WEBVTT - Cathie Wood and Rebecca Kacaba Talk Ark Investment and Dealmaker Joining Forces

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>We welcome back our Bloomberg Radio, TV and YouTube audiences

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<v Speaker 2>worldwide here on the Close with a discussion about unlocking

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<v Speaker 2>venture capital. Well that's the mission of our next two guests,

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<v Speaker 2>who are working to expand access to opportunities usually just

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<v Speaker 2>reserved for the big guys, the institutional investors. Joining us

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<v Speaker 2>right now is kind of well, the face of the

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<v Speaker 2>retail rise of the retail investor, Kathy Would. She's a

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<v Speaker 2>CEO of ARC invest You know her. She's joined alongside

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<v Speaker 2>Rebecca Cassava. She's co founder and CEO of a company

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<v Speaker 2>called deal Maker, which is revolution how revolutionizing how companies

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<v Speaker 2>raise capital by providing a tech driven platform for companies

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<v Speaker 2>to use. Welcome to both of you, and I'm going

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<v Speaker 2>to start with you, Rebecca. We all know Kathy and

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<v Speaker 2>we all know just how responsible she is for a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of sot of I guests, the democratization, if you will,

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<v Speaker 2>of a lot of investment vehicles. You're also doing something similar,

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm wondering if you just kind of explain how

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<v Speaker 2>deal Maker fits into that landscape.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure things, So, what we're doing is bringing a really

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<v Speaker 3>technology driven approach to raising capital. If you think about it,

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<v Speaker 3>if you rein invented capital raising today, it would be

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<v Speaker 3>on the intranet, it would be data driven, and it

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<v Speaker 3>would be democratized.

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<v Speaker 4>And so that's what our technology brings.

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<v Speaker 3>It essentially allows you to run ad campaigns and target

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<v Speaker 3>investors who might be interested in your deal based on

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<v Speaker 3>their digital profile.

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<v Speaker 2>I am curious, Kathy about these new types of platforms.

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<v Speaker 2>We talk about the evolution of financial markets. We went

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<v Speaker 2>from a day and age where financial markets were just

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<v Speaker 2>for institutional investors. Then you had, of course, the rise

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<v Speaker 2>of mutual funds and then ETFs of course, and then

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<v Speaker 2>now a lot of new products in the private space

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<v Speaker 2>and now trying to draw in individual investors. This is

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<v Speaker 2>just the natural evolution as you see it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, it's natural in a way.

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<v Speaker 5>But I think during COVID it was turbo charged a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of especially younger people who would not meet the

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<v Speaker 5>accreditation standards. They were learning about new companies, investing themselves,

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<v Speaker 5>trying to figure out what these new technologies were all about,

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<v Speaker 5>and you know, happened upon private companies to which.

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<v Speaker 1>They had no or little access.

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<v Speaker 5>And I think because of that, and because I know,

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<v Speaker 5>we started our venture fund for that reason, they came

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<v Speaker 5>to us and said, you know, how is it. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>we don't have enough, We don't make enough money two

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<v Speaker 5>hundred and fifty thousand dollars per year, I think it is,

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<v Speaker 5>and we don't have a million dollars in net worth

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<v Speaker 5>to become accredited and have access to these you know,

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<v Speaker 5>incredible technologies early in their lifetimes. Can you help us

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<v Speaker 5>solve that problem? And so yes, that's why we started

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<v Speaker 5>our venture fund. It has no carry and people can

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<v Speaker 5>have access to SpaceX and open AI and thropic xai.

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<v Speaker 1>X for as little as five hundred dollars.

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<v Speaker 6>Okay, So that's one solution to democratizing access of these

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<v Speaker 6>companies to everyday individual investors. Kathy, could you explain a

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<v Speaker 6>little bit about what it is that ARC is doing

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<v Speaker 6>with a deal maker?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, actually, our venture team met Rebecca recently and I

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<v Speaker 5>have yet to be briefed on exactly what we're doing together.

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<v Speaker 5>Maybe Rebecca would want to talk about how far a

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<v Speaker 5>long we are.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think it's opportunities like this where we can

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<v Speaker 3>understand we can talk to Washington about what the investors

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<v Speaker 3>and what the companies want. Like deal maker is taking

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<v Speaker 3>a slightly different approach on it, where we see retail

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<v Speaker 3>investors having a bit of a distrust of institutions today

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<v Speaker 3>and companies wanting that one to one relationship with the brand.

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<v Speaker 3>And so we're both two different businesses taking a totally

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<v Speaker 3>different approach to the retail market, but understanding the power

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<v Speaker 3>of this and how it can be transformative for the

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<v Speaker 3>capital markets in a lot of different ways, because let's

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<v Speaker 3>face it, there's a lot of ways that the capital

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<v Speaker 3>market's ecosystem is broken that both what ar kids doing

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<v Speaker 3>and deal maker is doing can help solve.

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<v Speaker 2>I was kind of going, I'm sorry, yeah, so.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what I thought had happened. We are so like minded.

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<v Speaker 5>Charlie Roberts, who leads our VC effort, and Rebecca met

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<v Speaker 5>at a conference and we just thought, Okay, we're both

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<v Speaker 5>going at this from in a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 5>different way, from different angles, but this idea of democratization

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<v Speaker 5>is in its very early stages, so let's make sure

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<v Speaker 5>we both encourage it.

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<v Speaker 3>Right.

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<v Speaker 6>You both encounter the same issues and you're looking to

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<v Speaker 6>solve it in your own ways.

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<v Speaker 1>So We'rebecca. Can you talk a little bit about the biggest.

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<v Speaker 6>Pain points of capital raising that founders tend to face

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<v Speaker 6>and how deal maker solves for that.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, ultimately, access to capital is a challenge

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<v Speaker 3>for a lot of investors, right, It's very difficult to

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<v Speaker 3>get VC investment that actually finds a very small part

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<v Speaker 3>of the ecosystem. And then there's a lot of brands

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<v Speaker 3>that retail investors love and they want to participate in

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<v Speaker 3>and they can help amplify amplify the.

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<v Speaker 4>Business in a different way.

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<v Speaker 3>So we have technology companies, you know, Monograms building a

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<v Speaker 3>robotic need surgery arm where they've got retail investors forming

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<v Speaker 3>all of their beta users and really supporting bringing that

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<v Speaker 3>business to life and driving revenue for them. So the

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<v Speaker 3>reality is that businesses are built online today and there's

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of different ways that retail can interact with

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<v Speaker 3>these brands to help propel them forward.

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<v Speaker 2>Was there any issues when you were starting this, Rebecca,

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<v Speaker 2>and was there any issues about regulatory concerns? I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>we know that regulators is, particularly here in the US,

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<v Speaker 2>look over the shoulders and they sort of I think

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<v Speaker 2>kunt of Kathy alluded to. Look, they're saying, look, you

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<v Speaker 2>don't have the net worth, so you must not be

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<v Speaker 2>sophisticated enough to buy this type of vehicle. How did

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<v Speaker 2>you navigate that regulatory side of this when you were

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<v Speaker 2>coming up with this idea and building out the business.

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, well, shameless bug.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the regulators were brilliant in the way that

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<v Speaker 3>they designed the legislation because the legislation protects investors already,

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<v Speaker 3>So they put a cap on the amount that a

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<v Speaker 3>retail investor can invest when they're not accredited, so they're

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<v Speaker 3>not going to lose their shirt on any one single offering.

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<v Speaker 3>Because we know some offerings are going to succeed and

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<v Speaker 3>some offerings are going to fail, and so the main

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<v Speaker 3>thing that we're driving for here is to make sure

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<v Speaker 3>that the investors are protected, and the legislation did that already,

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<v Speaker 3>and so there's a bill in the House right now

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<v Speaker 3>that's probably going to pass with the new administration that

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<v Speaker 3>we're going to see the exemption limits go up from

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<v Speaker 3>seventy five million to one hundred and fifty million. You've

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<v Speaker 3>also got FIT twenty one, which is going to bring

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of interest to the crypto space. So we

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<v Speaker 3>see the snowball just rolling now in terms of retail

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<v Speaker 3>access to alls.

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<v Speaker 2>Kathy, I do have to kind of ask you about

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<v Speaker 2>the climate in Washington, and I know you have a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of friends, either business wise or personal in the

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<v Speaker 2>incoming administration coming in. And there's been a euphoria I'm

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<v Speaker 2>sure you've seen it ever since November fifth, even slightly

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<v Speaker 2>before that, when it became somewhat clearer that Trump was

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<v Speaker 2>likely going to win. He's promising obviously a much more

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<v Speaker 2>business friendly administration, one of deregulation. At the same time,

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<v Speaker 2>he's also pitching fiscal policies that could potentially have some

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<v Speaker 2>economic impact to the negative side. I am curious as

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<v Speaker 2>to I guess what type of euphoria you're feeling, and

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<v Speaker 2>more importantly, what type of caution, if at all, you're

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<v Speaker 2>feeling as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Well.

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<v Speaker 5>If you look at the performance of our funds since

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<v Speaker 5>the election, they've far outpaced the market, outpaced the mag

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<v Speaker 5>seven and so forth. So I think of what the

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<v Speaker 5>market is beginning to say is this administration is going

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<v Speaker 5>to support innovative strategies, anything that will accelerate the growth,

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<v Speaker 5>increase the productivity of our economy. Deregulation is going to

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<v Speaker 5>be we think a very large part of that tax incentives,

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<v Speaker 5>tax rate cuts as well. You mentioned the perhaps the

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<v Speaker 5>cutback in government spending programs. You know, in our mind,

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<v Speaker 5>government spending longer term is taxation in one form of

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<v Speaker 5>the other. It's got to be paid for with increased

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<v Speaker 5>taxes now, increase taxes later, or basically through inflation inflating

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<v Speaker 5>away the debt. And so we think that's going to

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<v Speaker 5>be very positive. This drive towards increasing the efficiency of

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<v Speaker 5>the government, which will then limit the kinds of tax

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<v Speaker 5>increases we've seen over the last few years, and perhaps

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<v Speaker 5>even continue to roll back taxes, leaving more for the

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<v Speaker 5>private sector at the expense of sort of inefficiencies in

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<v Speaker 5>the government sector.

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<v Speaker 6>So Kathy following on that, the President elect has outlined

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<v Speaker 6>a number of initiatives that he wants to put in

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<v Speaker 6>place as soon as he is inaugurated on January twentieth.

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<v Speaker 6>Of the different proposals of pro growth items that he

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<v Speaker 6>has on his to do list, which do you think

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<v Speaker 6>needs to be prioritized. Is it tax cuts, is it

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<v Speaker 6>immigration reform, tariffs, is it deregulation? Which of those things

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<v Speaker 6>should be at the top.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, consider the source.

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<v Speaker 5>So my answer might be different from President elect Trump's answer,

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<v Speaker 5>but in terms of turbocharging growth, I think if tax rates, if.

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<v Speaker 1>This administration is going to cut tax rates.

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<v Speaker 5>The most important thing it has to do is make

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<v Speaker 5>sure they're retroactive to January first of twenty twenty five,

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<v Speaker 5>because and we learned this from the Reagan administration, if

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<v Speaker 5>they defer or or phase in tax cuts, businesses and

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<v Speaker 5>individuals will wait for the lower tax rates and that

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<v Speaker 5>can weaken economic activity. Beyond that, deregulation critically important. I

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<v Speaker 5>think one of the reasons venture capital has had so

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<v Speaker 5>much trouble during the last few years and strategies in

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<v Speaker 5>the innovation space, especially in life sciences, is because M

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<v Speaker 5>and A has been prevented by the FTC. That is

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<v Speaker 5>going to change, so we are finally going to have

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<v Speaker 5>price discovery as strategic buyer's bid for these innovative companies.

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<v Speaker 5>We'll see how much they're really worth. This has not

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<v Speaker 5>happened in a long time. We also think therefore there

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<v Speaker 5>will be liquidity events for private companies into the public world,

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<v Speaker 5>which is also going to become very important.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, Rebecca, I'd like to get your thoughts on that

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<v Speaker 2>as well, because when you look at the data for

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<v Speaker 2>certainly in the first half of the year, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>VC funding activity was abysmal. We saw definitely a bit

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<v Speaker 2>of a pickup in three Q. I'm not sure what

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<v Speaker 2>the fourth quarter has shown, but are you optimistic we're

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<v Speaker 2>going to see more VC activity kind of to the

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<v Speaker 2>point of what Kathy was talking about in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>the catalysts, is that going to really push this industry forward?

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<v Speaker 4>It definitely feels that way, it really does.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the momentum is there, the street is excited

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<v Speaker 3>and feeling the effects of deregulation. And you know, one

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<v Speaker 3>of the benefits that we saw over the down market

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<v Speaker 3>activity was that retail investors stay strong. Like while VC

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<v Speaker 3>activity did, retail investment continued to pull through and continue

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<v Speaker 3>to carry a lot of the capital markets, which was

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<v Speaker 3>what Congress intended when they originally passed the legislation. So

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<v Speaker 3>we expect to just consider that upswing continuing.

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<v Speaker 6>Kathy, you had mentioned the ARC Venture Fund. I'm wondering,

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<v Speaker 6>with this new administration coming in, the deregulation that you

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<v Speaker 6>talk about and the things that they can do to

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<v Speaker 6>really get the economy going and get companies going, do

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<v Speaker 6>you think that startups will choose to stay private less.

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<v Speaker 6>They'll start to look to the public markets as an

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<v Speaker 6>engine of growth more so than they have in the

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<v Speaker 6>past couple of years.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, it depends if again, if there's more deregulation and

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<v Speaker 5>if the red tape associated with going public starts to disappear.

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<v Speaker 5>Any company that wants to scale very quickly, and especially

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<v Speaker 5>if they have anything, if they are at a higher

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<v Speaker 5>fixed cost base. The robotics industry would be one example

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<v Speaker 5>of this, they would probably scale faster in the public market.

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<v Speaker 5>So we think it would be fantastic to have both

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<v Speaker 5>markets operating efficiently efficiently.

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<v Speaker 1>One encouraged by more M and A.

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<v Speaker 5>Activity as we change the leadership at the FTC, and

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<v Speaker 5>the other one just enjoying the lower red tape associated

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<v Speaker 5>with less regulation. So we think this administration is going

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<v Speaker 5>to be very pro business and is going to be

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<v Speaker 5>that's going to be a big reason that the growth

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.240
<v Speaker 5>rate of the economy is going to accelerate in the

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:46.960
<v Speaker 5>next few years.

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 2>Kathy, I do want to get your thoughts on Elon

0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:52.800
<v Speaker 2>Musk and his role in this administration, particularly given we

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:55.120
<v Speaker 2>know that arc is invested in many, if not all,

0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:57.200
<v Speaker 2>of his companies. He's wearing a lot of hats and

0:13:57.240 --> 0:14:00.640
<v Speaker 2>now he's got the Washington hat on in theory starting

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 2>in January. I mean, how much do you think he

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:06.719
<v Speaker 2>can do given that he's not technically going to be in.

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 1>An official role.

0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 2>And do you worry at all that his work in

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Washington might come at the expense of the attention to

0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 2>his actual companies.

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:18.280
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think one of the reasons he he is

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 5>dedicated to this is because his own companies have faced

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 5>such regulatory pressures and obstacles, and he just knows he

0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 5>could change the world even faster than he already has

0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:36.080
<v Speaker 5>if he got some of those obstacles out of the way.

0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 2>But Kathy Kenny do that safely though, And I'm just

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 2>playing devil's advocate here. I mean, a lot of those

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 2>regulations are you know, you know, kind of meant to

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:45.720
<v Speaker 2>kind of protect the consumer to a certain extent from

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 2>car crashes or whatever. You know, it's one thing to

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 2>move fast and break things, as another, you know, to

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 2>break your customer.

0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 4>No.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 5>I think if you listen to elon Musk and safety

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 5>and focus on del lighting the end consumer. You know,

0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:06.080
<v Speaker 5>Tesla has the safest cars in the world, and yet

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 5>the regulators in the last four years have focused on

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 5>almost every accident and fatality in an accident in a

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:18.960
<v Speaker 5>Tesla car, as opposed to in the other forty thousand accidents.

0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:23.160
<v Speaker 5>So I think that he understands that there is an

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 5>important place for regulation, that safety of the consumer is

0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:32.400
<v Speaker 5>paramount that we're not going to dilect, We're not going

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:36.880
<v Speaker 5>to neglect that. But there is such a thing as

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 5>regulation gone too far. I've seen statistics that in the

0:15:40.920 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 5>last four years, regulations piled one on top of the

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 5>other and from different departments have taken six percentage points

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 5>off of real GDP.

0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 1>So that has to change.

0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:57.520
<v Speaker 2>And also to that point, though, Kathy and I want

0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 2>to this question as to you, Rebecca, and it really

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 2>has to do about the idea of business creation. There's

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 2>been a lot of stats about how business creation is

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:06.960
<v Speaker 2>just really just shrunk. Now, some of that's just because

0:16:06.960 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 2>of the pandemic and a few other things, but there

0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 2>has been a lot of theories about government regulation, government

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:15.000
<v Speaker 2>oversight maybe putting a little bit of a squash on that.

0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 2>Do you hear from that with some of the startups

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 2>and the entrepreneurs that you deal with on a day

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 2>to day basis.

0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, for sure.

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 3>I Mean when Elon said so himself, right, when Elon

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:27.840
<v Speaker 3>can build the rocket faster than he can get it

0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 3>approved to launch, you know, you've got a fundamental problem

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 3>that's slowing down innovation. So of course, as a tech CEO,

0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:37.920
<v Speaker 3>I'm very excited to see what he can accomplish applying

0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 3>engineering concepts to government as retail capital from direct to

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 3>investor retail. We saw even in a down market, five

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 3>issuers that raised on deal Maker go public on NASDAC

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:53.440
<v Speaker 3>during the last year. So I think as we open

0:16:53.560 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 3>up new categories, new ways of building businesses and having

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.320
<v Speaker 3>those be digital and what that means means there's different

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 3>things that are going to emerge and different trends that

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:06.399
<v Speaker 3>are going to emerge. And definitely one of the trends

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:09.320
<v Speaker 3>that we saw was a lot of our companies are

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 3>tech and robotics companies and now more emerging sports sports

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:15.919
<v Speaker 3>teams as well. We're going to see a whole different,

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:18.959
<v Speaker 3>changing landscape of companies going public sooner.

0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:23.199
<v Speaker 6>Kathy, I can't resist asking about Tesla since we were

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.919
<v Speaker 6>talking about Elon Musk. I know that your funds have

0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:28.800
<v Speaker 6>been actively trading this week. Are fund sold about one

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 6>hundred and sixty four thousand shares of Tesla this week.

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:36.200
<v Speaker 6>I'm guessing this is tactical, but I'm wondering if post election,

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:39.560
<v Speaker 6>there's a fundamental change in the story when it comes

0:17:39.600 --> 0:17:41.440
<v Speaker 6>to Tesla.

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think one of the changes, again back to regulation,

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:51.680
<v Speaker 5>is the likelihood that autonomous mobility, so robotaxis are going

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:55.160
<v Speaker 5>to be regulated not on the state level so fifty

0:17:55.160 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 5>different regulators, but on the federal level. Autonomous vehicles will

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:05.359
<v Speaker 5>travel from state to states, so it really should be

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 5>federal legislation. So I think that will speed up the

0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 5>move towards autonomous taxi networks. And I do believe for

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 5>that reason, investors analysts are starting to model out what

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 5>that will mean to the Tesla model. It will take

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:29.679
<v Speaker 5>their gross margins from mid teens right now up into

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 5>the sixties if we are right, because robotaxis and autonomous

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:39.160
<v Speaker 5>taxi network is a SaaS model. I think the other

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 5>thing that has happened is more and more people are

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 5>seeing videos of the humanoid robot doing all sorts of

0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:51.680
<v Speaker 5>things that we didn't think were possible as the dexterity

0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 5>in its hands get so much better.

0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:55.679
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, and to your point, analysts over at me Zuho

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:58.760
<v Speaker 6>do see idiosyncratic tailwinds over the next four years for

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 6>a company like Tesla, upgrading their price target there so

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:05.679
<v Speaker 6>when it comes to autonomous vehicles and all that. There

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 6>are reports that Honda and Nissan are exploring some kind

0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 6>of tie up, maybe a merger. W what a combined

0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:16.120
<v Speaker 6>company create a worthy competitor to Tesla or Chinese eatia

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 6>makers even.

0:19:18.880 --> 0:19:22.560
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think that anytime there is a combination of

0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:26.800
<v Speaker 5>two companies, takes a while for the integration to take place. So,

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:30.880
<v Speaker 5>if anything, we would think if there is a competitive

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:35.479
<v Speaker 5>dynamic from those two companies associated with autonomous that it

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:43.160
<v Speaker 5>will be delayed. More competition for evs is coming from China,

0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 5>no question. Now we have very big tariffs already in

0:19:47.840 --> 0:19:51.760
<v Speaker 5>place to prevent that here in the United States, and

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:55.760
<v Speaker 5>we'll see what happens with the administration. I think that

0:19:56.200 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 5>Elon Musk is not worried about competition. If we're talking

0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:05.119
<v Speaker 5>abou about Tesla, He's driving the cost curves down dramatically

0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:08.679
<v Speaker 5>for his own company, So he's not worried about losing

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:11.159
<v Speaker 5>the EV tax credits either. He doesn't need them. He

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 5>will be profitable. Tesla will be profitable without them.

0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Katy, I do want to pivot here and ask you

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 2>about some of the market action, particularly over the last

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:20.720
<v Speaker 2>few months, and particularly when it comes to crypto. I'm

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 2>sure you've seen the big run up in bitcoin above

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 2>briefly above one hundred grand, now back below that today,

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:29.359
<v Speaker 2>but certainly phenomenal run on a year to date basis

0:20:29.359 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 2>from where it was just a few months ago. Here

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 2>do you still sort of see bitcoin really hitting some

0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 2>of those lofty milestones that you've talked about before. I mean,

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 2>one hundred thousand is still a long way from a million.

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:44.639
<v Speaker 2>I do kind of wonder how much further you think

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 2>this could actually go.

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 5>Well, what's interesting about bitcoin today? Now that we're going

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:58.640
<v Speaker 5>to get more regulatory green lights, we're seeing institutional investors

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:03.800
<v Speaker 5>focus on this new asset class, and as they're learning

0:21:03.800 --> 0:21:08.000
<v Speaker 5>about it, they're saying, wait a minute, this new asset class,

0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 5>or this component of a new asset class, Bitcoin is

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 5>going to reach twenty one million units out there, twenty

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.199
<v Speaker 5>one million bitcoin out there at its peak, and no

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:20.080
<v Speaker 5>more from there on.

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:21.440
<v Speaker 1>Where are we now?

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 5>We're all ready above nineteen and a half million units.

0:21:25.960 --> 0:21:31.040
<v Speaker 5>And so if institutional investors are looking at this new

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:36.040
<v Speaker 5>asset class more seriously, and bitcoin is really the first

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.200
<v Speaker 5>of its kind in a new asset class, and we

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 5>believe the biggest opportunity of them all, they must consider

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 5>an allocation and so supply demand. They're doing the arithmetic,

0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:53.680
<v Speaker 5>and we see a million to a million and a

0:21:53.760 --> 0:21:58.120
<v Speaker 5>half by twenty thirty that the probability of that has

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:00.680
<v Speaker 5>increased because of institutional.

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:02.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so that's six years from now, and I understand

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 2>the supplied demand dynamics. But Kathy, I'm sure you're also

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 2>very aware of some of the main criticisms that there

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.639
<v Speaker 2>really is no I guess fundamentals, if you will, at

0:22:09.720 --> 0:22:11.399
<v Speaker 2>least in the traditional sense of how we try to

0:22:11.480 --> 0:22:15.879
<v Speaker 2>value stocks or hard assets here. So beyond the speculative

0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:18.040
<v Speaker 2>nature of I buy this and someone will buy it

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 2>for more than me down the road, is there anything

0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 2>else there that gooses this beyond just that supply demand equation.

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:28.160
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think it's a very big idea, and it's

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:32.879
<v Speaker 5>not just speculative. It's a global monetary system that is

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 5>rules based, it is private, it is digital, it is decentralized,

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:41.320
<v Speaker 5>and it is backed by the largest computer in the

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 5>world or the largest computing system. It's the most secure

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:51.120
<v Speaker 5>network in the world. So that's very important. Gold would

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 5>be in the same category. Gold is a store of

0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:59.199
<v Speaker 5>value and it is fairly scarce. What's interesting in the

0:22:59.320 --> 0:23:04.560
<v Speaker 5>last year, with the last having this April, the increase

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:09.919
<v Speaker 5>in bitcoin, the number of bitcoin per year, the percentage

0:23:10.000 --> 0:23:16.520
<v Speaker 5>increase dropped to roughly zero point nine percent per year.

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:23.399
<v Speaker 5>That is below the one percent long term growth in

0:23:23.480 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 5>the supply of gold, so it is becoming even more

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:29.199
<v Speaker 5>scarce than gold.

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 1>And the difference between.

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:33.680
<v Speaker 5>Gold and bitcoin is when the gold price goes up,

0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:37.920
<v Speaker 5>as it has production goes up, the rate of increase

0:23:38.080 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 5>in the supply goes up. That cannot happen with bitcoin.

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:46.480
<v Speaker 5>It is mathematically metered to go up now zero point

0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:49.199
<v Speaker 5>nine percent per year for the next four years and

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 5>then the supply growth will be cut in half again.

0:23:51.760 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>So we think you.

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 5>Can use gold as a guide in terms of what

0:23:56.520 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 5>this asset class is right now. At least, it's very

0:24:00.359 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 5>definitely a store of value, a digital store of value,

0:24:04.080 --> 0:24:06.920
<v Speaker 5>and it's a very big idea from our point of view.

0:24:07.080 --> 0:24:08.480
<v Speaker 1>You can also go to our.

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:14.640
<v Speaker 5>Big Ideas, ourcinvest dot com Big Ideas twenty twenty three

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 5>and see how we get to that one point five

0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 5>million dollars by twenty thirty in our goal case.

0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>Rebecca, let me bring.

0:24:23.520 --> 0:24:25.760
<v Speaker 6>You back into the conversation here as we talk about

0:24:25.800 --> 0:24:28.160
<v Speaker 6>crypto and you know, kind of the growth stage it's

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 6>in with the change in administration, I'm curious whether crypto

0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:34.159
<v Speaker 6>companies are a natural customer for a deal maker in

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:36.399
<v Speaker 6>tapping this retail investor base.

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they haven't been in the past because it was

0:24:40.280 --> 0:24:43.040
<v Speaker 3>a gray area and you know, there was a lot

0:24:43.040 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 3>of concern about whether it was legal and what they

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:49.040
<v Speaker 3>were doing is legal, but we'd definitely been considering that.

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:51.920
<v Speaker 3>On a go forward, I think that will change, which

0:24:52.400 --> 0:24:55.560
<v Speaker 3>is what the legislation is intended to do. It's intended

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:58.600
<v Speaker 3>to clarify what is a security and what is not

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.480
<v Speaker 3>and going to be regulated differently as a commodity. And

0:25:02.920 --> 0:25:05.560
<v Speaker 3>we also think there may be some interest now for

0:25:05.640 --> 0:25:08.040
<v Speaker 3>people to come back to tokenization. You know, that was

0:25:08.080 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 3>big a couple of years ago, and then that totally

0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:13.320
<v Speaker 3>fell off the radar. It was very hard to maintain

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 3>the central register for the securities amidst all.

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:18.639
<v Speaker 4>Of the trading activity.

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:22.520
<v Speaker 3>But once the legislation gets clarified, we think there'll be

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:24.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, some renewed interest in that.

0:25:24.920 --> 0:25:25.239
<v Speaker 2>All right.

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:27.680
<v Speaker 6>Fantastic to get both of your takes and really appreciate

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:30.280
<v Speaker 6>your joining us. And spending some time with us this afternoon,

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 6>Rebecca Cassaba's co founder and CEO of deal Maker and

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:36.119
<v Speaker 6>Our Things, as well to Kathy Woods, CEO of ARC invest,

0:25:36.160 --> 0:25:38.159
<v Speaker 6>joining us from Saint Petersburg, Florida,