1 00:00:00,720 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:08,559 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: it just means the absolute world to have your support. 8 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: But enough with that, let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, 9 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 10 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: What do we have, Crystal. Indeed, we do, of course, 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: lots of big breaking news this week, including of course, 12 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: we are expecting that former President Trump will be arraigned tomorrow, 13 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: so we've got all the latest details there, and there 14 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: is some new news there, both on the legal front 15 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: and on the political front. Let's just say that our 16 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:59,639 Speaker 1: predictions thus far have come true. Yes, so we'll dig 17 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: into all of that. We also have a new entrant 18 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: into the twenty twenty four race. Everybody get hyped for 19 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: Asa Hutchinson joining the twenty twenty four field. He's the 20 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: first sort of like out and out anti Trump candidate, 21 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 1: so that is interesting. At the same time, Maryan Williamson 22 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 1: actually surging in the polls, so we'll break that down 23 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: for you as well. Prominent military blogger was murdered in 24 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: Russia and a Saint Petersburg cafe along with some of 25 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: his supporters were also injured. We'll break that down for 26 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: you as well. Dominion is celebrating today because they had 27 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,679 Speaker 1: a major victory in their lawsuit against Box News. That 28 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:35,759 Speaker 1: case moves forward. Got the details for you there, elon 29 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: doing something genuinely hilarious by removing the chech mark just 30 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 1: from The New York Times and no one else. So 31 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: I'll tell you about what that means. And we have 32 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: a couple of announcements before we get into the show. 33 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: So first of all, we are going to be doing 34 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: a livestream special in primetime tomorrow night because tomorrow is 35 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: the day that Trump is expected to be arraigned. He 36 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: also has a press conference scheduled for the evening that 37 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: we are going to take live. So go ahead and 38 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: put this up on the screen, guys, Soccer, what are 39 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: some of the details the folks need to know Trump 40 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: on trial. I know everyone's always asking for live streams 41 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 1: and for primetime specials and all that, so which decided. Okay, 42 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 1: you know, this is a genuinely historic event, President Trump 43 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: being arraigned. He will be arraigned in Manhattan in the 44 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: middle of the day, but he's doing a major press 45 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: conference around eight pm tomorrow night Eastern time. So the 46 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: four of us and the counter to meet the Counterpoints crew, 47 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: we will all be here at the desk. We'll give 48 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:29,800 Speaker 1: everybody a little bit of a pre show and then 49 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: a post show as well. We'll fully watch the press 50 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: conference here together, so you can watch it here on 51 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: the Breaking Point stream, and we are also going to 52 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: be having some legal analysts. We will be running an 53 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: AMA feature for our premium subscribers who can sign up 54 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: at Breakingpoints dot com. On the AMA, you can submit 55 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: your questions legal questions for two legal experts that we 56 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: will have here on the show who will answer them, 57 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: and then we will also break some of that down 58 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:53,680 Speaker 1: for you as well. So it's an opportunity for the 59 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 1: premiums to ask questions. We will answer them live and 60 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: also just have a fun live primetime special here at 61 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: a normal times, So we'll be starting around seven thirty 62 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 1: seven forty five from Eastern time, depending on when we 63 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: think Trump will be speaking, but the four of us 64 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: will be here at the desk, so you live analysis. 65 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: No regular show tomorrow. Instead of regular show, we're doing 66 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: the evening primetime live stream. If your premium sub submit 67 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: your questions ONAMA. If you want to ask questions, become 68 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: a premium sub and you can do exactly that second 69 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: of all Spotify video. That's right, and so that's another 70 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: reason to become a premium sub. You can watch the 71 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 1: video fully on Spotify, and just so everybody knows the 72 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: full video audio all of that, we will post the 73 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: second day on the Spotify channel as well as on 74 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 1: our normal podcast platform. So if you can't join us live, 75 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: don't worry about it. You can take everything the morning 76 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: of whenever you wake up. We'll publish it as as 77 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: early as possible, so if you can't stay up or 78 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: have something to do, you can watch it that morning, 79 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 1: and then Counterpoints will be moving to Friday, so we 80 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: will still have content for everybody all throughout the week. 81 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: Don't worry, it's still going to be a lot of fun, 82 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: and of course you can become a premium sub Breakingpoints 83 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: dot com for the AMA feature to head off the inedible, 84 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: use the AMA feature within the supercast website. Yah, whenever 85 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 1: you become us subscriber. But okay, let's start with the 86 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,119 Speaker 1: actual news. Let's get to the show, all right, yett, 87 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: Let's put this up there on the screen. In a 88 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: surprise to absolutely nobody, Trump surges to his largest lead 89 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: ever over Ron DeSantis after the news of the indictment breaks, 90 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:19,119 Speaker 1: showing that most Americans don't think Trump should be allowed 91 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: to serve as president again if convicted. But amongst Republicans, 92 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 1: his star is not waning. It is what bursting? Is 93 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 1: that how you would say? Rising? Okay, all right, floating? Rising, 94 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: that's a good word. Well, it used to be a 95 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: good word. Okay. So Republican preference for Trump over DeSantis 96 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 1: has increased after Trump's indictment to fifty seven percent. Desanti 97 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: is sinking to thirty one percent twelve percent undecided. Keep 98 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: in mind, this is not even in a multi field poll. 99 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: This is in a direct head to head and it 100 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 1: is a surge of twenty six percent in that one 101 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: to one contest, and a contest, not only does he 102 00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 1: attract majority support. Previously he had forty four percent, now 103 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: up to an outright fifty two when even pitted against 104 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: a wider ten candidate field. So that's the two headlines. 105 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: Not only does he surge against head to head in 106 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis, taking fifty seven percent, but also even in 107 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: a multi ten candidate race where you have some of 108 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 1: the declared and potential GOP GOP challengers to Trump, he 109 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 1: still is at a fifty two percent. And actually this 110 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: doesn't account for the ASA Hutchinson search. Right, Yes, I apologize. 111 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: Keep out in mind for anybody who's asking exactly who 112 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: the hell that is, we will bring you the details. 113 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 1: For Ron DeSantis. There's even worse news, which is that 114 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: Trump only drops by five percent in a multi candidate field, 115 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: Desanda drops by ten, just showing you once again that 116 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: in a multi candidate field, a large percentage of people 117 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: who are quote unquote anti Trump, even though that's not 118 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: actually that many of them are still not entirely wedded 119 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 1: to Ron DeSantis. So, I mean, the overall headline is 120 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: that this is a brutal and terrible poll, not only 121 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,799 Speaker 1: for Ron DeSantis, but for anybody who's even thinking about 122 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: challenging Trump, you know, CC, Nikki Haley, Vivik Ramaswami, Mike Pompeo, 123 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:03,279 Speaker 1: Asa Hudginson, I guess who will talk a little bit 124 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,799 Speaker 1: about you in the next block. But overall, I mean, shocker, 125 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: he's a lot more powerful than he was before after 126 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,839 Speaker 1: the indictment news. Who could have predicted this. I think 127 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: that this is even more movement than I expected. Yeah, 128 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 1: I mean we're talking just to underscore this. The last 129 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: time this polster was out in the field, it was 130 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: just two weeks ago, and there has been huge movement 131 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: since then. So Trump was ahead the last time two 132 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 1: weeks ago, but it was forty seven to thirty nine, 133 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 1: much much closer than what it is now. And as 134 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 1: recently as February, DeSantis was actually narrowly ahead of Trump 135 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: in this poll. Now, I think with all of these polls, 136 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: as we're moving forward and thinking about how to interpret them, 137 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: et cetera, what's important to keep in mind is not 138 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: what the absolute numbers are. It's what you see in 139 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 1: terms of the movement. Because as we've talked about the 140 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 1: Republican primary polls so far, they've been really wildly divergent 141 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 1: across different polling methodologies. But if you see significant movement 142 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: within one single poll, that tells you something here is 143 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,159 Speaker 1: really happening. And you know, I think it seems pretty 144 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: clear this indictment has really strengthened Trump's hand. It has 145 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 1: forced all of the Republican candidates to basically rally around him, 146 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: giving him the strength. And it's important to keep in 147 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: mind too, this is probably the first of several indictments. 148 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: So it's not like you can say, Okay, we'll get 149 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: through this. If you're round the Santa all right, we'll 150 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: get through this. Yes, he's dominating the new cycle now, 151 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: but then we'll be able to move forward. I'll be 152 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: able to talk about what I'm doing with the Florida 153 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: legislature or whatever. No, this is going to be the 154 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: dynamic that is playing out the whole time. And even 155 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: after we get whatever potential indictments are going to you know, 156 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: come down here, then you're also talking about legal wrangling. 157 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: You're talking about potential trials, You're talking about different you know, 158 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,679 Speaker 1: motions to dismiss in front of judges. This is going 159 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: to go on and on and on, at least throughout 160 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: the Republican primary and potentially throughout the entirety of twenty 161 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 1: twenty four. Just as a side note here, you know, 162 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 1: there's also some interesting news here in terms of a 163 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: general election. Yes, a majority of voters, you know, they 164 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 1: think he did it. They think it should be disqualifying. 165 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: But then when you're like, all right, Joe Biden versus 166 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: Donald Trump head to head, there has been zero change there. 167 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 1: Biden has a two point lead, which is within the 168 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: margin of error. So it's basically a jump ball. Even 169 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: with everything that's happened so far and general electorate side, 170 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: this hasn't moved the needle whatsoever so so far, And 171 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: of course things can change if he ends up, you know, 172 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: being found guilty of these things, or if you know, 173 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: another indictment related to the documents or January sixth, or 174 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: faked electors or whatever comes out, maybe that shifts things. 175 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 1: But most of the general electorate audience kind of already 176 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: has these things priced in, is my reading, at least 177 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: of the initial polling on this front. Yeah, I think 178 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: you're right, which is, you know, look, anybody who didn't 179 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: like Trump, this is not going to change anything. Anybody 180 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 1: who was on the fence about Trump. I also don't 181 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:55,200 Speaker 1: think this particularly changes anything because it's baked into it 182 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: is like, yeah, he really looks like a guy who 183 00:08:57,360 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: is a stand up dude, pays his taxes, on time, 184 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: and would never ever do a book of what, would 185 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: never ever try and disguise a payment via his own 186 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: personal lawyer, even to the respect of the details of 187 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: which we will get miired in. Unfortunately, just because of 188 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: the historic nature of the case for us, most people 189 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: you said this in our initial reaction, they're like, they're 190 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: not taking much away from it. What I find more interesting, though, 191 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,320 Speaker 1: is Desanta still looks to be full steam ahead. He 192 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: gave a speech two days ago in which he basically 193 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: brushed off the polls but also tried to defend Trump 194 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,839 Speaker 1: because that's what so many people, especially Republicans, wanted to 195 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: see from him. But he's still in an odd area. 196 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: Still can't say Trump's name, He doesn't ever talk in specifics. 197 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: He just talks in wide generalities. Here he is, let's 198 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: take a listen. We resolve to lead by conviction, not 199 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: by polls. I have never taken a poll about any 200 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: of these issues that I've championed since I've been governor, 201 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 1: didn't on day one and still having to this day. 202 00:09:56,679 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: A leader doesn't respond to poles. A leader gets in 203 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,680 Speaker 1: front of issues, identifies what needs to be done, sets 204 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 1: the vision, executes the vision, delivers the results, and guess 205 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: what happens when you do that? The polls change in 206 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:15,479 Speaker 1: your direction. So now he turns around purely for political 207 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: purposes and indicts a former president on misdemeanor offenses that 208 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: they're straining to try to convert into felonies. That is 209 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: when you know that the law has been weaponized for 210 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: political purposes. That is when you know that the left 211 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 1: is using that to target their political opponents. And I 212 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 1: can tell you this, these soros back das. They are 213 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,439 Speaker 1: a menace to society. They are a menace to the 214 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 1: rule of law. Speaking Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, is that an important state? 215 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: You know, somebody can tell me about that. Now, why 216 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: is the governor of Florida and Harrisburg? That's an interesting question. 217 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: Well the second one. First of all, in the pole thing, 218 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,679 Speaker 1: there's just no way that's true. Let's all just be honest. 219 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: It's impossible. All politicians are some of the most politested people. 220 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: That's why it is almost a verb at this point, 221 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:07,560 Speaker 1: like or I mean in that like poll tested candidate 222 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: in terms of the way that we think about them. Second, though, 223 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 1: in his response to Trump, he still can't say the 224 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: man's name. Yeah, who which former president. This is where 225 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 1: trying to play the game of being on Trump's side 226 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 1: but never actually mentioned his name, not coming to his 227 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 1: defense in the same way that a Marjorie Taylor Green 228 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 1: or a Matt Gats or any of the other die 229 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: hard actual MAGA people would just shows you the disadvantage 230 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 1: that he is. And then the poll just shows you 231 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:38,560 Speaker 1: something very clear. Republicans like Trump. They love Trump. You know, 232 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:42,200 Speaker 1: at fifty seven percent, he is like, by and far 233 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 1: the leading candidate to the extent that you might be 234 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: able to beat him, you have to win over not 235 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: just a little bit, a lot of the people who 236 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: love him and see him as under persecution. How can 237 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: you do that if you're not willing to really like 238 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: go in a full throat of defense like that. Well, 239 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: the funny thing to me, listen, I don't talk about like, 240 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: oh I don't take a pull and not pull tests 241 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: like you're literally giving a pull tested answer about the 242 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: Trump thing as you're claiming that he full tested answers 243 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 1: because he saw it happen the first time around. When 244 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: Trump put out his truth social that was like, oh, 245 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 1: I'm about to be indicted on Tuesday. Of course, the 246 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:16,560 Speaker 1: timing wasn't exactly right, but anyway, there was a rush 247 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: to his defense from a lot of Republicans, and DeSantis 248 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: was notably really quiet. And then when he did say 249 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 1: something and took a little jab at Trump with a 250 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: little like, well, I don't know anything about hush money 251 00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: payment to porn stars, but you know, and then he 252 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 1: went on and gave his full tested answer. So he 253 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: learned from the backlash that he got, and then he 254 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 1: tried to craft the answer that he thought people wanted 255 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: to hear from him, and it just really reeks of 256 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: finger in the wind type of politician. And again I 257 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: kind of I mean, I don't really like Rond DeSantis 258 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:49,839 Speaker 1: at all, but I have some epathy for him because 259 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 1: I think it's an impossible position that he's in. I really, 260 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: do you know what really motivates and galvanizes the Republican 261 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 1: base at this point above everything is seeing the way 262 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 1: that the people they hate are triggered and upset and 263 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 1: how much they hate Donald Trump, right, And how do 264 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,839 Speaker 1: you beat a guy who's actually getting like indicted and 265 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: arrested by these people? Like there's no level above that. 266 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's an impossible landscape. I think 267 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: the media landscape is going to be impossible for these 268 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,959 Speaker 1: Republicans to navigate because all they're going to get asked 269 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 1: about from here on out, almost exclusively, is how do 270 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 1: you react to this indictment? How do you react to 271 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 1: what Trump said about X or Y or Z? How 272 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,319 Speaker 1: do you react to potential charges about January sixth or 273 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 1: fake electors, et cetera. One other thing I wanted to 274 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: pull out of this poll that I do think is relevant. 275 00:13:42,520 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 1: You know, I said before it, and I do think 276 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: that this is true. You know, all of these charges, 277 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: the specific specifics of them, were going to get into 278 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 1: and I think that they matter a lot on a 279 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: substantive level in terms of the politics of it. I 280 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 1: think it is a rorshac test of just how do 281 00:13:56,520 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 1: you feel about Donald Trump going in? But you know, 282 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: the potential charges that the public finds the most persuasive 283 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: in terms of thinking that he actually did it is 284 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: actually the classified documents piece. And there is some news 285 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 1: that just broke that they have more evidence suggesting that 286 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: he was directly involved and potentially moving some of those 287 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,640 Speaker 1: documents and even reviewed some of those documents after they'd 288 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 1: been asked to turn everything over and after they had 289 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: claimed that he had turned everything over. So that's the 290 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: one where people are most persuaded that he actually, quote 291 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: unquote did it. The next one is inciting the January 292 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 1: sixth attack, And so you know, I think some of 293 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 1: the other charges are sort of more persuasive to the 294 00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: American people, But again, I'm not sure that it really 295 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: makes that much of a difference. If you think Trump 296 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: is a criminal and he deserves to be held accountable, 297 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 1: you're unlikely to look at these particular charges and be like, oh, 298 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 1: but not like this, but this one is wrong. It's like, no, 299 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: people want to see him held accountable, then they're going 300 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: to be fine with basically what I charges. They're thrown at. 301 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: It asks for other GOP voters. They're coming to Trump's defense, 302 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: not just in the polls. Let's put this up there 303 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 1: on the screen. Trump has been raising money like nobody's 304 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: business with his campaign list. He's raised twenty four or 305 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: four million dollars in just the first twenty four hours 306 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 1: after his indictment. Keep in mind, that's just after the 307 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: news of the indictment broke. Just go ahead and wait 308 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 1: until there's television cameras showing him in handcuffs potentially or 309 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: has a mugshot released by the City of New York 310 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: or the State of New York while he's being prosecuted. 311 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: And then after his press conference, which if you think 312 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: Trump did not time his press conference exactly for a 313 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 1: primetime in this country, then you don't really know anything 314 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: about Donald Trump and how much he understands the media. 315 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: This is a fundraising bonanza for the Trump campaign. They 316 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: are probably stronger than they have been in a long time. 317 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 1: So anyway, you know, look value judgment aside. Those are 318 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: just the facts. He's surging in polls and he's making 319 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: a ton of money, so everybody else who was hoping 320 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 1: that might bring him down maybe, but not an indication 321 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: of that yet. Yeah. I do want to say though, 322 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:07,240 Speaker 1: like it's this is not all like, oh, this is 323 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: great for Trump. On a personal look, he faces potential 324 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: prison time. I'm sure the man does not want to 325 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: go to pre stressful so on a personal level, I'm 326 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: not saying he's like celebrating this. I have no idea 327 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 1: what his mindset is. There's some reporting that this is, 328 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 1: you know, deeply like unsettling to him, and he's stressed 329 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,040 Speaker 1: out about it, even as he's trying to project, you know, 330 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: a sort of public bravado. All we can talk speak 331 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 1: to is the politics of it. First indications are for 332 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 1: the general election, it doesn't make that much of a difference. 333 00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: Now I do think that that could potentially change, so 334 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: I want to put that out there. I think it's 335 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 1: really clear though, the impact that it has on the 336 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 1: Republican primary, and it makes it very tough setting for 337 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: anyone not named Donald J. Trump. Absolutely right, Okay, let's 338 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 1: go to the next part here about Trump and any 339 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 1: of the news that has broken. First of all, just 340 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 1: an inside look into the actual process through which Trump 341 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 1: wasn't diet and let's go ahea and put this up 342 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 1: there on the screen. I encourage people to go through 343 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 1: and read it if they're interested. Article is how Alvin Bragg. 344 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:08,119 Speaker 1: Alvin Bragg resurrected the case against Donald Trump. What it 345 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:11,119 Speaker 1: points to is a couple of things. The original investigation 346 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 1: by Cyrus Fance, who was the Manhattan DA into Trump, 347 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 1: had stalled over a year ago. Eventually, after he left 348 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 1: the office, people who were inside the office had came 349 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,679 Speaker 1: to Alvin Bragg after he'd been taking the job, and 350 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: they said, hey, look there actually is some quote there there. 351 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: You should look at this investigation. The original DA's office 352 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: is a decision not to prosecute Crump was controversial within 353 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: the office. A lot of them are people who really 354 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 1: wanted to go after Trump for the hush money payment. 355 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 1: At the same time, they had two major incidents. Number 356 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,919 Speaker 1: one was a meeting that they had with Michael Cohen 357 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: where they went through some of the details around the 358 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 1: hush money payment, the scheme, and the installments to which 359 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 1: they thought that they could brand case. And two, apparently 360 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: is they were looking not only at Stormy Daniels, where 361 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 1: they were also looking at other hush money payments. There 362 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: has been some indication that it could include Karen McDougall, 363 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,479 Speaker 1: the former Playboy model who we've told you about, but 364 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 1: there also could be other ones. It never came legally 365 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 1: to light in the nature of these NDAs that were 366 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:15,439 Speaker 1: being distributed again all of it though. The reason why 367 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: that they went for the felony case is just doing 368 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 1: a just having bookkeeping fraud where you are mislabeling a 369 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,879 Speaker 1: transaction on your books, that's a misdemeanor. For it to 370 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 1: be a felony that mislabeling in the payment has to 371 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 1: be in the prosecution right in the cover up of 372 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: another crime. The theory is that that another crime, though 373 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 1: is a federal crime, of which though that they have 374 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,399 Speaker 1: no jurisdiction. So that novel kind of theory of the 375 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 1: case is exactly why Cyrus Fans did not prosecute over 376 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: a year ago, but Alvin Bragg thought that he could 377 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 1: do so and that he had some more information that 378 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,399 Speaker 1: he could bring to light. And I think, you know, 379 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: in general, it was an interesting look just at the 380 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: pure like legal mechanics and how the case went through 381 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,720 Speaker 1: the office and why exactly, you know, April of twenty 382 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: twenty three, we're still talking about a hush money payment 383 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:07,160 Speaker 1: from November of twenty and sixteen. Yeah. So the other 384 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: thing that was fascinating here is when it was Alvin 385 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: Bragg's predecessor, Cyrus Fans, he was really looking more into 386 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 1: some of the questions about that didn't have to do 387 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 1: with the hush money payment at all. That had to 388 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: do with Trump inflating his net worth and it was 389 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 1: like business fraud in that direction of you know, lying 390 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: to banks and potentially lying the irs about how much 391 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: he was actually worth. And that was the piece that 392 00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 1: they couldn't quite put together. Michael Cohen has been apparently 393 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: instrumental in considering any of these charges the whole time. 394 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,679 Speaker 1: And Cohen didn't have as much insight into directly the 395 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 1: operation of the Trump organization and whether or not these 396 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: assets were inflated and you know, potentially you know, criminally 397 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,640 Speaker 1: criminal way. And so that was where Alvin Bragg when 398 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,119 Speaker 1: he takes over the office, where he was kind of 399 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 1: struggling because he felt like Cohen didn't have strong enough information, 400 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 1: They couldn't quite put the pieces together, and so and 401 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 1: he only had a few weeks. The clock was ticking 402 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,400 Speaker 1: when he took over. He only had a few weeks 403 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 1: to make a decision about whether or not to charge. 404 00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 1: They already had the Grand Jurion paneled and they were 405 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 1: already working through the evidence there. So he decides, we're 406 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: not going to move forward with this one, much of 407 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 1: the chagrin of a couple of the prosecutors who were involved, 408 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: who ended up sending him a letter, say, you know, 409 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 1: expressing their upset that they weren't moving forward with that 410 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:34,719 Speaker 1: particular direction, and they ended up resigning. And by the way, 411 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 1: the New York Times got their hands on that letter 412 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:40,679 Speaker 1: and that had been reported out previously, but then Bragg 413 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,120 Speaker 1: settled on Okay, well, Cohen doesn't have insight as much 414 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,919 Speaker 1: into this whole net worth situation, but he directly was 415 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,400 Speaker 1: involved in the hush money payments, and so they start 416 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:55,200 Speaker 1: pulling on that thread. And that's how they and they 417 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 1: you know, staff back up because they'd lost some of 418 00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,880 Speaker 1: their key prosecutors, and that's how they end up, you know, 419 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:04,479 Speaker 1: in this place. So basically, the press had sort of 420 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 1: left these potential charges for dead because the initial investigation floundered, 421 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 1: went nowhere. Alvin Bragg pulled the plug. The whole time 422 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,359 Speaker 1: he was insisting in the media like hey, we're not 423 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,879 Speaker 1: done here yet, but it seemed to the press like 424 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,199 Speaker 1: all right, this one has kind of like fallen apart, 425 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 1: and you know, behind the scenes, they were actually working 426 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: through this hush money piece, and that's how you end 427 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 1: up where we are. There you go. So that's inside now. 428 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 1: In terms of the details itself, Trump spent the weekend 429 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 1: going and doing time tested strategy going after the not 430 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: only the Manhattan DA but now the judge, let's go 431 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,960 Speaker 1: to put this up there on the screen. He writes, quote, 432 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 1: the judge assigned to my witch hunt case, a case 433 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 1: that has never been charged before, hates me. His name 434 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 1: is Juan Manuel march On. We has handpicked by Bragg 435 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 1: and the prosecutors, the same person who railroaded my seventy 436 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: five year old former CFO Alan Weiselberg to take a 437 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 1: plea deal plead, not get plead guilty even if you 438 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: are not ninety days fight us and core ten years 439 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 1: life in jail. He strong armed Alan, which is his 440 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 1: judge is not allowed to do, and treated my companies 441 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: which didn't plead viciously. I am appealing. So that just 442 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,879 Speaker 1: gives you an insight a little bit into the legal strategy. 443 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,360 Speaker 1: Daily Mail also reporting this morning that Trump is likely 444 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,679 Speaker 1: to hire a First Amendment lawyer in the case that 445 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,560 Speaker 1: there is a job gag order that the judge has 446 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:13,919 Speaker 1: on the case, both from the Manhattan DA and from 447 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 1: Trump himself, which would put him obviously in a difficult 448 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 1: position and actually would be legitimately interesting from a First 449 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,359 Speaker 1: Amendment law perspective. It's like, well, how much of it 450 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,120 Speaker 1: is criminal, how much of it is in the public interest, 451 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,919 Speaker 1: and should a defendant be allowed to speak publicly about 452 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 1: what's happening? So anyway, also in terms of the details. 453 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:30,920 Speaker 1: Here's what you guys need to know about today. Let's 454 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: go and put this up there on the screen. Trump 455 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: is going to speak at mar A Lago on the 456 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 1: day of the expected arrangement. As we already told you, 457 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: we will be covering that live here in primetime on 458 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: the Breaking Points YouTube channel. But today, at exactly noon 459 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,719 Speaker 1: Eastern time, Trump will be leaving from mar A Lago 460 00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 1: to the City of New York, where he will reside 461 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: in Trump Tower while he is there. From that point 462 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: Tomorrow on Tuesday, around two fifteen pm Eastern Time, he 463 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 1: will be taken to the Manhattan Courthouse. They've apparently going 464 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 1: to block off the entire street before he is taken 465 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: and arraigned. Not only rained, but it's likely he'll be processed, 466 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: mugshot will be taken, etc. So all of those proceedings 467 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: will be happening tomorrow, But the initial transfer to the 468 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:15,639 Speaker 1: state of New York, to the City of New York, 469 00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,959 Speaker 1: where Trump will reside for a single night before returning 470 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 1: tomorrow Lago on the day of, is all going to 471 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 1: happen today. It is likely that he will take questions 472 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 1: and possibly speak to the press at that time, Monitoring 473 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: that right now very closely. What, of course, what Trump 474 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,120 Speaker 1: is doing is he's turning this all to a show. 475 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:35,440 Speaker 1: Why do I even know all of these times off 476 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: the top of my head, because he tells us, He's like, 477 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 1: I'll be there, be there at noon, just so that 478 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 1: the cameras can come, they can set up, they have 479 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 1: a press thing. You know. Also, invitations have been going 480 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,199 Speaker 1: out to MAGA allies from across the country to mar 481 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,159 Speaker 1: A Lago to join him at the press conference. In 482 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 1: a Republican strow of show of strength. They're saying, we 483 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,119 Speaker 1: welcome and we are excited and welcome to host you 484 00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 1: here at Marlow. They're turning it into a major your 485 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: campaign event. And you know, given the amount of money 486 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,400 Speaker 1: that they are now making off this, why wouldn't they 487 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 1: At the same time, Crystal, people like Jim Banks, the 488 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:12,720 Speaker 1: prospective senator from Indiana, the congressman who's a MAGA person, 489 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,919 Speaker 1: endorsed Trump in the middle of the indiability Stephonic and 490 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 1: others know majorly coming to his defense. Lots of MAGA 491 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: ally Sarah Huckoby Sanders, who apparently refused to endorse Trump 492 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 1: initially coming out to his defense, not necessarily endorsing so 493 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:29,280 Speaker 1: you know, the coalescing around Trump all continues. And let's 494 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,200 Speaker 1: go to the next one here too, though, because the 495 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 1: legal jeopardy that Trump faces is not just in this 496 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 1: case as he kept alluding to, it continues in many 497 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 1: of the other cases. So right now the Justice Department 498 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 1: and the FBI have actually amassed new evidence. This is 499 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 1: according to the Washington Post, pointing to possible obstruction of 500 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,879 Speaker 1: justice by Trump in the Classified Documents investigation. They are 501 00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: increasingly suspect that Trump actually went through the boxes after 502 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: his subpoena. Similarly, there was a report this morning from 503 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: Brett bayer over at Fox News that several of a 504 00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: secret SRVIS agents who are on the detail for Trump 505 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: are going to be subpoenaed and are going to be 506 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:09,480 Speaker 1: brought before a grand jury or brought before investigators where 507 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: they will be asked specifically whether they witness Trump going 508 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,719 Speaker 1: through the documents with the handling of said documents and 509 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,439 Speaker 1: all that. That's before the Special Council Jacksmith and all 510 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:23,600 Speaker 1: of us leaves aside the other investigation into January sixth 511 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,399 Speaker 1: with Mike Pence is now being asked to testify before 512 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 1: and then, of course the Fulty Fulton County investigation where 513 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,199 Speaker 1: after we met the kookie for woman, it's been silence 514 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: over there. Yeah, I know what's going on, right They 515 00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 1: locked it down over there. Well they should have been 516 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,399 Speaker 1: after whatever the hell happened over there. So there you go. Yeah, 517 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 1: and I mean, yes, it is going to be quite 518 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: a ride here. I think this is the first of 519 00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,399 Speaker 1: a number of charges that Trump is likely to face, 520 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: but we'll have to see how that all unfolds. The 521 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 1: last thing that I want to say on this put 522 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: this last piece up on the screen, is that, you know, 523 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: let's keep in mind we don't know exactly what the 524 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 1: charges are going to be. We don't know how wide 525 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:03,160 Speaker 1: ranging they're going to be. As well. There's reporting Michael 526 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,840 Speaker 1: Cohen provided Manhattan prosecutors with documentation about a Trump hush 527 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 1: money payment to a second woman, expectations that would be 528 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: Karen McDougal, though we don't know for sure who claims 529 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:13,959 Speaker 1: to have had an affair with him. That's according to 530 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: Lanny Davis. That's what he told CNN. That is Michael 531 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:20,439 Speaker 1: Cohen's lawyer. That suggests that Alvin Bragg's case could be 532 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 1: broader than the storm Meet Daniels payment. So We'll have 533 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 1: to wait and see exactly what is contained in these charges. 534 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: How many are there? Thirty five five thirty five different counts, which, 535 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 1: as Soccer pointed out before, you know, each individual payment 536 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,960 Speaker 1: to Michael Cohen, because it didn't come in one lump sum, 537 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,919 Speaker 1: would be one count. But is there you know, are 538 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 1: there additional charges related to the Karen McDougall affair. Is 539 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,080 Speaker 1: there stuff in there that we don't even know about? 540 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,880 Speaker 1: That certainly possible as well. So we'll have to wait 541 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 1: and see. We'll be watching with a lot of interest 542 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,679 Speaker 1: to see the specifics of the charges and what the name. 543 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 1: Some insight into that. I actually spoke the former federal 544 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: prosecutor and one of the things that they said is 545 00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 1: that that is kind of a mob played book. It's 546 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: one of the ways that they will inflate the number 547 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: of charges against the suspect if they really really want 548 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: to go after them, is do the multiple count charges 549 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,119 Speaker 1: instead of the all encompassing charge. Its actually up to 550 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 1: a prosecutorial discretion in terms of how you do that. 551 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: They're like, look, clearly this you know they're trying to 552 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,560 Speaker 1: throw the book, and this is what throwing the book 553 00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: look trying to make a big show. Yeah. I mean, look, 554 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:20,400 Speaker 1: it's a fun number. They were a big show too. Yeah, 555 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:24,000 Speaker 1: everybody's like thirty. Everybody listen, life is a show. Wwe 556 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,239 Speaker 1: apparently just got bought. So you know, we could all 557 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:28,879 Speaker 1: learn a little bit from what happens in that, not 558 00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 1: to say that it isn't real. Of course, let's talk 559 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: about Asa Hutchinson, all right. Never before has Asa Hutchinson 560 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 1: been so teased as we have in this show for 561 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:46,080 Speaker 1: the big announcement. He is, former Arkansas governor is in 562 00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 1: fact running for president, seeking the Republican primary nomination. Let's 563 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 1: put this up on the screen. The New York Times 564 00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,679 Speaker 1: had an interview with him. They say, Asa Hutchinson announces 565 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: presidential bid. The former governor of Arkansas, prominent Trump critic 566 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:04,120 Speaker 1: within the Republican Party, has been testing the waters in Iowa. Now. 567 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,880 Speaker 1: To give you a sense of Asa Hutchinson, he's kind 568 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: of like politically, I would put him in like the 569 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: Mike Pence Lane, very socially conservative, certainly like led the 570 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,359 Speaker 1: charge after Sandy Hook in partnership with the NRA to 571 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:22,520 Speaker 1: make sure that absolutely no gun legislation passed, was involved 572 00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 1: in passing a complete abortion ban within his state when 573 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,280 Speaker 1: he served as governor. So this is a very like, 574 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 1: you know, certainly conservative right, hard right figure in terms 575 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 1: of his politics, but in terms of critiquing Trump, he's 576 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,440 Speaker 1: been one of the more vocal folks out there. And 577 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:45,400 Speaker 1: unlike an you know, Desantists or Nikki Haliy or whoever 578 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 1: take occasionally these little passive aggressive jobs at Trump, Asa 579 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,880 Speaker 1: Hutchinson is not afraid to make a full throated case 580 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 1: against Trump and some of the actions that he's taken. 581 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:59,400 Speaker 1: He's really the first kind of explicitly anti Trump figure 582 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 1: to enter the race here. Larry Hogan took a pass. 583 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:06,239 Speaker 1: Liz Cheney so far has not you know, stepped up 584 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 1: to jump in here. So he is the one who's 585 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 1: the most vocal in terms of his critique of Trump. 586 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: He says that he said, mister Trump and those who 587 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 1: supported his efforts to overturn the results of the twenty 588 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 1: twenty election should not have positions of power. He stood 589 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 1: against the RNC censure of former Representative Liz Cheney and 590 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 1: Adam Kinziger of Illinois for servings the only two Republicans 591 00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:31,240 Speaker 1: on the House committee investigating the January sixth attacks. He 592 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 1: called Trump's election denial a quote recipe for disaster for 593 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 1: the party, and he was one of the few Republicans 594 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: to issue a statement after Trump's reported indictment last week 595 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,760 Speaker 1: that did not dismiss the charges as political. So he 596 00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:50,120 Speaker 1: thinks there's a lane for someone to be hard right 597 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:54,280 Speaker 1: on the issues but explicitly anti Trump and sort of 598 00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 1: like you know, in the resistance vein in terms of 599 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 1: his Trump critique, and so he is stepping into that 600 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 1: race to filled out wide. You know, the thing is 601 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,600 Speaker 1: about Hutchinson's that, as you said, he is socially conservative 602 00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:06,400 Speaker 1: in some ways at the same time actually become a 603 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: villain on the right because he vetoed a bill banning 604 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,920 Speaker 1: so called Oh yeah, I forgot about that. He's actually 605 00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,720 Speaker 1: a little bit more of a libertarian. I would describe 606 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:18,719 Speaker 1: him as like a libertarian traditional three legged stool conservative, 607 00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: like a fiscally conservative, socially conservative in the old way 608 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: but not necessarily in the new way. And then also 609 00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 1: anti Trump, more of a Reagan esque. I mean, look, 610 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,880 Speaker 1: does his candidacy matter. Maybe, I mean it will be 611 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 1: a fun test of somebody, like it will be a 612 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 1: fun test of the ceiling on the Liz Cheney vote. 613 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:42,560 Speaker 1: Inside of the GOP. Second, you can guarantee, as you know, 614 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 1: he was on Meet the Press, and he was all 615 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 1: over the he was all over the Washington Press Corps 616 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:50,160 Speaker 1: with his announcement. But in terms of you know, in 617 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: terms of his reception amongst the GOP base and others like, 618 00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 1: there has just been very limited bounce from any of this. 619 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,680 Speaker 1: A you know, he's the former governor of Arkansas, be 620 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: Sarah Sanders is actually a vocal critic of him, and 621 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 1: many others are inside of Arkansas. So the extent to 622 00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 1: which he would have any real political constituency is basically 623 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 1: non existent. Now. I don't even know if they've done 624 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: any polls which include his name. I was. I don't 625 00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 1: see anyway in terms of the in terms of the 626 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: people who have name I D and who are anti Trump, 627 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 1: Pompeo usually rates at like three percent. Mike Pence is 628 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 1: always the highest. He's at seven, and he's a very 629 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: you know, it's a very consistent seven almost across every 630 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 1: GOP poll that we look, like, Nicky Haley is between 631 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,760 Speaker 1: one and two percent. Ramaswami does not even come to 632 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: one percent. And uh yeah, so aha, Hutchinson, We'll see 633 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 1: for those of you who are watching succession, he's like 634 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,640 Speaker 1: a Connor Roy type figure. I am not I have 635 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 1: no idea what that means, but I'm just looking at 636 00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: these polls. I'm looking at a real clear politics, and 637 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 1: you know, they've got their tracker of where everybody is 638 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: and taking all the different polls into account and averaging them. 639 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 1: He I don't somebody has certainly pulled his name, but 640 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 1: he's not listed among the polls that they have here. 641 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:06,120 Speaker 1: And to give you a sense of the potential support, 642 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,040 Speaker 1: Liz Cheney is at two percent in the average of 643 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:14,840 Speaker 1: polls here. So taking the explicit anti Trump lane, you know, 644 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 1: I mean politically is basically like everybody else in the 645 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: field more or less, but probably actually worse than Trump 646 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 1: on the politics because he probably supports cutting social care 647 00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: bat care that I don't know that for sure, he 648 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,840 Speaker 1: absolutely will, Okay, So anyway, he's That's why I put 649 00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 1: him kind of the Mike Pence lane in terms of 650 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 1: his actual political ideology. But I think the fact that 651 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 1: Liz Cheney is at two percent in these polls when 652 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 1: her whole brand at this point is basically being anti Trump, 653 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 1: shows you how much appetite there is for this type 654 00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 1: of politics in the Republican with the Republican primary electorate 655 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 1: at this point. So anyway, that's Asa Hutchinson, that's the 656 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 1: bet he's making, That's how he wants to have an 657 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,160 Speaker 1: impact on this race. And I guess we will see 658 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: what the voters have to say about that soccer, Yeah, 659 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 1: we will. At the same time, I can't help but 660 00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,959 Speaker 1: notice that Asa Hutchinson, who has zero chance of being 661 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 1: the Republican nominee, is pulling it nothing in currently in 662 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: the Republican primary, is getting lots of media attention. Meanwhile, 663 00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 1: the only declared Democrat in the race, because remember Joe 664 00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 1: Biden hasn't even declared that he's running for president, has 665 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,920 Speaker 1: been almost completely shut out. And Mary and Williamson, I 666 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:19,040 Speaker 1: gotta say, she's got a little bit of a bump 667 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 1: in the polls here. That's kind of noteworthy. And does 668 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,720 Speaker 1: I don't want to overstate things whatsoever, and I don't 669 00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 1: want to be naive about any of this, but does 670 00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 1: have some echoes into the early rise of Bernie Sanders 671 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,560 Speaker 1: back in twenty sixteen. Let's put this up on the 672 00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 1: screen from Newsweek. The headline here is Mary and Williamson 673 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,320 Speaker 1: making gains against Joe Biden. New poll suggests. So the 674 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 1: very first poll that had her name in it, she 675 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 1: was at four percent, and just a few weeks later 676 00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,719 Speaker 1: she's now made it into double digits. She's at ten percent. 677 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,480 Speaker 1: That's actually almost exactly the same trajectory of Bertie early 678 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:53,000 Speaker 1: in the race. His very first poll was four percent, 679 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: and then a few weeks later he hit ten percent, 680 00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,120 Speaker 1: and then he went up from there. Obviously, the dynamics 681 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,239 Speaker 1: are very different because you're talking about comment president. On 682 00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,160 Speaker 1: the other hand, it is effectively a head to head, 683 00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,520 Speaker 1: one on one. So you know, it's interesting that clearly, 684 00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:10,960 Speaker 1: even as she's been nearly completely shut out by the media, 685 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:14,640 Speaker 1: voters are hearing something from her that is making them 686 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,279 Speaker 1: interested in an alternative. And the other thing I'll say 687 00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,759 Speaker 1: Sager here is well, I certainly think it is a 688 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 1: longest of long shots to imagine that Marian could actually 689 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,200 Speaker 1: supplant Biden. I think she is being a bit underestimated. 690 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,160 Speaker 1: People forget that this was a woman who was, you know, 691 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,640 Speaker 1: a national figure, a best selling author in her own 692 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: right before she ever took up politics. So there are 693 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 1: a lot of I can't tell you how many people 694 00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:43,320 Speaker 1: I've talked to who's like mom and Grandma loves Mary 695 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 1: and Williamson. So she has that. And then you also 696 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,319 Speaker 1: just have Biden is making a lot of mistakes now 697 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 1: with regard to the progressive base. People are very upset 698 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:55,880 Speaker 1: with him on a number of issues, and you have 699 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 1: a majority of the Democratic base that is saying they 700 00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:02,200 Speaker 1: would like someone other than Joe Biden. So there is 701 00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:06,239 Speaker 1: clearly an organic interest in alternative candidate. So I think 702 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,319 Speaker 1: to just dismiss her out of hand or to shut 703 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,040 Speaker 1: her out of the media as they have is kind 704 00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,840 Speaker 1: of outrageous and it shows you that, you know, the 705 00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,720 Speaker 1: thing that they really look for is number one candidates 706 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 1: who are going to say the things that make them 707 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: comfortable and that also have the sort of like in 708 00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:25,799 Speaker 1: the club credentialing that the corporate press. You know that 709 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:28,799 Speaker 1: the corporate press esteems and takes seriously. Yeah, look, I 710 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,400 Speaker 1: mean ten percent, as you said, look it's a long shot, 711 00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:33,839 Speaker 1: it's always going to be difficult taking on and come 712 00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,239 Speaker 1: to president. That is still pretty high. I mean, if 713 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 1: you consider what an insurgent candidate would look like, that's 714 00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 1: higher than everybody, than DeSantis and the higher Yeah, that 715 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: is higher than everybody but Ron DeSantis in the Republican primary, 716 00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,160 Speaker 1: they get plenty of media coverage. It's higher than Andrew 717 00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: Yang ever got in any major Democratic poll, So it's 718 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:52,759 Speaker 1: not nothing. And at the very least, well, if they 719 00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: allow a debate to happen, that would qualify you for 720 00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:59,800 Speaker 1: the debate stage, which is I believe old what was 721 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:01,759 Speaker 1: the old metric? You have to be polling at least 722 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 1: two percent, something like the SAX amount per money. I 723 00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,800 Speaker 1: doubt she would have any problem with the money, So okay, 724 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: polling wise, I mean she at least she at least 725 00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 1: checks the box to what she was, much more so 726 00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:15,680 Speaker 1: than what she held in the twenty twenty primary. So anyway, 727 00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,439 Speaker 1: I think it's interesting. Probably anything else to say about it, Yeah, 728 00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 1: I think again the media piece of this, it really 729 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 1: irritates me because think of how much press Nikki Hiley 730 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,920 Speaker 1: has gotten with tons. Yeah, and she's at what three 731 00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: maybe four percent on a good day in the polls, 732 00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:34,360 Speaker 1: and it reminds me very much of last time around 733 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty in the Democratic primary, in which candidates 734 00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 1: they took seriously as real contenters and which ones they 735 00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:43,239 Speaker 1: completely tried to dismiss because Andrew Yang. Obviously at the 736 00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,359 Speaker 1: beginning they tried to completely bl blackout they'd like him, 737 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,680 Speaker 1: get his name wrong. They just like leave him out 738 00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:50,839 Speaker 1: of poles because they didn't want to talk about him. 739 00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,920 Speaker 1: When he was out polling some of their darling Bato 740 00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:56,960 Speaker 1: and Commlin whatever, he'd be pulling ahead of them, but 741 00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,040 Speaker 1: they just pretend like he didn't exist. And so so 742 00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:04,600 Speaker 1: it's partly they take credentials as gospel number one and 743 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:08,200 Speaker 1: number two like this particular type of DC credentials by 744 00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 1: the way, and number two they don't want a platform 745 00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:12,640 Speaker 1: anyone who's going to say anything that they find to 746 00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,719 Speaker 1: be uncomfortable. Everybody knows I'm friends with Marian. I'm not 747 00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:19,440 Speaker 1: a disinterested party here. And so I also have some 748 00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 1: insight into the fact MSNBC, which is supposed to be 749 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:27,400 Speaker 1: like the progressive lean left what I lean forward network. 750 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,240 Speaker 1: I don't think that she's gotten a maybe she's gotten 751 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:34,719 Speaker 1: one request wow from MSNBC, whereas Fox News is beaten 752 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:38,759 Speaker 1: down her door. So again it shows you who they 753 00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,400 Speaker 1: decide to elevate and who they decide to try to quash. 754 00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:44,879 Speaker 1: The one thing that I will say, which I think 755 00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,120 Speaker 1: is a real positive, is every year that goes by 756 00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,600 Speaker 1: the mainstream corporate media gets less and less powerful, and 757 00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,759 Speaker 1: they have less control over what people think and what 758 00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:56,359 Speaker 1: people see and what people hear and what ideas they're 759 00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,200 Speaker 1: open to. And so I think that's why you see 760 00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:02,319 Speaker 1: some bump here in the Marianneah, it's certainly very interesting. Oh, 761 00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,880 Speaker 1: let's go on to a very troubling piece of news 762 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: out of Russia. A prominent pro Russian military blogger, Vladen Tatarski, 763 00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,839 Speaker 1: whose real name was Maxim Fomen, has been killed by 764 00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 1: a blast in a cafe in Petersburg where he was 765 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,000 Speaker 1: giving a talk. We have a little bit of video 766 00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: from this incident, just a warning. It is obviously, you know, 767 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,200 Speaker 1: it's a scene from a war where basically there's a 768 00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:30,880 Speaker 1: massive explosion in the middle of Saint Petersburg's put this 769 00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:32,960 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. We'll play it for the 770 00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,320 Speaker 1: audience for those who are just watching. You can see 771 00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 1: how the cafe just gets completely blown out. And yeah, 772 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,319 Speaker 1: I mean he was killed by the explosion. We don't 773 00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 1: know quite a bit about the details, crystal, about any 774 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 1: collateral damage or although, but clearly it was a targeted 775 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 1: terrorist attack. Now in terms of the reports about who 776 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:58,359 Speaker 1: and how he received the bomb. It appears to be, 777 00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:00,799 Speaker 1: or at least the reports coming out out of Russia, 778 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,399 Speaker 1: and you know, I always take these with a grain 779 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,200 Speaker 1: of salt, is that a woman brought the bomb to 780 00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:09,240 Speaker 1: a meeting and hit it inside of a figurine, presenting 781 00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:13,000 Speaker 1: it to Tatarski as a gift before he was then 782 00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 1: blown up and killed by figurian of himself, by the way, Yeah, 783 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:18,840 Speaker 1: figurine of himself, which is you know, that's that's pretty savage, brutal. 784 00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:21,560 Speaker 1: So in terms of the details and others, I know 785 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,320 Speaker 1: that you've been speaking to our friend Igor, who is 786 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:25,600 Speaker 1: inside of Russia and who can analyze some of the 787 00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:27,759 Speaker 1: Russian media for us. What does he have to say? Yeah, 788 00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,319 Speaker 1: so shout out to Yegor Kotkin. You can follow him 789 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 1: on I think he's got a substack and certainly a Patreon, 790 00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:37,239 Speaker 1: so this analysis all comes direct from him. So in 791 00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,200 Speaker 1: terms of who this dude was, he was one of 792 00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,360 Speaker 1: these very prominent military bloggers. He had over half a 793 00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,359 Speaker 1: million subscribers. I guess they call him on telegram, and 794 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,520 Speaker 1: he was one of the more sort of like violent, 795 00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:53,719 Speaker 1: psychopathic of the military bloggers. Now, according to Yegor, there 796 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:57,239 Speaker 1: are people who are more ghoulish in his words, but 797 00:39:57,239 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: they're almost all anonymous. So he's the most prominent, like known, outspoken, 798 00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: very aggressive military blogger. He's one of these who he's 799 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:09,600 Speaker 1: not a direct Kremlin mouthpiece, so he has been critical 800 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:13,360 Speaker 1: from the right like he at times of the Kremlin, 801 00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:16,760 Speaker 1: like the once War, brutality in the war, more violence 802 00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:20,840 Speaker 1: in the war, et cetera. He's actually from the Donbas region, 803 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 1: and before the most recent revolution in Ukraine and the 804 00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:28,960 Speaker 1: start of this latest separatist war, he was actually in 805 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 1: prison for robbery in eastern Ukraine, so that's kind of 806 00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:37,600 Speaker 1: his backstory here. You know, listen, it is very likely 807 00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:40,800 Speaker 1: that this was done by Ukrainians in a very similar 808 00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,160 Speaker 1: manner as what we saw the you know, a previous 809 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:47,640 Speaker 1: outspoken pro war figure who was killed about a year ago, 810 00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:50,280 Speaker 1: and there really is no alternative explanation for the way 811 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,400 Speaker 1: that she was blown up. It's most likely that it 812 00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:55,319 Speaker 1: was the Ukrainians. You can't rule out that it was 813 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,360 Speaker 1: the FSB because this guy has been critical. Now, the 814 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,520 Speaker 1: reason that Jegor says he is more suspicious of the 815 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 1: Ukrainians is because it's not just you took this guy 816 00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 1: out it's you took him out in a cafe with 817 00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:11,479 Speaker 1: a lot of other pro war He was there giving 818 00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,520 Speaker 1: a talk to a lot of other you know, pro 819 00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:16,120 Speaker 1: war Russians who came to hear what he had to say. 820 00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:19,920 Speaker 1: So you're not only killing him, you're killing, maiming, injuring, 821 00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:24,400 Speaker 1: and potentially killing other bystanders who are pro war. And 822 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: you're doing it in a cafe in Saint Petersburg, which 823 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:29,680 Speaker 1: is the birthplace of Ladimir Putin. Yeah, so there's a 824 00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:32,919 Speaker 1: lot of symbolism here that suggests it's probably more likely 825 00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,120 Speaker 1: to be the Ukrainians than FSB. But again, you don't 826 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,120 Speaker 1: want to entirely rule it out. So that's kind of 827 00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,439 Speaker 1: the way that he is viewing this whole situation, which 828 00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:42,680 Speaker 1: in a lot of ways makes a lot of sense. 829 00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:44,440 Speaker 1: Of course, it makes sense, and we already know, you 830 00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:46,680 Speaker 1: know that the U. I mean, look, most of us 831 00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:48,960 Speaker 1: can already guess three months from now seeing and honestly 832 00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:51,319 Speaker 1: source New York Times article Wars as like, well, you know, 833 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,880 Speaker 1: it might have been elements of the Ukrainian state, but 834 00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,879 Speaker 1: Zelenski never knew about it, and US involvement was never there. 835 00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:58,799 Speaker 1: The CIA, of course, had nothing to do with it. 836 00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:00,799 Speaker 1: I don't know if any of that is I mean, 837 00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,200 Speaker 1: it is troubling whenever the stuff stuff is happening. I mean, 838 00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,920 Speaker 1: just imagine if somebody was killed in downtown like New 839 00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 1: York City or in downtown Washington, people would be outraged 840 00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:13,440 Speaker 1: and up in arms, and they would really want to 841 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:15,240 Speaker 1: know and get to the bottom of it. Now, of course, 842 00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:18,000 Speaker 1: look like they are waging a brutal war in Ukraine. 843 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,359 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that they don't deserve it. What I'm saying, though, 844 00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 1: is that all of this is just embroiling in a 845 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:27,000 Speaker 1: situation which we may not be able to control. That's 846 00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,560 Speaker 1: really what the dangerous part of it is. Going back 847 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:33,719 Speaker 1: to the assassination of Dugan's daughter on Russian soil, the 848 00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,760 Speaker 1: bombing of the Crimean Bridge and now here the bomb 849 00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:41,440 Speaker 1: blast in downtown Saint Petersburg in a cafe in a Sunday. 850 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,400 Speaker 1: You know, I love how Reuters phrased it too. The 851 00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:47,720 Speaker 1: second assassination on Russian soil of a figure closely closely 852 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,879 Speaker 1: associated with the war in Ukraine. As you also said, 853 00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:53,759 Speaker 1: I did some more reading. I mean, one of the 854 00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:57,040 Speaker 1: things is who would kill him inside of Russia? Like 855 00:42:57,280 --> 00:42:59,319 Speaker 1: you said, Sure, it could be the FSB, but the 856 00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:02,400 Speaker 1: FSB buy and large. You know, they're allowed in general 857 00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:04,840 Speaker 1: in Russian society. They seem to be okay with allowing 858 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:08,839 Speaker 1: criticism from the right, from the more pro the war wing, 859 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,000 Speaker 1: so they can be like, look, we're being responsible. See 860 00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:12,680 Speaker 1: like all these craziest wants to do this, we're not 861 00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,759 Speaker 1: actually doing that. From the left though, there are all 862 00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:20,719 Speaker 1: these horrific stories of anti war protesters and college students 863 00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:25,279 Speaker 1: getting sentenced to years in Russian for like retweeting criticism 864 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:27,799 Speaker 1: of the war. So you can see which way law 865 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 1: enforcement is. It's almost entirely geared towards the anti war movement, 866 00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:36,120 Speaker 1: not towards the pro movement. Initially, when the Dugan assassination happened, 867 00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 1: I've speculated, I was like, look, it's possible, you know, 868 00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,319 Speaker 1: like maybe they wanted to take him out. But you know, 869 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:42,520 Speaker 1: as all the intel and the reporting came forward, it 870 00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:45,680 Speaker 1: looked pretty clear that it was a Ukrainian attack, and 871 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,480 Speaker 1: you know, given the circumstances, I guess you can't rule 872 00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:51,680 Speaker 1: it out. At the same time, look, you know these movements, 873 00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,480 Speaker 1: these have internacing stupid conflicts all the time. You know, 874 00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:59,359 Speaker 1: these revolutionary type paramilitary organizations where they kill each other, 875 00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:02,400 Speaker 1: so you can't rule that out either. But troubling nonetheless, 876 00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,200 Speaker 1: because you can bet that the Russian government already, you know, 877 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:07,359 Speaker 1: they're already pointing the finger. At least some figures are 878 00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:11,080 Speaker 1: at Ukraine, and many of them and especially inside of 879 00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:12,960 Speaker 1: the Dunboss where the war is going on, they're all 880 00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:15,120 Speaker 1: like it was Ukraine's fault and this guy was already 881 00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:18,280 Speaker 1: from there, so they could have used as a retaliatory attack. Yeah, 882 00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:21,680 Speaker 1: the last detail here, even the cafe, like so much 883 00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:26,319 Speaker 1: of this seems to have been very intentionally chosen for 884 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:30,879 Speaker 1: its symbolism, which is what led Yegor to feel more 885 00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,000 Speaker 1: suspicious that it was the Ukrainians than any of the 886 00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:37,080 Speaker 1: potential other explanations. Another piece of the symbolism here is 887 00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:41,080 Speaker 1: this cafe apparently has ties to the leader of the 888 00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:46,000 Speaker 1: Wagner group, and so you know, if it was the 889 00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:49,400 Speaker 1: FSBU wanted to assassinate this guy, you'd more likely do 890 00:44:49,600 --> 00:44:53,839 Speaker 1: like poison. You know, there wouldn't be this blowback with 891 00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:57,840 Speaker 1: because this was obviously directed at him, but the audience 892 00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,799 Speaker 1: was a target in a way as well, So would 893 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:03,960 Speaker 1: you really be targeting your own civilians who are supportive 894 00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:07,319 Speaker 1: of your war effort. That can instill fear in the 895 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,359 Speaker 1: broader population of even you know, like going to any 896 00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,520 Speaker 1: of these talks and you know, doing sort of like 897 00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:17,080 Speaker 1: public support for the Russian war effort here. So those 898 00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:19,120 Speaker 1: are some of the pieces that make it not make 899 00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:22,520 Speaker 1: so much sense from the FSB potential perspective. But again, 900 00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:25,520 Speaker 1: you just really never can be one hundred percent sure. Yeah, 901 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:32,160 Speaker 1: exactly right. We've got some updates here for you with 902 00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:37,000 Speaker 1: regard to Dominion's lawsuit against Fox News, and I got 903 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:39,000 Speaker 1: to tell you right now, it sure looks like they 904 00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:43,840 Speaker 1: got the upper hand. Significant ruling from a Delaware judge 905 00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:47,399 Speaker 1: that came out on Friday, and long story short, this 906 00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:50,440 Speaker 1: thing is set to go to trial, and some of 907 00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:54,560 Speaker 1: the pieces of Fox's potential defense have also been ruled out. 908 00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:58,560 Speaker 1: The judge basically saying, it is not disputable that what 909 00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:01,640 Speaker 1: you were putting on air was You can't argue that 910 00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,880 Speaker 1: it wasn't. It was clearly wrong. It was clearly a 911 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,359 Speaker 1: misstatement of fact. So that piece of your defense you're 912 00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:11,560 Speaker 1: not going to be able to go with that leaves 913 00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:13,279 Speaker 1: and let's goad and put this report up on the 914 00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:17,759 Speaker 1: screen that the ap headline is Judge Dominion defamation case 915 00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:21,960 Speaker 1: against Fox will go to trial and reminder Dominions suing 916 00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:26,000 Speaker 1: Fox for one point six billion dollars. This judge ruled 917 00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:28,840 Speaker 1: that it was quote crystal clear that none of the 918 00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:31,120 Speaker 1: allegations made by Trump allies and Fox in the weeks 919 00:46:31,120 --> 00:46:35,200 Speaker 1: after the election were true. So now what Fox is 920 00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:37,800 Speaker 1: going to have to argue in front of a jury 921 00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:41,960 Speaker 1: is that they did not show actual malice. That's the 922 00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:46,239 Speaker 1: legal standard that is required for Dominion to prove in 923 00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:49,600 Speaker 1: order to actually win this case. And the definition of 924 00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,680 Speaker 1: actual malice is that they had to have known it 925 00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:57,320 Speaker 1: was false or acted with a reckless disregard for whether 926 00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:00,560 Speaker 1: or not it was true. And of course, SAG we 927 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:04,320 Speaker 1: have seen some of those internal messages already that certainly 928 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,880 Speaker 1: seemed to indicate that at least some people at Fox 929 00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:09,200 Speaker 1: knew that what was being put on the air at 930 00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:12,160 Speaker 1: times was total bullshit, and yet they went along with 931 00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:16,600 Speaker 1: it anyway. So actual malice a very difficult standard to prove, though, 932 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:18,440 Speaker 1: because in some ways you have to get into someone's 933 00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:23,000 Speaker 1: like inner thoughts and mentality in order to show definitively 934 00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:26,040 Speaker 1: that they knew this was false and they did it anyways, 935 00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,200 Speaker 1: so that is a task that is ahead of them. Yes, 936 00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:31,240 Speaker 1: that's right. On its face, it seems like a difficult one. 937 00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:34,839 Speaker 1: But also, guys, this is a Delaware jury. So look, 938 00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:37,880 Speaker 1: from what I heard I asked around people inside a 939 00:47:37,880 --> 00:47:40,960 Speaker 1: fox are deeply unhappy with this ruling. They had been 940 00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:43,799 Speaker 1: holding out on a settlement specifically to see if they 941 00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,120 Speaker 1: would be able to get not only if they were 942 00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:47,400 Speaker 1: going to go to trial, but if they could go 943 00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:49,720 Speaker 1: to trial in the way that they wanted, because now 944 00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:52,000 Speaker 1: they are not talking about the facts of the case, 945 00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:54,759 Speaker 1: they are only talking about actual malice, and with the 946 00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,680 Speaker 1: actual malice standard, the fact that they have text messages 947 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,640 Speaker 1: that showed consternation within also the overall branding of that 948 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,120 Speaker 1: they are either going to have to settle for a 949 00:48:04,520 --> 00:48:08,880 Speaker 1: massive number. Dominion feels very confident going into this legally 950 00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:11,480 Speaker 1: that they will prevail, and so they are either going 951 00:48:11,560 --> 00:48:14,040 Speaker 1: to have to pay very close to what the initial 952 00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 1: lawsuit is, or they're going to have to take it 953 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,120 Speaker 1: all the way to the jury and basically roll the 954 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,319 Speaker 1: dice where if they're going to pay a billion or whatever, 955 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:23,160 Speaker 1: then they might as well drag it through court and 956 00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:26,279 Speaker 1: make it as long as possible. But yeah, overall, you 957 00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 1: can make no mistake like the Murdochs and Fox News 958 00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:33,720 Speaker 1: and all of them are very very upset about this ruling. 959 00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,319 Speaker 1: Don't forget. I mean that is almost equivalent to an 960 00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:39,640 Speaker 1: entire year of profit within the network. About a billion 961 00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:43,640 Speaker 1: is what they make in profit overall. Ear flap on 962 00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:46,160 Speaker 1: the rest, it's not nothing, yeah, exactly, So you know, 963 00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:50,360 Speaker 1: from they're already facing financial problems because of just diminishing advertising, 964 00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:54,040 Speaker 1: not specific to Fox, the entire cable network. On top 965 00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:57,080 Speaker 1: of their overall business is literally on the backs of 966 00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:59,680 Speaker 1: geriatrics who are dying, you know, no offense to them, 967 00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:02,520 Speaker 1: but just natural aerial table. And so the long term 968 00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:05,200 Speaker 1: prospects of their network's not great. Fox Nation is already 969 00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:07,640 Speaker 1: also not going great. They have a high burn rate 970 00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,000 Speaker 1: in terms of cash with acquisitions, and then on top 971 00:49:10,040 --> 00:49:12,080 Speaker 1: of that they might have to pay now over a 972 00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:15,759 Speaker 1: billion dollars. So not good times for the Murdoch family 973 00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 1: right now. They are paying a billion. I think at 974 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,200 Speaker 1: this point, no matter what, it's only a question of 975 00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:23,240 Speaker 1: what the margins are. I think that is probably correct. 976 00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:24,799 Speaker 1: And they've also kind of placed a bit of a 977 00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,040 Speaker 1: bet on rhnd De Santis in the Republican primary. I 978 00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:31,439 Speaker 1: don't think that BET is really working out thus far. Now, 979 00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:33,680 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean they want to switch horses here the 980 00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:36,000 Speaker 1: moment that they feel that they have to. I do 981 00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:38,200 Speaker 1: want to say, you know, read the Fox statement here, 982 00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,759 Speaker 1: just for the lawyer's sake. In a statement, they told 983 00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:44,400 Speaker 1: the AP that Fox will continue to fiercely advocate for 984 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,040 Speaker 1: the rights of free speech and a free press as 985 00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:48,480 Speaker 1: we move into the next phase of these proceedings. So 986 00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:51,800 Speaker 1: they're framing this as a First Amendment free speech issue, 987 00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:55,799 Speaker 1: which in a sense it certainly is. But yeah, I 988 00:49:55,840 --> 00:49:58,840 Speaker 1: think they have the fact that you have such explicit 989 00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:02,920 Speaker 1: statements from so many of these Fox hosts and producers 990 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:06,200 Speaker 1: makes things difficult. There were also some other details that 991 00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:10,600 Speaker 1: were in this report that underscores again the difficult landscape 992 00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:15,719 Speaker 1: they face. In particular, Dominion went at length through you know, 993 00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 1: they fact checked all of the claims that were being 994 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,600 Speaker 1: made on Fox, and they sent emails to basically everyone 995 00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,560 Speaker 1: within the organization, some like thirteen hundred emails that they 996 00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:27,560 Speaker 1: sent out, so literally thousands within the Fox organization of 997 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,920 Speaker 1: here's where you're wrong and here's what the actual facts are. 998 00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,040 Speaker 1: So pretend to pretend like oh, we had no idea. 999 00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:38,799 Speaker 1: That makes it difficult. And then within Fox News itself 1000 00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:43,759 Speaker 1: they have a fact checking operation internally called the brain Room, 1001 00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:47,120 Speaker 1: I think, and they had done their own fact checking 1002 00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:51,480 Speaker 1: of some of the election fraud claims and basically debunked it. 1003 00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:54,600 Speaker 1: All that also would have gone out and been available 1004 00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:58,960 Speaker 1: to all of the shows. So to claim that oh, 1005 00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,400 Speaker 1: we really belie leave this, or we really had no 1006 00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,520 Speaker 1: idea and this was just like an innocent mistake, I 1007 00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:07,280 Speaker 1: think is going to be difficult to convince a jury 1008 00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:08,799 Speaker 1: of that at this point. Oh, it's going to be 1009 00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:11,120 Speaker 1: a big cering be difficult to convince me at this 1010 00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,319 Speaker 1: point that that was the case. Yeah, of course, it'd 1011 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,560 Speaker 1: be difficult for I think for anybody. And like I said, 1012 00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:18,840 Speaker 1: taking then the account of a Delaware jury, so you 1013 00:51:18,920 --> 00:51:22,600 Speaker 1: already have a disproportionately liberal audio, a liberal jury pool 1014 00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:25,600 Speaker 1: which is hate Fox News. So you put all that 1015 00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:28,080 Speaker 1: together and I would be very scared if they were 1016 00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:31,040 Speaker 1: Lord this is it's not existential, but business wise, I mean, 1017 00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:35,040 Speaker 1: this is a big, big problem, and very legally, they 1018 00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:36,919 Speaker 1: also are going to have to drag their asses through 1019 00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:38,440 Speaker 1: court and they are going to try and fight this, 1020 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:40,239 Speaker 1: you know, to the end, because even if they do lose, 1021 00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,120 Speaker 1: you can appeal it, and there's caps on the amount 1022 00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:44,759 Speaker 1: of payment, damages, et cetera, that all of it can 1023 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:46,279 Speaker 1: come to is So it's not like Dominion is going 1024 00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,600 Speaker 1: to be getting paid. But this is a big drain 1025 00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:51,680 Speaker 1: reputationally and financially at the end of the day. The 1026 00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,239 Speaker 1: Murdocks never really cared about the reputation of Fox, you know, 1027 00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:56,840 Speaker 1: as a journalistic organization, or they cared about the money. 1028 00:51:57,040 --> 00:51:59,480 Speaker 1: This was always a money project and it's been tremendously 1029 00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:02,040 Speaker 1: successful over the years. That doesn't mean though that they're 1030 00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,600 Speaker 1: not stupid and they can't see the future. And this 1031 00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,040 Speaker 1: very much is going to just at the very least 1032 00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:11,040 Speaker 1: limit the amount of cash available for operating expenses, hurting 1033 00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:13,399 Speaker 1: their profit. Yeah, and all that that you know, they 1034 00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:16,319 Speaker 1: own not just Fox, they all News Corp, all of 1035 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,680 Speaker 1: these different places which they remain responsible for. I mean, 1036 00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:22,680 Speaker 1: mine it is a money making venture at bottom. But 1037 00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:26,160 Speaker 1: I think actually, sort of uniquely to the cable news network, 1038 00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:30,359 Speaker 1: it was explicitly set up as an ideological project as well, 1039 00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:33,120 Speaker 1: and that comes through in some of the messages here too, 1040 00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,920 Speaker 1: Like I think it was Murdoch who messaged like, all right, well, 1041 00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:38,879 Speaker 1: let's just try to put the election stuff high. Let's 1042 00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:41,160 Speaker 1: focus really hard on Georgia and do everything we can 1043 00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,400 Speaker 1: to help Republicans there on paraphrasing, and this weren't the 1044 00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,120 Speaker 1: exact words, but it was like very explicit, like, we 1045 00:52:46,160 --> 00:52:48,480 Speaker 1: want Republicans to win in Georgia and we're going to 1046 00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:51,399 Speaker 1: do everything we can. Now, listen, do the other two 1047 00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:54,719 Speaker 1: cable news networks also push hard for Democrats? Yes? I 1048 00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:56,640 Speaker 1: don't even know that it makes a difference to make 1049 00:52:56,680 --> 00:53:00,400 Speaker 1: this distinction at this point, those two really did just follow, 1050 00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,080 Speaker 1: like the money sort of led them into the liberal 1051 00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,399 Speaker 1: positioning that they're in now. With Fox, it was set 1052 00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:10,719 Speaker 1: up originally as an explicitly ideological project. I do think 1053 00:53:10,760 --> 00:53:14,200 Speaker 1: that that relates to another thing that comes through in 1054 00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,120 Speaker 1: the messages here, which is they were really quite terrified 1055 00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:21,440 Speaker 1: of the rise of Newsmax, in particular during the election fraud, 1056 00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:25,160 Speaker 1: Stop the steal Peak, news Max was getting hundreds of 1057 00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:28,800 Speaker 1: thousands of viewers and Fox was falling off a cliff. 1058 00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:33,600 Speaker 1: And you know, these things can turn really quickly. Even 1059 00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:35,360 Speaker 1: with all of the years and the money and the 1060 00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:39,080 Speaker 1: investment and the brand name and everything that Fox has 1061 00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:42,640 Speaker 1: going for them. They really perceived Newsmax as a sort 1062 00:53:42,680 --> 00:53:46,200 Speaker 1: of existential threat, and so that caused them, even as 1063 00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:50,799 Speaker 1: there was some desire in the beginning to rebut Trump's claims, 1064 00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:54,280 Speaker 1: that really caused them to make a U turn, it appears, 1065 00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,560 Speaker 1: and go in the other direction because they were so 1066 00:53:56,760 --> 00:54:00,840 Speaker 1: fearful of the audience, which they no longer had control over, 1067 00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:03,360 Speaker 1: which I also think is just revealing in terms of 1068 00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:07,120 Speaker 1: the cable news landscape. There was this idea in the 1069 00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:10,040 Speaker 1: Republican primary, Fox's pick DeSantis, that's going to be great 1070 00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:11,799 Speaker 1: for him. They're going to be able to promote him 1071 00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,719 Speaker 1: and push him over the finish line. But they don't 1072 00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:16,640 Speaker 1: have that. If they ever had that kind of control 1073 00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:18,800 Speaker 1: over the Republican base, they definitely do not have that 1074 00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:21,480 Speaker 1: kind of control anymore. Oh absolutely. I recommend people go 1075 00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:23,680 Speaker 1: and read called The Loudest Voice in the Room. It's 1076 00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:25,840 Speaker 1: a biography of Roger Rail's but it's about the history 1077 00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:27,680 Speaker 1: and the founding of Fox News. I always found it 1078 00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:29,920 Speaker 1: very interesting just to see exactly, as you said, the 1079 00:54:29,920 --> 00:54:32,359 Speaker 1: power that they once had not that long ago, we're 1080 00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:34,759 Speaker 1: talking about ten years ago. In twenty two, they were 1081 00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:38,160 Speaker 1: king makers. Yeah, for the Tea Party for the twenty 1082 00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:41,200 Speaker 1: twelve the whole decision behind the scenes about Rommy. They 1083 00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:43,560 Speaker 1: even had a meeting. Murdoch at one point was flirting 1084 00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:46,239 Speaker 1: with Obama because his wife at the time liked Obama, 1085 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:48,400 Speaker 1: and so they were like, well, maybe little broker pieced. 1086 00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:50,879 Speaker 1: Obama took this meeting, you know, very seriously. He saw 1087 00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:54,560 Speaker 1: Fox's number one enemy. It's just it's not like that anymore. Yeah. 1088 00:54:54,719 --> 00:54:57,160 Speaker 1: With the Internet, all of that has changed for the 1089 00:54:57,200 --> 00:55:00,320 Speaker 1: better because at least people like us can exist. Yeah, okay, indeed, 1090 00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:02,600 Speaker 1: all right, we got some elon moves. We got to 1091 00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:07,759 Speaker 1: report here. Okay, So, as we covered previously, as of 1092 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:10,839 Speaker 1: April first, everyone was basically all the legacy blue check 1093 00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:14,879 Speaker 1: marks were allegedly going to lose their checks That did 1094 00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:18,319 Speaker 1: not happen. However, one very prominent organization did lose their 1095 00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:20,200 Speaker 1: check mark on that day. That would be The New 1096 00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:22,719 Speaker 1: York Times. Put this up on the screen. The New 1097 00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:26,640 Speaker 1: York Times and a number of other outlets and celebrities 1098 00:55:26,920 --> 00:55:29,680 Speaker 1: came out and explicitly said, we are not going to 1099 00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,200 Speaker 1: pay for Twitter verification. We're not going to pay for 1100 00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:34,440 Speaker 1: it for our organization. We're not going to pay for 1101 00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:37,960 Speaker 1: it for our journalists. We're just going to go without. 1102 00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:41,719 Speaker 1: We are dead set against going for the pay to 1103 00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:46,600 Speaker 1: play Twitter check mark situation. So Elon sees this, he 1104 00:55:46,719 --> 00:55:49,399 Speaker 1: replies to someone on Twitter and says, oh, okay, we'll 1105 00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:51,880 Speaker 1: take it off then, and then he goes on to 1106 00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,440 Speaker 1: say the New York Times being incredibly hypocritical here, as 1107 00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:58,560 Speaker 1: they are super aggressive about forcing everyone to pay their subscription. 1108 00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:00,799 Speaker 1: I'm not sure that those analogies really a hold up, 1109 00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:03,920 Speaker 1: but anyway, that is that's his take. So as far 1110 00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:08,399 Speaker 1: as I know, everyone else has maintained so far their 1111 00:56:08,560 --> 00:56:11,720 Speaker 1: legacy blue check mark. But New York Times now looks 1112 00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:14,640 Speaker 1: like this. Put this up on the screen. They are 1113 00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:19,320 Speaker 1: checkmark lists for their main account anyway, mark of shame. 1114 00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:22,160 Speaker 1: A bunch of their journalists and even some of their 1115 00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:24,040 Speaker 1: other like I don't know, New York Times Business or 1116 00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:27,760 Speaker 1: whatever Twitter accounts still have their check marks, but it's 1117 00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:30,000 Speaker 1: it is. I can't help but be amused by the 1118 00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:33,880 Speaker 1: fact that the paper of Record is the one account 1119 00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:36,680 Speaker 1: that had their check mark stripped. Oh you can't help, 1120 00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:39,880 Speaker 1: but you can't help, but just absolutely love the entire thing. 1121 00:56:39,920 --> 00:56:42,360 Speaker 1: But washing your post. Put out a statement this morning, Crystal, 1122 00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:44,920 Speaker 1: I'll have you know, saying that their journalists will not 1123 00:56:44,960 --> 00:56:47,279 Speaker 1: be paying also for check marks. Here's the thing on 1124 00:56:47,360 --> 00:56:49,359 Speaker 1: the merits, I actually think they're up. I don't think 1125 00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:53,359 Speaker 1: for a freaking check organization should pay for the check 1126 00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,640 Speaker 1: mark just because Actually, one of the things that the 1127 00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:57,600 Speaker 1: Washington Post said in his statement is, by the way, 1128 00:56:57,640 --> 00:56:59,800 Speaker 1: being on Twitter is not part of your job requirement. 1129 00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:01,960 Speaker 1: The only time we pay for something is whenever it's 1130 00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:05,120 Speaker 1: let you do it for yourself. So if journals want 1131 00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:07,080 Speaker 1: to pay for it themselves, go for it. You and 1132 00:57:07,120 --> 00:57:08,960 Speaker 1: I have basically made a decision. We're like, yeah, we 1133 00:57:09,000 --> 00:57:11,040 Speaker 1: don't really need it. We're not Twitter first people. The 1134 00:57:11,040 --> 00:57:13,800 Speaker 1: majority of our audience is here on YouTube, We're on Spotify, 1135 00:57:14,120 --> 00:57:17,400 Speaker 1: on Apple podcasts, you know, Instagram as well. We don't 1136 00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:18,960 Speaker 1: pay for any of that, so 're like, to the 1137 00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,240 Speaker 1: extent that we use Twitter, it's either elite signaling or 1138 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:24,640 Speaker 1: to like make an annastment. I mean, I am adamantly 1139 00:57:24,680 --> 00:57:26,560 Speaker 1: opposed to paying for the check mark as like a 1140 00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:29,360 Speaker 1: matter of principle, because it does feel like and this 1141 00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:31,440 Speaker 1: is why a lot of people are reacting to it. 1142 00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:34,640 Speaker 1: I mean, it feels like a hostage taking kind of situation, 1143 00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:38,640 Speaker 1: and it's also like, okay, you're just paying to have 1144 00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:42,640 Speaker 1: your tweets boosted, like signal boosted. It's not like it's 1145 00:57:42,720 --> 00:57:45,800 Speaker 1: a real verification. You can still have all kinds of 1146 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:49,840 Speaker 1: impostors whatever. So I'm not going to embarrass myself by 1147 00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:52,440 Speaker 1: paying to get my tweets in front of more people, right, 1148 00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:55,640 Speaker 1: Definitely not going to do it. But yeah, the dynamic 1149 00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:57,960 Speaker 1: of everybody maintaining their check marks except for The New 1150 00:57:58,040 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 1: York Times is amusing to me. Oh yeah, I must admit, 1151 00:58:00,760 --> 00:58:03,680 Speaker 1: yeah exactly. So anyway, I think it is amusing, you know, 1152 00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:06,160 Speaker 1: from a perspective of just like yeah, we're just gonna 1153 00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:08,400 Speaker 1: yank it for you. And I find it also funny 1154 00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:10,600 Speaker 1: just from the emotional connection that so many people have 1155 00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:13,640 Speaker 1: to their blue checks, like, look, take ours. I'm like, 1156 00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:15,520 Speaker 1: I don't care, man if it goes away tomorrow, they 1157 00:58:15,560 --> 00:58:17,520 Speaker 1: said April first, I was ready. I was like, okay, 1158 00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:20,160 Speaker 1: you know, and then it went away. It's still there. 1159 00:58:20,240 --> 00:58:23,600 Speaker 1: I was like, okay, it makes no impact or whatever 1160 00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:27,560 Speaker 1: on my life. I do know, though, the level of 1161 00:58:27,880 --> 00:58:32,440 Speaker 1: connection that so many elites, specifically bloggers, people who kind 1162 00:58:32,440 --> 00:58:35,880 Speaker 1: of made their bones on Twitter, developed the vast majority 1163 00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:38,040 Speaker 1: of their A lot of substackers are like this. Actually, 1164 00:58:38,080 --> 00:58:40,720 Speaker 1: not like Glenn and Tybe because they're genuinely talented, but 1165 00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,600 Speaker 1: a lot of people who built like big resistance followings 1166 00:58:43,600 --> 00:58:46,040 Speaker 1: and all that, they all got that through Twitter, and 1167 00:58:46,160 --> 00:58:48,240 Speaker 1: a lot of them are opposed Elon, so they don't 1168 00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:50,440 Speaker 1: want to pay either. At the same time, that's how 1169 00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,080 Speaker 1: they make all of their money, so I think many 1170 00:58:53,120 --> 00:58:56,280 Speaker 1: of them will cave. The only blue feature ahead did 1171 00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:58,640 Speaker 1: I see that he was gonna make it so that 1172 00:58:58,760 --> 00:59:01,280 Speaker 1: you could pay for the check but that nobody would 1173 00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:04,680 Speaker 1: know about it? Well, there's no way because if you 1174 00:59:04,680 --> 00:59:06,640 Speaker 1: click on the check mark, it'll say this person is 1175 00:59:06,680 --> 00:59:08,600 Speaker 1: subscribed to Twitter Blue. I think I saw though, that 1176 00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:12,240 Speaker 1: he was gonna make who knows if this is true whatever, 1177 00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:14,120 Speaker 1: but I think I saw that he was going to 1178 00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:16,439 Speaker 1: make it so you could like secretly have the check 1179 00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:19,480 Speaker 1: mark and get all the algorithmic boosting and ability to 1180 00:59:19,480 --> 00:59:21,400 Speaker 1: do the Twitter polls and whatever else. You can be 1181 00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:25,720 Speaker 1: poit but not the publicly shamed for paying for this nut. 1182 00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:28,360 Speaker 1: Right now, the only blue feature which seems interesting to 1183 00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:30,720 Speaker 1: me is long form tweet is the ability to break 1184 00:59:30,760 --> 00:59:32,680 Speaker 1: the character limit. But at the same time, once what 1185 00:59:32,720 --> 00:59:34,840 Speaker 1: am I published a lot I'm not a writer anymore. 1186 00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:37,680 Speaker 1: The laws really whenever some of them are the freaking 1187 00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:40,720 Speaker 1: read more. It makes me irrationally angry. I'll tell you 1188 00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:42,320 Speaker 1: why I like them as some of them. During the 1189 00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:46,120 Speaker 1: SBB crisis, some financial analysts wrote like a genuinely very 1190 00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:48,400 Speaker 1: helpful blog post. In one tweet, I was like, oh, 1191 00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:50,320 Speaker 1: this is great. Actually, somebody sent me this. I said, 1192 00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:51,760 Speaker 1: this is great. This is one of the only times 1193 00:59:51,880 --> 00:59:53,200 Speaker 1: that I've seen one. And I've seen a few other 1194 00:59:53,200 --> 00:59:57,680 Speaker 1: explainers a sad or something. You know, Yeah, well it 1195 00:59:57,720 --> 01:00:01,040 Speaker 1: saves me a click. Okay, that's not a fan. That 1196 01:00:01,120 --> 01:00:02,720 Speaker 1: is the only one I've seen yet. That's the only 1197 01:00:02,720 --> 01:00:07,080 Speaker 1: blue feature currently. Think about Trump's freaking long ass truth socials. 1198 01:00:07,240 --> 01:00:09,640 Speaker 1: That is not an improvement I'm for. I'm not actually 1199 01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:13,479 Speaker 1: for brevity generally. What's the famous quote about writing where 1200 01:00:13,720 --> 01:00:17,200 Speaker 1: the I think it was either Voltaire or Rousseau, and 1201 01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:20,040 Speaker 1: he said, forgive the length of my letter. I did 1202 01:00:20,040 --> 01:00:22,520 Speaker 1: not have time to write you a short one, because 1203 01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:24,600 Speaker 1: it's you know, it shows you that when you write 1204 01:00:24,600 --> 01:00:26,320 Speaker 1: a short letter or some of you have to think 1205 01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:29,280 Speaker 1: about editing your words. You have to think carefully about 1206 01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:31,680 Speaker 1: choosing you to try and convey a big message in 1207 01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:33,640 Speaker 1: as few words as possible. We kind of do that 1208 01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:35,880 Speaker 1: all the time in our monologue, so I guess someone 1209 01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:38,400 Speaker 1: get it. But yeah, there's something about the magic of Twitter, 1210 01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:40,560 Speaker 1: about the short and the pithy thought that you can 1211 01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:43,360 Speaker 1: punch up of trying to express a complex idea in 1212 01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:45,520 Speaker 1: what is a two hundred and eighty character. Yeah, at 1213 01:00:45,560 --> 01:00:47,480 Speaker 1: the same time, I don't think in many cases you 1214 01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:49,720 Speaker 1: can't express a complex idea to two hundred eighty careacters. 1215 01:00:49,760 --> 01:00:52,320 Speaker 1: You know, to go back to the news outlets here, 1216 01:00:53,240 --> 01:00:57,600 Speaker 1: you know, to the extent that Twitter becomes less important 1217 01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:00,520 Speaker 1: for their journalists or their journalists or less vision on 1218 01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:03,880 Speaker 1: Twitter in terms of the management of these newsrooms, they'll 1219 01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:07,120 Speaker 1: be very happy, yes, because they've been very They've been 1220 01:01:07,160 --> 01:01:12,520 Speaker 1: frequently embarrassed and annoyed with the takes that their reporters 1221 01:01:12,520 --> 01:01:14,840 Speaker 1: are having and how much time they're spending and like 1222 01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,959 Speaker 1: rotting their brains on Twitter. So I'm not even sure 1223 01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:21,560 Speaker 1: that it's like it's certainly for newsroom management, they'll actually 1224 01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:24,160 Speaker 1: be happy to see it was a no brainer for 1225 01:01:24,240 --> 01:01:25,640 Speaker 1: them to be like, no, we're not paying for you 1226 01:01:25,720 --> 01:01:27,520 Speaker 1: to like go on this service where all you do 1227 01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:30,800 Speaker 1: is make our lives more difficult in terms of the 1228 01:01:30,880 --> 01:01:34,880 Speaker 1: actual news gathering news distribution process. So there's that aspect 1229 01:01:34,880 --> 01:01:37,120 Speaker 1: of absolutely, yeah, there's no way, so maybe he's doing 1230 01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:40,160 Speaker 1: them a favor. Also, we got to talk about the algorithm. 1231 01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:45,440 Speaker 1: So Elon open sourced the Twitter algorithm with some interesting results. 1232 01:01:45,560 --> 01:01:48,040 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put this up there on the screen. 1233 01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:52,200 Speaker 1: What it shows is that actually there were some categories 1234 01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:56,440 Speaker 1: of people who were getting boosted. Now, amongst those is 1235 01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,200 Speaker 1: author is a power user. We don't know what the 1236 01:01:59,240 --> 01:02:02,760 Speaker 1: definition of that. Author is a Democrat, so a Democratic 1237 01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:07,520 Speaker 1: candidate to help boost politics. Author is a Republican. Okay, okay, 1238 01:02:07,520 --> 01:02:10,480 Speaker 1: so power user, Democrat, Republican. All of those seemed reasonable. 1239 01:02:10,640 --> 01:02:16,240 Speaker 1: There's a fourth category, it says author is Elon. The 1240 01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:21,439 Speaker 1: funny part, though, is Elon actually replied to it and said, well, 1241 01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:24,160 Speaker 1: I had no idea that I was in there. I 1242 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:29,440 Speaker 1: will be looking into it, oh and possibly at it. Okay. Well, 1243 01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:32,200 Speaker 1: given the fact, Crystal that he has fired people before 1244 01:02:32,280 --> 01:02:34,360 Speaker 1: for telling him that his tweets weren't getting as much engagement, 1245 01:02:34,520 --> 01:02:37,280 Speaker 1: maybe they wrote it into the code without his knowledge 1246 01:02:37,640 --> 01:02:40,720 Speaker 1: just to say look what you're doing. So well, but regardless, 1247 01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:43,760 Speaker 1: it is genuinely hilarious that the open source code shows 1248 01:02:43,800 --> 01:02:47,720 Speaker 1: you that Elon's tweets are artificially being boosted outside of 1249 01:02:47,960 --> 01:02:50,360 Speaker 1: It's like he's not even just categorized as a power user, 1250 01:02:50,360 --> 01:02:52,680 Speaker 1: which is how you should do it. He's just author 1251 01:02:52,800 --> 01:02:55,480 Speaker 1: is Elon. It was like a special category in the code. 1252 01:02:55,840 --> 01:02:58,000 Speaker 1: So I did a little like, obviously, I'm not a 1253 01:02:58,040 --> 01:03:01,360 Speaker 1: code or so reading these foreign language to me. I 1254 01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:05,080 Speaker 1: did read some coders who were analyzing this so and 1255 01:03:05,160 --> 01:03:07,840 Speaker 1: I don't know they're legitimacy or whether they're good coders 1256 01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:09,520 Speaker 1: and understand this fully or not. But the thing that 1257 01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:12,640 Speaker 1: I read is that it's not this particular part of 1258 01:03:12,680 --> 01:03:17,560 Speaker 1: the code is not actually directly boosting Elon's tweets or 1259 01:03:17,600 --> 01:03:22,840 Speaker 1: Democrat tweets or Republican tweets. It enables them to do 1260 01:03:23,040 --> 01:03:26,840 Speaker 1: an ab test of new features so they can easily 1261 01:03:26,920 --> 01:03:30,200 Speaker 1: see at a glance whether the new feature is good 1262 01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:33,680 Speaker 1: or bad for Elon Musk personally. This is according to 1263 01:03:33,840 --> 01:03:37,080 Speaker 1: Colin Fraser on Twitter, who seemed to know what he 1264 01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:40,360 Speaker 1: was talking about. So, I mean, bottom line is basically 1265 01:03:40,440 --> 01:03:43,600 Speaker 1: the impact is the same. They're making sure that whatever 1266 01:03:43,680 --> 01:03:46,160 Speaker 1: do changes they roll out on Twitter are going to 1267 01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:50,000 Speaker 1: be personally beneficial to the owner of Twitter, which listen, 1268 01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:53,040 Speaker 1: at this point, he's lost like at least twenty million 1269 01:03:53,080 --> 01:03:55,840 Speaker 1: dollars on this whole deal. I guess the least I 1270 01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:57,560 Speaker 1: guess the least that he can get out of it 1271 01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:00,000 Speaker 1: is a little signal boosting of his own tweets or not. 1272 01:04:00,120 --> 01:04:01,560 Speaker 1: You know, if you're going to lose that much money, 1273 01:04:01,560 --> 01:04:04,320 Speaker 1: you might as well get something out of it. So anyway, 1274 01:04:04,640 --> 01:04:08,040 Speaker 1: that's the latest on Elon. He never never does disappoint 1275 01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:13,000 Speaker 1: in terms of a fun segment. All right, sorry, really 1276 01:04:13,000 --> 01:04:14,840 Speaker 1: going to a well. Last week I brought you all 1277 01:04:14,880 --> 01:04:17,080 Speaker 1: the case of Douglas Mackie. He's a pro Trump Twitter 1278 01:04:17,160 --> 01:04:19,720 Speaker 1: user who in twenty sixteen tweeted out a meme targeted 1279 01:04:19,760 --> 01:04:22,240 Speaker 1: at Hillary voters, telling them that they could avoid the 1280 01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:25,000 Speaker 1: line and vote by text. To most people, that sounds 1281 01:04:25,040 --> 01:04:27,720 Speaker 1: funny or lame, possibly a mix of both. But to 1282 01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:30,480 Speaker 1: Joe Biden's Department of Justice, they saw a crime. The 1283 01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:33,040 Speaker 1: very first week in office, they indicted Mackie on a 1284 01:04:33,160 --> 01:04:36,800 Speaker 1: charge of conspiracy to deprive individuals of their right to vote. 1285 01:04:36,920 --> 01:04:39,960 Speaker 1: Prosecutors alleged that some four five hundred people call the 1286 01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:43,040 Speaker 1: number on the meme and that Mackie distributed. They honed 1287 01:04:43,080 --> 01:04:45,880 Speaker 1: in on Mackie's private messages, where he and other pro 1288 01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:49,120 Speaker 1: Trump Twitter personalities reveled in the reach of their accounts, 1289 01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:52,840 Speaker 1: hoping they could trick quote dopey liberals not to vote. Now. 1290 01:04:52,920 --> 01:04:55,640 Speaker 1: Is Mackie a good person? Probably not, But that's not 1291 01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:58,680 Speaker 1: enough to put somebody on trial. Ultimately, this trial was 1292 01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:02,000 Speaker 1: about whether satire onl should be legal, even satire that 1293 01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:05,240 Speaker 1: is malicious, mean and targeted, whether that should be illegal 1294 01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:07,680 Speaker 1: or not. Here is the meme, and to be clear, 1295 01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:10,320 Speaker 1: Mackie did not even make it, He only distributed it 1296 01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:13,360 Speaker 1: along with many others. Do you really believe any reasonable 1297 01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:16,760 Speaker 1: person would see this meme and otherwise not vote? The 1298 01:05:16,760 --> 01:05:20,080 Speaker 1: Biden Department of Justice certainly did. Apparently so did a 1299 01:05:20,160 --> 01:05:22,640 Speaker 1: jury of Mackie's peers, who convicted him in the Eastern 1300 01:05:22,640 --> 01:05:25,480 Speaker 1: District of New York on Thursday on conspiracies to deprive 1301 01:05:25,560 --> 01:05:28,280 Speaker 1: other American citizens of their right to vote. Already, the 1302 01:05:28,320 --> 01:05:32,040 Speaker 1: censorious establishment is doing backflips online over the victory of 1303 01:05:32,080 --> 01:05:35,360 Speaker 1: this case. Why the government even put out a victorious 1304 01:05:35,360 --> 01:05:38,080 Speaker 1: press release about the verdict. Put it as a warning 1305 01:05:38,120 --> 01:05:40,240 Speaker 1: to anyone else who may do so online, but a 1306 01:05:40,280 --> 01:05:43,120 Speaker 1: closer scrutiny of the trial itself is necessary for the 1307 01:05:43,160 --> 01:05:45,840 Speaker 1: government to be truly ironclad in their case, they would 1308 01:05:45,880 --> 01:05:49,040 Speaker 1: have to prove that Mackie's meme crossed the satire line 1309 01:05:49,120 --> 01:05:53,280 Speaker 1: because people otherwise text it to vote rather than vote itself. 1310 01:05:53,520 --> 01:05:55,560 Speaker 1: Their theory of this case relied on the fact that 1311 01:05:55,600 --> 01:05:58,720 Speaker 1: some foury five hundred people called this phone number. Yet 1312 01:05:58,880 --> 01:06:03,440 Speaker 1: when his defense lenge prosecutors to bring forward one single 1313 01:06:03,480 --> 01:06:05,840 Speaker 1: witness who said that they were fooled, they could not 1314 01:06:05,960 --> 01:06:08,880 Speaker 1: do so. Let me repeat, not one person was called 1315 01:06:08,920 --> 01:06:11,160 Speaker 1: to the stand to testify that their civil right to 1316 01:06:11,240 --> 01:06:14,280 Speaker 1: vote was actually deprived by this meme, despite having their 1317 01:06:14,320 --> 01:06:16,520 Speaker 1: phone numbers, and that means from the facts of the case. 1318 01:06:16,720 --> 01:06:19,360 Speaker 1: On his face, all the government proved was a Macki 1319 01:06:19,440 --> 01:06:21,400 Speaker 1: post of this meme, that some people interacted with the 1320 01:06:21,400 --> 01:06:23,960 Speaker 1: same phone number, and that he may have been malicious 1321 01:06:23,960 --> 01:06:26,440 Speaker 1: in his attempt. As to the witnesses, the star witness 1322 01:06:26,480 --> 01:06:29,120 Speaker 1: at trial had nothing to do even with depriving anyone 1323 01:06:29,160 --> 01:06:32,720 Speaker 1: of votes. Instead, it was a dude named Microchip who 1324 01:06:32,760 --> 01:06:36,080 Speaker 1: was part of Macki's group chat. During this testimony, Microchip 1325 01:06:36,120 --> 01:06:38,440 Speaker 1: cast Mackie as a leader of the group who distributed 1326 01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:41,800 Speaker 1: means targeted at liberals, but under cross examination admitted two 1327 01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:44,360 Speaker 1: key things. Number One, he was testifying because he was 1328 01:06:44,360 --> 01:06:47,120 Speaker 1: cooperating with the FBI and plead to a reduced charge. 1329 01:06:47,240 --> 01:06:51,040 Speaker 1: Two quote, there was no grand plan around stopping people 1330 01:06:51,080 --> 01:06:53,840 Speaker 1: from voting. So if there was no grand plan, there 1331 01:06:53,920 --> 01:06:57,560 Speaker 1: was no conspiracy. Right. He can't prove a real conspiracy 1332 01:06:57,760 --> 01:07:00,760 Speaker 1: and he can't prove a single witness was harmed, then 1333 01:07:00,840 --> 01:07:03,800 Speaker 1: what are we doing here? Obviously none of these questions 1334 01:07:03,920 --> 01:07:06,760 Speaker 1: mattered to the New York City jury that convicted Mackie, 1335 01:07:06,920 --> 01:07:09,280 Speaker 1: but one has to wonder if the politics of the 1336 01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:11,920 Speaker 1: area played into that, and also to the wisdom of 1337 01:07:11,960 --> 01:07:16,000 Speaker 1: bringing charges like this in the first place. Prosecurial prosecutorial 1338 01:07:16,040 --> 01:07:18,920 Speaker 1: discretion is a hell of a drug, and immediately with 1339 01:07:19,000 --> 01:07:21,280 Speaker 1: the precedent set, a lot of people are looking for 1340 01:07:21,280 --> 01:07:24,280 Speaker 1: similar examples and say, hey, why isn't this person in jail. 1341 01:07:24,520 --> 01:07:27,160 Speaker 1: Many pointed to this tweet by Christina Wong, a liberal 1342 01:07:27,200 --> 01:07:30,880 Speaker 1: Hillary supporter in twenty sixteen, who tweeted, quote, hey Trump supporter, 1343 01:07:30,960 --> 01:07:33,440 Speaker 1: skip poll lines in election twenty sixteen and text your 1344 01:07:33,520 --> 01:07:36,640 Speaker 1: vote tech votes are legit or vote tomorrow on super 1345 01:07:36,680 --> 01:07:39,600 Speaker 1: Wednesday that along with the video that was viewed close 1346 01:07:39,600 --> 01:07:42,160 Speaker 1: to one million times. Now, if you ask me, that's 1347 01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:45,280 Speaker 1: funny and just as ridiculous as the meme that MACKI posted. 1348 01:07:45,520 --> 01:07:47,960 Speaker 1: But now, by the standards of government is set any 1349 01:07:48,040 --> 01:07:50,200 Speaker 1: of the eight hundred and forty three thousand people who 1350 01:07:50,240 --> 01:07:53,520 Speaker 1: watch that video have been contaminated by Wang's conspiracy to 1351 01:07:53,520 --> 01:07:57,040 Speaker 1: prevent Trump supporters to vote. Now, curiously, Miss Wang remains 1352 01:07:57,080 --> 01:07:59,400 Speaker 1: free and clear to this day. To be clear, she 1353 01:07:59,440 --> 01:08:02,400 Speaker 1: should remain, and so so should Maacky people say stuff 1354 01:08:02,400 --> 01:08:04,960 Speaker 1: on the Internet they don't mean all the time. Worse, 1355 01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:08,000 Speaker 1: this has been rewarded now by the FBI for wasting 1356 01:08:08,040 --> 01:08:11,560 Speaker 1: their time policing Twitter trolls rather than letting child sex 1357 01:08:11,640 --> 01:08:14,880 Speaker 1: predators like Larry Nasser go free. As I reminded everyone 1358 01:08:14,960 --> 01:08:17,439 Speaker 1: last time, the nanny state behavior of the Feds here 1359 01:08:17,640 --> 01:08:20,479 Speaker 1: is something that reveals a very very deep rot. As 1360 01:08:20,520 --> 01:08:24,479 Speaker 1: Matt Tayeebi discovered, FBI agents whose salaries we are paying, 1361 01:08:24,720 --> 01:08:28,040 Speaker 1: we're spending their time flagging moronic tiny Twitter accounts joking, 1362 01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:30,599 Speaker 1: including one who said quote, I am a ballot counter 1363 01:08:30,680 --> 01:08:32,559 Speaker 1: in my state. If you're not wearing a mask, I'm 1364 01:08:32,600 --> 01:08:35,160 Speaker 1: not counting your vote, saying that every negative comment on 1365 01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:37,719 Speaker 1: the post she would add a vote for the Democratic Party. 1366 01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:41,120 Speaker 1: Or another example the low follower user who tweeted quote 1367 01:08:41,120 --> 01:08:43,919 Speaker 1: I want to remind Republicans to vote tomorrow and included 1368 01:08:43,960 --> 01:08:46,840 Speaker 1: the wrong date. This was flagged by FBI agents who 1369 01:08:46,880 --> 01:08:49,720 Speaker 1: wanted Twitter to take it down. It had three retweets, 1370 01:08:49,880 --> 01:08:52,439 Speaker 1: and under the standard of the now established Mackie conviction, 1371 01:08:52,680 --> 01:08:55,680 Speaker 1: they can claim anyone who saw that tweet and misinterpreted 1372 01:08:55,720 --> 01:08:57,760 Speaker 1: it could have had their civil rights violated or a 1373 01:08:57,800 --> 01:09:00,760 Speaker 1: conspiracy to do so. The standard now has been set 1374 01:09:00,800 --> 01:09:03,680 Speaker 1: and the gauntlet throne. We now live in a significantly 1375 01:09:03,760 --> 01:09:06,439 Speaker 1: less free internet. The best response to this from an 1376 01:09:06,439 --> 01:09:09,920 Speaker 1: individual perspective post less even if you're anonymous. If he 1377 01:09:10,040 --> 01:09:12,519 Speaker 1: screwed with somebody like Hillary, they will track you down 1378 01:09:12,560 --> 01:09:14,960 Speaker 1: to the ends of the earth and potentially throw you 1379 01:09:15,000 --> 01:09:17,439 Speaker 1: in prison for a decade for a crime of her 1380 01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:21,599 Speaker 1: running a terrible campaign. Ultimately, this is about elite protection. 1381 01:09:21,920 --> 01:09:24,400 Speaker 1: They target those who make a mockery of them. When 1382 01:09:24,400 --> 01:09:27,320 Speaker 1: they make a mockery of us, they get rewarded, they 1383 01:09:27,360 --> 01:09:30,759 Speaker 1: remain free, they get richer than ever. And once again 1384 01:09:31,000 --> 01:09:32,840 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that he's a nice guy. And if 1385 01:09:32,840 --> 01:09:35,639 Speaker 1: you want to hear my reaction to Sager's monologue, become 1386 01:09:35,680 --> 01:09:42,280 Speaker 1: a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. Chrystl. What 1387 01:09:42,280 --> 01:09:45,240 Speaker 1: do you take a look at? Well, I'm crazy the 1388 01:09:45,280 --> 01:09:49,320 Speaker 1: same The more Americans health for health insurors now than 1389 01:09:49,360 --> 01:09:53,280 Speaker 1: ever in history. But that was then and this is now. 1390 01:09:53,720 --> 01:09:56,439 Speaker 1: Fifteen million Americans are said to be kicked off of 1391 01:09:56,520 --> 01:10:00,479 Speaker 1: Medicaid starting this month, leaving many without any health insurance 1392 01:10:00,520 --> 01:10:03,200 Speaker 1: and a healthcare plan that basically amounts to just pray 1393 01:10:03,280 --> 01:10:06,800 Speaker 1: that you and your kids do not get sick. A devastating, 1394 01:10:07,080 --> 01:10:12,200 Speaker 1: unnecessary calamity being intentionally inflicted on millions by their own government, 1395 01:10:12,400 --> 01:10:15,080 Speaker 1: one that has been effectuated by Democrats and Republicans acting 1396 01:10:15,120 --> 01:10:17,880 Speaker 1: in concert, and which, outside of this Washington Post coverage 1397 01:10:17,920 --> 01:10:20,599 Speaker 1: I just showed you, has barely registered with the news 1398 01:10:20,640 --> 01:10:23,280 Speaker 1: media that is blissfully insulated from the impact of all 1399 01:10:23,360 --> 01:10:25,840 Speaker 1: of these policies. As front of the show, Jeff Stein 1400 01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:29,679 Speaker 1: put it pretty remarkable that America temporarily constructed a safety 1401 01:10:29,680 --> 01:10:33,559 Speaker 1: net during COVID, including major healthcare coverage, food benefits, anti 1402 01:10:33,600 --> 01:10:36,600 Speaker 1: poverty funding for families and kids, etc. And then just 1403 01:10:36,680 --> 01:10:40,479 Speaker 1: systematically and slowly demolished it With regards to the millions 1404 01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:42,800 Speaker 1: about to be kicked off their healthcare, the process has 1405 01:10:42,840 --> 01:10:48,360 Speaker 1: a bureaucratic and antiseptic name, Medicaid unwinding. Basically, during the pandemic, 1406 01:10:48,360 --> 01:10:51,120 Speaker 1: states could only gain access to certain federal dollars if 1407 01:10:51,120 --> 01:10:54,679 Speaker 1: they pledged not to kick anyone off of the Medicaid program. 1408 01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:57,320 Speaker 1: That means that women who had had a baby and 1409 01:10:57,360 --> 01:10:59,960 Speaker 1: would have only qualified until just after the baby was born, 1410 01:11:00,080 --> 01:11:02,200 Speaker 1: or they were able to stay on. It means people 1411 01:11:02,240 --> 01:11:04,360 Speaker 1: who may have missed their renewal notices and the male 1412 01:11:04,439 --> 01:11:06,719 Speaker 1: were able to stay on. People who struggle to complete 1413 01:11:06,760 --> 01:11:09,000 Speaker 1: the mountain of paperwork in time to prove they are 1414 01:11:09,000 --> 01:11:12,519 Speaker 1: sufficiently poor to qualify they were also able to stay on, 1415 01:11:12,920 --> 01:11:15,240 Speaker 1: and that last category. It might sound small, but it's 1416 01:11:15,280 --> 01:11:20,160 Speaker 1: actually massive. HHS estimates seven million people will get kicked 1417 01:11:20,160 --> 01:11:24,080 Speaker 1: off of Medicaid who actually qualify due to issues like 1418 01:11:24,479 --> 01:11:28,559 Speaker 1: long wait times, bureaucratic mistakes like sending paperwork multiple times 1419 01:11:28,600 --> 01:11:32,000 Speaker 1: and missing renewal notices. That could be an especially large 1420 01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:34,479 Speaker 1: problem because of how many people have new addresses due 1421 01:11:34,479 --> 01:11:39,439 Speaker 1: to housing instability exacerbated by the pandemic. Millions more of 1422 01:11:39,479 --> 01:11:43,040 Speaker 1: the working class fall into a giant coverage gap because 1423 01:11:43,080 --> 01:11:46,360 Speaker 1: they live in states which did not expand Medicaid, So 1424 01:11:46,640 --> 01:11:49,680 Speaker 1: those individuals make too much to qualify for Medicaid, but 1425 01:11:49,680 --> 01:11:52,479 Speaker 1: then not enough to actually afford plans on the ACA 1426 01:11:52,600 --> 01:11:56,439 Speaker 1: exchange even with the subsidies. The Washington Post interviewed a 1427 01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:58,920 Speaker 1: single mom who was set to lose her coverage on 1428 01:11:59,080 --> 01:12:01,240 Speaker 1: just how devastates this is all going to be to 1429 01:12:01,320 --> 01:12:04,120 Speaker 1: her life. So Connie Bunch is mom to a toddler's 1430 01:12:04,120 --> 01:12:06,879 Speaker 1: son and a ten year old daughter who has cerebral palsy. 1431 01:12:07,280 --> 01:12:09,719 Speaker 1: Caring for a disabled daughter and struggling with her own 1432 01:12:09,760 --> 01:12:12,800 Speaker 1: health issues has made it nearly impossible for Connie to 1433 01:12:12,800 --> 01:12:14,720 Speaker 1: be able to hold onto a job, and certainly not 1434 01:12:14,800 --> 01:12:17,920 Speaker 1: one with health benefits. She was only able to stay 1435 01:12:17,960 --> 01:12:21,800 Speaker 1: on Medicaid because of those Pandemic era provisions. That's a 1436 01:12:21,840 --> 01:12:25,080 Speaker 1: benefit that she believes actually saved her life. It enabled 1437 01:12:25,080 --> 01:12:27,120 Speaker 1: her to go to the emergency room one evening when 1438 01:12:27,120 --> 01:12:30,519 Speaker 1: her face began drooping, resulting in a diagnosis of Belle's 1439 01:12:30,560 --> 01:12:34,280 Speaker 1: palsy and also the discovery of several small brain aneurysms. 1440 01:12:34,600 --> 01:12:36,880 Speaker 1: Now Connie is also among the millions who struggle to 1441 01:12:36,960 --> 01:12:40,000 Speaker 1: afford insulin for her diabetes and medication for her high 1442 01:12:40,040 --> 01:12:44,360 Speaker 1: blood pressure. After Medicaid unwinding, who knows how or whether 1443 01:12:44,680 --> 01:12:47,280 Speaker 1: this mom will even survive to be there for the 1444 01:12:47,320 --> 01:12:51,120 Speaker 1: babies who so thoroughly depend on her. But the truth is, 1445 01:12:51,240 --> 01:12:54,240 Speaker 1: gazing at this tangled healthcare mess is to realize how 1446 01:12:54,280 --> 01:12:58,760 Speaker 1: broken the system is. Even at its very best. A vast, expensive, 1447 01:12:58,960 --> 01:13:02,640 Speaker 1: dehumanizing bureaucracy is required to determine who checks all the 1448 01:13:02,720 --> 01:13:05,160 Speaker 1: right boxes and lives in the right state to be 1449 01:13:05,320 --> 01:13:08,479 Speaker 1: worthy of basic care. It's actually going to cost dates 1450 01:13:08,520 --> 01:13:10,720 Speaker 1: quite a bit of money to figure out who they 1451 01:13:10,800 --> 01:13:13,519 Speaker 1: can kick off the program, money that, of course, could 1452 01:13:13,520 --> 01:13:16,680 Speaker 1: instead be spent making sure moms like Connie have the 1453 01:13:16,720 --> 01:13:20,040 Speaker 1: care that they need. Social safety net programs that only 1454 01:13:20,080 --> 01:13:23,960 Speaker 1: benefit the poor and working class are also incredibly politically vulnerable, 1455 01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:27,960 Speaker 1: as low income Americans have zero political sway in Washington 1456 01:13:28,000 --> 01:13:31,519 Speaker 1: and little visibility to the national media. Consider how toxic 1457 01:13:31,560 --> 01:13:35,000 Speaker 1: it is for politicians to even consider cutting Social Security 1458 01:13:35,040 --> 01:13:38,240 Speaker 1: or Medicare, and compare that to how the child tax credit, 1459 01:13:38,240 --> 01:13:41,120 Speaker 1: rent for Baron's expanded unemployment, and now Medicaid for millions 1460 01:13:41,160 --> 01:13:44,719 Speaker 1: are stripped away while Democrats are in power with barely 1461 01:13:44,760 --> 01:13:48,280 Speaker 1: a whimper. Why Because Social Security and Medicare are near 1462 01:13:48,400 --> 01:13:51,600 Speaker 1: universal programs that every American feels they have a stake in. 1463 01:13:52,240 --> 01:13:55,479 Speaker 1: Means tested safety net programs are ghettoized as welfare for 1464 01:13:55,520 --> 01:13:58,200 Speaker 1: the unworthy, and in the current political climate, they've also 1465 01:13:58,280 --> 01:14:01,000 Speaker 1: been blamed for inflation, even as for bank bailance and 1466 01:14:01,040 --> 01:14:03,559 Speaker 1: corporate subsidies is just accepted as a matter of course. 1467 01:14:04,000 --> 01:14:07,519 Speaker 1: What's more, the overwhelming majority of political journalists grew up 1468 01:14:07,520 --> 01:14:09,679 Speaker 1: in at least the middle class and have had zero 1469 01:14:09,800 --> 01:14:13,360 Speaker 1: personal experience with any of these programs. They also live 1470 01:14:13,439 --> 01:14:16,320 Speaker 1: in class isolated bubbles where their only interactions with the 1471 01:14:16,320 --> 01:14:19,360 Speaker 1: beneficiaries of safety net programs are through the service workers 1472 01:14:19,400 --> 01:14:21,639 Speaker 1: who deliver their uber eats or care for their kids. 1473 01:14:22,120 --> 01:14:25,000 Speaker 1: Journalist Jeff Stein has made sure to document the stories 1474 01:14:25,040 --> 01:14:27,400 Speaker 1: of those for whom these programs have been a precious 1475 01:14:27,560 --> 01:14:30,720 Speaker 1: lifeline which has now been cut away. He wrote a 1476 01:14:30,720 --> 01:14:33,000 Speaker 1: while back about a single mom who has slowly slipped 1477 01:14:33,000 --> 01:14:37,040 Speaker 1: back into financial desperation as program after program has been demolished. 1478 01:14:37,040 --> 01:14:39,559 Speaker 1: In her words, it was a weight lifted like I 1479 01:14:39,600 --> 01:14:43,000 Speaker 1: can't describe. I could actually buy what I wanted to 1480 01:14:43,040 --> 01:14:45,920 Speaker 1: at the grocery store living is so much harder now 1481 01:14:46,360 --> 01:14:50,120 Speaker 1: that this brutality is being inflicted quietly, surgically under Democrats 1482 01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:53,560 Speaker 1: makes it all the more galling. After all, Joe Biden pretended, 1483 01:14:53,600 --> 01:14:55,479 Speaker 1: at least on the campaign trail that he was going 1484 01:14:55,520 --> 01:14:58,160 Speaker 1: to fight to get all Americans' healthcare through a public option. 1485 01:14:58,479 --> 01:15:00,200 Speaker 1: Now that was never as good a solution in his 1486 01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:03,559 Speaker 1: Medicare for All, of course, at LISTA was something. Now 1487 01:15:03,720 --> 01:15:07,439 Speaker 1: we watch him surrender fifteen million Americans to healthcare doom 1488 01:15:07,760 --> 01:15:10,760 Speaker 1: and he doesn't have a single word to say about it. 1489 01:15:11,320 --> 01:15:13,840 Speaker 1: I will close with this, Our country is facing a 1490 01:15:13,920 --> 01:15:17,880 Speaker 1: life expectancy calamity that is unlike anything happening anywhere else 1491 01:15:17,920 --> 01:15:20,800 Speaker 1: in the developed world. The Financial Times recently crunched them 1492 01:15:20,840 --> 01:15:23,280 Speaker 1: of the data, and they found that Americans, on average 1493 01:15:23,400 --> 01:15:26,439 Speaker 1: have life expectancy as low as Blackpool, that is the 1494 01:15:26,439 --> 01:15:30,679 Speaker 1: most economically depressed town in all of England. What's more, 1495 01:15:31,040 --> 01:15:34,080 Speaker 1: while all countries saw life expectancy take a hit during COVID, 1496 01:15:34,360 --> 01:15:36,519 Speaker 1: the US took a bigger hit and has failed to 1497 01:15:36,560 --> 01:15:39,360 Speaker 1: bounce back as other nations have done. Now, the causes 1498 01:15:39,400 --> 01:15:41,400 Speaker 1: of this are myriad, but I think in a way, 1499 01:15:41,560 --> 01:15:44,120 Speaker 1: the story of medicaid unwinding tells you everything you really 1500 01:15:44,200 --> 01:15:47,680 Speaker 1: need to know. In America, we don't actually value the 1501 01:15:47,720 --> 01:15:50,840 Speaker 1: lives of everyone, not even close. The country is run 1502 01:15:50,880 --> 01:15:54,120 Speaker 1: according to a radical, elite driven ideology which says your 1503 01:15:54,200 --> 01:15:56,960 Speaker 1: human worth is equal to your market worth, and which 1504 01:15:57,040 --> 01:15:59,680 Speaker 1: is then actively intentionally sought to make every human of 1505 01:15:59,680 --> 01:16:02,479 Speaker 1: his life work to the market as possible, and that 1506 01:16:02,680 --> 01:16:06,240 Speaker 1: sick a moral ideology leads Democrats and Republicans alike to 1507 01:16:06,280 --> 01:16:09,720 Speaker 1: just accept these deaths as a matter of course. Republicans 1508 01:16:09,760 --> 01:16:12,240 Speaker 1: don't really even pretend to care. Democrats pretend to care, 1509 01:16:12,360 --> 01:16:15,200 Speaker 1: but we'll do nothing that is even remotely hard or 1510 01:16:15,240 --> 01:16:17,920 Speaker 1: counter to donor interest to try to deal with the problem. 1511 01:16:18,120 --> 01:16:20,360 Speaker 1: And so millions get tossed out in the healthcare cold, 1512 01:16:20,560 --> 01:16:24,240 Speaker 1: and our elite institutions barely even register a loss. And 1513 01:16:24,320 --> 01:16:26,920 Speaker 1: zachar is singing a lot with regard to these fifty 1514 01:16:27,080 --> 01:16:29,839 Speaker 1: And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, 1515 01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:36,200 Speaker 1: become a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. Just 1516 01:16:36,240 --> 01:16:39,280 Speaker 1: so everybody knows for inevitable question, we will be sending 1517 01:16:39,280 --> 01:16:41,599 Speaker 1: a link in the email today to all of our 1518 01:16:41,640 --> 01:16:44,519 Speaker 1: premium subscribers where you can ask questions for the stream, 1519 01:16:44,600 --> 01:16:46,400 Speaker 1: so all of that is going to be lined up. 1520 01:16:46,400 --> 01:16:48,640 Speaker 1: We're excited to bring you all the stream tomorrow. As 1521 01:16:48,640 --> 01:16:50,360 Speaker 1: a reminder too, you can watch the full show on 1522 01:16:50,400 --> 01:16:53,639 Speaker 1: Spotify for premium members Breakingpoints dot com. But I think 1523 01:16:53,640 --> 01:16:56,000 Speaker 1: that's it. We'll see you all tomorrow night, primetime special 1524 01:16:56,080 --> 01:16:58,240 Speaker 1: Trump on Trial. Can't wait. It's going to be interesting. 1525 01:16:58,280 --> 01:17:17,080 Speaker 1: We'll see you then,