1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:01,760 Speaker 1: The investing fact of the week. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 2: That's a few So number one, gold is officially into 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 2: the bear market is down twenty two percent from its 4 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 2: all time high. This month, I've been talking about the 5 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 2: private credit market a lot, so Apollo has capped withdrawals 6 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: from one of his primary private credit funds to retail investors. 7 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 2: And lastly, Goldman Sacks and JP Morgan are offering a 8 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,799 Speaker 2: hedge fund hedge fund clients a way to short that 9 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 2: one point eight trillion dollar market. Three weeks ago, I 10 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 2: came on and told you guys that there was a 11 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: bubble in private credit if you wanted the cherry on 12 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 2: top to know that it's here. When clients of a 13 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 2: certain net worth are able to short it, they only 14 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: are offering that to select clients with a networth from 15 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,959 Speaker 2: ten to fifty million. There is a reason why Apollo 16 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 2: has frozen. It's like the worst kept secret on Wall 17 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 2: Street right now. But I don't think enough attention is 18 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 2: being put on it. And then also this morning, there 19 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 2: was a one point five one point five billion dollar 20 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: move on the S and P Future Sure and it 21 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 2: was one hundred and ninety two million dollars short. 22 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 3: Oh you want to go? Are you going there, Let's. 23 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 2: Go Therefore, I am Eastern Standard time. Joe Kernan just 24 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:14,559 Speaker 2: getting his coffee in between the break, like i'vet Let's 25 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 2: be honest, and all the time I've been trading futures 26 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: at twenty fifteen, I've never seen such blatant market manipulation 27 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 2: like I had. People I was running into today asked 28 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: me about the futures market. Who never traded the market 29 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: before the light? Isn't that the thing you were talking about? 30 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 2: I'm like, we are in an era and the market 31 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 2: has always been manipulated. 32 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 3: Let's be clear. 33 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 2: The markt I'll always say the market is rigged to 34 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 2: stay up, but I've never seen a cohort or an 35 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: administration be so blatant with the move and act like 36 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 2: everything is absolutely fine. And even in the oil market, 37 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: look how they're rigging that and saying we're in negotiation 38 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: to keep it under a certain level so you don't 39 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 2: get shellacked in the midterms. We're just in very interesting 40 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 2: in trying time. For all my political experts and MAGA 41 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: experts that have tuned into market, mondays keep up alive, 42 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 2: but you have toy, this is claytant market. 43 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 3: If we did this. 44 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:15,359 Speaker 2: If we went on investment and did invest that live 45 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 2: on a Monday and told everyone to get in. 46 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 3: We would have some phone calls to answer the next day. 47 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 4: I gotta give you credit. I'm gonna give you credit here, 48 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 4: my brother, because you sharp. 49 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 3: I'm just go. 50 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 4: Let me just tell you sharp. When I'm doing the 51 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 4: research and I'm thinking like, oh, I'm thinking I saw that. 52 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 4: I don't know if anybody else saw that. But what 53 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 4: you're saying is is I'm like, that's spot on. There 54 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 4: was a billion dollar trade, right, somebody was short in 55 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,959 Speaker 4: the market, which tells me that institutions are not really 56 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 4: they can't figure out the signal of this volatility. 57 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 3: Right. 58 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 4: They were going into Monday anticipating that the market was 59 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 4: going to be negative because of this forty eight hour 60 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 4: deadline and the fact that they're pricing in that those 61 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 4: war is going to last a lot longer than they 62 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 4: thought it would. The initial thing was, hey, this might 63 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 4: take four to six weeks. We have now hit week four. 64 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 4: They're saying that based on everything they've seen, we're going 65 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 4: to now short. So imagine when seven o seven comes 66 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 4: and now here we are up thirteen hundred. 67 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 3: And there's a divine edition. 68 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 4: So when we talk administration and we talked institutional, it 69 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 4: always felt like there was some alignment. This tells me 70 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 4: that there's completely divergent exactly. 71 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 72 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, And another tip on we just had quid witching 73 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 2: on Friday. See the eighty percent of the time since 74 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: twenty sixteen, on a Friday of quiet witching, the market 75 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: normally ends negative because you can't roll over those contracts, 76 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: contrary to popular belief. So there was a huge short 77 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 2: started from the London session going into Friday. The market 78 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 2: ended up down and then they, like you said, they 79 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: acted as if it was going to be all of 80 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: a fallout, and then they had allegedly their cronies ride 81 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 2: the market up the proper back up to prevent the 82 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 2: onslaught and on and the selling in the market as 83 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: a result. Like I've never seen these kind of moves, 84 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:19,279 Speaker 2: Like once again, eighty to ninety points in the S 85 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,599 Speaker 2: and P future is absolutely amazing. 86 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 3: Two hundred before the market. 87 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 2: It's the equivalent like if Luca had fifty win the 88 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 2: game started, this normally doesn't happen like it normally takes. 89 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 3: It would be the equivalent of him saying. 90 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 2: The war is over or we have a plan to 91 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 2: get the GDP back to one hundred percent opposed to 92 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: one to twenty three. That will cause that kind of move, 93 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 2: not just him tweeting normally, so but for my traitors, 94 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 2: take advantage of this market while you have it, because 95 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 2: when he's out of office, to be honest, these kind 96 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: of swings will not be there. 97 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: Well, I think, because I definitely want to yeah talking, 98 00:04:58,240 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: but yeah, I think that that's definitely im point for 99 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 1: people to really pay attention and we're not going to 100 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: have this level of volatility forever, so you might as 101 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 1: well take advantage of It's it's definitely market manipulation. Allegedly maybe, 102 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: but you know every time that he makes every time 103 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: that he makes an announcement, there's a huge trade that's 104 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: placed a few minutes before. It happened with the tariffs, 105 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 1: it happened with the war and Iran like announcing that 106 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: we're going to go in and it happened. It's happened 107 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 1: a variety of different times. So it doesn't take a 108 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: g It doesn't take a genius to figure out that 109 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:44,039 Speaker 1: some people have access to information and they're making financial 110 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 1: gains based off of information that the public is not 111 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: privy to. 112 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 3: But what can you do? You can participate, You could 113 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 3: participate for sure,