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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree?

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Speaker 2: I've got five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a rale up how they traveled.

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Speaker 4: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 5: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, I mistake.

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Speaker 4: Prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

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Speaker 3: What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and Fantasy Labs. I am your host, Chris Raybond. This

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Speaker 2: is your NFL Week four Waivers episode. Of course, I'm

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Speaker 2: joined as always by one of the most accurate rankers

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Speaker 2: in the game, odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean first, got

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Speaker 2: to tell you a happy birthday. Excited to go celebrate

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Speaker 2: with you later. And also, how was your first week

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Speaker 2: post fourteen and oh or sixteen and oh? Sorry sixteen

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Speaker 2: and oh?

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Speaker 6: I should say, yeah, well, thank you.

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Speaker 7: I'm at the age now where if I see any

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Speaker 7: quarterback at my age, I am really downgrading their scramble

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Speaker 7: percent right man, and is rough?

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Speaker 1: I already feel it.

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Speaker 7: And yeah, like I already I already feel it because

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Speaker 7: you know, after my fourteen and oh plus fourteen unit

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Speaker 7: week one of my best weeks ever. I had one

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Speaker 7: of my worst weeks ever. So it's been an absolute

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Speaker 7: roller coaster. I'm just trusting the process. I'm approaching week

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Speaker 7: four the same way I did for week two and

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Speaker 7: week three. Just got to move on. That's just part

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Speaker 7: of the grind part of life. But enough about me,

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Speaker 7: how about you. You had one hell of a week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was kind of crazy that. I mean, it

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Speaker 2: was only seven and oh for me, so you know

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Speaker 2: I didn't.

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Speaker 3: I don't. I don't know if I can find sixteen.

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Speaker 2: Bets every Sunday, But you're like ninth straight right, yeah,

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Speaker 2: something like that. But it's kind of crazy the way

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Speaker 2: both of us went back to act like that. So

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Speaker 2: I guess maybe I'll only have a half as bad

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Speaker 2: as the week as you after, uh, with you know,

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Speaker 2: less regressions half the beds.

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Speaker 1: Well, I hope.

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Speaker 7: But if we can split the baby with these crazy weeks, uh,

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Speaker 7: that'd be much better for my.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's and if it's it's stressed in us,

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Speaker 2: it must be stressing you know everybody out there listening

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Speaker 2: in the in the fantasy community and trying to build

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Speaker 2: their teams and it's just been kind of a wild

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Speaker 2: season and a lot of unexpected happening. Now the injuries

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Speaker 2: are really starting to take off. So we'll kind of

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Speaker 2: go through our top waiver targets at each position.

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Speaker 3: Uh, kicker and defense streamers as well.

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Speaker 2: So let's uh, let's get it started with quarterback before

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Speaker 2: we do, just want to mind everyone. Our fantasy football

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Speaker 2: content is available at Fantasy labs dot com. If you're

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Speaker 2: looking for it, you can find all of our weekly

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Speaker 2: fantasy rankings, projections, tools, and more, all that good stuff.

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Speaker 2: Fantasy Labs quarterback waiver wire targets. There were some surprising quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Performances this week where you looking for one of your

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Speaker 3: top targets heading into Week four.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, so I think you're gonna be talking about the

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Speaker 7: top target. He's who I would target this week specifically,

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Speaker 7: But I think Daniel Jones, you know, it's an interesting

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Speaker 7: flyer for this week and just going forward. He's obviously

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Speaker 7: available in ninety four percent of leagues, but my comp

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Speaker 7: for Milink Neighbors was Jamar Chase, and going in this year,

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Speaker 7: I was just saying, just imagine Jamar Chase.

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Speaker 6: With Daniel Jones throwing in the ball like that's kind of.

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Speaker 7: What we're gonna see here, and it's not an ideal

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Speaker 7: situation for Neighbors specifically, but he's so good.

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Speaker 6: He's actually making Daniel Jones look really good too.

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Speaker 7: So you know, after week one, Jones finally figured out,

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Speaker 7: you know, maybe I should just four feed Neighbors of

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Speaker 7: the ball.

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Speaker 1: And it's been working.

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Speaker 7: You know, Jones has two passing touchdowns and back to

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Speaker 7: back weeks. He's the QB ten over the past two games.

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Speaker 7: And you know, his rushing upside has been somewhat limited

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Speaker 7: just due to his you know, ongoing recovery from his

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Speaker 7: ACL tear last year.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I expect him to just.

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Speaker 7: Get more comfortable with his knee and scramble more going forward.

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Speaker 7: So he's flashed you know, top ten upside in the past,

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Speaker 7: but now with like a weapon like Malik Neighbors, he

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Speaker 7: could do that more consistently. So and this week, you know,

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Speaker 7: he's facing a cowboy's pass defense that's really been struggling.

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Speaker 7: They ranked twenty eighth and dB away, So this is

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Speaker 7: just you know, a sneaky spot for him to potentially

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Speaker 7: post another QB one week and he opens a week

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Speaker 7: is my QB fourteen. Granted, he has a wide range

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Speaker 7: of outcomes. So if you know you're heading out of

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Speaker 7: the week as an underdog and he's available, you know,

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Speaker 7: I try to tap into his upside. But I think

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Speaker 7: your guy, your guy is the guy that I'm projected

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Speaker 7: quite a bit higher and probably the safer play. But again,

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Speaker 7: I think Daniel Jones is kind of hitting his ceiling

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Speaker 7: so far this year.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a.

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Speaker 2: It's a nine and day quarterback with which the elite neighbors.

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Speaker 2: He doesn't even he doesn't have to throw to anyone

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Speaker 2: else like that or just be that guy to anyone else.

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Speaker 2: But the throws he's making to neighbors he just wasn't

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Speaker 2: even looking even thinking about. He wasn't even thinking about

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Speaker 2: them in the pocket to other receivers on that team,

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Speaker 2: and it's understandable why. So yeah, I noticed that too.

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Speaker 2: It pops up on film and it also popped up

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Speaker 2: in my model. He is believed by quarterback twelve, So

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Speaker 2: I'm right there with you.

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Speaker 3: But another guy I like.

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Speaker 2: For this week is Geno Smith, and he's available in

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Speaker 2: over seventy percent of ESPN leagues.

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Speaker 3: Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Now, I will say this, I do think Detroit's defense

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Speaker 2: is on the upswing.

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Speaker 3: I don't think they're.

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Speaker 2: Just a sieve, as they were down a stretch last season,

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Speaker 2: but it's early in the year. It's gonna take some time.

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Speaker 2: And their numbers against wide receivers once again stick out

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Speaker 2: as very bad. They're giving up the second most schedule

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Speaker 2: adjusted yards to number one, number two and number three

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Speaker 2: receives the most number three wide receivers according to FTN.

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Speaker 2: And they also have the best one of the top

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Speaker 2: run defenses, their top five in run defenses. So that's

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Speaker 2: just a pass funnel for Gino Smith. And if you

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Speaker 2: look at his history, you know, in this Dan Campbell era,

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Speaker 2: in twenty twenty two, they go to he goes to Detroit,

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Speaker 2: completes twenty three of thirty seventy seven percent of his passes,

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Speaker 2: throws for three to twenty two touchdowns, no picks, runs

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Speaker 2: for forty nine and another touch on the ground, and

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Speaker 2: then a year later he runs it back three twenty eight,

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Speaker 2: two touchdowns and no picks in a thirty seven thirty

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Speaker 2: one win after winning forty.

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Speaker 3: Eight to forty five the first time.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know if it will be a shootout necessarily,

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Speaker 2: you know, I know Detroit does have interest in running

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Speaker 2: the ball and controlling the crop with Seattle is one

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Speaker 2: of the best defenses now, Iner McDonalds.

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Speaker 3: So I do think, you know, that's.

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Speaker 2: One of the things we talked about with the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: right for so long. They just their play volume is

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Speaker 2: so bad, like their plays for Drive, they would just

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Speaker 2: it would be like, you know what, four point nine

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Speaker 2: or something ridiculous like that. Now with grub I think

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Speaker 2: they're just better schemed as a unit on that side.

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Speaker 2: So I really like this matchup for Geno and most importantly,

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Speaker 2: he's got the horses that wide receiver to take advantage

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Speaker 2: of a defense like that when you have you know,

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Speaker 2: Smith and Jigba breaking out. Of course, Metcalf is explosive,

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Speaker 2: and even Tyler locket it.

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Speaker 3: I don't think he's washed yet either.

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Speaker 2: So I think Gino is in a really good spot

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Speaker 2: in Detroit this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Where do you have ranked to hope in the week.

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Speaker 2: Let's see, I think he is my QB thirteen, So yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's right right there, right outside the the fringes, and

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Speaker 2: then right him and Daniel Jones are right there.

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Speaker 6: He's QBOT.

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Speaker 7: I thought you might have Gino ranked ahead of Patrick

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Speaker 7: Mahomes that would have been spicy, but certainly in that year.

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Speaker 2: Right now, yeah, he might end up because I was

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Speaker 2: looking at my Mahomes rank and I was like, is

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Speaker 2: it well, no, exactly, it's just the way you know, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Rashi Rice can't do it alone. So yeah, all right,

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Speaker 2: let's go to running back. And I know you and

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Speaker 2: you want to talk about this guy. I mean, you

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Speaker 2: have been talking about him all off season and now

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Speaker 2: it's finally's starting to come to fruition. Talk to me

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Speaker 2: about Bucky Irving and why people should target him on

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Speaker 2: the wire.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 7: So I have two backs that are available still in

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Speaker 7: more than sixty percent of the leagues who I think

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Speaker 7: profile is the ideal upside backup running back. And the

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Speaker 7: first is Bucky Irving, who I talked about all off season.

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Speaker 7: Now you know, potentially eating in to Rashad White's role,

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Speaker 7: and you know that is now the case because he's

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Speaker 7: been the more efficient back clearly through the first three weeks,

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Speaker 7: and even Todd Bowles has recognized that, you know, maybe

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Speaker 7: Bucky does deserve more preps going forward. So we'll see

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Speaker 7: what happens this week. I think right now I would say, Bucky,

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Speaker 7: is you know RB three flex. I wouldn't say he's

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Speaker 7: a must art quite yet, but you know, he just

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Speaker 7: has RB two potential even if Rashad White says healthy

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Speaker 7: the rest of the season. I think that's how this

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Speaker 7: is trending. So you know, Bucky Irving should be rostered

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Speaker 7: in pretty much every league, and in some leagues, I

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Speaker 7: think he should be started this week. So gonna keep

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Speaker 7: tooting that Bucky horn until he's taken in more than

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Speaker 7: half leagues. But I think people are starting to be

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Speaker 7: aware of that now. And the other guy's a back

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Speaker 7: that you were high on heading in the season. It's

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Speaker 7: Braylen Allen, still available in sixty four percent of leagues,

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Speaker 7: but you know he and there's like almost a zero

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Speaker 7: percent chance, you know he's gonna leap frog Breese Hall.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't say it's non zero though, but enough.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, he looks so good.

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Speaker 7: They just have two really really good running backs, so

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Speaker 7: you know, he's actually seeing enough volume in certain game

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Speaker 7: scripts the potentially offer RB three flex value in the

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Speaker 7: right matchups, specifically when you know the Jets are gonna

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Speaker 7: win eas or just play with the leading game script,

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Speaker 7: and that's you know, potentially this week at home against

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Speaker 7: the Broncos, especially just given how good Aaron Rodgers has

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Speaker 7: looked recently. You know, they could be playing the lead

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Speaker 7: a lot more often than we think. So, you know,

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Speaker 7: Braylan Allen could be a high end RB two, maybe

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Speaker 7: even RB one at this point if Breese Hall misses

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Speaker 7: time and you might be able to play him when

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Speaker 7: Breese Hall is healthy. Like, that's the perfect backup running

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Speaker 7: back to have on your roster. So if he's still

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Speaker 7: available out there.

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Speaker 1: You got to go get him.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he should not be on any way wires.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's it's not even like a Blake Korham

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Speaker 2: situation where I got one one garbage time mop up

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Speaker 2: duty and then it was right back. He's a real

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Speaker 2: deal and he's got the town we Steve ray Davis

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Speaker 2: is another guy like that. He I think he scored

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Speaker 2: a touchdown in that last Bill's game, and that's probably

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Speaker 2: gonna happen a lot because, like you said, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: have positive leading game scripts, which is where more rushing

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Speaker 2: production happens. I'm going to talk about a guy that

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Speaker 2: hell me win a prop last week, and that was Tyler.

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Speaker 2: That is Tyler Batty of the Denver Broncos. He's available

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Speaker 2: pretty much everywhere. But I think he's worth a speculative

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Speaker 2: ad because you know, just as Juel McLoughlin kind of

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Speaker 2: broke out at a time last year and then you

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Speaker 2: know this early this year he had fifteen touches, Batty,

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Speaker 2: I think maybe do the same thing. You know, Sean

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Speaker 2: Payton's been hinting at it these last couple of weeks,

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Speaker 2: and their other backs have just been super inefficient, like

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Speaker 2: Davonte Williams hasn't been able to get it going, hasn't

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Speaker 2: averaged Davonte hasn't averaged four yards to carry.

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Speaker 3: For thirteen game straight, he's been under four.

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Speaker 2: He's been under three in all every single game this year,

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Speaker 2: as has McLaughlin. So Peyton's like, hey, it's hard to

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Speaker 2: work three guys in, but I can do two. And

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Speaker 2: so this I think this will not only help Baty

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Speaker 2: get you know, into the rotation, because he seems like

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Speaker 2: the best back at this point, but it might still

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Speaker 2: only be a two man rotation, which then puts him

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Speaker 2: in you know, that category more like a Bucky Irving

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Speaker 2: than like, you know.

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Speaker 3: A guy stuck in a three way rotation.

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Speaker 2: But just to show people like Okay, why are we

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Speaker 2: talking about Tyler Batty this Bronco offense. None of those

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Speaker 2: guys have been efficient at all. Baby nine for seventy

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Speaker 2: last game, ten for eighty six on the season. His

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Speaker 2: only touch last season went for a touchdown. Every time

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Speaker 2: this guy gets the ball, something good happens. And that

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Speaker 2: is something we just have not seen in the Denver

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Speaker 2: backfield in a long time. And Sean Payton, like the

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Speaker 2: fans are clamoring for it in Denver, and Sean Payton's

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Speaker 2: not even disagreeing. He's actually giving very thoughtful responses and

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Speaker 2: then doing it like he followed it up. That's how

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Speaker 2: I kind of was put onto betting Javonte is under

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Speaker 2: because I'm like, I don't think he's gonna get, you know,

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Speaker 2: the same amount of carries if he struggles like he's

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Speaker 2: done for the last twelve games, and he didn't in

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Speaker 2: that he didn't get the mop up duty in the

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Speaker 2: fourth quarter, and even before that, you know, Baby was

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Speaker 2: kind of swinging in and out a little bit. So

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Speaker 2: I think he's an aspecutive ad because he could end

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Speaker 2: up as that number one back and he has a

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Speaker 2: lot of juice.

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Speaker 3: So if he's getting.

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Speaker 2: Even you know, twelve thirteen, fourteen touches a game instead

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Speaker 2: of you know, five to six seven.

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Speaker 3: That could be very valuable for him.

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Speaker 2: But I do think he's gonna factor in, and I

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Speaker 2: think it might start this week. It's not a great matchup,

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Speaker 2: but it could be the opposite. It could be a

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Speaker 2: situation where the Jets blow him out and so they

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Speaker 2: give it the ball to him a ton weight, just

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Speaker 2: to see what he has again, and then they're like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: he's for sure our guy, and then you're going forward

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Speaker 2: because I think bo Nick took a big step forward

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Speaker 2: in that Bucks game and show that he's, you know,

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Speaker 2: at least a competent. He can be competent at times.

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Speaker 2: So I think the the Broncos offense might be slowly

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Speaker 2: trending up a little bit as well.

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Speaker 3: So he's a guy wou to add there.

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Speaker 2: And then one other guy got to talk about is

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Speaker 2: not Marshaun Lloyd, not AJ Dillon, but Emmanuel Wilson of

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Speaker 2: the Green Bay Packers. He outproduced Josh Jacobs last week.

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Speaker 2: You know, Jacobs had that monstrous Carrie game a couple

289
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Speaker 2: weeks ago, and then last week, you know, they gave

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Speaker 2: him more breathers and Wilson, who looked really good even

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Speaker 2: in the season opener against the Philadelphia Eagles, continue to

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Speaker 2: produce with you know, twelve for fifty on the ground

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Speaker 2: and then two for thirty five and one through the

294
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Speaker 2: air Jacobs which is at fourteen for forty three and

295
00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:13,480
Speaker 2: one for five receivings.

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Speaker 3: So I think this guy Wilson.

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Speaker 2: Remember they used to have Aaron Jones and aj Dillon

298
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Speaker 2: combination there, So I think if if Wilson plays him,

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Speaker 2: plays this well and continues to do it, especially with

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Speaker 2: the beating Jacobs has been taken this year and just

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Speaker 2: in years past, especially for his age, I do think

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Speaker 2: Wilson may be may be able to work in and

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Speaker 2: it unfortunately might be.

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Speaker 3: The role they had envisioned for Marshawn Lloyd.

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Speaker 2: But I think William I think a Manuel Wilson's actually

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a more complete back like he

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Speaker 2: hasn't you know.

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Speaker 3: He's just a back you could do. He could do everything.

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Speaker 2: So I think he's another guy worth a speculative ad

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Speaker 2: Jwan Jennings, I mean that was dollars he put up.

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Speaker 2: I don't even want to say brand and I you

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Speaker 2: numbers because I don't I don't know if Brandon and

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Speaker 2: I got the three.

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Speaker 3: Teddies with big yes like that, so he put up

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Speaker 3: Brandy Moss numbers. Put it that way.

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Speaker 2: A little bit of a tricky situation because you don't

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Speaker 2: know exactly when and how long everyone's going to be out.

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Speaker 3: You know, McCaffrey's probably not coming back, but.

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Speaker 2: That's like the least relevant, you know, Debo Kittle, how

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Speaker 2: long term is?

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Speaker 3: It probably not going to be super long term, But so.

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Speaker 2: How are you kind of approaching Jennings here because he

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Speaker 2: clearly showed that he has a talent in this offense.

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Speaker 2: If he didn't the opportunity, and he did in the

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Speaker 2: postseason two, let's not forget yep.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, he's always been sneaky good. Just there's so many

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Speaker 7: pass catchers in this offense. So with you know, McCaffrey out, obviously,

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Speaker 7: Debo out for a few games, and then once Kittle

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Speaker 7: was ruled out, you know, Jennings shot up my Week

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Speaker 7: three ranks up into like the wide receiver three range,

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Speaker 7: and he delivered a big time eleven catches, one hundred

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Speaker 7: and seventy five yards, three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: As you alluded to.

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Speaker 7: So I think he's gonna be in the wide receiver

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Speaker 7: three mix, you know, as long as Debo's out, which

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Speaker 7: again should be one or two more games.

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Speaker 1: Who knows, but you know, if.

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Speaker 7: Kittle's out again, it could push him up to high

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Speaker 7: end wide receiver three, maybe wide receiver two range. I

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Speaker 7: haven't gone through that scenario yet, but I would just

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Speaker 7: be careful of bidding too much on him just because

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Speaker 7: he might be like a one to three week rental.

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Speaker 7: You know, he's gonna have some pretty good short term value.

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Speaker 7: But once you know Debo's back Kittles back, you know

358
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Speaker 7: it's going to be harder for him to really rack

359
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:09,760
Speaker 7: up this many catches. We have to remember the forty

360
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Speaker 7: and iers offense is still a very run heavy one

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Speaker 7: even without McCaffrey, So you know, this week they're at

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Speaker 7: home against the Patriots, they might not have to throw

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Speaker 7: that much. So I just think the best time to

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Speaker 7: add Jennings would have been last week before having to

365
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Speaker 7: just you know, blow your load on him after this

366
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Speaker 7: three touchdown games. So I still think you should try

367
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Speaker 7: to get them, but again, don't go crazy because he

368
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Speaker 7: just had the best game of his career and what

369
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Speaker 7: will best game of the season for him, So don't

370
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Speaker 7: go crazy. But again, if you need a one to

371
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Speaker 7: three week rental, you could certainly do worse.

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Speaker 1: A guy that's a little bit more under the radar

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Speaker 1: right now would be.

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Speaker 7: Romeo Dobbs, who's available in fifty seven percent. Leagues have

375
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Speaker 7: to figure a lot of people dropped him after Jordan

376
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Speaker 7: Love went down, which is understandable. You know, he was

377
00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 7: not going to be an option as long as Malie

378
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,119
Speaker 7: Willis was under just because it was going to be

379
00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:04,399
Speaker 7: such a run heavy offense, but with Jordan Love expected

380
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 7: to return this week, you know, if you look at

381
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,200
Speaker 7: Romeo dobbs routes run rate, he's operating as the number

382
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Speaker 7: one wide receiver in this offense, so he's going to

383
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Speaker 7: get a huge boost with.

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love back.

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Speaker 7: Probably can't start him this week against the Vikings, of course,

386
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Speaker 7: but he's a guy that you want on your bench

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Speaker 7: because this is a very crowded, you know, wide receiver room.

388
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,919
Speaker 7: But if one or two guys go down, you know,

389
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,280
Speaker 7: he could push wide receiver three, wide receiver two value.

390
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Speaker 7: So he's just the guy that's been dropped recently that

391
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 7: if you're in a deeper league, I would definitely consider

392
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Speaker 7: stashing him.

393
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Speaker 3: It's kind of.

394
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Speaker 2: Weird how he's just like post hype, you know, sleeper

395
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,879
Speaker 2: payoff almost because I remember you, Mea and some other

396
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,600
Speaker 2: people in an industry were really high on Dobbs' rookie year,

397
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 2: and then it was just kind of I mean, he

398
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:50,159
Speaker 2: definitely got the opportunity and earned all that, and it

399
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 2: was he was decent, but he never really broke out.

400
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,880
Speaker 2: And then all of a sudden he turned around and

401
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 2: they got all these other talented guys on the team.

402
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 2: And somehow he's operating as the number one, and it's

403
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:04,640
Speaker 2: almost a because you're like, Wicks is sexier, Watson is sexier,

404
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 2: Jaya reads like they all have just better athletic profiles, better,

405
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,720
Speaker 2: you know, just more fun to watch with. Dobbs is

406
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: kind of like a technician out there. You don't even

407
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,119
Speaker 2: see a lot of his best work because it doesn't

408
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,359
Speaker 2: it happens. Well, he's off screen, you know, running routes,

409
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 2: but it's he's definitely the top target in the red zone,

410
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 2: at least for now, even though you would think Watson is,

411
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:29,320
Speaker 2: Dobbs is the guy at least Jordan Love tends to

412
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Speaker 2: look for the most. So it'll be interesting just to

413
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Speaker 2: see how it could, like how it continues, because it's

414
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 2: continued longer than I thought, considering like all the other

415
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:39,360
Speaker 2: guys are starting to break out and.

416
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:40,000
Speaker 3: They're kind of healthy.

417
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Speaker 2: So but yeah, I agree, I think Dobbs is a

418
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,919
Speaker 2: good player. It is just he's the most limited, I

419
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:47,920
Speaker 2: think of all the four. So it's just it's just

420
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,600
Speaker 2: kind of an that he got himself into this situation

421
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 2: and now we can't get more than a fifty percent

422
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 2: dot Savian Wicks a route rate.

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Speaker 7: At any Well, my week one line was like fifty five.

424
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:06,080
Speaker 7: He hasn't clear, but he's creeping up to that's just math.

425
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 2: He can only have it. He can only go so

426
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: high before it starts. It's just it's no more routes available.

427
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Speaker 6: Yeah, he's kind of eating into Watson's role. It looks

428
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 6: like yeah, yeah, I mean it's a good problem to have.

429
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Speaker 1: I guess, oh yeah, absolutely.

430
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Speaker 3: My guy was Quentin Johnston.

431
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Speaker 2: So you know, we've been trying to figure out who's

432
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 2: this charger receiver to owners and uh but Konki obviously

433
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,040
Speaker 2: looks good, and we thought Palmer would kind of be

434
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 2: the guy with Herbert, but you know, Herbert's kind of

435
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,600
Speaker 2: banged up in it out of the line. But regardless of

436
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 2: what's going on, I've been impressed with Johnson. He does

437
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,119
Speaker 2: look like a different player, a little bit reminiscent of

438
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,400
Speaker 2: the way Mike Williams uh in a similar body type,

439
00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:45,919
Speaker 2: looked really bad his first year in the league, and

440
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 2: it just nothing slipped. And then year two it's not

441
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 2: just the production is there, but the guys looks. He's

442
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: moving better on film, he's getting open, he's more explosive,

443
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 2: he knows where to be Uh.

444
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 3: So, you know, Quent Johnson.

445
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 2: Is a guy that at this point he's still available

446
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,480
Speaker 2: in about sixty percent of leagues. I would take the

447
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 2: flyer on him just because even if Herbert is in

448
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,640
Speaker 2: and out of the LINEUPOWL year, which would be rough,

449
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:12,640
Speaker 2: and even if they are going to be a run

450
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 2: heavy team, he's he's already popping and he does have

451
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 2: that first round talent, and every team he's one guy,

452
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 2: So it's still passing league. Everyone's throwing, you know, at

453
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 2: least fifty to fifty five percent of the time in

454
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: almost every game, less you're melik Ollist.

455
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 3: So I would take a flyer on him at this point.

456
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 2: I think, unfortunately, it's probably gonna be him and not

457
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 2: Joshua Palmer because like Paulmer just hasn't been able to

458
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 2: get on a field and that just doesn't bode well

459
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,479
Speaker 2: for practice. And you know that now he's really got

460
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 2: two guys passed him up already with mconkie and and Johnston,

461
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 2: so you can't even rely on him for the same

462
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 2: type of role. So yeah, I think Johnson's the guy.

463
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 2: All right, tight end, who do you like?

464
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 7: Well, the shit show position, I'm gonna go with Tyler Conklin,

465
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 7: who's available in eighty five percent of leagues. You know,

466
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,440
Speaker 7: he had big game this week, five catches for ninety

467
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,639
Speaker 7: three yards, and he's a player I thought, could you know,

468
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 7: have a breakout with Aaron Rodgers under center. And his

469
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 7: underlying usage has been phenomenal this year. You know, this

470
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 7: week he ran around a ninety five percent of Rogers dropbacks.

471
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,640
Speaker 7: It's up to ninety percent on the season. So when

472
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 7: you know he does start seeing targets, you know he

473
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,479
Speaker 7: could easily produce tight end one numbers. He's not going

474
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 7: to be consistent, but really nobody is right now at

475
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 7: the tight end position, so you could do worse than him.

476
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 7: And he doesn't have a receiving touchdown yet. But you know,

477
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,119
Speaker 7: with Aaron Rodgers, if he does become one of his

478
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,359
Speaker 7: top red zone targets, he could offer you know, more

479
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,199
Speaker 7: long term tight end one value. But I think for

480
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:45,760
Speaker 7: now he's certainly a speculative badge just based on his

481
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 7: underlying usage and again just given how good Aaron Rodgers

482
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 7: has looked the past couple of games.

483
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: So he's he's widely available.

484
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 7: I doubt he's going to require that much of a

485
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 7: bid to obtain anyway. But he's a guy if you're

486
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,480
Speaker 7: really struggling at tight end to take a fire.

487
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 3: On, Yeah, pay a doll for him.

488
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 2: I don't think anyone's competing with you for tire Conquin

489
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 2: even though the position has been rough.

490
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 3: But we should, Uh he would be.

491
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's got the routes and because he's got Rogers,

492
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 2: he's got a quarterback to look his way because you

493
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 2: know Rogers is he's gonna take what's there. And uh,

494
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 2: I'm thinking we should start like a like a Kaoten

495
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 2: Invitational or something where we try to draft the guys

496
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,120
Speaker 2: that have the most routes without getting targeted every week.

497
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,440
Speaker 1: Well that's my low.

498
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 7: Like every snap is like you get points for snaps

499
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 7: and the negative points for like them doing anything right

500
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 7: into my under strategy, would be a first round pick.

501
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he would. Man, he's right at the top.

502
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,359
Speaker 2: But I don't know if anyone's beating out in right now.

503
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, THEO Johnson he's getting there, but Conquin is not.

504
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 3: That's the point.

505
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 2: That's why we want to He's getting the ninety percent

506
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 2: route rate and he is pretty at least in some games,

507
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 2: and that's more than even most of the elite tight

508
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 2: ends can say at this point, uh, for me, gotta

509
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 2: go co comet here still available in about three quarters

510
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 2: of leagues because understandably that, you know, that first game

511
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 2: of the season, when he was playing behind Gerald Everett,

512
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:20,880
Speaker 2: you can't really afford to hold on to a guy

513
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,199
Speaker 2: like that at this kind of position, so a lot

514
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: of people ended up dropping him, understandably so. But it

515
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 2: looks like he's back because it's not just the production

516
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 2: last week, and he did catch ten balls. It was

517
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 2: a wild game. I don't know if you're going to

518
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 2: see a shootout like that. It wasn't even if she

519
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:37,640
Speaker 2: was like a low scoring shootout.

520
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 3: It wasn't right. But it was just that crazy watched it.

521
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 3: It was forth back and forth.

522
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:45,120
Speaker 2: Not and no score at the goal line and turn

523
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,399
Speaker 2: over this, and it's just everything was going crazy in

524
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 2: that one. But regardless, the underlying usage, which is what

525
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 2: we really care about, has gone back to essentially what

526
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 2: it was last season, and it's it tends to be sticky,

527
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:00,679
Speaker 2: which is why we were act to it. You know,

528
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 2: if it changes, then we have to go, all right,

529
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:03,959
Speaker 2: well now he can't trust this guy anymore. But if

530
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 2: it goes back we look okay, well, because usually the

531
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 2: most recent game is going to be the most predictive

532
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 2: game of how he's going to be used going forward.

533
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 2: So we have really two games now of him being

534
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 2: used about, you know, in a sixty to seventy percent

535
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 2: range with Everett down you know, into the forty and

536
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:19,679
Speaker 2: thirty percent range in terms of the.

537
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 3: Snap and route splits.

538
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,879
Speaker 2: So as long as you know he's getting that, you

539
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:26,360
Speaker 2: know he's on the field for at least two thirds

540
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 2: of the past snaps, which it looks like he's going

541
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 2: to be now. Uh, he's really dangerous, really talented guy.

542
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 2: And this week even he has on paper at least

543
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 2: a good matchup against the Rams, they are dead last

544
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 2: in DVOA to the tight end position, so he should

545
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,680
Speaker 2: be usable this week. But he could, I mean, he

546
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 2: could make he can make real noise. One of the

547
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 2: the he's one of eight tight ends that actually has

548
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:59,199
Speaker 2: at least one hundred expected yards through three weeks, so

549
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,680
Speaker 2: you know that, yes, that's just position is just a

550
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 2: wasteland and any any tech model you look at it,

551
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, cot.

552
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 7: My rank for him this season has been like the

553
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 7: Bears cult game, just chaotic back and forth like you

554
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:16,080
Speaker 7: open tight end thirteen after week one, Okay, tight end

555
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 7: thirty and tight end twenty five. Now he's my tight

556
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,440
Speaker 7: end ten. I'm also assuming Key and Allen's gonna miss

557
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 7: another week. I think if Kean Ellen returns, that might

558
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 7: you know, dock his target shair a bit. But yeah,

559
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 7: he's clearly the top tight end right now. Uh and

560
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 7: again tight end position is such a dumpster fire right

561
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 7: now that he is a tight end one for me

562
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 7: this week? Man, is anyone a tight end learning? Did

563
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 7: that even exist? Is tight end advice by Travis Kelcey.

564
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 7: Projection is the lowest I've ever seen, and he's still

565
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,959
Speaker 7: tight end one because nobody can. Nobody can pass him

566
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,280
Speaker 7: up with you know, Laporta and Kittle looking really if

567
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 7: he Evan Ingram's if you this week it's just everyone

568
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 7: everyone mayhem.

569
00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 2: Like people like can Kate score a touchdown in the

570
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 2: Monday and Monday night game and people are railing on

571
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:04,520
Speaker 2: him because he didn't get the snap share that they

572
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 2: wanted it It's there's really just no.

573
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 6: And they Bowers Bowers kind of flop.

574
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 7: Yeah, it could be like Ferguson or Dallas Goddard could

575
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 7: be my tight end when this oh.

576
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 2: Man Goddard, Yeah, he bucked the track because he was

577
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 2: always the guy with no variants, consistent four catches, forty

578
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 2: five yards, probably no touchdowns, and he just went turned

579
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 2: that all around and said, no, you know what, I'm

580
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 2: just gonna go for a buck.

581
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 3: Buck sixty or whatever.

582
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 2: Finally, yeah, so that's yeah, that's the only positive development

583
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 2: of everyone getting hurt.

584
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 3: He was offenses.

585
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts finally remembered that he has a really talented

586
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 2: uh tight end to throw to. Just want to let

587
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,639
Speaker 2: everybody know that our sister company, Playmaker, just released a

588
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:51,040
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589
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:56,360
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590
00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:00,920
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591
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,679
Speaker 2: NFL Network, So be sure to check it out. And

592
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:06,919
Speaker 2: with that, here's Mike and our Boybeast Mode himself to

593
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: tell you about Action Pro.

594
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 4: Try and get your chicken betting on the NFL this season.

595
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,160
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596
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597
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598
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,640
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599
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:30,120
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600
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:36,440
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603
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604
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,560
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605
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606
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,600
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607
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608
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 5: You know what I'm saying.

609
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to.

610
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 2: It's all important defense and kicker. Streamers will start with

611
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 2: defense a week number four.

612
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 3: We don't have it.

613
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 2: We got that one huge favorite, but everyone's gonna have

614
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: the Niner defense already rostered.

615
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 3: So where are you looking?

616
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 7: Yeah, no, this is a rough week when it comes

617
00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 7: to streaming defenses. Right now, it looks like my top

618
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 7: defense is the Titans that you know, they're available in

619
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 7: ninety six percent of the leagues. They're my number five defense.

620
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 7: But it's so close. I have like ten to fifteen

621
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 7: defenses all within like you know, half a point, so

622
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 7: I could see a lot of turnover in this range.

623
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 7: But I think this is a sneaky spot for them,

624
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 7: despite you know, looking at the schedule and seeing at Miami,

625
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 7: just considering Tua is probably gonna miss this week with

626
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 7: this concussion. So you know, Skyler Thompson was a disaster

627
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 7: last week. Not sure if they're gonna roll with him

628
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 7: again even if he's healthy. They might go Tim Boyle,

629
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 7: they might go Tyler Huntley, but just the offense look

630
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 7: really bad, and you know the Titans defense, they have

631
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 7: too new pieces on defense that could take them a

632
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 7: few games to really gel like they've been encouraging to see.

633
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 7: I will say that Jeffrey Simmons picked up an arm injury,

634
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 7: so I'm monitoring his status. If he ends up being

635
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 7: ruled out, they might drop like outside my top ten.

636
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 7: But as of right now, you know, Tennessee is my

637
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 7: number five defense. Like you mentioned, a lot of the

638
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 7: top defenses this week are just their own to ninety

639
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 7: plus percent of leagues right now.

640
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be a really, really tricky week.

641
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 6: But right now I'm leaning the Titans as my streaming defense.

642
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, because it comes down a match up at the

643
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 2: end of the day. Because you kind of hit on

644
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 2: it when you said you have all these defenses projected

645
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 2: so close together because defenses themselves really it's hard to measure,

646
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 2: you know, the different the variance between individual defenses. You know,

647
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: over time you start to see things and pressure rate

648
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: things like that, or you just know who the talented

649
00:30:56,200 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 2: guys are. But what really comes down to these weeks

650
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 2: is going to be matchup. And so my top defense

651
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: this week is in that same game as the Miami Dolphins,

652
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: and they.

653
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 3: Could be the worst defense in the league. They could

654
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 3: be the best defense.

655
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 6: In the league.

656
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 2: I don't care, because they're going against the Titans offense

657
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 2: and Will Levis and he's just a turnover machine.

658
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 3: He just can't help himself.

659
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 2: So you know, this guy has already thrown you know,

660
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 2: multiple pick sixes. He's thrown six interceptions on the year.

661
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 2: They've also had a few fumbles. I mean, it is

662
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 2: just it's just every week you have like one of

663
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:34,600
Speaker 2: two of those or three of those camera pants to

664
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 2: Will Levis with his helmet off, because he never just

665
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 2: keeps his helmet on, like I don't know if he

666
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 2: knows that they're zooming in on him, Like, bro, you

667
00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 2: might want to be more, you know, just kind of

668
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:47,200
Speaker 2: blend in after you make these crazy turnovers, but same

669
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 2: thing every week, and it's just like, oh my god,

670
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 2: I can't believe.

671
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 3: I just did that.

672
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 2: So it's either him and their offense is good enough

673
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 2: in between turnovers to still consider you know, like passing

674
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 2: it at a decent rate and not not just going straight.

675
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: League willis on you to where sometimes hard to get

676
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 2: points that way as a defense. So it's like the

677
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 2: perfect storm of matchup here. And the other thing I

678
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 2: like about the Miami side of it is, I mean,

679
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,040
Speaker 2: I know they were kind of a popular, you know,

680
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: sharp play last week and didn't really come through for people,

681
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 2: but they were on the road in Seattle. That's that's

682
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,479
Speaker 2: a tough way to play. Now they're back home and

683
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 2: the Titans are favored. A's a revenge game because the

684
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 2: Titans came back on them on Monday Night Football last year.

685
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get a motivated Miami Dolphin defense

686
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 2: against the sitting duck quarterback and offense that will turn

687
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: them ball over.

688
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 1: Yeah.

689
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

690
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 7: I mean last week I had for Shaun Gary to

691
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 7: get a sack. I was saying, like, my sack model

692
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 7: is like broken. He was showing insane value. Sure enough,

693
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 7: he was. He got the first sact of the game.

694
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 7: They overturned it because I think rust and Smith was offside,

695
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 7: and they got like eight or nine sacks. He was

696
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 7: kind of in a few of them, but my god,

697
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 7: how I didn't end up with one sack or just

698
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 7: a half sack and that was, you know, something else.

699
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 1: That kind of something up my week. But yeah, I

700
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 1: think that.

701
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 7: Yeah, the Dolphins defense is an absolute phenomenal play this week.

702
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 7: Just Levis is getting sacked and then you get those turnovers,

703
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 7: so yeah, they're a great play this week as well.

704
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then you get like a first down to

705
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins and keep it going again because you need

706
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 2: those he does drop if you don't get a pick

707
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:26,200
Speaker 2: six or whatever a turnover, you need them to extend

708
00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 2: the drive and they can do that at some point.

709
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 3: So yeah, perfect, Okay, kicker.

710
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 2: Not always is even as uh as kind of I

711
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 2: think nuanced is defense is just more you're kind of

712
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 2: looking for a team that's going to score a decent

713
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: amount and maybe get stopped and stalled in the red

714
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 2: zone a bit. But those are the guys are usually available.

715
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 2: But who do you like at kicker this week?

716
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: Yeah? No, I think kicker is way more predictive.

717
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 7: Again, defense a lot of the top defenses every week,

718
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:56,400
Speaker 7: you know, got lucky with a pick six or you know,

719
00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 7: big splash plays. Kicker much more stable that. I think

720
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 7: we have a consensus on the top kicker this week.

721
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,560
Speaker 7: For me, it's Matt Prater. He's my number one kicker.

722
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 7: The Cardinals have the highest team implied team total to

723
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 7: open the week. They're at home indoors against the Commanders,

724
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 7: so you know they should be able to drive quite

725
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 7: a bit. Prader is an excellent kicker. I think he's

726
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 7: still at seventy five percent beyond fifty hards in his

727
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 7: career or something crazy.

728
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 1: So just an.

729
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 7: Absolute fantastic play available ninety percent of the leagues. I'd

730
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 7: bid dollar or two on him to get him this

731
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,439
Speaker 7: week if you really need a win this week. So yeah,

732
00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 7: Matt Prater by far the top streaming option for me

733
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:40,520
Speaker 7: this week.

734
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 3: Yeah.

735
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,959
Speaker 2: And what I like about him too is I still

736
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 2: like to look at the matchup and you know, not

737
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 2: just I mean obviously the projected score, but to see

738
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 2: how the matchup is doing. And when you look at

739
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:56,160
Speaker 2: the Washington Commanders we are going against this week, they're

740
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: in the top fifteen in terms of most attempts given

741
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:02,320
Speaker 2: up on field and extra points. And that's pretty impressive

742
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 2: because they spent one whole game facing a team that

743
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 2: didn't have its kicker as that giant game. So so

744
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,320
Speaker 2: like there's actually doing They did all that in two games.

745
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 2: So I think the the expectation here is, you know,

746
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,239
Speaker 2: this total has shot up to the highest of the week,

747
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 2: I believe at fifty fifty fifty and a half fifty one.

748
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 2: I mean, and after we saw what we did on

749
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 2: Monday night from Daniels and company and what we know

750
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 2: about that defense, I think the only wordy here is

751
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 2: they only score touchdowns. But uh, you know that's I

752
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 2: feel like there's that's just unlikely. You know, you're gonna

753
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:36,880
Speaker 2: get stopped in the red zone, You're gonna get stopped

754
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 2: on some drives, and like you said, pray to Ka

755
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 2: boom it. He's indoors bad defense. So yeah, he's my

756
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:45,879
Speaker 2: top kicker two and is available in uh see over yeah,

757
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:47,280
Speaker 2: over ninety percent of weeks.

758
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 3: So all right, that is gonna do it.

759
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: For our NFL Week four Waivers episode. Be sure to

760
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,839
Speaker 2: subscribe to the Fantasy Flex podcast you don't miss an

761
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 2: episode all season long, Kerner and I are dropping three

762
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 2: per week. Check out fantasylabs dot com for all of

763
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:07,439
Speaker 2: our fantasy football content, projections, rankings, tools, and more. Don't

764
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:11,320
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766
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767
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769
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:38,279
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770
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:41,560
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