Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is Leading
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Speaker 1: When you do, it's me Joey p that's the Welsh,
Speaker 1: and it's you the Peanuts, the Cracker Jacks hanging out.
Speaker 1: We've got a fun day plan for y'all today. Welsh
Speaker 1: and I are live today on the program. Just a reminder,
Speaker 1: we're not live tomorrow, but Wednesday. We have a very
Speaker 1: special MLB Draft podcast audio only, so if you watch
Speaker 1: us on the YouTube, youre gonna have to go over
Speaker 1: to the audio feed if you haven't subscribed to Fantasy
Speaker 1: Pros over there the MLB show, the MLB Fantasy of
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. It's so beautiful, it's so fun that way
Speaker 1: you can listen to it and check out all the
Speaker 1: amazing content. Because Welsh was going through all of the prospects.
Speaker 1: He's a big time prospect guy. Everybody knows that he's
Speaker 1: on TV this weekend talking about prospects. So it's nice
Speaker 1: to have not one, but two television celebrities here on
Speaker 1: the show today.
Speaker 2: First TV stars. Yeah, I'm very tired. I'm very tired
Speaker 2: from yesterday. And TV's fun, especially when there's a chance
Speaker 2: that they thought you were someone else. That is also
Speaker 2: the other like amazing thing.
Speaker 3: There's no yeah, tell me a story, because apparently they
Speaker 3: booked you, but somebody in the production pipeline thought that
Speaker 3: you were Chris Welsh, the ex picture and broadcaster, not
Speaker 3: Chris Welsh, the co host of Leading Off of the
Speaker 3: host of Prospect one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is actually not the first or second
Speaker 2: time that this has happened. I feel like I need
Speaker 2: to start doing it. So I didn't even know this.
Speaker 2: So I was on CBS Sports HQ this weekend awesome
Speaker 2: by the way, with Larry Ridley. He was great, and
Speaker 2: you know, we're doing the thing blah blah blah, lots
Speaker 2: of stuff. And then I get a text halfway through
Speaker 2: from Frank Stanfol and Frank goes lo ol Chris Welsh
Speaker 2: the picture and I go what And then I see
Speaker 2: a text about it and at some point in the
Speaker 2: under overlay Chris Wells should get blah blah blah. Jim
Speaker 2: Boden was supposed to be on this and he wasn't
Speaker 2: and I was there, So maybe there's somebody that thought
Speaker 2: like they were getting that, and then there was a
Speaker 2: moment like after the first hit. I did like four
Speaker 2: hits with them, and there was a moment off like
Speaker 2: the first one they got in my ear and they're like, hey, Chris,
Speaker 2: what's your Twitter handle again? And I told it to them.
Speaker 2: I didn't think anything of it because this then happened
Speaker 2: like twenty minutes later. So there's like a chance that
Speaker 2: just one person. They were all awesome, by the way,
Speaker 2: but there one person was like, oh, awesome, we didn't
Speaker 2: get Boden, we got Chris Welsh.
Speaker 1: The pitch even better. I don't think I know.
Speaker 2: I'm aging, but I don't think I looked like I
Speaker 2: pitched in the early eighties. I don't think I have
Speaker 2: that look.
Speaker 1: But no, I don't know. I mean maybe with the mustache.
Speaker 1: For those of you who missed that show last week that.
Speaker 2: I actually think I looked a little bit younger with them.
Speaker 1: I think when you put the glasses on, that was
Speaker 1: really little look. But regardless your TV star now, no
Speaker 1: matter who you know, I should start pretending that I'm
Speaker 1: David Draymond from Disturbed, or you know, maybe I should
Speaker 1: go buy the Joe Pisapia, you know, the guitar player
Speaker 1: for the band Guster. Maybe somebody get in some fancy
Speaker 1: restaurants or something. You know, there's funny.
Speaker 2: There's this. There's a picture this weekend of like a
Speaker 2: lookalike Taylor Swift with Drake. If you did the thing
Speaker 2: with the lip.
Speaker 1: The little lippy thing one piercing you.
Speaker 2: If you walked around. I guarantee, if you walked around
Speaker 2: New York with the lippy thing, you would get people
Speaker 2: wanting to take your picture. One hour of walking with you,
Speaker 2: no less than ten autographs picture.
Speaker 1: I'm all for it. I have called, by the way,
Speaker 1: and made reservations at restaurants for pretending to be other
Speaker 1: celebrity people or taking care of it. I have done
Speaker 1: that in the past and then use the reservations for
Speaker 1: myself when I worked at the hotel and a lot
Speaker 1: of fancy people coming around with fancy places, so I
Speaker 1: would often, you know, say hey, you know I couldn't
Speaker 1: get into a restaurant, couldn't get into a place. I'll
Speaker 1: take care of it. I'll call from work and pretend
Speaker 1: that I'm making a reservation for somebody else, and you're like, hi, guys, yeah,
Speaker 1: executives coming in from X y Z. Yeah, yeah, I've
Speaker 1: done that.
Speaker 2: It's a good time.
Speaker 1: Let's get to some baseball talk, shall we, Because again,
Speaker 1: just to reiterate Wednesday, we're dropping the MLB Draft Podcast.
Speaker 1: On Tuesday, no show, no show live, We're taking the
Speaker 1: day off All Star Game. Everybody enjoyed themselves Thursday's and
Speaker 1: off day. Then Friday, Scott Boggman and myself we're gonna
Speaker 1: be here live on leading off. So if you want
Speaker 1: the live action, come join us again on Friday. Then
Speaker 1: back to business as usual next Monday. Just to give
Speaker 1: everybody an idea, So Monday here, Wednesday, audio only, MLB
Speaker 1: Draft Pod, Friday picking things up again, looking forward to
Speaker 1: the weekend, so everybody takes a little breath, a little reset'.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about what happened on the weekend. Mae Machado
Speaker 1: picking up some steam, back to back wins against the
Speaker 1: Mets there, so he had a nice pair of home runs.
Speaker 1: The overall stat line starting to come up a little bit. Still,
Speaker 1: some things obviously that are going, you know, to look
Speaker 1: bad at the end of the year because of the
Speaker 1: long stretch of well not being good. But nonetheless Padre's
Speaker 1: pitching looks really good too. Joe Musgrove really good performance.
Speaker 1: Seven k's and six shutout innings. Blake Snell another double
Speaker 1: digit K game, Welsh eleven strikeouts this time. I'm telling
Speaker 1: you the Blake Snell narrative is going to start to grow.
Speaker 1: I might have to, now that Clayton Kershaw's having some
Speaker 1: health issues, start to hedge a little bit with maybe
Speaker 1: a little Blake Snell share, little Blake Snell. Oh on
Speaker 1: the say, young man, that is a trip.
Speaker 2: Man, I'm staying hydre. Yeah, great baby. The manamn Chada thing.
Speaker 2: By the way, three straight months of boost on his average.
Speaker 2: He was down to two seventeen in May, hit two
Speaker 2: sixty two, up to four hundred this month, and he
Speaker 2: has more homers in July than he had in June
Speaker 2: and May combine. So it's just about these guys. Click
Speaker 2: and Savant. Page still looks pretty crappy, but it's just
Speaker 2: starting to move up. He's starting to, you know, get
Speaker 2: collected with all his stuff here. This is why you
Speaker 2: make those bets, all those guys, I mean under the
Speaker 2: biggest thing that that team had struggling with themselves is
Speaker 2: there was a collection of some of their best players
Speaker 2: that were struggling at the same time as one Soto
Speaker 2: Hitt an elite level. No, but Joe Musgrove looks great.
Speaker 2: They're pitching and it's all led by Blake Snell, which
Speaker 2: is the wildest. So all they're waiting for now is
Speaker 2: you Darvish to find his rhythm and that team's gonna
Speaker 2: be wild as we go into break with the Diamondbacks
Speaker 2: and Dodgers like tied. I think the Dodgers might be
Speaker 2: a half game up or they're tied with like a
Speaker 2: tiebreaker of playing the series going to the d Backs.
Speaker 2: But like this division is still wide, wide open, and
Speaker 2: the Padres are running. Man.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Padres, I'm telling you, if they can just
Speaker 1: get hot at the right time and just backdoor themselves
Speaker 1: into the playoffs, there're gonna be a lot to handle
Speaker 1: with Snell Musgrove and if Darvish can figure himself out. Also,
Speaker 1: I'm remiss. I want to give a shout out to
Speaker 1: our friend the Wonky Penguin, Kelly. You filled in for
Speaker 1: me Fridays or I could take a day off with
Speaker 1: the Kato's. We went to SmackDown at Madison Square Garden.
Speaker 1: We went to Italy and New York. We went to
Speaker 1: Madame Tusso's. We had a great time and a lot
Speaker 1: of wax celebrities. It was great. So Kelly does kick ass,
Speaker 1: and Kelly will be on the show more when I'm
Speaker 1: not so fear not, whether she likes it or not.
Speaker 1: The Wonky Penguin's gonna come back with more baseball talk.
Speaker 2: What was the creepiest of the wax figures? Was there
Speaker 2: one that really got.
Speaker 1: You to got me? Or that I took a few
Speaker 1: selfies with? Is that what you mean? Because I may
Speaker 1: or may not have taken a couple of selfies with
Speaker 1: myself and Scarlet Johansson. I'm just saying it may or
Speaker 1: may not have happened. It probably did happen. In fact,
Speaker 1: I think it did happen. That's what I'm gonna say
Speaker 1: about that. Let's move on to the next. Hazel's Lizardo.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about him. There, Well, the best one though
Speaker 1: there wasn't Eli Manning. So I did take a picture
Speaker 1: and said that to Debro because we always have the argument.
Speaker 1: I always call him Hall of Famer Eli Manning, which
Speaker 1: makes Debro upset. Hazel's Lozardo Welsh. Here we go again,
Speaker 1: six and a third nine strikeouts. I'm telling you, I
Speaker 1: want to hear you say it. He is elite? Can
Speaker 1: you say it now? After this performance and we got
Speaker 1: in there, you keep saying he's, well, he's kind of
Speaker 1: right around there.
Speaker 2: He's pretty close to elite.
Speaker 1: Can we just call him elite? Like? What are we
Speaker 1: waiting for here?
Speaker 2: Can we just you don't need my validation?
Speaker 1: I feel like I do. I feel like I want
Speaker 1: your validation. And I don't know why I'm having this issue.
Speaker 2: Two more starts. If he does this two more starts,
Speaker 2: I will call him elite. I would want to buy him.
Speaker 1: You know why.
Speaker 2: I would want to buy him too, because I don't
Speaker 2: think he lives in that territory of elite, so the
Speaker 2: cost isn't in that. So it's like a second half buy.
Speaker 2: I think it's a great person buy. It's not someone
Speaker 2: I'm trying to sell. There's a borderline. Like I think
Speaker 2: Blake Snell is the most difficult because I was the buyer.
Speaker 2: I think I put him twice in the buy videos
Speaker 2: in the first half. I was buying. Now he's so good,
Speaker 2: it's like, oh my god, they're gonna keep being this good.
Speaker 2: This might if you are the seller type and you
Speaker 2: like to move these type of guys where I don't
Speaker 2: think Hazus Lozardo is someone that is so good that's
Speaker 2: not sustainable. Not saying that Blake isn't also not sustainable,
Speaker 2: but I would like to buy Hazu's Lizardo for the
Speaker 2: potential that he is elite in the second half, because
Speaker 2: he doesn't come at that cost right now.
Speaker 1: Well, just so you know, Blake Snell is the fourth
Speaker 1: pitcher in strikeouts, tied at least with chovo Otana one
Speaker 1: third two right behind him at one twenty nine has
Speaker 1: Lizardo the Jesus lizard. That's right. I just wanted to
Speaker 1: take a quick look too, because I want to take
Speaker 1: a look see about the play of future is on
Speaker 1: betting pros and see where Blake Snell's best number is.
Speaker 1: Right now, you want to take a guess what that
Speaker 1: number is now for Cy Young, for Blake Snell. Just
Speaker 1: want to throw that out to you. It was plus
Speaker 1: thirty three hundred where it opened. No, it is not
Speaker 1: six to one. It is still plus eighteen hundred. You
Speaker 1: can get it. You can get it at Caesar's at
Speaker 1: plus eighteen hundred on betting pros plus twelve hundred on
Speaker 1: bet MGM and FanDuel who's above and a d DK
Speaker 1: is already a plus nine to fifty, still above him
Speaker 1: usual suspects. Kershaw is at plus four hundred, Gallon at
Speaker 1: plus two fifty, Stryder at plus five seventy five, and
Speaker 1: then Blake Snell. So I'm just saying, Blake Snell, if
Speaker 1: he keeps on this path, it's gonna be him and
Speaker 1: Strider at the end. Now, I made the early investment
Speaker 1: on Strider and Gallon. I'm still happy with that. I
Speaker 1: hedged on Kersh. I usually don't hedge at all, but
Speaker 1: now with the Kershaw injury, I feel like my hedge
Speaker 1: with Kershaw is looking dicey. So I'm concerned. So I'm
Speaker 1: watching this number very closely. Y'all should be watching it too.
Speaker 1: Steven matts or season high nine strikeouts five and a
Speaker 1: third on Sunday for him, so he kind of working
Speaker 1: his way potentially back into good graces now that it
Speaker 1: matters for the Cardinals. Shoe Heo Tani went three for
Speaker 1: four over the weekend, hit his thirty second home run. Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: TikTok shoe Heo Tani trade tick talk. Spencer Strider another
Speaker 1: great performance for him to eleven strikeouts six and a third.
Speaker 1: I'm telling you the Blake SNeW Spencer Strider strikeout props.
Speaker 1: Even when these numbers are eight and a half. Dare
Speaker 1: I say nine and a half. You gotta go the over,
Speaker 1: which is crazy right now, but Welsh, that's where we're living.
Speaker 1: I want to talk about this too because we got
Speaker 1: some rookie lookie stuff to talk about. Again. Just a
Speaker 1: reminder if you're just joining us live Wednesday, we're gonna
Speaker 1: drop an audio only podcast. MLB Draft was fun. Scott
Speaker 1: Bogman was there. I can't wait to talk to him
Speaker 1: live about it and see takeaway was.
Speaker 2: He'll be and this is what it's gonna be great
Speaker 2: about you guys talking with bugs. He was at the draft,
Speaker 2: he was at the Futures game. He's going to the
Speaker 2: home run derby tonight, and he's going to the All Stars.
Speaker 2: I mean, he got the whole strip. He's going to everything.
Speaker 1: So he will what good insight, show me what life
Speaker 1: looks like with no children for a thousand, It's.
Speaker 2: Yeah, show me the privilege time. Oh He's like, I'm
Speaker 2: just like, hey, what are you doing? He's like, you're
Speaker 2: staying up late, eating horrible food, taking ubers and just
Speaker 2: having the time of his life. Like I'm like, oh,
Speaker 2: that's great, man, I hope you're.
Speaker 1: Having freaking jealous so freaking jealous of him, rookie. Looky,
Speaker 1: Miguel Vargas got sent down to Triple Egg. Now he
Speaker 1: has not been good, So we'll see if he can
Speaker 1: get right. We'll see if they recall him after the break,
Speaker 1: if they want to get more at bats or not.
Speaker 1: I don't know what's going to go on here. Pay
Speaker 1: closer to attention to this. We had this little discussion
Speaker 1: right about well, you can move Max Munsey the second
Speaker 1: if you take on the run Dome contract. By the way,
Speaker 1: the Rendon contract thirty eight million dollars and twenty four
Speaker 1: thirty eight million dollars and twenty five thirty eight million
Speaker 1: dollars in twenty twenty six. Do you imagine how much
Speaker 1: money is still left on that deal?
Speaker 2: You know, I do like the idea. I'm still going
Speaker 2: to hold to this, Like I just, oh, Donny, he's
Speaker 2: not getting traded, but if he were, that team one
Speaker 2: hundred percent wants to put Rendon, you know, feet to
Speaker 2: the fire. Into trade, Like, if you're gonna take on Antony,
Speaker 2: you got to take this.
Speaker 1: But I don't even think you could take all of it,
Speaker 1: just a portion of Rendon.
Speaker 2: I don't see how a team does any of that.
Speaker 2: That is, I think they.
Speaker 1: Think a worship of tracks. It is going to be
Speaker 1: what I mean, it's so funny. We keep looking back
Speaker 1: in the Nationals after the World Series, they had that
Speaker 1: dividing line of what they were gonna spend money on,
Speaker 1: and they had a choice. It was Strasburg or Rendome,
Speaker 1: and there turns out that there was no good answer.
Speaker 1: The correct answer was Juan Soto, but instead they played around.
Speaker 1: They pussy footed around with that and won. Soto ended
Speaker 1: up getting too a bad spot and then you had
Speaker 1: to end up trading him, and I guarantee you they
Speaker 1: regret that decision. That was the my only worst decision.
Speaker 2: Problem with that is the Angels can if they were
Speaker 2: to make this move, they cannot afford for it to
Speaker 2: look bad. So the problem is is if you put
Speaker 2: Rendon in it, it lessens what you would get in return,
Speaker 2: and they're not going to be able to sell that
Speaker 2: to anybody. There's no chance they do that. I think
Speaker 2: Rendon can't be involved in it because they need to
Speaker 2: get the biggest freakin' hall that they possibly can.
Speaker 1: If you're going to rebuild the Angels organization, as important
Speaker 1: as it is to have you know, a wealth of prospects,
Speaker 1: if you had to maybe get one big prospect or
Speaker 1: two as opposed to three or four and get them
Speaker 1: to take a piece of the Rendount contract, that frees
Speaker 1: you up, I think a lot more as an organization,
Speaker 1: does it not?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I know it frees you as an organization,
Speaker 2: But to be like, okay, you could get you know,
Speaker 2: three huge impact prospects close to the majors and two more,
Speaker 2: or if you get rid of Rendon and have a
Speaker 2: little bit more financial flexibility, you can just get to
Speaker 2: one really great prospect in another. I think people would
Speaker 2: be pissed. I think people would be pissed if this
Speaker 2: doesn't look as big or bigger than the ones, so
Speaker 2: trade even though.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be pissed anyway.
Speaker 2: But it's not gonna happen, so it doesn't matter.
Speaker 1: So well it's gonna happen, They're gonna be pissed anyway,
Speaker 1: so you might as well do whatever's best for the organization.
Speaker 1: Jackson Holiday, by the way, got a promotion from double
Speaker 1: A to uh. Well, from no single high h double
Speaker 1: single A to double A pardon to Bowie uh which
Speaker 1: is where everybody sings like David Bowie. There he is
Speaker 1: slashing three, fourteen, four, fifty two, four, eighty eight, five dingers,
Speaker 1: thirty five or seventeen steals, also fifty four strikeouts to
Speaker 1: fifty walks over fifty seven games. Are you happy with
Speaker 1: the progress from Jackson Holiday? If you're a Dynasty owner
Speaker 1: right now, you were.
Speaker 2: About to do fifty five burgers fifty five shicks. You
Speaker 2: know what's funny about that? I was doing I did
Speaker 2: a show with a Stanfull and CBS and we were
Speaker 2: talking about the guys that just got drafted, and in
Speaker 2: the conversation it was like, oh, you know, there's some
Speaker 2: of these college guys and you know they're probably not,
Speaker 2: you know, gonna be pushed super hard next year or
Speaker 2: anything like that. And I was like, well, one year
Speaker 2: ago today, High School Jackson Holiday, High School, Jackson High
Speaker 2: was drafted and he's in double A. That means he's
Speaker 2: going to potentially produce next year, like he is in
Speaker 2: contention for.
Speaker 1: Could he get bumped again. Could he cause me a
Speaker 1: triple a bump if he had Let's say, let's say
Speaker 1: July goes crushingly, well.
Speaker 2: Absolutely can make the jump if he If he goes
Speaker 2: July August and then September comes in you one hundred.
Speaker 2: I guess there's a minimal stuff in September, but one
Speaker 2: hundred percent could get one more boost. I can almost
Speaker 2: guarantee you he's going to the Arizona Fall League. Like
Speaker 2: I'm starting to kind of collect in my mind the
Speaker 2: players that will play in the Fall League. They talked
Speaker 2: about it on the broadcast. Max Mayer is one that
Speaker 2: we know is planning to go to the Fall League.
Speaker 2: Jackson Holiday will be there because he is going to
Speaker 2: be in contention for a spot next season. He is
Speaker 2: as soon as Ellie graduates, it's my number one prospect.
Speaker 2: Ellie's gonna probably graduate early next week and he will
Speaker 2: be my number one Dynasty prospect as far as prospects go.
Speaker 1: Question for you on that discussion when it comes to
Speaker 1: Jack and Holiday making this jump and potentially being there,
Speaker 1: does that make Jordan Westburg potentially available in a trade
Speaker 1: for more starting pitching help for the Baltimore Oo's this
Speaker 1: year because the Orioles are in it. I know Gibson
Speaker 1: had a good performance this weekend. I know, you know,
Speaker 1: some of the other pitchers have had their moments. Grayson
Speaker 1: Rodriguez could also just you know, be brought up and
Speaker 1: they could say, okay, well that's our move. But do
Speaker 1: you think that they trade one of these infield prospects
Speaker 1: that they have since holiday is you know, on that
Speaker 1: fast track to acquire a starting pitcher maybe for this
Speaker 1: year and next, Like could they be looking at a
Speaker 1: g lead or could they be looking at somebody like
Speaker 1: that who you know, potentially could help them for a
Speaker 1: year plus.
Speaker 2: Definitely possibility. I don't want to be like no, but
Speaker 2: one of the reasons they could have brought them up
Speaker 2: to start, you know, showcasing them. A lot of teams
Speaker 2: are going to look for like major league ready prospects
Speaker 2: in these type of trades, especially big ones. Someone in
Speaker 2: the chat just said cease to Baltimore. There's actually been
Speaker 2: a Arizona Diamondbacks Jordan Lawler for cease rumor that's floated around.
Speaker 2: I would say, Seeson Baltimore would make the same sense
Speaker 2: that you know, if you've got these major league ready
Speaker 2: guys that are showing that they can play at the level.
Speaker 2: Then it makes him, I think, exponentially more valuable for teams.
Speaker 2: So is it possible? Yes, Are they gonna do that?
Speaker 2: I tend to think no. But they do have a glut.
Speaker 2: You know, Gunner Westburg, You've got Connor Norby that's coming soon,
Speaker 2: and Jackson Holiday all vying for essentially three positions to
Speaker 2: mention some of the major leaguers they have got there.
Speaker 2: So if they wanted to do it, I do think
Speaker 2: someone like Westburg or Colton Kowser could become available. I
Speaker 2: just don't think they will.
Speaker 1: I think you got a surplus. That team has been
Speaker 1: so irrelevant for so long. A playoff run in Baltimore
Speaker 1: would be a really good thing for that fan base.
Speaker 1: I think you have the Again, I wouldn't do it
Speaker 1: for a rental. It was a guy you can control
Speaker 1: for another year. I think it's a really good move
Speaker 1: potentially for them. All Right, Anthony is begging us the
Speaker 1: biggest question. So Anthony, here we go. Second place right now,
Speaker 1: twelve team keeper thirty round league can keep up to
Speaker 1: three guys. Brett Baty I can keep in around twenty
Speaker 1: four next year. He hold or drop. Well, it's hard
Speaker 1: about seeing the rest of the roster.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say it without seeing it. No, I would
Speaker 2: agree three guys Brett Baty, which would better guys. But yeah,
Speaker 2: we don't know what the options are. I imagine, yeah,
Speaker 2: I imagine there are three better guys, even with the
Speaker 2: rounds concern.
Speaker 1: Even not even looking I agree, there's gotta be otherwise
Speaker 1: you're in a bad, bad position there now. Look injury wise,
Speaker 1: there are a couple things to get to Brandon Woodriff
Speaker 1: through a bullpen session. He's aiming for the early August return.
Speaker 1: We'll see again. If you need help now and you
Speaker 1: have Woodrof on your roster, deal him now before he
Speaker 1: has a setback when things all look rosy, potentially for
Speaker 1: him coming back in August. I know, potentially looking at
Speaker 1: him for August in September is exciting. But if you
Speaker 1: need help now in July through August, in the beginning
Speaker 1: of August, I think this is the opportunity you have
Speaker 1: to get out from Brandon Woodriff if you want to.
Speaker 1: Infielder Ryan Mountcastle went to the ten day I excuse me,
Speaker 1: was activated from the ten day il Drew Rasbusen he
Speaker 1: ain't gonna be pitching for a while. You surgery to
Speaker 1: repair the elbow there. So now we have a precarious
Speaker 1: situation here for the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays don't
Speaker 1: have Jeffrey Springs, he's gone with Tommy John. You don't
Speaker 1: have Rasmussen, he's gone elbow surgery as well. TODs Bradley,
Speaker 1: young guy, pitched very well. You have glassnew back. He's
Speaker 1: hurt every day with something.
Speaker 2: I think I got hurt a couple of days.
Speaker 1: I know there's I feel like there's certain guys that
Speaker 1: have that. You know that that injury tag, it's just
Speaker 1: right as part of their name. I feel like it's
Speaker 1: right there. I the redone, Like, if you don't see
Speaker 1: the injury tag, I'm all, we're wondering, what the hell's
Speaker 1: going on? What's wrong? But with McClanahan also on the
Speaker 1: io with the back issue, I know they're saying, oh,
Speaker 1: he's gonna be fine. We're just getting on some extra rest.
Speaker 1: They also break blah blah blah. I've heard that before.
Speaker 1: Are the Raised in trouble at all here down the stretch?
Speaker 2: I think they should make a move. I think they
Speaker 2: should one hundred percent look at it. You want to
Speaker 2: talk about another team that's just got a glut of
Speaker 2: guys in the info. They just brought up Jonathan Ronda,
Speaker 2: who's been really killing it in the miners. You've got
Speaker 2: guys like Fidal Breuhun. The Rays will hold on to
Speaker 2: these players as long as they possibly can and then
Speaker 2: there But there is this sense I think around baseball
Speaker 2: where it's like, well, when the race will trade somebody,
Speaker 2: is that a bad look? I think they should just
Speaker 2: be floating some of these players out there, any of them,
Speaker 2: Brandon low they should look at I don't I guess
Speaker 2: you wouldn't want to trade like, you know, the Josh
Speaker 2: Lowe's and Yondi's who have been up of course not
Speaker 2: but these other guys that you could move for some
Speaker 2: type of help. And this team seems to clean up
Speaker 2: these guys that have messy stuff in general, So I
Speaker 2: would be poking around. They've got to find some depth
Speaker 2: if anything, because you can't just like about.
Speaker 1: Stroman makes sense there?
Speaker 2: You know what I was about to say, why would
Speaker 2: the Cubs trade him? But there's a whole contract negotiation stuff.
Speaker 2: Stroman would make crazy sense right with his newfound ability
Speaker 2: to go deeper into games, his strikeouts have been up.
Speaker 2: I think it's the sweeper.
Speaker 1: Plus he loves to take it to the big market clubs.
Speaker 1: Let him go pitch against the Yankees and the Red
Speaker 1: Sauce and all that.
Speaker 2: Raised guy though, you know what I'm saying, Like you
Speaker 2: know when you.
Speaker 1: Envision, No, he has a personality, So no, you're right.
Speaker 2: A player that would be on the rais.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Maybe Anthony. By the way, has Abbott, Bradley, Jordan Walker.
Speaker 1: I would stop right there. Those are three guys I
Speaker 1: would take over, baby. So there you go. Done. Problem solved.
Speaker 1: One more injury note, Andrew Painter's right elbow didn't reveal
Speaker 1: any structural damage. He felt some pain there, so they
Speaker 1: wanted to do some extra scans. Everything looked good there.
Speaker 1: The other thing that looked really good this weekend was
Speaker 1: Ellie de la Cruz, the viral moment where he stole second,
Speaker 1: he stole third, he stole home, he stole my heart Welsh.
Speaker 1: Prior to Elie dela Cruz, the last time an MLB
Speaker 1: player stole second, third, and home with the same batter
Speaker 1: at the plate was July fourteenth, nineteen fifteen, when the
Speaker 1: A's allowed White Sox pitcher Red Faba unindebated as a
Speaker 1: stall tactic with the game not officially in the books,
Speaker 1: and a storm brewing, so they thought the game was
Speaker 1: going to get canceled, so they let the picture from the.
Speaker 2: Thought too, because the announcers are like, what was his name?
Speaker 1: What was his name?
Speaker 2: Again?
Speaker 4: It's Red Faber, look at him, Red bar Okay, Red Favor,
Speaker 4: he's that first man. Red Fable's going to second, Red
Speaker 4: Favors going to there is Red Favor gonna be still
Speaker 4: at home. We got to get the police. Here's still
Speaker 4: in here. Red Favor had stolen all that base.
Speaker 1: Gentlemen round, bye, oh boy, that fella show is fast.
Speaker 1: Oh well, don't you know it. The skies have opened up.
Speaker 1: Looks like this one is going half to unfortunately a
Speaker 1: little rangeler.
Speaker 2: I think he might have ran first a second in
Speaker 2: seven point four seconds. That's a great time for nineteen fifteen.
Speaker 1: Nineteen fifteen there and they're wearing nineteen fifteen complete wool
Speaker 1: uniforms in the middle of July, building jackets and like
Speaker 1: big warm hats and it's a snowsuit flapping.
Speaker 2: Johnson just threw fifty five miles an hour. That's the
Speaker 2: fastest pitch We've seen all season.
Speaker 1: Flappy Johnson, were flapping Johnson.
Speaker 2: He's a player.
Speaker 1: Flappy jo Jnson can't touch that one. La de la Cruz. Also,
Speaker 1: by the way, little history, he's become the only major
Speaker 1: league player in history with forty hits fifteen steals in
Speaker 1: their first thirty games. Welsh, Now, I want to ask
Speaker 1: you this question because you mentioned about rankings, and you
Speaker 1: know where you have guys.
Speaker 2: Potentially as to what you're about to ask.
Speaker 1: Well, okay, I'm gonna ask you some names. I want
Speaker 1: to see where La sluts in. Here to the dynasty
Speaker 1: rankings on fantasypros dot com. Ronald Coon is one. What
Speaker 1: he slots in, he slots in. I'm not talking about
Speaker 1: Lopi Johnson anymore.
Speaker 2: We're talking about I didn't know what that something completely different.
Speaker 1: I thought you Ronalcuni is the one right dynasty, Yes, yep.
Speaker 1: Wan Sota is currently two. Show Hayes three. You want
Speaker 1: to play around you want Otani is the.
Speaker 2: Two dynasty ranks right now?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm talking dynasty ranks.
Speaker 2: I have Otani as one if you can do daily
Speaker 2: movie get Otherwiseuna, Yeah.
Speaker 1: Okay, Wan Soto as three Julio is four, Kyle Tucker's five,
Speaker 1: Alvarez a six. Then you have Laddie, Fernando Tattoos at eight,
Speaker 1: Trey Turner, Raphael Devers, and Jose Ramires is eleven. Where
Speaker 1: does Elie de Lacruz slot in here? In your opinion?
Speaker 1: Is he five?
Speaker 2: Okay? We also want to say, well, Corbyn Carroll is five.
Speaker 2: Corbyn Carroll is right behind Julio or above. If you're really.
Speaker 1: Looking either way, I'm sorry I wasn't here to hold
Speaker 1: your hand during the Corbyn Carroll issue earlier on Friday.
Speaker 1: I saw that and then I was like, oh my god, Welsh,
Speaker 1: I was I want to do a wellness check on you.
Speaker 1: I was concerned. It looked bad. It looked really, really bad.
Speaker 2: Well, I can't get over it because people were like
Speaker 2: after the fact, everyone was like, oh my god, Welsh's
Speaker 2: most and someone said was it the biggest overreaction of
Speaker 2: all time? And I was like, oh, it looked terrible.
Speaker 1: And I can only assume it was Scar Tissue that
Speaker 1: always played him what you They.
Speaker 2: Played him all week in crazy this craziness. But I
Speaker 2: think Ellie in a dynasty, I mean, in my dynasty,
Speaker 2: I don't have him in the top ten yet, but
Speaker 2: I think he can be. I want to see the
Speaker 2: rest of the season. This stuff is crazy, but like
Speaker 2: you could argue that he's like right before guy like
Speaker 2: Bobachett and Bobaschett is gonna sit somewhere between, probably like
Speaker 2: eight and you know ten on most Dynasty lists. If
Speaker 2: you wanted to take Ellie over Mike Trout and Bryce
Speaker 2: Harper and you know, Raphael Devers, I think you can
Speaker 2: because of where he's going, But there's still like some warts.
Speaker 1: Uh you know, the way I take full season, I
Speaker 1: take Otani, I probably still take Julio Juan Soto. Yes,
Speaker 1: five is where I start to have a conversation over
Speaker 1: Tucker over Alvaz because again with Alvarez, incredible power hitter.
Speaker 1: But it's not gonna give you this the only basis.
Speaker 2: And you take Ellie over Corbyn Carroll in Dynasty, uhro.
Speaker 1: That probably not. But there's a real conversation to be
Speaker 1: had there because of because of size of Ellie de
Speaker 1: la Cruz and filling out that frame as opposed to
Speaker 1: Corbyn Carrol in the smaller frame, how that holds up
Speaker 1: over time, and they're both super young so it's not
Speaker 1: as big of a deal right now, but in four
Speaker 1: years from now, if you're in the startup dynasty, it's
Speaker 1: a much different conversation.
Speaker 2: A little side thing, this is smart of them Tops,
Speaker 2: you know fanatics Tops. They do this Tops now thing
Speaker 2: where they get instant reaction things. The logic was amazing
Speaker 2: on this. They made a card from the Weekend that
Speaker 2: set that had three bases on it, and they were
Speaker 2: the actual bases, each one that he stole.
Speaker 1: The enormous, giant, oversized basis.
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, but they're little, they're little pieces of
Speaker 2: the base on the card and it was in celebration.
Speaker 2: But they were selling them for five hundred dollars and
Speaker 2: they sold every single one of them.
Speaker 1: I'm sure they did. Yeah, I'm sure they did. Sure,
Speaker 1: some kid probably thought they were dumb and ended up
Speaker 1: just eating one of them. So apparently, when I wasn't
Speaker 1: here on Friday, you were talking trash about me at
Speaker 1: the Corman Carol Injury. What did I do to deserve this?
Speaker 1: This is what the chat is saying.
Speaker 2: No, I think I blamed you.
Speaker 1: I blame oh you blamed me?
Speaker 2: Yeah, because you were my fault.
Speaker 1: Because I I was Oh, I wasn't here. Therefore Corbyn,
Speaker 1: Carrol got hurt.
Speaker 2: That makes you took the day off in corporate out
Speaker 2: Is I one hundred percent blame you?
Speaker 1: Okay? So here we go. If you want the full
Speaker 1: giant show breakdown of the Home Run derby, go to
Speaker 1: Betting Pros on YouTube. You can watch the video. It's
Speaker 1: up there right now. I even tweeted it earlier at
Speaker 1: Joe Piece of PS seventeen. You can listen to the
Speaker 1: pod as well. Let's do a little quick run through here.
Speaker 1: What's going on. Alonso's at the top of the board
Speaker 1: obviously on this one here at plus three twenty, you
Speaker 1: had Vlad three fifty right now, Luis Robert plus four hundred,
Speaker 1: Julio plus five hundred. Then to me Rose Randy Rosraine
Speaker 1: at plus nine fifty is the way I like to go.
Speaker 1: He's on the easier side of the bracket. He has
Speaker 1: his own power, he creates. He has got the stamina
Speaker 1: to go through the time diversion of the Home Run Derby,
Speaker 1: which I think is freaking exhausting. I know everybody who
Speaker 1: loves Pete a Lonzo. I love Peede a Lonzo. He's
Speaker 1: a great story. I'm putting money on Randy Rosrain at
Speaker 1: plus nine fifteen. I'm putting money on Julio plus five hundred.
Speaker 1: I like the returns, I like the investment there. Welsh,
Speaker 1: just for everybody out there to give your little spiel
Speaker 1: about this, and we'll look at some of these other
Speaker 1: home run props we could do in the derby real quick.
Speaker 2: Yeah. I was just trying to like mess around and
Speaker 2: find a fun way to approach this, because what the
Speaker 2: hell do we know. I actually think the Julio at home,
Speaker 2: with the struggling year, just going all out, that could
Speaker 2: be a fun one.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: I'm actually kind of down with that. Peede Alonzo I
Speaker 2: think is a safe bet. I was trying to find
Speaker 2: some little like analytical thing to it. So I went
Speaker 2: and dug and I found three pieces that led me
Speaker 2: to this player. Fifteen percent barrel rate, fifty percent hard
Speaker 2: hit rate looking for guys that were in this, and
Speaker 2: a projected home run rate of five more homers in
Speaker 2: Seattle's ballpark a Doulas Garcia. Because fun fact, peed Alonzo
Speaker 2: actually projected for less homers than he hit in the
Speaker 2: expected home runs in Seattle, where a Doolas has five
Speaker 2: more projected, so he was the only player in the
Speaker 2: derby that had that barrel rate of fifteen percent or
Speaker 2: higher and a fifty percent hard hit rate and then
Speaker 2: also on top of it the projected So I'm going
Speaker 2: with a it's actually kind of fun that both of
Speaker 2: our guys former Cardinal Minor league prospects together I.
Speaker 1: Bring against each other in the bracket too.
Speaker 2: So my bet is Pete Alonzo and Adolas Garcia. If
Speaker 2: I'm putting money down, and.
Speaker 1: Look, you can live bet this too. So if you
Speaker 1: want to wait to see who comes out of that
Speaker 1: bracket first and then bet them, you can do that
Speaker 1: as well. That's the fun about the derby. The live
Speaker 1: betting of the derby can be a good time.
Speaker 2: So, by the way, because we said all of that,
Speaker 2: it will be Adlely Richmond now because everybody.
Speaker 1: I like a Rosa Raina still, I'm really going living
Speaker 1: that dream right now. Also, before we get to a
Speaker 1: couple other fun bets we're gonna throw out there, don't
Speaker 1: forget prize picks. Sign up today, use that promo code
Speaker 1: leading off for prize picks. Get one hundred percent deposit
Speaker 1: match up to one hundred dollars when you do. Also
Speaker 1: go play some so rare fantasypros dot Com slash collect
Speaker 1: it's fun, it's fantasy, it's free. You have your players,
Speaker 1: you keep them forever. They are your magical players that
Speaker 1: you are going to create your roster with and compete
Speaker 1: in our league at fantasypros dot com slash Leading Off League.
Speaker 1: So try so rare today, Welsh. Some fun things you
Speaker 1: can bet on with the Derby tonight you have. I
Speaker 1: hate betting on the All Star Game. It's a waste.
Speaker 1: Don't ask me about it. I don't do it. You
Speaker 1: can do the pairings, which is fun. So Julio and
Speaker 1: a Rose Arena. You can get plus twenty three hundred
Speaker 1: on that right now. I love that. This is for
Speaker 1: the pairings of like the pairings at the end the finals.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the finals. So it's guy beats other guy exactly.
Speaker 1: So if you want, you could also you could throw
Speaker 1: some you know, a unit at three or four of
Speaker 1: these combinations. Like if you like Pete Alonzo on one
Speaker 1: side and you like Garcia on the other, you can
Speaker 1: do a couple, you know, iterations of you know, different
Speaker 1: combinations of those guys getting through beating Adulus.
Speaker 2: Garcia is plus thirteen hundred and then you've got like
Speaker 2: Randia Rosorina beating piece Alonzo, there's huge odds if you wanted.
Speaker 1: To play really fuck a couple of those really fun
Speaker 1: stuff there. Again, those are over and you can check
Speaker 1: them out over on FanDuel side. I know, and they
Speaker 1: have got him. But also player to hit the longest
Speaker 1: home run is a fun one. Glad is the favorite
Speaker 1: a plus two forty. Pete Alonzo is a plus three forty.
Speaker 1: Louis Robert plus four. Hunt you want to dabble here
Speaker 1: A Rosorinas seven to fifty, Garcia seven hundred. Julio is
Speaker 1: plus seven hundred. I wonder about Garcia for this at
Speaker 1: plus seven. To me, that's a fun one.
Speaker 2: Oh, I like that. I didn't even see this one. Yeah,
Speaker 2: I mean again, I would go with Doles. I actually
Speaker 2: also like Robert. I think Roberts someone plus four. But
Speaker 2: if I want to make this bet and I want
Speaker 2: the odds on it, Adules at plus seven hundred is
Speaker 2: a really good bet, by the way, yours, if you
Speaker 2: wanted to play this, Joe Julio over a rosorinaut plus
Speaker 2: twenty three hundred for the finals.
Speaker 1: So I like that. Yeah, So lots of fun ways
Speaker 1: there to break that all down. So go watch the
Speaker 1: Derby tonight, enjoy the baseball again. If you want me
Speaker 1: full twenty five minute breakdown of the derby, Welsh and
Speaker 1: I did a great job of that. We also went
Speaker 1: through some of the prop bet tips too. If you're
Speaker 1: struggling with some of that, go check that out, because
Speaker 1: Welsh and I did about, you know, five minutes on
Speaker 1: how to really look for prop bets and use the
Speaker 1: f the VP tools, excuse me, to use the prop
Speaker 1: bet analyzer and use the prop bet chi chip you know,
Speaker 1: in the right way in order to really maximize your investments.
Speaker 1: So go check that out. It's a good help there.
Speaker 1: Enjoy the Derby tonight, enjoy the All Star Game tomorrow
Speaker 1: again Wednesday, keep an ear out an ear out for
Speaker 1: our MLB draft recap micro cast. We're gonna be doing here,
Speaker 1: well should I are gonna go record that tomorrow. Welsh
Speaker 1: is the prospect one guru. Uh not a picture, not
Speaker 1: a picture, I can.
Speaker 2: Tell you that.
Speaker 1: And then on Friday we'll be back live again. Scott
Speaker 1: bothering to myself getting all of the fun recap of
Speaker 1: all the festivities. I can't think of a better person
Speaker 1: to have on while Welsh is on vacation. So Welsh
Speaker 1: is gonna work on his grip there and who knows,
Speaker 1: you could be the next Floppy Johnson. That'll do it
Speaker 1: for us. But the story of the game goes on
Speaker 1: for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,
Speaker 1: enjoy the all Star break.
Speaker 2: Good night, everybody.