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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing out, so.

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Speaker 2: We're saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 4: All we see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 4: they go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate combine. If you want

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Speaker 2: to back, and we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by Fan Duel.

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Speaker 3: I'm Brendan Glasheen, joined by Brandon Anderson and Jill Gallant,

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Speaker 3: two of our very best that covered the NFL for

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Speaker 3: Action Network. You are listening to the week seventeen NFL

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Speaker 3: recap just after midnight on the East Coast. So if

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Speaker 3: you're listening on Monday morning, whenever you're listening.

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Speaker 1: Good morning or good evening or whatever.

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Speaker 3: Sunday night football just aped up between the Steelers and

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Speaker 3: the Ravens. Let's just dive right in. We have a

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Speaker 3: lot to get to great Monday night game between the

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Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals. We'll have a breakdown of that,

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Speaker 3: how to bet it in what it looks like for

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Speaker 3: the future, because as we know, it's a great matchup

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Speaker 3: two teams that.

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Speaker 1: Are very much in the mix.

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Speaker 3: In the AFC, we'll also do some playoff picture stuff.

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Speaker 1: Pick it apart here with.

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Speaker 3: Just a lot going on and what these final weeks

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Speaker 3: mean or in some cases what they don't mean for

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Speaker 3: some teams Ron Rivera. But let's start out with the

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Speaker 3: my Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They win thirty

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Speaker 3: twenty four, they cover minus three against Carolina. Tampa clinches

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Speaker 3: the NFC South. Our quarterback, Tom Brady. That's a phrase

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Speaker 3: here in New England that we like to say, still

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Speaker 3: our quarterback. That was let go by bb Bill Belichick.

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Speaker 3: Brady four thirty two through the air, a couple of touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Evans and Godwin phenomenal in this game, Brandon, why don't

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Speaker 3: you just start us off? Tampa clinches the South. One

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Speaker 3: of the better games on the slate today.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it was a wild one back and forth. Mike

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Speaker 5: Evans had not scored a touchdown since I believe October second,

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Speaker 5: and then drops three touchdowns on the Panthers. If you

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Speaker 5: guys remember so, Carolina won twenty one to three. When

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Speaker 5: these teams played like a month and a half ago.

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Speaker 5: I believe the first play of the game, or at

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Speaker 5: least the first drive, there was a bomb wide open,

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Speaker 5: Mike Evans in stride and he had like the you know,

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Speaker 5: the they had to played the music over. He bobbled

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Speaker 5: it like three or four times before it dropped. And

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Speaker 5: then that game got away and kind of sent the

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Speaker 5: Bucks into the spiral that they got to. So in

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Speaker 5: a way, I guess it works out that it came

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Speaker 5: full circle of that. All right, Well, Mike actually caught

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Speaker 5: the ball this time, scored all the touchdowns. I don't know, man,

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Speaker 5: Like the Buccaneers are not impressive, they just find ways

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Speaker 5: to win these games, I guess. So hooray for the

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Speaker 5: Tom Brady tim tebows and all the late comebacks and yay,

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Speaker 5: look this team. They're gonna rest next week. Now they

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Speaker 5: get a week of rest and a home playoff game

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Speaker 5: for winning this absolute garbage division. The Buccaneers had only

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Speaker 5: scored twenty more than twenty three points once all season,

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Speaker 5: so of course they scored forty or twenty in the

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Speaker 5: fourth quarter to get this game. Honestly, Carolina fourteen to

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Speaker 5: nothing just before the half, and then they just gave

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Speaker 5: this game away.

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Speaker 2: They allowed to get away.

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Speaker 5: They let Mike Evans steal it away.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Brandon.

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Speaker 4: It was kind of incredible to watch because I've gotten

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Speaker 4: now accustomed to this season, to seeing Tom Brady flounder

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Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter, especially in the second half, where

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Speaker 4: if you're trailing in the second half and you're a

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Speaker 4: Tom Brady that offense, I think you're done. Now we've

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Speaker 4: seen two double digit fourth quarter deficit wins, and back

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Speaker 4: to back weeks.

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Speaker 2: Brady is back. Not quite like.

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Speaker 4: Panthers fourteen to nothing early. You know, they were up

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Speaker 4: twenty one to ten. Sam Darnold threw three touchdown passes

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Speaker 4: on them, and then ten seconds into the fourth quarter

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Speaker 4: we start to see turnover mass, Like Mike Evans gets

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Speaker 4: two long bomb touchdowns, like a sixty three yard touchdown,

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Speaker 4: a fifty seven yard touchdown. I'm pretty sure he won

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Speaker 4: somebody a fantasy championship this week. When I was checking

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Speaker 4: some fantasy scorers, it was like forty eight point seven

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Speaker 4: fantasy points if it's a PPR league. Not to step

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Speaker 4: on the Fantasy Flex podcast, but again, four net owners.

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Speaker 4: Another side of it just getting poached. You brought up

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Speaker 4: Tom Brady throwing for he scores his first touchdown of

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Speaker 4: the season, like, and he scored it at least two

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Speaker 4: touchdowns since being a Buccaneer each year, so I hate

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Speaker 4: to use the he was due, but again, there was

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Speaker 4: only two regular season games left, so you know he

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Speaker 4: got one in. But guys, I don't know about you,

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Speaker 4: but I think the Bucks can win one playoff game,

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Speaker 4: Like I think they're gonna host the Cowboys as the

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Speaker 4: likely outcome, And of course, me being that glass half

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Speaker 4: empty Cowboys fan, I'm always the thinking like, oh, we

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Speaker 4: saw what happened in Week one. You know this is

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Speaker 4: likely going to be a or a replay of what

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Speaker 4: happened in Week one. But I don't really have high

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Speaker 4: hopes because the Buccaneers won in spite of their weakness.

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Speaker 4: Like one of the things about them this season was

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Speaker 4: that they were not running the ball up and they

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Speaker 4: weren't running the ball efficially. Well, they only had sixty

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Speaker 4: five rushing yards today and they still were able to

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Speaker 4: come back and win another forty five pass attempts from

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Speaker 4: Tom Brady. So I feel like they kind of got

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Speaker 4: bailed out from the defense and Evans that might be

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Speaker 4: able to translate to maybe a first round playoff win.

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Speaker 4: I just don't see it where some of these people

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Speaker 4: I'm seeing, you know, talking about how they could make

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Speaker 4: another Super Bowl run.

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Speaker 1: I'm not feeling it.

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Speaker 3: He's just amazing. Guys, Just accept it. He just does

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Speaker 3: weird stuff and he has a knack, you know. I

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Speaker 3: would love Evan Abrams does research for US at Action

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Speaker 3: Network covers the NFL for US as well. I'd love

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Speaker 3: to see the if you were a money line better

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Speaker 3: live betting the fourth quarter on Tampa Bay this year.

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Speaker 3: What would you be up if you were a one

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Speaker 3: hundred dollars better for example? Just yeah, they pull some

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Speaker 3: of these games right out of their keister. Tom looked

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Speaker 3: good though today. That made me happy.

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Speaker 1: How about New Orleans and Philadelphia?

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Speaker 3: This was the shocker of the day and they put

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Speaker 3: shocker in air quotes. No, Jalen hurts again for the

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Speaker 3: Philadelphia Eagles. Saints win outright Brandon twenty to ten, so

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Speaker 3: they cover the spread. They are another underdog this week

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Speaker 3: that wins outright. Are the Eagles in significant danger or

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Speaker 3: is it time now maybe to hop a board?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it might be time to hop a board.

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Speaker 5: This is the team that's been the best in the

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Speaker 5: NFC all season. Now, granted these injuries they matter. We've

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Speaker 5: talked about that on a couple of these podcasts. Now

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Speaker 5: we had another one today. Josh Sweat early in the

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Speaker 5: game went out with the neck injury. He has eleven

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Speaker 5: sacks for that team.

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Speaker 2: So got to believe.

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Speaker 5: We went to the hospital during the game, so I

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Speaker 5: have to believe that he's out for I don't know,

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Speaker 5: for seeable future. I would think we're losing guys here,

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Speaker 5: and you know that happens to every team this time

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Speaker 5: of the year, but more and more in re and years,

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Speaker 5: we seem to kind of get you know, right now,

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Speaker 5: it feels like we have these six teams, three in

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Speaker 5: the AFC, three in the AFC that are the class

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Speaker 5: of the NFL, and it almost becomes a war of attrition.

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Speaker 5: Like last year the Rams kind of just were the

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Speaker 5: last healthy team standing, right, you know, like not to

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Speaker 5: take anything away from them, you still got to win

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Speaker 5: the games. But it does matter these Eagles injuries. But

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Speaker 5: I think that this is the spot to buy a

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Speaker 5: loo a little bit because Veagles are still right now

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Speaker 5: as things reopen, two touchdown favorites next week against a

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Speaker 5: Giants team that has nothing to play for now because

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Speaker 5: they've already made the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: They're locked into their seed. The Eagles just win.

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Speaker 5: One game one, that's it, and they're back in the

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Speaker 5: one seed bye week, a chance to get a whole

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Speaker 5: a little bit. I think that's still you know, the

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Speaker 5: road goes through Philadelphia. As hot as San Francisco is,

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Speaker 5: that still means brock Purty on the road in Philly,

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Speaker 5: a tough environment. I think you have to still like

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Speaker 5: the Eagles chances here. Like the NFC odds, I think

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Speaker 5: I saw something like a plus one eighty right now.

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Speaker 2: Do you have that Brendan.

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Speaker 1: Plus two ten Philadelphia to win the conference l's two ten.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I think if you want Philadelphia, I understand if you don't.

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Speaker 5: The injuries they matter. Lane Johnson, Avante Maddox, we talked

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Speaker 5: about this. That certainly is not nothing, so I'm not

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Speaker 5: going to minimize that. But you're not gonna get a

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Speaker 5: better price on the Eagles. This is a spot I

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Speaker 5: think that they probably win next week. With relative e's.

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Speaker 5: You get the buye a week and suddenly you're feeling

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Speaker 5: a lot better.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully.

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Speaker 5: I think you get hurt some reps next week, like

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Speaker 5: almost as ideal. If it's this kind of preseason spot

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Speaker 5: and you play maybe half of the game or something,

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Speaker 5: back to this game, Gardner Minshew maybe made the best

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Speaker 5: case for Jalen Hurts MVP all season.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he was not great in this game.

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Speaker 5: He had the bomb the Aja Brown, but otherwise that

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Speaker 5: was about it for this offense. So the Saints really

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Speaker 5: should have put this game away by more. They were

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Speaker 5: in pretty much complete control. Seventy five yard touchdown Dragon

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Speaker 5: to open the game, and it's crazy if you're watching

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Speaker 5: on a red zoner on multiple screens. The Saints had

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Speaker 5: the big pick six Marshawn Lattimore first game back pick

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Speaker 5: six to get to the final score. Saints have the win,

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Speaker 5: They're still alive, they can make the playoffs, and literally

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Speaker 5: like seconds later, bomb to Mike Evans in the other game,

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Speaker 5: Bucks take the lead. Saints season is over, but not

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Speaker 5: before our last look ahead of the year, Brandon are

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Speaker 5: our weird one Saints money line this week Cowboys money

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Speaker 5: line next week. We now have if you played that one,

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Speaker 5: a plus eight twenty one parlay. Thanks to what the

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Speaker 5: Saints did today, we now have a plus eight twenty

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Speaker 5: one money line on the Cowboys next week, which is

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Speaker 5: currently listed at minus two fifty because the Cowboys are

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Speaker 5: now six point favorites against an eliminated Washington team, So

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Speaker 5: that one dominoed just perfectly in our favor.

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Speaker 2: So feeling good about that one.

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Speaker 3: The reporting out of Philadelphia, by the way, is Jalen

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Speaker 3: Hurts could play again the Giants in week eighteen. That's

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Speaker 3: as simple as they put it. As far as the

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Speaker 3: latest reporting mentioned Philadelphia plus two to ten on FanDuel

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Speaker 3: to win the conference San fran In behind Jill at

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Speaker 3: plus two twenty.

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Speaker 1: You got thoughts on this game?

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Speaker 3: Uh?

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Speaker 4: Well, I think with this game, man, I I'm not

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Speaker 4: really going to be as hard on Minshew maybe as

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Speaker 4: as Brandon was. I feel like the coaching staff failed

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Speaker 4: him today, Like how can you only call fifteen run plays? Like,

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Speaker 4: I know Lane Johnson is out, but you have Miles Sanders,

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Speaker 4: you have you know, Boston Scott. I know that obviously

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Speaker 4: Gardner Minshew isn't the running threat, but it's with that

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Speaker 4: offensive line and with the way that that offense is built,

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Speaker 4: it's completely built to be a run first offense.

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Speaker 2: Like it's awesome to have.

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Speaker 4: These luxuries like a AJ Brown or a Devonte Smith,

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Speaker 4: but that's how you that's how you make the bread.

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Speaker 4: You've got to be able to run the ball. And

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Speaker 4: if you're not running the ball, I guess a pretty

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Speaker 4: underrated Saints defense that it pretty much had all of

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Speaker 4: their guys back. Uh, that that's not going to be

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Speaker 4: a recipe for success. So and then we saw it

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Speaker 4: today like the Eagles didn't have a first down until

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Speaker 4: nineteen seconds left of the first half. So I kind

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Speaker 4: of worry about the Eagles playoff path here because the

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Speaker 4: first let's say they get the one seed, they're either

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Speaker 4: going to have the Cowboys or the Bucks in the

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Speaker 4: second in their first game back. Well, the Bucks crushed

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Speaker 4: them twice last season, and the Cowboys again, it's a

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Speaker 4: tougher matchup than I think. Let's on, it's up in

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Speaker 4: the air. I'm not going to say the Cowboys are

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Speaker 4: going to beat them in link, but at the same time,

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Speaker 4: it's not an easy matchup. After being able to get

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Speaker 4: a bye the first game back, you're either playing one

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Speaker 4: of those two teams likely, So, Brandon, I have a

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Speaker 4: steparate question for you. I'm going out of left field here.

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Speaker 4: Do you think it would be an easier path for

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Speaker 4: the Eagles to throw the one seed and go for

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Speaker 4: the two seed instead and go for a different path?

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Speaker 4: So where it would be a hypothetical where if it

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Speaker 4: all played out, they would probably play San Francisco in

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Speaker 4: San Francisco for the AFC title or NFC title game

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Speaker 4: instead of hosting. I'm looking at the way that the

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Speaker 4: player off pictures unfolding and who they would play if

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Speaker 4: that played out. I honestly think the first two games

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Speaker 4: would be easier from a PAS standpoint to be able

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Speaker 4: to get to that destination. I just wanted to see

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Speaker 4: if you would entertain my crazy notion.

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Speaker 2: I will not. I will not entertain a crazy notion.

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Speaker 5: That is ludicrous. You play the whole season to get

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Speaker 5: the bye week. The safest opponent you can play is nobody.

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Speaker 5: You want the week off, especially this team with all

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Speaker 5: the injuries.

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Speaker 2: And look, let's be real, the Vikings are going to

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Speaker 2: be the two or the three seed. You're assuming the

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Speaker 2: Vikings win their game. Why are we assuming the Vikings

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Speaker 2: is gonna win their game?

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Speaker 5: If the Giants beat the Vikings, which by the way,

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Speaker 5: they nearly did last week minus a sixty one yard

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Speaker 5: field goal Vikings record, if the Giants win that game

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Speaker 5: or some other upset whoever the seventh seed is, they

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Speaker 5: could be the up So we could get a Seahawks

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Speaker 5: seven seed or a Lion seventh seed. Now the Eagles

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Speaker 5: had played nobody and then the Giants or the Lion.

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Speaker 2: There the Seahawks.

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Speaker 5: You're gonna tank a week rather than have the upside

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Speaker 5: of having no game and then a Giants home game.

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Speaker 2: No, thank you, I get out of here. That's literally so.

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Speaker 4: But I think the point that I'm trying to make

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Speaker 4: is that first round matchup, or the first game after

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Speaker 4: the bye against a potential Bucks team or a Cowboys

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Speaker 4: team is a tough opening game, especially when there's a

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Speaker 4: likelihood that all those guys that we talked about from

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Speaker 4: an injury standpoint might not still be back to one

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Speaker 4: hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: So that's all I'm saying is.

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Speaker 4: I feel like you could have a little bit easier

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Speaker 4: of a road, even if you'd still have to play

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Speaker 4: the Niners on the way out in San Francisco.

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Speaker 3: I'm slightly concerned that you've been brainwashed by Philadelphia Eagles Twitter,

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Speaker 3: potentially because I could see an Eagles fan twisting their

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Speaker 3: mind into a pretzel about that potential scenario.

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Speaker 4: I mean, on the flip side, a lot of people

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Speaker 4: would think that I'm just trying to be a hater,

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Speaker 4: but at the same time, I'm looking out for them,

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Speaker 4: like so, I'm just trying to see them get as

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Speaker 4: far to do as well as they can.

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Speaker 1: It's phenomenal.

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Speaker 2: That's a real Galaxy brain moment for you.

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Speaker 1: In San Francisco.

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Speaker 3: Second best odds to come out of the NFC at

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Speaker 3: plus two twenty. They survive in overtime against the Raiders.

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Speaker 3: The Raiders with Jarrett Stidham, who was for all intents

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Speaker 3: and purposes, he was basically benched and pushed out in

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Speaker 3: New England like other quarterbacks we've talked about on this podcast.

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Speaker 3: Niners thirty seven to thirty four, Raiders cover plus nine

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Speaker 3: and a half. Joe, why don't you start us here

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Speaker 3: because I know you were on the Niners and that

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Speaker 3: had to be frustrating to see Jarrett Stidham get the

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Speaker 3: most out of this offense. But I guess give Josh

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Speaker 3: McDaniel some credit for getting his guys up for this game,

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Speaker 3: despite Derek Carr not even being in the facility, never

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Speaker 3: mind being inactive, just wasn't there all together.

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Speaker 1: What were your thoughts on the Niners surviving.

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Speaker 4: I think my initial shock was how effective the tight

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Speaker 4: ends were in this game. The Niners are number one

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Speaker 4: of DVOA in a lot of things, but especially in

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Speaker 4: defending tight ends. This season, they only allowed two touchdowns

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Speaker 4: all year to a tight end, and both of them

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Speaker 4: were in the same game against the Falcons, and before

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Speaker 4: I could even sit down, Darren Waller scoring a touchdown.

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Speaker 4: And again, Darren Waller's not just your average every day

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Speaker 4: tight end, but again it was one of those things

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Speaker 4: where I just was like, Wow, okay, the Raiders are

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Speaker 4: here to play, and they gave him everything they could handle.

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Speaker 4: Like Davonte got two touchdowns, Waller scored. And you saw

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Speaker 4: throughout the week too that the Niners line moved heavily

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Speaker 4: against that Stidham news all week, like it was going

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Speaker 4: from four and a half to six when all the

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Speaker 4: way up to ten and a half, then settled back

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Speaker 4: down to nine and a half. So clearly it wasn't

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Speaker 4: just me who was thinking, oh, well, Stidham is is.

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Speaker 4: I don't want to call him a bus but I

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Speaker 4: would definitely just say underwhelming, I guess as a quarterback,

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Speaker 4: which probably why he wasn't able to close the deal

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Speaker 4: because he had an overtime interception and you know, the

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Speaker 4: defense showed up for the Niners, and now the Niners

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Speaker 4: get a Cards team in Week eighteen is huge. Thirteen

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Speaker 4: and a half point favorites to lock up the two seed.

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Speaker 4: And I think they're just gonna be watching that Eagles

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Speaker 4: Giants game like that, You know that meme, the dude

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Speaker 4: hiding behind the tree, just rubbing his hands and licking

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Speaker 4: his lips, just praying on the Eagles downfall.

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Speaker 1: Brandon, Niners have won nine straight games. You've already worked

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Speaker 1: this in, but some concerns down the road, and we

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Speaker 1: can't get them in.

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Speaker 3: Trouble for something that hasn't happened yet. But Brock Purdy

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Speaker 3: on the road in a playoff game down the road,

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Speaker 3: if it would be in Philadelphia, that would be the

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Speaker 3: only scenario as of now being the two seed. But

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Speaker 3: with John Pack from the game today in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I thought this was a really important game. Not

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Speaker 5: so much important that the Niners one, obviously that's great,

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Speaker 5: but that they had to face this adversity they haven't

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Speaker 5: really had that with this version of the team. They

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Speaker 5: got McCaffrey and they've basically just been blowing everyone out

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Speaker 5: ever since then, which is great.

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Speaker 2: But I was a little worried almost like, okay, but if.

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Speaker 5: They crushed the Raiders then crushed the Cardinals and head

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Speaker 5: into the playoffs, red hot, You're not just going to

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Speaker 5: crush everyone in the playoffs. It doesn't work that way.

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Speaker 5: So what happens when you get this today? What happens

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Speaker 5: when you need the late drive? You need to get

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Speaker 5: down and get the field goal. And let's be fair,

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Speaker 5: this was one of those where it's like, quarterback wins

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Speaker 5: are not a stat This is not a Rock Purty

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Speaker 5: comeback or overtime victory. He handed the ball off a

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Speaker 5: couple times at the key moments and Robbie Goldi got

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Speaker 5: the field goal. But he didn't give the game away either.

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Speaker 5: And there were moments and he continues to have right

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Speaker 5: up to the edge where it's like, oh, here's the

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Speaker 5: crowd's growing, there's the key interception. But he has that

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Speaker 5: bravado to come back a little bit. I think they

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Speaker 5: needed this. They needed to have their metal test a

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Speaker 5: little bit here, and you know, all the better to

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Speaker 5: get the win too. For me, this is the Raiders

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Speaker 5: season in a nutshell. They had five hundred yards of

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Speaker 5: offense on a great Niners defense that's been slaughtering people.

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Speaker 5: They put up seven and a half yards of play.

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Speaker 5: They blew a double digit lead again like they always do.

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Speaker 2: They were alive for the playoffs.

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Speaker 5: Suddenly it was like, oh man, Jared Stidham Raiders playoff

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Speaker 5: run and now their season is over. Like that's that's it.

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Speaker 5: That's the Raiders' season. A nutshell. McCaffrey almost two hundred

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Speaker 5: yards for the Niners rushing and receiving. I don't see

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Speaker 5: odds open yet. He has to be the comeback player

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Speaker 5: of your favorite at this point, right because well, I

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Speaker 5: don't know. If the Seahawks make the playoffs, maybe Gino

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Speaker 5: still takes it home, but Saquon falling back a little bit. Jill,

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Speaker 5: I know you've got Coach of the year thoughts later on.

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Speaker 5: I think cal shanahan is gonna have a very good

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Speaker 5: chance for Coach of the Year, Sirianni with these late

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Speaker 5: Eagles losses, that one might be open. We had on

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Speaker 5: a futures Friday a couple of weeks ago, I did

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Speaker 5: some Wonky Awards Parlays got a McCaffrey comeback Player of

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Speaker 5: the Year, Cal Shanahan Coach of the Year. Parlay two

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Speaker 5: hundred and forty five to one at fan Duel. I

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Speaker 5: think when this thing reopens, I think we're looking at

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Speaker 5: something like shorter than ten to one.

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Speaker 2: I think those might be the favorite of both the awards.

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Speaker 5: So Niners red hot, but this was a game that

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Speaker 5: was really perfect for them to get this task and

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Speaker 5: still get the Lentin.

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Speaker 3: Kyle Shanahan's also reversing the narrative that he needs Jimmy

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Speaker 3: Garoppolo as his starting quarterback to have any sort of success.

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Speaker 3: Niners forty two and nineteen straight up covering the spread

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Speaker 3: at a solid rate with Garoppolo as quarterback. When it's

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Speaker 3: any other they're under five hundred by seventeen games straight up.

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Speaker 3: This was going into this game, and then nineteen and

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Speaker 3: twenty two against the spread. Also brock Purdy, it's now

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Speaker 3: four and oh straight up with multiple touchdown passes in

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Speaker 3: his first four starts. The only other quarterback who's done

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Speaker 3: that since nineteen fifty Kurt Warner.

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Speaker 1: He did it in four straight as well in his career.

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Speaker 3: Moving on to some other games, Jets Seahawks the island.

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Speaker 3: The island lives by a small there's a small, little

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Speaker 3: fraction of the island. It might be drowned in salt water.

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Speaker 3: Or whatever body of water you can imagine, but there

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Speaker 3: it is a piece of Seattle Island is alive. Brandon

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Speaker 3: Anderson and they win today twenty three to six. They cover,

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Speaker 3: They were a dog. They got plus one and a

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Speaker 3: half at home and they covered in.

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Speaker 5: One Yell Island lives. Maybe that was just the rising tide.

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Speaker 5: Maybe the tide is just slowly falling back down. We

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Speaker 5: just misinterpreted the whole time. Look, first play of the game,

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Speaker 5: Kenneth Walker rips off a sixty yard run, and I

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Speaker 5: thought he really set the tone. They got a quick

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Speaker 5: seven to nothing lead. Mike White throws an interception, the

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Speaker 5: crowd got into it and it was kind of over.

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Speaker 5: Like the Jets really never competed after that. There's not

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Speaker 5: even much to say about this game because Mike White

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Speaker 5: just wasn't good enough. Five yards per attempt, completed half

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Speaker 5: his passes, two interceptions, just not good enough. The Jets defense, honestly,

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Speaker 5: I think they were fine. I think they did their

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Speaker 5: job here, but not enough offense here. I thought the

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Speaker 5: Jets were we have this one.

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Speaker 2: We were all on.

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Speaker 5: Jets, on our best bets. So that did not go

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00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,800
Speaker 5: well for us. Just a whiff on that one Jets

438
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 5: for next season.

439
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 2: Though. I feel like, you know.

440
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 5: Mike White wasn't gonna be new super Bowl this year, right,

441
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 5: we knew this, So now you got this great defense,

442
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,639
Speaker 5: super Bowl caliber defense. Get Breese Hall back in, right,

443
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 5: we forgot about him. Get him back out. They're healthy,

444
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 5: Go get your quarterback. Maybe it's Derek Carr, maybe it's

445
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 5: someone else. I think the Jets are going to be

446
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:20,119
Speaker 5: one of those early preseason Darling sleepers next year. But

447
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 5: other than that, Jets are out now. Seattle need some help,

448
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 5: but can still make the playoffs. Kenneth Walker maybe stole

449
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 5: Rookie of the Year back here one hundred and thirty

450
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 5: three yards Garrett Wilson only eighteen yards on the game.

451
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 5: Head to head Rookie of the Year, Walker has got

452
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:40,080
Speaker 5: more yards and more touchdowns than Wilson by a real margin. Now,

453
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 5: so I feel like you may have stolen it back.

454
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:46,360
Speaker 3: Jill the Giant smoke the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are

455
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 3: putrid in the fourth quarter with Jeff Saturday. They've only

456
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 3: scored nine points in the fourth quarter since he's arrived there.

457
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:55,680
Speaker 3: So the Giants win by twenty eight. They cover five

458
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 3: and a half and.

459
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 4: They also scored thirty points for the first time since

460
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 4: Week five of the twenty twenty season. It was hilarious.

461
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 4: I'm sitting with the Giants fan and when they score

462
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 4: the thirtieth point, he's like, yeah, it's thirty points. I'm like,

463
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 4: what do you mean. He's like, it's been a long time,

464
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:13,120
Speaker 4: and I was like, what.

465
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 2: Do you mean?

466
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,200
Speaker 4: And that we actually looked it up. It was Week

467
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,040
Speaker 4: five of twenty twenty. That's how long it's been since

468
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 4: they put up thirty points in an NFL game. And

469
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 4: to me, that's insane. And the fact that Daniel Jones,

470
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 4: you know, he rushed for two touchdowns, Saquon Barkley was

471
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:29,960
Speaker 4: not really like, not really much of a factor in

472
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:35,560
Speaker 4: the game. Brian Able gets the gatorade shower. I disagree, Brandon.

473
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 4: I do think that he did steal the Coach of

474
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 4: the Year race with this win, just getting the playoffs

475
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,359
Speaker 4: of where the expectations were only just because it's not

476
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 4: to say that I'm not giving Shanahan credit.

477
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 2: It's more of that.

478
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 4: I think a lot of people were already projecting the

479
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:49,959
Speaker 4: Niners to at least be, you know, a top three

480
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,200
Speaker 4: or four seed in the NFC. So it just it's

481
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 4: about measuring the expectations. It's such a subjective thing a

482
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 4: lot of the time with Coach of the Year voting

483
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,359
Speaker 4: and stuff like that. But yeah, I think we found

484
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 4: that statute. It's outside of Lincoln Stadium on the field

485
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 4: today because Nick Foles looks washed like eight p thirteen

486
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 4: just a gross pick six. It got so bad, boys

487
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 4: that I said, we got to put Matt Ryan back

488
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 4: in the game.

489
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 1: And that's how bad it was bad.

490
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:19,960
Speaker 4: And so the Giants clinch remains to be seen if

491
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 4: Dable and Kote like if they're actually going to play

492
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 4: next week. Again, the spread reflects that they won't be playing,

493
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 4: but he said in a press conference that they are

494
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 4: not going to rest their players, So we'll see if

495
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 4: he's a man of his word.

496
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 3: Two touchdown underdog the Giants next week against the Philadelphia Eagles.

497
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 3: That game is in Philadelphia.

498
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: Onto Patriots Dolphins.

499
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,280
Speaker 3: One of us on this podcast was in attendance for

500
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,360
Speaker 3: this football game. This same person may or may not

501
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 3: have directly messaged Brandon Anderson late in the ballgame. Fourth quarter.

502
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 3: Beautiful day at Chillette by the way, mid fifties sun

503
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 3: was out. Patriots took the lead, they're in control, and

504
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 3: I say, I mean someone someone said that under forty

505
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 3: two looks good, Brandon, And not only did the undernot hit,

506
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 3: but the Dolphins back door cover they get the plus

507
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 3: two and a half cashes. Patriots win twenty three to

508
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 3: twenty one. An I am the one to blame for

509
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 3: the over being the case.

510
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, look, you send that message and it wasn't two.

511
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 5: Minutes later that Kyle Dugger picks off Teddy Bridgewater, weaves

512
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 5: through traffic and effectively ends the Dolphins season, right because

513
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,239
Speaker 5: Kyle Duggar not only goes pick six for like the

514
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 5: seven hundredth defensive touchdown of the year by the Patriots,

515
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 5: they take the lead, but on that play Teddy Bridgewater

516
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 5: gets hurt trying to make the tackle, so then it's

517
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:48,479
Speaker 5: Scalared Thompson the rest of the game. And then Scaler

518
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 5: Thompson gets the garbage touchdown to actually kill the underdad

519
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 5: for us get the cover for Miami. Just a mess

520
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 5: of a game, kind of like again, weirdly, the Dolphins

521
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 5: season a nutshell. All right, they're in control, they're looking good,

522
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 5: and then the quarterback gets hurt. How many games have

523
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 5: we had a Dolphins quarterback get hurt and somebody else

524
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 5: has to finish the game. It's just kind of ridiculous

525
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 5: at those point. But how many games for the defense touchdowns? Jill,

526
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 5: You had a stat for us on the defense, right.

527
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, So they've played sixteen games this year. They have

528
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 4: scored a defensive touchdown in eight games this year. So

529
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 4: if you would just blindly put a unit on the

530
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 4: New England Patriots defense every week to score a touchdown

531
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,639
Speaker 4: and not think thought twice of it, you would be

532
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:31,679
Speaker 4: up forty units in profit.

533
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 3: And that doesn't even and that doesn't include the walkoff

534
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,959
Speaker 3: punt return touchdown against the Jets.

535
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:41,359
Speaker 4: And why it's more impressive is like they didn't have

536
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,679
Speaker 4: Marcus Jones today. Jack Jones didn't play, so that secondary

537
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 4: was beaten down and just the injuries piled up and

538
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:51,160
Speaker 4: they still made it away to get another defensive touchdown.

539
00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:54,719
Speaker 3: It's Bill Belichick, I'll give Belichick's been taking a lot

540
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 3: of heat in this town lately.

541
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,639
Speaker 1: He can still coach up guys in the secondary. They

542
00:25:58,720 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 1: let j C.

543
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,959
Speaker 3: Jackson walk take all the money. Malcolm Butler, they let

544
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,920
Speaker 3: him walk. They've let guys walk at that Stephon Gilmour

545
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 3: walked they let him walk to Indy. They did give

546
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 3: him a lucrative contract when he came over from Buffalo.

547
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 3: But man, Bill knows how to coach up that secondary.

548
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 3: I guess his son gets credit to Steve Belichick. And yeah,

549
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 3: Brandon said it. It's still a mess and Bill likes

550
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 3: to make it a mess and win these close, scrappy,

551
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 3: ugly games. And just a quick aside now being at

552
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 3: the Raiders game in this game, it is hard as

553
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 3: a spectator at these games to find out about Oh

554
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:33,639
Speaker 3: Skyler Thompson's in what happened?

555
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 1: And I saw Bridgewater going to the tent. But those

556
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 1: are the things you get on TV.

557
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,159
Speaker 3: They explain those things and they have replay and just

558
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,600
Speaker 3: tight shots. So I'm like, what the heck's going on

559
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,880
Speaker 3: here with Bridgewater? But I thought the same thing. Another

560
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 3: injury at quarterback for the Miami Dolphins this year. Taylet's

561
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 3: rapid fire the rest of the way, Brandon. The green

562
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 3: Bay Packers they cover and destroy your Minnesota Vikings forty

563
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 3: one seventeen, green Bay covers minus three. It was three

564
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:02,200
Speaker 3: and a half out there. We got the two and

565
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 3: a half look ahead spot. Green Bay clinches the seventh seed,

566
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 3: this coming week with a win against the Lions at home.

567
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 3: What do we make of the Packers. Do we now

568
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 3: have to buy it on Green Bay? Or it was

569
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 3: this just an indictment of Minnesota not being that good,

570
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:18,120
Speaker 3: like we've been talking.

571
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:18,520
Speaker 1: About all here.

572
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's more the latter.

573
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:23,879
Speaker 5: The Vikings block a punt, get the ball in the

574
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 5: one to open the game, get a chance to get

575
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 5: the touchdown.

576
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 2: The Eagles have lost.

577
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:31,919
Speaker 5: The Vikings have a real path to the one seed

578
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 5: and an actual super Bowl path, get the bye week

579
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 5: in a one seed, you never know. They get stuffed

580
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,400
Speaker 5: at the one, set up for the field goal, game over.

581
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 5: Packers returned the kick for a touchdown. We had a

582
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 5: pick six later on in the first quarter. It's over

583
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,640
Speaker 5: after that, Like that's it. Kirk Cousins I wrote about

584
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 5: this game beforehand. Dubundo had this on the look Ahead.

585
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 5: I had this on the Hot Read. I wrote, close

586
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 5: your eyes and imagine this game. Did you imagine a sad,

587
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 5: cold Kirk Cousins standing alone on the sidelines after his

588
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 5: third or sat Shannonwell justin Jefferson stops around, and more

589
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 5: Packer guys lambeau leap into the stands.

590
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:06,520
Speaker 2: Literally, that's the game.

591
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 5: This is the game Vikings fans have watched in Lambeau

592
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:10,920
Speaker 5: my entire life.

593
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 2: We knew was coming.

594
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 5: And now, like you said in Lambo, next week the

595
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 5: Packers control their destiny. Vikings are out of the one

596
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,120
Speaker 5: seed now, so I think that Minnesota probably takes next

597
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 5: week as a rest week. That's what the line looks

598
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 5: like to me as well. Minnesota twelve and four minus

599
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 5: nineteen point differential on the season.

600
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: That's freaking incredible.

601
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:37,120
Speaker 4: I have a question for you, So, Justin Jefferson, as

602
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 4: a Vikings fan, Justin Jefferson was the favorite for offensive

603
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 4: player the year. Coming into this game, he was around

604
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 4: minus seven hundred and minus nine hundred depending on the book.

605
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 4: Do you think his offensive player that your candidacy is

606
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 4: affected with today's game of being essentially shut down by

607
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 4: Joey or Alexander and the Packers defense.

608
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't think so, just because I'm not sure

609
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 5: that there's another candidate out there really now, if somebody

610
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 5: else were to have, you know, we'll get to Bill's Bengals,

611
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 5: if someone were to have a monster game there and

612
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 5: next week, or maybe Tyreek or Mahomes, I feel like

613
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 5: we kind of wrapped that one up already, only one

614
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 5: catch for Jefferson. I personally, I appreciate it. In the

615
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 5: Action Network Fantacy Football League, I was facing Justin Jefferson

616
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:24,240
Speaker 5: in the championship match. I appreciate him taking the week

617
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 5: off for me. Yeah, I think your preseason bat Hill

618
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 5: should be fine on that one.

619
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 2: Chill.

620
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 3: We just mentioned those Packers. They have to beat the Lions.

621
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 3: While the Lions they handled their business today. They blow

622
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 3: out the Bears forty one to ten, they cover the

623
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 3: six point spread.

624
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: They're still alive to get in.

625
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, and honestly, what might be the most impressive is

626
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 4: just Jared Goff, Like I'm not sure if it's going

627
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 4: to translate if they do even to get to a

628
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 4: playoff spot, but when they play at home, if they

629
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 4: somehow play indoors, they're like the ninety nine Rams right

630
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 4: the way that their offense is going. And Goff has

631
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 4: gone eight straight games now without an interception. He's only

632
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 4: had one pick in the last ten games and the

633
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 4: previous stretch where his longest stretch without an interception in

634
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 4: his career was three games. So it's not a coincidence

635
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 4: that there're seven to three over the last ten when

636
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 4: he's not able to just turn the ball over him

637
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 4: and make himself a liability. And I really I thought

638
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 4: Justin Fields is going to break the rushing record today.

639
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 4: I mean, he had one hundred yards rushing in the

640
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 4: first quarter and after that, Brandon, You've kind of alluded

641
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,800
Speaker 4: to this for weeks that he's been battling nagging injuries

642
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 4: and whatever. He that went downhill fast, like. He finished

643
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 4: seven for twenty one passing. At one point in the

644
00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 4: middle of the middle of the second quarter. He was

645
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 4: three for eleven throwing and one pass completion was a

646
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 4: touchdown pass to Cole Comet. He had ten straight incompletions

647
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 4: at one point in the second half. So yeah, it

648
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 4: was just a tough watch if you're a Bears fan.

649
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 4: I will say, from an over better standpoint, a bit

650
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 4: of a wet dream kind of a game, because you

651
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 4: know you're seeing it as going to forty nine fifty

652
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 4: one by kickoff, we're looking at fifty three and a

653
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 4: half and you're seeing thirty four points at halftime. You're like, oh,

654
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 4: here we go. Well the Bears they didn't score the

655
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 4: rest of the game. They win ten points at halftime.

656
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 4: They did not score the rest of the way. Lions

657
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 4: did their part, but unfortunately overbetters had to watch that

658
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 4: crumble Brandon.

659
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 3: Cleveland defeats Washington twenty four to ten. We've done our

660
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 3: fair share of bashing the Cleveland Browns and really trying

661
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 3: to work to Sean Watson back in here down the stretch,

662
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 3: and it's just kind of a lost year for the

663
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 3: Cleveland Browns as it pertains to the football story here,

664
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 3: I Phelly is more about Washington, especially their coach, not

665
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:41,239
Speaker 3: realizing by losing today and by Green Bay defeating the

666
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 3: Minnesota Vikings, that their season is over. The Washington Commanders

667
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 3: with Carson Wentz back at quarterbacks, so the Browns cover

668
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 3: plus two and they're an outright underdog.

669
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 5: A victory today, Yeah, congratulations, mom. Carson Wentz back in

670
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 5: the lineup. Probably not gonna last. Three interceptions, not great.

671
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 5: Washington season is done. Deshaun Watson three touchdowns on is

672
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 5: wopping nine completions.

673
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: For the game. Here's the staff for you guys.

674
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 5: If you had bet one hundred dollars on every single

675
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,000
Speaker 5: Browns game, first of all, if you've done that since

676
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 5: last twenty years, first your bankrupt. Probably that's not a

677
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 5: great idea. I'm not sure what you're doing with your life. However,

678
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 5: if you had done that, Deshaun Watson, at three and

679
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 5: one against the spread is now the fifth most profitable

680
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 5: Browns quarterback in the last two decades.

681
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 2: He's up one.

682
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 5: Hundred and eighty two dollars on your profit. Congrats Brown's

683
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 5: fan and enjoy your off season.

684
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 1: Well said oh Denver, Kansas City.

685
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 3: Denver does not get buried in the recap episode.

686
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: As we roll through these games, the Denver Broncos hung

687
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:47,000
Speaker 1: in there.

688
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,920
Speaker 3: Shout out to Bundo Anthony Dbundo best bets he gave

689
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 3: out the Denver Broncos plus thirteen and a half twelve

690
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 3: and a half. I think is were landed as once.

691
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: It hit kickoff.

692
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,000
Speaker 3: They're a feisty bunch there, and I think he was

693
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: onto something when there. Wass are outspoken Judy and kJ Hamler.

694
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 3: They had tweets out about Russell Wilson. They'd play for

695
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 3: three any day of the week. They love their quarterback

696
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,680
Speaker 3: and they put up a fight. Chiefs do win, though

697
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 3: twenty seven to twenty four. The Broncos cover.

698
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 4: Jill Yeah, d Bundo strikes again and with the twelve

699
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 4: and a half. You're Brendan, You're gonna havest some frozen pizza.

700
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 4: Ioe used to everyone at this point if you keep

701
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 4: fading the Broncos. And I'm not gonna pretend like I'm

702
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 4: a Broncos apologist or anything, because I will say this,

703
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 4: the Bundle got a gift. Because just to break down,

704
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 4: I'm gonna quickly sum this up. Broncos are fourth and seventh,

705
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 4: They're down by ten. Russ throws this prayer up in

706
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 4: the air, he's almost sacked, and then this phantom illegal

707
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 4: hands to the face penalty comes through. They go down

708
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 4: and score a touchdown. So as a result, it's almost

709
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 4: like a seven point swing because if that turnover had happened,

710
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:53,959
Speaker 4: the Chiefs are right at midfield, they could probably get

711
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 4: a field goal. There's four minutes left to go in

712
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 4: the game. It just kind of sealed the cover from that.

713
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,480
Speaker 4: So again, that's football though, that's football betting. But just

714
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 4: one of those things where it really felt like, you know,

715
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 4: if there was like a buzzer from Vegas or something

716
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 4: like that. But yeah, just one of those things, man

717
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 4: that Kudos to Dubundo forgetting that. Plus twelve and a

718
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 4: half to.

719
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,800
Speaker 3: Steal what kind of branded did earlier when you close

720
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 3: your eyes and vision how a game's going to play out,

721
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 3: wasn't Pittsburgh and Baltimore kind of exactly how we all

722
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:21,480
Speaker 3: felt it would go.

723
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 1: AFC North eight twenty kick. There's meeting behind it. Of course,

724
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 1: the Steelers are in it. The Ravens are winning. They're

725
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 1: in the.

726
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 3: Playoffs right now, and the Steelers they score a touchdown

727
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 3: late Canny Pickett with a nice throw. He made some

728
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 3: big throws there in that final drive. Offensively, that is

729
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:42,760
Speaker 3: for the Steelers. They went outright as underdogs. Brandon sixteen thirteen.

730
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 3: They cover whatever you got plus one, plus two, plus three.

731
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 3: Just yeah, but one of those I just felt like, oh,

732
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,720
Speaker 3: nineteen sixteen, that makes sense for these two teams.

733
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:53,399
Speaker 2: Yeah.

734
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 5: Literally, that's my first known on the game. Extremely as

735
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:59,080
Speaker 5: Steelers Ravens game like that. We've all watched this game

736
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 5: every time they play for two decades. Right, this is

737
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 5: what happens and the other thing that happens. Store this

738
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 5: away for next year. Mike Tomlin versus John Harbaugh, the

739
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 5: underdog is now twenty two five and three against the

740
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:15,240
Speaker 5: spread when those guys play each other. Eighty one percent

741
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 5: another underdog hit. I had this on the look ahead

742
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:20,760
Speaker 5: last week. I got Steelers plus six and a half.

743
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,919
Speaker 5: We got the under forty two, closed at thirty five,

744
00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 5: still win under both of those between If you guys

745
00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:31,919
Speaker 5: remember Steelers Ravens like a month ago, Steelers Ravens this game,

746
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 5: those two games alone, we finished over ten units and

747
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 5: we've been crushing Steelers bets ever since TJ. A. Lott

748
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 5: came back. Like we said, changes everything. They've won five

749
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:44,840
Speaker 5: of six games. They are five hundred again. They started

750
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:48,800
Speaker 5: two and six. The Steelers are five hundred and can't

751
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,879
Speaker 5: control their destiny, but have a very real chance at

752
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:52,360
Speaker 5: the playoffs.

753
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 2: Now.

754
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 5: They got to win next week, get a little help

755
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 5: from Patriots and Dolphins losses. But this is alive, now,

756
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 5: can you Pikett ice cold on that final drive? Huge

757
00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 5: throw Nigie Harris maybe the best game I've ever seen

758
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,920
Speaker 5: him play. Steelers came through and they keep winning, and

759
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 5: that five hundred streak might stay alive. From Mike Tomlin, Yeah.

760
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 3: You bought the stock on the Pittsburgh Steelers right around

761
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 3: when they were in the bottom of the basement, and

762
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 3: so that's kudos to you for getting in on them.

763
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 3: Being a great second half team and that that holds

764
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 3: based on how they played today. The uh like you

765
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 3: had said, the Steelers are one of four underdogs who

766
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:36,120
Speaker 3: won outright today. Steelers, we talked about them already now, Seahawks, Brown, Saints,

767
00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:38,760
Speaker 3: and Steelers. Dogs went eight and six against the spread

768
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 3: this week. Rams Chargers battle of La Jill Chargers Crews

769
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,320
Speaker 3: thirty one to ten. They cover six and a half points.

770
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 2: Yeah.

771
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 4: This is a classic case of a game that looked

772
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,040
Speaker 4: cool on paper at the start of the season, and

773
00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 4: then by week seventeen you wonder what kind of bet

774
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,280
Speaker 4: you could make just to make it tolerable to watch.

775
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 4: And if you took the Chargers, there's no sweat. They

776
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,240
Speaker 4: went up seventeen ten and a half pretty much cruise

777
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 4: to a twenty one point win. And the Rams it's

778
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 4: now their eleventh loss of the year. They actually passed

779
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:13,320
Speaker 4: the nineteen ninety nine Denver Broncos for the most losses

780
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 4: by a defending Super Bowl champion.

781
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 3: Brandon any credit to Cliff Kingsbury today for covering a

782
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,360
Speaker 3: spread his team did lose twenty to nineteen. The Falcons

783
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 3: victorious Cardinals. They'll cover plus six.

784
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean another one of those Kingsbury Rode underdog spots. Somehow,

785
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 5: even as the man is walking towards getting his ping

786
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:33,879
Speaker 5: slip a week from now, I have to assume he's

787
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,840
Speaker 5: still he keeps hitting all these trends. Another one of

788
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 5: those underdog wins or covers, at least against a non

789
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,520
Speaker 5: Super Bowl coach rough under. If you had this one,

790
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 5: if you're playing under this game, I don't know what

791
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,480
Speaker 5: you're doing, like this was the one least important game

792
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 5: of the schedule. But if you had the under. Second half,

793
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 5: we had four field goals and a missfield goal, and

794
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:56,279
Speaker 5: we had the lockout field goal from the two where

795
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 5: the falcons is settled for it. We finished at thirty

796
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 5: nine under forty and a half. Here's my takeaway from

797
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 5: this game. JJ Watt got a sack. Jj Watt announced

798
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 5: his retirement this week. That's double digit sacks for the

799
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,919
Speaker 5: man at the end of his career. He's a three

800
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,879
Speaker 5: time Defensive Player of the Year, one vote away from

801
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,400
Speaker 5: two time unanimous Defensive Player of the Year, maybe the

802
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 5: best defensive player.

803
00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 2: And in my.

804
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 5: Grown up lifetime of just watching it's fun, we watched

805
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 5: TJ Watt tonight, jj Watt dominating I look this up.

806
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 5: He's got JJ has four seasons with sixteen or more sacks.

807
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 5: Here's the list of guys that have done that, Deacon Jones,

808
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 5: Reggie White, Jack Youngblood, JJ Watt. That's it pretty awesome

809
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 5: list to be on. JJ watt awesome career. There's a

810
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,920
Speaker 5: great Robert May's article back from the Grantland days.

811
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:48,359
Speaker 2: I'm gonna read you a quote here.

812
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 5: You probably saw this floating around this week, but I

813
00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 5: just think it's a pretty cool quote here.

814
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 2: So it was JJ Watt early in his career. The

815
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 2: way I look at it.

816
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:57,520
Speaker 5: Is that somebody in the world, no matter what your

817
00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:01,279
Speaker 5: field is, teacher, violinist, football player, someone asked to be

818
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:01,800
Speaker 5: the best.

819
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 2: Why not me?

820
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 5: If I dedicate all my time, if I cut out

821
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 5: all the other craft for my life, if I give

822
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 5: everything I have to this game for ten or twelve years,

823
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 5: maybe it is. And when I'm done, I'll go sit

824
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 5: on my front porch with my bodies, have a beer

825
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 5: and say that was pretty cool, wasn't it.

826
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:18,439
Speaker 2: Go have that beer.

827
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: JJ nice tribute.

828
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,320
Speaker 3: Gamblers could also use that quote too in some regard,

829
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 3: and if they do well, then I'll go have a

830
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 3: beer with my Buddy ten or twelve years down the road,

831
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 3: I had a good life over on the sports book

832
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 3: side of things when it comes to the NFL.

833
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,680
Speaker 1: For this episode's reasonings.

834
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:39,760
Speaker 3: Jacksonville Houston. To wrap us up, Jill, the Jaguars cruise.

835
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 3: You actually had a slight bone to pick with Jacksonville

836
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 3: playing all their guys today because we kept being told

837
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,680
Speaker 3: this game wouldn't mean a thing because they got the

838
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 3: showdown with the Titans next week.

839
00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 4: Well, and I overlooked that they had the wildcard angle

840
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 4: that they could still sneek in on that front, but

841
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:56,399
Speaker 4: just and I mean we saw it by the second half,

842
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,279
Speaker 4: they started benching starters and I mean you still c J.

843
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,400
Speaker 4: Bethard made an appear Snoop Connor scored a touchdown. So

844
00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 4: again there's guys that were getting looks that wouldn't normally,

845
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:09,399
Speaker 4: probably in a game that ultimately mattered. But the key

846
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 4: thing here, guys, nine game losing streak is over. The

847
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 4: Jags finally overcome the dominant Houston Texans, but in all

848
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,239
Speaker 4: series is really the Texans. They had no motivation really

849
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:23,879
Speaker 4: to do anything in this game, and why would they.

850
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 4: I mean, they watched the college football playoff on Saturday.

851
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:28,840
Speaker 4: They know that they've got probably eyes on CJ. Stroud

852
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 4: to go first overall. They saw what he did against Georgia,

853
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 4: so they're gonna try. We try to get him as

854
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 4: the first pick in the draft. And another game where

855
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:39,759
Speaker 4: the goes way under the total because only one team

856
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 4: showed up three points from the Texans.

857
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 1: Jags have won four in a row. They're six and

858
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:44,919
Speaker 1: two in their last eight.

859
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,760
Speaker 3: Offensively, they put that thing together and they're like Tampa

860
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:52,240
Speaker 3: in the South on the other side, more championship pedigree

861
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 3: over there. I realized that. But better be careful, AFC.

862
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 3: You run into the Jacksonville Jaguars at home. Trevor Lawrence

863
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 3: getting hot, Doug Peterson, They've got that thing going very

864
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,839
Speaker 3: well right now. Momentum, if you believe in the momentum thing.

865
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:06,759
Speaker 3: I think that might be another reason why they wanted

866
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 3: to give their max effort today.

867
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 1: Okay, onto the playoff picture.

868
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:14,000
Speaker 3: We've sort of weave this in, folks into the conversation

869
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,319
Speaker 3: quite a bit. But now this is an opportunity for

870
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 3: Brandon and Jill to give out potentially some picks or

871
00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 3: some leans that they like. Conference look ahead how it's

872
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: currently constructed, I'll do this very briefly, but as of

873
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 3: right now, if the playoffs where to start today one

874
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 3: through seven in the NFC, Philly one, San fran two,

875
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 3: Minnesota three, Tampa four, Dallas five, Giant six, Seattle seven.

876
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 3: We mentioned Detroit, Green Bay. They've still got chances to

877
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:45,360
Speaker 3: get in AFC. Casees your by team right now the

878
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 3: one seed Buffalo two, since he three, we'll get to

879
00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 3: that matchup Monday night Football Jags four, Chargers five, raven six,

880
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:57,720
Speaker 3: Patriots the last team in Miami and Pittsburgh are also

881
00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 3: still alive. Brandon will start AFC. What's something that jumps

882
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 3: out to you based on the current construction and what

883
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,320
Speaker 3: we might see next week and beyond.

884
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:10,879
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think the spot that I'm really eyeing is

885
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 5: I want to see who ends up in that AFC

886
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,040
Speaker 5: five seed. I can't bet it yet because we don't

887
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:18,320
Speaker 5: know who that's gonna be right now. It looks most

888
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 5: likely that's a Ravens or Chargers. Spot could still end

889
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,040
Speaker 5: up being the Bengals if they lose out here these

890
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,239
Speaker 5: last couple of games. You get that five seed, you're

891
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 5: playing against the Jaguars or the Titans in the first

892
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 5: game and in the AFC. That's as soft of a

893
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 5: spot as you can get, and then you never know

894
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 5: from there. It's gonna be a tough road in the AFC.

895
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 5: Even with that game, you're probably still gonna have to

896
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 5: win two games against Bill's Chiefs, Bengals, someone in that

897
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:45,879
Speaker 5: trio on the road. But I think we're gonna get

898
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 5: long odds there. I've been eyeing last year I had

899
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 5: the Niners heading into the playoffs.

900
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 2: The year before I had a Bucks.

901
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 5: I'm looking for, who's that wild card type team that

902
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 5: you can put your stock on and get the right path.

903
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:02,800
Speaker 5: I think the AFC five seed is our best shot

904
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:05,920
Speaker 5: at it this year, even in a top heavy conference.

905
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 5: So I personally, I'm kind of hoping that Bengals lose

906
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 5: out here and they would be the five seed.

907
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 2: I would love to take that bet.

908
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 5: Otherwise, if we get a healthy Lamar Jackson enough or

909
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 5: Ravens Chargers, I think in that five seed, that's a

910
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:21,359
Speaker 5: spot I want.

911
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:22,680
Speaker 1: Jill AFC.

912
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,080
Speaker 3: What comes to mind with the current build of the

913
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 3: postseason one through seven.

914
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:29,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, it really depends on where the Chargers do fall.

915
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 4: But I think right now at twenty four to one

916
00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 4: to win the Super Bowl It's probably the main team

917
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 4: that I'd be looking at outside of that top three

918
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 4: of cheap spangles bills after we get pass those three. Like,

919
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 4: I'm not as enthused on the Ravens and Steelers, so

920
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 4: once we get past those, it's really kind of the

921
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 4: one team that's left, and I feel like they could.

922
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 2: They're kind of.

923
00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:53,799
Speaker 4: Playing the best right now as far as they have

924
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 4: as from a motivation and a momentum standpoint for the

925
00:43:57,680 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 4: season for the Chargers, so I feel like they could

926
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 4: cold and hang with almost any team, And once you

927
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:03,840
Speaker 4: get past that first game, if they do get the

928
00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:07,320
Speaker 4: five seed and have a potential Jags Titans Division winner matchup,

929
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 4: than anything as possible. But yeah, the Chargers would probably

930
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 4: be the only team I would consider outside of those

931
00:44:13,120 --> 00:44:13,720
Speaker 4: top three.

932
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:16,799
Speaker 3: Randon, we alluded to this earlier when we talked about

933
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 3: the Saints beating the Philadelphia Eagles. I asked you, is

934
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 3: it time now to possibly buy back in on Philly.

935
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,800
Speaker 3: You can reiterate that and maybe some scenarios that you

936
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 3: would appreciate personally if they were to shake out, how

937
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,560
Speaker 3: you might buy in on not just Philly baby someone else.

938
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:37,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it's hard to buy into anyone except

939
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 5: Philly right now, I know the obvious buy in is

940
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:43,840
Speaker 5: the Niners. They're so red hot. I just the Niners.

941
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:47,799
Speaker 5: Unless the Eagles lose next week, the Niners are going

942
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,480
Speaker 5: to have four games to win a Super Bowl still,

943
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:53,239
Speaker 5: And just I know, Brad Perdis looked really good, but

944
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 5: the dude was the last pick in the draft and

945
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 5: we haven't really seen him do much or be tested much.

946
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,440
Speaker 5: I just can't buy him winning four playoff games. He

947
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 5: could like it, honestly, Like, I know, this is blasphemous.

948
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,560
Speaker 5: Starting to get a little bit of that first season

949
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 5: Tom Brady vibe about him like it just things are

950
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:12,879
Speaker 5: kind of falling in the place and the team around him,

951
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,080
Speaker 5: the coaching, the defense is all so good.

952
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 2: I get it. I'm just I can't bet it.

953
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 5: I can't tell you to bet on brock Perty to

954
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:23,160
Speaker 5: win four games. I like the Eagles, but I will

955
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:26,440
Speaker 5: say this, I would bet the Eagles to win the NFC,

956
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 5: not to win the Super Bowl. I think whoever comes

957
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 5: out of the NFC is likely going to be the

958
00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:34,080
Speaker 5: underdog to the Bills, or the Chiefs or the Bengals,

959
00:45:34,760 --> 00:45:37,399
Speaker 5: and I think with the Eagles it's not so much

960
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 5: then betting on the juggernaut version of them. I'm not

961
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:43,319
Speaker 5: sure that's there anymore with the injuries, but just they

962
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:45,399
Speaker 5: are still a heavy favorite to get the one seed.

963
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:47,919
Speaker 5: I think they take her business next week, they get

964
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:51,480
Speaker 5: the week off, they might get an easy matchup against

965
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 5: the Giants or Packers, Seahawks, Lions. If there's an upset

966
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:57,799
Speaker 5: in the round one and you do that, now you've

967
00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 5: got a home game one game to make.

968
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:00,320
Speaker 2: The super Bowl.

969
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 5: I still think Eagles NMC is the best player chill NFC.

970
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,800
Speaker 1: Brock Party has won his four starts. He's four and

971
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 1: zer as a starter.

972
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:12,439
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go a little off the beaten path here.

973
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:15,920
Speaker 4: I'm it's a tougher road, but I'm looking at the

974
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:18,280
Speaker 4: Giants at twenty eight to one to win the NFC.

975
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 4: I know, I know, I know. And the reason being

976
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 4: is looking at more like the playoff pictures that it

977
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 4: ended today, because if they would ended today, they'd be

978
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:29,120
Speaker 4: playing the Vikings. I think that's a very winnable game,

979
00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:32,799
Speaker 4: and then the second game would probably be the Eagles. Uh,

980
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:38,800
Speaker 4: barring everything goes according to plan, it's not an unfathomable path.

981
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 4: And again I'm more trying to look at teams that

982
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 4: I know that are going to probably have a chance

983
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 4: to win at least the first game. I think that's

984
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:46,239
Speaker 4: the one thing is I'm not going to try to

985
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 4: talk myself into this Jags run through the AFC if

986
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 4: they were to make it, or you know, or you know,

987
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 4: the Seahawks if they were to get through. Like I

988
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 4: could understand maybe a Packers angle here, But I'm just

989
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 4: trying to look at teams where can I can get

990
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 4: one win, and then if I'm going to bank on

991
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 4: any team, it's going to be the team that is

992
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:07,879
Speaker 4: top of the luck rankings at actionnetwork dot Com.

993
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 1: Okay, good stuff. I think it's that time of year.

994
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:12,880
Speaker 3: We're all kind of looking ahead and looking at the

995
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,120
Speaker 3: crystal ball and looking at future as we do realize

996
00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,600
Speaker 3: there's another week and there's still one more game left

997
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 3: in Week seventeen. Buffalo Cincinnati showdown of the year on

998
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,880
Speaker 3: Monday Night could be the game of the year based

999
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 3: on what's at stake. Buffalo is still playing for the

1000
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:40,799
Speaker 3: one seed. Cincinnati one of the hottest teams, folks. They've

1001
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:45,200
Speaker 3: won twenty of twenty three against the spread. They've been

1002
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:49,279
Speaker 3: phenomenal covering. If you've rallied behind these Bengals. While it

1003
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 3: hasn't been quite comfortable in ways they've done it the

1004
00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 3: last couple of weeks, they've gotten there. Okay, Bill's our

1005
00:47:57,160 --> 00:48:00,800
Speaker 3: road favorites Brandon minus one and a half totals at.

1006
00:48:00,680 --> 00:48:02,120
Speaker 1: Forty nine and a half.

1007
00:48:03,120 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 3: And we've also got the conversation we'll get into this

1008
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 3: maybe a futures angle as well based on this game

1009
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 3: because of its important and because we're talking two of

1010
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 3: the best three teams in the AFC.

1011
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:15,880
Speaker 1: How do you pick this one apart?

1012
00:48:17,200 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's a tough one. It's a very exciting game.

1013
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 5: Like this is a clear your Monday night schedule out.

1014
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:26,280
Speaker 5: Make sure that you've got plans ready. I think actually

1015
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:28,319
Speaker 5: even as a later time because we got the Rose

1016
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 5: Bowl earlier, so I think it starts just like fifteen

1017
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:32,280
Speaker 5: minutes later than usual.

1018
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be a good one. I don't really.

1019
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:37,480
Speaker 5: Love a side in this game. If I had to

1020
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:41,399
Speaker 5: pick one, I would lean Bills, just because we've talked

1021
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:45,320
Speaker 5: about Bengals injuries that are starting to pile up. Leyle Collins,

1022
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 5: Chidobi A Woozier the corner or cornerback. Both edge rushers

1023
00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 5: are injured. I just feel like Buffalo is a little healthier,

1024
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 5: a little bit better on defense than special teams. But

1025
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:57,759
Speaker 5: if I'm going to pick something aside or total in

1026
00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:00,480
Speaker 5: this game, I'd go with the under under forty nine

1027
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 5: and a half. Some trends that fit their home underdogs.

1028
00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:06,280
Speaker 5: This year unders have hit sixty five percent.

1029
00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 2: We know about the.

1030
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:10,799
Speaker 5: Primetime under his trend that's continued to go well. Both

1031
00:49:10,840 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 5: of these teams are ten and five to the under

1032
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,160
Speaker 5: this season, and then Josh Allen a roade under his

1033
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:18,839
Speaker 5: sixty three percent lifetime. So I like the under shoe.

1034
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:20,879
Speaker 5: I think you have the side here on Buffalo, right.

1035
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:24,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, So I do like Buffalo to win this game outright,

1036
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:27,200
Speaker 4: I think they are the better team. But I am

1037
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:31,359
Speaker 4: also going to betting some touchdown scorer props. And when

1038
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 4: I do the Touchdown Show with doctor Nick Giffin, who

1039
00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 4: co hosts with me every Sunday at eleven thirty am

1040
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 4: Eastern Shameless Plug, we talk about a lot of the

1041
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 4: matchups and just where there are weaknesses on teams, and

1042
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:45,560
Speaker 4: right now, the Bengals wide receivers are the players that

1043
00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 4: you want to bet in this game, specifically t Higgins

1044
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 4: at plus one seventy five at fan duel, also Tyler

1045
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:54,880
Speaker 4: Boyd at both at plus three fifty, mainly because of

1046
00:49:54,960 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 4: the secondary of the Bills. It's actually been one of

1047
00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:00,920
Speaker 4: their weaker points this year. Fifteen touchdown to wide receivers

1048
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 4: this season compared to just six last year. And I

1049
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 4: know a lot of people will be like, what about

1050
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:08,359
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase, And I'm not saying that you can't bet

1051
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase, but his presence doesn't necessarily overshadow Higgins and

1052
00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:15,759
Speaker 4: boy because they've combined for twelve touchdowns this year, and

1053
00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:17,959
Speaker 4: ten of them have been in games with Jamar Chase

1054
00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 4: in the lineup. And on the Bill side, I gotta

1055
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:23,560
Speaker 4: go with Dawson Knox at plus two twenty five. He

1056
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 4: has scored touchdowns in three straight games. They're still pricing

1057
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 4: them over plus two hundred, and for anybody who follows

1058
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 4: me on Twitter, that's like an auto bet clause for

1059
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,480
Speaker 4: me when he's over plus two hundred, mainly because in

1060
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,120
Speaker 4: eight games this year he's been over plus two hundred

1061
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 4: and he's scored five touchdowns in those games. All of

1062
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 4: his touchdowns have been scored when they or underprice them

1063
00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 4: at the plus two hundred or more, and for me,

1064
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,520
Speaker 4: I think the Bengals defense are going to be so busy,

1065
00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 4: especially with the way that their zone defenses, they don't

1066
00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 4: allow a lot of big plays. They're gonna have their

1067
00:50:53,560 --> 00:50:56,800
Speaker 4: hands full trying to stop Stefan Diggs and Gabe Davis

1068
00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 4: that I think Dawson Knox will just have more opportunities

1069
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,160
Speaker 4: over the middle to be able to score on them.

1070
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 3: Just to take folks behind the curtain for just a

1071
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:07,880
Speaker 3: hot second. I read Brandon Anderson's note that he wanted

1072
00:51:07,920 --> 00:51:11,040
Speaker 3: to talk about Josh Allen's rushing total in this game,

1073
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:14,960
Speaker 3: and it read Brandon Allen rushing yards over. But he's

1074
00:51:15,000 --> 00:51:18,759
Speaker 3: talking about not Brandon Allen, the backup quarterback for the Bengals.

1075
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 3: It's Brandon talking about Josh Allen's rushing yard and Brandon

1076
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 3: Allen is still on the Bengals. Like I had to

1077
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:26,920
Speaker 3: double check that, like Brandon Allen's still in the NFL.

1078
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:27,840
Speaker 2: It's funny.

1079
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:30,360
Speaker 5: I wrote that note myself and I look back and

1080
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 5: I was like, Brandon Allen, what no, right, Brandon Josh Allen? Yeah,

1081
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:37,200
Speaker 5: my favorite bet from this game is Josh Allen rushing

1082
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:42,200
Speaker 5: yards overs. So this is Joe you talked about auto

1083
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 5: bet for me, Josh Allen rushing yards over is the

1084
00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:48,440
Speaker 5: auto bet anytime that you're playing a playoff opponent for

1085
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 5: the Bills, you can just watch and the entire way

1086
00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 5: they use Josh Allen changes. When it's a team that

1087
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,839
Speaker 5: they know they can beat. They kind of hold back,

1088
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:00,880
Speaker 5: they save his legs. When it's a big game, you

1089
00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 5: get those extra designed runs, a little bit more scrambling.

1090
00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:07,400
Speaker 5: And here are the stats the last two years. If

1091
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:11,359
Speaker 5: you separate seventeen games against non playoff teams, five point

1092
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:15,120
Speaker 5: seven rushes for thirty seven yards a game. Seventeen games

1093
00:52:15,120 --> 00:52:17,839
Speaker 5: against playoff teams, projecting a little bit from this year,

1094
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:21,719
Speaker 5: nine point four rushes for sixty yards a game. So

1095
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:24,320
Speaker 5: it's a clear difference there next to three and a

1096
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:28,360
Speaker 5: half almost four rushes a game sixty yards. So FanDuel

1097
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 5: right now over forty seven and a half is the

1098
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:34,560
Speaker 5: line for rushing yards. Love that he's at forty four

1099
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:38,359
Speaker 5: yards or more rushing in thirteen of those seventeen games

1100
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:41,120
Speaker 5: against the playoff opponents. By the way, the Bengals are

1101
00:52:41,160 --> 00:52:45,120
Speaker 5: bottom five against design quarterback runs as well. If you

1102
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:48,040
Speaker 5: check my article I talked about doing like the Josh

1103
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:52,160
Speaker 5: Allen escalator as well, sixty plus yards. He's done that

1104
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 5: half of the time, eight of seventeen. That's plus one

1105
00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:58,240
Speaker 5: eighty two seventy plus yards. He's done that five times

1106
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:02,719
Speaker 5: this year, all against playoff presumably that's plus three ten.

1107
00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:05,279
Speaker 5: I've got all three in an app. I recommend you

1108
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,840
Speaker 5: play them all. Let's get some Josh Allen runs on

1109
00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:08,480
Speaker 5: Monday Night.

1110
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 4: That's not just exclusive to playoffs. He's actually done that

1111
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 4: in fourteen in the last twenty games overall, including the

1112
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 4: playoff games last year. And there's a reason why you

1113
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 4: bet this, especially when it's under the fifty yard plateau,

1114
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:23,680
Speaker 4: because he is third in the league in rush yards

1115
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 4: per attempt, like it's at six point five yards per attempt.

1116
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 4: When he goes at least eight to ten times, he's

1117
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:32,080
Speaker 4: going to clear that number fairly easily because it's just

1118
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:32,880
Speaker 4: so hard to tackle.

1119
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:34,600
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to the hot reed.

1120
00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:37,560
Speaker 3: We could also call this the scenario read, because that's

1121
00:53:37,600 --> 00:53:39,040
Speaker 3: what these games are built on.

1122
00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:40,239
Speaker 1: Playoff scenarios.

1123
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:42,680
Speaker 3: With one week to go in the regular season, we

1124
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,440
Speaker 3: take a quick look. Brandon Anderson's going to discuss a

1125
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 3: spread or total that he might like now in advance.

1126
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:50,640
Speaker 3: It's not always about an analysis of the matchup, folks,

1127
00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,759
Speaker 3: it's anticipating a significant line shift. I want to get

1128
00:53:53,760 --> 00:53:56,120
Speaker 3: the number now, the better number, the better. Of course,

1129
00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 3: we want to bet the appropriate number. That's important, Brandon,

1130
00:53:59,560 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 3: what do we like can week eighteen hot rap bo

1131
00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:08,240
Speaker 3: seventy on ice rights ice cream put a D nineteen

1132
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:10,959
Speaker 3: seven nineteen hoil tray.

1133
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:13,799
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1134
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:16,160
Speaker 5: So here's a key stat for you, debunto kind of

1135
00:54:16,200 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 5: reference this on our Best Bets episode. This is from

1136
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 5: Stuckey's article this week. Last two weeks of the regular

1137
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 5: season over the last two decades, teams that have won

1138
00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:28,319
Speaker 5: for forty to sixty nine percent of their wins, so

1139
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 5: basically like a good ish team probably pushing for playoffs,

1140
00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:35,880
Speaker 5: and they're better than opponents by five to thirty five percent.

1141
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 5: Teams on that spot in the last two weeks of

1142
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:42,280
Speaker 5: the season are fifty seven, eighty eight and five against

1143
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:45,600
Speaker 5: the spread, only a thirty nine percent cover rate. Let

1144
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:50,600
Speaker 5: me translate that for you. Books are overpricing in the

1145
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:52,919
Speaker 5: team that has to win the game, the team that's

1146
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,279
Speaker 5: pushing for the playoff or the seeding. They're overpricing that

1147
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:59,760
Speaker 5: in so we as betters need to not be drawn

1148
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:02,040
Speaker 5: in by that you need to bet on the other side.

1149
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:05,560
Speaker 5: For example, today that got us on the Washington if

1150
00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 5: you were on them, got Miami, it got Baltimore. All

1151
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:13,040
Speaker 5: teams that were favored that were in that win range

1152
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,760
Speaker 5: percentage as the better team and lost to the worst

1153
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:16,399
Speaker 5: team there.

1154
00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:19,960
Speaker 2: So one that come I early on. I hate to

1155
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:20,200
Speaker 2: do it.

1156
00:55:20,239 --> 00:55:23,080
Speaker 5: After all the love all year, I got to abandon Seattle

1157
00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:26,279
Speaker 5: Island again. Rams plus six and a half plus seven

1158
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:29,600
Speaker 5: if you can see it in Seattle. Over the last

1159
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:32,360
Speaker 5: half of the season, the Rams are pretty much even

1160
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 5: with the Seahawks as far as DVOA and the metrics.

1161
00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:38,520
Speaker 5: So I think that's much too high of a line.

1162
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:40,720
Speaker 5: I know, you look at it's like, well, the Rams

1163
00:55:40,719 --> 00:55:43,359
Speaker 5: season is over, Seahawks, they just need to win, try

1164
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,600
Speaker 5: to get in the playoffs. That'll be fine. That's easy, right.

1165
00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:49,680
Speaker 5: Guess what the Rams are professional football players still trying

1166
00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 5: to play. It's a rivalry game. The Rams one to

1167
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:55,160
Speaker 5: eight of eleven, So I think that's a good spot there.

1168
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 5: And then the one other one I caught just as

1169
00:55:57,640 --> 00:56:00,239
Speaker 5: the line went live, right as we started recording. Give

1170
00:56:00,280 --> 00:56:02,640
Speaker 5: me a Brown Steelers under forty and a half for

1171
00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 5: next week. Steelers are at forty one or under in

1172
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:08,600
Speaker 5: seven of their last eight games, Browns five for five,

1173
00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:11,839
Speaker 5: and Deshaun Watson games under forty one or sorry, forty

1174
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 5: one or under. Stefanski unders are ten and four when

1175
00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:18,160
Speaker 5: they are below forty four, So a lot of trends

1176
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:18,480
Speaker 5: that way.

1177
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:20,280
Speaker 2: I think that line will drop quickly.

1178
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:23,160
Speaker 5: We've seen how the Steelers defense goes, and you know what,

1179
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:25,279
Speaker 5: I've made a lot of money out the Steelers. So

1180
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:27,759
Speaker 5: just roll a little bit over and let's get one

1181
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,319
Speaker 5: more Steelers win here to wrap the season up on.

1182
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:30,839
Speaker 1: That first one.

1183
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 3: I think Baker Mayfield too trying to play for his

1184
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:36,160
Speaker 3: next job. He cannot afford to take any game off, right.

1185
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:39,080
Speaker 3: He's performed well in some cases, no question, but could

1186
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:42,239
Speaker 3: really tie a nice Bowl on his time in Los

1187
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:45,840
Speaker 3: Angeles with Sean McVay so Cleveland Pittsburgh.

1188
00:56:45,960 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 1: Yes, at the moment, forty and a half.

1189
00:56:48,400 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 3: Is the line over at FanDuel minus one fourteen for

1190
00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:52,280
Speaker 3: the under.

1191
00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:54,600
Speaker 1: All right, gents, I think that's it.

1192
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:56,960
Speaker 3: We gotta get out of here for Jill Galant, Brandon Anderson,

1193
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:59,799
Speaker 3: Brendan Glas Sheen. Folks, thanks for tuning into the Action

1194
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:04,440
Speaker 3: Network podcasts. We're presented by FanDuel the Week seventeen NFL

1195
00:57:04,560 --> 00:57:08,440
Speaker 3: recap episode. We'll be back on Thursday with the Best

1196
00:57:08,520 --> 00:57:12,279
Speaker 3: Bets episode for Week eighteen, the final week of the

1197
00:57:12,280 --> 00:57:13,000
Speaker 3: regular season.

1198
00:57:13,080 --> 00:57:14,200
Speaker 1: Just want to reiterate too, we.

1199
00:57:14,200 --> 00:57:16,760
Speaker 3: Will be joining you throughout the playoffs, so don't think

1200
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:20,480
Speaker 3: we're leaving or going to an island that's not Seattle

1201
00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:21,760
Speaker 3: Island and leaving you all alone.

1202
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: We will be here for you, no islands for us.

1203
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: We will be.

1204
00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:28,080
Speaker 3: Here throughout the playoffs as well recaps Best Bets, you

1205
00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:30,760
Speaker 3: name it. Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast

1206
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:31,880
Speaker 3: presented by Fandel.

1207
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 1: We'll join you next time. Action Network reminds you please

1208
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:52,040
Speaker 1: gamble responsibly.

1209
00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1210
00:57:55,560 --> 00:57:58,200
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1211
00:57:58,280 --> 00:57:59,080
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler