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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 1: here with Beau mcbrair. Just one more event to go

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Speaker 1: before the PGA Championship. Today, we're going to give you

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Speaker 1: a betting preview of the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow.

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Speaker 1: We will also be touching briefly on the other PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour event this week, the Myrtle Beach Classic, so classic

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Speaker 1: that it's the first time they're holding it brand new events.

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Speaker 1: We will also do a quick recap of the CJ

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Speaker 1: Cup Byron Nelson, and we will give you our one

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Speaker 1: and done picks at the end of the show. Of course,

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Speaker 1: the Betting pros PGA podcast is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy.

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Speaker 1: Underdog is the place to go for best ball fantasy

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Speaker 1: football contest, but you might not have known that Underdog

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Speaker 1: has golf contest too. Sign up for Underdog if you

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Speaker 1: haven't already with the promo code BP Golf to get

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Speaker 1: your first deposit matched up to one hundred dollars. Plus

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Speaker 1: More on Underdog and its golf contests. A little later,

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Speaker 1: Taylor Pendrith won the Byron Nelson. He finished twenty three

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Speaker 1: under par, one shot better than Ben Coles, two shots

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Speaker 1: better than Alex Norin. Coles had birdied sixteen and seventeen

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Speaker 1: and led by one shots. When the final group came

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Speaker 1: to the eighteenth hole, a short par five, Pendrith hit

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Speaker 1: the green in two easy two pot birdie. Coles missed

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Speaker 1: the green short right, flubbed a little pitch, and missed

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Speaker 1: a five foot par putt that would have forced a playoff.

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Speaker 1: It was a painful short game meltdown for Coles, and

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Speaker 1: one that I could certainly empathize with. Coles wasn't the

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Speaker 1: only guy in the final group who stubbed his toe.

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Speaker 1: Bo Our guy Jake Knapp was right there. He was

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Speaker 1: paired with Pendrith and Coles on Sunday, but Napp just

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Speaker 1: couldn't get anything going. Shot a final round seventy, which

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Speaker 1: just not good enough on a birdie fest. In a

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Speaker 1: birdie fest like the Byron Nelson. Pendrith meanwhile been with

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Speaker 1: a sixty four shot a blistering sixty three on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: and then did just enough on Sunday, shooting sixty seven.

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Speaker 1: Pendrith is having such an unusual season. He's played twelve

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Speaker 1: events in twenty twenty four. He's missed the cut in

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Speaker 1: half of them, and he's finished eleventh or better in

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Speaker 1: five of those twelve events. Talk about feast or famine

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Speaker 1: before we move on to the Wells Fargo Championship Bow.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts on what went down at the Byron Nelson.

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Speaker 2: It's hard to say, but Jake Knapp's short game was

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Speaker 2: his downfall as well, and it was also his inability

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Speaker 2: to find fairways on the weekend. There was a problem

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Speaker 2: with Jake nap off the tee and he couldn't recover

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Speaker 2: on approach, so he wasn't making birdies when he should have.

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Speaker 2: Thursday and Friday it was a birdie fest. Obviously he did,

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Speaker 2: he couldn't find the fairways that he found in the

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Speaker 2: early round on shot sixty four. On Thursday and Friday,

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Speaker 2: short game has never been a strong suit. He couldn't

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Speaker 2: make any birdie putts when he gave himself those opportunities.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be really interesting to see him moving

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Speaker 2: forward with the bad putting we saw and a really

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Speaker 2: nasty snap hook that was his downfall. And then Coles.

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Speaker 2: It's the only week I didn't talk about Ben Coles.

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Speaker 2: I've been talking about him for a year and a

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Speaker 2: half now, and it sucks because I was like, oh,

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Speaker 2: I've been talking about Ben Coles and he didn't really

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Speaker 2: pop up in my modeling because he's not a long hitter.

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Speaker 2: He didn't really have the metrics to back up me

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Speaker 2: supporting him even as a long shot. But Pendrith was

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Speaker 2: third in my model and I had a lot of

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Speaker 2: him in DFS. I wish I had more of him

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Speaker 2: in DFS, but because he's missed half of his cuts,

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Speaker 2: I was gun shy to bet him because it was

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Speaker 2: either he was going to show up as a stat

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Speaker 2: darling who actually did well, which exactly what happened. This

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Speaker 2: guy's amazing off the tea play and he makes a

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Speaker 2: lot of birdies when he's right, and he was very,

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Speaker 2: very right this week. It was a big clap there

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Speaker 2: for me because I was like, Hey, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: have some Pendrith, but I'm really shaky about it because

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Speaker 2: he's burned me three or four times this season already.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's good that it validated the model though, because

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Speaker 1: he you know, he did play.

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Speaker 2: The stats don't lie people. You have to trust it.

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Speaker 1: We will get to the Wells Fargo Championship in just

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Speaker 1: a moment. But first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are

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Speaker 1: letting you make picks on your favorite golfers all season long.

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Speaker 1: make rivals picks, choosing, for example, which if two golfers

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Speaker 1: will shoot a better score in a round. Golf picks

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Speaker 1: can be combined with player stats from other sports too.

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Speaker 1: you in the lobby. The Wells Fargo Championship is in

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Speaker 1: an elevated event this year, so big purse and we're

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Speaker 1: getting a smaller field, just seventy players with no cut

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Speaker 1: in this event. The host course for the Wells Fargo

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Speaker 1: is Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina. It's a par

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Speaker 1: seventy one that plays two seven, five hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: eight yards. This is a long course bo and the

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Speaker 1: fairways are somewhat narrow by PGA tour standards, so the

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Speaker 1: players who can combine distance and accuracy off the tea

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Speaker 1: this week are going to have a big advantage too.

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Speaker 1: Of the par fours measure more than five hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: and that does not include either the four hundred and

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Speaker 1: ninety five yard opening par four or the four hundred

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Speaker 1: and ninety four yard finishing par four, which really Coolhule

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Speaker 1: eighteen has that creak that hugs the left side of

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Speaker 1: the fairway, and I mean hugs. It's just a few

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Speaker 1: feet off the fairway. Sort of a classic Parkland style course,

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Speaker 1: tree line fairways, some dog legs the greens of Bermuda.

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Speaker 1: When they play the Wells Fargo at Quell Hollow, the

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Speaker 1: scoring average is usually right around even par. Recent winners

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Speaker 1: of the Wells Fargo Championship in years when it was

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Speaker 1: played at Quell Hollow Wyndham Clark ran away with it

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Speaker 1: last year, finishing minus nineteen, four shots clear of Xander

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Speaker 1: Schoffley and the rest of the field. Rory McElroy won

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Speaker 1: here in twenty twenty one, finishing ten under par, one

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Speaker 1: shot better than Abraham Answer. Max Homo won in twenty nineteen,

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Speaker 1: finishing minus fifteen, three shots clear of the field and

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Speaker 1: Jason Day was minus twelve to win at Quell Hollow

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Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen. Bowe your thoughts on Quail Hollow and

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Speaker 1: the kind of players who might do well here.

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Speaker 2: It's a fantastic golf course and it's a testament to

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Speaker 2: the difficulty win. Only twice in the last nine years

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Speaker 2: has it been a score better than twelve under par

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Speaker 2: has won this thing. They just underwent renovations, which is

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Speaker 2: why last year's tournament, or we had a couple of

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Speaker 2: years off of this where it went somewhere else, comes back.

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Speaker 2: Quail Hollow seventy five fifty eight par seventy one. That's

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Speaker 2: a beast's that's that's a beast, and it demands off

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Speaker 2: the tee prowess and it demands everything else. When you're

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Speaker 2: off the tea game is a little bit off. So

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Speaker 2: it's a true full bag test of the golf the

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Speaker 2: golf game. If you're scuffling with one part of the game,

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Speaker 2: Quail Hollow will expose it, and if you're playing really well,

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Speaker 2: Quail Hollow will reward you with multiple chances to gain

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Speaker 2: strokes on the field. I love this golf course. I

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Speaker 2: have a client of mine that lives on the fourteenth

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Speaker 2: toll at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, and they live there

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Speaker 2: in the winter time when it's it's it's chillier here

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Speaker 2: and Quail Hollow it's beautiful. But they go back all

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Speaker 2: the time and they play golf there and they're always

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Speaker 2: telling me, Oh, this is the greatest place on earth.

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Speaker 2: It's a gorgeous golf course. And so yes, I love

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Speaker 2: Quail Hollow and I'm looking forward to some rather. It's

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Speaker 2: a really strong field and elevated events. That's the best part.

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Speaker 2: I don't care about the money. Nobody that's not in

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Speaker 2: the field doesn't care. What really cares about the prize money.

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Speaker 2: It's about the strength of the field and seeing the

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Speaker 2: best in the world take on a challenge like this one. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I like this course. To the finishing stretch with the

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Speaker 1: sixteenth hole, I believe that's one of the five hundred

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Speaker 1: plus yard par fours. Number number seventeen is like one

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Speaker 1: ninety and the whole thing is a carryover water with

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Speaker 1: water also on the left, and then and a false

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Speaker 1: front and the false front and then the eighteenth hole

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Speaker 1: which is long and has that creak. And I think

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Speaker 1: the scoring average there last year was something like four

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Speaker 1: point three, just a bear of a hole. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a demanding test for a

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Speaker 1: really strong field. It's going to be fun to watch.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the odds, if you want a

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Speaker 1: chance to win a free one year premium Betting Pro subscription,

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Speaker 1: you need to subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel

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Speaker 1: right now, comment below on this video and that's it.

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Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel,

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Speaker 1: so make sure to turn on those notifications so you

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Speaker 1: can be alerted when new episodes are up and to

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Speaker 1: claim your prize. All right, let's get to the odds.

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Speaker 1: These are all courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Once again, no Scotti Scheffler in the field, so Rory

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Speaker 1: McElroy is the favorite at plus six plus six fifty

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Speaker 1: Xanders Schoffley is plus nine hundred, Wyndham Clark plus sixteen hundred,

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Speaker 1: Patrick Cantley plus eighteen hundred, Max Homa plus two thousand,

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Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood and Kalamarkawa plus twenty two hundred. Victor Hovlin,

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Speaker 1: Justin Thomas and Cameron Young are plus twenty five hundred.

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Speaker 1: Sa Heath Thigala is plus twenty eight hundred. Tony Fena

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Speaker 1: and Hideki Matsiyama are plus three thousand, and we have

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Speaker 1: a big group at plus three five hundred that includes

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Speaker 1: Alex Norrin Wills, Alatoris Seewoo, Kim Matt Fitzpatrick, Jordan Speith

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Speaker 1: and Ben On. Who do you like from this group?

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Speaker 2: Bow right off the top. Rory McElroy owns this course.

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Speaker 2: This is the horse for the course six Straordinaire. For

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Speaker 2: all of the warts that he's shown in the last

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Speaker 2: couple of months on approach, those are mostly shorter approach distances.

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Speaker 2: This guy from the longer approach distances we're looking at

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Speaker 2: here one seventy five and upward par four scoring is

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Speaker 2: very important here, and of course distance and accuracy off

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Speaker 2: the tea there's there's probably not a better combination of

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Speaker 2: those two things than there is with Rory McElroy. It's

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Speaker 2: what Wyndam Clark carried to win last year was just

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Speaker 2: an amazing off the tea week and of course he

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Speaker 2: puts the lights out. Rory McElroy from Tita Green with

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Speaker 2: his distance advantage, his ability to score on tough par

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Speaker 2: fours in these kinds of conditions, I think you start

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Speaker 2: there at plus six point fifty. That's a decent number

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Speaker 2: for a guy who is gonna he's gonna feel the

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Speaker 2: good vibes from Quail Hollow because he's won here twice.

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Speaker 2: He's looked good every time he's been here. I think

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Speaker 2: he's only been outside the top ten once in the

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Speaker 2: last few years. There's there's a lot to say about

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Speaker 2: Rory and then Max Homa Max Hooma. The compcourse for

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Speaker 2: this is Riviera. Maxhoma plays well at Riviera. Maximoma plays

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Speaker 2: well here. That again, distance in accuracy, combination off the tee,

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Speaker 2: plus a really solid short game. You don't see Maxmoma

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Speaker 2: flubb too many wedges around the green, especially down the

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Speaker 2: stretch and crunch time. Ben Coles, you got to get

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Speaker 2: yourself on Maxhoma's level because that's what it takes to

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Speaker 2: win on the PGA Tour. Max Hooma comes in at

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Speaker 2: third in my model, behind Rory, and one of my

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Speaker 2: long shot picks is number one, so we're gonna tease

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Speaker 2: that one.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, Rory is very much at home at Quail Hollow,

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Speaker 1: got his first PGA Tour win here in twenty ten.

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Speaker 1: He's also won at Quell Hollow in twenty fifteen and

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. He only finished forty seventh here last year,

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Speaker 1: but he finished top ten in five of his last

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Speaker 1: eight trips to Charlotte's Wyndham Clark you mentioned, I mean

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Speaker 1: he just blew away the field at Wells Fargo last

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Speaker 1: year and finished third in his most recent event, the

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Speaker 1: RBC Heritage, and then Holma. Yeah, he won here in

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Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, finished eighth here last year, also tied for

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Speaker 1: third at the Masters last month, so he's coming in confidence.

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Speaker 1: What about xanderbo I mean, he's logged seven straight top

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Speaker 1: twenty fives, finished second here last year, and he was

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Speaker 1: fourteenth here in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Xander's thing is he's been a little bit lackluster

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Speaker 2: at making birdies, especially on the weekend. But all of

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Speaker 2: these guys that we're mentioning are in the top ten

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Speaker 2: of my model, So I think it might be a

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Speaker 2: real strong chalk week where if you have a good investment,

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Speaker 2: a good lean, a good feeling about a guy, go

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Speaker 2: for it, because they're all rating out well here. The

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Speaker 2: field is extremely strong. You're not going to get much

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Speaker 2: value at the top of this board because everybody knows

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Speaker 2: who the horses are and so for me it's it's

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Speaker 2: Rory and Max. But I still feel pretty good about

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Speaker 2: Xander and JT. And of course Can't lay here, he's

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Speaker 2: steady Eddy. This is another course where you get the

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Speaker 2: tougher the conditions, the better Patrick Can'tley shows up versus

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Speaker 2: the field and you can't ignore that. So and of

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Speaker 2: course Wyndam Clark, you just completely annihilated this course last

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Speaker 2: year and that's one of the best, I think, the

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Speaker 2: best winning score that's ever been shot here over seventy

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Speaker 2: two holes with nineteen hunder par. So, Yeah, all these

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Speaker 2: guys are great picks. I lean towards the two that

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Speaker 2: I picked, but I would not shake my fist at

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Speaker 2: anybody who picked any of those other guys.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Wyndham Clark made quill Hollow look like Craig Ranch.

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Speaker 2: Nineteen. Quail AlOH is insane.

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Speaker 1: It really is one guy. Like we have not really

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Speaker 1: recommended this guy very often, if at all this year ball,

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Speaker 1: but justin Thomas, I'm at least a little bit curious

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Speaker 1: about him. Finished fifth in his last event also the

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Speaker 1: RBC Heritage, and he's finished twenty sixth or better in

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Speaker 1: his last four trips to Quail Hollow, including a win

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Speaker 1: here in twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 2: So I love me some JT.

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Speaker 1: I'm reading, Yeah, I mean every time plus twenty five hundred,

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Speaker 1: not not that it's nice, parable lots so it's pretty

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Speaker 1: pretty soft.

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Speaker 2: And don't overlook Colin more Kawa because if he can

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Speaker 2: make some putts, this guy from tee to Green is

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Speaker 2: as good as it gets. Like you cannot false Calin Morkawa.

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Speaker 2: We always talk about how we choked on Sunday at

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Speaker 2: the Masters. He got to Sunday at the Masters with

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Speaker 2: an immaculate short game, which was not something we've seen

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Speaker 2: from him in a couple of years. And this is

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Speaker 2: the kind of this is kind of venue and an

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Speaker 2: event and elevated status that is going to be essential

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Speaker 2: here off the TA game, he's as accurate as it

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Speaker 2: gets long iron game. He is the best besides Scotti

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Speaker 2: Scheffler on tour. So give me callin markabb At plus

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Speaker 2: twenty two hundred. Maybe not as aggressive as LB with

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Speaker 2: the other guys at the top, but that's a number

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at to see if it moves a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Let's investigate some of the mid range options. Checking in

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Speaker 1: at forty to one are Akshay Battia, Adam Scott, Sam Burns,

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Speaker 1: Russell Henley and Brian Harmon. Steven Jaeger and Jason Day

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Speaker 1: are plus forty five hundred, Sung JM, Sepstraka and Ricky

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Speaker 1: Fowler R plus five thousand, Tom Hogy, Harris English, Danny McCarthy,

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Speaker 1: Christian Bazutin Hout and Corey Connors are plus fifty five hundred,

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Speaker 1: and at plus six thousand are Adam Shank, Shane Lowry,

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Speaker 1: Keegan Bradley, JT. Post, and Chris Kirk and Billy Horschel.

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Speaker 1: Do any of the mid range plays appeal to you.

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Speaker 2: Bo, Honestly not many. One of the guys that popped

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Speaker 2: in my model was Sung JM. But his form has

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Speaker 2: been so bad he hasn't really put it all together

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Speaker 2: this season, so I'm gonna skip him in an elevated event.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think he measures up with this kind

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Speaker 2: of field anymore until we see it. I have to

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Speaker 2: see it from some jay to favor him. Really just

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Speaker 2: kind of I'm honestly skipping this entire group. I'm not

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Speaker 2: a fan of any of them fitting this golf course

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Speaker 2: very well. Maybe maybe I go down to the seventy

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Speaker 2: five to one range and I start there. Honestly, I'm

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Speaker 2: going to take a big skip on that group because

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Speaker 2: I think they're all inflated with two short odds for

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Speaker 2: what their odds of winning are.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know if I can get on board

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Speaker 1: with the Ricky Fowler odds. But he's sort of the

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Speaker 1: junior version of Rory McElroy at Quail Hollow. Like he's

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Speaker 1: finished twenty first or better in five of his last

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Speaker 1: six trips here, with three top fives, and he hasn't

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Speaker 1: been in terrible for him. I guess top thirty in

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Speaker 1: his last two events. So yeah, yeah, mildly interested.

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Speaker 2: I might watch Sam Burns a little bit to see

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Speaker 2: if his line moves a little bit softer, because everybody's

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Speaker 2: off Sam Burns, but he's got it. He's got a

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Speaker 2: lot of game, and that that odd's kind of on

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Speaker 2: par for him. I just don't know if I want

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Speaker 2: to bet on Sam Burns because what has he done

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Speaker 2: for us lately?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's true. You know, Corey Connor is just such

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Speaker 1: a terrific ball striker.

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Speaker 2: But the short game, yeah, you need a good short

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Speaker 2: game here, bar none.

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Speaker 1: You did finish eighth here last year, but whether he

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Speaker 1: could get over the one if he.

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Speaker 2: Had a short game, he was he was dialed in

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Speaker 2: off the tn On approach, which he usually is. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this guy's got one of the best golf swings in

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Speaker 2: the world, but the guy can't buy a bucket if

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Speaker 2: he's chipping.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Jason Day just hasn't been in good enough form.

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Speaker 1: He's one here and he yeah won here in twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 1: finished ninth and twenty seven. But just I don't think we.

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Speaker 2: Can catch that's a long time ago, Patty.

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Speaker 1: It is, it is. What about Hideki.

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Speaker 2: Bo, That's that's an interesting one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Matsuyama has finished top twelve and five of his

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Speaker 1: last six events, and he's had three top twenties at

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Speaker 1: Quail Hollow in the past, so.

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Speaker 2: His game style fits this golf course. But he's another

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Speaker 2: guy where I kind of look at him sideways in

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Speaker 2: a field this strong, like, yes, he's done it before,

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Speaker 2: but is he going to do it here? And again,

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Speaker 2: we we just saw Hideki at Riviera that was that

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Speaker 2: was a historic performance. So I'm again another guy. I'm

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Speaker 2: monitoring as the week progresses to see what the line does.

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Speaker 2: But thirty to one for Hideki right here, I think

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Speaker 2: is too short?

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Speaker 1: Is he a thirty to one? What did uh? What

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Speaker 1: did I say was, Oh, I've got him in the

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Speaker 1: wrong category. Yeah, thirty two. I agree. I agree. If

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Speaker 1: it gets to.

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Speaker 2: Like forty to one, you are wishful thinking where he

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Speaker 2: should be.

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Speaker 1: I know, I know, yeah, if I could catch him

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Speaker 1: at forty to one, I'd be all over.

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Speaker 2: It's for sure.

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Speaker 1: That's seen Matt Fitzpatrick. I just don't know if he's

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Speaker 1: long enough to be in contention.

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Speaker 2: He's playing off the tee, he's gonna have to be

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Speaker 2: nails everywhere else though.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's only played Quail Hollow twice in His best

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Speaker 1: finished was thirty fifth last year. I mean, he's been

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Speaker 1: hot top twenty five and five of his last seven starts,

356
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Speaker 1: but just doesn't seem like a great fit for him.

357
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Speaker 1: What about long shots bo anywhen you like it at

358
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Speaker 1: seventy to one or longer odds.

359
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Speaker 2: I gotta do it, shout out in Arkal Kirk Kittyama

360
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 2: is the exact type of player that fits well here.

361
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Speaker 2: Excellent long iron player, good distance off the tee, and

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Speaker 2: he's got a really good around the game. Around the

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Speaker 2: green game. This is the kind of place where the

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Speaker 2: grinders show up. You can't lay as your Xanders, those

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Speaker 2: guys that just don't beat themselves in tough conditions. That's

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Speaker 2: where Kirk Kittiama kids comes in. That's him last year

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Speaker 2: at the PGA and at the Arnold Palmer when he

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Speaker 2: won and finished top five. It's tough conditions where he's

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Speaker 2: just steady. He makes pars tough, he makes berdies when

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Speaker 2: he needs to, and he makes pars where it's necessitated.

371
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Speaker 2: You're not going to see too many crooked numbers from

372
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Speaker 2: Kurt Kidiama. It's seventy five to one. I think he's

373
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Speaker 2: better than that, and so I'll be looking at placement bets,

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Speaker 2: top ten, top twenty type placement bets because I think

375
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Speaker 2: the lines just are extremely soft there. Plus six hundred

376
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Speaker 2: to finish top ten there and plus seventy five hundred

377
00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 2: to win outright. Yes, we've seen him do it in

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Speaker 2: fields just this strong, if not stronger. And then of

379
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Speaker 2: course I think you're on the board with me with

380
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Speaker 2: Matthieu Pavel, the Frenchman number eight in the FedEx Cup standings,

381
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Speaker 2: which is actually better than Rookie of the Year consensus

382
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Speaker 2: pict Jake Napp. Matthew Pavone has also is also a

383
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Speaker 2: winner this year and has more FedEx Cup points. He's

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Speaker 2: been more consistent than Jake Napp and maybe a dark

385
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Speaker 2: horse for Rookie of the Year. We might be giving

386
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Speaker 2: too much credit to Jake Napp for his win in

387
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Speaker 2: Mexico in his top five at the at last week tournament.

388
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Speaker 2: This is this is a guy who shows up every

389
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Speaker 2: week and contents, So ninety to one for him is

390
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,560
Speaker 2: a really soft number for how good he's been playing

391
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Speaker 2: this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, even though he's making his Quail Hollow debut, ninety

393
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 1: to one just seems like those odds are too long.

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Speaker 2: A lot of these guys are making their quote unquote

395
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Speaker 2: debut this season because in order to get into this

396
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Speaker 2: tournament you have to be playing well.

397
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:30,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, justin Rose, I just keep waiting for him to

398
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 1: show a pulse bo I mean, he's got three top

399
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,639
Speaker 1: fives at Quail Hollow, but there's just no form to

400
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 1: go on exactly.

401
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think so.

402
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 1: What about Taylor Pendrith coming up? I generally do not

403
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:47,560
Speaker 1: like betting guys coming off wins, but one hundred to one,

404
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 1: especially finished eleventh in his two previous events, and I

405
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 1: streaky as hell. If he's going to miss the cut,

406
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Speaker 1: go ahead and miss the cut at one hundred to one,

407
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 1: you know, I'll kiss my two dollars goodbye. But at

408
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 1: those odds, I might just I might have to throw

409
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Speaker 1: a bock or two down bow.

410
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 2: I think if we see the type of driving that

411
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 2: we saw last week, he can do it, but that

412
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 2: remains to be seen. We've seen a lot of guys

413
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Speaker 2: who are really good off the tee for a whole

414
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Speaker 2: duration of season, like guys like Keith Mitchell show up

415
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 2: at places where driving accuracy and distance combined is a

416
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 2: good stack. Corey Connors is a great example, but they

417
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,919
Speaker 2: do it consistently all the time. Taylor Pendrith, we haven't

418
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 2: seen consistent off the tea game. He was unbelievably good

419
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Speaker 2: last week, but the fairways were wide he was. There

420
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 2: wasn't much consequence to lending it rip last week unless

421
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,919
Speaker 2: you're Jake Knapp, where he was ripping it into the

422
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 2: woods that nobody else was finding. That's that's kind of

423
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:48,880
Speaker 2: what we're looking for here, is distance and accuracy off

424
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Speaker 2: the tee. Those driving specialists who can also get their

425
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Speaker 2: way around the rest of the bag. I don't know

426
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Speaker 2: that I trust Taylor Pendrith that much. I'm I mean,

427
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Speaker 2: hundred and one. You kind of don't need to trust

428
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Speaker 2: him that much, but it scares me. The Gary Woodland

429
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 2: pick is mine two hundred and fifty to one. He

430
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,359
Speaker 2: is number one in my model. When I whittle it

431
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 2: down and I wait stats a certain way for certain setups.

432
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 2: I set mine up for Bermuda courses more than seventy

433
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 2: four hundred yards and just did the last twenty four rounds.

434
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 2: He is number one in my model, and it's not close.

435
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 2: This guy is a par four assassin. He's a great

436
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 2: driver of the golf ball. He's a great approach player

437
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 2: on long distances and if he can create some opportunities.

438
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 2: That's the one week spot I saw in the model

439
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 2: was that he's not very high and opportunities gained. I

440
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,920
Speaker 2: think that comes from getting more events under his belt

441
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 2: after his brain surgery. That's not a hyperbole. He literally

442
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 2: had brain surgery last year and he's been working his

443
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 2: way back and I think he's been getting better with

444
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 2: each coming and passing events. So Gary Woodland two undred

445
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,119
Speaker 2: fifty to one. It's an insult to how good he is.

446
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 2: And I'm going to be jumping all over the top twenty,

447
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 2: top thirty, top forty, making the cut bets on Gary

448
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,040
Speaker 2: Woodland because that's just the misprint of a price.

449
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a nice price for him. Hopefully he

450
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,239
Speaker 1: can things start to click pretty soon, because you know

451
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,679
Speaker 1: he could. He could reward us handsomely. Who do you

452
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 1: have on your betting card as of now, baw.

453
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 2: So, I'm gonna start with Rory McElroy at the top,

454
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 2: a big, big favorite. I'm gonna throw a two unit

455
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 2: bet on him. I think he's gonna come through in

456
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 2: a big way here. And then I'm gonna throw some

457
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:30,959
Speaker 2: more on Max Homa. I'm gonna throw a little bit

458
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 2: on Callin more Kawa. Then I'm gonna skip all the

459
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:37,120
Speaker 2: way down to Kurt Kitty Yama and I'm gonna throw

460
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 2: a little couple bucks, a couple bucks on our guy,

461
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:41,880
Speaker 2: Gary Woodland.

462
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 1: Nice you talk me into betting Rory. I'm gonna I'm

463
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,679
Speaker 1: gonna bet Rory. I'm also gonna bet Shofley. I'm I'm

464
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 1: mister chalk. I'm eating the chalk this week and Homa

465
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna bet it hit Decky just to finish

466
00:24:56,000 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 1: top ten at plus two to eighty. And I'm I'm

467
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Ricky Fowler top five at ten to one.

468
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 1: Bo just going purely on course history, the strong track

469
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: record at Kuile Hollow. And yes, I am betting Matthew

470
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 1: Pavaan at ninety to one.

471
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 2: And I you are so.

472
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 1: Brave, I gotta throw a couple bocks on Gary Woodland

473
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 1: two at that price. All right, let's get to this

474
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: other tournament, BO quick look at the Myrtle Beach Classic.

475
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,679
Speaker 1: This is a brand new event. It will be played

476
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 1: at the Dunes Golf and Beach Club in Myrtle Beach.

477
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: It's a par seventy one measuring seven three and forty

478
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 1: seven yards Bermuda Greens. It's a Robert Trent Jones course.

479
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 1: It looks beautiful, but I have no idea how it's

480
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:49,880
Speaker 1: going to play. Eric Van Royan, Daniel Berger and Ben

481
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 1: Griffin are the co favorites at plus twenty eight hundred,

482
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:57,439
Speaker 1: so no real clearcut favorite here at all. Davis Thompson

483
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,080
Speaker 1: and Bo Hostler plus three thousand, and Victor Perez, a

484
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 1: Rio he sat Sonny Ryan Fox and Matt Wallace. Are

485
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 1: plus thirty five hundred. Are you betting this one?

486
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:11,919
Speaker 2: Bo, Yeah, that's I'm gonna set this one out. I

487
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 2: don't really have any good leans on this one. It's

488
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:17,119
Speaker 2: a new tournament. Let me see. I'm gonna take a

489
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 2: close look here. Davis Thompson for me, is intriguing because

490
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 2: he's an accurate player and this looks like a golf

491
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 2: course that demands accuracy off the tee. Why not let's

492
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 2: go with our guy at Rio Heathatsuni. He showed up

493
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 2: last week at the at the Byron Nelson, so I

494
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,479
Speaker 2: think that he's got into a good groove with his

495
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 2: short game, which was lacking. And then maybe a couple

496
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 2: bucks on chan Cam at forty five to one. I

497
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 2: think other than that, I think we should probably keep

498
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 2: it close to the best for this.

499
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm betting Rio he sat soony myself at thirty

500
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: five to one, and I think I'm gonna throw a

501
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:57,120
Speaker 1: bock on Pearson Coodi at one hundred and thirty to one.

502
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,880
Speaker 1: He's just been playing reasonably well lately, so oh, let's

503
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 1: try that one before we get to our one and

504
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 1: done picks. If you're playing in a one and done

505
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 1: golf pool, or if you're playing in any sort of

506
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,440
Speaker 1: tears based majors pool. This year, our friends at pool

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508
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510
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511
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513
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514
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516
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517
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518
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519
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 1: com slash Fantasy Pros again. That's poolgenius dot com slash

520
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros now for our one and done picks. Last

521
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 1: week of the I Ran Nelson bow you had Steven

522
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: Yeager and he finished tied for twentieth, good for one

523
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 1: hundred and twelve one hundred dollars. I had Minwu Lee

524
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 1: he finished tied for twenty fourth, good for seventy seven,

525
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 1: four hundred and twenty five dollars. Not a lot of

526
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 1: blood here, but you put a little more distance between

527
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 1: us and still lead by about two million dollars. You're

528
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 1: up first this week. Bo, who you got?

529
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 2: So it was funny. It was funny though. Going into

530
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:28,120
Speaker 2: the seventy second hole, we were tied and Minwu Lee

531
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 2: made par on eighteen and Jaeger made birdie. So I

532
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 2: beat you by one stroke and that's the only edge

533
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 2: that I got was that last last hole of the

534
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 2: tournament in the same group, and so I will take that.

535
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 2: I thought we were going to tie and push this week,

536
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 2: so I will take this small fifty thousand dollars win.

537
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: And I was I was going through because we're over

538
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 2: halfway through the season and I was just trying to

539
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 2: see who have I not used yet? That surprises me,

540
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 2: and it surprises me to no end that I have

541
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: not used Justin Thomas yet. So I'm going to use

542
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 2: Justin Thomas at the Quail Hollow Course.

543
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 1: Nice, I'm bringing out the big gun for this elevated event. Bo,

544
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: it's Rory time. I'm playing the Rory card for this one.

545
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:13,400
Speaker 2: So I kind of figured out you would got to.

546
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 1: Go with the Quail Hollow specialist in a big money event.

547
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 2: And that's that's a swing. It's a swing type thing.

548
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 2: And I honestly hope that you catch me with this

549
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 2: week because that means I'll win lots of money too

550
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 2: with my betting card, and.

551
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: That is going to do it for this week's show.

552
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 1: I want to thank our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. Sign up

553
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,040
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554
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:38,880
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555
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 1: a special pick available for you in the lobby, and

556
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: please come join Bo and I again next week when

557
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 1: we will be previewing the PGA Championship. Until then, so

558
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 1: long everyone.

559
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,600
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

560
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

561
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

562
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

563
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

564
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros