1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: iHeart Radio and welcome back to Coast to Coast George 3 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: Norri with you as I was mentioning a massive solar eruption, 4 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: but they're not sure if it's headed towards Planet Earth. 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 1: William Forsten Bill has been a PhD in history from 6 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: Burdue University, specializing in military history. His secondary areas of 7 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: study included the American Civil War and the history of technology. 8 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: He has been a regular guest on our program for years, 9 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: bringing to us the story of power protecting the power grid, 10 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,520 Speaker 1: his book One Second after Another, One one year after 11 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: and Pillar to the Sky. Mister Forsten, Welcome back. It's 12 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 1: great to be with you again, George. So what's going 13 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,919 Speaker 1: on with the sun this time? Nobody knows what's happening. 14 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 1: I'm looking at spaceweather dot com as we talk. There 15 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: was as they call the failure to launch yesterday the 16 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: twenty ninth. There was a large solar flare, but it 17 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: did not get beyond the Sun's atmosphere, I mean the 18 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: Sun's gravitational pull, because that can affect that. Right now, 19 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 1: they're calling for up to a thirty percent probability of 20 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: severe solar activity and higher out latitudes mid latitudes not 21 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: so much. So we're in another risk point, but not 22 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 1: serious yet, but it could change any day. I saw 23 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: an interesting story today too, Bill that in eighteen fifty nine, 24 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: of course, the Quarantine event, which you know about the 25 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:41,040 Speaker 1: huge flare that knocked out the telegraph system at the time, 26 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 1: But apparently they're saying back in the year seven to 27 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: seven to four, yes, there was a huge, huge coronal 28 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: mass ejection. Yeah, I have read about that. There are 29 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: records in China that that's where we get the information 30 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: from that you could see it in road daylight. They 31 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: thought the sun was exploding. Listen, if they even had 32 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 1: a nineteenth century technology, then event would have been wiped out. 33 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: Even a twenty first century technology would have been taken 34 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: right offline by a storm of that intensity. Are you 35 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: more intentious? I'm sorry, go ahead. Are they happened about 36 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,639 Speaker 1: every one hundred and fifty to two hundred years. Are 37 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: you more concerned about a cm coronal mass ejection or 38 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 1: an EMP an electronic magnetic pulse. That's like the question 39 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: you ask kids, do you prefer to freeze to death 40 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: or fry to death? Yeah, they're both bad. No weapon 41 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: system has ever been built that, at some point or 42 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 1: other somebody hasn't tried to use it. The use of 43 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: an EMP by launching three or four small nuclear weapons 44 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: above the United States two hundred and fifty miles out 45 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: detonate them that triggers an EMP that could cripple the country, 46 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: or a coronal man subjection, same thing. I think both 47 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 1: are inevitable statistically, sooner or later we will be hit 48 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: by a large CMA. And the other side of it 49 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:19,840 Speaker 1: is someday somebody's going to use it as a weapon. 50 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: Has it ever been tested as a possible weapon somewhere 51 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: where it shuts out the power grid? Not that is declassified. 52 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: I've heard rumors. You know, you can create an EMP 53 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: generator that can create a short range effect, but of 54 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: course nobody's actually tried to use. Putting one up in 55 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: space and into the weapon in space and detonating that 56 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: would just be catastrophic. One of your books is called 57 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 1: one second After, what happens one second after? Well, let's 58 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: call the man. You know, I call it a Maslow's 59 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: hierarchy of needs. You know, remember the old you Maslow's hierarchy, 60 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: What you need to stay alive well. Society needs the following. 61 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: If we are hit by an EMP a military use 62 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: of a weapon that sets up a large electrostatic discharge 63 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: that blows our power grid out, the first thing you're 64 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: going to notice is you don't have water anymore unless 65 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 1: you have a gravity fed system. If you have a 66 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: pump or be it for your backyard or for an 67 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: entire city, the water is gone. Item number two food, 68 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: The average community has twenty to twenty five days worth 69 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: of food on hand. Once that's gone, it's gone. Three. 70 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: Medication the average community actually has about several days worth 71 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: of medication on hand. It's delivered every day by FedEx 72 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 1: for its command and control. What about your public safety. 73 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,799 Speaker 1: We've noticed in Uptick and a lot of bad things 74 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: happening in America over the last year. Imagine if there 75 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 1: was no power even for a week or two end result, 76 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:13,239 Speaker 1: people will start getting sick from improper use of water, 77 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: polluted water, gastrointestinal illnesses. People will start getting sick because 78 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 1: of lack of food. People will start getting sick because 79 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: of medication. According to several congressional studies, upwards a ninety 80 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: percent of the population would be dead within a year. 81 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: I use that statistic quite a lot and quote you 82 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: that is staggering and horribly frightful. Well, you know you've 83 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:44,040 Speaker 1: had Peter Prye on your show because of you, of course. Yeah, 84 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: Peter Prye to me is the godfather. He is the 85 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: one who has been blowing the whistle for the alerted 86 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 1: this for thirty years. Peter Prye and I only disagreed 87 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,040 Speaker 1: on one thing, and he actually came over to my side. 88 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 1: He used to say that if we were ever hit 89 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: by an EMP, America would be thrown back one hundred 90 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: years to eighteen seventy. And I'm like Peter, people in 91 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: eighteen seventy knew how to live in eighteen seventy, They 92 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: knew the technology of that time. We'll be thrown back 93 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: a thousand years because nobody knows how the system works. 94 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 1: We have relied too much on electricity, on power, on stores. 95 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 1: Just a few people will be able to make it, unfortunately. Yes, 96 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: you know, I gave a talk two days ago for 97 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: a consortium of power companies in South Carolina. It was 98 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: I learned a lot from this one. These guys were, 99 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 1: you know, the major executives for a number of power 100 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:54,479 Speaker 1: co ops in South Carolina and they're scared. Now, for example, 101 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 1: we get hit by an EMP, it's going to blow 102 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: out our power grid, are wiring all of us wiring 103 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: turns into antennas that pick up the overload and burn 104 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: it out. Transformers are going to go, which come from China, 105 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: by the way. That was That's my point. And what's 106 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: the George, what's the average time for if we need 107 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 1: a major transformer replacement, what's the average amount of time 108 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: needed to get one? Oh, my gosh, way too long. 109 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 1: And that's that's assuming we don't have a couple in stock. 110 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,679 Speaker 1: And see, there's part of the problem that we talked about. 111 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: They don't have the money which they should have to 112 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: stockpile crucial equipment the way we've done in the past 113 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: during the Second World War and such, where we stockpiled 114 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: certain types of weapons or terribly so you know during 115 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: the Cold War with nuclear weapons. And if for some reason, 116 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: Bill China was the country that launched the EMP against us, 117 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 1: they're not going to supply us with transformers, smile and 118 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: give us a middle finger. You know, the average large 119 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: transformer takes two years to be produced, shipped to this country, 120 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: put into place, we're screwed. A good report I read, well, 121 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: not a good report, an accurate report I read several 122 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: years back Doe Department of Energy pointed out that the 123 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:30,239 Speaker 1: average component in our electrical system is about forty years old. 124 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: In other words, we're shipping our power to as our 125 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: electricity over a system that was basically from the nineteen 126 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: seventies nineteen eighties. That's whole technology. I think it's it's antiquated, 127 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: it's absolutely The only thing missing is let's go back 128 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: to copper wires. It just doesn't have the ability. It's 129 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: not robust, and as we're seeing now with crisis regarding 130 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: fuel and other things, we're just barely able to produce 131 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 1: enough electricity to keep the system going. Rolling blackouts are 132 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 1: going to become a real thing. We already are in 133 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 1: some parts of the country. Well, if we're that close 134 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 1: to the edge, just takes a little bit more to 135 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: disrupt the entire system. What did you see to make 136 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: you write one second? After years ago? The Twilight Zone? 137 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 1: By the way, do you remember the Twilight Zone episode? Yeah, 138 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 1: the monsters are due on Maple Street. I think it 139 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:39,679 Speaker 1: was were the aliens just simply turn electricity on and 140 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: off on and off into community and within a half 141 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: hour people are going crazy. But seriously, when I was 142 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 1: in graduate school and studying military history, I had a 143 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: really good court on current military thinking and such, and 144 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: EMP came up as a preemptive first strike capability, meaning 145 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: it could be launched preemptively by a third rate power 146 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,640 Speaker 1: and cripple the opponent in the opening move. Who's the 147 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 1: major player for that? North Korea. 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