1 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: I'm wes Kosova today on the Big Take. Bloomberg's Israel 2 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: Bureau chief Ethan Brunner is here again from Tel Aviv 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: to tell us about the latest developments in the Israel 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: Hamas war. Even a lot has happened since we spoke 5 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: last week, and right now it seems that a lot 6 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: of the focus is on this effort to try to 7 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: free as many of the hostages Hamas took as possible. 8 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: Can you tell us what's happening with that? 9 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 2: Right now? 10 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 3: There are numerous and very delicate negotiations underway all through 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 3: the country of Katar, which plays host to a bunch 12 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 3: of Hamas leaders, political leaders, and also it's just been 13 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 3: spending a lot of money in Gaza through Hamas in 14 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 3: recent years with Israeli acceptance. 15 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 2: So the attempt here is focused. 16 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 3: Largely on though we don't know how many, but some 17 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 3: dozens of foreigners and dual nationals American, French, British, Chinese Filipinos. 18 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:05,119 Speaker 2: Many of them are dual nationals. 19 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 3: That they're Israelis who come from somewhere, but a bunch 20 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 3: of them were visiting or working here in the case 21 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 3: of the Thie workers, for example, so there was a 22 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:14,919 Speaker 3: release last Friday of. 23 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 2: A mother and her daughter, Americans from Chicago. 24 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: The mother is that an American Israeli who had been 25 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 3: living in the States. 26 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: And on Monday, Hamas released two more hostages. They're both 27 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: elderly women who lived on a kibbutz that Hamas attacked 28 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 1: on October seventh. 29 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 4: Breaking news in the Middle East where two hostages taken 30 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 4: by Hamas were just released. It comes three days after 31 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 4: Hamas released the first hostages, two Americans and a deal 32 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 4: broker by Cutters government. 33 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 3: I think that this attempt is quite significant because I 34 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 3: think that it is causing the Israelis to slow down 35 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 3: in what they're doing in terms of their ground invasion, 36 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 3: and it is a reason for foreign countries to really 37 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 3: have an influence here, particular the United States, and I 38 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 3: think broadly the US is trying to get Israel to 39 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 3: think calmly about the situation that it is in, and 40 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 3: it is a very difficult task. The fury, the humiliation, 41 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 3: the anger, the sense of betrayal that pervades Israel since 42 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 3: October seventh attack. 43 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,399 Speaker 2: It's overwhelming, and the military. 44 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 3: Which was not where it needed to be to save 45 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 3: its citizens, wants to get revenge. They don't like to 46 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 3: talk about the word revenge. It feels ugly, but it's 47 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 3: inevitable that that's partly what's at stake here. When President 48 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 3: Biden came here last week, he came with a very 49 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 3: reassuring manner, a hug literally a hug to people who 50 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 3: were relatives of victims, but also kind of a broad 51 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 3: hug for the whole country, which meant a lot to 52 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 3: the people here. 53 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 5: Not earlier this morning, I returned from Israel. They tell 54 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:56,959 Speaker 5: me I'm the first American president to travel there during 55 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 5: the war. I met with the Prime Minister and members 56 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:03,239 Speaker 5: of his cabinet, and most movingly, I met with Israelis 57 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 5: who had personally live through horrific horror. Are the attacked 58 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 5: by a mass on the seventh of October. As I 59 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 5: told the families of Americans being held captive by a maas, 60 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,959 Speaker 5: we're pursuing every avenue to bring their loved ones home. 61 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 5: As president, there is no higher priority for me than 62 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 5: the safety of American soel hostage. 63 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 3: It'll also allowed him and Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln 64 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,679 Speaker 3: to have an impact on the conversations that are going 65 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 3: on the highest level. So all of that is partly 66 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 3: has to do with these hostages, and partly has to 67 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 3: do with the American concern that this conflict could spread 68 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 3: from Gaza to the north and Lebanon. 69 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: Even do we know how many hostages there are alive 70 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 1: now who were taken by Hamas into Gaza. 71 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: We don't know exactly. 72 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 3: The Israelis speak of a number in the two hundred 73 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 3: and twenties now, but I've been told reliably that that 74 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 3: includes several dozen who are dead. That is, their people 75 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: who are missing, and they believe that Hamas took their 76 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 3: bodies into Gaza as part of a negotiation process. We 77 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 3: know that many of them are hurt. We know that 78 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 3: some are ill, some are elderly, There are some very 79 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 3: small children. There is, in fact, a small group of 80 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 3: prominent Israelis who have made the children their sole focus. 81 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 3: They have gotten eighty six Nobel Laureates to sign a petition. 82 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 3: They're going to the UN Security Council. They're trying to 83 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 3: say that we're talking about children who are three and 84 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 3: five and seven, who will be deeply and permanently scarred 85 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 3: unless they are taken home where they're being held in Gaza. 86 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,239 Speaker 3: We have been told and assume that they're distributed around 87 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 3: Gaza Strip in order to prevent easy finding of them 88 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,239 Speaker 3: by Israel or anybody else. 89 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: That's what we know. 90 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 3: We don't really know the nature of the negotiation. We 91 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 3: don't know what Humas is being off an exchange. We 92 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 3: do know that the Americans wanted to link hostage freedom 93 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 3: with aid coming in through the Rafah crossing. The Israelis 94 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 3: were not in favor of that. That wasn't quite done 95 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 3: that way. But clearly they'll be offered some kind of 96 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 3: form of a ceasefire or something to do with less 97 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 3: aggression against them. 98 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 2: It one has to assume. 99 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:28,040 Speaker 1: You mentioned earlier that these negotiations have caused Israel to 100 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: pause for a moment, and the US and the European 101 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: Union are also pressing Israel to delay the ground invasion. 102 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 6: The big news here this morning is a lot of 103 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 6: talk in the Israeli media's on the television and all 104 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 6: the leading newspapers that the ground offensive may be delayed 105 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 6: for an indetermined period of time. 106 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 1: Both for the hostages but also to allow more humanitarian 107 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: aid into Gaza. Is that message being received, so. 108 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 2: I think it is being received. 109 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 3: I would say that we expected around invasion to have 110 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 3: begun already some days ago. In fact, I was being 111 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 3: told reliably on Friday that it was due to start 112 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 3: that night, and then when it became clear that there 113 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 3: was about to be a hostage release, I was told 114 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 3: again reliably that it's been called off for that to happen. 115 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 3: I think at the time they assumed they'd be more 116 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,320 Speaker 3: than two people released. So yes, we're quite sure that 117 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 3: there has been a rethinking of the ground operation. 118 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 2: There are numerous causes for this. 119 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 3: First of all, it's going to be an extremely dangerous 120 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 3: thing for the Israeli troops to do. Second of all, 121 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 3: if in fact huge numbers of people are killed, it 122 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:39,720 Speaker 3: will increase the chances of. 123 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 2: His Balla entering in the fray in the North. 124 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 3: Third of all, just the idea of those many deaths 125 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:49,919 Speaker 3: is bound to cause Israel problems with its relations with 126 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 3: other Arab countries that it has been cultivating so closely, 127 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 3: And the United States is telling Israel, you know, you 128 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 3: also need to ask yourself what happens the day after. 129 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,479 Speaker 3: There's another thing going on, which is that the Israelis 130 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 3: feel they need to send a message to his Ballah 131 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 3: and like minded militias that are around backed, which is 132 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 3: to say we can play the same kind of game 133 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 3: you can. We live in this region, we're not afraid 134 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 3: to act by its rules. At the same time, Israel 135 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 3: wants to send a message to the US, the UK, 136 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 3: Germany and France and Canada that says we're not like them, 137 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 3: We're like you. 138 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 2: We're humane, we care about people's lives. 139 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 3: That's why we're trying to move people out. So this 140 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 3: dual message, which was in deep contradiction and which is 141 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 3: more important, we don't know. 142 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: And at the same time that the ground in vision 143 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: has been paused or halted for the moment the bombing 144 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: has intensified and also spread. 145 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 3: This it has, so this is partly a desire to 146 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 3: maybe delay and limit what will be a ground operation. 147 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 3: If they can take care of business from the air 148 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 3: and long range artillery, then they will have less. 149 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 2: Of a need to go in on the ground. 150 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 3: And I think that what they began to see in 151 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 3: recent days is some sense of Hamas' weakness. By the way, 152 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 3: Hamas is still shooting missiles at Israel and rockets, so 153 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 3: whatever damage they've done, they haven't eliminated it. 154 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 2: And it's quite remarkable. Even here in Tel Aviv. 155 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 3: Two or three times a day a missile is incoming 156 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 3: from Gaza. So no matter all the things that they've 157 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 3: done to sort of limit the ability of Hamas to operate, 158 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 3: it hasn't eliminated it at all. 159 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: Is there any concern that the intensive bombing that Israel 160 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: is conducting in Gaza could potentially harm the hostages? 161 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 2: Of course there is. 162 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 3: Hamas has repeatedly asserted that X number of hostages is 163 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 3: already dead from the bombings by Israel. Most people are 164 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 3: skeptical of what they've said they have. In some cases, 165 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 3: given the names and ID numbers of those they say 166 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 3: are dead, some suspect that they probably brought them in dead. 167 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 3: And this is a propaganda effort on their parts, because 168 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 3: actually these are very important cards for them. 169 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 2: To play, and they're likely to want to keep them safe. 170 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 3: But I mean, it's perfectly possible, absolutely that some have 171 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 3: died from these bombings. And I will say that from 172 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 3: the beginning, Israel has sent a message, which is that 173 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 3: nothing is going to stop us from doing what we 174 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 3: have to do. Now, every day that goes by from 175 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 3: the trauma of October seventh, the slightly less steely everything 176 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 3: feels here right. The idea that well, we have to 177 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 3: think about this in broader terms rather than just nothing 178 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 3: else is going to get in our way. We are 179 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 3: going to destroy Hamas. That is beginning to shift. People 180 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 3: do not want to die here. They do also want 181 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 3: to think about what the future is. There is a 182 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:47,719 Speaker 3: debate underway now about how to handle this situation. At 183 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 3: the same time, people are deeply, deeply troubled by what 184 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 3: it means to have such a savage force, which the 185 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 3: force was on the seventh of October on its board 186 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 3: hundreds of meters from them, apparently training to do it again. 187 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 2: So it is. It is a dilemma, there's no doubt 188 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:06,839 Speaker 2: about it. 189 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 1: And the bombing is not only in Gaza but against 190 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: his Bellah, and there has even been bombing in Syria. 191 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 3: Yes, Israel is worried about its northern front, both his 192 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 3: Bella and Palestinian groups that are in southern Lebanon and 193 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:22,840 Speaker 3: in Syria. 194 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 2: That's right. There have been exchanges. 195 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 3: On the border and a little bit more deeply into 196 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 3: both countries in recent days. Here again there's a debate 197 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 3: within the Israeli security and military community. There are those 198 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 3: who have said, you know what, this is our opportunity. 199 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 3: We can't live under this kind of threat. Let's take 200 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 3: care of the North and the South at the same time. 201 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 3: And the United States and others inside here have urged 202 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:49,199 Speaker 3: Israel not to do that. 203 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 2: It's going to be a little hard to get it 204 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 2: all done at once. 205 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 3: Focus on Gaza and what you do in the North, 206 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 3: just a tit for tat. 207 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,239 Speaker 2: Don't go aggressively against Hamallah. 208 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:03,719 Speaker 3: Just make clear to them that you're not going to 209 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 3: put up with any kind of attacks, and you'll attack 210 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:09,960 Speaker 3: back in proportion. And that has been what's happened and 211 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: what you don't know exactly what the Americans have promised Israel, 212 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 3: but it seems that they have said to them, if 213 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 3: you act like that, you can count on us in 214 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 3: the North if something truly terrible happens. 215 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 2: And the United States says we. 216 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 3: Know has sent to carry your fleets into the eastern 217 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 3: Mediterranean and has increased also patriot missiles and troops. 218 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:33,680 Speaker 1: After the break, the continuing after shocks of the Gaza 219 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: hospital bombing, even another source of great tension over the 220 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: past week has been trying to figure out who is 221 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 1: responsible for the bombing of the hospital in Gaza. 222 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 3: We're talking about the Alakhali Baptist Hospital in Gaza City, 223 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 3: and when an explosion occurred, mostly in the parking lot 224 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:11,319 Speaker 3: of that where a lot of people were sheltering, the 225 00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 3: Hamas Health Ministry issued a statement saying that hundreds were 226 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 3: dead end that it was from an Israeli attack, and 227 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 3: then the Israelis at the time said, look, we're unaware 228 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 3: that it's us, but we'll look into it. 229 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 2: And then within maybe. 230 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:29,119 Speaker 3: Twelve hours or so, they issued a bunch of evidence 231 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 3: that it was not they, that they for example, showed 232 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,679 Speaker 3: how it came from behind the hospital from a failed 233 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 3: Islamic jihad shooting toward Israel, and they even released an 234 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 3: audio recording between two Hamas operatives saying it. 235 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:48,679 Speaker 2: Looks like it was us, it doesn't look like it 236 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 2: was them. 237 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 3: And now I think the Pentagon and other Western governments 238 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,559 Speaker 3: have looked at the details end of all come to 239 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,680 Speaker 3: the conclusion that it was indeed not Israel that did it. 240 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 3: But of course, you know, the assertion that it was 241 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:05,960 Speaker 3: Israel canceled the meeting that President Biden was due to 242 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 3: have with Arab leaders in Amman, Jordan after he left Israel, 243 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,839 Speaker 3: and it created enormous anger on the streets of the 244 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 3: Muslim world, so it's a terrible problem. 245 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: Part of the reason that the US and the EU 246 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 1: are trying to forestall this ground invasion of Gaza is 247 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: to get humanitarian aid into the Gaza strip. What is 248 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: the situation now on the ground there for civilians who 249 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: are living there, and what is the latest in trying 250 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 1: to get that aid to them. 251 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 2: Some dozens of trucks have gone in. 252 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 7: This is a live picture of the Rougher crossing where 253 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 7: the first aid trucks finally making their way from the 254 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,840 Speaker 7: Egyptian side of the crossing into Gaza, where they will 255 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 7: be inspected. 256 00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 2: It is a very difficult situation for the people on 257 00:13:57,280 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 2: the ground. 258 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 3: I have to tell you that journalists are not able 259 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 3: to get in from the Israeli side or the Egyptian side, 260 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 3: so we don't have anyone on the ground. Our correspondent 261 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:09,079 Speaker 3: is in phone conversation with people there who he himself 262 00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 3: is from Gaza, but. 263 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 2: Not in it right now. 264 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 3: I don't think any of us would want to find 265 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,559 Speaker 3: ourselves in that situation. It's an extremely threatening and upsetting one. 266 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 3: They've been asked and told by Israel to leave large 267 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 3: sections of the northern part of the Gaza strip and 268 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 3: go south, and many of them are forty to a 269 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 3: house now and that sort of thing. So it's very difficult. 270 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 3: I think people are deeply uncomfortable and afraid. People are 271 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 3: being killed in large numbers. It's five thousand people and 272 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 3: according to the Hamas health authorities, most of them are women, 273 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:43,359 Speaker 3: children's civilians. 274 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 1: Do you think that more convoys of aid will be 275 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 1: allowed in to come through the Egypt border crossing? 276 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 2: It seems so. It seems that more will come in. 277 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 3: But this is a very up and down, very unclear situation, 278 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 3: and sometimes we look at the camera looking at the 279 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 3: Rafah crossing gate to see whether anything's coming in or out, 280 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 3: and sometimes yes and sometimes no. 281 00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 1: How does this advance from here given all of these 282 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: various tensions and difficulties trying to figure out the situation. 283 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 3: I think that's a good question, Wes. I don't think 284 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 3: it's obvious what it means. They remain firm that their 285 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 3: goal is the dismantling of Hamas's military and governing infrastructure, 286 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 3: So you know how you define that, obviously is pretty 287 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 3: wide open. What they want to do is create a 288 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 3: situation that Hamas can no longer be in charge in Gaza. 289 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 3: They want someone else in charge. They want to demilitarize 290 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 3: the Gaza strip, and it's a heck of a job 291 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 3: to do. You know, the place is quite well armed 292 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 3: to its teeth, and there are all these warrens and 293 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 3: alleys and tunnels and so forth. And I think we 294 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 3: all know from Vietnam, from South Lebanon, from Iraq, from Afghanistan, 295 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 3: that urban combat does not tend to end up as 296 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 3: the victors being those who've arrived from the outside. It's 297 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 3: the people who live there who outlast. And the Israelis 298 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 3: have experienced at numerous times. And so I think the 299 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 3: idea is that the Americans are saying to them, listen, 300 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 3: we hear you, we feel your pain. 301 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 2: But think hard about this. 302 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 3: And this is a process that's underway hour by hour here. Still, 303 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 3: it is a very fluid situation. 304 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:30,520 Speaker 1: With when we talk about this idea of the war 305 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 1: escalating and pulling in other countries, what exactly does that 306 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: look like, what nations might come into this conflict. Is 307 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 1: there an appetite among some of these other nations to 308 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: actually become part of this conflict? 309 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 3: If Lebanon got involved in a war with Israel, it 310 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 3: will have been dragged in bych Isbellah. Egypt does not 311 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 3: want to fight against Israel. But in Sinai you do 312 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 3: have isis actors, you do have various carecharacters that are 313 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 3: anti Israel. 314 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:04,399 Speaker 2: And you know, one of the things Israel wants to 315 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 2: do is sort of move some. 316 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 3: Of the Gausans into Sinai while they do their thing 317 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 3: in Gaza, and the egypt Is saying, no way, We're 318 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 3: not doing that. 319 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 2: We're not letting you do that to us. 320 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 3: So I don't think there's any appetite there. And I 321 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 3: actually don't think at the moment that Iran wants to 322 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 3: go to war with Israel either. So that's why it's 323 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 3: so complicated. It's just Israel against these militias, and it's 324 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 3: a tough battle. 325 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: When we come back, how Joe Biden's Oval Office address 326 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: was received in Israel. Ethn You mentioned earlier the effect 327 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 1: that Joe Biden's visit to Israel had had. He then 328 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: gave an address to the American people talking about the 329 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 1: US standing by Israel. What sort of effect has that 330 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: had in Israel, especially because the US Congress, of course, 331 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 1: because of the politics, has been frozen and isn't able 332 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: to give the aid that Biden wants to give to Israel. 333 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 3: I'm not sure that the Israelis have focused closely on 334 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 3: the dysfunction in Congress, but they certainly felt incredible gratitude 335 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 3: for what Biden did and said when he came here, 336 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 3: and then what he said in the Oval Office, and 337 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:33,679 Speaker 3: his request for fourteen billion dollars an additional and military 338 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 3: aid for this country. 339 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 5: In Israel, we must make sure that they have what 340 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 5: they need to protect their people today and always. The 341 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,159 Speaker 5: security package I'm sending to Congress and asking Congress to 342 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 5: do is an unprecedented commitment to Israel's security that will 343 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 5: sharpen Israel's qualitative military edge, which we've committed to the 344 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 5: qualitative military edge. We're going to make sure Iron Dome 345 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 5: continued to guard disguise over Israel. We're going to make 346 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 5: sure other hostile actors in the region know that Israel 347 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 5: is stronger than ever and prevent this conflict from spreading. 348 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 2: People are unbelievably grateful. I mean people. 349 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 3: I just yesterday got my haircut at the end of 350 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 3: the day and my barber said Trump wouldn't have said 351 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 3: those things, Not even Trump would have said those things 352 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,120 Speaker 3: that Biden he is amazing. 353 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,679 Speaker 1: And even the nature of that relationship in the trust 354 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 1: that Israel has put in the US also lets the 355 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: US tell Israel, hey, you have to slow down. In 356 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,119 Speaker 1: Israelis will listen in a way that perhaps they wouldn't 357 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: listen to others. 358 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:43,640 Speaker 3: Yes, the Israelis understand that those carriers and the Mediterranean 359 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 3: and that all of that equipment, all of that aid 360 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 3: that the United States is bringing and saying we're going 361 00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 3: to help you make. 362 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:53,720 Speaker 2: Sure that his blood doesn't enter this war. This is 363 00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:55,840 Speaker 2: not a joke. This is serious stuff. 364 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:59,840 Speaker 3: And that means that when the Americans make requests, they 365 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 3: these guys are much more willing to yield to those requests. 366 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 3: And I have to say that Biden and Blincoln and 367 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 3: Lloyd Austin apparently have been not ordering anybody around totally in. 368 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 2: A kind of big brother mode. 369 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,679 Speaker 3: You know, we feel your pain, we know how awful 370 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 3: this is, we know how terrible Hummas and his Bellah 371 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,680 Speaker 3: have been towards you. We're here to help, and now 372 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 3: that we're here to help, you might want to do 373 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 3: X or Y. That's how they're handling it. And the 374 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 3: Israelis are very appreciative. 375 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 1: And yet the ground invasion you think is still inevitable. 376 00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 3: I mean, it's the freatest invasion the word invasion that 377 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 3: might be a problem. There's no doubt in my mind 378 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 3: that ground troops will enter Gaza, There's no doubt, but 379 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 3: I don't know in what fashion, at what length, at 380 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,240 Speaker 3: duration numbers. I think all of that is still being 381 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,640 Speaker 3: heavily debated. And that's why as they examine the air 382 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,680 Speaker 3: war and the effect of the air where they try 383 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 3: to figure out what they might have to do on 384 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 3: the ground, they can't, based on what I have been told, 385 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,680 Speaker 3: not go in at all. I mean, there are those 386 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,639 Speaker 3: who are saying it, but it seems to me a 387 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,080 Speaker 3: very very small minority, and you know, it could change, 388 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,000 Speaker 3: but I can't believe they won't go in on some level, 389 00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,160 Speaker 3: in some fashion relatively soon. 390 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: Is there any conversation about what would happen after Israel 391 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 1: moved in, say they are able to eliminate Hamas in Gaza, 392 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: what comes next? 393 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:31,400 Speaker 2: Right? 394 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 3: Well, I think that's part of the whole problem that 395 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 3: the United States is trying. 396 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 2: To persuade the Israelis to think very hard. 397 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 3: One of the things is that historically Israel has not 398 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 3: wanted to destroy Hamas, thinking better Haramas than chaos, that's 399 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,439 Speaker 3: been the argument. But now they feel that Hamas is 400 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,159 Speaker 3: such an evil force, and so a stead set in 401 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,879 Speaker 3: favor of killing Israeli is that they have no choice. 402 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 3: And I think the Americans have accepted that. But remember 403 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,280 Speaker 3: this that Natanyau has not been very helpful to the 404 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 3: Palestinian authority, the other force in the Palestinian politics which 405 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,360 Speaker 3: holds sway in the West Bank, and so I think 406 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,439 Speaker 3: that the United States sees this as an opportunity to 407 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 3: nudge the Israelis toward a more supportive stand of the 408 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:20,439 Speaker 3: more moderate Palestinian forces in the West Bank and maybe 409 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 3: bring them in to Gaza. I mean, look, it's a 410 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 3: bit of a pipe dream because it's not a very 411 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,119 Speaker 3: powerful organization, the Palestinian authority right now, but you know, 412 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 3: somebody has to take charge. Israel doesn't want to be 413 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,199 Speaker 3: there and nobody else wants to be there, so it 414 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,280 Speaker 3: needs to be a Palestinian ruling of some kind. 415 00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 1: Ethan, thanks so much for speaking with me again today. 416 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 2: Good to talk to you West Take care. 417 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to us here at the Big Take. 418 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 1: It's a daily podcast from Bloomberg and iHeartRadio. For more 419 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 1: shows from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or 420 00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:59,120 Speaker 1: wherever you listen, and we'd love to hear from you. 421 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: Email us, question comments to Big Take at Bloomberg dot net. 422 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:07,000 Speaker 1: This episode was produced and engineered by our supervising producer, 423 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:11,680 Speaker 1: Vicki Virgolina. Our senior producer is Katherine Fink. Our original 424 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,360 Speaker 1: music was composed by Leo Sidron. I'm West Kasova. We'll 425 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: be back tomorrow with another Big Tape