1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Pi's apia and 3 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to look at the 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 1: Thursday night football. We got a good one. This is 5 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: basically a playoff game here, huge NFC West matchup, the 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks taking on the Los Angeles Rams. This is 7 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: the second time this year. Last time dam Darnold threw 8 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: a lot of picks. Things did not go the way 9 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: the Seahawks bought. The Seahawks continue to gain confidence every week. 10 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: And we've got some big injuries to talk about in 11 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: this game too on the Rams side. How it's gonna 12 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: impact that game. But first and foremost, let's addressed the 13 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: elephant in the room, which is Scott Bogman and I 14 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: wore the same thing to work today, which is not 15 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: coordinated but funny. So here we go. It's a little awkward, 16 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: but we could do it in the comments YouTube. Who 17 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: wore it better? I think that's the only way to. 18 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 2: Do it, right, bugs, I think so. I think that 19 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: has to be the way it goes. 20 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: So free hoodies are always good, Like yeah, company gives 21 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: us the free hoodies. I've got the FP, he's got 22 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 1: the VP. 23 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 2: Yes, exactly the same, but kind of. 24 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: I mean it's pretty much the same, but whatever. Yeah, 25 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: it is what it is, and we're here for everybody, 26 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: so remember free stuff still could be yours. Here's how 27 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 1: you win it. You go to Bettingpros dot com slash 28 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 1: contest and we're giving away a signed AJ Brown helmet 29 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 1: for you from Pristine Auction dot com. All you need 30 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: to do is download the Betting Pros app leaver review 31 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social 32 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: media channels at Betting Pros on X, on TikTok and 33 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 1: Betting Pros NFL on the IG. The more actions you complete, 34 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: the more entries you'll receive, and we'll be announcing the 35 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: winner right here and the wiener right here on the 36 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,199 Speaker 1: channel too, So don't be a wiener, be a winner. 37 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 1: That's what you do. New episodes are up. You never 38 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: want to miss a chance to go ahead and be 39 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: part of that and also want this AJ Brown helmet too. 40 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: Is Pristine Auction, by the way, amazing place. Holiday season. 41 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: Looking for a gift for mom or dad, or brother 42 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: or sister who's a big fan of a team, more autographs, 43 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: you could take a stick at ready, tell you the helmets, 44 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: the jerseys, everything so good, pristine auction, big fan, got 45 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 1: a bunch of stuff in my office here from them. 46 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: All right, let's take a look at the tail of 47 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: the tape. Davante Adams as of us recording this, we 48 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: still don't have the clear word, but he ain't playing. 49 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: I'm just putting that out there. He ain't playing, which 50 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: means maybe more Kobe Parkinson. We'll talk about him later 51 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: in the show, maybe a little bit more running the 52 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: football as well, because look, Davanta Adams is not replaceable. 53 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: You don't replace a guy that's had more receiving touchdowns 54 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: than anybody else in the league. And this is a 55 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: horrible time to lose Davante Adams with a game like 56 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: this on a short week. So Seattle eleven and three, 57 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:23,639 Speaker 1: the Rams eleven and three. Right now, it's kind of 58 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: choose your own adventure. The best numbers on betting pros, 59 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 1: you're gonna find plush basically even money, like for plus 60 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: zero point five on the Rams. I'm seeing like now, 61 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 1: like that just makes me laugh. I'm like, come on, guys, 62 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: what what are we doing. 63 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 2: It's a money line game. 64 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: It's a pick, I know, but just like it, come on, 65 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: just pick. It's a money line game. Plus one and 66 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: a half. You can get on Seattle over forty three 67 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: and a half under forty four and a half minus 68 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: one o four on the Rams side, plus one oh 69 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: four on the Seattle side. I'm going to stick with 70 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: the Rams. I still think they're the more complete overall team. 71 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: It's Sam Donald in a big pressure spot. And when 72 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 1: Sam Donald gets in big pressure spots, until he shakes 73 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: that off from me, Bogs, He's gonna live with that tag. 74 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: And I think that's something that It's not unfortunate, it's 75 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: just facts. You know, when when things started to get 76 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: rough last year in Minnesota, what happened to Sam Donald? 77 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: Things fell apart. Here's a perfect example too. You know, 78 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: you beat the Colts. Whoo great. Philip Rivers is one 79 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 1: hundred and forty seven years old. I'm not dancing a 80 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: jig quite yet, but I will tell you this, like 81 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: this is a game. You show up, you beat this 82 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: team here at home, I will stop talking crap about it. 83 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: But Sam Donald's had a great year. Everybody should be 84 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: very proud of Sam Donald. Should give them a cookie. 85 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,119 Speaker 1: It's been great, but I'm gonna take the Rams until 86 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: further notice. Pog So give me Rams on the money 87 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: line minus one oh four. That's how I'm approaching this 88 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: game until Sam Donald proves me wrong or different your thoughts. 89 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 2: I agree with you. I feel like if I am 90 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 2: going to take a side, is probably going to be 91 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 2: the Rams here. And I know that historically the Rams 92 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 2: haven't played well in Seattle, but recently they have played 93 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 2: well in Seattle. And there's gonna be some weather in 94 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 2: this game. There's gonna be a lot of rain. It 95 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 2: looks like I kind of expect that to flow towards 96 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 2: the offense. That's typically what it does rain without crazy wind, 97 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 2: which seems like that's what we're gonna have. I believe 98 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 2: it's a sustained rain with eight mile per hour wins 99 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: the last time I look. So, I think this should 100 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 2: be a more crisp offensive game, even without DeVante Adams 101 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: and two good defenses, because we do have slipping in 102 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 2: the rain, We do have backpedaling weirdness, and you know, 103 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 2: sometimes you get the slips for the offense as well, 104 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: but the mistakes typically tend to be bigger on the 105 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 2: defensive side in weather like this so little cold, little rainy, 106 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,919 Speaker 2: not what the the indoor rams like to see. But 107 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 2: I think they'll be fine in this game because we've 108 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:50,039 Speaker 2: seen Matthew Stafford whether it's storm before and like you said, 109 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 2: San Donald threw so many four interceptions in this game 110 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:56,799 Speaker 2: the last time out you which I thing goes. 111 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,159 Speaker 1: Down because they have a roof that covers seventy percent 112 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: of the seating and that's stadium. I was just reading 113 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: more about it, and it's just like you couldn't fit 114 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: the bill for the rest of it. It's Seattle, it 115 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: rains all the time. 116 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 2: Like yeah, but I think that's that you give that 117 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,119 Speaker 2: the advantage to your team when it does that because 118 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 2: it's usually cold rain without a lot of lightning, So 119 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: you know that it just it works in their favor 120 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: to be outdoors. I feel like so. But I also 121 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 2: am of the age now where I'm like, if you're 122 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 2: building a new stadium, just put a damn roof on it, Like, 123 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 2: we don't need to see these crazy snow globe games. 124 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 2: They're fun every once in a while, but there is 125 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 2: not good for the fans or for the players. So 126 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 2: I think, you know, it's twenty twenty five. Man, let's 127 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,239 Speaker 2: start putting roofs on these places, like, let's make it 128 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:49,160 Speaker 2: more convenient for us to play. But I get it, 129 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:52,039 Speaker 2: you know, you have an advantage with the weather there, 130 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 2: So I just I like the rams here, but I 131 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 2: don't like the side. I lean towards the over. It's 132 00:05:57,240 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 2: not my favorite. So I'm going to stick to props 133 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:00,919 Speaker 2: in this game. I do think this is going to 134 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 2: be a very very close one. 135 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,039 Speaker 1: All right, let's move forward here with those props. 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Not a cash offer offered by 164 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: the Seminal Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by the 165 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be 166 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:21,679 Speaker 1: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, 167 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. 168 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three to 169 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: three play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you 170 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: know as a gambling problem, lawts help called one eight 171 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred 172 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 173 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: All right, Bogs, let's walk through some of these props 174 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: here that we've got. We've got Sam Darnold as the 175 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: first one here, coming off a tough Monday night football 176 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 1: for you. But again, Pittsburgh Steelers, they got the w. 177 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: That's all Scott Bogwin cares about. 178 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, I mean, honestly, it is. But I also 179 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 2: like some of those misses, which is obviously I didn't 180 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 2: know Jayla Warren was going to be sick. It was 181 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 2: twenty degrees on ar Thing on Friday and ended up 182 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 2: being I believe in like nine degrees a kickoff. It 183 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 2: was just way way too old for the Dolphins to 184 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 2: do anything, and good Lord to to it look miserable 185 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 2: in that cold he looked like I probably was a 186 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 2: miserable function in the cold. 187 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 1: So I was miserable watching two. It look miserable, like 188 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 1: that's how miserable it was. Let's see if Sam Donald's 189 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: going to be miserable or not. We're going to have 190 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: passing touchdowns, We're going over or under. 191 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 2: We're going to go over this because I like the 192 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 2: number at plus one twelve here. But let's also you know, 193 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 2: we did see Sam Donald throw four picks in the 194 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 2: last game here against the Rams, right, it was just 195 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,719 Speaker 2: a terrible performance, but they moved the ball well despite that, 196 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 2: they did have four hundred and fourteen yards. The Rams 197 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 2: have allowed two plus passing touchdowns in three straight games, 198 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 2: and the Rams have allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns in 199 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 2: the NFL this year at five. So if we do 200 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 2: see Seattle score, more likely to come from the twenty 201 00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 2: one passing touchdowns the Rams have given up than the 202 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 2: five rushing touchdowns the Rams have given up, So I 203 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 2: think these come through the air. I still think they'll 204 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: probably get Donald once or twice. He tends to make mistakes, 205 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 2: specifically like you mentioned late in the season here, when 206 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 2: he's kind of been figured out, So I do expect 207 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 2: this to be a close game. But I do think 208 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 2: with the way they moved the ball last time, they 209 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 2: know that they can do that. It's already on film, 210 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: so I think they can score a couple times. I 211 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 2: think Donald throws two all right. 212 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 1: At the top of the show, we mentioned not DeVante 213 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: Adams most likely as recording this. It's the trend that 214 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 1: we're working with. So Colby Parkinson Surrey, I would say 215 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: very much in play here thirty six and a half 216 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: of the receiving yards. This seems like one to get 217 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 1: in early and often. The last time we saw him 218 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: in the game here when Devontae Adams came out against 219 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions, Parkinson had five receptions for seventy five 220 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: and two touchdowns, the longest reception being twenty six yards, 221 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: and he saw seven targets. So I would look for 222 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 1: Parkinson to be busy in this game, Bogs. I don't 223 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a lot of two two out 224 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: Well or Jordan Whittington or Kannada Mumfield. Un let's me 225 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: get it, Cannata Mumfield sighting again. I hope I'm not 226 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 1: Pitt the pride of pit, but I like the over 227 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: on this thirty six and a half and I know 228 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: you do too. 229 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I love this one. I mean better juice 230 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 2: in the receptions. No, Devonte Adams right, and he's had 231 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 2: seventeen targets over the last three weeks and a snap 232 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 2: percentage has been on the rise since week nine, weeks 233 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: nine and ten, he's a fifty six and fifty seven 234 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,680 Speaker 2: percent between sixteen and sixty nine percent from weeks eleven 235 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 2: to fourteen, and last week all the way up to 236 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:32,559 Speaker 2: an eighty six percent SNAP share for these Rams here. 237 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,320 Speaker 2: So Kolby Parkinson and Matthew Stafford have been working it out. 238 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 2: As you mentioned, the pivot point off of DeVante tends 239 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 2: to be towards the tight ends here for Matthew Stafford 240 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 2: this season. So I love this one. I really do 241 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 2: like this one. I think this one is going to 242 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 2: sail over now. 243 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:49,560 Speaker 1: It's been a split backfield for the Rams the last 244 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:51,720 Speaker 1: couple of weeks here with Blake Corman and Kien Williams, 245 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:53,959 Speaker 1: and people keep saying the same thing to me every week. Well, 246 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 1: Blake corm you know he's still want to share here. 247 00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:00,079 Speaker 1: I don't care. He's been efficient, he's getting yardage. I 248 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 1: think this thirty nine and a half is very achievable 249 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 1: that he's got here tonight. I know you're in agreement here. 250 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 1: He's had touchdown equity in all the last three weeks 251 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: as well. He keeps putting up crooked numbers. That's what 252 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: you want here from Blake Koram down the stretch. So 253 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 1: I'm in on this. In fact, I'm also in on 254 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 1: whatever the longest run is of Blake Koram too, because 255 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: that's what he keeps doing. He's breaking off one long 256 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: one and that equates to a pretty good number here 257 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: at the end of the day for him. So the 258 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 1: over under four this Thursday night game is thirty nine 259 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards at minus one fifteen. Talk 260 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 1: to me about the Blake Korum number here. 261 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,200 Speaker 2: I like that I'm turning you onto these longest rush, 262 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 2: longest reception. 263 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: I was thinking, like, if there's one of the longest ones, 264 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:37,839 Speaker 1: this is the guy, this is the dude. I feel 265 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: like I'm given Travion Henderson this week. 266 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Travion definitely any week for him. I took 267 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:46,679 Speaker 2: a kick back with him in Madden against Welsh yesterday. 268 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: But thirty six and a half is the number here, 269 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 2: and he's had ten plus carries two weeks in a row. 270 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 2: He had his highest snat percentage of the season last week, 271 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 2: and we've had this team come out and say we're 272 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 2: trying to keep Kyrien Williams fresh for the playoffs. Well, 273 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 2: if you're trying to keep Kyen fresh for the playoffs, 274 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 2: it makes sense that you would run the young man 275 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 2: way more in this game because it's on short rest. 276 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:14,319 Speaker 2: So I feel like Korm is going to get another 277 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 2: double digit dose of carries here, and I think, like 278 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 2: you said, he rips off a big one, so it's 279 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 2: just doing a little bit of work against It is 280 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 2: a tough run dy in Seattle here, but again, lots 281 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 2: of rain get one slip, Korm is gonna go a 282 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 2: long way, so I think he gets a lot of 283 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 2: this on like one or two big rushes and then 284 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 2: does the rest with volume, which he's been getting. 285 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Karen Williams in the other 286 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: end of this backfield here. The number is one and 287 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,439 Speaker 1: a half receptions. Last week he only had one. Were 288 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:44,959 Speaker 1: going the under for that again. 289 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is this one's probably dicey, but we are 290 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 2: getting plus juice on this Seattle has allowed the most 291 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:56,079 Speaker 2: receptions to running backs, but Kyroen and Korm had one 292 00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 2: a piece in the last game, and Kyen has only 293 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 2: had one reception of four of his last five weeks. 294 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 2: He's only had two or moreet targets in two of 295 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 2: the last five weeks, and he's been under twenty routes 296 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 2: run in eight of the last nine weeks. Koram didn't 297 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 2: have more than nine routes any week until last week 298 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 2: when he saw sixteen, which was one more than Kyron. 299 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 2: So it seems like they are gearing up Koran to 300 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 2: use him more in the passing game. They're kind of 301 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 2: taking that away from Kyron, and it's just not been 302 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:33,719 Speaker 2: the direction that Matthew Stafford has been going well. As 303 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 2: we mentioned before, he's been pivoting more towards the tight 304 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 2: ends when a guy like Devonte goes down and throwing 305 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 2: to the running backs, and even if he does throw 306 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 2: the running backs more in this game, it's been split 307 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 2: between Korum and Kyron. Now used to be all Kyron 308 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: at least on the passing downs as well. That is gone. 309 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 2: Korum ran more routes than him last week, so I 310 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 2: expect that trend to kind of move going forward until 311 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 2: we hit the playoffs, which is what they're saving kyrone 312 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 2: for now. 313 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: A lot of people with Adams out will most likely 314 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 1: go the over and the compensation. For Puka Nakua, you're 315 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 1: not taking that route. Let's talk about why you're under 316 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: ninety four and a half. When it comes to Puka's number. 317 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 2: Well, number one, Puka's little nicked up as well. He's 318 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 2: he's gonna play, but he is not one hundred percent. 319 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 2: And we know that Puka has missed some time in 320 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 2: his career and Seattle is the number one defense against 321 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 2: wide receivers in the NFL. He did have seven catches 322 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 2: in the last game, but it was only for seventy 323 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 2: five yards on eight targets. He's only hit this ninety 324 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 2: four and a half in one of four games against Seattle. 325 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: That was the first one that he's that he played 326 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 2: against them in twenty twenty three, and there have only 327 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 2: been two wide receivers to go over one hundred yards 328 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 2: against the Seahawks this year. That was a mecca at 329 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 2: Buka Week five and Ricky Piersall week one. That's it. 330 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: Now. 331 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 2: We did have Trey McBride week ten go nine catches 332 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: for one to twenty seven in a touchdown. They also 333 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 2: had issues against kay Pits as well, But that's why 334 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 2: we like Colby Parkinson. They're not covering the tight ends 335 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 2: very well in Seattle, but they blanket those whiteouts. And 336 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 2: I think Pooka Nakua is going to get a lot 337 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 2: more focus on him if Davonte is out for this game. 338 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 2: Davonte isn't play like we said, so I think he's 339 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 2: gonna get double a lot. I think it's going to 340 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 2: make things tougher for him. And if you're Seattle, look, 341 00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 2: make korm beat you, make Kyron beat you, make Colby 342 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 2: Parkinson beat you. Don't let Pooka beat you. That should 343 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 2: be the name of the game here. So I think 344 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 2: he's going to get a lot of blanket cover. It's 345 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:30,640 Speaker 2: going to be a tough day for him. 346 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: Look, and that's Seattle defense is awesome. Like we talked 347 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 1: about them in the preseason. I thought their number was 348 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: observed was eight and a half for win totals, Like 349 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: that's not given enough respect to what this team did 350 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: last year, especially out of stretch, how well that defense played. 351 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: And they're a great team. They're a playoff team. They 352 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: deserve to be there if I'm gonna stay with my 353 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 1: narrative though that the Rams are still the best coach 354 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 1: team and the best overall team, and they have the 355 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: most likely MVP quarterback at this point with Matthew Stafford. 356 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: This is his last hurrah. I feel like then, I'm 357 00:15:57,120 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: just gonna keep on my eggs in that basket till 358 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: things go otherwise. Now, if you're looking for help with 359 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 1: your props, don't worry. We've got you. Download the Betting 360 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 1: Pros app and use the prop bet cheat sheet, or 361 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: go to betting pros dot com slash props, where you 362 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: can see all the best lines, all the projections for 363 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 1: the night, the overs, the unders, where things are gonna go, 364 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: and then the best lines to bet on every single prop. 365 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: And we also have the SGP tool as well. For 366 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: the same game parlays, go to bettingpros dot com slash Parlay. 367 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: But again, download the Betting Pros app. Bet smarter, not harder, 368 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 1: use the tools. Don't be a tool. All right, here 369 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: we go SGP for the night, Blake Korm score a touchdown. 370 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 1: That's what I want plus two thirty yes, please, and 371 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: then give me the Rams on the money line. Nice 372 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 1: tidy little evening where I put those two things together. 373 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: But when I get plus three eighty two, it's a 374 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: pretty good number. When I put those two things together, 375 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: it's a simple narrative. I'm writing, Blake Korm keeps scoring touchdowns, Okay, cool, 376 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 1: and then I get the rams to find a way 377 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 1: to victory. Okay, even cooler, and I'm almost four to 378 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: one richer. So obviously I gave away my touchdown call. 379 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 1: Blake Korm plus two thirty bogs. Where are you going 380 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 1: for your TD call for Thursday night? 381 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 2: Well, I think Donald's gonna throw two. I gotta have 382 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: JSN there, and you're still getting plus money for him 383 00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 2: at plus one fifteen, so I'm gonna go roll with JSN. 384 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 2: Dude has been unbelievable this year. 385 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, incredible season for JAS. Shout out to Jake Seally, 386 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,919 Speaker 1: friend of ours and friend on the FP side from 387 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,440 Speaker 1: the athletic There was nobody higher on JSN than him 388 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:18,880 Speaker 1: going into the season, and I kept listening to him 389 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 1: talk and I wish I bought more into it. I 390 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 1: just didn't have. However, the drafts went, I just didn't 391 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: get him and didn't have opportunities to get him. 392 00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 2: And I only have a couple I don't have. I 393 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 2: don't have any of those high end. 394 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 1: I had a lot of early picks, so I had 395 00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 1: a lot of like Chase and Jefferson and the guys 396 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: like that. I think to get Jasn you had to 397 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:36,919 Speaker 1: be at the back end of a draft this year, 398 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: and I didn't have a lot of those spots. 399 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 2: I had a lot of middle and backhand and I 400 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 2: only have like one or two shares of CHSN. 401 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: So but dude's been awesome. 402 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 2: I've got him in the two playoff leagues. 403 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: I'm still live in What a coincidence. It's almost like 404 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 1: two guys showing up to work wearing the same thing. 405 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: All right, make sure you subscribe to the channel hang 406 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: out with us. We're gonna have Saturday night games this 407 00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 1: week too. We're gonna have a special on that don't 408 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 1: miss that that's coming up this week as well, and 409 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: of course we're gonna have our prop show. We're going 410 00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 1: to have all of our usual best bets. Everything's here 411 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,680 Speaker 1: for you, so make sure you stay tuned to Betting 412 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 1: Pros on the YouTube side. Subscribe to the channel, like 413 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 1: this video, and of course drop your comments below. Who's 414 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 1: winning this big game Thursday night. It's fun to get 415 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,639 Speaker 1: a big game on Thursday night. No more nonsense. I 416 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 1: want big, important games. I want to playoff football. It's December. 417 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 1: I want to stuff my face with eggnog cookies and 418 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: watch good football. That'll do it for us, But the 419 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for Scott Bog. But 420 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids. 421 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,200 Speaker 2: So thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 422 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,120 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support us. 423 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 2: Is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 424 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:43,439 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 425 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 426 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:55,360 Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros