earned runs. That

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Speaker 2: was against Colorado, though, but six innings up against six

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Speaker 2: innings of you know, only one earned run. Not bad

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Speaker 2: first start, seven innings five sorry, three earned runs given

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Speaker 2: up here. He's won all three starts seven seven, three

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Speaker 2: eight two six one. He's been hot, Dodgers have been hot.

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Speaker 2: This is a bigger game for the Brewers because the

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Speaker 2: Cubs are on the rise. The cub at a walk

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Speaker 2: off three run home run Corbyn Burns. Nine and six

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Speaker 2: were a three point six zero ERA. On the road,

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Speaker 2: he's five and three with a three point three five

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Speaker 2: ERA opposing batting average of one ninety one. Okay, the

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Speaker 2: money line is plus money. Money line, first five is

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Speaker 2: plus money. I'm gonna take the first five money if

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Speaker 2: it's tied after five, we push, okay, need a good

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Speaker 2: outing for Corbyn Burns okay, but two nothing two to

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Speaker 2: one the under the decent play in this game as well.

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Speaker 2: But I'm going to go first five money line at

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Speaker 2: plus one fifteen for the Brewers to be leading after five.

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Speaker 1: The Dodgers very well might.

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Speaker 2: Come from behind on the on the bullpen of the

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Speaker 2: Brewers and win this game to win eleven. But I

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Speaker 2: think the Brewers at plus money at plus one point

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Speaker 2: fifteen not a bad play. One unit Brewers first five.

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Speaker 2: Corbyn Burns up against Lance Lynn. He's due for a

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Speaker 2: bad start. Dodgers' bats are due to cool off here

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Speaker 2: Burns and the Brewers money line not run line money

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Speaker 2: line burst five that would get us a push if

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Speaker 2: it's tied after five. And lastly, we are going to

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Speaker 2: the Mets and the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: Did you know?

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Speaker 2: So far this season the Cardinals at home are thirty

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Speaker 2: two twenty six and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: The Mets on.

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Speaker 2: The road not great, but not horrible thirty one twenty

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Speaker 2: nine and two. They are an over team on the

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Speaker 2: road for the most part this season, but it's the

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Speaker 2: starting pitching that really gets us going here and their

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Speaker 2: bullpens for that matter, total is ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: The Cardinals are throwing Adam Wainwright, who has an ERA

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Speaker 2: of eight point seven eights up against Josekintana, who's zero

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Speaker 2: to four with a three point zero three ERA. At home,

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Speaker 2: Adam Wainwright has a ridiculous nine twenty six ERA. He's

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Speaker 2: one in five on the year with an opposing batting

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Speaker 2: average of three eighty nine whoa thirty six earned runs

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Speaker 2: in thirty five innings worth of work. He's just pitching

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Speaker 2: out the contract. This will be his last year in

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Speaker 2: the Biggs. Josekintana for the Mets hasn't been much better

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Speaker 2: to be white honest.

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Speaker 1: He's oh and four we at three point zero three ERA.

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Speaker 2: Quintana on the road as a three through a three

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Speaker 2: point three eight ERA oh and two, posting betting average

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Speaker 2: two sixty one, eighteen hits in eighteen innings, eight runs,

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Speaker 2: seven earned given up in eighteen innings worth of work.

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Speaker 1: He was decent.

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Speaker 2: It has been somewhat decent over the last two starts

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Speaker 2: three two and one earned runs over his last three starts,

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Speaker 2: but he's ozh to four. As I mentioned posting batting average.

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Speaker 2: He lost six two nothing in seven to six because

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Speaker 2: the bullpen is not very good for the New York Mets.

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Speaker 2: Total is ten and a half. Expect the Cardinals to

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Speaker 2: score a bunch. Expect the Mets to score a bunch.

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Speaker 2: I'm going over ten and a half. I know it's

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Speaker 2: a little bit high, but I'm betting over ten and

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Speaker 2: a half here in this one just because I don't

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Speaker 2: think either team's going to slow the one down. It's

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Speaker 2: justice to the under it fandle we get minus one

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Speaker 2: oh four odds, which I like over ten and a

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Speaker 2: half Mets and the Cardinals here at one point zero

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Speaker 2: four units down. All right, three bets going for us

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Speaker 2: here on a Thursday. If we go three to oh win,

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Speaker 2: all three were some plus money coming back, so we

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Speaker 2: would do well there.

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Speaker 1: But we'll be positive into the black for the week.

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Speaker 2: If we can pull it off win a unit here,

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Speaker 2: we'll cut the deficit nearly in half and we'll be

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Speaker 2: heading towards the weekend with a chance to have a

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Speaker 2: winning week. So hopefully at two in one mark three

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Speaker 2: and oh hopefully as well over ten and a half

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Speaker 2: minus one oh four Mets and the Cardinals. We are

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Speaker 2: going the Vegas Aces at minus six at minus one

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Speaker 2: ten one point one units there and the Brewers first

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Speaker 2: five money line late game at the LA Dodgers at

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Speaker 2: plus one point fifteen. We're gonna go against everybody with

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Speaker 2: the trend there for that. If I add anything, we'll

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Speaker 2: go to the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat

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Speaker 2: to join for free. The first half under for Thursday

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Speaker 2: Night Football may not be a bad play, but I'm

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Speaker 2: zero in three betting sides and totals in the preseason,

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Speaker 2: so I'm gonna stay away officially.

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Speaker 1: From that a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do my own little bit of research here

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Speaker 2: on Thursday and Friday. Maybe on Saturday we'll come back

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Speaker 2: with an official play. But if I was gonna play

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Speaker 2: something in that game, first half under would be a

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Speaker 2: decent play. Between the Browns and the Eagles, total is

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Speaker 2: thirty seven ish, so we probably let's see offish now

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Speaker 2: right now the total is now, let me see here

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Speaker 2: preseason for the game, it's thirty eight now at DraftKings

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Speaker 2: we'll probably get a twenty maybe in the first half,

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Speaker 2: so under first half is probably a decent play. But

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Speaker 2: I want to watch that game, watch some games on Friday,

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Speaker 2: and then see what we do coming in on Saturday,

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Speaker 2: because we've got a bunch of games Patriots and the

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Speaker 2: Packers and the Chiefs and the Cardinals and Raiders and

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Speaker 2: the Rams and Seahawks, Cowboys and whatnot. Monday Night is

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Speaker 2: Ravens against the Commanders. You already know what we're all betting.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna lay the three there with the Ravens at

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Speaker 2: the Commanders for the second preseason game. So min as

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Speaker 2: Matt parlt to guess and follow me on socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt each and every morning. The Dilijuce podcast

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Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by olmahs takes dot

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Speaker 2: com