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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of maining, so just go show under the basket,

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the truth for the wind.

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Speaker 2: God make a miracle. I'm just up the water. Hit

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Speaker 2: that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett NNGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: College Basketball Conference Tournament Preview, Part two of ten. And

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Speaker 3: joining me for this episode from my fellow BBC cause

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Speaker 3: Mike Calabrese and Greg Wawdell. Today we will cover the OBC,

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Speaker 3: the A Sun, and the Patriot League. Cannot wait to

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Speaker 3: get into it. I do have to congratulate both of

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Speaker 3: you on your victories on Saturday. If you guys tuned

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Speaker 3: into the BBOFC Live, I lost both shark bets to

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Speaker 3: you guys. Calvary's already sent me his address. Greg after

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Speaker 3: the show or tomorrow, send me your address so I

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Speaker 3: can send you your shirt and I'll buy you a

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Speaker 3: couple of beers for the Illinois game. And congrats Calvary's

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Speaker 3: on your big say Greg on your big hit on Saturday.

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Speaker 3: I'll start with you, how you feel you must be

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Speaker 3: feeling confident at the end of the conference tournaments.

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Speaker 4: It was a good weekend, boys, it was. Things are

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Speaker 4: still a little blurry. We're recording this on a Sunday night,

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Speaker 4: but you know it's March. That's what John Rosstein tells me.

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Speaker 4: So I'm ready for this. I'm looking forward to my

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Speaker 4: trip to Champagne this week. Stuck and two and oh

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Speaker 4: head to head in Big ten territory. I am not

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Speaker 4: ever going to agree to go ahead to head with

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Speaker 4: you on anything outside of that conference.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say Calvary's southwarda just dominated. I will

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Speaker 3: say in defense of my Wisconsin pick that I mean,

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Speaker 3: first of all, they had no chance, but the way

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Speaker 3: that I mean Illinois didn't credit of former Wisconsin resident

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Speaker 3: at Damask who went off for thirty one, But I

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Speaker 3: mean Illinois shot nine nine US sixteen from three. Who

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Speaker 3: do you guys? Who had the worst game possible, which

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Speaker 3: is where I thought Wisconsin would have the biggest edge

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Speaker 3: was Steven krou who would come into the game and

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Speaker 3: commit a dumb foul and then go to the bench

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Speaker 3: like the entire game. One of the worst games we're seeing,

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Speaker 3: and they were dumb fouls like dumb reaches over the

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Speaker 3: backs and it completely hurt their big advantage. In the post,

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Speaker 3: Tyler Wall did all he could, but ultimately it was

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Speaker 3: a great call. In Illinois just shredded Wisconsin over and

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Speaker 3: over again. But we have more important things to get to.

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Speaker 3: The most beautiful time of the year. Conference tournament time,

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Speaker 3: wall to wall action, daytime tips. It's just a beautiful month.

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Speaker 3: So let's start with. Let's start with the OBC. Let's

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Speaker 3: talk a little Ohio Valley and you guys weren't around

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Speaker 3: for the first episode, but always recap you know the

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Speaker 3: format first, and we'll talk who we think is gonna

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Speaker 3: win matchups potentially like but sleepers, maybe potential long shot throws.

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Speaker 3: And I always comment on the format of these conference tournaments.

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Speaker 3: I do not like a lot of the ones that

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Speaker 3: don't reward the top seeds, and the OBC certainly does so.

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Speaker 3: The way that this format works, all the games are

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Speaker 3: played in Evansville, Indiana. Eight teams make it. Top four

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Speaker 3: get a bye, with the top two receiving a double buy.

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Speaker 3: So's kick off on Tuesday and finish up on Monday day, March.

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Speaker 3: Excuse me, this will start on Wednesday, the first round

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Speaker 3: and the championship we played Saturday, March ninth. The first

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Speaker 3: thing that jumps out to me is, well, I should

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Speaker 3: I should mention Morehead State kind of got jobbed. They

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Speaker 3: finished with the three seed, even though they finished in

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Speaker 3: the three way tie for first place, but they lost

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Speaker 3: the tiebreaker with Little Rock getting the one ut Martin

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Speaker 3: getting the two, And it really came down to a

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Speaker 3: three game losing streak that more had had earlier this month.

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Speaker 3: And you know, they lost the only other games that

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Speaker 3: they lost at a brutal non conference schedule. The one

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Speaker 3: of the games they lost after November twentieth, before that

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Speaker 3: three game losing streak by one in Indiana and then

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Speaker 3: at Siue when they shot three of twenty seven from three.

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Speaker 3: But that three game losing streak coincided with Jordan Lathan

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Speaker 3: being out two of those games, and they still only

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Speaker 3: lost by one at Little Rock. But because they got

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Speaker 3: the three seed, they got to win an extra game

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Speaker 3: and they're gonna have to win three and three days.

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Speaker 3: They don't have a deep bench, I think the three

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Speaker 3: hundred and forty third invention minutes per KEMPOM, but they do.

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Speaker 3: They slow the game down to a crawl which U

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Speaker 3: T Martin. Little Rock certainly do not, so I think

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Speaker 3: that that helps them. I personally think Morehead State, who

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Speaker 3: is the favorite you can find like plus one thirty

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Speaker 3: five out there, is the best team by far in

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Speaker 3: this league. I think they're gonna win it. They have

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Speaker 3: when Lathen's in there, and you're gonna talk about one

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Speaker 3: of their other better players, Calaberies. They just have elite

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Speaker 3: size across the board at the wing positions that are

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Speaker 3: just match up nightmares, and then they play a deep

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Speaker 3: drop on defense with Miles Xavier transfer seven footer who

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Speaker 3: kind of anchors that defense. I really like this team.

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Speaker 3: I know that they're the favorite, but I think they're

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Speaker 3: cutting dow on the nets. They can slow down UT

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Speaker 3: Martin in transition. There are one weakness. They turn the

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Speaker 3: ball over. UT Martin does not turn you over. Little

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Speaker 3: Rock a little tougher of a matchup because they have

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Speaker 3: good size on the perimeter, can score at the rim,

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Speaker 3: turn you over a little more. But I think this

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Speaker 3: is Morehead's conference, and I will also throw out play

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Speaker 3: in Evansville. Morehead's had a ton of success and they'll

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Speaker 3: get a home home court bump here. There'll be a

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Speaker 3: lot of Morehead fans here, which certainly won't hurt. I'll

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Speaker 3: throw it to you Calvaries first. You have some thoughts

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Speaker 3: on Morehead and what are you seeing in the OBC.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you, it's going to be challenging to win,

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Speaker 1: you know, that extra game, but I still love what

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Speaker 1: they bring to the table. You hit on all the

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Speaker 1: major points and you left me Riley Minnix, who for

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Speaker 1: those who are not in the no NAIA NABC All

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Speaker 1: American at the lower level playing down at Southeastern in Florida.

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Speaker 1: He's six seven, two point thirty averaging twenty and ten

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Speaker 1: per game, can knock down threes.

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Speaker 5: He's nails from the line.

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Speaker 1: He is a player that can put the whole team

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Speaker 1: on his back, not just for this tournament, but also

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Speaker 1: throw a scare into a high seed come March Madness.

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Speaker 5: If they go ahead and punch their ticket.

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Speaker 1: They're fifteen to four straight up since Christmas, and you

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Speaker 1: talked about some of their head to heads.

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Speaker 5: They split with U. T.

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Speaker 1: Martin, losing by six at their place in a competitive game,

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Speaker 1: and they lost to exactly, and they lost by one

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Speaker 1: at Little Rock without Latham. So I view all of

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Speaker 1: this from a personnel standpoint as them coming in with

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Speaker 1: the best starting five, and then from a head coaching perspective,

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Speaker 1: Preston Spradlin can just flat out coach four straight twenty

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Speaker 1: plus win seasons, one NCAA tournament birth, one NIT appearance,

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Speaker 1: and I'm sure that Suck.

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Speaker 5: Is familiar with him.

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Speaker 1: He came up under coach cal at Kentucky as a

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Speaker 1: GA and then a director of operations. He's clearly learned

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Speaker 1: how to evaluate talent, going and grabbing a guy from

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Speaker 1: the NAIA ranks and turned him into an All conference

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Speaker 1: kind of players.

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Speaker 5: So I really like Morehead. I think they're the pick.

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Speaker 1: I like the fact that we're getting plus money as well.

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Speaker 3: Greg, I will throw it to you next. And yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean Mannix has a great He's good defensively too.

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Speaker 3: I mean Miles is the star on that end. But

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Speaker 3: this team just has such strong length and athleticism on

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Speaker 3: the perimeter when they're fully healthy with laythan in the

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Speaker 3: lineup you seen the Sam Gregor is there someone else

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Speaker 3: that you're targeting?

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Speaker 1: You?

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Speaker 3: T Martin. They want to run, they can shoot threes,

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Speaker 3: but that is a strength of more Dude. Would they

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Speaker 3: would play in the semis? They could still slow you

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Speaker 3: down can defend and transition limits the opportunities, and they're

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Speaker 3: really good defending the perimeter. But any one you're buying

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Speaker 3: or a potential long shot here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna buy a different team to win this tournament. Actually,

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Speaker 4: I think you guys nailed all the points. I think

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Speaker 4: Morehead is the best team here. I think they got

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Speaker 4: jobbed with the tiebreaker. I don't think that's any small

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Speaker 4: feat at all to be the three seed to have

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Speaker 4: to play an extra game, but not just that, like

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Speaker 4: to me, no disrespect to Western Illinois who if we're

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Speaker 4: talking long shots later, I will throw them in the

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Speaker 4: group based on price. But I think this is a

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Speaker 4: three team race for who's gonna win this. I think

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Speaker 4: it could be Morehead, I think it could.

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Speaker 2: Be Little Rock. I think it could be U. T. Martin.

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Speaker 4: Only one of those teams is only gonna have to

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Speaker 4: play one game against that path, right, I think Little

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Speaker 4: Rock has I mean they start in the semi but

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Speaker 4: they're gonna win that game likely and then you're in

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Speaker 4: the championship against whoever wins between Morehead and UT Martin.

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Speaker 4: That's just a much easier path price wise. I think

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Speaker 4: the value is on Little Rock plus two twenty five

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Speaker 4: compared to plus one fifteen and just some numbers on

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Speaker 4: Little Rock. I think they've been really really good, really

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Speaker 4: since they got Michel Mitchell back earlier this season, he

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Speaker 4: was out until December eighteenth. They had the three hundred

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Speaker 4: and thirty ninth rant defense in the sport prior to

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Speaker 4: Mitchell being available. Since then, it's jumped one hundred and

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Speaker 4: sixty six spots. That's no small jump at all. This

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Speaker 4: team has been really really good late. They've won nine

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Speaker 4: consecutive games. They're two to one against that group of

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Speaker 4: Morehead and ut Martin now Lathan was out.

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Speaker 2: That's a big swing.

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Speaker 4: If it does get to that final game and it's

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Speaker 4: Morehead against Little Rock at that point, I certainly would

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Speaker 4: probably bet on Morehead to win. But I just think

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Speaker 4: this path is wide open for Little Rock. You got

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Speaker 4: the one seed, you got the luck, capitalize on it.

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Speaker 4: I think that's the valuable play.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Mitchell's been very important defensively. This is kind of

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Speaker 3: transfer you Little Rock. I mean they have KK Robinson

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Speaker 3: who's at Arkansas, then A and M, then now Little Rock,

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Speaker 3: Michel Mitchell, Maryland, Rhode Island, Arkansas, and now Little Rock

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Speaker 3: is fourth school. But yeah, they've seemed to, you know,

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Speaker 3: all these transfers that they assembled, I've seemed to come together.

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Speaker 3: And you know that the importance of Mitchell on the

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Speaker 3: defensive end, and Chaplin another transfer. He's been really good,

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Speaker 3: especially offensively, the South Florida transfer. Looking at the bracket, yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's hard for me to I don't I can't blame

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Speaker 3: I can't argue your case with Little Rock having such

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Speaker 3: an easy path at the championship where it's Morehead, we'll

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Speaker 3: have to win one extra game to get there, and

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Speaker 3: I didn't know if they don't have a deep bench.

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Speaker 3: Is there anyone anyone I can't personally out of the

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Speaker 3: five through eight seeds that would have to win Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday,

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Speaker 3: four games in four days. Is there anyone you can

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Speaker 3: make a case for. You're shaking it at No, Calvary's

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Speaker 3: anyone you can make a case for. Greg.

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Speaker 4: The only one I would even put a tiny asterisk

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Speaker 4: next to is siu E just because DeMarco Minor's awesome.

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Speaker 2: But no, I think this is a three horse race.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, sy u E. They let's see, they did beat

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Speaker 3: Little Rock and Morehead at home, so at least they

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Speaker 3: have that going for them. Yeah, the minus the stud

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Speaker 3: You know, ray Sean Taylor can get hot, so yeah, possibly,

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Speaker 3: and then they would have they would place Western Illinois,

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Speaker 3: which is like the ideal quarterfinal opponent. So I don't

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Speaker 3: hate that call, but I'm gonna go. I'm saying more

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Speaker 3: At cuts down the nets. Calvary's Yu integrams.

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Speaker 5: Yes, I'm on Morehead.

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Speaker 1: I played It's it's only open at one book right

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Speaker 1: now that I can find it. I'm hoping that more

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Speaker 1: come live in the next twenty four hours, maybe can

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Speaker 1: get into slightly better number.

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Speaker 3: Greg, are you are you? Are you picking to cut

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Speaker 3: down the nets more? I'm rolling with a Little Rock.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Little Rock. Guys.

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Speaker 4: I appreciate you trying your best to persuade me here,

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Speaker 4: but let me throw one more number at you and

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Speaker 4: see if I can get a hail Mary here. Since

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Speaker 4: February first, gentlemen, Little Rock eighty fifth in all of

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Speaker 4: college basketball per bart Torvik, Morehead State one hundred and

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Speaker 4: fifty fourth.

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Speaker 2: I think the value is on Little Rock. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: rock with them.

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Speaker 3: Rocking with Little Rock, I will say, though, since you

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Speaker 3: know the month of February you know, they did crush

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Speaker 3: Ut Martin at home. They've had a lot of blow

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Speaker 3: with and they, you know, beat morehead by one without Latham.

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Speaker 3: They played a lot of the dregs like they played you.

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Speaker 3: They played Southern in Indiana, CIMO, Lindenwood, Tennessee State, Tennessee Tech.

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Speaker 3: So they've kind of added their efficiency numbers with some

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Speaker 3: blowouts of our bad teams. But that matters too. It's

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Speaker 3: finally March, so you know what that means. It's time

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Speaker 3: problem call one eight hundred gambler. All right, good stuff

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Speaker 3: in the OVC. Let's now move on. Let's talk some

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Speaker 3: I'll get calvaries excited. Let's talk some patriotly.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, let's do it.

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Speaker 3: And I note this in every single I should say,

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Speaker 3: I will note this in every single Conference Center preview

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Speaker 3: and have in the past. Shop around. Do not leave

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Speaker 3: free money on the table. The the example I used

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Speaker 3: last was last episode was Radford, but like they just

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Speaker 3: don't leave potential free money on the table, have multiple outs,

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Speaker 3: shop around, get the best price. You should do that

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Speaker 3: with every single bet, but especially when it comes to

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Speaker 3: these conference tournament futures, there's gonna be discrepancy among books.

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Speaker 3: Don't bet a bad number. But looking at the Patriot

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Speaker 3: League Tournament, it has been absolute shock in this tournament historically.

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Speaker 3: This is the thirty fourth Patriot League Championship. The one

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Speaker 3: or two seed has won it thirty of the thirty

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Speaker 3: three times. The only exceptions twenty twenty two number three

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Speaker 3: seed Boston Poor Boston couldn't go to the dance after

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Speaker 3: they won it. Twenty sixteen was the Wilier, number nine

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Speaker 3: seed holy Cross won it, and then in twenty fifteen,

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Speaker 3: number four seed Lafayette won it. That's it. Colgate heavy

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Speaker 3: favorite here they are the top overall seed going for

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Speaker 3: their fourth straight title. Their minus two fifty minus two

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Speaker 3: seventy five depending on the book. They'll play the winner

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Speaker 3: of Army Homely Co Pully Cross, who they should handle

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Speaker 3: they would get to the semis. I shouldn't know. Ten

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Speaker 3: teams are in this field. Top six get a bye.

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Speaker 3: So you have Army holy Cross and Nady Loyola. You're Loyola,

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Speaker 3: You're Alma Mater gall Reee. Loyola will play in just

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Speaker 3: two horrendous first round games. Boston got the number two

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Speaker 3: overall seed Lafayette Lee High. Pretty intriguing three to six matchup,

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Speaker 3: as is American Buck. Now in the four to five

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Speaker 3: I have a long shot. I'll make a case for

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Speaker 3: but Calvary's. I'll get your thoughts first, what are you

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Speaker 3: seeing in the Patriot League?

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Speaker 1: Well, first, I appreciate that history lesson because it has

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Speaker 1: been all Chalk, as you mentioned, and it's been all Colgate.

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Speaker 1: You know, in recent years they're fourteen and one straight

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Speaker 1: up in this tournament dating back to twenty eighteen twelve,

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00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,040
Speaker 1: three against the spread in that stretch, and when you

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Speaker 1: look at where they've been in the last five years,

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Speaker 1: you start to look at the consistency of their performance

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Speaker 1: against the ken Pom numbers one hundred and fifteenth last year,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeenth, eighty ninthe hundred and eighteenth, hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty sixth this year though their one hundred and

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Speaker 1: forty third coming in, but the huge differential just you know,

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Speaker 1: year over year last year there were forty third by

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Speaker 1: season's end in ken Pom. This year offensively two hundred

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Speaker 1: and seventh. So this is the very first time when

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Speaker 1: you look at this Raider team that they have to

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Speaker 1: get it done in grind games out there one hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixth on the defensive end according to ken Pom.

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Speaker 1: That's by far Langle's best in about ten years. So

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Speaker 1: it's really impressive to see them do that. But because

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Speaker 1: they haven't been able to shoot at the same clip.

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Speaker 1: Usually it was them you know, playing four out, banging

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Speaker 1: down threes and really you know.

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Speaker 5: Overwhelming teams with these waves of scoring.

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Speaker 1: They weren't able to do anything in the non conference,

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Speaker 1: just a close loss to Syracuse that was their high

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Speaker 1: water mark. They got, you know, run off the floor

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Speaker 1: against the Yale, Cornell Harvard out of the IVY hammered

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Speaker 1: Arizona Illinois, so.

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Speaker 5: There's not as much fear factor.

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Speaker 1: And then when you look at their actual personnel, their

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00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:09,040
Speaker 1: leading scorer is guard Braden Smith, but at just twelve

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Speaker 1: points per game. When you look at performance in pat

336
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Speaker 1: League play. He had six single digit games in the

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00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: past six weeks, so they don't necessarily have that killer

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Speaker 1: on the perimeter. Keigan Reynolds is really their only reliable man.

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Speaker 1: He's their man in the middle. He's big, he's six

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Speaker 1: ten fifteen record, sorry excuse me, and in the last

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Speaker 1: six games coming in the tournament, he's playing his best basketball,

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00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,480
Speaker 1: so fifteen points per game, seven rebounds, two stocks. He's

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Speaker 1: done some really nice work in their games against Lehigh

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00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,320
Speaker 1: average a double double with two blocks. But if he

345
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:41,360
Speaker 1: doesn't play at that level, they're going to lose one

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00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,920
Speaker 1: or probably both of those meetings against the Mountahawks, they're

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00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 1: both three point decisions. So you basically talked about their

348
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Speaker 1: path and it's as easy as it comes. They get

349
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Speaker 1: to play on their own floor. They're getting to lay

350
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Speaker 1: up against the winner of Army Holy crossing the quarters.

351
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Speaker 1: But then it starts to get maybe a little bit

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Speaker 1: interesting because Americans in that four or five game with

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Speaker 1: Buck Noll, the Eagles just upset them on their home

354
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Speaker 1: floor a week ago sixty six, sixty four. They slowed

355
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Speaker 1: the pace of that game against Colgate Way down Matt Rodgers.

356
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,280
Speaker 1: They're power forward had his best game of the year,

357
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Speaker 1: arguably with twenty three points and seven boards, So I

358
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:13,880
Speaker 1: think right away it starts to get interesting for them,

359
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 1: but it's still a conversation of sleeper and deep sleeper.

360
00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 1: Not necessarily somebody who would advocate is really going to

361
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,640
Speaker 1: win this tournament because at minus two hundred minus two

362
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,240
Speaker 1: fifty Coldgate, I think it is properly priced. But I

363
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:26,879
Speaker 1: don't want to steal your thunder. I'll kick it to

364
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 1: you first, stuck. Who do you like to win this thing?

365
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:31,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, you mentioned it. Kolga's defense is better, but their

366
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 3: offense you mentioned it, I mean offensive fifthcy forty third

367
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,880
Speaker 3: last year, they're two hundred and seventh right now. They

368
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Speaker 3: missed Tucker Richardson and Oliver Lynch Daniels on the perimeter. Yep,

369
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Speaker 3: Smith's a great facilitator. They also have a really good

370
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Speaker 3: backup center in Jeff Woodward, so their centers are really

371
00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:51,960
Speaker 3: good with records in Woodward. And then you have moffittt

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Speaker 3: who's a stretch four shoots like close to forty percent

373
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Speaker 3: from three. But instead of Richardson and Lynch Daniels, you

374
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:02,199
Speaker 3: now have Cummins and Jalen Cox. They're very raw and

375
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:06,399
Speaker 3: they're just not as They're just not as good right

376
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: now offensively, which leads them vulnerable. They had two losses

377
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 3: in league play, both came at home to American and

378
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,760
Speaker 3: they have they actually swept the road. But I like Leo,

379
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,000
Speaker 3: shop around. You can find a twelve to one out there.

380
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 3: There's a bunch of eight to ones. Don't bet that

381
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,399
Speaker 3: you find a twelve to one. I like Lee, I

382
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 3: have empowered as the second best team in the league.

383
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:34,199
Speaker 3: They lost to Colgate twice, both by three points, and

384
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Speaker 3: one of those games they didn't have Keith Higgins, who's

385
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,159
Speaker 3: arguably their best player. It comes off the bench.

386
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Speaker 1: Now, but yeah, what do you make of that stuck

387
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 1: by the way, because the way he was playing, I

388
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: figured they were getting you know, his sea legs back

389
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:45,480
Speaker 1: and they were going to reinsert him. But now it

390
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 1: seems like, you know, they just have a preference to

391
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,280
Speaker 1: bring him off the bench, and that way the scoring

392
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 1: load isn't totally falling on Tyler Whitney Sidney because.

393
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Speaker 5: He's still played very, very well.

394
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: But I think, I mean, if I'm reading incorrectly, I

395
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 1: think doctor Reid is just interested in getting something out

396
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 1: of his second line and letting Higgins lead the scoring there.

397
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would agree with that, But I also think that,

398
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 3: like you mentioned, like his sea legs and coming back

399
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 3: from injury, they might have just been a little bit

400
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:19,879
Speaker 3: more cautious with him and then you might get, you know,

401
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 3: more minutes here. I mean, he played twenty three and twenty,

402
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,400
Speaker 3: but this is a guy whould play the past two games.

403
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 3: He would play like thirty five thirty, yeah, thirty minutes

404
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 3: a game. So I think that you'll get closer to

405
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 3: a full workload here. And he's by far their most

406
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Speaker 3: efficient player. And if you look like Lei's the number

407
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,160
Speaker 3: six seed, but I've been powerady number two. He missed

408
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 3: nine games, and if you look at their efficiency margin

409
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,400
Speaker 3: in those nine games, three hundred and twenty per Torvick.

410
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 3: This is a team that was outside of the top round.

411
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Speaker 3: Since he came back five and two, they're about one

412
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Speaker 3: hundred and eighty fifth in the country in overall efficiency.

413
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:02,200
Speaker 3: In comparison, you know Colgates around like one hundred and

414
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 3: forty fifth, so they're not too far off. They went

415
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 3: five and two since it came back. They lost to

416
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Speaker 3: Colgate by three. They lost to Boston in overtime by two.

417
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think this is the second best team,

418
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 3: and I think that there's a little bit of value

419
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 3: in le High. They're not gonna stop Colgate inside with

420
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,640
Speaker 3: their in tier, but if they could just make some threes.

421
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 3: They only shot. They went four to twenty at home

422
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Speaker 3: on Saturday and still had a chance to win that game.

423
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Speaker 3: They just couldn't hit an outside shot. But I think

424
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Speaker 3: Colgate's a little vulnerable. I don't see any value in

425
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 3: minus two twenty in Lehigh at twelve to one would

426
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 3: be my pick to cut down the nets as a

427
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Speaker 3: rare non top two seed. Greg, what you've seen in

428
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Speaker 3: the Patriot League.

429
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Speaker 4: You nailed my sleeper. It's Lee High and I had

430
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,159
Speaker 4: it at twelve to one as well. Look, they're gonna

431
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,199
Speaker 4: have to win the first game. Obviously, you don't win

432
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 4: championship out winning the first game. But as far as

433
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 4: draw goes, I think it's a great draw for them. Right,

434
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 4: they swept Lafayette during the season.

435
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 3: My fans lost six of seven, including two to Lehigh,

436
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:07,159
Speaker 3: so they kind of faded down the stretch.

437
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:11,119
Speaker 4: Right, they're faltering, and if you just assume that they

438
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,400
Speaker 4: can hold serve there, then they're right where they want

439
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 4: to be right, because you don't see either of, in

440
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:19,200
Speaker 4: my opinion, the two best players in this conference, and

441
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 4: Matt Rodgers and Braden Smith who are on the other

442
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,120
Speaker 4: side of the bracket. So look, this team has won

443
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 4: three straight away games too coming into this, so to

444
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,280
Speaker 4: kind of be that road dog mentality in the quarterfinal,

445
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 4: I think that works. I think the value is definitely there.

446
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 4: You mentioned the Higgins numbers just to reiterate, lost six

447
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,439
Speaker 4: of nine without him, got him back, won five straight

448
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 4: games the moment he was active again, and then their

449
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 4: two most recent losses to end the year came by

450
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:52,159
Speaker 4: a combined five points. Like that screams team that is

451
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 4: undervalued here to me, So.

452
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:54,439
Speaker 2: I'm with you.

453
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,439
Speaker 4: I really like Lee High the only other sleeper I

454
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 4: would throw out. And this just comes down to do

455
00:23:58,600 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 4: you do.

456
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:00,919
Speaker 2: You believe in Colgate or do you not?

457
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 4: I think you guys laid out nicely like they're clearly

458
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 4: the best team here. But this isn't the traditional Colgate

459
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 4: offense that we're used to that means there's value. And

460
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 4: how about a team that just beat them ten days ago?

461
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 2: Right?

462
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 4: American plus seven point fifty? Look, it's it really is

463
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 4: just three point variants with that team. They shoot the

464
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:25,400
Speaker 4: thirty first most three point attempts per game in the country.

465
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 4: They're three hundred and twenty fourth at preventing three point attempts.

466
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 4: But if you're trying to take a shot on an

467
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 4: underdog to actually take down the best team in this league,

468
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 4: one that has every single game rely on three point variants,

469
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 4: I think it is a decent risk to take. So

470
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 4: to me, I feel like there's value on either of

471
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:44,360
Speaker 4: those two teams, depending on what you think of Colgate.

472
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 4: I would sprinkle both and hopefully, you know, one of

473
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 4: them finds their way to the championship. Maybe both find

474
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 4: their way to the championship, and you're in a really

475
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 4: good spot.

476
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:54,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is one of the years where

477
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 3: you know, you have Bucknello dominated this They were clearly

478
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 3: the best team, right, like, so much better than everybody,

479
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 3: and then lately Colgate has been so much better than everybody.

480
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 3: They're still the best team, but they're not. The gap

481
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 3: isn't as wide as it's been because their offense isn't

482
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 3: as electric. So yeah, I don't hate American. American fits

483
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 3: the profile because, as you said, three point varents. They

484
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,199
Speaker 3: also they also give up a ton of threes, so

485
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 3: like there's just three point varents on both sides and

486
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 3: then they just grind the game down to a halt.

487
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 3: They play so slow, fewer possessions, higher variants, so you

488
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 3: got you know, limitedsession game with a ton of three points.

489
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 3: And I also should mention Patriot League, you have the

490
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,199
Speaker 3: higher seed hosts all the games, and it's not like,

491
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 3: look if Colgate, whoever hosts the title, will get a

492
00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:46,439
Speaker 3: good home crowd. No disrespect Calvary's to your Greyhounds, but

493
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 3: we're not talking about these the best home court advantages

494
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:54,199
Speaker 3: like La Fayette's home court advantage against Lehigh. I mean,

495
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 3: these are what's the the vibe going to be there?

496
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:04,360
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's not like the best home court advantage

497
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 3: in Easton, Pennsylvania. I'll tell you that. And I also

498
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 3: will say, or do you have any comment on the

499
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 3: home court advantage Calgary's I do.

500
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:13,639
Speaker 1: I also, well, I have a couple of things to

501
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,199
Speaker 1: bring up first though, is for these teams that need

502
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: to be the road Warriors, yes, you got to play

503
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 1: on the campus sites, as we pointed out, but it's

504
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 1: spread out for a team like Lehiat's March seventh, March tenth,

505
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,959
Speaker 1: March thirteenth. So it's not like you need to win

506
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 1: three days in or three games in three days, which

507
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,360
Speaker 1: some of these leagues do put you behind the eight ball.

508
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 1: So in terms of travel for a team that I'm

509
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: going to mention, it's very reasonable. But let me back

510
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 1: up for a second, because I agree with you guys

511
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: in Lehigh at twelve to one, I think it's a

512
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: must play number.

513
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 5: And I brought up doctor Reid before.

514
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 1: He's been in this league for a long time. I

515
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 1: think he understands how he has to win in this spot.

516
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:48,680
Speaker 1: A lot of people remember him from that upset of

517
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:49,800
Speaker 1: Duke in twenty twelve.

518
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:51,040
Speaker 5: He knows in this spot.

519
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 1: Lehigh's the fastest tempo team in the league, fifty fourth nationally,

520
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 1: and they have a disruptive defense. That's their only thing

521
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: that they do well. On the defensive end. They turn

522
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 1: teams over sixteen percent of their possessions, which is top

523
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 1: one hundred. And the stat that I love is Evan

524
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: Maya's Opponent adjusts metric, which indicates do they play better

525
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 1: against better teams? The number one team in the Patriot

526
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 1: League in that regard is Lehigh. Also worth noting which

527
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: team plays down in their competition the most often, Colegate.

528
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,639
Speaker 1: So I think this is kind of lining up. If

529
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 1: Lehi can put this together, I'll throw one more team

530
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:24,920
Speaker 1: out here if you can get him thirty to one

531
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 1: or longer. I think Bucknell's an interesting team coming out

532
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: of the four or five game, and the reasons are

533
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 1: pretty simple. They're the second tallest team in the Patriot

534
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 1: League behind Colegate, so they have the size No Williamson

535
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,280
Speaker 1: in particular, legit seven footer out of Latvia. He's improved

536
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 1: leaps and bounds from his freshman year to his sophomore year,

537
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 1: and since January twentieth, he's had five games with three

538
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 1: or more stocks, so he's been a real difference maker

539
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: on the defensive end. Jack Forrest, if he gets hot

540
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,399
Speaker 1: from three point range, he shoots almost thirty eight percent

541
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 1: from there. And Bucknell plays incredibly slow. You mentioned American

542
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 1: Bucknell's three hundred and twenty first in tempo, So either

543
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,120
Speaker 1: one a team that's gonna speed it up to take

544
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 1: someone out of their comfort zone or really slow it down.

545
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:06,919
Speaker 1: And I think both of those teams, if you can

546
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:08,719
Speaker 1: get the best numbers in the market, are worth it.

547
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, buck now Offits gond be ugly at times, but

548
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 3: I'd like their defensition. They went oh to three in

549
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,719
Speaker 3: league overtime games, so a bit I'm unlucky that they

550
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 3: lost to American Lei and La Fayette in overtime. I

551
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 3: also will say if Colgate Colgate is one of those

552
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:28,159
Speaker 3: teams where if they get out, like if this is

553
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 3: just perennially with the for whatever reason, with the Patriot

554
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 3: League winner, people will say like this is a sleeper,

555
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 3: like they're gonna they're a fifteen seat, is gonna be scary.

556
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 3: Sometimes that's true, this Colgate.

557
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 5: Team not this time.

558
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 3: No chance. If this Colgate team has zero chance against

559
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 3: any high major that they get matched up, I'll be

560
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 3: looking to fade them. They are so reliant on records

561
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 3: and woodward. But like they're taking advantage of all these

562
00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:00,480
Speaker 3: like Patriot League front posts, so they go up, dig

563
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 3: up against anyone with size. They're done cooked, by the way.

564
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 3: What I don't know if anyone saw this. I just

565
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 3: happened to put this game on I when I'm sitting

566
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,960
Speaker 3: around sweating games and mild score. But I will put

567
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 3: on any game in college basketball that's you know, close

568
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 3: with the final thirty seconds I put on Loyola Maryland Army,

569
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 3: which literally meant nothing for either team. They were already

570
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 3: locked into seeds, and Army had the biggest meltdown I've

571
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,719
Speaker 3: ever seen like they They were up six with I

572
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 3: think twenty eight seconds to go. They fouled up three

573
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 3: in this free throws. They then they filed up three.

574
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 3: Loyola made them both and then stole the inbounds and

575
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 3: dunked it. Golden k dunked it at the bell. You

576
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 3: got a foul in there. You can't let him dunk it.

577
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 3: He's like a twenty free throw shooter.

578
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: That's the end of our one shining moment for Loyola

579
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: Greyhound basketball this year.

580
00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 5: So my question, we got it right under the wire.

581
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 3: What a March moment for Loyola. Speaking of her rend,

582
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 3: I mean Loyla's home court advantages.

583
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 1: Let's not get into reached arena right now. Listen, you

584
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 1: just said something nice. I'll finish it off with. If

585
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 1: we're talking Greyhounds from here on that, it's got to

586
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: be white grapefruit juice, a little Tito's vodka on the

587
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: rocks with the aligned twist. That's the way to get

588
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:21,959
Speaker 1: the Greyhounds involved in your March madness.

589
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 3: I will say Loyola is one of we'll call it

590
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 3: one hundred and eighty teams that's undefeated in March. So far,

591
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 3: Loila is not lost in March. But I want to

592
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 3: ask you this before we move on. What has happened

593
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 3: with OILA was a respectable program under Patzos right when

594
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 3: they were.

595
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 5: In the Mac on the Mac yep.

596
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 3: And like they would this was like a top two

597
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 3: hundred team most years, and now they are and then

598
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 3: they had the al Dama flash, but now they are bottom.

599
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,600
Speaker 5: I mean, if you're trying to what's happened? Rants out

600
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 5: of me? Got one?

601
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 3: Remember this is a safe space.

602
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 2: You know what pisses me off most of all. Okay,

603
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 2: you're ranting.

604
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 4: Now, baby, Yeah, I'm ran.

605
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: Why not?

606
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 4: You've gotta let it out somehow.

607
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 1: The fact that we were living in an era where

608
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,719
Speaker 1: they played so poorly and they've recruited so poorly at

609
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 1: the guard position makes me so mad. Because they did

610
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:21,360
Speaker 1: have these Spanish imports come in Aldama being the unicorn,

611
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: but you know they had other size come in that

612
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 1: was serviceable in this conference. And your your campus is

613
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 1: in Baltimore, Baltimore is a great high school basketball scene.

614
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 1: Like even getting the third tier guards from some of

615
00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: those programs would be enough. We're hitting it once in

616
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: the transfer portal and getting a high volume, you know,

617
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 1: combo guard to just put the offense on his back.

618
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 5: I agree, it's insane.

619
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 1: It's so frustrating to me that we're not playing a

620
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: different brand of basketball. The last time that we went

621
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 1: to March Madness, you know, over a decade ago, it

622
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 1: was because we were all in the full court press.

623
00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 1: We were playing that annoying defense that we're gonna exhaust

624
00:31:58,840 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 1: your guys.

625
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 5: We were gonna, you know.

626
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 1: Basically have a five six man rotation, a guard wear

627
00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 1: our own players at But we were just a nuisance

628
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: to play. I was there up in Springfield, Massachusetts. They

629
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,760
Speaker 1: called it Macachusetts. Great branding there from that, you know

630
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 1: that league.

631
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 3: But we won.

632
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 1: Against I think Fairfield like forty nine forty five because

633
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: we were willing to play a different brand of basketball.

634
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: When you're consistently in the bottom thirty of Ken Palm

635
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 1: or you don't even need advanced stats, just look at

636
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 1: your goddamn record.

637
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 5: You suck.

638
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:31,400
Speaker 1: You gotta play a different brand of basketball. You gotta

639
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 1: do something. Defensively, you gotta do something and recruiting. So

640
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:37,479
Speaker 1: it's so frustrating to me because for a school that

641
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: is nationally known for lacrosse, where to be a good

642
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: lacrosse program, you need to get thirty good guys into

643
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: your program. To be good at in basketball in the

644
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 1: Patriot League, you need two guys. You need two guys.

645
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: Let's get an nil collective together, Let's throw some money around,

646
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 1: Let's do something, because it shouldn't be this hard, given

647
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 1: the fact that we have some parts that are actually

648
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 1: pretty comparable to our Patriot League contemporary. So that's it

649
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: for the loyal basketball right.

650
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 3: All right, that's as much loyal Maryland basketball talk as

651
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 3: you'll hear. I can guarantee you that, if I can

652
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 3: guarantee you one thing, you will not hear more of

653
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 3: the loyal Maryland basketball talk on any podcast this March. Well

654
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 3: one more, are you gonna loyal Maryland first round game? Anything?

655
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 5: No, No, I pass. I'm not doing its.

656
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 3: Eighty talk about home court advantage.

657
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 5: Here's the thing, suck.

658
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 1: I like this league and I'm not going to subject

659
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 1: myself to betting or watching loyal basketball. I wrote them

660
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 1: off early in the year. I'm glad I did. I

661
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 1: faded them a couple of times successfully. It's time to

662
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 1: put them in a box until next year. Maybe I'll

663
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 1: get excited, maybe I'll get a new head coach. But

664
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: now it's just going to be my main play on

665
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: Lehigh at twelve to one in a little sprinkle on

666
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 1: buck Now.

667
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:47,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, you want to talk about no home court advantage,

668
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 3: I have naighty dead last in the country one point.

669
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:53,680
Speaker 3: It's all their home quarter advantage is worth to me

670
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 3: one point one easily point. They're objected to win. I

671
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 3: don't know, probably be like seven go a little so bad,

672
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 3: seven point underdog against Navy. If you like bad offense,

673
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 3: watch Navyland. And if you like bad defense too, you

674
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 3: give two for one. Hey, guys, stuck here. If you

675
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 3: ever wanted to try the best version of the Action

676
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 3: Network at Well, now is the perfect opportunity to do so,

677
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 3: because we have a special offer to celebrate the month

678
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:22,360
Speaker 3: of March and the NCAA tournament. You can get pro

679
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 3: access for just nine to ninety nine. For the first month,

680
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 3: we'll give you access to things like Sean Kerner's player

681
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:33,600
Speaker 3: prop projections, which are invaluable real time money, percentages and

682
00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 3: our model's biggest edges and much more. All you have

683
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 3: to do is head over to actionnetwork dot com slash madness.

684
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 3: That's Actionnetwork dot com slash madness. Make sure you get

685
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,799
Speaker 3: there before the deal expires. Cheers. Let's move on to

686
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 3: the asun the last lead that we will cover on

687
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 3: part two of ten. The next eight episodes will come

688
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 3: out over the course of the next week with us

689
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 3: Mike Randle, the Three Men Weave. We will have a

690
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:07,319
Speaker 3: factory churning these out on Sunday when for all of

691
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 3: the Big Boys and the rest of the other conferences.

692
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 3: I think I'm recording like five episodes back to back

693
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 3: to back to back to back on Sunday. Always a

694
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:20,840
Speaker 3: crazy day, but labor of love. Let's talk a little

695
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 3: a SUN ten team tourney. Top six seeds receive a bye.

696
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 3: They do reseed after each round. Important to notes you

697
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,720
Speaker 3: could be looking at the racket and in the semis.

698
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 3: It doesn't necessarily mean that you'll play each other, because

699
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:37,279
Speaker 3: matchups matter this time of the year. Campus sites for

700
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:41,800
Speaker 3: the higher seed throughout. But ESPN has this wrong, and

701
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,359
Speaker 3: I see a lot of other sites have this wrong.

702
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 3: The first round games, which are today Kennessaal Jacksonville and

703
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:53,000
Speaker 3: Florida Gulf Coast Queens. Those are not played on net on.

704
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 3: Each of the higher seed Kennisall Jackson will play at

705
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 3: Eastern Kentucky because the nine plays the ten in this

706
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 3: for minute, and then they'll play at Eastern Kentucky. The

707
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 3: next day, Sam goes for Florida Gulf Coast Queens. They

708
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 3: play in DeLand, Florida. DeLand, Florida. You're talking about a

709
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,439
Speaker 3: place for nothing with nothing is DeLand, Florida. They'll play

710
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 3: in DeLand because they're gonna play Stetson on Tuesday. The

711
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:23,479
Speaker 3: favorite is Eastern Kentucky. There you can find them around

712
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 3: plus one fifty Lipscomb three to one is the three seed,

713
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:36,120
Speaker 3: the two seed Stetson plus three fifty four seed Austin

714
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:41,359
Speaker 3: p round nine to one. I the team that I want,

715
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:45,280
Speaker 3: wanted the bet was Stetson at plus three to fifty.

716
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 3: The primary reason is they match up really well with

717
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:52,319
Speaker 3: Eastern Kentucky. They have experienced guards, they can handle the press,

718
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:54,839
Speaker 3: and they can throw out a Myria out of his zone.

719
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 3: Looks Tonny Jones does a great job and switch up

720
00:36:57,680 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 3: their defensive lot. Eastern Kentucky really struggles against zone defenses.

721
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,720
Speaker 3: The problem is they lost Josh Smith to a season

722
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 3: ending injury, and he like he was and we missed

723
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,400
Speaker 3: the first fourteen games. He came back, they're playing their

724
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 3: best basketball. It's a huge game against Eastern Kentucky when

725
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 3: they won at home and then they lost them again

726
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,840
Speaker 3: for the year. He brings us like physicality, rebounding pallis

727
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 3: and I think they miss him, so that gives me

728
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,920
Speaker 3: a little bit of pause. But I'll throw it first

729
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:27,359
Speaker 3: to Greg. What are you seeing in the a sun?

730
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 4: So this is just pure chaos. That's my prediction of

731
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:36,359
Speaker 4: the ASUN tournament. There's nine teams from one through nine

732
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 4: that are within one hundred spots of each other on

733
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:39,239
Speaker 4: ken palm.

734
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 2: That's pretty rare at this point.

735
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:44,399
Speaker 4: Normally there's somebody that has emerged and is significantly ahead

736
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 4: of the pack, like in the last couple that we

737
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 4: just talked about. I don't think that's the case here.

738
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:52,080
Speaker 4: I think we could see somebody very random win this

739
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 4: tournament and then end up on the sixteen line, which

740
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:56,520
Speaker 4: makes it fun to bet right, which makes it fun

741
00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,720
Speaker 4: to look for some long shots. I think the team

742
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:03,320
Speaker 4: that I I like to win is actually Austin p

743
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 4: who have been very impressed with the big thing for them.

744
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:11,040
Speaker 4: DeMarcus Sharp was out. He missed six games at the

745
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 4: start of February. They went five and one in that span.

746
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 4: They got him back and then they won the last

747
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:18,919
Speaker 4: two games of the season where they're trying to work

748
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 4: him back in quietly.

749
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 2: He's not back in full.

750
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,280
Speaker 4: Blown, forty minutes a game, take every shot mode yet.

751
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 4: But I like this team a lot, and I thought

752
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 4: they looked pretty good without him. Corey Gibson's done a

753
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 4: great job turning this team right around. I got to

754
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 4: interview him in the summer for we were doing a

755
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 4: series of new coach interviews and he just really impressed

756
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 4: me with the way he was going to attack the portal.

757
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 4: He backed up everything he told me. This first round

758
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 4: matchup for them, by the way, North Florida. They won

759
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 4: a double overtime game without Sharp against North Florida. So

760
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,440
Speaker 4: I like them to win that first round matchup another

761
00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 4: one where they get to game plan ahead. They're not

762
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 4: worried about what team has to win to get there,

763
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 4: So if you pencil them into the SEMIS, I think

764
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 4: there's pretty good value on Austin P. And then I

765
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 4: have a couple more long shots, but I want to

766
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 4: save those until I hear your guys' favorite here, because

767
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 4: this really is a chaotic league.

768
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: To me.

769
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say I'm a bit worried about Austin

770
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:19,520
Speaker 3: P's You mentioned sharp and yeah, that's super poort. He's

771
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 3: came back for the past two games they gone. They

772
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 3: went seven to one in February. What scares me. They

773
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,400
Speaker 3: play no defense. They went seven to one in February.

774
00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 3: They're just a defensive efficiency in the month of February

775
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 3: and those eight games, three hundred and fifty nine in

776
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 3: the country. How do they go seven to one? They

777
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 3: shot forty five percent from three, So I'm a bit

778
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:44,000
Speaker 3: worried about just a shooting regression bug hitting them like

779
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 3: that is completely unsustainable for a team that on this

780
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 3: season is shooting. You know, they're a good shooting team.

781
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:53,320
Speaker 3: They're shooting thirty six percent, but they were at about

782
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 3: thirty five before this stretch, so I'm a bit worried there.

783
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 3: One of the more intriguing teams is Lipskom. They have

784
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,240
Speaker 3: just a beautifully run offense, you know, eleventh in effective

785
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 3: field goal percentage. They don't turn it over. Great ball, movement,

786
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 3: great motion, their top twenty and three point and two

787
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 3: point percentage. They've won what seven of eight to close

788
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 3: out the year. I don't understand, Like, are they better

789
00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 3: without Darren Boyd? I don't. I don't know, Like some

790
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 3: of their numbers say they are, but I can't imagine

791
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 3: that being the case with what Boyd could do. This

792
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 3: is a guy who go for thirty or forty on

793
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,760
Speaker 3: any given night, So I have to imagine that loss

794
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 3: does matter. I mean, maybe their offense is just so

795
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 3: well schemed that it doesn't matter the problem with me

796
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:45,520
Speaker 3: for Lipscomb is they play the opposite. I mean, they

797
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 3: can't stop a nosebleed. They play no. I don't do

798
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:52,560
Speaker 3: not trust their defense whatsoever. So while their offense seems

799
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:55,080
Speaker 3: to just I mean, there's should forty two percent from

800
00:40:55,120 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 3: three in league play, So while their offense is so good,

801
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 3: I guess boy doesn't matter. I don't know. I don't

802
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 3: trust their defense enough. At three to one, I think

803
00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 3: this is probably Eastern Kentucky's tourney to lose. But yeah,

804
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 3: you're right, the separation from the top to the bottom

805
00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 3: is not that wide, so it's definitely a league where

806
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 3: I wouldn't fault anyone for taking a shot. Calbary's what

807
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 3: are you seeing here?

808
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:21,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, let's take a shot.

809
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 1: I think you guys laid it out that there's just

810
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 1: not that much separating and there's a lot of teams

811
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 1: that it's like a high wire act the way that

812
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,960
Speaker 1: they're playing, and they haven't come crashing down yet. But

813
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 1: I'll take a team that at least I know is

814
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:34,879
Speaker 1: going to fire up a ton of threes, and that's

815
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:36,640
Speaker 1: North Florida at eighteen to one.

816
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 5: I mean talking about highvariance.

817
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 1: They take over thirty two threes per game and make

818
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: eleven and a half of them per game. That's top

819
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:45,799
Speaker 1: two nationally in both categories. And then when you see

820
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: how the fifty.

821
00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 3: Six percent of their field goal attemps.

822
00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 1: For threes, it's crazy. I add a double check the stats.

823
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 1: I was like, this can't be right that they're firing

824
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: up this many. But the Ospreys in general have played

825
00:41:57,080 --> 00:41:59,439
Speaker 1: very well against the top teams you mentioned. They took

826
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 1: Austin doublet at their place, they beat Lipscomb, they beat Stetson.

827
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:07,399
Speaker 1: So I think this price is right to move. I'm

828
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and take it. I do think Stetson's

829
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 1: gonna end up winning this one. I love Jalen Blackman.

830
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:14,919
Speaker 1: I think he's got March Hero written all over him.

831
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,279
Speaker 1: He led the conference in points per game with twenty one.

832
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,799
Speaker 1: He dropped twenty seven on Eastern Kentucky in an eight

833
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:21,320
Speaker 1: point win that's stuck and mentioned.

834
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:22,800
Speaker 5: So Stetson's my play.

835
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:24,799
Speaker 1: But I want to have one long shot in this

836
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 1: tournament because I do feel like it's wide open. So

837
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna shop around maybe and get North Florida twenty

838
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:30,880
Speaker 1: to one the.

839
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 3: Little Funky Zone. But I mean their transition is cool.

840
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:38,800
Speaker 3: Mo Foida's defenses is horrendous. Greg, You've hinted at a

841
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:39,840
Speaker 3: long shot here.

842
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go even longer.

843
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:43,240
Speaker 2: Boys.

844
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 4: Neither of you guys mentioned him yet. Can we get

845
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 4: a Dunk City remix? Can we get that Florida Gulf

846
00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 4: Coast baby? Okay, they're twenty five to one. That's what

847
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 4: I'm seeing some numbers on this team right now, because again,

848
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,760
Speaker 4: I'm not a huge believer in this team on paper.

849
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,240
Speaker 4: In general, I just think this league is wide open,

850
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 4: and I think this team has an argument that they're

851
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 4: playing better than anybody else.

852
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 2: In the conference over the last month. In fact, perb

853
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:09,320
Speaker 2: bard Torvik, they are. They are the number one ranked.

854
00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 4: Team in this league since February first, They've covered twelve

855
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 4: of their last fifteen games. This team's old, at shit.

856
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 4: Their top six scorers are all in their fourth year

857
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 4: of college basketball or older. Kishawn Kellman's been awesome seventeen

858
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 4: or more points in five of his last six I

859
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 4: don't know. Again, this is not me trying to sell

860
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:30,160
Speaker 4: you that any of these teams are gonna win an

861
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 4: NCAA tournament game. This is me trying to sell you

862
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 4: that they can win three in this tournament. And I

863
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,959
Speaker 4: think at twenty five to one, that's a crazy miss

864
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 4: price for the team that metrically has been the best

865
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:42,839
Speaker 4: team in this league for the last month.

866
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, they had injuries early on in the year too,

867
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 3: you know, they los Andre Weir and they kind of

868
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:52,839
Speaker 3: were in I mean, they were bad early in the year.

869
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:58,760
Speaker 3: They let's see, they started out, I wonder what their peak.

870
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 3: They start out one hundred and forty six on ken Pom,

871
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:05,800
Speaker 3: and they got all the way down to two seventy four.

872
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 3: And yeah, they're playing their best basketball of the season.

873
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 3: Curious what they are on Paslo Metrics it's top seventy

874
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 3: five and momentum their consistency, they're three point fifty five,

875
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:23,839
Speaker 3: which is what you like with a longer shot. They

876
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 3: they're very rat They also slow the game down to

877
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 3: a crawl. They do not play fast, which you want

878
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 3: want limited possessions, uglier game. And we mentioned Stetson just

879
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 3: not the same team with out Josh Smith. They beat

880
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 3: Stetson by twenty four at home, so they would play

881
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 3: if they beat Queens and on the road in mid February,

882
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 3: they lost by one at Stetson, so they can certainly

883
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 3: win that game. And then you get the Lipscomb. I

884
00:44:56,120 --> 00:45:00,440
Speaker 3: think Lipscomb crush them. Yeah, lipscum beat them by the thirty,

885
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 3: but doesn't play any defense, Like I don't. Anyone could

886
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 3: beat Lipscomb ninety to eighty seven. So yeah, I don't

887
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 3: hate Florida Golf Coast, which really bottomed out earlier in

888
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:14,359
Speaker 3: the year and was playing its best ball. As you mentioned,

889
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:19,120
Speaker 3: Kelman's been a monster and they've they've definitely started to

890
00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:22,760
Speaker 3: figure things out here under Pat Chambers. Calvary's any thoughts

891
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 3: there or any long shot.

892
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 1: That you want to mention now, just North Florida for me,

893
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,480
Speaker 1: just because of the I think it's funny like when

894
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 1: you're going through so many of these teams can't get

895
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 1: a stop, can't get a stop, can't get a stop. Eventually,

896
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:35,880
Speaker 1: if you put them all in the in the gym

897
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 1: for this tournament, you figure somebody is gonna get some

898
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 1: stops in crunch time, or maybe not, maybe just everyone

899
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 1: will outscore their opponent. Yeah, I could be talked into

900
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:47,839
Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coast, particularly at that number. Maybe this is

901
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,879
Speaker 1: one of those tournaments just to turn down the top

902
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 1: two seeds and just you know, sprinkle spread out, you know,

903
00:45:54,080 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 1: three or four bets over those four teams in those

904
00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 1: middle rounds or the middle rankings coming in and just

905
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: with the chips fall. Because I agree, I think I

906
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: mean Eastern Kentucky in particular, if you can get Cozart

907
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 1: in foul trouble, like they could lose to anybody in

908
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 1: this conference. So I think that they're that singularly dependent

909
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 1: on a superstar.

910
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,839
Speaker 5: So yeah, I like it.

911
00:46:16,120 --> 00:46:18,799
Speaker 3: Do you have any thoughts on Lipscomb? Does the boy

912
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 3: not matter? They confuse me.

913
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 4: I really don't, to be honest with you. Look, I

914
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 4: think their offense in general is the best in this

915
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:32,959
Speaker 4: league without question. But like I said, I really don't

916
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:35,800
Speaker 4: feel strongly about anyone. I don't want to talk myself

917
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,520
Speaker 4: into anyone. I want to talk myself into the highest

918
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 4: numbers here, and that's what I did my best to do,

919
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:41,240
Speaker 4: which is not Lipscomb.

920
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 3: Yeah you mentioned there. I mean, there's so many bad

921
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:48,880
Speaker 3: defenses in this league. Jacksonville has a decent defense, but

922
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 3: their offense is so bad. And with the way Florida

923
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 3: Gulf Coast is playing, you can already they have the

924
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:58,959
Speaker 3: best d in the league right now, and that's something

925
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 3: that they can grind the games down rely on Kellman

926
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:05,759
Speaker 3: that defense. Uh so, yeah, I don't. I don't hate

927
00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 3: the Florida Gulf Coast call as a super long shot.

928
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 3: All right. That'll do it for us OVC, A, Sun

929
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:21,040
Speaker 3: and Patriot League all covered. We'll be back Thursday with

930
00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 3: two more episodes covering I think six more leagues. Tanner

931
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:33,320
Speaker 3: McGrath will make his appearance for his beloved America East.

932
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:35,680
Speaker 5: And I have some Tanner McGrath breaking news.

933
00:47:35,760 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 1: He was just texting me that he has got himself

934
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:41,400
Speaker 1: a media pass to the America East tournament, so he

935
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 1: will be our man on the grounds there, so all

936
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 1: the Vermont, Maine, New Hampshire action that you can handle, I.

937
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,920
Speaker 3: May tell, so I don't tell anyone's bets. Ever, I

938
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:53,600
Speaker 3: may tell some of his America East bets and uh

939
00:47:53,640 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 3: because if they win, I'll win money and he's usually

940
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:57,399
Speaker 3: pretty good. But they lose, I can just blame him

941
00:47:57,400 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 3: and call him name. So win win, but that'll do

942
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,120
Speaker 3: it for us. Hope you enjoyed the episode. Hope it

943
00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 3: helped prep you for your bets, your futures to just

944
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:12,279
Speaker 3: enjoy games from a fan perspective indoor pools. Thank you

945
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:14,920
Speaker 3: to Mike and Greg for joining me. Thanks to our

946
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:17,359
Speaker 3: producer David Payne on the back end. Most importanly, thanks

947
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:20,160
Speaker 3: to all of you for tuning in. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribed,

948
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,279
Speaker 3: subscribe to a friend, toll an enemy. Leave you have

949
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:25,840
Speaker 3: a review five star review one of these ten part episodes.

950
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:27,279
Speaker 3: I'll do a bunch of giveaways, so just leave a

951
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:29,080
Speaker 3: five star review, say whatever. They really help us out.

952
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 3: Thanks again for tuning in. Q buck on all of

953
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 3: your wages throughout the month of March, and we will

954
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:51,800
Speaker 3: see you on Thursday. Years Action Network reminds you please

955
00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 3: gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about has

956
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:58,360
Speaker 3: a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to seven

957
00:48:58,560 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 3: at one eight hundred Gambler