1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the million Dollar Super Contest. Addition, 2 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: I am Chad Moman from the Action Network. I am 3 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: joined by black Jack Fletcher, my brother at the Action Network. 4 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: It's nine twenty on a Thursday morning. He's half a 5 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: banquet beer in has another one on the table. Is 6 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: how we live life around here. This is what This 7 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: is the fuel that is going to give us the 8 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 1: energy to get these winds and get that million dollars. Yeah. 9 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: If I'm a listener to this podcast, I'm thinking so wait, 10 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:42,319 Speaker 1: I'm betting on the guy with a made up name 11 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: who's half drunk. First of all, if you think a 12 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: half of beer gets me half drunk, you don't know 13 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: me that well. Second of all, made up name, kind 14 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: of a name is Chad. I never met a guy 15 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: named Chad that I liked. Two deep family history listen. 16 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: If this is your first time listening to us, well 17 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: shame on you. But here's how it works. Every Friday morning, 18 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: we are going to discuss the entire weekly slate of 19 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: NFL games. Black Jack and I my nemesis. We have 20 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: to agree on five games against the spread, and from 21 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: those from this list, these five games, we submit these 22 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: to the West Gate Las Vegas Super Contest, five picks 23 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 1: against the spread. We are trying to win one point 24 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: four million dollars black jack, one point four million dollars 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: a lot of course. Uh, listen, the first week, we're 26 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:36,400 Speaker 1: gonna get this done fast. Last week, I think we 27 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: got it done on like less than forty minutes. Because 28 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: there's not every game it's going to be worth talking about. 29 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: We're gonna try to do a fast again this week. 30 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: Last week did not go well for us, and so 31 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: we're a little bit behind the eight ball. And you were, 32 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: you were like, listen, sober, this is where I like 33 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: to be. All right, Our backs against the wall suck? 34 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 1: That did we did? Georgina say hello to Georgina, Georgina, 35 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: good morning black Jack. Flansher, thank you, Hello, million Monster. 36 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: I love the mill. Monster made several double ententres about 37 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 1: that around the office. Um, yeah, our backs against the walchat. 38 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: But that's that's I thrive under pressure. This is where 39 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: I need to be. Okay, you know, this is this 40 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: is where you you see what kind of a man 41 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 1: you really are. It's true last year you were an 42 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: unemployed lawyer trying to make your living as a gambler, 43 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: and now you are doing this this, now you are 44 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 1: doing this for a living. And I don't know if 45 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: that says a lot about your perseverance or how desperate 46 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: we were, but I think a little bit of about 47 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: I think listen, we went one three and one last week. 48 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: Last week we won the Bengals, which I convinced you 49 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: to take, convinced you to take. Congratulations, and congratulations to 50 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: me for being convinced on that. We lost the Titans. 51 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: We lost the Titans. That was ugly. We lost the Steelers. Um, 52 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: that was a game that you were adamant that we take. 53 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: I I believe if we had to play, a highlight 54 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: would be like, it's the Steelers against the Browns. The 55 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: Steelers against the Browns. Already, it's all you need to know. 56 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: And I'll remind you. I'll remind you that it was 57 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: a bad pick and that I was all over the Browns, 58 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 1: and that like you were, so you bullieve me. It 59 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:16,519 Speaker 1: was taking that hold on, gonna let yourself be bullied. 60 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: The last the last pick. The last pick was the Giants, 61 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: which we both loved, beating the Jaguars. That one was ugly. 62 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 1: And then we pushed on the Denver Broncos. Um, we 63 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: got lucky on that one, brother, Yeah we did. We 64 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: should not have come even close to push. No, but 65 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: it's a wash because we should have won the Pittsburgh game. 66 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: That's even a two touchdown leading the fourth quarter. All right, 67 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 1: you you were right for the wrong reasons. You were 68 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: high on the Browns. The Browns still stink, They're still terrible. 69 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: The Steelers did everything in their power to give that 70 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: game away in Cleveland, still couldn't win it. Here's the truth, Blackjack, 71 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: and I say this often on my UH podcast with 72 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: Bob Scucci, which you can live podcasts. That's three. You 73 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: can listen to all three of the Favorites podcasts on Monday, 74 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday. On Wednesdays, I do it with obscuoci 75 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: the bookmaker to the world UH. And as we often say, 76 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: the right side is the winning side. So there is 77 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: no should have won. We didn't win, and now we 78 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: got to win. Well, we also shouldn't have lost the 79 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: Denver game. Though we did lose the Denver game. It 80 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: was a push m push as good as a loss 81 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 1: in this game. Didn't win, didn't get any money. Are 82 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,720 Speaker 1: you want to move on? A week two. It's time 83 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: to roll Georgina. What do you got cheese at Steelers 84 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: Steelers by four. Yeah, I gotta go with the Steelers 85 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: on this one. So here's why, here's why this is 86 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 1: Week two is over reaction week. So last week, the 87 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: Steelers push, the Steelers tie the Browns. They were anywhere 88 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: from six and a half to three and a half 89 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: point favorites before that game started. They were up by 90 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: fourteen points in the fourth quarter of a game that 91 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,919 Speaker 1: was being played in terrible conditions, and they kind of 92 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: just shipped the bed right. They had some bad turnovers, 93 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: couldn't get out of the Browns half of the field, 94 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:11,039 Speaker 1: really couldn't get out of the twenty yard line, and 95 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: the Browns made the right place and they tied the game, 96 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: and they ended up tying the game after the overtime. 97 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: Kansas City comes out and beats a team that had 98 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:24,280 Speaker 1: huge public sentiment in the Chargers. Uh and Mahomes looked amazing. 99 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: I think this line started. It started at I think 100 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: the Steelers were five and a half. Then it got 101 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: that down to five. Now it's at four in the 102 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: super Contest lines, and just for everybody's sake, so they 103 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: know Super contest lines are set and like they don't change. 104 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: So these lines are moving all over the place. We're 105 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: only betting against super contest lines on this podcast. I 106 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 1: like the Steelers minus four. I leaned that way. Um, 107 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 1: I think, to your credit, everything you just said is right. 108 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: It's over reaction. Everyone is gonna look at what Kansas 109 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,599 Speaker 1: City didn't say. You know, they have this dynamic offense. 110 00:05:56,640 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: My homes through the ball all over the place. The 111 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 1: Steelers just absolutely tried to give that game away. I 112 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: leen Pittsburgh. I'm just not sold on it quite yet. 113 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: So that's a maybe. First so of the picks to 114 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 1: win one point four million dollars, that is a maybe. 115 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: I'm looking right now because I'm looking at the Action 116 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: Network app, which has so much good stuff. We can 117 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: see great app. It's a great app. And we can 118 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: see like the number of tickets being better on each game. 119 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,239 Speaker 1: We can see the percentage of the money on each game. 120 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: We can see the bet volume on in each game. 121 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: Right now, in this game, this is the most heavily 122 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: bet game, of the money of the tickets are coming 123 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: in in Kansas City. Of the money are coming in 124 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: Kansas City. That's what worries me a little bit because 125 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 1: of the money. Normally the money indicates wise guy action, 126 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: but I thought I think that action was coming in 127 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: at like when it was said at five. Yeah, I 128 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: said that that line has moved all over the place. 129 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: And actually I said to Scooch on the on the 130 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 1: Wednesday podcast, Um, if this game got to three and 131 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: a half or four, it would be hard for me 132 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: not to bet this here. Yeah, at four, I I 133 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: lean that way, all right. I wouldn't have liked it 134 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: at five. It's a maybe. It's a maybe Indian Atlace 135 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 1: at Washington, Skins by six. I like the Colts here. 136 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: As you mentioned over reaction use zig when everyone else 137 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 1: z eggs right. Everyone saw the Colts flues to the Bengals. 138 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: They saw the Redskins go out in Arizona, put up 139 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 1: a very nice offensive performance. Everyone likes the Redskins here. 140 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: I like the Colts. Colts and six points six to 141 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: me is the number I like this game at. I 142 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: didn't really like it at lower than that, but it's six. 143 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 1: I think that there's a lot of value in the Colts. 144 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: They will score all right. Andrew Luck looks like he's 145 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: kind of back to himself. I think the Colts will 146 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: be able to put up enough points. Alex Smith will 147 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 1: be reliable, He'll get the Redskins down the field. But 148 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 1: it's not gonna be a big play offense, not gonna 149 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 1: run away with this thing. Everyone's jumping on the Redskins. 150 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: I like the Colts. Here's what worries me. I agree, 151 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: I completely agree. Um, I think the Beers are making 152 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: you a little soft. But here's my thinking on this. Also, like, 153 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:11,679 Speaker 1: here's my thing, here's my thing. I watched that Bengals 154 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: close game last week because it was the only game 155 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: we were winning, and it was the game that I 156 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: forced you to choose. And um, I was desperately nervous 157 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: that Andrew Luck was gonna win that game and it 158 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 1: was gonna being a push for us, like they were 159 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: up what they were Upree, No, I forgot what I 160 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 1: think the Bengals. And Andrew Luck was driving the ball. 161 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: If that if that tight end Jack Jack Doyle doesn't 162 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 1: fumble the ball, Uh, I think they're gonna score touchdown, 163 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 1: and I think they're gonna win that game. And Andrew 164 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: Luck just looked like Andrew Luck. And this game is 165 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: inflated for two reasons. The Colts lost to the Bengals 166 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:54,200 Speaker 1: as favorites, and the Redskins beat up on the Cardinals 167 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,320 Speaker 1: on the road, and so you're getting just like these huge, 168 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: huge numbers coming out that are just way way off. 169 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: I think this is a yes for us. I think 170 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: so two. I like the Cults. Plus, I think we've 171 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: got one game. Colts plus six. Georgina tell us about 172 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles at Buccaneers. Eagles by three and a half. 173 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: I want no part of this. I hate this game. 174 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 1: Wow do I hate this game. I want no part 175 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: of this. It's so interesting because this is a game 176 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 1: where before the Week one games were played, the Eagles 177 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: would have been six point favorites, and the Eagles look 178 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 1: like crap against the Falcons and Tampa Bay right offensively, 179 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay blows up the Saints, who including everyone thinks, 180 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: including myself, could be a Super Bowl contender. I haven't 181 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: been win the Super Bowl. So this game is now 182 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,880 Speaker 1: at three and a half. Um, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 183 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: underdogs at home. Here's what worries me about this again. 184 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to look at our Action Network app right, 185 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: because one of the things that bugs me, that that 186 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: worries me is when you got a game where of 187 00:09:59,920 --> 00:10:04,359 Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the road favorite historically 188 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: the president there is that the is that the home 189 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 1: underdog covers. And so as much as I like the 190 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: Eagles and they are the better team in every scenario, 191 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: I cannot bet against the Buccaneers in this scenario. I 192 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: can't bet against any team in this scenario. I just 193 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,960 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say I can't against this in any scenario, 194 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 1: but in this scenario this makes me nervous. And I 195 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: don't really know why, because you look at this is 196 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: one of those trap lines, right like you look at 197 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: it Philly minus three, and it feels like there's a layup, 198 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 1: right but it's not, and you know it's not going 199 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 1: to be a layup. I don't know Ryan Fitzpatrick. He's 200 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 1: got magic in that beard. I don't know what's going 201 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 1: on with him, but I'm not going against him right now. 202 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 1: And I'm also just not comfortable taking Tampa. I want 203 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: to know part of this, Georgina. Let's go to the 204 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: next game. Dolphins at j E t asked Jets to 205 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 1: it Hu. That sounds like someone who's married to a 206 00:10:55,880 --> 00:11:00,320 Speaker 1: Jets fan. That's what I'm sorry. The way that she 207 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 1: said that, Um, this is an interesting game. Look, I 208 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 1: think the bookmakers posted a bad line. This game opened 209 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 1: at Jets minus three, and that was entirely because the 210 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 1: Jets beat the crap out of the Lions Onner Night 211 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:17,079 Speaker 1: Football and immediately got that down to two and a half. 212 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 1: And that's what the west Gate posted because they posted 213 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 1: him on you know, Wednesday night. Um, I like the 214 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:25,839 Speaker 1: Dolphins at three. I don't like him at two and 215 00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, I God, damn it, I agree with 216 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 1: you again. Um yeah, the the look aheadline on this 217 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: was a pick. It was a pick, and then the 218 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 1: Jets blew the Lions out. Went to three. Seriously, now 219 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 1: it's two and a half. At three, I bet the 220 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 1: Dolphins at three. I took the three about them. But 221 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: at two and a half, I don't know. I think 222 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: instinctively I think the Dolphins win this game. I don't 223 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: think the Jets start two and oh. But I don't 224 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: want to wager one point four million dollars. Not it's 225 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: not a one point four million dollar wager for me. No, 226 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: it's not there. Oh boy. Georgie challenges at Bill's Challenges 227 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 1: by seven. I liked it last week when she would say, 228 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:14,480 Speaker 1: Los Angeles, can we get her to start saying that again? 229 00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 1: Production note, yeah, can the producers get on that please. 230 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:27,719 Speaker 1: That sound is Blackjack vaping because it's not enough to 231 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 1: crack open two beers at nine thirty in the morning. 232 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:36,840 Speaker 1: He needs his mango flavored nicotine to really get himself 233 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: going to make the best decisions possible. This is this 234 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: is what you want out of me, all right? You 235 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 1: want me at my peak, and my peak is slightly inebriated. 236 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: I also love how like you're barely button in your 237 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 1: shirt right now. I'm got undo some more if you like, 238 00:12:54,600 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 1: get this real sexy, get a real sexy in here. Um. 239 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 1: The Los Angeles Chargers are at Buffalo the Josh Allen's 240 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: This is a train wreck of a team train wreck. 241 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: Who's the Chargers? Yeah, no, the Bills. And this is 242 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 1: also one of those games where you're gonna get the world. 243 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: You're gonna get a road favorite. That is getting of 244 00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: the action against a huge that's a bullshit. It's not 245 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: that that's like spend three days in Vegas. That is 246 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:33,439 Speaker 1: the squarest thing. Ever. That's what everybody says when they're 247 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 1: talking about these games, like, well, the ten o'clock star 248 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 1: for this team. You don't know that because you don't 249 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 1: You're sitting there up and your mansion, coge Connecticut, playing 250 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 1: Mr Mom. You don't know what it's like in the 251 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 1: real world. I know in the real world, if someone 252 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,200 Speaker 1: tested that theory, which you could go do through beat Labs, 253 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: which is uh is that a part of the Action network, 254 00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 1: part of the Action network, you would know that, like 255 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: the whole idea of West Coast teams. It's a fallacy. 256 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: You know why. You know why you just said fallacy. 257 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:14,559 Speaker 1: I said fallacy, right, it's a little fallacy. Bookmakers build 258 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: that into the line. Okay, are you getting to a 259 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: point here? I don't want anything to do with this game. 260 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: Eight percent of the money, eighty eight percent of the 261 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: money are in the chargers. And this spread, like in 262 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 1: Actuality outside of the West Gate the Super Contest, which 263 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 1: have fixed lines once they print them, the spread in 264 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 1: this game is now nine nine. Yep. Can we just 265 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: walk the funk away from this game? We can run 266 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: away from it all. Right, here's a problem, black Chack. 267 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 1: Right now we are five games in. We need to 268 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: make four more. We need to agree on four more 269 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 1: games to win one point four million dollars. Time to 270 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 1: be selective. Chad Houston at Tennessee, pick him, you got Houston. 271 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: I mean I feel like I don't. I don't love it. 272 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 1: I don't have a lot of conviction behind it. Tennessee 273 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: is a mess. I think we saw that with the 274 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: Miami game. Mariota banged up a little bit. They say 275 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 1: he's okay, but he lost to Laney Walker at it's 276 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: a huge loss for them. I mean, who's he throwing 277 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 1: the ball to? Who is catching the ball out of 278 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: that backfield? And if we know one thing about the 279 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,080 Speaker 1: Texans defense, it's tough to run on them that they've 280 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: got a massive front. So Derrick Henry is gonna struggle 281 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: a little bit. You know. Deshaun Watson was a step slow. 282 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:38,000 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna take him a little bit too 283 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: to shake the rust off. But at a pick, I 284 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 1: would leave the Houston here. You know what's interesting like this? 285 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: The Texans are the other team that I bought a 286 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 1: Super Bowl ticket on That was silly, and um, I'm 287 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: being generous. I loved them so much last week against 288 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 1: the Patriots, and they now good, no, not good, really ugly, 289 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: um as ugly as what I'm looking at right now, 290 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: and I will tell you it's I'm feeling a little burned, 291 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 1: but you're probably right. I think this is the right side. 292 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 1: I think you made some cogent analysis. They're black jack. 293 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: I know it, did I say that's a yes, all right? 294 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: We got two big right now. We like the Indianapolis 295 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 1: Colts plus six and the Houston Texans at pick them. 296 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 1: And when I say it out loud and think, wow, 297 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 1: we are on the Colts and the Texans to win 298 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 1: one point four million dollars on the right side, think 299 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: to myself, I think that we are going to not 300 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: win one point four million dollars onto the next games 301 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: at Falcons Falcons By, says Georgina on that one sounded 302 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: like she was not in the mood to give us 303 00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 1: the line. And I'm not gonna bet this game. It's 304 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: not gonna be one of our I agree, it's not 305 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: gonna be one of our five. I can you're buttoning 306 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:06,680 Speaker 1: up now a little bit? Are you getting chili? This 307 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 1: is draft in here. I don't want you to see 308 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 1: with nips getting hard. Yeah, I agree, this is a 309 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 1: bad idea. Let's just walk away like there's nothing nothing 310 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 1: about this game. I don't like the number. I don't 311 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 1: trust Carolina yet, definitely don't trust the Falcons. The Falcons last. 312 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 1: Their best linebacker, Um greg Olsen, probably isn't playing. I'm 313 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 1: like see you later. Moving on Cleveland at New Orleans 314 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 1: Saints by eight and a half, what was wrong with Georgie? There? 315 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 1: You have three guys with beers looking at me like, 316 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: I don't know. All right, listen, Saints, Saints, You're gonna 317 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 1: destroy the Browns in this game. They are so going 318 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:51,399 Speaker 1: to destroy the Browns in this game. It's gonna be like, wait, 319 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,239 Speaker 1: what what does that say about the Steelers? What does 320 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: that say about the Bucks? What does that say about 321 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: the Saints. It's gonna tell us everything we need to 322 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:03,200 Speaker 1: know about the Browns this game. Ame is so going 323 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 1: to be dominated by the Saints. At eight and a half, 324 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: I feel like I feel like I've just I feel 325 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: like I'm freaking Danny Ocean man, I have just stolen 326 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: money from the West Gate. I don't know. I don't 327 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: know if I can't even say what I think. I 328 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: think I like Cleveland. I think I like Cleveland. The 329 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: Saints got I mean the Saints. Listen, they put up 330 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:37,440 Speaker 1: a bunch of points last week against the Bucks defense 331 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,119 Speaker 1: that is not as good as this Brown's defense. The 332 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,679 Speaker 1: Browns defense is better than Tampa's defense. I think it's actually, 333 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: don't even think it's close. Ryan Fitzpatrick did a reasonably 334 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 1: competent job, and he put up four hundred in something 335 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,439 Speaker 1: yards and four touchdowns and ran for another one. If 336 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 1: they give up a rushing touchdown of Ryan Fitzpatrick, what 337 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,159 Speaker 1: the hell is Tyrod Taylor going to do to them? 338 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, he didn't look great in his first 339 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: week in the Brown's uniform, but the weather was crap. 340 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,560 Speaker 1: It's his first game in a new system. I don't 341 00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: know that the Browns can win this game. I don't 342 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: think they can, but I think they can keep it 343 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 1: within eight and a half. Maybe I hate myself a 344 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:23,720 Speaker 1: little right now. Well, now you know how the rest 345 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 1: of us feel. Shop we can't do it. If we were, 346 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: we are so I hate it. I hate you know, 347 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,920 Speaker 1: I love the Saints. I love the Saints. I can't 348 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 1: do it. We are Barack Obama and Donald Trump in 349 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: this scenario. Have we talked about when I met Obama, 350 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 1: when you met Trump? You just told me Donald Trump 351 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 1: is your favorite American president and this story. I told 352 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 1: you you're sitting here wearing and making America great again. 353 00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 1: Happy Republicans and Democrats all bet and listen to podcasts. 354 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: I make no political affiliations. And you were just going 355 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: to tell about the time you met one. I am 356 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: the Michael Jordan's of podcasts. How many times did you 357 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 1: meet that president Barack Obama? Oh? I didn't say his name, 358 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 1: but how many times did you meet him? I've met 359 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: him twice. That must have been fun. Yeah. Great, Let's 360 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 1: move on Vikings at Packings Vikings by seven. Come on, man, 361 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 1: don't don't do that. That's fucking awful. What is this? 362 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 1: I don't know. This line is bizarre. I don't know 363 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,439 Speaker 1: what to make of this. It's a one. It's it's 364 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: Green Bay minus one or pick everywhere else. The west Gate, 365 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: I guess, is factoring in that Rogers either may not 366 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: play or won't be very effective, and they're going Green 367 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 1: Bay plus seven. I don't think we can play this game. 368 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 1: There's too much uncertainty. We don't know anything yet. No, 369 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: let's move on Cardinals at Rams rams by twelve and 370 00:20:55,160 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 1: huh I like this one. I love this one. I 371 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 1: so love this one. This to me, This to me 372 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: is like the greatest example in the history of examples 373 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: of overreaction of the two overreaction. This game should be 374 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 1: like in the Action Network. On the Action Network right 375 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 1: now you can go to our latest NFL Power ratings 376 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 1: and we have a story that is about the overreactions 377 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 1: to week one. This game should be is Power rated 378 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 1: Rams by nine right now, it's Rams by twelve and 379 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 1: a half. That is super contest half and it's it 380 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,880 Speaker 1: is ridiculous. It is so ridiculous. Let's get the real 381 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: line right now, right now, two touchdowns on an NFL game. 382 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: It's stupid. It's oh my god, right now, right now, 383 00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: this line in real life is Rams minus fourteen. Are 384 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: you kidding me? I've bet it on the damn train 385 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 1: on the way and it was thirteen and a half. 386 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,359 Speaker 1: I bet it. I bet it yesterday and it was 387 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:10,200 Speaker 1: It's crazy. I mean, come on, of course, we're taking 388 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,280 Speaker 1: the Cardinals in this game to ching me out. Man, 389 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 1: we are onto the next game. Nons at nine is 390 00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: nine is giving six. We need to we need to 391 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 1: find two more games. What do you got here? I 392 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 1: don't like either of these games, I guess I guess 393 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: I leaned to the Niners Detroit. You talked about overreactions. 394 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 1: There's one. See Jimmy Garoppolo throw three picks on Sunday 395 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:42,080 Speaker 1: to see that, No, but you know what I did 396 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 1: see that everyone who had him penciled in for the 397 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: m v P three interceptions on Sunday. Do you know 398 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 1: what I did see? I saw every single time Red 399 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: Zone went to that game. The Niners had the ball 400 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:58,639 Speaker 1: in position to win the game and didn't score, but 401 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:04,639 Speaker 1: he kept it close. Oh, look at Jimmy g keeping 402 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: it close. I saw Matthew Stafford. He had a bad game. 403 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: It's almost like it's almost like Matt Stafford's got a 404 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,560 Speaker 1: track record the Jets around his team. He's a proven commodity, 405 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 1: a proven commodity of a guy who's going to throw 406 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: it for a lot of yards and not win you 407 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: any games our own. Jeff Schwartz says he's a Hall 408 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,480 Speaker 1: of Fame quarterback. Jeff Schwartz when I and I called 409 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: him on that, and I'm like, that's the stupidest thing 410 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: I've heard that day. That's what I said that day. 411 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 1: Listen to you, knowing people well hearing things. I could 412 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 1: have said it was the stupidest thing I've ever heard, 413 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 1: But I knew I was gonna be doing a podcast 414 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: with you. Listen to this guy. He's got jokes today, 415 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,640 Speaker 1: trying to fight his way out of that locker. Moving on, 416 00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:57,400 Speaker 1: Patriots at Jaguars. I bet the Jaguars in this game. 417 00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:01,959 Speaker 1: You're an idiot, You're a goddamned it. We did this 418 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 1: last week. Do you need me to do it again 419 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: last week? The Jaguars defense, don't say Jaguars, you're not British. 420 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 1: The Jaguars januar ridiculously good. Uh ridiculously. I don't think 421 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots were challenged last week by the Texans. I 422 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,360 Speaker 1: think the Jaguars have a much better Jaguars barely squeaked 423 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: out a game against the Giants, much better inside push 424 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 1: that can stop anything the Patriots did against the Texans. 425 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,160 Speaker 1: The hardest thing for the Texans to stop was Tom 426 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,520 Speaker 1: Brady because he releases the ball in under two seconds, 427 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 1: so you can't have J. J. Watt rushing from the 428 00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 1: edge thinking he's going to get there in time. They 429 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 1: needed to move J. J. Watt inside. So you don't 430 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 1: think that Bill Belichick realizes that that's his weakness and 431 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: their strength and will have some sort of counter for that. 432 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,399 Speaker 1: You think the greatest football mind of any generation is 433 00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 1: just gonna say, let's see what happens. So we're not 434 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 1: betting on this game. How many times do you have 435 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: to miss money on the Patriots? How many times do 436 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 1: you need to be smacked in the space by Tom 437 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,600 Speaker 1: Brady's greatness? How many times does Bill Belichick have to 438 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:20,680 Speaker 1: not only have his OPU scheme you How many times 439 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: has it happened before you get some sense in that 440 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:31,120 Speaker 1: thick donkey and realized Patriots do not lose and they 441 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,160 Speaker 1: do miss on spread three cover them thirteen and three 442 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 1: last year. It's the most profitable team since two thousand 443 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: and three, And you want to keep betting against them? 444 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:50,640 Speaker 1: Open your damn eyes. Patriots by a million, that's probably 445 00:25:50,680 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: gonna be a non Start drinking again. Did you what 446 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: do you got for US Raiders at Broncos? Denver by six? 447 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 1: I like Denver, don't love it me too? No, moving on, 448 00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:13,640 Speaker 1: You might want to put some of these maybes because 449 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,640 Speaker 1: we're running out of space. I know exactly what we're 450 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: gonna do we have I think I do we have 451 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,119 Speaker 1: our fifth pick? I think we do We have our 452 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 1: fifth pick. What's the next one? Giants said, Dallas Cowboys 453 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: by field goal, Giants wrapped the show. Let's go, We're done. 454 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:39,560 Speaker 1: That is that is such a yes for me, It's 455 00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,800 Speaker 1: not even funny. We can give the reasons, like the 456 00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,439 Speaker 1: first thing I bet, I bet it, bet it. On 457 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,160 Speaker 1: Monday morning when I came into the office, I took 458 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 1: Giants that went up to three and a half. I 459 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,400 Speaker 1: took Giants at three and a half. It's a joke. 460 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: That should be a pick. It's it's unbelievable. The Cowboys 461 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 1: looked horrible and speaking to Jeff Schwartz, he wrote a 462 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 1: story on Action Network. He does his story like in 463 00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: the Trenches, and it's all about like how to make 464 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 1: bets based on what he's seen an offensive line play. 465 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 1: And he did this great bakedown of the Cowboys about 466 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:12,400 Speaker 1: how much they miss their center, Travis Frederick. Right, they 467 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 1: had no communication, missed a bunch of big plays. That 468 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 1: is not something you make up in a week. I 469 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: think Dak Prescott looks confused, don't throw too but looked. 470 00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: It was a glaring absence of playmakers on that offense 471 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 1: against Carolina. And I watched almost the entirety of the 472 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 1: Giants count the Giants Jaguars game. I wasn't deterred on 473 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: my stance on the Giants by that game. First of all, 474 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: the Jaguars have a great defense, and they were any 475 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 1: line Manning's kitchen all day long. He still managed to 476 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: get the ball out. Beckham got his eleven catches over 477 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: a hundred yards, Barkley got his, I Sterling Shepard made 478 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 1: some nice plays, and the Giants defense looked really good. 479 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,199 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think they go in here and win 480 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: this thing out right. I don't. This line to me 481 00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 1: is bizarre. I believe everything you. I agree with every 482 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,960 Speaker 1: single thing you just said about the Giants, like which 483 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: is also why I'm bett in the Jaguars. The Jaguars 484 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:10,119 Speaker 1: are an incredible team. They are a great defense. They 485 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 1: are a great defense. And I don't hold on, hold on, 486 00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: you just said they're an incredible team. I'll give you. 487 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: The defense is really good. Leonard four nance banged up, alright, 488 00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 1: he's got a busting out. Ham straight and Blake boardless 489 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 1: is the quarter. Listen to me, to me, Tom Brady, 490 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:32,480 Speaker 1: I backtracked. I said incredible defense. Maybe backtrack to do that. Well, 491 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 1: have a drink. I'm going to. My point is like 492 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,480 Speaker 1: I'm not discouraged by what I saw in that first game. 493 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,920 Speaker 1: We're on the Giants. Yes, we got four games. Right now, 494 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 1: we have one. Maybe we have Seattle at Chicago. Let's 495 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: see where you are on this one, Mr Chicago. Let 496 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: Georgina take us in Seahawks at Bears, Chicago by three 497 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 1: and a half. You know what the right side is here? 498 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 1: It's Seattle. Yeah, I can do that. Wow, that was easy. 499 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 1: Why do you think it's the right side. I don't 500 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 1: think it's Let's let me tisten it. Look before you 501 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: answer the question. I don't think it's about the teams. 502 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 1: I think it's about the number. The three and a 503 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 1: half makes it for me much juicier. But if you 504 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: go back, I think people are over impressed with that 505 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: Green Bay game for the Bears. If you look at 506 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 1: their first fift team plays, which were the scripted plays 507 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 1: they ran the Bears in the preseason, Randy very vanilla offense. 508 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: They didn't do a hell of a lot. They didn't 509 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 1: show a hell of a lot. They come out in 510 00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 1: Green Bay, They've got a lot of motion guys going 511 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: in different places and Trabinsky his first read was almost 512 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: always open. After those fifteen plays, it was a little 513 00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: bit of a different offense, all right. When Trabinsky had 514 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: to go to different reads. It wasn't always pretty. I 515 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: think that the Bears did a good job of getting 516 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,760 Speaker 1: out of the gates quick. But now now this tape 517 00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 1: on that, now the Seahawks can prepare for it. They're 518 00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 1: a veteran team. The try veling on the road is 519 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,080 Speaker 1: not gonna be a big deal for them. I think 520 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: Seattle is going to be right in this thing. Man, 521 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: They're they're right in this game. I think people are 522 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:10,400 Speaker 1: gonna overreact to be too high on the Bears, too 523 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 1: low on Seattle. This needs to meet in the middle. 524 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 1: I like the three and a half. What did you 525 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: see in Seattle against the Broncos that makes you feel 526 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 1: good about betting on them, because like I didn't. It's 527 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, man, That's what it comes down to. Like 528 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 1: the guy. It doesn't look Their offensive line is terrible. 529 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,400 Speaker 1: It is awful. He is literally running for his life 530 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 1: back there, but he seems to be at his best 531 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: when he does it. He's no matter who's catching the ball, 532 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:39,680 Speaker 1: he finds ways to make plays. Russell Wilson does one thing, really, 533 00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: really well, maybe better than almost anyone outside of Tom Brady. 534 00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,880 Speaker 1: He keeps you in games. When's the last time Seahawks 535 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,959 Speaker 1: got blown out? It doesn't happen. He keeps them alive. 536 00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 1: And the Bears are a young team with a young 537 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 1: quarterback and a new head coach. I don't see them 538 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:56,080 Speaker 1: as the kind of team coming out and stepping on 539 00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 1: Seattle's throat if they if they do win this game, 540 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,719 Speaker 1: which I think they could, it's going to be a 541 00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 1: tooth and mail battle. I think it's the right numbers. 542 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 1: It's all about the hook to me, three and a half. 543 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: I like it, black deck. All right, So let's recap 544 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 1: for a second here, because we have five games that 545 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:20,480 Speaker 1: we like, right, five terrifying games. Terrifying games, right, But 546 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: we have these games we have right now, Indianapolis Colts 547 00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:28,080 Speaker 1: at the Washington Redskins. They are six point dogs. We 548 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 1: are on the Colts. We have the Houston Texans visiting Tennessee. 549 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: The game is pick We like Houston. We have the 550 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,600 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals visiting the Rams. The number is twelve and 551 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 1: a half. The Cardinals are twelve and a half point dogs. 552 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:45,320 Speaker 1: We are on the Cardinals. We have the New York 553 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,360 Speaker 1: Football Giants at the Dallas Cowboys. They are three point 554 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:52,680 Speaker 1: underdogs to the Cowboys. We like the Giants. And then, uh, 555 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: we have the Seahawks visiting the Bears. The Bears are 556 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites. We like the Seahawks. 557 00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 1: What I'm also noticing he is like away, we are 558 00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 1: going to be sweating on Sunday night and Monday night. Also, 559 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:06,840 Speaker 1: the name of the show is the Favorites, and we 560 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:10,840 Speaker 1: haven't taken one. So that's interesting. Little side note, that 561 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 1: is very interesting. Those are lots like I feel good 562 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,480 Speaker 1: about those. I like him. I'm gonna say this right now. 563 00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:20,400 Speaker 1: If the Tennessee Titans screw us again in the first 564 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: two weeks, I am done with this team for the 565 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:24,440 Speaker 1: rest of the season. You need to be on board. 566 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 1: I will not play a single game there, not often. Well. 567 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 1: I don't even like Listen, I'm not I don't even 568 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,320 Speaker 1: like saying the word the Titans, like does that even 569 00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 1: mean relevant to Tennessee. I don't know. It's not nonsense. Uh, Listen, 570 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,479 Speaker 1: I think we've come to conclusion. Yeah, I think we have. 571 00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 1: There's not enough to say. Nope, This has been The Favorites, 572 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 1: the Super Contest edition. Please listen on Monday morning when 573 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: you can hear me and Paul L. Duca and Jeff Schwartz, 574 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: former professional athletes. We will come up with our big 575 00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 1: bets for the following week. You can keep track of 576 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 1: those all week long. Listen on Wednesdays to me and Scooch. 577 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,360 Speaker 1: I am Chad Noman of the Action Network. My friend 578 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 1: black Jack Fletcher joined me on this podcast. Thanks for 579 00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:09,920 Speaker 1: listening to the Favorites.