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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys, what's up? Welcome into a new episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault. You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt, and we come to you following what

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Speaker 1: should have been a three to oh day. I don't

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Speaker 1: know we're taping here late. It's like ten thirty on

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Speaker 1: the West Coast. But I'm not going to be stunned

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Speaker 1: if we wake up to the news that Matt Lafleur

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Speaker 1: has been let go by the Green Bay Packers after

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Speaker 1: one of the biggest chokes in the history of the

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Speaker 1: NFL playoffs, being up by eighteen points in the second half,

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Speaker 1: and the play calling was unreal. You can talk about

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Speaker 1: the kicking game all year, want missed field goal, missed

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Speaker 1: extra point, But that team in the second half was

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Speaker 1: that was coaching malpractice. That was coaching with both hands

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Speaker 1: around your throat and squeezing. I don't understand it. I

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Speaker 1: don't get what was going on. I don't know why

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Speaker 1: they were running. They were throwing the ball as much

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Speaker 1: as they were throwing the ball. Run the ball. I

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Speaker 1: don't care if it's two three yards you're up by

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Speaker 1: three make the Bears use clock and use their timeouts,

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Speaker 1: giving them the football back without having them burn all

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Speaker 1: their timeouts. It's just coaching malpractice. I don't understand. I

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Speaker 1: know you weren't running the ball effectively, but I don't

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Speaker 1: care if you're running a bunch of QB sneaks. Made

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Speaker 1: no sense. We had a we had a good day.

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Speaker 1: The Carolina game flew over. That was easy, easy w

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Speaker 1: byu Utah, easyw flew over Packers up by eighteen. That

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Speaker 1: was the day I needed. I needed a three and

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Speaker 1: oh day because then we'd be going here into Sunday

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Speaker 1: with If we go three and two, we would probably

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Speaker 1: have a winning week. So up point nine it puts

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Speaker 1: us in range if we have a good day to

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Speaker 1: day we can have a winning week. We had just

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Speaker 1: kind of a paper cut type of week, and so

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Speaker 1: point nine is better than losing obviously, and makes up

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Speaker 1: for the days where we went one in one right,

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Speaker 1: we had two of those, so we make up for that,

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Speaker 1: and then it cuts into the depsit. We had a

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Speaker 1: couple of one in two days, so it cuts into that.

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Speaker 1: But a three in all mark would have wiped all

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Speaker 1: that out and we would head to Sunday with we

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Speaker 1: had a winning day, we had a winning week, so

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Speaker 1: it's still a possibility to have a winning week. But

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Speaker 1: that was that was a frustrating day, a frustrating loss.

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers. Oh my gosh, long off season in

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Speaker 1: Green Bay, Wisconsin, cold winter after that loss. But on

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Speaker 1: the flip side, congrats to the Bears, Congrats to Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 1: I still think Ben Johnson is not a very good coach,

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Speaker 1: and I still think he makes ridiculous play calls and

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Speaker 1: I but I mean, if they play the Eagles next

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Speaker 1: week at home, I mean, we'll see who winds up

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Speaker 1: getting there, right, because the four nine ers win today,

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Speaker 1: if they beat the Eagles, they're going to San Francisco

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Speaker 1: and the Rams will go to the Bill to the Bears.

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Speaker 1: So we're going to see how it plays out. Lowest

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Speaker 1: remaining seed winds up going to Seattle. So the Rams win,

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Speaker 1: they're the five seed. The Bears win, they're the two seed.

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Speaker 1: So if the Niners win as the sixth seed, they're

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Speaker 1: going to sand for the to Seattle. If the Eagles

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Speaker 1: win today, the Eagles are the three seed. They're going

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Speaker 1: to the They're going to Chicago, where I think the

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Speaker 1: Bears could beat the Eagles. I do. I think the

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Speaker 1: Bears could wind up in the NFC Championship game. So

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Speaker 1: this is big when you when you're the two seed.

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Speaker 1: I think having home field, I think could be pretty

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Speaker 1: significant for the Bears. So we'll see how that all

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Speaker 1: plays out coming up here for today. So what we've

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Speaker 1: got for you, I've already given you two bets for today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: We've already given you the Payots minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half and the Jaguars on the money line. Those bets

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Speaker 1: aren't moving. Those bets are there now. Yesterday I gave

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Speaker 1: you two plays on the live stream that we're going

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Speaker 1: to make official here for the Daily Juice. Now, unfortunately

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Speaker 1: this number right now is unavailable, but I'm going to

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Speaker 1: take the forty nine Ers at plus six and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: here's my thought behind this. The forty nine Ers are

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Speaker 1: seven and two ats on the road this season. They're

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Speaker 1: going to have Trent Williams back, which I think is

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Speaker 1: huge for Christian McCaffrey running the football and for Brock

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Speaker 1: Party to have time to throw to George Kittlin company.

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Speaker 1: This Niners offense was red hot before last week, and

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Speaker 1: yes I know what the Seahawks did to them, but

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Speaker 1: I think this is Kyle Shanahan. This is a six

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Speaker 1: and a half point line that I got. It went

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Speaker 1: to six and a half, it's been be back down

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Speaker 1: to six. I still don't mind it. I still don't

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Speaker 1: mind it now. I have also teased this down to

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Speaker 1: the Eagles on a money line, and I've created kind

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Speaker 1: of a middle for myself with this. But officially, you know,

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Speaker 1: I do a lot of teasing, and I do a

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Speaker 1: lot of kind of playing around with stuff that I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't really recommend, so I don't make it part of

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Speaker 1: the official card all that often. I know I've sort

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Speaker 1: of made my mark and I've sort of made my

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Speaker 1: name by betting teasers. But if you've noticed this season,

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Speaker 1: we haven't been nearly as aggressive with Wong teasers and

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Speaker 1: nearly as aggressive teasing games because simply the books have

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Speaker 1: priced it out and made it too expensive to really

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Speaker 1: make it a smart decision to tease. But also we

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Speaker 1: just you know, sometimes you just don't need it, like

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Speaker 1: it's unnecessary, So just bet the game straight and if

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Speaker 1: it covers, it covers. If it doesn't, it doesn't, it

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Speaker 1: wouldn't have mattered if you tease it or not. It's

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Speaker 1: the old adage about the ever you know, disappearing point

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Speaker 1: spread in the NFL, like you don't really need to

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Speaker 1: worry about it, you just bet money line, right. So

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of that going on here in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: But both dogs covered yesterday, Anther's covered easily. Bears covered

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Speaker 1: the one, one and a half. Whatever number you bet

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Speaker 1: for Chicago, either you laid one one and a half

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Speaker 1: or took one or one and a half didn't matter.

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Speaker 1: Bears covered every one of those numbers. So we move

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Speaker 1: on here today where the Jaguars are laying one and

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Speaker 1: a half. I like the favorite there. I got it

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Speaker 1: at a pick even money, so money line even money

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Speaker 1: picked Jaguars Patriots. That number hasn't budged. It's amazing, it

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Speaker 1: just hasn't moved. I think it may close at four.

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Speaker 1: I think there's going to be late money coming in

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Speaker 1: on the Patriots, but we'll see how it plays out.

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Speaker 1: The weather is not going to be a problem. It's

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Speaker 1: going to be balling in forty five degrees in Foxborough.

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Speaker 1: So for mid January, that's a huge break, massive break

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Speaker 1: for a West Coast Dome team. To play in prime time,

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Speaker 1: not in frigid temperatures in Foxborough, So mother Nature not

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Speaker 1: doing the Patriots any favors with the weather. But the

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Speaker 1: Patriots as three point favorites are more this year with

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Speaker 1: Drake May playing quarterback or ten and zero straight up,

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Speaker 1: they're eight and two against the spread, taking the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: So for the forty nine ers, we don't know about

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Speaker 1: Lane Johnson, Okay, he is a legit game time decision,

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Speaker 1: so is Ricky pearsall he is a straight game time decision.

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Speaker 1: But Trent Williams is in. He's playing, and once they

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Speaker 1: cleared Trent Williams, I had the six and a half

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Speaker 1: and I'm good to give it you guys. Officially, I'm

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Speaker 1: taking the forty nine ers here at plus six and

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Speaker 1: a half. So for straight plays here today Jaguars money line,

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Speaker 1: Patriots laying three and a half and the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers at plus six and a half. One prop bet

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Speaker 1: to give you guys, and there is a hard rock

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Speaker 1: bet of the day as well. But I'm gonna look

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Speaker 1: at Parker Washington for the Jaguars and his receptions. He

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Speaker 1: has gone over four and a half receptions in three

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Speaker 1: consecutive games at Denver at Indy and home against the Titans.

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Speaker 1: He said five eight and six receptions. While the Bills

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Speaker 1: pass defense is very good, their run defense is not

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Speaker 1: very good, but their pass defense is very good. I

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Speaker 1: do think the receptions angle is one to look at,

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Speaker 1: and if he goes for five, we get plus money

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Speaker 1: on this. And Parker Washington has become such a big

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Speaker 1: weapon for this offense, and they're at home. He was

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Speaker 1: targeted nine times last week he had eighty seven yards

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Speaker 1: and a touchdown. He continues to wrack up a lot

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Speaker 1: of yards. He had six hundred and forty yards receiving

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Speaker 1: in four touchdowns over the final nine games. Jacoby Myers,

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Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior. These guys are big weapons, and the

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Speaker 1: defenses tend to focus upon Myers and Brian Thomas Junior,

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Speaker 1: and they've sort of left Parker Washington alone. I like

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Speaker 1: Parker Washington over four and a half receptions and you

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Speaker 1: get plus money. This number has come down. People are

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Speaker 1: fading this and taking the under three and a half

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Speaker 1: is over minus one eighty. So I'm not interested in

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Speaker 1: doing that for a prop bet, but I'll take a

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Speaker 1: flyer on Parker Washington to have five receptions. Here today

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Speaker 1: for the Jaguars offense and to have him go over

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Speaker 1: this four and a half five receptions and we get

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Speaker 1: we get over coming up on this. So Parker Washington

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Speaker 1: over four and a half receptions at plus one twenty time.

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Speaker 1: Now for the hard Rock Bet of the day. It's

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Speaker 1: It is the NFL Playoffs. These guys are the presenting

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Speaker 1: sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast and we really appreciate

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Speaker 1: their support and what they have meant to us here

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Speaker 1: throughout the entire football season. If you guys have options,

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Speaker 1: and we know that you do. One way of taking

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Speaker 1: you know, saying thank you to us here for the

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Speaker 1: free content that we produce each and every single Sunday

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Speaker 1: for you guys throughout the playoffs regular season is by

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Speaker 1: the Jags, the Buccaneers, the Heat, the Magic and the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: You guys have same game parlay options. You've got in

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Speaker 1: game betting options and the five dollars first bet on

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Speaker 1: and make your first deposit to day. Okay, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the hard rock bet of the day. Bills Jags

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Speaker 1: over fifty one and a half. Why well, the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: and the Bills down the stretch both went four and

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Speaker 1: one to the over. The Bills on the road against

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Speaker 1: the Patriots went over by sixteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Against Cleveland on the road went over by two points.

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Speaker 1: Their last game against the Jets at home went over

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Speaker 1: by them scoring thirty five points. The Philly game at

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Speaker 1: home went under by twenty. But this is a team

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Speaker 1: that on the road. Even though they went five and

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Speaker 1: three to the under on the road, their last two

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Speaker 1: road games both went over. On the flip side, Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: also went four and one over their last five games

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Speaker 1: to the over, and at home they went four and

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Speaker 1: four against Tennessee. Their last game, they went over against Indy.

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Speaker 1: It went under on the road. Denver, though went over.

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Speaker 1: The Jets went over, Indianapolis went over. And it's because

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Speaker 1: of the offense and the points they have put up

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Speaker 1: this Jacksonville Jaguars team in terms of where they are

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Speaker 1: to their own individual point team total, they've been dominant

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Speaker 1: with their point individual team total they have scored. They've

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Speaker 1: gone way over this year consistently, and it's been a

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Speaker 1: decent play. If you want to bet the team total

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Speaker 1: over for Jacksonville, it's not a horrible angle to look

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Speaker 1: at this. The Jags have scored twenty three or more

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Speaker 1: points in ten straight games entering the playoffs, with their

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Speaker 1: defense allowing twenty points or less for six straight. That

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Speaker 1: is dominant here, absolutely dominant. For where the Jacksonville Jaguars

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Speaker 1: have been over the second half of the year, they've

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Speaker 1: been to a tremendous team. I said twelve and four.

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Speaker 1: Jaguars are thirteen and four to their team total over

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Speaker 1: this year. That's the best mark in the NFL. They're

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Speaker 1: entering the playoffs with a twelve and five ATS record.

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Speaker 1: That's the best ATS mark in franchise history. The Patriots, Rams,

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Speaker 1: Jags all enter the playoffs with a seventy plus ATS

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Speaker 1: win percentage. Since twenty seventeen, teams with a seventy plus

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Speaker 1: ATS win percentage or just three and eleven ATS, make

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Speaker 1: that three and twelve with the Rams not covering. But

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Speaker 1: I'm on the Jags and I'm on the Patriots, so

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Speaker 1: you know I'm going to go against that trend because

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Speaker 1: of just how red hot the Jags and the Patriots

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Speaker 1: have been. Yes, I know playoff football is different, but

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Speaker 1: for this game, hard Rock bet of the Day, we're

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Speaker 1: going with the over fifty one and a half at

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Speaker 1: minus one ten for the Bills and the Jags. So

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Speaker 1: full play today here for Sunday Jaguars money line, even money,

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Speaker 1: Patriots laying three and a half even money forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers plus six and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind teasing that and taking the Eagles Parker

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Speaker 1: Washington over four and a half receptions at plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty and the hard Rock bet of the Day Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Jags over fifty one and a half at

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Speaker 1: minus one ten. I don't mind it if you take

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Speaker 1: that number and you go Eagles money line. Pull it

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Speaker 1: down Eagles and then take the total at fifty one

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Speaker 1: and a half and pull that down and go over

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Speaker 1: at forty five and a half six point teaser. I

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Speaker 1: don't mind that. Different ways you can play it. Jaguars

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Speaker 1: team total, don't mind playing that either. So you have

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Speaker 1: a lot of options here with three bets, with three games.

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Speaker 1: I'm giving you all this. Because there is no live

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Speaker 1: stream today, you can go back and watch it. We

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Speaker 1: did it yesterday Betting Pros YouTube channel. Go check it out.

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Speaker 1: You guys can see what Pat fitz Morris and I

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Speaker 1: talked about and how we broke it all down. Sorry

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Speaker 1: for Pat, I was on the Packers. He was very

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Speaker 1: nervous about that game, but he was dead set on

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Speaker 1: the over and he was completely right. I trailed him

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Speaker 1: on that. That game flew over, so that was good.

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Speaker 1: I also punted it out of that game for the Packers'

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Speaker 1: money line or minus one. I was on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel and after that missed field goal, I said, bet

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Speaker 1: the Bears. I had minus one ten on the Bear's

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Speaker 1: money line when I had and grabbed it on that

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Speaker 1: for the Bears to win. That cashed and got us

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Speaker 1: out of that bet. For the Packers, laying one, So

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Speaker 1: not a bad day for me yesterday with basketball coming

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Speaker 1: in and the over coming in for the Bears, over

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Speaker 1: coming in for the for the Panthers and the Rams

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Speaker 1: as well, so good Saturday. Hopefully we can kind of

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Speaker 1: continue that and stack up two back to back good

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Speaker 1: days today here on Sunday minus Matt Parol. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me across all my socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt every morning wherever your guys get your podcasts. It

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Speaker 1: is the Daily Juice until pas death desp.