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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action boss.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing in job. I'm sitting

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Speaker 1: it to cash stop. We'll see the most gamblers when

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Speaker 1: they go to gamble, they go to win. God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 1: That is the ultimate kabay you want to pull and

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Speaker 1: we are way what's I everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. It is Week number ten.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and today we're gonna build

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Speaker 3: our Sunday six pack up against the spread bets with

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Speaker 3: the help of my co host, the Prime Minister of

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Speaker 3: Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: What's going on?

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Speaker 4: It's up, brother, Painful. Week had some bad picks overall.

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Speaker 4: I played your six pack picks to I thought you were, yeah,

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Speaker 4: super unlucky. I mean move Seattle game was I mean

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Speaker 4: they had three red zone trips to end the game

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Speaker 4: and they give oh negative seven points. Unbelievable. Even the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys man, all seven fourth downs went against them. Some

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Speaker 4: of those play fights going to lamb on fourth and one,

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Speaker 4: and the fourth down swings in that game were infuriating.

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Speaker 4: So the only thing that I got right was old

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Speaker 4: reliable my Ravens, Vikings and Horse cover the full game,

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Speaker 4: it can't cover the first half. They put a defensive

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Speaker 4: touchdown a rough five weeks. For me, it all ends

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Speaker 4: up being okay. It's just been a historic run. I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 4: I tend to play more underdogs than favorites. It's just

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Speaker 4: been a historic run for favorites that I've only seen

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Speaker 4: it like a couple other times, and you know, talking

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Speaker 4: to five weeks sample size, it's just there's gonna be

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Speaker 4: a ton of noise. But third time ever, last week

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Speaker 4: favorites only had one straight up loss. They're forty six

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Speaker 4: to seven and one against the spread over the past

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Speaker 4: five weeks sixty three percent. And then road favorites are

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Speaker 4: just dominating this year. It's the best season through nine

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Speaker 4: weeks in NFL history, sixteen games over five hundred, and

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Speaker 4: only one other time have road favorites finished more than

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Speaker 4: three games above five hundred. I mean, it's pretty insane even.

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Speaker 4: I mean, rookie quarterbacks's favorites are eleven to zero against

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Speaker 4: the spread. That's even shocking too. So it's been a

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Speaker 4: favorite dominated run. I don't expect that to continue to

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Speaker 4: get We gotta get hot though.

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Speaker 3: My worst call is probably the Browns overlooking Jamis's ability

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Speaker 3: to screw up versus a pretty good defense. But we

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Speaker 3: move on to week number ten and we'll start it

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Speaker 3: up with Thursday Night football. We got the Bengals at

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Speaker 3: the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 3: Baltimore is favored by six. The total is up to

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Speaker 3: fifty three, so the total has been going up. It

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Speaker 3: was a shootout in the first matchup. Stuck, You're always

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Speaker 3: pretty locked in on the Ravens. What do you see

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Speaker 3: taking place in this Thursday night matchup?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, don't love. I usually don't love Thursday night games.

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Speaker 4: Although I've hit two straight and I have lost like

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Speaker 4: every bed on Sunday. Maybe maybe I should only bet

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Speaker 4: Thursdays for now. You know, this is a spot where

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Speaker 4: you generally look to want to fade the Ravens. I mean,

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Speaker 4: Lamar is a home favorite above a field goal about

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Speaker 4: thirty percent against the spread. Burrow as an underdog of

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Speaker 4: a field goal or more nineteen times in his career,

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Speaker 4: sixteen and three against the spread. He doesn't get enough

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Speaker 4: credit for how good he's been as an underdog. You know,

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Speaker 4: he's right in that same stratosphere's Mahomes and Lamar and

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Speaker 4: as a fields, as a field goal, as an underdog

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Speaker 4: of a field goal. More, he's actually the third most

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Speaker 4: profitable quarterback in NFL history. Uh, you know, and just

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Speaker 4: like this, this spread was three in sincey and home

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Speaker 4: field isn't I mean, we just talked about a home

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Speaker 4: fields going down divisional games. It's even less important. So

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Speaker 4: you know, at six and a half, I strongly lead Sincy.

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Speaker 4: I want to see the final injury reports. We record

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Speaker 4: this at like with three thirty on Wednesday, so it's yeah,

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Speaker 4: I don't I haven't seen the final injury reports. I

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Speaker 4: don't think T Higgins is going to go, which would

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Speaker 4: you agree there?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: T Higgins looks very iffy. It's a short week and

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Speaker 3: you know it was something that acted up on him

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Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago. Remember that was a Friday,

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Speaker 3: so it was kind of it was kind of like

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Speaker 3: a weight week thing there, held him out all through

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Speaker 3: that next week. And yeah, it doesn't look promising for him.

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Speaker 3: And who knows if the rookie is going to be

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Speaker 3: active because he's you know, who knows if he came

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Speaker 3: to the he's gonna come to the meeting tomorrow walk through.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So I want to see if Higgins goes. That

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Speaker 4: would be big, I mean, the way to beat this

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Speaker 4: Ravens teams have a really good quarterback and have really

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Speaker 4: good receivers on the outside. Higgins obviously elevates that room

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Speaker 4: Orlando Brown. I'm not sure if he's going to go either.

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Speaker 4: That they're starting left tackle, but I don't think it's

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Speaker 4: as important against this Ravens team. I'm surprised they didn't

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Speaker 4: address their defensive line, particularly their edge rush during the

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Speaker 4: trade before the trade deadline. They're just not getting a

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Speaker 4: ton of pressure. It's just I mean, you even saw

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Speaker 4: it in the Broncos game last week. I Mean, Nick's

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Speaker 4: many many times that just all day to throw. He's

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Speaker 4: just very limited as a passer and doesn't have the

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Speaker 4: same caliber receivers that Burrow will have at his disposal.

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Speaker 4: So I think this line is a touch high, which

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Speaker 4: the Bengals were at full strength offensively. But I do

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Speaker 4: think the short week does hurt the Ravens a bit

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Speaker 4: because of their the status of their defensive line right now,

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Speaker 4: like they're dealing with a ton of injuries. They don't

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Speaker 4: have a ton of depth, so I think that might

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Speaker 4: hurt their defensive line even more on a short week.

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Speaker 4: You know, if you're gonna give me, you know, a

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Speaker 4: number that I show a bit of value in, I'll

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Speaker 4: probably end up with a small player on the Bengals

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Speaker 4: if you know those guys are ruled out. I would

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Speaker 4: love to get even a juiced to seven. I'm not

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Speaker 4: sure we would ever get. There should be a really

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Speaker 4: good Thursday night game for once.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this Ravens team is going to be

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Speaker 3: vulnerable to like spreads. Like they'll win games, but they're

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Speaker 3: gonna be vulnerable to like they're not gonna cover these

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Speaker 3: spreads against teams who with functional or better offenses like

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Speaker 3: the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: You know Bo Nicks, there's like he's just.

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Speaker 3: So volatile week two week in terms of depending on

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Speaker 3: the defense.

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Speaker 1: He's not there yet.

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Speaker 3: But but yeah, this Cincinnati team can definitely keep up

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Speaker 3: even if it comes down to potentially having to get

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Speaker 3: in with a back door cover. And you know, they

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Speaker 3: do have options without Higgins. I mean they do have

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Speaker 3: even although Eric All going down hurts, but you do

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Speaker 3: have a couple of pass catching tight ends. That are

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Speaker 3: almost like slot receivers and Gasicki Tanner Hudson. You know,

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Speaker 3: Brown has been good as a receiver. They don't want

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Speaker 3: to pass blocking anyway, so they can keep up offensively.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I definitely lean Raye Bengals as well. I

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Speaker 3: think this number, you know, just because the Ravens have

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Speaker 3: been putting up some huge numbers and then you face

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Speaker 3: a Bronco team that had a good defense. That's not

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Speaker 3: gonna matter against against Lamar, but it's really the offense

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Speaker 3: that couldn't keep up.

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Speaker 1: If you saw like the Bucks where they get down

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Speaker 1: like thirty.

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Speaker 3: And then they just kept going, you're gonna get You're

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Speaker 3: gonna get points on this Raven defense one way or another. Yep,

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Speaker 3: all right, let's go to our week ten Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: You're up to thirty three seventeen now, so you're tripping away.

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Speaker 3: I just had a rough only thing I hit with

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Speaker 3: my total. We get two for our first two appoint

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Speaker 3: for our third point for our total, which would do

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Speaker 3: in the next segment.

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Speaker 1: So I got to get back on track.

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Speaker 3: I am up first this week and for my first

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Speaker 3: pick of the week ten Sunday six Pack. I'm going

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Speaker 3: with the Indianapolis Coachs plus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Still like it four three and a half.

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Speaker 3: Whatever's out there, anything more than a field goal against

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Speaker 3: the Buffalo Bills here, and I think this coach team

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Speaker 3: is significantly better with Joe.

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Speaker 1: Flacco at quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Now, you didn't see it as much, you know, in

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Speaker 3: that Minnesota game because they send a ton of blitzers.

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Speaker 3: I think stuck you even talked about it on the

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Speaker 3: show last week. It's it's a team that's just gonna

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Speaker 3: set a ton of blitzers. Actually that's really not uh,

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Speaker 3: you know what you want with Joe Flacco at the

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Speaker 3: end of the day. But you get this Buffalo team

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Speaker 3: coming into Indianapolis. You still have a great offensive line.

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Speaker 3: Buffalo's you know, their defense is not the same kind

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Speaker 3: of defense as Minnesota. It's a solid defense, but it's

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Speaker 3: not one that's just gonna throw a ton of uh

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Speaker 3: blitzers in your face. They're they're dealing with some injuries defensively, you.

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Speaker 1: Know as well. You got Johnson Taylor back.

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Speaker 3: Josh Downs is playing almost at an elite level of

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Speaker 3: these days. So I think this coach offense can can

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Speaker 3: score points and keep up, especially at home. Uh, you

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Speaker 3: know with Buffalo on the other side. Who obviously Buffalo

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Speaker 3: is gonna get its points one or or another. But

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Speaker 3: Buffalo also a little banged up on offense. That receiver

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Speaker 3: now because Coleman, who's been playing really well, he's gonna yeah,

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Speaker 3: he's gonna miss time with the wrist.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they have like eight risk injuries. I've never

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Speaker 1: seen something like it.

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Speaker 3: Though, on a side note, I've never I've never seen

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Speaker 3: something like the wrist injuries for Buffalo. And then the

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Speaker 3: crazy box score stats like I think Miles Standers had

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Speaker 3: two rushes for negative five and two catches for negative

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Speaker 3: five each. Like I've never seen things like some weird

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Speaker 3: stuff going on. But I digress. So this Buffalo offense,

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Speaker 3: you know, it's gonna score points, but Holman banged up

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Speaker 3: and Cooper, I don't you know, he's not He's obviously

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Speaker 3: not one hundred percent and we don't know how much

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Speaker 3: he's gonna play because he still hasn't been fully integrated

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Speaker 3: into the offense and he just started missing time. So

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Speaker 3: I don't think this Buffalo offense is gonna just be

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Speaker 3: like a passing juggernaut. They're gonna go back to running

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Speaker 3: the ball a little bit more and that's gonna cheap

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Speaker 3: games a little closer. And we've seen that with Buffalo

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Speaker 3: this year more. You know, back in the past when

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Speaker 3: they had Dorsey, a Buffalo win meant to blowout. This year,

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Speaker 3: you're seeing Buffalo win a lot more squeakers. He saw

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Speaker 3: it against the Jets game they could have lost, and

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Speaker 3: saw it against the Dolphins. There's just been numerous times

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Speaker 3: this year, Cardinals where the Buffalo Bills have win small

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Speaker 3: even if they win. So I think that that's a

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Speaker 3: possibility as well, which is why I like it over

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Speaker 3: a field goal. But I just think the Coats offense

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Speaker 3: is being a little bit underrated. They were competitive in games.

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Speaker 3: They're seven and two against the spread, and they started

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Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson for more than half the year. This guy

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Speaker 3: couldn't complete a pass, and this team was staying in games.

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Speaker 3: This team was this team is covering spreads, outperforming expectations.

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Speaker 3: Now you're at home and you're facing this Buffalo team

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Speaker 3: that's seven and two straight up. When you have these

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Speaker 3: kind of teams, these matchups, a road favorite with a

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Speaker 3: winning percentage of seventy five percent or more. They're just

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Speaker 3: one twenty one and one fifty eight against the spread

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Speaker 3: over the past decade, just forty three percent. And if

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Speaker 3: you filter out the last month of the season, when

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Speaker 3: you know, you know a little bit more and it's

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Speaker 3: less likely that these teams are just a little bit

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Speaker 3: inflated or overrated, you get to ninety seven and one

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Speaker 3: thirty eight, just fort against the spread over the last decade.

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Speaker 1: So give me the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree, this would have been one of mine.

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Speaker 4: The Colts defense, we know what it is. It's predictable,

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Speaker 4: it's basic, it's static. But they've they're now healthier and

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Speaker 4: your boy Womack, by the way, yeah he's doing pretty well.

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Speaker 1: Always looks good out there, man.

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Speaker 4: But the Colts defensive metrics, they are a bit depressed

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Speaker 4: because of just the bevy of injuries that they dealt

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Speaker 4: with earlier this season. They're now trending better health wise,

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Speaker 4: and despite those injuries, particularly up front, their run defense

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Speaker 4: has been pretty good this year. They're top ten in

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Speaker 4: many metrics across the board. You mentioned those injuries at

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Speaker 4: wide receiver. I agree. I think Bills might go run

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Speaker 4: heavy here. That's the strength of this Colts defense, and

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Speaker 4: what do you want to do against Josh Allen. You

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Speaker 4: don't want to play man, you want to play zone.

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Speaker 4: And the particular coverages that the Colts use Allen has

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Speaker 4: struggled more against. So I think from a schematic perspective,

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Speaker 4: this is a good thing for the Colts. It's also

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Speaker 4: just a good time to sell the Bills as a

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Speaker 4: road favorite. They've won what four or five straight, They're

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Speaker 4: sitting at seven and two, they are four games up

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Speaker 4: in their division, and the lost column after a big

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Speaker 4: divisional win, kind of a sleepy ish spot got the

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Speaker 4: Chiefs on deck, and I mean, this is desperation time

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Speaker 4: for the Colts. Bills don't really blitz. That's kind of

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Speaker 4: how you want to handicap Flacco, and this Colts offense

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Speaker 4: will be much better than it was with Richardson when

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Speaker 4: they're not facing a heavy blitz scene. Flaco and this

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Speaker 4: offense in general just have not been able to handle

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Speaker 4: opposing blitzes. Should get Raymond back a left tackle. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I think it's a pretty good matchup for the Colts.

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Speaker 4: And this is probably close to the peak of the

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Speaker 4: market on the Bills. How many times, how many teams

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Speaker 4: with a winning record, have they beat an I guess.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say one zero or one okay zero.

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Speaker 4: Flacco can move the ball here on this offense. I

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Speaker 4: think it's a good spot to take the home dog.

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Speaker 4: Hopefully home dogs start parking, because I'm starting off my

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Speaker 4: first pick of the week ten Sunday six pack and

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Speaker 4: the second overall with a home dog. I'm going with

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Speaker 4: the New Orleans Saints plus three and a half at

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Speaker 4: home against the Atlanta Falcons. This is scary. The Saints

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Speaker 4: have been allergic to winning and covering of late, but

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Speaker 4: I think this is probably the bottom. They've lost seven

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Speaker 4: straight after a two and oh start. Three of those

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Speaker 4: were with Spencer Rattler. You could throw those out. They're

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Speaker 4: all in four with car since one of those losses

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Speaker 4: at Kansas City. It's a pretty competitive game until late.

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Speaker 4: The other three losses by three, two and one, so

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Speaker 4: they've been fairly unlucky since that two and oh start.

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Speaker 4: The Falcons, by the way, who are number three and

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Speaker 4: are luck Rankings, Saints are dead last. This is a

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Speaker 4: huge luck This is your Luck Rankings matchup of the day.

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Speaker 4: The Falcons have done nothing but win close games and

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Speaker 4: one of the most important aspects of this matchup. They've

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Speaker 4: also benefited from who they're playing. Injuries, you know, teams

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Speaker 4: having injured He's they could easily have three three more losses,

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Speaker 4: and they've won. They've dominated within their division. And when

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Speaker 4: these two teams first played, look look back at that end,

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Speaker 4: they were our last second people. They had two defensive

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Speaker 4: touchdowns in the game. I you know the key thing

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Speaker 4: for me here, I know the Saints have no receivers.

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Speaker 4: I assume Alave is out. We have an update there.

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Speaker 4: I mean, that's my assumption.

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Speaker 3: We don't have an update. But I'm pretty sure he's uh,

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Speaker 3: I mean the playing it's yeah, he's been. I've noticed

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Speaker 3: that even before he started getting the concussions, he was

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Speaker 3: just getting hit hardly.

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Speaker 1: See, I don't expect him. I guess could be a

295
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Speaker 1: multi league thing, honestly.

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Speaker 4: Yeah. So, yeah, I assume that Alves out. So that's problematic.

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Speaker 4: She heeds on IR. Who are you throwing to? Even

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Speaker 4: Bob Means is on IR?

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Speaker 1: It tas them.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's not not ideal. It's like, but this Dirk

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Speaker 4: car is an above average, very good quarterback when he's

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Speaker 4: not pressured, and the Saints are incapable. Obviously, the Falcons

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Speaker 4: are incapable of generating pressure second worst in the NFL

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Speaker 4: and pressure rate only the Panthers are worse. They can't

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Speaker 4: get pressure, car can efficiently move the ball, and there's

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Speaker 4: not gonna be a lot of explosiveness. But the Falcons

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Speaker 4: don't really give up explosive passing plays. You can run

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Speaker 4: on the Falcons a bit, so I think, you know,

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Speaker 4: some hill mixed in a lot of Kamara. There's ways

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Speaker 4: that I think the Saints can move the ball. But

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Speaker 4: really what this comes down to is I just think

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Speaker 4: this number I don't I can't get to above three

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Speaker 4: and a half. I know that the secondary is banged

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Speaker 4: up to it is your corner situation. The rest of

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Speaker 4: the defense a bit healthier. But yeah, the corner situation

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Speaker 4: is great. You traded Marshawn Lattimore. But this Saints defense

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Speaker 4: I think can hold its own. It's just a this

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Speaker 4: is your prototypical I Loo Cell high spot. On top

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Speaker 4: of the fact that you have a new head coach.

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Speaker 4: Usually get a new head coach bump the first week

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Speaker 4: with a new head coach. They seem to be rallying

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Speaker 4: around there is and they we how many times have

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Speaker 4: we said on this podcast how much we hate Dennis

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Speaker 4: Allen as a head coach. I think it's going to

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Speaker 4: be it can only be a net positive. Even last

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Speaker 4: week against the Panthers, but fourth and one late, fourth

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Speaker 4: in inches, late punts it away, thought that was a

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Speaker 4: cowardly decision, ended up costumes jobs, and the Panthers drove

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Speaker 4: down the field for the game winning touchdown with Bryce Young.

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Speaker 4: With Bryce Young unfathomble Bryce Young the only holy quarterback

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Speaker 4: to win last week as an underdog who had had

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Speaker 4: a do car. Pretty amazing. So yeah, I just think

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Speaker 4: that this line has gone too far. Falcons, like last

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Speaker 4: week they is a perfect illustration of their year, Like

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Speaker 4: they've been very fortunate and close games, and on fourth

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Speaker 4: downs they are eleven of fifteen. Of course they didn't

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Speaker 4: get two against the Chiefs. For me, they're eleven for

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Speaker 4: fifteen on the air, their opponents are only seven of sixteen,

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Speaker 4: so there could be some potential fourth down regression coming

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Speaker 4: their way. So yeah, I mean, add over a field

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Speaker 4: goal at home with a new coach after's seven straight losses,

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Speaker 4: I have to take it. And the other thing with

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Speaker 4: the new coach is you could have some new wrinkles,

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Speaker 4: which I think are important, especially in a divisional game

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Speaker 4: where there's so much familiarity and you've already played each

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Speaker 4: other earlier this year. So I think this is a

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Speaker 4: rally spot for the Saints given to the three and

348
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Speaker 4: a half at home.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought about this one. I just I don't know.

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Speaker 3: The Saints have been really tough to predict. Yeah, over three,

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Speaker 3: this is kind of one of those spots historically you

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Speaker 3: expect to cover. Now in twenty twenty four, who knows,

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Speaker 3: but yeah, i'd be on that side or nothing.

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Speaker 4: I was arguing with someone on there were like, what

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Speaker 4: you stop betting just the dogs so you can get

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Speaker 4: closing on value. First of all, if you're beating the

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Speaker 4: market in the NFL over the long run, that's all

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Speaker 4: that really matters. No, over the long run, now, I

359
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Speaker 4: don't care about that in the short run. I want

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Speaker 4: to win in the short run, but I really don't

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Speaker 4: care about what underdogs or favorites have done over a

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Speaker 4: five week or even a ten week stretch. It's just

363
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Speaker 4: such a small meeting of sample size where so much

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Speaker 4: stuff can happen. But that also doesn't mean, on the

365
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Speaker 4: flip side that you just take home every home dog

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Speaker 4: going forward. Yeah, I'm not getting scared off of what

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Speaker 4: has worked for me forever, and this is about I

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Speaker 4: have to play at three and a half.

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Speaker 3: Speaking of dogs, let's go with a road underdog for

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Speaker 3: my second pick and the third overall of the Week

371
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Speaker 3: ten six pack, going with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three

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Speaker 3: at the Washington Commanders.

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Speaker 1: There are twenty seven teams in Pro football, and then

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Speaker 1: there are the Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 3: Steel haven't faded the command There's much except that Hail

376
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Speaker 3: Mary game in which I didn't even think Daniels was playing.

377
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Speaker 3: But I think this is a good spot for the Steelers,

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Speaker 3: and it's a little tougher for the Commanders because when

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Speaker 3: you look at this matchup, first of all, Steelers by

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Speaker 3: came at a good time, get healthier, They had a

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Speaker 3: lot of guys injured.

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Speaker 1: Are their defense is what's key for me.

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Speaker 3: Those Commanders, if you look up and down their schedule,

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Speaker 3: they really haven't faced topier defenses at all. So Fox, Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, Browns,

385
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Speaker 3: and they were kind of just not even fully healthy probably,

386
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Speaker 3: and then you face the Ravens, the Panthers, the Bears,

387
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,199
Speaker 3: which is probably the best defense you face even and

388
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 3: they weren't healthy. And then the Giants again. The two

389
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,879
Speaker 3: games against the Giants, you only scored twenty seven and

390
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:53,439
Speaker 3: twenty one, which is on the low end for you,

391
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 3: and that's because they have a functional pass rush. The

392
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Speaker 3: Bears game, everyone would blame it on Daniel's injury, but

393
00:21:58,320 --> 00:21:59,719
Speaker 3: the truth is the Bears have a good d in.

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00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 1: Daniels looked fine, he just struggled a little bit.

395
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Speaker 3: So now you have the best defense they faced all year,

396
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Speaker 3: you have the best pressure that they're going to face

397
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Speaker 3: all year. You have wat Hei Smith, Hayward, all these

398
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Speaker 3: guys on the front are healthy. Maybe you might get

399
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Speaker 3: Herbert back as well.

400
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Speaker 4: Win this game.

401
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Speaker 1: Oh straight up, these.

402
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 3: Are the kind of guys that I want chasing Jayden

403
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 3: Daniels because the thing about Washington, everyone kind of says, oh,

404
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 3: they're gonna regret this and that, and it's like that's

405
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,199
Speaker 3: kind of missing the point. Like this Washington team is

406
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Speaker 3: very elite, even that offense. I would say, but there's

407
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Speaker 3: a couple of things that I think can be exposed.

408
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Speaker 3: Number One, their leading the league in scoring presenters per

409
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Speaker 3: drive with just a number that's not sustainable. It's sixty

410
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Speaker 3: percent like the league high I think ever over the

411
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Speaker 3: past two decades or longer was the Patriots, oh seven

412
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Speaker 3: Patriots with Tom Brady and Randy Moss, and I think

413
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Speaker 3: they were like forty nine point eight or fifty something

414
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Speaker 3: like that, like right around fifty. So it's not sustainable,

415
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:04,439
Speaker 3: especially when yeah, and here's the crazy part about it,

416
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Speaker 3: they've done all that and they're twenty sixth in the

417
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Speaker 3: red zone.

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Speaker 1: They're not great in the red zone.

419
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 3: And but the reason for that is because when you

420
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Speaker 3: look around this offense, Jayden Daniels elevates this entire offense,

421
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 3: but the actual talent at the skill positions, and you

422
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Speaker 3: and a lot of people would argue the line too.

423
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Speaker 3: Outside of Terry McLaurin, it's not great. And that's like

424
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 3: Washington is getting by with Noah Brown catching hell Mary's.

425
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 3: Noah Brown is their second receiver, the corpse of Zach Kertz.

426
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,719
Speaker 3: You know, the running game is is solid, Robinson's banged up.

427
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Speaker 3: The line was a bunch of guys that, like no

428
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Speaker 3: one really expected their line would be good. But Jayden

429
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 3: Dam's could move around, So now that's gonna be That's

430
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Speaker 3: just not going to be there.

431
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Speaker 1: The same way against the Steelers defense.

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Speaker 3: On the you know, coming off of bye and you

433
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Speaker 3: know they get up for these road games under Tomlin

434
00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 3: when they're an underdog.

435
00:23:58,400 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 1: I'll talk about more about that in a second.

436
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,640
Speaker 3: But then on the other side, another thing that the

437
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 3: Commanders really haven't faced is a team not only is

438
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,679
Speaker 3: good on defense, but that combine that with like a

439
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:11,719
Speaker 3: functional offense, and the Steelers have become that Russell Wilson

440
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:15,360
Speaker 3: has played better than I expected. You know, they're Pickens

441
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,879
Speaker 3: in Wilson combination has been working out.

442
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 1: They traded for Mike Williams.

443
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:21,439
Speaker 3: I don't know what he's going to give him, but

444
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:23,880
Speaker 3: it's gotta be more than Van Jefferson. And even he's

445
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,960
Speaker 3: playing better under the Russ.

446
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 4: Does it?

447
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 1: I mean maybe? I mean vanef I just Jefferson is

448
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 1: not great, but.

449
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 4: Mike Williams is running wind sprints out there.

450
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean, I don't know.

451
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 3: I feel like Aaron him and Aaron Rodgers have never

452
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 3: got it, Like, I don't know like that That's a

453
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:43,719
Speaker 3: whole topic for another day.

454
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 4: But anyway, are you guys learned all about the like

455
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 4: how much Lattimore the defense playing well? You know, how

456
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 4: you have Latimore for Pickens.

457
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 1: I'm not.

458
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 3: I'm not just concerned about that because Number one, I

459
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: don't think Latimore is the same player he was like

460
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 3: in his prime. Is still a better corner than they

461
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 3: had on the team. But that's what I'm kind of

462
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 3: getting at. It's this offense has been running into good

463
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 3: situations right like they Now, you play good defense, it's

464
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:13,160
Speaker 3: just gonna be tougher. But you have this defense that's

465
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:17,600
Speaker 3: it's still a weak defense. But you've played a play

466
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 3: like and but you played listen, listen, you played the Giants,

467
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 3: the Bears, the Panthers, the Browns, like those are those

468
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 3: are your last four? So you're like, this defense is like, oh,

469
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 3: it's trending up, it's playing better. They've really gotten together.

470
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 3: A lot of that is probably gonna be a mirage

471
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:36,960
Speaker 3: end of the day, because their defensive metrics are still bad.

472
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 3: They're still yeah, twenty six, they're twenty six in DVLA,

473
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 3: And remember DVLA takes schedule strength into account, so they're

474
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 3: not good on defense. And it's still a team with

475
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,639
Speaker 3: extra time to prepare getting healthy. They might have a

476
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 3: Fraser back. Their offensive line, even backups have been playing

477
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 3: very well. Uh, you know in place of some of

478
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,400
Speaker 3: the injured starters, but they needed time to get healthy.

479
00:25:58,400 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 3: I think the bide comes at a great time for

480
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:03,000
Speaker 3: him too, because you got through those first couple of

481
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 3: games with Russell Wilson and now you get to kind

482
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 3: of go back to the drawing board and tweak things

483
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 3: a little more and figure some things out. Warren Is

484
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,159
Speaker 3: is as healthy a has been all season. You have

485
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 3: Patterson might be back. Everything is just health wise trending

486
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 3: up for the Steelers. And I just think this Washington team,

487
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 3: we know they're gonna regress and continue to regress. They

488
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 3: were a two point conversion made by the Giants away

489
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,160
Speaker 3: from not covering that game. Like I'm not putting Washington

490
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,479
Speaker 3: on this Lions level of like, oh man, like this

491
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:36,639
Speaker 3: team is just covering, Like it's just not gonna make sense.

492
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 3: I'm not that scared, because I do think they're gonna

493
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 3: see more aggression from Washington. But you also have the

494
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 3: tom win in tangible in the bag here with Mike

495
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 3: Tomlin on the road as an underdog.

496
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 1: Hit that horn bab Let's dance.

497
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 3: He's like he's gonna tell a team like, yo, we're

498
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,400
Speaker 3: playing really well and they're making us an underdog to this,

499
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:01,119
Speaker 3: you know, rookie quarterback and you know team that's proven

500
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,400
Speaker 3: nothing against any type of competition.

501
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 1: They're gonna get up for this game.

502
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 3: And Mike tom Win career dog fifty nine to thirty

503
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 3: one against the spread, sixty six percent with a twenty

504
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 3: seven percent ROI undefeated as a dog this year.

505
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 1: It's just that they've been favored.

506
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 3: A lot, so I haven't been playing them as much

507
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:23,959
Speaker 3: because you know, I like Pittsburgh's actually had an interesting

508
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 3: schedule themselves. But uh, tom win as a dog against

509
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 3: an opponent with a better record thirty and eleven, seventy

510
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 3: three percent in his career. Just any stat you look

511
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 3: at with Mike tom Win when his Steelers are getting points,

512
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 3: you take it.

513
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 1: And this is this is another thing I like about

514
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 1: the matchup.

515
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,960
Speaker 3: This is a functional coaching staff, like they're like, they're

516
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:55,200
Speaker 3: not going to have a guys just doing dumb shit

517
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,120
Speaker 3: like the Chicago Bears did and still should have won

518
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 3: that game.

519
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: So uh yeah, give me the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three here.

520
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 4: I think I disagree.

521
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,880
Speaker 1: I do think around to the Commanders, well, I don't

522
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 1: know if.

523
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 4: It's I'm still stelling the Steelers what One of the

524
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,399
Speaker 4: difficult things that for me this NFL season is that

525
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:21,119
Speaker 4: I can just due to so many of the injuries,

526
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 4: and like key injuries, is that you can kind of

527
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 4: tear down so many teams resumes, Like I can look

528
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 4: at the Steelers, like, is their defense that good? Like

529
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 4: they played Atlanta and the opener with Cousins first game,

530
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 4: back bow next second start Chargers Herbert and both their

531
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 4: tackles get hurt. Loose to the Colts, and I mean

532
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 4: Richardson knows is the best he's looked. The loose to

533
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 4: the Cowboys, they played the Raiders, the Jets and the Giants.

534
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 3: Oh no, it's the schedule is easy, It's like and

535
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 3: they've also had some turnover and I mean, that's what

536
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 3: they're That's what the Steelers usually do, though I will

537
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 3: say they'reusually good in one possession games too.

538
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 4: My biggest problem is like Washington's defense, it died. They

539
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 4: are trending up. They're getting a lot more pressure. I

540
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 4: called the Commanders Indiana of college football. They just keep

541
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 4: covering the market can't catch up to them. And it's

542
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 4: hard for me too too. I finally have just because

543
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 4: of the priors and like how good is Daniels. Had

544
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 4: he just with his legs against this pressure, how valuable

545
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 4: would that be? So it's hard for me to properly

546
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 4: rate this Commander's team. But the Steelers are definitely a

547
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 4: team I'm looking to sell. But Tomlin is a dog.

548
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 4: I can't hate you for it. But for my second

549
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 4: pick and the fourth overall of the week ten Sunday

550
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 4: six back, I'm going with the Houston Texans plus three

551
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 4: and a half against the Detroit Lions. This is probably dumb.

552
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 4: The lines are fourteen to fifteen against the spread over

553
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 4: their past fifty five games. It's unbelievable. At this point.

554
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 4: I just can't get to this number. I mean, the

555
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 4: Texans are plus three and a half at home lines.

556
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 4: I can't get there. We know Stroud also, you want

557
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 4: to back him, and this Texas team is a dog.

558
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 4: And while golf is better indoors, so is this Texans team,

559
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 4: so is Stroud. So I think that that kind of

560
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 4: washed itself out. I'm assuming we don't know this for sure.

561
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 4: I will not like this bet as much. If Nico

562
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 4: Collins doesn't go, it's up in the air. He's apparently

563
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 4: ready to go. We passed all the tests, he didn't

564
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 4: practice today. The Texans say it's when, not if, they'll

565
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 4: activate him, but they didn't activate him today, so maybe

566
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 4: that's a bad sign. He's obviously key. The Texans offense,

567
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 4: especially without Diggs, is so much better with Collins. They're

568
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 4: six and thirteen straight up without him. But even if

569
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 4: he doesn't play, I would still take this at over

570
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 4: a field goal. Look, the Lions have been great, but

571
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 4: they've also been quite fortunate. I mean, they lead the

572
00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 4: end fell in turnover margin plus one and a half

573
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 4: per game. Last year they were about even. You look

574
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 4: back at just the last couple of weeks the Titans game,

575
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 4: and they get fifty two points on two hundred yards

576
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 4: with all those return yards. Last week again, what were

577
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 4: they four and a half yards for play, two hundredards

578
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 4: defensive touchdown Packers just fail over and over again in

579
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 4: the red zone. Love clearly wasn't at one hundred percent.

580
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 4: They got the Seahawks when they were so beat up

581
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 4: that It's not like the Seahawks have been great, So

582
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 4: I mean, just the Lions have been fortunate. I would

583
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 4: have to assume this is close to the peak of

584
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 4: their market value. Texans extended rest here, which I think

585
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 4: is important. The team needed a break. They needed to

586
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 4: figure some things out on offense, specifically on the offensive line.

587
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 4: Green won't be in there fortunately, and they should be

588
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 4: healthier on defense. Lions second straight road game with their

589
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 4: big divisional road win laying over a field goal against

590
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:07,239
Speaker 4: the Texans, and C. J. Stroud can't get here. I

591
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 4: have to take the Texans, hoping Collins is back. Curiously

592
00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 4: your thoughts here, I agree. I think Collins is big.

593
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 3: Almost prefer money line in this situation, even though it's

594
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 3: like it's right above a key number, just because it's

595
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 3: like the Lions just cover machines.

596
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 1: It's almost irrelevant.

597
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 3: You might as well just get a bigger return if

598
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 3: you're right. What I do like for the Texans is

599
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 3: they can run the football and the lines tend to

600
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 3: have a good run defense.

601
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:39,160
Speaker 1: But I think they're down. Yeah, it's a little inflated.

602
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 1: It's just the.

603
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 3: Reputation is a little better than the reality. This is

604
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 3: a matchup of like two good defenses, and the Texans

605
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 3: are at home, and the Lions they did make you know,

606
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 3: they did get some pressure relief with the trade for

607
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 3: Zarius Smith, But this is the Texans have I think

608
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,720
Speaker 3: better defense than the lines at this point, and then

609
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 3: stee j strout like, you have you have a quarterback

610
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 3: that because Goth is playing unreal right now. It's not

611
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 3: just the scheme, it's not just the sport guys, but

612
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 3: Goth himself.

613
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 4: Is Yeah, he's ridiculously efficiently.

614
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 2: Yeah.

615
00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 3: And and so there's only so many quarterbacks that you

616
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 3: can trust to kind of match that in the league,

617
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 3: you know, Mahomes Burrow, uh. And I think Strouder is

618
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 3: in there now. It's looked ugly at times, but his

619
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 3: upside is there. So yeah, it's I definitely think the

620
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:34,720
Speaker 3: Texas are the right.

621
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 1: Side in this one.

622
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 3: I actually just prefer money line just because it's like

623
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 3: betting against the lines against the spread, and you just

624
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 3: win your minus one ten if you for the rare

625
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:46,920
Speaker 3: time you happen to be right, it's almost like you

626
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 3: need that extra So that's how I play it. But yeah,

627
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 3: I think the Texas are the right side. Do want

628
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 3: to This Nico thing is interesting though, because I'm seeing

629
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 3: conflicting reports. I'm seeing like, oh, yeah, he's ready to go,

630
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 3: but then I'm seeing the reports that based on the

631
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:03,160
Speaker 3: fact that they didn't open his window on Wednesday that

632
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 3: that's ominous, so have to see on that for everyone

633
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 3: out there that wants to bet this, just to take

634
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 3: that into consideration.

635
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:11,760
Speaker 1: All right.

636
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:15,719
Speaker 3: For my third and final pick of the week, ten

637
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 3: Sunday sixth, back the fifth overall, I'm rolling with the

638
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,160
Speaker 3: San Francisco forty nine ers minus five and a half

639
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 3: at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And this is a play

640
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 3: based on how the forty nine ers kind of have

641
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 3: gone into the by and me have just seen this

642
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 3: movie played out before.

643
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:38,800
Speaker 4: Is this the Jacksonville game all over again?

644
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:42,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, so I've seen this movie before. The Niners

645
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 3: kind of a whimper to the buy. Depending like, unfortunately

646
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 3: for the six pack, we didn't hit that Cowboys Niners game.

647
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 3: But if you follow me in the app, I bet

648
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 3: that game went to Sunday the lines came out, so

649
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 3: if you got the six and a half, you actually

650
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 3: got back a back door. But you know, they get

651
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,680
Speaker 3: whimper to the buy and they you know, their record

652
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:04,879
Speaker 3: is not where it should be. You know, they've only

653
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 3: what a four and five and this Bucks team is

654
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 3: just being ultra competitive despite just getting decimated by injury,

655
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 3: especially on the offensive side of the ball. And now

656
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 3: you have a buy for the Niners, so they're getting healthy,

657
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 3: great coaching staff, so you're gonna be able. You know,

658
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 3: they can actually take advantage of the buye and and

659
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:35,799
Speaker 3: kind of scheme up some things offensively. Especially now look

660
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 3: at this Bucks offense. You got no guy with no

661
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:43,359
Speaker 3: Evans McMillan, who is your third receiver is banged up,

662
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,200
Speaker 3: was like a late addition to the injury report. So

663
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 3: your receivers at best would be McMillan, Trey Palmer who

664
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:53,359
Speaker 3: got benched essentially, like he didn't play as much as

665
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:56,359
Speaker 3: on Monday night as people thought. Uh Sterling the ghost

666
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 3: of Sterling Shepherd, somebody named rackiem Jarred, and somebody named

667
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 3: Ryan Miller. Like those are your receivers now, Kaden, he's

668
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 3: been the saving grace for this offense at tight end.

669
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:11,240
Speaker 3: What do the Niners do well on defense? Cover tight ends?

670
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 3: Fred Warner Like that's that's the position that is going

671
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 3: to be the hardest to take advantage of in your

672
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 3: passing game.

673
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:19,720
Speaker 1: When you face the Niners.

674
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 3: Who are top five defense by dv Away this year,

675
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 3: they've you know a lot of times we end up

676
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,240
Speaker 3: talking about the Niners defensive struggles is like a reason

677
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 3: to fade them. They're defense playing pretty well, and I

678
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 3: think this Bucks team has just been running hot. You know,

679
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,439
Speaker 3: they've had a ton of easy matches against the AFC South,

680
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 3: even after they got hurt. And then of course the

681
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,279
Speaker 3: Chiefs like they the Chiefs can't get margined on them

682
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 3: either and need like an overtime win. So everyone's kind

683
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 3: of looking at this Bucks team like, you know, they're

684
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 3: just gonna cover.

685
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:47,720
Speaker 1: No, people don't want.

686
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 3: To fade them, like I think. I think I actually

687
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 3: see more bets tracked on the Bucks right now. More

688
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,479
Speaker 3: money on the Niners, but more bets on the Bucks,

689
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 3: which surprises me. So I am fading this team. I

690
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 3: think is just a big uh regression coming. And the

691
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,560
Speaker 3: injuries are gonna start to take a hold and affect

692
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 3: them in terms of the point spread.

693
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,959
Speaker 1: And you look at the Bucks so far as yeah

694
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 1: and but yeah, so you look at the but you

695
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 1: look at.

696
00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 3: Sant Franz this year to start with them, they've only

697
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,719
Speaker 3: won four times. They're four and four and four. All

698
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 3: of their wins by at least six points. Three of

699
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 3: their wins are double digit blowouts.

700
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 4: They also have a couple of losses where they're up

701
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 4: double digits late like.

702
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:35,799
Speaker 2: They right and and on the flip side, the Bucks,

703
00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:39,879
Speaker 2: every one of their losses because because the chief came

704
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,720
Speaker 2: in over time, has been out by at least five

705
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 2: but all but one of.

706
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:45,719
Speaker 1: Them has been by at least six days.

707
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:47,480
Speaker 3: They lost one by five, and that was Onna way

708
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 3: back door against the Falcons. So like this Bucks team,

709
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 3: I think they like I don't expect them to win

710
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:55,839
Speaker 3: this game. I expect the Niners are the better team.

711
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:59,359
Speaker 3: They're off by well rested. That like West traveling East,

712
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 3: especially when you the bye with the bydes been an

713
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 3: overrated spot Bucks on a short week, no less with

714
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 3: with the UH with the Niners on a long rest.

715
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:13,879
Speaker 3: So just all the situational factors, I think the Niners

716
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 3: not only can you know, should win this game, but

717
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 3: I think the Niners can build margin UH in this

718
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 3: game against the Bucks and their Bucks defense, You'll be

719
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 3: getting lit up. I mean, you've given up five hundred

720
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 3: yards to Kirk Cousins, You've given up forty points to

721
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:32,280
Speaker 3: the Ravers. You're given up You've given up thirty points

722
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,640
Speaker 3: in four of your last five uh twenty seven and

723
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:38,399
Speaker 3: the one you didn't give up thirty so this bucks

724
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:40,239
Speaker 3: d is just getting lit up. And now you face

725
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,720
Speaker 3: the Niners off of by getting healthier with the most

726
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 3: efficient quarterback by yards per attempt since he came into

727
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:48,440
Speaker 3: the league and Brock Purty and and on top of

728
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:49,839
Speaker 3: now you might get Chrisian McCaffrey back.

729
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 4: Yeah he's on track to play.

730
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 1: Yeah.

731
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, So this is to me, this is just a

732
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,279
Speaker 3: forty nine er eruption spot. They really need this one.

733
00:38:58,320 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 3: It's not like a sweepy spot. And yeah, you mention

734
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 3: did Jacksonville last year, same situation. Jacksonville had been just

735
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 3: overperforming expectations. I think they were coming in with four

736
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 3: or five straight wins in a row. San Francisco had

737
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,760
Speaker 3: limped into their by at I think it was let's see,

738
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:17,719
Speaker 3: they limped into their by three straight wall, so they

739
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:19,799
Speaker 3: were five or three, so they actually better shape than

740
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:20,399
Speaker 3: they are this year.

741
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:23,439
Speaker 1: And I think the line was like, you know, five

742
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 1: or six.

743
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 3: But it just was kind of people were taking Jacksonville

744
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 3: thirty four to three San Francisco even though they were

745
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 3: they were traveling across the country to you know, Jacksonville

746
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 3: and Jacksonville was coming off a bye at the same time,

747
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 3: whereas in this spot. Tampa Bay is coming off short week,

748
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 3: so I think it finally catches up to Tampa Bay

749
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 3: on the spread because they, of course the market inflates

750
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:48,280
Speaker 3: the Chiefs and so Tampa is still covered that game,

751
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 3: and you know there's some luck involved with the overtime.

752
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:55,279
Speaker 3: But yeah, love the Niners as a favorite up to

753
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 3: six in this spot.

754
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like this as well. It's a brutal spot

755
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 4: for Tampa Bay. They're short week off an ot game

756
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 4: in which their defense was on the field for what

757
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 4: eighty five plays, and I mean they're banged up. Their

758
00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:14,760
Speaker 4: secondary is a mess. Yeah, I really like this, and

759
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,720
Speaker 4: teams coming off overtime on just six days of rest

760
00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:21,120
Speaker 4: on Monday Night Football are fifteen and twenty three against

761
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 4: the spread over the last decade. Cohen's done a good

762
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 4: job scheming things up, but I don't think that it

763
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 4: can really last. So yeah, I like the forty nine

764
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:33,959
Speaker 4: ers as well. Classic spot there. For my third pick

765
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 4: and the six overall the week ten Sunday six pack,

766
00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:41,479
Speaker 4: I'm going with the New York Jets plus one. It's

767
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:44,799
Speaker 4: like there's a plus we go plus one. It's the

768
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 4: most widely available. I don't really love anything else. I

769
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 4: had forty nine ers. I was considering you took them

770
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:52,839
Speaker 4: the same with the Colts, which would have been on

771
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,080
Speaker 4: my list, But I will be on the Jets and

772
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 4: I had this spot circled. I think this is a

773
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 4: good like reset spot, and the fact that the Jets

774
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 4: got that win over the Texans keep their season alive.

775
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 4: I think they'll come out focus here. But the schedule

776
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 4: was so bad to start the year. I mean you're

777
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:16,240
Speaker 4: talking Monday night football, Sunday, Thursday night football, Sunday Sunday

778
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 4: in London, Monday night football, Sunday night football, Sunday, Thursday

779
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,799
Speaker 4: night football. I mean bad. A couple Thursday games in there,

780
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 4: five night games and a game in London without a bye.

781
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:31,279
Speaker 4: That's five night games in the first nine weeks. Is

782
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 4: exhausting enough. You throw in London, you throw a no bye.

783
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 4: And all the injuries that they dealt with, This mini

784
00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 4: buy that they're on will be extremely valuable and they

785
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,879
Speaker 4: should be a bit healthier. We'll see if they will

786
00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:50,239
Speaker 4: get some guards back. They were playing the Texans with

787
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 4: I think at one point four tackles on the offensive line.

788
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 4: Due to some of those injuries, the secondary needed some

789
00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 4: time to heal up. They've just all been dear with

790
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 4: bumps and bruises. You also got Riddick back, so I

791
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:10,919
Speaker 4: think this defense can start to return to form from

792
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 4: last year. And this Cardinals team I'm also looking to fade.

793
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 4: I mean they have three wins where they were down

794
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 4: double digits, all by under a field goal late. Their

795
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 4: other two wins came in fantastic spots at home against

796
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,959
Speaker 4: the Rams, who were beat up off that overtime game,

797
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 4: and then the Bears last week. Rookie quarterback, bad road coach,

798
00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 4: off the Hail Mary game, missing four key defenders, missing

799
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 4: a number of offensive line starters, and they just had nothing.

800
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 4: I mean, they just looked like they never even showed up,

801
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 4: chaos in the locker room all week. So the Cardinals

802
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:56,759
Speaker 4: are five and four. Their offense has been pretty good,

803
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 4: but I'm not buying the Cardinals. I mean, this is

804
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:02,720
Speaker 4: I think close to the peak of the market on them.

805
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 4: So I think there's a good spot. And look, the

806
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:07,800
Speaker 4: Cardinals just can't get pressure. They're incapable of generating pressure.

807
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 4: Rogers has been great when he's not been touched. I

808
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 4: don't think the Cardinals can cover these Jets weapons. I

809
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,400
Speaker 4: also think the Jets, especially if they get a bit

810
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,799
Speaker 4: healthy on the offensive line, can finally get their run

811
00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:24,400
Speaker 4: game going to compliment their passing attack. I'm not buying

812
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:29,240
Speaker 4: this Cardinals defense. That's the weakest link in this game.

813
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,799
Speaker 4: I don't think Rogers will be confused by some of

814
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 4: the schematic things that the Cardinals do that can confuse

815
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 4: younger quarterbacks and less experienced ones. So I think this

816
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 4: is a good opportunity to sell Arizona and buy the

817
00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:46,000
Speaker 4: Jets off this mini buy, which they needed desperately and

818
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 4: should be much healthier. I like the Jets here.

819
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, this was actually between this and the fourteen nine

820
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 3: ers for my third so I'll probably be on the

821
00:43:56,640 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 3: Jets as well. The one thing that I'm concerned about

822
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 3: is the car does run game on offense, because that's

823
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 3: really how they've been staying in these games. And they're

824
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,880
Speaker 3: not asking Kailer to drop back forty times.

825
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 1: Because if you look at.

826
00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 3: Like when Kyleer' is a high volume guy, the yards

827
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,799
Speaker 3: per attempt gets lower and lower, they inefficiency shows up more.

828
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:19,799
Speaker 3: He start missing throws downfield. But when they can run

829
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 3: and you can run on the Jets, so that that

830
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 3: works me a little but the fact that they were

831
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,120
Speaker 3: able to kind of weather that storm in the Houston

832
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:29,680
Speaker 3: game because used to just ran all over them with mixing.

833
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 3: But they still are able to kind of hold up there.

834
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 3: It didn't come down a field goals with me, who's

835
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:37,359
Speaker 3: why they held on. But I mean they scored another

836
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:39,360
Speaker 3: touchdown in that game and used to you know, if

837
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:43,280
Speaker 3: you didn't see it, like Malachi Corley drops of touchdown

838
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,839
Speaker 3: before you get Deshaun Jackson's it and they get a

839
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 3: touchback on that on that So the Jets, you know,

840
00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:52,560
Speaker 3: some of the I mean, they've been very unlucky.

841
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 4: I have the Jets right now, you know, close to

842
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,280
Speaker 4: a field goal better than the Bears, and the Bears

843
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 4: were catching the same number and a worst spot with

844
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,920
Speaker 4: the worst health situation, and you had a rookie quarterback.

845
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:07,680
Speaker 4: I think the Jets should be favored here.

846
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 3: I'm thinking this line is a little reflective of the Cardinals.

847
00:45:12,040 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 3: You know, they won three and a one.

848
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:15,919
Speaker 4: Three in a row, and one of the close games

849
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 4: Jets happened, Yes.

850
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:18,399
Speaker 1: And then even in the game last week. I've talked

851
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:18,759
Speaker 1: about it.

852
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 3: Bore when I talk about the total, but they had

853
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 3: even that, they got some they got some good luck

854
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 3: in in that win against playoff Jesus.

855
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, Amari Deemercado baby has never showed.

856
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:32,799
Speaker 4: The Bears didn't get off the bus for that game.

857
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:38,479
Speaker 3: That's our Sunday six packs for week number ten. Would

858
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:39,920
Speaker 3: see what do we got quarterback wise?

859
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:40,840
Speaker 1: Uh, stucky.

860
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 3: You have the Saints three and a half, the Texans

861
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:44,759
Speaker 3: plus three and a half, and the Jets plus one.

862
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 1: So that's Derek Carr, c J. Stroud, Aaron Aaron Rodgers

863
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 1: pretty good.

864
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 3: I have Coats four and a half, Steeers plus three

865
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:56,480
Speaker 3: and the Niners minus five and a half. So Flaco, Russell,

866
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 3: Wilson and Perty that's also not bad. It's just my

867
00:46:00,040 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 3: and are more like you take this ten years ago.

868
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:03,880
Speaker 1: It's like the two extremes.

869
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 3: It's like the best, the most overperforming quarterback now the

870
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 3: ridiculous stats and then guys that were good, they at

871
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:10,839
Speaker 3: their best ten years ago.

872
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 4: So I too, Rogers and car and then.

873
00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 3: True Yeah yeah yeah, so weird bunch of quarterbacks, but

874
00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:20,000
Speaker 3: we'll see how it goes. That was our NFL Week

875
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 3: ten Sunday six pack. Now it's time for our coaches

876
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:23,120
Speaker 3: pep talk.

877
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,480
Speaker 1: Every time we get ready to play. I just want

878
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 1: to throw up.

879
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:26,839
Speaker 4: I'm sick.

880
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:30,359
Speaker 1: I'm watching you guys play. Just how bad can it get?

881
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 3: All? Right?

882
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:32,640
Speaker 1: For this week's coach is pep talk.

883
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 3: We're going to al Pacino in the nineteen ninety film

884
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 3: Dick Tracy, and we're gonna dedicate this to the Saints, Texans, Jets, Colts,

885
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:49,560
Speaker 3: and Steelers, all the underdogs that we're patting on, especially

886
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 3: these home dogs.

887
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,160
Speaker 4: So pick sixes just don't do that.

888
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:57,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, like the Saints, especially the Texans and the Colts,

889
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 3: those three, especially because home dogs have just not been

890
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:02,040
Speaker 3: getting it done.

891
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 4: Doesn't go work mean anything to animal?

892
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: Have you no sense of pride in what you do?

893
00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 1: No sense of duty, no sense of yesterday? I'm looking

894
00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:12,240
Speaker 1: for general?

895
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 2: What do I?

896
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 4: God?

897
00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:14,840
Speaker 1: Whatsolvis?

898
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 3: That's our coach's pep talk. Now it's getting to our

899
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 3: favorite over under of the week or combined twelve and

900
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 3: six on totals this year, so pretty good.

901
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 1: Both hit last week. Where are you going for week

902
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:30,359
Speaker 1: number ten?

903
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's the only thing that I've been good at

904
00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:35,319
Speaker 4: over the past two months. I don't really love any

905
00:47:35,360 --> 00:47:39,440
Speaker 4: totals right now. There's so many injuries that I'm watching

906
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:43,240
Speaker 4: that it's gonna come down to tomorrow, but I'm gonna

907
00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:46,240
Speaker 4: go with And there's a lot of uncertainty here, and

908
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 4: this is I'm taking a number that's already dropped. But

909
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:52,920
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with the Cowboys. Eagles under forty two

910
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:57,600
Speaker 4: and a half. Wish this is forty three, But I

911
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:00,719
Speaker 4: don't like. Are Brown and Lamb gonna play. They've both practiced.

912
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:04,759
Speaker 4: It could be banged up one or Boat could be out.

913
00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:07,879
Speaker 4: But if you're gonna get Cooper rush, I do think

914
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:11,880
Speaker 4: this Eagles defense is really trending up. We saw it

915
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 4: again last week against the Jags. Really misleading final score.

916
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:19,799
Speaker 4: Get a scoop and score there. They really held Trevor

917
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:24,120
Speaker 4: Lawrence on offense in check so that Fangio takes a

918
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:27,319
Speaker 4: take some time to adjust to his scheme, and they

919
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,600
Speaker 4: had some young pieces in the secondary. It seems like

920
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:35,879
Speaker 4: they're headed in the right direction. Cowboys defense should get

921
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:42,319
Speaker 4: Parsons back. He practiced today, huge difference obviously having him

922
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 4: in there probabs. We're still getting some pressure without him.

923
00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:50,719
Speaker 4: Think that pressure rate should go up, and Herts is

924
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:53,839
Speaker 4: still struggling a bit under pressure. And if Brown isn't

925
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:58,759
Speaker 4: one hundred percent, you know that would lead to some

926
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 4: wonkiness for or the Eagles offense. So yeah, I mean

927
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 4: Cooper Rush, he has no complimentary run game, Ceedee Lamb

928
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 4: might not play, might not be at one hundred percent.

929
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:15,880
Speaker 4: Eagles defense trending up Parson's back for Dallas. You know

930
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 4: it is indoors. The Dallas defense still isn't great. But

931
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:22,719
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under here. I think this will be

932
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:24,399
Speaker 4: pretty low scoring game.

933
00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I think Brian Brown is very big to

934
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:31,400
Speaker 3: that because Eagles. I think a couple of weeks of guys,

935
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:33,319
Speaker 3: like when they before they headed into that Giants game

936
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:34,839
Speaker 3: when everyone was so down, I'm like, this is kind

937
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 3: of a sweeping giant at ulto positive offense. Their offense

938
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 3: has been looking a lot better since they came out

939
00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:44,239
Speaker 3: of the buy. So that's the thing I'd be a

940
00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:46,920
Speaker 3: little bit concerned about, Like if the Cowboys could, you know,

941
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:49,440
Speaker 3: still score in the high teens or something, but the

942
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:52,640
Speaker 3: Eagles offense has success. But agree, it's really gonna come

943
00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:55,800
Speaker 3: down to the injury report. I'm surprised. I'm actually surprised

944
00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 3: you didn't. You weren't on the Cowboys. I feel like,

945
00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 3: weren't you on Cooper Rush when he had that straight

946
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:03,320
Speaker 3: of but he had a pretty good stretch at one point.

947
00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:08,839
Speaker 3: An no interest in this spread.

948
00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 4: The injury report, I mean like Lamb versus what if

949
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 4: Lamb goes and Brown doesn't. Yeah, and uh, there's yeah,

950
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 4: there's there's so much uncertainty here with the injury report,

951
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:21,400
Speaker 4: it's hard to make a bet.

952
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:25,360
Speaker 3: Wednesday, all right, I'm gonna go with the Bears Patriots

953
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,640
Speaker 3: under thirty nine. And this is another one of them

954
00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:31,480
Speaker 3: where it's it is early in the week, but just

955
00:50:31,520 --> 00:50:36,000
Speaker 3: from looking at what could potentially happen, it's probably only

956
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:41,320
Speaker 3: gonna drop because Cale Williams not one hundred percent. Africa

957
00:50:41,960 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 3: Messa Bazanko would have been on the like late in

958
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:47,680
Speaker 3: the game. Both Bears tackles could miss this game or

959
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 3: at least may not be at one hundred percent. So

960
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:54,279
Speaker 3: already you're dealing with injuries for the Bears on the

961
00:50:54,320 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 3: offensive side of the ball, and there's gonna it's gonna

962
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,680
Speaker 3: be in Chicago out you know, so outdoors could be

963
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:04,720
Speaker 3: some wind, maybe even some I don't know, there's definitely

964
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:08,280
Speaker 3: gonna be when there may even be some precipitation as well.

965
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 3: And you had another one of those games for Chicago

966
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:17,719
Speaker 3: where Carol Williams drops back over forty times. He's super inefficient.

967
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 3: He gets banged up at the end of it. So

968
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 3: I do think this is going to be, you know,

969
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 3: trying to get back to the run a little more

970
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 3: in this spot and the Patriots kyl Yeah, I think

971
00:51:29,800 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 3: sweat too exactly. Sweat Sweat was limited, So it looks

972
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:35,200
Speaker 3: like he's gonna be back. So your defense is getting healthy,

973
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 3: your offense is getting unhealthier. And on the flip side,

974
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:41,800
Speaker 3: you know the Patriots, you know, rookie quarterback on the road.

975
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:45,800
Speaker 3: Uh you know, so you got two rookie quarterbacks outdoors

976
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:50,880
Speaker 3: whether where both you know, the defenses are probably the better.

977
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,960
Speaker 3: Like the Patriots, they were super unhealthy on Deus. They's

978
00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 3: gotten a little bit healthier and you know they're functional.

979
00:51:57,239 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 3: They're still not good. But against this banged up offense,

980
00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,719
Speaker 3: I think it's just too bad offensive lines here and

981
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:07,040
Speaker 3: you're just gonna see a ton of ugliness and you

982
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 3: just have to hope like May doesn't commit like an

983
00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:16,600
Speaker 3: atrocious turnover that ends up you know, deciding the the total.

984
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:18,799
Speaker 1: Or anything like that. You know that that throw against.

985
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:21,400
Speaker 3: The the types at the end of the overtime.

986
00:52:21,520 --> 00:52:22,680
Speaker 1: I did not like that one at all.

987
00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 3: But even if you look at these Patriots games as

988
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:27,719
Speaker 3: of late, I mean there's some lucky scoring going on

989
00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:31,399
Speaker 3: in the games. Uh even that last touchdown, Like at

990
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:33,439
Speaker 3: the end they hit the end of that Titans game,

991
00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:35,200
Speaker 3: I was like, oh my god, Like I hope Stuggy

992
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 3: doesn't end up losing the total for the POD because

993
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:39,160
Speaker 3: you know, like they kick the field go and then

994
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 3: they had a chance to answer. But yeah, I don't

995
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 3: think this Patriots team is capable of doing too much

996
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:47,920
Speaker 3: at this stage. You know, may is a drastic improvement,

997
00:52:48,239 --> 00:52:52,800
Speaker 3: but it's just on the road outdoors against the defense

998
00:52:52,840 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 3: that can get pressure that it's gonna still sting them.

999
00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:57,279
Speaker 3: And then the Bears are not right in the right

1000
00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:02,240
Speaker 3: form offensively. So I'm taking the under thirty nine in Patriots.

1001
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:04,719
Speaker 1: Bears don't mind it all right?

1002
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 3: So Patriots Bears under, and the Eagles Cowboys Undernow's time

1003
00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:12,240
Speaker 3: for our favorite teaser of the week.

1004
00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:20,680
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1005
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:28,560
Speaker 3: Don't tease me, try to please. The goal is usually

1006
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:31,840
Speaker 3: to try to go through the three and the seven.

1007
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:35,600
Speaker 3: Seems like there's been less opportunities for that in a

1008
00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 3: lot of weeks this year.

1009
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:40,880
Speaker 1: But where are you going for your teaser for weekend?

1010
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll just keep it simple tease go through three

1011
00:53:44,040 --> 00:53:47,359
Speaker 4: and seven with low totals, which is the ideal way

1012
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,360
Speaker 4: to do it. I'm gonna go with the Chiefs and

1013
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:55,640
Speaker 4: Chargers need Homes and Herbert just to win. It's a

1014
00:53:55,640 --> 00:53:59,120
Speaker 4: tough spot for the Chiefs off that overtime game in

1015
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 4: a short week, but I don't know how the Broncos

1016
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 4: are going to consistently move the ball, and it's Mahomes

1017
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 4: at home needing to win the game. Not overthinking this one.

1018
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 3: I'm going to go with the Chargers as well, and

1019
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:14,800
Speaker 3: I'm gonna also go with the Eagles. So Chargers Eagles

1020
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:16,600
Speaker 3: down a one and a half each, and I think

1021
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 3: the Eagles Cowboys matchup. What comes down to for me is,

1022
00:54:20,680 --> 00:54:22,880
Speaker 3: you know, these divisional matchups always tight, so this is

1023
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 3: not a gimme for the Eagles at seven.

1024
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:25,800
Speaker 1: And a half.

1025
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:29,480
Speaker 3: But I think the lack of a cowboy run game

1026
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 3: and the lack of a cowboy run defense, regardless of

1027
00:54:32,560 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 3: what goes on with the health of you know, pass

1028
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 3: catchers on either side, I think that ultimately is going

1029
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:39,160
Speaker 3: to be too much.

1030
00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 1: To overcome with the backup quarterback.

1031
00:54:40,840 --> 00:54:42,960
Speaker 3: You know, if they if this was the old Cowboys

1032
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 3: that you know, they had this offensive line that could

1033
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:49,160
Speaker 3: just dominate, and you know they can hold up enough

1034
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:52,040
Speaker 3: in the run game on the other side, then you

1035
00:54:52,040 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 3: know they're okay, we're playing the Cowboys is a big

1036
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,359
Speaker 3: home dog, but this is the Eagles. Run game has

1037
00:54:56,400 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 3: just been spectacular and their past defense is really good,

1038
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,280
Speaker 3: so like, you're gonna need to run through the Cowboys

1039
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:04,080
Speaker 3: and I don't think they could do either. And then

1040
00:55:04,080 --> 00:55:07,360
Speaker 3: the Titans, I mean, they're they're just doing some weird stuff.

1041
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:09,920
Speaker 4: Man, all right, its last week too. I ended up

1042
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:10,480
Speaker 4: adding them.

1043
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:15,359
Speaker 3: Oh oh, of course the obligatory Titans l every week.

1044
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:18,359
Speaker 4: Let's second touchdown on the final play of the game

1045
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 4: in the fourth time.

1046
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:20,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it had to happen.

1047
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:23,400
Speaker 3: You know, it's the universe does not want you to win, Titans,

1048
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:26,640
Speaker 3: but that's for sure. But the they were doing some

1049
00:55:26,640 --> 00:55:29,719
Speaker 3: weird stuff, like guys didn't practice all week, which usually

1050
00:55:29,760 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 3: means the automatic you know, inactive. And then like Tony

1051
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,400
Speaker 3: Power didn't practice all week, they give him like thirty touches,

1052
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:36,279
Speaker 3: so like, was that the reason he didn't practice? But

1053
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,840
Speaker 3: then Tyler Boyd doesn't practice all week and then he

1054
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:42,000
Speaker 3: essentially gets like he plays only half the snaps. Was

1055
00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 3: that because they're trying to trade him? I don't know,

1056
00:55:44,160 --> 00:55:47,440
Speaker 3: So it's some weird stuff going out to Titans. But uh,

1057
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:50,239
Speaker 3: they're they're just overmatched here, so they're gonna need luck,

1058
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:53,640
Speaker 3: which is always possible. But Chargers on both sides of

1059
00:55:53,640 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 3: the ball are just in good form, healthy enough. So yeah,

1060
00:55:57,080 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 3: like like the Chargers at the one and a half,

1061
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:03,319
Speaker 3: he's down. So Chargers one and a half, Chiefs two

1062
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:05,560
Speaker 3: and a half for you, and then Eagles one and

1063
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:07,160
Speaker 3: a half, Chargers one and a half, teas down for me.

1064
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:09,880
Speaker 1: Let's go to our week ten.

1065
00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 3: Underdog money line parlay.

1066
00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1067
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1068
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:28,200
Speaker 3: All right, last week both lost Cowboys Patriots, although did

1069
00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:30,839
Speaker 3: have a fighting chance once the Patriots got that last

1070
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 3: second play, you know, and then got the ball in overtime,

1071
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 3: but you know, May throws to pick, so we all

1072
00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:39,960
Speaker 3: end up losing on the Titans. Because what else would

1073
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:42,440
Speaker 3: be on brand for this podcast? But where are you

1074
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:43,160
Speaker 3: going this week?

1075
00:56:43,600 --> 00:56:46,520
Speaker 4: Then give me the Colts talks about the game earlier.

1076
00:56:46,760 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the Texans here, and the reason

1077
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:51,320
Speaker 3: is I mentioned earlier.

1078
00:56:51,920 --> 00:56:52,800
Speaker 1: I got this point.

1079
00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:56,240
Speaker 3: It's just why even take the bet against the Lions

1080
00:56:56,239 --> 00:56:58,160
Speaker 3: on the spread. If you're gonna do it, you might

1081
00:56:58,160 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 3: as well just get the max turn. So they're plus

1082
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 3: one fifty five. If the Lions are gonna lose some

1083
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:07,640
Speaker 3: games this year. There, I think they are right there

1084
00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:11,399
Speaker 3: with the Chiefs as the best team, probably even might

1085
00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:13,680
Speaker 3: even have Yeah, I think the Lions actually slightly better

1086
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 3: than the Chiefs, but you know, both teams have made trade,

1087
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:19,880
Speaker 3: so whatever point is, they're still gonna lose games, and

1088
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:22,760
Speaker 3: the Texans are one of the few teams that have

1089
00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:25,840
Speaker 3: what it takes to beat the Lions. You have a

1090
00:57:25,920 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 3: quarterback that's capable of being a white, and you have

1091
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:32,600
Speaker 3: a defense that's very good top three in DVOA, a

1092
00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:35,160
Speaker 3: competent coaching staff, just all the and you're at home,

1093
00:57:35,200 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 3: so all the ingredients.

1094
00:57:36,120 --> 00:57:37,320
Speaker 1: So give me the Texans.

1095
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:41,480
Speaker 3: Colts are plus one seventy six at home against Buffalo,

1096
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:46,600
Speaker 3: the Texans plus one fifty five at home against Detroit.

1097
00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 1: Parlam together plus six oh four. Nice juicy one for

1098
00:57:51,800 --> 00:57:52,240
Speaker 1: two teams.

1099
00:57:52,240 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 3: I don't think many people expect to win in these

1100
00:57:55,400 --> 00:57:58,160
Speaker 3: spots because you know they're going against two teams very

1101
00:57:58,200 --> 00:58:01,840
Speaker 3: good records. So this is a funny one and I

1102
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:04,640
Speaker 3: think these seems are being a little underrated here. All right,

1103
00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 3: now it's time for best of the rest, which are

1104
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:09,120
Speaker 3: the games we did not discuss in any other segment.

1105
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:12,200
Speaker 3: That's gonna be a touchdown, but that may be meaningful

1106
00:58:12,280 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 3: to some of you.

1107
00:58:14,080 --> 00:58:15,000
Speaker 1: So you know what I mean.

1108
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:19,240
Speaker 3: All right, First out, we have Giants Panthers international game

1109
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:19,880
Speaker 3: in Munich.

1110
00:58:20,400 --> 00:58:26,120
Speaker 4: Alright, you've eaten, but be there, Vijia Menzantal smiles and sunshine.

1111
00:58:27,880 --> 00:58:30,480
Speaker 4: I'm so scared. Ooh the Germans.

1112
00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:33,440
Speaker 3: The Giants are five and a half point favorites with

1113
00:58:33,520 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 3: a total forty one and a half. Panthers coming off

1114
00:58:36,880 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 3: their second win of the season, which they go downfield

1115
00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:43,640
Speaker 3: and score against the Saints. Probably, like you said earlier,

1116
00:58:43,640 --> 00:58:45,000
Speaker 3: acaus Dennis Allen's job.

1117
00:58:44,880 --> 00:58:46,680
Speaker 1: So it is a neutral field.

1118
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:49,840
Speaker 3: But my assam, and a half still still seems like

1119
00:58:49,880 --> 00:58:51,040
Speaker 3: a lot for this Giants team.

1120
00:58:51,040 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 1: But we've talked about this all year. It's really tough to.

1121
00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:59,120
Speaker 3: Back to have any confidence in back in the Panthers,

1122
00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:03,360
Speaker 3: even when on the surface, you know, the numbers might

1123
00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 3: be a little inflated, but like the number is just

1124
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 3: a little high for me, Like I would wan Panthers,

1125
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:10,480
Speaker 3: but even with that win last week, like that's how

1126
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:13,360
Speaker 3: they reel you in, you know, and so probably nothing

1127
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:14,040
Speaker 3: for me in this game.

1128
00:59:14,080 --> 00:59:15,840
Speaker 1: Maybe a prop. What are your thoughts?

1129
00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:18,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the Panthers don't get pressure, so like

1130
00:59:18,800 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 4: that's that's how you just kill this Giants offense. That's problematic. Yeah,

1131
00:59:25,920 --> 00:59:27,960
Speaker 4: I'm close to market here. I got nothing. The streak

1132
00:59:28,040 --> 00:59:30,120
Speaker 4: is over for the Giants. They were but be listed

1133
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:35,120
Speaker 4: as a favorite for the first time in twenty five games.

1134
00:59:35,280 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 4: That is the second longest streak. The longest is the Panthers,

1135
00:59:38,720 --> 00:59:42,680
Speaker 4: who are now at thirty straight games without being a favorite.

1136
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:44,640
Speaker 4: I'm close to marketers sleep in. I don't want to

1137
00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 4: watch any part of this game.

1138
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, don't underestimate the Giants ability to give

1139
00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 3: up pressure with know Andrew Thomas, even against teams that

1140
00:59:52,720 --> 00:59:55,960
Speaker 3: you know don't have great a great pass rush like

1141
00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,280
Speaker 3: this game was another It was a candidate for a

1142
00:59:58,320 --> 01:00:00,880
Speaker 3: moneyline dog with the Panthers for me, just because it's

1143
01:00:00,920 --> 01:00:03,400
Speaker 3: a big number for the for a Giant team that

1144
01:00:03,440 --> 01:00:05,000
Speaker 3: hasn't been favored in forever either.

1145
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:08,680
Speaker 1: So uh and then Jaguars Vikings.

1146
01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:12,320
Speaker 3: The Jags are at home plus four and a half

1147
01:00:12,360 --> 01:00:14,680
Speaker 3: to total forty five and a half. And the one

1148
01:00:14,680 --> 01:00:17,800
Speaker 3: thing I noticed about this one, there's some there could

1149
01:00:17,800 --> 01:00:21,640
Speaker 3: be something going on with Trevor Lawrence. He was limited

1150
01:00:21,640 --> 01:00:25,320
Speaker 3: in practice swords in his non throwing shoulder, so it

1151
01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:28,360
Speaker 3: shouldn't be a big deal. But they also signed CJ.

1152
01:00:28,520 --> 01:00:32,280
Speaker 3: Bethard off a practice squad, so like they signed Bethord

1153
01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:33,280
Speaker 3: to the active roster.

1154
01:00:34,040 --> 01:00:35,600
Speaker 1: Now that could just beat up, you know, to have

1155
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 1: a third quarterback.

1156
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:41,240
Speaker 3: I'm ready to go, but got my attention just because

1157
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:48,120
Speaker 3: the Jaguar season is kind of circling the drain and

1158
01:00:48,160 --> 01:00:51,120
Speaker 3: now you have this, You know, your franchise quarterback is

1159
01:00:51,120 --> 01:00:55,080
Speaker 3: dealing with this mysterious soreness and you sign your former

1160
01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:58,439
Speaker 3: backup off like to your active roster, off for another

1161
01:00:58,480 --> 01:01:02,120
Speaker 3: team's practice quad. There could be something here. I don't know,

1162
01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:06,880
Speaker 3: but a lot of uncertainty. So no, nothing to bet

1163
01:01:06,920 --> 01:01:07,640
Speaker 3: for me on this game.

1164
01:01:07,640 --> 01:01:08,120
Speaker 1: What about you?

1165
01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:12,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously can't bet it without knowing if Lawrence is

1166
01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:17,280
Speaker 4: good to go. The Cam Robinson Revenge game, by the way,

1167
01:01:17,440 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 4: right already after getting traded two weeks later, Peterson said

1168
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:22,520
Speaker 4: it's too early to tell if he's gonna be able

1169
01:01:22,560 --> 01:01:25,360
Speaker 4: to play. So if he was fully healthy and playing,

1170
01:01:25,400 --> 01:01:28,160
Speaker 4: I think this his line is a bit too high,

1171
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:30,439
Speaker 4: just on principle, but I can't do anything with it now.

1172
01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:33,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, this seems like another spot where like early like

1173
01:01:33,880 --> 01:01:36,800
Speaker 3: there's probably like there's probably some money that came in

1174
01:01:36,840 --> 01:01:40,080
Speaker 3: on the Jags already. It's one of those like home

1175
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 3: dog spots that is alluring on paper, and then by

1176
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:44,600
Speaker 3: the end of the week it'll be like everyone's out

1177
01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:47,640
Speaker 3: for the Jaguars. They're tanking and and Minnesota gets right

1178
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:51,479
Speaker 3: on the road. So uh yeah, nothing nothing here. Don't

1179
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:53,840
Speaker 3: want to The Jaguars is just not a team that

1180
01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:55,960
Speaker 3: I want to be too invested in, period.

1181
01:01:56,320 --> 01:01:57,560
Speaker 1: But that is going to do it.

1182
01:01:57,600 --> 01:02:03,160
Speaker 3: For our week ten Action Network podcast, you can hear

1183
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:06,480
Speaker 3: more of me, well my guy Sean Kerner every week

1184
01:02:06,520 --> 01:02:10,360
Speaker 3: talking fantasy DFS player props all that good stuff on

1185
01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:14,280
Speaker 3: the Fantasy Flex Pod and Stuck of course college football

1186
01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:18,400
Speaker 3: over on Big Bets on Campus. You can find Stuck

1187
01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:22,160
Speaker 3: on X at Stucky two. I'm at Chris Raybond. We're

1188
01:02:22,160 --> 01:02:24,680
Speaker 3: at those same handles on a free award winning Action

1189
01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 3: Network at too next week, Let's Get Thish Money.

1190
01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:29,200
Speaker 4: Let's Get Hot.

1191
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:43,920
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1192
01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:46,720
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1193
01:02:46,760 --> 01:02:49,880
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler