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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Action.

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Speaker 2: All Right. Here we go from throwing out so spectest

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Speaker 2: we're sitting up to cash touchdown.

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Speaker 1: We see most gamble iss when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go just winning.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented by the Draftking sportsbook.

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Speaker 4: The Crown is Yours. My name is Matt Moore. I'm

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Speaker 4: a senior NBA writer for the Action Network. But tonight

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Speaker 4: I'm filling in for Evan Abrams here on the NFL

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Speaker 4: Recap episode to go over the good, the bad, and

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Speaker 4: the Arizona Cardinals of it all. On this our recap

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Speaker 4: episode for this week, I'm joining always by NBA Futures

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Speaker 4: Analysts and NFL Better Extraordinary Brandon Anderson at Wheaton Brando

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Speaker 4: on Twitter, and then the Action Network Apple discuss what

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Speaker 4: we saw today and look ahead briefly to Monday night's

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Speaker 4: game between my Kansay Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Plus

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Speaker 4: we'll get Brandon's hot read for next week. Brandon, how

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Speaker 4: you doing, Buddy?

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Speaker 3: I gotta tell you I'm doing a little bit better

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Speaker 3: after Sunday Night Football than I was doing before Sunday

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Speaker 3: Night Football. We get the Pats, well, we'll start with

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Speaker 3: that at the top. I'm sure, man, it's tough out here.

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Speaker 3: It is tough beating the NFL. It has been a

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Speaker 3: hard five weeks of football. There were some weird, weird

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Speaker 3: games today, man, like that. The games we gotta discuss

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Speaker 3: today are between the teams that we kind of already

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Speaker 3: left for dad. And it turns out the NFL is

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Speaker 3: not for long, so maybe some of these left for

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Speaker 3: dead teams are not. Maybe some of them we should

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Speaker 3: will bury a few teams today, maybe overreact a little bit.

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Speaker 3: You know. It's a goofy shaped ball and weird stuff

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Speaker 3: happened today.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm glad that that Monday Night Football worked out well,

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Speaker 4: or Sunday Night Football rather worked out well for both

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Speaker 4: of us. We were both on the New England Patriots tonight.

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Speaker 4: Brandon on the money line in that one as well,

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Speaker 4: because if not, then Brandon was gonna look like that

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Speaker 4: gift of Jim from the office was like, I just

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Speaker 4: wanted to stop that.

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Speaker 2: That was gonna be the vibe of this episode. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna have some fun though. It's gonna be all right,

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Speaker 2: but we're gonna get through this.

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Speaker 4: Uh So we're gonna we'll start with Sunday Night Football

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Speaker 4: as the New England Patriots doing fact not only cover

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Speaker 4: but win outright versus the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 2: I feel like if you look at that.

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Speaker 4: At the numbers, this is a pretty typical. Hey, look,

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Speaker 4: the Bills won the stats and turnovers decided the game here.

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Speaker 4: But my big takeaway was, just like God, drag May's

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Speaker 4: got some toughness in him.

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Speaker 2: That kid took some.

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Speaker 4: Absolute smacks in that first half and kept leading drives.

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Speaker 2: I was really impressed the Drake May's toughness tonight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Drake May has to be the story here.

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Speaker 3: I have leading my notes. Drake May is real and

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Speaker 3: he is spectacular, and it's one of those two like

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Speaker 3: I don't mean to be that guy because I hate

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Speaker 3: when people are that guy. But you look at the numbers,

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Speaker 3: twenty two for thirty two, seventy three, no touchdowns, no interceptions,

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Speaker 3: like not much rushing. Nothing with the numbers tells you

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Speaker 3: anything about Drake May being spectacular. You just had to

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Speaker 3: watch the game. You had to watch and see what

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Speaker 3: he was doing and even though it's crazy, he's he's

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Speaker 3: sacked four times in this game. Four is not great.

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Speaker 3: You don't want to get sacked four times, but the

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Speaker 3: crazy number with that he sacked four times for six yards.

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Speaker 3: So even when he's taking the sack, he's not getting

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Speaker 3: killer sacks, right, he's not losing ten twelve yards, he's

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Speaker 3: not getting strip sacked. He's still really those are positive plays.

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Speaker 3: He's getting pressured because their line's still not that good yet,

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Speaker 3: but he's turning what should be like a ten yard

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Speaker 3: loss and I like a one or two yard loss

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Speaker 3: because he's still kind of scrambling away. And then we

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Speaker 3: saw at the end of the game the superhuman play

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Speaker 3: final drive, so Patra up twenty to ten bills him

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Speaker 3: all the way back. Petris defense I thought was fantastic too.

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Speaker 3: That has to be kind of the co story of

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Speaker 3: the night that as bad as they were to start

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Speaker 3: the year, they look like they're finally healthy and playing well.

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Speaker 3: But that play where Drake is getting rushed, he's going down.

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Speaker 3: He literally is just trying to get out of the

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Speaker 3: pocket so he can throw the ball away, and he

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Speaker 3: puts the stiff arm out, stays on his feet, just

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Speaker 3: long enough to get rid of the ball and then

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Speaker 3: sees Stefan Diggs, who's a monster tonight, and hits him

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Speaker 3: and instead of like an eight yard loss and oh no,

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Speaker 3: let's just try to punk the ball back to Buffalo

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Speaker 3: and not lose in the regulation, which they absolutely would have. Instead,

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Speaker 3: it's like, what a fifteen to twenty yard game? And

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Speaker 3: you know in the NFL today, you're a play away

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Speaker 3: from a field goal now. So that won them the game,

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Speaker 3: that one play right there. And I think this game,

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Speaker 3: I think Drake May was Josh Allen. Drake May is

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Speaker 3: what Josh Allen has become in the last year, is

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Speaker 3: not that he is the best quarterback or close in football,

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Speaker 3: but the guy that's carrying everything else. The Patriots ran

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Speaker 3: nineteen times as running backs for fifty nine yards under

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Speaker 3: three yards of carry. There's nothing there. It's just Drake May.

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Speaker 3: He just went to Buffalo and beat the MVP in

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Speaker 3: the last NDP team pretty much single handily with his offense.

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Speaker 2: This is a good one for Sharp Better. They loved

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Speaker 2: that they loved New England this week.

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Speaker 4: Pretty good week overall for Sharps, Like this was a

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Speaker 4: week when favorites didn't dominate, So games like this, I

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Speaker 4: think we're right for those kind of plays you're seeing

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Speaker 4: a lot of.

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Speaker 2: You know, taking the dogs this week.

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Speaker 4: Was not a bad strategy as far as some It

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Speaker 4: was a pretty even split with a little bit of

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Speaker 4: an edge towards the dogs this week. Going forward, I

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Speaker 4: guess like, here, you know, we're doing this thing where

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Speaker 4: the Chargers come out and we'll talk about them in

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Speaker 4: a little bit, but they come out, they beat the Chiefs,

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Speaker 4: and then they start off hot, and it's like, oh,

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Speaker 4: look at the Chargers, and then the Eagles, and look

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Speaker 4: at the Eagles, and then it was like, oh, look

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Speaker 4: at the Bills, and the Bills really kind of seemed

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Speaker 4: to be in vulnerable here. This one still twenty field

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Speaker 4: goal game turnover margin really wound up deciding it. The

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Speaker 4: fumbles were absolutely massive. Any reason to shake some confidence

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Speaker 4: in the Bills and their path to the AFC.

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Speaker 3: Not a ton of reason for me. But I will

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Speaker 3: say that I'm starting a little bit lower on the

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Speaker 3: Bills than I think public consensus was. Like I thought

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Speaker 3: they were a bit over inflated already, So this doesn't

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Speaker 3: shake where I was on them, But I think that

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Speaker 3: if you weren't where I was, maybe you should move

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Speaker 3: a little bit that direction, but it's the AFC. Look around,

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Speaker 3: it's still clearly Buffalo is the best team. Like for

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Speaker 3: comparison's sake, I was thinking about unveiling the take of

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Speaker 3: are the Patriots the second best team in the AFC.

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Speaker 3: They're not. They're not yet. It's probably the Chiefs, are

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Speaker 3: Jaguars or wins tomorrow, or maybe it's the Colts, but

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Speaker 3: the Patriots might be toward the conversation now, which kind

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Speaker 3: of goes to show you that it's still the Bills.

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Speaker 3: In the first I think Buffalo played badly. I think

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Speaker 3: New England played well, and Buffalo had turnovers, and you

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Speaker 3: know you're gonna have turnovers. Usually Buffalo won't and hasn't

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Speaker 3: been in recent years, so I'm not too shaken there.

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Speaker 3: To me, I have very few Buffalo notes. This was

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Speaker 3: New England's night. Mike Rabel as an underdog of three

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Speaker 3: or more points twenty two and twenty straight up. He

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Speaker 3: has a winning record as an underdog of three more

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Speaker 3: and as a six point dog or more like he

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Speaker 3: was tonight, still over five hundred for his career one

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Speaker 3: hundred seventeen percent. ROI on the money line helpe. You

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Speaker 3: bet it though, because it's not gonna happen again the season.

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Speaker 3: Here's the Patriots story. Here's the schedule for New England

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Speaker 3: going forward. They're now three and two. I'm not skipping

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Speaker 3: teams here, Saints, Titans, Brown's, Falcons, Box, Jets, Bengals, Giants,

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Speaker 3: then the bye week. New England is favored in all

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Speaker 3: of those handily, except at Tampa. Then after the bye

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Speaker 3: week they get the other Buffalo game in New England,

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Speaker 3: then at Baltimore what's supposed to be tough, but we'll see,

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Speaker 3: and then Jets in Miami. That's it. That's the whole schedule.

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Speaker 3: New England is going to be favored in at least nine,

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Speaker 3: maybe ten more games out of their twelve this season.

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Speaker 3: This is a playoff team.

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Speaker 4: I mean saying, aside the fact that you're immediately skipping over,

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Speaker 4: you're putting a team in there that doesn't belong there,

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Speaker 4: because how dairy slander the name of Spencer Ratler by

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Speaker 4: including the Saints in that conversation.

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Speaker 2: Who we'll talk about a little bit.

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Speaker 4: But look, they start off the season with that disastrous

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Speaker 4: loss of the Raiders, which looks fluky as I'll get out,

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Speaker 4: they beat the Dolphins, but only by six.

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Speaker 2: Then there's that weird.

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Speaker 4: Loss to the Steelers, which again was like a really

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Speaker 4: weird game. And it does look like this one is

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Speaker 4: like more stabilizing towards the expectation for the Patriots. I

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Speaker 4: will ask you, Look, they've got tiebreaker over the Bills. Now,

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Speaker 4: is a little bit of value here with that schedule?

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Speaker 4: Is their value on the Patriots when the division plus

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Speaker 4: three fifty a Draftking sportsbook, the ground is yours.

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Speaker 3: Unfortunately, the Bills have basically the same schedule, because you

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Speaker 3: know that's the problem here, that the Bills effectively get

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Speaker 3: the rest of October off until they played the Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: Like that, I believe they have the Falcons and then

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Speaker 3: a bye week and then another kind of lighter game.

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Speaker 3: It's a pretty soft schedule. I think with Buffalo there

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Speaker 3: will be chances to fade them later in the season.

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Speaker 3: I don't think it's there yet. I think it's New

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Speaker 3: England playoffs. I think Buffalo is still gonna end up

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Speaker 3: winning twelve, thirteen, fourteen games just because the schedule is

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Speaker 3: so soft, as long as Josh Allen is healthy. Again,

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Speaker 3: this wasn't even like like you think when you bring

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Speaker 3: up turnovers like, ah, it's the old Bills. Josh is back.

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Speaker 3: This wasn't that they just this was like, oh, it's weird,

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Speaker 3: weird stuff. It's like Mike Tommin was involved in this

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Speaker 3: game somehow. It's weird, weird fumbles and craft happening. And

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Speaker 3: I quite Frank, I think you know, you and I

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Speaker 3: both met the Patriots. I kind of thought we were

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Speaker 3: in trouble at halftime. The Patriots had been better, they

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Speaker 3: were doing great. They should have been up by a

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Speaker 3: lot more than six to three. And I was like, okay,

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Speaker 3: well you're gonna lose now. That's how this skill is.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen's over there, so this is not gonna go well.

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Speaker 3: So you know, they barely hung on. They made the

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Speaker 3: stop in the red zone. They made a couple of

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Speaker 3: big plays and kicked a long field goal to steal

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Speaker 3: a victory in a game where they almost played Buffalo

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Speaker 3: even on the road, which is great, but you know,

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Speaker 3: Buffalo's gonna still win that game most of the time

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Speaker 3: and win most of their other games. I don't mind

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Speaker 3: the division angle. I think that you should have bet

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Speaker 3: it like four hours ago, and I bet Patriots playoffs

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Speaker 3: four hours ago, But I think you never want to

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Speaker 3: be buying in right after the big win. I think

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Speaker 3: there'll be a better spot probably.

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Speaker 2: Elsewhere.

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Speaker 4: The dev Broncos take out the Philadelphia Eagles. Finally, finally

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Speaker 4: someone makes the Eagles pay for their nonsense. Finally someone

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Speaker 4: makes them pay. They finally get caught. Big play of

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Speaker 4: this game, honestly, I thought, was Sean Payton going for

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Speaker 4: two to put them up one, because what that eventually

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Speaker 4: did was it dictated that when the when the Broncos

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Speaker 4: were able to tack on a field goal, now it's

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Speaker 4: a four point game, and now there's more pressure on

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Speaker 4: them to go ahead and get down the field and

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Speaker 4: they're unable to do it.

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Speaker 2: You know, my big kind of question.

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Speaker 4: From this game, as somebody that is a Chiefs fan,

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Speaker 4: how did Nick Sirianni win a Super Bowl?

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Speaker 2: Like?

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Speaker 1: How?

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Speaker 4: Like how did how did that happen? Because I don't understand.

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Speaker 4: This is a guy that that fans were ready to

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Speaker 4: bail on last year, and like he just has a

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Speaker 4: lot of these games, a lot, and I understand they've

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Speaker 4: won eighteen of twenty or twenty five thirty I don't

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Speaker 4: I know, I know, I'm aware, but God, the mistakes

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Speaker 4: that they sometimes made in the way that they play

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Speaker 4: sometimes absolutely annoying on the Bronco side. I don't even

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Speaker 4: know that it was like a big It wasn't like

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Speaker 4: I didn't feel like these late drives in the fourth

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Speaker 4: quarter were like big time step up plays from Bo Nicks.

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Speaker 4: They had sustained drives by Sean Payton featuring the running

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Speaker 4: game had good balance. Nicks didn't make a mistake, deliver

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Speaker 4: when they need to, got the win. Nick Benito was

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Speaker 4: like the MVP today for the Broncos. He was so

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Speaker 4: freaking good today. What was your thoughts on the Eagles

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Speaker 4: getting caught by the Broncos. Of the Broncos cover the

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Speaker 4: plus four and the under forty four and a half

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Speaker 4: is relatively a pretty big breeze.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Nick Giffen was on that under and took his

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Speaker 3: mind shaft. He calls his shoot all the way down

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Speaker 3: and hitting most of those with the analytics team, So nice,

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Speaker 3: easy under on that one. I wanna you know, I've

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Speaker 3: got plenty of slander for Sirianni. I'm gonna reserve today

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Speaker 3: for Kevin Patula, the offensive coordinator, Like just what is

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Speaker 3: happening with this offense? And particularly Matt Do you know

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Speaker 3: how many rushes Saquon Barkley had? Remember the guy that

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Speaker 3: almost broke the rushing record? How many runs do you

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Speaker 3: think you had today?

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Speaker 2: I do not know. Brandon how many rushing rushing attempts

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Speaker 2: that he did? Take one?

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Speaker 3: Barkie he had six, He won six times. Eagles were

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Speaker 3: ahead twenty one, sorry, seventeen to three going into the

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Speaker 3: fourth quarter, and Saguon Barkley had six rushes. Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 3: had thirty eight passes. Okay, now hear me out. I

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Speaker 3: spent all September complaining, well, Jalen Hurts, will you please

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Speaker 3: be a real quarterback and throw the ball? What did

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Speaker 3: Denver do to bate Philadelphia into being like, what if

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Speaker 3: we just don't run today? What if Jalen Hurts passes

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Speaker 3: on Patrick Sertan in this secondary? And what if we

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Speaker 3: released Nick Bonito on our banged up offensive line all game?

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Speaker 3: What if we do that? I don't get it. Hurts

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Speaker 3: got sacked six times. It's always been a problem for

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Speaker 3: him under pressure, and he's not handled it well. I

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Speaker 3: know what he's done in Super Bowls that has still

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Speaker 3: been both true. At the same time, Eagles offensive line

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Speaker 3: I think is not a red flag, but it's at

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Speaker 3: least like yell hell orangeish At this point. Lane Johnson

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Speaker 3: has had some injuries now then Dickerson left hurt. He

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Speaker 3: may go on ir Eagles have a bye week soon,

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Speaker 3: so that could be part of it. At PFF, for

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Speaker 3: the first time in ages listed the Eagles as not

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Speaker 3: their number one offensive line anymore. This has been number

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Speaker 3: one by a mile. This is what makes the Eagles

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Speaker 3: the Eagles. And the run game has not been great

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Speaker 3: this season, so maybe it's just we can't run on Denver.

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Speaker 3: We have a different version today. But Philadelphia had three

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Speaker 3: successful runs today. Three. This is a team that has

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Speaker 3: three successful runs in a row on like half of

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Speaker 3: their drives. It feels like and they just can't do

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Speaker 3: it right now. They're forty percent success rate on the day,

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Speaker 3: twenty three percent success rate on late plays. It's not

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Speaker 3: happening for this offense. And to me, for all the

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Speaker 3: different worries we've had, this is the script for the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Up seventeen to three, that's when you're supposed to be.

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Speaker 3: You could just run the ball and end the game

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Speaker 3: and make it awful. Four plays first down, tush, push tush, push, YadA, YadA.

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Speaker 3: This is the one thing they're supposed to be able

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Speaker 3: to do is defend and run the clock out, and

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Speaker 3: now they can't do that against bow Knick's worst graded

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Speaker 3: quarterback of the season so far. I think there's a

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Speaker 3: lot of reason to be concerned here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Eagles on short week versus the woeful, woful Giants

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Speaker 4: do not have a good day. That one's gonna think

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Speaker 4: be interesting this week to see whether how the line

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Speaker 4: moves on that one and whether or not it's like okay,

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Speaker 4: because sometimes these teams, you know, good teams that are

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Speaker 4: getting by, they finally get the loss and it's like, okay,

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Speaker 4: all right. The only thing I can think of with

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Speaker 4: the Barkley thing is they're trying to save him. But

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Speaker 4: the only thing I can think of it's not like

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Speaker 4: he's old, Like I don't know why you would why

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Speaker 4: you would do that. Also, I'm just wired by the

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Speaker 4: NBA by people not trying their best throughout the course.

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Speaker 2: Of regular this season.

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Speaker 3: I'll say this, The Eagles on Thursday night was my

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Speaker 3: look ahead pick on the last podcast recorded at six

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Speaker 3: and a half. It's at seven now. I honestly strongly

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Speaker 3: consider just doing Eagle seven again on the hot read tonight.

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Speaker 3: I still like the pick. I still like Philly. If

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Speaker 3: it doesn't go well, now I'm really worried. I can

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Speaker 3: handle you losing the Denver. Denver's your real team. The

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Speaker 3: Giants are not a real team. The Giants have the

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Speaker 3: worst run defense in the league. If Saquon Barkley can't

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Speaker 3: run on the Giants, the team that can't stop anyone

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Speaker 3: and that embarrassed him all those years and everything else,

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Speaker 3: now we're in big time trouble. So yeah, to me,

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Speaker 3: sometimes when you lose the game, like you said, sometimes

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Speaker 3: you just want to get back out and play again

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Speaker 3: a couple days later and get back to the thing,

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Speaker 3: you know, and like Thursday night to me, screams, what

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Speaker 3: did we do? We were in six times on Sunday?

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Speaker 3: Sakuon how many carries can you do tonight, buddy forty five? Great,

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Speaker 3: go beat the Giants yourself. Like, I feel like that's

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Speaker 3: probably what's coming. And I think it's the bye week

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Speaker 3: after that, and Eagles probably kind of get right and

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Speaker 3: get figured out from there. But for right now, in

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Speaker 3: this moment, this was not a good spot for them.

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Speaker 3: Kind of maybe the universe writing both teams records. Remember

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Speaker 3: the Broncos lost that Colts game on the like the

339
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Speaker 3: hands on the backfield goal attempt. This should have won

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Speaker 3: that game. Probably the Eagles should have lost like every

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Speaker 3: game so far. So just just put the records back

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Speaker 3: to where they're supposed to be.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it definitely felt like this was the Commas.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 4: I was on Eagles just because I was like, oh,

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Speaker 4: come on, Like you know, I always do this, this

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Speaker 4: home field filip that Brandon hates, and I'm always like, oh,

348
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Speaker 4: come on, but the Eagles can't be like a pick

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Speaker 4: them in Denver and it turns out like, no, yeah,

350
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Speaker 4: they definitely should have been a pick them in Denver.

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Speaker 4: It's about how close it was your favorite side of

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Speaker 4: the week, buddy, I'm gonna make you real of this.

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Speaker 4: I'm very, very sorry your beloved Seahawks, who you have

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Speaker 4: really been high on the last two seasons. Three and

355
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Speaker 4: a half point favorites versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and

356
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Speaker 4: really an incredible showcase between two quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: I'm not even kidding.

358
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Speaker 4: Like Sam Darnold until the last interception was absolutely like

359
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,880
Speaker 4: he was great, Like Baker was still in the show.

360
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Speaker 4: Because it seems like Baker does that every single week,

361
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Speaker 4: especially when he's trailing. But Sam Donald, it was his

362
00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:13,560
Speaker 4: numbers up until that interception were incredible. But this one,

363
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Speaker 4: the Buccaneers come from behind to get the win, plus

364
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Speaker 4: four and a half, plus three and a half covers

365
00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:20,919
Speaker 4: and the over forty four and a half. Give me

366
00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,720
Speaker 4: your assessment right now on the Seahawks, and what you

367
00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:26,159
Speaker 4: take is this, Are you just going to curse the

368
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Speaker 4: name of Baker for the nonsense that he continues to

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Speaker 4: pull off, or are their bigger takeaways for you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean it's the fourth Bucks winn of the season,

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Speaker 3: all four in the final minute of the game, which

372
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Speaker 3: just like how many teams can be frauds At this point,

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Speaker 3: they can't all be frauds. It's like that the Bucks

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Speaker 3: and the Broncos and the Eagles are kind of doing

375
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:46,760
Speaker 3: like the Spider Man mean thing, but Bucks keep winning

376
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:48,880
Speaker 3: for now. You're right. I had in my notes too,

377
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Speaker 3: Baker and Donald like close your eyes, Carolina Panthers fans.

378
00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:53,680
Speaker 3: I remember you had both these guys and are like,

379
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Speaker 3: what if we got draft Bryce Young instead of those two?

380
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 3: Baker and Donald look like legit sleeper MVP candidates. That's

381
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,199
Speaker 3: the sort of style of play they had today, like

382
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,359
Speaker 3: don't don't go buy those tickets. They're not going to

383
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 3: win it. But that's what they played, like their epas,

384
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 3: their CPO e's, all their acronyms were amazing today, Like

385
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 3: everything was great. I'm fine with this, Seattle pick. I

386
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 3: thought both offenses were like nearly unstoppable. Today. Seattle stopped itself.

387
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 3: They missed a field goal, they had a fumble even honestly,

388
00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:27,879
Speaker 3: you mentioned the interception at the end, Like, on the

389
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 3: one hand, you can't throw an interception in a tie game,

390
00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 3: pin back deep with the minute left, you can't. He

391
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,360
Speaker 3: didn't really, It got deflected off of guy's hands, deflected

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Speaker 3: into another thing, Like okay, don't do that. But also

393
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,239
Speaker 3: deflections are going to happen, and it just kind of

394
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,080
Speaker 3: stunk that it happened in that moment. Seattle had a

395
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Speaker 3: fifty eight percent success rate, the Bucks fifty two percent.

396
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,919
Speaker 3: Those are both really good. You think about fifty like

397
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 3: your offense doing anything at once. Neither team could run

398
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,920
Speaker 3: the ball, neither defense could stop the pass. I'm a

399
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,679
Speaker 3: little worried about what that means for Seattle. Defensively, I

400
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 3: thought they'd be able to do a little bit more there.

401
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 3: Seattle defensively didn't really have any answers, but to me,

402
00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:11,879
Speaker 3: here's my takeaways. Seattle is legit. Their offense is legit.

403
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 3: This is way better than anyone really thought their offense

404
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 3: would be this year. That's a playoff team right there.

405
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 3: And the Bucks, fraudy as their wins have been so far,

406
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 3: have four wins in the NFC South and are going

407
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 3: to get healthier. This is the part of the schedule

408
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 3: they were not supposed to be winning, and they're winning

409
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,879
Speaker 3: these games. They're going to coast in that division. This

410
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,040
Speaker 3: was a playoff game. This is a This could have

411
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 3: been a second round NFC playoff game, and either one

412
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 3: of these teams could be playing in the NFC Championship,

413
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,639
Speaker 3: and it felt like it today.

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Speaker 2: So you mentioned straight the schedule down the stretch.

415
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Speaker 4: Via techathon dot Com, the Buccaneers have the fourth easiest

416
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 4: remaining schedule. Now they do have the Bills on that schedule,

417
00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 4: but they've got the Saints twice.

418
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Speaker 2: As much as I love Spencer Rattler.

419
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 4: This last five weeks, Saints Falcons at home, mind you,

420
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:16,960
Speaker 4: Panthers Dolphins Panthers, so Bacon, these wins is gonna do

421
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:20,160
Speaker 4: really good things. I think for Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 3: I just.

423
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Speaker 4: You know, I talk about this a lot because my

424
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,640
Speaker 4: quarterback is very good at it. But high leverage throws, man,

425
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 4: like when you absolutely have to convert those high leverage

426
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,400
Speaker 4: throws late in a game, and it's like you really

427
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 4: need this play to convert. Baker is as good as

428
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:39,919
Speaker 4: anybody right now. Like it is absurd how good he is.

429
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:45,480
Speaker 4: I feel so confident in with the ball in Baker's hands,

430
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Speaker 4: and when I was, I was with you on Seattle

431
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 4: because you were so confident in them, and it.

432
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 2: Was torture watching Baker.

433
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 3: Just be like, you've been ahead of me. You've been

434
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,639
Speaker 3: on Baker for a couple of years now. And the

435
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,439
Speaker 3: the you're confident him matches his confidence in himself, and

436
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 3: I think that that matters. Like you need Baker to

437
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,680
Speaker 3: be confident and believe he can do everything, and it's

438
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 3: gonna cost him sometime, and it hasn't so far, and

439
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 3: hopefully it won't at the big moments. But it's a

440
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 3: lot of fun to watch, no doubt.

441
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 1: Uh.

442
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 4: Some shorter games now we'll move on, and we'll talk

443
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 4: a little bit about those before we move on. Don't

444
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 4: forget to sign up for Action Pro for real time

445
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 4: pick alerts from experts like Brandon Anderson.

446
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 2: It's gonna be NBA season.

447
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 4: You're gonna want to get on those futures because they

448
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 4: move when Brandon gets in on them. Chris Raybond, Stucky

449
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 4: and our entire Action Network team. You're gonna want them

450
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:37,119
Speaker 4: when those come out because those lines move extremely fast

451
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:39,679
Speaker 4: like these are. If you were watching this show, you

452
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 4: know the importance of price sensitivity. Be ahead of that

453
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 4: price sensitivity. You can access our pro projections powered by

454
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 4: Sean Kerner and our predictive analytics team. Brandon mentioned Nick

455
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 4: Giffen's big win with the analytics team today on that

456
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 4: under Just go with actionnetwork dot Com Slash Pro and

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458
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Speaker 4: code Pod twenty Pod two zero. Don't miss out on

459
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Speaker 4: the best bets at the best prices. Visit actionnetwork dot

460
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461
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 4: get twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro now

462
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 4: Tennessee Titans at the Arizona Cardinals. I have a text

463
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 4: thread with Brandon Anderson and a former colleague Rahem Palmer.

464
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 4: The chat is labeled Victory a Lot because those two

465
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,359
Speaker 4: love to tell me about their wins and in it,

466
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 4: I shared the Survivor board and the most picked selections,

467
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 4: and the most picked selection this.

468
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 2: Week was the La Rams and I was like.

469
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 3: Aha, it's too smart for you.

470
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 2: I like the Niners there.

471
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 4: And then I saw number two and it was the

472
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 4: Arizona Cardinals, who I had selected in all of my

473
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 4: Survivors that I had left. Oh my god, Brandon, okay,

474
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:52,360
Speaker 4: Cardinal running back drops the ball and bounce crossing into

475
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:52,880
Speaker 4: the end zone.

476
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 2: F you know what, people do it. People do it.

477
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 2: And I'm actually okay with that one, and it was

478
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 2: all fine.

479
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 4: The interception that gets fumbled backwards into the end zone

480
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 4: for a Titans touchdown, as Callahan celebrates as if he

481
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 4: had anything to do with the success of his team today,

482
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 4: was so infuriating. Oh sweet Jesus, why this was an

483
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 4: all timer beats If you had Cardinals, if you had

484
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 4: Cardinals money line, if you had Survivor. Brian Callahan is

485
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 4: living on borrow time, and I pray for when the

486
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 4: reaper comes to bring him back to the unemployment line

487
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 4: where he belongs. I'm so mad about this game eight

488
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 4: hours later.

489
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 3: This was absurd, Like, genuinely, I fully agree. If you

490
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 3: were on Cards money line, if you're on Card's teaser

491
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 3: that was on my card today, if you had Cards,

492
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 3: Survivor whatever it was to get the win. This is

493
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 3: one of the worst to beats ever. And I'm not

494
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 3: the guy that's like bad beat. I got being to

495
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 3: get bad beat like this was horrendous. By the way,

496
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 3: Survivor rams over twenty eight percent of the picks and

497
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,560
Speaker 3: Cards twenty five percent. That's over half the field on

498
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 3: those two and I didn't get the percentage, but I

499
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 3: gotta believe the Bills were in the mix as well.

500
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 3: So the congrats if you survive today and Thursday. I

501
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 3: guess this Titans Cardinals game I think genuinely will be

502
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 3: the worst loss of the season. Cardinals are up twenty

503
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 3: one to three to twenty minutes into the game, and

504
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:30,920
Speaker 3: by the way, the three is the road to Tennessee Titans,

505
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,120
Speaker 3: who have won like one game in the last seventy years.

506
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 3: With a rookie quarterback and Brian Callahan, Cardinals up eight

507
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 3: drives the rest of the game and scoes zero points,

508
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 3: no points right after twenty one three Tennessee is a

509
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 3: sixty five yard kickoff. Oh no, no, no, it's problem

510
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 3: one yard three plays field goal, twenty one six halftime.

511
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 3: Who cares, We're fast forward, twenty minutes left. You've missed

512
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:57,639
Speaker 3: this one, Matt. Remember the play when Kyler Murray's standing

513
00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:00,719
Speaker 3: there and the ball gets snapped into his face. It

514
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 3: bounced off of his face so hard that he checked

515
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:09,160
Speaker 3: himself in a concussion protocol afterward, and it just sat

516
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,479
Speaker 3: on the ground for the Titans to come around and

517
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 3: pick up the ball. But guess what, it's fine. They

518
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 3: didn't score any points off it anyway. Fourth quarter, it's

519
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 3: still twenty one six. Now you get the seventy one

520
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 3: yard touchdown run to put the game away. Who would

521
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 3: ever put the ball out? It happened a week ago.

522
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 3: We just spent all week talking about Ady Mitchell and

523
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: he does the exact same thing. Don't worry, it's fine.

524
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 3: The Titans drive down, they score a touchdown. Callahan to

525
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 3: the rescue. You're down nine, Buddy, go for two. Every

526
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 3: person at home knows gopher two. He kicks the extra point,

527
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 3: and God hates Brian Callahan and made the extra point

528
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 3: go wide right. So still a nine point game. It's

529
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 3: still over and it's not over like you got over.

530
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 3: You knew, you knew at this point like those of

531
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 3: us like be like with the card I had today

532
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 3: and I had the teaser. I had Colts teezer Cardinals teaser.

533
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 3: The Colts win by seven and forty nine points. All

534
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,479
Speaker 3: I need is the Cardinals to win a twenty one

535
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 3: three game. And I was just like, Oh, this is

536
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:20,919
Speaker 3: gonna be fun. How is this gonna lose? And then

537
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,160
Speaker 3: you know, get the wardplay cam Wore drives them down

538
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 3: seventy three yards for the walk off field goal. Just ridiculous.

539
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:31,440
Speaker 3: The stats on this game whatever, Like these teams don't matter,

540
00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:34,719
Speaker 3: because the Cardinals made themselves not matter anymore. They had

541
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:38,399
Speaker 3: a thirty seven percent success rate against the Titans. Come on,

542
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 3: you're done. They've now played this season the Saints, the Panthers,

543
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:47,120
Speaker 3: and the Titans even. They played them even in all

544
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 3: three games, and they were lucky to win two of

545
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 3: those games. They've basically played five coin flip games. On

546
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 3: the one hand, maybe you're a little unlucky to go

547
00:27:55,560 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 3: two and three and five coin flips. On the other hand, Saints, Panthers, Titans,

548
00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 3: it's over. Here's the schedule now, Packers, Cowboys, Seahawks, forty

549
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 3: nine Ers, Jaguars, box Rams. I didn't skip anyone. This

550
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 3: is the end for the Cardinals. This game is going

551
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 3: to cost people their job, and it should have cost

552
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 3: Brian Kellahan his job, but somehow he wins the game.

553
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 3: It's the first win for cam Ward. I think Brian

554
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 3: Callahan is somehow having a worse season than me, and

555
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 3: he still won the stupid football game too. This is

556
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 3: one of the most ridiculous games I've seen.

557
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 4: You know that there's a succession line. I love you,

558
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,800
Speaker 4: but you are not serious people. I do not love

559
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 4: you Cardinals, and you are not serious people at all.

560
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 4: Cardinals win with total over. At DraftKings Sportsbook, the crown

561
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 4: is yours seven and a half plus one thirty to

562
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 4: over minus one.

563
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 2: Sixty to the under. So something to think about there.

564
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 2: I will say this, it's not like I want to

565
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 2: fade the Cardinals every week after this.

566
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 4: I mean I want to, I badly want to, but

567
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 4: it's not like I think that that's a good idea.

568
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 4: I just like I I will never entered this regime ever.

569
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 4: Put them in a high leverage position again.

570
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 3: Ever, I don't trust Kyler Murray and just last thing,

571
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 3: on the Cardinals, I can't go all the way out

572
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 3: on them. This is almost actually the worst case scenario,

573
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 3: like that seven and a half line is exactly right.

574
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 3: They're not terrible. They're just not good. They're not even

575
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 3: necessarily average. They're just like the twentieth best team, which

576
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 3: is exactly what they've been for like three years in

577
00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 3: a row. And they're gonna go like eight to nine

578
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 3: and barely miss the playoffs and run it back again,

579
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 3: which is the one thing they can't do this season.

580
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 4: They face the Colts next week, and God does that

581
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 4: feel to me right in this moment, Like, God, the

582
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 4: Cardinals are gonna win the game, aren't they.

583
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 2: That's just like, that's just what it feels like.

584
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 4: Miami at Carolina. I was rough over this one, and

585
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 4: once I cool down, I was fine with it. Raheem

586
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 4: Palmer taunted me about this because he was like, I

587
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 4: have was on the Dolphins and then I bet on

588
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 4: the Panthers because I knew they were better, and I

589
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 4: was like, I hate you, But he was right because

590
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 4: I destroyed them in every category despite turning over differential

591
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:06,880
Speaker 4: like it was just turnovers that got Miami a position

592
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,920
Speaker 4: to win this game. Miami's offense disappeared second half. I

593
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 4: thought they were still okay after the late touch or

594
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 4: the fourth quarter touchdown, but.

595
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 2: Instead Bryce Young stepped up.

596
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 4: This has got to be the end for Mike McDaniel, right, Like,

597
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 4: this is like, this has got to be the end

598
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:22,360
Speaker 4: on Monday for Mike McDaniel.

599
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 2: And this has to be rock bottom.

600
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it to me. The story here is it's

601
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 3: just very worrisome from Miami's offense. Yeah, that's what Mike

602
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:33,440
Speaker 3: McDaniel's here for. And look, I know you just lost

603
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 3: Tyreek Kill and this is a short week, but he's

604
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 3: not coming back anytime soon. And like quite frankly maybe

605
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 3: ever to this roster. Certainly not the tyre week that

606
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,479
Speaker 3: we once knew you have against the Panthers, who remember

607
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 3: our historically bad defense last year. Two hundred and forty

608
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 3: eight yards of offense on the day. That's just not

609
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 3: good enough. That's not good enough. Thirty six percent success rate.

610
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 3: They were one of thirteen success on running plays. That's

611
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 3: what Miami had done well the season was run the ball.

612
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 3: The Panthers run defense was the worst thing about them.

613
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 3: Last year like historically bad. On the other side, something

614
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 3: named Rico Dowdell had two hundred and six yards for

615
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 3: the Panthers. Fill him for Chuba Hubbard. That has been

616
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 3: pretty good for the Cowboys last year. But yeah, you

617
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 3: can't lose a game like this. It's very worrying to

618
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 3: me about the Miami offense, the one thing you're supposed

619
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 3: to be good at. You're up seventeen to nothing and

620
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 3: then just completely give the game away quick. Now on tap,

621
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 3: McMillan still put up real good numbers like six catches,

622
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 3: seventy three yards, eight targets. I don't know if anyone's

623
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 3: gonna notice in Carolina, but I think he's probably been

624
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 3: the best offensive rookie. So I'm gonna keep an eye

625
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 3: on him for a spot to invest for Rookie of

626
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 3: the Year, just as a nibble there. I can't invest

627
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 3: too manymore. I've got like four or five tickets already.

628
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 3: But to me, he's been the best rookie, So we'll

629
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 3: see if he can get enough volume in stats for

630
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 3: people to notice a.

631
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 2: Line movement on. This game was really interesting.

632
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 4: So the Panthers were the public side and then it

633
00:31:59,920 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 4: was still hold it wasn't moving it because the public

634
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 4: doesn't move the line. One group came in midweek and

635
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 4: bet this to want it to flip it to Panthers

636
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 4: minus one and a half. Then another group came in

637
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 4: and bet it back the other way to move it

638
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 4: back to Dolphins favored. So like an interesting battle between

639
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 4: two groups here as the over goes over as well,

640
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 4: Bryce Young with a rare I gotta give the kid credit.

641
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 4: He's been terrible this season, but God, that last drive

642
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 4: was really tremendous.

643
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:28,680
Speaker 2: Eric Collins was on the call today.

644
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 4: For those of you that are new to that experience,

645
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 4: that is what every single Charlotte Hornet's game is like.

646
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 4: Every single Charlotte Hornet's game on lead pass for the

647
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 4: NBA is like that. And Brandon's knocking to wait in here,

648
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 4: because Brandon is a haar and I will not allow

649
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 4: Brandon to take away the joy that Eric Collins brings

650
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 4: to every single moment. You got to have some announcers

651
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 4: that don't undersell things and over sell them, and that's

652
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 4: what Eric Collins is. He is the wrestler that over

653
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,760
Speaker 4: sells absolutely everything. He just absolutely over sells whenever he

654
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 4: can get it.

655
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:01,040
Speaker 2: Get this got out a seat.

656
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 3: Talk of the ends execuarly.

657
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 2: My law.

658
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 4: Down Houston and Baltimore Texans miles two and a half

659
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 4: is a cruise. The Ravens just do not have enough

660
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 4: of the injuries. Texans hit the over by themselves here

661
00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 4: forty one and a half.

662
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 2: They scored forty four in this one.

663
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 4: Brandon, My question for you on this game, how do

664
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 4: you bet the Ravens from a future's perspective, knowing that

665
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 4: the markets and in the short term they're gonna react

666
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 4: to this injury altered performance like ever like the more.

667
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 4: I'm sure some sharp will talk themselves into them next

668
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 4: week because they always do. But I guess my bigger

669
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 4: question is, like how I don't know the injuries well enough.

670
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 2: What is the injury outcome? Look, is there a moment

671
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 2: where this turns for the Ravens and what is that?

672
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 2: And how do you bet it?

673
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 3: I don't know if it's gonna turn. I fear that

674
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 3: it has gotten away from them. So they play the

675
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 3: Rams next week and then they finally get the bye week,

676
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 3: which obviously you just need to just get to halftime

677
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:11,360
Speaker 3: basically in their case and reset. The problem is Mattabique,

678
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 3: the best lineman is not coming back. We have the

679
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,840
Speaker 3: neck injury. It looked bad and he's just out for

680
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,800
Speaker 3: the season. Now. Other dudes are gonna come back, like

681
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,359
Speaker 3: kle then NOI their best pass rusher. He'll probably back

682
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 3: after the buye. I would guess the secondary's been pretty

683
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 3: banged up. Kyle Hamilton'll be fine again. The corners that

684
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,759
Speaker 3: were supposed to be really good have been hurt or

685
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 3: maybe just old, and it seems like maybe just old

686
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 3: is more the case there. The defense can't keep being

687
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 3: this bad because it's maybe the worst defense in the

688
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,719
Speaker 3: league so far. Like, look, here's the damage. The Texans

689
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 3: scored six touchdowns in September. The Texans scored sixty four

690
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 3: points in a month, and then scored forty four points

691
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:57,440
Speaker 3: today against the Ravens. That is rock bottom for a defense.

692
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:01,319
Speaker 3: Texans scored on every single drop until it was forty

693
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 3: four to ten with like half the fourth quarter left,

694
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 3: and they stopped bothering. So you, yeah, Houston had I

695
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 3: think the worst success rate in the league coming to

696
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 3: this game offensively, and Baltimore couldn't get off the field.

697
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:20,080
Speaker 3: That's it for your defense right now. So I'll say this.

698
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,960
Speaker 3: I ran to check the Rams line for next week.

699
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:25,879
Speaker 3: I was like, give me the Rams. They can score

700
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 3: thousand points. They're gonna do anything they want, and my

701
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:32,360
Speaker 3: numbers don't let me back them because the line also

702
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 3: knows that everyone wants the Rams. And it's like seven

703
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 3: seven and a half points and I've got them at

704
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 3: like five and a half for the Rams and they

705
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 3: should go and they should win. And I'm like, ah, crap,

706
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:43,320
Speaker 3: Like maybe do I gotta wait till we get like

707
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 3: a team total over or maybe like an alt or

708
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,439
Speaker 3: like how do I do it? Because as sure as heck,

709
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 3: don't want the Ravens. But I can tell you right now, well,

710
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:54,280
Speaker 3: I guess I don't really know. Stuckey Is are pretty

711
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 3: good to read on the Ravens typically, but that screams

712
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,239
Speaker 3: six pack pick of like Coop, give me Cooper rush

713
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 3: and the points and the underdog. Like I'm saying in

714
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 3: a positive way, like this is a sharp pick to

715
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 3: be on, like nobody possibly wants to be on this team.

716
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 3: That's when you have to bet teams. Usually to me,

717
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 3: I don't think I'm gonna be able to do it

718
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 3: against the Rams. I need to get to the buy.

719
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 3: I think they're going to lose so now you're one

720
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:27,359
Speaker 3: in five. Now I can reevaluate. Now, maybe I might

721
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 3: look at a division ticket. It's not Cincinnati, it's not Cleveland.

722
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:34,799
Speaker 3: So can I go ahead to head with Pittsburgh who

723
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:38,239
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh has a brutal second half schedule? I know I

724
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 3: want to fade Pittsburgh late in the season. Anyway, Can

725
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 3: I fatten up Pittsburgh a couple more weeks and have

726
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 3: Baltimore at like a juicy long price. Maybe the problem

727
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 3: is Baltimore was a juicy short price for the division

728
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,400
Speaker 3: still before today, and I think it's gonna have to

729
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:58,399
Speaker 3: adjust now. But I Baltimore's talent in underlying metrics coming

730
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 3: into the year has been so strong that the value

731
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 3: so far has still been Baltimore, right, So I can't

732
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:10,360
Speaker 3: there's nothing on the other side of it right now. Obviously,

733
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 3: Houston this game season saved a little bit two and three,

734
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 3: so they're kind of out of the woods a bit

735
00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 3: two and three against Rams, Bucks, Jaguars, and Ravens so

736
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,279
Speaker 3: far that's not so bad, but they're not out of

737
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:24,280
Speaker 3: the woods. They get the bye week now they need it. Seattle,

738
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 3: sand Frian, Denver, Jacksonville right after that, so we'll see.

739
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 3: I don't know that. I'm like, oh, good, the offense

740
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 3: is fixed. No, the offense played the Ravens. You get

741
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 3: into the bye week, let's see after that. I have

742
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 3: a little more hope. I had no hope before. More

743
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:42,880
Speaker 3: is better than zero, But I'm not ready to just

744
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 3: jump back on Houston yet.

745
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:47,880
Speaker 4: Bye week and then facing the Seahawks, who you mentioned

746
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 4: might have some issues with their defense.

747
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 2: That one's that's probably like the determining.

748
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 4: Factor, right is like if if the Seahawks look like

749
00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:58,240
Speaker 4: what you have expected from them the season versus the Texans,

750
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 4: then probably the Texans offense is not good. I don't know,

751
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 4: Like you look at the early performance and it's like

752
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 4: maybe it just took them a little bit while to

753
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 4: figure out who they were. And you know, twenty six

754
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 4: versus the Titans, last week it's the Titans, and then

755
00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 4: forty four versus the Ravens, it's this version of the Ravens.

756
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:13,280
Speaker 4: I get it, but got to start somewhere.

757
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:13,960
Speaker 2: I guess.

758
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 4: Washington at the LA Chargers, I was really surprised by

759
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 4: this one. Commi's win twenty seven to ten Commanders plus

760
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 4: three under forty eight and a half. They look like

761
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 4: the complete football football team. The Chargers lose another offensive tackle.

762
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,239
Speaker 4: The Chargers were the sharp side, the over was the

763
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:36,879
Speaker 4: sharp side, So the Sharps got beaten up on this one.

764
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels is the truth. He is, He is the truth.

765
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 4: They are the Chargers like that line is held up

766
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 4: with with like craft sticks and type cleaners. I took

767
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 4: my daughter to Michael's this week as a side note,

768
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:55,920
Speaker 4: what are your thoughts on Washington and the Chargers.

769
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:57,280
Speaker 2: I know you were on Chargers on this one.

770
00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, Chargers were my version of the dolphin for where

771
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,840
Speaker 3: you were at today, like watching live, I was like,

772
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,319
Speaker 3: come on, man, can I just catch your breakout here?

773
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,360
Speaker 3: Chargers are up ten to nothing, they're driving, They're about

774
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 3: to get in the red zone and fumble, and suddenly

775
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 3: it goes ten to seven. Washington is at their own two.

776
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,240
Speaker 3: They punt the ball. Maconkey has this incredible punt return

777
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,720
Speaker 3: like it like spins through four guys, literally jumps over

778
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 3: the punter into the end zone and then it gets

779
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 3: taken off the board and Washing gets the ball back

780
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 3: on a roughing the punter penalty, which we're supposed to do.

781
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:30,360
Speaker 3: You're trying to block a punt, Like I understand punter's

782
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 3: gotta be protected, but I don't really get that. So

783
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,399
Speaker 3: instead of seventeen seven, Washing gets the ball and it's

784
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,240
Speaker 3: suddenly ten ten and a halftime, so like ten point

785
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:42,360
Speaker 3: swing effectively, and then out of the half. I was wrong.

786
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 3: It's the Dolphins. Washington crushed the Chargers after halftime, like

787
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 3: it was not close on the game, fifty seven to

788
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 3: thirty eight percent success rate. Like when we see those

789
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,279
Speaker 3: charts this week of you know, did my team really

790
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,840
Speaker 3: lose by that much? Hey Chargers? Yeah, yeah, lost by

791
00:39:59,880 --> 00:40:03,400
Speaker 3: the much like it was unlucky early and then you

792
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 3: got outplayed. It's that that pop to me that worried me.

793
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 3: Justin Herbert had a three point eight eight dot in

794
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 3: this game. Look, you're missing both tackles and like you said,

795
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 3: the third tackle. Now it's Washington. Man, you don't have

796
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:21,359
Speaker 3: a pass rush or a defense or anything over there.

797
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:27,200
Speaker 3: If you can't handle yourself against Washington, that's that's worrisome

798
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,040
Speaker 3: to me. If you can't even get some passes down

799
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 3: the field. So I think it's gonna get right. I'm

800
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 3: not super too worried about the Chargers yet.

801
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 1: Here.

802
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 3: It might just be that I'm a little bit need

803
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 3: to upgrade on Washington. They will now play Chicago next

804
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:45,399
Speaker 3: in Dallas. I think those are interesting tests for this team.

805
00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 3: They're supposed to be much better than those two teams.

806
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,480
Speaker 3: We'll see if they're I'm not sure quite there yet,

807
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:54,640
Speaker 3: but they were much better than the Chargers today. I

808
00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:56,839
Speaker 3: will get back to the Chargers a little bit later

809
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:58,240
Speaker 3: with a peck.

810
00:40:58,280 --> 00:40:59,960
Speaker 2: Actually that's called foreshadow.

811
00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 4: The Chargers beat the Raiders, or they beat the Chiefs

812
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:08,440
Speaker 4: in Rio when the Chiefs had zero weaponry. The Chargers

813
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 4: beat the Raiders, who we know now are trash. They

814
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 4: beat the Broncos by three at home on a coin

815
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,359
Speaker 4: flip game. They lose to the Giants and they get

816
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 4: crushed by the Commanders. But good news, they have the

817
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 4: Dolphins next. I still I don't think we know who

818
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 4: the Chargers are yet, and that's maybe that's like the

819
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 4: big change.

820
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 2: And we went from like we know they're good to

821
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 2: like we don't know if they're.

822
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,280
Speaker 4: Good, and that's probably the biggest change that we got.

823
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 4: Wrap it up with some other scores here Minnesota at

824
00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 4: Cleveland in the early early game over in Jolly old England,

825
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 4: Minnesota mines three and a half covers on a last

826
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,239
Speaker 4: minute touchdown, and the over thirty five and a half.

827
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 4: I'm sorry Brandon, because Brandon had every under in the

828
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 4: world on that game. Goes over on that last one

829
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:52,800
Speaker 4: Wonky game. As you would kind of expect, Minnesota was

830
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:55,839
Speaker 4: the public side. The Browns were the sharp side on

831
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 4: that one. That's gonna be a tough beat for the

832
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:01,879
Speaker 4: Sharps there. Under was sharp on that one. The over

833
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:03,759
Speaker 4: was on the public. It's a very public game on

834
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 4: that one, as Minnesota rights itself. After that miserable game

835
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:13,279
Speaker 4: in Dublin, Las Vegas at the Colts, just this, I

836
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:20,280
Speaker 4: mean Indiana Jones returns, I mean the Colts offense looked unbelievable.

837
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 4: Have at a ninety two point three scr rate for

838
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 4: Indiana m VRBDSM just disgustingly good. I we are approaching.

839
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 4: You know, the Saints last year looked good those first

840
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 4: few weeks to put up all those points, and then

841
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:37,160
Speaker 4: at the end of the year they're like, oh, the

842
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:39,000
Speaker 4: Saints are terrible, And really what happened was just like

843
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:41,319
Speaker 4: the Saints got hurt and we're just hurt the rest

844
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 4: of the year, and the Colts are.

845
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,239
Speaker 2: Like that, only they didn't have everyone die.

846
00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:51,800
Speaker 4: So in Indy's impressive performance, I thought today by Indy

847
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:55,280
Speaker 4: to get himself right. That lost last week, they quitted

848
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 4: themselves and they bounced back with this performance.

849
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 2: Pretty good.

850
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 4: Giants at the Saints. Benster Rattler's not bad. I am

851
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,040
Speaker 4: adamant about this. He's not good, but he's not bad.

852
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 4: Man Like, he's pretty good. Sometimes. I was on sayings

853
00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:10,720
Speaker 4: forgot the log in the app because I'm an idiot.

854
00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:13,680
Speaker 4: Dart had two interceptions and a forty two point four

855
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:14,600
Speaker 4: QBR in this one.

856
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 2: He was miserable.

857
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:18,520
Speaker 4: Hot Rey under hits on this one. So good job

858
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 4: by Brandon on this one, as this one to go under.

859
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,400
Speaker 4: Spencer Ratler now three and two ats, and one of

860
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:24,879
Speaker 4: them was a pretty wickedly bad beat.

861
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:26,319
Speaker 2: Now he did sneak one of those out, But.

862
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 4: I kind of I'm gonna like the Saints whenever they're

863
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 4: like a huge dog. I just I think this team

864
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:34,560
Speaker 4: has actually got some some.

865
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 2: Pep to him.

866
00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:38,240
Speaker 4: Jets at Dallas, the Boys plus one and a half

867
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 4: covers easily in the over forty seven and a half.

868
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 2: J e ts Dead Dead Dead. This team is toast

869
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:45,920
Speaker 2: baby Breese.

870
00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 4: Hall goes for forty two receiving yards for Brandon's prop

871
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 4: and the escalator.

872
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 2: So good job by Brandon on Breese Hall.

873
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,240
Speaker 4: Cowboys plus eight to fifty for the Division Commanders obviously

874
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:57,400
Speaker 4: look like a much better bet now. I like this

875
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,720
Speaker 4: Cowboys offense a lot, though. This is a very professional

876
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:01,719
Speaker 4: hormits by them today. They didn't screw around it all.

877
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,160
Speaker 4: They didn't cowboy this game at all.

878
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:07,879
Speaker 2: Aaron Glenn may not be be very good.

879
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,200
Speaker 4: It will take everything in me not to fade the

880
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 4: Panthers again next week, but I will I will try

881
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:13,120
Speaker 4: and do that.

882
00:44:13,719 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 2: Detroit at Cincinnati, Detroit.

883
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 4: Myas ten I had sprinkled some stuff on the on

884
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:22,320
Speaker 4: the Bengals here, thinking like, hey, maybe no Jake Browning

885
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 4: is the worst starting quarterback in the league. Where Cooper

886
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 4: Rush started today, it was absolutely atrocious. Sometimes sometimes there

887
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 4: are teams they're too bad to bet.

888
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:32,319
Speaker 2: And the Bengals are too bad to bet.

889
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 4: They had like a brief moment in the fourth quarter

890
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:37,879
Speaker 4: where it was like they might cover.

891
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,120
Speaker 2: Nope, Nope, there they go. Nope, there goes the Lions again.

892
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,800
Speaker 2: Dan Campbell don't need no Ben Johnson, just no, no,

893
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:45,359
Speaker 2: no need there.

894
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,719
Speaker 4: The Bengals were the sharp side in this one because

895
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:49,760
Speaker 4: as we mentioned that the Sharps are gonna love teams

896
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 4: like this that it's like no one wants to bet them,

897
00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 4: all right, will and sometimes you should not volunteers tribute.

898
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 4: You should just sit down and let catnus volunteer for

899
00:44:59,239 --> 00:44:59,920
Speaker 4: the Hunger Games.

900
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:01,760
Speaker 2: Monday night football.

901
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 4: Can't say Chiefs mins three and a half at Jacksonville

902
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 4: total forty five and a half. I will blabber for

903
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:19,080
Speaker 4: a minute and then Brandon will give you the good

904
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:19,880
Speaker 4: cap on this game.

905
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 2: I'm a psycho about the Chiefs, so.

906
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 4: I don't like to bet on them. I bet against

907
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 4: them a lot because I always think the worst is

908
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 4: going to happen, because I have trauma from thirty years

909
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:32,600
Speaker 4: of sports watching them. What I will tell you is

910
00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:34,399
Speaker 4: like I can't get to this number like this means

911
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 4: that there's even if you do a point and a

912
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,319
Speaker 4: half for home field of the direction, which is what

913
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:40,759
Speaker 4: some people have it at, it's a little bit higher

914
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 4: this year according to the metrics, that still only gets

915
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 4: that gets us the six.

916
00:45:44,880 --> 00:45:45,320
Speaker 2: And a half.

917
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,439
Speaker 4: So this would mean that the Chiefs, who this year

918
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 4: have not been good. Despite last week we see the

919
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 4: Ravens who they are now would be a touchdown favorite

920
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 4: versus a pretty good Jacksonville team at home.

921
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:57,239
Speaker 2: That does not make sense to me.

922
00:45:57,400 --> 00:45:58,879
Speaker 4: If we do the four and a half flip, which

923
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 4: is what I prefer, then we're looking at them be

924
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:05,520
Speaker 4: it eighth, No way, So Ali Jacksonville deemorro to cover this.

925
00:46:05,560 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 4: I wouldn't be surprised that they win. To me, this

926
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 4: is just the Chiefs are fat and happy after thinking like, hey,

927
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 4: we're back. We beat the Ravens. No, you didn't you

928
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:16,360
Speaker 4: beat that version of the Ravens. Also, the worst possible

929
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 4: omen is Taylor releasing an album that finally nobody likes.

930
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:23,360
Speaker 2: I'm very concerned about this. What's your cat from on

931
00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 2: that football? Brandon?

932
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think for for all the hand ringing on

933
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:29,960
Speaker 3: the Chiefs, we're a month into the year. Entering the

934
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:34,520
Speaker 3: weekend DVA rank seventh on offense, thirteenth on defense. I

935
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,800
Speaker 3: had the Chiefs projected before the season fifth on offense,

936
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,760
Speaker 3: thirteenth on defense. Not a victory lap did the Chiefs

937
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:44,280
Speaker 3: just quickly a month in became the thing we pretty

938
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 3: much thought they were. Even while they're still getting right,

939
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,759
Speaker 3: they're still getting the line healthy, they're still trying to

940
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:53,280
Speaker 3: find anybody that can play receiver. There are two games

941
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 3: away now from Rashi Rice being back, which will be

942
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 3: huge for them. The story of this game is going

943
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,040
Speaker 3: to be the jag defense and is it a thing

944
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:06,759
Speaker 3: or was it not a thing? Number two or number

945
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 3: three defense by DVOA, Top five against the past, top

946
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:14,320
Speaker 3: ten against the run. Anthony Campinelli, the new defensive coordinator,

947
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:17,320
Speaker 3: has been awesome so far. Came over from the Packers

948
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 3: where he took what was a tragic run defense for

949
00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 3: years and in one year helped them suddenly become a

950
00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 3: great run defense. And we've seen that immediately translate here.

951
00:47:27,200 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 3: But here's the question, and we're going to find out

952
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 3: tomorrow night. Jaguars went and Evan and I have talked

953
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:36,480
Speaker 3: about this a lot this year, from the least turnover

954
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 3: team defensively in the league to the most. They had

955
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 3: nine turnovers forced all last season, dead last. They have

956
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 3: thirteen of this season, most in the league, so more

957
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:48,879
Speaker 3: already in September by four than all last year. Guess

958
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 3: what the Chiefs have won turnover this season? The Chiefs

959
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:57,359
Speaker 3: don't turn the ball over. They're boring as anything now

960
00:47:57,440 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 3: and I hate watching the version of Patrick Mahomes we

961
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 3: turn this into but the whole point is that they

962
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 3: don't turn it over. Can Jacksonville's defense actually stop you?

963
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,480
Speaker 3: Or are they just getting the big three to four

964
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:14,320
Speaker 3: turnovers a game? And I know, Matt, I know you

965
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:18,720
Speaker 3: feel about turnovers, but our turnovers sustainable when it's Patrick

966
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,120
Speaker 3: taking care of the ball on the other side, We're

967
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,759
Speaker 3: gonna have to see. I don't know the answer, so

968
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,000
Speaker 3: I'm not doing a side or total here. I'm gonna

969
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 3: go props flip to the other side of the equation.

970
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 3: The thing I've been impressed with about the Jaguars offense

971
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:36,320
Speaker 3: has not been Trevor Lawrence certainly not Brian Thomas Junior

972
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 3: or the passing game. It's not whatever the heck they're

973
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,840
Speaker 3: doing with Travis Hunter. It's the run game. Liam Cohen

974
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,200
Speaker 3: last year with the Buccaneers took a team that had

975
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:49,279
Speaker 3: been horrendous running the ball and made them one of

976
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:50,960
Speaker 3: the best in the league. Now he comes to Jacksonville

977
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:54,759
Speaker 3: and they're the number two rushing DVA offense with an

978
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:56,799
Speaker 3: offensive line that was not supposed to be good. That's

979
00:48:56,840 --> 00:49:00,839
Speaker 3: way overperforming. I think the one thing I believe about

980
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:03,239
Speaker 3: this game to be true is that Jacksonville Jaguars are

981
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:06,800
Speaker 3: going to run on the Chiefs defense tomorrow night, a

982
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:10,439
Speaker 3: bottom ten run defense, and you can see it. Last year,

983
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 3: the story with the Chiefs was that they did not

984
00:49:13,080 --> 00:49:15,359
Speaker 3: allow big rushing games. Like that's the thing we talked

985
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,839
Speaker 3: about even into the Super Bowl. They can shut down

986
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,680
Speaker 3: sakuon then what happens from there. Sorry to bring up

987
00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 3: the Super Bowl. Last year, the Chiefs allowed only six

988
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,400
Speaker 3: running backs to have fifty seven yards or more max.

989
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 3: Eighty four. This year, running backs against Chiefs already had

990
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 3: sixty yards, seventy six and eighty eight yards. So give

991
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 3: me some Travis ettm props. I'm gonna take the over

992
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 3: on his rushing yards over sixty and a half. I

993
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:41,040
Speaker 3: believe that he is going to have something like fourteen

994
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:45,000
Speaker 3: fifteen sixteen carries, and what he does, he usually gets

995
00:49:45,040 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 3: like three four yards a pop. But that speed kicks

996
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 3: in and I think he breaks a long one or

997
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 3: two against a beatable run defense. So my escalator here

998
00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 3: is not just going for rushing yards, going straight to

999
00:49:57,719 --> 00:50:01,279
Speaker 3: longest run. Thirty yard runner long six to one, forty

1000
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 3: yards are longer at twelve to one, I think we

1001
00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 3: get one nice long run He's already had a thirty

1002
00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:10,200
Speaker 3: yard run in three of the four games this season,

1003
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:13,440
Speaker 3: including a seventy one and then just another a little

1004
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:17,200
Speaker 3: one here, Trevor Lawrence over on the rushing attempts. It's

1005
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 3: two and a half, he said, at least two all

1006
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 3: four games this year, averaging three point seven to five

1007
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:27,279
Speaker 3: carries a game. That's up from two point six last year.

1008
00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:29,920
Speaker 3: It's up quite a bit. And Chiefs opposing quarterbacks have

1009
00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:32,440
Speaker 3: run the ball seven nine to five and six times.

1010
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:36,000
Speaker 3: These linebackers are getting beat a little bit, and the

1011
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 3: Chief's pass rush is not getting home. And I think

1012
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 3: Lawrence can run a little bit, you know, maybe take

1013
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 3: a meal or something there if we need it. I

1014
00:50:43,640 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 3: don't really care how you get there. Just give me

1015
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:49,479
Speaker 3: three rushing attempts. So at ten overs and a little

1016
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence on the rushing attempts.

1017
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's felt very much like a lot of this is.

1018
00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 2: The rushing against Kansas City is impacted by quarterback scramble.

1019
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 2: Like uh so, Saquan had eighty eight in.

1020
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:06,480
Speaker 4: The game where I actually got to, you know, run

1021
00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 4: the ball, which is a novel concept. They only pulled

1022
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:12,480
Speaker 4: out against my team for some reason. And then Derrick

1023
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 4: Henry had sixty and I will well know or he

1024
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 4: had forty two last week. The big one though, is

1025
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:21,400
Speaker 4: like that number is gonna be influenced by Justice Hill,

1026
00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:23,960
Speaker 4: who had rowled out that seventy six yard run in

1027
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:24,680
Speaker 4: garbage time.

1028
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:26,799
Speaker 2: So like that's a little bit inflated there, I am.

1029
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 4: Although I will just continue to say, like I Nick

1030
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,439
Speaker 4: Bolten is the only I do not trust the Chiefs

1031
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 4: linebackers at all.

1032
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 2: I do not trust them at all. So that contain

1033
00:51:37,640 --> 00:51:39,760
Speaker 2: does seem like a problem. So okay, you can probably

1034
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 2: put to get yourself together a.

1035
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:46,720
Speaker 4: Little Comba play same game, parlay on the rushing props

1036
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 4: and the Jaguars, if you want to put our picks together,

1037
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:52,840
Speaker 4: but just do just two bradits, just just two bragdits.

1038
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 4: If you want to tail some of the money on

1039
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:56,239
Speaker 4: football bets, make sure to look up for the quick

1040
00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:58,279
Speaker 4: slip link in the podcast and video description or go

1041
00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 4: to Action network dot com slash bet now. You can

1042
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 4: also find those quick slips in the live YouTube chat

1043
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:07,480
Speaker 4: if you're hanging out with us. All right, Brandon, excus enough,

1044
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:09,960
Speaker 4: I'm sad because on the live version I don't get

1045
00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:11,239
Speaker 4: to hear it, so I'll have to go back and

1046
00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:12,359
Speaker 4: listen to the awesome intro.

1047
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,680
Speaker 2: Hit me with a hot read, Buddy, Hot wrap, bo

1048
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,760
Speaker 2: seventy on ice rights ice cream.

1049
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:26,640
Speaker 3: All right, hot reed. We are going for a pair

1050
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:30,440
Speaker 3: of four and a half point favorites. First one. I

1051
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:32,160
Speaker 3: could have told you it was gonna be the hot read,

1052
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,960
Speaker 3: like in August, Steelers minus four and a half against

1053
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:40,880
Speaker 3: the Browns. This is the single biggest schedule advantage spot

1054
00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:45,240
Speaker 3: on the NFL schedule this season. Both of these teams

1055
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:49,759
Speaker 3: most recent game came against the Vikings overseas. Guess what

1056
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:53,239
Speaker 3: one of those was like seventeen hours ago whenever my

1057
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:56,440
Speaker 3: day started today. The other one was the Steelers a

1058
00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:59,879
Speaker 3: week ago. So the Steelers had an entire week of wrath.

1059
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 3: The Browns have no rest. Come back from overseas. They

1060
00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 3: chose this. NFL teams are given the option. We talk

1061
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 3: about this every year, the team's coming back from overseas.

1062
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:12,279
Speaker 3: They chose not to. They are now on the road,

1063
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 3: no bye coming to Pittsburgh. The Browns defense is the

1064
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,759
Speaker 3: best unit in the field, but Aaron Rodgers has had

1065
00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 3: a very fast time to throw this year. I think

1066
00:53:23,239 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 3: that can mitigate the pass rush. A little bit. It

1067
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:27,919
Speaker 3: will need to. I think a key with the bye week.

1068
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh's defense has not been great this season. They were

1069
00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 3: a defense that I had second coming to the year,

1070
00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 3: they've been not even remotely close to that. I think

1071
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:40,759
Speaker 3: the bye gets the defense healthy. Alex high Smith maybe

1072
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:43,839
Speaker 3: could be back, Joey Porter could be back, Jalen Warren

1073
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,160
Speaker 3: the running back, could be back, probably will be there.

1074
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:49,680
Speaker 3: I think the defense gets right. And I think at

1075
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:53,880
Speaker 3: home against Dylan Gabriel and Gabriel's first true road start.

1076
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 3: I know it wasn't at home today, but it's different

1077
00:53:56,640 --> 00:54:00,399
Speaker 3: playing in Pittsburgh at your rival with TJ. Watt and down.

1078
00:54:00,440 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 3: The shoot. Home team has won seven straight games in

1079
00:54:03,960 --> 00:54:06,960
Speaker 3: this rivalry by nine points a game. So I like

1080
00:54:07,040 --> 00:54:12,440
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh here uh Stefanski eleven and twenty one ATS and

1081
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 3: Division games, thirty four percent cover rate, Pittsburgh minus four

1082
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:18,600
Speaker 3: and a half. Look, it's a low total. Four and

1083
00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:22,279
Speaker 3: a half is not nothing, but both these games today

1084
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:24,319
Speaker 3: four and a half. We know the key numbers three,

1085
00:54:24,400 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 3: and we know it's seven more and more in the

1086
00:54:26,680 --> 00:54:30,120
Speaker 3: last couple of years, seven is bleeding down into six

1087
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,879
Speaker 3: and even five. So four and a half is still

1088
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:35,560
Speaker 3: meaningful getting it before that whole five six to seven

1089
00:54:35,719 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 3: range Steelers home against the Browns.

1090
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:40,840
Speaker 2: Okay, so this is why you need to be watching

1091
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 2: on YouTube dot com Slash the Action Network. We go

1092
00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:44,520
Speaker 2: live on Sundays for the hot read.

1093
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:47,600
Speaker 4: Is because this is already like it's almost painted five now,

1094
00:54:47,640 --> 00:54:49,719
Speaker 4: you could still get four and a half DraftKings.

1095
00:54:49,960 --> 00:54:52,680
Speaker 2: The crown is yours, so you should do that, but

1096
00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:53,800
Speaker 2: it is moving Brandon.

1097
00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:55,080
Speaker 4: I will ask you, though, for those that listen to

1098
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,680
Speaker 4: this podcast in the morning, what's your stop point on this?

1099
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 4: I know that the hot rating in general was always

1100
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:02,160
Speaker 4: like that's why it's a hot read. You got to

1101
00:55:02,200 --> 00:55:04,840
Speaker 4: get it when it's hot, But in general, like, especially

1102
00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 4: with this being in the dead zone right, five and

1103
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:08,520
Speaker 4: a half, right, what's the stop point for you?

1104
00:55:09,080 --> 00:55:11,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say five and a half for now

1105
00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:13,880
Speaker 3: is the stop point at the stop point on rushing

1106
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 3: to grab it right now? And now we can kind

1107
00:55:16,040 --> 00:55:17,800
Speaker 3: of wait and see. Okay, who is playing it is

1108
00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:21,720
Speaker 3: high Smith's back, is quarterback Waring, et cetera. The Browns

1109
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:25,040
Speaker 3: acquitted themselves well enough, I think to a national audience

1110
00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 3: for this not to go too crazy towards Pittsburgh. So

1111
00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 3: I think if you want the hot read while you're

1112
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:32,759
Speaker 3: getting value right away, go ahead and grab it now

1113
00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:35,359
Speaker 3: up to five and a half. Otherwise, wait and pay

1114
00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:37,600
Speaker 3: for the information, and we probably can still play it

1115
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:40,919
Speaker 3: later below seven once we kind of get some positive news.

1116
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:44,000
Speaker 3: Second hot read another four and a half point favorite.

1117
00:55:44,560 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 3: Even though I slandered this team earlier, I compared them

1118
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:49,440
Speaker 3: to your version of the team they're now playing. Give

1119
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:53,000
Speaker 3: me the Chargers minus four and a half at the Dolphins.

1120
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:57,799
Speaker 3: Miami offensively was very worrying to me today, and that's

1121
00:55:57,840 --> 00:55:59,920
Speaker 3: what this pick is about. If you go to the

1122
00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:02,399
Speaker 3: Panthers and you can't even hit two hundred and fifty

1123
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:05,360
Speaker 3: yards on the Panthers thirty six percent success rate on

1124
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:08,120
Speaker 3: the Panthers one out of every three plays is successful.

1125
00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:11,080
Speaker 3: That's just not going to cut it. Eight percent success running.

1126
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:15,160
Speaker 3: Miami started the weekend already bottom ten and passing DVA.

1127
00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:17,000
Speaker 3: This is the one thing they're supposed to do well.

1128
00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:20,320
Speaker 3: Chargers defense is top three against the pass, and the

1129
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,720
Speaker 3: defense I think was still mostly fine today, So okay,

1130
00:56:24,239 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 3: we need the gimmick McDaniel offense and gimmick tool with

1131
00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:29,719
Speaker 3: no Ti Reek stretch in the field against Jesse Minter,

1132
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:33,279
Speaker 3: I don't see that going well for Miami. I think

1133
00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:36,960
Speaker 3: you're right that McDaniel is dead man walking. Maybe it

1134
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:41,080
Speaker 3: comes after this game. Miami's defense has been awful all season.

1135
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:44,000
Speaker 3: They're bottom three in the league at most advanced met drics.

1136
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:49,120
Speaker 3: Their pass defense especially bad. Importantly, the pass rush ain't

1137
00:56:49,120 --> 00:56:51,800
Speaker 3: getting home. The pass rush numbers are terrible for Miami.

1138
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:56,040
Speaker 3: That's good because the Chargers can't block anyone. But if

1139
00:56:56,080 --> 00:56:59,520
Speaker 3: they can just get the ball out, I think Chargers

1140
00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:01,880
Speaker 3: receive there maybe the best trio in the league right now,

1141
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:04,279
Speaker 3: and they will carve up this secondary. You know, there's

1142
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,760
Speaker 3: a guy named Storm Duck that is a starting cornerback

1143
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:09,320
Speaker 3: for the ninety Dolphins. He's been missing. They kind of

1144
00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,280
Speaker 3: miss him, Storm Duck. But if that's your top corner,

1145
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:15,560
Speaker 3: you're probably gonna lose to Justin Herbert. So great spot

1146
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:19,360
Speaker 3: here to fade Mike McDaniel and back Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh

1147
00:57:19,760 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 3: against SEBA five hundred teams sixty one percent ats, McDaniel

1148
00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:27,200
Speaker 3: against better than five hundred teams thirty five percent ats

1149
00:57:28,040 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 3: and one of my favorite stats. Even though lost today,

1150
00:57:31,280 --> 00:57:33,440
Speaker 3: Jim Harbaugh is a favorite of under six points in

1151
00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:36,640
Speaker 3: the NFL twenty eight and eight ats in his career

1152
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 3: seventy eight percent, and a team agnostics stat here, just

1153
00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:44,440
Speaker 3: a good trend to bet road favorites of three or

1154
00:57:44,480 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 3: more points after they lost at home as favorites. That's

1155
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 3: the Chargers one hundred sixty eight and seven against the

1156
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:55,120
Speaker 3: spread sixty percent over a pretty huge sample of a

1157
00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:59,320
Speaker 3: couple of decades. Last decade alone sixty five percent ATS.

1158
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 3: So again four and a half points here we're getting

1159
00:58:02,120 --> 00:58:05,360
Speaker 3: out of the five six seven, same sort of line

1160
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:08,520
Speaker 3: movement and ability there is last time. I only see

1161
00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:10,880
Speaker 3: one book right now with the Chargers at four and

1162
00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:13,720
Speaker 3: a half, grab that if you can, otherwise up to

1163
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 3: five and a half, and maybe wait from there if

1164
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 3: you need to.

1165
00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:19,960
Speaker 4: I blacked out a place called the Storm Duck in Joplin,

1166
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:21,240
Speaker 4: Missouri in two thousand.

1167
00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:22,960
Speaker 2: And five, So I got that going for me.

1168
00:58:23,520 --> 00:58:25,720
Speaker 4: If my McDaniel gets fired, does is that going to

1169
00:58:25,800 --> 00:58:27,800
Speaker 4: change you at all? Like you buy into the fire

1170
00:58:27,880 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 4: coach thing.

1171
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:34,400
Speaker 3: That's interesting. I would not love that for the bet.

1172
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:38,120
Speaker 3: I'd rather still have Mike McDaniel around than the volatility

1173
00:58:38,280 --> 00:58:41,800
Speaker 3: and variability of it. But yeah, I don't know. I

1174
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:44,120
Speaker 3: don't know that's happening this week.

1175
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:48,400
Speaker 2: But we'll see the roster is also bad, right, They're bad,

1176
00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 2: and they should say this.

1177
00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:52,400
Speaker 3: To me, this is as much as anything, this is

1178
00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:55,840
Speaker 3: a Tyreek Hill read. This is the offense is not

1179
00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:58,360
Speaker 3: the same without Tyreek Hill. And I don't think that

1180
00:58:59,000 --> 00:59:02,120
Speaker 3: we will have a just enough to how bad it

1181
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:04,680
Speaker 3: is without him when it wasn't good with him anyways.

1182
00:59:05,200 --> 00:59:08,480
Speaker 3: But losing his speed threat and the way that that stretches,

1183
00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:12,400
Speaker 3: like to me, I hate them out to make this

1184
00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:15,280
Speaker 3: comparison because these are not the same player. But like

1185
00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 3: the way we can't correlate just how much losing Tarreek

1186
00:59:19,720 --> 00:59:22,840
Speaker 3: matters is if like the Warriors suddenly lose Steph Curry

1187
00:59:22,960 --> 00:59:27,080
Speaker 3: and that gravity that changes everything, like the gravity that

1188
00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 3: shapes the entire defense just disappears. Everything is different after that.

1189
00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:34,880
Speaker 3: And I just think we can't adjust fast enough to

1190
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 3: how much they've lost offensively.

1191
00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:40,400
Speaker 2: Now my brain's broken, So I guess A Chane is

1192
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:42,760
Speaker 2: Jimmy Butler. I don't know. We're lost here.

1193
00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 4: If you want to tail Britton's hot read, find the

1194
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:46,920
Speaker 4: quick slip link in the podcast and video description, or

1195
00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:49,640
Speaker 4: go to Action network dot com slash bet. Now we've

1196
00:59:49,640 --> 00:59:52,880
Speaker 4: also got quick slips also in the live chat on YouTube,

1197
00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 4: which again is why you need to check out the

1198
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:56,280
Speaker 4: live show every Sunday night.

1199
01:00:00,080 --> 01:00:14,520
Speaker 1: Beaver Hey, Patrick Efferson here for Vegas Insider. And what

1200
01:00:14,960 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 1: an NFL weekend we have had? Started Thursday night with

1201
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:23,320
Speaker 1: the Rams eight point home favorites against an underman San

1202
01:00:23,360 --> 01:00:27,040
Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers totally decimated by injuries, and yet

1203
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:30,720
Speaker 1: the Niners win twenty six to twenty three in overtime,

1204
01:00:31,200 --> 01:00:34,439
Speaker 1: and then it continued on Sunday. Honestly, the public betting

1205
01:00:34,520 --> 01:00:37,040
Speaker 1: masses did pretty well against the sports books, against the

1206
01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 1: odds makers in the early window of games, and particularly

1207
01:00:40,680 --> 01:00:42,440
Speaker 1: even in the London game. I had a couple of

1208
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:45,240
Speaker 1: oddsmakers tell me they did that. The betters did well

1209
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:49,160
Speaker 1: to the Vikings, getting that late touchdown to barely cover

1210
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:51,200
Speaker 1: the three and a half point spread, winning twenty one

1211
01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:56,080
Speaker 1: to seventeen over Cleveland. But the Arizona Cardinals implosion against

1212
01:00:56,080 --> 01:00:58,120
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans, I'm not going to bother to explain

1213
01:00:58,120 --> 01:01:00,880
Speaker 1: it all, but suffice to say they were up twenty

1214
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:02,600
Speaker 1: one to six. They should have been up twenty eighty

1215
01:01:02,640 --> 01:01:05,560
Speaker 1: six with like twelve and a half minutes left, and

1216
01:01:05,680 --> 01:01:09,600
Speaker 1: they lost to win less Tennessee Cardinals on their home field,

1217
01:01:09,720 --> 01:01:11,200
Speaker 1: lose twenty two to twenty one to give up the

1218
01:01:11,240 --> 01:01:13,880
Speaker 1: final sixteen points of the game. That was a game

1219
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:16,800
Speaker 1: that very much swung in the bookmaker's favor. The Cardinals

1220
01:01:16,840 --> 01:01:21,560
Speaker 1: were a very popular play and somehow did not get

1221
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:23,200
Speaker 1: the job done in a game that seemed like a

1222
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:25,960
Speaker 1: lead pipe cinch early in the fourth quarter. And then

1223
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 1: you get to Sunday night and the Bills, another longer

1224
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:34,479
Speaker 1: favorite in these NFL Week five odds, lay in seven

1225
01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:36,720
Speaker 1: and a half against the New England Patriots. The Bills

1226
01:01:36,760 --> 01:01:40,520
Speaker 1: at home. The Patriots were game throughout the game. They

1227
01:01:40,680 --> 01:01:44,360
Speaker 1: kept this tight. They led at multiple junctures even twenty

1228
01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:47,760
Speaker 1: to ten at one point. Ultimately twenty twenty looks like

1229
01:01:47,840 --> 01:01:50,920
Speaker 1: we might be heading toward overtime, but Patriots win on

1230
01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:55,800
Speaker 1: a fifty two yard field goal twenty three to twenty Patriots,

1231
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,439
Speaker 1: So the Bills are no longer undefeated. You get three

1232
01:01:59,560 --> 01:02:03,400
Speaker 1: dogs a touchdown or greater winning in the NFL Week

1233
01:02:03,440 --> 01:02:06,040
Speaker 1: five odds market, and one oddsmaker told me here in

1234
01:02:06,120 --> 01:02:09,760
Speaker 1: Las Vegas on this Sunday night that they've been begging

1235
01:02:09,920 --> 01:02:13,280
Speaker 1: for a year to get a couple of big underdogs

1236
01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:15,600
Speaker 1: to win in the same week, and this week they

1237
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:21,080
Speaker 1: get three big underdogs in the Niners, the Tennessee Titans,

1238
01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:25,320
Speaker 1: and the New England Patriots. So all in all, as

1239
01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:27,320
Speaker 1: most books sort this out, even though we've still got

1240
01:02:27,360 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 1: Monday night games, it's probably going to be a winning

1241
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:33,520
Speaker 1: week for the sports books, just off those those three

1242
01:02:33,640 --> 01:02:37,200
Speaker 1: upsets being very key breaking up moneyline parlays mainly. That's

1243
01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:38,880
Speaker 1: one of the main things that the odds makers have

1244
01:02:39,000 --> 01:02:42,520
Speaker 1: to beat every week is favorite moneyline parlays and especially

1245
01:02:42,600 --> 01:02:44,560
Speaker 1: big favorites, because the only way you really want to

1246
01:02:44,560 --> 01:02:47,040
Speaker 1: play big favorites on the money line is if you

1247
01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:48,840
Speaker 1: parlay them. You get a few of them in there

1248
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:50,560
Speaker 1: and hopefully make it a little more worth your while

1249
01:02:50,880 --> 01:02:53,000
Speaker 1: and expect that they'll all get there.

1250
01:02:53,040 --> 01:02:53,680
Speaker 2: But they did not.

1251
01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:59,080
Speaker 1: Now, in addition, those of you who participate in survivor contests,

1252
01:02:59,120 --> 01:03:02,560
Speaker 1: and particularly maybe in one big survivor contest that's here

1253
01:03:02,640 --> 01:03:05,840
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, this was a bloodbath of a weekend,

1254
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:11,600
Speaker 1: massive losses to those who partake in survivor contest. Because

1255
01:03:12,200 --> 01:03:16,840
Speaker 1: the Rams were extremely popular, so too were the Cardinals.

1256
01:03:16,960 --> 01:03:21,920
Speaker 1: Both those teams were expected to win without too much difficulty,

1257
01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:24,880
Speaker 1: and both of those teams lost. The Buffalo Bills were

1258
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:28,040
Speaker 1: also a popular play in Survivor contest this week, and

1259
01:03:28,240 --> 01:03:31,640
Speaker 1: as I noted, the Buffalo Bills go down as well,

1260
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:37,440
Speaker 1: So just a decimation if you will, of Survivor contests. Now,

1261
01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 1: getting to some of the Draft Kings numbers on today

1262
01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:44,240
Speaker 1: to see how Draft Kings did relative to some of

1263
01:03:44,360 --> 01:03:48,760
Speaker 1: these results. When you're looking at against the spread, tickets

1264
01:03:48,800 --> 01:03:52,960
Speaker 1: and money at Draft Kings ticket wise, betcount wise, the Lions,

1265
01:03:53,080 --> 01:03:56,880
Speaker 1: Cowboys and Eagles one two three in most spread bets.

1266
01:03:57,000 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 1: The Lions win and covered no problem. Dallas wins outright

1267
01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:05,680
Speaker 1: a short underdog. The Eagles, though, lose at home to

1268
01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:08,520
Speaker 1: my Denver Broncos. They blow a seventeen to three fourth

1269
01:04:08,600 --> 01:04:12,280
Speaker 1: quarter lead and lose twenty one to seventeen. So a

1270
01:04:12,360 --> 01:04:14,760
Speaker 1: pretty stunning loss there for the Eagles as they fall

1271
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:17,560
Speaker 1: from the ranks of the unbeaten. As far as spread

1272
01:04:17,600 --> 01:04:19,880
Speaker 1: money goes, this is kind of interesting.

1273
01:04:20,000 --> 01:04:20,600
Speaker 3: For some reason.

1274
01:04:20,680 --> 01:04:23,600
Speaker 1: The Bengals at DraftKings were number one in spread money,

1275
01:04:23,640 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 1: people liking the Bengals getting those points against the Detroit Lions,

1276
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:29,920
Speaker 1: but the Bengals obviously did not.

1277
01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:30,560
Speaker 2: Cover the spread.

1278
01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:33,040
Speaker 1: The Detroit Lions were number two in spread money they

1279
01:04:33,120 --> 01:04:35,880
Speaker 1: obviously cover the number they rolled over Cincinnati, and the

1280
01:04:36,000 --> 01:04:38,800
Speaker 1: Eagles were number three in spread money, and as I

1281
01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:43,840
Speaker 1: noticed just a minute ago, the Eagles lost to Denver Roncos.

1282
01:04:44,880 --> 01:04:48,920
Speaker 1: Another interesting category that DraftKings send stats out for, and

1283
01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:52,800
Speaker 1: that is money line underdogs, and the top three money

1284
01:04:52,880 --> 01:04:57,480
Speaker 1: line underdogs for NFL Week five Sunday were the Giants, Ravens,

1285
01:04:57,520 --> 01:05:01,240
Speaker 1: and Buccaneers. By bet count and by money. They were

1286
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:04,080
Speaker 1: one two three in ticket count and one two three

1287
01:05:04,200 --> 01:05:08,760
Speaker 1: in money. The Giants lose, the Ravens get trounced, the

1288
01:05:08,960 --> 01:05:11,640
Speaker 1: Buccaneers pull off a nice win, going all the way

1289
01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:14,920
Speaker 1: across the nation to beat the Seattle Seahawks in an

1290
01:05:15,120 --> 01:05:19,040
Speaker 1: absolute offensive bonanza. Fun game to watch for sure, So

1291
01:05:19,400 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers were the one underdog money line the betters

1292
01:05:22,360 --> 01:05:26,160
Speaker 1: were on the most that got there. Betters were not

1293
01:05:26,680 --> 01:05:30,240
Speaker 1: intrigued by the Tennessee Titans, and not so much with

1294
01:05:30,280 --> 01:05:34,120
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots either, so those would have paid

1295
01:05:34,120 --> 01:05:36,560
Speaker 1: out nicely if they'd been on those, with those two

1296
01:05:36,680 --> 01:05:40,080
Speaker 1: teams both getting more than a touchdown in their games,

1297
01:05:40,600 --> 01:05:43,160
Speaker 1: and then just looking over some of theesen's betting split

1298
01:05:43,360 --> 01:05:49,160
Speaker 1: stats on some of the more heavily bet teams as

1299
01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:52,000
Speaker 1: far as spread tickets go. Dallas Cowboys seventy seven percent

1300
01:05:52,040 --> 01:05:55,640
Speaker 1: of spread tickets at draft kings in Dallas, as I

1301
01:05:55,720 --> 01:05:58,000
Speaker 1: said one, and covered as an underdog against the New

1302
01:05:58,080 --> 01:06:02,160
Speaker 1: York Jets. The Detroits eighty two percent of spread tickets

1303
01:06:02,480 --> 01:06:04,560
Speaker 1: at draft kings were on the Detroit Lions. They easily

1304
01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:08,280
Speaker 1: won and covered seventy seven percent of spread tickets and

1305
01:06:08,400 --> 01:06:11,640
Speaker 1: eighty two percent of spread money on the LA Chargers

1306
01:06:12,200 --> 01:06:14,520
Speaker 1: lay in three at home against the Commanders. The Commanders

1307
01:06:14,600 --> 01:06:18,640
Speaker 1: go to La and get the victory. So that was

1308
01:06:18,720 --> 01:06:20,920
Speaker 1: one that's maybe a little bit of a surprising result,

1309
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:22,920
Speaker 1: and it certainly worked out in favor of the odds

1310
01:06:22,960 --> 01:06:25,200
Speaker 1: makers rather than the betters, because the public was definitely

1311
01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:26,919
Speaker 1: on the LA Chargers, And I also had an odds

1312
01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:29,120
Speaker 1: maker in Vegas tell me early in the week there

1313
01:06:29,240 --> 01:06:30,920
Speaker 1: was sharp play on the Charges as well. So that

1314
01:06:31,040 --> 01:06:34,320
Speaker 1: was pros and Joe's on the LA Chargers and Jayden

1315
01:06:34,360 --> 01:06:36,919
Speaker 1: Daniels comes back for the Washington Commanders gets it done.

1316
01:06:37,480 --> 01:06:41,360
Speaker 1: As the Commanders get the victory of the fairly easily

1317
01:06:41,440 --> 01:06:42,880
Speaker 1: twenty seven to ten. They were down ten, enough of

1318
01:06:42,920 --> 01:06:45,680
Speaker 1: the Commanders were and the Chargers did not score again,

1319
01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:48,040
Speaker 1: and the Commanders score the final twenty seven points of

1320
01:06:48,160 --> 01:06:50,400
Speaker 1: that game Monday night. So let's take a quick look

1321
01:06:50,440 --> 01:06:53,560
Speaker 1: at that again off of Draft Kings numbers and keeping

1322
01:06:53,600 --> 01:06:55,960
Speaker 1: in mind that the majority of tickets and money always

1323
01:06:56,000 --> 01:06:57,920
Speaker 1: come in on any of these games on game day,

1324
01:06:58,000 --> 01:06:59,920
Speaker 1: and even more so closer to taking kickoff.

1325
01:07:00,600 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 3: But the Chiefs.

1326
01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:04,560
Speaker 1: Jaguars game a much better game than people probably expected

1327
01:07:04,640 --> 01:07:06,800
Speaker 1: when the season started. The Jaguars actually have the better

1328
01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:09,040
Speaker 1: record than the Chiefs Jaguars three and one, Chiefs two

1329
01:07:09,080 --> 01:07:12,960
Speaker 1: and two. But the public is on the Chiefs seventy

1330
01:07:13,000 --> 01:07:15,320
Speaker 1: two percent of spread bets seventy three percent of spread

1331
01:07:15,360 --> 01:07:18,520
Speaker 1: money on Kansas City as we head toward Monday, so

1332
01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:22,320
Speaker 1: they're definitely liking the Kansas City Chiefs. There, the book

1333
01:07:22,440 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 1: is probably going to be rooting for the Jaguars. Jaguars

1334
01:07:25,480 --> 01:07:27,400
Speaker 1: are at home, having a pretty good season, and as

1335
01:07:27,480 --> 01:07:30,360
Speaker 1: we've noted in this conversation in the last few minutes,

1336
01:07:30,880 --> 01:07:33,320
Speaker 1: a couple of underdogs have really got the job done.

1337
01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:35,560
Speaker 1: Don't be surprised, or perhaps the Jaguars jump up and

1338
01:07:36,080 --> 01:07:38,560
Speaker 1: do it as well against the Chiefs Jaguars getting three

1339
01:07:38,560 --> 01:07:41,040
Speaker 1: and a half points at home that I'll do it

1340
01:07:41,120 --> 01:07:43,120
Speaker 1: here on the Action Network podcast for our NFL Week

1341
01:07:43,160 --> 01:07:45,120
Speaker 1: five recap presented by DraftKings.

1342
01:07:45,160 --> 01:07:47,040
Speaker 4: Give us a like on the YouTube video before you

1343
01:07:47,120 --> 01:07:49,000
Speaker 4: take off. This helps us out so much spreading the

1344
01:07:49,040 --> 01:07:51,000
Speaker 4: good word. We'd appreciate you guys hanging out with us tonight.

1345
01:07:51,720 --> 01:07:53,760
Speaker 4: Go to action over dot com slash pro and use

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01:08:18,880 --> 01:08:21,639
Speaker 4: want to hear from you at HB basketball at Playbook

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01:08:21,800 --> 01:08:24,400
Speaker 4: on Twitter. If you're into the NBA and you want

1359
01:08:24,400 --> 01:08:26,280
Speaker 4: to catch up on that before the season starts, check

1360
01:08:26,320 --> 01:08:29,680
Speaker 4: out our daily NBA Bay and podcast buckets. We are

1361
01:08:29,760 --> 01:08:32,760
Speaker 4: five days a week starting today, so we have MVP

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01:08:32,880 --> 01:08:35,240
Speaker 4: episode up with Joe Delaia. Go check that out and

1363
01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:37,720
Speaker 4: we'll be back for Action Island before Monday night's games

1364
01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:40,200
Speaker 4: right here on Action Network's YouTube page, as well as

1365
01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:43,720
Speaker 4: more NFL best bets from Brandon you got, rayvonn and

1366
01:08:43,760 --> 01:08:48,200
Speaker 4: Stucky six Pack episode the Anytime Touchdowns with g dollars

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Speaker 4: five thousand and more on.

1368
01:08:49,960 --> 01:08:53,040
Speaker 2: The podcast feed each week. Thanks for listening. Have fun

1369
01:08:53,080 --> 01:08:54,800
Speaker 2: out there so you guys again next time on the

1370
01:08:54,840 --> 01:08:55,839
Speaker 2: Action Network podcast.

1371
01:09:11,560 --> 01:09:16,080
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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01:09:16,120 --> 01:09:18,920
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

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Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler