1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox. 2 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we 3 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for 4 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P and L 6 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Nafter 7 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: renegotiations with Mexico and Canada, how are those two countries 8 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: dealing with demands from the United States. Here to tell 9 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: us more is Gary Clyde Huffbauer, non Resident Senior Fellow 10 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: for the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Joining us from Washington. 11 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: Gary Huffbauer, What exactly are the sticking points between the 12 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: United States and Canada UH? There are three. First of all, 13 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: the United States President Trump wants Canada to dramatically increase 14 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: access for the US dairy farmers, and Canada has a 15 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: rather protected so called supply management system. Secondly, President Trump 16 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 1: wants to get rid of UH, an arbitration system for 17 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: handling or for reviewing anti dumping and countervating duty cases, 18 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: and that UH. Canadians have described that as a red 19 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: line and Thirdly, Uh, the agreement with Mexico provides for 20 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: a review in six years and possible termination in sixteen years, 21 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: and the Canadians strongly prefer an indefinite life of the 22 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 1: new agreement. So those are the three big sticking points. Dairy, 23 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: as a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, you often 24 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: Peterson Institute is is often thought of as putting forward 25 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: a pro trade, pro free trade type of agenda, and 26 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: I'm curious on your perspective coming from that, given your 27 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: experience as a Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Trade and 28 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: Investment Policy at the U s. Trejury in the nineteen seventies. Uh, 29 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: I'm just wondering, is there a corollary to the time 30 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: that we're living in in terms of the anti free 31 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: trade sentiment in your in your experience. Oh, oh yes, 32 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: this is a very strong anti free trade mood after 33 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: about sixty years of progressive pre er trade by both 34 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,639 Speaker 1: by the United States and other countries. But this particular 35 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: agreement is reading a backward step and a big backward 36 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: step in terms of of preer trade in three important 37 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: sectors autos. Firstly, um textiles to some extent, and then 38 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: steal and Alma because a side agreement here will put 39 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: quotas on imports of steel and aluminum from Mexico and 40 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: possibly from Canada as well. So those are those are 41 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 1: steps backwards. Guard do you believe the technology and innovation 42 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: will and I I guess it is a pun trump 43 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: the the the the sort of conflict that you just 44 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: described having to do with free trade. That the fact 45 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: that you can move money as well as material all 46 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: around the world with a click of a button, is 47 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: that going to make it much more difficult to kind 48 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: of enforce trade restrictions. It does, It does, And you 49 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: can also add the digital revolution note we're in, which 50 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: is really a big pathway to freer trade. But the 51 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: comp administration just to its best to plug, you know, 52 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: loopholes that might be created by technology. And in the 53 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 1: auto industry they've they've really put all out to well 54 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: to restrict and we haven't seen the end of it, 55 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: because after this agreement is reached, they will try to 56 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: reach agreements with Europe and Japan restricting US auto imports 57 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:16,720 Speaker 1: from those two areas as well. So you know, you're right, 58 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 1: technology is liberalizing and then the uh, the administration is 59 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: trying to catch up with some more thumbs in the 60 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: in the dyke, Gary, do you think that this wave 61 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: of protection ism, an anti free trade sentiment stems from 62 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: a failure in free trade to accomplish certain things that 63 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 1: people were hoping for. Uh, well that's what they say, 64 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: but that's not in fact what's happening. What's happening, going 65 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: back to the technology point, is that technology is is 66 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: replacing labor and a lot of different sectors, a lot 67 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: of different labor activities, not only blue collar, but but 68 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: white collar as well. And uh, that's having an effect 69 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: on average weight grow. Politicians need something to blame that on. 70 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: So hey, blame it on the foreigner. That's the simple politics. Um, 71 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: so it's not free trade, its technology, which is with 72 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: its uh you know, rough spots, which is causing having 73 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: most of his angst speak if you can about the 74 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: US Mexico agreement as you know it, what are some 75 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: of the good and what are some of the bad points. 76 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:32,239 Speaker 1: The good points are lifted from the Transpacific Partnership Agreement, which, 77 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: as you know, President Trump rejected right on his first 78 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: day in office. So digital trade. Actually, they are very 79 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:45,280 Speaker 1: pro liberalization and digital trade, and that's important to the 80 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: United States, which is a digital superpower. Intellectual property protections, uh, 81 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 1: and there are some good features there searting from the 82 00:05:55,000 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 1: standpoint of US companies. Biologic data gets protected for ten years, uh, 83 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: copyrights for life of creative plus seventy five years, and 84 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: a lot of strong stuff on enforcement. There will be 85 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: a chapter on state on enterprises. That's that's a modest 86 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: issue with Mexico. Obviously it's a big issue with China. 87 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: And this chapter meant to be a template. There will 88 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 1: be something on currency again, more a template for China 89 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 1: talks going forward in for Mexico today. So those are 90 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: all you know, those are all good things and uh, 91 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: the administration needs to be congratulated who are modernizing in 92 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 1: those respects. Gary, you were quoted in a recent article 93 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: in Axis saying that if Trump President Trump imposes fresh 94 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: TIFFs and two billion dollars in Chinese goods, uh, that 95 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: will trigger a trade war with huge financial repercussions because 96 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: China will not back down. One key question as we 97 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: look at markets, how long will it take for those 98 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: financial repercussions? How long will it take for those to 99 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 1: be felt in the United States once this trade work 100 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 1: gets going. Oh, the finance markets move ahead of the 101 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 1: real markets, and then it will happen, I think, very quickly. 102 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: And China is not Mexico. I mean, Mexico is is 103 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: in very difficult situation. It's a weak country compared to 104 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: the United States. China is not going to back down. 105 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: China is going to go with kit for tax. So 106 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: if Trump does two undred billion, will's another billion. They'll 107 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: start restricting US companies doing business in China. Caterpillar, uh mowing, 108 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: you name it, They'll restrict them. So I think the 109 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: financial repercussions from that will happen within you know, within 110 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 1: a week or two or even quicker and in a 111 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: few days. And it's because of those financial repercussions that 112 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: I remain skeptical. Even though Trump keeps saying it's gonna 113 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: go after the Chinese, that he will do it riar 114 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 1: to the November election, I just can't see this as 115 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: being good politics for the Republicans come November. Gary, thank 116 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: you so much for being with us today. Hey, thanks 117 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: a lot. Take care, Take care. Gary. Clyde Huffbauer is 118 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: nonresident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics 119 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,640 Speaker 1: in Washington, d C. He has a pretty deep knowledge 120 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: of all things having to do with trade. I mean, 121 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: I just want to give you some sense of what 122 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: this background is. He was the Deputy Assist and Secretary 123 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: of International Trade and Investment Policy at the US Treasury 124 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: and Director of the International Tax Staff at the U 125 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: S Treasury during the nineteen seventies. Talking of Ford, It's 126 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 1: created credit rating was lowered yesterday by Moody's Investors Service, 127 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: And I want to bring in Tad Ravelle, chief investment 128 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 1: officer for fixed income at TCW Group. Tad, You're the 129 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,679 Speaker 1: perfect person to have on given the fact that Ford 130 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:09,199 Speaker 1: was just downgraded one notch above the junk rating, the 131 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: highest junk rating, and Ford has a ton of debt. 132 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: Is this a buying opportunity for you since prices on 133 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: the debt are falling, are falling or is it a 134 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: selling a sort of need to sell kind of moment. Well, 135 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,200 Speaker 1: in our view, the market I think is beginning to 136 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: maybe more properly priced the risk associated with Ford. As 137 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 1: you point out, they have a lot of debt. I 138 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 1: believe Ford the company has about ninety billion in long 139 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: term debt and as you also pointed out, Moody's dropped 140 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 1: the rating to the lowest level of investment grade, the 141 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: b A A three, and they also indicated a negative outlook, 142 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: which means that officially, or according to the usual way 143 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: people look at these things, for it is a perspective 144 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 1: fallen angel it makes any additional missteps, that runs the 145 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: risk of being junked in terms of its rating by 146 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: by Moodies. There's about a hundred twenty basis points um 147 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 1: of spread currently in that Forward trades wider to General Motors. UH. 148 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 1: Given our inclination and our our belief about the relative 149 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 1: merits of the two businesses, we would rather express a 150 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 1: view in the autos in the General Motors name rather 151 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 1: than the Ford name. Hold on a second, have you 152 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: are you actively selling Forward in order to buy General 153 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: Motors or you just aren't buying any Ford and are 154 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: adding General Motors. We actually have we we have repositioned 155 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: ourselves to emphasize General Motors at the expense of Ford 156 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 1: in the portfolios. We we haven't done it so much reactively, 157 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 1: I think we we have held to the view that 158 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 1: General Motors has made some more difficult choices. It's made 159 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 1: it the tougher decisions, and as a result, it's in 160 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: a better position visa v. Ford. But of course it 161 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:50,320 Speaker 1: should be pointed out that there tends to be a 162 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: significant amount of correlation in the way General Motors and 163 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: Ford trade with one another. That correlation has broken down 164 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: recently with the widening out in the Ford spreads, and 165 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:02,679 Speaker 1: as I indicated, I think that that's that's that is 166 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 1: a fair market reaction. It is not, in our in 167 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:09,559 Speaker 1: our view, a proper time to be adding for it exposure, 168 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: given its prospective risk profile and the potentiality of it 169 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: becoming a fallen angel. It would become a rather large 170 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 1: fallen angel. By the way, Ted Ravell speak about the 171 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: sales by corporate holders of bonds, and I'm thinking of 172 00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 1: companies such as Apple and Oracle. They were big bond buyers. 173 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: Now they seem to be big bond sellers. What happens 174 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 1: when they sell well, we saw some of that happen 175 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 1: in the first quarter of this year. As you quite 176 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: rightly pointed out, the large cash piles that some of 177 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:51,839 Speaker 1: these large tech franchises held, many of which were being 178 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 1: held in effect in overseas. Types of accounts were um 179 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 1: were largely or significant amounts of them were liquidated in 180 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:01,560 Speaker 1: the first quarter this year. So what had been a 181 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: long accumulation process mostly of short term corporate debt, turned 182 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 1: into a buying opportunity actually in the first quarter of 183 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: this year as those positions that came into the marketplace. 184 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 1: I don't think that we've seen much activity over the 185 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 1: course of the last couple of quarters. However, as I said, 186 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: that was a really early two thou eighteen type of event. 187 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: But I think if we look at the more general 188 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 1: question about, uh, what is the direction the next direction 189 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,920 Speaker 1: of the corporate bond market, in our view, it's a 190 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: it's going to a bad place that you're in a 191 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 1: late cycle type of environment. Yeah, you're in a late 192 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 1: cycle type of environment. There's a very high level of 193 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 1: leverage that exists in the corporate bond market. Generally. There 194 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: are other forms of market internals, if that's the word 195 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 1: for it, that are probably bear watching, and they have 196 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 1: been um they have been mentioned by a number of folk. 197 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 1: But UH Moody's for instance, called out the percent of 198 00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: issue ince in the the loan market that has now 199 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: become covenant light. This is obviously a new phenomenon or 200 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 1: a phenomenon that is representative only of this cycle, and 201 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: it means that the types of bank loans that are 202 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 1: widely syndicated and trading in the capital markets are particularly 203 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: risky the hold on but leverage loans are different than 204 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: fixing come debt. And I'm just wondering, I mean, have 205 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 1: you gotten rid of your leverage loan exposure almost entirely? 