WEBVTT - CFP & Conference Title Picks + Brandon Walker Interview Reaction 0:00:15.280 --> 0:00:17.280 You know what I did yesterday, Jesse, in the span 0:00:17.360 --> 0:00:20.319 of twelve hours. In the span of eight hours, I 0:00:20.360 --> 0:00:25.040 appeared publicly with Mac Brown college football legend, college football 0:00:25.040 --> 0:00:29.160 Hall of Fame, or a saint of an individual former 0:00:29.240 --> 0:00:34.760 national champion. And I appeared with Brandon Walker. The extremes 0:00:34.800 --> 0:00:38.520 of the human condition never more pronounced than my life 0:00:38.640 --> 0:00:40.960 what I experienced yesterday. And I'm going to talk about 0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:42.440 the latter of which a lot later in the show 0:00:42.440 --> 0:00:46.040 where jampacked. We're high a top of glowing downtown Nashville, Tennessee. 0:00:46.080 --> 0:00:50.519 Beautiful sunset underway outside. And look the reason I got 0:00:50.520 --> 0:00:52.000 to push all that stuff TI later in the show, 0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:57.400 is it's college football playoff prediction time. It's conference championship 0:00:57.400 --> 0:01:00.600 prediction time. Last year, I was looking at the calendar. 0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:03.440 We waited too long. Frankly, I think I got influenced 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:05.760 by some things that I heard in August, and that 0:01:05.800 --> 0:01:07.560 doesn't matter, and so I want to get it out 0:01:07.560 --> 0:01:09.559 of the way early, and we're gonna do it tonight. 0:01:09.560 --> 0:01:11.320 We're gonna do it to lead the show off. Also, 0:01:11.400 --> 0:01:13.640 the rankings came out today from the coaches, and the 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.479 coaches are telling you some things without telling you some things, 0:01:16.959 --> 0:01:19.360 or either their sids who filled the ballot out in 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:22.840 their place, or telling you some things. There is one 0:01:22.880 --> 0:01:26.600 of the more egregious teams placed in the top twenty 0:01:26.640 --> 0:01:28.959 five that I ever remember in the modern era, and 0:01:29.000 --> 0:01:31.479 we all know how far that goes back. I've got 0:01:31.520 --> 0:01:34.840 a ton of fall camp stuff, not like practice intel yet, 0:01:34.880 --> 0:01:37.720 cause most camps are just opening up or haven't opened 0:01:37.760 --> 0:01:40.240 up yet. But I got my eye on a lot 0:01:40.280 --> 0:01:43.319 of things. We're finally about to put pads on and 0:01:43.360 --> 0:01:45.480 you start figuring out some of this depth chart stuff. 0:01:45.920 --> 0:01:50.280 All that, plus I will give my own personal recount 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:54.720 of my appearance last night, my debut appearance, my hosting duties, 0:01:54.760 --> 0:01:58.080 basically on the maiden voyage of the Brandon Walker College 0:01:58.120 --> 0:02:00.840 Football Show, the second edition. The first failed, and so 0:02:00.960 --> 0:02:02.760 this is the second edition of the Brandon Walker College 0:02:02.760 --> 0:02:05.840 Football Show. They're watching us in Lakeland, Florida. They're watching 0:02:05.920 --> 0:02:10.720 us in Danville, California, Saint Paul, Minnesota, Porter Texas. Look, 0:02:10.760 --> 0:02:14.400 we're way over halfway to a million subscribers. Now. I 0:02:14.400 --> 0:02:16.280 don't know what's gonna happen the day we get there, 0:02:16.320 --> 0:02:18.280 but we got a little ways to go, and I 0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:21.040 just want to crank up the community service early. We 0:02:21.080 --> 0:02:22.639 do a lot of community service on our end. The 0:02:22.720 --> 0:02:25.240 only service we ask for in return for this free 0:02:25.280 --> 0:02:27.600 college football show, which we do multiple times per week, 0:02:27.800 --> 0:02:31.519 is please subscribe to the channel and then humbly but forcefully, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:33.400 steal the phone of five of your friends and family 0:02:33.400 --> 0:02:35.320 and close relatives and have them do the same thing 0:02:35.440 --> 0:02:39.720 with that. We are off. This is a really important 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:42.120 show because it's time to pick some winners. It's time 0:02:42.160 --> 0:02:44.920 to make some predictions. It's time to nail myself down. 0:02:45.000 --> 0:02:47.640 And it's August fourth, and you know what that means, Jesse. 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:50.920 I don't like predictions, frankly, because they set me up 0:02:50.919 --> 0:02:54.520 for failure. Think DJ Lagway, number one quarterback in SEC 0:02:54.600 --> 0:02:57.480 circa twenty twenty five. This never works out well for me. 0:02:57.600 --> 0:03:00.160 I went oh in five maybe and six picking it's 0:03:00.200 --> 0:03:04.480 Indiana last year. So take this with an entire factory 0:03:04.480 --> 0:03:06.880 of salt. And so what I'm thinking about doing is, 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:10.800 you know a little strategy called hedging. It is early August, 0:03:11.040 --> 0:03:13.440 and I am gonna make predictions tonight, and I'm not 0:03:13.440 --> 0:03:16.080 writing them in pencil. I'm writing them in dark pencil, 0:03:16.280 --> 0:03:18.720 but still irasable because if I hear some stuff in 0:03:18.760 --> 0:03:21.040 fall camp. I want to be able to er right 0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:23.400 before the season starts. So I'm gonna give you my 0:03:23.400 --> 0:03:25.480 conference winners. I'm gonna give you my playoff predictions. I'm 0:03:25.480 --> 0:03:28.240 gonna give you my national champion right here in front 0:03:28.240 --> 0:03:30.799 of God and Bradley and everyone. But I just want 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:34.359 to leave myself a small crack in the exit door 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:39.080 over here. With that in mine, Let's talk conferences first, 0:03:39.640 --> 0:03:42.320 and in no particular order. The ACC won the draft, 0:03:42.520 --> 0:03:44.680 and so the ACC is gonna go first tonight. Look, 0:03:44.680 --> 0:03:47.320 there's no reason to break these games down because number one, 0:03:47.360 --> 0:03:49.280 they may not happen, but number two, even if they do, 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:53.560 they're like four months five months away. But congratulations to 0:03:53.600 --> 0:03:56.240 Mario Cristoball in Miami. They're gonna finally do something that 0:03:56.920 --> 0:03:59.600 many said would happen a lot, but in actuality has 0:03:59.600 --> 0:04:02.760 never had happened, and that is Miami winning the ACC. Now, 0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:06.080 to quickly remind you the odds over a FanDuel. Right now, 0:04:06.120 --> 0:04:09.240 Miami is the overwhelming favorite to win the league. What's 0:04:09.360 --> 0:04:14.400 very interesting is who's theoretically number two in this conference. Well, 0:04:14.560 --> 0:04:17.520 the answer is two teams. SMU and Louisville had the 0:04:17.560 --> 0:04:22.640 exact same odds to win the ACC. Right now, I slightly, 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:27.200 ever so slightly lean SMU to face Miami in the 0:04:27.240 --> 0:04:31.960 ACC title game, which probably means Jesse, probably not definitely 0:04:32.160 --> 0:04:34.760 means that SMU, who knows when on the road and 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:37.320 beat Louisville. They do play early in the season while 0:04:37.360 --> 0:04:40.360 the rest of the Free world has their eyes focused 0:04:40.400 --> 0:04:43.359 on Oxford, Mississippi. You know, SMU and Louisville play that 0:04:43.360 --> 0:04:46.040 week two. I think on a Saturday, Jesse, we want 0:04:46.080 --> 0:04:49.760 to check that. Anyway, gimme Miami versus SMU and the 0:04:49.800 --> 0:04:53.840 ACC Championship game and gimme Miami over SMU. More on 0:04:53.880 --> 0:04:56.520 what that means from Miami and SMU in just a second. 0:04:56.640 --> 0:05:00.680 Next up the Big twelve, the Monster Energy Big Twelve 0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:04.719 drafted second, and I think we're going to have a 0:05:04.760 --> 0:05:08.680 rematch from what we had last year, at least in 0:05:08.760 --> 0:05:12.520 terms of the matchup itself. Texas Tech, even without Brendan Sowsby, 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:16.040 is still the pretty overwhelming favorite to win this league. 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:18.480 Then it's a little drop off in Brigham Young, then 0:05:18.520 --> 0:05:21.480 it's a little drop off further and Utah. And there 0:05:21.520 --> 0:05:24.040 was a rumor that went around not just the Big twelve. 0:05:24.080 --> 0:05:27.719 But the whole country last year that I was anti 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:31.320 Brigham Young. Some people made harsher accusations than that. Some 0:05:31.360 --> 0:05:34.360 people went down roads that were not comfortable going down 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:38.080 on this show, on this campus, at this university. Anyway, 0:05:38.240 --> 0:05:41.279 I heard all of it. And I also watched American Primeval, 0:05:41.279 --> 0:05:43.279 which is it's a tough watch, but I think a 0:05:43.360 --> 0:05:46.520 necessary watch because it put the fear of God and 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:49.160 me at least when it comes to Brigham Young. A 0:05:49.240 --> 0:05:52.840 dude ran a different way back then, and so I 0:05:52.920 --> 0:05:56.719 think maybe I want to lean Brigham Young slightly right 0:05:56.920 --> 0:06:02.239 now to win this league over Texas Tech. Joey McGuire 0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:05.200 enjoys this. He'll enjoy it more than any Brigham Young 0:06:05.240 --> 0:06:07.840 fan enjoys this. So I'm doing favors for everyone here. 0:06:08.160 --> 0:06:11.280 But I think that when you go through what they 0:06:11.320 --> 0:06:14.000 went through last year, which is they lost to one 0:06:14.040 --> 0:06:16.240 team twice. I was on hand the first time when 0:06:16.279 --> 0:06:19.080 they played in Lubbock, and then they got another shot 0:06:19.080 --> 0:06:21.200 against them in Texas Tech was just a better team. 0:06:21.560 --> 0:06:24.200 And then you go home to Provo for the entire 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:27.280 offseason and you just think about it, and you got 0:06:27.320 --> 0:06:30.120 all your players back, and then here comes Jesse's private 0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:32.840 jet from Penn State in and they're like, Kalani Staki, 0:06:33.080 --> 0:06:35.800 we want to hire you, and he says no, and 0:06:35.880 --> 0:06:37.920 Jesse has to go home empty handed only to cash 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:40.640 in with Matt Campbell. So all's well that ends well there, 0:06:40.800 --> 0:06:43.599 and it's just you got another shot. That group of 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:47.160 guys has another shot. I like Brigham Young and so 0:06:47.200 --> 0:06:48.920 I'm gonna slightly lean them right now to win the 0:06:48.960 --> 0:06:53.600 Big twelve. Next up, the Southeastern Conference still gonna field 0:06:53.640 --> 0:06:56.520 sixteen teams this year, and they're gonna give it the 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:59.640 good old college tribe right now. The odds in this 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:04.159 league league Georgia the favorite, Texas behind them. Actually that know, 0:07:04.200 --> 0:07:06.400 Alabama had moved up to third. Jesse, is that new 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.560 is is that odds movement? Okay, well it's Bama third, 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:12.440 LSU fourth, LSU and ole Miss are tied. LSU, ol 0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:17.400 Miss and OU tied for fourth. Okay, Well again, I'm 0:07:17.400 --> 0:07:18.960 going to talk about this more later when we talk 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.040 about the rankings in the show. But how do I 0:07:21.080 --> 0:07:23.000 think this conference is going to work itself out? Well? 0:07:23.000 --> 0:07:25.760 In early August, before we've really got an intel anywhere, 0:07:26.560 --> 0:07:30.000 why overthink the room. This is Georgia's league. This has 0:07:30.080 --> 0:07:33.560 been Georgia's league, and even though Texas has had multiple 0:07:33.560 --> 0:07:37.040 shots at him, it's remained Georgia's league. And every single 0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:40.160 time there's this giant dust cloud during the week, folks 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:43.480 hyping themselves up. I've fallen victim to this at least 0:07:43.520 --> 0:07:48.040 once or twice. I've picked Texas over Georgia, not three times, though, 0:07:48.200 --> 0:07:51.720 and it's always Georgia. So why overthink the room? Give 0:07:51.760 --> 0:07:55.560 me Georgia against Texas, and give me Georgia over Texas. 0:07:55.600 --> 0:07:57.920 And you know what, if I hear some hot rumor, 0:07:58.440 --> 0:08:01.160 if I think Rashem bay Else is going to single 0:08:01.160 --> 0:08:04.360 handedly up in this entire dynamic, If I think Cam 0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:07.080 Coleman is going to up in this entire dynamic, Hollywood 0:08:07.120 --> 0:08:10.520 Smother's about to run for fifteen hundred, including one forty 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:13.160 eight and three scores against Georgia and up in this dynamic, 0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:16.280 I'll change my pick. But I don't know that yet, 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:19.640 nor do you. So let's just yield the floor to 0:08:19.680 --> 0:08:23.120 Kirby Smart until we have reason to think otherwise. And 0:08:23.160 --> 0:08:26.560 then in the Big Ten, or as they're calling it, 0:08:27.200 --> 0:08:32.680 America's new College Football Conference patent pending, Ohio State's the 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:35.600 favorite to win this league. Oregon's a hot team, Jesse. 0:08:35.640 --> 0:08:37.800 You see how many people are picking Oregan to win 0:08:37.840 --> 0:08:41.080 this thing, and then Indiana just hohm. Coaches don't even 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:44.520 have them top five. It's just say good for you, guys, 0:08:44.640 --> 0:08:48.720 but it's it's you peaked last year. Great story, but 0:08:48.920 --> 0:08:53.920 now order is restored. Okay, USC's fourth, Michigan fifth, Penn 0:08:53.920 --> 0:08:56.199 State sixth. And there's a big drop off by the 0:08:56.240 --> 0:08:58.640 way after the top three that fits right in line 0:08:58.679 --> 0:09:02.440 with perception. We'll see what reality is. So here's where 0:09:02.440 --> 0:09:04.720 my head's at right now. I think Ohio State's going 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:07.880 to be really good, so does everyone else. I think 0:09:08.000 --> 0:09:10.880 Indiana is going to be really good, and so does 0:09:10.960 --> 0:09:16.800 most everyone else. I think we're gonna have a logjam 0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:19.360 here of one lost teams. That's kind of how I 0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:22.800 would envision the Big ten playing out right now. And 0:09:22.840 --> 0:09:24.640 I think it'd be those three teams at the top 0:09:24.679 --> 0:09:27.760 there and the way that I think the tiebreakers would work, 0:09:28.440 --> 0:09:31.240 and who I think it would send to Indianapolis right 0:09:31.320 --> 0:09:34.800 now is Ohio State in Indiana, which is a rematch 0:09:35.040 --> 0:09:38.280 of last year. Give me a different winner in that one. 0:09:38.679 --> 0:09:40.560 This is tentative, so This does not count as me 0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:42.880 picking against Indiana. Also, if I send you to the 0:09:42.880 --> 0:09:44.719 conference title game, am I really picking against you? I 0:09:44.760 --> 0:09:48.000 don't think so, but reasonable minds can disagree there. Ohio 0:09:48.000 --> 0:09:51.000 State over Indiana as of early August is where I'm 0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:55.240 leaning in the Big ten. So our recap in the 0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:59.439 conference picture, our recap is Notre Dame was the best independent. 0:09:59.480 --> 0:10:02.640 I shouldn't know ute that. Congrats to the Irish. Miami 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:06.840 wins the ACC, Brigham Young wins the Big twelve, Ohio 0:10:06.880 --> 0:10:10.600 State wins the Big Ten, Georgia wins the SEC. There's 0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:14.440 no big shot there. That's three favorites, and then Brigham 0:10:14.480 --> 0:10:16.760 Young's the number two on the odds board in the 0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:21.200 Big twelve courtesy of fan duel. Now gets a little fun, 0:10:21.240 --> 0:10:23.480 and it also gets a little interesting, and frankly gets 0:10:23.480 --> 0:10:25.840 a little tricky as we try and figure out how 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:29.280 this seeding would look. So, as you may have heard, 0:10:29.320 --> 0:10:32.160 Notre Dame's not in a conference, so you have zero 0:10:32.280 --> 0:10:35.319 context clues as to how good they were by looking 0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:37.640 at that lineup. But I'll tell you how good they were. 0:10:38.240 --> 0:10:43.800 They went undefeated, So they're number one overall in the 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:47.719 playoff rankings. I would think Ohio State would have to 0:10:47.760 --> 0:10:51.319 be number two as a result of them being the 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:54.480 best team in the best conference. I would say Miami 0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:58.200 third and I put Georgia fourth. And the reason Georgia 0:10:58.280 --> 0:11:00.720 would be fourth here is I'm I'm just not sure 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:04.559 even the SEC champion is making it through the SEC unscathed, 0:11:05.559 --> 0:11:09.520 maybe even two losses. But I'm thinking there's a greater 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:13.720 likelihood that Georgia emerges kind of like they did last year, 0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:19.560 kind of beat up conference champ. But Miami if their 0:11:19.559 --> 0:11:22.200 only loss is on the road at Notre Dame and 0:11:22.240 --> 0:11:24.360 Notre Dame's your number one team, I just think that 0:11:24.480 --> 0:11:27.280 resume may be good enough. Where Miami just won a 0:11:27.280 --> 0:11:29.920 conference title, they look good in the process, I think 0:11:29.960 --> 0:11:32.160 they may lock down the number three spots. So Notre Dame, 0:11:32.160 --> 0:11:36.400 Ohio State, Miami, Georgia is your one through four. This 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:38.920 is where I got to figure it out. So Indiana, 0:11:39.040 --> 0:11:41.720 if they lose the Big Ten championship game, they're not 0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:45.280 dropping far. And I think maybe they only drop behind 0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:47.800 Georgia as a result of Georgia being a conference champ. 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:51.480 So I've got Indiana five, I've got Texas six, So 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:53.640 I think it's kind of a similar vibe to last year, 0:11:53.679 --> 0:11:57.480 where your teams that were participants in the Big Ten 0:11:57.520 --> 0:12:00.719 and the SEC championship games they don't drop much, if 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:04.040 at all. And then we got to figure out what 0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:08.640 the committee does with Big Twelve champion Brigham Young, and 0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:11.560 I also had to figure out if we could have 0:12:11.600 --> 0:12:14.520 two Big twelve teams. Now, I played with this scenario 0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:18.079 for a second. I thought to myself self, what if 0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:22.680 Texas Tech goes undefeated regular season? What if Brigham Young's 0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:27.000 only loss is at home to Notre Dame and they 0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:31.040 go to the Big Twelve title game and Brigham Young wins. 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:35.160 At that point, do I think Texas Tech is gonna 0:12:35.200 --> 0:12:37.800 go from being an undefeated top five team to all 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.480 the way out of the rankings. I don't think they would. 0:12:40.960 --> 0:12:44.040 So to be very clear, if that's like one loss 0:12:44.080 --> 0:12:47.400 Brigham Young against undefeated Texas Tech and Brigham Young wins it, 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:49.160 I think you got two Big twelve teams in the playoff. 0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:53.760 I think maybe there's one more blemish for Texas Tech. Therefore, 0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:57.760 I think Brigham Young is your seven seed. I guess 0:12:57.800 --> 0:12:59.720 the better way to put that is the Big Twelve 0:12:59.800 --> 0:13:02.320 chance is your seven seed, and in this case, it's 0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:05.000 Brigham Young and I think Texas Tech dropped out, which 0:13:05.080 --> 0:13:08.520 is kind of a wild scenario, But in this scenario, 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:10.880 that's how it worked out. Give me Oregon at eight, 0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:23.600 Oklahoma at nine, LSU at ten, USC at eleven. Certain 0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:26.480 staff members are shaking their head. You want to doubt 0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:29.360 Lincoln Riley good, you've been very successful over the last 0:13:29.360 --> 0:13:32.520 half deck Gabe, that's about to come to an abrupt halt. 0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:34.319 Put that eleven seed in your pipe and smoke it. 0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:36.680 Jesse not in the building though. And then twelfth is 0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:43.360 Boise State. Look, we threw army and navy around. Who 0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:46.400 else did we throw it? We threw UTSA, we threw 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:50.720 unlv I tossed New Mexico in. There was some Billy 0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:54.000 Napier smoke at JMU for a little while. Still is 0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:57.120 fire's not out in there for the time being. Let's 0:13:57.160 --> 0:14:00.439 put let's put Boise State in the G five seed 0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:04.680 there the obligatory G six excuse me, G six twelve seed. 0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:08.679 I don't think if you're listening on podcasts and you're 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.480 a visual learner, I don't quite think you understand what 0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:14.360 just happened here. Because it's time to look at the bracket, 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:18.400 and I don't quite think people understand what it means. If, 0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:22.960 for example, Brigham Young is the seventh seed and LSU 0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:24.920 is the ten seed, I'll tell you what it means. 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:28.560 It means LSU playing a playoff game in Provo, Utah 0:14:28.560 --> 0:14:31.920 in December. It means the greatest clash of cultures in 0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:35.720 the history of this country. I'm talking about revolutionary war 0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:38.600 up to and including everything that's ever happened in the 0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:44.880 history of this country. If people from Thibodaux, Louisiana storm Provo, Utah, 0:14:45.200 --> 0:14:48.720 We've never seen anything like it. That is irresistible force, 0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:53.320 that is immovable object, greater than any WrestleMania ever gave us. 0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:57.120 And that's not even to determine the outcome of the game. 0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.560 That's just who survives and kind of makes it to 0:14:59.640 --> 0:15:02.360 the game, so to speak. So we've got LSU Brigham 0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:05.800 Young playing in round one. This would give us USC 0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:11.800 at Texas in round one. I've got Oklahoma going on 0:15:11.840 --> 0:15:15.560 the road to Oregon and then Indiana as a result 0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:19.160 of being the five seed, which again in this brief 0:15:19.240 --> 0:15:21.960 history of the twelve team playoff era, that's been the 0:15:22.000 --> 0:15:27.200 spot you want to be in. They draw Boise. So 0:15:27.240 --> 0:15:32.920 how would this shake out? Firstly, up in Eugene, this 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:36.200 is Dan Lanning's shot. Okay, Dan Lanning, I think he 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:39.400 just had a really good year. He's the eight seed, Okay, 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:44.200 So he's in the playoff and they've been bounced emphatically 0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:47.240 two years in a row. They've got to win that game. 0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:50.720 I think they do. So I think Oregon over Oklahoma 0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:52.840 is how i'd pick it right now. Again, I've got 0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.760 entire of August, or the entirety of August changed my mind. 0:15:56.120 --> 0:16:02.760 Indiana would route Boise. LSU goes into Brigham Young and 0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.000 I think they leave a part of their soul there. 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.720 But I think they win the game because they just 0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:11.360 be better. You also got to understand, and more on 0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:14.000 my thinking here in a second. If LSU's made the playoff, 0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:16.680 that means Laying got that group of players to come together, 0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:19.600 and that means they gelled, they coalesced, and they're probably 0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:23.840 clicking pretty good by this point. USC at Texas in 0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:28.840 round one's awesome. It's a uniform game. It's Lincoln Riley 0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:31.760 coming home. Although Lincoln Riley's a West Texas guys, I 0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:34.480 don't think he would call Austin home and I don't 0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:36.760 think they would welcome him home. And I don't think 0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:39.200 it matters because they're gonna lose to Texas. So give 0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:43.080 me Texas over USC. But Lincoln Riley made the playoff, Jesse, 0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:47.040 so y'all can shut up, no hot seat, Lincoln Riley 0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:49.520 made the playoff. That's what we needed from him. Playoff 0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:54.560 or bust. Well, playoff, so no bust again. If you're 0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:58.160 listening on podcast, there are some of us out here 0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.600 who fought against playoff expansion. I'm one of them. I 0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.440 also freely admit to you I think the sport of 0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:08.680 college football has grown into twelve teams being perfect because 0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:11.200 the top of the sport got flatten like play dough. 0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:16.000 And so as a result, look at the second round 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:20.560 of this playoff. These are your matchups. If you're listening 0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:24.160 somewhere driving around in Waterloo, Iowa, this would be Oregon 0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.840 going to Notre Dame. This would be Georgia going to Indiana. 0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:34.639 LSU goes to Ohio State, Miami goes to Texas. Oh no, 0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.480 they don't, do they No, I'm messing with you, No 0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:40.520 they don't. That's the way it should be. We should 0:17:40.600 --> 0:17:43.640 have two rounds of playoff games on CAMPI plural of campus, 0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:47.000 but we don't, so we still get awesome matchups. They're 0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:52.199 just going to be in sterile NFL stadiums because that's 0:17:52.320 --> 0:17:56.160 how we do the playoff right now. But nevertheless, Oregon, 0:17:56.200 --> 0:18:02.280 Notre Dame, Georgia, Indiana, LSU, Ohio State in Miami, Texas. 0:18:03.320 --> 0:18:06.280 I guess if you could hand pick the lineups, maybe 0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:08.760 you could make some tweaks here and there and improve it, 0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:11.520 but you can't improve that by much. Like that's an 0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:17.280 insane second round there. So I'll take Notre Dame over Oregon. 0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:21.200 That's my one seed, and they're sitting there rested, they're 0:18:21.240 --> 0:18:24.040 ready to go. They've got last year still fresh on 0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:28.040 their mind. And what that would mean for Oregon, we 0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:30.520 can figure that out. That's well down the road. I 0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:34.040 think I'd go Indiana over Georgia. What I'm thinking there 0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:37.520 is if Indiana is in the playoff, they had the 0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:40.320 first round game and then they get Georgia and this 0:18:40.840 --> 0:18:43.840 spot historically is not being good. Indiana is the only 0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.640 team that's figured out how to play rested in the playoffs. 0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:50.760 Georgia has suffered twice in two years in this role. 0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:52.639 So I think they make it a third year, because 0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:55.040 in this scenario, that means Josh Hoover ended up being 0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.480 really good, and that means I've got Indiana maybe the 0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:00.760 best coaching staff in the country, if not one of 0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.440 the top two, top three in the country. Georgia staff 0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:06.399 not bad either, But if Indiana is humming by that point, 0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:10.040 you probably have an edgicate quarterback. I would guess, Okay, 0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:16.400 LSU and Ohio State. I'd lean Ohio State. And that's 0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:19.320 just an organization thing. That's just They've got a bunch 0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:23.120 of folks who have been there, done that, and are 0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:26.880 trying to do it again. That's Julian saying second time around. 0:19:27.840 --> 0:19:29.919 I just think I'd lean them at the moment. And 0:19:30.119 --> 0:19:35.520 Miami in Texas, that's that's really really tough. But I'm 0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:38.440 gonna lean Texas ever so slightly. Right now, I'm gonna 0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:40.800 lean Texas. That's a fifty one to forty nine coin 0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:43.800 flip virtually in my mind. Right now, your final four 0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:47.040 is Notre Dame Indiana on one side of the bracket, 0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:50.200 Ohio State, Texas on the other side of the bracket. 0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:55.320 What a time for the State of Indiana. Just what 0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.160 a moment. This is the biggest occurrence since the birth 0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:00.800 of Larry Bird. I would say, in this state of Indiana, 0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:06.160 I think Notre Dame wins this game right now in August. 0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:10.240 And on the other side, I think I would very 0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:15.280 so slightly lean Texas. I think that combination of players 0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.200 plus them getting on a role in the postseason at 0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:21.320 its best is a really, really tough out and Notre 0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:27.480 Dame Texas is an unbelievable national championship game. Coin up 0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:32.280 in the air it lands Notre Dame. Notre Name won 0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:37.439 the national championship in August. Would that schedule Jesse not 0:20:37.600 --> 0:20:40.920 battle tested at all? Imagine a team with that kind 0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:42.919 of schedule winning it all. It's almost like the schedule 0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:45.640 didn't matter once the playoffs started. So, and I want 0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:49.520 to emphasize in early August, that is how I see 0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:52.400 this entire picture playing out. Now here's the nightmare scenario. 0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:56.480 The nightmare scenario is, this is a perfect bracket and 0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.600 I mess it up in late August because I see 0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.879 something going to some practices, I read some things on 0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:06.920 some message boards, I get influenced by corrupt members of 0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:09.040 the staff, and all of a sudden, I got Penn 0:21:09.040 --> 0:21:11.679 State with a first round by somehow having won the 0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:14.280 Big ten. I'm trying to guard against it. It's what 0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:17.480 I'm saying. But none of us are perfect. None of 0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:21.159 us are perfect, and even when we are, kids, coaches 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:24.720 and officials can screw it up for you famously, That's 0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:26.560 happened to me a lot. If people don't know that, 0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:29.679 I picked one hundred percent winners last year in games 0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:33.480 that kids, coaches and officials did not screw up. So 0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:35.960 prayers up for us. All, all right, let's move on. 0:21:36.160 --> 0:21:38.720 Coaches pole drop today. I don't know if you heard this. 0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:42.439 Let me make sure this screen is right there we go, 0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:46.440 So the coaches pole drop today, Top twenty five. Some 0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:49.879 of it makes sense. Some of it is so bad. 0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:53.040 I thought that we were looking at typos. I thought 0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:56.040 it was I thought we were getting punked dead serious. 0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:58.240 Now not in the top five. But there is a 0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:03.000 team in the top twenty five that defies all conventional wisdom, 0:22:03.359 --> 0:22:06.440 and I can only think it's wizardry at work. I'll 0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:08.120 talk to you about it in a second. So your 0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:12.320 top five, Ohio State's number one. That's pretty supreme. Respect 0:22:12.320 --> 0:22:15.960 the top five. For the record, I couldn't see I 0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.240 don't think anyone's going to rank Georgia number one. I 0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:22.560 could see someone ranking any of the other top six 0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:26.960 number one, so Ohio State, Oregon, Georgia, Texas. Notre Dame 0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:30.840 is the top five, Indiana with six, Notre Dame at five. 0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:34.600 I'm not going to argue a coach's poll in August. 0:22:34.880 --> 0:22:38.920 I would just humbly love to know what's the explanation there, 0:22:39.040 --> 0:22:41.600 because I think Notre Dame belongs higher than five. So 0:22:41.720 --> 0:22:46.639