1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:02,880 Speaker 1: Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve camera. 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: It's ready. Are you get in touch with technologies with 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:17,799 Speaker 1: tech Stuff from how stuff works dot com. Hello there, everybody, 4 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: Welcome to tech Stuff. My name is Chris Poulette. I 5 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: am the tech editor here at how stuff works dot com. 6 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: Sitting across from me, as usual as he was just 7 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: about a year ago, is Jonathan Strickland, a senior writer. 8 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: I predict that this podcast will go smoothly. Well, let's 9 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,279 Speaker 1: see how that prediction did. About a year ago, we 10 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: were actually uh talking about our predictions for two thousand 11 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:43,919 Speaker 1: nine and what we thought was going to happen in 12 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: technology over the course of a year. That was kind 13 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: of surprising because you know, that was the end of 14 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 1: our first It wasn't even a full year we've been podcasting. Nope, 15 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: it's been about six months. So who knew that we 16 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: would would still be here? Yeah, of I know most 17 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: of our listeners in Well, yeah, we thought we would 18 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: look over the list of predictions we made and see 19 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: how we did. Um, so let's I'm gonna start with 20 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: one of Chris's predictions. Uh, we actually made up this 21 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 1: list and uh we kind of did a cursory glance 22 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: and gave a yea or nay as to whether or 23 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: not each one had come true. But I think that 24 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: some of these are open for debate. So but the 25 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: first one I don't think is which was that Chris 26 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 1: predicted that Steve Jobs would name a successor at Apple. Uh. 27 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,559 Speaker 1: He he kind of waffled on whether or not Steve 28 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: Jobs would actually step down officially from Apple. And because 29 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: remember this was back when we knew that Jobs was 30 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 1: something was going on with his health, he had not 31 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: quite he had not officially made his um announcement about 32 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: taking leave. I think at that point, ye, it was 33 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: a long time. Yeah, it does right, well, I mean 34 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: because it was we knew something was up. We knew 35 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: something was up. There were a lot of there's a 36 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: lot of conjecture at the time that he was possibly 37 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: having a remission with his cancer issues that he had 38 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: had years before. And so Chris predicted that Steve Jobs would, 39 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: in order to uh to be diligent in his duties 40 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: as CEO of Apple, name a successor, which has not happened. 41 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 1: So that's that's an X in that column. Let me 42 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: just make a big X, all right, you know, you 43 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: didn't have to use the red marker for that. I 44 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:33,119 Speaker 1: know I didn't have to. Um, okay, well we'll stick 45 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: with Apple. And one of Jonathan's the uh he predicted 46 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: that the Mac desktop computer would go away and it's 47 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:44,679 Speaker 1: still there. Yes it is. Yeah, that that one I was. Um, 48 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 1: I was not right. There are new Imax out and 49 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 1: they are beautiful and uh well, honestly though you had 50 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,519 Speaker 1: you had reasonable reason to believe that, because I mean 51 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: netbooks and notebooks and all kinds of mobile computing devices, 52 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: is even smartphones. They've been hot, flying off the shelves, 53 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,959 Speaker 1: and one might think that, you know, Apple, which is 54 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 1: known for doing such crazy things as eliminating the floppy 55 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 1: disk drive FROMMA, might go so far as to get 56 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: rid of the desktop machine entirely. And I think, I think, um, 57 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: I think people have made a good point and that 58 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: there are a lot of legitimate reasons why you might 59 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: want a larger desktop unit as opposed to a laptop 60 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: or other mobile computing device, including things like if you're 61 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: doing video editing or or any kind of media work. Um, 62 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: you probably want a nice large screen to work with, 63 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: and laptops just don't have that. I mean, once you 64 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: get to a point where you have a nice large 65 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: screen with a laptop, it's not no longer a laptop. 66 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 1: It's just too big. And while you can use some 67 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: devices where you can maybe hook up a second screen 68 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: to a laptop or other mobile computing device, uh that's 69 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: not ideal really. I mean, you could plug it into 70 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: a dock and run a nice big monitor off of it. 71 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: But the thing is a lot of the uh uh, 72 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: the processors that you see in desktop computers are just 73 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: take too much power um to use in a laptop 74 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: computer when you're not hooked up to a power source. Um. 75 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: So if you're out on the road. I mean, that's 76 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: one of the things that people expect is to have 77 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: a nice long battery life. Well, if you have a 78 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: super heavy duty processor and it that's the battery life's 79 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 1: kind of just you know, it's gonna drop dramatically because 80 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: that processor is using so much power. So I think 81 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: that that niche is still around for a little while longer, 82 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: although I I you know, I think laptops are out 83 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: selling you know, both Windows and Mac laptops are out 84 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: selling the desktops these days. Yeah, so we'll we'll keep 85 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: an eye on it. I mean, I don't think the 86 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: desktop form factor is going away quite as quickly as 87 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: I imagined back a year ago. Uh, let's move to 88 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: the next one. Um, hey, we gotta we got a 89 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: ringer here. So Chris predicted that there would be rumors 90 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: about the next gadget from Apple sometime in two thousand nine. 91 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: Now the softball. But but no, not not entirely a softball, 92 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: because we're not talking about an update to a gadget, right, 93 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: We're not talking about a new kind of iPhone or whatever. 94 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: We're talking about a totally new gadget. And you nailed 95 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 1: it because the Apple tablet became the rumor of two 96 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: thousand nine. Uh, and I mean the non existent Apple tablet, right, 97 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: it may very well carry over to be the rumor 98 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: of two thousand ten. The way we're going now, I mean, 99 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: you keep on hearing things about people saying, oh, the 100 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: Apple tablet has been delayed. Look, Apple never announced the tablet. 101 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: At least as as of the recording of this podcast, 102 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: Apple has not announced any plans for a tablet device. Now, 103 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: there's a lot of evidence, circumstantial evidence that points to 104 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 1: them developing a tablet. But if you haven't announced it, 105 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 1: and you haven't given a release date. You can't say 106 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: that the project has been delayed from an official standpoint 107 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: because there was no date to overshoot. So I think, uh, 108 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna have to keep our eyes open 109 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: see if this rumored device shows up. But yep, that's 110 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: a win in your column. So let me just put 111 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: a big X mark next to this. Wow, I guess 112 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: I should have chosen a different shape and color because 113 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: this is gonna be really confusing when I'm all done. Alright, Um, 114 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:23,040 Speaker 1: so you actually get an X here for no Apple netbook. 115 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: There is not an Apple netbook, right, which again not 116 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 1: a huge prediction, because Apple executives had gone so far 117 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,279 Speaker 1: as to specifically say they were not interested in developing 118 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: a netbook because for them to develop a netbook that 119 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: would meet the price point of your average netbooks, it 120 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: would require them to, uh to not live up to 121 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: their standards that they had established for their products, and 122 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: so there was no way they could develop a product 123 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: at that price point that was not a piece of crap. 124 00:06:56,560 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: That's pretty much a direct quote. Alright. Alright, so net 125 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: we had a web office launches and goes head to 126 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: head with Google Docs, mm hmmm, which where does that go? 127 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 1: Because there is a version of Office for the web, 128 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: but it's not out. Yeah, it's still in beta. So 129 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: I would say this is gray. So I'm gonna mark 130 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: this with a big red X right here and there 131 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 1: we go. Three red x is so far. So they 132 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: they mean different things. But that's okay. I will remember 133 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,239 Speaker 1: that when we get to the end. A little concerned 134 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: about this style. Um, oh, here's here's a win for you. Um, 135 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: you've got to win. This is a partial win. Well okay, Yeah, 136 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 1: Windows seven it's out, and you predicted last year that 137 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: it was going to have a Microsoft was gonna have 138 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: a hard time convincing people to adopt it after um 139 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: the uh success. It hadn't with Windows Vista. It hung 140 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: in the initial don't. It's a very very Douglas Adams 141 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 1: kind of way of putting it now So so really, 142 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: what I was saying was that because Windows Vista was 143 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: considered by many people to be a failure, it's not 144 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: necessarily even even through the whole I would say, through 145 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: the whole life cycle of the product, many people, not 146 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: necessarily Microsoft, but other people would consider the product to 147 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: be a failure. And um, and I said that that 148 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 1: would make people more reluctant to adopt Windows seven because 149 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: it's an unknown quantity. Well, the reviews for Windows seven 150 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: have been very positive. People have rushed out to purchase 151 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 1: new Windows seven computers, So in that case, I was 152 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: not correct. But what I was really thinking, i'd like 153 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: to think since a year later and I can't really remember, 154 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: but I was really thinking about things like corporations, you know, 155 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 1: big companies, would they would they adopt Windows seven machines 156 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: or would they wait and stick stick with Windows XP 157 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 1: machines until they absolutely had to upgrade? And that's seems 158 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 1: to be the case. It seems like a lot of 159 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 1: corporations are have learned a lesson from Windows Vista and 160 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: have decided that, you know, they've got legacy systems that 161 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 1: run on XP that may not run on Windows seven, 162 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: and they want to They don't want to get burned, 163 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:18,559 Speaker 1: so they want to make sure that Windows seven is 164 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: a stable environment before moving to it, which is why 165 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: I consider this a partial win. I think, uh, I 166 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 1: think from a consumer standpoint, no, there's been no no 167 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: perception problem with Windows seven, But from from a uh 168 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 1: like a commercial standpoint with businesses, I think there still is. Yeah. Actually, uh, 169 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 1: I have worked for a company that was large enough 170 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: to the point where they were reluctant to install the 171 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: next version of the operating system until they felt it 172 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 1: was complete. For example, when an XP came out, they 173 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: decided to upgrade two Windows two thousand from so because 174 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: they wanted about a mistake. Well to see that's thing 175 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:03,319 Speaker 1: they had all finally all the patches in place, did it? 176 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: But Windows two thousand was awful? Well okay, well you 177 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: have that. I mean, they were very large companies are 178 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: often reluctant to move up as a result. And there's 179 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:17,199 Speaker 1: there's another factor that plays into it too, the recession, 180 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: because people don't want to spend the money to upgrade 181 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: the software when XP is doing okay, sure them. So 182 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: that that I mean, there has been. It hasn't been 183 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 1: selling as well as Microsoft had hoped, at least after 184 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 1: that first initial rush, although I think it's been somewhat steady. Um. 185 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 1: I don't think it's as bad as everybody thought it 186 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 1: was gonna be, either a lot of people were saying 187 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 1: it was going to be you know anyway, all right, 188 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: so let's move on. You predicted that the Xbox seven 189 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 1: twenty would be announced at E three ha ha, it 190 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 1: was not not correct. X Microsoft has not mentioned anything 191 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 1: about the successor to the Xbox three sixty. Uh in fact, 192 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 1: project and at all, which is the next really big 193 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 1: innovative can troll interface for the Xbox three sixty That 194 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 1: was that was being marketed specifically as a three sixty product, 195 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: which kind of suggests that they have plans for for 196 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 1: a few more years of three sixty life before moving 197 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,079 Speaker 1: on to the next system, although not necessarily could turn 198 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 1: out the natal really is the first step to a 199 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: news system, but we'll have to keep our eyes open. 200 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 1: Next okay, next, um oh here, look another checkbox in 201 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: the wind column. I'll just put a big check but 202 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 1: that one. Yeah, okay. The Google OS is out. Yeah, 203 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: the web based operating system. I said that there would 204 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: Google would come out with a web based operating system. 205 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: And now we have Chromos. Now, granted, Chromos is not 206 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 1: available for purchase until next year, so but you know 207 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: it's it's definitely and there's developer copies. If you're a developer, 208 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:56,160 Speaker 1: you can get your hands on one, and you can 209 00:11:56,240 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: you can create applications for the Chromos. But yeah, it's 210 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: not it's not on any commercial netbooks yet, which that's 211 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 1: the main market for that our netbooks. So you said 212 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 1: that would be a quiet year for Nintendo. At most 213 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 1: you said there'd be a new peripheral announced. I think 214 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: that's pretty safe to say that it was a pretty 215 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: quiet year for Nintendo. Another softball except I mean, we 216 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: even saw that WE sales for the first time lagged 217 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,319 Speaker 1: behind PS three sales in September. Yeah, so I mean 218 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: that's big news for Nintendo. Not good news, but it 219 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: definitely was a quiet year. I if you talk about peripherals, 220 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: I would say that maybe the WE Motion Plus it's 221 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:37,160 Speaker 1: probably the closest to a new peripheral. Yeah, well, I 222 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 1: mean anything big. Of course, they had the the balance board, 223 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 1: which was the last one, and that was for the 224 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: end of last year because and then plus was really 225 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 1: more of an enhancement than an actual new perisher. Alright, 226 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: moving on, unless you have that you know, new uh 227 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 1: golf club thing that you clip on for the tyger 228 00:12:56,280 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 1: Woods game chase after the SUV. Al Right, so let's 229 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: move on. Um oh, look, another win for Jonathan another 230 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 1: big check mark. He predicted that phone sales would take off, well, 231 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: actually would would push Android up to new heights and hey, 232 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 1: look a bunch of Android phones. Yeah. So when Android 233 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 1: first came out in the United States, it was only 234 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: available on one hand set for the longest time. It's 235 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: the HTCG one, which I am looking at right now 236 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: because that happens to be my phone. Well, now there 237 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 1: are a whole bunch of them. Yeah, and once it 238 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: once it moved to Horizon, I was thinking, Okay, now 239 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: Android really come on, come into its own because Verizon 240 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 1: is in the United States the largest cell phone carrier. 241 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, hey, what do you know a prediction that 242 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 1: I got spot on. Now. Granted, the only other option 243 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 1: at that point would have been for Android to kind 244 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: of wither and die, which I guess could have also happened, 245 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: but fortunately did not. So moving on, let's see here 246 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 1: um work on the PS four and the end of 247 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 1: PS three. So I guess this is that Sony would 248 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: announce that the successor to the PS three was in 249 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 1: the works and that the they were going to slowly 250 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: phase out the PS three. No, no, I think you 251 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:14,959 Speaker 1: actually pointed out that I was being a little uh uh. Yeah. 252 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 1: To to end, the PSS said that that they they 253 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 1: see a ten year lifespan in their consoles, which yeah, 254 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 1: which means that we're halfway through. We still have another 255 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 1: half to go. Okay, but they did uh end of 256 00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 1: life the older style PS three in favor of the 257 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: new slimmer mark. I will, I will put a medium 258 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 1: sized X mark. I'm just trying to salvage I'm still 259 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: wrong and there we go. Okay, so oh well, UM, 260 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: I don't know. This is sort of a maybe. Yeah, 261 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: this one I make or break year for Blue ray, 262 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: which is what's been for the last several years. What 263 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: what again? This was gonna be one of those where 264 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: I thought that two thousand nine would be the year 265 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 1: when either Blue ray sales would finally start picking up 266 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: and really give life to the format, or they would 267 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: they would just falter so much that people would start 268 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 1: to companies would start to abandon the format, like movie 269 00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: studios would just stop producing disks because the profit margin 270 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: wouldn't be great enough. Um. I'd say that there's been 271 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 1: incremental improvement, especially once the PS three's price dropped. I 272 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: think that's really helped Blue ray quite a bit. But 273 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: I don't think it's not the meteoric rise that I 274 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 1: was thinking would need to happen in two thousand nine. 275 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna say that that's just gonna be a 276 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: small check mark right here, all right, and let's say, oh, 277 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: that means I gotta read the next one. So the 278 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 1: Linux community will make a big move in operating system adoption. Well, 279 00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:50,960 Speaker 1: we saw some pretty high profile Linux distributions come out, 280 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: and people who are Linux users really like them. I 281 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: just don't know how many people adopted Linux. Yeah, I 282 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 1: still think, Um, you know, honestly, I think a lot 283 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 1: of people are confused. People who are who aren't really 284 00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: tech eas are a little bit confused by all the 285 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 1: different distributions. I mean, they don't necessarily understand works. There's 286 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: usually just one current version of any particular operating system, 287 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: like if you if you talk about mac os, yes 288 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 1: there are multiple versions, but there's only one current version, 289 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: like one specific one that's that's that's being updated right now. Um. 290 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 1: Whereas we talk about Lenox, hundreds of distributions. So and 291 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 1: that's what I meant about how Lenox works. They don't 292 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 1: understand necessarily that it's supported by a whole community of 293 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: people that is not really owned by anybody. Uh you know, 294 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: it's owned by everybody but you know, I do think 295 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 1: it probably gained some ground, and I heard many, many 296 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: positive things. But yes, I'm afraid, Uh, I don't. I 297 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: haven't seen anything that suggests that the new versions of 298 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: Linux released this year have caused a surge in the 299 00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: number of Linux users. Ex. Oh, hey, look at this, 300 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:08,120 Speaker 1: cloud computing becomes a household term. Three checkmarks. Oh yeah, 301 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: this is a smaller check mark, maybe three small check Well. No, 302 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: it has become a much more favorite term, whether it's 303 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 1: household term. Yeah, I don't think necessarily that Jane, average 304 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: Jane housewife is talking about cloud computing, um, but she 305 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:28,439 Speaker 1: probably uses it. Yeah, So cloud computing I think, got 306 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: a lot more uh noticed this past year, both for 307 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 1: good and bad reasons, for things like think about like 308 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: when when Gmail went down and Google Apps went down. 309 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: That that made the news and people started thinking, oh, 310 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: can I trust my documents to things like Google Docs 311 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: because if the server goes down, how do I access 312 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: my information? Well, that actually brought a lot of attention 313 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,400 Speaker 1: to cloud computing. Not positive attention necessarily, but it did 314 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 1: raise questions in people's minds about is this the right 315 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 1: way to go? Does it make sense? Is my data secure? 316 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 1: Is it ivan can Uh is it really better than 317 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: storing things on a on a local media storage device? Um? 318 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 1: So I think uh. I think it's definitely in more 319 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:16,399 Speaker 1: minds now than it was this time last year. And 320 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 1: here's one that's related to that one of yours that 321 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 1: two thousand nine would be the year of the netbook. 322 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 1: And I think that's a that's a big big X 323 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,760 Speaker 1: right there, meaning that of course that you got that 324 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 1: exactly right. So this is a big right red X here, 325 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: and uh yeah, that's what that one means. So anyway, Yeah, 326 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 1: I would say the netbooks definitely are are here to stay. 327 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 1: I mean they they're more popular this year than they 328 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: were last year. I wrote an article recently where I 329 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 1: saw that within the second quarter of two thousand and eight, 330 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: netbook sales accounted for around I think five percent. I think, 331 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 1: if I recall correctly, around five of all mobile computer sales, 332 00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 1: and that's say quarter in two thousand nine it was 333 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 1: closer to that's a pretty big jump. So I think 334 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: you could say this was the year of the netbook. Now. 335 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: Whether or not people like netbooks, I think that's still 336 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 1: up for debate, because I'm not sure everyone knows what 337 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,400 Speaker 1: they're getting into when they buy one. But they definitely 338 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 1: were very popular, I think mainly because of their price 339 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: point and because they're so mobile. Um so Facebook, you 340 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 1: predicted that they would put the uh do the fatal 341 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: move on my Space and they a. My Space is 342 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: bleeding pretty badly, but they don't seem to be completely dead. 343 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:38,600 Speaker 1: My Space is not dead, but I would argue this 344 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:43,280 Speaker 1: is still a a moderately sized check mark in my college. 345 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 1: No no no, no, yeah, I mean they dealt them some 346 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 1: serious damage this year because my Space is still around. Sure, 347 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,440 Speaker 1: but I think I think my Space is slowly turning 348 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: into more of a content site and less of a 349 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,359 Speaker 1: social networking site, especially now that it looks like my 350 00:19:56,440 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 1: Space is going to adopt Facebook Connect as part of 351 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,399 Speaker 1: their system, so that you would be able to do 352 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,920 Speaker 1: things like link to band pages on my Space through 353 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,959 Speaker 1: your Facebook account, because that's really what my Space has 354 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: kind of become. It's become like the place for bands 355 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 1: and band pages. That's something that my Space does really 356 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: well that Facebook does not do really well. Unfortunately for 357 00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 1: my Space. Facebook does pretty much everything else better than 358 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: my Space does. Yeah, yeah, I agree, all right, So 359 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 1: let's see Twitter may go away. Huh. Let me check 360 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 1: my Twitter account and see if Chris got that right. Alright, 361 00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 1: let's see. Oh I think I'm sorry, this is gonna 362 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:41,479 Speaker 1: be at least seven x is. Well, you know, I 363 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 1: have to and in my defense, I have to point 364 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,879 Speaker 1: out that, you know, Twitter has, as far as I know, 365 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 1: still no business model. It's still not making money at 366 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 1: least not generating revenue. Yes, but it has many, many 367 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 1: people now who have more than a million followers on it. So, um, 368 00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:00,199 Speaker 1: I still don't know that it's going to survive on 369 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,640 Speaker 1: its own forever. But I think now I think it's 370 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: around this stay. Eventually, something is gonna have to happen 371 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 1: for Twitter to be able to stay around. But uh, yeah, 372 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 1: in two thousand nine it was there was a one 373 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,600 Speaker 1: billion dollar valuation on Twitter. Now, whether or not that 374 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,720 Speaker 1: would ever actually stand up if you did an I 375 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:20,800 Speaker 1: P O or anything, I don't I doubt it. But um, 376 00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 1: it does say that Twitter is extremely valuable and yet 377 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 1: makes no money. Uh. We we can keep going, keep going, 378 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,080 Speaker 1: Come on, we can do this quickly. All right, we'll 379 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: do this quickly. Uh. Here's here's an easy one. Venture 380 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 1: capital drives up that would have to be a big 381 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: new right, and I'll just I'll just put a negative 382 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 1: big checkmark here. Yuh. Actually, uh, it's it's quite the opposite. 383 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,399 Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of venture capital, especially in the 384 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 1: latter half of the year, probably again sort of recession related, 385 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:53,200 Speaker 1: but yeah, people starting to fund companies. It was definitely 386 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 1: counterintuitive to me. I didn't think that venture capitalists would 387 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,159 Speaker 1: fund more stuff during recession. But it turns out that 388 00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: a lot of people have had really good ideas and 389 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 1: venture kevil has just got smarter about spending money. Yeah, 390 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 1: it's a different it's a totally different, uh environment than 391 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 1: it was in two thousand nine. But people are still 392 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,680 Speaker 1: investing and people are still making money. Alright, so let's 393 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 1: see where it was the next one to see the 394 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: next big company to breakout will be, Um, well, you 395 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 1: know what ACES is doing. Well, I don't think it's 396 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 1: the next big company yet. No, Actually I think HTC. 397 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: I think you're right, you know, I never even thought 398 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,480 Speaker 1: about that, but yeah, HTC, that was a company I 399 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,720 Speaker 1: had never even heard of before the g One hit. 400 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,720 Speaker 1: I was interested in the g one because of the 401 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: Android operating system, but I had no clue who HTC 402 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:44,760 Speaker 1: was before that, and now you see so many handsets 403 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:48,199 Speaker 1: and they're even you know, net netbook computers coming out 404 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,359 Speaker 1: with HCC brand on them. Yeah. I think both of 405 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: them actually had a similar past in that they made 406 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,160 Speaker 1: stuff for other people and then started branding their own. 407 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 1: And uh, HTC is being known for a for their 408 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: quality and I don't know. Uh, let's see, next one 409 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:07,720 Speaker 1: you had was a big jump in green tech. Well, yeah, 410 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: that was that was a I feel almost horrible about 411 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,400 Speaker 1: giving myself such a massive check mark for this one 412 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: because it was a gimme. But yeah, I think that board. 413 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:21,400 Speaker 1: I'm actually uh yeah, I'm gonna you know what, I'm 414 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 1: just I'm just gonna put check in a little plus corner, 415 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 1: all right. So let's see the HDTVs have hit their 416 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:33,320 Speaker 1: price peak and will stagnate and drop not so much. 417 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: I mean, there's I've seen a drop in prices, but 418 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,359 Speaker 1: I think there are more I feel, forgive me, cheapy 419 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,920 Speaker 1: models out there than there used to be. Yeah, it's well, 420 00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,679 Speaker 1: it's it's the it's the continual process we see with 421 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 1: all electronics. As more people adopted, the price drops. But 422 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,879 Speaker 1: the problem is that uh well not a problem, but 423 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 1: the the trend is that as people start to adopt. UH, 424 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 1: companies spend more money and innovation, and they start to 425 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 1: uh come out with newer models that have newer features, 426 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 1: and you get Internet capable computer television's not computers, internet 427 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 1: capable televisions, UH, three D TVs, all this kind of 428 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: stuff that ends up driving the price back up again 429 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: for the high models. So you know, I'll give you, um, 430 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:18,880 Speaker 1: I'll give you an X for this because I think 431 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 1: you thank you pretty much. You know, it's kind of 432 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:25,160 Speaker 1: splaining the difference. So all right, and then you said 433 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 1: that Yahoo would be bought or would collapse. I mean 434 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 1: they were on the ropes for a while. Yeah, but 435 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 1: they've recovered quite well. Yeah, because they do have they 436 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: are known as a content provider of swords, although I 437 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 1: don't you know, I don't think people think of them 438 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,440 Speaker 1: that way. But and they formed they formed the partnership 439 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 1: with Microsoft. So Microsoft will be assuming that this partnership 440 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:48,679 Speaker 1: does in fact go through, because it's still one of 441 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: those things that seems tenuous in place. But Microsoft well 442 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:58,199 Speaker 1: will be providing the search engine power for Yahoo. So 443 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,439 Speaker 1: Yeahoo did not go away, did not apps, did not 444 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 1: get bought out, but it did enter a partnership with Microsoft, 445 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,919 Speaker 1: which I think saved the company because under this partnership, Yahoo, 446 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 1: for the first few years will be collecting the lion's 447 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:14,439 Speaker 1: share of the revenue from from search results, so in 448 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,479 Speaker 1: search advertising, and I had I had predicted that Yeahoo 449 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: would stay independent, so we kind of split the difference there. So, UM, 450 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: tell you what, I'll just I'll put a check in 451 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 1: mine and an X in yours and uh and there 452 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 1: we go. All right, So, well that happens to be 453 00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 1: all of of the predictions I made, but Chris made 454 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,400 Speaker 1: a few more because he was just in a Svengali nude. 455 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 1: So we're gonna let's let's we're gonna burrow through the 456 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: rest of these. So Amazon will release the second kindle. Okay, 457 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: that's that's right. So let's see X They're best buy 458 00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,200 Speaker 1: goes into chapter eleven. No, best by still around, not 459 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:51,000 Speaker 1: doing the best business ever, but it's still around. So 460 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 1: let's just put an expert wrong there. Um, next, we've got, 461 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 1: uh what A O L goes away? Well, you know 462 00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 1: what's interesting is it it did split off talking about 463 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 1: selling you know, Time Warner finally getting out of that 464 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,159 Speaker 1: A O L deal, which is weird. Because A O 465 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 1: L is the one that acquired Time Warner. But um 466 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 1: but it didn't go away, so I'm sorry that's next. 467 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,240 Speaker 1: And then more magazines and newspapers go online. Only we 468 00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,160 Speaker 1: saw a lot of that in two thousand nine. Of course, 469 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 1: that was another kind of green tech gimme, so I'm 470 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:21,800 Speaker 1: just gonna have to give you an X for that one. Um. 471 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: Then we got DRM goes away. Boy, we wish, but 472 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: the kindle too pretty much keeps that around. Let's put 473 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: an X there. And then we've got trade shows will decline, 474 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:34,680 Speaker 1: which you know what, CUS was a little less um 475 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: uh crowded than it had been the previous year. I 476 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:39,919 Speaker 1: was at E three as well, but unfortunately that was 477 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 1: my first E three, so I can't. Actually I think 478 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: the three was heavier, had heavier attendance, but that was 479 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,680 Speaker 1: because they went back to the older format. Well. One 480 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 1: thing too, is uh that games actually did better than 481 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,920 Speaker 1: a lot of the other parts of the tet. They didn't, 482 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 1: they weren't completely recession proof. Towards the end of the 483 00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:59,760 Speaker 1: year they really started the sales started to take a 484 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,480 Speaker 1: hit it but uh, yeah, they did better than most 485 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: other technologies. So um yeah, I'm just gonna call that X. 486 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:10,679 Speaker 1: So let me let me Tellward here and um, wow, gee, 487 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 1: you all those check marks on your side. I know 488 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 1: that's well, this is embarrassing. Um, I'm just gonna wait, wait, wait, wait, 489 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:21,919 Speaker 1: they mean different, but I don't remember was this positive 490 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: or negative? You know what, We're just gonna have to 491 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: We're just gonna have to go buy x's and checks. 492 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:27,920 Speaker 1: And it looks like I'm a winner this time. Guys, 493 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,840 Speaker 1: I'll get you next year. I'm sure you know. This 494 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,040 Speaker 1: is one of those things that I thought would be that. 495 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 1: You know, I got in a mood where I was 496 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: making all these predictions. It's really hard. Tech is such 497 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:42,680 Speaker 1: a mercurial field. I mean stuff say that. I say 498 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 1: that in our next podcast recording Session two thousand predictions. 499 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,159 Speaker 1: It is. It is. We were gonna throw some at 500 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:51,919 Speaker 1: the end of this, but we're already over time, so 501 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 1: we're gonna get this one off. So's it's fun. I mean, 502 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,640 Speaker 1: you know, obviously Jonathan walked away with it this year, 503 00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,919 Speaker 1: but who knows next year. If it turns out whoever 504 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,400 Speaker 1: is holding the marker is the winner, then we will 505 00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: know that, Um that my my method works. So yeah, 506 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:12,040 Speaker 1: let's we'll make predictions in our next podcast recording session 507 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:15,960 Speaker 1: and which may or may not come out before January one. 508 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: That's all right, because the beginning of the year, we'll 509 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: make the predictions before the beginning of the year. Gosh 510 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 1: darn it. So okay, all right, someone to look forward to. Well. 511 00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 1: If any of you guys have any interesting predictions or questions, 512 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 1: comments suggestions for podcast topics, write us. Our email address 513 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 1: is text us at how stuff works dot com. We 514 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: have articles on tons of the topics that we covered 515 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 1: today at how stuff works dot com. Go to the 516 00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: website check it out. If you haven't ever visited, you 517 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 1: should really check it out because there's a lot of 518 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 1: really great information, not just about tech either, all sorts 519 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 1: of stuff. And Chris and I will talk to you 520 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 1: again really soon for more on this and thousands of 521 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: other topics. Is it how stuff works dot com. And 522 00:28:58,120 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: be sure to check out the new tech stuff block 523 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:07,000 Speaker 1: now on the house Stuffworks homepage, brought to you by 524 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: the reinvented two thousand twelve camera. It's ready, are you