1 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of 3 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt at Sports Talk. 4 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 2: Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being brought 5 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM and the one thousand dollars 6 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 2: first bet offer available to new users at betmgm dot 7 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 2: com with the promo code Juice. All Right, a frustrating 8 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 2: two and two night last night. Now, if we're talking 9 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 2: about getting a lucky break, the Anthony Davis prop which 10 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: we put out on the Discord channel, the only prop 11 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,520 Speaker 2: I bet only prop I liked with Anthony Davis under 12 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: thirty eight and a half points and rebounds. He ended 13 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 2: with thirty eight. So okay, that was fortunate. Okay, But 14 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 2: how did I lose back to back bets five to 15 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 2: one finals? Vegas scored one golden Game two, Eilers scored 16 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 2: Game one, won one gold in Game three, and they 17 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 2: scored the first goal. Now, I had the Golden Knights 18 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 2: on the money line. Like I told you last night, 19 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 2: I liked Vegas to win the game. They won the 20 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 2: game at a plus one fifty five price. That was 21 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: good for me, but it wasn't official. I had the 22 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:26,839 Speaker 2: over that loses. I just I don't, for the life 23 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: of me, understand this. It's extremely frustrating when those things 24 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 2: happen because I'm gonna lose one or two bets or 25 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 2: one bet a day. And we lost the first five 26 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 2: because there were a bunch of runs scored being the 27 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: White Sox in the Royals. So under first five not good. 28 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 2: I'm gonna pause on baseball for a little bit. I'm 29 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 2: gonna keep on working at that different formula that I 30 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: have for first five overs. You know, baseball really is 31 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 2: a daily thing. But you know, I think I'm six 32 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 2: and four now betting that myself, and I think I'm 33 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 2: two and two betting that. Although I bet under yesterday, 34 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 2: not over so but the over I talked about missed 35 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 2: on yesterday. The I did bet, I went oh and 36 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 2: to yesterday myself. I was six into now and two, 37 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 2: so I got to rethink that a little bit. And 38 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 2: under four I'm just not betting under verse five unders 39 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: like that's out the window. I tried that. Once that's under, 40 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 2: that's over. If we're doing first five for betting over period, 41 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 2: it's too much offense in baseball right now. 42 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: It's like hockey. Too much offense so we're we're not 43 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: doing that. 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: I've got a basketball bet. I've got two hockey plays 45 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,079 Speaker 2: for us coming up here today. It's gonna be sort 46 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 2: of a shorter podcast because we're getting into the rhythm. 47 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: These are betting the streak. 48 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,519 Speaker 2: You guys probably know what I'm betting here, but we're 49 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,519 Speaker 2: gonna jump in with three bets here today for a Tuesday. 50 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 2: It's a totals Tuesday. We're right back into it. We 51 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: haven't done one of these in a while. It is 52 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 2: a total Tuesday. But before we do anything else, let 53 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: us talk about the Betting Pros application to what you 54 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 2: guys can utilize with the Betting Pros app. I use 55 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 2: this a lot. This is where you guys can go 56 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 2: get very cool things. You download the Betting Pros app. 57 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 2: It's free in the iOS or the Android store. You 58 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 2: can sink your sports books in less than a minute 59 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 2: to automatically track your bets across all sports books in 60 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 2: one space one spot. After sinking, you'll enjoy access to 61 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 2: detailed bet analysis by sport in by bet type, including 62 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:20,239 Speaker 2: game picks, props, and parlays. You'll get insights in personalized 63 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,359 Speaker 2: recommendations for props, game picks, and more tailored to your 64 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 2: interest type of plays. To enjoy the benefits of sportsbook Sink, 65 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 2: download the Betting Pros app by visiting Bettingpros dot com, 66 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 2: slash apps, or by searching Betting Pros in the app 67 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: store right now. Okay, the Boston Celtics in this series 68 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 2: against the Philadelphia seventy six ers have scored one fifteen, 69 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 2: one twenty one, one fourteen and one fifteen. Okay, Now, 70 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: one to fifteen happened in overtime, I'll give you that. 71 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 2: But at home Boston scored one, twenty one and one fifteen. 72 00:03:55,960 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: Their team total tonight is one ten and a half. Okay, Look, 73 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 2: I would bet the first half as well. I have 74 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 2: bet both over fifty three and a half in the 75 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: first half in over one ten and a half. Now 76 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 2: I bet the same thing. In the last game. The 77 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 2: first half was official, it missed, the game went over. 78 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: I had them both. 79 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 2: I went one and one, but officially I went zero 80 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 2: to one. So by the logic, you might want to 81 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,360 Speaker 2: just bet the first half. Because Boston was the number 82 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: one scoring team in the first half this year, and 83 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 2: they were number one at home as well, averaging sixty 84 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 2: one points per game. In the first half at home 85 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 2: this season, So you might go, we'll just bet the 86 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 2: first half again, Matt, Well, I'm gonna do this, you 87 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 2: know myself here, I'm gonna get myself. 88 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give myself the whole game. 89 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 2: Okay, Boston again has scored one fifteen, one twenty one, 90 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 2: one fourteen and one fifteen in this series against Philadelphia. Yes, 91 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 2: they were averaging one hundred and ten points per game 92 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 2: this season given up, but over one ten and a 93 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 2: half official play for one point one units. Again, you 94 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 2: should bet the first half as well. I will bet both, 95 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 2: only one is going to be official. I thought about 96 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 2: betting both as a half a unit, but like, I 97 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 2: don't know, that's a little bit cheesy, Like I'll do 98 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 2: both full unit bets. So why break it up unofficially 99 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 2: and say, Okay, I'm betting a half unit. I'm not. 100 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 2: I'm betting a full unit on both plays. Full unit 101 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 2: bet over one ten and a half team total. Boston 102 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 2: Celtics up against the Philadelphia seventy six ers. By the way, 103 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 2: really scary tweet from Sean Grandi the Grande the Celtics 104 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 2: play by play guy. I'm not liking this at all. Boston. 105 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 2: It's the third home game of the series for the Celtics. 106 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 2: They've lost four straight. They lost the twenty two Eastern 107 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 2: Conference semi finals to Milwaukee, they lost the twenty twenty 108 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 2: two Eastern Conference Finals to Miami. They lost the twenty 109 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: twenty finals to the Golden State Warriors, and they lost 110 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 2: in the first run of the playoffs this year twenty 111 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty three against Atlanta. Tonight is the third 112 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 2: home game for Boston. That is scary. I mean, that's scary. Okay, 113 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 2: Philly might win this game tonight, so I'm not going 114 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 2: ahead again. It's either lay the eight points or bet 115 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 2: Philadelphia money line. Right now, I lean towards Philadelphia money line. 116 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: Looking at that trend. That scares me a lot. Boston 117 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,800 Speaker 2: doesn't have to win it, but you're going back to 118 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 2: Philadelphia in a must win situation. That's not good. Game 119 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 2: seven would be in Boston, so that is not a 120 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 2: good situation. So just doing Boston team total over one 121 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:37,840 Speaker 2: ten and a half. Get that out of DraftKings at 122 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 2: mine one ten. Okay, let's talk about two hockey games 123 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 2: coming up here tonight. The first game is Hurricanes Devils 124 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 2: five and a half. 125 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: Is the total. 126 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 2: Okay, this is weird to me. I'm gonna I'm not 127 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie. The books just keep on putting 128 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 2: up the same numbers five and a half in both games. 129 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:02,280 Speaker 2: I don't understand why. Look, they may know their numbers, 130 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 2: and they may look at it and go, hey, you 131 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 2: know we're going to talk about five and a half. 132 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 2: We're talking about going over. I simply don't understand. It's 133 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: even money. Over five and a half is even money, 134 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:21,560 Speaker 2: And I, for the life of me can't figure out why. Okay, 135 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 2: this to me should be six, they wont five and 136 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 2: a half. I'm perfectly content and comfortable taking the bet 137 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 2: and saying over five and a half is good. So again, 138 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 2: here are the stats for these two teams, Jersey in Carolina. 139 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 2: So far in this series we have seen twelve goals 140 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 2: seven goals in six goals In the regular season we 141 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 2: saw five, nine, eight and three. So we saw two 142 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: overs and two unders in the regular season, but all 143 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 2: three games in this series so far have gone over 144 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 2: five and a half five to one, six, one, eight four. 145 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: Why am I betting under even money over five and 146 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 2: a half? Carolina and the New Jersey Devils just the 147 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 2: way these games are being played right now. I mean, 148 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 2: I know the Hurricanes against the Islanders were going under. 149 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: But here up against the Devils, I mean, winning team 150 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: has scored five, six and eight. Winning team has almost 151 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 2: covered this themselves, and they have two of three games. 152 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 2: What are we doing betting under? I'm not even money. 153 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,480 Speaker 2: Maybe this is the game that goes under. That's possible, 154 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 2: but I'm not waiting on it. I'm not wondering and 155 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 2: I'm not betting it. That's for sure. Carolina and Jersey 156 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:44,439 Speaker 2: over five and a half even money. Second Hockey play 157 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 2: Dallas and the Kraken. Every single game this season between 158 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 2: these two teams have gone over five and a half goals, 159 00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:57,719 Speaker 2: seven goals, seven goals, and nine goals three games in 160 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 2: the regular season. All the games I've gone over in 161 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:06,439 Speaker 2: this series nine goals, six goals, nine goals being scored. 162 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 2: I lean towards the Stars winning this game, and probably 163 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 2: doing so indecisive fashion, much like what happened with Vegas 164 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 2: when they got crushed in Game two. They crushed the 165 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 2: Oilers in Game three. Stars got whipped in Game three 166 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 2: seven to two. My gut tells me the Stars come 167 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 2: back and they're the ones, whipping and doing and beaten 168 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:29,079 Speaker 2: up on the Kraken. Helps for the over Kraken were 169 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 2: twenty seventeen and four this year straight up at home, 170 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 2: Stars were twenty five, eleven and five. On the road 171 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 2: this year, they were tremendous. They haven't been tremendous in 172 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 2: this series, at least through one game. I do think 173 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 2: the Stars bounced back. It's manus one thirty five. I 174 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 2: like the Stars on the money line, but official play 175 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 2: it's gonna be over five and a half at minus 176 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 2: one point fifteen for the Kraken and the Stars just 177 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 2: not gonna fade the streak. 178 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep betting the streaks. If I go down, 179 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: I go down. 180 00:09:57,440 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 2: If I lose all three bets, I lose all three bets, 181 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 2: that's fine, But all three bets have trended. All three 182 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 2: bets have hit the numbers that they are at. They've 183 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 2: gone over in every game in this series. Boston one 184 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 2: ten and a half over in all four games over 185 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 2: five and a half. Dallas and the Kraken all three 186 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 2: games have gone over. Hurricanes and the Devils all three 187 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 2: games have gone over five and a half. Just a 188 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 2: totals Twoday, Tuesday, following the trends. The trends holds, we're 189 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 2: doing well. If the trend gets bucked, we fall on 190 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 2: our face tonight. Simple as that. Let's see how we 191 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 2: do it. Those three plays, all right? Celtics team total 192 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 2: one ten and a half over in the game against Philadelphia, 193 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: game number four or five in that game. In game 194 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 2: three over five and a half even money for New 195 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: Jersey and Carolina over five and a half minus one 196 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 2: point fifteen for Dallas and Seattle minus Matt Parol following 197 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 2: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 198 00:10:58,920 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: Each and every morning is 199 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 2: The Diligence Podcast, being brought to you by Bedam JM.