1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Alright, let's get serious now and join our guests Kevin Simoda, 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: author of the first super app, to help preview tenh 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: cent earnings. And we should mention that Kevin was formerly 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: an executive at we Chat, which is of course owned 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: by a ten Cent, So quite extraordinary here, Kevin. We 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: are expecting to see the first quarterly fall in terms 7 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: of revenue for ten cents, so the first quarter of 8 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: negative revenue growth. When you look at third quarter twenty 9 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: I mean we saw twenty nine percent growth there. It's 10 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: gone down substantially during the pandemic, and we know that 11 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: ten cents advertising segments have been impacted by China's COVID 12 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: zero policies. What are you expecting here? And I guess 13 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: how does ten Cent turn things around? Well? Juliet, first off, 14 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 1: thanks for having me. I won't share my favorite Elvis song, 15 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 1: but I've been listening to a lot of their music recently, 16 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: so thanks for having me. Um, I expect I expect 17 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: Tensive to be lying low and be happy to have 18 00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: one of their first quarters of negative revenues and negative earnings. UM. 19 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: I think ten said what they've always done well is 20 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: government relations, and right now the government crackdown is nearing 21 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: an end, but I wouldn't. But ten Cent is all 22 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: about lying low, staying out of the limelight um and 23 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: trying not to attract any ire from the Chinese government. 24 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: So I expect them to continue to lie low and 25 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 1: be be working on things like the metaverse um and 26 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: where social interactions will be in the future. But I 27 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: think they're going to be kind of happily lying low 28 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: during all of this, I guess, like the pandemic, government 29 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 1: crackdown and new government relations, government policies which are pretty 30 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: unclear still. We've been reporting about the potential divestment of 31 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: ten cents steak in may Juan and Morgan Stanley saying 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 1: that could help perhaps it to unlock some hidden investment value. 33 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: We've got ten Cent currently holding around seventeen percent of 34 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: may Juan, the value of its steak worth about twenty 35 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: four billion dollars. Is that a fair assessment if we 36 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: do see ten Cents selled down that steak, Yeah, I 37 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: think I think I could see. I could see them 38 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: kind of. I've seen them slashing hires. I see them 39 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: doing a lot of cost cutting, so taking removing the 40 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: fat from all of their industries and trying to reduce 41 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: where especially UH in places like ads or gaming for 42 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,399 Speaker 1: the domestic market, and even we chat their golden kind 43 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: of product for a long time. They're they're doing firings 44 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: and they're cutting costs everywhere they can. I could see 45 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: them divesting from matoin, especially as um antitrust regulations continue 46 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: to increase and they have their fingers in a few 47 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:54,359 Speaker 1: too many pies, uh, and maybe they'll be divesting from 48 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: that as China's market is kind of cooling off in 49 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: favor of more investments overseas, UM and other gaming companies overseas, 50 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 1: I could see something like that happening, or in favor 51 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: of more investments in things like the metaverse or immersive 52 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: reality immersive experiences. So, just speaking of expansion and trying 53 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: to expand globally, why do you think ten Cent perhaps 54 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: doesn't hasn't done as well as perhaps many analysts had 55 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: expected it would on a global stage. Yeah, great question. Um. 56 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: After working there for four years and being on the inside, 57 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: I'm fluent in Mandarin, and Tencent is a very Chinese 58 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: company and there they know China very well, they know 59 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 1: Chinese consumers very well, but they're very humble and how 60 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 1: much they understand the global consumer um and they're not 61 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: very confident in in addressing users overseas and seeing too 62 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: seeing to the needs of overseas users. And Tenson strategy 63 00:03:55,080 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: has always been pretty clear. They invest globally and they 64 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: launch locally. So what they'll do is they'll buy a 65 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: game overseas like Riot Games, U, League of Legends, Valeriant, 66 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: very successful game studio. They just let them do whatever 67 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: they're doing globally, which works, and then they go, We're 68 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: going to launch your game in China and publish in China. 69 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: That's kind of been this secret to success PRETENSI. They 70 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 1: kind of own the China market, but they're very humble 71 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: in their global ambitions that I'm gonna I see them 72 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: continue to do that, all right, I don't. I wanted 73 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 1: to ask as well some of the research that you've 74 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: been done been doing, excuse me, Kevin, in terms of 75 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: some of the other big I guess apps that we follow, 76 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: the likes of TikTok owned by Bye Dance she In, 77 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: which is huge here I have to say in Southeast Asia. 78 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: You say these are examples of apps that of integrat 79 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 1: the best of the East and the West. What products 80 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: kind of come next here and do we see a 81 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: super up in the West? Oh, perfect question to that's 82 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: that is the that is the crux of my whole book, 83 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: all the first super app. Well, I guess what I 84 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: kind of see is the next generation of apps just 85 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 1: kind of like you're saying, is going to be ones 86 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: that combine the best of the East and the West, 87 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,719 Speaker 1: the best of China and global. China has developed their 88 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 1: own Internet with its own unique aspects, its own consumer 89 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 1: uh standards um. And when you make an app in China, 90 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: it's different than when you make an app design for 91 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 1: the West. And that's why Tenson struggles to go global 92 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: because they get China, but they don't get the West. Now, 93 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: what by Dance and Sheen has done is amazing. They 94 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 1: have talent that kind of they are able to be 95 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: on both sides of the Great Firewall of China. They're 96 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 1: able to make an app that utilizes these best practices 97 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: of these super aps and combining all these services into 98 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: one and making it still very user friendly despite being 99 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: so huge, and then being able to launch that and 100 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 1: make it uh localized and applicable two users overseas. And 101 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 1: now we see by then we see TikTok and Sheen 102 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: going global and just taking the world by storm. I 103 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: see super apps going going to happen internationally, whether that's 104 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 1: going to be a Western company kind of emulating and 105 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 1: copying what we has done, or a Chinese company going 106 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: global with some of these standards that we has set. 107 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: All right, Kevin, great to get your insights. Thank you 108 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 1: so much for joining us. That is Kevin Shimoja, author 109 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: of the first super app, joining us from Sydney here 110 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:30,559 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Daybreak. Asian