1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, single. 2 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:16,600 Speaker 2: Best idea, and thank you so much for our Thanksgiving, 3 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,319 Speaker 2: which is an incredible year for what we're doing in 4 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 2: the digital space, not only with this little thing yette, 5 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: but all of Bloomberg podcasts, what Joe Wisenthal and Tracy 6 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: Laway are doing. Go out to YouTube, subscribe to Bloomberg podcast. 7 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 2: It's a compendium of what we're doing. In live. We 8 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 2: try to do it every morning. Today Live, we did 9 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 2: it with Andrew Slimon. He's wonderful out of Chicago with 10 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley, writes a brilliant note. Get that note through 11 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley, and here's my Thanksgiving gift to you. Bottle 12 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 2: this answer. Andrew Slimmon on the markets. 13 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 3: If I go with my Bloomberg terminal and I look 14 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 3: at what has worked from a style standpoint the last 15 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: ten years, value, you know, dividends, what's worked according to 16 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 3: you're bloom work, it is momentum number one and revisions 17 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 3: number two. Long down the list is things like dividends, quality, value, growth. 18 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 3: It is momentum and revisions. And the reality of the 19 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 3: market is that earnings i e. Revisions are very strong 20 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 3: right now because the economy. For all the talk, earnings 21 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 3: have come in better than what really Wall Street thought, 22 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 3: certainly since April, but even since the beginning of the year. 23 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 2: Slim In physics from the gentleman from Princeton. Let me 24 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: walk through why what he said is so important in 25 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: the Newtonian model of this, which is based around the calculus. 26 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: And take physics where you're like on the road standing still, 27 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 2: and then you have velocity. You put your foot in 28 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 2: the pedal and then you press down or pit the brake. 29 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 2: That's acceleration. The acceleration that's a second derivative. So you 30 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: have an earnings belief out there, and then you have revisions, 31 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 2: which is the change of the belief. And what he's 32 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: saying is what's moving the market. And I think of 33 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 2: Gena Martin Adams now on Margins on this as well. 34 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 2: What's so so important here is this quarter after quarter 35 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 2: after quarter of constructive revisions, the second derivative of the 36 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:36,239 Speaker 2: earnings belief, the profit belief in corporations doing better than 37 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 2: good again Andrew Slimming here on the view forward. 38 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 3: My argument, Tom is the stock market is following a 39 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 3: classic behavioral path, which is unfortunately you know that The 40 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 3: only consistency of this business, and you know this bomb 41 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 3: as well as I do, is people SELLO and they 42 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 3: buy high. It's the only all market I know were 43 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 3: when prices go down, people want to sell wells. 44 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:05,799 Speaker 2: Just described by the investment strategy. 45 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 3: Well, it's triple triple log cast whatever you're have. But 46 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 3: look in twenty twenty three, we had just come off 47 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 3: a twenty five percent declining. It was a wonderful opportunity 48 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 3: buy stocks. But the reason why we had twenty five percent, 49 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 3: the client was had was raising rates. So suddenly now 50 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 3: short term rates look attractive. 51 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 2: Andrew slam in there and just a little vignette what 52 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 2: a privilege I had in my ute. A gentleman named 53 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 2: John Galbray's up in Toronto with Templeton Global Investors. Said 54 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: please come up and meet John Templeton and John Templeton. 55 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 2: When I could shave maybe twice a week, I'm lying 56 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,839 Speaker 2: once a week. Said just what you heard there from 57 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 2: the Great Andrew Slimmon of Morgan Stanley. What do we do? 58 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 2: We sell at the bottom, then we buy at the top. 59 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 2: We're in a podcasts Apple and Spotify or and YouTube podcasts. 60 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: It's single best idea