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Speaker 1: So I'm sitting there a little while ago, I'm watching

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Speaker 1: the playoff rankings come out. I'm sure everyone has a

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Speaker 1: lot of takeaways from that. I do too. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: leave the show with it. One thing I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you called, did you hear Heather Dnich talk about

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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech? Because I heard something kind of bothered me

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Speaker 1: a little bit. She talked about how the committee is

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Speaker 1: well aware that a bad call gave Georgia Tech a win.

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Speaker 1: Now that in and of itself is true, Okay, that

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Speaker 1: did happen. Officials flat out handed what should have been

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Speaker 1: a Wake Forest win to Georgia Tech. Here's what I'm asking,

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Speaker 1: do we really want to go down a road where

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Speaker 1: the Playoff Committee is assignating wins that were losses because

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Speaker 1: they perceive bad officiating to be the culprit. Because I

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Speaker 1: think Auburn could be a solid ten and two team

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Speaker 1: if we're going to go down in the road. I

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Speaker 1: think Hugh Freeze could be rehired at Auburn if we're

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Speaker 1: going down that road. According to what the committee says,

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Speaker 1: the reality is so yeah, I didn't like that all

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Speaker 1: that much. We're jampacked, we're high a top a somewhat

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Speaker 1: warmer downtown Nashville, Tennessee. On this Tuesday, November eleventh, the

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Speaker 1: ar of our Lower twenty twenty five. The rankings just

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Speaker 1: got released. I've got what Jesse, thirty seven thoughts, maybe

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Speaker 1: forty thoughts. I got a lot of thoughts on it.

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Speaker 1: We've got full week twelve predictions on the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: It is a big, big weekend. A lot of movement

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Speaker 1: about to happen. JP Pole. That's on the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: I've got coaching intel. It sounds like Auburn's making a move.

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Speaker 1: Sounds like LSU needs to make a move, but they

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Speaker 1: can't without getting their affairs in order down there, and

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Speaker 1: that hasn't happened yet. And there's Florida, Florida, the old

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Speaker 1: shark fin just offshore, just patiently waiting. I got added

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Speaker 1: best bets. We got a lot to get to. They're

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Speaker 1: watching us in Fort Payne, Alabama, Hayward, California, Sue City, Iowa,

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Speaker 1: and Grove City, Utah. Thank you guys so much. I'm

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Speaker 1: also gonna let you know if you're putting Marcel Read

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Speaker 1: in the chat, I'm banning you from the channel. So

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Speaker 1: that's your final warning on that I bet him. I

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Speaker 1: bet him to win the Heisman today. No one needs

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Speaker 1: to sell Marcel Read to me anyway. You have been warned, Jesse.

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Speaker 1: You have the band hammer, get ready to swing it.

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Speaker 1: So the college football playoff rankings just got released. Reecee

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Speaker 1: Davis talked about this. But I don't care that Reees

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Speaker 1: Davis talked about it because he's right about it. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lead the show with him. There is a

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Speaker 1: doomsday scenario out there for the ACC. We see the iceberg.

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Speaker 1: That's the good news. We can avoid it. As a conference,

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Speaker 1: this is me and the ACC. We're speaking amongst ourselves

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Speaker 1: right now. I've never even called myself acc paate, but

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Speaker 1: there's a first time for everything. We can't let this happen.

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Speaker 1: We can't let this happen. What is this? What are

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Speaker 1: we talking about? What is this? All? Right? There is

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Speaker 1: a world where the ACC misses the playoff, which was

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Speaker 1: once thought to be impossible. But that was a whole

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Speaker 1: different world. That was like three weeks ago. Now it's possible.

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Speaker 1: Here's what needs to happen. Duke wins the ACC. That's

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Speaker 1: really what needs to happen. And then a couple of

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Speaker 1: these teams fall. Here is the big concern right now.

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Speaker 1: Miami is the highest ranked ACC team. They're not gonna

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Speaker 1: play for the conference title. Their best shot is to

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Speaker 1: be an at large team, which I think they have

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Speaker 1: some possibility for and I'll talk about that later. Then

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Speaker 1: you got Georgia Tech at sixteen. I think they could

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Speaker 1: go and play for the conference title. So let's just

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Speaker 1: bookmark them. Virginia they're limping right now. Louisville they're limping

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Speaker 1: right now. Pitts at twenty two. They play Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: this weekend. Also, some of these teams play each other.

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Speaker 1: So let me just paint a picture for you, because

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Speaker 1: I know you're thinking in your head, he's crazy. The

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Speaker 1: ACC champ is guaranteed a spot in the playoff. No,

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Speaker 1: they're not. They're not. It's just at ninety nine percent

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Speaker 1: of the time, all of the power for conference champs

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Speaker 1: would lock down spots in the playoff. Here's the rule.

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Speaker 1: The rule is there are five automatic spots given to

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Speaker 1: the five highest ranked FBS conference champs. Now, it was

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Speaker 1: thought when they constructed the playoff, we don't need to

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Speaker 1: say the highest ranked Power four champs. It just goes

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Speaker 1: without saying Conference champs in Power four leagues are always

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Speaker 1: gonna trump conference champs from G five leagues. That's just

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Speaker 1: always gonna happen. Well, yeah, we thought so. Here's the problem.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not Duke is eight and four or could be

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Speaker 1: eight and four. They're five and four right now. They've

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Speaker 1: got three more games. Only one of their losses is

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Speaker 1: a conference loss, so they have to play Virginia, North

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Speaker 1: Carolina and Wake Forest their final three games. Looks like

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Speaker 1: all three of those games are at home. By the way,

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Speaker 1: Duke could go to Charlotte to play for a conference title.

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Speaker 1: At eight and four. As of this moment, it looks

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Speaker 1: like Georgia Tech is their most likely opponent. What if

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Speaker 1: they go and they do that, and they play Georgia

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Speaker 1: Tech and Charlotte and they beat Georgia Tech, Georgia Tech's

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Speaker 1: gonna be They're not going to be an at large.

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Speaker 1: Would Duke here's the question, would Duke be one of

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Speaker 1: the five highest rank conference champs? You may think, Oh, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't know that they would. I certainly don't think

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Speaker 1: that they'll be ahead of USF. Let's say if USF

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Speaker 1: wins the American and I don't know that they'd be

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Speaker 1: ahead of James Madison. If James Madison wins the sun Belt,

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Speaker 1: and once we swallow that harsh potential reality, we ask, okay, well,

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Speaker 1: what is the ACC's best shot to get a team in.

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Speaker 1: It would probably be Miami, which brings me to my

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Speaker 1: next point. We get off the doomsday scenario for just

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Speaker 1: a second. Miami's got some oxygen. But I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you were listening. I was listening to the Playoff

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Speaker 1: committee chair talk on the broadcast and they were asking him, Hey,

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Speaker 1: how do you perceive the ACC And he sort of

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Speaker 1: showed the committee's hand and a little bit he said,

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Speaker 1: outside of Miami, this league has no good out of

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Speaker 1: conference wins to hang its hat on. So it's up

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Speaker 1: to you, Miami. It's what I'm saying. There could be

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Speaker 1: a distinct possibility here. It's up to Miami. Miami has

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Speaker 1: some oxygen. I do think there was a little correction

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Speaker 1: in the rankings tonight. They got bumped up three spots.

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Speaker 1: I do think there was a little correction because they

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Speaker 1: were too low last week. First reaction we had on

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Speaker 1: the show last week, Miami seems a little bit too low.

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Speaker 1: It's almost like people are taking their frustration out on

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Speaker 1: them via the ranking. So they're fifteenth right now, look

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Speaker 1: at the graphic in front of you. If you're listening

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Speaker 1: on podcasts, Well, I just told you Miami's fifteenth. They

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Speaker 1: need to get up to the number ten spot basically

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Speaker 1: for an at large spot, because you have to assume

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Speaker 1: a couple of those eleven to twelve spots, maybe for

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Speaker 1: the conference tie ins, like the twelve spot's going to

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Speaker 1: go to the G five team probably. So let's just

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Speaker 1: think this through here. Let's name the teams in front

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Speaker 1: of Miami, Vanderbilt. Vander Bolt's got to go play Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt very well could get knocked out Utah. In fact,

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Speaker 1: I wrote this down. Utah plays our number thirty, thirty

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Speaker 1: one and thirty three teams in the jpeople, which I'm

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Speaker 1: going to talk about later. So Utah's got three tough

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Speaker 1: opponents left. They play both the Kansas schools. Who else

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Speaker 1: did they play Jesse? They got one other opponent. Utah's

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Speaker 1: got three like legit opponents, So Utah could lose. Brigham

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Speaker 1: Young is sitting there at twelve. They've still got to

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Speaker 1: play Cincinnati, and even if they get through that, they

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Speaker 1: could go to the conference title game and lose. Let's

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Speaker 1: put a pin in that, because I have a lot

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Speaker 1: of differing opinions in my own head about how the

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Speaker 1: committee may handle a Brigham Young team that loses their

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Speaker 1: second game in the conference title game. Oh you is

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Speaker 1: at eleven. Oh You plays Alabama this weekend. Texas is

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Speaker 1: at ten. Texas plays Georgia, Texas plays Texas, A and

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Speaker 1: m Notre Dame's got pitt on the road this weekend

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Speaker 1: point being, I mean, Oregon's got you, still, Organ's got

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Speaker 1: Minnesota this week they got Washington. At the end of

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Speaker 1: the season, all these teams ahead of Miami have losable

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Speaker 1: and in some cases multiple losable games coming up. Question

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Speaker 1: number one is Miami going to take care of business?

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Speaker 1: That's not a given, that is not a guarantee, But

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Speaker 1: let's assume for the sake of argument, they do a

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Speaker 1: lot more oxygen, a lot more life has been breathed

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Speaker 1: into the once thought to be dead chest of Miami.

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Speaker 1: So what I'm saying is, let's take care of business.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. Texas Tech jumped up to number six. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I've got a thought here, and I did a straw

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Speaker 1: poll around the office and it's like fifty to fifty.

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Speaker 1: You guys can tell me what you think about this.

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Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech, if they went out, has positioned

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Speaker 1: themselves to grab the number five seed. I do believe

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Speaker 1: that if Texas Tech wins out, and that includes going

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Speaker 1: to Arlington, going to Dallas, and winning the Big twelve

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Speaker 1: championship game, I believe the added data point of winning

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Speaker 1: that comp French Championship by a team that's already perceived

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Speaker 1: to be well inside the top ten is going to

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Speaker 1: be enough to jump them over. Like George is there

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Speaker 1: right now, I believe it would be enough to put

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech there. It's a big deal because, yeah, you're

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Speaker 1: going to get a home playoff game no matter whether

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Speaker 1: you're five or you're six, or your seven and you're eight.

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Speaker 1: But the number five seed, like right now it's Georgia,

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Speaker 1: that's the team that in all likelihood gets to play

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Speaker 1: the G five team at home as more than a

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Speaker 1: two touchdown favorite. It's a very enviable spot. It's not

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Speaker 1: a guarantee of a win, but it's a very enviable spot.

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Speaker 1: Whereas if you drop to six, it becomes a little

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Speaker 1: more of a crapshoot because you've got no clue who

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Speaker 1: could be the eleven seed. So I think Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: is in a good position. Now McElroy brought something up

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Speaker 1: tonight and it's a bridge that's a little bit too

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Speaker 1: far from me at the moment, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's crazy. He said, forget about the five seed. Could

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech be in position to potentially grab one of

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Speaker 1: the top four seeds. Now that's where people are going

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Speaker 1: to have problems. I'm telling you, that's where people are

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Speaker 1: going to have problems because if these top four right here,

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Speaker 1: if Ohio State and Indiana went out and they go

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Speaker 1: play in Indianapolis, the loser of that game is going

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Speaker 1: to believe it is their birthright to still maintain a

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Speaker 1: top four spot. I'm not going to be here to

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Speaker 1: disagree with them. And if Texas A and M and

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Speaker 1: Alabama went out and they go to Atlanta, the winner,

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Speaker 1: of course gets a first round by. The loser is

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Speaker 1: also going to think it their birthright to maintain a

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Speaker 1: top four seed and get a first round by. And

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Speaker 1: again I'm going to agree with them. But there is

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Speaker 1: going to be an argument out there that Texas texts

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Speaker 1: good enough as a conference champ to jump up inside

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Speaker 1: that top four and grab one of the first round bys.

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Speaker 1: Now that's going to be a huge debate if it

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Speaker 1: does play out that way. I still think we need

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Speaker 1: to see the games play out before you really know.

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Speaker 1: Like I always go back to, I think it was

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Speaker 1: the first year of the four team playoff. I think

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Speaker 1: that was the year that Ohio State went into conference

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Speaker 1: championship Saturday and the thinking was they're on the outside

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Speaker 1: looking at I think this was twenty fourteen, and then

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Speaker 1: they just skull drug Wisconsin. I will never forget this

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Speaker 1: because it was our first introduction to sort of how

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Speaker 1: the fourteen playoff era was going to work. And it

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Speaker 1: went from Ohio States on the outside looking in, no

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Speaker 1: matter what they do today, to oh they just won

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Speaker 1: fifty nine to nothing, there's no way we can leave

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Speaker 1: them out of the playoff. And it happened over the

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Speaker 1: span of a few hours, just like the drum beat

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Speaker 1: went from soft to deafening to Ohio States in to

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Speaker 1: Ohio State goes on and wins the whole thing. That

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Speaker 1: kind of stuff can happen. Point being in the committee room,

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Speaker 1: how would the committee handle bring him young if they

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Speaker 1: win their remaining games and then lose another game to

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech in the Big twelve championship game. And I

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Speaker 1: want you to think this through with me. Last year

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Speaker 1: SMU was they were like nine ten somewhere like that.

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Speaker 1: They went to Charlotte, they lost a competitive conference championship game,

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Speaker 1: the committee refused to drop them out. The thinking there,

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Speaker 1: which is sound, it's logical, was if you're already inside

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Speaker 1: the playoff bubble once your regular season ends, and you've

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Speaker 1: earned the right to go play in a conference championship game,

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Speaker 1: no matter if you lose there or not, we should

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Speaker 1: not punish you for earning the right to play an

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Speaker 1: additional game just because you lost that game. Because you

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Speaker 1: got teams like Notre Dame who are sitting at home

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Speaker 1: cause they don't play in a conference. And then you

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Speaker 1: got other teams like number eight Oregon, let's just say,

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Speaker 1: who didn't earn the right, So therefore they enjoy the

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Speaker 1: comfort that they're not going to drop. You shouldn't have

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Speaker 1: to suffer a drop just because you played an additional

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Speaker 1: game and lost. Well, the thinking is already crystallized after

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Speaker 1: one year, since they didn't drop SMU last year, there's

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Speaker 1: no way they're never going to drop anyone. That may

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Speaker 1: be the case. I'm just suggesting, might we want to

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Speaker 1: pump the breaks a little bit on, assuming that we

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Speaker 1: know how steadfast that committee is in that train of thought,

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Speaker 1: because here is something that could happen and what I'm

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Speaker 1: about to say should not happen. Let me be on record,

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Speaker 1: my opinion is what I'm about to say should never

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Speaker 1: enter the equation. But these are people and there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of money on the line. We watched SMU get

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Speaker 1: benefit of the doubt last year. We watched them not

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Speaker 1: get punished and not dropped out, and they got sent

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Speaker 1: to Happy Valley, and they got smoked in the first

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Speaker 1: round of the playoff. And you remember what the talk

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Speaker 1: was just as well as I do. Everyone will screaming,

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Speaker 1: see SMU. They didn't deserve a spot to begin with.

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Speaker 1: I disagreed with it. I thought the committee got it right.

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Speaker 1: I thought SMU should have been in. It didn't matter

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Speaker 1: if they lost by one hundred. They belonged in over Alabama,

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Speaker 1: they belonged in over South Carolina, they belonged in over

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Speaker 1: Ole miss That was my opinion before the game, that

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Speaker 1: was my opinion after the game. I'm not on the

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Speaker 1: committee this year. And all I'm saying is, if Brigham

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Speaker 1: Young were to go and they finish eleven and two,

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Speaker 1: but they suffer another double digit loss, three possession type loss,

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Speaker 1: might the committee look at them. If you got a

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Speaker 1: Miami floating there who finished the season strong, and say

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Speaker 1: we're gonna put Miami in over them, maybe it shouldn't happen.

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Speaker 1: I'm just saying, I don't think it's the craziest concept

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Speaker 1: in the world to consider that it might happen. Now,

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Speaker 1: we hit up FanDuel. We're just out there on the

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Speaker 1: horn with FanDuel as the committee is releasing their rankings

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Speaker 1: and then we're just penciling in the bracket. And what

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Speaker 1: I like to do with FanDuel is I like to say, guys,

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Speaker 1: we don't have to wait until these games happen. We

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Speaker 1: can just go ahead and pretend they're going to happen.

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Speaker 1: And they're like, okay, what do you want? All right, Well,

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Speaker 1: what I want is I want to know what the

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Speaker 1: lines on these games would be. So they go and

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Speaker 1: they spin them out just like the model, and FanDuel

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Speaker 1: got us hypothetical lines on all the projected first round games.

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Speaker 1: So here's what they would be at Georgia. Georgia would

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Speaker 1: be favored by seventeen and a half. Yes, friends, that's

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Speaker 1: a playoff game. Take it up with the committee, not me,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame at Oregon. Oregon would be a short one

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Miami at Texas Tech. Can

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Speaker 1: you imagine that would be like the Hillary Clinton giff

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Speaker 1: she walks in a random kitchen, eyes wide open. Can

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Speaker 1: you imagine Miami folks showing up in Lubbock? That was

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Speaker 1: like Texas folks showing up in Starkville the other day?

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Speaker 1: Just what is this? Are we on the moon? Miami

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Speaker 1: would be a five point dog at Texas Tech and

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Speaker 1: then Texas at Ole Miss? How about Ole Miss favored

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Speaker 1: by four, which implies that also be favored on a

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Speaker 1: neutral field. Now those are your current hypothetical lines for

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Speaker 1: projected first round games. Yeah, there is a lot of

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Speaker 1: movement that's about to happen this weekend. Ladies and gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: welcome into the show. Happy to have you with us.

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Speaker 1: If you're new around here. Thank you for watching It's

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Speaker 1: college football all year. I ask humbly, humbly but forcefully,

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Speaker 1: that you look down there at that little subscribe button

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Speaker 1: and click it. It is free. That's the last you'll

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Speaker 1: ever hear of. It doesn't sign you up for anything,

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Speaker 1: but it really helps us continue to do the show

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Speaker 1: free of corporate interference. Look at that. There's no corporate

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Speaker 1: overlord over this show. It's just it's our show. There.

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Speaker 1: It is written right there. It's our show because of you, guys.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate it so much. Quick Trip is fueling us

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Speaker 1: down to Athens, Georgia this Saturday, Texas at Georgia seven

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Speaker 1: thirty kickoff there on ABC. We will be there. Laura

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Speaker 1: Rutledge is even gonna be there. That's how you know

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Speaker 1: it's a big game. I mean, Chris is there, and

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Speaker 1: Kirk is there, and Holly's there, but Laura Rutledge gets

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Speaker 1: brought in extra special time. Quick Trip fueling our trip

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Speaker 1: down to Athens. And I also want you to know

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Speaker 1: I have it on good authority. Maybe a little Quick

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Speaker 1: Trip event there in Athens, maybe outside of the Miller

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Speaker 1: Learning Center, maybe from three thirty to seven thirty Kevin Butler.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they're signing autographs, especially later in the day Free

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Speaker 1: Coke floats. Yes, all that's really happening. So our good

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Speaker 1: Quick Trip friends are going to be there on campus.

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Speaker 1: They don't go to many campi during the season, but

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Speaker 1: this is a campus that they will be at. And

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Speaker 1: also just a little fyi, I am told because I

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Speaker 1: have access to the data that the fault don't lie

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Speaker 1: to her. Athens Georgia edition, which is available for one

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Speaker 1: week only, is flying off the shelves at paytstatematerial dot com.

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Speaker 1: Will it beat the numbers our Lubbock T shirt did

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Speaker 1: last week? Because the Lubbock shirt is our best seller ever.

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Speaker 1: So our balls are in your court down in Athens,

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Speaker 1: Our balls are in your court. Let's continue. We got

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Speaker 1: a lot of games to predict tonight. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: get to one small pressing matter first. Though. Coaching searches

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Speaker 1: are going on everywhere. You cannot walk around the SEC

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Speaker 1: without seeing a coaching search happening on your nearest street corner.

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Speaker 1: It's happening all over the place, except at LSU, where

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Speaker 1: they can't even get the search really started in earnest

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Speaker 1: because they can't figure out what they're doing. Mema would say,

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Speaker 1: they can't take a leak without getting in the front

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Speaker 1: of their pants wet. At LSU right now, it's a

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Speaker 1: sort of embarrassing to watch. So if you've been living

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Speaker 1: your life and you haven't been following this. Brian Kelly

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Speaker 1: got fired down there, you know that. And Brian Kelly's

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Speaker 1: owed a whole lot of money, you know, because LSU

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Speaker 1: signed their name on the dotted line of a contract

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Speaker 1: that guaranteed him a lot of money if they fired him.

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Speaker 1: They fired him, they owe him a lot of money. Shockingly,

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Speaker 1: they don't want to pay it. And so this is

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Speaker 1: now going to play out in a courtroom. And it

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Speaker 1: would be okay if it played out in a courtroom,

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Speaker 1: as long as it didn't play out in the court

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Speaker 1: of public opinion. But looselips, especially motivated loose slips, can

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Speaker 1: sink ships very quickly. Mema also said that. And so

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Speaker 1: now it's just out there, everyone's reporting on it, and

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Speaker 1: the grand and some is that if I am a

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Speaker 1: candidate for the LSU job right now, if I am

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Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin, for example, I am watching my prospective future

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Speaker 1: employer take my predecessor to court to not pay him

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Speaker 1: money that the contract they signed with him says that

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Speaker 1: they owe him. Now, if you're just a viewer at home,

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Speaker 1: you think, oh, there goes LSU again. Boy, they're crazy

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Speaker 1: about football down there. That is not the reaction. Let

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Speaker 1: me emphasize for clarity and emphasis, that is not the

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Speaker 1: reaction that prospective candidates for this coaching opening have when

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Speaker 1: they watch possibly their future employer try and prevent themselves

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Speaker 1: from paying money that's owed. It's not a good look.

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Speaker 1: So it's going over how you would think it's going over.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes there's a lot of drama and it's much ado

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Speaker 1: about nothing. This is not that. So I've hit up

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Speaker 1: some people today. Yesterday I've kind of been in intact

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Speaker 1: with people about the whole structure of LSU throughout this

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Speaker 1: whole thing, and the general sentiment had been, yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: a little messy, but don't worry. They don't have to

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Speaker 1: make a hire this week, so they've got a little runway.

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Speaker 1: They can get their affairs in order. Let's get the president,

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Speaker 1: then we get the ad, then we figure out who's

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Speaker 1: on the search committee. Then you start doing your zoom interviews,

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Speaker 1: and then you do your in person interviews, and by

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Speaker 1: the time that an offer is put in front of

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Speaker 1: a candidate, there'll be a lot more familiarity and we

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Speaker 1: will have smoothed things over and that's all gone. That's

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Speaker 1: all gone. The thinking now I mean, I just I

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Speaker 1: flat out asked people today who would be involved and

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Speaker 1: who would know about the search, And I said, is

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Speaker 1: this hurting things like I think it is? And they said, yeah,

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Speaker 1: multiple people, not just one person. So I have no

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Speaker 1: idea how to tell you the LSU search is going,

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Speaker 1: because it's not going. How can it go right now?

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Speaker 1: So you have to look, the whole point of firing

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Speaker 1: a coach is to upgrade. In today's college football, you

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Speaker 1: have to be an unequivocal upgrade for a qualified candidate.

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Speaker 1: So of course, if you offered the job to a

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Speaker 1: G five head coach, almost certainly he's going to take it,

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Speaker 1: maybe aside from like a John Sumrall, you know, like

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Speaker 1: the highest commodity G five coaches. Now you go offer

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Speaker 1: the job to a high school coach, He's probably going

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Speaker 1: to take the LSU head coaching job. It doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: how big a disaster it is. He'll sign up for

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Speaker 1: the money and say, fine, fire me in three years.

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Speaker 1: I don't care. It's got to be an unequivocal upgrade

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Speaker 1: for a qualified candidate. There aren't many qualified candidates to

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Speaker 1: be the head coach at LSU that are upgrades from

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, to begin with the ones who would be upgrades.

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Speaker 1: The ones who would be qualified normally have good jobs already,

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Speaker 1: so you have to convince them that your spot is

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Speaker 1: a lamb dunk in arguable upgrade from where they already are.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Lane Kiffin right now looks at the

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Speaker 1: state of affairs at LSU and thinks, well, that's better

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Speaker 1: than what I got going on here at Ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: They do anything I want them to. I've got minimal

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Speaker 1: invasion from outside influences. I get to act pretty much

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Speaker 1: however I want here. I am winning, I am competitive

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Speaker 1: in Nil. They love me here. I claim to love

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Speaker 1: it here. And I say that sarcastically. I think he

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Speaker 1: really does. Do you think he looks at that right

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Speaker 1: now and says yet, that'd be an unequivocal upgrade from

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Speaker 1: what I have? He does not, or if he does,

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Speaker 1: he's wrong. So they got to get things figured out

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Speaker 1: pretty quickly down there. I'm here if you guys need

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Speaker 1: to talk, I'm here now. Auburn, on the other hand,

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Speaker 1: a place that historically has been prone to train wrecks

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Speaker 1: behind the scenes, pretty much has their act together. I

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Speaker 1: talk to you about this last week. I said the

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Speaker 1: perception is not the reality with Auburn. The perception is

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Speaker 1: people playing on old stereotypes about Auburn, and the further

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Speaker 1: you get away from the program, the looser people are

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Speaker 1: with saying that kind of stuff and they don't really

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Speaker 1: know what they're talking about. At Auburn, I think there's

427
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: really good alignment at Auburn. I think there's really really

428
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 1: good structure. The proper people are motivated to make the

429
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: right decision here and as a result, I think they

430
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,119
Speaker 1: had a really busy weekend. From what I hear, they

431
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: had a very productive weekend. And I think they're much

432
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,159
Speaker 1: further down the road than LSU is, maybe even than

433
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 1: Florida is. And I don't even compare Auburn to maybe

434
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,360
Speaker 1: the Arkansas or Virginia Techs of the world, because they're

435
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 1: fishing from a different pool of candidates. And truth be told,

436
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 1: if there is overlap between the candidate pool and an

437
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 1: Auburn versus an Arkansas or a Virginia Tech, it's because

438
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:54,440
Speaker 1: Arkansas or Virginia Tech would get the leftovers that remained

439
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 1: in the pool after Auburn fills their spot. I'm trying

440
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 1: to be respectful about this, but that's the way it

441
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 1: is so and jos of on three Fame, Jesse on threes,

442
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: Pete Nakos, it's on his birth certificate on Three's. Pete

443
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: Nakos put out a little article earlier today, not before

444
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,160
Speaker 1: he stopped in my office and gave me my own

445
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,639
Speaker 1: personal update. I like to compare what I'm hearing with

446
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 1: what young Peter is hearing. Same things, same things. Pete

447
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 1: has his ear to the literal ground during the day,

448
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 1: and so he put out a piece today that said, Hey,

449
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:34,440
Speaker 1: John Summerl's a strong candidate here. DJ Diurkin's going to

450
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 1: get a look. Look, you guys know as well as

451
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,160
Speaker 1: I do. If DJ Durkin were to have beaten Vanderbilt

452
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,880
Speaker 1: last week, this would already be very loud. If they

453
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: beat Bama at the end of the year and they

454
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 1: win the Iron Bowl, which is going to be like

455
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 1: Super Bowl time down there, they probably need to win

456
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 1: that game to make a bowl. I think that's how

457
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 1: the math works out. Dirkin's going to be really, really

458
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 1: strongly in consideration. But as of right now, I'm not

459
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: backing off what I've said. My stance for a while

460
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 1: has been if I'm Auburn, I am absolutely going after

461
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:06,640
Speaker 1: John Sumrall. I have not thought that he's the only

462
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 1: qualified candidate. I've just thought to myself, if I am

463
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: describing what I want in the Auburn head coach, that

464
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 1: guy meets all my criteria. That's me. I'm not talking

465
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:20,360
Speaker 1: about theirs, that's me. So I think he's very strongly

466
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: in the mix here. I would call him the favorite

467
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 1: to get this job, but not like a ninety percent

468
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 1: overwhelming favorite, because I think they're still doing their due diligence.

469
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 1: They're going through their process and that due diligence has

470
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 1: been done. That's the important thing to note here, not

471
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 1: that it's a race. When you get the right guy,

472
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: you get the right guy, doesn't matter if it happens

473
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: Tuesday or Friday. When you get the right guy, you

474
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:44,919
Speaker 1: get the right guy. But it is competitive, and so

475
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: it is in your best interest to be ahead of

476
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 1: the pack. And I think Auburn's ahead of the pack

477
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 1: right now. Arkansas, just to talk about them quickly, they've

478
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 1: done their due diligence as well. I think they've got

479
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: a weight. Okay, if they're competing with Auburn, they're not

480
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 1: really competing with Allburn. Auburn is a better job than Arkansas,

481
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: and so you know, like, let's just take Alex Golish

482
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 1: as an example. This is strictly generic. I want to

483
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:15,919
Speaker 1: emphasize that if Golish wanted the Auburn job and Auburn

484
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,159
Speaker 1: said we're going to go in a different direction, then

485
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,119
Speaker 1: he's a candidate for Arkansas. If offers are on the

486
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: table from both, I think Alex Golish or any other

487
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:28,439
Speaker 1: candidate probably takes the Auburn job before Arkansas. That doesn't

488
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,199
Speaker 1: automatically mean Auburn gets a leg up on you, because

489
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: you could have your perfect candidate fall in your lap.

490
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:37,640
Speaker 1: All I'm saying is, whether it's him, whether it's James Franklin,

491
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: whether it's any of a number of other candidates, you

492
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 1: may have to play a little bit of a waiting game,

493
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: which I know it feels like you already have been

494
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 1: because you have. That's the current state of affairs at Arkansas.

495
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,360
Speaker 1: As for Florida, I don't think anything's changed at all.

496
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 1: I think they're just waiting on a Lane Kiffin and

497
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 1: a lot of people down there that I've spoken to

498
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: feel really good about where they are with Lane Kiffin.

499
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,879
Speaker 1: They may have reason to feel good about it. I

500
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 1: have told you guys many times I will not discuss

501
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,359
Speaker 1: this with head coaches during the season, So I'm not

502
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 1: gonna be the one to hit Lane up and ask

503
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 1: him what he's thinking. It has been my opinion that

504
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 1: he has not made his mind up yet. But if

505
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: someone at Florida knows different, good on them. This week

506
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 1: at LSU has to have helped Florida's cause. It can't

507
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: have hurt It cannot possibly have hurt Florida's cause. So

508
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: until further notice, if I were a Florida Gator fam

509
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 1: I just be buying the Lane Kiffin stop and if

510
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 1: they need to pivot, they can pivot. And it's not

511
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:34,919
Speaker 1: like they've been sitting down there saying we're not going

512
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,399
Speaker 1: to do a thing until Lane tells us no. Of course,

513
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 1: they've worked on contingency plans. Truthfully, there are probably some

514
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 1: really good candidates out there that are on that contingency board.

515
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: I think it's Lane that's been one of the easiest

516
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,360
Speaker 1: coaching searches to see through. Sometimes you get this wrecking

517
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 1: ball out of left field at at the eleventh hour

518
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,120
Speaker 1: and a name comes in that you never thought existed.

519
00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 1: I don't know that's the case at Florida. Then again,

520
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 1: the state of a wrecking ball. The very nature of

521
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 1: a surprise wrecking ball is you wouldn't know about it.

522
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:11,159
Speaker 1: Here's what I do know. Tis the season. Tis the

523
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 1: season for what coaching searches? Yeah, but what else? Well?

524
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 1: Conference championships coming up? Yeah? Yeah, keep going? What am

525
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,120
Speaker 1: I really talking about? Don't overthink the room. Christmas that's

526
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: what's coming up. And before Christmas gets here, cold weather

527
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 1: gets here. Trust me, I know it snowed in Nashville

528
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 1: yesterday and I think that probably explains the spike that

529
00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:35,119
Speaker 1: we saw in the pet State store on all of

530
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 1: our Tis the season merch cause the sweaters are moving. Okay, Finally,

531
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: the other night on the show, I pointed out the

532
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: tis the season to be Chuggy sweater, which is my favorite,

533
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: and it finally started to move. Merry Christmas. You Filthy

534
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 1: Casual is still in the lead right now, but the

535
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 1: Christmas sweaters are moving. Paytstatematerial dot com. It is my

536
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 1: goal for us not to sell out. We as a

537
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: show do not sell out, and we as a peate

538
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: State store hopefully will not sell out, not because we're

539
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 1: not selling a lot of gear, but because We're really

540
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 1: good at restocking. Remember when we first opened the storageesse

541
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 1: and we could not keep any inventory. Well, we got

542
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: a bigger store now, so paystatematerial dot com. All right,

543
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 1: here we go. We got big games this weekend. Texas

544
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 1: at Georgia Saturday, seven thirty Eastern kickoff, ABC, Texas at Georgia. Man,

545
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 1: this game is fueled by Quick Trip will be there,

546
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:33,920
Speaker 1: so we're looking forward to this one. This one was

547
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: one you could see from miles away. You circled it

548
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 1: in spring. Think about being a Georgia season ticket holder.

549
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 1: You got the Bama game at night, you got Ole

550
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 1: miss come in there, you get Texas at night. Unbelievable

551
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 1: year to be a Georgia season ticket holder. Texas is rested.

552
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: Georgia's on their third straight game. They played Florida, they won.

553
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: They played Mississippi State, they won convincingly. Texas eleven and

554
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: three since joining the SEC. But that doesn't really matter

555
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,960
Speaker 1: in this game because two of those losses are to

556
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 1: Georgia and they both happened last year, and Texas had

557
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: a combined sixty yards rushing in those two games. So

558
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 1: this is the final SEC game for Georgia. This is

559
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 1: it They got two out of conference games to end

560
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 1: the year, so their conference resume is done and in

561
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 1: the bag. As Saturday around midnight, what's it going to

562
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 1: look like? Arch? Manning been leveling up lately. He's got

563
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: a shot to blow up here. This could be Arch's

564
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 1: unofficial official arrival on the big stage. So who can

565
00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 1: run it? I don't really want to talk about guys

566
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 1: throwing the ball yet, who can run the ball? Georgia

567
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: has done a great job. I know it's dirty talk

568
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: to give praise to Mike Bobo. The closer you get

569
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 1: to Athens Georgia, the less they want to give Mike

570
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 1: Bobo praise. But you know what, We're a pro Bobo show.

571
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: We always have them. So I'll give him praise because

572
00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: when I look at this piece of paper, how bad

573
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 1: it looked last year, and I see Georgia as a

574
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 1: top twenty five rushing outfit right now. That is cause

575
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: for celebration. So give him a cake, let him lick

576
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: the icing off the candles, do whatever he wants to.

577
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,239
Speaker 1: I don't even know when his birthday is. Give him

578
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 1: a cake, but then tell him Texas has got the

579
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,680
Speaker 1: second best run defense in the country. He won't be scared,

580
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 1: but he needs to be aware of it. Texas almost

581
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 1: certainly will struggle to run it because until further notice,

582
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 1: I don't know that Texas can match physicality with Georgia,

583
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 1: which needs to be in the hype video. It needs

584
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,479
Speaker 1: to be played in the building. You had two shots

585
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: last year. You got a frying pan to the face

586
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 1: both games, including one where the backup quarterback came back

587
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,239
Speaker 1: on you. But again, you couldn't run the ball on them.

588
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: Last year. Two games, two games and you barely got

589
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 1: to have one hundred rushing yards. It's not a phrase

590
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: I've ever used before. Now Texas is running back room

591
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: should be as healthy as it's been all year. So

592
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 1: there's that. I don't expect a good rushing game out

593
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 1: of Texas. We may may get one out of Georgia,

594
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: but it's a pride spot for Texas. Georgia doesn't have

595
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: anything to question their pride about Texas does. They got

596
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 1: a lot more to prove in this game than Georgia does.

597
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: Georgia gol loses game by thirty and I'd still know

598
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 1: overall what Georgia football is under Kirby Smart. We're still

599
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 1: kind of trying to find out what Texas football is

600
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 1: going to be long term under start? Are we not?

601
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 1: I think we are? But imagine this headline in July.

602
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 1: Scratch that. Imagine this question. If I were to ask

603
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 1: it to you in July. If I said, Hey, you

604
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 1: seen the schedule? You see November twelve, thirteenth fourteen? Was

605
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 1: this fifteenth? November fifteenth? I think it'll be Jesse. Have

606
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 1: you seen who plays who? Second week in November Texas

607
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 1: at Georgia. What if I told you in July that

608
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: game is destined to come down to quarterback play In July,

609
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 1: who would you have thought that favors gunn Er Stockton

610
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: versus arch Man? You would have said huge edge Texas.

611
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 1: I would have I would have said huge edge to Texas.

612
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 1: What do you think, now, who's the big edge there?

613
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: If it comes down to that, And I'm saying that

614
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: because I think it will, Who's the big edge there

615
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 1: could be Gunner Stockton. As of late, arch Man has

616
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: come on a little bit. Georgia pass defense outside the

617
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 1: top fifty Texas past defense in the nineties, So both

618
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 1: quarterbacks are going to have some work that they can

619
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 1: do against the opposition's secondary. I completely trust Gunner Stockton

620
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: and how he's elevated and how he is he's a

621
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: field general now is what he is, fully in full

622
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: command of the offense. Rusty Manziel was in the building today,

623
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: had a nice little length to convo with him about honestly,

624
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff that I can't say on air,

625
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 1: but some of it was about Gunner Stockton, and some

626
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: of it was about the freedom he has to operate

627
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 1: within that offense, the willingness, the willingness now that he

628
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: has both operating the offense and throwing the ball that

629
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:06,120
Speaker 1: he didn't exactly exhibit early in the season. See that's

630
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 1: the hallmark. And these really really good programs with offensive

631
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 1: staffs that know what they're doing, their quarterbacks continue to

632
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: get better throughout the year. You notice how that happens.

633
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 1: It always randomly seems to happen at Georgia. I know

634
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 1: Mike Bobo can't coach himself out of a wet paper bag,

635
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: according to some of you, but his quarterbacks just keep

636
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 1: improving throughout the year. It's crazy. He hasn't paid me anything.

637
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 1: By the way, There's been a lot of disproportionate Mike

638
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 1: Bobo love. It's only cause the dude gets trashed relentlessly,

639
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 1: like anytime Georgia goes three and out. So I just

640
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 1: want to counter the little scale there with some Mike

641
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: Bobo praise. I trust Gunner Stockton. Can I trust Arch Manning?

642
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 1: Here is he beginning to do the same thing. Georgia

643
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 1: very low havoc rate. They have struggled to get after

644
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: the quarterback. They're a low and sack rate. They're low

645
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 1: in takeaways. Texas is not that way. Their top ten,

646
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 1: their top fifteen in sacks. So Gunner Stockton faces a

647
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 1: little different challenge from the other side of the ball

648
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 1: than maybe Arch does from Georgia. I am convinced I

649
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:15,279
Speaker 1: have figured out where this game will be decided. Two categories,

650
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 1: tackle and yards after catch, specifically tackling in space and

651
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: yards after catch. We saw a CJ. Vogelstat that I

652
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 1: had to put on the show. Gunnerstocked and Arch Manning

653
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: are one and two in the sec in pass attempts

654
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 1: behind the line of scrimmage. Allow me to translate both

655
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 1: of these programs recruit premier athletes that they trust to

656
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 1: do things with the ball in their hand. And if

657
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 1: you can't tackle, then yards after catch becomes the most

658
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:52,440
Speaker 1: important stat in this game, and so I'm gonna sometimes

659
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 1: I predict the padlock stats, mistackles yards after catch those

660
00:35:57,760 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: in some shape, form or fashion I think will be

661
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 1: the padlock stats in this game. I walked in the

662
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:07,919
Speaker 1: building today and I I always guess what I'm gonna

663
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:09,880
Speaker 1: do before I break the game down. I was like

664
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: sixty percent leaning, I'm a bet Texas. I'm gonna pick Texas.

665
00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:17,479
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it. And then I thought to myself self,

666
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 1: how can I trust Texas to flip all the critical

667
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:25,879
Speaker 1: factors in this game. They are winless versus Georgia. Last year,

668
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: they really got humbled twice against Georgia. Georgia is nearly

669
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:33,839
Speaker 1: perfect at home. I trust Kirby and his staff in

670
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 1: this spot more than I trust Sark and his staff.

671
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 1: That's no disrespect. They've earned the right for me to

672
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 1: say that about them, and the Texas side has not

673
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:45,239
Speaker 1: earned the right for it to be said about them.

674
00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 1: Texas on the road this year, they faced Ohio State,

675
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: they lost. They faced Florida, they lost. They faced Kentucky

676
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 1: and narrowly won. They faced Mississippi State and narrowly won.

677
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 1: They have not been a good road program, going to

678
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 1: a place where the home team virtually never loses, and

679
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:05,839
Speaker 1: it's the best team outside of Ohio State that they

680
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:08,239
Speaker 1: will have faced on the road all year. What they

681
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: need is they need a repeat of that Bama moment

682
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 1: they had in twenty twenty three. I think it was

683
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 1: you remember sark and Texas, they go on the road,

684
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 1: they beat Alabama. It was like a huge coming out

685
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:24,279
Speaker 1: party and it was them announcing their arrival. Was it

686
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 1: really though? It was a great win, but was it

687
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 1: really like did that fundamentally alter the course of college football? No,

688
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 1: not in the way a lot of people thought it would.

689
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. Fanduels

690
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 1: got Georgia as a six and a half point favorite.

691
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 1: Right now, now you know what the model thinks about Texas.

692
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 1: I almost hesitated to even show you that the model

693
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 1: shockingly only has Georgia minus four. The Model has long

694
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 1: been tied at the hip with Texas. Texas is one

695
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 1: hundred and seventeenth in the country in penalties. I think

696
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:59,279
Speaker 1: home field is going to matter here. Home field. A

697
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 1: lot gets set about Sandford Stadium, I can tell you

698
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 1: at night, especially big time opponent in town. It's a

699
00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: special place now. Bama went in there and they took

700
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 1: care of business earlier this year. They were razor sharp

701
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,200
Speaker 1: on third down. It was the most efficient offensive performance

702
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 1: they probably had all year. They still only won by three.

703
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: I don't think Texas can go in there and be

704
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 1: that efficient against Georgia, and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong,

705
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: but I don't think I am. But what I do

706
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 1: think is Texas will compact the game and I don't

707
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 1: think Georgia will pull away. So I don't have a

708
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 1: strong feel on the game other than those factors that

709
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 1: I just said, all lean Georgia. So I think it's

710
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:40,960
Speaker 1: a close game and a one possession game. So I'm

711
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 1: going to do the thing where I take Georgia to

712
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 1: win in Texas to cover, which just means I think

713
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 1: it's going to be close and I'm not betting on it.

714
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: But Kirby and his staff have found a way in

715
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 1: these one possession games for a couple of years now,

716
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:54,759
Speaker 1: and I think they're going to find a way in

717
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 1: a one possession game to win it against Saturday. But

718
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,400
Speaker 1: it's going to be It's going to be a very

719
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 1: very memorable weekend in Athens. Georgia temperatures in the low seventies.

720
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,840
Speaker 1: I think upper sixties at kickoff, So it's gonna be

721
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: a good one. The other night I told you about

722
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,280
Speaker 1: a new journey that we're going on with flex Power,

723
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 1: and basically here's what it is. Flexpower has got the

724
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 1: best generators in the game. They got the best generators,

725
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: I say on Planet Earth. They are friends of the program.

726
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:29,600
Speaker 1: They have partnered with us. Talked to Danny today, Actually

727
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 1: I texted Danny today, and here's what we have decided.

728
00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 1: These generators are like eight hundred dollars values. We're gonna

729
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 1: give away a few of them. We're doing it right now.

730
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: We started it the other night. I don't care if

731
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:45,319
Speaker 1: you need it and cash power goes out if you

732
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 1: need it to power your tailgate and spoiler alert, you

733
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 1: do you know how you use a generator? You have

734
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 1: a million and one uses for a generator? Do you

735
00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 1: want a free one? If you do, it's pretty simple. Actually,

736
00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 1: you just need to tell me why you need it.

737
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 1: Several of you already did this. I'm going to give

738
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:06,800
Speaker 1: you until this Sunday to maximize your chances to whim.

739
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 1: Here's all you need to do. Just record a video.

740
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,399
Speaker 1: I don't care if it's vital, vertical, horizontal, I don't care.

741
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 1: Record a video explaining to us why you deserve one.

742
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:20,399
Speaker 1: One guy did it in gear from the Peate State

743
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 1: store the other day. I'm pretty sure that dude's getting

744
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 1: free generator. We haven't decided yet. I'm pretty sure that

745
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,839
Speaker 1: guy's getting a free generator. But we still have more

746
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 1: to give away. So the only thing you need to

747
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: make sure you do needs to be a video and

748
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: you need to add that hashtag flex power flex and

749
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,799
Speaker 1: then just post it Instagram, Twitter. I don't care. We

750
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,959
Speaker 1: will be looking, we will be monitoring. We're giving away

751
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: one per Sunday for the next three Sundays. You have

752
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:55,680
Speaker 1: been warned in a great way. Let's continue another game

753
00:40:55,719 --> 00:41:01,440
Speaker 1: breakdown here, another big one. Oklahoma at al Alabama Saturday,

754
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 1: three point thirty eastern, two thirty local kickoff on ABC.

755
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 1: Alabama has won seventeen straight at home. Oklahoma is all

756
00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 1: right now, Jesse, make sure I get this right. Oklahoma

757
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:17,320
Speaker 1: is ten and eleven away from Norman under Brenton Venables,

758
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 1: but they're three and oh this year in true road games.

759
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 1: So notice what we did there. We added the Texas

760
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:27,400
Speaker 1: game in the first st at category, but I removed

761
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: the Texas game in the second one because it's not

762
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:31,840
Speaker 1: a true road game. It's a neutral site game. So

763
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,399
Speaker 1: Brent Vinables has not lost a true road game this year,

764
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 1: and that includes a trip to Temple and Tennessee. So

765
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 1: I have got a little nervousness about this game. Why

766
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,640
Speaker 1: am I nervous? It's not because I'm playing in it,

767
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: although my national championship pick is playing in it, and

768
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 1: that's Alabama. But it's not why I'm nervous. I'm nervous

769
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 1: because I am very confident in picking this one, very confident,

770
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 1: and so is the model. And the model and I

771
00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 1: agree on this. You know what, I'm not nervous. I

772
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 1: shouldn't be nervous. We've won money all year with me

773
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:10,200
Speaker 1: agreeing with the model. So let's lean into it here,

774
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 1: all right. So for Oklahoma, John Mattiir has got to

775
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 1: give me enough here, He's got to give you enough.

776
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,359
Speaker 1: I need a better game from him than I got

777
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: against Tennessee, which sounds weird because they went on the

778
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 1: road and they won against Tennessee. They did, they did,

779
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:27,520
Speaker 1: but they had a lot of other critical factors tilt

780
00:42:27,560 --> 00:42:30,040
Speaker 1: their way. I'm not taking anything away from them. I'm

781
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 1: saying I can't count on that to happen again. So

782
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 1: I need better than nineteen of twenty nine for one

783
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,560
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty yards, zero touchdowns and one pick. What

784
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 1: he did do, John Matteer, being the he is, he

785
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:45,319
Speaker 1: did put up eighty yards on the ground and we

786
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 1: have seen several mobile quarterbacks give Alabama fits, So that's

787
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,200
Speaker 1: got to be a staple of their offensive attack this Saturday.

788
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:58,360
Speaker 1: He has not thrown for over two twenty five since

789
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 1: the thumb injury, which it hurts because I had a

790
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,439
Speaker 1: Heisman ticket for John Mattire. One thing that can alter

791
00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 1: this though, And I say, I can't lean on this,

792
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,239
Speaker 1: but maybe I should. Maybe I should buy into the

793
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 1: idea that Oklahoma's ground game really is finding itself. That

794
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 1: offensive line's playing with a different nastiness. According to friend

795
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 1: of the program, Gay Biker, his words, not mine. Did

796
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 1: Teddy Lehman back him up on that? That's what I

797
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:27,279
Speaker 1: need to find out, because if Teddy doesn't agree, I

798
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,560
Speaker 1: really don't care what Gay Biker said. That's a lie,

799
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 1: very very sweet individual. When it comes to gas stations,

800
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: he's confused, but he has a good reason to be.

801
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:38,120
Speaker 1: It's okay, I understand, but yeah, if that offensive line's

802
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 1: coming into its own, A lot of young guys, by

803
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 1: the way sign of court sort of coming into their own.

804
00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 1: They're coming out of a bye week here, they've had

805
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 1: Xavier Robinson running for one hundred yards per game. All

806
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:49,759
Speaker 1: of a sudden, Hey, if that shows up, I don't

807
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 1: need as much from John Mattire. I still think I

808
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 1: need a better game than I got from him against Tennessee.

809
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,960
Speaker 1: But you'll notice we've gotten a few minutes into this

810
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 1: thing now. I haven't made you should run defense yet.

811
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,320
Speaker 1: There's a reason why I don't think it's the biggest

812
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,480
Speaker 1: thing in the game. I have heard a lot of

813
00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:10,800
Speaker 1: people talk about this game this week, and their biggest

814
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 1: thing I don't think is the biggest thing. The biggest thing,

815
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 1: according to most of the free world out there, is

816
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's run defense being top five, maybe the best in

817
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:22,680
Speaker 1: the country. Against an Alabama team that struggles to run

818
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:26,839
Speaker 1: the ball, Oh man, it's strength on weakness. Yeah, that's

819
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 1: why I don't really care. I'd care if Alabama was

820
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: relying on being able to run the ball. They already don't.

821
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 1: I don't care if you shave Oklahoma's defensive profile in half,

822
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:39,400
Speaker 1: Bama still wouldn't run it on them. So what are

823
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 1: you really taking away from Alabama that they haven't already

824
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 1: proven they can function fine without. I'd be more worried

825
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:49,640
Speaker 1: if Bama was averaging like thirty yards more on the

826
00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 1: ground per game, because that would almost lean me into

827
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:55,640
Speaker 1: Alabama's depending on running the ball to be able to

828
00:44:55,680 --> 00:45:00,359
Speaker 1: beat you. They're not. So it's actually a crazy concept here,

829
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 1: but in football, it makes sense when your best strength

830
00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 1: matches up with their biggest weakness and it's a successful team.

831
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:12,239
Speaker 1: Sometimes that team has just figured out a way to

832
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 1: overcome their weakness. Alabama's figured out a way to overcome

833
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:19,120
Speaker 1: their weakness and still scale their offense through really extensions

834
00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 1: of the ground game, but also they throw the ball

835
00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 1: really well. Now, the follow up to that can be

836
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:28,399
Speaker 1: there's a big difference in you need five or six

837
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,799
Speaker 1: to stop the run versus you're consistently stopping the run

838
00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 1: with four, And if Oklahoma can do that then and

839
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:38,920
Speaker 1: I think they probably can, that's when it becomes more difficult.

840
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:40,920
Speaker 1: But just on the surface, if you're telling me, man,

841
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's going to hold bamat to fifty five yards on

842
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,920
Speaker 1: the ground. So did LSU. So did LSU. Now you

843
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 1: may say, well Bama only scored twenty in that game. Yeah,

844
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,680
Speaker 1: if you'll go back and watch it, I think there's

845
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 1: a lot left on the table in the past. Game

846
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:57,880
Speaker 1: that didn't necessarily have a whole lot to do with

847
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: LSU as much as it had to do with Alabama.

848
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 1: And I'll mention more on that in a second. So

849
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: what kind of day do I get from Ty Simpson?

850
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 1: How much time is he given to throw? Oklahoma is

851
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: really good at getting to the quarterback without having to

852
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 1: bring numbers, much less when they do bring numbers, and

853
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:19,280
Speaker 1: Brenton Venables has been known to do such things. How

854
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:21,960
Speaker 1: good of a game do I get from Ty Simpson?

855
00:46:22,040 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 1: Because he hasn't had a disaster game. The first game

856
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 1: of the year even wasn't really on him. He hasn't

857
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:34,800
Speaker 1: had his disaster game. He's had varying degrees of good, better, great,

858
00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 1: had bad. Yet can Oklahoma make him have his bad game?

859
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 1: It's the best defensive front he will have seen. If

860
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:45,919
Speaker 1: his pass pro breaks down, then you could force him

861
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 1: into some uncomfortable throws. You could just turn the ball over.

862
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,279
Speaker 1: You could force errant throws. You could bat balls in

863
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 1: the air, and that could fundamentally change this game. It's

864
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:57,839
Speaker 1: hard to predict that happening, but that could fundamentally change

865
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:01,359
Speaker 1: this game. If he has an adequate time, there will

866
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:04,239
Speaker 1: be plays to be made against the Oklahoma secondary. I

867
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 1: go back to the old Miss game. I go back

868
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 1: to the Tennessee game. Now, one of them they won,

869
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,960
Speaker 1: one of them they lost. But in both of those games,

870
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 1: teams threw for over three to fifteen against them, which

871
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 1: led us to realize that Oklahoma pass defense statistic was

872
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 1: a little misleading, not a lot, but a little misleading.

873
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:27,719
Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter if they harass him all afternoon,

874
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 1: will they hmm? I told you I was confident in

875
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 1: this game. I tried to present both sides there. Oklahoma

876
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:41,840
Speaker 1: strength does not take much away from Alabama. Oklahoma strength

877
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:44,120
Speaker 1: to stopping to run doesn't take much away from a

878
00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:47,160
Speaker 1: team that already doesn't run the ball. The pass defense

879
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:49,760
Speaker 1: at Oklahoma is the key in this game. And against

880
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 1: the two best passing attacks, the only two passing attacks

881
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 1: comparable Tobama this year, they gave up three point fifteen

882
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:57,880
Speaker 1: and three ninety three through the air. It is a

883
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 1: do up spot for Alabama for explosive plays through the air.

884
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 1: If you go back and watch the LSU game last week,

885
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:09,560
Speaker 1: they won, they covered. There was so much meat left

886
00:48:09,600 --> 00:48:14,280
Speaker 1: on the bone. Not wildly overthrown or wildly underthrown balls,

887
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 1: balls off the fingertips, balls that you think to yourself,

888
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:22,000
Speaker 1: with an entire week's focus on precision and accuracy, probably

889
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:26,479
Speaker 1: yield better dividends the following Saturday turnover margin on the year.

890
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 1: Oklahoma in the one teams Alabama top ten, and this

891
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:33,520
Speaker 1: is Oklahoma having to go on the road in one

892
00:48:33,560 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 1: of the toughest environments they'll play in all year. I

893
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 1: think Alabama's going to win the game by double digit Saturday.

894
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:43,160
Speaker 1: The model thinks that the line is off. Alabama is

895
00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:45,480
Speaker 1: currently a five and a half point favorite. A lot

896
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:49,760
Speaker 1: of people are terrified about this game. I don't feel

897
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:52,400
Speaker 1: that way. I think Alabama's gonna win the game and

898
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 1: end up handling it. It will not be pretty at

899
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:59,400
Speaker 1: all times, but I think fourth quarter you're turning it

900
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:03,120
Speaker 1: on way through and you're saying, Wow, they found themselves.

901
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:05,440
Speaker 1: They found the stuff through the air they didn't necessarily

902
00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:09,319
Speaker 1: find last week against LSU. Still want against LSU but

903
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:11,719
Speaker 1: didn't find it. I'm gonna take Alabama to win. I'm

904
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:14,120
Speaker 1: gonna take them to cover, and we're gonna add this

905
00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 1: on the Ram and Noodle Express as one of our

906
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:18,319
Speaker 1: best bets of the week. We're adding Alabama minus five

907
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,240
Speaker 1: and a half in the middle of the show. Feel

908
00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:23,320
Speaker 1: really good about that one. They're watching us in Buckhead, Georgia,

909
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:29,160
Speaker 1: Colorado Springs, Colorado and Winchester, Tennessee. It hurts. It brings

910
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 1: me no joy because we've got a lot of friends

911
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:34,799
Speaker 1: in Oklahoma. And you know what, Jesse, didn't I pick

912
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee to beat them. I did. I did pick Tennessee

913
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 1: to beat them. So I wasn't as confident then as

914
00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 1: I am now. We have a short track record of

915
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 1: whiffing on Oklahoma games. You know, I'll be here Sunday

916
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,880
Speaker 1: either way. But I do feel like I see the

917
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:51,440
Speaker 1: matchup differently than a lot of people. I've heard a

918
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,280
Speaker 1: lot of people pick Oklahoma to win the game outright.

919
00:49:53,640 --> 00:49:58,000
Speaker 1: I do not see that game that way. This one's

920
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 1: gonna be fun. This one right here is gonna be fun.

921
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 1: Iowa at USC Saturday. It's a three thirty Eastern twelve

922
00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:10,160
Speaker 1: thirty Pacific kickoff on Big ten Network. Don't even ask.

923
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 1: It's a ranked game. It's a ranked on ranked games

924
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 1: on Big ten Network. Congrats to the folks at Big

925
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:19,640
Speaker 1: ten Network. Now I hear you, I hear every one

926
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:21,880
Speaker 1: of you, and I know what you're saying right now,

927
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:25,839
Speaker 1: Lucky Iowa man, who this game's gonna be a far

928
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 1: cry from last week? They're saying, who thirty seven degrees

929
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:34,720
Speaker 1: and rain in Iowa City couldn't be Southern California. They're saying,

930
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 1: it brings me no joy to present to you this

931
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:45,439
Speaker 1: weekend's weather forecast in normally sunny Southern California. Friday heavy rain,

932
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:53,319
Speaker 1: Saturday heavy rain. This concludes your a weekend forecast for

933
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:57,680
Speaker 1: southern California. It's gonna be a repeat of last week,

934
00:50:57,760 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 1: but about twenty degrees warmer. That's what we're walking into,

935
00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:04,320
Speaker 1: maybe heavier rain. I didn't know it was monsoon season,

936
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:08,360
Speaker 1: but apparently it's monsoon season out there. Passing offense, it

937
00:51:08,400 --> 00:51:12,360
Speaker 1: should be noted USC number ten Iowa in the one thirties.

938
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:14,319
Speaker 1: Who cares. They don't need to throw the ball this

939
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:18,880
Speaker 1: weekend anyway, but be careful. I know what the historical

940
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:23,360
Speaker 1: trends say historically, oh man, you give a slight breeze

941
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,120
Speaker 1: to USC and their entire offense implodes because they're just

942
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:30,040
Speaker 1: a fireworks offense. It's just pinball on grass. Just throw

943
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:31,839
Speaker 1: the ball all over the place. Mix in a run

944
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:35,239
Speaker 1: every now and then. Iowa boom, boom boom, run the ball,

945
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:40,200
Speaker 1: stop the run. USC is vastly improved run of the football.

946
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 1: They had thirty six carries for two twenty four and

947
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:47,160
Speaker 1: two scores against Michigan out physical Michigan in the coliseum.

948
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:51,320
Speaker 1: Might I add they played Nebraska thirty eight carries again

949
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,400
Speaker 1: over two hundred yards. Those are the two most comparable games,

950
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 1: probably to this one. They didn't have as much success

951
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 1: against Notre Dame, but this one is at home. I

952
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,239
Speaker 1: don't think Iowa was as good an offense a good

953
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:05,799
Speaker 1: as team is Notre Dame. So you probably don't need

954
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 1: to score in the mid thirties like you did last week.

955
00:52:08,880 --> 00:52:12,440
Speaker 1: Iowa just gave up two sixty on the ground against Oregon.

956
00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 1: You can run the ball on them. Having said that,

957
00:52:18,320 --> 00:52:23,200
Speaker 1: Iowa just needs the Oregon game again, which sounds a

958
00:52:23,200 --> 00:52:25,879
Speaker 1: little weird. Didn't they just lose the Oregon game? Yes

959
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 1: they did. Wasn't that at home, whereas this one's on

960
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 1: the road. Yes, I will grant you those points. They

961
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 1: need a replay of the Oregon game stylistically. There's a

962
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:37,759
Speaker 1: reason I came on the show Sunday and I said, boy,

963
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 1: hat hat tip to Oregon. Oregon won playing Iowa's game.

964
00:52:42,520 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 1: Iowa turned it into their game. They just didn't win.

965
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 1: I Was probably got an eighty percent chance of winning

966
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 1: any game that they control stylistically, not one hundred percent.

967
00:52:52,680 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 1: So good on Dan Landing in Oregon. You throw on

968
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 1: the cotton hoodie, you beat Iowa playing their own game,

969
00:52:57,600 --> 00:52:58,960
Speaker 1: get out of there with a win, move on to

970
00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:01,840
Speaker 1: the next week. That doesn't mean Iowa screwed up, just

971
00:53:01,880 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 1: means they didn't do quite enough. Someone say that's the

972
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,200
Speaker 1: same thing, but you get my point in taking that

973
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:10,520
Speaker 1: style on the road. Looks like it's gonna be rainy, ugly,

974
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 1: gross conditions again, and this time you're playing USC and

975
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:16,719
Speaker 1: you just got to be a little better on third down.

976
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:18,439
Speaker 1: That's one thing you need to do. You were five

977
00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:21,000
Speaker 1: of thirteen last week. You need to be a little

978
00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 1: better there. Oregon was top fifteen in the country in

979
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 1: third down defense. USC is closer to fiftieth so you

980
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:31,080
Speaker 1: should put yourself in position to have more success there.

981
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 1: You lost the turnover battle last week. You know you

982
00:53:33,920 --> 00:53:38,640
Speaker 1: got no business losing the turnover battle. You're Iowa. They're

983
00:53:38,680 --> 00:53:40,440
Speaker 1: not supposed to be open in the game with a

984
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:43,440
Speaker 1: safety that's supposed to be you. So you gotta have

985
00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:47,719
Speaker 1: those critical factors tilt your way. Gronowski doesn't have to

986
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 1: throw for three hundred, just make one or two more plays,

987
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:53,440
Speaker 1: and you gotta think you're gonna give yourself a good

988
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 1: chance to win this game. It's a culture game. Even

989
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:59,040
Speaker 1: though USSE did what they did against Michigan, you're still

990
00:53:59,120 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 1: kind of thinking the years, the totality of a Big

991
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,480
Speaker 1: ten season. You're just waiting for it to take its

992
00:54:04,520 --> 00:54:10,239
Speaker 1: toll on USC. Well, they control their playoff destiny right now.

993
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:14,279
Speaker 1: They're sitting there ranked what were they fifteen, something like that,

994
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:17,080
Speaker 1: So they're right there in the thick of things. It's

995
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:20,600
Speaker 1: a massive hinge game for Lincoln Riley, for his career

996
00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:23,279
Speaker 1: at USC. It's a massive hinge game because if they

997
00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:26,640
Speaker 1: win this game, that Oregon game becomes a super Bowl

998
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 1: up in Eugene in a couple of weeks. Actually it

999
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:33,520
Speaker 1: would be next week. Yeah, if they lose it. I mean,

1000
00:54:33,560 --> 00:54:36,279
Speaker 1: if they can't beat Iowa at home, they're probably not

1001
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:39,479
Speaker 1: going to Eugene and winning, and they're probably on track

1002
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 1: for another eight and four season, maybe seven to five

1003
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 1: if they can't beat UCLA. But I mean, just think

1004
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:48,640
Speaker 1: about the difference in trajectory. You win this week, maybe

1005
00:54:48,640 --> 00:54:51,359
Speaker 1: you go to the playoff. You lose this week, you're

1006
00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 1: probably going eight and four again. There's minimal traction, there's

1007
00:54:55,360 --> 00:55:01,319
Speaker 1: minimal improvement, and all the noise starts again. But it's

1008
00:55:01,400 --> 00:55:06,360
Speaker 1: also a big mentality check moment for Iowa. It's not easy.

1009
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:09,320
Speaker 1: What they had happened to them last weekend at home

1010
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:13,680
Speaker 1: would gut most teams. And now they're going on the road. Now,

1011
00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:15,759
Speaker 1: they just watched the playoff committee tell them, hey, we're

1012
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:17,640
Speaker 1: still gonna rank you number twenty one. They only dropped

1013
00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:20,000
Speaker 1: them one spot, which I don't have a problem with.

1014
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 1: But now they go on the road and USC is

1015
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 1: on longer rest than them. It's just to mentally tough

1016
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:31,440
Speaker 1: program they're gonna need to be. Let's take a look

1017
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:34,000
Speaker 1: what the model thinks. FanDuel's got USC out to a

1018
00:55:34,080 --> 00:55:37,000
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite. The model is much

1019
00:55:37,080 --> 00:55:39,640
Speaker 1: closer in its thinking it's got USC minus three and

1020
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 1: a half. You know what I'm going against the model.

1021
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 1: I'm a ride with Lincoln Riley. I'm gonna take USC

1022
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 1: to win. I'm gonna take USC to cover, and I

1023
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:51,719
Speaker 1: think they're gonna do it playing a physical style of

1024
00:55:51,719 --> 00:55:54,280
Speaker 1: football the likes of which you haven't seen Lincoln Riley

1025
00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:57,080
Speaker 1: teams really capable of playing in the past, except that

1026
00:55:57,160 --> 00:56:01,239
Speaker 1: they did it against Michigan. They did enough it against Nebraska,

1027
00:56:01,600 --> 00:56:04,439
Speaker 1: they didn't quite do enough of it against Notre Dame.

1028
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:08,640
Speaker 1: I think they'll do it here. Ugly game, hideous game,

1029
00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:12,359
Speaker 1: how windy is it? How effectively can they still throw

1030
00:56:12,400 --> 00:56:14,880
Speaker 1: the ball in the rain? But I think they're going

1031
00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 1: to win the game and cover. So I disagree with

1032
00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:19,959
Speaker 1: the model here. I'll tell you what I do agree with. Though.

1033
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:23,480
Speaker 1: We made an announcement on the show the other night

1034
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:27,080
Speaker 1: about a charity that we were partnering with. A foundation

1035
00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:30,120
Speaker 1: that we were partnering with I got. I haven't even

1036
00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:32,279
Speaker 1: been able to open all the dms and emails we

1037
00:56:32,320 --> 00:56:36,560
Speaker 1: got overwhelmed with feedback from our announcement of our partnership

1038
00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:40,120
Speaker 1: with the Magnolia Foundation the other night. So a quick recaps,

1039
00:56:40,200 --> 00:56:43,759
Speaker 1: I know not everyone caught the Sunday Show. The Magnolia

1040
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:49,080
Speaker 1: Foundation is a foundation that helps with people who lose

1041
00:56:49,200 --> 00:56:52,839
Speaker 1: children age zero to eighteen. They help with funeral expenses,

1042
00:56:53,480 --> 00:56:57,319
Speaker 1: they help with counseling, They help with commemorative care, which

1043
00:56:57,360 --> 00:57:03,040
Speaker 1: is just making sure someone's there on important dates, birthdays, anniversaries.

1044
00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:06,800
Speaker 1: Long after the attention has faded from tragedy, they're still

1045
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 1: there and I love those guys. Matt himself lost his

1046
00:57:11,640 --> 00:57:14,640
Speaker 1: daughter in the tornado that came through here back when

1047
00:57:14,680 --> 00:57:17,480
Speaker 1: I first moved here. Our building got hit by it too,

1048
00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:21,720
Speaker 1: but we just got side swiped. They weren't as fortunate,

1049
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:25,680
Speaker 1: and he lost his little girl. And shortly and after

1050
00:57:25,720 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 1: they had to go through what they had to go through,

1051
00:57:28,600 --> 00:57:31,280
Speaker 1: they started this foundation to help other people who are

1052
00:57:31,280 --> 00:57:35,920
Speaker 1: going through something similarly. So we have long planned on

1053
00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 1: partnering with them. We finally pressed go on it. We

1054
00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:42,200
Speaker 1: announced it the other night. We're doing several initiatives, but

1055
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,840
Speaker 1: one of the first that we can announce immediately is

1056
00:57:45,040 --> 00:57:48,120
Speaker 1: in the Pate State store, you'll see the Magnolia Foundation

1057
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:51,560
Speaker 1: hats and shirts, the ones that say you are loved

1058
00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:54,160
Speaker 1: a ton of you. Grab those the other night. Portion

1059
00:57:54,240 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 1: of those proceeds are going to the Magnolia Foundation, and

1060
00:57:57,480 --> 00:57:59,560
Speaker 1: we'll have several other things that we're doing with them.

1061
00:57:59,880 --> 00:58:01,320
Speaker 1: You don't care about the shirt, if you don't care

1062
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:04,160
Speaker 1: about the hat. If you just listened and said, well,

1063
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 1: I just want to go contribute directly, you can the

1064
00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:11,160
Speaker 1: Magnolia Foundation dot com, slash give. That's how you can

1065
00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:13,320
Speaker 1: go check out what they're about. That's how you can

1066
00:58:13,400 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 1: go give it your leisure. I'm told a lot of

1067
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:18,919
Speaker 1: you did. I'm told one of you gave a very

1068
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:21,840
Speaker 1: charitable donation the other night, and then in the comment

1069
00:58:21,920 --> 00:58:25,560
Speaker 1: section said happy to help, but Peyton needs to talk

1070
00:58:25,560 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 1: about Indiana more on the show. I think those are

1071
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:32,440
Speaker 1: fair terms really, when it comes down to it, for

1072
00:58:32,520 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 1: the right cause, I will talk about Indiana more on

1073
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:37,320
Speaker 1: the show. But I appreciate all the feedback we got

1074
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 1: on that, and they do as well. They don't have

1075
00:58:39,520 --> 00:58:41,080
Speaker 1: a mic in front of their face. I do. I'm

1076
00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 1: speaking for them. They appreciate it. Really really good work

1077
00:58:44,280 --> 00:58:46,440
Speaker 1: and really important work that they do, and we're happy

1078
00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:50,080
Speaker 1: to be able to help in some small way. All right,

1079
00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:54,000
Speaker 1: let's move on. Notre Dame is at pitt Saturday. It

1080
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:59,240
Speaker 1: is a noonkickoff right there in Pittsburgh, PA. Game day

1081
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 1: is there. It's on ABC. Jesse, a Pennsylvania native, tells

1082
00:59:06,160 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 1: me that Pitt fans have been very mauvy lately. He

1083
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:12,120
Speaker 1: tells me that since penn State has fallen off and

1084
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:15,400
Speaker 1: Pitt is ranked, that the pit folks are running around

1085
00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 1: the Keystone State running their mouth. Jesse, is this accurate?

1086
00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 1: You told me this earlier. He's not happy about it.

1087
00:59:21,880 --> 00:59:24,400
Speaker 1: He had choice words that he mixed in as he

1088
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:27,640
Speaker 1: recounted this to me. But apparently that's a reality up there.

1089
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 1: So there are members of my staff that have baked

1090
00:59:31,640 --> 00:59:35,120
Speaker 1: in bias in this game. I don't couldn't be me.

1091
00:59:35,520 --> 00:59:37,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna call it right down the middle as I

1092
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:40,840
Speaker 1: see it. But surely, if that's the case up there,

1093
00:59:41,320 --> 00:59:44,080
Speaker 1: and surely if Notre Dame's rolling in here with their

1094
00:59:44,080 --> 00:59:46,800
Speaker 1: playoff lives on the line, and Pitt's right in the

1095
00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 1: thick of the race too, and everyone's jacked up for

1096
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:53,120
Speaker 1: it and game days come into town. Surely Pat Nardoozi

1097
00:59:53,240 --> 00:59:56,680
Speaker 1: views this as a must win game. Right, Surely, Bradley,

1098
00:59:56,760 --> 00:59:57,320
Speaker 1: let's roll it.

1099
00:59:57,480 --> 00:59:59,200
Speaker 2: Do you feel like this is a must land for

1100
00:59:59,280 --> 01:00:02,120
Speaker 2: this team? When it comes to absolutely not? You know

1101
01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:04,160
Speaker 2: it is not an ACC game.

1102
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:05,400
Speaker 1: I'm left glad you brought that up.

1103
01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:08,160
Speaker 2: It's not an ACC game, you know. I gladly get

1104
01:00:08,280 --> 01:00:10,400
Speaker 2: beat one hundred and three or one hundred and ten

1105
01:00:10,440 --> 01:00:13,560
Speaker 2: to ten in that game. They could put one hundred

1106
01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:14,880
Speaker 2: up on us. So I was winning the next two

1107
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,840
Speaker 2: after that. But again, our focus is on a Notre

1108
01:00:17,920 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 2: Dame and getting this many wins as we can.

1109
01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:25,280
Speaker 1: All right, check that it's not a must win game.

1110
01:00:25,440 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 1: We could lose by ninety and it'd be okay. They're

1111
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:31,840
Speaker 1: gonna play the game anyway. And you know, I don't

1112
01:00:31,880 --> 01:00:35,080
Speaker 1: think people know Pitt. I don't think people know a

1113
01:00:35,080 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 1: whole lot about Pitt. What do you know about Pitt?

1114
01:00:37,600 --> 01:00:39,720
Speaker 1: I know most of you haven't watched their games. That's okay,

1115
01:00:39,960 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 1: that's okay. We're gonna give you a pass on that.

1116
01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 1: We're disappointed, but we're gonna give you a pass. People

1117
01:00:44,560 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 1: make mistakes all the time. Smart people do casual things

1118
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:50,760
Speaker 1: all the time. Casual people rarely do smart things. So

1119
01:00:50,960 --> 01:00:53,280
Speaker 1: if you have committed the college football crime of not

1120
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:57,560
Speaker 1: watching Pitt, how do you think they're playing? You probably

1121
01:00:57,560 --> 01:01:02,920
Speaker 1: think pit football, ground and pound very physical. That is

1122
01:01:03,080 --> 01:01:06,720
Speaker 1: not at all What is happening with Pitt. If you're

1123
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: watching on YouTube, you can see those scores over there.

1124
01:01:09,560 --> 01:01:12,080
Speaker 1: Does that look like ground and pound? Does that look

1125
01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 1: like ball control? That looks like track meat after track meat,

1126
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:20,439
Speaker 1: which is exactly what Pitt wants. It started out once

1127
01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:23,240
Speaker 1: upon a time that Eli Holstein was going to be

1128
01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:27,240
Speaker 1: the hope at quarterback for Pitt. That changed pretty quickly

1129
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 1: and Mason Heinschel That's how I'm pronouncing his name. He

1130
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:35,080
Speaker 1: took over true freshmen. He's been on fire and you've

1131
01:01:35,080 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 1: probably seen highlights of him, but this Saturday you're probably

1132
01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:40,080
Speaker 1: going to watch a whole game of him. He's thrown

1133
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,200
Speaker 1: for three hundred plus and four of his last five.

1134
01:01:42,840 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 1: They've got the one hundred and fourth rushing offense in

1135
01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:48,120
Speaker 1: the country. So what you think normally about Pitt is

1136
01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 1: not this year's pit team. It's kind of crazy to

1137
01:01:50,720 --> 01:01:54,560
Speaker 1: watch him. It looks like different team wearing Pitt gear.

1138
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: With the style they're playing. Notre Dame is fifteenth against

1139
01:01:58,200 --> 01:02:01,600
Speaker 1: the run. They are eighty nine against the pass. That's

1140
01:02:01,600 --> 01:02:04,600
Speaker 1: a caveat because a lot of people tend to believe

1141
01:02:04,640 --> 01:02:08,160
Speaker 1: that Notre Dame has rectified their defensive woes. And then

1142
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:10,120
Speaker 1: other people will say, yeah, but they haven't played anyone,

1143
01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:13,360
Speaker 1: and I'm like, well, they played USC and then there's

1144
01:02:13,400 --> 01:02:15,960
Speaker 1: they're like, well, us he is a fraud. I'm like, okay,

1145
01:02:16,240 --> 01:02:19,280
Speaker 1: by that metric, what are we even talking about? It

1146
01:02:19,360 --> 01:02:21,240
Speaker 1: just sounds like you hate Notre Dame, and if you do,

1147
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:26,600
Speaker 1: just say it. But but if you're going to get

1148
01:02:26,600 --> 01:02:29,440
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's defense, you get them through the air. And

1149
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:31,880
Speaker 1: if Pitt's gonna get Notre Dame to begin with, they're

1150
01:02:31,880 --> 01:02:34,440
Speaker 1: gonna get them through the air. So theoretically, this is

1151
01:02:34,480 --> 01:02:36,800
Speaker 1: how you'd want to stack up against Notre Dame. Again,

1152
01:02:37,120 --> 01:02:41,520
Speaker 1: theoretically because there is this other factor, and that is, yeah,

1153
01:02:41,560 --> 01:02:45,760
Speaker 1: but we're Notre Dame. Sounds arrogant. Sometimes that's all you

1154
01:02:45,800 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 1: need to know about these kinds of games, Like Pitts

1155
01:02:48,680 --> 01:02:51,439
Speaker 1: one of the best of a bad conference and Notre

1156
01:02:51,520 --> 01:02:53,960
Speaker 1: Dame has hit their groove And maybe it doesn't really

1157
01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:56,000
Speaker 1: matter what these stats on this piece of paper save

1158
01:02:56,400 --> 01:02:59,320
Speaker 1: maybe it's thirty to three at halftime Saturday. That could

1159
01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:02,280
Speaker 1: be the way it plays. How real is that pit

1160
01:03:02,400 --> 01:03:05,000
Speaker 1: run defense? That's what we need to know, cause on paper,

1161
01:03:05,440 --> 01:03:08,240
Speaker 1: I have a piece of paper right here. Do you

1162
01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 1: hear that it says Pitt has the number three run

1163
01:03:11,240 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 1: defense in the country. We will find out one thing.

1164
01:03:17,760 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 1: There aren't many certainties in this life, but one of

1165
01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 1: them is Notre Dame will test how good your run

1166
01:03:22,840 --> 01:03:25,479
Speaker 1: defense is. It will test the paper a lot of times.

1167
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,200
Speaker 1: It runs right through the paper. Even in the Louisville loss,

1168
01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:34,200
Speaker 1: though Pitt still controlled Isaac Brown. They lost the game,

1169
01:03:34,720 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 1: but it wasn't cause they got run all over. West

1170
01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:39,960
Speaker 1: Virginia had the most success against them. That was like

1171
01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:42,200
Speaker 1: the first game of the year, and since then, if

1172
01:03:42,240 --> 01:03:44,600
Speaker 1: we believe Notre Dames turned a corner, then we could

1173
01:03:44,640 --> 01:03:47,720
Speaker 1: reason to believe Pitt turned a corner. Only Miami has

1174
01:03:47,760 --> 01:03:50,200
Speaker 1: held Notre Dame under one hundred rushing yards, though, and

1175
01:03:50,240 --> 01:03:52,280
Speaker 1: that was forever ago as well. So a lot of

1176
01:03:52,280 --> 01:03:54,720
Speaker 1: the worst things that happened to these two teams happened

1177
01:03:54,720 --> 01:03:57,600
Speaker 1: a long time ago, and they've each hit their respective

1178
01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:02,200
Speaker 1: strides since then. This is the last resume builder for

1179
01:04:02,280 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. They were sitting there at number nine in

1180
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:07,560
Speaker 1: the playoff rankings when they got released tonight. This is

1181
01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:10,720
Speaker 1: the last whiff of a ranked opponent they will face.

1182
01:04:11,120 --> 01:04:14,120
Speaker 1: They got at Pitt. Pitt's currently ranked I think twenty

1183
01:04:14,120 --> 01:04:17,320
Speaker 1: second or twenty third. Then they got Syracuse, then they

1184
01:04:17,360 --> 01:04:21,800
Speaker 1: got at Stanford. So this is it. This is it.

1185
01:04:22,120 --> 01:04:24,320
Speaker 1: After this, their resume is largely done and the only

1186
01:04:24,320 --> 01:04:27,240
Speaker 1: thing they can do is hurt it. After this, it

1187
01:04:27,280 --> 01:04:30,080
Speaker 1: could turn into an excellent quarterback matchup. I've gotten this

1188
01:04:30,120 --> 01:04:32,720
Speaker 1: deep into it. I haven't even mentioned CJ. Carr. But

1189
01:04:32,880 --> 01:04:35,880
Speaker 1: if it is the case that Pitt's able to not

1190
01:04:36,000 --> 01:04:38,760
Speaker 1: shut down Notre Dame's run game, but limit Notre Dame's

1191
01:04:38,800 --> 01:04:40,560
Speaker 1: run game, I don't believe you can shut it down.

1192
01:04:40,800 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 1: But if they somewhat limited them and it's up to CJ.

1193
01:04:44,200 --> 01:04:47,960
Speaker 1: Car to throw the ball to win, he can. He can.

1194
01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:51,360
Speaker 1: Mason Heinschel, could he throw the ball to win? Yeah?

1195
01:04:51,480 --> 01:04:53,600
Speaker 1: I think he could could be one of the best

1196
01:04:53,680 --> 01:04:58,080
Speaker 1: quarterback matchups of the day. Notre Dame's defense forces mistakes though,

1197
01:04:58,240 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 1: And what worries me a little bit here is you've

1198
01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:03,400
Speaker 1: got a true freshman quarterback. It's not his first start

1199
01:05:03,440 --> 01:05:07,480
Speaker 1: where he doesn't know any better. He's several starts in now. Now.

1200
01:05:07,520 --> 01:05:10,320
Speaker 1: The plus side of that is he's gaining valuable experience.

1201
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:12,840
Speaker 1: The downside is there's more tape out there on him

1202
01:05:13,280 --> 01:05:16,520
Speaker 1: and You've got a defensive staff here, especially the head

1203
01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:21,120
Speaker 1: coach there, that understands how to spot tendencies, how to

1204
01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:25,120
Speaker 1: expose flaws and weaknesses, how to bait, how to make

1205
01:05:25,160 --> 01:05:27,280
Speaker 1: you see ghosts, how to make it look like they're

1206
01:05:27,280 --> 01:05:33,280
Speaker 1: fourteen defenders on the field. Not impossible, just tough. Let's

1207
01:05:33,320 --> 01:05:34,920
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks right now.

1208
01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 1: FanDuel's got Notre Dame as an eleven and a half

1209
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:43,040
Speaker 1: point favorite. The model has Notre Dame minus ten. I

1210
01:05:43,080 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 1: have to see Pitt do this to believe it. I

1211
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:48,600
Speaker 1: think Notre Dame's playing some really good ball right now.

1212
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:51,480
Speaker 1: I'm sure there'll be a big public side in this game.

1213
01:05:51,520 --> 01:05:53,439
Speaker 1: I'm sure a lot of the public'll bet Notre Dame.

1214
01:05:54,640 --> 01:05:58,120
Speaker 1: I just happen to be with the public. I happen

1215
01:05:58,200 --> 01:06:03,200
Speaker 1: to be I just visualize a lot more frequently. If

1216
01:06:03,240 --> 01:06:06,000
Speaker 1: I simulated one hundred times, I just see Notre Dame

1217
01:06:06,040 --> 01:06:08,120
Speaker 1: comfortably winning a whole lot more than I see this

1218
01:06:08,120 --> 01:06:10,360
Speaker 1: thing going down to the wire. But when you get

1219
01:06:10,400 --> 01:06:13,760
Speaker 1: good quarterback play, you can win most any game. I mean,

1220
01:06:13,920 --> 01:06:17,760
Speaker 1: if you got certain minimal baseline standards for your roster,

1221
01:06:18,120 --> 01:06:21,200
Speaker 1: and if they get that out of Heichel Saturday. Yeah,

1222
01:06:21,320 --> 01:06:23,840
Speaker 1: could be a deep four quarter game. I just think

1223
01:06:23,880 --> 01:06:26,760
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's gonna force mistakes. They've done it so many

1224
01:06:26,760 --> 01:06:28,919
Speaker 1: times in these kinds of games. I think they're gonna

1225
01:06:28,960 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 1: force mistakes, take advantage of them, and I think they're

1226
01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:34,720
Speaker 1: gonna win and cover. You could head over. Whether you

1227
01:06:34,720 --> 01:06:37,240
Speaker 1: want a Notre Dame beanie or a pit hat, or

1228
01:06:37,920 --> 01:06:41,720
Speaker 1: you want a new little little indoor putting green, or

1229
01:06:41,760 --> 01:06:44,360
Speaker 1: you want big league chew, or you want some boots

1230
01:06:44,480 --> 01:06:47,080
Speaker 1: or a baseball bat or base balls, you can to

1231
01:06:47,080 --> 01:06:50,560
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors and you can get it all. Yeah,

1232
01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:53,440
Speaker 1: you sure can. They are longtime partners of the show.

1233
01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 1: We really appreciate them. It says on the bottom of

1234
01:06:56,240 --> 01:06:59,160
Speaker 1: the screen, We're proud to partner with Academy. Yes we are.

1235
01:07:00,080 --> 01:07:03,120
Speaker 1: We are. You'll notice in the show, I'm never looking

1236
01:07:03,280 --> 01:07:06,000
Speaker 1: at a piece of paper reading what Academy gives me

1237
01:07:06,080 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 1: to say, because that's not how partnerships work. Partnerships are Look,

1238
01:07:11,240 --> 01:07:14,080
Speaker 1: please don't drag us into a lawsuit. Don't say anything

1239
01:07:14,080 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 1: that's gonna get us sued. But you know what we're about.

1240
01:07:17,280 --> 01:07:20,040
Speaker 1: Just make it sound good on air, very easy because

1241
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:22,280
Speaker 1: academy is very easy to make sound good. Now, if

1242
01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:25,200
Speaker 1: you can't get there in person, that's sad, because you

1243
01:07:25,240 --> 01:07:28,600
Speaker 1: should go there in person. I do, even if just

1244
01:07:28,680 --> 01:07:30,320
Speaker 1: to take a picture in the parking lot. Sometimes I

1245
01:07:30,360 --> 01:07:31,880
Speaker 1: go in person. But if you can't get there in person,

1246
01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:34,240
Speaker 1: that is okay. We will allow you to go to

1247
01:07:34,320 --> 01:07:38,160
Speaker 1: academy dot com. Some would even say it's encouraged. I

1248
01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:39,760
Speaker 1: encourage you to go to academy dot com if you

1249
01:07:39,760 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 1: can't get there in person. We appreciate them. Longtime friends

1250
01:07:42,920 --> 01:07:46,320
Speaker 1: of the program. What do we have? We got like,

1251
01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 1: we got several thousand people tune in live. If she

1252
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:54,120
Speaker 1: knows I thought I was gonna sneeze, I got a really,

1253
01:07:54,120 --> 01:07:56,080
Speaker 1: really good streak of shows going where I haven't sneezed

1254
01:07:56,120 --> 01:07:59,120
Speaker 1: on air. Make sure you're subscribed to the channel. And

1255
01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,960
Speaker 1: if you are, thank you. But fifty one percent of

1256
01:08:02,040 --> 01:08:05,000
Speaker 1: you are not. And if you are one of the

1257
01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:08,160
Speaker 1: forty nine percent who are subscribed, you know the drill.

1258
01:08:08,680 --> 01:08:12,200
Speaker 1: It's time to go recruit friends, family members. Swipe mom's

1259
01:08:12,200 --> 01:08:14,640
Speaker 1: phone when he's not looking subscriber and then log out.

1260
01:08:14,680 --> 01:08:17,920
Speaker 1: You're good. She won't know, it won't hurt her. We'll

1261
01:08:17,920 --> 01:08:21,000
Speaker 1: all be fine, I would even encourage that kind of behavior.

1262
01:08:21,240 --> 01:08:24,200
Speaker 1: Some people have gotten child life supremacy for proving that

1263
01:08:24,280 --> 01:08:29,080
Speaker 1: kind of behavior. Again, you know what time it is,

1264
01:08:29,439 --> 01:08:33,280
Speaker 1: We're very close to five hundred thousand. In the meantime,

1265
01:08:34,320 --> 01:08:37,520
Speaker 1: the JP Pole has been released. These are not rankings.

1266
01:08:37,600 --> 01:08:40,240
Speaker 1: Don't even call them rankings. That's what the Playoff Committee does,

1267
01:08:40,320 --> 01:08:43,080
Speaker 1: That's what the AP does. That's what I do on

1268
01:08:43,160 --> 01:08:46,519
Speaker 1: Thursdays with the Commissioner's Pole, not on Tuesday. On Tuesday

1269
01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:50,240
Speaker 1: we release the JP Pole. The JP Pole born from

1270
01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:54,800
Speaker 1: the model here is strictly teams listed in order that

1271
01:08:54,840 --> 01:08:58,080
Speaker 1: they would be favored on a neutral field. So even

1272
01:08:58,120 --> 01:08:59,960
Speaker 1: if you're six and six and I'm twelve and zero,

1273
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:02,760
Speaker 1: so if the model would favor you by three on

1274
01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:05,240
Speaker 1: a neutral field, you're gonna be ahead of me. And

1275
01:09:05,280 --> 01:09:07,479
Speaker 1: then we're gonna post the graphic on Twitter, and then

1276
01:09:07,479 --> 01:09:10,000
Speaker 1: people are gonna lose their minds and they're gonna ask

1277
01:09:10,200 --> 01:09:12,200
Speaker 1: how can a six and sixteen be ranked over an

1278
01:09:12,280 --> 01:09:15,559
Speaker 1: undefeated team? And I'm gonna say they're not. No one's

1279
01:09:15,640 --> 01:09:21,040
Speaker 1: ranked anywhere. These are not rankings. Rents repeat that is

1280
01:09:21,120 --> 01:09:23,519
Speaker 1: the life of the JP Pole every week, and then

1281
01:09:23,520 --> 01:09:26,839
Speaker 1: someone says, well, if it's this confusing, maybe you shouldn't

1282
01:09:26,880 --> 01:09:29,559
Speaker 1: put it out. And I'm like, your confusion is not

1283
01:09:29,640 --> 01:09:33,160
Speaker 1: my problem. I give a helpful tutorial on this stuff

1284
01:09:33,240 --> 01:09:37,000
Speaker 1: every week. You're an ability to listen, not our problem.

1285
01:09:37,200 --> 01:09:38,920
Speaker 1: I'm not changing the name of it either, because we

1286
01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:41,760
Speaker 1: really let the name JP pole. So James Madison is

1287
01:09:41,800 --> 01:09:45,120
Speaker 1: still our highest Power rated G five team. I want

1288
01:09:45,120 --> 01:09:46,639
Speaker 1: to mention that because they're not in the top twenty,

1289
01:09:46,720 --> 01:09:49,040
Speaker 1: so you're not gonna see them on the graphic. Also,

1290
01:09:50,680 --> 01:09:53,679
Speaker 1: I want you to keep in mind as we show

1291
01:09:53,720 --> 01:09:56,679
Speaker 1: you Utah, they're not in there. They're not twenty to sixteen.

1292
01:09:57,120 --> 01:09:59,240
Speaker 1: They're rated a little higher than that. But Utah is

1293
01:09:59,280 --> 01:10:02,320
Speaker 1: an interesting case because you saw Utah earlier tonight in

1294
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:04,960
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff rankings and they were in the

1295
01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:09,000
Speaker 1: top fifteen. We have them finishing the season playing our

1296
01:10:09,080 --> 01:10:12,280
Speaker 1: number twenty nine, number thirty and thirty two teams in

1297
01:10:12,320 --> 01:10:15,800
Speaker 1: the Power ratings, so they've got three formidable opponents left,

1298
01:10:16,439 --> 01:10:18,880
Speaker 1: so that's something to keep in mind. Also, there are

1299
01:10:18,960 --> 01:10:22,639
Speaker 1: three ACC teams in the top twenty five, and none

1300
01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:24,960
Speaker 1: of them are really in the race for the ACC

1301
01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:30,280
Speaker 1: Championship game. Miami's not gonna make the ACC Championship game.

1302
01:10:30,680 --> 01:10:33,479
Speaker 1: Louisville's probably not gonna make the ACC Championship game. Of

1303
01:10:33,600 --> 01:10:35,719
Speaker 1: Virginia is nowhere to be found in the JP pole

1304
01:10:36,360 --> 01:10:38,880
Speaker 1: cause there are way more than twenty teams that would

1305
01:10:38,880 --> 01:10:41,920
Speaker 1: be favored against them. Georgia Tech's not in here because

1306
01:10:41,920 --> 01:10:44,160
Speaker 1: there are way more than twenty teams that would be

1307
01:10:44,160 --> 01:10:47,400
Speaker 1: favored against Georgia Tech. Dukes nowhere to be found. There

1308
01:10:47,400 --> 01:10:49,559
Speaker 1: are like forty teams that would be favored over Duke,

1309
01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:52,600
Speaker 1: So just keep that in mind. All right, Here we

1310
01:10:52,640 --> 01:10:55,799
Speaker 1: go twenty to twenty to sixteen. Clemson is back. Clemson

1311
01:10:55,880 --> 01:11:01,040
Speaker 1: is number twenty. This is the first time because it's

1312
01:11:01,080 --> 01:11:02,880
Speaker 1: been like three minutes where I have to remind you

1313
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:07,080
Speaker 1: power ratings, not rankings. Clemson would not be ranked anywhere

1314
01:11:07,080 --> 01:11:11,799
Speaker 1: near my top twenty. Vandy is nineteen, LSU is eighteen,

1315
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:15,519
Speaker 1: still a top twenty power rated team there. It's just

1316
01:11:15,640 --> 01:11:20,120
Speaker 1: roster talent, that's what it is. I was at seventeen. Well, well, well,

1317
01:11:20,600 --> 01:11:25,360
Speaker 1: I have to admit something to you. I about two

1318
01:11:25,439 --> 01:11:29,160
Speaker 1: or three times a year manually override the model, and

1319
01:11:29,240 --> 01:11:32,599
Speaker 1: I have used two of those tokens over the last

1320
01:11:32,600 --> 01:11:36,120
Speaker 1: two weeks to remove Penn State from the top twenty. Yes,

1321
01:11:36,280 --> 01:11:38,960
Speaker 1: you heard me right. The model had Penn State in

1322
01:11:39,000 --> 01:11:42,120
Speaker 1: the top twenty the whole time. I hit the manual

1323
01:11:42,200 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 1: override button because it is my constitutional right to do that.

1324
01:11:45,720 --> 01:11:48,280
Speaker 1: It is, after all, a poll named after me. I

1325
01:11:48,320 --> 01:11:51,799
Speaker 1: didn't feel like listening to the noise. But you should

1326
01:11:51,800 --> 01:11:55,400
Speaker 1: know the model had Penn State like number eighteen last week.

1327
01:11:55,840 --> 01:11:58,000
Speaker 1: That's why we made them one of our best bets

1328
01:11:58,479 --> 01:12:03,960
Speaker 1: in Rominutle Express Sandiana, and they almost won the game outright. Now,

1329
01:12:03,960 --> 01:12:06,240
Speaker 1: everyone wants to hate on the front end when we

1330
01:12:06,320 --> 01:12:08,760
Speaker 1: do that. And sure enough, if we put Penn State

1331
01:12:08,800 --> 01:12:12,360
Speaker 1: in the top twenty last week, everyone would have said

1332
01:12:12,720 --> 01:12:16,240
Speaker 1: terrible things about it, But they're never there to circle

1333
01:12:16,280 --> 01:12:19,360
Speaker 1: back when the model gets validated and when the JP

1334
01:12:19,439 --> 01:12:23,000
Speaker 1: pole gets validated. So Penn State's number sixteen this week.

1335
01:12:23,479 --> 01:12:26,200
Speaker 1: They have not tapped out on the season yet. You

1336
01:12:26,240 --> 01:12:30,519
Speaker 1: think about their losses close loss to Oregon, one point

1337
01:12:30,560 --> 01:12:33,200
Speaker 1: loss to Iowa. Now, we don't necessarily want to talk

1338
01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:36,120
Speaker 1: about Northwestern and UCLA. No we do not, No, we

1339
01:12:36,200 --> 01:12:38,719
Speaker 1: do not. But Penn State's right there at number sixteen.

1340
01:12:39,120 --> 01:12:43,240
Speaker 1: Interesting times in the neighborhood here, Miami is fifteen. Miami

1341
01:12:43,360 --> 01:12:46,719
Speaker 1: dropped two spots. See they rose in the playoff rankings.

1342
01:12:47,240 --> 01:12:51,479
Speaker 1: These are not rankings. Miami, the model continues to bail

1343
01:12:51,520 --> 01:12:54,680
Speaker 1: on Miami. We have dropped them. I haven't dropped them

1344
01:12:54,680 --> 01:12:58,880
Speaker 1: at all. Miami in the model has dropped almost nine

1345
01:12:59,080 --> 01:13:02,960
Speaker 1: points since they're peak rating around week four, week five

1346
01:13:03,040 --> 01:13:08,559
Speaker 1: or something like that. Crazy model. Very anti Miami right now. Wait,

1347
01:13:09,200 --> 01:13:12,720
Speaker 1: Jesse wasn't Miami fifteenth in the playoff rankings tonight. So

1348
01:13:12,800 --> 01:13:15,599
Speaker 1: we got Miami in the JP pole the same as

1349
01:13:15,640 --> 01:13:18,960
Speaker 1: the playoff committee does, not that we designed it that way.

1350
01:13:19,040 --> 01:13:24,280
Speaker 1: Just interesting. USC is fourteen, Oklahoma is thirteen, Texas Tech

1351
01:13:24,400 --> 01:13:29,040
Speaker 1: is twelve. Again power ratings not rankings. Tennessee is eleven. Now,

1352
01:13:29,080 --> 01:13:33,320
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you I would take Texas Tech against

1353
01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:37,040
Speaker 1: Tennessee on a neutral field. So I look, I differ

1354
01:13:37,080 --> 01:13:39,400
Speaker 1: with the model all the time. I did it in

1355
01:13:39,439 --> 01:13:42,200
Speaker 1: the Georgia Texas game earlier on this very show. I'm

1356
01:13:42,280 --> 01:13:45,680
Speaker 1: just saying the model would favor Tennessee against Texas Tech

1357
01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:48,880
Speaker 1: neutral field. I would then gladly take the points and

1358
01:13:48,960 --> 01:13:53,240
Speaker 1: I would slam the model shut top ten. Utah is

1359
01:13:53,320 --> 01:13:57,080
Speaker 1: number ten. The model still has Utah as the highest

1360
01:13:57,120 --> 01:14:00,080
Speaker 1: power rated team in the Big twelve, even though so

1361
01:14:00,479 --> 01:14:05,160
Speaker 1: Texas Tech dusted Utah in their building. But one game

1362
01:14:05,400 --> 01:14:09,839
Speaker 1: sample sizes not always enough to convince the model. Texas

1363
01:14:09,880 --> 01:14:13,280
Speaker 1: is number nine right now. Oregon is number eight. They

1364
01:14:13,360 --> 01:14:19,639
Speaker 1: dropped a point after last week. Oregon, they are down

1365
01:14:19,720 --> 01:14:24,160
Speaker 1: three spots. This week dropped a whole point. Wow, I

1366
01:14:24,160 --> 01:14:26,880
Speaker 1: thought it was a good win. The model disagrees. I

1367
01:14:26,920 --> 01:14:29,120
Speaker 1: want you to hear that, Dan Lanning. It's not me.

1368
01:14:29,880 --> 01:14:32,920
Speaker 1: I believe in you. But you know what doesn't believe

1369
01:14:32,960 --> 01:14:39,519
Speaker 1: in you, math data, keyboards, numbers. The model sort of

1370
01:14:39,640 --> 01:14:43,240
Speaker 1: thinks Oregon is secret trash right now, wet trash after

1371
01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:47,559
Speaker 1: last week, still hadn't tried it out. That's sad. I

1372
01:14:47,600 --> 01:14:50,000
Speaker 1: guess you got to change the way the model thinks

1373
01:14:50,720 --> 01:14:53,200
Speaker 1: or else. Maybe the things they've been saying about you

1374
01:14:53,479 --> 01:14:56,080
Speaker 1: are right all along. I don't know. Take it up

1375
01:14:56,080 --> 01:14:59,160
Speaker 1: with a model. Notre Dame's number seven. They are up

1376
01:14:59,160 --> 01:15:03,280
Speaker 1: two spots, and Ole missus number six. The top five

1377
01:15:03,600 --> 01:15:08,479
Speaker 1: is unchanged. Georgia's five. Well, George is up to number five,

1378
01:15:08,560 --> 01:15:12,160
Speaker 1: so after that it's unchanged. Bama's four, A and M

1379
01:15:12,280 --> 01:15:16,439
Speaker 1: is still three, Indiana is still two, Ohio State is

1380
01:15:16,479 --> 01:15:19,840
Speaker 1: still one. Some quick notes here, there is a zero

1381
01:15:20,479 --> 01:15:23,960
Speaker 1: point two point gap between A and M and Indiana,

1382
01:15:24,040 --> 01:15:26,720
Speaker 1: so they're the same team right now. Basically, Indiana was

1383
01:15:26,800 --> 01:15:29,040
Speaker 1: very close to dropping to three. A and M very

1384
01:15:29,040 --> 01:15:32,720
Speaker 1: close to rising to number two. It's irrelevant because there

1385
01:15:32,760 --> 01:15:35,040
Speaker 1: is a five point gap between them and Ohio State.

1386
01:15:35,360 --> 01:15:37,559
Speaker 1: That is the widest gap that we've had this year

1387
01:15:37,920 --> 01:15:41,040
Speaker 1: between number one and the rest of the field. There

1388
01:15:41,120 --> 01:15:44,200
Speaker 1: is a three point gap between Texas A and M

1389
01:15:44,360 --> 01:15:51,479
Speaker 1: at three and Texas at number nine three points, while

1390
01:15:51,520 --> 01:15:53,800
Speaker 1: there is five points between number one and number two.

1391
01:15:54,240 --> 01:15:59,719
Speaker 1: For those that are interested, the SEC Championship game, according

1392
01:15:59,720 --> 01:16:02,479
Speaker 1: to the right now, would be A and M favored

1393
01:16:02,479 --> 01:16:07,559
Speaker 1: by a point against Alabama. We just asked FanDuel last

1394
01:16:07,600 --> 01:16:10,760
Speaker 1: week and they said Bama minus one against an M.

1395
01:16:11,400 --> 01:16:14,519
Speaker 1: Don't know if that changed or not, so the model

1396
01:16:14,560 --> 01:16:17,439
Speaker 1: would slightly lean A and M in that game. These

1397
01:16:17,439 --> 01:16:22,200
Speaker 1: are very interesting times. Miami just continues to drop, Penn

1398
01:16:22,280 --> 01:16:23,880
Speaker 1: State is rising. To you. I want you to think

1399
01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:28,280
Speaker 1: about how insane this is. Miami is one spot ahead

1400
01:16:28,280 --> 01:16:32,639
Speaker 1: of Penn State, and I know no one believes that.

1401
01:16:32,880 --> 01:16:34,640
Speaker 1: I know no one believes it, but you got to

1402
01:16:34,720 --> 01:16:38,679
Speaker 1: understand the model has nailed Penn State. It has Penn

1403
01:16:38,680 --> 01:16:40,960
Speaker 1: State pegged, So I don't know that I would be

1404
01:16:41,000 --> 01:16:43,800
Speaker 1: so quick to argue with that. I'd be careful, be

1405
01:16:43,920 --> 01:16:48,080
Speaker 1: very careful if you do disagree, not with me. I

1406
01:16:48,120 --> 01:16:50,640
Speaker 1: don't have anywhere that you can bet my numbers, but

1407
01:16:50,720 --> 01:16:53,519
Speaker 1: you can bet them on FanDuel. If you think you

1408
01:16:53,720 --> 01:16:56,400
Speaker 1: have your own model that has things figured out, go

1409
01:16:56,479 --> 01:16:58,120
Speaker 1: prove it on FanDuel. I'm about to give you a

1410
01:16:58,160 --> 01:17:01,040
Speaker 1: best bet in a second, two of them. Actually, FanDuel

1411
01:17:01,080 --> 01:17:05,000
Speaker 1: is the exclusive odds provider of the show. I placed

1412
01:17:05,240 --> 01:17:09,120
Speaker 1: a hefty wager at FanDuel today on Marcel Read to

1413
01:17:09,120 --> 01:17:12,519
Speaker 1: win the Heisman. Did I get bullied into this? Yes?

1414
01:17:12,600 --> 01:17:16,120
Speaker 1: I did, but I did it one hundred of my

1415
01:17:16,200 --> 01:17:18,320
Speaker 1: own dollars. I don't need one hundred dollars. I already

1416
01:17:18,320 --> 01:17:20,519
Speaker 1: have one hundred dollars. So I took a hundred of

1417
01:17:20,520 --> 01:17:22,800
Speaker 1: my dollars and I bet them on Marcel Read at

1418
01:17:22,840 --> 01:17:26,960
Speaker 1: plus eight fifty odds to win the Heisman. So he

1419
01:17:27,040 --> 01:17:31,040
Speaker 1: can't hurt me. He can only help me. Right now,

1420
01:17:31,040 --> 01:17:32,639
Speaker 1: you can go to FanDuel if you're a new sign

1421
01:17:32,760 --> 01:17:35,599
Speaker 1: up FanDuel dot com slash Josh Pate. If you will

1422
01:17:36,320 --> 01:17:39,000
Speaker 1: you bet five dollars on anything, and if it wins,

1423
01:17:39,160 --> 01:17:41,040
Speaker 1: you get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets.

1424
01:17:41,080 --> 01:17:43,519
Speaker 1: It's just that easy. Big games coming up this weekend,

1425
01:17:44,439 --> 01:17:46,280
Speaker 1: you can hit them all there. If you don't feel

1426
01:17:46,320 --> 01:17:48,280
Speaker 1: like betting. If you don't bet, that's cool. You can

1427
01:17:48,360 --> 01:17:50,160
Speaker 1: just go look at what the odds are over there.

1428
01:17:50,360 --> 01:17:52,400
Speaker 1: I do it all the time. Nine times out of

1429
01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:53,880
Speaker 1: ten when I go to FanDuel, I'm not even betting.

1430
01:17:53,920 --> 01:17:57,680
Speaker 1: I'm actually looking up numbers and looking at the odds markets. However,

1431
01:17:58,560 --> 01:18:00,479
Speaker 1: I am on three of these games.

1432
01:18:00,920 --> 01:18:03,200
Speaker 3: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1433
01:18:03,320 --> 01:18:06,360
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1441
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1442
01:18:32,920 --> 01:18:36,599
Speaker 3: Hope is here. Visit gambling heelplinem dot org or call

1443
01:18:36,680 --> 01:18:39,160
Speaker 3: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1444
01:18:39,240 --> 01:18:42,040
Speaker 3: seven support in Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven

1445
01:18:42,120 --> 01:18:44,280
Speaker 3: eight Hope, n Y. Or text Hope n Y. In

1446
01:18:44,360 --> 01:18:44,800
Speaker 3: New York.

1447
01:18:45,320 --> 01:18:49,120
Speaker 1: As well as the Ramanudle Express T shirts are on

1448
01:18:49,200 --> 01:18:52,679
Speaker 1: many of you. You may notice this little guy right here.

1449
01:18:52,880 --> 01:18:56,759
Speaker 1: That's a pillow. Ramanuel Express pillow available in the store too.

1450
01:18:57,240 --> 01:18:59,880
Speaker 1: But the T shirt is still our bestseller, I think

1451
01:19:00,200 --> 01:19:03,679
Speaker 1: unless the Christmas sweater passed it by paystatemterial dot com. Okay,

1452
01:19:03,720 --> 01:19:05,720
Speaker 1: so we gave you Coastal Carolina plus two and a

1453
01:19:05,800 --> 01:19:08,519
Speaker 1: half the other night. That was our first best bet.

1454
01:19:08,800 --> 01:19:11,280
Speaker 1: I added Alabama minus five and a half in the

1455
01:19:11,320 --> 01:19:14,040
Speaker 1: show tonight, and we're going to stay in the state

1456
01:19:14,080 --> 01:19:18,120
Speaker 1: of Alabama. I am also putting UAB plus eighteen and

1457
01:19:18,120 --> 01:19:22,120
Speaker 1: a half on the board. Now. Remember, we couldn't care

1458
01:19:22,200 --> 01:19:24,400
Speaker 1: less what your ranking is. We couldn't care less what

1459
01:19:24,400 --> 01:19:27,720
Speaker 1: your record is. We are the show that proudly put

1460
01:19:27,800 --> 01:19:32,160
Speaker 1: our money on Sam Houston State at eight last weekend

1461
01:19:32,520 --> 01:19:34,320
Speaker 1: to go on the road. And they went on the

1462
01:19:34,400 --> 01:19:38,479
Speaker 1: road in one at Oregon State no less, so we're

1463
01:19:38,520 --> 01:19:42,760
Speaker 1: not scared. Look, if you're bad, they'll just give us

1464
01:19:42,760 --> 01:19:44,840
Speaker 1: a whole lot of points to balance it out. So

1465
01:19:44,920 --> 01:19:46,639
Speaker 1: at that point we trust the model, and the model

1466
01:19:46,640 --> 01:19:49,600
Speaker 1: says uab fire, breathing and all plus eighteen and a

1467
01:19:49,640 --> 01:19:53,720
Speaker 1: half against North Texas. And those are three of our

1468
01:19:53,720 --> 01:19:57,679
Speaker 1: best bets. We will add more as the week goes on. Again,

1469
01:19:57,720 --> 01:20:01,040
Speaker 1: a reminder just as we conclude the show here, if

1470
01:20:01,040 --> 01:20:04,160
Speaker 1: you're not subscribed already, just click the button. Just do it,

1471
01:20:04,200 --> 01:20:07,040
Speaker 1: Just click the button. I have gotten it on good

1472
01:20:07,080 --> 01:20:10,240
Speaker 1: authority that many of you have listened to me ask

1473
01:20:10,360 --> 01:20:14,360
Speaker 1: you to do that fifty times, and finally, on Plea

1474
01:20:14,479 --> 01:20:17,800
Speaker 1: number fifty one, you finally did it. And then you

1475
01:20:17,800 --> 01:20:20,400
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