1 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg to Washington, d C. 2 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg to Boston, Blumberge under to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine 3 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: to the country and around the globe. The Bloomberg Radio 4 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: plucks and Bloomberg got gone. This is taking stock, coming 5 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: upon taking stock. What's next for the Bank of England 6 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: after it failed to buy all of the government bonds 7 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: it wanted at a reverse auction. This is the first 8 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: shortfall since the Bank of England started its quantitative easing 9 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: program in two thousand and nine. Investors they are not 10 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: willing to part with their holdings of longer dated bonds. 11 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: We've got details right now. We've got more details from 12 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: Charlie Pellett in the Bluemberg news room. All right, thank 13 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 1: you very much. Pim Fox, the DAL, the SMP, NEZDA, 14 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: they are all declining right now. SMP five index falling 15 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: the most in more than a week. It is down 16 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: nine points to pulling back from that record, down four 17 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. Energy producers are tumbling along with 18 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: the price of crude oil. West Texas Intermedia Crew down 19 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: a dollar one of barrel forty one seventy five right now, 20 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: That is a drop of two point four percent. Bank 21 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:18,480 Speaker 1: shares sinking on speculation interest rates will not rise this year. 22 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: Yelped gaining the most in three months after better than 23 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: estimated quarterly profit and revenue spurred analysts to raise their 24 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: recommendations on the user review site, citing strong local advertising 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: and partnership deals. Yelped surging now by thirteen point one percent. 26 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: The Walt Disney Company is paying a billion dollars for 27 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: a one third stake in band Tech. That's a technology 28 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: and screaming business formed by Major League Baseball, and I 29 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: launched a new web based e sp and service this year. 30 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: Paul Sweeney is director of North American Research at Bloomberg Intelligence. 31 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 1: I think this is a you know, a big bet 32 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: on tech. Technology is Bob Bobier suggested, this is a 33 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: technol that they believe can bring their content over the top, 34 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: make them competitive in the marketplace where they really haven't 35 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: had an offering yet. And we've seen HBO go over 36 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: the top, of seen CBS go over the top, going 37 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 1: directing a service, but we haven't seen necessarily anything out 38 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: of the what this can't coming, particularly with ESPN, But 39 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:16,679 Speaker 1: I think this is the first step that kind of 40 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: move them down that road, and Disney shares are up 41 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 1: one point four percent. Ralph Laurens surging today after an 42 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: earnings beat. The forty nine year old brand known for 43 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: preppy fashion and premium prices, reported first quarter profit that 44 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: exceeded analysts estimates. Ralph lauren up nine point three percent, 45 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 1: SMP down nine to seventy two. A dropped there of 46 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: four tenths of one percent. It is to thirty two 47 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: on Wall Street. Now, let's look at other news from 48 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 1: around the world. Thank you, Charlie from the Bloomberg newsroom. 49 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: I'm Ramy in essentio. Delta Airline says it hopes to 50 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: return its operations to normal by tomorrow. CEO Ed Bashton 51 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: issued a video statement promising customers they can rely on 52 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: the carrier in the future. I'm sorry we you down. 53 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: We'll do everything that we can to make certain this 54 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:06,359 Speaker 1: does not happen again. Delta has canceled another two five 55 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: flights today and it's still working to find seats for 56 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: stranded customers. The federal government and Baltimore Police say they 57 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: will negotiate reforms after today's release of a Justice Department 58 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: report it criticizes officers for using excessive force and routinely 59 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: discriminating against blacks. The city's police commissioner says he and 60 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 1: all their officers are upset by the findings. There are 61 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,640 Speaker 1: officers right now that are just as offended as we 62 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: are to see the details that are laid out in 63 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: this report. Why because they wear this uniform proudly and 64 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: they serve the citizens of Baltimore honorably each and every day. 65 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:48,360 Speaker 1: In Venezuela, the National Election Council has derailed opposition hopes 66 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:52,119 Speaker 1: of holding a recall referendum on President Nicholas Maduro this year. 67 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 1: The council set a new date for Madua's opponents to 68 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: collect signatures. Then there would be a ninety day verification 69 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: period that would push a reference him into the coming year. 70 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 1: And the jury is deliberating the fate of a Yale 71 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: educated investment banker who insists he never told his father 72 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: to trade securities based on the insider information he shared. 73 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: The Manhattan Federal Court jury began deliberations yesterday in the 74 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 1: case against Sewan Stewart. In an afternoon note, jurors asked 75 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: for a definition of insider trading. Global News twenty four 76 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 1: hours a Day, powered by more than journalists and analysts 77 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: in more than one twenty countries. I'm Rainy in Essensio. 78 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg, Charlie, and we thank you and again 79 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: recapping stocks are trading law SMP five. How did it 80 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: index down? Nine? A drop there of four tenths of 81 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: one percent. I'm Charlie Palett and that's a Bloomberg business 82 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: flash Bloomber j Stock. Fed in Focus. There's certainly a 83 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: lot of discussion about whether or not the Fed is 84 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,919 Speaker 1: going to try to hike race again this year. We 85 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: think the Fed by December will be ready to do 86 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: another hike. That sounds like a big difference from the markets, 87 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: but it's not that big a difference. Think at this 88 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 1: point the Fed is going to remain on the sideline 89 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:07,720 Speaker 1: through and most likely that better part of because they 90 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: have a huge communication problem with the public about what's 91 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: driving their policy decision. They basically have no strategy. The 92 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: Fed in focus on gloom Word Radio, The Fed in Focus, 93 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: Central Banks in Focus. What happens if you throw a 94 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:26,840 Speaker 1: party and nobody comes well. Chris Whalen, Senior Managing Director, 95 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: Crow Bond Rating Agencies here to tell us more. Chris Whalen. 96 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 1: That party at the Bank of England was inviting all 97 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: of those bondholders too. It seems as though not all 98 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: of them were willing to relinquish their bonds to the 99 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: Central Bank. What do you make of this? Definitely not 100 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: there's a shortage of yield out there, Keim. There's a 101 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 1: shortage of cash flow. That's what we're fighting about here. No, 102 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: they didn't want to sell the bond, so you know, 103 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 1: to me, that's such a big deal. But the bigger 104 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: issue is why are we doing this in the first place. Well, 105 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: that's what I was gonna get to is that you know, 106 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 1: whenever you you know, you throw a party, or whenever 107 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: you look to buy something, you do a lot of 108 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: work to figure out whether they are ready sellers. Did 109 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: they not really canvass the market? Do they not recognize 110 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: that people are yield starved? Their yield starved? Him? And also, 111 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: I think the bigger issue that no one wants to 112 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: focus on is that the dealer community in government securities 113 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 1: and agency securities has been decimated. JP Morgan is going 114 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: to stop clearing treasuries at the end of the year, 115 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: and the street has just said no, we can't continue 116 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 1: to lose money to tight spreads, no carry on the 117 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 1: book right because rates are zero, so you know, the 118 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: street has had to essentially get out of that business. 119 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 1: There's literally a handful of dealers now who will handle 120 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: this business. So in a way there's a liquidity issue too, 121 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: because and nobody facing the Fed has any inventory. Nobody 122 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 1: facing the Bank of England has any inventory, so of 123 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: course they can't fill the auction. You see what I'm saying. 124 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: They want what I want you to You just hang on, Chris, 125 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 1: because I want you to just explain and perhaps in 126 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: a little more detail, or maybe even give an example 127 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: for those that are not familiar with the way that 128 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 1: government bonds are traded and the role of the central banks. 129 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: You talk for just a second there about the bond 130 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: clearing operations and how JP Morgan was getting out of 131 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: the Treasury bond clearing operation. Tell us about that. How 132 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: does that work? The process? Well, it's it's a back 133 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: office sort of process. You're confirming orders, You're you know, 134 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 1: sending a variety of different electronic communications. You're trusted third party. 135 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: Essentially you're the clearing agent for both sides in many cases, 136 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 1: so it's a very important function. But the more interesting 137 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 1: issues in the front of JP Morgan, the dealer doesn't 138 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: keep a lot of inventory. They don't trade their own 139 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: book anymore. They can't since the whale, remember the vocal 140 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: rule and all of this. So there's there's no inventory 141 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: for the central banks to take because they have to 142 00:07:57,400 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: go to the dealers. They're not going to go directly 143 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 1: to call and these other owners of paper and say hey, 144 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: sell me the paper. They could, I suppose they typically 145 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: deal with the dealer. So that's traditionally how they buy papers. 146 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: So they do an auction, and the dealers didn't fill 147 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: in this case. That's you know, they didn't They didn't 148 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: respond to fill the order. And I think, to me, 149 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: I worry about the liquidity aspect. I was just at 150 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: a mortgage conference left two days. I'm worried about the 151 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: market for Jenny Mays. For God's sake, you know, that's 152 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 1: that's a problem. And that G in Jenny May means 153 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: government yep. And there's no liquidity. There's no liquidity in 154 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: the in the back of that market for for mortgage 155 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 1: servicing rights. And it's a real issue because that whole 156 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: market is now non banks. All the banks are getting out, 157 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: there's no liquidity, there's no balance sheets that market anymore. 158 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 1: So again, you know, all of these regulations and the 159 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: QI and the low rates and the asset purchases I 160 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: think have combined to actually constrict liquidity PIM and that's, 161 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 1: to me, is very worrisome. We've written about this a lot. 162 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 1: If you go, we did a piece of mortgage servicing 163 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 1: rights last week. Is this a case of unintended consequences? Yeah? 164 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,959 Speaker 1: And I think also just over reaction. This is what 165 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: we do in democracies. You know, Glass Steagle was very harsh. 166 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 1: It was passed in the dead of night with no debate. Um, 167 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: and I think similarly the reaction after two th eight 168 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: was quite harsh. Um. But I wonder if we're not 169 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: I guess I would like to see people get together 170 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 1: in a room in Washington and say, Okay, what do 171 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: we want, and then work together to make sure that 172 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: the different things that they do. You know, for example, 173 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: the Consumer Protection Agency that was created after Dodd Frank 174 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 1: has been very harsh. They've trebled the cost of servicing 175 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: a mortgage loan. UH and a lot of firms are 176 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,319 Speaker 1: going to get out of business. Tim. I mean, I'm 177 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:53,599 Speaker 1: telling you. The head of Jinnymate, Ted tos Er, is 178 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: a very dear friend or wonderful colleague. She's been there 179 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: for seven years. He knows what he's doing, and he's 180 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:01,680 Speaker 1: gonna leave soon. And he's leaving the market with less 181 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 1: liquidity and with a lot of global investors who owned 182 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 1: Jenny May paper all over the world, central banks who 183 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: are worried about the quality of that market going forward 184 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:13,440 Speaker 1: because they can't get a bit if they want to sell, 185 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: even a reasonable size blockage any mays it's hard to 186 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 1: get a bid today, and that's the result of regulation. 187 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 1: Give you ten seconds. What's the worst case scenario, doorst 188 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,720 Speaker 1: case scenarios. We keep doing what we're doing and expecting 189 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: a different outcome of science. Stein said, right, Um, I 190 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: think we need to stop chewey. Let rates go up 191 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:33,439 Speaker 1: in the US. We can we can take the lead 192 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: on this, Thanks very much. Chris Whalen is the senior 193 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: Managing director for Crow Bond Rating Agency giving us his 194 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 1: views of quantitative easing and the lack of liquidity in 195 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 1: the government bond market. This is taking Stockheim, pim Fox, 196 00:10:50,240 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: and this is Bloomberg. The FED in Focus is brought 197 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: to you by Willoughby's since eighteen ninety eight, New York 198 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 1: City's boutique camera store for precision craft at Hazelblada and 199 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: Lecat cameras, plus a full selection of GoPro action adventure cameras. 200 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 1: Willoughby's corner of Fifth Avenue and thirty first Street,