WEBVTT - Nvidia Stock Surges and the DOJ Comes After Live Nation

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news from Marhard.

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<v Speaker 2>We're Innovation, Money and Power co lie in Silicon Valley, NBN.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Caroline hide A Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York,

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<v Speaker 3>and I'm Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Technology.

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<v Speaker 3>Coming up you know it. Full coverage on Nvidio as

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<v Speaker 3>its sales forecast lives up to those very high expectations.

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<v Speaker 5>Plus, the Department of Justice takes aim to break up

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<v Speaker 5>Live Nation.

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<v Speaker 4>Details to come, but.

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<v Speaker 3>First let's check in on these markets and more broadly

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<v Speaker 3>on these two singular names. If we want to highlight

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<v Speaker 3>for you front and center, we focus in on Live

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<v Speaker 3>Nation and down more than five percent. The US Justice

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<v Speaker 3>Department and almost thirty states suing Live Nation Entertainment that

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<v Speaker 3>they want to force the company to sell off the

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<v Speaker 3>ticketing giant ticket Master. In response, Live Nations saying once

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<v Speaker 3>again that it is not them, but is the artist

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<v Speaker 3>teams that set prices, not Ticketmaster, and they dispute the

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<v Speaker 3>fact that they are in any way a monopoly. Power

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<v Speaker 3>will have so much more as we go live to

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<v Speaker 3>the DOJ. Meanwhile, in video up more than nine percent,

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<v Speaker 3>extraordinary and eclipsing one thousand dollars. We therefore have a

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<v Speaker 3>of course share split that will be music to retail

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<v Speaker 3>investors ears. But what is music to investors is, more broadly,

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<v Speaker 3>is the fact that they do post more than two

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and sixty percent jump in revenue year on year growth. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>wonder therefore, the share price is up in excess of

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<v Speaker 3>that over the last twelve months, as well ed so

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<v Speaker 3>much to digest in terms of revenue future revenue potential

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<v Speaker 3>fact that they're going to double yet again twenty eight

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollars in the next quarter.

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<v Speaker 4>Look at this chart.

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<v Speaker 5>This chart shows the market value or market capitalization of Nvidia.

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<v Speaker 5>It's currently at almost two zero point six trillion US dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>What that chart on your screen on the Bloomberg terminal

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<v Speaker 5>is showing you is that Nvidia's value is more than

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<v Speaker 5>Tesla an Amazon combined. Interesting in light of the fact

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<v Speaker 5>that Tesla and Amazon are both customers of Nvidia, and

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<v Speaker 5>it sells h one hundreds to both of them in

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<v Speaker 5>this session alone. As you just pointed out, we're up

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<v Speaker 5>more than nine percent. We've added almost two hundred and

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<v Speaker 5>twenty billion dollars of market cap in a single session,

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<v Speaker 5>or in other words, Nvidia has added almost two Intel's

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<v Speaker 5>worth of market cap in a single session. Let's get

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<v Speaker 5>the reaction to the numbers from Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Conngensabani

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<v Speaker 5>here in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 4>The story is pretty clear.

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<v Speaker 5>They're selling to the hyperscalers to a lesser extent, but

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<v Speaker 5>the growth is that they've moved beyond the hyperscalers. That

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<v Speaker 5>seems to be the read.

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<v Speaker 6>Exactly and something really like we have been pointing on

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<v Speaker 6>for a while, view want the enterprise piece to grow.

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<v Speaker 4>It did grow fast for.

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<v Speaker 6>The very first time in the last many quarters, because

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<v Speaker 6>enterprise is much more diversified and.

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<v Speaker 3>Sticky when we're thinking about the stickiness when we're thinking

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<v Speaker 3>about the ultimate value longer term. Many were worried about

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<v Speaker 3>this so called air pocket, the shift to the more

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<v Speaker 3>the Blackwell architecture. Is that something that we saw any

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<v Speaker 3>hint of how are we going to see companies replacing

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<v Speaker 3>their technology?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's two aspects to it.

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<v Speaker 6>If we were in a normal cycle, you would think

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<v Speaker 6>these h one hundreds to last about four to eight

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<v Speaker 6>years and replaced on that cycle. But what we are

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<v Speaker 6>seeing is right now, the biggest customers are racing. I

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<v Speaker 6>would want to use the analogy of a pit stop

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<v Speaker 6>in a racing where if you want to go cheap

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<v Speaker 6>and hire a less prominent crew less technology lower parts,

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<v Speaker 6>you can't afford to spend few seconds when you're fighting

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<v Speaker 6>for milliseconds. That's what's happening with its customers. They can't

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<v Speaker 6>afford to slow down and not purchase the most greatest

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<v Speaker 6>and latest new product that puts out because everyone's competing

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<v Speaker 6>against each other.

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<v Speaker 3>The certainly are, but for now we know where the

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<v Speaker 3>market share is ending up country in Savanni. We thank

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<v Speaker 3>you for the latest from Blouemberg Intelligence. For more from

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<v Speaker 3>a portfolio manager perspective, Franklin Equity Group Senior vice president

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<v Speaker 3>and portfolio manager Jp Scandalios, who oversees three point nine

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollar Franklin Small MidCap Growth fund, you oversee a

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<v Speaker 3>holding an Nvidia.

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<v Speaker 4>It has been a.

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<v Speaker 3>Wise choice, friend, Jp, talk to us about what was

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<v Speaker 3>the most important line coming from executives yesterday?

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<v Speaker 7>Certainly, and good morning and thank you for having me.

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<v Speaker 7>And just to be clear, we don't We no longer

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<v Speaker 7>own Nvidia in my MidCap fund.

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<v Speaker 8>I don't think it would qualify as a MidCap.

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<v Speaker 7>The most important thing we heard, I think is that

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<v Speaker 7>cadence that you refer to that Hopper is doing quite nicely,

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<v Speaker 7>and Hopper two hundred is coming, has started shipping, and

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<v Speaker 7>then before the end of the year we'll see Blackwell

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<v Speaker 7>one hundred and Grace Blackwell soon they're following in twenty five.

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<v Speaker 8>And so they have.

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<v Speaker 7>They are putting up such velocity and product introduction that

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<v Speaker 7>they're making it very difficult for challengers to keep up

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<v Speaker 7>with them, especially since you heard Jensen say it yesterday.

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<v Speaker 8>They're a platform company.

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<v Speaker 7>All the software, all the firmware, all the APIs around

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<v Speaker 7>that GPU, all the networking, and so they're really semiconductor

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<v Speaker 7>analysts such as myself, we don't see a lot of these,

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<v Speaker 7>and that's why you're seeing unprecedented numbers and growth rates

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<v Speaker 7>because this artificial intelligence opportunity is really a secular one

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<v Speaker 7>and perhaps one of the largest in our lifetime. The

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<v Speaker 7>only person I can think over the last two or

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<v Speaker 7>three years who's had as much competitive success as someone

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<v Speaker 7>like Patrick Mahomes for the chiefs, This is just incredible

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<v Speaker 7>and unprecedented.

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<v Speaker 5>JP Franklin across all of its properties and all the

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<v Speaker 5>funds has a lot of exposures in video. Right, And

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<v Speaker 5>I know a lot of people at your firm. They

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<v Speaker 5>call you, mister Nvidia. You know your brain focused and

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<v Speaker 5>you're probably going to keep your job for the time being.

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<v Speaker 5>You've done a good job so far. Jensen one's getting

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of airtime. Right, He's got a lot of momentum.

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<v Speaker 5>He has an answer for everything, and just bear with

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<v Speaker 5>me because I want to be accurate on this that

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<v Speaker 5>he's also a little bit inconsistent. Right, So the cadence

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<v Speaker 5>of new product cycles is one new generation of accelerator

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<v Speaker 5>per year. And he talks about how the H one

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<v Speaker 5>hundred generation is designed such that you can just swap

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<v Speaker 5>it out when the new generation comes along, and that

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<v Speaker 5>all the customers have great visibility. But the data center

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<v Speaker 5>guys are lowering exposure. At some point, we have to

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<v Speaker 5>ask when this slows down, right, We have to ask

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<v Speaker 5>when the competition comes, give your sort of most objective

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<v Speaker 5>assessment of that timing.

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<v Speaker 7>Certainly, and you make extremely important and our points. And

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<v Speaker 7>a Franklin equity group, we try to maintain discipline and

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<v Speaker 7>don't let my youthful looks surprise you. I've been aronounced

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<v Speaker 7>to the nineties. I've seen these booms and busts, and tech,

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<v Speaker 7>the tech sector is known for this. Correct, And you're

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<v Speaker 7>absolutely right for those of us who've been doing this

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<v Speaker 7>for twenty eight thirty years, in Vidia through no fault

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<v Speaker 7>of their own semiconductors. In general, it's a cyclical business

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<v Speaker 7>and you do get these boom busts, and people do

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<v Speaker 7>miss quarters. And if I were to wager, I'd be

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<v Speaker 7>on your side that there will be a quarter or

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<v Speaker 7>maybe two quarters where these cloud guys decide, oh, you

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<v Speaker 7>know what, we have enough GPUs right now, we have

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<v Speaker 7>enough dgx's.

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<v Speaker 8>We're going to pause for now. And so you're absolutely right.

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<v Speaker 7>There will be you know, it's not going to be

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<v Speaker 7>linear and up to the right, which Wall Street loves.

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<v Speaker 7>So there will be a time where shares get hit,

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<v Speaker 7>where an air pocket does happen. And so, yes, you

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<v Speaker 7>have to remain disciplined. You have to do your DCF,

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<v Speaker 7>you have to do your modeling, you have to talk

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<v Speaker 7>to the customers, you talk to competitors, and be very disciplined.

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<v Speaker 3>JP for sure, stick with us JAP scandalios of frankline

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<v Speaker 3>equity groups.

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<v Speaker 5>So it's got out to Bloom based Lucas in New

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<v Speaker 5>York City. Lucas leads our screen time coverage, that's our

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<v Speaker 5>coverage of the entertainment industry. And something that the Attorney

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<v Speaker 5>General said Lucas was about illegal actions trying to protect

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<v Speaker 5>a dominant market position. But what is it that the

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<v Speaker 5>DOJ is accusing Live Nation of actually doing to keep

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<v Speaker 5>the competition down.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, that's some of what we'll have to see as

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<v Speaker 9>as the case continues. You know, I don't think anyone

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<v Speaker 9>in the music business would question that Live Nation is

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<v Speaker 9>the most dominant player in the business right It's the

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<v Speaker 9>number one promoter. Ticket Master is the number one ticket seller.

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<v Speaker 9>What the government seems to be arguing is that Live

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<v Speaker 9>Nation has used those two businesses to sort of self

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<v Speaker 9>reinforce each other and strengthen its position. So, for example,

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<v Speaker 9>you know, it would tell a venue that if you

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<v Speaker 9>want to book a certain artist that Live Nation promotes,

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<v Speaker 9>you need to use ticket Master as your ticket seller,

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<v Speaker 9>or vice versa. You also heard in those Merrick Garland

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<v Speaker 9>comments that it believes it's gone and acquired any potential competitors,

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<v Speaker 9>granted much smaller competitors, but done so to consolidate control

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<v Speaker 9>in certain markets. It also has issues with these exclusive

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<v Speaker 9>deals that Live Nation and Ticketmasters strike with venues that

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<v Speaker 9>sort of lock in a relationship for a long period

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<v Speaker 9>of time. They believe that there should be multiple ticket

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<v Speaker 9>sellers at certain venues. You know, people have made claims

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<v Speaker 9>like these in the past, and it'll be really interesting

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<v Speaker 9>to see whether a court.

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<v Speaker 4>Is open to them.

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<v Speaker 3>There has been a response from Live Nations saying the

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<v Speaker 3>DOJ's lawsuit won't solve the issues that fans care about

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<v Speaker 3>relating to ticket prices, service fees, and access in demand shows.

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<v Speaker 3>And they're calling ticket master monopoly. Maybe a pr win

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<v Speaker 3>for the DOJ in the short term, but it will

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<v Speaker 3>lose in court. A sentiment that some analysts are agreeing

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<v Speaker 3>with that this is going to be a very high

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<v Speaker 3>bar to having originally signed off on a deal to

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<v Speaker 3>then unwind it in this horizontal manner.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 9>Look, the government approved this deal more than a decade

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<v Speaker 9>ago with a lot of conditions. Live Nation has been

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<v Speaker 9>under scrutiny. There's been a consent decree for most of

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<v Speaker 9>its existence. Since that deal, there's sort of been this

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<v Speaker 9>looming threat of federal investigation. This is the kind of

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<v Speaker 9>the first big suit that we've in a while. You know,

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<v Speaker 9>I think investors will see it as an overhang on

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<v Speaker 9>the stock because there is uncertainty as to what this

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<v Speaker 9>will mean. I think most will probably still air on

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<v Speaker 9>the side that it's unlikely that it gets broken up,

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<v Speaker 9>but there will need to be some behavioral remedies, as

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<v Speaker 9>they say, to Live Nation, to satisfy the government.

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<v Speaker 3>It is so good to have one Luca Sure right

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<v Speaker 3>here in the building in New York. We appreciate him

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<v Speaker 3>weighing in on this landmark case. Meanwhile, let's get back

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<v Speaker 3>to what is really driving sentiment in the benchmarks today.

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<v Speaker 3>It is AI enthusiasm in is one Nvidia. It is

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<v Speaker 3>back to portfolio manager Franklin Equity Group's senior vice president

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<v Speaker 3>as well JP Scandalios and JP just returning to some

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<v Speaker 3>of the enthusiasm we heard from not just CEO CFO

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<v Speaker 3>over at Nvidia and some of the concerns that still

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<v Speaker 3>are about so called air pockets, the shift to the

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<v Speaker 3>most powerful chips and architecture they offer, but also China.

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<v Speaker 3>I just want to get to grips with really how

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<v Speaker 3>much of a concern it is there.

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<v Speaker 7>It's been an issue for the whole industry, including equipment,

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<v Speaker 7>semi connector equipment. So that's largely embedded or understood. The

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<v Speaker 7>US government restrictions, certainly believe it or not, impeded growth

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<v Speaker 7>or slowed growth. But in Nvidia and others have chips,

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<v Speaker 7>and they're making chips the L forty h twenty that

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<v Speaker 7>are despect if you will, that fall beneath the government restrictions.

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<v Speaker 7>The unknown for people like me is that the government

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<v Speaker 7>might move the goal line, if you will, and so

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<v Speaker 7>you have to stay on top of that. It's just

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<v Speaker 7>another variable to consider. But that headwind, if you will,

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<v Speaker 7>has already been communicated and is understood by the market.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, JP, I mean the pushback from Nvidia is that

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<v Speaker 5>there is unanswered demand all around the world that will

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:54.559
<v Speaker 5>make up for the shortfall. I've been just taking a

0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:56.679
<v Speaker 5>look at Dell, look at the Gainsdell showing, and look

0:11:56.720 --> 0:11:59.560
<v Speaker 5>at Intel moving to the downside, and I wonder how

0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:02.760
<v Speaker 5>much they going to be like a disintermediation between Nvidia

0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:06.120
<v Speaker 5>the people it relies on, like Dell, its rivals, because

0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:09.079
<v Speaker 5>in Nvidia is a systems vendor now, isn't it, JP?

0:12:10.559 --> 0:12:13.840
<v Speaker 7>As I said earlier, right, they consider themselves a platform

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:17.520
<v Speaker 7>company if you will, they will sell individual GPUs or

0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:23.040
<v Speaker 7>GPU cards. But yes, with the software and all the firmware,

0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:27.400
<v Speaker 7>they do consider themselves a systems or a platform company.

0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:30.679
<v Speaker 3>Certainly, we want to thank you so much JP Scandalias

0:12:30.679 --> 0:12:33.480
<v Speaker 3>for holding over to keep giving us your expertise from

0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:36.079
<v Speaker 3>the research research angle and indeed the investment angle of

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 3>Franklin Equity Group. Thank you. Let's just shift our attention

0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:41.440
<v Speaker 3>to telecoms now, and there's the news out of billionaires

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:44.079
<v Speaker 3>Avier Neil. He's exploring a bid to buy out other

0:12:44.120 --> 0:12:47.400
<v Speaker 3>shareholders the Latin American telecom provider Millicom, which will value

0:12:47.400 --> 0:12:49.720
<v Speaker 3>the carried about four point one billion dollars. Neil's holding

0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 3>company that's at this investor estimate, says it is exploring

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:56.640
<v Speaker 3>financing options to support an offer price of about twenty

0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.640
<v Speaker 3>four dollars per Minicon common share, though it cannot guarantee

0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:02.920
<v Speaker 3>and off will materialize, and there's already the bigger shareholder

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 3>in the company with the twenty nine per cent stake.

0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 3>We want to dive deeper though, into this industry right now.

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:10.079
<v Speaker 3>We want to talk about it from the US perspective

0:13:10.280 --> 0:13:13.000
<v Speaker 3>and globally. One of the biggest telecom providers here is

0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:14.760
<v Speaker 3>at and T and I pleased to say that the CEO,

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:17.240
<v Speaker 3>John Stankey joins us now fresh off comments from a

0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:19.559
<v Speaker 3>company's multi year growth strategy over at the JP Morgan

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.679
<v Speaker 3>Technology Conference, and I just want to weave in the

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:25.040
<v Speaker 3>era that we're sitting in at the moment, the fact

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:27.800
<v Speaker 3>that we just hear from Johnson, Wang and Ai and

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 3>we're talking about open versus clothes. We're talking about infrastructure needs,

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:33.840
<v Speaker 3>equipment needs, to talk about energy efficiency, and in many

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.200
<v Speaker 3>ways you're having a very similar conversation over in the

0:13:36.200 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 3>world of telecoms at the moment innovation, the needs for

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:42.640
<v Speaker 3>open and in particularly god An Ericsson fourteen billion dollars

0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 3>spend revamp wireless network focus. You want to have an

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 3>open platform?

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:48.720
<v Speaker 4>Why we do?

0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:51.680
<v Speaker 2>And we're pretty excited about what I heard before because

0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 2>the more workloads Jensen produces that you have to go

0:13:55.720 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 2>somewhere and we like carrying those around on our networks,

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 2>whether they're wireless or fix. So it's an exciting time

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 2>to be in telecom. And our point of view is

0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:06.680
<v Speaker 2>if you're going to scale at the level we're talking about,

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 2>you need to have more cost efficiency and you need

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:12.560
<v Speaker 2>to be able to scale more dramatically and so open

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 2>separating hardware and software and our infrastructure starts to give

0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 2>us that cost curve and that flexibility, and that's going

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:21.560
<v Speaker 2>to be critical to have the agility to move forward

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 2>in this environment.

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 3>Agile at a time why wireless demand is plateauing, maybe slowing, No,

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:28.560
<v Speaker 3>not at all.

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.680
<v Speaker 2>Wireless demands up thirty percent a year and it's not

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 2>slowing down. And I think as you start to look

0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:37.800
<v Speaker 2>at where we are with what's occurring from a usage perspective,

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 2>you start getting workloads that come out of AI, it's

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:43.360
<v Speaker 2>going to continue to fuel that. And really it's one

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 2>of the key things that this country needs to deal

0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 2>with is if you're going to continue to see usage

0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 2>go up thirty thirty five percent a year, you've got

0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 2>to build bigger highways to take that. And that all

0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 2>comes on the foundation of spectrum, and we need to

0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:58.000
<v Speaker 2>make sure we got policy right in this country to

0:14:58.040 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 2>get more spectrum out there to deal with the rise workloads. So, yeah,

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.080
<v Speaker 2>a handset demand might be coming down a little bit,

0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 2>we're not seeing quite the growth we saw ten years ago,

0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:10.760
<v Speaker 2>but the utility of connected devices, how people are using

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 2>those handsets and the demand for the traffic that they

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 2>generate isn't coming down at all.

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 5>John, Good Morning, is ED in San Francisco. Look, my

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:22.000
<v Speaker 5>head is often outside the bounds of our atmosphere and

0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 5>up in space, and I was really interested to see

0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 5>your deal with AST. You know, Starlink is doing a

0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 5>lot with the other carriers. I just wondered, in the

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 5>first sense, if you have a really clear view of

0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 5>what the addressable market is for Constellation Direct to sell.

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.120
<v Speaker 2>I think we have a view of it, Ed. I

0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 2>don't know whether or not we're going to all understand

0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:47.760
<v Speaker 2>exactly how consumers are going to use this, but we've

0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 2>done a lot of work to not only understand who's

0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:54.800
<v Speaker 2>the segment of the population that truly needs always on connectivity.

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 2>I mean, that's really what we want to do here.

0:15:57.480 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 2>Most people wake up in the morning they say, I

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:01.680
<v Speaker 2>can't for to be off the Internet. And some folks

0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 2>have a lifestyle that take them to places where they do,

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 2>unfortunately get to the bottom of the Grand Canyon on

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 2>a rafting trip and can't continue to post to their

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 2>website about what's going on with their family and it's

0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.600
<v Speaker 2>really important to them, or they have an important business call.

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 2>There's others who do it incidentally. Maybe they're on a

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 2>road trip and they're out on an interstate somewhere and

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 2>they drive off the network and they need it for

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 2>a day. So we know those kind of behaviors in

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 2>our customer base because we run the networks and we

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:32.800
<v Speaker 2>know what our customers are doing. We think there's a

0:16:32.840 --> 0:16:35.400
<v Speaker 2>good application for this, just like when somebody leaves the

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 2>United States and needs to roam on a network outside

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 2>the US to make sure that they're connected when they're

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:43.920
<v Speaker 2>in Europe or Asia or wherever they're going. So this

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 2>is just the next step and simplifying connectivity and ensuring

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 2>customers be connected wherever they.

0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:54.720
<v Speaker 5>Go, John YaST and not STYLINGK and SpaceX well.

0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 2>As you pointed out at it's a nascent area where

0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:01.440
<v Speaker 2>the technology is starting to develop. We think AST has

0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:05.359
<v Speaker 2>done a remarkable job of getting the technology right where

0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:09.280
<v Speaker 2>it's consumer centric. The customer doesn't have to change any

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 2>equipment and doesn't have to change anything they're doing with

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 2>their handset, and they can still avail themselves of the service.

0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:19.080
<v Speaker 2>That's really important in our view, and so what we

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:21.479
<v Speaker 2>have going on in other parts of the industry is

0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:24.920
<v Speaker 2>we're kind of taking satellites and services that we're fit

0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:30.240
<v Speaker 2>for fixed wireless connections or fixed satellite connections and now

0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:33.440
<v Speaker 2>trying to make the mobile and it's a little more

0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:36.359
<v Speaker 2>clunky as a result of that. So I think what

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:39.399
<v Speaker 2>we're looking at is cost performance, how do we make

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:41.440
<v Speaker 2>it easy for the consumer? And I don't think there's

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 2>going to be one winner. I think there's going to

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:46.679
<v Speaker 2>be multiple opportunities going forward or providers, and we think

0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:49.199
<v Speaker 2>that's good for us, especially when we have partnerships that

0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:52.159
<v Speaker 2>ultimately we can have the right kind of relationships to

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 2>satisfy the needs of our customers.

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:56.919
<v Speaker 3>Satisfying the needs of a customer, you articulate it very

0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 3>well why we as customer is going to need more

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 3>and more data, more and more wallas, but the actual

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 3>business of selling wallness has kind of been slowing for

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 3>you and competitors. How do you stand apart, how do

0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:12.119
<v Speaker 3>you make sure people reach the AT and T versus

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Verizon T Mobile when you have had some hits, perhaps

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.720
<v Speaker 3>to worries about data security for example.

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 2>First of all, despite the fact that customer net ads

0:18:22.080 --> 0:18:25.639
<v Speaker 2>are slowing, utility and use is continuing to grow, and

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:28.280
<v Speaker 2>so we had a very good year. When you think

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 2>about what happened from a service revenue growth perspective, we

0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:34.719
<v Speaker 2>led the industry. We're still seeing healthy growth. It's a

0:18:34.720 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 2>bit higher than what the GDP levels are and an

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 2>infrastructure business like ours, that's kind of what you want

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:43.400
<v Speaker 2>to see happen, and so it's not a bad thing.

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:46.280
<v Speaker 2>But in terms of what we do going forward on

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:49.160
<v Speaker 2>this is it's what I just talked about. Customers want

0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:52.639
<v Speaker 2>to be connected everywhere. Customers want to make a simple

0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 2>decision of how they get on the internet. They don't

0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:57.920
<v Speaker 2>wake up in the morning relishing having two or three

0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:00.880
<v Speaker 2>relationships to be able to use my phone when I'm

0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:02.879
<v Speaker 2>on the go, or my phone at home or my

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 2>computer at home. They want to call somebody say just

0:19:05.320 --> 0:19:07.440
<v Speaker 2>get me on the internet. And I think our position

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:09.359
<v Speaker 2>at AT and T is about doing that better than

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.199
<v Speaker 2>anybody else. And our focus is on making sure we

0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:15.560
<v Speaker 2>take our great fiber assets, we take our wireless business,

0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 2>bring it together, start to do things like add value

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:21.760
<v Speaker 2>to a customer to ensure that their privacy is protected,

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:25.400
<v Speaker 2>their traffic is secure. They only have to call one

0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:27.359
<v Speaker 2>place to get it done at a great value. They

0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:29.400
<v Speaker 2>can use it in the grand Canyon, they can use

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 2>it at home. That's the race we're on right now,

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.119
<v Speaker 2>and that's what we're focused on doing at AT and T.

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:36.639
<v Speaker 3>John Sanker, I wish we had more time. Thank you

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.679
<v Speaker 3>so much for talking us through the focus and of

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 3>course some of those commitments to the financial goals that

0:19:42.000 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 3>were reinstated yesterday and restated at the JP Morgan event.

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:47.720
<v Speaker 3>We thank him so much. John Stanking of AT and T,

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 3>ed what have you got?

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 5>Okay, So coming up on the show, we're going to

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 5>check back in on in video. We have to and

0:19:52.400 --> 0:19:55.879
<v Speaker 5>discuss the outlet for AI accelerators. Also an AI to

0:19:55.920 --> 0:20:01.359
<v Speaker 5>AIPC Lenovo softer nine tenths. We percent third successive quarter

0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:05.919
<v Speaker 5>of profit beating, and again we talk about the Asian

0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 5>OEMs really moving quickly on the AIPC. Dell came out

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:13.439
<v Speaker 5>this week, so did Asus. This is heating up, so

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 5>we'll keep tracking it. From SF and New York. This

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:16.360
<v Speaker 5>is Bloomberg.

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to me Meg Technology.

0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:27.720
<v Speaker 3>I'm Caroline Hide in New York and I.

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:31.000
<v Speaker 5>Med Ludlow in San Francisco. Nvidia is the top story

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:33.560
<v Speaker 5>of the day. It's been the top story for quite

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:35.520
<v Speaker 5>a long time, so let's look at the markets in

0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:38.680
<v Speaker 5>the moment. The stock is up almost ten percent, more

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:41.960
<v Speaker 5>than ten percent now, But there are other names impacted here, right,

0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:46.840
<v Speaker 5>so we talk about AI accelerators, GPUs. The reality is

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:49.399
<v Speaker 5>that Dell is higher because it's a beneficiary of what

0:20:49.400 --> 0:20:53.560
<v Speaker 5>we're seeing. You know, they need Dell for literally the

0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:56.399
<v Speaker 5>boxing up of the server. But also Dell has a

0:20:56.440 --> 0:20:58.840
<v Speaker 5>lot of experience in the sales channels that Nvidia does

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:01.440
<v Speaker 5>not if Video's never had to sell to enterprises or

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 5>smaller customers, and so it seems like there's some feel

0:21:04.119 --> 0:21:07.120
<v Speaker 5>good association between those two names. How long it lasts,

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 5>anyone's guess. And to the downside, Intel's down more than

0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 5>three percent. That might be AI accelerator related, right, It

0:21:13.160 --> 0:21:15.679
<v Speaker 5>might just be that the market sees in Video pulling

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 5>even further ahead.

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:18.399
<v Speaker 4>But there was some.

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:22.920
<v Speaker 5>Commentary about in Video moving into other products, namely PCCPUS,

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 5>which is Intel's everything. Could we see competition there. Let's

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:30.400
<v Speaker 5>go back to that market cap chart just one more time,

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.480
<v Speaker 5>humanly carriage, just once once more, because I feel like

0:21:33.840 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 5>this might not happen again for a long time. The

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 5>combined value of or in Vidia's market value, total market

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:44.000
<v Speaker 5>cap is greater than Tesla and Amazon combined. Again, both

0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:48.240
<v Speaker 5>Tesla and Amazon are customers of Nvidia. It's just an

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.639
<v Speaker 5>illustrative example of what's happened the run up in value

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 5>that Nvidia has had, but also it's kind of leaked

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:57.800
<v Speaker 5>everyone and the technology side of things as well. It

0:21:57.960 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 5>is the market for AI, as several said this week, but.

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 3>It's helped float many boats that demand and exuberance around AI.

0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 3>Let's get the broader market implications and bring in Blue

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:12.840
<v Speaker 3>Bag Intelligence Chief Ecuty Starts Tinette, Martin Adams, and wmon'to

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 3>stock specific. We all go industry specific. Have you got

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 3>to be all in on tech right now?

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:21.600
<v Speaker 1>I think there are other opportunities bubbling up in the

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 1>index outside of technology, and we're seeing sort of that

0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:28.080
<v Speaker 1>play out real time. When the course of twenty twenty four,

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:32.400
<v Speaker 1>we look at thirty different themes in our bi thematic

0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:36.720
<v Speaker 1>library and we look at stocks exposed to those themes.

0:22:37.080 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 1>What we find is, of all the stocks exposted themes

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>in Navidia is not even the most the best performing stock.

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:46.919
<v Speaker 1>We're actually seeing themes in physical environments start to outperform

0:22:47.000 --> 0:22:50.840
<v Speaker 1>themes of tech. Semen's energy is the best performing sort

0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 1>of multi theme stock in our overall library. And I

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:56.920
<v Speaker 1>think this is evidence of what's happening in the broader market,

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:59.600
<v Speaker 1>and that is Tech was the story, without a doubt,

0:22:59.640 --> 0:23:02.719
<v Speaker 1>it was the only story of twenty twenty three that

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:05.879
<v Speaker 1>resulted in a lot of attention, a lot of capital

0:23:06.000 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 1>flowing into tech. Navidia of course at the center of

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:13.000
<v Speaker 1>that story. But as we move through twenty twenty four,

0:23:13.040 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 1>we're starting to see other.

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 3>Earnings grow of the merge.

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 1>We're starting to see commodity prices hopping again. We're starting

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:23.199
<v Speaker 1>to see growth prospects improved for financials as well as

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 1>industrials companies. Even consumer and healthcare companies are on the

0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:30.160
<v Speaker 1>growth board for this year. So while tech is still

0:23:30.160 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 1>important and certainly essential to the broader market, given it

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 1>still is the largest sector, these are still the largest

0:23:37.160 --> 0:23:39.919
<v Speaker 1>stocks in the S and P five hundred, we're starting

0:23:39.920 --> 0:23:45.119
<v Speaker 1>to see interest spread reflecting fundamental conditions improving in the

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:45.879
<v Speaker 1>rest of the market.

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.920
<v Speaker 5>Right now, we went into this saying this would be

0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 5>a macro level event right largely because of the waiting

0:23:52.640 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 5>of Nvidia relative to the major indices S and P

0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:58.560
<v Speaker 5>five hundred, for example. But if you say it's a

0:23:58.600 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 5>macro level event. You have to acknowledge that something bigger

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 5>is happening around the world. Like I was interested to

0:24:04.359 --> 0:24:07.600
<v Speaker 5>read that Bloomberg Intelligence has kind of moved on from

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 5>the Magnificent seven and you're now looking at a basket

0:24:10.680 --> 0:24:11.639
<v Speaker 5>of I think it's eight.

0:24:11.600 --> 0:24:16.360
<v Speaker 4>Names in China. What is kind of the thesis there, Yeah.

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean we're just acknowledging what's actually happening in the market. Yes,

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:21.920
<v Speaker 1>these are the biggest stocks and they've commanded the vast

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 1>majority of our attention. But over the last three months,

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:28.119
<v Speaker 1>these biggest Magnificent seven stocks in the United States are

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:31.159
<v Speaker 1>getting out performed by the biggest eight stocks in China.

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 1>As just a representative example of there's a lot more

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>happening in the world today. Again, a year ago, this

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>was all we had. We had very little earnings growth.

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:41.720
<v Speaker 1>The rest of the S and P five hundred was

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>in recession. Navidia came out and told us, gave us

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:48.119
<v Speaker 1>a nugget of optimism that then exploded into some real

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>tangible economic outcomes. Now we're starting to see improvement in

0:24:53.160 --> 0:24:56.440
<v Speaker 1>some of the other segments of the world where growth

0:24:56.480 --> 0:24:58.920
<v Speaker 1>prospects just suddenly start to look a little bit better.

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:02.199
<v Speaker 1>China is a good example of that. China's market is

0:25:02.480 --> 0:25:06.680
<v Speaker 1>and you're moving higher at an exponential pace, reflecting potential

0:25:06.680 --> 0:25:10.240
<v Speaker 1>improvement in conditions there, which clearly we didn't have a

0:25:10.320 --> 0:25:13.160
<v Speaker 1>year ago. We see this kind of in themes, in

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:16.280
<v Speaker 1>pockets across different areas of the world where just other

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:19.840
<v Speaker 1>opportunities are bubbling up that are not related or.

0:25:19.880 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 4>That TECH adjacent.

0:25:21.160 --> 0:25:24.800
<v Speaker 3>You look at utilities on five because of energy demand.

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:26.680
<v Speaker 3>We just hadn s thank you of AT and t

0:25:26.840 --> 0:25:30.399
<v Speaker 3>on and it's all about whiless demand at this moment, Gina.

0:25:30.720 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 3>Where else can you be AI adjacent?

0:25:34.240 --> 0:25:36.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think so. On the utilities point, I think

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 1>this is way overstated. I mean, frankly, when we actually

0:25:40.119 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 1>look at utilities earning statements and we look first mentions

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:47.160
<v Speaker 1>of AI. Even the Census Bureau does a survey every

0:25:47.200 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 1>two weeks of companies across industries, utilities companies are not

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>mentioning AI as a growth prospect. It's really a market phenomenon.

0:25:55.040 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>In my opinion, the reason utilities outperformed in the last

0:25:57.600 --> 0:26:00.879
<v Speaker 1>three months was, yes, in part do this speculation, but

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 1>also because bond yields rallied. Also because markets across the

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:07.679
<v Speaker 1>world corrected, and utilities are a low data sector, so

0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:12.160
<v Speaker 1>this is not necessarily a tech adjacent story. I think

0:26:12.200 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 1>what we look for next is actually the companies that

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 1>are going to spend on AI need to start to

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>see improvement in productivity and improvement in margins as a

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:25.920
<v Speaker 1>reflection of that spend. So this story becomes less about

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:30.200
<v Speaker 1>demand for tech that fuels tech sector growth, which I

0:26:30.200 --> 0:26:33.560
<v Speaker 1>think is going to persist. But nonetheless that's been the

0:26:33.600 --> 0:26:36.080
<v Speaker 1>only real leg of the story phone so far, as

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:38.119
<v Speaker 1>who's going to buy AI and how's that going to

0:26:38.160 --> 0:26:41.600
<v Speaker 1>benefit tech and tech adjacent companies going forward, I think

0:26:41.600 --> 0:26:44.119
<v Speaker 1>will slowly transition to the next leg of the story,

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:47.639
<v Speaker 1>which is who's buying and implementing AI strategies that are

0:26:47.720 --> 0:26:51.800
<v Speaker 1>ultimately resulting in margin expansion and productivity growth. And there

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:54.639
<v Speaker 1>you see a lot of really interesting intel coming out

0:26:54.680 --> 0:26:56.159
<v Speaker 1>of some of the surveys as well as some of

0:26:56.200 --> 0:27:00.639
<v Speaker 1>the transcripts analysis that we do, where companies in professional

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:05.439
<v Speaker 1>services for example, financials and real estate companies across the

0:27:05.480 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 1>border starting to edge their way into this thinking about

0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:11.199
<v Speaker 1>how it can be used as a productivity enhancer and

0:27:11.320 --> 0:27:14.679
<v Speaker 1>margin growth engine for them, how it can create operational

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:18.760
<v Speaker 1>efficiencies going forward, and those are the enduring impacts that

0:27:18.840 --> 0:27:22.200
<v Speaker 1>could help the rest of the sectors that are not

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:24.360
<v Speaker 1>tech at all, but tech implementers.

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:28.480
<v Speaker 5>Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligeny is great to have you

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:29.360
<v Speaker 5>back here.

0:27:29.200 --> 0:27:31.119
<v Speaker 4>On Bloomberg Technology. We really appreciate it.

0:27:31.200 --> 0:27:32.760
<v Speaker 5>Right coming up on the show, we're going to be

0:27:32.840 --> 0:27:35.480
<v Speaker 5>joined by Tribe Capital co founder Argent Seti. It's been

0:27:35.480 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 5>a while since we've spoken. In fact, I think I'm

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:40.159
<v Speaker 5>right in saying Caro, the last time we spoke with

0:27:40.280 --> 0:27:43.760
<v Speaker 5>Argent was with the SVB crisis, and a lot of

0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:46.560
<v Speaker 5>the world has changed since then, so I'm very excited.

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 4>Stick with us.

0:27:47.119 --> 0:28:00.080
<v Speaker 10>We'll be right back. This is Bloomberg Technology.

0:28:01.920 --> 0:28:04.080
<v Speaker 5>Okay, we're all keeping our eyes peeled this hour. We

0:28:04.160 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 5>are waiting to hear from Elon Musk, who's at Vivtech

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:10.359
<v Speaker 5>in Paris, where a key theme being discussed is shock

0:28:10.960 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 5>artificial intelligence must being involved in the space through his

0:28:14.520 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 5>own artificial intelligence company XAI, in particular focus.

0:28:19.240 --> 0:28:20.159
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot to talk.

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:23.119
<v Speaker 5>About, and I'm delighted to say that one investor in XAI,

0:28:23.240 --> 0:28:26.040
<v Speaker 5>Tribe Capital, an investment firm with more than one point

0:28:26.040 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 5>six billion dollars of assets under management, and it's co

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:29.440
<v Speaker 5>founder Argent.

0:28:29.240 --> 0:28:30.800
<v Speaker 4>Thirty joins us here on set.

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:33.199
<v Speaker 5>I was saying before the commercial break, last time we

0:28:33.200 --> 0:28:36.640
<v Speaker 5>spoke was the Silicon Valley bank crisis a long time ago,

0:28:37.160 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 5>and AI has been the vacuum that's filled the filled

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 5>the vacuum in that time.

0:28:42.120 --> 0:28:43.320
<v Speaker 4>Let's just start with XAI.

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 5>You know why you got him, what the merits of

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:49.040
<v Speaker 5>it were, your analysis of what Musk's doing.

0:28:49.840 --> 0:28:52.200
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I think the if you think about the culmination

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 11>of what's been happening in software for the last twenty years,

0:28:55.320 --> 0:28:58.480
<v Speaker 11>it's another AI has just sprung up. We've gone from

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 11>machine learning to AGI, and I think that's a part

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 11>of how to sort of think about the innovation that's happening.

0:29:06.000 --> 0:29:09.320
<v Speaker 11>The data, warehousing, all the way to infering that data

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 11>has been sort of the culmination of what we see today.

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 11>And so if you take a look at open Ai XAI,

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:18.120
<v Speaker 11>I think a way to sort of think about it

0:29:18.200 --> 0:29:21.000
<v Speaker 11>is that you know, two years ago you have zero

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:24.440
<v Speaker 11>people sort of thinking about requests per day around think

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:26.600
<v Speaker 11>about what they could do with AI and AGI. Today

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 11>it's about five hundred million requests with just open AI

0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:32.040
<v Speaker 11>that takes a certain amount of compute takes a their

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:35.280
<v Speaker 11>amount of power. It's almost equivalent to about two percent

0:29:35.320 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 11>of power that Google has today in terms of their

0:29:37.400 --> 0:29:40.800
<v Speaker 11>data centers. That's just one company. So when you have Xai,

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 11>Anthropic a couple of other companies that are going to

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 11>be supporting the next generation.

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:46.680
<v Speaker 5>Of you basically feel like there's enough to go around.

0:29:46.720 --> 0:29:49.160
<v Speaker 5>But what's interesting question is we know you as an

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:52.560
<v Speaker 5>early stage investors. The numbers on the Xai round, which

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:55.640
<v Speaker 5>we reported were astronomical, but you still got in.

0:29:56.000 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I think the the we're quant investors at the

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:01.320
<v Speaker 11>end of the day, even at the earliest stage. That's

0:30:01.360 --> 0:30:04.280
<v Speaker 11>our expertise, this culmination of everything that I've done. And

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:06.320
<v Speaker 11>so what you're able to do is think about growth

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:09.280
<v Speaker 11>and loss. And it's powered by one of the systems

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:11.320
<v Speaker 11>that we have called Termina, which is like how' seen

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:16.240
<v Speaker 11>you account for usage and interpretation of using a product.

0:30:16.880 --> 0:30:19.120
<v Speaker 11>So if you think about growth and loss, you've had

0:30:19.120 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 11>a ton of growth and you've been able to see

0:30:20.840 --> 0:30:24.200
<v Speaker 11>people use these products across not just one product, but

0:30:24.320 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 11>multiple products to be able to save for customer service, voice, etc.

0:30:29.680 --> 0:30:31.520
<v Speaker 11>And so if you think about what we're Xai is

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:34.240
<v Speaker 11>today and what it's going to be in the future,

0:30:34.560 --> 0:30:36.040
<v Speaker 11>or open ayes today and where it's going to be

0:30:36.040 --> 0:30:38.760
<v Speaker 11>in the future. You start seeing ten twenty fifty x

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:41.200
<v Speaker 11>growth patterns, and that's the type of investments you want

0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 11>to make, even at a late stage, because it's got

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 11>early stage paradigms of growth.

0:30:46.400 --> 0:30:49.320
<v Speaker 3>What about future regulation, Arjen, how do you look at

0:30:49.320 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 3>the data for that?

0:30:52.320 --> 0:30:56.360
<v Speaker 11>Yeah? I think look AI for us, at least from

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:57.840
<v Speaker 11>a high level, is the same way in which we

0:30:57.840 --> 0:31:01.120
<v Speaker 11>think about crypto or blockchain is to technolog and so

0:31:01.240 --> 0:31:05.240
<v Speaker 11>how is technology implementing how is it augmenting the software

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:07.440
<v Speaker 11>you're already building or the use case that you have.

0:31:08.120 --> 0:31:11.760
<v Speaker 11>And so when we think about regulatory pressures, I think, one,

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:13.960
<v Speaker 11>we don't know what's happening week to week. It's changing

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 11>very very quickly from open source to closed source systems,

0:31:17.480 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 11>and so when we think about how is regulatory top

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 11>down structure going to impact AI, I think we look

0:31:25.200 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 11>to spend more time thinking about what is it that

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 11>we did in the late nineties and the internet dot

0:31:30.880 --> 0:31:34.240
<v Speaker 11>com era, and how is that type of thought process

0:31:34.600 --> 0:31:39.719
<v Speaker 11>going to help machine learning AI? Software driven innovation actually

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:41.920
<v Speaker 11>help drive it rather than sort of inhibit it.

0:31:42.280 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm really interested as to where ultimately the money flows because,

0:31:46.560 --> 0:31:48.560
<v Speaker 3>as we can see from n Video's market capitalization, a

0:31:48.600 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 3>lot of been in picks and shovels. Many feel that

0:31:51.200 --> 0:31:53.600
<v Speaker 3>it can be in the application layer, many feeling that

0:31:53.640 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 3>it's going to be ultimately in the large language models.

0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:58.560
<v Speaker 3>How do you think about where when's the value going forward?

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, cruel of value really means where usage is going

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 11>to be, So you have to think about the full stack.

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:07.840
<v Speaker 11>So you've got a model, people use that model, people

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 11>are gonna build applications on that model, but that those

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 11>models consume power, and so the more power that you consume,

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:15.120
<v Speaker 11>you're gonna have to start thinking about how's that produced,

0:32:15.120 --> 0:32:17.320
<v Speaker 11>how's that distributed, what do the data centers look like,

0:32:17.400 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 11>what's the future of those data centers. That's why we're

0:32:19.240 --> 0:32:21.479
<v Speaker 11>talking about video, and then the next phase is going

0:32:21.520 --> 0:32:23.400
<v Speaker 11>to be what are the applications that start using it?

0:32:23.520 --> 0:32:27.520
<v Speaker 11>So that full stack will think about supply and demand paradigms,

0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:29.959
<v Speaker 11>and those supply and demand paradigms is going to actually

0:32:30.360 --> 0:32:32.959
<v Speaker 11>change your flow of capital. Today, most of the capital

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:35.720
<v Speaker 11>is happening on the corporate side, not on the venture side,

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 11>and the corporate side is driving the first parts of

0:32:37.880 --> 0:32:39.840
<v Speaker 11>the innovation, and then we come up and start thinking

0:32:39.880 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 11>about where we're gonna spend time on models and then applications.

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:47.160
<v Speaker 5>Last week, I think it was last week, David Sachs

0:32:47.240 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 5>was on the show and he was talking about Glue,

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 5>his AI startup, and I said, well, we know you

0:32:53.080 --> 0:32:55.120
<v Speaker 5>as an investor, and he corrected me and said, well,

0:32:55.160 --> 0:32:59.200
<v Speaker 5>I started in technology, and that's the kind of thinking

0:32:59.240 --> 0:33:01.160
<v Speaker 5>that I have when I think about Termina. You know,

0:33:01.200 --> 0:33:03.920
<v Speaker 5>what is your day to day involvement. Are you just

0:33:04.040 --> 0:33:06.360
<v Speaker 5>kind of hands on? Are you backing them financially? And

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 5>what prompted you to sort of say I can do

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:09.440
<v Speaker 5>this on my own.

0:33:10.120 --> 0:33:13.400
<v Speaker 11>So similar to David and other folks in the industry,

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:15.360
<v Speaker 11>there's a very small set of people that grew up

0:33:15.400 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 11>building products during what I call data one point zero

0:33:19.280 --> 0:33:21.600
<v Speaker 11>to two point zero, right, And so you build products

0:33:21.760 --> 0:33:23.880
<v Speaker 11>understanding how to leverage data to be able to have

0:33:24.640 --> 0:33:27.240
<v Speaker 11>fast iteration. So you think of Facebook, you think of Uber.

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:30.440
<v Speaker 11>What we did is very similar is over the last

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:33.040
<v Speaker 11>ten to twenty years, and the culmination of my life

0:33:33.080 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 11>and my team's work at Facebook and a couple of

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 11>other these companies is like, how do you leverage data

0:33:37.280 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 11>to build and iterated products? And that's what we do.

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 11>So sometimes we build and sometimes we invest. If we build,

0:33:42.880 --> 0:33:44.560
<v Speaker 11>it's because we've got a pattern of growth that we

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:46.880
<v Speaker 11>understand how to do well. So we've done that in India,

0:33:46.920 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 11>we've done that in Mexico. We've been here in the

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:51.120
<v Speaker 11>United States where we take a large chunk or we'll

0:33:51.160 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 11>start zero to one and from there will help propel

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:57.560
<v Speaker 11>that with another team. So I actually think that investor

0:33:57.720 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 11>in build their mindset. Depending on the stage that you

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 11>start isn't too different. It's just do you have the

0:34:02.240 --> 0:34:03.480
<v Speaker 11>expertise to execute it.

0:34:03.520 --> 0:34:09.279
<v Speaker 5>After that, Caroline asked about the regulatory environment about AI.

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:13.600
<v Speaker 5>A moment ago, you have been through what happened in crypto,

0:34:14.360 --> 0:34:18.640
<v Speaker 5>largely through a relationship with an exposure to FTX. Reflecting

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 5>on that experience, you know this is a classic question,

0:34:21.640 --> 0:34:24.319
<v Speaker 5>but how do you not repeat the same mistakes in

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:25.440
<v Speaker 5>this AI cycle?

0:34:26.320 --> 0:34:28.760
<v Speaker 11>I think it always comes down to a supplying demand.

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:30.719
<v Speaker 11>So right now you could ask the same question of

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:35.280
<v Speaker 11>is Nvidia overvalued or undervalue? Right so intrinsically versus options value.

0:34:35.800 --> 0:34:38.280
<v Speaker 11>In crypto, you've had two or three waves where people

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 11>spent their time thinking about speculation rather than intrinsic value,

0:34:42.320 --> 0:34:45.760
<v Speaker 11>and during those pigs and troughs, you started seeing.

0:34:45.520 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 4>More and more intrinsic value.

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<v Speaker 3>Adre and Stephanie, we thank you so much. Co founder

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<v Speaker 3>at Tribe Capital and termin at Ai, an investor in

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<v Speaker 3>xai