206 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:26,559 Speaker 1: I would you see the same risk in the high 207 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:31,960 Speaker 1: old bond market? Well? Um, right, So, technically speaking, what 208 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 1: you say is correct that leverage loans are not strictly 209 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:39,720 Speaker 1: speaking bonds. Um. However, they are an alternative form of 210 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 1: financing that exists for leveraged companies. So leverage companies generally 211 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 1: speaking have a choice as to whether or not they 212 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: prefer to access the high old bond market or the 213 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: leverage loan market. In that sense, they are actually close 214 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: siblings of one another. Um. So, I guess what I 215 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: would put forward is that many of the dynamics as 216 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 1: underwriting standards have softened loosened in the leverage loan market. 217 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: Something comparable has also occurred in the high yield market. 218 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 1: The fact that credit is is so accessible and on 219 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 1: such poor terms from the point of view of a lender, 220 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: in our opinion, is a very significant red flag in 221 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 1: the context, as they mentioned, a moment ago of a 222 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 1: late cycle environment where leverage is already high and the 223 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 1: potentiality for a growth recession or a generalized slow down 224 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 1: definitionally is rising. Okay, so just twenty seconds, are you 225 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 1: buying emerging markets in the sell off? Not yet? Uh? 226 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 1: The If you look at the longer term spreads of 227 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 1: the emerging market asset class, while the spreads are wider, 228 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: it is still based upon the historical spread levels, still 229 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 1: fairly tight. And um, I think the dynamics that we've 230 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: seen over the course of the last several weeks should 231 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: give one quite a bit of pause in an environment 232 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: of quantitative tightening. What is seems to be occurring as 233 00:14:59,880 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 1: a the weaker borrowers are being revealed in the market. 234 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 1: So what we've seen so far, of course is Turkey, 235 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: Argentina and more recently Indonesia. There may be others. Thanks 236 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: very much for being whether US tad revels the Chief 237 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 1: Investment Officer for Fixed Income for TCW, helping to manage 238 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: more than a hundred and eighty billion dollars. How satisfied 239 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: are you with your job? Gad Levanon is the Conference 240 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 1: Board's Chief US economist, and he's here to discuss their 241 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 1: new survey just in time for Labor Day. It is 242 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: called the Labor Day Survey of US employees overall are 243 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: satisfied with their job. Gad, thanks very much for coming 244 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,359 Speaker 1: into the studio. What are some of the big takeaways 245 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: from this report? Well, I think the main takeaway it's 246 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: seven years in a road that we're seeing an improvement 247 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 1: in jobs, in job satisfaction, and I think a lot 248 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: of it is related to the improving labor market. We're 249 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 1: seeing improvement in satisfaction, especially in components related to the 250 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: labor market like job security and wages, and so as 251 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 1: long as the labor market continues to improve, I think 252 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:27,320 Speaker 1: we'll see stronger job satisfaction. It's interesting to me that 253 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: there's job satisfaction with wages when we look at the 254 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 1: real wages that haven't gone up at all in the 255 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: past year. In fact, by some measures have gone down 256 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 1: if you counter and inflation, So can you square these 257 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: two Well, there are a lot of wage measures, and 258 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 1: some of them tell different stories from others. But I 259 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: think it is true that the overall wages are not 260 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: accelerating as one would expect given how tied the labor market. 261 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: But if you look at wages for blue color versus 262 00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: white color workers, you do see an interesting gap. Dere's 263 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 1: In blue color and low paid services occupations you see 264 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:07,879 Speaker 1: already a significant acceleration in wages, but in white color 265 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 1: the hiring hyping professionals and management positions there you don't 266 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: see as much wage growth. Yet this is fascinating to 267 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:18,719 Speaker 1: me because a lot of people think of it as 268 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,640 Speaker 1: being the other way around, right, that the wealth gap 269 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,479 Speaker 1: between rich and poor has been widening. That you can 270 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 1: see this with respect to what's been going on with 271 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 1: those who can invest in stocks who who can't um 272 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,199 Speaker 1: But what you're saying is from a wage perspective, that 273 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 1: is not the case in the last two or three years. 274 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: That's not the case. And I know it is contrary 275 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 1: to to what a lot of people you know and 276 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 1: and what was the case for many decades. But now 277 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: there are several factors that are really tightened in labor 278 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 1: markets for blue color and low paid services occupations. One 279 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: of them is the fact that the US labor force 280 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: is becoming more and more educated, and fewer people are 281 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,119 Speaker 1: willing to take those blue color low paying services jobs. 282 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 1: Yet they're sharing. Employment is continuing to go up or 283 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 1: continuing to remain the same, so fewer people are interested 284 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 1: in those jobs even though they're growing rapidly. That's one thing. 285 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:21,680 Speaker 1: The second is the disability and developments in the United States. 286 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 1: There have been a huge increase in the share of 287 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 1: people who are saying that they are not in the 288 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 1: labor force because of disability, and almost all of them 289 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 1: are concentrated in the less educated population, so people with 290 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,399 Speaker 1: no high school degree. But even with high school degree 291 00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 1: and some college it's almost no none of that is 292 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: happening in the population with a college degree. God. There 293 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: are twenty three survey components what people say about their 294 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:55,719 Speaker 1: commute to and from their place of work. So as 295 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 1: a New Yorker, you will probably be surprised that this 296 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: is one of the top ranking elements. So most people 297 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 1: are more satisfied with their commute than other parts of 298 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 1: their job. It's probably not people in the New York area, 299 00:19:09,840 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: but in other parts of the country people are pretty 300 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,840 Speaker 1: satisfied with their commute. How do you get to work? 301 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 1: How do you get to work? I walk mostly and 302 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: take one stop subway or a tramp from Roosevelt Island 303 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:26,360 Speaker 1: so for me, I can't complain about my compunity. He's 304 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 1: one of those three. I would never complain. I want 305 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 1: to know about job disappointment. What's the greatest disappointment that 306 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: people are expressing in the survey? People don't like their bones. 307 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:44,359 Speaker 1: They don't like a promotion policy because you know, I 308 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,479 Speaker 1: think part of it is that more than fifty percent 309 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:49,880 Speaker 1: of people think that they are above average, so they 310 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,360 Speaker 1: think they can do better. But you can only promote 311 00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,399 Speaker 1: so many people, and so that's something that people are 312 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 1: unhappy about. They're unhappy with their training opportunity, is with 313 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 1: the performance review process. Those are some of the things 314 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 1: that people are unhappy. But when we talk about training programs, 315 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: because there's been a lot of focus on that recently, 316 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: how to retrain employees who might have outdated skills to 317 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:16,160 Speaker 1: make them more compatible with what's needed today. What types 318 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 1: of training are we talking about? I mean, is it 319 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 1: with computer software? Is it with understanding the assembly of 320 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 1: new components? I mean, what what? What training are we 321 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 1: talking here? I mean the question is just general training. 322 00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 1: But I suspect there aren't a good statistics about training. 323 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: But kind of common knowledge is that companies are over 324 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: time spending less on training because they don't want to 325 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 1: commit resources to workers who may live in a year 326 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:48,679 Speaker 1: or two. So that's um. I think it's across the board. 327 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 1: Are there any spots that are less bright than with 328 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 1: the seems which is a unabashedly positive rosy report. Well, 329 00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 1: I think if you compare the results now too when 330 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 1: we began doing the survey in the mid eighties, and 331 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: you see that it's a level difference in the last 332 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,920 Speaker 1: decade or even more. Job satisfaction is much lower than 333 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,120 Speaker 1: it used to be in the eighties, for example, and 334 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 1: I think that that's probably not We're not going to 335 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 1: go back to the eighties. I think that the kind 336 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: of fundamental relationship between employees and employers changed significantly during 337 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 1: that time. And for example, if in the past you 338 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 1: didn't lay off people unless there was a crisis in 339 00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:36,440 Speaker 1: the company, now layoffs are part of the regular toolbox 340 00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 1: of companies, so there is much less loyalty from the 341 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 1: employer side and from the employee side, and that I 342 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:48,439 Speaker 1: think reduces job satisfaction. God love and and thank you 343 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 1: so much for being with us chief Economist for North 344 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 1: America for the conference Board in New York. Him. I 345 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: am really interested in the idea that blue collar workers 346 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 1: are seeing much faster wage gains than white color workers. 347 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 1: I feel like that is not something we hear a lot, 348 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 1: and I feel like it is an important thing to 349 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 1: recognize fry finding an electrician or a slumber. Well, this 350 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: is what it goes to. Very interesting. Well, yesterday Bloomberg 351 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,920 Speaker 1: got a chance to sit down with the President Donald 352 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 1: Trump in the Oval Office, our own Margaret Tulla, Jennifer Jacobs, 353 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: and John Michael Thwaite interviewing President Donald Trump. Here to 354 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: tell us more about that and the president's Labor Day 355 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 1: weekend perhaps is to Larudipa. He is our Bloomberg White 356 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 1: House correspondent. To lou what do you think the biggest 357 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: takeaway from the interview was? Wow? That It's a hard question. 358 00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,680 Speaker 1: This was a great interview by my colleagues Jennifer Jacobs, 359 00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: Margaret Talive and our editor in chief John Michele the 360 00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,360 Speaker 1: and they covered so much ground in about an hour. 361 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 1: It's hard to know what the biggest takeaway might be. 362 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 1: I think his remarks on the w t O, the 363 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:11,040 Speaker 1: President basically saying that if the w t O, the 364 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: World Trade Organization does not shape up that he would 365 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 1: be willing to move the U s out of the 366 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 1: w t O. If you were actually to follow up 367 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 1: on that, that would be a pretty major bombshell in 368 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 1: US trade policy and US foreign policy. He also commented 369 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 1: about Europe and the European Union, saying that the Europeans 370 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: are just as bad as China on trade and that 371 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,439 Speaker 1: he is willing to potentially put car tariffs on the 372 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 1: Europeans if they do not accede to his various requests. 373 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 1: So uh, there were so much groundcovered, but the trade 374 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,920 Speaker 1: comments were pretty remarkable, and it shows that the President 375 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,879 Speaker 1: is moving full speed ahead in this trade war. Just 376 00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 1: to sort of give some context to that, auto stocks 377 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: in Europe are down one and a half percent today 378 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: following those comments. There was a little bit of optimism 379 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 1: yesterday sort of baked into these share that perhaps there 380 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: would be some kind of agreement between the US and 381 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 1: Europe after Europe offered to drop all tariffs of the 382 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:09,879 Speaker 1: US did the same, President Trump rebuffing that in our interview. 383 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: So definitely moving markets to this morning. One thing that 384 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,400 Speaker 1: I'm wondering is about the capital gains aspect of the interview. 385 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 1: The idea that President Trump is entertaining allowing people to 386 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 1: pay taxes on inflation adjusted returns for their equity portfolios. Basically, 387 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 1: this would amount to what would most likely be a 388 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 1: tax cut for the wealthier individuals in the country. What 389 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 1: kind of attraction is that getting today as you speak 390 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 1: to other representatives and other people around the White House. Yeah, 391 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: it's still very much in a holding pattern as the 392 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 1: research is done by the administration. They're looking at whether 393 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 1: or not they can do this unilaterally and not go 394 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,920 Speaker 1: through Congress. President Trump and the interview said that he 395 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: is looking at this very strongly and he views it 396 00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: as a stimulus for the economy. So he talked about 397 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 1: it in the very positive terms. But he did say 398 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 1: that he's gonna wait. He's gonna see if his administration 399 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: can look into it and do some research and report 400 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 1: back to him about both whether he can do it 401 00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,880 Speaker 1: unilaterally and secondly, whether it would be a good idea. Obviously, 402 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 1: there's a budget crunch with tax cuts that went into 403 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:16,919 Speaker 1: place last year, so this would reduce the amount of 404 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 1: revenue coming into the US treasury, but it is another 405 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,880 Speaker 1: tax cut that he could offer to his supporters and say, 406 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:27,520 Speaker 1: you know, I continued cutting taxes even without Congress after 407 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,960 Speaker 1: passing a major tax cut last year. So it's something 408 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:33,280 Speaker 1: that he's looking at. Uh, the administration is looking at 409 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 1: whether or not he can do this. Congress hasn't really 410 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,960 Speaker 1: weighed in very much. They are in support of tax 411 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,880 Speaker 1: cuts generally, but generally they like them to be done 412 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: through the legislative branch and not through the executive branch. 413 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 1: And there's could be some a little bit of a 414 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 1: battle over the power of the purse, which Congress believes 415 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,320 Speaker 1: that it it has. This has never been done through regulation before, 416 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,000 Speaker 1: so there might be some consternation in Congress about if 417 00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 1: the President were to do this through executive order, it 418 00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: could be un on through regulations by the next president. So, Lou, 419 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:09,160 Speaker 1: we're currently monitoring comments by Canada's Foreign Minister, Christopher Freeland. 420 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:14,840 Speaker 1: She's speaking with reporters in Washington currently saying that Canada 421 00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 1: is looking for a good trade deal, not just any 422 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:22,320 Speaker 1: trade deal. Have you heard anything from any of your 423 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:27,400 Speaker 1: sources about the tone of those meetings which are continuing. Yeah, 424 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:30,400 Speaker 1: it's very much touch and go. I mean, one hour 425 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,400 Speaker 1: you might hear that they're getting close to a deal. 426 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:34,880 Speaker 1: Like the President said in the interview yesterday, he thinks 427 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:36,800 Speaker 1: they're close, and then the next hour you hear that 428 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 1: the negotiations have been very tense. We actually have heard 429 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: that the negotiations in the last twelve the twenty four 430 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: hours have been pretty tense. They're getting down to the 431 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,000 Speaker 1: nitty gritty, and it really could go either way. The 432 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,680 Speaker 1: Canadians are not going to accept what they would say 433 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,120 Speaker 1: might be a bad deal, even though the President believes 434 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,520 Speaker 1: that that he has all the cards and he has 435 00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,199 Speaker 1: the upper hand in this negotiates, and the Canadians they 436 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,000 Speaker 1: are saying they're going to drive a hard bargain and 437 00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 1: they are not just going to walk away with any deal. 438 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,560 Speaker 1: Even though the President believes that today is the deadline. 439 00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 1: They are going to continue negotiating as as long as 440 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: they can to get as many concessions as they can. 441 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,439 Speaker 1: But there are some pretty pretty hard sticking points that 442 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,400 Speaker 1: will be difficult for the US and the Canadians to 443 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 1: to agree on in such a short period of time, 444 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 1: and how they can spin it for their constituents saying 445 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,480 Speaker 1: that they got the best deal possible. To Lou Alaronapa, 446 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. To Lou Alaronopos, 447 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: White House Correspondent, for Bloomberg News, which had an exclusive 448 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 1: interview yesterday with President Trump, a wide ranging interview. There 449 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 1: are a number of stories on the Bloomberg terminal and 450 00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg dot com. Check them out. Thanks for listening 451 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,199 Speaker 1: to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe 452 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 1: and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever 453 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter 454 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:02,160 Speaker 1: at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's 455 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 1: one before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide 456 00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: on Blueberg Radio.