1 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Deal Jus podcast. My name is 3 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:20,479 Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt. We are taping this 5 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: early on a Friday afternoon for Saturday morning, so I 6 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: do not know what happened yesterday. I apologize, but I'm 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 1: going out of town and I wanted to get this 8 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: taped because I'm not sure about the Utah, about the 9 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: Wi Fi where I'm going in Utah, so I thought 10 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: it might be good just to get this thing recorded 11 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: and put up for you guys here on a Saturday. 12 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: So don't know about the parlay, I don't know about 13 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: the Knicks in India, and I don't know about the 14 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 1: Dallas team total for goals. So hopefully we did well. 15 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: If you are watching or listening to this podcast on 16 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: Saturday morning, hopefully things went well. I don't know, but 17 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: hopefully we did. I've got three bets in three sports 18 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 1: for us coming at you today. I'm going to go 19 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: a little bit different than what I normally do. Sometimes 20 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: when I'm taping ahead of time, I like to kind 21 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:04,520 Speaker 1: of switch it up and go off the beaten path. 22 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:07,479 Speaker 1: I don't normally do all totals, but I have all 23 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: totals today, three sports, three bets and three total bets 24 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: for us here on a Saturday. But before we give 25 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: you the picks, let me tell you about what's what 26 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: we got going on here with Novig. 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Sometimes you can get better lines than 34 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: what the books are offering, and sometimes you can even 35 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 1: set your own lines, which gives you control for something 36 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: that most books aren't going to give you. There's no 37 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: commissions and there are no hidden fees with novig. If 38 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: you use a coin deposit system, but it's it's real. 39 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: It's a coin to puns, isn'tbody, but it's real money. 40 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: You can use the code daily Juice for fifty percent 41 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: off your first coin purchase up to twenty five dollars. 42 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: Check it out now at bettingpros dot com slash Novig. 43 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: That's bettingpros dot com slash Novig. Now, if you look 44 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: at the map on your screen if you're watching this, 45 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: you see that Nevada is not available, so I cannot 46 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,679 Speaker 1: use Novig. However, Mayo, Mike Mayer uses it every day. 47 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: He's become someone of a fanatic here, dropping screenshots in 48 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: the Discord channel and picks in plays. So if you 49 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: have any questions about Novig, you can go and talk 50 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: to Mike Mayor at Mike Mayor his handle on our 51 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: Discord channel and he can help to explain exactly what 52 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 1: Novig is. Go to bettingpros dot com slash Novig. Use 53 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: the Decode Daily Juice for up to a fifty percent 54 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: off discount on your first coin purchase of up to 55 00:02:55,240 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: fifty dollars. Now we are still continuing the contest. It's 56 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: getting kind of late though. Okay, we're about to hit 57 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: the NBA Finals. If you haven't entered this thing, you 58 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,639 Speaker 1: should do so right now. The Playoff prop contest going on. 59 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,079 Speaker 1: You make picking and Peter for prizes every round of 60 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: the NBA Playoffs for this round, the Conference final round 61 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:17,839 Speaker 1: is a Stefan Marbury signed basketball. Okay, it's Bettingpros dot 62 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: com Slash Playoffs Bettingpros dot com Slash Payoffs playoffs to 63 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: get involved with this play for free the Betting Pros 64 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: Playoff prop contest, making picks and competing for great prizes 65 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: including this stuff on Marbury signed basketball. And then the 66 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: grand prize is a signed Alan Iverson jersey that will 67 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: be given away during the NBA Finals. Get involved right 68 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: now at Bettingpros dot Com Slash Playoffs. All right, let's 69 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: start talk talking about some picks and plays here. Let's 70 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: go with Michael Walka and the Royals. We were heavy 71 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: with them on the parlay last night. Again, don't know 72 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: what happened, but Michael walker has been tremendous for the 73 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 1: Royals last five starts one earned run, two earned runs, 74 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: no earn runs, three earned runs and zero earned runs. 75 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: They have won. The team has four of his last 76 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 1: five starts. Mike Oh Walka has been very good this year. 77 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: He's been better at home than on the road, but 78 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: he hasn't been awful in the road. A three point 79 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,720 Speaker 1: eight ERA with a one and two record, posing batting 80 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: average of two seventy seven, ten earned runs in twenty 81 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: three and two third innings worth of work. But like 82 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: I mentioned, the team has won a ton of games 83 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: in which he has pitched. Zebbie Matthews is going for 84 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 1: the Twins now. He only has one start under his belt. Okay, 85 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: twenty five year old came up game was lost five 86 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:38,840 Speaker 1: to two. If you want to bet the Royals to 87 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 1: win this game, I don't hate it. Royal's money line, 88 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: don't hate it at all. But the Twins' bullpen and 89 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: this kid's basically an opener. It's going to go for 90 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: three innings, one time through the through the order, and 91 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: then hand off to the bullpen. The Twins bullpens has 92 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: been so good and the Twins have been so hot. 93 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: Casey leads this series three games to one so far. 94 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: So they've played a four game set in Kansas City 95 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: four two two, one four nothing, three to two, four 96 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:14,359 Speaker 1: games all under. This total is eight. What are we 97 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: doing under? Why the Royals Twins don't score either? But 98 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: the Royals don't score, We're going under under eight for 99 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: one point one units. Royals Twins under eight for one 100 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 1: point one units. Between Waka and Matthews bet number two 101 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: Carolina Hurricanes at the Florida Panthers. It is an absolute 102 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: must win for the Carolina Hurricanes. They are down two 103 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: games to none and they're on the road at Florida. 104 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: All right, so you can take money line, I don't 105 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 1: hate it. Just come in take the plus money on 106 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: Carolina at plus one twenty six. Their backs are against 107 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 1: the wall. But what I do think is a smarter 108 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 1: play is to come in here and take it's minus 109 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: one ten or plus one ten, depending on where you're 110 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: looking at this from an over perspective. Here, you know 111 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 1: I laid minus one ten, but you guys should be 112 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: able to get plus money on this. I mean, I'm 113 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: seeing this pop up. There's even money plays now that 114 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 1: are popping up. I mean this is moving as I'm taping. 115 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 1: But I think people are playing the under, and I 116 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: think you're going to see a desperate Carolina Hurricanes team. 117 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,599 Speaker 1: I don't mind the Panthers over two and a half 118 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,800 Speaker 1: goals from a team total perspective. The Panthers have scored 119 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: over two and a half goals in every game except 120 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,159 Speaker 1: one that they've played, and they've played five times against Carolina. 121 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: The problem is it's mice one seventy if we get 122 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 1: over two and a half goals for Florida. Sure, a 123 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,159 Speaker 1: three to two game can beat us with an over 124 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:43,280 Speaker 1: five and a half bet. But I think Carolina is 125 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: going to score three goals today. I'd Saturday and Saturday. 126 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: I think Caroline's just going to go crazy and go 127 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 1: I mean desperation on every level, and that leads to 128 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 1: scoring opportunities for Florida. I think Carolina is going to score. 129 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: I think this could be a four to three type 130 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: of hockey game. I think there could be a you know, 131 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: we've seen five to two and five nothing so far 132 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: here in this series. In the regular season, it was 133 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: six to three, six to nothing in three to one, 134 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: and you might say, well, if Carolina wins, Matt, the 135 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: game's gonna go under, and that's why people are betting under. Okay, maybe, 136 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: but again, one of those games was six nothing for 137 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: the Panthers against the Hurricanes. It's not gonna stun me. 138 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: If the Panthers get out there and score four goals 139 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: themselves here tonight, and if they score four goals, I'd 140 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 1: be hard presis to see Carolina get shut out for 141 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: a second straight game here in the playoffs, being at 142 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: home on the road, I don't care. They'll pull the 143 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: goalie early like they're gonna go and try to do 144 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 1: as much as they can five and a half. I'm 145 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: betting over over five and a half for Carolina and 146 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: Florida here. I got one point one units down on it, 147 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: but you guys can'tfully get even money or maybe even 148 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 1: plus money on it for the over for the Hurricanes 149 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: and the Panthers here. And to stick with our trend 150 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 1: of betting totals, let's go to the game three. Speaking 151 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: of desperation, Okase at Minnesota, the Thunder are favored on 152 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: the road. Now you want to bet Minnesota to win. 153 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: I don't hate that at all. Okay, t Wolves absolutely 154 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: have to win this game or the series is over 155 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: three to zero deficits. You don't come back from that. 156 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: In the NBA, however, Minnesota was twenty eight and eighteen 157 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: to the over at home this year and while the 158 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: Thunder we're twenty two to twenty four and one to 159 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: the over. So they were an under team at home 160 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: or start on the road this year. I don't think 161 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: Minnesota can stop the Thunders offense. They've given up one 162 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: hundred and eighteen and one hundred and fourteen points so far. 163 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: The only reason why the game went under in game 164 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: one was that the t Wolves only scored eighty eight 165 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 1: points in the first half. Second or the first game. 166 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: Second game they scored one hundred and three. I do 167 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:50,680 Speaker 1: expect the t Wolves to score a lot more. I 168 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 1: mean against Golden State they scored one hundred and twenty one, 169 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: one hundred and I was on the road, sorry, against 170 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 1: Golden State, they PA they scored one hundred and seventeen 171 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 1: in game two, one hundred and two. Well against the 172 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: first two games against Golden State, so they scored one 173 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: hundred sorry, one hundred and twenty one in game five 174 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:10,960 Speaker 1: at home, one hundred and seventeen at home in game two. 175 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: Game one was pretty bad. They sorted eighty eight in 176 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,559 Speaker 1: game one. But I just think they're gonna score over 177 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: one hundred points. I think they score over one hundred. 178 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see at least one hundred and 179 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: ten points be scored by Oklahoma City. I think this 180 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 1: game goes over. I think you look at two hundred 181 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 1: and eighteen. It opened at two seventeen. The first bet 182 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: was up to the total to bet over. I think 183 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 1: this is gonna be an over series. It was to 184 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: nineteen in game one, it went under. It was two 185 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half in Game two it went over. 186 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 1: This is too eighteen. I'm gonna come in and I'm 187 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 1: gonna bet the over here on this over to eighteen 188 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: for Minnesota and OKC. All right, so the plays for 189 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 1: us here on a Saturday for the Daily Juice Royals 190 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 1: twins under eight at minus one ten, the team Timberwolves 191 00:09:56,559 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 1: and the and the Thunder over to eight teen at 192 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: minus one ten, and Carolina and Florida over five and 193 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: a half at minus one ten. But like I mentioned, 194 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: that number has moved since I bet this this morning, 195 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: so it's now a plus money. If you guys hopefully 196 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:13,959 Speaker 1: get better numbers, you get an even money play. You 197 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: may even get plus money. Play on Carolina and Florida 198 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 1: on the over five and a half. We're gonna jump 199 00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 1: on over five and a half. There. My name is 200 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:21,959 Speaker 1: Matt Parolf. You guys can on miracles all my socials 201 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:24,679 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get 202 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice