1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I can just about that action 2 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: all right. 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 2: Here we go. 4 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: Throwing out so spect we're sitting up to cash touchdown. 5 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 3: That's all we see most gamble is when they go 6 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 3: to gamble, they go just win. 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: That's incredible, big bank to make money. 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,040 Speaker 2: All right, this is just the ultimate kabine. 9 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: You want to. 10 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 2: And we are underway. What is up? Everybody? 11 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am your host, 12 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: Chris Raybond. It is NFL Week one. We got touchdowns 13 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 1: for you every game on the slate, every team in 14 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: every game. We're gonna give our favorite anytime touchdown bets. 15 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: And to do it with me, who better than the 16 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: odds maker Sean Kerner and my guy touchdown a ficionado, 17 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 1: Jill goant Sean, Jill, what's going on? Jill? Welcome to 18 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: the show. 19 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 3: Thank you very much. And honestly, I was pumped that 20 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 3: I got invited to come onto the show because last 21 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 3: year you guys started doing the show near the tail 22 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 3: end of the season, and when I saw it, I 23 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 3: was like, oh, it's such fomo. 24 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 1: So now that I'm here, I'm pumped. Yeah, Sean and 25 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: Sean and you and I were just started out just 26 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: kind of giving DFS plays. We like didn't realize that 27 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 1: in touchdowns every week. 28 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 2: So so that was giving up, like you know, talking 29 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 2: about DFS flyers like backup tight ends and full backs 30 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: and you know, return man and things like that. Just 31 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: they kept scoring touchdowns. It's like, why are we just 32 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: not giving out their touchdown props instead? And then you know, 33 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 2: having Jill on this, I love where this is going. 34 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 2: So super excited about this this year. 35 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, and for we'll close it out Sunday Night Football 36 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: and Monday Night Football every week and we'll do three 37 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: wed partways for each of those games, and then for 38 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: all the other games, we're just we're given our favorite 39 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 1: for each team, and you know, obviously you can parlay 40 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: those as well. I probably will for mine. But let's 41 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: get this show on the road. I'll start us off 42 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,959 Speaker 1: Friday night Football. Don't usually have that. I think it's 43 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: legal now it's going forward to have Friday night football. 44 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: I saw something like that, but we have. 45 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:31,079 Speaker 2: It this year. 46 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 1: It's Chiefs, it's Chargers, it's Brazil, and let's start this 47 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: off with a bang. Chargers Darius Davis seventeen to one. 48 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: We don't know exactly how the rookie rookie wide receiver 49 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 1: depth charge is gonna play out, especially in the Week one, 50 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 1: But Davis is always kind of entrenched as that Gadget 51 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: Furth wide receiver kind of guy, so I don't think 52 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 1: his usage changes that much and he gets returned. So 53 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: this is way under price for him and for the 54 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs anytime she rises out and now Jay 55 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: when Royals is out, which would have canceled this out 56 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: a little, but with Royals out, we just go back 57 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: to what we had last year with this Chiefs team. 58 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 1: And you know who the guy that was undervalued in 59 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: the touchdown market was most weeks outside of Xaberworth because 60 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 1: he was, but I think he's a little more Philly price. 61 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: It's Drew Smith Schuster. He is a run blocking extraordinaire 62 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: and that means that he's usually in the game when 63 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: they are closer to the goal line. Big body guy, 64 00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: can't do as much explosively as he did early in 65 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: his career, but he can fly under the radar when 66 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: you're looking at all these other guys on the Chiefs 67 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: offense like Worthy and Hobby Wood and anyone not named 68 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: Pacheco in the backfields and Juju is gonna be here, 69 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 1: and obviously Taylor Swift's husband, so Juju five to one. 70 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: Darius Davis seventeen to one. I'm saying, let's go to 71 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: the early window Vegas, New England in Foxborough. 72 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:12,839 Speaker 2: Sean Turner up, Trey Tucker seven to one. Shout out 73 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: to our boy, doctor Nick Iffin. It's got to be 74 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: his favorite player, right he already locked in Trey. I'm 75 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 2: taking him here and I'm surprised it's still seven to one, 76 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 2: even with Amari Cooper announcing his retirement, so that, you know, 77 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 2: that makes it even more likely Trey gets, you know, 78 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 2: the full compliment snaps. But you know, he still has 79 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 2: a couple of rookies that the Raiders drafted this year 80 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 2: he's going to compete with. But I think early on 81 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 2: Trey will still be the number two and then the rookie, 82 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 2: especially Deontay Thornton, definitely going to be someone to watch 83 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 2: this year. But kind of like Dodds, we're getting here 84 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 2: at seven to one because Geno Smith is an excellent 85 00:04:53,920 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 2: downfield passer and Tucker led the team with fifteen oh No. 86 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 2: Twenty targets downfield, So love this play here at seventy one, 87 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 2: and then just gonna go down the list here and 88 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 2: go with Kyle Williams on the Patriots side at eleven 89 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 2: to one. He's a third round rookie I'm high on, 90 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 2: and he's gonna be buried on the depth chart to 91 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 2: begin the season. But that's why his odds are so 92 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 2: high here. But I think just given the uncertainty behind 93 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 2: Stefan Diggs, it kind of plays in his favor where 94 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: we don't know what's going to happen. So getting someone 95 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 2: like Kyle Williams at eleven to one could be a steal. 96 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 2: But I think he's just an excellent route runner. Could 97 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: use that in the red zone. We saw that in preseason. 98 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 2: He made a great jup move on the defender and 99 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 2: Josh Dobbs just you know, had a terrible pass that 100 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 2: he couldn't catch. Drake May's completing that pass to him 101 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 2: for a touchdown. So I like Kyle Williams here at 102 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 2: eleven to one. I think it should be closer like 103 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 2: eight to one. 104 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: Yeah. The good thing with Williams is they did keep 105 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: six receivers, so on the off chance that he is 106 00:05:55,800 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 1: the inactive guy, there's no action. Yeah yeah, all right, 107 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: Uh Cardinals at the Saints Cardinals six point favorites. Jill, 108 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: who you got. 109 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's not really many reasons to get excited about 110 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:20,039 Speaker 3: the Saint offense these days, but I still get pretty 111 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 3: pumped when I see Rashi Hiheed at plus three fifty 112 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,839 Speaker 3: or better. He is a legit playmaker in this offense. 113 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 3: Four touchdowns in six games last year before getting hurt. 114 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 3: It's got a special team's touchdown in each of the 115 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,600 Speaker 3: last two seasons, so there's upside in the return game. 116 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 3: And the Cardinals they tend to play a lot of 117 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 3: zone seventy percent rate last year and they were bottom five, 118 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 3: and defense some DV waiversus the deep ball, well that 119 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 3: really kind of checks the boxes for Shaheed because he's 120 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 3: crushed his own defenses compared to man coverage and he 121 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 3: leads the team in a dots. 122 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 1: So I'm kind of. 123 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,840 Speaker 3: Trusting that the new coach Kellen Moore will come in 124 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 3: dial up a couple of long bombs from either Spencer 125 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 3: Raaler or maybe even we see Tyler Shuck near the 126 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 3: end of the game. But yeah, Rashi Hiheed is my 127 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 3: favorite Saint to score a touchdown this week. On the 128 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 3: Cardinals side, I went with Michael Wilson at plus four fifty, 129 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 3: and mainly because of some of the carryover of what 130 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 3: we saw from the Saints defense last year. They played 131 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 3: a lot more man defense, and that's Wilson ended up 132 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 3: thriving a little bit better against man compared to zone, 133 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 3: and his role each year has grown. Target share, route participation, 134 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 3: end zone targets, all of that increased from year one 135 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 3: to year two. So I think Michael Wilson is the 136 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 3: best option from a cardinal standpoint. But I wouldn't be 137 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 3: mad if somebody who wanted to pitch Greg Dortsch to 138 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 3: me at like nine to one. I just find that 139 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 3: Greg Dortch's snapshare is just a little too spotty for 140 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 3: me to trust, whereas I know Michael Wilson is going 141 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 3: to be the wide receiver two in that offense. 142 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that. I think he's a little under 143 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: undervalue to the market because people thought he was going 144 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: to miss more time with that concussion, and then there 145 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: was his A Jones hype, and it seems like everything's 146 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 1: just kind of going back to how was last year. 147 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: End of the day, that's that we got the Miami 148 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 1: Dolphins at the Indianapolis Coats should be a close, high 149 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: scoring game with the You know, according to the Vegas sides, 150 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: which I agree with, Miami, you gotta go rookie running 151 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 1: back Ali Gordon at plus two fifty five. There has 152 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: been talk, maybe it's just Tyreek Hill talking, but I 153 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 1: think he made some points that h Chan may not 154 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: be best suited for go on work. Mike McDaniel at 155 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: times agreed because he had Rahem Moster in that role. 156 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 1: And I think this guy Gordon is good enough that 157 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: he could end up earning that kind of role And 158 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: it could come as as soon as this week. With 159 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 1: Jalen Wright not looking like he's going to be a 160 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: go Gordon will be entrenched in that number two roll, 161 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,719 Speaker 1: So love him. And then for the Colts, gotta go 162 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: with Jonathan Taylor at minus one sixty eight rushing touchdowns 163 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:48,679 Speaker 1: in seven home games for Taylor a season ago. And 164 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: what I like about Taylor this year is whatever your 165 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: priors are on his touchdown rate rushing, it should go up. 166 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 1: Because Anthony Richardson was just a go line vulture. He 167 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: was just scoring rushing touchdowns left and right. And this 168 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 1: offense and Daniel Jones, yes, he can score some too, 169 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: but not to the level of Anthony Richardson. So I 170 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: think Taylor is receiving touchdown probably goes up, and I 171 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:19,199 Speaker 1: think his rushing touchdown probability goes up. Home favorite love 172 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: him this week. I do have a lot of respect 173 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: for the Dolphins front seven, but this is just a 174 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 1: great spot for JT. So that's where I'm going, even 175 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: at the on the other side of even money here 176 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: with some with some juice. Next up, Steelers at Jets, Yuck, yuck, yuck. 177 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:43,560 Speaker 1: I've got the under on this game. Current where you're going. 178 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:47,959 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, first of all, it's absolute bullshit. I'm 179 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 2: the one with this game by for the last all 180 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 2: of the week at three eight and a half, and 181 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 2: he still took the under. So out of protest, I'm 182 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 2: gonna do something extreme here. I'm going to go no 183 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 2: touchdown scorer thirty five to one. The DraftKings Ray Bun. 184 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 2: You love like no touchdown bets usually, Yeah, you got 185 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:09,719 Speaker 2: to pay like Super Bowl for me. Yeah yeah, that 186 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 2: was even money or you're getting plus money on that. 187 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 2: But a lot of times you have to spend like 188 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 2: minus two hundred, spend this, you get forty five to 189 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 2: not have a touchdown Raybot and this should be like 190 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,839 Speaker 2: your sweet spot, especially when you have the under U. 191 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 2: Nick Giffen rode up and he bet you know. The 192 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:30,280 Speaker 2: Jets to had to be the lowest scoring team at 193 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 2: nine to one, so I just wasn't finding much value 194 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 2: on them. I think Mason Taylor might be sneaky, but 195 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 2: didn't like the price, So just going no touchdown score 196 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 2: here at forty five to one. Why not about you 197 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 2: know a little under one percent of games the past 198 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,960 Speaker 2: few seasons half finished with no touchdowns and this game 199 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:52,840 Speaker 2: I have it around two point five percent, so you 200 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 2: know it should be closer to thirty nine to one 201 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 2: is what I came up with, So why not? Uh, 202 00:10:57,640 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: I will say there is a player on the Steelers. 203 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 2: I will highlight it's John new Smith at four to one. 204 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 2: Coming off an eight touchdown season with the Dolphins last year. 205 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 2: You know he's on the Steelers. It's unclear how he 206 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: and Pat Faremuth are going to work out. They have 207 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 2: the new quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. He really has no chemistry 208 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 2: with anybody on this team yet, so John new Smith 209 00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 2: could be his guy in the red zone, so I 210 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 2: think he's worth the fire here even though it's four 211 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:26,839 Speaker 2: to one, I still like it. I have his odds, 212 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 2: you know, closer to plus three twenty. You know, a 213 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 2: lot of wide range outcomes here, but I think especially 214 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 2: in the red zone, he could be the guy. 215 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, this game is just I understand, well, I can't 216 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: believe I didn't see this no touchdown score. I love 217 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 1: that because this game, it's like, not only you have 218 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 1: a low projected score, Aaron Rodgers is probably gonna get 219 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,480 Speaker 1: blitzed to the high hally he's terrible against it last year. 220 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 1: Feels both of the both familiarity on both sides because 221 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: these quarterbacks were in the opposite quarterback rule last year. 222 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:00,559 Speaker 1: And like on top of that, the Steelers want to 223 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 1: play like everyone eats at every single position, like so 224 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 1: it's just like we don't and the Jets don't have 225 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: receiver Like it's yeah, it's this is just a frustrating game. 226 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: But I guess you could say that it's opportunity there too. 227 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 1: But I mean, wow, I think enough talking about this one. 228 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 1: Let's go to it slightly more, slightly more intriguing game, 229 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 1: you know, slightly, I will say some of you know, 230 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: giants at Commanders, you'll see you get to see Jayden 231 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: Daniels and Bill and Russ and his first official action 232 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 1: get benched for Jackson Dart. So, Jill, where you're going 233 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 1: with Giants Commanders? Yeah, I was. 234 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 3: Gonna say, I feel like this game in real life 235 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 3: is way more exciting than actually the touchdown scores, especially 236 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 3: from an odd standpoint, because at the top, like every 237 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 3: guy is just super steemed right now. So from a 238 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 3: Giants perspective, I went with THEO Johnson. He's around plus 239 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 3: four ten. I I would probably not play up below 240 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 3: plus four hundred, But I just would like to say 241 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 3: I think even though Russell Wilson we shoot on him 242 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 3: quite a bit, I think he will still elevate at 243 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 3: least the four of this Giants passing game compared to 244 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 3: what we saw last year, and at least just for 245 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 3: the first few weeks, like you said, until defenses figure 246 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 3: him out and then his completion percentage will just drop 247 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:12,079 Speaker 3: off a cliff. But the Commanders last year under Dan 248 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 3: Quinn played a ton of man coverage, and you saw 249 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,440 Speaker 3: they even leaned to that even more when they got 250 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 3: Marshall Lattimore and THEO Johnson played pretty well against man 251 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 3: coverage last year. Very limited sample size though, but again, 252 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 3: every guy is probably getting rave reviews and training was 253 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 3: getting rave reviews in training camp. Deo Johnson falls into 254 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 3: that category. Expected to be healthy. Now he's off the 255 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 3: injury reports. So for THEO, I love anything over plus 256 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:36,559 Speaker 3: four hundred on the Giants side. 257 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 1: On Washington side, I. 258 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 3: Was going to pass, But honestly, if I had to 259 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 3: take anybody, I'd probably just take Jadon Daniels honestly at 260 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 3: plus one to eighty because we know he's going to 261 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 3: scramble like he led the NFL and scramble raper game 262 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 3: last year, and with that kind of defensive pressure that 263 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 3: front seven that the Giants are going to be bringing, 264 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 3: I think he's going to be running for his life. 265 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 3: And even in the preseason we saw him call his 266 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:57,840 Speaker 3: own numbers score to rushing touchdown. So I think if 267 00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 3: you're betting a Commander touchdown in this game, it's got 268 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 3: to be Jaden Daniels. It can't really be Terry mclauran 269 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 3: at plus one twenty or Debo around plus one eighty. 270 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 3: I think Jayden is the guy that we want. 271 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, everyone's kind of trying to figure out the running 272 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: back situation. Jayden Daniels will probably be the answer to 273 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: that question. All right, Panthers at Jaguars, this one, this 274 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: one could get interesting. Jaguars, I've talked about this before. 275 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: I'm going with Trevor Lawrence and he's at plus four 276 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 1: twenty five here that they might incorporate some toush push 277 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: this year, and they were one of the about third 278 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 1: of the league didn't want the sush push band and 279 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: they were one of those teams. And Carl Lawrence, big 280 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 1: body guy, Jaguars two rookie running backs and then ETN 281 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 1: has also struggled with some fumbling issues around the goal line, 282 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 1: so it does set up if they get down there, 283 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 1: which the Panthers were the worst defense in the league 284 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: by DVA last year. I don't think Derrick Brown fixes 285 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: all that by himself. So expect the Jaguars to score 286 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: here and get some shots in close. And I think 287 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 1: Lawrence good bet for a touchdown. And I also look 288 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: at his his multi touchdown number as well, because I 289 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: think the Jaguars are going to be moving the ball 290 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:20,720 Speaker 1: at will here against this Panther defense. And for the Panthers, well, 291 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: they traded Deven and like later that day it was 292 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: the next day or something like that. Just their luck. 293 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: Cocher goes on injured reserve and so now everyone's talking up. 294 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 1: Hunter Renfro is another one of those guys that people 295 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 1: just like a little bit too much for the kind 296 00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: of player he actually is. And we know who Dave 297 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: Canals is actual man crushes the markets man crush may 298 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: be Hunter Renfro or whatever other Michael bandy looking dude 299 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: his you know, plays in the slot. But Dave Canawlys 300 00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 1: loves him some. David so plus seven fifty for David Moore. 301 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: This guy was playing ninety percent of the snaps last 302 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: year in that rotation with we Get and with uh 303 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: with Cocher when Devon was out. So Hunter Renfro they 304 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: released him. I don't Yes, he's now he's the starting 305 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: slot whatever. Uh, Dave Canows can't quit David Moore and 306 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 1: I think them Jags blow out the Panthers. So even 307 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: if more is the fourth fift sixth guy on the 308 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 1: on the depth chart, you know probably be in there 309 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: at some point. So, Sean, I think you alluded to this, 310 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 1: but you knew he knew I was going You knew 311 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: I was going there. 312 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 2: I think David Moore is going to be your twenty 313 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 2: twenty five Jalen Naylor. I'm calling it right now. I 314 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 2: could see that, I Nick NICKI, you know, man, he 315 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 2: scores a touchdown like he's scoring this week, bucket. 316 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 1: I hope. I mean, I think he would love that too. 317 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 1: That would be a career, that might get him a 318 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 1: whole nother contract. 319 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 2: Wuld get one otherwise you would know you are cut 320 00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 2: of that, ah. 321 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 1: Man, all right? Uh, hangos at the Browns. Usually the 322 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: Bengals stumble out of the gates, but they've been taking 323 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 1: this early, you know, this preseason. Seriously, they didn't even 324 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 1: do joint practices. They they wanted to actually go into 325 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: preseason games and play their starters. And so now they're ready. 326 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 1: So Sehn Turner, where are you going? 327 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 2: Yeah? So, Jill Raybaugh and I sort of had like 328 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 2: an unrent rule last year, whoever got the Bengals game 329 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 2: would typically go with Andre Joseavash. So I'm gonna go 330 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 2: with Yoshi here at plus four thirty. He's just always 331 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:34,120 Speaker 2: a sneaky touchdown bet. Even when you know Jamar Chase 332 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,639 Speaker 2: and T Higgins are healthy, He's still you know, the 333 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:41,120 Speaker 2: number three receiver and arguably the best passing offense in football, 334 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:45,440 Speaker 2: and you know their defense sucks, so they they gotta 335 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 2: just keep throwing the whole game, so that helps him out. 336 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 2: He's a great red zone threat. He scored a touchdown 337 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 2: you know, in five of seventeen games last year that 338 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,919 Speaker 2: that would be a fair price culture of plus two forty. 339 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 2: So you know, getting go off him here at plus 340 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 2: four thirty. I have this, you know, projected closer to 341 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 2: plus three twenty. So as always, you know, Yoshi's showing 342 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 2: some value here in the touchdown market. On the other side, 343 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 2: I think this is the first time getting pretty chalky here. 344 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 2: But yeah, David Joku at plus two to fifty, give 345 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:19,880 Speaker 2: me some of that because you know, the last time 346 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 2: he played with Flacco was at the end of the 347 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 2: twenty to twenty three season. Five games he was the 348 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 2: tight end one in fantasy and he scored four touchdowns 349 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 2: over that stretch. So love him here. And you know 350 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 2: the Bengals allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends last year, 351 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 2: ten of them, one of them was Djoku, So I 352 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 2: just think we're ghetting some sneaky guy here on David 353 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:42,959 Speaker 2: Nijoku at plus two fifty. 354 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'm surprised you didn't want to go 355 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 1: with one of which which of the five Bengals tight 356 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 1: ends is going out to? 357 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 2: You know, it's always Tanner Hudson for me, always. 358 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: Fair, very fair. I feel like you actually might have 359 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: the Lotwest touchdown out of all those guys to somehow 360 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,879 Speaker 1: it's like he's the he's the youngest guy, and then 361 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,640 Speaker 1: it'll be like Drew sample, But I digress. Uh yeah, 362 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: like Najoku, I think he is, you know, a better 363 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 1: option in week one than and then a guy like 364 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,359 Speaker 1: Jerry Judy, who I just still not confident in Flacco 365 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 1: getting getting accurate passes all the way out out to 366 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: where Judy's at. So we'll see how that goes. But Joe, 367 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: this game should be a good one for fantasy. You got, 368 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 1: you got some predictability, you got, you got some close 369 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 1: score indoors Bucks at Falcons forty six and a half 370 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:39,119 Speaker 1: is a total uh spread as inside three in favor 371 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 1: of the Bucks. Who are you going with? Yeah? 372 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,199 Speaker 3: I mean, speaking of fantasy, I got two guys that 373 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 3: I think are on opposite ends of the spectrum as 374 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 3: far as hype goes. One a Mecca Epica with the Bucks, 375 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,360 Speaker 3: who's probably the most hyped rookie of any player this year. 376 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:55,640 Speaker 3: I mean probably because the fact is just simple opportunity. 377 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 3: I mean, they've got a ton of injuries that Jalen 378 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 3: McMillan is, oh, Kate Adden is likely you Mike Evans 379 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,920 Speaker 3: could sometimes just pull up with a hamstring issue in 380 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 3: mid eight, you know. And then not only that, he 381 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,600 Speaker 3: just comes with a lot of receiving pedigree. I mean 382 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 3: he finished with the most what most catches and touchdown 383 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 3: receptions in the history of Ohio State football. I think 384 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 3: that's pretty impressive. I don't want to just bet it 385 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:18,200 Speaker 3: just solely for that, but I mean at two to one, 386 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 3: I feel like he right now is the best bet 387 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:23,439 Speaker 3: on the Bucks side. But on the other side, if 388 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 3: it's not now, I don't know when it's going to be. 389 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,479 Speaker 3: For Kyle Pitts, he's around plus two seventy five. And 390 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,119 Speaker 3: big reason. I mean the Bucks they just play so 391 00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 3: much zone and cover three, and Kyle Pitts is just 392 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 3: night and day compared to when he sees man coverage 393 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 3: as opposed to zone coverage, and he does well against 394 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 3: zone and cover three. Bucks played both the highest rate 395 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 3: under Todd Bowles last year. With that, and he scored 396 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,880 Speaker 3: three of his four touchdowns against zone defenses last year. 397 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 3: Two of those were against the Bucks, and you saw 398 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 3: his highest targets per game in both games against the Buccaneers. 399 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 3: So yeah, if it's not now win and I'm gonna 400 00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 3: say it's gonna be Week one for Kyle Pitts. 401 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 1: Yeah. The Bucks, they they just do what they do. 402 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,879 Speaker 1: They gave up about five hundred passing yards to the 403 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,920 Speaker 1: Falcons and just went back and ran it back and 404 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,440 Speaker 1: gave up like another four hundred a few weeks later 405 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: and both losses. So this Falcons pass offense might be 406 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 1: finding a little under the radar even with even if 407 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 1: Mooney isn't a full go, but you know it is 408 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,159 Speaker 1: a full go the NFL season. It's efficially here. And 409 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: to get the most out of the award winning Action 410 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 1: Network app, what you want to do is you want 411 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:33,640 Speaker 1: to be an Action Pro subscriber. Only Pro subscribers get 412 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 1: real time pick alerts from experts like Sean Kerner, Joe Galant, myself, 413 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:43,200 Speaker 1: our entire Action Network team. Plus you can access our 414 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 1: pro projections powered by Kerner and our predictive analytics team 415 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: as well. 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Cam Ward's debut Broncos much improved. 426 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 1: Big favorites here over a touchdown. I gotta go with 427 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 1: Troy Franklin for the Broncos at plus five point fifty. 428 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 1: He is one of these guys that I love betting 429 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:44,120 Speaker 1: early in the especially in Week one, because I think 430 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,679 Speaker 1: there's some ambiguity about his role, but he what they 431 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: traded Devon Vayway and Franklin was having a breakout Camp 432 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 1: essentially earned the number three receiver role over Pat Bryant, 433 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 1: who's mostly backing up Sutton at that X spot, So 434 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: I expect Franklin to play a lot of slot. They'll 435 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: move them around along with them, so he'll get the 436 00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 1: he'll get advantageous matchups all game long, and he got 437 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 1: so many other guys to worry about this year on 438 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:13,719 Speaker 1: Denver that it just works out perfectly for Franklin, especially 439 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,479 Speaker 1: because he does move around in the formation so and 440 00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: of course he has that chemistry going back to school, 441 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: going back to the college days with quarterback boat Nick 442 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 1: So plus five fifty Troy Franklin love it for the Titans, man, 443 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 1: I gotta go with two guys, which is funny because 444 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 1: I was kind of making fun of people earlier, you know, Curnter, 445 00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 1: I think we had jibbido and we were talking about 446 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 1: how like everyone has their flavor of the month with 447 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: the Titans and their receiving corps. But the real answer 448 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: is probably nobody. But it is weak one and I 449 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,919 Speaker 1: do see a couple edges here. First, au Minir, the 450 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,159 Speaker 1: rookie at wide receiver six to one. He's listed on 451 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 1: their death tart to head of Van Jefferson, so you 452 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: know they kind of it was kind of a split. 453 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: And then in the preseason we didn't get necessarily a 454 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:58,359 Speaker 1: true read on it, but it wouldn't surprise me at 455 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 1: all if Elick i amnor played over Van Jefferson because 456 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 1: Van Jefferson is Van Jefferson, so six to one like him. 457 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: And then gotta go with another one of my favorite 458 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:11,880 Speaker 1: rookies that seems to be fine a little bit under 459 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 1: the radar, Titan Gunnerhelm. He's fifteen to one. I think 460 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: he could end up eating into Chicks snacks as early 461 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,720 Speaker 1: as week one, or I think it could be kind 462 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: of the same situation as a fan in who everyone's 463 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 1: kind of hyped about with the Browns. I think Gunner 464 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: Heelm could get that same type of usage this week, 465 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 1: So bush on him. I think he should be a lot, 466 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:38,919 Speaker 1: a lot cheaper than fifteen to one. So two Titans 467 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: and a Bronco gotta love it. Niners Seahawks Kerner Well yeah, yeah. 468 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 2: So first off, let's go Zach Charbonnet here at Felida one. 469 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 2: I mean, he's got to be my favorite running back 470 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 2: hit he and Bucky Irving, like I'm just always talking 471 00:24:56,280 --> 00:25:01,120 Speaker 2: about we have yet to have for him game. I mean, 472 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 2: I can't he can't be my favorite running back. Yeah, 473 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,920 Speaker 2: maybe eventually. No, it's got to be Zach Charboney for me. Yeah, 474 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 2: you know, he's always the clear backup whenever Kenneth Walker 475 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 2: is healthy, which is the case heading into week one. 476 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 2: But that's why we're getting this price at four to one. 477 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 2: But you know, this offense under Clint Kubiak should be 478 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,439 Speaker 2: pretty run heavy, and I think both running backs are 479 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 2: gonna thrive. I love Kenneth Walker as well, but when 480 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,359 Speaker 2: when they get closer to the goal line, sharbon A 481 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 2: has been the clear best back. You know, if you 482 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 2: look at success rate in gold to go situations last season, 483 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 2: charbon Ay ranked eleventh out of forty one and Walker 484 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,119 Speaker 2: was his thirty first. Walker is more of a boom 485 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 2: bust guy. He's not really a good short yardage back. 486 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,680 Speaker 2: So I would be shocked if this coaching staff that's 487 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,439 Speaker 2: been talking of sharbon A lets him get, you know, 488 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,199 Speaker 2: the goal line touches as soon as week one. So 489 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 2: I think at four to one, he's offering value either way, 490 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:58,360 Speaker 2: and then we're gonna have to go with our first 491 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:03,160 Speaker 2: full back. Here, the man, the myth, the legend, Kyle 492 00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 2: Ustcheck thirteen Are you kidding? Thirteen to one? I mean 493 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 2: he's he scored a touchdown in five of the last 494 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:14,840 Speaker 2: twenty seven games, So that's a you know, a fair 495 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: price closer to plus four forty. So this is too 496 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 2: good to you know pass up. And with Debo gone 497 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:27,719 Speaker 2: Iyuk on the shelf, the wide receiver room is decimated 498 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,879 Speaker 2: right now, Like it would make sense for Shanahan to 499 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 2: scheme up some place for use Check. And you know, 500 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,679 Speaker 2: use Check saw three targets downfield last year, which is 501 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 2: second only to Ty Johnson among backs, so he tends 502 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 2: to see like downfield pass attempts. You know, occasionally they'll 503 00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 2: get him like a goal and carry, but I think 504 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 2: you can get those like wide open you know, steam routes. 505 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 2: So give me the juice at We don't have to 506 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 2: pay any juice for this. We get plus thirteen hundred 507 00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,160 Speaker 2: for him, So this is pass up. 508 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I'd be like the demise of the Niners 509 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 1: skill guys is like whide we overstated, Like you still 510 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: got Kiddo McCaffrey, uh pearsall Jennings. But that's exactly why 511 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: juice is a great play because you're gonna cover those guys, 512 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: and he just steaks out and his wife is usually 513 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 1: sitting right there, you know, in front row, even at 514 00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:22,880 Speaker 1: road games. I think in Seattle. They still get those 515 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:27,400 Speaker 1: truck too, You're right, so, uh, you know, just just 516 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 1: just keep it, just keep it going. So yeah, I 517 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 1: love the love the juice play there. And yeah, Sharbonne 518 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 1: He's I've been very high in him off season. Totally 519 00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 1: agree with that one as well. Here's a good game 520 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: Whyan's at the green Bay Packers. The Green Bay Michael Parsons, 521 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: I mean, just just an incredible offseason for Green Bay, 522 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,080 Speaker 1: who was very good last year and then did the 523 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 1: things they usually don't do. Be aggressive in the draft 524 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:57,479 Speaker 1: at wide receiver, be aggressive in the trade market, and 525 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 1: get maybe the best defensive player. 526 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:01,959 Speaker 2: In the league. 527 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 1: It's this Packer team is just very intriguing, and in 528 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,520 Speaker 1: the Lions it's like, yeah, they might take a step back, 529 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,640 Speaker 1: but they're Then you look at the roster with Keith, 530 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 1: they're so good. So Joe curious as to where you're 531 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: going out with these two squads. 532 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:15,520 Speaker 3: Well, I think my first thing that I noticed is 533 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 3: I was just surprised at the total because right now 534 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 3: I think it's around forty seven forty seven and a half. 535 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 3: I just given what we how we feel about these teams, 536 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:24,919 Speaker 3: I would have thought that there would just be you know, 537 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 3: maybe in the fifties or maybe like a fifty one 538 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,680 Speaker 3: or something, but I still like a couple of touchdowns 539 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 3: in this game on Green Bay. Romeo Dobbs one of 540 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:35,000 Speaker 3: the few consistent wide receivers for the Packers. I know 541 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,239 Speaker 3: he's going to play eighty percent of snaps. He's going 542 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,760 Speaker 3: to play on nearly all two wide receiver sets, so 543 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:41,320 Speaker 3: that means we don't have to deal with the bs 544 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 3: with Jayden Reed and his foot injury. Matt Golden, I'm 545 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 3: high on him, just again a rookie, So I'm just 546 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 3: not if I'm asking. If I'm looking for a player here, 547 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 3: I want somebody who I know knows this offense and 548 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,280 Speaker 3: inside note and also I just don't love the touchdown 549 00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 3: ons for either of those guys. Given that circumstance, and 550 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 3: then just the fact that the Lions they're not just 551 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 3: going to stop playing defense. They were number one in 552 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,760 Speaker 3: the league last year. Just because Aaron Glenn left doesn't 553 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 3: mean that they're just going to drop the middle of 554 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 3: the pack. They're still gonna probably play man coverage based 555 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 3: on the personnel that they have, and Dobbs played the 556 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 3: best versus man defenses last year. He led the team 557 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 3: in touchdowns against man defense. So I think he's the 558 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 3: guy that I would want on the Packers side. And 559 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:19,480 Speaker 3: this guy I just can't quit him. Jamis and Williams 560 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,959 Speaker 3: at plus two forty. I mean when you look at 561 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 3: the top of the board for this game, they're pricing 562 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 3: this like it is like a fifty one and a 563 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 3: half total because every Lions starter is super steamed except 564 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,400 Speaker 3: for Jamo. So eight touchdowns of fifteen games last year. Also, 565 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 3: just as somebody who tracks anytime touchdown nods or even 566 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 3: in these two matchups last year was always in the 567 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 3: plus one ninety to plus two to ten range. So 568 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 3: I love the value here at plus two forty. And 569 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 3: you know, just looking to get a little bit ahead 570 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 3: of the market because again, if they start spreading the 571 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:50,719 Speaker 3: ball in lines, look good. I don't know if we're 572 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 3: gonna see plus two hundred again for Jamo the rest 573 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,040 Speaker 3: of the year, given how strong he finished last year 574 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 3: and where he is in this pecking order. So Jamis 575 00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 3: and Williams of plus two forty on Romeo Dobbs thirty five, 576 00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 3: those are my favorites. 577 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, and this game is you know, you mentioned that 578 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,160 Speaker 1: you could easily see these teams putting on an offensive show. 579 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 1: I think if this game ends up being a higher 580 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:15,840 Speaker 1: total game, some other options to open up. Uh. Lower 581 00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 1: down the board. You mentioned the Lions starters. Sounds like 582 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 1: Khalive Raymond's been repping with the ones. You can get 583 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 1: him at ten to one, So I like that. And 584 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,880 Speaker 1: then for the Packers if things go wrong, because right 585 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 1: now you know their favorites against the Lions pretty much 586 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 1: cover every damn week. So if the Packers get into 587 00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,200 Speaker 1: trouble and they're just kind of in the hurry up 588 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 1: late in the game, maybe some garbage time. Two names 589 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,160 Speaker 1: I would give you Chris Brooks, he's there passing down back. 590 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 1: They love him, and Marshall Wood's on the end of reserve, 591 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 1: so Brooks would get all of that work. And mentioned 592 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 1: who knows the offense outside of Romeo Dobbs, who's been 593 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: there a while, who they just can't quit week. 594 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 3: Keith, So I they're gonna say Don Wicks, Okay. 595 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I'm off He just he runs good routes 596 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,360 Speaker 1: and then just the ball somehow doesn't end up in 597 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: his hands because he usually fights it. So uh, yeah, 598 00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 1: I'm done with him. But he seems like he might 599 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: catch one ball and it'll be a touchdown. I've seen 600 00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 1: this this play out, so I kind of like there's 601 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 1: like a few different ways you can play. Because I 602 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: like your plays as well, Joe, But I just thought, 603 00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 1: I like there are some I think there are some 604 00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 1: decent long shots, so further on the board, so maybe 605 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: maybe a little six six leg parlay. I don't see 606 00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:24,360 Speaker 1: how it goes. Uh, we got oh Houston at the rams. 607 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 1: This is this is a fun one because we got 608 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:30,840 Speaker 1: to us that Christian Kirk ruled out, and I think 609 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 1: us a couple of things. Number One, I think it's 610 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:36,240 Speaker 1: kind of solidifies that Jayden Higgins should have a pretty 611 00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 1: big role in week one because there was some little 612 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 1: bit of question mark. You know, Kirk could have been 613 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: the number two guy in to white sets. He's done 614 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,640 Speaker 1: that before. But Jayden Higgins plus four fifty, it's probably 615 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: on the move as we speak. So by the way, 616 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 1: with touchdowns, you know, I people that followed me know me. 617 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,880 Speaker 1: I'm usually doing uh, you know, sides total things like that, 618 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 1: So I'm actually not very pre sensitive when it comes 619 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:03,760 Speaker 1: to these touchdowns. I tend to have like just like 620 00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: with the you know, accuracy contests, I tend to be 621 00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: far from consensus on a lot of things, So when 622 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,520 Speaker 1: I'm betting these, I usually have an edge to where 623 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 1: I'm not splitting hairs over you know, ten, twenty, even fifty, 624 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: sometimes hundred of juice. Like if I think a guy's 625 00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 1: scored a touchdown, it's gonna be hard for me to 626 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:22,360 Speaker 1: get off them. So take that how you will. But 627 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 1: Jayden Higgins, I see about plus four fifty currently. I 628 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: think that'll I think that'll go down and it should. 629 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 1: And then Jamon Noel, I think this Kirk injury because 630 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 1: Kirk was gonna play the slot. I think it helps 631 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 1: Noel because Braxton Barrios has been missing practice. He's on 632 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,480 Speaker 1: the roster. Yes, he's on the roster. Surprised me too. 633 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 1: And then Justin Watson is not really a slot guy. 634 00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,480 Speaker 1: And David Hutchinson's also been getting some reps with the Ones, 635 00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,880 Speaker 1: but he's not really that guy either. So both of 636 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 1: these rookies yere, both of those college teammates I think 637 00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 1: got a major boost. With Kirk's somewhat unexpectedly being ruled 638 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,760 Speaker 1: out Thursday, he's plus eight fifty. I think that'll go 639 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: gains as well. I would still take it and then 640 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 1: on the rams side two to out well plus four 641 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 1: fifty for him. They gave him a one year, ten 642 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,160 Speaker 1: million dollar kind of prove it deal, and McVeigh came 643 00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 1: out and said, I haven't played him enough the last 644 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:14,280 Speaker 1: few years, and there were times where he was playing 645 00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 1: him and he was quite productive, and he is. He's 646 00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: a guy that he doesn't necessarily need to you know, 647 00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:24,880 Speaker 1: kind of win a contested catch to get in the 648 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,920 Speaker 1: end zone like he can. He can kind of do 649 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:28,880 Speaker 1: it guards back to the catch, but he's a surprisingly 650 00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 1: good downfield receiver given how small he is, and he 651 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,600 Speaker 1: has speed, so he could just beat the defense off 652 00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,760 Speaker 1: the snap too. So a lot of different ways to 653 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,400 Speaker 1: to out Well could get in the end zone. And 654 00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 1: I think those those great corners for Houston are gonna be, 655 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 1: you know, tied up with Puka and Davante Adams. So 656 00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 1: this sets up very well for a speed guy like 657 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 1: tow to two as that you know, third or fourth 658 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:53,720 Speaker 1: option on the team. So love him. Think he's underpriced there, 659 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 1: but yeah, this this game, this game should be fun. 660 00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 1: Speaking of fun games mentioned at the top, last two 661 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 1: Sunday Night and Monday Night games will each go one 662 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 1: play and turn those into a part way. Uh So, 663 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:14,280 Speaker 1: first up Sunday Night Football, Ravens at Bill's Man. Regular 664 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 1: season Ravens Stompton playoffs. We know what happened, Mark Andrews 665 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 1: dropped the ball Bill's escape. So this is an intriguing one. Jill, 666 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 1: who you got? 667 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 3: Well, I initially I thought I was gonna go Dalton 668 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 3: Kincaid and I just said, nope, I'm going back to 669 00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 3: my roots. Dawson Knox. He's around plus five hundred out 670 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,760 Speaker 3: snapping kink for most of the second half. 671 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 1: Of the season. 672 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 3: So I like that one as a sneaky touchdown bet 673 00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 3: for Sunday Night Football. 674 00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I wouldn't even mind Conka either. I 675 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:42,480 Speaker 1: did hear Josh Allen say he missed him on a 676 00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:44,000 Speaker 1: lot of touchdowns last year, so you know he'll be 677 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 1: looking for him too. But yeah, somehow it always seems 678 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:47,800 Speaker 1: to be Knocks and he is the bigger, the bigger 679 00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:52,719 Speaker 1: body guy. Uh Current, who do you like Bill's Ravens? 680 00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 2: Hi Johnson plus seven fifty. I mean last year whenever 681 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 2: the Bills were like, you know, a slight dog, or 682 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:04,560 Speaker 2: like it's gonna be a closer game than normal. Love 683 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:06,719 Speaker 2: going with Ty Johnson because just you know they're gonna 684 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,440 Speaker 2: have to throw a little bit more and score a touchdown. 685 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,919 Speaker 2: Four of seventeen games last season, three of those are 686 00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:16,799 Speaker 2: via the pass, and again, he led all backs with 687 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 2: downfield targets last season with nine. So when he gets 688 00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 2: these targets, he makes them count. They're usually big explosive play. 689 00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,040 Speaker 2: Sometimes they're in the end zone, like that one touchdown 690 00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,799 Speaker 2: he cash for me last year. So gotta go with 691 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,960 Speaker 2: my guy Ty Johnson here plus seven to fifty. 692 00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would say off the top of my head, 693 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,560 Speaker 1: that might be my favorite touchdown from twenty twenty four. 694 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 1: I got Ty Johnson catched. I think it was against 695 00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:40,719 Speaker 1: the Broncos in the playoffs, in the back of the 696 00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,040 Speaker 1: end zone and a scrambled draw. I mean, my god, 697 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: they take a Jerry Rice level catch from a third 698 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 1: string running batches real and obviously a great throw by 699 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,319 Speaker 1: Josh as well. But yeah, he's got some he's got 700 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,719 Speaker 1: some skills. Man. It's I don't I don't know how 701 00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 1: long they could keep playing him behind Ray Davis. Honestly, 702 00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,439 Speaker 1: Davis is fine himself, but Johnson might be a little 703 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:05,800 Speaker 1: under underrated as a back period, all right, so we 704 00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 1: gotta we got two bills here, So let me let 705 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 1: me go over the raven and shout out to my 706 00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:18,680 Speaker 1: guy Stucky, who took this on the Action Network pod 707 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: on the sixth, you know, after the six pack that's 708 00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:22,400 Speaker 1: out now if you want to check it out. But 709 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 1: he got better odds. I think he got like plus 710 00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:26,440 Speaker 1: two ten. I still like it at plus one ninety. 711 00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,319 Speaker 1: And that's Mark Andrews. Baby, he's got to he's got 712 00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 1: to get in the end zone. He has got to, 713 00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 1: uh you know, redeem himself. Yeah, and you know they're 714 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,400 Speaker 1: gonna be looking for him. So like this is actual 715 00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,759 Speaker 1: somewhat of a narrative play. But we've talked about I 716 00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,000 Speaker 1: know Kurner and I have talked about. I think Mark 717 00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,800 Speaker 1: Andrews is our highest projected touchdown score for the season 718 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,080 Speaker 1: at the tight end position. So yeah, we're gonna we're 719 00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:53,359 Speaker 1: gonna make it a tight end two tight end show here. 720 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,840 Speaker 1: All all tight ends are bats not set at plus 721 00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:59,880 Speaker 1: five hundred? Uh Ty Johnson at what are his od? 722 00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:01,680 Speaker 1: Let me let me get this together for the parway, 723 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:05,920 Speaker 1: would you get Okay? I put it in there seven 724 00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:10,000 Speaker 1: to fifty for tie. We got five hundred for knocks. 725 00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:16,280 Speaker 1: We got one ninety for Andrews. That is a nice 726 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:21,480 Speaker 1: little plus. Holy crap, this is plus one forty six ninety, 727 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:26,440 Speaker 1: so about one one. That's a that's a that's a 728 00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 1: nice little juicy three parlay if I do say so myself. 729 00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:33,359 Speaker 1: So that's that's fun. All right, Let's keep it going. 730 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:37,760 Speaker 1: Final Game Action Network Podcast Touchdown Show, Week one, twenty 731 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 1: twenty five. Jill Glant, Sean Kerner, Chris Raybaun coming to you. 732 00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 1: We got the Vikings going to Chicago to take on 733 00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:50,399 Speaker 1: Ben Johnson, Caleb Williams and the Bears. It's pretty much 734 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:54,759 Speaker 1: even on the spread, with a relatively low total in 735 00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:59,439 Speaker 1: that forty three ish range forty three forty four range. Jill, 736 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 1: I'll start with you, who do you like in the 737 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,720 Speaker 1: debut of mister Ben Johnson. 738 00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I still like it at these odds. 739 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:08,880 Speaker 3: I'll just say I tracked it on the Action Network 740 00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,120 Speaker 3: app at plus two seventy five a couple of weeks ago, 741 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:14,040 Speaker 3: but it's Roma doonsay. He's still around plus two hundred. 742 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:19,440 Speaker 3: I just am very high on his breakout capability. Keenan 743 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,280 Speaker 3: Allen gone, So for me, I just think Roma Doonsay 744 00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,399 Speaker 3: that's the guy that I would look to on that 745 00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:29,640 Speaker 3: bear side. Given how we see Ben Johnson's offenses operating current. 746 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:33,360 Speaker 2: I'm going with Cole Comet six to one. Obviously, I 747 00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,280 Speaker 2: love Colson Loveland. He's gonna be the lead pass catching 748 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:40,080 Speaker 2: tight end this offense. But you know Ben Johnson loves 749 00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:43,040 Speaker 2: using two tight end sets, especially you know in the 750 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,440 Speaker 2: red zone, so I would not be shocked if he 751 00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,360 Speaker 2: schemes something up for someone like Cole Comett. So I 752 00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 2: think we're getting some sneaky guy here with Comet at 753 00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:52,080 Speaker 2: six to one. 754 00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,960 Speaker 1: That's just like I did in this might be had 755 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 1: no asking where both the outputed guys on the team 756 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:02,399 Speaker 1: that's going to lose the game. I'm gonna, I'm gonna, 757 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna figure a guy on the thing that's gonna 758 00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:10,040 Speaker 1: win the game, and that is Minnesota Viking running back 759 00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 1: Jordan Mason at plus one seventy. And that might sound 760 00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:19,359 Speaker 1: high if you haven't been paying attention, but everything Kevin 761 00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:23,880 Speaker 1: O'Connell's been saying, it sounds like he wants Aaron Jones 762 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 1: to focus a lot more on the passing game to 763 00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,200 Speaker 1: help out you know, rookie quarter well not rookie quarterback, 764 00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:33,840 Speaker 1: but you know, first time NFL starting quarterback JJ McCarthy 765 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,000 Speaker 1: who miss his rookie year with an injury. Aaron Jones 766 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,279 Speaker 1: is still very good in the screen game, very good 767 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:43,879 Speaker 1: as a pass catcher and also reliable blocking as well, 768 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,759 Speaker 1: So great fit there. But kind of noticed if you 769 00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,360 Speaker 1: watched Vikings games down to stretch last year he was 770 00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,439 Speaker 1: struggling at points in the run game. They the would 771 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,680 Speaker 1: summing out for Cam Akers, who for some reason is 772 00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,279 Speaker 1: not on their roster. So I don't know how, but 773 00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,919 Speaker 1: Cam Akers not on their roster yet. So right now 774 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,279 Speaker 1: it's Jordan Mason, who they traded for by the way, 775 00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 1: so they you know, they love him, maybe even more 776 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: than then Akers, and I think he may be the 777 00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:11,040 Speaker 1: favorite even for goal line work in that Minnesota offense 778 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:15,440 Speaker 1: as soon as Week one. So give me some Jordan Mason. 779 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,440 Speaker 1: I think I think this will actually be a run 780 00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:22,440 Speaker 1: heavy game for both sides. So uh interesting. I'm surprised 781 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:24,959 Speaker 1: neither of y'all went with, like, you know, a Bears 782 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,680 Speaker 1: running back or a rib or something like that. But yeah, 783 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 1: I think I think we can see a lot of 784 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:32,440 Speaker 1: running in conservative kind of nature here. Even though these 785 00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 1: both of these guys make their hay call and plays. 786 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:36,560 Speaker 1: I think they I think they both feel like they 787 00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:40,759 Speaker 1: need to kind of protect their young quarterbacks in primetime 788 00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:44,359 Speaker 1: early on the season. So that's that's how I'm playing 789 00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:47,239 Speaker 1: it here. So let's see, we got Rome at two 790 00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:52,439 Speaker 1: to one, and we got co co met at six 791 00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,359 Speaker 1: to one. If Kable Williams remembers he exists, because there 792 00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,399 Speaker 1: was stretch with a cale was like nope, not not 793 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,719 Speaker 1: not doing it. Maybe Ben Johnson talked some sense into him. 794 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,920 Speaker 1: And then Jordan Mason at plus one seventy and that 795 00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: would give you only only a fifty five fifty six 796 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:11,919 Speaker 1: to one, but you know, not one hundred and forty 797 00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:13,840 Speaker 1: seven to one like the other one. But I'm still 798 00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:18,000 Speaker 1: still pretty good. Bet one hundred get back five thy 799 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:22,359 Speaker 1: five hundred and seventy if you win, and you can 800 00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:25,239 Speaker 1: if you need to kind of project these out, you 801 00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:28,640 Speaker 1: can go to Action network dot com forward Slash Betting 802 00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:33,560 Speaker 1: Dash calculator and just you can enter as many parway 803 00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:35,680 Speaker 1: legs as you want and kind of see what the 804 00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:38,520 Speaker 1: odds shakeout to. That's what I was doing live on 805 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:42,279 Speaker 1: air just now. So fifty seven to one, Dude's ay, 806 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:46,839 Speaker 1: commit Mason and on the Action Network gap we have 807 00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:51,919 Speaker 1: a an account it's called Parway Express, and that's where 808 00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 1: you can see all of the kind of parways that 809 00:41:56,600 --> 00:42:00,560 Speaker 1: Action Network experts are betting. If you sign up for 810 00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:02,920 Speaker 1: action Pro, it is the only way for you to 811 00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:06,720 Speaker 1: get best bets at the best prices, with immediate notifications 812 00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 1: when Action experts post their picks, including a parway the 813 00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,560 Speaker 1: Partway Express account. And of course, as I mentioned, you 814 00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:15,480 Speaker 1: can get twenty off right now by going to Action 815 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:18,240 Speaker 1: network dot com slash pro use a promo code Pod 816 00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 1: two zero for twenty off an annual subscription again Pod 817 00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:27,439 Speaker 1: two zero for a year off of Action Pro. Which 818 00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,800 Speaker 1: one do we think is a better value? Though? Just curious, 819 00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:33,520 Speaker 1: you know, is it the the knocks, Ty Johnson, Mark 820 00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 1: Andrews at one forty seven to one? Or is it 821 00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:42,200 Speaker 1: the I guess more likely a doomsday Commet Mason at 822 00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:44,840 Speaker 1: it means me fifty seven to one. I say we 823 00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:45,480 Speaker 1: take a shot. 824 00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:47,399 Speaker 3: I say we go right for the big, big one, 825 00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:49,800 Speaker 3: right off the top, especially when we've got a higher 826 00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,319 Speaker 3: total in a game where you're probably not expecting as 827 00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:57,239 Speaker 3: much run plays compared to say Minnesota and Chicago. So yeah, 828 00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,239 Speaker 3: I think I would vote for the I woul vote 829 00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:00,120 Speaker 3: for the Gusto. 830 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:04,000 Speaker 1: On I'm listening, I feel good about Andrews. Ty Johnson. 831 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,719 Speaker 1: That's Turner mentioned always goes off in these in these 832 00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:10,480 Speaker 1: yeah and then and then Dawson notices that's it's just 833 00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,840 Speaker 1: you know it's meant to be so yeah again. Dawson 834 00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:17,200 Speaker 1: Knox five to one. That was Jail's bet. Then Current 835 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:20,080 Speaker 1: went with Ty Johnson at UH plus seven fifty and 836 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:24,160 Speaker 1: I went Mark Andrews at plus one ninety. That is 837 00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:29,280 Speaker 1: gonna do it. Action Network Podcast Week one any time. 838 00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:33,560 Speaker 1: Touchdowns will be back every week at this time, giving 839 00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:38,600 Speaker 1: you touchdown bets for all the teams on the entire slate. 840 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,920 Speaker 1: And if you want to tail some of the touchdown bets, 841 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:43,960 Speaker 1: or all of the touchdown bets, or most of the 842 00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,840 Speaker 1: touchdown bets, or one of the touchdown bets that we 843 00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:51,000 Speaker 1: discussed on today's podcast, you can find the quick slip 844 00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:54,719 Speaker 1: link in the podcast and video descriptions, or just go 845 00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 1: and visit Action network dot com slash bet. Now make 846 00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,239 Speaker 1: sure to sribe to the pod so you don't mess 847 00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:03,600 Speaker 1: an episode of all season. Of of course, stuck an 848 00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:07,200 Speaker 1: eye doing the six pack as well. That drops early 849 00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 1: Thursday morn you can find Sean our next at the 850 00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:16,120 Speaker 1: Underscore Odds Maker. Jill is at G Dog five thousand. 851 00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:22,280 Speaker 1: That's gda WG five zero zero zero. I'm actress Raybon. 852 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:24,640 Speaker 1: You can find us at those same handles on a 853 00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:28,040 Speaker 1: free award winning action network at Make sure you put 854 00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:30,480 Speaker 1: those notifications on and follow us if you want to 855 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:41,160 Speaker 1: get our pick alerts, Good Lucky Week one Get this Money. 856 00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:55,080 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 857 00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,880 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 858 00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,960 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler