1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm PIM 2 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: Fox along with my co host Lisa A. Brahmowitz. Each 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: day we bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful 4 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: interviews for you and your money, whether you're at the 5 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: grocery store or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p 6 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 1: m L Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. 7 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: Right now, we are broadcasting live from the Commonwealth Financial 8 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: Network's annual National Conference of Advisors from the Marriott in Austin, Texas. 9 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: And PIM we've been talking about the dollar revival. The 10 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: flip story to that is the significant decline in emerging 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: market currencies, and to talk about that, let's bring in 12 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: Damian sass Our, chief Emerging market credit tragist for Bloomberg Intelligence. Damien, 13 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 1: I'm looking right now at the biggest one day drop 14 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: in the M S c I E M Currency Index 15 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: since early October and more than a month. Is this 16 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: all just the dollar or is there something else going 17 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: on with a rethink of investing in the developing world? Yeah, 18 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: at least you no, I think there is a little 19 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: bit of something else going on here. I mean, if 20 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: you just look back at was a test of what's 21 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: called the external durability of global economies. And I think 22 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: the way things are shaping up here, you know, heading 23 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 1: into yourn for is you know, with with a lot 24 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: of shorts and liquidity metrics kind of rolling over. And 25 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: by that I'm talking about US liquidity metrics, you know, um, 26 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 1: you know, oh I s t to libor and and 27 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: TED spreads and all of this. I think we were 28 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 1: maybe setting up to see a test of sort of 29 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: the structural fiber of financial markets, and I see the 30 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: credit markets as we get into the new year may 31 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: very well be tested for the first time in a 32 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: post TFC more tightly regularly. Hold on a second. So 33 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: great financial uh, great financial crisis. H Hold on a second. 34 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 1: This is what you're saying is really important, and I 35 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: want you to sort of articulate this. You're concerned about 36 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: the sustainability of current credit markets given some of the 37 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 1: stress metrics that you're seeing build right now. Is that correct? 38 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: That's art I think the said unwind is crowding out 39 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: competing asset classes. Damian Sassaur what is going on in 40 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: Mexico and we see a stock market that is lower 41 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: by about two right now and the new president on 42 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 1: low this is not reassuring at least two investors. What's happening. Yeah, 43 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: you know, I mean we're gonna see a lot of 44 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 1: credit differentiation here, I think as we as we get 45 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: into the end of the year. I mean, you know, look, 46 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: Trump has gone some way toward unifying forces against the 47 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: dollar and against the US, from China to Russia, to 48 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: France and Germany, you name it. But I think we're 49 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:36,959 Speaker 1: going to see foreign governments pay a lot more attention 50 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: to currency denomination and the PACEO is then you know, 51 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 1: it's the most liquid emerging market currency out there, and 52 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: I think people are going to use that either as 53 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: a head vehicle or a way of speculating against the dollar. 54 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: So I mean, you know, there's a little bit of 55 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: that going on. And I think, you know, Mexican equities 56 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: and a lot of other Mexican assets are just really 57 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: kind of um, you know, a byproduct of that, but 58 00:02:57,840 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: you know, just kind of taking that that that fall 59 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 1: it a little bit, you know, I think I think 60 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: the real themes as we get into the new year 61 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: and emerging markets PIM you know, China struggling to find 62 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: a way to fix its slow growth problem, and they're 63 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: going to be hard pressed to find one that doesn't 64 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: involve taking on additional leverage. Um. You know, if you 65 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: just look to Russia, now that the midterms of behind US, 66 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 1: we have new sanctions that are expected soon and then 67 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 1: this could be registered regulated US funds are not able 68 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: to participate in new Russian sovereign auctions that could be 69 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: a major hit to them. And then the other big 70 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:29,520 Speaker 1: theme I think that we're looking at is Brazil, right, 71 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: I mean Brazil. You know, everything is all rosy in Brazil, 72 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 1: but now the country needs to deliver and both in 73 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: our as an uphill battle if they if they plan 74 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: on passing hugely unpopular pensruon reform and other structural agenda. Well, Damien, 75 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: I want to go back to something that you were 76 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: talking about with respect to the stress that seems to 77 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: be emerging in credit markets that basically the FED is 78 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: withdrawing liquidity from markets and you're starting to see investors 79 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: go back to treasuries and withdraw money from emerging markets. 80 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: I'm just wondering how much further you think this could go, 81 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: because I'm looking right now at the biggest dollar denominated 82 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: emerging markets debt et F and it's down six and 83 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: a half percent year to date. I mean, this hasn't 84 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: been a good year for it at all. Are we 85 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: looking at much deeper losses than that even potentially next well, 86 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: I mean if you just look back at the modern 87 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: era of emerging market debt and I'm talking post global 88 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 1: financial crisis, you know, this is the first environment we've 89 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: ever seen where you know, we're duration and I'm talking 90 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: losses that are due to rising US yields are really dominating. 91 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,719 Speaker 1: You know, uh, you know, any other factor that might 92 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: generate you know, that might that might impact the end returns. 93 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: And the other big factor, as we know, is spread. 94 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: We'd have we've come come to some the taper tangum 95 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:41,599 Speaker 1: a number of episodes, November elections, you name it, where 96 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: spreads have blown out quite considerably in the e M 97 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 1: debt and we've not seen that this time around, and 98 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: that is a real risk. And I think the reason 99 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: that spreads has kind of held their own here has 100 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 1: a lot to do with the fact that other spread 101 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: asset classes here in the U S, specifically high yield, 102 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: have not really witnessed the same sort of you know, 103 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: um hit that emerging market, you know, so, so I 104 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: think I think you make a very good point. I 105 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: think there's a real risk here that not so much 106 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: that the set isn't doing its job, but it's going 107 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: to be very very difficult for it to navigate an 108 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: environment where you know, dollars are being squeezed out of 109 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: the system. Damien. Are there many professionals who are betting 110 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: on a recovery in e M debt and equity and 111 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 1: have not seen that recovery and now are faced with 112 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: issues about redemptions or just past performances not prologue. Well, 113 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 1: I mean yes, and and there's there's certainly gonna be 114 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: pockets of that. But you make a really you're hitting 115 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: on a very very important nerve here, Pim. As we 116 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: get into the new year, you know, everything resets, right, 117 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: And I mean I've been crunching the numbers here and 118 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,159 Speaker 1: I don't see how you can have exposure to some 119 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 1: of these very high BIDA, high risk UM you know 120 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: e M themes like Turkey and Argentina. You know, because 121 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 1: if we go into a risk on environment, you know, 122 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,599 Speaker 1: at some point next year, those credits are going you know, 123 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 1: they're going to outperform significantly, just given the embedded data 124 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: that are in them, so you know, you just can't 125 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:09,359 Speaker 1: afford not to own them, you know. And I despite 126 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: the weaker fundamentals, the higher idiosyncratic risk, I really can 127 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 1: see buyers emerging over the next few weeks into year end, 128 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:17,840 Speaker 1: you know, before conditions turn a liquid into the holidays. 129 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: So just to follow on that theme right now, at 130 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: least looking at retail funds, we really haven't seen outflows. 131 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: Are we seeing outflows from other areas or not yet? 132 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: We have We've definitely seen active funds take their share 133 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 1: of out flows. A lot of that's already kind of transpired. 134 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: I think it's safe to say that you're going to 135 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: see some rebalancing, as you do most years, you know, 136 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 1: as you kind of you get through the thirty feet 137 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 1: into the into January. I mean what happens is is 138 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: usually a bit of a lag because the redemptions start 139 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: to come through, at least the redemption orders come through. 140 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: Now you know, they usually have a month or two 141 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: before they have to meet those redemptions and then we're 142 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: talking feb one. So really what you're looking at and 143 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: this is you know, just talking about credit conditions, Lisa, 144 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 1: which you and I are just kind of, you know, 145 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: harping on here as we emerge from the holiday, you know, 146 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: sort of Christmas holiday. How US credit markets react to 147 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: that and whether they normalize where they remain type is 148 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: going to be absolutely critical to performance in Thanks very 149 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: much for sharing your time with us and your expertise. 150 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: Damian sassau Are Bloomberg Intelligence knows everything about emerging markets 151 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: and emerging market credit and indeed, just taking a look 152 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: at the Eye Shares m s c I Emerging market 153 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: et F, it is down more than twenty percent since 154 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: the beginning of the year. And it's time to talk 155 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: about fees. You know, Lisa, whenever we talk about exchange 156 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: traded funds, we speak about why they are popular, and 157 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: of course one of the big reasons has to do 158 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: with their low cost fee structure. Specifically when it comes 159 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: to big index funds, let's say those that are offered 160 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: by Van Guard. So I want to know about in 161 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: the advisor space, what is happening to fees. Greg Gore 162 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: is the senior vice president of wealth Management for Commonwealth 163 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: Financial Network. He is east in Boston, as many of 164 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: those people at Commonwealth are, and he joins us here 165 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 1: in Austin, Texas. Greg, it's a pleasure to have you 166 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: here with us. Tell us the latest when it comes 167 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: to the trend in fee structure and how it's working 168 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 1: for the advisor community. Yeah, thanks for having us him. UM. 169 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: So there, you know, we're in the midst of probably 170 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: a ten or fifteen year secular trend away from commission business. 171 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: UM and his advisors have you know, migrated UM away 172 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: from commissions and into fees. Uh. The entire industry, UH 173 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: is moving toward lower cost, greater transparency. UH. It's great 174 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 1: stuff for clients. You know, they're seeing expense ratios go down. 175 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: In many cases, they're seeing the total overall fees they're 176 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: paying their advisors go down. UM. So clients are big 177 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 1: winners here. And you know, it seems like as this 178 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: trend progresses, UM, you know, commission business will continue to 179 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: erode and we may eventually get to a point where 180 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 1: the vast jority of advisors are fee based. So you 181 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:06,439 Speaker 1: said that most advisors are most clients anyway are going 182 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 1: to be lower paying lower fees. That means that the 183 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 1: advisors are earning less. Do you expect some to go 184 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: out of business as a result. It's interesting and that 185 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: you know, client fees there, there's different components to it, right, 186 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: So we started this with the exchange traded funds, which 187 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:25,199 Speaker 1: certainly you know carry you no far lower expense ratios 188 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: than your typical actively managed mutual funds. So a lot 189 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 1: of advisors UM have migrated clients from higher cost expense 190 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 1: ratio products to exchange traded funds UM, you know, maintain 191 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: their fee structure or only modestly adjusted it down UM, 192 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: and clients ultimately may still benefit there. And then you've 193 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 1: also seen some advisors reduce their asset management fee UM, 194 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,680 Speaker 1: but charge a separate financial planning fee, so sort of 195 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: an unbundling of the advisory fee if you will. UM. 196 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: We we definitely see a trend towards that as well. 197 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:03,199 Speaker 1: What is the breakdown if there is one based on demographics? 198 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: In other words, older customers, younger customers, because many younger 199 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: customers they've never lived in a world where commissions were 200 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 1: the basic way in which he got paid. Yeah, that's 201 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:19,560 Speaker 1: a that's a great one, PIM. I think what we're 202 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: seeing among our advisor group is, you know, the older 203 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 1: clients I think are very comfortable UM. You know in 204 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,439 Speaker 1: both the commission and a few world A lot of 205 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: them grew up with commissions, you know, sort of came 206 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: out of that era where there was still stockbrokers, you know, 207 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 1: where there was right Jacole Jamada trade and then you've 208 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: got your slip and you realize that you paid, you know, 209 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 1: you paid the demission. You know you paid, you paid 210 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: for the transaction. So so they're very comfortable with that. 211 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:49,359 Speaker 1: I think, um as you move into the younger generation 212 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: that you know, they just consumed services differently, right, So 213 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: to them, they've grown up in the world where you know, 214 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 1: to them, commission is just they have no reference point 215 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: for that. They don't pay commissions. Um. So, so that's where, 216 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 1: particularly as we think about next gend clients, a lot 217 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:07,079 Speaker 1: of our advisors are adjusting their fee schedule for those folks, 218 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: charging things like you know, recurring financial planning fees that 219 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:12,839 Speaker 1: could be on a monthly basis, that could be on 220 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 1: a quarterly basis, like a subscription, like a subscription fee. 221 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: That that's how they you know, these folks like to 222 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:21,839 Speaker 1: consume services exactly. I have to wonder if there is 223 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: more transparency and given the fact that fees have been 224 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 1: compressed across the board at what point will clients just 225 00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 1: say I wanted to be lower and if you don't 226 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: lower it, I'm gonna go elsewhere we I'm gonna go 227 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 1: to a rob robo advisory and I'll make it work myself. 228 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 1: I think you're seeing that now. I think, um, you know, 229 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,719 Speaker 1: clients are asking, they're better educated, and they're asking hard 230 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: questions around fees that probably ten years ago they weren't. 231 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 1: Now for us, as we think about you know, our 232 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 1: advisors sustainability, UM, I think as long as you're providing 233 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: far more than just investment management, it gives you a 234 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: nice mode, if you will, protection from like a robo advisor, 235 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 1: it's primarily focused on investment management. So most of our 236 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 1: advisors do play in the comprehensive financial planning space. So 237 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: investment management is just a small part of what they 238 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: get paid for. Insurance products, annuity products. They all come 239 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,839 Speaker 1: with their own fee schedules based on the products that 240 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: may be sold. Do you see that that is going 241 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:22,439 Speaker 1: to be an area that is going to change over 242 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: the next couple of years. I do, UM. I think 243 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: you know, the insurance industry maybe hasn't been on the 244 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 1: leading edge of this movement from commissions to advisory fees. 245 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: But I think we're starting to see signs that they're 246 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,199 Speaker 1: going to move that direction. UH. Some of the major 247 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:45,959 Speaker 1: v A carriers now have moved aggressively variable annuities have 248 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 1: moved aggressively into advisory based contracts UM. I was just 249 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: talking today with one of our insurance partners, asked ash 250 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: Brokerage UM, and they were talking about the evolution among 251 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 1: some of their insurance partners that are getting more into 252 00:12:59,880 --> 00:13:04,840 Speaker 1: the fee UM advisory based insurance products UH to support 253 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 1: you know, advisors who can't receive commissions who have made 254 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,559 Speaker 1: that move in their affiliation model that their ent fee. 255 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 1: So I think the evolution is going to continue and 256 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: we're going to get a lot better products from it. 257 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: It's funny as you were talking and you were saying 258 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 1: they need to provide something more than just investment advice PAM. 259 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: Based on some of the conversations we've had here over 260 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 1: the past two days, it seems like being someone's family 261 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: therapist is part of it because you have to talk 262 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:31,120 Speaker 1: about what their life goals are, what they envisioned for 263 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 1: themselves when they're olders, how their relationship is, how they 264 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: would like the world to be. Is that accurate, and 265 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: that is accurate. And uh, you know, we think about 266 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: what our advisors do and and all the services they deliver, 267 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: and all the conversations they have, and if you brought 268 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 1: ten of them over here, I bet you they'd tell 269 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 1: you they spend less than ten percent of their time 270 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: talking about investments with their clients. UM. It's really, you know, 271 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: it's not what most clients want to focus on. Um 272 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: that you know that they want to know, do I 273 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 1: have enough money to retire? You know? And am I 274 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: going to be able to take the trip? And I 275 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: am I gonna be able to fund my grandchildren's education? Um? 276 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 1: So it it the the investments, you know are important, 277 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: and certainly from the advisor's perspective, they do pay the 278 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: bills to some extent. UM. But but I don't think 279 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: it's you know, always the top priority for clients. Fiduciary rules, 280 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 1: that was a big topic last year. It's less so 281 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: this year. Do you believe that many firms are going 282 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 1: to just adopt fiduciary rules standards because it's good business. 283 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 1: I think we're in a wait and see right now, 284 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 1: you know. Um, certainly the d L fiduciary rule UM 285 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 1: was a wake up call. I think for a lot 286 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: of firms to sort of look at their business and say, 287 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: are we future proofed? Are we in a position that 288 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 1: you know, we can comply with this UM Now everybody 289 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: got a reprieve from that. UH, that may route to 290 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: be temporary. Right. The SEC is out now with the 291 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: best interest proposal. We've heard from UM the d O 292 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: L that they may take take another run at some 293 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: regulation here. UM. So our advisors, I mean of our 294 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: business is already fiduciary. So so our advisors are very 295 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: comfortable with that. Ultimately I think goes that direction, we'll 296 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: be just fine. Greg Gore, thank you so much for 297 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 1: being with us. Greg Gore as senior vice president of 298 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: Wealth Management at Commonwealth Financial Network normally in Boston right 299 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 1: now in Austin, Texas. Definitely, one thing that is shaking 300 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 1: at least the energy stocks in the SP five hundred 301 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: and beyond is the ongoing decline in oil and the 302 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: ten day losing streak is setting it up for possibly 303 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: the worst route on record. The ten day loss has 304 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: been the biggest since November two, sixteen, and that was 305 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 1: one there was basically a free fall going on in 306 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: the price of oil. So it's using a lot of 307 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: questions here, given the fact that we have entered a 308 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 1: bear market. Now to talk a little bit more about this, 309 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: Julian Lee Bloomberg oil strategist joining us Julian can give 310 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: us a sense of why what is the mean driver 311 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: behind the oil price declines recently. I think there's a 312 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: number of things going on. We are seeing that forecasts 313 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 1: of demand growth of being revised downwards by all of 314 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:28,280 Speaker 1: the major agencies. But I think that the bigger thing 315 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: is is really a supply issue. UH. The US government 316 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 1: has raised its assessment of how much oil the United 317 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: States is producing. Both the most recent weekly and the 318 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: most recent monthly data show that production is growing at 319 00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: a rate of two million barrels a day year on year. 320 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: That is a staggering amount of oil. I mean that 321 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: is adding as much oil as is produced by Nigeria 322 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 1: and Gabon to OPEC members in the space of a 323 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: single year. UH. That I think has really spooked markets 324 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: and there's more shale to come. Julian. If you take 325 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 1: a look at the price of crude on the NIMAX, 326 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: since the beginning of October, the price has fallen more 327 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: than twenty per cent. If this was a stock market indicator, 328 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,080 Speaker 1: people would be jumping out of windows. They would be 329 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 1: seeing their stock portfolios lower by a five. Is there 330 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 1: a rebound that will happen. There may be a temporary rebound. 331 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:38,719 Speaker 1: I mean we are moving towards a period of of 332 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 1: much stronger seasonal demand. I mean, if you look at 333 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 1: one indicator, if you look at US refinery runs, the 334 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:50,840 Speaker 1: amount of crude oil processed in US refineries, it's just 335 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 1: coming to the end of what is typically a seasonal 336 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: low point, and the amount of oil being processed will 337 00:17:57,320 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 1: pick up over the period to the end of the 338 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: year by as much as one and a half million 339 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 1: barrels a day. That's going to give a a short 340 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: term boost to the demand for crude oil UM, and 341 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: that might provide a bit of relief for a while. UM. 342 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 1: But I think eyes are going to be on on 343 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 1: Opaque and Russia, the group of countries that said they 344 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 1: would cut output. They are meeting on Sunday. This is 345 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:29,040 Speaker 1: not a policy making meeting. It's a meeting to sort 346 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 1: of assess how their current agreement is going. But it 347 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 1: will set the tone I think for their discussions over 348 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 1: thecoming coming weeks. Is there a price point Julian at 349 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: which basically people start to go back to fossil fuels, 350 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 1: go back to using oil. That stymy is the development 351 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: of alternative energy sources. In other words, that's good for 352 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 1: the oil industry long term. In other words, three dollars 353 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 1: a barrel, it would be actually for the long term, 354 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:56,880 Speaker 1: probably pretty good for them. For the oil industry now, 355 00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 1: it would certainly be good from a demand point of you. 356 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 1: I think the problem with thirty dollar a barrel oil 357 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 1: is that that really starts biting into investment in future production. 358 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 1: And we saw that when oil prices fell, when they 359 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 1: were getting down to those sort of levels, in investment 360 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 1: in new projects just dried up um. And we're still 361 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 1: I think seeing the tail end of that. Now. What 362 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 1: is you know, what everybody I think agrees is that 363 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:33,200 Speaker 1: we need some sort of stability around a price that 364 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,120 Speaker 1: doesn't choke off demand too quickly, but also is high 365 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: enough to allow the industry to continue to invest. What 366 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: that level is is is the thing that nobody can 367 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:47,959 Speaker 1: agree on. When oil prices were thirty dollars a barrel, 368 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,680 Speaker 1: OPEC said it was round about fifty. When it got 369 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: to fifty, they were talking well maybe it's round about seventy. 370 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,679 Speaker 1: When it got to seventy, well maybe the target was eighty. 371 00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: So you know, this is a very much a movable 372 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 1: feat all right, it's a movable feast, but the feast 373 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: is sometimes stuck in the ground. Reserve values they are 374 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:11,119 Speaker 1: used for collateral purposes if you happen to be borrowing money, 375 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: which many exploration companies in the shale patch actually do. 376 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:18,160 Speaker 1: They taken on a lot of debt. When do they 377 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: have to revise those assumptions for how much that oil 378 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 1: at fossil fuel is in the ground, how much it's 379 00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 1: going to be worth well, I mean most of these 380 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:33,160 Speaker 1: companies are looking at a sort of revising the estimates 381 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 1: of their break even prices and the value of oil 382 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,120 Speaker 1: in the ground on a usually on a six monthly basis. 383 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 1: So the next one is is probably coming up towards 384 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,520 Speaker 1: the end of this year. But at seventy dollars a barrel, 385 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 1: sixty dollars a barrel for w t I I sort 386 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: of work in a Brent world being in Europe, but 387 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 1: you know, sixty dollars w t I, most of these 388 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 1: companies producing in the shale patch have probably cut their 389 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 1: break evens two round about thirty thirty five dollars of arrel. 390 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 1: So from that point of view, I think they're still 391 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,440 Speaker 1: fairly comfortable. The people who are going to be suffering 392 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 1: as prices fall if they continue to do so, are 393 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 1: the people who are looking at investing in very big, expensive, 394 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 1: long term projects, and that's where the investment has really 395 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 1: dried up. Julian Lee, thank you so much for being 396 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,360 Speaker 1: with us. Definitely oil in the spotlight today and your 397 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 1: perspective is greatfully, really insightful. Jeffrey, Julian Lee is Bloomberg 398 00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: Oil strategist. Uh coming to us. We are currently in Austin, 399 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 1: Texas at least RAMA. What's along with my co host 400 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:42,960 Speaker 1: and colleague Pim Fox. This is Bloomberg. Then we're going 401 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: to talk a little bit about financial literacy financial education 402 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 1: and joining us now to help us do this is 403 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 1: Maggie John Drew. Maggie is the president and owner of 404 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: Gendre Wealth Management based in Farmington, Connecticut. Maggie, thank you 405 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 1: very much for joining us, ke you for having me. 406 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 1: Just by way of introduction, I just want to mention 407 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 1: that the not only do you have a b a. 408 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 1: In economics from Providence college but also an m a 409 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 1: Master of Science rather from the London School of Economics. 410 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: You've taken your educational perspective and you've decided to turn 411 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: it into a trivia game having to do with financial information. 412 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: Tell us about your your your trivia game. Sure absolutely 413 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:31,919 Speaker 1: so UM. I actually joined my partner Laurie, who's been 414 00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,680 Speaker 1: in the business for over thirty years, and a goal 415 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 1: of mine was to reach out to the next generation 416 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,960 Speaker 1: of investors. And everyone's done the sit down seminars where 417 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 1: you have the state dinner and you know, maybe you 418 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 1: leave with a prospect, maybe you don't, UM, and not 419 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: necessarily everyone gets a lot out of it. So I thought, 420 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: how can we make this for the next gen and 421 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:54,919 Speaker 1: UM we started doing him at more interesting places like 422 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:59,360 Speaker 1: breweries for instance, and we would have a trivia game 423 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: which include your typical trivial questions but then also financial ones, 424 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 1: and at the end of every round I would give 425 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 1: some financial advice, so anything from basic insurances to for 426 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:14,919 Speaker 1: owen k plans in your match too of course student 427 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 1: loans UM. And they've been wildly successful, to the point 428 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: that some corporations have started asking me to bring them 429 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: in in house. So Maggie, You've worked at a lot 430 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:27,400 Speaker 1: of Well Street banks, from Barclays and JP Morgan, uh 431 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: most prominently among them. I'm wondering, our millennials really different 432 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 1: from anybody else? And is it really a group that 433 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 1: can be isolated with a characterization and when it comes 434 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: to investing sure, UM, I think a little bit yes 435 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:40,440 Speaker 1: and a little bit no. I mean, in the end, 436 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 1: everybody wants to have a good life, right and however 437 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,919 Speaker 1: they define that. But I think one place specifically that 438 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: millennials are different than boomers is that they do believe 439 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:55,439 Speaker 1: in social socially responsible investing. In fact, I believe sixty 440 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 1: six percent of millennials want that that social peace and 441 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 1: boomers about half. UM. So often when I am working 442 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:06,479 Speaker 1: with millennials, I have clients asking me to invest in 443 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,359 Speaker 1: of course clean energy, Um, they want to invest in 444 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: companies with a lot of women on the board. They 445 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 1: want to invest in bettering the water supply. So that's 446 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: a major difference, I would say. And then the second one, 447 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,840 Speaker 1: of course, is the student loan debt. I think we 448 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: have to deal with that a lot more. The use 449 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 1: of technology in order to stay connected with your clients, 450 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: with your customers how has that changed your ability to 451 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 1: actually run the business but also to give that kind 452 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,199 Speaker 1: of advice on a continuous basis because people are much 453 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 1: more mobile today. Absolutely. So, while headquartered in Connecticut, I 454 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 1: spent quite a bit of time in New York as well, 455 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,879 Speaker 1: um and I have clients there. So when I'm in Connecticut, 456 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 1: we skype. We have used FaceTime before. In fact, I 457 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,639 Speaker 1: had a client that was spending a whole year in 458 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: Italy and she inherited money from her father and wanted 459 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: it figured out before she came back years a long time, 460 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,360 Speaker 1: and we did everything or skype. One other sort of 461 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 1: cliche about millennials is that they're scared of the stock 462 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,399 Speaker 1: market because they grew up at a time during a 463 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,879 Speaker 1: lot of turmoil in equity markets. Is that true? I 464 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 1: would say it is. Yeah. We we have seen of 465 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,760 Speaker 1: course two eight most recently, and then some even saw 466 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,679 Speaker 1: the dot com crash. Um. But the way I've been 467 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,959 Speaker 1: commanding that is through education. Um. So again, the trivia 468 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,840 Speaker 1: nights are a great example, or just having small group 469 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: group events in our office where we can explain the 470 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 1: impact of long term investing and how even after those 471 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: that stayed invested are relatively Okay, today, what is f 472 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:43,000 Speaker 1: our next Gen. This is something that you put together. 473 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 1: It's a subscription service for financial planning. Tell us about 474 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:52,200 Speaker 1: f R next Gen. Sure, So, a lot of professional 475 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: millennials who would be wonderful clients don't have necessarily the 476 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 1: a M that a traditional assets under management. That's right. 477 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,400 Speaker 1: They don't have the money to have a financial advisor 478 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 1: manage it, but instead a lot of that money is 479 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,400 Speaker 1: tied up in their four own K. And I've seen 480 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: people come to me and their default in their four 481 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,840 Speaker 1: owne K is simply a money market. So they're really 482 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: not getting the benefit of that investing, but they're putting 483 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 1: away for a four owne K. And so for people 484 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: like that, they can come to an advisor, pay that 485 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,440 Speaker 1: subscription service on a monthly basis, and we can give 486 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 1: them advice on their four owen K, how to better 487 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:30,280 Speaker 1: allocate it, on student loans, on buying a home, really 488 00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:34,439 Speaker 1: providing that holistic financial planning without necessarily having the assets 489 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 1: er management. Maggie, I want to go back to something 490 00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 1: that you said, which is the student loans. That's a 491 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 1: serious issue that we need to deal with. How has 492 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 1: the massive student owned a student loan debt, which is 493 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 1: has surpassed one trillion dollars in United States, affected family formation, 494 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:55,400 Speaker 1: retirement savings, etcetera. For millennials. Yeah, I think everyone's putting 495 00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,639 Speaker 1: it off a little bit, meaning buying a home, starting 496 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,439 Speaker 1: a family, not only because of student debt, but I 497 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: know from speaking with clients that is definitely a reason. Um, 498 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,199 Speaker 1: I think another reason though his career. Right, So in 499 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: the past, if you had a child, maybe you had 500 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: to make some some decisions without about your career, whereas 501 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: now people really want to be set in their career, 502 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 1: paid on some of that student loan debt, and then 503 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: be able to start a family or buy a home. 504 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,200 Speaker 1: And in fact, I am starting to see that I 505 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,360 Speaker 1: get a lot more questions about home buying and five 506 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:27,920 Speaker 1: plans than ever before. Unfortunately, sometimes it all doesn't work 507 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 1: out and there are divorces involved, and as someone that 508 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: helps family plans, those families can change in disposition over 509 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 1: the course of years. Tell us a little bit about 510 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,439 Speaker 1: that part of your practice and how you specifically are 511 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: able to help women who are going through those issues. 512 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 1: Great questions. So we actually are women practice, uh, not 513 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 1: necessarily but by design, but definitely enjoy that peace and 514 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:55,919 Speaker 1: because of that, we do have a lot of women 515 00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: coming and seeking advice about financials. A lot of women 516 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:04,480 Speaker 1: were home caretakers and hadn't worked in many years um 517 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,520 Speaker 1: or they've never dealt with the finances before. Uh, and 518 00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 1: so when they come to us, we definitely do holistic planning. 519 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 1: So we start with a financial plan, making sure that 520 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 1: the budget is sound. Then maybe they're they're likely inheriting 521 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 1: money that they haven't had before from their spouse, right, well, 522 00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:23,159 Speaker 1: inheriting is the wrong word, but but obtaining, right, And 523 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 1: so what does that mean? And now retirement is no 524 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,360 Speaker 1: longer with somebody else, it's alone, and what does that mean? 525 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: Both emotionally and financially. So that's definitely a part of 526 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: our practice we've developed. And just real quick, I'm wondering, 527 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: how many people do you say that you work with? 528 00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 1: How many different clients? Sure? We have a hundred and 529 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 1: fifty households. Yeah, all right. It's really interesting to hear 530 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,240 Speaker 1: about how the different generations are different, to try to 531 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 1: extrapolate out into what we're seeing in markets and how 532 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 1: that's reflected. Thank you so much for being here, Thank 533 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 1: you for having me. Really interesting Maggie at Jendrew, President, 534 00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,920 Speaker 1: owner of Jendrew Wealth Management in Farmington, Connecticut, but obviously 535 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: not today. She is here in to in Texas at 536 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:05,160 Speaker 1: this conference, at the Commonwealth conference that we have been at. 537 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 1: So we are looking right now at markets that are 538 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 1: in the red. Perhaps this is just another bout of 539 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: concerns about overvaluation, with the NASTAC leading the way down 540 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 1: one point four percent decline, uh SMP five hundred down 541 00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:20,040 Speaker 1: a little a little bit less than nine tenths of 542 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 1: one percent. In the bond market, you can see yields 543 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: actually coming down across the board, despite some speculation that 544 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 1: the deficit is only going to increase and the FED 545 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: is on pace to raise rates. Coming up, we're gonna 546 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:35,360 Speaker 1: take a look at emerging markets. What does the FEDS 547 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,320 Speaker 1: path of rate hikes mean for them. I'm Lisa Bromo 548 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 1: was pim Fox, and this is Bloomberg Markets. Thanks for 549 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,920 Speaker 1: listening to the Bloomberg p m L podcast. You can 550 00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 1: subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or 551 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 1: whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on 552 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,200 Speaker 1: Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. 553 00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 1: It's one before the podcast. You can always catch us 554 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 1: worldwide on bloom or Radio m