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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys, what's up? Welcome in to another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. I am your host every

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Speaker 1: single morning. My name is Matt Pearolt. How are you

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk? Matt to follow me across all socials.

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Speaker 1: So we are here on a Sunday. The week rides

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Speaker 1: on today. Man alive. I don't know NFL football and me.

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Speaker 1: We've not been friends, but we are friends with Omaha Steaks.

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Speaker 1: They are the title sponsor of this podcast. Every day,

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Speaker 1: every morning. There are semi annual sales going on right now.

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com ship directly to your door in a

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Speaker 1: stick these boxes right into your freezer. I still have

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Speaker 1: some in my personal freezer. It is time to eat.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to October. It's the fall.

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Speaker 2: I live in.

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Speaker 1: Vegas, so fall here is you know, fifty five sixty

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Speaker 1: five degree weather in the morning, eighty five degrees in

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Speaker 1: the afternoon. But it's nice to get up. If you're

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Speaker 1: gonna get up, well, why not tune into the Bedding

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL Live show with myself. We are rotating different

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Speaker 1: guests every week. We'll have different people stopping on by

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Speaker 1: and being a part of this podcast or this live stream.

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Speaker 1: Tomorrow morning, though, I'll be hosting it with you guys

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Speaker 1: at noon Eastern at nine am Pacific time. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: get up, I'm gonna do a workout. I'm gonna get

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Speaker 1: motivated Tomorrow. I'm gonna attack the board more so than

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Speaker 1: I normally. There are so many games that could qualify

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Speaker 1: for a long teaser tomorrow. I'm teasing so many games,

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Speaker 1: like it's kind of stupid. I think if the books

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Speaker 1: are right and we're going to be in for a

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Speaker 1: ton of one score games, I think there is a

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Speaker 1: ton of value in moving numbers, you know, moving the

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Speaker 1: Patriots number and moving the Falcons number. Falcons are playing

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Speaker 1: early here in London. Three give them nine nine points?

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Speaker 1: Can the Falcons? Can the Jags win a game by

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Speaker 1: ten points? They can?

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Speaker 2: Will they? I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Falcons might win that game out right. I have no

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Speaker 1: idea what the Jaguars will look like. Everyone's like the

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Speaker 1: Jags have experience. Okay, Falcons are going to try to

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Speaker 1: run the ball. You like that passing attack for the Jaguars. Yikes,

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Speaker 1: it's been oh boy, I mean, talk about a fraudulent

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Speaker 1: start to a season. I love the Jags in the offseason.

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Speaker 1: They are falling flat on their face right now. Joe

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Speaker 1: looks great. The Houston Texans. I'm about teasing the Texans

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Speaker 1: plus three up to nine. I know their offensive line

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Speaker 1: is a mess. I know it's TJ. Watt, I get

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Speaker 1: all of that. But they're receivers, man, they might be

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Speaker 1: able to really, I mean, Nico Collins and Tank Dell

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Speaker 1: all right might have something there if you can get CJ.

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Speaker 2: Stroud to get the ball out quickly.

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Speaker 1: So just saying, a lot of games, a lot of totals,

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Speaker 1: a lot of things you can play with, a lot

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Speaker 1: of games you can jump into.

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Speaker 2: All right. So we went two and two yesterday.

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Speaker 1: This is why I don't like betting four because when

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Speaker 1: you go two and two, it's down on point two.

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Speaker 1: So it's a losing day technically, but not really. And

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Speaker 1: so everything rolls here into Sunday. Not good for me

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Speaker 1: because of what I've done in the NFL. Maybe this

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Speaker 1: is the start of the rebuild. Maybe this is a

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Speaker 1: way of getting ourselves up and out of the hole

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Speaker 1: that I have put ourselves in here with the NFL.

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Speaker 1: But long teasers zero to three. My personal teaser is

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Speaker 1: two and one. I'll have another one. We should be

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Speaker 1: three and oh we got you know, thanks to the Bears,

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Speaker 1: but we should be three. Oh, so we'll see what

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Speaker 1: happens with that. I got one there here for you guys.

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Speaker 1: I've got two plays as well. I'll have four NFL

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Speaker 1: player props. We're going to bet a quarter unit to

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Speaker 1: win a quarter unit and all those player props. I'll

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Speaker 1: give those two coming up in the live stream this

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Speaker 1: morning Betting Pro's YouTube channel for the live stream again

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Speaker 1: at New and Eastern, and then i'll give you the

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Speaker 1: long teaser, which you can fade kind of. It's hard

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Speaker 1: to fade a long teaser. But I just you know,

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Speaker 1: I have been nice, but I'll fire on it again.

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Speaker 1: I have got I think right now, I've got I

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Speaker 1: closed the night last night with a nice win with

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Speaker 1: the Charlo and Canelo over so I hit that so

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Speaker 1: then I flipped that around the money I won there.

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Speaker 1: I just started firing on teasers, and I think I

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Speaker 1: have four teasers already in play.

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Speaker 2: For tomorrow or for today. I'm gonna give you one,

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Speaker 2: the one I like the best.

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Speaker 1: I'll make that official, and then I've got two other

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Speaker 1: plays to give you, guys coming up here right now. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's start with the Cowboys and the Patriots. Totals forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. The Patriots offense is anemic, like

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Speaker 1: they can't score. Are they gonna score against the Cowboys?

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Speaker 1: I don't think so. Now they might the game, Okay,

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Speaker 1: they could. They could cover the six points, very possible.

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Speaker 1: You could tease the Patriots up to twelve. The totals

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Speaker 1: forty three and a half. Okay, forty four is a

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Speaker 1: key number. If you can get forty four, that's great.

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Speaker 1: But the books, whenever they go to forty four, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get hit immediately by the pros to the under. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Patriots are two and one to the under on the

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Speaker 1: year so far. The Cowboys are two and one to

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Speaker 1: the over so far this year. Patriots on the road

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Speaker 1: last week held the Cowboys, sorry held the Jets rather

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Speaker 1: under ten points. Patriots scored fifteen points, though it looked

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Speaker 1: great offensively against a pretty good Jets defense. Cowboys last

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Speaker 1: two games have gone over for them, but it's level

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Speaker 1: of competition that they're playing. They lost last week against

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. They're coming back home, you know, they're ticked

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Speaker 1: off and they're angry. Patriots offensive line has not been good.

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Speaker 1: It's been a problem, and they're only averaging seventeen point

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Speaker 1: three points per game. Patriots have to play incredible defense

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Speaker 1: against Dak Prescott, but I think they will Dak to

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Speaker 1: throw a pick.

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Speaker 2: I like that prop.

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Speaker 1: Dallas is averaging twenty eight point five points per game.

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Speaker 1: But really the level of competition, it's a little bit

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Speaker 1: hard to really get a great read the Giants or

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Speaker 1: garbage the Jets are, you know, not the Jets. The

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Speaker 1: Cardinals are not that good for getting the third game

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Speaker 1: that the second game for the Cowboys at which they played,

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Speaker 1: they played the Jets, right, I think they played the Jets. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: So just not a good start to the year for Dallas.

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Speaker 1: Let me double check on that. Dallas played up against

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Speaker 1: yeah Jets, Okay, that's right. So Giants Jets Arizona. So

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Speaker 1: I mean they scored forty thirty and sixteen. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what to make of their offense, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 1: it looks okay but not great.

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Speaker 2: This is the return of Ezekiel Elliott.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna bet on Zeke, right, They're gonna do some

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Speaker 1: video tribute to Ezekiel Elliott before the game, and Belichick's

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Speaker 1: gonna feed the ball in the red zone to Elliott.

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Speaker 2: Maybe.

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Speaker 1: I think the safest bet in this game, though, is

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Speaker 1: the under Patriots have to play great defense. Patriots have

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Speaker 1: got to turn the football over and help their offense out.

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Speaker 1: Got to get a big player too in special teams.

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Speaker 1: But I think this is like a twenty to ten

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Speaker 1: type of game, twenty to thirteen type of game. I

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Speaker 1: don't think we get into the forties from a total perspective.

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Speaker 1: And if so, I mean, if Dallas scores twenty four points,

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Speaker 1: it's a rap and the Patriots know that. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, twenty four twenty is really possible. Okay, that

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Speaker 1: would burn this if that have, But twenty seventeen is

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Speaker 1: equally really possible. I don't mind again teasing the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: but I think the better plays is to take the

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Speaker 1: under Patriots and the Cowboys under forty three and a

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Speaker 1: half for one point one units. Now the game of

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Speaker 1: the day is the Bills in the Miami Dolphins numbers

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Everyone who is a public square,

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Speaker 1: they're all going to take Miami plus the points or

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Speaker 1: they're teasing Miami plus to eight eight and a half

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Speaker 1: because they just scored seventy points up against the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: The Bills know this. This is a monster game for Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo went on the road and a night the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: Their defense played really well. Now it's Sam Howell and

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Speaker 1: the offense for the Commanders. I understand that, but I

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Speaker 1: really think not that this is like a flex, but

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Speaker 1: I think Buffalo and Miami will split this year. I

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Speaker 1: think Buffalo wins their home game and I think Miami

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Speaker 1: wins their home game. It's gonna come down to the

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Speaker 1: other games as to who wins the AFC East. So here,

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Speaker 1: even though the weather won't be conducive to a Bills game,

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Speaker 1: the Bills would much rather have this be in December

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Speaker 1: when it's raining, cold, nasty, and have Miami play like that.

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Speaker 1: Pretty good conditions in Buffalo. It's going to be, you know,

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Speaker 1: if Tuoa gets time two is gonna score. I don't

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Speaker 1: mind betting the over in this game. It's fifty three

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Speaker 1: and a half though it's really high. I'd rather just

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Speaker 1: take the Bills and lay the two and a half points. Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: I think will move the football. We've already seen a

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Speaker 1: passing attack led by Justin Herbert score thirty four points

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Speaker 1: at home against this Dolphins defense. I think the similar

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Speaker 1: thing is going to happen here. I think the Bills

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Speaker 1: are going to score. I think the Bills could score

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Speaker 1: a lot. Dolphins. Look, Tyreek Hill can be taken out.

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Speaker 1: We saw Patriots did it. Patriots gave the blueprints.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't if you can mimick it or not with Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: but their defense is good. They gotta get after Tua.

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Speaker 1: They gotta hit Tua. If they can hit Tua and

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Speaker 1: disrupt him, you gotta watch out for Raheem Mostert, who's

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Speaker 1: been tremendous this year. Raheem Moster anytime touchdown is probably

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Speaker 1: a good play after what happened yesterday or last week. Rather,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna feed them the football. I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: two and a half points. I'm gonna take Buffalo minus two.

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Speaker 1: And a half at home against the Miami Dolphins. Look,

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Speaker 1: you can fade away here again. You can take the

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Speaker 1: over in the Cowboys game. You can take the plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half with Miami take money line Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: You aren't gonna offend me at all if you fade me.

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Speaker 1: I have not been good in the NFL, so I

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent understand where you might be like, Ah,

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Speaker 1: this guy's awful.

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Speaker 2: Be it fatal.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I'll give you. I've been very good in college football,

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Speaker 1: not been good in the NFL. So I own my record.

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Speaker 1: I own what I do. I'm here every Sunday firing

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Speaker 1: bets and telling you guys when I am playing and

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Speaker 1: when I have bet.

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Speaker 2: What you do with that information is up to you.

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Speaker 1: Now, the teaser i'm gonna put out there, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Ravens and the Chargers. I'm gonna fade hurt quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Jimmy g is not playing for the Raiders. The total

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Speaker 1: that numbers up to six, Now, I'm gonna pull that

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Speaker 1: down Chargers to a pick. If it's six and a half,

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Speaker 1: pull it down to a half a point. It's the

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Speaker 1: same bet Chargers need to win the game. Okay, Chargers

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Speaker 1: I think will win the game. It could be a

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Speaker 1: one score game, Okay, could be by three. I don't

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Speaker 1: Aidan O'Connell could play. If it's Brian Hoyer, it's an

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Speaker 1: absolute route. Okay, I'm a Patriot fan. Okay, Brian Hoyer.

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Speaker 1: We've watched Brian Hoyer for a long time. He is

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Speaker 1: a break glass type of quarterback. He's not gonna beat

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Speaker 1: the Chargers on the road. Okay, it's not what he's

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Speaker 1: going to do. I would start Aidan O'Connell. He looked tremendous,

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Speaker 1: but it would be a first start in the NFL

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Speaker 1: on the road at the Chargers. Now, there's gonna be

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Speaker 1: nothing but black in that stadium. Okay, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: all Raider fans. LA is gonna be invaded. That is

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Speaker 1: not a Charger crowd. It's gonna be seventy thirty Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas Raider fans, not from Vegas, but those who live

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Speaker 1: live in the LA area who are Okay, that's going

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Speaker 1: to be a very interesting atmosphere. But you have Justin

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Speaker 1: Herbert and I know mich Williams is out for the year,

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Speaker 1: but man alive. Do they have weapons? And I know

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Speaker 1: Austin Neck was not there, but man alive do they

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Speaker 1: have weapons? And the defense for the Raiders is not good. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's just call a Spain. Max Crosby's phenomenal great player,

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Speaker 1: secondary not great. Josh McDaniels not great. Now Brandon's Daley

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Speaker 1: is even worse than Josh McDaniels, which is amazing hard

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Speaker 1: to say, but it's true. It's absolutely the truth. So

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Speaker 1: hopefully we don't get in a situation like we had

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Speaker 1: last week with the Chargers, you know, going for it

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Speaker 1: inside their own thirty yard line on fourth down and

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Speaker 1: turning the ball over the Raiders. Hopefully we don't see that,

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Speaker 1: but this just turns into a Charger's money line play

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Speaker 1: here by teasing it down. And on the other side,

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson's not healthy. I mean he's he's hurt and

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Speaker 1: the number tells you he's hurt because we're seeing money

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Speaker 1: coming in here on the Ravens. Even though the Ravens

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Speaker 1: are down offensive linemen, they're down two very key key

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Speaker 1: players on defense here, and the Browns defense has been

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Speaker 1: absolutely tremendous. Top rated defense the first three weeks has

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Speaker 1: been the Cleveland Browns and Watson might need to pull

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Speaker 1: I mean, sorry, Lamar Jackson might needs to pull a

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Speaker 1: Superman act here. He may need to run around do

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Speaker 1: all sort of crazy things. But this number has been

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Speaker 1: crashing for a reason. I like the Ravens here plus

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. Tease them up from plus two

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Speaker 1: and a half two plus eight and a half. I

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Speaker 1: don't know who the Browns will play at quarterback if

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Speaker 1: it's not going to be Watson. If it is Watson,

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Speaker 1: he may take a hit or two. We know what

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Speaker 1: the Ravens do in this rivalry. This is a Black

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Speaker 1: and Blue Division game, low, low scoring game. Mins one

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Speaker 1: twenty Ravens plus eight and a half Chargers pick here

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Speaker 1: for one point two units. Again, I'm two and one

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Speaker 1: on my official teasers on the year. I'm zero to

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Speaker 1: three on long teasers. But again, Atlanta, you can tease

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Speaker 1: them up. Patriots, you can tease them up. You could

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Speaker 1: take the Browns and the ray You could tease them

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Speaker 1: up to forty five and take the under don't mind

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Speaker 1: that you could take the Texans at plus three and

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Speaker 1: tease them up to nine. I don't mind that you

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Speaker 1: can do that as well. I've got personal plays, I

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Speaker 1: got bets going all over the place. I think moving

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Speaker 1: the number this week. If you like teasers and you

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Speaker 1: can find I mean, DraftKings is minus one twenty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So if you're unsure of numbers an you want to

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Speaker 1: move them around.

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Speaker 2: This is what I do.

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Speaker 1: Call me a square, call me stupid, whatever you want,

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Speaker 1: but DraftKings gives you misus one twenty, and I think

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Speaker 1: that's decent. Remember every time you add a leg, it

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Speaker 1: makes it more difficult. So I don't recommend doing three

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Speaker 1: leg teasers. I don't recommend doing four leg or five

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Speaker 1: leg or six leg. You know, I don't recommend doing

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Speaker 1: six leg moneyline parlays. I don't recommend any of that.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I'm a relatively conservative gambler, but I also try to

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Speaker 1: keep the odds not so. You know, if it's twelve

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Speaker 1: dollars against ten, that's as bad as I want to

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Speaker 1: make it, Okay, thirty thirteen fourteen, fifteen dollars against ten. No,

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Speaker 1: don't like it at all. Okay, But there are so

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Speaker 1: many low totals in the NFL. I mean, Ravens and

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Speaker 1: Browns is down to thirty eight and a half. Washington

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Speaker 1: in Philadelphia is forty three and a half. Tampa in

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Speaker 1: the Bucks is thirty nine and a half, Vikings, Panthers

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Speaker 1: forty six and a half, Rams, Colts forty five and

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Speaker 1: a half, Steelers, Texans forty one and a half, Falcons,

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Speaker 1: Jags forty three, Bengals, Titans forty one, even the Raiders

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Speaker 1: and the Chargers forty eight and a half, forty three

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Speaker 1: and a half, Patriots, Cowboys forty three and a half,

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Speaker 1: Cardinals and the forty nine Ers. By the way, you

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Speaker 1: can tease the Cardinals up to plus twenty. I don't

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Speaker 1: mind that at all. Cardinals plus twenty. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the Niners. I don't know the line the San fran wins.

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Speaker 1: I only go to cover that fourteen points, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest, unless the Cardinals just pukel over themselves because

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Speaker 1: of the fact that I don't think San Frans gonna

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Speaker 1: play Deebo Samuel Chiefs, even the Chiefs and the Jets.

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Speaker 1: It's forty one and a half. Why am I pointing

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Speaker 1: this out? Because Wong Teasers are forty nine or under,

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Speaker 1: like they're all qualifying, Like every game is qualifying except

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Speaker 1: for the Bill and the Dolphins. Every game right now

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Speaker 1: on the docket for Sunday is qualified for a long teaser.

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Speaker 1: So now we're looking at the numbers, right, so you

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Speaker 1: are trying to trying to find the two and a

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Speaker 1: half the plus ones. Don't take the Rams up to

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Speaker 1: up to from plus plus one to seven.

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Speaker 2: You take the Eagles from eight and a half, you.

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Speaker 1: Pull that down, You pull that down to put to

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Speaker 1: two into minus two and a half for the Eagles

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Speaker 1: against the Commanders. You know, if you would you put

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Speaker 1: a gun to my head right now and said, what's

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Speaker 1: the long teaser going to be right now? My inclination

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Speaker 1: is to say Philadelphia minus two and a half and

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Speaker 1: then probably maybe can't know that I can't do cancer.

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Speaker 1: It's gotta be in the same timeframe. So that's gotta

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Speaker 1: be a one o'clock kick to go up against it,

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Speaker 1: it would probably have to be the Rams at plus one,

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Speaker 1: the Rams up to seven. Take the Rams plus seven

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Speaker 1: on the road, even with Richardson coming back and playing,

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Speaker 1: unless we see move in here and the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: it doesn't qualify as we see movement on the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: start on the Texans rather and it drops down back

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Speaker 1: down off of three to two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Take the Texans and tease them up to eight and

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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 1: You can do that, that will qualify, but you got

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Speaker 1: to get get below three, so probably would be the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: We're already teasing it up at eight and a half though,

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Speaker 1: so I don't really love to do that. Oh Titans,

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Speaker 1: there we go. Okay, so odd teas the Titans up

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Speaker 1: to eight and a half. So Titans plus eight and

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Speaker 1: a half and take the Eagles down to two and

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Speaker 1: a half. That's probably right now. If I had to

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Speaker 1: do the wrong teaser, that's probably what it will be.

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Speaker 1: But to find out the official play, you'll have to

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Speaker 1: turn into the live stream at noon Eastern on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. Again, we are going under forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half Patriots and the Cowboys Bills minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half, Ravens plus eight and a half

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Speaker 1: Chargers pick for the teaser, we are putting three point

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Speaker 1: four units in play officially here for us on a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: I'll touch you at noon Eastern for the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: live stream.

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Speaker 2: Tune in more picks and plays and proper coming at you. Then.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolog. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: on socials at sports Talk Matt each and every morning.

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Speaker 1: The Daily News podcast was being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: Omaha Steaks dot com