1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast podcast. 2 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these 3 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 2: people over for a second. 4 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,639 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM, 5 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: the King of Sportsbooks. Or here for a UFC betting 6 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: preview UFC Vegas ninety from the Apex in Las Vegas 7 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: this weekend, a week leading up to UFC three hundred. 8 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 1: Brendan glas Sheen in the host chair with Sean Zarello 9 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:50,200 Speaker 1: and Billy Ward, our MMA contributors, MMA UFC Best Bets. 10 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: We will dive into all of it. Main event, the 11 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: fight of the night that Shawn and Billy are targetings, 12 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: some underdogs, top props and best bets. Sorello's got write 13 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: ups for the car over at Action Network. Billy Ward 14 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: has his luck ratings that we will use throughout the show, 15 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: and we'll dive in. So let's take a look at 16 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: the main event. Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis. Allen the 17 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 1: favorite right around minus two hundred. Curtis the underdog. You 18 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 1: can find his price in the plus one sixty plus 19 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 1: one seventy range. There's an age gap here. Zarillo, what 20 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: do you make of the head to head just from 21 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: a fight perspective, just as a consumer and from a 22 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: betting perspective, how would you want to play it? 23 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a rematch from two and a half 24 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 3: years ago. Curtis closed as high as plus two ninety 25 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 3: in that matchup. Sitting about a dollar shorter right now. 26 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 3: Anything plus two hundred or higher, I would definitely bet 27 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 3: him small plus one eighty. I'm considering it. I made 28 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 3: this line closer to plus one sixty. But in terms 29 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 3: of a money line side, I think it's Curtis your pass. 30 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 3: I think you'd have a really difficult time laying juice 31 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 3: on Alan. 32 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: Here. 33 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 3: Billy is a proper respective way to play him. I 34 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 3: think that's much better than laying juice on Allen. It's 35 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 3: just very difficult to justify the price, considering the first 36 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 3: fight at worst was fifty to fifty. If not, Curtis 37 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 3: was having more success just because he was hitting the 38 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 3: head more frequently. Curtis is the better pocket boxer. Alan 39 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 3: is the more natural middleweight. He actually looked the full 40 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 3: weight class bigger in the cage against Curtis is much taller, 41 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 3: and he's the better kicker. He was kicking to all 42 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 3: three levels. He's able to play the range game outside 43 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 3: against Curtis, and since they last fought, we've seen fighters 44 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 3: successfully play that range game against Chris Curtis. Stay on 45 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 3: the outside, pick him apart with kicks, chase, make him 46 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 3: chase them around the octagon, and really frustrate him. So 47 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 3: I would expect a little bit of a different approach 48 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 3: from Alan this time, a little bit more aggressively on 49 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 3: the kicks, less following Curtis around the cage more so, 50 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 3: making Curtis probably follow him. Two things I really noticed 51 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 3: in the first fight on the Allen side that bothered me. 52 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 3: Number one is the fight iq the fact that he 53 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 3: was trying to exchange hooks in the pocket when he 54 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 3: got knocked out when he's the taller fighter, and in fact, 55 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 3: in that second round he had been having noticeably more 56 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 3: success through the first minute than he had in the 57 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 3: first round, so seemed like he was starting to take 58 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 3: over the fight a little bit. Then he decided to 59 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 3: swing hooks to the pocket with the guy who's more 60 00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 3: durable and has more power than he is. That was 61 00:02:59,880 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 3: a very bad idea. Number Two, at the end of 62 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:05,359 Speaker 3: the first round, Alan, who had already gone for a takedown, 63 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 3: gotten Curtis's back, Curtis shrugged him off, he went for 64 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,119 Speaker 3: a takedown and again at the end of round two, 65 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 3: and when he wasn't able to get it, he fell 66 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 3: back for a heel hook, which allowed Curtis to finish 67 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 3: the round on top, landing ground and pound, and ultimately 68 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 3: in a fifty to fifty round, Curtis took it on 69 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 3: all three scorecards, potentially because he finished a round on top, landing, 70 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 3: ground and pound, and that was Allan's fault who gave 71 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 3: Curtis that position. So I think Allen has some major 72 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 3: fight IQ issues. That said, it's been two and a 73 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,640 Speaker 3: half years since their first fight, He's a bit older 74 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 3: now in his physical prime. Curtis potentially passed his physical prime, 75 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 3: and I think Curtis has looked kind of flat in 76 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 3: his recent performances. Even his last fight against Mark Andrew 77 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 3: Berrio very close decision, easily could have lost that. Don't 78 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 3: love how he's looked at his other recent fights. I 79 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 3: think athletically he is starting to decline, and I think 80 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 3: Brandon Allen remains in the prime of his career. So 81 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 3: Allan has all the grappling upside of plus money. Curtis 82 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 3: is a really good anti grappler. I'm not really sure 83 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 3: how much time they spend grappling. I think you get 84 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 3: more of a striking fight. But I think Alan with 85 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 3: the kicks, has the potential to just stay on the 86 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 3: outside and really frustrate Curtis. So line probably wrong to me, 87 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 3: just because I think Curtis does push this closer to 88 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 3: a fifty to fifty fight on the feet. But in 89 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 3: terms of the grappling upside baking that in, in terms 90 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 3: of the age baking that in, I can see how 91 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 3: you get to this number, and considering the adjustment from 92 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 3: the last fight, Like I said, I want plus two 93 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 3: hundred or better, probably on Curtis if I'm going to 94 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 3: bet it, but absolutely with not balay juice on Alan 95 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:30,480 Speaker 3: defense strikes at forty six percent, He's very vulnerable two strikes. 96 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 3: Don't love his striking defense and kind of has that 97 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:34,799 Speaker 3: tall man defense to a degree, so you could absolutely 98 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 3: see Curtis clipping him again. But I think I think 99 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna wait for a better price in the underdog. 100 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: Get Alan the twenty eight year old billy Curtis thirty 101 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: six years of age, and you're right up. You think 102 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: the line the money line price is pretty fairly valued. 103 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 1: So how would you approach a bet to this one 104 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: outside of the money lines? 105 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, and I believe I put him there. 106 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 5: You know, if we saw a significant movement in either direction, 107 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 5: I'd kind of be fine with either guy. 108 00:04:58,560 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 4: Haven't really got too much of that. 109 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 5: I think if we're going to take Brendan Allen, you 110 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 5: got it, or honestly probably Chris Curtis as well. You 111 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 5: got to take the inside the distance. You know, it's 112 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 5: a five round fight. There's plenty of ways this one 113 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 5: can end. Sean pointed out some passable cardio issues. You know, 114 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 5: that's a long time to stay on your feet against 115 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 5: a guy like Brendan Allen who's a great grappler. So 116 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 5: I'm taking Brendan Allen inside the distance and plus one thirty. 117 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 5: Shawn teed up a lot of it, but that was 118 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 5: the last time Brennan Allen lost was two and a 119 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 5: half years ago against Chris Curtis. Since then, he's six 120 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 5: and oh five submissions. You look over at Chris Curtis's 121 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 5: record since then, not so good. You know, he had 122 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 5: one more win against Adolfo Vieira and then he went 123 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 5: two to two and one over his next five. The 124 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 5: biggest thing for me, Sean said it. He was a 125 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 5: has been a tremendous, you know, takedown defense guy. He 126 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 5: got taken down three times by Naserdine Imobov, first time 127 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 5: anyone officially took him down in the UFC, and I 128 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 5: think some of that is because of an athletic decline 129 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 5: from Chris Curtis. He's thirty six, you know, Brendan Allen 130 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 5: was only twenty six when they fought the first time, 131 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 5: still not anywhere near his prime at that point. We've 132 00:05:57,920 --> 00:05:59,080 Speaker 5: kind of seen that flip. 133 00:05:58,839 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 4: A little bit. 134 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 5: You know, typically there's an advantage for the fighter who 135 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 5: won the first fight in a rematched, but there's also 136 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 5: an advantage for the younger fighter to eight year age gap. 137 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 4: Then. 138 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 5: The only thing Sean didn't mention, Curtis came into this 139 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 5: one on a little bit of short notice. It was 140 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 5: originally supposed to be Mark in Vittori. Curtis much like 141 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 5: his you know, teammate and best friend Sean Strickland. I 142 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 5: think it's kind of just always ready, always sparring. I'm 143 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 5: not super worried about that, but is that enough to 144 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 5: make me feel, you know, five ten percent better about 145 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 5: Brendan Allen, especially given the weird matchup that Brendan Allen presents. 146 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 5: I think so so. I love the progression we've seen 147 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,599 Speaker 5: from Allen. He was always a great submission grappler, but 148 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 5: he's added some really impressive wrestling lately. We got the 149 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 5: small cage, we got five rounds to work. I think 150 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 5: he's able to finish it if he gets the win. 151 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,919 Speaker 5: So Plus one thirty you can see plus one twenty 152 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 5: five other books anywhere you can get around there. 153 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 4: I'd take that. 154 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, to lean to the under inside the distance as well. 155 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 3: For either fighter, you know they're going to get after it. 156 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,600 Speaker 3: I think this should be a relatively high pace. They 157 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 3: were also having a good time in that first fight. 158 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 3: They were trash talking, but like amicably, and then going 159 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 3: right back to throwing really hard strikes and to get 160 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 3: each other out of there. It wasn't like two friends 161 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 3: going after it. It was two high level combatants who 162 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 3: were actually having a good time beating the crap out 163 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 3: of each other. So yeah, I think one of them 164 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 3: probably gets finished at some point. And I'm seeing a 165 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 3: lot of takes this week about Curtis's durability, about how 166 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 3: he's you know, this significant durability advantage over Allen. Maybe, 167 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 3: but he's been put out bad in the past. Ray 168 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 3: Cooper put him out badly in a fight, so I 169 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 3: don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that 170 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 3: Curtis gets knocked out here. I think Alan hits very hard, 171 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 3: he's long. He landed a couple of head kicks pretty 172 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 3: flushed in that first fight, and one that Curtis basically 173 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 3: just blocked with his glove at the last second that 174 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 3: if that landed, that could have ended the fight too. 175 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 3: They were both landing head kicks. Curtis doesn't really throw 176 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 3: many kicks. He landed head kick on Allen too, So yeah, 177 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 3: I think these guys are going to go a bit wild. 178 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 3: They're going to put a show in the main event. 179 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 3: I think somebody does fall just by the nature. 180 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 5: Of the pace well, and everyone's durable until they're not right, 181 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 5: Like this is the guy who's thirty six years old, 182 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 5: you know, gets in a lot of brawls. He's not 183 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 5: he's fairly defensively sound, but just due to the pace 184 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 5: that he fights at, they call him the action man 185 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 5: for a reason. Like that's not going to last for 186 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 5: a fur Maybe today isn't the day that it ends. 187 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 5: But you started getting up there in age taking a 188 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 5: lot of damage now fighting bigger guys. You know, as 189 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 5: a former welterweight, sure he has been durable, but once 190 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 5: we get up there in age, I don't know how 191 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 5: much we can count on that. 192 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 3: Moving forward constantly sparking the gym as well definitely takes 193 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 3: the mileage off the durability too. 194 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go to the featherweight matchup between Alexander Hernandez 195 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: and Damon Jackson, very similarly priced to the main event. 196 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: Hernandez at minus two hundred, Damon Jackson plus one sixty, 197 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: both fighters in their thirties. Slight edge, I think to 198 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: Jackson for his takedown numbers when you look at them 199 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 1: head to head. Zerillo same question though, how do you 200 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: evaluate the pricing and if you're not a fan of 201 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 1: the money line pricing, what's the approach pre. 202 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 3: Fight at Hernandez or passed Hernandez round one props Hernandez 203 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 3: round one KO. I think those would all interest me 204 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 3: just blindly. The prices, though, aren't particularly appealing. He's always 205 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 3: a problem for people when he has a physical advantage, 206 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 3: and Damon Jackson typically struggles when his opponents are more 207 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 3: fit then him, and there is a pretty big difference 208 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 3: in physicality here in terms of athleticism, speed, explosiveness here 209 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 3: in the first round. But Damon Jackson is has a 210 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 3: ton of heart. He's really good at working his way 211 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 3: back into fights, and we've seen Hernandez his cardio drop 212 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 3: off dramatically in the past, which is odd considering he 213 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 3: trains at altitude in Colorado. I don't necessarily love the 214 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 3: cardio for Damon Jackson either, though I've seen him tire 215 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 3: Layton fights. He just seems to have more heart than 216 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 3: Hernandez does, so if they both get tired, I do 217 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 3: think Jackson definitely has a chance to pull this one 218 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 3: off late. If anything, I'm probably leaning to the under 219 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,439 Speaker 3: of the ends. Inside the distance, I think somebody ends 220 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 3: up either getting knocked out or quitting due to cardio here. 221 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 3: The price is a bit steep, potentially a parlay piece 222 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 3: potentially betting the under two and a half closer to 223 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 3: minus one seventy five at a shorter price, But I 224 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 3: think Hernandez early either late, potentially leaning Jackson late, so 225 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:55,599 Speaker 3: definitely would look to a Jackson live bet potentially, but 226 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 3: want to see how the cardio dynamic looks after the 227 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 3: first John. Like I said, Hernandez does train at altitude. 228 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 3: There is a chance that his gas think gets better 229 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 3: at some point. We haven't seen it yet, but still 230 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 3: working on it and still on the younger side of 231 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:08,680 Speaker 3: the age curve for his division. 232 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: Billy Ward in your Action Network UFC luck ratings the 233 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: Jackson price, the odds have risen on his money line price. 234 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 1: Any interest there or is there a potential live angle? 235 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 4: Yeah? 236 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,319 Speaker 5: I mean I definitely think the live that I'm Jackson 237 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 5: is probably my favorite play here. But I said, you know, 238 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 5: this is a lower level event. We got a lot 239 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 5: of good sports going on Saturday. I'm not going to 240 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 5: assume that anyone is spending their Saturday night watching this 241 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 5: UFC card. I would still take Damon Jackson pre fight. 242 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 5: I kind of don't get the line here. You know, 243 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,080 Speaker 5: Alex Hernandez's only win in his last four fights was 244 00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 5: against forty year old Jim Miller, and Miller had some 245 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 5: moments there. I mean, it wasn't close, but it wasn't 246 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:51,720 Speaker 5: a blowout either. You know, Hernandaz got knocked out by 247 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:54,319 Speaker 5: Billy Q. Damon Jackson went to a decision with him. 248 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 5: We're doing MMA math, which you should never do. But like, 249 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 5: just if you look at the level of opponents they fought, 250 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 5: I don't really see how Alex Hernandez is considerably better 251 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 5: than Damon Jackson. All of his win equity is early. 252 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 5: He's either going to finish him right away or probably 253 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 5: not win. In theory, Yeah, his cardio should get better 254 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 5: at some point, but he's he's not new to the UFC, 255 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 5: He's had twelve fights. I don't think it's going to 256 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 5: turn around all of a sudden at this point in 257 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 5: his career. So obviously, like the best if your goal 258 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 5: here is to make his maximize your expected value, wait 259 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 5: till you know late in the first round, after the 260 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 5: first round live bet on Damon Jackson. With that said, 261 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 5: I still think there's a value on taking him pre 262 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 5: fight at plus one seventy or so. I'd make this 263 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,719 Speaker 5: one fairly even all things considered, with most of the 264 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 5: win equity for Hernandez early and then Damon Jackson round two. 265 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: On good thoughts on that Zarrillo is for his a 266 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 1: live play on Jackson. 267 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, that's where Ed lean. I just I'm not 268 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 3: so certain that Jackson's gonna be able to deal with 269 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,839 Speaker 3: Hernandez's physicality. There's there's a big difference I think here 270 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 3: in terms of strength, in terms of just general explosiveness. 271 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 3: Damon Jackson did fix his hairlines, so I don't know 272 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,199 Speaker 3: how that much lends to his win probability in this fight. 273 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 3: He no longer has the landed Donovan perdo. He looks 274 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 3: like a male model now, so maybe feeling a little 275 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 3: more confident in the cage will help boos is his potential, 276 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 3: but now it's I mean Alexander Hernandez fights always have 277 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 3: this similar dynamic where he's very explosive athlete early, but 278 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 3: because he powers into every technique, he throws everything behind 279 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 3: all of his punches. He puts everything into powering his 280 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 3: takedowns and then using all of his strength to keep 281 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:31,559 Speaker 3: opponents on the ground. So I think I'd be more 282 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 3: encouraged to bet Jackson if Hernandez lands a takedown and 283 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:37,440 Speaker 3: then it's just like using all of his energy on 284 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 3: top in the first round, or if he goes explosively 285 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,960 Speaker 3: for a finish and doesn't get it. Maybe even a 286 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 3: ten eight round where you get a huge price on 287 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,559 Speaker 3: Jackson after round one, after he gets absolutely beat up, 288 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 3: and then you assume that Hernandez gassed himself out trying 289 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 3: to finish. So just keep an eye in the first round, 290 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 3: the flow of the first round. If it's a moderate 291 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 3: paced kickboxing match and Hernandez doesn't seem like he used 292 00:12:57,880 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 3: too much of his energy, yeah, I'm less inclined to 293 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 3: lie bet it. But if he's continuing to explode forward, 294 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 3: put you know, pressure on Jackson early and he doesn't 295 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 3: win the fight, That's that's where I'd be more inclined. 296 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 1: To live that jack all right, come for the hygiene 297 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: handicap too. Here in the UFC Betting Podcast. The UFC 298 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 1: previews here on the Action Network podcast. 299 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 3: At that Passports stamp in Turkey. 300 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast is presented by North Carolina's newest sportsbook, 301 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 1: bet MGM. Use the bonus code action when signing up 302 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 1: to get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets 303 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 1: when you bet just five dollars. Four new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 304 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,679 Speaker 1: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia 305 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 1: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one 306 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: or older. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. Let's 307 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 1: go to underdogs. Good week for dogs orlo anyone that 308 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 1: jumps out to you. 309 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's four dogs that I like in this cardinals 310 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 3: say have one of them for my best bet. The 311 00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 3: underdog that I prefer besides my best bet the most 312 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 3: is Cynthia CALVIOA one ten. She's thirty six. She's on 313 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 3: a five fight losing strike, although to very good competition, 314 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 3: and I'm really no impressed by her opponent, Pierre Rodriguez, 315 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 3: who has gassed out against grapplers in the past, so 316 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 3: Calvio here, to me, has the grappling upside. I think 317 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,320 Speaker 3: she's faced way better competition. This is her second fight 318 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 3: down at a lower weight division, where Billy and I 319 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 3: both had significant concerns about her cutting down last time, 320 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 3: she actually looked pretty okay, and this is her second 321 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 3: time doing it, so significantly less concerned about the age 322 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 3: cut or the weight cut at this age this time, 323 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 3: and I think she eventually takes over this fight, either 324 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 3: with her grappling or just on cardio and pace over 325 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 3: the final two rounds. So Cynthia Calvillo at any even 326 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 3: money plus money price I think is fine. The second 327 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 3: one be Lucas Breshky at plus two hundred or better. 328 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 3: This is post Usada Lucas Breshky. This guy looks absolutely ripped. 329 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 3: We've talked about other fighters in recent weeks whose physiques 330 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 3: have changed. Lucas Breshky's physique has very much changed, and 331 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 3: I think he's getting a similar matchup here to what 332 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 3: he did against Carl Williams a couple of fights back. 333 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 3: But I think Williams was better at what he does 334 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 3: than his opponent currently, So facing I think it's Johnny 335 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 3: Walker's brother, I don't I heard some people say that 336 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 3: they don't really look a leg, so I'm not one 337 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 3: hundred percent sure if that's true. But his opponent is 338 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:15,720 Speaker 3: going to look to wrestle him, get on top of him, 339 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 3: has terrible striking. If this stays on the feed for 340 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 3: any extended stretches, I think Breshkey lights him up. Breshkey 341 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 3: puts out a ton of volume. He's capable of trucking 342 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 3: like two hundred strike attempts over the course of fifteen minutes, 343 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 3: which is not very common for heavyweights, So this could 344 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 3: be a fight where judges are weighing damage against control. 345 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 3: Breshkey potentially on the bottom for significant stretches, popping back 346 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 3: to his feet, likely landing the shots on the feet 347 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 3: once they're both there. So think he's going to need 348 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 3: to scramble. But I like how he's looking coming into 349 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,480 Speaker 3: this fight. So Breshkey plus two hundred are better. And 350 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 3: then finally Daniel Argetta at about plus one thirty. He's 351 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 3: got the grappling upside of plus money here he's facing 352 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 3: a really good prospect in John Matsimoto. I think I'm 353 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 3: actually pretty high on Matsumoto. But this is almost a 354 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 3: system play betting against these Dana White Contender Series graduates 355 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 3: when they're fites, especially against UFC veterans. So our Getta 356 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 3: has proven that he's a very strong grappler. We'll see 357 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 3: if he can survive for the fifteen minutes and that one, 358 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 3: you know, the opposite of the Breshki fight. I think 359 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 3: Maximota favored a likelier to land more damage, Rashki underdog 360 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 3: likely to land more damage. I think you're gonna need 361 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 3: our Getta to control him for significant stretches to order 362 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 3: cash that ticket. There's a chance that you know, he 363 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 3: looks like he's winning the fight and ends up losing 364 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 3: his split decision, but taking the plus money on that 365 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 3: happy to do it against Contender series products. So smaller 366 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 3: vet on Breshkin and Argetta than I am on Calvio, 367 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 3: but do like all three hunderdogs for this week. 368 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 1: Google is a beautiful machine. Walter is six years younger 369 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 1: than Johnny. They are half brothers. They grew up in 370 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 1: separate homes in Brazil, same father, not the same mom. 371 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, and way different fighting styles. You know. Johnny Walker 372 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 3: is this crazy explosive striker, does wild things in the cage. 373 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 3: Walter is looking to take you down and control you 374 00:16:57,760 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 3: and just kind of uses weight to stay on top 375 00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 3: of completely different physiques, completely different fighting styles. So it 376 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 3: could have been. And they look completely different as well, 377 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 3: So kind of explains the confusion as to whether they 378 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:09,440 Speaker 3: were actual brothers or not. 379 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:13,959 Speaker 1: Really, they really do look pretty different. Yeah, they got 380 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: the mom's jeans. 381 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 4: Yep. 382 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 1: All right, Billy Ward, Uh not? You have nothing with 383 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 1: Zirilla as far as dogs. You have a different underdog 384 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: and the prelim card. 385 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:26,479 Speaker 5: I do And I have a question for you, Brandon 386 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 5: do you know what Caesar Almeida is, Uh, he is 387 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 5: a He's a store brand, Alex Pajeda. 388 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 4: That is exactly what we're getting brand. Here we go again, 389 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 4: Here we go. 390 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:41,400 Speaker 5: Yeah, we have a thirty six year old Brazilian guy 391 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:45,679 Speaker 5: coming in extensive kickboxing record. Actually fought Pea three times 392 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 5: in kickboxing, winning one of the three, went the decision 393 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 5: on the other two. Making his UFC debut looked fine 394 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 5: on the Contender series. You know, the striking was everything 395 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 5: that has advertised. You're getting them around plus one thirty 396 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,360 Speaker 5: is plus one forty. Early in the week, Moneys came 397 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 5: on him. I'm not super impressed with his opponent, Dylan 398 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 5: Budka kind of just looks like a generic younger wrestler 399 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 5: guy from Ohio. I'm banking on Almeida, like Pea before him, 400 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,639 Speaker 5: working really hard to work on this takedown defense as 401 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 5: he comes into the UFC, but should have the athletic advantage, 402 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 5: should have striking advantage, just more overall fight experience, even 403 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:21,720 Speaker 5: though less of it is an MMA. I think Budka 404 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 5: is probably actually gonna have the longer and better UFC 405 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 5: career if he's able to hang around. 406 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 4: But I don't think it's yet. 407 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,160 Speaker 5: And like I said, dollar store or a store brand, 408 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,200 Speaker 5: alex Beta is coming into the UFC. I feel like 409 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:35,880 Speaker 5: this is a fight the UFC is making to try 410 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 5: to see if they've got something with Almeida, just because 411 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 5: how cool would that be for history to repeat itself? 412 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 5: And Beajeda now plays the role of Izziadasania fights a 413 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 5: guy who they have some history with, so I think 414 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 5: they're trying to build up to that maybe a little 415 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 5: bit here, see if they've got that given him a 416 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 5: little bit of an easier, stylistically better matchup to start with, 417 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 5: but we're getting at a plus money, so I'm gonna 418 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 5: take that. 419 00:18:56,720 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 3: I think that's another fight to potentially where Almeida's spent 420 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 3: significing time on bottom right, gets taken down, spends a 421 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 3: lot of his opponent, gets a lot of control time, 422 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 3: but when they're on the feet, he's the only one 423 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 3: landing strikes, So very much potential where you get like 424 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 3: a wonky split decision. Getting the plus money on a 425 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 3: pre fight is what you want, but I think there's 426 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 3: a good chance in this fy too like a wonky 427 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 3: split decision where you get control time, weight against damage and. 428 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 5: Budka on the Contender series. He got two takedowns I believe, 429 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 5: and only landed like twenty two total strikes including ground strikes. 430 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 5: So he's gonna take you down and then just blanket. 431 00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 5: Especially with the guy as dangerous as I'm made a 432 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:32,920 Speaker 5: coming back, I don't think he's gonna take too many 433 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 5: chances on the ground. So that's a really good point too. 434 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,199 Speaker 5: We usually don't look at those like what if the 435 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 5: judges screw it up players with bigger guys, but they're 436 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 5: certainly an angle for it here. 437 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,919 Speaker 1: Billy, when you go to the grocery store, do you 438 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 1: shame people that store brand shop. 439 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 5: I'm going to make an embarrassing confession here. I get 440 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 5: all my meat from a delivery service that I won't 441 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,360 Speaker 5: name until we get sponsored, and then my wife does 442 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,359 Speaker 5: the rest of the grocery shopping, so I am totally 443 00:19:58,440 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 5: checked out of that process. 444 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,160 Speaker 1: Okay, seems like you don't like store brand stuff at all. 445 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 3: I don't know if there's brand guys, so maybe maybe 446 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 3: he does. He's partial of the store brand. 447 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 5: There was a time in my life that, you know, 448 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 5: the store brand got me through some tough times as 449 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,359 Speaker 5: a struggling professional fighter. But you know we've we've all 450 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 5: leveled up since then. 451 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 3: Well, now I'd. 452 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 1: Like to throw this in there. You know, Zillo covers 453 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: baseball for us. He's on payoff pitch, he's got right 454 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: ups at Action Network. Bill, you're having so much success 455 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 1: these days with your yes run first inning, no run 456 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 1: first inning. Maybe now you can instead of getting the 457 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 1: store brand sour cream, you can upgrade to some of 458 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 1: the chains, you know, like. 459 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:39,920 Speaker 4: We're going past the chain. 460 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,159 Speaker 5: We're going to the you know, fancy grocery store that 461 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,200 Speaker 5: also will not be named unless they decide to start 462 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:44,639 Speaker 5: paying us. 463 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,479 Speaker 1: Got it. Yeah, you can get your sour cream delivered 464 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,160 Speaker 1: to now or whatever item it may be. So all right, 465 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,719 Speaker 1: I love the store brand handicap very good. All right, 466 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 1: let's go to props. We'll do best bets before we 467 00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 1: wrap it. Props, Zerillo and anything here jumps out to you. 468 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 3: Ignacio Bajamondez Round two. In round three, the prices aren't 469 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 3: a great plus four to fifty plus six to fifty, respectively, 470 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 3: But I think people know how this one goes if 471 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 3: it gets out of the first round. Christos Giaga is 472 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 3: very reliable to gas after one good round, even after 473 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 3: like two and a half minutes. Four of his eleven 474 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 3: losses have come in the second half of round one. 475 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 3: Four of his eleven losses have come in rounds two 476 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 3: or rounds three, so only made it to decision loss 477 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 3: three times. Baja Mondez is a pace and cardio machine. 478 00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 3: You can grapple him early though he's taller, he's longer, 479 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 3: probably gonna get put on his back, may scramble up, 480 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,640 Speaker 3: knock Giago's out in the first round. I'm hoping Giagos 481 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,920 Speaker 3: controls him for most of that first round. We're able 482 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,640 Speaker 3: to live bet Baja Mondes after round one, and that's 483 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 3: something I would absolutely recommend, But pre fight I want 484 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 3: Bajamon's round two at about plus four to fifty and round 485 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,760 Speaker 3: three of plus six to fifty. So round two round 486 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,879 Speaker 3: three props usually find one fighter on every card worth betting. 487 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,600 Speaker 3: Given the cardio discrepancy, I think his round two round 488 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 3: three on top of the live better the way to go. 489 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,640 Speaker 1: Billy A long shot top prop for you on the card. 490 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 5: Yeah you know this is I'm also taking the money 491 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 5: line here for a little bit of a sprinkle, but 492 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 5: that's Nora Cornol. 493 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 4: Her knockout odds are plus eleven hundred. 494 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 5: Which I just do not understand against Melissa Mullins or 495 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 5: someplaces listed of Melissa Dixon, so make sure you're paying 496 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 5: attention there. Mullins was knocked down in her first UFC 497 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:22,199 Speaker 5: fight against a grappler, Irene Alexieva. Came back to win 498 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 5: the fight, you know, not super convincingly, but was fine. 499 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 5: Cornola is seven and one is a pro five knockout wins. 500 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:33,360 Speaker 5: She's a French striker. Like I truly don't understand the discrepancy. 501 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,640 Speaker 5: I don't think her money line should be this long, 502 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 5: and then I also don't understand the knockout being this 503 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 5: small of a percentage of her win condition against a 504 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 5: fighter that we just saw get dropped in her last 505 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 5: fight not that long ago against a far less decorated striker. 506 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 5: So plus eleven hundred, that's gonna be a little sprinkle. 507 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,120 Speaker 5: Probably have half a unit or so on her money line. 508 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 5: And also, you know round plus three hundred don't get 509 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 5: that one either. Kind of goes with some of Zerrillas 510 00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:59,719 Speaker 5: pics here. I think you could blindly bet all three 511 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 5: wins underdogs here and probably make out okay by the 512 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 5: time the night just said and done. 513 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 3: What's that, what's that fight line to go to a decision? 514 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 3: Just Scott, I'm curious. Obviously you're betting the knockout prop. 515 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take a look at the decision because we 516 00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 3: constantly talk about, yeah, it's it's minus two twenty to 517 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 3: go to a decision, so you know, you you probably 518 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 3: give her more finishing upside, right, But this fight is 519 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 3: used to go to a decision, big discrepancy in the 520 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,240 Speaker 3: money line that that lends itself to a pretty particular 521 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 3: like way that we lean when these fights are jused 522 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:27,680 Speaker 3: to go to a decision in the money line is wide, 523 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,399 Speaker 3: it usually lends itself to like in the underdog. 524 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,840 Speaker 5: Right, Yeah, no for sure, and then that's hopefully the underdog. 525 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 5: You know, she's got a shot at covering that even 526 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:37,719 Speaker 5: without the knockout. But I just tend to think that 527 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 5: knockdowns will eventually regress into knockouts. If you look at 528 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 5: a fighter's been knocked down a couple of times, hasn't 529 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,320 Speaker 5: been finished, that's gonna you can't play that game forever, 530 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 5: like you're gonna get hit just a little bit harder 531 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 5: or just get a jumpy rough. I mean, anyone who 532 00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:52,120 Speaker 5: watched last week's events, we saw all kinds of weird 533 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:56,160 Speaker 5: referring early stops, late stops, ipokes, grund shots like any 534 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 5: of that weird stuff can come back to haunt you, 535 00:23:57,960 --> 00:23:59,879 Speaker 5: and the only way to avoid that is to not 536 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 5: get knocked down in the first place, so you don't 537 00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 5: give that opportunity. So yeah, I think there's some regression, 538 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 5: do there. I kind of understand the math. I guess 539 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,679 Speaker 5: on why the knockout odds are so long, but I 540 00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 5: would possibly make that as Cornwall's likely a twin condition. 541 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:17,439 Speaker 1: Honestly, CALEA's trap at best bets, perhaps final bets. Zarillo, 542 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,639 Speaker 1: I know you tease this, you're targeting another dog. Is 543 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,120 Speaker 1: this actually a best bet? 544 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 3: Best bet? Yeah, my favorite underdog on the card. Now 545 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,439 Speaker 3: you are betting into something that is a little odd 546 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 3: because Jermanda Randaby has not fought since October twenty twenty, 547 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:31,880 Speaker 3: and she had a kid in March of last year, 548 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 3: but she got right back into the gym. She is 549 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 3: as physically like imposing of a thirty nine year old 550 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 3: woman as you've ever seen, but a decorated kickboxer and 551 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:45,200 Speaker 3: an incredible UFC resume. Her only losses are to Amanda 552 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 3: Nunez in the UFC. She subsequently joked out Julie on Apana, 553 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 3: showing that while training for Nunez for grappling had clearly 554 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 3: leveled up undefeated kickboxer, she actually took a pro boxing 555 00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 3: or she took a boxing match against the man forty 556 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 3: poundsaier than her like seven years ago and knocked them out. So, 557 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 3: Jermaine de Randomy is a vicious striker and extremely talented 558 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 3: and technical striker. You're really only worried about the regression 559 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 3: here post you know, post motherhood and also after three 560 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 3: and a half years on the shelf. But other than that, 561 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 3: I would probably make her minus two hundred favorite in 562 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 3: this fight. She's taller, she's longer, and also Norman Dumont 563 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 3: has never made one hundred and thirty five pounds at 564 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 3: the UFC. She missed making one thirty five. She missed 565 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 3: trying to make one forty five. She's only made one 566 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 3: thirty five previously before her UFC run. So Dumont typically 567 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 3: struggles with Cardio laaner fights. She typically is looking to 568 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 3: hold the opponents against the fence, cage, pushed them, maybe 569 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 3: get them down. I don't think she's getting Derandom down here. 570 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 3: Assuming Drandomy is still, you know, relative to what she 571 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 3: was previously. I think derandom is the stronger fighter. She's 572 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 3: got the reach advantage. She's going to pick Dumont apart 573 00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,200 Speaker 3: on the feet and potentially finish her. So I think 574 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,960 Speaker 3: Jermaine Randomy plus money here. I think all the physical stuff, 575 00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 3: the physical regression, is baked into this line. Otherwise I 576 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 3: would make her a pretty significant favorite, and I think 577 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:12,360 Speaker 3: rounds two, rounds three, she potentially dominates given the cardio dynamic. 578 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 3: If Dumont is actually able to make the weight. There's 579 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,640 Speaker 3: a chance this fight doesn't even happen if Dumont doesn't 580 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 3: make weights. So definitely keep an eye on the wims 581 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,199 Speaker 3: for both fighters, but more so for Dumont, who I 582 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 3: think has a potential to really be drained by the 583 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 3: back halp this fight. 584 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 1: All right, Billy Warre best bet for Saturday. 585 00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm looking at Chepe Mariscal. You can get him 586 00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,439 Speaker 5: slight plus money. Still, this line just came back in 587 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,439 Speaker 5: a lot, But this is one that I totally agree 588 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 5: with the line movement. He is just one of the 589 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,439 Speaker 5: most battle tested non UFC fighters or like pre to 590 00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:44,959 Speaker 5: his UFC career. It's one of the most battle tested guys. 591 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 5: I think we've ever seen one of his last fights 592 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 5: we were talking about. I think we kind of like 593 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 5: seven or eight future UFC fighters on his record before 594 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 5: he got to the UFC, and it's paid off for him. 595 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 4: You know, he's picked up two big wins. 596 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 5: He had the awesome throw on Jack Jenkins that led to, 597 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 5: depending on what sportsbooks you ask, either a knockout or submission, 598 00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 5: which I'm still a little upset about. And he's fighting 599 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,720 Speaker 5: Morgan Scherier, a French fighter. A lot of these French 600 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 5: fighters don't have a lot of grappling background or experience. 601 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:12,920 Speaker 4: Like it's a big kickboxing culture. They do a lot 602 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 4: of that. 603 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 5: You know, we're Cereal gons from Manan Fioro all, you know, 604 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 5: very striking based fighters. And he looked good on his 605 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 5: feet against Manolo Zecchini in his debut win in a 606 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 5: fight by bodykick. 607 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 4: I don't know how long. 608 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,320 Speaker 5: This one stays on its feet, especially when we consider 609 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:30,400 Speaker 5: we've got, you know, the smaller cage. Chape's great grappler, 610 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,640 Speaker 5: like always coming forward. He's got some judo in there 611 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,000 Speaker 5: with the throws. Good wrestling. 612 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,159 Speaker 4: I wish I would have got this one earlier in 613 00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 4: the week when. 614 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 5: He was plus one thirty, just like I'm sure Sean 615 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 5: wishes he got Iron Lady at plus one sixty or whatever. 616 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,159 Speaker 5: These are fights where I definitely agree with the line movement. 617 00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,920 Speaker 5: Not always the case in the UFC, but I think 618 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 5: both at any kind of plus money are still solid picks. 619 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 4: And that's including Iron Lady and Tron's pick. 620 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:57,560 Speaker 1: All right, guys, UFC Vegas ninety gets underway tomorrow afternoon. 621 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,200 Speaker 1: All the fights available, prelimbs and the main car on 622 00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,040 Speaker 1: ESPN plus Big Card next week. Right, We've got UFC 623 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 1: three hundred next week with Pereira and Hill as the 624 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,879 Speaker 1: featured pay per view main event the title fight. Anything 625 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,920 Speaker 1: you guys want to tease on that front for next 626 00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 1: week or are we still look still going to dive 627 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 1: into some more reports week of No, thank. 628 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,360 Speaker 5: You for opening that up. We just talked about how 629 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,240 Speaker 5: we had some fights we wish for would have taken 630 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:21,680 Speaker 5: those lines. 631 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 4: On Monday. 632 00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 5: I'm actually doing a quick solo video on Monday, kind 633 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,919 Speaker 5: of a video vers with my luck ranking so awesome. 634 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:27,679 Speaker 4: Keep an eye out for that. 635 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 5: We're going to look for any spots where we think 636 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 5: we can get the better of a line before they 637 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,879 Speaker 5: move against us. CLV doesn't always work in UFC, probably 638 00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,560 Speaker 5: less than any other sport. I had CLV on all 639 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 5: of my picks last week and barely won any of them. 640 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 5: So you know, bet with caution when we're doing it, 641 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 5: especially early in the week. But we're going to have 642 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 5: that probably up Monday afternoon. 643 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 1: Awesome. 644 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 3: Yeah. My very brief early take is that Jamal Hill 645 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 3: would be favored if he wasn't coming off of Achilly surgery. 646 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 3: But there's a chance Alex py Her just kicks his 647 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,480 Speaker 3: leg and the fight is over and getting basically pick 648 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 3: a price on Gaegee and Holloway to end inside the distance. 649 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 3: I kind of think you need to take that. That 650 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,160 Speaker 3: fight's going to be a high paced war. If Holloway 651 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 3: gets hit the way that Arnold Allen was hitting him 652 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 3: by Justin Gaigie, he's going to sleep for the overside. 653 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 3: And Gaechee is very capable of folding to body shops. 654 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 3: Now we've seen his durability weekend in recent fights, so yeah, 655 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,800 Speaker 3: I'm surprised to see that fight minus one twenty to 656 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 3: end inside the distance. That seems short. 657 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 1: Okay, keep an eye out. We'll be back next Friday 658 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 1: for our UFC betting preview here on the Action Network 659 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:36,280 Speaker 1: podcast for UFC three hundred pay per view card. Find 660 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,160 Speaker 1: Shan Zillo and Billy Ward in the Action Network app. 661 00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:41,600 Speaker 1: Want to be sure to follow those guys, especially as 662 00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 1: we discussed throughout the pod, some of those live plays 663 00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,720 Speaker 1: that could come into action. Want to keep an eye 664 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 1: out and follow those guys and get notifications when picks 665 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,960 Speaker 1: are put in the app. For Billy Ward and Shonzarello, 666 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,040 Speaker 1: Brendan Glasheen, thanks for tuning in. Keep an eye out 667 00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 1: for everything UFC Billy Good teas for next week. Also 668 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 1: find Billy Warred It's right up his UFC luck ratings 669 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 1: in theactionappactionnetwork dot com best of luck this weekend. Enjoy 670 00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: this car and we'll get you set for next week 671 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: when we rejoin you on Friday morning next week on 672 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast presented by BETMGF. Action Network reminds 673 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care 674 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, Help is available twenty four 675 00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred. 676 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:30,560 Speaker 2: Gambler