1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:12,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 2: Well Arie's unveiling a number of new targets the asset 3 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 2: management firm, predicting it will booze assets under management to 4 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:22,919 Speaker 2: seven hundred and fifty billion dollars by twenty twenty eight. 5 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 2: In a statement posted on the company's website, it said, quote, 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: we expect to grow faster than the projected industry average 7 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 2: over the next five years. For more, I'm pleased to 8 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 2: say we're joined now by Mike Arraghetti he is ARI CEO, 9 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: and of course Bloomber Zone Shanali Bassk. So Mike, let's start, 10 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 2: of course with that target. I have to imagine that 11 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 2: the growth of private credit is an important ingredient. 12 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 3: It is a big driver, and obviously it's a big 13 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 3: part of what we do. But if you look over 14 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 3: the last five years, when we gave our prior guidance, 15 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 3: we said that we were going to grow twenty percent. 16 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: We grew thirty five. 17 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 3: Private credit was a big part of that, but we've 18 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 3: diversified into other big growth areas like real assets, private equity, secondaries, insurance. 19 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 1: So I think it's a combination of all of the above. 20 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 4: How do you think about the private credit marketrit large here. 21 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 4: You've had so many new entrants, you have billions of 22 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 4: dollars flowing into the industry. A lot of investors are 23 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 4: looking around now and asking where's the risk. 24 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 3: Well, you have to everyone defines private credit differently, So 25 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 3: when we talk about private credit today, I think a 26 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,319 Speaker 3: lot of people are specifically talking about corporate direct lending 27 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 3: in the US, which is a great market. It's a 28 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 3: market that we've led for many, many years, and it 29 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 3: is a market that frankly, in my opinion, is still 30 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 3: under capitalized, and we. 31 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: Can come back to that maybe. 32 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 3: But when I think about private credit, we're talking about 33 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 3: all self originated private credit, rated, non rated, or ratings 34 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 3: are equivalent in corporate, real estate, infrastructure, asset backed opportunistics. 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 3: So these are huge addressable markets, each of which is 36 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 3: growing at. 37 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: A very high rate for structural reasons. 38 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 3: So we're not really experiencing the market as crowded, and 39 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 3: when you look at the performance in the underlying portfolios, 40 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 3: we're not actually seeing risk emerging in any of those corners. 41 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: Well, that touches on something that I've been wondering about. 42 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 2: Of course, with the growth of private credit, like channel 43 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 2: I mentioned all the new entrants. What does deployment look 44 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 2: like when it comes to the actual opportunities there to 45 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 2: throw money at. 46 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: Well, here's something to think about. 47 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 3: If you look at fundraising in the private credit market, 48 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 3: over the last five years, the top twenty five managers 49 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 3: we are at the top of the list, grew the 50 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 3: fund to fifty six percent market share in capital raised. Okay, 51 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 3: so sixty percent of the dollars are going to a 52 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 3: very small handful of people. The five years prior it 53 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 3: was roughly half that. So these markets are growing, but 54 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 3: they're also consolidating. And so while you're seeing a proliferation 55 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 3: of funds, the way that capital is getting raised and deployed, 56 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 3: it still still sits with a very small handful of people. 57 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: So if you look at our. 58 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: Deployment, we put out about forty billion dollars a year 59 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 3: in our private credit franchise, and that's been consistent for 60 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 3: the last three, four or five years, regardless of the 61 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 3: raid environment, regardless of the competitive environment. 62 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 2: You know. 63 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 4: Like, as we sit here with you today, it's interesting 64 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 4: a lot of investors have a lot of AI on 65 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 4: their minds with Nvidia after the bell and I've got 66 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 4: to say, in your investor day, you did say the buzzword, 67 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 4: how is AI going to drive the future of private credit? 68 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 3: You know, it's it's still early, and so we've known 69 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 3: each other a long time, and whenever something as transformational 70 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 3: as AI comes out, we want to make sure that 71 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 3: we first understand the opportunity, We want to understand the risk, 72 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 3: and then deploy in a measured way. 73 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: But we can't ignore it. 74 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 3: My view is, at least for private markets investors, the 75 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 3: biggest opportunity in AI will be twofold one supporting the 76 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 3: digital infrastructure necessary and needed to see the data explosion happen. 77 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 3: And that's everything from data centers, renewable renewable power, grid, 78 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 3: grid transmission. So that's one big, big theme that market 79 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 3: is undercapitalized. 80 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: We're leaning in there. 81 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 3: And then two is how do we use AI to 82 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 3: improve the efficiency and the returns in our own company 83 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,119 Speaker 3: and in our investment portfolio. We recently made a small 84 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 3: acquisition of a team of technologists Bootstrap Labs. We have 85 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 3: put them into our corporate strategy group and we're now 86 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 3: deploying them into our portfolio to look for opportunities for efficiency. 87 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 3: We're deploying them into our middle and back office to 88 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 3: try to drive margin expansion, and we're eventually going to 89 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 3: set them free on our portfolio companies and data to 90 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 3: try to create some underwriting edge. So I think that's 91 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 3: going to be the long term fully grill. 92 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 4: To this holy grail. If you look to this kind 93 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 4: of long term push that you're making here to twenty 94 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 4: twenty eight adding assets under management, then where do you 95 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 4: look to deploy your own capital, not the funds, but 96 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,120 Speaker 4: investing in the business. Is it the marginal hire or 97 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:02,720 Speaker 4: is it the marginal technology expertise here? 98 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 1: It's both, It's both. 99 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 3: But we've been very vocal that I think the strategy 100 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 3: to win long term in private markets is origination and 101 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 3: investment acumen. Now we're going to be able to use 102 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 3: technology to support good investment decision making. Any margin enhancement 103 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 3: that we can generate through technology, we're going to put 104 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 3: back into the investment engine, right because when you're in 105 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:32,159 Speaker 3: these large addressable markets, ultimately we win by finding investment 106 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 3: opportunities that others can't, and at the end of the day, 107 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 3: technology can't do that alone. So my own way of 108 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 3: thinking about AI is it is a supplementation of our 109 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 3: human capital. It's not a replacement of our human capital. 110 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 2: Well, overall, how are you thinking about your human capital 111 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 2: when you think about some of your AUM goals? For example, 112 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 2: do you plan to hire more people to help achieve that? 113 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 4: And how many? 114 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 3: I'm going to say yes, plenty, and then I'm going 115 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 3: to get back in my phone. 116 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:03,799 Speaker 1: Is going to be ringing up the hook with people 117 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: looking for a job? Yeah, clearly. 118 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 3: If you look at our headcount, we have three thousand 119 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 3: employees at areas today, in forty offices in twenty countries. 120 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 3: They're all growing because, again, our differentiator is our ability 121 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 3: to be in these local markets developing relationships with companies 122 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 3: and assets. So by definition, we have to grow our 123 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 3: headcount in order to support the AUM target. I think 124 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 3: we'll be doing that all over the globe. 125 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 4: Now, there are some areas that have gotten really hot 126 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 4: in private credit. One where you guys have made an 127 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,679 Speaker 4: early splash is sports. Yes, there's a lot of news 128 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 4: around the market about the NFL looking to be open 129 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 4: to private equity ownership. How big is that market? Is 130 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 4: it even attracted to somebody like you? 131 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: Yeah? 132 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 3: I think the sports media and entertainment as I would 133 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 3: describe the opportunity as a huge addressable market We formally 134 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 3: entered the business about four years ago in the middle 135 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 3: of COVID, identifying that that would be a catalyst for 136 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 3: what we thought would be transformational change. So when I 137 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 3: reflect back on our thirty years in private credit, it's 138 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 3: always been about innovating where there was some form of 139 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 3: rigidity in the way that things got financed. And if 140 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 3: you look at sports globally, they've typically been financed with 141 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 3: bank capital and high net worth investors and nothing in between. 142 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 3: And what we've learned over thirty years is the markets 143 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 3: will evolve to value innovation in capital structures, and I 144 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 3: think that's what's happening in sports. 145 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: So the NFL being one example of many. 146 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 3: As these leagues are maturing and people are seeing values grow, 147 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 3: they're bringing institutional capital into a unlock value in the 148 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 3: capital structure, support growth, bring management expertise to the table 149 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 3: to help drive continued revenues. So I think we're just 150 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 3: getting started. And this is a TAM that did not exist. 151 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 3: So you mentioned the NFL. If you say thirty teams 152 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 3: times you know, three four or five billion, pick your 153 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 3: number one league alone, you can see you start to 154 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 3: create one hundred billion dollar equity TAM. 155 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: And so I think we're just beginning. 156 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 3: To see the you know, the evolution of this, but 157 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 3: it's going to open up a whole new market investment 158 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 3: opportunity for folks like us. 159 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 2: I also do want to talk about wealth because obviously 160 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 2: that's a big growth driver for you. How do you 161 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 2: keep the momentum going, how do you continue to expand 162 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: your business in that business? 163 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think, Look, there's going to be like all 164 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 3: things in our business now, it's consolidating and the consolidation 165 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 3: is accelerating. 166 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 1: I think in wealthy you win with people. 167 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 3: Ie you need teams around the globe that are supporting 168 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 3: the sales and servicing of the wealth investor. 169 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 1: You need a platform to support it. 170 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 3: You need product, you need track record, you need relationships 171 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 3: with the distribution partners. 172 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 1: And it's a huge investment. 173 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 3: We have one hundred and twenty five people with six 174 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: products that are actually pushing product into the wealth channel. 175 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 3: We set it our Investor Day yesterday. We expect our 176 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 3: twenty five billion today to grow to one hundred billion. 177 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 3: We expect our hundred and twenty five people to go 178 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 3: to one hundred and seventy five, and our product set 179 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 3: will go from six to likely ten. So again you 180 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 3: have to make investments in each of these areas. 181 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:16,719 Speaker 1: People, product platform. 182 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 4: Are long term goals twenty twenty eight, you said these 183 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 4: goals for but what about the next twelve months. What's 184 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 4: the biggest opportunity. 185 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: I think we just got to keep doing what we're doing. 186 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,440 Speaker 3: You know, obviously the transaction market is beginning to open up, 187 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 3: deployment is starting to pick up again. The fundraising machine 188 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,360 Speaker 3: has been working for us, as you've seen in our 189 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 3: fundraising numbers in what we by all accounts. You know, 190 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 3: here is a difficult fundraising market. So I think every 191 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 3: year is about execution. The way that we get to 192 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 3: our five year goals is just, you know, keep doing 193 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 3: what we're doing, and I think that's what we're focused on. 194 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: Well, Mike, I think that's a good place to leave it. 195 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 2: Really appreciates your time today. Out of course, is Mike 196 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 2: Arraghetty of Areas, and of course Ploomberg's Shanali Basset