1 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Friday 2 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Dili Jues podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: Perelt at Sports Talk Mets to follow me across all socials. 4 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: This podcast every morning being brought to you by our 5 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 1: great friends at Olmaha Steaks dot com. Did you sweep 6 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:33,600 Speaker 1: last night? Because I swept it officially on the board. 7 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,480 Speaker 1: Actually I got all four bets right same game tease 8 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: that NFL game as well, four and oh four unit night. 9 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: Always fun when you have that on a Thursday. Why 10 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: not go and take some of the winnings you guys 11 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: are making off the podcast and go buy some Mamaha 12 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 1: Steaks and support the podcast fifty percent off site wide 13 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: going on right now with our semi annual sale. I'm 14 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: going to knock off thirty bucks on top of that 15 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: after you go ahead to go with the full process 16 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: of checking out thirty bucks off min and purchase going 17 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: to be required with the code Juice in the search 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: bar at Omaha Steakes dot Com. All right, like I 19 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: mentioned three and now under easily that was easy under 20 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: for that which every NFL game was that easy under 21 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: forty seven walk in the park. How about the hockey games, 22 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: both unders, easy one one in overtime. We're under six 23 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: and a half. It's beautiful. This is interesting to watch 24 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:24,839 Speaker 1: because the books are laying six and a half, because 25 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 1: the public is betting six and a half because they 26 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: just think it's offense right now. No, the Wild at home. No, 27 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: we talked about that last night. We talked about the 28 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 1: fact that there are teams that we're going to look 29 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 1: at and go, wait a minute. There are certain teams 30 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,320 Speaker 1: who are under teams that we know at home they're 31 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: going to be under teams. The Wild are an under 32 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: team at least to start the year. The miss Wild 33 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 1: are going to be an under team. It doesn't really matter. 34 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: The Blues were an over team. It doesn't really matter 35 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: because you know, the teams that they're facing isn't always 36 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: indicative as to what's going to happen on the ice. 37 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: It's more the home team. What's the home team going 38 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: to do? What's the home team record? How active are 39 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: the home is the home team you know? Defensively? How 40 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: do they want to play? Like Minnesota halfway into last 41 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 1: year flipped unders unders unders, and they flipped and they 42 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: became a massive overteam. It was like where did this 43 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: come from way? It was very unusual. But you know, 44 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: we'll take whenever the book's going to give us big 45 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: numbers and we think we were on the right side. Well, 46 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: I mean, we'll take it Minnesota, Florida to nothing, Dallas 47 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 1: Saint Louis two to one. Audit'er at home under that 48 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: might be the last six and a half. We get 49 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: probably six and below the rest of the way for 50 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: the Stars at home. Books tested it out, didn't get it. 51 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: So we'll take the three and oh night up three units, 52 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: and that puts us to a new high water mark 53 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice since I've come back. When I 54 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: came back, what in January February, whenever I came back, 55 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: we're up thirty three point two units on the podcast. 56 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: It's not bad. Okay, got a nice week going here. 57 00:02:55,880 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: Want to continue much like yesterday. That's for you here today. 58 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: I don't want to force it, like I want to 59 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 1: take Memphis at plus four and a half. But I 60 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: gotta bet that game in game, I gotta see what 61 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 1: Memphis looks like. Two lanes got the better offense. But Memphis, 62 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: I mean, they're one three and one ats this year. 63 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: They're not good. At Ats two lanes. Not great, but 64 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,079 Speaker 1: they're better. I think the game goes under, but I'm 65 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: not positive, Like I gotta watch it. That's an in 66 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: game bet for me. I'm not going to force it. 67 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: This is one of the things one of the new 68 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: Leafs have turned over. I guess for the podcast is 69 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: not to force it. So I've got two bets for us. 70 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: One in college football in one in hockey, my two 71 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: favorite sports to bet. There's no baseball today. Phillies don't 72 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: play until what Sunday right for the NLDS, and the 73 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: ALCS starts tomorrow right on Saturday for the ALCS between Houston, Texas, 74 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: so we got some time away from that huge college 75 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: football Saturday. Huge NFL Sunday also to come. So why 76 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: force it here on a Friday. If I like a 77 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: third bet, I'll put it in the Discord channel betting 78 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: pros dot Com slash chats. But two bets for you 79 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: guys right here. Let's start with Colorado at home again Stanford. 80 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 1: The number is up to twelve and a half. Total 81 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: is sixty now twenty four twenty one and two. Oh 82 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: sorry football, Sorry, that's hockey. I'm very tired. Stanford four 83 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 1: and one to the under. This year, Colorado is three 84 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: and three, but they're two and one to the over 85 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: at home. Here's the thing, Stanford's got a burn clock. 86 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: They can't get in a track meet with Colorado? Are 87 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 1: you kidding me? They get killed. They know that, so 88 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,239 Speaker 1: they got a burn clock. Buffaloes want to play fast. 89 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: But Deon Sanders had an interesting quote this week talking 90 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: about the fact that he hates these games being played 91 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: at eight o'clock local ten am to ten pm Eastern, 92 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 1: Like he said, don't you care about the East Coast folks? 93 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:53,920 Speaker 1: Do you care about eyeballs? And people watching doesn't like it. 94 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:55,920 Speaker 1: He was talking about he's happy they're leaving the Big 95 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 1: twelve to get out of their TV deals, so they're 96 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 1: not playing conference games on Friday nights. They played Colorado 97 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,359 Speaker 1: State on a Friday night game went over, but that 98 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 1: was more CSU than Colorado. I don't think Stanford can 99 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 1: score very much, averaging about eighteen points per game, but 100 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: the Buffalo's defense is not very good. But it comes 101 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 1: down to pace of play for me, like how fast 102 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: will Stanford look to play? I just don't think they're 103 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: going to want to go up and down. They're gonna 104 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 1: want to play keep away. Okay, I think they lose 105 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: the game. I think there's a good shot the Buffaloes 106 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: maybe win by ten fourteen, but it's right there. I'm 107 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 1: a little concerned about that. I would lean towards the 108 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: dog here going with the under. If you ken told 109 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:45,799 Speaker 1: under sixty, I lean towards the dog. Turnovers huge. Stanford 110 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:49,719 Speaker 1: cannot turn the football over. They've given the ball away, 111 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 1: you know, point eight times per game. That's not great. 112 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 1: They don't take the football away at all, which is 113 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:58,159 Speaker 1: really not great. The Buffaloes give the ball away point two, sorry, 114 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 1: point eight, but they take the ball away two times 115 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 1: at seventeenth best in the country. Stanford can't do that. 116 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: They turned the ball over here. The over might be 117 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: in jeopardy, but I mean eighteen points a game for Stanford, 118 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:13,920 Speaker 1: four point seven yards per play, one hundred and thirteenth 119 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 1: in college football, three point six yards per rush, six 120 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: point six yards per I don't like this, but they 121 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: play really hard. Like on paper, Stanford looks bad, but 122 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 1: they play really hard that they get after it. They're 123 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: a tough team to face. They're not easy. They're two 124 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: and three ats, they're one and one on the road. 125 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: They covered against Arizona thirteen point dogs, lost by one. 126 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: They're twelve and a half point dogs right now. Okay, 127 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: they're on the run against Hawaii, they're laying two and 128 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: a half. They won by thirteen. They got killed against 129 00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 1: USC and then they lost as seven and a half 130 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: point favorites against Sacramento State. They lost that game. That 131 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: was the big eye opener. But since then they've you know, 132 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: they lost four games in a row, but they've played better. 133 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: And then they got well at home against Oregon, they 134 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: got killed. They were catching twenty seven. They lost by 135 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: thirty six, but they were at home and they got killed. 136 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: Colorado was on the road and they got killed, both 137 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: by Oregon, both by the same score. By the way, 138 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: forty two to six. I'm gonna go under. It might 139 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: be forty to seven. Like it maybe just be an 140 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: absolute route. Just don't think Stanford scores. I think they 141 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: playball controlled, they burn the clock, and I don't think 142 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 1: the Buffaloes have enough time under sixty one point one 143 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 1: units under for Colorado and Stanford. Speaking of unders, to 144 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: the NHL, there's two games tonight. It's light slate. Only 145 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: one game. I want to bet Pittsburgh's on the road 146 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: at Washington. At home last year, the Washington Capitals were 147 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: twenty four twenty one and two to the over. Sorry 148 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 1: to the no to the under. They were twenty eighteen 149 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: to two to the under. The Pittsburgh Penguins were to 150 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 1: the on the road Penguins last year, a team that 151 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: on the road when Jari was in net, they were 152 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: very consistent going under. Jarry had a one point nine 153 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: goals against Averagtee is scheduled to be in Net tonight. 154 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: Here for Pittsburgh Penguins. Four to two was the opener 155 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: lost to Colorado. Game went under. Jari gave up four 156 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: goals no good. Jarcy Kemper one and two with a 157 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 1: two point nine to three goals against average last year 158 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh. But Washington generally twenty eighteen and three under. 159 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: I think I read the wrong stat Sorry, Washington twenty 160 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: eighteen and three under at home, Penguins twenty six and 161 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: fifteen to the under on the road six and a 162 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: half is the total. We're going under under six and 163 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 1: a half for Washington and Pittsburgh. Here opener for Washington, 164 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: second game for Pittsburgh. But I think we're going to 165 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: see less scoring four two final, much similar to Game 166 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,560 Speaker 1: one with Pittsburgh three to two final, four to two final. 167 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 1: I'm going under Penguins Capitals. I know it's kind of 168 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: scary with the Capitol's game, but given Jari and given 169 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 1: the Jarsey Kemper has been good against Pittsburgh, and Jory 170 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: was phenomenal on the road last year, let's see him 171 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 1: be good on the road again after a bad opener 172 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 1: at home under six and a half, one point one 173 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,439 Speaker 1: units mins one ten Penguins in the Capitals. All right, 174 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 1: So I may add a third bet, may have it 175 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,560 Speaker 1: fort you in the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chap. 176 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: But if I don't, I may just hold steady with two. 177 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: We'll have five bets on Saturday. We'll have five bets 178 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 1: on Sunday. We'll be heavy on the weekends like normal. 179 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: No need to force it here on a Friday after 180 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: a three to no night last night. Let's just keep 181 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 1: it going, keep the good week going. Under sixty Colorado, Stanford, 182 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: under six and a half for Washington and Pittsburgh. Mis 183 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz follow me on all socials at sports Dock. 184 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,560 Speaker 1: Matt every single morning The Deal Juice podcast was being 185 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com