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Speaker 1: Welcome back everybody. It's a betting pros college football preview

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Speaker 1: show and we are here to do some conference championships,

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Speaker 1: only ten games to pick from. That is what we

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Speaker 1: are going to do here today. You can follow us

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Speaker 1: all on Twitter at bog and Sports for myself, at

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Speaker 1: Thor Ku for Thor and at m Barrel Sports to

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Speaker 1: ours two l's for Mike. Before we dive into conference championships.

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Speaker 1: The season is over. The regular season is over, guys.

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Speaker 1: It is depressing. It goes so fast every single year.

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Speaker 1: But Thor, I'll start with you your reflections of the

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Speaker 1: last week of the regular season and just the regular

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Speaker 1: season as a whole as we move on to conference

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Speaker 1: championships and bulls season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we didn't get as much chaos as we thought,

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Speaker 2: especially down the stretch, but there just wasn't a lot

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Speaker 2: of upsets. I thought we were going to get one

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Speaker 2: on Saturday, a big one with Auburn over Alabama, and

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Speaker 2: obviously that didn't, you know, that great digger and all

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Speaker 2: that sort of stuff. And we'll see now with conference

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Speaker 2: championship week we might get some chaos here. The market

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Speaker 2: is already indicating that it thinks some chaos are going

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Speaker 2: to happen in terms of the rankings and stuff like that,

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Speaker 2: So that'd be one thing to keep an eye on.

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Speaker 2: But that that was the one surprising thing to me

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Speaker 2: about this season, Mike.

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Speaker 1: The season comes to a close and last week, I mean,

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Speaker 1: we saw one of the craziest plays ever in that

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Speaker 1: fourth and thirty touchdown conversion from Bama. It was insane.

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Speaker 1: So your thoughts on last week and in the season

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Speaker 1: as a whole as we moved the postseason here.

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Speaker 3: Well, I mean, there was a pretty big game between

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Speaker 3: Michigan and I of State, which is there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of unpacked there. You know, Ryan Day has lost his

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Speaker 3: last three games, so I stay he's won six versus

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Speaker 3: top five teams now and now the fans are there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of unrest there. He's on a hot seat

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Speaker 3: heading in the next season. I don't care what anybody says,

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Speaker 3: hot seed. He doesn't beat Michigan again, you know this time,

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Speaker 3: and loses four straight, He's gone.

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Speaker 4: It's just going to happen.

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Speaker 3: And then the Auburn Alabama game was very interesting to

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Speaker 3: I took Alabama to cover. Obviously that didn't happen, but

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Speaker 3: Thor took that win loss under and I thinking like, Okay,

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Speaker 3: they're not gonna win this game. They've gotta They're gonna.

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Speaker 4: Lose to Alabama, but it's gonna be closer than we thought.

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Speaker 3: And then when they had the chance to win it,

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Speaker 3: you know, you get the muff punt, and then you

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Speaker 3: get the the idiotic decision to rush to inspy.

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Speaker 4: Why are you spying?

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Speaker 1: I mean, just go after him.

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Speaker 3: You're wasting a player, so you eliminated one player is

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Speaker 3: spying a quarterback on fourth end goal from the thirty one?

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Speaker 4: Does you know good whatsoever?

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Speaker 3: I mean, there's there's literally, uh eight other guys down

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Speaker 3: near the goal line. They can come up and make

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Speaker 3: a tackle before the five yard line. It was just

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Speaker 3: the most idiotic thing I've ever seen. And Thor's that

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Speaker 3: I don't know how much to put on it. He

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Speaker 3: doesn't want to share that, I'm sure, but that right there,

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Speaker 3: because that should have been a ticket back.

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Speaker 1: It should have been a push off too. I think

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Speaker 1: maybe a little bit. I mean, and they're they're fighting

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Speaker 1: down there, so I don't I don't mind a no

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Speaker 1: call there, to be honest, but that one, look, I

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Speaker 1: think if I was a ref, I probably would have

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Speaker 1: thrown a flag on that. So uh but yes, a

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Speaker 1: very interesting season. And like you guys both said, way

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Speaker 1: less chaos, way less big upsets, I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: have them in ball season though, So I think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have some fun here. And I can't wait till

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Speaker 1: you get twelve teams in the playoff, hopefully next year.

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Speaker 1: And I mean, is that definitely happening next year or

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Speaker 1: is that like the we all assume it's happening.

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Speaker 5: Next year, no expat A playoffs coming next year?

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Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I just couldn't remember. There's so many things

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Speaker 1: with changing conferences and uh the transfer portal and all that.

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Speaker 1: I can't keep up with all the changes. So but yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm really excited for that because I won't be sitting

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Speaker 1: here nervous waiting for somebody else to lose for Texas

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Speaker 1: to get into the playoff. So if they're even in

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Speaker 1: that position next year, but we will see. Let's look

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Speaker 1: forward to the conference championship. Before we get to it,

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Speaker 1: I gotta tell you guys to join the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: College Football podcast betting group. Make your picks all season long.

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Speaker 1: If you're among the top ROI performers, you could win

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Speaker 1: big prizes included Garrett Wilson signed Ohio State jersey, and

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Speaker 1: premium subscriptions to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. It was

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Speaker 1: make a hundred picks before the season, but I think

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Speaker 1: that we also might be doing a Bowl pick them,

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Speaker 1: so pay attention to that. We're going to see how

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Speaker 1: we're going to work that out, but that should be

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Speaker 1: coming pretty soon. But I mean, the Betting Pros app

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Speaker 1: is amazing. You should get on it. And it's not

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Speaker 1: just for college football. It's for basketball, NFL, baseball, whatever

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Speaker 1: you got, so check it out when you can. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Conference USA Championship on Friday in Lynchburg, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: It is New Mexico against Liberty. Ten and a half

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Speaker 1: is the spread here in favor of Liberty. Fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half is the total here? Thor are you

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Speaker 1: on New Mexico State or Liberty in this game?

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Speaker 5: Man? New Mexico State.

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Speaker 2: They just keep overcoming circumstance, don't they, And they just

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Speaker 2: keep winning. This is another one where I don't like

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Speaker 2: the matchup for New Mexico State. So you know, I mean,

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Speaker 2: like I would be leaning towards Liberty here. And the

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Speaker 2: reason why is New Mexico State's run defense is super poor.

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Speaker 2: One hundredth and success rate, one hundred and seventeenth opportunity rate,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty first power success rate, one hundred

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Speaker 2: and second stuff rate. Of course, I brought this up when

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Speaker 2: I was talking about New Mexico State against Jacksonville State

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Speaker 2: last week. What happened in that game Jacksonville State only

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Speaker 2: ends up rushing for eighty five yards in a game

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Speaker 2: they lose twenty to seventeen. What happened was New Mexico

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Speaker 2: State comes out, punches them in the mouth, and New

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Speaker 2: Mexico State was up seventeen to three at halftime, so

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State had to throw out their normal game script.

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Speaker 2: Zion Web, who cannot throw, threw thirty times in that

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Speaker 2: game and he was picked off twice. They threw the

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Speaker 2: ball more than they ran the ball, which Jacksonville State

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Speaker 2: hadn't done yet this year. Can Liberty stay on schedule

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Speaker 2: with their awesome rushing attack to be able to tacked

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Speaker 2: the weakness in New Mexico State. I would think so.

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Speaker 2: If if I had to play one side in this one,

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Speaker 2: it would be Liberty.

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Speaker 1: Uh, Mike. When you look at this game, uh is it?

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Speaker 1: I mean, I love this. I love this coaching matchup

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Speaker 1: Chadwell and Kill. I mean, it's just gonna be a

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Speaker 1: great one here. But I mean, can you take New

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Speaker 1: Mexico State plus the points or are you gonna lay

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Speaker 1: the points to take Liberty?

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the over all, right, it would be

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Speaker 3: a higher scoring game.

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Speaker 4: I like Liberty. I think they're a very good program. Obviously.

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Speaker 3: Chadwell is a guy who's on they come up and

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Speaker 3: will get the appropriate job that he wants.

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Speaker 4: You know.

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Speaker 3: I think he's sort of playing it spart they can

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Speaker 3: and choose and going from Coastal to Liberty to you know,

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Speaker 3: he doesn't want to get into a bad situation, but

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Speaker 3: he's going to be a power five coach.

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Speaker 4: Jerry Kill has been a.

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Speaker 3: Power five coach and a pretty good one at that,

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Speaker 3: and a tremendous game planner, a guy who does trevendous

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Speaker 3: in game at Joss bensa mean thorn knows all about.

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Speaker 4: Him obviously as a Minnesota dude.

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Speaker 3: But I'm going over.

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Speaker 4: I would lean to Mexico State.

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Speaker 3: I was impressed what they did to Auburn. I was

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Speaker 3: impressed with what they did last week. I think this

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Speaker 3: guy's a great coach. I think he can keep this

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Speaker 3: game close. But I'm gonna say it's going to be

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Speaker 3: higher scoring. Fifty four and a half's the over, media

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Speaker 3: over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, let's move on down here to the PAC twelve

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Speaker 1: Championship in Las Vegas, Nevada. Number six versus number four.

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Speaker 1: Oregon is a nine and a half point favorite. Sixty

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Speaker 1: six and a half is the total tickets on Washington,

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Speaker 1: cash on Oregon cash and tickets both on the under

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Speaker 1: in this game a little surprisingly. But Mike, when you

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Speaker 1: look at the PAC tweld Championship, are you leaning towards

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Speaker 1: Oregon or is this Washington beating them again?

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Speaker 4: I'm going to take the over.

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Speaker 3: I'm not really sure why it's sixty six and a half,

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Speaker 3: not that that's a low.

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Speaker 1: Number, and the public's all on the under.

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Speaker 3: I know, I don't understand what's changed.

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Speaker 4: You know, I get it.

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Speaker 3: You know, Washington at the time against Oregon looked undefeatable.

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Speaker 3: Offense was unstoppable. They've had some hiccups that strugguiled in

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Speaker 3: some games. Oregon's offense has gotten better since that game.

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Speaker 3: But to me, this is going to be a shootout.

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Speaker 3: I would lean towards Washington, covering just because nine and

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Speaker 3: a half scenes quite a bit, and I don't think

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Speaker 3: these teams are that far apart. I mean, people talk

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Speaker 3: about Oregon being the best back twelve team, but they

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Speaker 3: lost to Washington, and that's a fact, and that's just

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Speaker 3: the way it is. Washington has struggled a little bit,

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Speaker 3: but I still think that they can keep this within

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Speaker 3: nine and a half. But I'm going over. If you told,

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Speaker 3: if you said this, you know, was the the over under,

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Speaker 3: I don't know six weeks ago, seven weeks ago, you

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Speaker 3: would hammer the over. So now just because Washington struggled

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Speaker 3: a little bit offensively, we're going under. I'm going over.

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Speaker 1: I like it. I like it, thor do you have

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Speaker 1: a good lean one way or the other in this

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Speaker 1: back Tworld Championship.

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Speaker 2: Same as Farrell, I'm on the over as well. These

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Speaker 2: two teams played already. That one was sixty nine points total, nice,

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Speaker 2: thirty six to thirty three. And by the way, that

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Speaker 2: was you know, with how many fourth downs did Oregon

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Speaker 2: go for and then didn't get it right? Like yeah, exactly,

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Speaker 2: there was a lot of points that were left on

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Speaker 2: the board in that game. And because these two teams

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Speaker 2: have familiarity with each other. They're not gonna be afraid

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Speaker 2: of each other. There will be no feeling oh period

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Speaker 2: like the old Floyd Mayweather in the first round where

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Speaker 2: he just dances around whatever. These two teams are gonna

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Speaker 2: go right after each other. Yeah, and you know Washington

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Speaker 2: has the terrible run defense. Oregon's the efficiency machine, so

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Speaker 2: they have their path to points Washington. Nobody stops Washington's offense.

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Speaker 2: So that's where I think this is the spread, you know,

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Speaker 2: is as you know, crazy as it looks at you

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Speaker 2: know it for like, I even got some sticker shock

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Speaker 2: when when I saw this thing come out more I

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Speaker 2: look at this thing. Unless this thing gets the double digits,

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Speaker 2: that's where I would consider taking Washington. But if it

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Speaker 2: stays in this this weird zone where it is, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna be staying away from the side.

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Speaker 5: But I agree with Pharaoh, I'm on the over all.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, our boy Proton is going to that game, so

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Speaker 1: he will be there in person. I will be there

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Speaker 1: in person for Oklahoma State versus Texas in the Big

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Speaker 1: twelve Championship in Arlington at Jared World. The line here

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Speaker 1: is Texas by fourteen and a half. Fifty five and

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Speaker 1: a half is the total on this game. Public is

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Speaker 1: slightly leaning towards Texas on both sides tickets and cash.

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Speaker 1: Tickets and cash are also both slightly on the over.

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Speaker 1: So while we do have definitive Texas in the over,

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Speaker 1: in this game, it's a little dicey here thor which

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Speaker 1: way are you leaning Texas all the way?

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Speaker 2: You know, on Sunday on the Sunday Show, we do that,

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Speaker 2: you know, with Welsh and the aforementioned Proton right when

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Speaker 2: the lines are dropping. This thing, it initially came out

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Speaker 2: earlier that afternoon at eleven and a half. When we

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Speaker 2: got on that show, it was twelve and a half,

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Speaker 2: and you know, I blocked in my bet on Texas

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Speaker 2: at that number, and I said, this thing is going

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Speaker 2: to be at fourteen and a half in a snap,

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Speaker 2: and that's exactly where we are now. My line, this

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Speaker 2: one with adjustments, has moved up to Texas minus sixteen

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Speaker 2: point nine. So honestly, even at fourteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: I'd still be back in Texas. I backed Texas all

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Speaker 2: the way up to seventeen. It's there's a couple of

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Speaker 2: different things going on here. First of all, Oklahoma State

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Speaker 2: got here by playing this soft and Sharman soft schedule.

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Speaker 2: They caught the Big twelve schedule about as easy as

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Speaker 2: you can possibly get. It avoided the good teams, including Texas.

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Speaker 2: The only good one good one they had to play

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Speaker 2: was Oklahoma. They obviously won a coin flip and that

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Speaker 2: one to get here. But then they're a one trick

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Speaker 2: pony kind of a team. Oklahoma State is with just

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Speaker 2: the running game. When they can't run, they can't throw either.

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Speaker 2: Ali Gordon's been awesome this year, but now Ali Gordon

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Speaker 2: has to go up against arguably the best run defense

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Speaker 2: in the nation. It's not it's certainly top three, and

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Speaker 2: Texas has the best defensive front in the nation. Just

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Speaker 2: a bunch of beasts up there, and they go too deep,

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Speaker 2: you know, so they can bring in waves of guys

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Speaker 2: in different stuff like that. Texas shuts out the lights

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Speaker 2: on every running game, and Oklahoma State doesn't have an

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Speaker 2: offense when they can't run, so they are in all

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Speaker 2: kinds of trouble here again, Bowman when they need to

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Speaker 2: ask him to throw, which they're gonna have to do

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Speaker 2: here because they're gonna be down by double did its

256
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Speaker 2: pretty quickly. Here that spells problems for him too. I

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Speaker 2: think Texas flips the field on him a couple of times.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a big problem. And then the

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Speaker 2: last point I'll make about it, this game is being

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Speaker 2: played at noon Eastern is when the kickoff is. The

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Speaker 2: other important games that Texas you know, will be you know,

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Speaker 2: watching or the scoreboard watching whatever. Those games occur later

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Speaker 2: in the day, right like thestra the SEC championship game

264
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Speaker 2: begins four hours later, the a SEC Championship begins eight

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Speaker 2: hours later. Texas in this game, they don't need to

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Speaker 2: scoreboard watch as it's going. All they need to do

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Speaker 2: is put up fireworks and impress the committee. I think

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Speaker 2: this is one where they go out and absolutely destroy

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 5: Make a statement.

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Speaker 1: Uh, Ferrell, do you agree with that?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I Originally when I saw the fourteen and o'hook

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Speaker 3: go is like, you know, Gundy's a good coach, he

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Speaker 3: is a guy who can probably keep them flows. But

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Speaker 3: the more I look at the matchup, I just don't

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Speaker 3: like it. Everything Door said, I mean the onemost State

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Speaker 3: as to run the football.

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Speaker 4: If they can't run the football, they will get crushed. Uh.

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Speaker 3: The example of that, you know, I mean they the

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Speaker 3: South Alabama. I mean this was when Gordon wasn't running

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Speaker 3: the football.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, and also you s I mean that game

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Speaker 2: was played in rain. Yeah, but Ali Gordon couldn't get

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Speaker 2: going and Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 3: Twenty five yards in that game, lose forty five to three. Like,

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Speaker 3: if they can't.

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Speaker 4: Run, they're going to get destroyed.

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Speaker 3: He was their saving grace, of course, against BYU. He's

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Speaker 3: been there, saving grace against every team they've had, eaten

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Speaker 3: some crappy teams, and they've done it.

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Speaker 4: In less impressive fashion.

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Speaker 3: The Bedlam game, you know, obviously that was an impressive win,

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Speaker 3: but you know, beating b YU in two overtimes, being

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Speaker 3: Houston by three, none of this impresses me. So I

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Speaker 3: I just don't think matchup wise. You know, Texas is

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Speaker 3: very strong up front. They're going to load the box

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Speaker 3: and say, Alan Bowman, you got to beat us.

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Speaker 4: He's not gonna be able to do it. And I

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Speaker 4: think they're gonna good luck.

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Speaker 1: I hope you guys are right. I'm excited for it.

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Speaker 1: Can't wait to go. Let's go to the MAC Championship

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Speaker 1: here in Detroit, Miami, Ohio. First Toledo. The line is

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Speaker 1: Toledo by seven and a half. Forty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is the total, and the cash is way on

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00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,720
Speaker 1: the under way on Miami in this game, Parrell, are

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Speaker 1: you on Miami as well? And the under here?

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Speaker 4: I'm on the under.

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00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,320
Speaker 3: I would actually lean Toledo, honestly.

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00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:41,560
Speaker 4: I know Thor is probably going.

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Speaker 3: To disagree with that, but I just think this is

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Speaker 3: going to be a lower scoring game.

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Speaker 4: You know, I don't think we're gonna see a whole

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Speaker 4: lot of sparks here.

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Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see, you know, somewhat conservative game plans,

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Speaker 3: and just you know, you put that number of forty

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Speaker 3: four and a half, it seems kind of low.

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Speaker 4: It's not low enough.

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Speaker 3: This is going to be like a maybe a I

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Speaker 3: don't know, twenty to fourteen type of game to me.

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Speaker 3: So I'm going to go on the under, and I

321
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Speaker 3: think the only thing that scares me is that the

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Speaker 3: public's on the under.

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Speaker 4: But I agree with the public on this one.

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Speaker 3: That seven and a half. You probably take Miami at

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Speaker 3: Ohio getting that touchdown, and oh, I feel Toledo, but

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Speaker 3: I'm not touching the side.

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Speaker 4: That number stinks.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean, when your gut tells you something

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Speaker 1: listen to it and either you know bed it or

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Speaker 1: leave it alone, That's what I say. Thor when you

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Speaker 1: look at the MAC title game, are you on the

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Speaker 1: RedHawks here on the Rockets? Which way you go on?

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Speaker 2: I rarely listen to my gut. That's why it's bad

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Speaker 2: at all. You can eat meats a buffets for me,

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Speaker 2: all right. Miami of Ohio plays this very specific kind

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Speaker 2: of football where it's like it's sort of like they're

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00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:55,760
Speaker 2: like the Iowa Hawk guys at the G five. They

338
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Speaker 2: run the slowest pace offense of the entire nation, one

339
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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty third. It's like they run a play

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Speaker 2: generally a run, especially now the Gabbert's out for the

341
00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,240
Speaker 2: year because Abon Smiths and also he does is scramble

342
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:06,640
Speaker 2: a round.

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Speaker 5: They'll run.

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00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,560
Speaker 2: Then they let the play clock go down to three

345
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:12,440
Speaker 2: or two every single time. Now you know, we'll meander

346
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,000
Speaker 2: up to the huddle again, and then you know, et cetera,

347
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:15,400
Speaker 2: et cetera.

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Speaker 5: And they have a good defense.

349
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Speaker 2: In fact, Miami's defense so got its ranked fifteenth in

350
00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:23,920
Speaker 2: NSP plus, which might be the highest for a G

351
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,800
Speaker 2: five team. And by the way, another parallel to Iowa

352
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Speaker 2: with Miami Miami has the number one Special Teams sp

353
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Speaker 2: plus rank in the entire nation. They don't have the

354
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Speaker 2: talent that Toledo does. If this line was being based

355
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 2: just on talent, Toledo should be a double digit favorite,

356
00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,800
Speaker 2: but whereas Miami. They keep all these games close and

357
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Speaker 2: to the point of the total. By the way, Miami

358
00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,120
Speaker 2: has only had one game go over forty six points.

359
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Speaker 2: I'm talking about the total since September twenty third, because

360
00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:55,560
Speaker 2: again it's just a very slow, methodical thing.

361
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Speaker 5: Play good special teams.

362
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Speaker 2: We always want to have the field position advantage, gonna

363
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,520
Speaker 2: play salty defense. We're gonna wait for you to shoot

364
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 2: yourself in the foot. That's how Miami, Ohio plays football.

365
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,879
Speaker 2: Toledo is a team where they can can potentially be

366
00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,360
Speaker 2: had here. Toledo is the clear class of the match

367
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,080
Speaker 2: in terms of talent. It's not even close with any

368
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Speaker 2: of them. I mean, they dust everyone in terms of talent.

369
00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:19,600
Speaker 2: But they've been playing down, you know, relative they should

370
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:21,719
Speaker 2: be annihilating some of these teams, but you look at

371
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,119
Speaker 2: some of their box scores. They only beat Bowling Green

372
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Speaker 2: by one point. The last game against Miami, they only

373
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 2: beat them by four. Avion Smith was involved in that one.

374
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Speaker 2: At the end ball State they beat thirteen to six.

375
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Speaker 2: So you sort of go through those and you get

376
00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:37,720
Speaker 2: a little Northern Illinois they beat by two. You start

377
00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,080
Speaker 2: to get a little trepidacious about that, about how close

378
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,560
Speaker 2: Toledo plays, and that's already the prerogative of Miami Ohio.

379
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,399
Speaker 2: I think I would lean towards Miami of Ohio getting

380
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,480
Speaker 2: the points. I haven't pulled the trigger yet because you

381
00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 2: have to get over that mental hurdle of knowing that

382
00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,119
Speaker 2: Toledo is so much more talented than them. I do

383
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,959
Speaker 2: agree with the underplay, though, because Miami is able to

384
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 2: enforce the way that they play football on even more

385
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,680
Speaker 2: talented teams. Toledo is going to get dragged into deep

386
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,160
Speaker 2: waters with them in terms of the very methodical pace,

387
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,280
Speaker 2: in terms of the you know, like trying to avoid

388
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,600
Speaker 2: mistakes and everything like that. The low scoring game, I

389
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,520
Speaker 2: would be on the under but I do leave Miami.

390
00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:19,359
Speaker 1: I just looked at our guy Nick Allen's team strength

391
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 1: rating on CFP Winning Edge, and it is absurd the

392
00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 1: difference between Toledo and Miami of Ohio. It is ridiculous.

393
00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 1: So his line also is very different. So interesting there

394
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,680
Speaker 1: let's go to the mac excuse me, to the Mountain

395
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 1: West Championship in Las Vegas, Nevada again the day after.

396
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:42,880
Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent are on UNLV, who are plus two

397
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 1: and a half in this game. Fifty eight and a

398
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 1: half is the total here, tickets are fifty to fifty

399
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:51,160
Speaker 1: on the total, but cash is on the over. This

400
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,800
Speaker 1: is a tickets on UNLV, cash on Boise State thor

401
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,120
Speaker 1: which side are you going in the Mountain West here?

402
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:01,119
Speaker 2: This is such an interesting game, guys UNLV. You know,

403
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 2: they were the team that came out of nowhere, and

404
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,199
Speaker 2: they've been awesome all year, but then at the very

405
00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:07,600
Speaker 2: end of the season they stubbed their toe against San

406
00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: Jose State, and they obviously forced a three way tie

407
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,440
Speaker 2: that allowed Boise State to get here because the computers

408
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 2: preferred them over San Jose State by the slimits of margins.

409
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,720
Speaker 2: Boise was a team we gave up for dead about

410
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 2: a month ago. Right there was all the problems with

411
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,720
Speaker 2: Andy Abolos. The players were not happy there. They had

412
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 2: the injury to ashen gen T, they were starting the

413
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 2: wrong quarterback. They this stupid dopey offensive system where they

414
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 2: couldn't start tail on Green anymore because of it. Then

415
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,879
Speaker 2: the quarterback gets injured three weeks ago, so they're forced

416
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:37,560
Speaker 2: back to tail on Green. At the same time, they

417
00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:40,400
Speaker 2: decided to fire Andy Abolos. They win their last two

418
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 2: games convincingly. That's how they rallied into this game. Now

419
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,240
Speaker 2: Boise State has all the momentum, but it's weird because

420
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 2: they're sort of in this They came up from the

421
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 2: rear thing, not UNLV, so it's sort of like reverse

422
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,119
Speaker 2: things with that. I kind of like the over in

423
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,880
Speaker 2: this game for a couple of different reasons. Boise States

424
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 2: their their defensive weakness. It's the run defense seventieth in

425
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:04,159
Speaker 2: rushing success ORR eight eighty six, marginal explosiveness, the UNLV offense,

426
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,399
Speaker 2: and the go go offense the Brenda Marian does. You

427
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 2: have the two running backs back there with the quarterback,

428
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 2: and then they just run crazy tempo. They put a

429
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 2: lot of stress on any run defense. Boise State already

430
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:16,680
Speaker 2: doesn't have a very good one. You flip the field

431
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 2: the other way. Boise even with Teylon Green end they

432
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,199
Speaker 2: can generate the explosive pass it because you have to

433
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 2: load up against those two runners, especially when Teylan's at

434
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 2: because now you have Teilan, you have Gend, you have

435
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,639
Speaker 2: Holani Like, it's just so difficult to deal with that,

436
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 2: and you know, and then when the defenses start to

437
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,959
Speaker 2: end up, that's where we do the play action thing

438
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:38,240
Speaker 2: over the top. Because of that, Boise States offense seventh

439
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:42,159
Speaker 2: in marginal explosiveness. That is the biggest weakness the UNLV's defense.

440
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 2: They get lit up for long passing plays all the time,

441
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty fourth in that. UNLV is also

442
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 2: eighty second in rushing explosion against UNLV's defense. So Boise

443
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 2: State with Gen T back gen T Halani Green, that's

444
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,439
Speaker 2: an explosive running game. You're able to lean into that

445
00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 2: as well. This is a tough handicap for me on

446
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,359
Speaker 2: this side because both these two teams have been weird

447
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: and played against type all year long. I would lean

448
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:05,400
Speaker 2: the over.

449
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 1: Though, Pharaoh, what are your thoughts here? Are you on

450
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 1: the over as well?

451
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:14,240
Speaker 3: Now? I'm gonna go u NLB here. I don't know

452
00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 3: what happened last week. You know, they've been playing well

453
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,240
Speaker 3: all season long. They stubbed their toe here and there.

454
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,720
Speaker 3: You know, obviously Michigan drilled them, but didn't They have

455
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 3: the best record against the spread for a long time,

456
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 3: weren't they Like, yeah, they were covering and I'm picking

457
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,440
Speaker 3: them every week and it was working out well, and

458
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 3: you know, my Fresno State was a weird one. But

459
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,920
Speaker 3: you know last week, I mean they they as Thor said,

460
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 3: they gave up just too many explosive plays, and I

461
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 3: know Barry Otem is pretty pissed about that. And you know,

462
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 3: this team is pretty focused. You know, I thought Odam

463
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 3: would be mentioned for certain jobs like Syracuse job or

464
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:51,919
Speaker 3: the Houston job or all that stuff, but there's been

465
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 3: very few distractions around the end of like Programmed. Marian's

466
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 3: been mentioned for U Tip, But it's like they're pretty

467
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 3: locked in and they're pretty pissed off from you know,

468
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,880
Speaker 3: the situation they put themselves in Noise State is very

469
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 3: Jacklin Hyde. I mean, they're getting better, they're playing better,

470
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 3: but as Or mentioned that, the whole trajectory of this

471
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 3: season has just been crazy.

472
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 4: I don't trust them.

473
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 3: So if you're gonna give me points and you're gonna

474
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 3: give me the better team, I'm gonna take you o ov.

475
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 1: All right, before we go to the next group of

476
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,879
Speaker 1: conference championships, let me remind you about the betting pros

477
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,600
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478
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,240
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479
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480
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481
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Speaker 1: to your interest, including line alerts. When viewing a game

482
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Speaker 1: of interest, simply set a game notification so that you

483
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:49,960
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484
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:51,720
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485
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 1: your bet at the ideal line. Head over to bettingpros

486
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 1: dot com slash apps to start setting your line alerts now,

487
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 1: or download the Betting Pros app in the iTunes or

488
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 1: Google Play stores today. All right, let's go to the

489
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 1: big one, the SEC Championship. Here Farrell number one Georgia

490
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 1: versus number eight Alabama. The line is Georgia by six

491
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 1: fifty five and a half is the total here tickets

492
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 1: of cash on Georgia. They're split on the under in

493
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,200
Speaker 1: the over. Who's gonna win this game?

494
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 3: Georgia is gonna win the game. I just don't know

495
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 3: how much they're gonna win it by. You know, obviously,

496
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 3: we saw a few of the things that that.

497
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 4: We were concerned about with Alabama at the beginning of

498
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 4: the season. There was some sloppy play.

499
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:42,159
Speaker 3: It's mistakes hurting themselves and they hadn't done that a

500
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 3: very long time. They still pulled out the game. That

501
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 3: was kind of a miracle. On This game was gonna

502
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 3: happen no matter what. It doesn't really matter. But I'm

503
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 3: leaning Georgia. But that's not what I'm taking. I'm taking

504
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 3: the under here. You know, fifty five and a half.

505
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,119
Speaker 3: It's a good number. I think it's probably right in

506
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 3: the line with horses are similar to it. But this

507
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 3: is an SEC championship game. This is Kirby versus saying

508
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 3: this is two defensive coaches. These are two teams that

509
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,160
Speaker 3: want to establish the run first. They want to play

510
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 3: smash route, they want to be more physical than the other.

511
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 3: I think you're going to see not a low scoring game.

512
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,880
Speaker 3: I mean, this is an Alabama LSU one hundred years ago,

513
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 3: seven to three type of situation. But this could be

514
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 3: a I don't know, twenty to seventeen game. It could

515
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 3: be a twenty four to seventeen game. I just don't

516
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:32,640
Speaker 3: see this turning into a passing attack. Carson Beck's been awesome.

517
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 3: You can throw the ball. No Row, when he has

518
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 3: to throw the ball other than four and thirty one,

519
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 3: that's that they want to play. So I think both

520
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 3: teams want to establish to run. Kenel Milton's been getting

521
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 3: better and better. This running game for Alabama's getting better

522
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 3: and better. No Rows now are running, you know, at

523
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 3: he's a factor again in the run after like four

524
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 3: weeks where he wasn't run oriented game clock fall control

525
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 3: like the under Door.

526
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,120
Speaker 1: Your thoughts on the SEC title game? Are you rolling

527
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:05,440
Speaker 1: with George? Georgia seems pretty unbeatable.

528
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't locked in a bet yet, but if

529
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 2: the line's under six, I would lean Georgia, you know

530
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 2: right there, I would probably lean the over though, if

531
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 2: you know, in terms of the total, I think George

532
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 2: is gonna be able to score on Alabama. The pass

533
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 2: defense there, especially down the field. So Alabama's pass defense

534
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 2: sixty seventh in Explosion Carson Becks is shown you can

535
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 2: throw down the field.

536
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 5: They have some.

537
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 2: Weapons there, the speedy guys, and then Georgia's defense. They

538
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 2: their bugaboo has been the running game a little bit.

539
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 5: Now.

540
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:39,159
Speaker 2: This will be interesting if Jace McClellan, Ken or cannot play.

541
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,920
Speaker 2: But Georgia's defense eighty first and rushing success rate allowed

542
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 2: eighty fourth opportunity rate eighty eighth power success rate. I

543
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 2: do think they're going to be able to do a

544
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 2: better job against Milroe as a runner than Hugh Freeze.

545
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 2: Hugh Freeze, who the Auburn defense. They allowed Jalen Milroe

546
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 2: to run for overall one hundred. Yeah, it was like

547
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 2: they weren't spying him when they were supposed to. And then,

548
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 2: like Parrell was talking about before, on the one play

549
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 2: where it's like you don't need to use the spy

550
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 2: on this play, Hugh, He's like, soun that spy out there.

551
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 2: I'm sick of jail and running all over us. So

552
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: you know I would lean the over for those reasons.

553
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: I can't take the points with Alabama.

554
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 5: I don't.

555
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 2: We talked about this all fall. I don't trust Alabama

556
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,560
Speaker 2: as far as I can throw them. The spread I

557
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 2: think is more or less fair though. That's why I

558
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 2: still haven't worked out an official play on it. But

559
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 2: those would be my two leans right now.

560
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to the AAC Championship game

561
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 1: in New Orleans. It's SMU versus Number twenty three to

562
00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 1: two lane too, lane is a five and a half

563
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 1: point favorite. Forty eight is the total here tickets and

564
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 1: cash on SMU and the over here thor which way

565
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 1: are you leaning? In the AAC Championship game.

566
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:47,359
Speaker 2: That's the first time I'd heard the lines gotten up

567
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 2: to five and a half. It doesn't surprise me though

568
00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 2: I was all over two lane on Sunday. I got

569
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 2: a three and a half ticket last time I knew

570
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 2: it was at four and a half. But again, not

571
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:58,959
Speaker 2: surprising that the market just keeps shoving the money in

572
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: on two lane.

573
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 5: Horse in the bucks to adjust to just to juzz.

574
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 1: Looks like it is still four and a half. I'll

575
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 1: refresh here, but I guess I just got my wires

576
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 1: crossed well.

577
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 2: I think it could be up to six by kickoff,

578
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,760
Speaker 2: potentially Preston Stone's not playing. I mean, like that is

579
00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 2: an enormous, enormous downgrade. You go from Preston Stone, one

580
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 2: of the best quarterbacks in the G five, to Kevin Jennings,

581
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 2: who is a low three star recruit, six foot nothing,

582
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 2: sub two hundred pounds, thirty six career passing attempts. His

583
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 2: only other scholarship off were coming out of high school

584
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 2: from a team currently in the FBS. They were not

585
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 2: an FBS school at the time. That was from Sam Houston.

586
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 2: That was the only other sniff that Kevin Jennings got. Now,

587
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,439
Speaker 2: Kevin Jenning's going to be starting for SMU in the

588
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 2: title game here in the AEC, traveling to New Orleans

589
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 2: to take on Tulane in their home building, a place

590
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 2: where Tulane won this game last year. Right like in Tulane.

591
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 2: This year they go eleven and one. The only loss

592
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 2: they had was in mid September to All Miss when,

593
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 2: by the way, Mike Pratt didn't play. And if you

594
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,960
Speaker 2: guys remember in that game, Tulane was way more frisky

595
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 2: than they should have been with their backup quarterback going

596
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 2: up against Ole Mess. Tulane's got everything going for them

597
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 2: in this game. SMU's got to do it with the

598
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 2: backup quarterback. Other point I'll make TWU Lane's defensive weakness

599
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 2: by far is their pass defense. They have a really

600
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 2: good pass rush, but if you can deal with that,

601
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 2: you can just get them all the way downfield and

602
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 2: everything nick them with the intermediate stuff and everything like that.

603
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,880
Speaker 2: Their secondary is not great. So one weakness they got there.

604
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 2: I don't know that Kevin Jenny's gonna be able to

605
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 2: do that, and I don't know how he's gonna deal

606
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 2: with the pressure that Tulane reliably brings against every single opponent.

607
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 2: Where Tulane is awesome on defense, in addition to the

608
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 2: pass rush, it's their run defense. So they're going to

609
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 2: be able to Like if SMU is just like, oh,

610
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 2: we'll just run the ball a lot more. Now, you

611
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 2: got to go into the teeth of what tu Lane's

612
00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 2: defensive strength is.

613
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 5: Good luck with that. On their home Turff game that

614
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 5: won last year. Like I said, this one's green Wave

615
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 5: all the way.

616
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember that tu Lane versusl Miss game because

617
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 1: I lost some money on that one. I was definitely

618
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: going for ole Miss in that game when Michael Pratt

619
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 1: was out, but didn't work out. Mike, which way you

620
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 1: lean in the AAC title game here, I'll.

621
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 4: Go to a lane.

622
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 3: It's four right now, and it's gonna get up to six.

623
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 3: They're a better football team, they have better depth. SMU

624
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 3: has done a good you know, last year's done a

625
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 3: good job coaching. Without Preston Stone, they really don't have

626
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 3: a chance. I'm not sure why this number is so low.

627
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 3: So hammer it now at four because it's gonna get high.

628
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm maybe I was just thinking it was going

629
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 1: to be five and a half at some point.

630
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 3: Good number for what it's gonna be. It's gonna be

631
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 3: five and a half or six.

632
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 1: But let's go to the Sun Belt Championship. This is

633
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: app State at Troy. Six and a half is the

634
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 1: line here in favor of the home team Troy, and

635
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 1: fifty two and a half is the total cash and

636
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 1: tickets are just slightly on Troy, but they're pretty heavy

637
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 1: on the over here. Mike, do you have a good

638
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: lean one way or the other in this game?

639
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 3: I like the over two fifty two and a half

640
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 3: is a little bit low here. I think this is

641
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 3: going to be sort of a higher scoring game, not

642
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 3: super crazy. I like Troy if I had to pick

643
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 3: a side, obviously, I think they're the more stable football

644
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 3: team as far as consistency. You kind of know what

645
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 3: you're gonna get from that week to week, whereas app

646
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 3: State's kind of up and down. But I'm going over here,

647
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a sixty to

648
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 3: sixty five point.

649
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 1: There are your thoughts on the Sun Belt Championship Fun Belt.

650
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't bet it quite yet, but strongly towards

651
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,600
Speaker 2: Troy Try as a team I've liked all year. Apple

652
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 2: Agen say a team that that at the beginning of

653
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 2: the season was terrible. Then they came on in part

654
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 2: because of this new quarterback. They got Joey Aguilar, But

655
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 2: as we talked about on the Sunday Show, Aguilar may

656
00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 2: be close to turn into a pumpkin. So Aguilar so

657
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 2: far this year is thrown for thirty two and fifty

658
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 2: one yards, thirty three to nine td I and T

659
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 2: ratio eight point three yards per attempt any spurred you know,

660
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 2: Apple and say coming back and they upset James Madison

661
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 2: and like all this sort of stuff. And so it's

662
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: like this guy's a stut. But then you look into

663
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 2: some of the other metrics on him, pff his big

664
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 2: time throw rate to turnover worthy throw rate twenty eight

665
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: big time throws, which which is.

666
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 1: That solid that's okay, Yeah.

667
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 5: Twenty five turnover worthy plays.

668
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,440
Speaker 1: That percentage being close is not good.

669
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 5: It's not good.

670
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 2: And and like you can think of it, it's like

671
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 2: a fill in for td I and T rate, right,

672
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 2: So you want you know you want double of the

673
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 2: one you know or more uh in this case, just

674
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 2: the turnover worthy throw play. Joey Aguilar is tied for

675
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: number three in the nation UH in those with the

676
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 2: twenty five. The only two guys ahead of him Thomas

677
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 2: Castellanos and Davis Pickle.

678
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 5: Brnn our friend.

679
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,040
Speaker 2: The guy that he is tied with is Keon Jenkins,

680
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,560
Speaker 2: the stinky quarterback from FIU.

681
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: UH.

682
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 5: Keon Jenkins. His td I and T rate, by the way,

683
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 5: is eleven to eleven.

684
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 2: That's the guy tied with with Aguilar in terms of

685
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 2: his turnover worthy plays. And obviously Aguilar, he has been

686
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 2: able to avoid the disaster to this point. Troy has

687
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 2: the awesome defense, and Troy also has a balanced offense.

688
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 5: They spread you out.

689
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: It's a quick hitting passing game, keep you out of

690
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: the box, and then they run, run, run with Camanie

691
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: gore Vidal and rack up efficiency in terms of that stuff.

692
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 2: So between that stuff, their experience in this spot and

693
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: me not not super duper trust and Aguilar, I gotta

694
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 2: go with Troy.

695
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, Let's go over to the ACC Championship

696
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: game number ten, Louisville versus Number five Florida State. FSU

697
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 1: is a two and a half point favorite. Forty eight

698
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 1: and a half is the total. This game being played

699
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 1: in Charlotte, North Carolina. The public is on FSU for tickets,

700
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 1: but cash is on Louisville. Both sides are big on

701
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 1: the under in this game with Tate Rodimaker again, throw

702
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 1: your thoughts on the ACC title game.

703
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 2: The books gave me a gift on Sunday with Louisville

704
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 2: plus four and a half. I knew that was a gift.

705
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 2: I know I wasn't going to be there very long,

706
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 2: so I took it and ran out the door, very

707
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 2: happy with that ticket. Still all over Louisville Books. I

708
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: don't need your points in this one. Louisville is going

709
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 2: to win this game. Tate Rodimaker stinks and Tate rodam

710
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,959
Speaker 2: we were talking about this before the show. Tate Rodimaker,

711
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 2: it's not you know, some people haven't seen him whatnot,

712
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 2: and you think like, oh, you know, maybe he's got

713
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 2: some dormant potential. We've this kid's been on campus for

714
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 2: four years. Every time we've seen him, he's not been cut.

715
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:35,560
Speaker 2: He doesn't have a mobility aspect to his game. He

716
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 2: turns the ball over too much. He's not a good thrower.

717
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 2: In this past game last week against Florida, and for

718
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: people out there that don't know this contextually, Florida has

719
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 2: one of the worst pass defenses in the entire FBS.

720
00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:51,479
Speaker 2: It is legitimately atrocious. That is what you attack when

721
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 2: you play Florida. Tate Rodimaker didn't. He even complete fifty

722
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 2: percent of his passes in that game, despite the fact

723
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 2: he's working with Keon Coleman, who's a Round one receiver,

724
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 2: Johnny Wilson maybe Day two, else high day three, and

725
00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 2: Jahim Bell at the tight end the move piece.

726
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 5: He's going to get drafted in the.

727
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 2: NFL as well, and he still couldn't do anything against

728
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 2: you know, again, one of the worst pass defenses in

729
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,800
Speaker 2: the nation. Now you got to go up against this

730
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 2: Louisville team that has a crazy underrated defense. That's what

731
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,240
Speaker 2: they've sort of been led by this year. Ken Louisville

732
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,280
Speaker 2: scratch out enough points against the Florida State defense.

733
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 5: I think so because I don't think they're.

734
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 2: Going to need to do much to score more than

735
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 2: the Tate Roddamaker offense there. And by the way, I

736
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 2: don't think Tray Benson is going to be able to

737
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,720
Speaker 2: pitch in much either. Last week he got like ninety

738
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:40,279
Speaker 2: it was ninety some yards against Florida. Most of them

739
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 2: came from two runs. He had two runs in the

740
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 2: second half that ended up going for touchdowns. Florida's defense

741
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 2: isn't very good, and you take away those two runs.

742
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 2: It was like seventeen carries for like thirty yards or

743
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:55,400
Speaker 2: twenty five yards or like something like that. Louisville has

744
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,680
Speaker 2: a way better defensive front than Florida does.

745
00:34:57,840 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 5: If Florida State.

746
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 2: Thinks, oh, behind Terrey Benn, we're gonna win this game,

747
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 2: uh uh, it's not gonna happen Between Jack Plumber, between

748
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 2: Grendo between Jordan, They're gonna be able. Louisville's gonna be

749
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 2: able to put up enough points here. This one's Louisville

750
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 2: all the way. I also agree with the market in

751
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 2: terms of the under. That was another bet that I

752
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 2: made earlier this week. For all the reasons that I

753
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:21,239
Speaker 2: stated the Florida State offense is now impotent with tate Rodemaker,

754
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,879
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, it just is what it is. Louisville's gonna

755
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 2: win this game, and we're gonna get out of the

756
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 2: national nightmare if happened to see tay Rodemaker in a

757
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:28,480
Speaker 2: football playoff game?

758
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 1: Fair, are you in agreement here? Do you think Louisville

759
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 1: can win this game? Straight up? And? Uh, maybe take

760
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 1: him on the money line. It's not good juice. It's

761
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 1: like plus one fifteen if you're taking them on the

762
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 1: money line. This is the smallest spread of any of

763
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 1: the conference championship game.

764
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 4: Yeah.

765
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 3: I don't trust either team, so I'm gonna go under

766
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 3: because I.

767
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 4: Do trust what Door said. Rodamaker and that offense, It's

768
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:53,640
Speaker 4: just horrible.

769
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 3: The difference between Jordan Travis and that offense and and

770
00:35:57,040 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 3: tate Rodemaker is alarming. He can't utilize any of the

771
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: weapons he has. I mean, he targets Johnny Wilson more

772
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 3: than he should because he's eight feet tall.

773
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: Yep.

774
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,160
Speaker 3: He can't accurately throw to a six foot eight wide

775
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 3: receiver Stewery. He can't throw to the biggest, most talented

776
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 3: you know a group of wide receivers. You mentioned Bell

777
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:22,279
Speaker 3: and Warlock, and they've got guys that you just have

778
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 3: to get the ball within three yards of their catch radius,

779
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 3: and he can't even do that.

780
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 4: He's terrible.

781
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,959
Speaker 3: Louisville. I don't trust. I haven't trusted them all season long.

782
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 4: I think they're a year ahead of schedule.

783
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 3: Jeff Bramins agreed. Coach he's a good fit. But they

784
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 3: do have a defense and the secondary is also very

785
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 3: very good when it comes to NFL talent, that's a problem.

786
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:44,439
Speaker 3: You know, Florida State is going to have to try

787
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 3: to run heavy. They're going to have to try to

788
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 3: keep the ball, keep out a third and longs, keep

789
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 3: the ball away from rona maker. This one's gonna go

790
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 3: under because Louisville's got a good defense in Florida State

791
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 3: has no offense whatsoever. Florida State has a good defense.

792
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,799
Speaker 3: Louisville has an offense. I don't trust, So give me

793
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 3: the under this.

794
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you, guys. I'm heavy on the under here.

795
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 1: I do think that. You know, there's a possibility that

796
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,800
Speaker 1: the playmakers just win it for Florida State, you know

797
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: what I mean, because, uh, there are good playmakers. But yeah,

798
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 1: they could win the game. Is gonna have to be

799
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:18,839
Speaker 1: way better though, way way way better. It's too much.

800
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 3: That's how bad Florida sucks.

801
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:22,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how bad they are.

802
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 4: That's how bad.

803
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,280
Speaker 3: It's unvailability and this team have become.

804
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:29,319
Speaker 2: And by the way, Florida State, they needed so much

805
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 2: help from Florida to win that game. You guys recall

806
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:34,440
Speaker 2: Florida early on in that game was controlling it and

807
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 2: they were up with even what was it, eight minutes

808
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 2: left in that game. But between the play Mike, I

809
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 2: saw you put that up on your Twitter, between the

810
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 2: player that was this hitting the coach's hand off them,

811
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,759
Speaker 2: between the two ejections on the Gators side, between all

812
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 2: the mistakes they were making on special teams, the lack

813
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 2: of discipline, it was like they just kept being like,

814
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,880
Speaker 2: Florida State, you're undefeated, don't you want to still have

815
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 2: your shot to go to the college football But we're

816
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,960
Speaker 2: just gonna give you the game. And so Florida State

817
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:03,279
Speaker 2: finally was like, fine, we'll take it. Right, Louisville is

818
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,280
Speaker 2: not going to be as generous this weekend.

819
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:07,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the last game here, the

820
00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:11,320
Speaker 1: last conference championship to talk about. Michigan is a twenty

821
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,600
Speaker 1: three point favorite against Iowa in the Big twelve Big

822
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 1: Ten Championship. Excuse me, in Indianapolis. The money and the

823
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 1: cash and tickets, excuse me, are on the Michigan side.

824
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 1: We have tickets on the over here because it is

825
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: so low, but fifty five percent of cash is on

826
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: the under. Of course, because it's Iowa. Mic is this

827
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:37,160
Speaker 1: game gonna go under? Can it possibly go under?

828
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 3: It can go under? Yeah, so Michigan might as well

829
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 3: be well that stuff. Michigan can play like a big

830
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 3: ten West team if they want to. I mean, obviously

831
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 3: we saw second half against Penn State. They did not

832
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 3: throw the football. They can play a very slow, methodical offense,

833
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 3: and they can try to outphysical you. And I think

834
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:02,160
Speaker 3: that what they're probably gonna do against Iowa. Because Iowa

835
00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 3: is a really good offense. They're gonna try to wear

836
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 3: them down. They're gonna try to run the ball, play action,

837
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 3: all that good stuff. The line is ridiculous. I mean,

838
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 3: you know, if you look at that line, you're like, Okay,

839
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 3: I'll take Iowa getting twenty three points. But then you

840
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 3: think Iowa was gonna score three points in.

841
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 4: This football game. That's it. That's it.

842
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 3: Ade McNamarra is sharing all his secrets. Heirs the games.

843
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 3: The offense is terrible, terrible, they're gonna score three points.

844
00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,719
Speaker 3: So that is the question is okay, So what's the

845
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 3: score gonna be when we get Iowa's gonna score three?

846
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 3: Is it gonna be twenty three to three? And I

847
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 3: was gonna cover? Is it gonna be twenty six to three,

848
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 3: It's gonna be thirty to three. But whatever it is,

849
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 3: it's gonna be under that thirty five and a half.

850
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 3: So I'm taking the under. I'm looking at this as

851
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,400
Speaker 3: similar to a Big West Big ten West, you know,

852
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 3: game which I've won so much money all season long.

853
00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 4: Note go on the under.

854
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,400
Speaker 1: Thor are you taking the under in this game? Or

855
00:39:59,840 --> 00:40:03,279
Speaker 1: is Michigan is gonna score enough to takewatch?

856
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:04,799
Speaker 3: No, he's gonna take Iowa.

857
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,799
Speaker 2: Well, you guys know world's biggest Hawkeye fan over here,

858
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 2: and you know, Mike, we've been we've been on the

859
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,280
Speaker 2: under Ponzi scheme with Iowa season.

860
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 5: We've been riding that Michigan is going to.

861
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:20,480
Speaker 2: Annihilate Iowa and this and not only that, I think

862
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 2: Michigan is going to get over that total by themselves.

863
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 2: So a little history lesson for people out there. First

864
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,839
Speaker 2: of all, earlier this season, Iowa and by the way,

865
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 2: I'll say, in their defense, they should be eleven and one.

866
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 2: The ref stole one game from umpropulately the PJ. Fleck

867
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,640
Speaker 2: against you know, Fleck and the government.

868
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: In that game. So I remember that one too.

869
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 5: I won't even get into what I had.

870
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 3: I had the under and it came in.

871
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 5: Well, there you go. I mean, that's what you usually do.

872
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:49,040
Speaker 2: The one game where Iowa legitimately lost this year, it

873
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 2: was to Penn State, a team who is yeah, I

874
00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:54,720
Speaker 2: mean on you know, the line of continuum to Michigan,

875
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,479
Speaker 2: but Michigan's way better than them. Penn State beat Iowa

876
00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 2: in that game thirty one to nothing. Cade McNamara actually

877
00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:04,000
Speaker 2: started in that one. Deacon Hill got in for the

878
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 2: you know, at the very end or whatever. Kate McNamara

879
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 2: went five for fourteen for forty two yards. Iowa is

880
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:11,440
Speaker 2: a team three for fifty six. Their running game was

881
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 2: even worse. Iowa ran seventeen times for twenty yards. That

882
00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 2: was the totality of Iowa's offense against Penn State's defense,

883
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 2: which is not as good as Michigan's. One other thing

884
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 2: in our history, lesson, Let's go back to the twenty

885
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:27,759
Speaker 2: twenty one Big Big Ten Football Championship game between these

886
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:30,280
Speaker 2: two very same teams, and a lot of guys, especially

887
00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:32,720
Speaker 2: on the Michigan side, are playing in this game. Blake

888
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 2: Koram was in that game. Donovan Edwards was in that game,

889
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. Roman Wilson was in that game.

890
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 2: That one was Michigan forty two Iowa Hawkeys three. The

891
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,359
Speaker 2: last point I'll make about this game, Iowa started out

892
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 2: this season with a little bit of offensive talent, maybe

893
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 2: theoretically Kate McNamara, Luke Leche, Eric gall You had a

894
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 2: really good tight end group of different stuff like that.

895
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 2: All three of those guys are done for the season.

896
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 2: Iowa also has two of their top receiver Kirk Fearence

897
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:03,320
Speaker 2: just currently not know whether those guys are going to

898
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:07,520
Speaker 2: play in this game, Deontay Vines and Caleb Brown. Iowa

899
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 2: doesn't have anything on off like literally nothing. Deacon hill Is.

900
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 2: I love Deacon and we you know, we do the

901
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 2: Deacon Blues and everything. He's one of the worst starting

902
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 2: at BS court. That guy should be in the FCS.

903
00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 2: Like I'm sorry, Like I like to have fun with them,

904
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:24,239
Speaker 2: but not very good they Iowa can run mediocre is

905
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:28,160
Speaker 2: when they're playing mediocre competition. They can't when they're playing

906
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 2: a Penn State or a Michigan. We've seen this time

907
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:33,719
Speaker 2: and time again. This one's all Wolverines. I think the

908
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 2: Wolverines get over that total by themselves.

909
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:38,319
Speaker 1: All right, Well, that is going to wrap it up

910
00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 1: for this week. We will take next week off as

911
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:43,759
Speaker 1: there are no games, but we should be back the

912
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:47,000
Speaker 1: following week. So remember you could follow us all on

913
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 1: Twitter at Bogman Sports, for myself at thor Ku for

914
00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 1: Thorn at m Feral Sports, two ours, two l's for Mike,

915
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 1: and we will see you guys. Then take it easy, everybody.

916
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:00,320
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

917
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,759
Speaker 1: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

918
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

919
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,120
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920
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:12,880
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921
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:15,400
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