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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt to follow me. This podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by bet MGM. You guys, know about the one

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Speaker 2: thousand dollars first bet offer if you don't new users,

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Speaker 2: at betmgm dot com promo code Juice for a one

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Speaker 2: thousand dollars first bet offer. All right, two and one,

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Speaker 2: two and one, two and two, two and one, okay,

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Speaker 2: not bad, slow and steady. This is something that I

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Speaker 2: have talked about for a long time. I will take

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Speaker 2: two and one every single night for the rest of

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Speaker 2: my life. Two and one is perfectly fine. That was

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Speaker 2: a sweaty under. I thought it would be three two.

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Speaker 2: It was three to two. Vegas wins under hits an

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Speaker 2: under five and a half even money, So that was

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Speaker 2: nice to get that hit. Then we had the over

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Speaker 2: which came in easily on the basketball game that had

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Speaker 2: everyone nervous. Everybody was freaking out. Xavier, Oh no, wait,

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Speaker 2: Providence in Xavier. How does this go, and I was

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Speaker 2: looking at my notes from yesterday and I was going like, huh,

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Speaker 2: you know, Providence one fifty four and a half. Ken

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Speaker 2: Palm had it at one sixty. Everybody was just losing

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Speaker 2: their mind because four straight overs by eight and a

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Speaker 2: half fifteen, nineteen and a half and forty for Providence

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Speaker 2: games against Xavier, well, they had gone over. Last two

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Speaker 2: home games had gone over, way over for Providence. Number

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Speaker 2: closed at one fifty one and a half. You know,

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Speaker 2: a lot of freakouts, a lot of text messages, a

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Speaker 2: lot of tweets, a lot of dms. Matt, wait, wait

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Speaker 2: the number, guys. Okay, just when the number crashes, I

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Speaker 2: don't really care. Just gonn tell you right now. Like

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Speaker 2: if I've made the bet, I made the bet, I

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Speaker 2: can't do anything about it, Okay, Matt?

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Speaker 1: Should I punt out of it? Matt?

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Speaker 2: Should I cash out? Do what you guys want? Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet. When I'm gonna bet, and this is

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Speaker 2: the podcast is I'm gonna tell you what I'm gonna bet.

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Speaker 2: If you guys want to trail awesome, you want to

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Speaker 2: fade it, okay, if you want to punt out of it,

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Speaker 2: totally your call.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: That's why when people get angry, like when I go cold,

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Speaker 2: because I'm gonna go cold, and people are like, oh,

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Speaker 2: I can't believe how cold you are.

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Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, you're so bad.

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Speaker 2: I'm like, just fade the bet, like you if you

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Speaker 2: choose to trail the bet, make sure you understand that

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Speaker 2: when you press by, I'm just telling you when I

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Speaker 2: am betting and I'm recommending, this is what I'm doing.

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Speaker 2: If you want to trail, come on board, let's go.

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Speaker 2: If you want to fade, my job is to give

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Speaker 2: you information, do what with it what you want, Okay.

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Speaker 2: So just know when the total crash to one fifty

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Speaker 2: one and a half, I didn't really care. I thought

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Speaker 2: I was on the right side. The overhit with five

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Speaker 2: minutes to go, guys, five minutes to go in the game,

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Speaker 2: the overheit all right, now ab to not hit BEMA

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Speaker 2: wins I made personally, I was flat because in the

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Speaker 2: discord channel, which if you're not there, how many times

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Speaker 2: do I have to tell you? I bet plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half live Alabama plus three and a half

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Speaker 2: one unit, and Albama won the game outright a bunch.

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Speaker 2: You bet plus one seventy money line, which was a

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Speaker 2: better hit than I had. I just took the points

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Speaker 2: for one unit, so I got out of the bet personally,

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Speaker 2: so I ended up you know, three and one, and

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Speaker 2: I ended up up two units.

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Speaker 1: So that was how I did it. So you don't

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Speaker 1: have to do that.

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Speaker 2: But if you're in the Discord channel, it's kind of

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Speaker 2: a good way of hanging out with us. I don't

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Speaker 2: at everyone because the play is not official. Okay, that's

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Speaker 2: why being in there during games is important. If you

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Speaker 2: bet the game, if you trail the pick, come in

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Speaker 2: and watch.

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Speaker 1: Okay, come in. Be a part of it. Be a

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Speaker 1: part of the community. Talk to us.

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Speaker 2: It's easy bettingpros dot com, slash chat to get in

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Speaker 2: underneath me on YouTube, there is a opportunity for you

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Speaker 2: to click a link to join.

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Speaker 1: It's free.

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Speaker 2: It's simple on your phone, on your desktop either or

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Speaker 2: very very simple. Right, Welcome to an interesting day. Do

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Speaker 2: you guys like betting small college basketball tournaments? Because I

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Speaker 2: kind of love it. Welcome to March madness, guys. I

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Speaker 2: got three bets in three tournaments, one of which I

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Speaker 2: already gave you the number on the Discord channel last

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Speaker 2: night because the game tips off early West Coast time

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Speaker 2: noon Central ten am Pacific time, early game. That's why

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Speaker 2: I put it in the Discord channel already, so you

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Speaker 2: know of one of the bets of the four that

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Speaker 2: I've got for you coming up here today. Before I

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Speaker 2: give you the bets, let's talk a little bit about

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the early game.

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Speaker 2: I already gave this up on the Discord channel Illinois

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Speaker 2: State and Northern Iowa. DraftKings was a point off market

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Speaker 2: last night. Total was one thirty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: So this is the first time the Missouri Valley Conference

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Speaker 2: is doing this. I've been going or what was going

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Speaker 2: to the Valley. I went to eight Valley Conference tournaments.

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Speaker 2: Arch madness they call it. Okay, it's in Saint Louis. Normally,

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Speaker 2: the Thursday games there's two at night. But because they've

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Speaker 2: added two more teams to the to the to the conference,

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Speaker 2: they got to play four games today. So the first

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Speaker 2: game we'll have nobody there. One fans aren't used to

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Speaker 2: the time.

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Speaker 1: Two.

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Speaker 2: Nobody in Saint Louis is going. They don't go to

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Speaker 2: the Friday morning game.

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Speaker 1: Normally.

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Speaker 2: What you do in this tournament is you bet the

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Speaker 2: under on the Friday morning game because nobody actually goes

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Speaker 2: and it's a dead atmosphere. Okay, team plays at night

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Speaker 2: and then turns around and plays in the morning.

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Speaker 1: That's different.

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Speaker 2: Worry about Friday tomorrow because there are four games when

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Speaker 2: they play. How they play all factoring in we'll talk

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Speaker 2: about tomorrow after we see who wins these games. But

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Speaker 2: Northern Iowa and Illinois State are playing at noon Central time.

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Speaker 2: Who this is really early, so both matchups for the

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Speaker 2: this season with Illinois State and Northern Iowa. When they

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Speaker 2: played each other, it was one thirty five, one thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half under by seven under by eight

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Speaker 2: and a half. This is a dome. Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: a tough backdrop. It takes a.

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Speaker 1: Day to get acclimated.

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Speaker 2: Normally, what I bet to kind of tease it, but

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Speaker 2: will be tomorrow, the early game tomorrow in the Valley tournament.

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Speaker 2: Bet the under first half under. Okay, if you get

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Speaker 2: an opportunity, first half under. Because the team that hasn't

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Speaker 2: played on the court normally plays poorly, shoots poorly. Both

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Speaker 2: these teams haven't played in the court yet. And it's

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Speaker 2: in the morning pretty much, it's twelve noon and no

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Speaker 2: one's there. Sleepy atmosphere, really tough to get excited. The

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Speaker 2: bands are there. You hear all the squeaking of every sneaker.

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Speaker 2: It's very awkward. It's very different.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: They're playing for their lives, so they're tense because they

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Speaker 2: got to win the thing to make the dance. Both

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Speaker 2: these teams, both these offenses are bad.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Northern Iowa's offense is two hundred and fifteenth adjusted efficiency offensively,

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Speaker 2: Illinois State is two hundred and fifteen ninth. All right, Defensively,

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Speaker 2: they're both not that good, I'll give you that, But

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Speaker 2: offensively they're both really poor. So if you have an

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Speaker 2: open shot and you miss it, okay, that's you know,

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Speaker 2: that's not a great defense. Just the offense are gonna stink.

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Speaker 1: I did.

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Speaker 2: Field goal percentage for Northern Iowa is one thirty eighth

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Speaker 2: in the country. Affective field goal percentage in Illinois State

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Speaker 2: one ninety ninth in the country. Not good, okay, not

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Speaker 2: good at all. Illinois State does turn the basketball over

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Speaker 2: a ton. They're actually three hundred and forty fourth. So

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Speaker 2: the ball goes all over the place. So that's a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a concern. But Northern Iowa is a

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Speaker 2: team that doesn't really hit their free throws, which.

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Speaker 1: Is not great.

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Speaker 2: Two hundred and seventy seventh in the country in free

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Speaker 2: throw percentage. Illinois State does hit their free throws. They're

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Speaker 2: six in the country. They hit their free throws. That's

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Speaker 2: a little dangerous when it comes to the over but

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Speaker 2: average possession length defensively, they're both in the two hundreds

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Speaker 2: in Illinois State. Offensively, average possession length two hundred and

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Speaker 2: ninety first in the country. We're going under one thirty

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Speaker 2: five and a half. DraftKings was off the market here.

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Speaker 2: Everybody else was at one thirty four and a half

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Speaker 2: DraftKings one thirty five and a half. Why I put

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Speaker 2: it in the Discord channel to tell you about this

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Speaker 2: to jump on the opportunity. We're going under one thirty

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Speaker 2: five and a half for Northern Iowa and Illinois State

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Speaker 2: early game, first game of the day, Arch Madness in

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Speaker 2: Saint Louis, Okay. Bet number two Youngstown State. We bet

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Speaker 2: this team earlier in the year. Young Sun State is

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Speaker 2: hosting Detroit Mercy in the quarterfinals of the Horizon. These

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Speaker 2: games get played on a campus until they go to

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Speaker 2: a neutral later in the tournament, so Youngstown State is

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Speaker 2: at home. So we get all the numbers for Youngstown

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Speaker 2: at home, which is huge in my opinion. They're eight

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Speaker 2: and five ATS at home, six and twelve. Detroit Mercy

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Speaker 2: on the road ATS, They're eight and thirteen. In conference.

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Speaker 2: Youngstown State is twelve in one. Ken Palm has this

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Speaker 2: number at eight. The line is eight. However, look at

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Speaker 2: the way these games were played this year, and you

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Speaker 2: have to really like Youngstown State here, like like the

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Speaker 2: way that they play. Youngstown State's offense is thirty second

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Speaker 2: for adjusted efficiency offensively effective field goal percentage of their

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Speaker 2: fourteenth in the country up against three hundred and twentieth

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage. Defensively for Detroit Mercy not good.

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Speaker 2: Detroit Mercy's offense isn't bad fifty fourth. So I do

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Speaker 2: lean a little bit on the over for this game.

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Speaker 2: But I think with the crowd and when we're talking

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Speaker 2: about a tournament game like this on campus, Youngstown State

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Speaker 2: is the number one seed in the tournament. They won

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Speaker 2: the regular season outright, I think you've got an awesome atmosphere,

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Speaker 2: you got a bunch of hyped up kids. ESPN Plus

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Speaker 2: has this game. It's a night game, eight o'clock Eastern

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Speaker 2: time start in Ohio for this one. I know the

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Speaker 2: last two games were not covers. They won against IUPUI

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Speaker 2: as fifteen point favorites, they won by fourteen.

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Speaker 1: That didn't cover.

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Speaker 2: That was on the road against Robert Moore, so they

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Speaker 2: lost by nineteen, kind of a stubbing of the toe.

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Speaker 2: But their last two home games against Wisconsin Green Bay

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Speaker 2: they won by thirty and against Wisconsin Milwaukee they won

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Speaker 2: by twenty nine. So against Detroit at home they were

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Speaker 2: eight and a half point favorites, they won by ten.

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Speaker 2: In the season. When they played Detroit on the road,

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Speaker 2: they were two point favorites. They won by five. So

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Speaker 2: they're two and oh ats against Detroit, and I think

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Speaker 2: you're going to improve to three and oh. Here a

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Speaker 2: la the eight points Youngstown State minus eight at home

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Speaker 2: against Detroit in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League Tournaments

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Speaker 2: Valley Tournament. Horizon League Tournament. Let's talk about the West

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Speaker 2: Coast Conference Tournament. One game to talk about it is

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Speaker 2: Pepperdine up against Pacific. So during the Bostonian versus the

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Speaker 2: Book Show yesterday, we were talking about the one sixty

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Speaker 2: number for college basketball. How about this. There have been

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Speaker 2: seventy six games all year. Of the over five thousand

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Speaker 2: approaching six thousand games in college basketball this year, there's

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Speaker 2: only been seventy six of them with a total of

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Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty or higher. That is a monster

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Speaker 2: total from a book perspective. They do not want to

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Speaker 2: go to one sixty. Pepperdine and Pacific is one sixty

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Speaker 2: and a half. They're playing this at the Orleans which

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Speaker 2: is a smaller building, not a bad site line, but

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Speaker 2: still a first game in what will probably be a

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Speaker 2: dead atmosphere. Okay, you've got a new building, a neutral court,

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Speaker 2: and the guys have to get adjusted to it. Plus

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Speaker 2: if you lose, your season's over. Because both these teams

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Speaker 2: are not very good obviously. Because so they're playing here

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Speaker 2: on a Thursday night of the West Coast Conference tournament.

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Speaker 2: This is a late night Eastern time start. Okay, fyi

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Speaker 2: U East Coast guys, you may want to bet it,

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Speaker 2: and you'll wake up to see if you hit. It's

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Speaker 2: an eleven thirty Eastern time start, eight thirty Pacific time

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Speaker 2: start late game here, even here in Vegas, Pepperdine is

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Speaker 2: twenty and eight to the over. Pacific is sixteen and

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Speaker 2: thirteen to the over. But here's the hook. They had

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Speaker 2: a total of one fifty four and a half in

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Speaker 2: their first matchup game went over by a half a point.

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Speaker 2: In the second matchup in a total of one sixty two,

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Speaker 2: the under came in by eight points. Between these two teams.

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Speaker 2: You start looking at the way these guys play and

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Speaker 2: you're going, Okay, one sixty and a half seems.

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Speaker 1: Really really high, too high.

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Speaker 2: We're crossing one sixty even with a total of you know,

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Speaker 2: a twenty and eight and a thirteen and three to

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Speaker 2: the over for Pepperdine, Yes, one sixty three against Santa

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Speaker 2: Clara went over by ten points. One seventy two against

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Speaker 2: Gonzaga went over by thirteen points. One sixty one fifty

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Speaker 2: nine against San Francisco went over by nine points. One

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Speaker 2: sixty three and a half against Portland went over by

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Speaker 2: three and a half points. One sixty against Gonzaga went

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Speaker 2: over by thirty nine points, mostly because of Gonzaga scored

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Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven points on Pepperdine. It's the building

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Speaker 2: more than anything for me. Okay, it's the fact that

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Speaker 2: the total's really high. It's a neutral site game and

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Speaker 2: they didn't play They played one neutral site game.

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Speaker 1: Oh ye know.

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Speaker 2: They played two neutral site games Pepperdine did they played

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Speaker 2: against They played neutral up against George Washington it was

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Speaker 2: one forty nine and a half, went over by one

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Speaker 2: and a half points, and then against Iona one fifty

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Speaker 2: two game went under by ten points. I'm betting under

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Speaker 2: on principal. I'm going under one sixty and a half. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: these bets are all minus one ten one point one

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Speaker 2: units under one sixteen and a half Pepperdine and I

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Speaker 2: know I might be scary Pacific in the West Coast

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Speaker 2: Conference tournament. Okay, So we're going under in the Valley

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Speaker 2: first game of the day, Northern Iowa and Illinois State

305
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Speaker 2: under one thirty five and a half. We're laying the

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Speaker 2: eight points with Youngstown State at home up against Detroit,

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Speaker 2: laying eight there, and we're going under Pepperdine in Pacific

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Speaker 2: at one sixty and a half minus for one point

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Speaker 2: one unit, so three point three units in play there.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: I don't like the hockey slate. I really don't like

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Speaker 2: the hockey slate, but I want to bet hockey. I

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Speaker 2: want to have one hockey bet and play here the

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Speaker 2: Wild in the Canucks. This is the number one team

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Speaker 2: first period over one and a half goals and worst

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Speaker 2: team to an over one and a half goals.

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Speaker 1: We've bet the Wild a lot. The Wild have had

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Speaker 1: goals being scored quite a bit.

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Speaker 2: I can't recommend betting anything except the Canucks are a

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Speaker 2: bad hockey team. At home, they're eleven six and sixteen

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Speaker 2: and one. The Wild are thirteen eleven and four. The

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Speaker 2: Wild have won both games so far this year, three

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Speaker 2: nothing on the road, four to three at home.

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Speaker 1: I think the Wild they're gonna win tonight. The Wild

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Speaker 1: Ay're gonna sweep here.

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Speaker 2: I don't care who's in net, whether it be Delia

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Speaker 2: or Demco, it's it's probably gonna be Flurry tonight. It

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Speaker 2: could be Guffsisen either or I'm good with the Wild,

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Speaker 2: but they're heavy favorites. Like I can't jump around here

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Speaker 2: and be like, man, let's go ahead and jump in

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Speaker 2: on a minus two fifteen favorite. It's just hard to

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Speaker 2: recommend it Wild right now or minus one sixty five.

333
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Speaker 2: Sorry on the money line, but you can pair it

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Speaker 2: up with the Dallas Stars. Dallas has a get right

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Speaker 2: spot on their hands tonight against the Blackhawks. The Blackhawks

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Speaker 2: just traded away Patrick Kaine, the heart and soul of

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Speaker 2: the team. Everyone in Chicago knows that they are tanking.

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Speaker 2: They want the Badard kid, they want the number one pick,

339
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Speaker 2: and they want them to book. The idea is trade

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Speaker 2: Patrick Kane, lose as many games as possible and get

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Speaker 2: the Badard kid out of Canada, who is supposed to

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Speaker 2: be the next Connor McDavid. Okay, they're losing tonight minus

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Speaker 2: two fifteen on Dallas to plus one thirty five. Parlay

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Speaker 2: two leg money line parlay for one unit. We haven't

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Speaker 2: done many of these. I don't recommend parlays all that often,

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Speaker 2: but I think the Wild will beat Vancouver just based

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Speaker 2: on matchup, based on the way the Wild have been playing.

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Speaker 2: The Wild are thirty four to twenty one and six.

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Speaker 2: You have Vancouver is twenty four to thirty one and five.

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Speaker 2: They give up a lot of goals. I just like

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Speaker 2: the defense for what's happening right now. With Minnesota, they've

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Speaker 2: won two and four of the last five, both shootouts

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Speaker 2: in overtime at home, but road games, they beat Columbus

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Speaker 2: two to nothing. They lost in overtime to Toronto two

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Speaker 2: to one. They beat La two to one, and then

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Speaker 2: the Canucks beat Dallas on the road five four, lost

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Speaker 2: to the Bruins, beat Saint Louis, lost to Nashville. So

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Speaker 2: they're two and two over the last four games. But

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Speaker 2: at home they lost. They beat the Flyer six to two.

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Speaker 2: But I like the Wild here. I feel very confident

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Speaker 2: the Stars are going to win tonight, just given what's

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Speaker 2: going on in Chicago. They want to lose every game

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way if they can. I think

364
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Speaker 2: Vancouver equally is going to probably go into the tank,

365
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Speaker 2: and to go in to tank mode. I'll take the

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Speaker 2: Wild here to get a w because the Wild they're

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Speaker 2: definitely still playing trying to catch Dallas. They're three points

368
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Speaker 2: behind Dallas in the Central Division, so they're chasing the Stars.

369
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Speaker 2: Let's just take both teams who are chasing against each other,

370
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Speaker 2: Dallas Minnesota both to win plus one thirty five parlay

371
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Speaker 2: for one unit money line only here for us on

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Speaker 2: a Thursday. All right, So four point three units in

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Speaker 2: play here on a Thursday, three basketball and one in

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Speaker 2: the NHL. If I added anything, obviously, I'll jump on

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel and tell you about it. I don't

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Speaker 2: really anticipate it, but a lot of college basketball to

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Speaker 2: watch today early until late. You've got, if you're a

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Speaker 2: West coast person, you have a ten o'clock game AM

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Speaker 2: and an eight thirty pm game. I'm bookending it. Then

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Speaker 2: one of the first games in the last game, we're

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Speaker 2: playing them both here with unders in those and then

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Speaker 2: we're taking the minus eight for Youngstown State in the

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Speaker 2: Horizon Tournament to the number one seed up against Detroit

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Speaker 2: Wild and Stars money line parlay minus Matt Parolt following

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Speaker 2: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt every single.

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Speaker 1: Morning, let's keep the week going. Winning week.

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Speaker 2: So far, it's the Daily Juce Podcast being presented by

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Speaker 2: BETHAMGM