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Speaker 1: Lots up. Guys. How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peralt. You guys can follow me acause all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt in. This podcast being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by our friends at DraftKings. No cat today, guys, Sorry,

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Speaker 1: the cat has been locked out of the room. Thank

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Speaker 1: you for all the notes, the messages, the dms, the retweets,

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Speaker 1: all of the laughter. The dead cat bounce worked for

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Speaker 1: the Bruins, did not work for me, unfortunately, because it

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Speaker 1: was a losing day. Creighton gets killed at home, Arizona

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Speaker 1: gets beat up at home zero to two. In college basketball,

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Speaker 1: why well turnovers? You cannot turn the basketball over and

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Speaker 1: shoot really poorly from behind the arc, which is what

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Speaker 1: happened for both Arizona and Creighton yesterday. Should have taken

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Speaker 1: the emotional head and just bet Nebraska, but I couldn't

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Speaker 1: bring myself to do it because I hate that program.

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Speaker 1: Big win for the Huskers, Congratulations, great coaching job by

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Speaker 1: Fred Hoiberg. Really had the Jays befuddled. The shots just

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Speaker 1: did not fall. Jay's shot under thirty percent from behind

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Speaker 1: the arc. If they hit their threes, they win. If

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Speaker 1: they miss their threes, they're dead, and they were dead

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Speaker 1: last night. The under comes in easily for unlv so

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Speaker 1: or another college football hit for US. College basketball has

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Speaker 1: not been great. College football continues to be decent. We

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Speaker 1: come in with a one and two mark and a

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Speaker 1: one point two unit down day for a Friday, I

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Speaker 1: can't win three days in a row. It's win win

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Speaker 1: loss when win loss, so today should be a win hopefully,

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Speaker 1: as we're having a pretty good week. But here we

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Speaker 1: are on a Saturday. This is a really hard card.

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Speaker 1: I've been going back and forth, back and forth, back

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Speaker 1: and forth. Okay, I've got three plays officially, I've got

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Speaker 1: three other plays I will give you guys on this

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Speaker 1: Saturday morning live chat, which will take place at eleven

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Speaker 1: am Eastern time, eight o'clock Pacific on the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: Discord channel, Bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get into

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Speaker 1: it will break down all the line moves, all the

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Speaker 1: latest news and information. I'll give you three more plays

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Speaker 1: that I am on. Personally, I'll give you thoughts like

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with Indiana and Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: I think Ohio State kills them. But I don't know

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Speaker 1: what to do with it. I can't bet. It feels

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Speaker 1: like Indiana is going to have something for the Buckeyes.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I can make a case for both sides.

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Speaker 1: So we'll discuss it. We'll talk about it. We'll break

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Speaker 1: it down this morning on the Discord channel Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat to get in and I'll give you

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Speaker 1: my full card, which really will only be about six pets.

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Speaker 1: Gotta be careful, guys, Okay, you can't go crazy. Got

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Speaker 1: to be very selective. You got to basically have like

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Speaker 1: ten plays and whittle it down to four or five.

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Speaker 1: Because this is a really hard week. It's a really

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Speaker 1: sharp market. The books have tons of information. It's a hard,

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Speaker 1: hard week. But before I give you the picks, this

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Speaker 1: Com slash promo Okay three plays for you. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with BYU at Arizona. That's a three point thirty kick

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Speaker 1: Eastern time is a twelve thirty top of the day

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Speaker 1: type of kick which is beneficial to BYU. Not a

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Speaker 1: lot of drunk Arizona State fans, A lot of them

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Speaker 1: will be kind of hungover, going from Friday night to

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Speaker 1: Saturday stumbling out of their bed. This numbers moved to

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Speaker 1: three and a half, and once it moved to three

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Speaker 1: and a half. I really liked BYU. I really like BYU.

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Speaker 1: Here here's a couple of things. This is where trends

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Speaker 1: are your friend until they're not. But here's where BYU

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Speaker 1: they went nine to zero. Everyone faded them last week.

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Speaker 1: I was on them. I was wrong. Teams according to

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Speaker 1: the Action Network, in their eighth game or later, coming

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Speaker 1: off of a losing their first game of the year

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Speaker 1: on a two plus game ATS losing streak, which is

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Speaker 1: what BYU is on, are eighteen and eight straight up

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Speaker 1: seventeen eight and one against the spread in their next game.

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Speaker 1: That since twenty twenty, the Sun Devils are favored over

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Speaker 1: a top fifteen team for the first time since twenty fourteen.

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Speaker 1: That was against Notre Dame. Arizona State hasn't won a

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Speaker 1: game over a top fifteen team since twenty nineteen. They've

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Speaker 1: lost eight consecutive games. Here they may win the game,

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Speaker 1: but give me plus three and a half. BYU is

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Speaker 1: four and one ATS on the road. Arizona State is

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Speaker 1: five and zero ATS at home. But look at some

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Speaker 1: of these numbers. They were at home again Central Florida

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Speaker 1: laying two and a half. They won by four. Against

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Speaker 1: Utah they were catching six they won by eight. But

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Speaker 1: against Kansas they were laying two and they won by four.

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Speaker 1: Against Missippi State they were laying six and they won

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Speaker 1: by seven. And they killed Wyoming laying six and a

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Speaker 1: half in one by forty one. This team is way

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Speaker 1: ahead of schedule. This team is still on sanctions. They've

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Speaker 1: covered three games in a row. They are five and

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Speaker 1: two against the Big twelve, but BYU is four and

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Speaker 1: three against the Big twelve. Take a look at some

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Speaker 1: of their common opponents. On the road. At home, Arizona

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Speaker 1: State beat UCF by four. BYU went to UCF and

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Speaker 1: one by thirteen. On the road against Kansas State, Arizona

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Speaker 1: State went on the road and they won by seven.

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Speaker 1: They won by ten. At home, BYU beat Kansas State

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Speaker 1: by twenty nine. They killed them. They've both played Wyoming.

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Speaker 1: They both killed them, won by twenty for BYU and

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Speaker 1: forty one for Arizona State. Arizona State has got tremendous

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Speaker 1: running backs and really hard guys to tackle. BYU's defense

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Speaker 1: is going to have to be on point. But after

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Speaker 1: losing at home to Kansas last week, BYU still has

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Speaker 1: a ton to play for. They can still win the

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Speaker 1: Big Twelve, they can still play in the Big Twelve Championship.

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Speaker 1: But they got to win this game. This is back's

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Speaker 1: against the wall type stuff here. And look, Arizona State

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Speaker 1: is technically still alive as well, even though I don't

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Speaker 1: think they're going to be able to do it. Two,

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Speaker 1: they're only a game behind BYU five and oh BYU

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Speaker 1: on the road straight up five, and oh Arizona State

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Speaker 1: at home, straight up. Something has to give. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the points BYU plus three and a half on the

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Speaker 1: road against Arizona State. I'm going against everybody here. Everyone's

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Speaker 1: on the sun devils. I'm taking BYU for a second

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Speaker 1: straight week. Maybe it burns me. I'm taking BYU plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Bet number two. Right back to

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Speaker 1: our trends. How about Billy Napier three and oh straight

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Speaker 1: up three and oats over their last three home games

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Speaker 1: in the swamp really impressive. At Florida, the Gators were

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Speaker 1: just dismal. They were just dismal when they get to

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Speaker 1: five wins or more. However, Florida. They are one in

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Speaker 1: eight straight up and three and six ATS, losing eight

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Speaker 1: in a row entering the week after they get their

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Speaker 1: fifth win. Now, that's a wonky trend. Want a better trend?

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Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin at ole Miss. Since twenty nineteen as a

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Speaker 1: road favorite, fifteen and two straight up twelve four and

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Speaker 1: one ATS on the road. Overall, Florida has lost fourteen

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Speaker 1: consecutive games straight up as a double digit dog. Dating

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Speaker 1: back to twenty sixteen and going back to nineteen ninety,

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Speaker 1: Florida is three and twenty four straight up as a

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Speaker 1: double digit dog. Ole Miss comes into this game with

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Speaker 1: a chance to do some big things. They're seven and

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Speaker 1: three overall ATS. They're three and three in the conference

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Speaker 1: ATS well, Florida's five and two, but the last two

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Speaker 1: games against Georgia and Arkansas, ole Miss has been very good.

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss was on a bye last week. They're coming

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Speaker 1: off of a bye, the win over LSU last week

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Speaker 1: at home for Florida. They are riding high, big men

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Speaker 1: on campus, feeling great about themselves. They're three and three ATS,

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Speaker 1: though at home they got housed by Miami at home

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Speaker 1: home they have looked much better of late, but they

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Speaker 1: lost to Georgia by fourteen, the same Georgia team that

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Speaker 1: ole Miss just beat by eighteen. The number is eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half. I think ole Miss goes and puts

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Speaker 1: up a number here. I think they go us in

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Speaker 1: the message. I think ole Miss is a top three

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Speaker 1: team in college football. They win, and they win big

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Speaker 1: over Florida. I'm laying the eleven and a half with

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Speaker 1: ole Miss. Ole Miss laying eleven and a half on

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Speaker 1: the road in the swamp against Florida for one point

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Speaker 1: one units. In our third and final play, We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go back to Cal. We've been riding this team for

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Speaker 1: a while. The number is fourteen and a half. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna pay the dime and pull this to fourteen. Stanford

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Speaker 1: at Cal. Stanford is one in three ats on the

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Speaker 1: road this year. Stanford is two four and one ats

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Speaker 1: against the Pac twelve this year, slash Big twelve, slash

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Speaker 1: whoever you want to describe it as Cal acc school.

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Speaker 1: Now now they're six and four ats. They're three and

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Speaker 1: three at home. But they're coming off of a loss

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Speaker 1: at home against Syracuse. Bounce back spot here for Cal.

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Speaker 1: For Stanford, they're coming off of a shocking win over Louisville.

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Speaker 1: They're catching two points. We're gonna sell high here on

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Speaker 1: them because it's snapped a six game losing streak for Stanford. Overall,

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Speaker 1: they are three six and one against the number this season.

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Speaker 1: On the road, they are one in three. Cal straight

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Speaker 1: up is three and three. But I think we have

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Speaker 1: a chance on a second home game here after the

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Speaker 1: loss of Syracuse bounce back spot for Cal here or

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Speaker 1: five and five, they can become bel bow eligible with

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Speaker 1: a win here. I think Cal will go and beat

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Speaker 1: up on Stanford. I don't think Stanford's gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to stop Cal. I've liked this California team a lot

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Speaker 1: this season. I've been on them a bunch of times.

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Speaker 1: I just don't want to lose on the hook at

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. That's why I'm gonna buy it

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Speaker 1: down to four fourteen. Stanford's giving up thirty seven point

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Speaker 1: seven points per game. That's one hundred and twenty third

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Speaker 1: in college football. Four point seven yards per rush, that's

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Speaker 1: nearly outside the top one hundred and Cal should throw

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Speaker 1: all over Stanford. They're giving up eight point nine yards

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Speaker 1: per pass play. That's one hundred and twenty eighth. They're

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Speaker 1: giving up two hundred and seventy five yards through the

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Speaker 1: air per game. That's one hundred and twenty fourth. This

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Speaker 1: should be Cal big Cal scoring at will. And Stanford's

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Speaker 1: offense is scoring twenty points per game. That's outside the

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Speaker 1: top one ten. It's one hundred and tenth in the country.

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Speaker 1: That's the top one hundred, and Cow's only giving up

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Speaker 1: twenty one point six points per game. That's top thirty

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Speaker 1: in college football. You don't run on Col's defense. They

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Speaker 1: have a top fifteen rush defense, a three point two

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Speaker 1: yards per rush. Hard to pass on them six point

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Speaker 1: nine yards per pass play. That's top fifty. Stanford won't score,

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Speaker 1: Stanford won't stop Cal Cal minus fourteen will lay it

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Speaker 1: by the extra half a point down to MISUS one twenty.

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Speaker 1: All right, So three plays for US here today on

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Speaker 1: the official card Ole miss minus eleven and a half

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Speaker 1: on the road at Florida at minus one ten, BYU

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Speaker 1: on the road at Arizona State catching three and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one ten, and CAL laying fourteen buying

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Speaker 1: it down to fourteen at minus one twenty at home

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Speaker 1: against Stanford for one point one units. As we always say,

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Speaker 1: as we get later in the year, the card gets

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Speaker 1: smaller officially for us, but I'll give you some extra

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Speaker 1: plays on our live chat at eight o'clock in the

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Speaker 1: morning Pacific eleven am Eastern Time. Bettingpros dot Com slash

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Speaker 1: Chat to join us if you've never come on in,

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Speaker 1: it's a lot of fun. We'll break down all the

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Speaker 1: games as we head towards Week thirteen here in college

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Speaker 1: football minus Matt Parol following me acaust All Socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it is the Deal Juice Podcast,

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