1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 2: We welcome back our Bloomberg Radio, TV and YouTube audiences 3 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 2: worldwide here on the Close with a discussion about unlocking 4 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 2: venture capital. Well that's the mission of our next two guests, 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 2: who are working to expand access to opportunities usually just 6 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: reserved for the big guys, the institutional investors. Joining us 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: right now is kind of well, the face of the 8 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: retail rise of the retail investor, Kathy Would. She's a 9 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 2: CEO of ARC invest You know her. She's joined alongside 10 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 2: Rebecca Cassava. She's co founder and CEO of a company 11 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 2: called deal Maker, which is revolution how revolutionizing how companies 12 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 2: raise capital by providing a tech driven platform for companies 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 2: to use. Welcome to both of you, and I'm going 14 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 2: to start with you, Rebecca. We all know Kathy and 15 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 2: we all know just how responsible she is for a 16 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: lot of sot of I guests, the democratization, if you will, 17 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 2: of a lot of investment vehicles. You're also doing something similar, 18 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: and I'm wondering if you just kind of explain how 19 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: deal Maker fits into that landscape. 20 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 3: Sure things, So, what we're doing is bringing a really 21 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 3: technology driven approach to raising capital. If you think about it, 22 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 3: if you rein invented capital raising today, it would be 23 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 3: on the intranet, it would be data driven, and it 24 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 3: would be democratized. 25 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 4: And so that's what our technology brings. 26 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 3: It essentially allows you to run ad campaigns and target 27 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 3: investors who might be interested in your deal based on 28 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 3: their digital profile. 29 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: I am curious, Kathy about these new types of platforms. 30 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 2: We talk about the evolution of financial markets. We went 31 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 2: from a day and age where financial markets were just 32 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 2: for institutional investors. Then you had, of course, the rise 33 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: of mutual funds and then ETFs of course, and then 34 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 2: now a lot of new products in the private space 35 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: and now trying to draw in individual investors. This is 36 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: just the natural evolution as you see it. 37 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: Yes, it's natural in a way. 38 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 5: But I think during COVID it was turbo charged a 39 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 5: lot of especially younger people who would not meet the 40 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:11,519 Speaker 5: accreditation standards. They were learning about new companies, investing themselves, 41 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,079 Speaker 5: trying to figure out what these new technologies were all about, 42 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 5: and you know, happened upon private companies to which. 43 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: They had no or little access. 44 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 5: And I think because of that, and because I know, 45 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 5: we started our venture fund for that reason, they came 46 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 5: to us and said, you know, how is it. You know, 47 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 5: we don't have enough, We don't make enough money two 48 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 5: hundred and fifty thousand dollars per year, I think it is, 49 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 5: and we don't have a million dollars in net worth 50 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 5: to become accredited and have access to these you know, 51 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 5: incredible technologies early in their lifetimes. Can you help us 52 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 5: solve that problem? And so yes, that's why we started 53 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 5: our venture fund. It has no carry and people can 54 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 5: have access to SpaceX and open AI and thropic xai. 55 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: X for as little as five hundred dollars. 56 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 6: Okay, So that's one solution to democratizing access of these 57 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 6: companies to everyday individual investors. Kathy, could you explain a 58 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 6: little bit about what it is that ARC is doing 59 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 6: with a deal maker? 60 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 5: Well, actually, our venture team met Rebecca recently and I 61 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 5: have yet to be briefed on exactly what we're doing together. 62 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 5: Maybe Rebecca would want to talk about how far a 63 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:39,880 Speaker 5: long we are. 64 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,119 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's opportunities like this where we can 65 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 3: understand we can talk to Washington about what the investors 66 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 3: and what the companies want. Like deal maker is taking 67 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 3: a slightly different approach on it, where we see retail 68 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 3: investors having a bit of a distrust of institutions today 69 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 3: and companies wanting that one to one relationship with the brand. 70 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 3: And so we're both two different businesses taking a totally 71 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 3: different approach to the retail market, but understanding the power 72 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 3: of this and how it can be transformative for the 73 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 3: capital markets in a lot of different ways, because let's 74 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 3: face it, there's a lot of ways that the capital 75 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 3: market's ecosystem is broken that both what ar kids doing 76 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 3: and deal maker is doing can help solve. 77 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: I was kind of going, I'm sorry, yeah, so. 78 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: That's what I thought had happened. We are so like minded. 79 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 5: Charlie Roberts, who leads our VC effort, and Rebecca met 80 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 5: at a conference and we just thought, Okay, we're both 81 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 5: going at this from in a little bit of a 82 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 5: different way, from different angles, but this idea of democratization 83 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 5: is in its very early stages, so let's make sure 84 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 5: we both encourage it. 85 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 3: Right. 86 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 6: You both encounter the same issues and you're looking to 87 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 6: solve it in your own ways. 88 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:01,480 Speaker 1: So We'rebecca. Can you talk a little bit about the biggest. 89 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 6: Pain points of capital raising that founders tend to face 90 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 6: and how deal maker solves for that. 91 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, ultimately, access to capital is a challenge 92 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 3: for a lot of investors, right, It's very difficult to 93 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 3: get VC investment that actually finds a very small part 94 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,039 Speaker 3: of the ecosystem. And then there's a lot of brands 95 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 3: that retail investors love and they want to participate in 96 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,599 Speaker 3: and they can help amplify amplify the. 97 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 4: Business in a different way. 98 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 3: So we have technology companies, you know, Monograms building a 99 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 3: robotic need surgery arm where they've got retail investors forming 100 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 3: all of their beta users and really supporting bringing that 101 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 3: business to life and driving revenue for them. So the 102 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 3: reality is that businesses are built online today and there's 103 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 3: a lot of different ways that retail can interact with 104 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 3: these brands to help propel them forward. 105 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 2: Was there any issues when you were starting this, Rebecca, 106 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 2: and was there any issues about regulatory concerns? I mean, 107 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 2: we know that regulators is, particularly here in the US, 108 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 2: look over the shoulders and they sort of I think 109 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 2: kunt of Kathy alluded to. Look, they're saying, look, you 110 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 2: don't have the net worth, so you must not be 111 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: sophisticated enough to buy this type of vehicle. How did 112 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 2: you navigate that regulatory side of this when you were 113 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 2: coming up with this idea and building out the business. 114 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 4: Okay, well, shameless bug. 115 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,159 Speaker 3: I think the regulators were brilliant in the way that 116 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 3: they designed the legislation because the legislation protects investors already, 117 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 3: So they put a cap on the amount that a 118 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 3: retail investor can invest when they're not accredited, so they're 119 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,280 Speaker 3: not going to lose their shirt on any one single offering. 120 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 3: Because we know some offerings are going to succeed and 121 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 3: some offerings are going to fail, and so the main 122 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 3: thing that we're driving for here is to make sure 123 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 3: that the investors are protected, and the legislation did that already, 124 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 3: and so there's a bill in the House right now 125 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 3: that's probably going to pass with the new administration that 126 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 3: we're going to see the exemption limits go up from 127 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 3: seventy five million to one hundred and fifty million. You've 128 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 3: also got FIT twenty one, which is going to bring 129 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 3: a lot of interest to the crypto space. So we 130 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 3: see the snowball just rolling now in terms of retail 131 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 3: access to alls. 132 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 2: Kathy, I do have to kind of ask you about 133 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 2: the climate in Washington, and I know you have a 134 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 2: lot of friends, either business wise or personal in the 135 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 2: incoming administration coming in. And there's been a euphoria I'm 136 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 2: sure you've seen it ever since November fifth, even slightly 137 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 2: before that, when it became somewhat clearer that Trump was 138 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 2: likely going to win. He's promising obviously a much more 139 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 2: business friendly administration, one of deregulation. At the same time, 140 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 2: he's also pitching fiscal policies that could potentially have some 141 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 2: economic impact to the negative side. I am curious as 142 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 2: to I guess what type of euphoria you're feeling, and 143 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 2: more importantly, what type of caution, if at all, you're 144 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 2: feeling as well. 145 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:45,239 Speaker 3: Well. 146 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 5: If you look at the performance of our funds since 147 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 5: the election, they've far outpaced the market, outpaced the mag 148 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 5: seven and so forth. So I think of what the 149 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 5: market is beginning to say is this administration is going 150 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 5: to support innovative strategies, anything that will accelerate the growth, 151 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 5: increase the productivity of our economy. Deregulation is going to 152 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 5: be we think a very large part of that tax incentives, 153 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 5: tax rate cuts as well. You mentioned the perhaps the 154 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 5: cutback in government spending programs. You know, in our mind, 155 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 5: government spending longer term is taxation in one form of 156 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 5: the other. It's got to be paid for with increased 157 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 5: taxes now, increase taxes later, or basically through inflation inflating 158 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 5: away the debt. And so we think that's going to 159 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 5: be very positive. This drive towards increasing the efficiency of 160 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 5: the government, which will then limit the kinds of tax 161 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 5: increases we've seen over the last few years, and perhaps 162 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 5: even continue to roll back taxes, leaving more for the 163 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 5: private sector at the expense of sort of inefficiencies in 164 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 5: the government sector. 165 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 6: So Kathy following on that, the President elect has outlined 166 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 6: a number of initiatives that he wants to put in 167 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 6: place as soon as he is inaugurated on January twentieth. 168 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 6: Of the different proposals of pro growth items that he 169 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 6: has on his to do list, which do you think 170 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 6: needs to be prioritized. Is it tax cuts, is it 171 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 6: immigration reform, tariffs, is it deregulation? Which of those things 172 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 6: should be at the top. 173 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: Well, consider the source. 174 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 5: So my answer might be different from President elect Trump's answer, 175 00:09:52,920 --> 00:10:00,040 Speaker 5: but in terms of turbocharging growth, I think if tax rates, if. 176 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 1: This administration is going to cut tax rates. 177 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 5: The most important thing it has to do is make 178 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 5: sure they're retroactive to January first of twenty twenty five, 179 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 5: because and we learned this from the Reagan administration, if 180 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 5: they defer or or phase in tax cuts, businesses and 181 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:27,320 Speaker 5: individuals will wait for the lower tax rates and that 182 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 5: can weaken economic activity. Beyond that, deregulation critically important. I 183 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 5: think one of the reasons venture capital has had so 184 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 5: much trouble during the last few years and strategies in 185 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 5: the innovation space, especially in life sciences, is because M 186 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 5: and A has been prevented by the FTC. That is 187 00:10:56,160 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 5: going to change, so we are finally going to have 188 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 5: price discovery as strategic buyer's bid for these innovative companies. 189 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 5: We'll see how much they're really worth. This has not 190 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 5: happened in a long time. We also think therefore there 191 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 5: will be liquidity events for private companies into the public world, 192 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 5: which is also going to become very important. 193 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:23,440 Speaker 2: Well, Rebecca, I'd like to get your thoughts on that 194 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: as well, because when you look at the data for 195 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 2: certainly in the first half of the year, I mean, 196 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 2: VC funding activity was abysmal. We saw definitely a bit 197 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 2: of a pickup in three Q. I'm not sure what 198 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 2: the fourth quarter has shown, but are you optimistic we're 199 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 2: going to see more VC activity kind of to the 200 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 2: point of what Kathy was talking about in terms of 201 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 2: the catalysts, is that going to really push this industry forward? 202 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 4: It definitely feels that way, it really does. 203 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 3: I think the momentum is there, the street is excited 204 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 3: and feeling the effects of deregulation. And you know, one 205 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,199 Speaker 3: of the benefits that we saw over the down market 206 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 3: activity was that retail investors stay strong. Like while VC 207 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 3: activity did, retail investment continued to pull through and continue 208 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 3: to carry a lot of the capital markets, which was 209 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 3: what Congress intended when they originally passed the legislation. So 210 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 3: we expect to just consider that upswing continuing. 211 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,559 Speaker 6: Kathy, you had mentioned the ARC Venture Fund. I'm wondering, 212 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:22,200 Speaker 6: with this new administration coming in, the deregulation that you 213 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 6: talk about and the things that they can do to 214 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 6: really get the economy going and get companies going, do 215 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 6: you think that startups will choose to stay private less. 216 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 6: They'll start to look to the public markets as an 217 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 6: engine of growth more so than they have in the 218 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 6: past couple of years. 219 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 5: Well, it depends if again, if there's more deregulation and 220 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 5: if the red tape associated with going public starts to disappear. 221 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 5: Any company that wants to scale very quickly, and especially 222 00:12:56,840 --> 00:13:01,240 Speaker 5: if they have anything, if they are at a higher 223 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 5: fixed cost base. The robotics industry would be one example 224 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 5: of this, they would probably scale faster in the public market. 225 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 5: So we think it would be fantastic to have both 226 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 5: markets operating efficiently efficiently. 227 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 1: One encouraged by more M and A. 228 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 5: Activity as we change the leadership at the FTC, and 229 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 5: the other one just enjoying the lower red tape associated 230 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 5: with less regulation. So we think this administration is going 231 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 5: to be very pro business and is going to be 232 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 5: that's going to be a big reason that the growth 233 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 5: rate of the economy is going to accelerate in the 234 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 5: next few years. 235 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 2: Kathy, I do want to get your thoughts on Elon 236 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 2: Musk and his role in this administration, particularly given we 237 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 2: know that arc is invested in many, if not all, 238 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 2: of his companies. He's wearing a lot of hats and 239 00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 2: now he's got the Washington hat on in theory starting 240 00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 2: in January. I mean, how much do you think he 241 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,719 Speaker 2: can do given that he's not technically going to be in. 242 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: An official role. 243 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 2: And do you worry at all that his work in 244 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 2: Washington might come at the expense of the attention to 245 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 2: his actual companies. 246 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:18,280 Speaker 5: Well, I think one of the reasons he he is 247 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 5: dedicated to this is because his own companies have faced 248 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 5: such regulatory pressures and obstacles, and he just knows he 249 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 5: could change the world even faster than he already has 250 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 5: if he got some of those obstacles out of the way. 251 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 2: But Kathy Kenny do that safely though, And I'm just 252 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: playing devil's advocate here. I mean, a lot of those 253 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 2: regulations are you know, you know, kind of meant to 254 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 2: kind of protect the consumer to a certain extent from 255 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 2: car crashes or whatever. You know, it's one thing to 256 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: move fast and break things, as another, you know, to 257 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 2: break your customer. 258 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 4: No. 259 00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 5: I think if you listen to elon Musk and safety 260 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 5: and focus on del lighting the end consumer. You know, 261 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 5: Tesla has the safest cars in the world, and yet 262 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:10,520 Speaker 5: the regulators in the last four years have focused on 263 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 5: almost every accident and fatality in an accident in a 264 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 5: Tesla car, as opposed to in the other forty thousand accidents. 265 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 5: So I think that he understands that there is an 266 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 5: important place for regulation, that safety of the consumer is 267 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 5: paramount that we're not going to dilect, We're not going 268 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 5: to neglect that. But there is such a thing as 269 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 5: regulation gone too far. I've seen statistics that in the 270 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 5: last four years, regulations piled one on top of the 271 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 5: other and from different departments have taken six percentage points 272 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 5: off of real GDP. 273 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 1: So that has to change. 274 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 2: And also to that point, though, Kathy and I want 275 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 2: to this question as to you, Rebecca, and it really 276 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 2: has to do about the idea of business creation. There's 277 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 2: been a lot of stats about how business creation is 278 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 2: just really just shrunk. Now, some of that's just because 279 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 2: of the pandemic and a few other things, but there 280 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 2: has been a lot of theories about government regulation, government 281 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 2: oversight maybe putting a little bit of a squash on that. 282 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 2: Do you hear from that with some of the startups 283 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 2: and the entrepreneurs that you deal with on a day 284 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 2: to day basis. 285 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, for sure. 286 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 3: I Mean when Elon said so himself, right, when Elon 287 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 3: can build the rocket faster than he can get it 288 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 3: approved to launch, you know, you've got a fundamental problem 289 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 3: that's slowing down innovation. So of course, as a tech CEO, 290 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 3: I'm very excited to see what he can accomplish applying 291 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 3: engineering concepts to government as retail capital from direct to 292 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 3: investor retail. We saw even in a down market, five 293 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 3: issuers that raised on deal Maker go public on NASDAC 294 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 3: during the last year. So I think as we open 295 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 3: up new categories, new ways of building businesses and having 296 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 3: those be digital and what that means means there's different 297 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 3: things that are going to emerge and different trends that 298 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,399 Speaker 3: are going to emerge. And definitely one of the trends 299 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 3: that we saw was a lot of our companies are 300 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 3: tech and robotics companies and now more emerging sports sports 301 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,919 Speaker 3: teams as well. We're going to see a whole different, 302 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,959 Speaker 3: changing landscape of companies going public sooner. 303 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,199 Speaker 6: Kathy, I can't resist asking about Tesla since we were 304 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 6: talking about Elon Musk. I know that your funds have 305 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 6: been actively trading this week. Are fund sold about one 306 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 6: hundred and sixty four thousand shares of Tesla this week. 307 00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 6: I'm guessing this is tactical, but I'm wondering if post election, 308 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 6: there's a fundamental change in the story when it comes 309 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,440 Speaker 6: to Tesla. 310 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 5: Well, I think one of the changes, again back to regulation, 311 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:51,680 Speaker 5: is the likelihood that autonomous mobility, so robotaxis are going 312 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 5: to be regulated not on the state level so fifty 313 00:17:55,160 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 5: different regulators, but on the federal level. Autonomous vehicles will 314 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 5: travel from state to states, so it really should be 315 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 5: federal legislation. So I think that will speed up the 316 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 5: move towards autonomous taxi networks. And I do believe for 317 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 5: that reason, investors analysts are starting to model out what 318 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 5: that will mean to the Tesla model. It will take 319 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 5: their gross margins from mid teens right now up into 320 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:35,040 Speaker 5: the sixties if we are right, because robotaxis and autonomous 321 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 5: taxi network is a SaaS model. I think the other 322 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 5: thing that has happened is more and more people are 323 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 5: seeing videos of the humanoid robot doing all sorts of 324 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 5: things that we didn't think were possible as the dexterity 325 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 5: in its hands get so much better. 326 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,679 Speaker 6: Yeah, and to your point, analysts over at me Zuho 327 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,760 Speaker 6: do see idiosyncratic tailwinds over the next four years for 328 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 6: a company like Tesla, upgrading their price target there so 329 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,679 Speaker 6: when it comes to autonomous vehicles and all that. There 330 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 6: are reports that Honda and Nissan are exploring some kind 331 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,400 Speaker 6: of tie up, maybe a merger. W what a combined 332 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 6: company create a worthy competitor to Tesla or Chinese eatia 333 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 6: makers even. 334 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 5: Well, I think that anytime there is a combination of 335 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 5: two companies, takes a while for the integration to take place. So, 336 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 5: if anything, we would think if there is a competitive 337 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:35,479 Speaker 5: dynamic from those two companies associated with autonomous that it 338 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 5: will be delayed. More competition for evs is coming from China, 339 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 5: no question. Now we have very big tariffs already in 340 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 5: place to prevent that here in the United States, and 341 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 5: we'll see what happens with the administration. I think that 342 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 5: Elon Musk is not worried about competition. If we're talking 343 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 5: abou about Tesla, He's driving the cost curves down dramatically 344 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,679 Speaker 5: for his own company, So he's not worried about losing 345 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,159 Speaker 5: the EV tax credits either. He doesn't need them. He 346 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 5: will be profitable. Tesla will be profitable without them. 347 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 2: Katy, I do want to pivot here and ask you 348 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 2: about some of the market action, particularly over the last 349 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,720 Speaker 2: few months, and particularly when it comes to crypto. I'm 350 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,159 Speaker 2: sure you've seen the big run up in bitcoin above 351 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 2: briefly above one hundred grand, now back below that today, 352 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 2: but certainly phenomenal run on a year to date basis 353 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 2: from where it was just a few months ago. Here 354 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 2: do you still sort of see bitcoin really hitting some 355 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 2: of those lofty milestones that you've talked about before. I mean, 356 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 2: one hundred thousand is still a long way from a million. 357 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,639 Speaker 2: I do kind of wonder how much further you think 358 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 2: this could actually go. 359 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:51,920 Speaker 5: Well, what's interesting about bitcoin today? Now that we're going 360 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:58,640 Speaker 5: to get more regulatory green lights, we're seeing institutional investors 361 00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 5: focus on this new asset class, and as they're learning 362 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 5: about it, they're saying, wait a minute, this new asset class, 363 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 5: or this component of a new asset class, Bitcoin is 364 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 5: going to reach twenty one million units out there, twenty 365 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,199 Speaker 5: one million bitcoin out there at its peak, and no 366 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 5: more from there on. 367 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:21,440 Speaker 1: Where are we now? 368 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 5: We're all ready above nineteen and a half million units. 369 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 5: And so if institutional investors are looking at this new 370 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:36,040 Speaker 5: asset class more seriously, and bitcoin is really the first 371 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 5: of its kind in a new asset class, and we 372 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 5: believe the biggest opportunity of them all, they must consider 373 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 5: an allocation and so supply demand. They're doing the arithmetic, 374 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 5: and we see a million to a million and a 375 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:58,120 Speaker 5: half by twenty thirty that the probability of that has 376 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 5: increased because of institutional. 377 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,160 Speaker 2: Okay, so that's six years from now, and I understand 378 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 2: the supplied demand dynamics. But Kathy, I'm sure you're also 379 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 2: very aware of some of the main criticisms that there 380 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,639 Speaker 2: really is no I guess fundamentals, if you will, at 381 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 2: least in the traditional sense of how we try to 382 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:15,879 Speaker 2: value stocks or hard assets here. So beyond the speculative 383 00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 2: nature of I buy this and someone will buy it 384 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 2: for more than me down the road, is there anything 385 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 2: else there that gooses this beyond just that supply demand equation. 386 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 5: Well, I think it's a very big idea, and it's 387 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 5: not just speculative. It's a global monetary system that is 388 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 5: rules based, it is private, it is digital, it is decentralized, 389 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 5: and it is backed by the largest computer in the 390 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 5: world or the largest computing system. It's the most secure 391 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 5: network in the world. So that's very important. Gold would 392 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 5: be in the same category. Gold is a store of 393 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:59,199 Speaker 5: value and it is fairly scarce. What's interesting in the 394 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:04,560 Speaker 5: last year, with the last having this April, the increase 395 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 5: in bitcoin, the number of bitcoin per year, the percentage 396 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 5: increase dropped to roughly zero point nine percent per year. 397 00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 5: That is below the one percent long term growth in 398 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 5: the supply of gold, so it is becoming even more 399 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,199 Speaker 5: scarce than gold. 400 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 1: And the difference between. 401 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 5: Gold and bitcoin is when the gold price goes up, 402 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:37,920 Speaker 5: as it has production goes up, the rate of increase 403 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 5: in the supply goes up. That cannot happen with bitcoin. 404 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 5: It is mathematically metered to go up now zero point 405 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,199 Speaker 5: nine percent per year for the next four years and 406 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 5: then the supply growth will be cut in half again. 407 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 1: So we think you. 408 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 5: Can use gold as a guide in terms of what 409 00:23:56,520 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 5: this asset class is right now. At least, it's very 410 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 5: definitely a store of value, a digital store of value, 411 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 5: and it's a very big idea from our point of view. 412 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: You can also go to our. 413 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 5: Big Ideas, ourcinvest dot com Big Ideas twenty twenty three 414 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:19,120 Speaker 5: and see how we get to that one point five 415 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 5: million dollars by twenty thirty in our goal case. 416 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:23,720 Speaker 1: Rebecca, let me bring. 417 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 6: You back into the conversation here as we talk about 418 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,160 Speaker 6: crypto and you know, kind of the growth stage it's 419 00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 6: in with the change in administration, I'm curious whether crypto 420 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,159 Speaker 6: companies are a natural customer for a deal maker in 421 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 6: tapping this retail investor base. 422 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, they haven't been in the past because it was 423 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 3: a gray area and you know, there was a lot 424 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 3: of concern about whether it was legal and what they 425 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 3: were doing is legal, but we'd definitely been considering that. 426 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 3: On a go forward, I think that will change, which 427 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 3: is what the legislation is intended to do. It's intended 428 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 3: to clarify what is a security and what is not 429 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,480 Speaker 3: and going to be regulated differently as a commodity. And 430 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 3: we also think there may be some interest now for 431 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,040 Speaker 3: people to come back to tokenization. You know, that was 432 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 3: big a couple of years ago, and then that totally 433 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 3: fell off the radar. It was very hard to maintain 434 00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 3: the central register for the securities amidst all. 435 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 4: Of the trading activity. 436 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 3: But once the legislation gets clarified, we think there'll be 437 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 3: you know, some renewed interest in that. 438 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:25,239 Speaker 2: All right. 439 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,680 Speaker 6: Fantastic to get both of your takes and really appreciate 440 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 6: your joining us. And spending some time with us this afternoon, 441 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 6: Rebecca Cassaba's co founder and CEO of deal Maker and 442 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,119 Speaker 6: Our Things, as well to Kathy Woods, CEO of ARC invest, 443 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,159 Speaker 6: joining us from Saint Petersburg, Florida,