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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: That action All.

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Speaker 1: Right, here we go throwing out so spect we're sitting.

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Speaker 1: It's a cash touchdown, that's all we see. Most gamble

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Speaker 1: is when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate combine if you want

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Speaker 1: to and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am your host,

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Speaker 2: Evan Abrams and I am joined by Brandon Anderson for

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Speaker 2: another wild one, folks. Today is going to be absolutely great.

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Speaker 2: We're going to go rapid fire throughout all thirty two

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Speaker 2: teams in the NFL. Brandon's got his Power Rankings article

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Speaker 2: all put together, so keep an eye out for that

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Speaker 2: on Tuesday. But today we'll be going through those rankings

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Speaker 2: here in tears for Brandon to give one future bet

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Speaker 2: for every single team, a best bet one bet every

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Speaker 2: single team. We will go in backwards order. So let's

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Speaker 2: not dilly dally, Brandon, what is going on? And let's

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Speaker 2: get to this.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just got back from a little weekend away

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Speaker 3: with my girlfriend before the start of the football season.

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Speaker 1: Now it's all next Sunday.

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Speaker 3: What twenty Sundays in Earl football here forward, so ready

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Speaker 3: to dig in. Be sure to check out the article

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Speaker 3: companion to this. We're doing one bet every team, but

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Speaker 3: the article is my manifesto. We're like twenty thousand words

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Speaker 3: of futures season and preview for every team. You're gonna

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Speaker 3: get my ten word preview if you swat the short version,

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Speaker 3: get the full season outlook. And then I ask some

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Speaker 3: of the key questions we're gonna watch for, especially early

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Speaker 3: in the season, schedule analysis, just a couple of notes

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Speaker 3: on like when is this tougher? When do you want

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Speaker 3: to buy in on futures? That's a really important part

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Speaker 3: win total. I make an over, under bet, lean or

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Speaker 3: pass on every one of them, and in the future

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Speaker 3: is best bet. So today this podcast just the future's

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Speaker 3: best bet.

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Speaker 1: And you know how we do. It's not just gonna

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Speaker 1: be one best bet.

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Speaker 3: We got some escalators in here, we got some mine shafts,

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Speaker 3: get some long shots. We'll try to name the book

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Speaker 3: for you where we can. Some of these are tough

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Speaker 3: to find. If you're wondering and can't find one again,

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Speaker 3: check the article. Usually kind of spell it out how

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Speaker 3: to get to there in the article. So yeah, thirty

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Speaker 3: two to one thirty two bets in an hour. It'll

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Speaker 3: probably be more like seventy by the time we're done.

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Speaker 3: We're doing it, avan, let's go.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's start at the top here. So this

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Speaker 2: is Tier eight. These are called the seller dwellers. We're

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Speaker 2: recording this late on Monday night, so we would have

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Speaker 2: included Belichick in North Carolina, but that is a different,

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Speaker 2: different situation all itself. So we will start at thirty

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Speaker 2: two with the Saints and thirty one with the Browns.

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Speaker 2: Show me your bets.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so these are the last These are the worst

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Speaker 3: teams in football. We've said plenty about them already, so

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Speaker 3: let's do them. Both all want Saints. Here's the bet

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Speaker 3: last winless team plus eight fifty at ESPN bet. Just

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Speaker 3: lean into the tank. Eight of the first nine games

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Speaker 3: are against teams that are in my top half of

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Speaker 3: my power rankings. The only one in there Week five

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Speaker 3: home against the Giants. That's the one they might win.

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Speaker 3: But if you want to avoid that, you can go

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Speaker 3: zero wins in September at ESPN. That's plus two hundred.

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Speaker 3: I think if we know you avoid the Giants, get

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Speaker 3: past that one, maybe go last win less plus eight

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Speaker 3: fifty NFC sixteen seed worse than the NFC plus two

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Speaker 3: twenty five fade the Saints, fade the Browns. Basically the

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Speaker 3: same sort of thing with the Browns. I like the

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Speaker 3: under five and a half. You want to keep it easy,

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Speaker 3: but just give me for future's best bet. Zero wins

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Speaker 3: after five weeks. That's a fast future at DraftKings plus

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Speaker 3: three forty. Look, the schedule is brutal Bengals, Ravens, Packers, Lions, Vikings.

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Speaker 3: This team is not good. You basically need to believe

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Speaker 3: that they'll win under twenty five percent of the time

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Speaker 3: each one of those games. If that's the case, then

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Speaker 3: the plus three forty is in our favor. And again,

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Speaker 3: sixteen seed if you like it, plus two twenty five

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Speaker 3: over three thirteen and a half seed. That means one

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Speaker 3: of the three worst teams in the AFC. That's minus

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Speaker 3: one twenty five. And if you want one of the

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Speaker 3: sure bets on the pod today last in the division

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Speaker 3: minus three hundred. Come on, who are they beating in

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Speaker 3: this division? It's not happening. The Saints and Browns are terrible.

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Speaker 3: Let's talk about real teams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't have much to say here except I

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Speaker 2: like the Browns, but probably more than the Saints one.

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Speaker 2: But next tier no hope in the NFC three teams

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Speaker 2: listed here, we've got the Giants at thirty, the Panthers

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Speaker 2: at twenty nine, and here we go the Dallas Cowboys

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Speaker 2: at twenty eight. But start with the Giants at thirty.

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Speaker 3: What are your bets, so, Giants, We're trying to get

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Speaker 3: a couple easy wins for you Giants and Panthers fans.

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Speaker 3: Look at the Cowboys in a second. Giants NFC seed

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Speaker 3: under fourteen and a half. Now, let me help you

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Speaker 3: out here. Under fourteen and a half means better than.

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Speaker 1: The fifteen seed or the sixteen seed. I'm betting on

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Speaker 1: the Giants.

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Speaker 3: It's plus one twenty it it's been We're getting plus money. Giants.

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Speaker 3: I need you to beat two teams in the NFC.

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Speaker 3: All of them can be the Saints. The Saints are terrible.

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Speaker 3: Just beat them in that Week five game and you're

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Speaker 3: like golden after that. Beat one other team. Look, the

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Speaker 3: defensive line is good. We like Dexter Lawrence, we like

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Speaker 3: the pass rush. Everything is good up front. There win

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Speaker 3: a couple games. Beat two teams.

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Speaker 1: That's it. Beat two teams with the Panthers beat one team.

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Speaker 3: Here's the bet. Two and zero had to head against

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Speaker 3: the Saints plus one sixty five. The Saints are terrible.

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Speaker 3: Just beat the Saints two times. You have to win

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Speaker 3: the division. You have to beat the Bucks or the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: You have to go over.

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Speaker 3: Just beat the Saints. In fact, both games are in

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Speaker 3: the second half of the season. Tyler Shuck probably is

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Speaker 3: out there, so that's even better for our bet. And

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Speaker 3: if you need any more help, the game in New Orleans,

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Speaker 3: Carolin is coming off of a bye week, so we

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Speaker 3: even get like a schedule advantage in here. Giants just

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Speaker 3: beat two teams. Panthers just beat one team twice. That's

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Speaker 3: all I'm asking for you.

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Speaker 2: I guess my question was going to be, and I

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Speaker 2: was gonna look it up quickly. When is the Carolina

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Speaker 2: home game first or second?

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Speaker 3: Carolina home first, I believe, and then it's at New

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Speaker 3: Orleans later. But coming off the Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Bye I love that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you get the one game, you hope that they

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Speaker 2: beat them at home, and then you can figure it

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Speaker 2: out later with the plus one sixty five tickets. So

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Speaker 2: I'm good with that, all right? Talk to me about Dallas.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So We've talked plenty about the Micah Parsons deal.

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Speaker 3: There will be plenty, plenty more to be said about it.

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Speaker 3: Books didn't really budge off of the Cowboys. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: take the under seven and a half. That didn't really

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Speaker 3: move at some books. But my best bet on the Cowboys,

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Speaker 3: I'm leaning all the way in their fifth worst in

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Speaker 3: my Power ranks, zero wins in September plus seven fifty

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Speaker 3: at ESPN. I just have to wonder, what does the

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Speaker 3: locker room think about this whole mess of Parsons thing, Like,

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Speaker 3: the locker room's gonna know our defense is not good anymore.

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Speaker 3: The defense with Parsons on the field for his career

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Speaker 3: number one EPA for play. With him off the field,

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Speaker 3: they dropped to thirty first. That's how important he's been

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Speaker 3: to the team. If the defense is that bad and

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Speaker 3: the offense is we don't really know yet, but this

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Speaker 3: is like a worse version of the Bengals at best

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Speaker 3: from last year.

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Speaker 1: Probably.

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Speaker 3: Now look at the schedule. Opening night in the Philly

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Speaker 3: were cooked. It's not happening. Week two, you get the

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Speaker 3: Giants that D line against Dallas's offensive line that's hasn't

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Speaker 3: really figured things out yet that could be live. And

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Speaker 3: if you get past that one, Bear's Packers. All right,

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Speaker 3: now you're looking at oph in September plus seven to fifty.

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Speaker 3: There's been some sentiment out there on the internet reaction

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Speaker 3: to the Parsons trade of well, the pack reels will

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Speaker 3: be better, but I thought the Cowboys defense would be

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Speaker 3: that good anyway, so they'll probably just be fine. Still,

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Speaker 3: I do not think this team is fine. I think

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Speaker 3: that this is the end. And if the locker room

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Speaker 3: also thinks that and they kind of quit early on,

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Speaker 3: or if they're not in on the whole Schottenheimer experience,

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Speaker 3: and this could get pretty ugly.

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Speaker 1: So sorry, Cowboys fans. I tried.

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Speaker 3: I tried with the Schottenheimer Coach of the Year ticket.

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Speaker 3: No more, We're fading the Cowboys all the way down.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I just hope the offense scores a bunch of points,

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Speaker 2: but that's another day. Honestly, the bet comes down to

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Speaker 2: the Giants in week two. Aside from that, I could

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Speaker 2: see them losing to Philly, Chicago and Green Bay. So

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Speaker 2: either way, fund them with the price. All right, we

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Speaker 2: are on to Tier six. These are just a bunch

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Speaker 2: of AFC teams that you probably have question marks next year.

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Speaker 2: So we will roll down this list and then you'll

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Speaker 2: come back with the bets. So twenty seven is the Colts,

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Speaker 2: twenty six is the Jets, twenty five the Titans, twenty

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Speaker 2: four of the Jags, twenty three the Raiders, and twenty

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Speaker 2: two the Dolphins. You can start with the Colts at

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Speaker 2: the top at twenty seven.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So these teams are together in this tier specifically

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Speaker 3: because of their AFC teams Over in the NFC, the

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Speaker 3: Cowboys are out already because we've got like eleven twelve

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Speaker 3: teams I think are real playoff contenders and we only

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Speaker 3: get seven spots there in AFC. I had a hard

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Speaker 3: time picking playoff teams. I'm like, it's somebody who wants

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Speaker 3: to be in the playoffs in the AFC, and so

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Speaker 3: I think if you hear these teams, these six, if

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Speaker 3: you like one great play a playoff ticket, Like, I

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Speaker 3: don't believe in these teams, But the AFC is where

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Speaker 3: you want your sleeper this year. I don't think it's

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Speaker 3: the Colts. So they're at the bottom of this tier.

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Speaker 3: For me, I like the under seven and a half

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Speaker 3: for Indianapolis. They've only gone over three of the last

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Speaker 3: ten seasons. My bet for Indy fewest wins in the

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Speaker 3: NFLS twenty two to one at Caesars. I don't know

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Speaker 3: that this is really that team. I think it's weirdly

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Speaker 3: kind of like a decent floor team and it's just

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Speaker 3: the ceiling that I don't believe in. But if Daniel

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Speaker 3: Jones isn't any good and Anthony Richardson isn't any good,

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Speaker 3: there's possibility here where the Colts have kind of a

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Speaker 3: winnable opening stretch. If they can't get some things going

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Speaker 3: right away and you just don't have a quarterback, it

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Speaker 3: might be time India. It might be time to just

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Speaker 3: pull the tank. And you know, Peyton's nephew maybe ready

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Speaker 3: to come back to Indy next year, bringing another manning

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Speaker 3: out there. I like that angle as well, So twenty

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Speaker 3: two to one to just tank all the way down

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Speaker 3: for Indy.

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Speaker 2: I mean, got a bunch of AFC South teams in here,

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Speaker 2: so no surprise starting off with one of them, all right.

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Speaker 2: Next one you've got is the Jets at twenty six.

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Speaker 2: What are you doing there?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: So I'll keep Jets real quick. We did this one

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Speaker 3: on our Exotics podcast. Jets touchdown leader Braylon Allen fourteen

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Speaker 3: to one at bet three six five goal line carries.

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Speaker 3: I think they're going to go to Braylen Allen. Breise

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Speaker 3: Hall has never had more than five rushing touchdowns and fields.

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Speaker 3: This is not his game. He's the guy that's going

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Speaker 3: to get outside the numbers and you know, beat you

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Speaker 3: with speed around the edge, but not really like the

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Speaker 3: tush push touchdowns guy with the Jets offense, five or

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Speaker 3: six touchdowns might be enough.

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Speaker 1: So fourteen to one there.

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Speaker 3: If you like the touchdown bets at bet three six five,

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Speaker 3: we like David Montgomery fourteen to one for the Lions

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Speaker 3: and Drew Ford sixteen to one for the Browns.

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Speaker 2: There.

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Speaker 1: Titans up next. This one's for you, Mike Rabel fans.

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Speaker 3: If you're a Titans fan just longing for the old

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Speaker 3: Rabel days, I love this one. It's a special beat

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Speaker 3: at FanDuel under Future Specials called Busting with the Boys.

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Speaker 3: Titans over five and a half, Patriots over seven half.

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Speaker 3: That's where're gonna find. It's a plus one to ninety

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Speaker 3: bet you'll hear why I like the Patriots coming up.

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Speaker 3: Spoiler a lot later in the podcast because I'm very

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Speaker 3: high on them. These teams both are among the most

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Speaker 3: improved teams in the league. We've talked about them over

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Speaker 3: and over and over again. With the Titans, that offensive line.

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Speaker 3: They've invested so much there, talked about the hidden advantage

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Speaker 3: of special teams worse than the league last year to

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Speaker 3: hiring Fossil this year and hopefully a big leap there.

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Speaker 3: The over under is at six and a half. Traditionally,

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Speaker 3: if cam Ward wins seven games and goes over, that

248
00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,000
Speaker 3: would be the best mark by any number one pick

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Speaker 3: Orkie quarterback in the last decade. And I can't quite

250
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Speaker 3: get there. But here we go over five and a half.

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Speaker 3: We get a win back. It's a little easier. The

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Speaker 3: Patriots is down to win as well, So we're kind

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Speaker 3: of taking like a little bit of alt overs here

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Speaker 3: at a safer number two together. Mike Rabel before Mike

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Speaker 3: Vrabel after plus one ninety bet on both of them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I like the Titans this year. I think they

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Speaker 2: do have some upside. I probably prefer that Jets. Bet

258
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Speaker 2: I had Braylan Allen myself. I thought that was good value.

259
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Speaker 2: I took it on the Exotics pod, So I am

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Speaker 2: there with you. Okay, Oh, my god. Another AFC South team,

261
00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:11,520
Speaker 2: Jags at twenty four.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what all these AFC South teams doing down here?

263
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Speaker 3: We're gonna get to the Texans much later.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, yeah, they're They're gonna be there a

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Speaker 2: little while.

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Speaker 1: They will.

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Speaker 3: So two guys on there, drags I like. I like

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Speaker 3: both receivers, so I'm the bet both of them. My

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Speaker 3: best bet here is Travis Hunter. Offensive Rookie of the year,

270
00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:32,199
Speaker 3: offensive not defensive, twelve to one. I think he's the

271
00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,840
Speaker 3: guy that goes into that Liam Cohen power slot role.

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Speaker 3: That's the Chris Godwin roll. From last year through seven

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Speaker 3: games pace, Godwin was on pace for fourteen hundred yards

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Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty catches. Hunter is an elite prospect.

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Speaker 3: It looks right now like we're gonna get more offense early.

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Speaker 3: So I think personally, if we do get some defense,

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Speaker 3: maybe a pick six or just interception and maybe a

278
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Speaker 3: kick return, I think that doesn't go towards his defensive

279
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Speaker 3: rookie year. I think that ship has sailed. I think

280
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Speaker 3: if he doesn't play it there, those actually end up

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Speaker 3: extra credit. It's just an offensive rookie of the Year.

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Speaker 3: It's like a quarterback that runs too when we just

283
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Speaker 3: add in more things here, So I'm not worried that

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Speaker 3: they're gonna not have enough catches there with Brian Thomas Junior.

285
00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:14,760
Speaker 3: One hundred and fifty three catches from this team are

286
00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,760
Speaker 3: gone last year from Evan Ingram gone, Christian Kirk, Gabe,

287
00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,720
Speaker 3: Davis Simon on BTJ as well forty to one on

288
00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,880
Speaker 3: Offensive Player of the Year. I don't think these guys

289
00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:24,319
Speaker 3: are both gonna win, or else I wouldn't have the

290
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:26,920
Speaker 3: Jaguars this low, but I like betting both of them.

291
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Speaker 3: So Hunter twelve to one Rookie of the Year.

292
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Speaker 2: Yeah, you said it during our awards pot, and I

293
00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:34,040
Speaker 2: think it's a really good call on the extra credit

294
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,520
Speaker 2: here because I agree he has no chance on defense,

295
00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,600
Speaker 2: just don't think it makes sense. But offense, anything he

296
00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,839
Speaker 2: does outside of just say the normal touchdowns probably will

297
00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:45,160
Speaker 2: get credit there. So I think it's an interesting ad

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Speaker 2: that I hadn't thought about. All Right, we got the

299
00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,320
Speaker 2: Raiders of twenty three and the Dolphins of twenty two.

300
00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:51,079
Speaker 2: Take me home.

301
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Speaker 3: Yeah, credit to you on this Raiders bet because we

302
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Speaker 3: kind of got there on the exotics, but we're going

303
00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:57,720
Speaker 3: to get the rest of the way there. Now I'm

304
00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:00,800
Speaker 3: gonna go exact outcome one to two in the AFCU

305
00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:04,760
Speaker 3: West Chiefs and first Raiders in second. It's fourteen to

306
00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:08,040
Speaker 3: one at DraftKings, So I actually have the Raiders last

307
00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,600
Speaker 3: in the division, but I have them within a game

308
00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:13,240
Speaker 3: of both the Chargers and the Broncos. This is a

309
00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:18,440
Speaker 3: bet on Raiders quarterback, running back, coaching, giant improvements on

310
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:20,640
Speaker 3: the team. We've talked a lot about that, but it's

311
00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:24,360
Speaker 3: also a bet fading the Broncos and the Chargers because

312
00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,840
Speaker 3: I don't believe in the defense on either of those teams.

313
00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,200
Speaker 3: Different amounts, but I think we're going to move back

314
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,280
Speaker 3: the other direction. I think the gap for the Chiefs

315
00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,000
Speaker 3: stays about as strong, even though I have the Chiefs

316
00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,400
Speaker 3: coming back a little bit. If these other teams do

317
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:40,400
Speaker 3: as well, then their way out ahead as they're in

318
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:43,840
Speaker 3: my projections. And a little bonus, the Raiders actually host

319
00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,720
Speaker 3: the Chiefs in week eighteen. If the Chiefs are out

320
00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,520
Speaker 3: ahead like we're expecting on this bet, they might rest

321
00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:51,600
Speaker 3: that week. Maybe the Raiders get an easier one that

322
00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,320
Speaker 3: should have been a loss usually, so we talked about

323
00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,440
Speaker 3: on the exotics Raiders second place. You're right, that was

324
00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,640
Speaker 3: like seven to one. This is double the price fourteen

325
00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:01,960
Speaker 3: to one when the Chiefs first place is the thing

326
00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 3: I was imagining anyway, So Chiefs Wan Raiders to fourteen

327
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 3: to one Dolphins. I have no idea anything about this team,

328
00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:12,400
Speaker 3: but if two is healthy, he's gonna be good. He

329
00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,320
Speaker 3: gets the stats when he plays, he wins when he plays.

330
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,000
Speaker 3: He's at a winning record all through McDaniel seasons. So

331
00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,240
Speaker 3: the Dolphins bet two a Tegavl Comeback Player of the

332
00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,720
Speaker 3: Year thirty five to one. It's a quarterback award. Dak's

333
00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,680
Speaker 3: one of the favorite Lawrence is one of the favorites.

334
00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:28,760
Speaker 3: I don't know that two is any better than those guys,

335
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,520
Speaker 3: but he should be like a five to one favorite

336
00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:34,160
Speaker 3: among them, not a thirty five to one. We know

337
00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,320
Speaker 3: he'll be good, we just don't know if he'll play.

338
00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:38,880
Speaker 3: So the bet here isn't will Dak be good enough

339
00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,160
Speaker 3: or will Lawrence be better? Under Cohen? Is just will

340
00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,800
Speaker 3: to a play well he stay healthy? Probably not, but

341
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:45,640
Speaker 3: at thirty five to one, we can find out.

342
00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, most points in the NFL, least points in the NFL.

343
00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:51,840
Speaker 2: I feel like they're gonna hit one of those bets potentially,

344
00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,360
Speaker 2: and then for the Raiders. I was kind of anti

345
00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:57,480
Speaker 2: Raiders this year, the fact their schedule is pretty brutal,

346
00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:01,640
Speaker 2: worse net differential. But Pete car will seventeen straight seasons

347
00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 2: of seven plus wins, so he rarely sees a basement.

348
00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:07,720
Speaker 2: So we will see how that goes. All right, next

349
00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:11,280
Speaker 2: tier time, Tier five. We're gonna call this fatally flawed.

350
00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,920
Speaker 2: So we've got the Commanders at twenty one, twenty one,

351
00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,960
Speaker 2: twenty for the Steelers, nineteen for the Broncos, eighteen Falcons,

352
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 2: seventeen Chargers, sixteen Bucks, and fifteen Bengals. Why don't you

353
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:25,800
Speaker 2: started off at the top.

354
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,520
Speaker 3: All right, we're going commander's mind shaft. I know you're

355
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,240
Speaker 3: surprised to hear Matt number twenty one, but if you're surprised,

356
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 3: it's because we're going all the way down here. So

357
00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:36,640
Speaker 3: under nine and a half, we're going multi unit bat.

358
00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,720
Speaker 3: That is my favorite over under on the board. Missed

359
00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,480
Speaker 3: the playoffs plus one to thirty. Even if they went

360
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:44,160
Speaker 3: over the nine and a half in the NFC, you

361
00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,160
Speaker 3: might still miss the playoffs, So I like that one

362
00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:48,680
Speaker 3: as well. And then all under seven and a half

363
00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 3: plus three twenty This is just not a roster, I believe,

364
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 3: and it's an old, quickly aging roster. The defense is bad,

365
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,160
Speaker 3: the offensive line is in the flux. They trade away

366
00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,400
Speaker 3: Brian Robinson, so I don't know if they have running

367
00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,760
Speaker 3: backs they can rely on. I like Jane Daniels, but

368
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,280
Speaker 3: we are asking a lot of this dude as a

369
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:09,359
Speaker 3: sophomore quarterback to go out in a play style that's

370
00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,199
Speaker 3: pretty rough. Like, I don't know that we should just

371
00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:13,879
Speaker 3: count on his health the way that he plays as well.

372
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,359
Speaker 3: I actually have the Commanders projected a full two and

373
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,760
Speaker 3: a half wins below the nine and a half, so

374
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:21,280
Speaker 3: I know him way low on market for them, But

375
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,040
Speaker 3: to me, this is a team people think that they

376
00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:25,440
Speaker 3: might be a sleeper for the Super Bowl.

377
00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:26,920
Speaker 1: I think they might be a sleeper for the top

378
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 1: pick in the draft.

379
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,679
Speaker 3: If Jane Daniels got hurt a little bit, even like

380
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,680
Speaker 3: missing a month, this could get really ugly. They were

381
00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,720
Speaker 3: only over five of the last fifteen seasons. Before last

382
00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,600
Speaker 3: year they jumped four to twelve wins. We know about

383
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 3: all those crazy fourth downs, all the crazy outlier stuff.

384
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:44,720
Speaker 3: Here's a stop for you. Since two thousand and six,

385
00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:48,159
Speaker 3: thirty five teams left by six wins or more in

386
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:51,359
Speaker 3: one season. Three of the thirty five improved again the

387
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 3: next season. The other thirty two dropped by almost three wins.

388
00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:57,480
Speaker 3: So I think the Raiders are sid think the Commanders drop.

389
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:01,760
Speaker 3: I think they drop down, possibly quite far. Admittedly like

390
00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,280
Speaker 3: the mind Shaft a little more before Micah Parsons went

391
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 3: out of the division. But we'll still take Washington all

392
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:09,280
Speaker 3: the way down under nine and a half, multi units

393
00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:10,720
Speaker 3: all the way down to under seven and a half

394
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 3: as needed.

395
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a tough thing to analyze the team as

396
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:17,160
Speaker 2: a whole, just because Jaden looks so good and there's

397
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 2: different parts, but up and down on the rosters, it's

398
00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 2: actually pretty weak. So I can see unless Jayden comes

399
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,639
Speaker 2: to be superhero Superman, I think they're gonna have an issue.

400
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 2: So let's keep rolling here. Twenty and Aaron Rodgers and

401
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:30,720
Speaker 2: the Steelers.

402
00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna keep a bet here of that this

403
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,440
Speaker 3: will be the least surprising bet on the podcast. Once

404
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,640
Speaker 3: I explain it. Stage of elimination. You can bet at

405
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:42,280
Speaker 3: many of books. We're gonna bet this at DraftKings. The

406
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:45,160
Speaker 3: Steelers get eliminated in the wildcard round. It's plus two

407
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 3: ninety and it's the same thing they do every single year.

408
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,639
Speaker 3: We already know the stat Mike Tumblin never finishes below

409
00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 3: five hundred. But you know what he does do loses

410
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 3: the playoff game once he gets there. Six straight playoff

411
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 3: opener losses, all but one of them by double digits.

412
00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 1: So then not even in these games. And here's what

413
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,480
Speaker 1: I love about this bet. Steelers schedule super soft early,

414
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:06,920
Speaker 1: super tough. Way.

415
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,359
Speaker 3: Okay, great, grab this as a make playoffs ticket because

416
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,159
Speaker 3: they're gonna make playoffs, but then lose right away. And

417
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 3: then if you don't like it anymore perfect at the

418
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,159
Speaker 3: middle of the season, grab the under that might be

419
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,919
Speaker 3: up to nine or ten. At that point you might even.

420
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:21,480
Speaker 1: Hit both ways.

421
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 3: We can get the juicy middle Steelers going nine to eight.

422
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 3: We keep the over five hundred stat. They lose by

423
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 3: one thousand in the first round. We hit everything, and

424
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 3: even the Steelers are happy. That's the bet easiest one

425
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 3: on the board. It's what they do every single year.

426
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Chiefs win the division, Steelers to lose in the

427
00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 2: wildcard round. It just feels like every season all over again.

428
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,359
Speaker 2: So might as well keep rolling with it all right,

429
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:44,160
Speaker 2: nineteen and the Broncos.

430
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,160
Speaker 3: Broncos I'm on the Broncos this year, so I'm gonna

431
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,200
Speaker 3: take the under nine and a half. But for this bet,

432
00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 3: I'm gonna focus on RJ.

433
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:51,040
Speaker 1: Harvey.

434
00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:53,439
Speaker 3: I like him for Rookie of the Year as a

435
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,120
Speaker 3: long shot twenty seven to one, and then we gave

436
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 3: out a couple of these super long shots NFL rushing

437
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 3: touchdown Lee two hundred to one and at Fast Features

438
00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:06,879
Speaker 3: or Fast Futures at DraftKings two hundred and one rushing

439
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 3: yardage leader after Week four, so we know how good

440
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 3: he was at Central Florida. You get the number two

441
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 3: offensive line in the league. Now get Sean Payton, who's

442
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 3: turned Alvin Kamara into a Rookie of the Year into

443
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 3: a versatile, league winning fantasy type running back as well.

444
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:24,720
Speaker 1: I know RJ. Harvey.

445
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:27,679
Speaker 3: There are criticisms about his run style. I agree with

446
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,360
Speaker 3: them quite frankly. This is a great opportunity, and then

447
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 3: really I think it's a good way to invest in

448
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: Denver if you do like them. I think these numbers

449
00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 3: are quite long. I'm out on the team because of

450
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 3: the defense and special teams. I think can only be

451
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 3: as good as they were last year, and I don't

452
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 3: trust the offense enough. But if the offense is trustworthy,

453
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,200
Speaker 3: I think it's because of Harvey, so investing in him

454
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 3: multiple ways. Falcons up next. Zach Robinson Assistant Coach of

455
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 3: the Year sixty to one at FanDuel. We talked about

456
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 3: that one on the Awards podcast. It looks like who

457
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,679
Speaker 3: wins this award it's eleven years out now. It's a coordinator,

458
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 3: usually in their first or second season on a winning team.

459
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 3: But they need one side of the ball way better

460
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 3: than the other. They need their side to be carrying

461
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,919
Speaker 3: the team. Well that's the Falcons. If the Falcons are

462
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,560
Speaker 3: good as not because the defense was good, it's because

463
00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,760
Speaker 3: the offense showed up. Zach Robinson built a great run

464
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 3: game last year, and I don't love the offensive line

465
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 3: and injuries on this team, so that's why I'm not

466
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 3: really investing heavily in the team. But if the Falcons

467
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 3: are good, if they go from like say, eight to

468
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,119
Speaker 3: twelve wins and the terrible division offense is going to

469
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: be the reason. So I think this is a great

470
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 3: way to invest in the Falcons. And really with a

471
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,960
Speaker 3: lot of these bets like look Falcons and Broncos, I'm

472
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 3: not really in on them, but you can imagine what

473
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 3: if I'm wrong, What if the season goes well?

474
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:44,679
Speaker 1: How does it go well?

475
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:47,959
Speaker 3: These are ways that those teams did go well, and

476
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 3: how you bet it if you like them.

477
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Harvey bet from the Broncos side

478
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,919
Speaker 2: because it's basically just a bet against Dobbins in the

479
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 2: one versus one. If you end up making the right

480
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 2: call there, I think the upside is really incredible. All right,

481
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 2: seventeen the Chargers hit it up.

482
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: I'm going player prop on this. So one.

483
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,239
Speaker 3: I had a hard time finding a Chargers, but I

484
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 3: liked about the team. I just kind of them somewhere

485
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 3: around the market, but not like Chargers year after year

486
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 3: are a team I have a hard time, and there's

487
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 3: a lot of coin flip games for me.

488
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:17,760
Speaker 1: But I do love this prop.

489
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,919
Speaker 3: We're taking the escalator on Ladd McConkie receiving yards. So

490
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 3: last year as a rookie eighty two catches, eleven hundred

491
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:28,120
Speaker 3: and forty nine yards. Last seven games even better once

492
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 3: they got going with Herbert, we know they passed more

493
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 3: down the stretch, get at least eighty three yards. All

494
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,400
Speaker 3: but one of those last seven games paced just under

495
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 3: sixteen hundred yards. Do you know that a ESPN bet

496
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 3: is over under on the season is nine hundred and

497
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:44,320
Speaker 3: fifty and a half yards under one thousand for Ladd

498
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 3: mcconckie's second round fantasy pick, Ladd McConkie future fantasy star

499
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 3: Ladd McConkie. So we're taking the over and twelve hundred

500
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 3: and fifty yards is plus two to fifty. I think

501
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 3: even that is too low. We'll take fifteen hundred yards

502
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 3: at plus seven hundred. I'd love our receptions that's later,

503
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 3: if that was available. I didn't see that one out there,

504
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,919
Speaker 3: but I think the yardage, without going too crazy on it,

505
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 3: fits pretty well for him too.

506
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 2: He took the words right out of my mouth. I

507
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 2: was gonna ask if there was like a receptions or

508
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 2: an overrunder or something like that, like that's normally what

509
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 2: I would look at with Lad. But I agree. I mean,

510
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 2: he is just so pivotal in that offense, and I

511
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 2: think the additions on the offensive side of the ball,

512
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,200
Speaker 2: he's just going to become more important and maybe hopefully

513
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 2: gets a little bit more uh one on one coverage

514
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 2: versus more attention. So we will see how that goes,

515
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 2: all right. Sixteen we're halfway there. Bucks at sixteen, what

516
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:32,440
Speaker 2: do you got?

517
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 3: We get another mind shaft. I'm out in the box.

518
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 3: I think you gotta be out in the bus. With

519
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 3: all the injuries early on Tristan Wurfs, all those receiver injuries,

520
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 3: here's the mind shaft under the nine and a half

521
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 3: under seven and a half alt under his plus two

522
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 3: fifty at DraftKings and just in case last winless team

523
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 3: fifty to one at ESPN bet. Look, they probably can't

524
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 3: go all the way down the mine shaft because they're

525
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 3: still in THEFC South. Like they could legitimately start like

526
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 3: Owen's seven in the NFC South and still be two

527
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,719
Speaker 3: games back and be like, ah, well we're healthy now,

528
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 3: maybe we'll go do the thing.

529
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:06,399
Speaker 1: And they might do it.

530
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 3: Anyways, I think they're four time division champions right now.

531
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 3: But I think if you look at the schedule, you

532
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 3: get Atlanta Week one, really important game, both teams, lots

533
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 3: of injuries right now. We'll see how that goes. This,

534
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 3: you know, might just be Tampa wins that one and

535
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: this is all bad right away. Very possible, I wouldmit.

536
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 3: It's a pretty coin flip game to me. But in

537
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 3: the first seven games, after Atlanta, Texans, Eagles, Seahawks, Niners, Lions.

538
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 3: It's a really rough stretch. I don't know when Worfs

539
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:37,159
Speaker 3: is gonna play. If he misses longer than expected, that

540
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,200
Speaker 3: is a problem for this entire offense. I think it's

541
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,240
Speaker 3: a problem for Baker and if things go badly, does

542
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 3: anybody really think Todd Bowles and Baker are the long

543
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 3: term answer in this team?

544
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:46,919
Speaker 1: Like, I know that they've been.

545
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 3: Performing well, but I think maybe they have to think

546
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:51,359
Speaker 3: about turning the page a little bit if it gets

547
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 3: really ugly to start out. So box mine shaft all

548
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 3: the way down just in case this Worf's injury is

549
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 3: really worse than it looks like.

550
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, this whole bet mike him down to week three

551
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 2: at home against the Jets, which is a game they

552
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 2: can easily lose. So aside from that, you would be

553
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 2: getting all the way to week eight in New Orleans.

554
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 2: By that time you might have won your bet already.

555
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 2: So now decent value on that one, all right? Fifteen

556
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 2: and the Bengals.

557
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 3: All right, Joe Burrow, let's go break some records. Joe Burrow,

558
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 3: break me all time passing yards record twenty two to

559
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,640
Speaker 3: one at DraftKings, thank you very much. I don't want

560
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 3: any award bets here. Awards you gotta win games for

561
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 3: I don't want to bet in the Bengals winning games

562
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 3: because they gotta bet in the Bengals defense. I don't

563
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,360
Speaker 3: bet against the Bengals defense, So the defense is bet.

564
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 3: Burrow passes even more last year led the league in

565
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 3: completions and attempts ten yards forty nine hundred eighteen or

566
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:44,120
Speaker 3: forty one hundred and eighteen yards last year. Just Week

567
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 3: ten forward, he pays for about fifty seven hundred yards.

568
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 3: That'd be the record. The record's five four hundred and

569
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 3: seventy seven. If they're close, I think he'd push for

570
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,200
Speaker 3: the record. That'd be a cool thing to add for him,

571
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,479
Speaker 3: who might not get an MVP with the way that

572
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 3: defense is, and help he gets around Cincinnati. But we

573
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 3: know they're going to pass well, we know Chase and

574
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 3: t are gonna be open. They're going to be you know,

575
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 3: doing that all season long. We talked about him with

576
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,199
Speaker 3: Offensive Player the year, We talked about with a lot

577
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 3: of the stat things.

578
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 1: Forget all the awards. I don't need anyone voting on this.

579
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 1: Just go get the.

580
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 3: Yards and beat everyone. I think he's like plus five

581
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 3: hundred to lead the league in yards. Great, skip that

582
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 3: one and just go for the record at twenty two

583
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 3: to one instead.

584
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 2: He's healthy entering his season. I like that, which he

585
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,120
Speaker 2: usually isn't. And then you've got I mean you look

586
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 2: off the bat Cleveland, Jacksonville, Minnesota. I mean pass defenses

587
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 2: that can be beat, especially in Minnesota. Blitzz Jacksonville's pretty shaky.

588
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 2: So I can see him also having a pretty fast start,

589
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 2: which would help with this one. All Right, the NFL

590
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 2: season is officially here, and to get the most out

591
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 2: of the award winning Action app, you'll want to be

592
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 2: an Action Pro subscriber. Because only Pro subscribers get real

593
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 2: time pick alerts from experts like Sean Kerner, Joe Galant, myself,

594
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 2: and our entire Action Network team. Plus you can access

595
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:02,760
Speaker 2: our pro projections power by Kerner and our predictive analytics team.

596
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:06,119
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597
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:10,000
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598
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,680
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599
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:18,040
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600
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:22,240
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601
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:27,639
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602
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,600
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603
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,680
Speaker 2: believe the NFL is back this week? Can't wait? All right?

604
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 2: Tier four Brandon the NFC Bloodbath. So you've got the

605
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 2: Rams at fourteen, the Lions at thirteen, the Seahawks, the

606
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 2: Seahawks at twelve, and the Cardinals at eleven. Talk to me.

607
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 3: So here's what's crazy about this. So we've got these

608
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,639
Speaker 3: four NFC teams here. By the way, I have the

609
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,879
Speaker 3: standings right now. One of those four teams can make

610
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 3: the playoffs. These are four teams fighting for the seventh

611
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,399
Speaker 3: seed in the NFS. See, that's why I'm calling this

612
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 3: the blood Beth, because you know, we got to let

613
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 3: one of the South teams in, so they're they're all

614
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,120
Speaker 3: below here. But otherwise we do right, We've still got

615
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 3: six more NFC teams to come in our top ten.

616
00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 3: So Rams first bet two bats here for the Rams

617
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:19,280
Speaker 3: missed the playoffs, plus one twenty five last in the

618
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,560
Speaker 3: division plus three seventy. Kind of a mini mind shot,

619
00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:24,479
Speaker 3: I suppose. So last year the Rams fade was one

620
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,560
Speaker 3: of my top fades on the board. Looked great one

621
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 3: and four. I'm feeling good. They finished nine and three,

622
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,400
Speaker 3: six and zero to one score games on that stretch

623
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 3: and then sneak into the playoffs win the division on

624
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 3: like the eighth tiebreak over Seattle.

625
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: I'm back.

626
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 3: I'm doing it again because Mats Stafford is hurt. Man

627
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,640
Speaker 3: like it looks like he's gonna play. We're getting a

628
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 3: little reports each day like, oh, it looks like Stafford

629
00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 3: will play Week one. Super That's not the tweet I

630
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 3: want to be getting sent out six days before the

631
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 3: season starts that we think my quarterback might play in

632
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 3: Week one. He has not played all in the preseason.

633
00:28:57,680 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 3: That's pretty normal for the Rams. But he even do

634
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 3: any of those scrimmages or anything else. Alaric Jackson, the

635
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 3: left tackle, he's out as well. Here's the first six

636
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 3: games for them come against Texans, Eagles, Niners, Ravers, Ravens.

637
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 3: So if it's not great early, if Stafford is not right,

638
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 3: and if he's not getting protected and his stats have

639
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 3: been very correlated to his blocking in the past, if

640
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 3: it doesn't go well early, I think the Rams could

641
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 3: get another one of those one and four type starts

642
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 3: and then will I.

643
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:29,360
Speaker 1: Hold my position. I don't know.

644
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 3: It didn't go well for me last year. But if

645
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 3: we got plus odds here a lot of these bets.

646
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 3: You pay attention to the schedule. I think if you

647
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 3: just think the Rams are bad for six weeks and

648
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 3: lose to the Texans, Eagles, Niners, Ravens, you got options now.

649
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 3: Futures are not for hiding into the ground and coming

650
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 3: back four months later. We can add later. Maybe they

651
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 3: start out badly and now you can play make playoffs

652
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 3: at plus one twenty five and now we're just out.

653
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 3: You get both sides, we're guaranteed to win. So the

654
00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 3: Rams this is an early investment, fading the part of

655
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,400
Speaker 3: the season. We'll kind of see what we do from there.

656
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 2: Week one's big, get home against the Texans. If you

657
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 2: drop that game, you go at Tennessee at Philly. You

658
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 2: could start ozer and three very easily. As you know,

659
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 2: it depends on what you think about Tennessee. But still

660
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 2: a tough game across the country, all right. Thirteen and

661
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 2: the Lions.

662
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I hate to say it, but I don't think

663
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:21,920
Speaker 3: we're really surprised at this point. I gotta be out

664
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 3: on the Lions this season. Obviously with the Lions, we've

665
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 3: talked ad nauseum.

666
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 1: The hero of the podcast.

667
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 3: Perhaps Ben Johnson no longer with the Lions, So no

668
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 3: Ben Johnson, but's not just him. It's also no right

669
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 3: now on the line, no Zeitler on the Lions. So

670
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 3: we lose two linemen, we got three new interior linemen,

671
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 3: and I'm not even really out on the Lions overall.

672
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 3: As much as that sounds like that, it's more that

673
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 3: here we are in this NFC blood bath, and somebody's

674
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 3: got to lose some games. Somebody might even have to

675
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 3: miss the playoffs. So I'm taking the mind shaft. It's

676
00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 3: under ten and a half. I think that line is

677
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 3: just too high, and I'm gonna go miss the playoffs

678
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 3: plus one sixty five and last in the division all

679
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 3: the way down plus four fifty So Lions I have

680
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 3: only gone over ten and a half as a franchise

681
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 3: three times since nineteen ninety one, so that's not a

682
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 3: great start. Of course they did last year. But here's

683
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 3: a stat for you. In the last thirty one years,

684
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 3: we got thirty eight teams that won thirteen games or

685
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 3: more but did not make the Super Bowl. All but

686
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 3: four of those teams. For of those teams equaled their record.

687
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 3: Everybody else got worse, nobody got better, and the teams

688
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 3: that got worse dropped by three point six wins the

689
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 3: following season. Now, look, the Lions won fifteen games. You

690
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,240
Speaker 3: could still lose that many games, still go over the number.

691
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 3: But I just think this is a team that, for

692
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 3: this entire Campbell era, their identity is we're gonna bite

693
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 3: you in the kneecaps and win the trenches, and we're

694
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 3: gonna win with coaching edges. All right, Well, what happened

695
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 3: the sofseason. The edges went away at coaching, The edges

696
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 3: went away in the trenches. The defensive line is all

697
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 3: banged up, So it's both ways there. I have to

698
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 3: fade this team. That's like the entire basically what I'm

699
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 3: looking at in this come analyzing team. So it's not

700
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 3: that I'm out on Detroit. Actually have them top fifteen

701
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 3: offense and defense. The rest of the division is top

702
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,360
Speaker 3: ten at those things. Now, the Parsons got traded into

703
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 3: the division, so under ten and a half too high

704
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 3: of a number for a team that lost that much,

705
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 3: missed the playoffs. Just because it's going to be a

706
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 3: tough slog in the NFC. And then in that division,

707
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 3: if you like the Berries as much as I do

708
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 3: and the Packers and the Vikings, then last in division

709
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 3: plus four fifty is just the natural conclusion there.

710
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, on our pot, I like the Lions to miss

711
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 2: as well. I just you know rest of the division.

712
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 2: You said it yourself, So I am on board, all right.

713
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: Maybe a shocker some twelve the Seahawks.

714
00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, a little higher than you thought. Perhaps a little

715
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 3: higher than I thought too. To be honest, I wasn't

716
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 3: expecting the Seahawks to be quite up.

717
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 1: In this mix.

718
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 3: It's the defense really that I think keeps them in

719
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 3: the mix of things. The defense, I had a pretty

720
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 3: good still home field advantage when there's not a lot

721
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 3: of that left in the NFL. But the hope is

722
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 3: that the preseason Kubiak offense actually looks as good as

723
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 3: it might look, and I'm not really projecting it to

724
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 3: look that good. I'm gonna rank them like the twenty

725
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 3: seventh offense. But here's the play for Seattle, similar to

726
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 3: the Steelers stage elimination wildcard around plus three eighty at FanDuel,

727
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 3: because could the Seahawks make the playoffs, I think they could.

728
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 3: They're plus one seventy. That's about thirty seven percent implied.

729
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 3: I don't see a ton of value on that number.

730
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 3: I don't really want to invest in Sam Donald. Okay, great,

731
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 3: how about I invest against Sam Darnald. But if the

732
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 3: defense is good enough to make the playoffs. But now

733
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 3: it's the playoffs and Sam Donald's playing, and I don't

734
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 3: want the Seahawks at all anymore. Now I just turned

735
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 3: my ticket into a plus three d money line on

736
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 3: not Sam Donald. Maybe Seattle's at home if they won

737
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,040
Speaker 3: the division. Probably they get into as a wild card

738
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 3: if they did make it. So I got Sam Darnald

739
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 3: on the road, I got my Vikings Jersey On gave

740
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 3: me all the faiths Sam Darnold stock in the playoffs

741
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 3: plus three eighty. And on the flip side, Cardinals out eleven.

742
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 3: They are the team in this tier that I have

743
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 3: into the playoffs. So just keep it like that, make

744
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 3: the playoffs plus one forty at Caesars. And this is

745
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:16,560
Speaker 3: another one similar to the Rams with the Cardinals. I

746
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 3: think you have a hot start first six games. Do

747
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:21,760
Speaker 3: you get the Saints, the Panthers, the Titans and the Colts.

748
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 3: I think the Cardinals are just kind of good at

749
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 3: a lot of stuff. The offense and defense are sort

750
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 3: of trending up. They add a lot of talent on

751
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,880
Speaker 3: the defense. I don't really expect to be super in

752
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 3: on the Cardinals, but I'm not even sure I've made

753
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,839
Speaker 3: up my mind. But at plus one of forty, if

754
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 3: you beat Saints, Panthers, Titans, Colts early, you're four and

755
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,480
Speaker 3: two or five and one. Great, we can make another decision.

756
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 3: Now our ticket has gained value for us. Maybe the

757
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 3: Rams are losing, so the division's looking a little bit better.

758
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 3: We'll see what happens with the Niners. We'll get to

759
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 3: them in a second. I think your ticket gains value.

760
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 3: You're gonna have options later. You can get out, you

761
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:57,840
Speaker 3: can take an under whatever you want to deal, or

762
00:34:57,840 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 3: you can let it ride and see if the Cardinals

763
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 3: are kind of that team this year.

764
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,840
Speaker 2: All right, after the NFC West, we are done to

765
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,399
Speaker 2: our top ten, So entering Tier three, we're gonna call

766
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 2: these teams the sleepers. So you've got at ten, the

767
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 2: Patriots at nine, the Bears at eight, the Vikings at seven,

768
00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:21,440
Speaker 2: the Bills seven, the Bills and six, the Texans, All right, Brandon,

769
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 2: start with ten. The Patriots.

770
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, Bill's not exactly a sleeper, so they don't quite

771
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 3: fit the tiername. But we'll get to them in their

772
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 3: own division. The Patriots here at number ten. Man, I'm

773
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:34,360
Speaker 3: high on the Patriots. This is aggressive, I know, but

774
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 3: I have them top ten defense as well.

775
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 1: Here's the bet. I like the over eight and a half.

776
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,600
Speaker 3: If I'm going a perfect four noh start in September,

777
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 3: four wins in September at ESPN bet, it's eight to

778
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:51,200
Speaker 3: one odds. Here's the schedule, Raiders, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers. That's

779
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 3: the four teams you got it beat in order for

780
00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:56,040
Speaker 3: this to be the number you want. You want, basically

781
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 3: to think the Patriots are a little over sixty percent

782
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 3: to win each one of those games, and you like

783
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,439
Speaker 3: the number here. So I do like the Patriots. We've

784
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 3: spoken a lot about them. They add Stefan Dicks, the

785
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 3: add offensive line, four brand new offensive linemen, two rookies

786
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 3: on the left, two veterans on the other side. It's

787
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:14,880
Speaker 3: going to take a little time, but a much better

788
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 3: floor there. They had a rookie receiver, rookie running back,

789
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 3: and then the defense, tons of names on the defense,

790
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 3: just adding talent all over the place. Carlon Davis comes in, Roberts, Bulane,

791
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 3: Milton Williams, Harold Landry, we get Christian Gonzalez healthy, we

792
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 3: get Christian Barmore healthy, just a ton of talent, apparently

793
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,439
Speaker 3: not your brill Peppers. I'm not not loving the notcha

794
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 3: bril Peppers part all, be honest. But Mike Rabel, we

795
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:43,360
Speaker 3: know that he and Josh McDaniels will bring a culture change,

796
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,239
Speaker 3: and you know, perhaps a culture reversion is what I

797
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 3: think New England is hoping here back to the Belichick

798
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:52,320
Speaker 3: days of yr Rabel was over his first four seasons

799
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 3: of Tennessee. He's a guy that his teams consistently overperform.

800
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 1: I don't know that I.

801
00:36:57,080 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 3: Want Patriots playoffs, you know, making a run in the future.

802
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 3: I think we're aggressive getting there, but make the playoffs

803
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:04,479
Speaker 3: plus one fifty four.

804
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 1: I like that they are a clear five seed for me.

805
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 3: And we'll even get to another Patriots bet still later

806
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:15,759
Speaker 3: in the podcast, but starting out in September. Raiders, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers.

807
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 3: I think the Patriots are the best team of those four.

808
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 3: I think they should be a favorite in those four games.

809
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,239
Speaker 3: If I'm right and they're good right away, plus eight

810
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 3: hundred to start four to Oh you don't want the

811
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 3: five and no at DraftKings, you get the five and

812
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 3: no start Week five's Buffalo in Buffalo. No, thank you,

813
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,279
Speaker 3: keep your extra hundred odds. I'll take my eight to

814
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 3: one September and get out.

815
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 2: I love the bet just for that, in that circumstance

816
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 2: that you kind of get out before the real stuff starts.

817
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 2: They should win a few most of those games in

818
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 2: the lead up. So I kind of like the way

819
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,600
Speaker 2: you've positioned that New England bet. So I'm with you there,

820
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:52,920
Speaker 2: all right? Nine Chicago.

821
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:56,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, what have we not said about the Bears

822
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,040
Speaker 3: at this point? Let's keep a Temple Bears Island worse

823
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 3: to first Division. We get a better number now plus

824
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 3: six twenty five. Thanks Micah Parsons. Let's be honest, not

825
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,800
Speaker 3: thanks Micah Parsons. I would have rather had Barry's Island

826
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 3: without Micah Parsons prowling around on the Packers. That's not great.

827
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 3: That was the team I had as a division favorite

828
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,319
Speaker 3: already even when I took the Bears. But we did

829
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 3: get a better number, and I still have the Bears

830
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 3: within a win of the Packers. It's gonna be tough.

831
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 3: That whole division is tough. But I think actually Parsons

832
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 3: to me, maybe helps the Packers more in the playoffs

833
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 3: than it does in the regular season just from a

834
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 3: win total standpoint. With the Bears, it's Ben Johnson, it's

835
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 3: the interior line that they've invested in, Joe Tooney, Drew Dolman,

836
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 3: Jonah Jackson, and it's Dennis Allen. Also, don't forget not

837
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 3: just Ben Johnson, but bringing in the veteran play caller.

838
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: We love a fired, restored defensive play caller. That's Dennis

839
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 3: Johnson or Dennis Allen. So I just think the Bears.

840
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 3: Everybody thinks they're gonna be better. I think the Bears

841
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 3: gonna be better right away. I like the schedule of the

842
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 3: first three weeks. They get some breaks with it's the

843
00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 3: vikings and the lines and cowboys who are reeling a

844
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,440
Speaker 3: little bit have some injuries right away. I think they

845
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:07,400
Speaker 3: lock a little bit into that. It's a tough schedule

846
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 3: if you just want playoffs plus one ninety five. I

847
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 3: know Jill took that on our podcast. I don't mind

848
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,360
Speaker 3: it if you want just the playoffs. It's a tough division,

849
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 3: but we'll stick with it. Bear's Island plus six twenty five.

850
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're not every BET's perfect, so you know, we

851
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 2: can't agree with everything. So we'll move on to number eight.

852
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 2: Here your team, the Vikings number eight. Congrats, Yeah, thank you.

853
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 3: I put them there myself, very very much congratulated myself. Yeah,

854
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:36,319
Speaker 3: I had a hard time figuring out the Vikings. I

855
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:38,279
Speaker 3: think if you're being like I'm a normally kind of

856
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 3: a nihilist Vikings fan, I think there's a lot to

857
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,880
Speaker 3: like on this team. Defensive line has greatly improved, the

858
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:46,440
Speaker 3: weapons are good, the defense should be great, the coaching

859
00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 3: is good. It's all a bet on JJ McCarthy. So

860
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 3: if you're asking me, I think it was just bet

861
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 3: on JJ McCarthy. So I'm going to take a JJ

862
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 3: McCarthy passing touchdowns escalator. We're going straight to the source.

863
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 3: Forget the rest of the team and bet the guy.

864
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 3: So Minnesota under koc has been top six in the

865
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 3: NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns all three seasons.

866
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:10,719
Speaker 3: Kind of shocking if you think about it. We got

867
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 3: a season of Sam Donald, we got a season of

868
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins. That's the good one, and we got a

869
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 3: season of Kirk Cousins and like seventeen other dudes off

870
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 3: the street that are all playing in three seasons, more

871
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 3: than half of the games under KOC have been started

872
00:40:23,200 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 3: by the backup quarterback. If you're counting Darnald last year,

873
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:27,760
Speaker 3: which I think we should, McCarthy should have been a starter,

874
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 3: so we don't even need incredible quarterback play, which seem

875
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 3: to get baseline on competence. McCarthy's over under his twenty

876
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 3: four and a half for passing touchdowns again plus odds

877
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 3: at ESPN BET thirty touchdowns is plus two twenty five.

878
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:45,720
Speaker 3: We've hit thirty touchdown passes in North Are in Minnesota

879
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 3: all three of KOCO years. So if McCarthy can just

880
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 3: be as good as Sam Darnald or the corpse of

881
00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins and all the other guys who played that year,

882
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,320
Speaker 3: thirty looks in a play top of the escalator, thirty

883
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 3: five passing touchdowns is plus five point.

884
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 2: Fifty, depending what you think about feeling. Could be nice

885
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,239
Speaker 2: to get Addison back after a few weeks, once you

886
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 2: know everything's kind of rolling so I can see it

887
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:11,280
Speaker 2: and Yeah, I think a lot of questions about McCarthy,

888
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 2: but to be fair, Ko seemed pretty much is able

889
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 2: to pick his quarterback and it looks pretty decent. So

890
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 2: I think a lot of us assume that the efficiency

891
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 2: will be there, but time will tell. All Right, Seven

892
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 2: the Bills.

893
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, not exactly a sleeper sitting here in the sleeper tier,

894
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:29,759
Speaker 3: and Bill's fans might not really love this bet for

895
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 3: their team either. I'm not out on the Bills. I'm

896
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 3: just not in on the Bills obviously. I'm in on

897
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 3: Josh Allen, the deserving MVP. He's been great. He makes

898
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:42,719
Speaker 3: them have basically a top three offense virtually guaranteed. I

899
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,760
Speaker 3: just feel like there's more things that can go wrong

900
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 3: for this team than there are upside in them. And

901
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:50,320
Speaker 3: I'm not saying like things always go wrong for the Bills.

902
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:52,759
Speaker 3: I just mean you're buying in at the peak of

903
00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 3: the Bills. And we talked about while like the Patriots.

904
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:58,880
Speaker 3: So here's the bet Bill's Patriots top two in the

905
00:41:58,880 --> 00:41:59,600
Speaker 3: AFC East.

906
00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 1: This is in order. This is just those are the

907
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:03,440
Speaker 1: top two teams.

908
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 3: It's at DraftKings and it's minus one oh five, so

909
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 3: we're basically getting even odds that the Bills and the

910
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:13,759
Speaker 3: Patriots in some order are head of the Dolphins and

911
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 3: the Jets. So it's a bet on them. It's a

912
00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 3: bet on the Bills having a pretty clear floor. I'm

913
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:19,360
Speaker 3: not out on the Bills. I'm just not super in

914
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:22,400
Speaker 3: on them. They are to me, the one division in

915
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,960
Speaker 3: the AFC that I think it is up for grabs.

916
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 3: I think the Patriots are in a play here with

917
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 3: all their improvements. I'm not in on the Dolphins. On

918
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 3: on the Jets. We talked about them hours ago already.

919
00:42:31,640 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 3: So minus one oh five to just be in the

920
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:37,799
Speaker 3: top two and a little not Bills escalator. That where

921
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:41,919
Speaker 3: I sneaking in here. Patriots won Bills two exact order

922
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 3: plus seven to fifty ad Caesars. I have the Bills

923
00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 3: winning the division just under half the time, so less

924
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 3: than the coin flip. I have the Patriots winning, but

925
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,479
Speaker 3: the Bill second, but twenty five percent of the time

926
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 3: that would be three to one. We're getting seven and

927
00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 3: a half to one here.

928
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean to be honest with you. We talked

929
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 2: about this on the other pod. I could see both directions,

930
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 2: and I don't see the upside with the Jets at

931
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 2: least from an offensive standpoint, which is tough in this league.

932
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:10,440
Speaker 2: And I think the Dolphins, you know, things can go

933
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:13,759
Speaker 2: really bad, really quick. So I like it even close

934
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,759
Speaker 2: to even odds there, all right? Last one of this

935
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 2: year six the Texans.

936
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think people are asleep on the Texans a

937
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 3: little bit. We're gonna take a little mini Texans escalator.

938
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 3: We may be back on Texans Island this year. Gimme

939
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 3: Houston in the Division AFC South winners plus odds, what

940
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:33,919
Speaker 3: are we doing plus one point fifteen at fan duel.

941
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 3: I'm going multi units on that. I love that division bet,

942
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:40,280
Speaker 3: and a little nibble with our winnings on the Super Bowl.

943
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 3: Houston Texans the winners of the whole thing forty to one.

944
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:47,520
Speaker 3: So here's the case. I think we're buying low on Houston.

945
00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:49,800
Speaker 3: Last year, everybody a bought high on this team was

946
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,080
Speaker 3: a little bit burned. Like you know, you play fantasy

947
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 3: and you take that guy top ten and he stinks,

948
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 3: and then the next year like he didn't really stink.

949
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:00,919
Speaker 3: He's just like the running back twelve. Well, we didn't

950
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 3: quite get the breakout we wanted, and now no one

951
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:04,839
Speaker 3: ever wants to take him again. I feel like that's

952
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,439
Speaker 3: going to happen in the Texans here. Look, they are

953
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:10,360
Speaker 3: possibly the number one defense, they're possibly the number one

954
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,960
Speaker 3: special teams. Everybody loves their coaching, so we have a

955
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 3: super high floor. The rest of the division is still

956
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,640
Speaker 3: pretty bad. We talked about all three of those teams

957
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:20,480
Speaker 3: way down on the other end of the power rankings.

958
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 3: I think it's all upside if Nick Kayley the new

959
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator, if things click and the offensive line is

960
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:29,759
Speaker 3: worse than the league right now, but can the offensive

961
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 3: coordinator build a run game out of it? Can he

962
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 3: get the offense moving a little bit? Can he get

963
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,880
Speaker 3: the line not great? Can he get them twenty fourth?

964
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 1: Maybe?

965
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:40,920
Speaker 3: Can he get them just not thirty second anymore? Do

966
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 3: you have CG just strout a little time, a little

967
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:46,319
Speaker 3: more confidence. I still love the Texans. Four wins ahead

968
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:49,320
Speaker 3: of the division. We're getting plus odds in the division.

969
00:44:50,000 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 3: I just think that's a ludicrous number. The Texans are

970
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:55,400
Speaker 3: by far better. Their defense is by far the best

971
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:59,480
Speaker 3: unit in the division. And then if you like the Texans,

972
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 3: we giving out a few long shots for them. Tamiko

973
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 3: Coach of the Year, I know you like that one

974
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:07,720
Speaker 3: that was sixty five to one Texans one seed forty

975
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 3: five to one. That sounds kind of crazy, but I

976
00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 3: have them within a win of that, and then if

977
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 3: they get there, or if they're a top two seed,

978
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,319
Speaker 3: you're gonna want the forty to one super Bowl long

979
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:18,399
Speaker 3: shot ticket. I don't know that this is the one

980
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 3: I expect to cash for me, But can I get

981
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 3: a Texans forty to one into the.

982
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:25,680
Speaker 1: AFC Championship Game? Can you give me some options here? Now?

983
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 3: What can I do with my ticket? I think it's important.

984
00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 3: Remember you don't always have to casher ticket to win.

985
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 3: You can do things with them later on. So I

986
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:34,799
Speaker 3: think that's the goal of the Super Bowl ticket here.

987
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 3: You know, maybe we'll cash it too.

988
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've been through three tiers since we've hit the

989
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:41,560
Speaker 2: AFC South, so we finally finished it between tiers like

990
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:45,560
Speaker 2: seven and tier two. But the Texans at six, all right,

991
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,399
Speaker 2: it is now time for Tier two. These are the contenders.

992
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 2: We've got four teams listed at five, the Chiefs at four,

993
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,400
Speaker 2: the Eagles at three, the Packers at two, the forty

994
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,800
Speaker 2: nine ers. I won't give away one, but if you're counting,

995
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,919
Speaker 2: you'll know at home. So through those four teams start

996
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:02,839
Speaker 2: with the Chiefs at five.

997
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:05,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Chiefs, we did this one on our exotics. I'm

998
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 3: gonna give you a little parlay here, Chiefs, Texans Eagles

999
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 3: Division winner parlay plus six point thirty three at FanDuel.

1000
00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:15,000
Speaker 3: So this is again, as always, this has been on

1001
00:46:15,040 --> 00:46:17,880
Speaker 3: twelve teams. Really, it's a twelve team parlay. We like

1002
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:19,880
Speaker 3: the Chiefs, we like the Texans, we like the Eagles,

1003
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 3: and we're betting against everyone else in knows divisions. Chiefs

1004
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:24,440
Speaker 3: are pretty close to even Oz in the division. I

1005
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:27,360
Speaker 3: think there's still value there. I actually have a slight

1006
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 3: step back here. I have some questions about the offensive line.

1007
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:32,279
Speaker 3: I'm questioning a little bit Matt and Agy and is

1008
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:34,480
Speaker 3: that why the offense is down to eighth and DVA

1009
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 3: the last two years after top three every Mahomes year

1010
00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:39,600
Speaker 3: before that. I'm wondering about the defense. Some of the

1011
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:43,399
Speaker 3: names they are losing there. It just seems like we're

1012
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,759
Speaker 3: getting kind of slightly a little bit worse each year.

1013
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 3: We're just losing names. It's expensive to keep this team going.

1014
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 3: Know where she rice the first six weeks, But we

1015
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,240
Speaker 3: already made the case for why I like the Chiefs

1016
00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:59,920
Speaker 3: in the division because I'm out on the Chargers and Broncos,

1017
00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 3: not out totally, but out kind of accordingly in the division.

1018
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:06,879
Speaker 3: So I actually have the Chiefs and these other two

1019
00:47:06,920 --> 00:47:09,959
Speaker 3: teams Texans and Eagles all something like seventy to eighty

1020
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:13,040
Speaker 3: five percent in the division, like a clear jump ahead

1021
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 3: without relieving a I don't even know who would be

1022
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,799
Speaker 3: the second contender in these divisions by the way that

1023
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 3: my projections set up. So parlay that together. I make

1024
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,440
Speaker 3: this parlay actually slightly slightly better than a coin flip.

1025
00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 3: We're getting plus six thirty three. So this is just

1026
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,760
Speaker 3: to me saying, okay, just give me the three teams

1027
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 3: that are my surest division winner bets that I think

1028
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,400
Speaker 3: there's odds in our favor in all of them, similar

1029
00:47:35,760 --> 00:47:37,840
Speaker 3: close to coin flip on them all. So if you

1030
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:40,319
Speaker 3: want to play them separate, I don't mind that you

1031
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:42,919
Speaker 3: want to parlay them together. Or you could throw these

1032
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:44,759
Speaker 3: three and then you're sleeper. You might, you know, like

1033
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,600
Speaker 3: the Patriots. You throw them in with these three, now

1034
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:49,840
Speaker 3: you're at like a thirty to one division. And so

1035
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 3: don't get too crazy. Don't play eight guys together in

1036
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 3: the division. You're not going to hit all eight of

1037
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:59,600
Speaker 3: them necessarily, But Casey Houston, Philly plus six thirty three together,

1038
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:00,880
Speaker 3: I like it.

1039
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 2: I mean, we talked about on the other podcast. I

1040
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:04,360
Speaker 2: feel like it's the most likely, and I feel like

1041
00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:08,400
Speaker 2: getting towards that even number on those three teams especially

1042
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 2: probably gives you an out even if there's two there.

1043
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 2: So I am with it, all right, give us on

1044
00:48:12,719 --> 00:48:13,839
Speaker 2: your next bet, all.

1045
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 3: Right, Eagles, we're going pop on this one. Give me

1046
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 3: an aj Brown upside escalator. So let me explain and

1047
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 3: I'll give you the numbers. I think Philly passes more

1048
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:24,600
Speaker 3: this year. I think maybe even a lot more. We

1049
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:27,680
Speaker 3: saw a very run heavy team in the second half

1050
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 3: of games last year, as they were just running the

1051
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 3: lead off the field, but they're pretty neutral in the

1052
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:37,080
Speaker 3: first half. Actually, we can only expect the Eagles just

1053
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:40,600
Speaker 3: by regression alone, to probably not be so far ahead

1054
00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:42,600
Speaker 3: in so many games this year. Especially they're a us

1055
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 3: a lot of names from that number one defense, so

1056
00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:47,800
Speaker 3: we'll see how that holds up. Not out on the Eagles.

1057
00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:51,680
Speaker 3: We also don't know about Kevin Botula, the new offensive coordinator.

1058
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,560
Speaker 3: What if he just wants to pass a little bit more.

1059
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 3: That seems perfectly in the play that they pass more,

1060
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:59,799
Speaker 3: just from the unknowns there. So with AJ Brown it's

1061
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:03,360
Speaker 3: just volume play. He's always benefficient over ten yards of

1062
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 3: target in his career, almost sixteen yards a catch last year.

1063
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,040
Speaker 3: He missed four games before that two years in a

1064
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 3: arrow over fourteen hundred and fifty yards. So I'm starting

1065
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 3: right about there. Here's the bet fifteen hundred receiving yards

1066
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:17,320
Speaker 3: for A. J. Brown seven to one at bet MGM.

1067
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:20,680
Speaker 3: That's the start of escalator. Now we're taking him to

1068
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,719
Speaker 3: lead the league in yards twenty eight to one at

1069
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 3: Caesars and then we also gave him out for Offensive

1070
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,759
Speaker 3: Player of the Year. He's now fifty five to one

1071
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 3: there as well. So I think if AJ Brown gets going,

1072
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,319
Speaker 3: if they pass a little bit more. Really, this is

1073
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 3: me betting on the Eagles being slightly worse, having to

1074
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:41,040
Speaker 3: pass a little bit more, and AJ Brown being as

1075
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:43,719
Speaker 3: good as any receiver in the NFL and being the

1076
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:47,279
Speaker 3: beneficiary there. So fifteen hundred yards or more, seven to

1077
00:49:47,320 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 3: one lead the league and Offensive Player of the Year,

1078
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 3: that's de escalator.

1079
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 2: Honestly, I see it. I mean I have the Eagles

1080
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:55,799
Speaker 2: kind of pined there as well in terms of this

1081
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:57,640
Speaker 2: top tier in this Division. I think you're going to

1082
00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 2: see it in the first game against Dallas, so I

1083
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 2: see no problem with that. All right. Three teams left

1084
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:04,520
Speaker 2: the Packers at three.

1085
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, so Packers are tough because obviously the Micah Parsons

1086
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 3: deal shook up all the odds, you know, everything. The

1087
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 3: over under went up by a full way, and the

1088
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 3: Super Bowl odds got nuke.

1089
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:14,200
Speaker 1: Everything got nuked.

1090
00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:18,080
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna do another passing stat escalator here, give

1091
00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,440
Speaker 3: me Jordan Love passing touchdowns escalator. So we know I

1092
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:24,600
Speaker 3: like Jordan Love, my number six quarterback. I can't really

1093
00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 3: look at investing elsewhere because of all those odds moves,

1094
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 3: but I like the passing touchdowns a lot.

1095
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:30,839
Speaker 1: Here.

1096
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 3: Green Bay passing rate last season dropped ten percent. They

1097
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:37,920
Speaker 3: were bottom three, and passing rate bottom three, and neutral

1098
00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:39,759
Speaker 3: passing rate bottom three and passing.

1099
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,560
Speaker 1: Rate over expected. That is not green Bay football.

1100
00:50:42,600 --> 00:50:45,239
Speaker 3: That was green Bay football because Jordan Love got hurt

1101
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:47,680
Speaker 3: for a couple of games, Malik Willis had to play,

1102
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:50,040
Speaker 3: and then Love was still hurt for a while after that,

1103
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:53,399
Speaker 3: so I think Lafleur was protecting him. We also saw

1104
00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 3: Green Bay's passing touchdown percentage drop, so if you look

1105
00:50:56,719 --> 00:51:00,279
Speaker 3: at all the touchdowns the offense scored last year only

1106
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 3: fifty five percent. We're passing touchdowns the four previous years

1107
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:07,400
Speaker 3: under Lafleur seventy five, seventy five, sixty nine, and seventy

1108
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:11,239
Speaker 3: six percent, so about three fourths usually half last year.

1109
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:13,800
Speaker 3: I think those numbers go back up. Jordan Love is

1110
00:51:13,840 --> 00:51:17,800
Speaker 3: healthy now. Matt Lafleur has always had high passing touchdown

1111
00:51:17,880 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 3: numbers with the Packers. Rogers one MVP twice with seventy

1112
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:24,400
Speaker 3: five touchdowns in two years. Love at thirty two his

1113
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 3: first year, twenty five last year, and he missed two

1114
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,439
Speaker 3: games and played hurt in a few others. So here's

1115
00:51:29,440 --> 00:51:33,120
Speaker 3: the numbers we're taken on the escalator over twenty three

1116
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:36,719
Speaker 3: and a half. Don't insult me. Minus one twenty That

1117
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 3: is a crazy number for a Packers quarterback. Thirty passing

1118
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 3: touchdowns is plus two sixty. Going to put plenty of

1119
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:45,760
Speaker 3: the bet on that number as well. I think that's

1120
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,240
Speaker 3: really kind of the outcome you expect for the Packers.

1121
00:51:48,640 --> 00:51:52,960
Speaker 3: And then thirty five touchdowns is at plus six point

1122
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 3: fifty and okay, fine, twist my arm if you still

1123
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:59,319
Speaker 3: have a twenty to one MVP ticket out there and

1124
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 3: join Love. If he gets thirty five touchdowns and if

1125
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:04,200
Speaker 3: the defense is good, and if they win a lot

1126
00:52:04,239 --> 00:52:06,799
Speaker 3: of games, I have to believe that that probably is

1127
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,520
Speaker 3: the escalator play all the way up on MVP for

1128
00:52:09,600 --> 00:52:11,200
Speaker 3: Jordan Love. I think it's in play for him at

1129
00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:14,080
Speaker 3: some point in his career, maybe now with Parsons. That's

1130
00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:17,000
Speaker 3: not that Parsons makes Love better. He might just make

1131
00:52:17,040 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 3: people respect him a little more because they win even

1132
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:19,800
Speaker 3: more games.

1133
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I correct me if I'm wrong. I think we

1134
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:25,839
Speaker 2: played this as a real long shot entering last year.

1135
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:29,719
Speaker 2: But I feel like Jordan Love MVP in a parlay

1136
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:31,880
Speaker 2: with like the Packers Super Bowl, which I believe they

1137
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 2: allow you to do something of that nature where you're

1138
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,560
Speaker 2: able to take one and kind of, you know, put

1139
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:39,560
Speaker 2: it together with the team effort into the playoffs. I

1140
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,400
Speaker 2: feel like it's something long even worth interesting. You know,

1141
00:52:42,520 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 2: good defense now with the good offense, I feel like

1142
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 2: they're way more balanced, obviously, but your Packers are in three.

1143
00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:50,640
Speaker 2: Let's talk about your forty nine ers now A two.

1144
00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, my Niners. My first Super Bowl bet of the

1145
00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:56,120
Speaker 3: season at twenty doer one, so you already know that one.

1146
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,200
Speaker 3: The bet here is. I like the over ten and

1147
00:52:58,200 --> 00:53:01,279
Speaker 3: a half, but I'm gonna take Niners most wins in

1148
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:04,719
Speaker 3: the NFL thirteen to one at DraftKings. This is a

1149
00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 3: bet on the healthy roster. They lost so many games

1150
00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 3: last year. I think like eighty three games between just

1151
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 3: all these different you know, Trent Williams and Christian McCaffrey

1152
00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 3: misses most of the year, and like four or five

1153
00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 3: defenders are missing time. Deebo's out Ie is Out party

1154
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 3: misses two games, just all up and down the roster.

1155
00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 3: They get much healthier. They were still even despite all that.

1156
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:30,480
Speaker 3: A top thirteen offense and defense by Dvoch like quite frankly,

1157
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 3: might have been cal Shanahan's like best coaching job ever,

1158
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:36,680
Speaker 3: which sounds ridiculous. He's made five of nine NFC championships,

1159
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:39,200
Speaker 3: but to drag that team to that good of a

1160
00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 3: profile even with all those injuries. Now they get Robert

1161
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 3: Salad back. We love a fired returning defensive coroner. He's

1162
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:49,600
Speaker 3: returning quite literally to his old job. The defense was

1163
00:53:49,640 --> 00:53:52,400
Speaker 3: so good under sala there I'm in on the Niners.

1164
00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,360
Speaker 3: I don't blame you if you don't trust the defense

1165
00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:57,640
Speaker 3: in the playoffs, or maybe you don't trust cal shann

1166
00:53:57,640 --> 00:53:58,680
Speaker 3: in the playoffs if you don't.

1167
00:53:58,560 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: Want the super Bowl ticket.

1168
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:01,920
Speaker 3: Some other ways, We've bought the Niners a lot of

1169
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:05,239
Speaker 3: ways here McCaffrey twenty two to one Offensive Player of

1170
00:54:05,239 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 3: the Year, Trent Williams our first Protector of the Year

1171
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:11,439
Speaker 3: pick eleven to one, Rock Purty. We took a little

1172
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:14,239
Speaker 3: nibble on the thirty to one MVP. We'ven't got, you know,

1173
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:16,920
Speaker 3: Malie Collins at defensive Rookie of the Year as a

1174
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:21,160
Speaker 3: long shot. I think it's okay to doubt the playoff profile,

1175
00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 3: but can they get it down the regular season. I

1176
00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:26,880
Speaker 3: don't think you want the median outcome if they're healthy.

1177
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:29,920
Speaker 3: Most wins in the league this team is because anybody

1178
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 3: in the NFC where it's weaker. Thirteen to one, pretty

1179
00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:34,040
Speaker 3: easy way to invest in San Fran.

1180
00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:37,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, even if I'm not fully invested in San Fran

1181
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 2: like you guys are, I still feel like there are

1182
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:43,000
Speaker 2: upside bets to take on them in case they do

1183
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:46,040
Speaker 2: do everything you're talking about, which in that division, I

1184
00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:49,520
Speaker 2: think there are opportunities. I think I've heard literally the

1185
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 2: case for all four teams in the NFC West, to

1186
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:53,440
Speaker 2: be honest with you from a lot of people, So

1187
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 2: I think I just think that division is a little

1188
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:58,360
Speaker 2: bit up to opinion. All right, if you're counting at

1189
00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:01,799
Speaker 2: home Tier one, the it's a team Brandon, and really

1190
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 2: everybody thinks it's their time. The Ravens hit it.

1191
00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:07,759
Speaker 3: It's their time, I think. And I'm going with the

1192
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 3: bet you actually just said, but for the wrong team.

1193
00:55:11,080 --> 00:55:13,960
Speaker 3: I'm going to MVP Super Bowl Combo Lamar Jackson to

1194
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 3: win MVP and Ravens to win the Super Bowl twenty

1195
00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:20,160
Speaker 3: five to one at ESPN bet. Like we did the

1196
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:24,279
Speaker 3: whole series of rankings. The Ravens are top seven in

1197
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:29,800
Speaker 3: the NFL in my rankings at quarterback, skill position, offensive line, coaching, offense, defense,

1198
00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:34,520
Speaker 3: special teams, everything. It is ridiculous in my model. This

1199
00:55:34,600 --> 00:55:37,440
Speaker 3: sounds crazy to me too. I understand. I have the

1200
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:40,400
Speaker 3: Ravens a full three points to the spread ahead of

1201
00:55:40,480 --> 00:55:43,640
Speaker 3: any other team in the NFL. Like this is alone

1202
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:47,120
Speaker 3: in a top tier for a reason, no more excuses.

1203
00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:49,680
Speaker 3: This is the best team. I think they were the

1204
00:55:49,680 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 3: best team probably a year ago by most of the

1205
00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:54,399
Speaker 3: advanced metrics. We already thought they were the best team

1206
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:58,279
Speaker 3: last year. The other teams we just talked about basically,

1207
00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:01,360
Speaker 3: the other top contenders all got a little worse in

1208
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:04,279
Speaker 3: the offseason. The Ravens got better. They went out and

1209
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:07,320
Speaker 3: upgraded the secondary, they added to the team. They finally

1210
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 3: didn't lose coaches this year. The offense under Tom Munkin

1211
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:15,640
Speaker 3: has been outrageously Number one obvious MVP candidate Lamar Jackson.

1212
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 3: He's never lost more than five games a season, and

1213
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 3: with the roster this good, you're gonna get the wins

1214
00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:22,799
Speaker 3: as well, and it's time to go do the thing,

1215
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,040
Speaker 3: go win in the playoffs. He's been right there. They

1216
00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 3: had a shot last year. Every other contender is worse.

1217
00:56:28,239 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 3: Baltimore is better. If they're the one seed, you're gonna

1218
00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:32,759
Speaker 3: want the ticket, even though you're gonna have sweat it

1219
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:34,840
Speaker 3: out in the playoffs. So if you want them separately,

1220
00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:37,680
Speaker 3: I like that as well. I'd just shoehorn into one

1221
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:41,359
Speaker 3: MVP plus five fifty super Bowl adds plus seven hundred.

1222
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:42,520
Speaker 1: It's a tough schedule early.

1223
00:56:43,000 --> 00:56:44,880
Speaker 3: I don't mind if you want to wait, but I

1224
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 3: think the Ravens are so good that they beat those

1225
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:49,200
Speaker 3: tough schedule games early and now you're out. You can't

1226
00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:51,719
Speaker 3: bet them anymore because they're just the juggernaut that everyone

1227
00:56:51,719 --> 00:56:54,359
Speaker 3: else is chasing. I think they're that juggernaut right now.

1228
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,759
Speaker 3: I think everyone's already chasing them. So one more for

1229
00:56:56,840 --> 00:56:58,799
Speaker 3: the road. What fun is it if you can't call

1230
00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:01,680
Speaker 3: your shot every once in a while. Ravens over the

1231
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 3: Niners in the Super Bowl, savneda one at DraftKings. That's it,

1232
00:57:07,239 --> 00:57:08,160
Speaker 3: No more futures.

1233
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:08,720
Speaker 1: I'm out.

1234
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe the lights will go out as well and

1235
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,560
Speaker 2: we'll see it all over again. It'll be just fine,

1236
00:57:14,120 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 2: all right. That will do it. Here on the Action

1237
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 2: Hour podcast. My thanks to Brandon Anderson. Do not forget

1238
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:24,200
Speaker 2: to download the free award winning action Eric app to

1239
00:57:24,240 --> 00:57:27,080
Speaker 2: see more from all of our Action Hour contributors. Plus

1240
00:57:27,400 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 2: you can track your own picks. Go to actionework dot

1241
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:33,960
Speaker 2: com slash pro use the promo code pod twenty for

1242
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 2: twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro. Also check

1243
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,640
Speaker 2: out the Action Network discord server chop it up with

1244
00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,560
Speaker 2: experts fellow gamblers earn these games. There's a link to

1245
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:47,200
Speaker 2: join in the description of the podcast. We'll be back

1246
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:50,560
Speaker 2: in your podcast feed first thing on Friday morning, where

1247
00:57:50,600 --> 00:57:54,120
Speaker 2: our first Best Bets show of the NFL season. They'll

1248
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:57,160
Speaker 2: also hear from Stucky and Raybond with their six back

1249
00:57:57,200 --> 00:58:00,640
Speaker 2: episodes to subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts so you

1250
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:03,840
Speaker 2: don't miss any of it. Thank you for listening, Good

1251
00:58:03,920 --> 00:58:06,120
Speaker 2: luck with all your bets, and enjoy the start of

1252
00:58:06,160 --> 00:58:25,520
Speaker 2: the season. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1253
00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:28,760
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1254
00:58:29,040 --> 00:58:31,680
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1255
00:58:31,720 --> 00:58:32,560
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler