WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Texans Week 15 Preview

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<v Speaker 1>To remove Dallan Deep speedless, peace, do hell Peas. From

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<v Speaker 1>the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield.

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<v Speaker 1>He's got my havnds in the playoffs.

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<v Speaker 3>What is up Dolphins? And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,

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<v Speaker 3>just previewing the biggest game of the entire season.

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<v Speaker 2>No big deal.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll take a look at the critical matchups and everything

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<v Speaker 3>you need to know ahead of Dolphins and Texans on Sunday.

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<v Speaker 3>From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.

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<v Speaker 3>This is the Drive Time Podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Maggie Duff.

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<v Speaker 3>Week fifteen at the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium, one

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<v Speaker 3>o'clock kickoff ONBS Gonna be played indoors. They keep the

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<v Speaker 3>roof closed this time of year at NRG. I was

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<v Speaker 3>interested in this. I went and looked it up. TUA

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<v Speaker 3>is five and one all time in domes and one

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<v Speaker 3>and one and retractable roof stadiums.

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<v Speaker 2>Can you can't? Can you know these games? Can you

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<v Speaker 2>name these games?

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<v Speaker 3>I had to cheat, but only because I didn't know

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<v Speaker 3>what Las Vegass roof was comprised of retractable or an

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<v Speaker 3>actual roof. It is the latter. It's a dome that

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<v Speaker 3>does not open up. But I went backward and man,

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<v Speaker 3>we play we play so few games indoors. Are you

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<v Speaker 3>guys like aware of this? Our division, the entire AFC

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<v Speaker 3>North being outdoor stadiums, you have two retractable roofs in

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<v Speaker 3>the South and two indoor facilities in the West. But

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<v Speaker 3>in the NFC you've got seven indoor or retractable, so

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<v Speaker 3>it's a four to seven split. So I guess that

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<v Speaker 3>pretty much tracks as to why we don't play that

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<v Speaker 3>many games indoors. Anyway, the games we have played indoors

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<v Speaker 3>under Tua was the Rams earlier this year, the Chargers

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<v Speaker 3>last year. So so far has been a nice play

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<v Speaker 3>for us to play the Lions back in twenty twenty two,

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<v Speaker 3>which was right before they began this run as the

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<v Speaker 3>best team in football. As far as the record goes

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<v Speaker 3>over the last two and a half seasons, the Saints

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<v Speaker 3>in twenty one that Ian book game that was ugly,

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<v Speaker 3>and the Raiders back in twenty twenty which Tua got

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<v Speaker 3>benched for Ryan Fitzpatrick in and the lone loss is

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<v Speaker 3>the game in twenty twenty two at the Chargers retractable

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<v Speaker 3>roof games twenty twenty against the Cardinals to hiss rookie season,

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<v Speaker 3>the famous Cardinals game, and this one's harder. It was

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<v Speaker 3>the loss in Frankfurt last year. Technically that is a

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<v Speaker 3>retractable roof in Germany over there, so interesting facts there.

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<v Speaker 3>I think this bodes well for the Dolphins offense ability

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<v Speaker 3>to hit their explosive plays and play sharp and play

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<v Speaker 3>their best game because footing will be good on artificial turf.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead, meet the team, this gun try to

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<v Speaker 3>stop this Dolphins offense and team in general.

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<v Speaker 2>In the Houston Texans.

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<v Speaker 3>We have not played the Houston since twenty twenty two,

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<v Speaker 3>and we haven't been in Houston since twenty eighteen?

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<v Speaker 2>Can you believe that? And who boy?

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<v Speaker 3>They are the prime example of how quickly things can

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<v Speaker 3>change in this league. You might remember just two years ago, hell,

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<v Speaker 3>even this time last year, before they got hot, they

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<v Speaker 3>were still kind of this upstart, young team that was

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<v Speaker 3>kind of fun to watch under Demico Ryans three years

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<v Speaker 3>three head coaches, starting back in twenty twenty when they

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<v Speaker 3>dismissed Bill O'Brien and somehow finished with four wins despite

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<v Speaker 3>having good version of Deshaun Watson back then, which helped

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<v Speaker 3>us get the third pick in the draft and would

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<v Speaker 3>turn into another number one pick and Jelen Waddle pretty

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<v Speaker 3>good there. Then they go David Coley for a year,

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<v Speaker 3>who was a sacrificial lamb who won four games for

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<v Speaker 3>a team that was supposed to win zero games, and

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<v Speaker 3>they still fired him. They had a couple of years

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<v Speaker 3>there after they depleted their draft cupboards where they signed

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<v Speaker 3>like thirty free agents and like twenty five of those

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<v Speaker 3>deals were one year contracts. It was one of the

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<v Speaker 3>weirder teams in terms of construction that was hurting for talent,

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<v Speaker 3>but wasn't a young team at the exact same time

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<v Speaker 3>that I can ever remember. Very strange dichotomy. They had

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<v Speaker 3>like a team chaplain who was like making personnel decisions.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess Jesus take the wheel.

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<v Speaker 1>You know.

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<v Speaker 3>That continues into the Lovey Smith year where he goes

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<v Speaker 3>three thirteen and one, and you might remember his big

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<v Speaker 3>middle finger to the entire organization where everybody knew he

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<v Speaker 3>was getting fired, and he winds up pulling out a

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<v Speaker 3>victory from the jaws of defeat in Week eighteen that

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<v Speaker 3>gave the Panthers the first pick, and actually Lovey did

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<v Speaker 3>them a favor, although I think that the Panthers were

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<v Speaker 3>the only team in the league that was going to

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<v Speaker 3>take Bryce Young theer one overall, but it wound up

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<v Speaker 3>getting in the better quarterback in the class that year

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<v Speaker 3>with CJ. Stroud, And that is where things end or change,

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<v Speaker 3>I should say, when you get one of the best

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<v Speaker 3>rookie quarterback performances this league has ever seen. So they

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<v Speaker 3>bring in Damiko Ryans, who this offseason rounds out his

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<v Speaker 3>defense to fit what he's looking for. So in the

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<v Speaker 3>matter of three years, they go from one of the

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<v Speaker 3>most talent poor franchises to a team that has a

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<v Speaker 3>star quarterback Stefan Diggs, although he's down, Nico Collins, Tank

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<v Speaker 3>Dell Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon, Laramie Tunsel. I'm not gonna

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<v Speaker 3>put Tye Howard in there. He's a decent player. Daniel Hunter,

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<v Speaker 3>will Anderson, Deniko Loxrey, Derek Stingley, Jalen Peatrie, Jimmy Ward.

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<v Speaker 3>They are a very talented football team, a popular dark

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<v Speaker 3>horse Super Bowl pick this offseason, and they come out

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<v Speaker 3>of the gates on fire. With this five and one

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<v Speaker 3>start and kind of validate what everyone said about this

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<v Speaker 3>football team, but have really really struggled in the seven

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<v Speaker 3>games since then, three and four. They have losses to

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<v Speaker 3>the Jets and Titans. In there, those wins are against

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<v Speaker 3>the Jags and the Cowboys, and I'm forgetting one more.

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<v Speaker 3>They beat Jacksonville twenty three to twenty before their bye week,

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<v Speaker 3>and quite frankly, I think the bye week came at

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<v Speaker 3>the perfect time for them. But we'll see if it

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<v Speaker 3>helps them get things corrected or if they come out

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<v Speaker 3>of the bi week a little bit rusty. We've seen

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<v Speaker 3>that happen to this Dolphins team a couple of times,

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<v Speaker 3>so hopefully that's the case for Houston this week. Hopefully

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<v Speaker 3>we force them into that and just you know, make

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<v Speaker 3>them go back to the drawing board. And man, they

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<v Speaker 3>have to be locked in on this game because if

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<v Speaker 3>they don't win this one, they go to Kansas City

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<v Speaker 3>next week on a Saturday for a short week game.

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<v Speaker 3>Then they have an even shorter week playing on Christmas.

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<v Speaker 2>Just what is that?

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<v Speaker 3>Four days later, So they have a six day week

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<v Speaker 3>and then a four day week and it's against the

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<v Speaker 3>Ravens on Christmas. It is entirely conceivable that if we

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<v Speaker 3>can go in there and get this win, they could

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<v Speaker 3>be looking at falling to eight and eight heading into

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<v Speaker 3>their finale against the Titans. And if the Colts can

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<v Speaker 3>beat Denver, Tennessee and the Giants, the Texans would have

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<v Speaker 3>to win that game against the Titans and get help

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<v Speaker 3>for the Jags to beat the Colts on the season

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<v Speaker 3>finale to win the division. So to say, this is

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<v Speaker 3>a big game for both teams, it's a must win

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<v Speaker 3>for both teams.

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<v Speaker 2>I think if Houston loses this game, I.

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<v Speaker 3>Don't really trust the Colts, but I think there's a

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<v Speaker 3>I'm not going to predict it, but there's a real

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<v Speaker 3>possibility they lose the division if they do not beat

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<v Speaker 3>the Miami Dolphins on Sunday.

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<v Speaker 2>You also know about the similarities.

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<v Speaker 3>Bobby Slowack was a coach on or with McDaniel and

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<v Speaker 3>San Francisco as well as in Washington. Similar offensive systems.

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<v Speaker 3>Of course, to MeeGo Ryans brings a defense that Mike

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<v Speaker 3>knows all too well from their time together in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 3>Matt Burke is the defensive coordinator. Connections are a plenty.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's break down this massive, massive, massive, game in the AFC.

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<v Speaker 3>The Texans offense their schemes. So if you thought we

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<v Speaker 3>threw the ball to the middle of the field a lot,

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<v Speaker 3>just wait until you watch this Texans attack. Forty eight

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<v Speaker 3>percent of their throws go between the numbers. Well, actually

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<v Speaker 3>it's the exact same number as us, but our numbers,

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<v Speaker 3>I think are a little bit skewed to account for

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<v Speaker 3>the frequency of the screen game we run this year,

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<v Speaker 3>which has replaced our poor running game. But the Texans

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<v Speaker 3>numbers to the intermedia and deep portion are much higher

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<v Speaker 3>than ours. And that's kind of what I'm getting at here.

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<v Speaker 3>They start things with outside zone. You know that here

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<v Speaker 3>they haven't really employed a curveball to that it's a

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<v Speaker 3>three to one zone to man split. Ours is a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit less than two to one. And they run

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<v Speaker 3>the ball off tackle or wider on forty five percent

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<v Speaker 3>of their runs, and they just quite frankly, can't really

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<v Speaker 3>do it this year. I mean, you couldn't be more

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<v Speaker 3>familiar with this Texans scheme. They want to fire off

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<v Speaker 3>the football, create indecision with your eyes and your pre

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<v Speaker 3>snap motion and activity. But I think that teams have

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<v Speaker 3>been able to kind of stop this because they don't

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<v Speaker 3>respect their run game, especially with the one on one

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<v Speaker 3>struggles they've had inside. And I mean what I just

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<v Speaker 3>told you is kind of true of the Dolphins as well,

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<v Speaker 3>which I think should create even more appreciation for the

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<v Speaker 3>way two was playing right now. That's down the road

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<v Speaker 3>in this podcast though. They're not playing connected up front,

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<v Speaker 3>and it produces a lot of runs for nothing or

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<v Speaker 3>losses for that matter. You can backdoor them, you can

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<v Speaker 3>get them off their spot, you can impact their ability

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<v Speaker 3>to catch and climb with big, powerful players, which what

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<v Speaker 3>does Miami have inside but exactly that, and then off

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<v Speaker 3>that they want to run play pass, they want to

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<v Speaker 3>hit inbreakers against your displaced middle of the field defenders.

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<v Speaker 3>Based upon that play action game, I think a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of the time, timing and rhythm being thrown off has

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<v Speaker 3>really been the monkey wrench for this offense, if you will,

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<v Speaker 3>for them. Because of Stroud's nine interceptions, seven of them

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<v Speaker 3>have come in the middle of the field, and if

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<v Speaker 3>we can just get one or two of those this week,

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<v Speaker 3>I think we're gonna win this football game. Personnel groupings,

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<v Speaker 3>they run eleven personnel sixty two percent of the time,

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<v Speaker 3>twelve personnel thirty four percent of the time, which is

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<v Speaker 3>the third highest rate in the National Football League, and

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<v Speaker 3>they will go to three tight end sets here and

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<v Speaker 3>there three percent of the time.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you attack it? How do I say this correctly?

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<v Speaker 3>Like all summer, you know, the concern among our fan

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<v Speaker 3>base was the offensive line. And I saw one of

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<v Speaker 3>the trolls on Twitter that hates everything that we do

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<v Speaker 3>say like, oh, all you have to do is give

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<v Speaker 3>to a two top ten receivers, a top ten running back,

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<v Speaker 3>and a top five offensive line, Like really, dude, now

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<v Speaker 3>the offensive line's top five. Cool man, But if you think,

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<v Speaker 3>I think, if you look at the Texans season and

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<v Speaker 3>how that's transpired, what has happened there was the fear

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<v Speaker 3>that all the Dolphins fans have they had the Texans

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<v Speaker 3>have not been able to run the football and they

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<v Speaker 3>cannot protect CJ. Stroud, and that offense has regressed in

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<v Speaker 3>a major way, despite I think Stroud playing pretty much

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<v Speaker 3>the same level of football that he did last year.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the way to attack this version of this

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<v Speaker 3>offshoot of the Shanahan system is to do everything you

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<v Speaker 3>can to disrupt the edges. Do not let those tackles

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<v Speaker 3>get out in space, don't let the tight ends win.

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<v Speaker 3>You have to win those matchups frequently, and I think

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<v Speaker 3>you could sacrifice a a little bit inside in order

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<v Speaker 3>to accomplish that. Like we've seen Ramsey, we've seen Holland,

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<v Speaker 3>and even if you want to call on more base

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<v Speaker 3>for you know, Anthony Walker or Tyrell Dodson could be

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<v Speaker 3>a big spot for those guys. I think you have

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<v Speaker 3>to find a way to really set the temple on

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<v Speaker 3>the edge and then also be able to flood the

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<v Speaker 3>intermediate middle part of the field and trust that Seiler

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<v Speaker 3>and Campbell can win a bunch of inside rushes or

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<v Speaker 3>run game reps in terms of playing double teams, beating

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<v Speaker 3>one on one matchups and making the tackles on those plays,

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<v Speaker 3>so that Brooks and Walker can really focus on their

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<v Speaker 3>width and depth against both run and against coverage. And

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<v Speaker 3>that means you absolutely need a big game from Emmanuel Ogba.

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<v Speaker 3>Hopefully Bradley Chubb can can go. I would love to

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<v Speaker 3>have tyas Bowser for this game, but we do not,

0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:45.559
<v Speaker 3>so Chop, you're gonna have to step up the run

0:10:45.600 --> 0:10:48.520
<v Speaker 3>defense as well. Of course, when Campbell kicks outside, maybe

0:10:48.559 --> 0:10:51.800
<v Speaker 3>you get Mo Kamara, Maybe you'll get Cameron goodback here. Shoot,

0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:54.760
<v Speaker 3>maybe even move Seiler and Campbell both into some more

0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:56.640
<v Speaker 3>five tech roles to achieve that.

0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:58.319
<v Speaker 2>So you know what it looks like.

0:10:58.400 --> 0:11:00.400
<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead and talk about the big three verse

0:11:00.480 --> 0:11:02.720
<v Speaker 3>the Texans offense. You have to shut down the run

0:11:03.040 --> 0:11:05.400
<v Speaker 3>and you have to do it from light boxes, because

0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:08.480
<v Speaker 3>I want to be more concerned about Nico Collins and

0:11:08.559 --> 0:11:12.000
<v Speaker 3>Tank Dell and John Metchi. Speaking of playing with light boxes,

0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:15.160
<v Speaker 3>did you know that we are the number one team

0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:18.320
<v Speaker 3>stopping the run in the NFL from light boxes? That

0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:20.640
<v Speaker 3>means less than seven to man box counts, So five

0:11:20.679 --> 0:11:23.440
<v Speaker 3>defensive backs out of the equation six or fewer men

0:11:23.480 --> 0:11:25.760
<v Speaker 3>in the box. Nobody gives up fewer rushing yards on

0:11:25.800 --> 0:11:28.240
<v Speaker 3>those looks per play then we do. And that is

0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:31.120
<v Speaker 3>very much to me. A Zach Sealer, A Jordan Brooks,

0:11:31.160 --> 0:11:33.880
<v Speaker 3>and a Kalais Campbell's stat Did you know that CJ.

0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:37.000
<v Speaker 3>Stroud has five hundred and four dropbacks this year and

0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:39.439
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and four of those have come on third

0:11:39.600 --> 0:11:43.280
<v Speaker 3>or fourth down and long, which is seven plus yards. Spoiler,

0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:46.200
<v Speaker 3>we'll have another key attached to this, but this is

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:49.280
<v Speaker 3>the result you strive for with your run game. If

0:11:49.280 --> 0:11:53.000
<v Speaker 3>you can make ten of Stroud's forty ish dropbacks in

0:11:53.080 --> 0:11:55.199
<v Speaker 3>this game, or eight of the thirty five, whatever you

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:57.360
<v Speaker 3>want to call it. If you can make them in

0:11:57.400 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 3>these situations, I love our chances to make some stops

0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:04.480
<v Speaker 3>and even more importantly, create some splash plays. Man, we

0:12:04.600 --> 0:12:06.319
<v Speaker 3>need to get back to taking the football away. It

0:12:06.320 --> 0:12:07.920
<v Speaker 3>feels like the last couple of years we have not

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 3>gotten anything by way of takeaways. We need more of that.

0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:13.880
<v Speaker 3>Please let's continue that in our second portion. But back

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 3>to the main thing here. And as we said in

0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:19.559
<v Speaker 3>our how do you attack it category, I think about bigger,

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:22.560
<v Speaker 3>heavier edges like Ogball, Kamara, Seeler, Campbell.

0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 2>You look at their deployment.

0:12:23.880 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 3>They want to involve their tight ends as attachments in

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:28.840
<v Speaker 3>the outside running game, and I just think if we

0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:32.000
<v Speaker 3>can prevent them from stretching it out there, it creates

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:35.079
<v Speaker 3>a world of issues for their offense. And Joe Mixon

0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:37.600
<v Speaker 3>is not like a super elusive shifty back who can

0:12:37.600 --> 0:12:39.880
<v Speaker 3>find those cutback lanes. He kind of wants to get

0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:41.679
<v Speaker 3>his head of steam rolling and make quick decisions from

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:43.920
<v Speaker 3>there where he can sort of, you know, make one

0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:46.599
<v Speaker 3>cut and go, And I think that reduces the effectiveness

0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 3>of their play pass game as well. It cuts off

0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:52.200
<v Speaker 3>their bootleg opportunities, which CJ. Stroud is very adept at doing,

0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 3>and it makes the jobs of Brooks and Walker and

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:57.640
<v Speaker 3>the safeties much much easier. If you can stop Joe

0:12:57.720 --> 0:12:59.880
<v Speaker 3>Mixon's feet on those stretch plays, I think you can

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 3>to shed blocks and give them serious issues and stack

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:05.360
<v Speaker 3>up a lot of TFLs and runs for no gains.

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:07.640
<v Speaker 3>But Itto Jones is playing, in my opinion, the best

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 3>football of his career. Deshan hand gives you a handful

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:13.080
<v Speaker 3>of really good reps every single week in the rotational role,

0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:15.880
<v Speaker 3>and perhaps their gradual growth allows you to be more

0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:19.319
<v Speaker 3>flexible with both Campbell and Stealer. And this probably changes

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:21.480
<v Speaker 3>if we get Bradley Chubb back as well as Cam Good,

0:13:21.800 --> 0:13:23.839
<v Speaker 3>and hopefully that would mean you could reduce some of

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:27.800
<v Speaker 3>those snap counts outside for those guys and get Neil Farrell,

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 3>for instance, back to playing zero snaps, but especially chub Man.

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:32.360
<v Speaker 3>What a great week it would be to get the

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.080
<v Speaker 3>best edgesetter on the entire football team back in this

0:13:35.120 --> 0:13:37.160
<v Speaker 3>game against the Houston Texans. Not to mention next week

0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 3>against the Niners, because it's gonna be the exact same thing,

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.200
<v Speaker 3>and against the Browns in two weeks as well, so

0:13:41.240 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 3>hey beatchup. Good three games to come back for here,

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 3>Big Doug. All these stats go together for the Texans.

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:50.599
<v Speaker 3>They have the most negative runs in football and a

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 3>run game that has a success rate ranking thirty first

0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 3>the National Football League, which leads to Stroud being the

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:59.240
<v Speaker 3>most pressured quarterback in the NFL. Let's cover that Texas

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:02.280
<v Speaker 3>offensive line. Our second big thing, Number two, is to

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 3>create and punish third and long situations. Opposing defenses have

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:09.280
<v Speaker 3>blitzed the Texans fewer times this year than what they

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 3>did last year, and already have more hurries and unblocked

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 3>pressures than they did a season ago, and there are

0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:17.959
<v Speaker 3>four games left to go. I think there's been a

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.800
<v Speaker 3>few issues here. They haven't run it well and that

0:14:20.920 --> 0:14:23.840
<v Speaker 3>always makes life tough on a passing game. They aren't

0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:26.680
<v Speaker 3>scheming up those room service throws for Stroud, and he's

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 3>had to really parse through some slow developing route concepts,

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 3>and their spacing hasn't been very good. And speaking of

0:14:32.800 --> 0:14:34.760
<v Speaker 3>life coming at you fast in the NFL, go look

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 3>at the commentary among Texans fans on Bobby Slowick, and

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 3>I will I don't like listening to fan commentary on

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.320
<v Speaker 3>offensive coordinators and play calls, because if you can't draw

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:46.360
<v Speaker 3>a run fit, then you probably shouldn't be talking about

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:50.040
<v Speaker 3>play calls, right, But the discourse has changed. Last year,

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 3>he was a head coaching candidate. This year folks want

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 3>him fired. And all of those things combined are a

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 3>terrible combination with the third issue, which is their pass protection.

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:03.320
<v Speaker 3>Per ESPN Pass block data, the Texans have a blown

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 3>block or a loud pressure on thirty percent of their dropbacks.

0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:09.640
<v Speaker 3>It's the most in the NFL. The Patriots are second

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 3>from last and they're at twenty five percent. And we

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 3>saw how Miami did against that offensive line. If you

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 3>can replicate that pass rush in this game, you're gonna

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 3>run away with this game and reset some serious narratives

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 3>about the Dolphins. On Sunday, I think about where those

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:27.600
<v Speaker 3>struggles come from. We've seen Chop really spearhead the pass

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 3>rush these last five or six weeks. We will run

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 3>sim pressures off the overload side and invite these doubles

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 3>and slides for isolation on Chop, like he's having that

0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:39.560
<v Speaker 3>big of an impact as a rookie, but in this game,

0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:41.680
<v Speaker 3>he's gonna get Titus Howard for most of the game,

0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 3>and that's Houston's I mean, I guess it's their second

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:46.280
<v Speaker 3>best pass protector, but.

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 2>They've only got one good one.

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:50.960
<v Speaker 3>Larrymy Tunzel is kind of unbeatable, but he's the only

0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 3>guy that can do it out there, and he will

0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.120
<v Speaker 3>draw some flags here there, So hopefully tuns Wi comits

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 3>a couple of penalties against us and gives us that win,

0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 3>but he's gonna beat most guys that he faces. I

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.520
<v Speaker 3>would honestly just throw Augby out there and kind of like, hey,

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 3>go occupy Touns. I'll make sure he's got you to

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 3>deal with. Now with Howard on Chop, I pulled up

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:11.240
<v Speaker 3>his tape and he does some a really good job

0:16:11.280 --> 0:16:13.360
<v Speaker 3>of shortening the runway the way I talk about Tron

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 3>Armstead on speed rushers, but he also like really exposes

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:19.480
<v Speaker 3>his inside gate. And Chopp has shown the ability to

0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 3>win with speed, to convert that speed to power, and

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 3>to crash inside, especially on pass rush games. I think

0:16:26.040 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 3>you can get a little creative here. If you guys

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 3>saw the Chop breakdown on HQ or on YouTube wherever

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 3>the hell exists in our content, or rather, I think

0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:35.160
<v Speaker 3>I think it comes out tonight. Actually I showed a

0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 3>lot of the plays where they overload the offenses left,

0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 3>you know, the side that he's not on, and let

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 3>Chop go one on one off the offenses right, and

0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 3>then they squeezed, you know, every rusher besides Chop and

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 3>he gets himself a one on one situation with a

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 3>two way go where he has that B gap and

0:16:50.680 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 3>the C gap to work with as a pass rusher.

0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.680
<v Speaker 3>And there's often a very large lane in that B gap,

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 3>especially with how they have to contend with Chop speed

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 3>around the edge, because he can he can stretch that

0:17:01.160 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 3>edge and then angle back and be effective opposed to

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:06.160
<v Speaker 3>some rushers who just go past the quarterback and can't

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:10.280
<v Speaker 3>angle back, and that makes that tackle set deeper, and

0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 3>it creates a bigger B gap for someone like Zach Seeler,

0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 3>who I would say is the best slanter among defensive

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 3>tackles in the NFL, with how he could cross face

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:21.919
<v Speaker 3>from like a one technique position, cross face into that

0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:24.399
<v Speaker 3>guard and then he kind of hooks them there and

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:27.200
<v Speaker 3>just plays right through them with his engagement of power

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:29.880
<v Speaker 3>and just you basically walk them back into the quarterback. Now,

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:33.920
<v Speaker 3>this does open up some vulnerabilities to the quarterback run

0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 3>if you do that. But guess what, that ain't CJ.

0:17:36.440 --> 0:17:38.800
<v Speaker 3>Stroud's game. I think we have the athletes to come

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.200
<v Speaker 3>from depth to stomp it out, whether it's Jordan Brooks

0:17:41.240 --> 0:17:44.199
<v Speaker 3>or Javon Holland, so kind of some keys within the

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:46.399
<v Speaker 3>keys create one on ones. For Zach Seeler as a

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 3>pass rusher, chop really helps you do this, and you're

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.600
<v Speaker 3>sim pressure like simp pressure the crap out of him.

0:17:51.600 --> 0:17:54.159
<v Speaker 3>With defensive linemans falling back into the hook zone. That

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:56.439
<v Speaker 3>has caused a lot of confusion on their mesh and

0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:59.600
<v Speaker 3>crossing concepts to get their man beater looks and just

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.840
<v Speaker 3>around out the offensive line here with their pass block efficiencies.

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 3>Tunsel is elite ninety eight point five. I think they'll

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.360
<v Speaker 3>go with Juice Scruggs, who has a ninety seven point three,

0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:11.159
<v Speaker 3>and Kenyan Green could be the guy back in that

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:13.479
<v Speaker 3>position is he's active for his twenty one day window,

0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:16.199
<v Speaker 3>but he has a ninety one point seven pbe so

0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 3>beat the crap out of the left guard whoever it is.

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:21.040
<v Speaker 3>Jarrett Patterson ninety eight point five, but he's not a

0:18:21.119 --> 0:18:23.879
<v Speaker 3>really good pass protector inside shack Mason's long in the

0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 3>tooth ninety six point one at right guards a very

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 3>low number, and then Titus Howard ninety six point five.

0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:31.679
<v Speaker 3>We have to win this part of the matchup. Chopp

0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:34.479
<v Speaker 3>has to take Titus Howard to school, and Zach Seler

0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:37.400
<v Speaker 3>has to win his one on ones against inferior pass blockers.

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:39.679
<v Speaker 3>If we can dominate like I think we can against

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:42.240
<v Speaker 3>those guys, we will win this game. Let's go ahead

0:18:42.280 --> 0:18:44.080
<v Speaker 3>and take our first break right there. Come back on

0:18:44.119 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 3>the other side do the third big thing against the

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:49.240
<v Speaker 3>Texans defense. We'll also talk about the offense, the range

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:53.160
<v Speaker 3>of outcomes, prediction, and much much more. Next Draft Time podcast,

0:18:53.200 --> 0:18:55.680
<v Speaker 3>your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 3>These big games tend to cause more study and more

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 3>notes from me because I try to find how the

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.680
<v Speaker 3>Dolphins can find victory, and every damn time I wind

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 3>up disappointed. Hopefully this time it's different because, as I

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.159
<v Speaker 3>mentioned on the podcast yesterday, oh by the way, by

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:15.200
<v Speaker 3>the way, quick cutoff, because I just forgot about it.

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:17.840
<v Speaker 3>I picked the Rams to beat the Niners tonight on

0:19:17.920 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 3>Thursday night football, Rams over Niners, and yeah, to my

0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:23.880
<v Speaker 3>point that I cut myself off on. If you win

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:26.080
<v Speaker 3>this game, you then get the rest of the Sunday

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:28.600
<v Speaker 3>slate to have games that matter for the Dolphins. You

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:30.840
<v Speaker 3>get a big Thursday game that matters for the Dolphins,

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.080
<v Speaker 3>you get two Saturday games, and you get another one

0:19:33.119 --> 0:19:35.399
<v Speaker 3>o'clock slate with games that matter before you play the

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:38.280
<v Speaker 3>nine Ers at four twenty five on Week sixteen. So

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:41.000
<v Speaker 3>please win this game for the sake of the next

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:43.080
<v Speaker 3>week of football to be a lot of fun and

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 3>just to keep us going right. Thing Number three to

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.399
<v Speaker 3>beat this Texans team is to spam the intermediate middle

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 3>and the curl flat.

0:19:49.280 --> 0:19:50.160
<v Speaker 2>What the hell does that mean?

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.000
<v Speaker 3>Between the numbers in the ten to nineteen yard range

0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 3>and the curl flat zone which is about ten yards

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 3>downfield outside of the numbers. Those are the areas we

0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 3>have to really concern ourselves with against Houston offense. Run

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 3>the ball to the wide, to the perimeter, to those

0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:06.119
<v Speaker 3>curl flat areas, and then throw the ball in the

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:08.560
<v Speaker 3>intermediate part of the field that has been displaced because

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 3>of the linebackers stretching their way to get after the run.

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:12.720
<v Speaker 2>Game Downhill.

0:20:13.000 --> 0:20:15.679
<v Speaker 3>Stroud rips the middle of the field as much as

0:20:15.680 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 3>anybody in the NFL, but there has been more mistakes

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.440
<v Speaker 3>this year than there were last year. I mentioned these

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:23.320
<v Speaker 3>seven interceptions of his nine coming in the middle of

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:25.920
<v Speaker 3>the field, and they're mostly misfires where he just flat

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 3>out misses his guy. Can we get like one of those?

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:29.960
<v Speaker 3>Can we get a quarterback that just misses his target

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 3>and we get a room service pick? Can we get

0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 3>a pick like we had or the opportunities we had

0:20:35.000 --> 0:20:38.399
<v Speaker 3>against the Jets where both Braylan Allen and Jeremy Ruckert

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 3>basically bump the volleyball to know Kendall Fuller's direction and

0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 3>we can't make a play on the football. Can we

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:45.240
<v Speaker 3>just get one of those in one of these games

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:47.200
<v Speaker 3>and like steal a possession and the steal seven points

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 3>Like that would be cool. Remember the Packers stole seven

0:20:49.680 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 3>points from us on the muff punt, Like, can we

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:52.920
<v Speaker 3>get that just one time?

0:20:52.960 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 2>Maybe?

0:20:53.400 --> 0:20:56.119
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, but pressuring this guy long down in

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:58.679
<v Speaker 3>distance make him uncomfortable. If we can do that and

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 3>get a takeaway or two, I think that's all our

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:03.400
<v Speaker 3>offense would need to get the best of this matchup.

0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 3>So all of these kind of you know, playoff of

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 3>one another, play the run with light boxes, get them

0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:10.240
<v Speaker 3>behind the sticks, try to confuse Stroud as much as

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:12.680
<v Speaker 3>you possibly can into a double clutch. Then we get

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:15.240
<v Speaker 3>forty four off the edge, ninety two inside and those

0:21:15.280 --> 0:21:17.880
<v Speaker 3>one on one chances in the past rush game while

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 3>you flood the middle of the field with your backers

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:23.800
<v Speaker 3>and your safeties and possibly Jalen Ramsey. And the reason

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 3>I put Ramsey in there, I don't think.

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 2>That we will be the shadow idea.

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 3>Maybe maybe we put that in the trash bind for

0:21:31.800 --> 0:21:33.639
<v Speaker 3>a while, because you know, I add Ramsey in there

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:36.200
<v Speaker 3>because quite frankly, I don't have a lean on how

0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 3>you should call it. I think some of those wide

0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 3>open receivers last week were because of the way you

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 3>shadowed on Garrett Wilson and it caused confusion elsewhere, which

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 3>those guys got it up their game as well. Cater Kohoo,

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:50.320
<v Speaker 3>Javon Holland. I'm a little more inclined to have Ramsey

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 3>playing a lot more inside, to have him impact the

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 3>run and the rush game, because he can do that

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:56.879
<v Speaker 3>as well as cover. You can blitz him more, but

0:21:56.960 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 3>also just be present in those positions to take away

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 3>their bread and butter. Like maybe some Charles Woodson type

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 3>of stuff.

0:22:02.280 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 2>This week. I don't know. I trust Weed to cook

0:22:04.119 --> 0:22:04.400
<v Speaker 2>it up.

0:22:04.600 --> 0:22:07.119
<v Speaker 3>I think Ramsey does match up better on Collins than

0:22:07.160 --> 0:22:09.720
<v Speaker 3>he did on Wilson because Collins's game was a little

0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 3>bit more physical than shifty, and Ramsey is probably the

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:13.919
<v Speaker 3>most physical cornerback in the league who kind of got

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 3>burnt on Wilson's shifting us a few times. Tank Dell

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 3>hasn't been as effective, but he is their deep threat

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:21.600
<v Speaker 3>and he's had games that he's gone off in, so

0:22:21.880 --> 0:22:23.400
<v Speaker 3>I think you can always look for ways to sort

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:26.199
<v Speaker 3>of bracket or funnel him, and hopefully your pressure can

0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 3>help negate his ability as well, because of how much

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:30.160
<v Speaker 3>you can force Stroud to not be able to step

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 3>up into one hitch opportunities to take his shots down

0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:36.280
<v Speaker 3>the field. We just have to do that and we

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 3>have to be better on backs and tight ends this

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:41.120
<v Speaker 3>week in coverage Schultzen Mixon, they can make you pay

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:42.880
<v Speaker 3>in that regard. They're better than the Jets guys were,

0:22:43.040 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 3>and those guys beat us pretty good. So to me,

0:22:45.119 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 3>it's a huge game for Ramsey, for Holland, for Brooks,

0:22:47.920 --> 0:22:50.480
<v Speaker 3>for Sealer, for Campbell, and for Chop. I mean, that's

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.119
<v Speaker 3>kind of all the you know Kendall Fuller as well.

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 3>Kind of the good players in the defense right now,

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.479
<v Speaker 3>Can we just get enough from the other guys and

0:22:56.600 --> 0:23:00.560
<v Speaker 3>give these players opportunities to go change the game defensively parts.

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:03.040
<v Speaker 3>I just want to mention John Metchi, an electric player,

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 3>and he desires to be talked about here, even though

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 3>his numbers are pretty much non existent this year. I

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:08.959
<v Speaker 3>just want to mention him because he is a good

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 3>football player, and without Stefan Diggs, you'd think they go

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:12.959
<v Speaker 3>to him more often, but they have not done that

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:17.960
<v Speaker 3>so far. Let's pivot here, quick pivot way. There is

0:23:18.000 --> 0:23:21.119
<v Speaker 3>more talking about this Texans defense against Tua Tongueo vay

0:23:21.200 --> 0:23:23.680
<v Speaker 3>Lowa and the Dolphins offense. Remember what we said about

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:25.879
<v Speaker 3>the Jets. It's similar in a sense. I think the

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 3>Jets adjusted what they did against us, and probably do

0:23:28.720 --> 0:23:30.920
<v Speaker 3>in large part to not having Sauce in that game.

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:34.439
<v Speaker 3>But up front you can almost replicate it here. One gap,

0:23:34.480 --> 0:23:38.119
<v Speaker 3>get upfield, try and backdoor those stretch and outside zone runs.

0:23:38.119 --> 0:23:40.320
<v Speaker 3>Go with blitzes and the sim pressures and critical and

0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:43.880
<v Speaker 3>obvious passing downs. Now where it's different is in the coverage.

0:23:43.920 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 3>The Texans do not play two man zero percent this

0:23:46.359 --> 0:23:49.040
<v Speaker 3>year two man coverage. Now, will they go to it

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:51.879
<v Speaker 3>and surprise us? Maybe they had the byeway to install

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:53.160
<v Speaker 3>that and they could do that. You can never count

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 3>it out, but I would be surprised if they do.

0:23:55.320 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 3>They live in nickel eighty six percent. They run their

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 3>base about seven percent and dime about six percent, so

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:02.719
<v Speaker 3>it's basically a nickel defense and they run a lot

0:24:02.720 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 3>of big nickel. Four of their top six snap takers

0:24:05.480 --> 0:24:09.240
<v Speaker 3>on defense are safeties. Their calling card is quarters coverage.

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:09.920
<v Speaker 3>What does that mean?

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 2>Four high?

0:24:11.119 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 3>You know, four defenders take a deep quarter of the field.

0:24:14.280 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 3>They run that at the third highest rate in the league,

0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 3>and they can do some match from there. So it's

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:21.600
<v Speaker 3>like show quarters and play man. So it's tricky to decipher,

0:24:21.640 --> 0:24:23.840
<v Speaker 3>but again, our quarterback is good at that. They also

0:24:23.920 --> 0:24:25.960
<v Speaker 3>love to mix in Cover three, which is of course

0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:28.720
<v Speaker 3>a defender in each deep third of the field. They

0:24:28.720 --> 0:24:30.760
<v Speaker 3>have some Cover six, which is a deep quarter, a

0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:33.040
<v Speaker 3>deep third and a deep third, so all ways to

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:35.399
<v Speaker 3>keep the roof on top of the defense. They can

0:24:35.480 --> 0:24:37.520
<v Speaker 3>change the complexion of how it looks and how they

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:39.800
<v Speaker 3>present it on a given play. But that's kind of

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 3>where their coverage gets its wins because they're personnel back there.

0:24:43.040 --> 0:24:46.359
<v Speaker 3>It's not great, and it's a lot harder against the

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:48.920
<v Speaker 3>quarterback who sees things like Tuas. So they want to

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.040
<v Speaker 3>confuse you with their coverage and then beat you with

0:24:51.080 --> 0:24:53.720
<v Speaker 3>their pass rush. It's going to be incumbent upon TUA

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:56.720
<v Speaker 3>to decipher things very quickly. And who's doing that better

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:58.520
<v Speaker 3>than NFL right now than Tuas. So I like our

0:24:58.600 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 3>chances in a controlled environment with our very loaded skill

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:05.160
<v Speaker 3>group against a team that wants to beat you with disguise.

0:25:05.320 --> 0:25:06.679
<v Speaker 3>This is the guy you want to have for a

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 3>game like this. They're twenty three percent usage of man free.

0:25:10.000 --> 0:25:12.880
<v Speaker 3>We saw Miami carve the Patriots man coverage up right,

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:14.720
<v Speaker 3>same with the Jets, and when they got some more

0:25:14.720 --> 0:25:17.359
<v Speaker 3>looks against the Packers in that way, they went after

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 3>that in the same same type of approach. I think

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.640
<v Speaker 3>if they do play man free, they probably attach blitzes

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:25.439
<v Speaker 3>to it, and so maybe you can try some of

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:27.840
<v Speaker 3>those one hitch deep shots where you get your one

0:25:27.880 --> 0:25:30.120
<v Speaker 3>on one opportunities. But if they don't come, just beat

0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:33.160
<v Speaker 3>patient and attack these short intermediate areas. I am curious

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 3>to see if they do run more of the short

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.240
<v Speaker 3>stuff for wreak and waddle. It was effective in that

0:25:37.320 --> 0:25:39.879
<v Speaker 3>game on Sunday, and maybe you give them more to

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:42.080
<v Speaker 3>think about with that and basically say, hey, you can

0:25:42.080 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 3>play your three high safeties and your quarters coverage, but

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:46.439
<v Speaker 3>we're it's gonna run these guys underneath and try to

0:25:46.440 --> 0:25:47.159
<v Speaker 3>force you out of that.

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:48.199
<v Speaker 2>How do you attack it?

0:25:48.960 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 3>Well, you do have to stretch that shell, but you

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 3>have to have intermediate answers too. I think the key

0:25:53.280 --> 0:25:56.119
<v Speaker 3>to how this defense runs is kind of what Aziz

0:25:56.160 --> 0:25:57.919
<v Speaker 3>al Shayer does for them in terms of how he

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:00.680
<v Speaker 3>can get deep into the hook but also play downhill

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:03.480
<v Speaker 3>and play the width of the field with sheer physicality.

0:26:03.520 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 3>He's a tone setter guy that kind of he's kind

0:26:06.000 --> 0:26:10.719
<v Speaker 3>of bamf right, bad a m effort.

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:13.200
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a clean podcast.

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 3>I think they'll have a lot tougher time defending the

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:17.000
<v Speaker 3>middle of the field without him, as well as playing

0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:19.440
<v Speaker 3>the run with lighter boxes. We heard Tamiko Ryans call

0:26:19.520 --> 0:26:21.800
<v Speaker 3>him the heart and soul of their defense. Maybe he's

0:26:21.840 --> 0:26:23.639
<v Speaker 3>just trying to rally the other guys, but that seems

0:26:23.680 --> 0:26:25.879
<v Speaker 3>like a big loss to me. So in those looks,

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:28.480
<v Speaker 3>I think it's paramount to win with the other guys, right,

0:26:28.560 --> 0:26:31.400
<v Speaker 3>guys not named Reek and Waddle. Now, I think we

0:26:31.560 --> 0:26:34.160
<v Speaker 3>did a good job of getting those guys underneath routes

0:26:34.200 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 3>on Sunday, But I fully believe either guy could have

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 3>a big game with out a ton of targets just

0:26:38.320 --> 0:26:40.159
<v Speaker 3>by how they lift the coverage, like go be a

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:42.040
<v Speaker 3>decoy if you have to go block off the edge.

0:26:42.080 --> 0:26:44.119
<v Speaker 3>For us, the key is going to be keeping the

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:47.240
<v Speaker 3>menu open and not let those pass rushers id their

0:26:47.240 --> 0:26:50.000
<v Speaker 3>one on one matchups and play super convicted. You have

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 3>to give them eye candy and keep their discipline and check.

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:55.359
<v Speaker 3>The number one thing I look for against this Houston

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:58.640
<v Speaker 3>defense is to neutralize Daniel Hunter and Will Anderson. Much

0:26:58.680 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 3>easier said than done, and my rally cry for just

0:27:01.280 --> 0:27:02.959
<v Speaker 3>about three years now has been that there is no

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 3>scheme in quarterback that mitigates good pass rushers like this one.

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:11.480
<v Speaker 3>We've played games against Max Crosby, against Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence,

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 3>games against Mac and Bosa and never really let any

0:27:15.080 --> 0:27:17.560
<v Speaker 3>of those guys wreck games. We have the best quick

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:19.840
<v Speaker 3>game in the NFL, for my money, one of the

0:27:19.840 --> 0:27:22.400
<v Speaker 3>game's best ball handlers in the quarterback. In the run

0:27:22.400 --> 0:27:24.480
<v Speaker 3>and screen game, and does a great job of making

0:27:24.520 --> 0:27:26.720
<v Speaker 3>run and play pass look all the same. And we

0:27:26.800 --> 0:27:29.440
<v Speaker 3>typically cook up our shots with max protect that can

0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:33.639
<v Speaker 3>make the quarterback really trust his protection. Sunday will be

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:35.160
<v Speaker 3>the biggest test in that regard.

0:27:35.200 --> 0:27:35.760
<v Speaker 2>This season.

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:38.720
<v Speaker 3>We have to take Hunter and Anderson out of the

0:27:38.720 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 3>game some way. Screen them to death, run rap, run

0:27:41.280 --> 0:27:45.240
<v Speaker 3>return rap, take fake rap like run it at them,

0:27:45.560 --> 0:27:48.159
<v Speaker 3>throw it behind them, throw those glances behind them if

0:27:48.200 --> 0:27:50.359
<v Speaker 3>we get in third and lungs. And this kind of

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:53.240
<v Speaker 3>goes against every fiber of my football being to say this,

0:27:53.359 --> 0:27:56.120
<v Speaker 3>but you might just be best uted to play field position.

0:27:56.359 --> 0:27:58.800
<v Speaker 3>I'm talking third and twelve screens and runs. And you

0:27:58.880 --> 0:28:01.320
<v Speaker 3>heard DJ Banamy talk about it on the show yesterday.

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:03.240
<v Speaker 3>Tua was probably gonna get sacked a couple times in

0:28:03.240 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 3>this game. Let's not let those sacks flip the field

0:28:06.160 --> 0:28:09.280
<v Speaker 3>or you know, produce turnovers and end the game. I

0:28:09.320 --> 0:28:12.960
<v Speaker 3>thought Lamb and Paul were really good on Sunday, but

0:28:13.000 --> 0:28:15.439
<v Speaker 3>this is a whole different test for these guys. Lamb

0:28:15.520 --> 0:28:17.439
<v Speaker 3>I think can do enough to win his one on

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:19.560
<v Speaker 3>one matchup when he gets them. And while I think

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:21.520
<v Speaker 3>Pat's good reps are as good as they come, he

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:23.920
<v Speaker 3>still is a rookie learning the game who can kind

0:28:23.920 --> 0:28:26.399
<v Speaker 3>of click his feet together sometimes and not get his

0:28:26.480 --> 0:28:29.320
<v Speaker 3>weight transfer sorted. I think that that's something that guys

0:28:29.320 --> 0:28:31.160
<v Speaker 3>are going to try to take advantage of and overset

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:33.400
<v Speaker 3>him and cross face where they burst out of the gate,

0:28:33.440 --> 0:28:35.440
<v Speaker 3>get him to take a vertical set cross face and

0:28:35.480 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 3>beat him back inside and he either grabs on hold

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:40.560
<v Speaker 3>or just misses all together. He has to know that

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 3>they've seen that on tape and they're going to attack it,

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 3>And then Tua also has to be aware of that

0:28:45.120 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 3>and understand the escape routes he has off of that,

0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:50.480
<v Speaker 3>they could overload that and blitze it and cause that issue.

0:28:50.480 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 3>So he scrambles into the blitzer. But I think he's

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:55.680
<v Speaker 3>capable of getting out of some of this pressure himself

0:28:55.720 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 3>and extending himself. And you can't really forecast this, but

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 3>you just kind of hope the way Hunter gets his

0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:04.000
<v Speaker 3>wins over there that maybe you don't get the additional

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 3>interior win at the same time, Like this is just

0:29:07.160 --> 0:29:10.120
<v Speaker 3>like total by chance, but maybe Hunter's wins come when

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 3>Deniko Autry gets blocked up on the inside, you know,

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:15.040
<v Speaker 3>and Tua has such a good feel for pressure to

0:29:15.320 --> 0:29:17.720
<v Speaker 3>get away from one win, but if it's multiple wins,

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:20.719
<v Speaker 3>that's obviously very difficult to overcome. I trust two us

0:29:20.720 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 3>pre snap. He's one of the best in the game.

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 3>I think the run game is so paramount for us

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 3>to stay ahead of the chains, keep the whole menu

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 3>on the table, and really get to our screen game.

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 3>It sounds like Raheem should be good to go. I

0:29:31.160 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 3>think this is a good game for him to get

0:29:32.560 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 3>a nice little workload, especially our wide zone runs where

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:37.520
<v Speaker 3>he can stretch it and bang it and sort of

0:29:37.520 --> 0:29:39.600
<v Speaker 3>soften up those edges. I think we need a more

0:29:39.640 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 3>physical presence this weekend. And I trust him right now

0:29:42.120 --> 0:29:44.400
<v Speaker 3>more than I trust Jalen Wright, just because I think

0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 3>Rice missing some assignments here and there. So Tua needs

0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:49.200
<v Speaker 3>to be super sharp. You have to play your best

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 3>game of the year. Probably Tua need a screen game

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.520
<v Speaker 3>to be cranking. A Chan and John, who I think

0:29:53.560 --> 0:29:55.440
<v Speaker 3>are gonna have a lot of targets this week compared

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:57.360
<v Speaker 3>to last week, and I think Raheem has to have

0:29:57.400 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 3>one of his best games of the season. Hunters a

0:29:59.760 --> 0:30:02.760
<v Speaker 3>seven twenty five percent player, Anderson right around seventy percent,

0:30:02.800 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 3>so there is a rotation there. I think you have

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 3>to be super privy to their plays off, like when

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 3>we take Campbell and Steeler off the field and teams

0:30:09.640 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 3>run the ball down our throats. Like if you see

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:14.000
<v Speaker 3>one of those guys, check out, call your shot, play

0:30:14.000 --> 0:30:15.960
<v Speaker 3>and don't just wait until it's third and seven and

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 3>those guys are rearing to go, and let them just

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 3>pin their ears back. Deniko Autry is the guy inside

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:23.280
<v Speaker 3>and plays a lot on the edge as well. But

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 3>I think it really thins out after that. So maybe

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:28.120
<v Speaker 3>you can get those guys conditioning tested here. Maybe they

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:31.040
<v Speaker 3>have they should have rested legs, but sometimes that can

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:32.600
<v Speaker 3>that can be the opposite for you off a bye

0:30:32.640 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 3>week and really make them run. Guys like Derek Barnett

0:30:35.280 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 3>out there and and Tim Settle and get deep into

0:30:37.520 --> 0:30:41.120
<v Speaker 3>that rotation. I think Barnett's not you know, he's pretty

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 3>long in the two of these days and yeah, is

0:30:43.800 --> 0:30:45.240
<v Speaker 3>he is he even healthy right now?

0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:47.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I think he's up and going shoot. I probably

0:30:47.440 --> 0:30:48.160
<v Speaker 2>should check that out.

0:30:48.600 --> 0:30:51.160
<v Speaker 3>Inside though, it's really space eaters and not pocket pushers,

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 3>Like Tim Settle is their nose and he's just a

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 3>tree trunk. Follo Fotacasi has some wiggle, but I think

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:57.840
<v Speaker 3>you can. That's a matchup you're gonna have to win.

0:30:58.080 --> 0:31:00.240
<v Speaker 3>And then Mario Edwards is more power, you know, a

0:31:00.280 --> 0:31:03.000
<v Speaker 3>three to five technique subtype of rusher. It's such an

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 3>interesting matchup because typically our tackles are the matchup erasers.

0:31:06.640 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 3>But obviously Austin's down probably will not have Tron Armstead

0:31:09.720 --> 0:31:11.520
<v Speaker 3>and the Texan strength is off the edge too, So

0:31:11.520 --> 0:31:13.720
<v Speaker 3>I think if we can hold the four inside, we

0:31:13.760 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 3>should be okay. Fun matchup, last break right there, come

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 3>back on the other side. Take a look at keys

0:31:18.640 --> 0:31:21.280
<v Speaker 3>two and three of Varsu Texans defense, the range of outcomes,

0:31:21.280 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 3>what's at stake, the prediction, the keys to victory, all

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:26.080
<v Speaker 3>of that coming your way. Draft Time podcast, your host

0:31:26.120 --> 0:31:32.400
<v Speaker 3>Travis Wingfield, brought to you by AutoNation. So close to

0:31:32.440 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 3>prediction time. What do you think I'm gonna say about

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:38.440
<v Speaker 3>this game? Take advantage of the Texans aggressiveness and push

0:31:38.480 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 3>the ball downfield is my second key for the Dolphins offense.

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 3>I am really curious to see how they play us.

0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:45.920
<v Speaker 3>You heard djb Enemy talk about how they play it.

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 3>They want to span the middle of the field, they

0:31:47.760 --> 0:31:49.760
<v Speaker 3>want to get to their blitz looks on third and lungs.

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:52.320
<v Speaker 3>They want to disguise and rotate their coverage. And what

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:55.120
<v Speaker 3>makes me curious is if you're going to camp in

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 3>that quarter's look and if you blitz Tua, and if

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 3>you don't have your captain, your middle the field ace

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 3>in the hole, can you do those things without al Shayir?

0:32:04.000 --> 0:32:06.360
<v Speaker 3>I mean, Tua is so good at beating it when

0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:08.800
<v Speaker 3>you have all your guns. And we've seen Reek run

0:32:08.840 --> 0:32:11.560
<v Speaker 3>through many a quarter's looks for long touchdowns, you know,

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:13.880
<v Speaker 3>against Philly, against New England last year, a couple of

0:32:13.680 --> 0:32:15.480
<v Speaker 3>off the top of the head examples of that. And

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 3>Houston only blitz this twenty four percent of the time.

0:32:17.840 --> 0:32:20.320
<v Speaker 3>It's below league average, but they time them up so

0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:23.680
<v Speaker 3>well against you know, vulnerable looks or empty looks, whatever

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:25.360
<v Speaker 3>you want to call. It would be a nice week

0:32:25.400 --> 0:32:28.240
<v Speaker 3>to have some offensive line, the same offensive line combos

0:32:28.240 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 3>start and finish the game, just to get that continuity

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:32.120
<v Speaker 3>all week. I don't want to have guys coming off

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:34.040
<v Speaker 3>the bench and trying to figure out what the Texans

0:32:34.040 --> 0:32:34.320
<v Speaker 3>are doing.

0:32:34.240 --> 0:32:35.160
<v Speaker 2>In the middle of the third quarter.

0:32:35.280 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 3>So if they do play those looks, and just based

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:39.880
<v Speaker 3>on Demico's comments, I think they will.

0:32:40.520 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 2>He said, we have the right.

0:32:41.800 --> 0:32:43.720
<v Speaker 3>We have the guys with the right mentality on the

0:32:43.840 --> 0:32:46.760
<v Speaker 3>edge with Kamari Lassiter and Derek Stingley. We just have

0:32:46.840 --> 0:32:48.560
<v Speaker 3>to play physical with the Lion of Scrimmage when we

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:50.920
<v Speaker 3>get our opportunities. We have to play physical at the

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 3>Lione Scrimmage toll slow down Tyreek and while two times

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:55.800
<v Speaker 3>in one quote he talks about bump and run and

0:32:55.880 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 3>disrupting our timing. Now that means we get cracks at

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 3>defeating the press and getting flybys, but it also means

0:33:01.680 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 3>something else, something I thought this entire offseason was all

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:07.240
<v Speaker 3>about taking advantage of teams who do that by finding

0:33:07.280 --> 0:33:10.680
<v Speaker 3>different targets i e. John new Smith. So without al Shaiir,

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:14.479
<v Speaker 3>they and that approach of man free. But if they

0:33:14.480 --> 0:33:17.120
<v Speaker 3>turn their back on the outside releases, like if Tyreek

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:19.920
<v Speaker 3>takes an outside release and the cornerback you know, turns

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:22.360
<v Speaker 3>and runs with him. That way, it opens up John

0:33:22.360 --> 0:33:24.440
<v Speaker 3>Whu on the slot screen that we hit for big

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 3>plays on the overtime drive and he can get rolling

0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 3>after the catch and with the screen game as well,

0:33:29.280 --> 0:33:31.600
<v Speaker 3>which bodes very well for that first key, right, Like

0:33:31.840 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 3>if John Whu is the slot and Riek is the

0:33:33.680 --> 0:33:36.040
<v Speaker 3>one and he takes the outside release, you remove that

0:33:36.120 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 3>cornerback from the equation. You get a one on one

0:33:38.320 --> 0:33:40.520
<v Speaker 3>block and then it's John u versus a safety or

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:43.280
<v Speaker 3>a slot cornerback one on one. That is exactly what

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 3>he got on those back to back plays against the Jets.

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:49.120
<v Speaker 3>The linebacker in for al Shaiir, well, it's thin there, man.

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:52.000
<v Speaker 3>It's Neville Hewitt. You know who he is. He's a

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 3>special team's ace, but playing on defense the entire game,

0:33:54.920 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 3>that ain't his game. And also if he does that,

0:33:56.800 --> 0:33:58.960
<v Speaker 3>are they gonna pull him off special teams? It makes

0:33:59.000 --> 0:34:01.240
<v Speaker 3>that phase weaker for the Texan. So it's a big loss,

0:34:01.240 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 3>a huge downgrade. Not to mention that Henry to Oh

0:34:04.120 --> 0:34:05.720
<v Speaker 3>to Toto.

0:34:05.560 --> 0:34:07.360
<v Speaker 2>You're not gonna work here anywhere anyway.

0:34:07.840 --> 0:34:10.160
<v Speaker 3>Like those aren't cover guys. So Johnny and a Chan

0:34:10.200 --> 0:34:12.040
<v Speaker 3>are kind of my clicks to pick this week. I

0:34:12.040 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 3>think we're back on that game plan. Then there's the

0:34:14.160 --> 0:34:16.160
<v Speaker 3>vertical element of it all, Like Derek Stingley is a

0:34:16.160 --> 0:34:18.080
<v Speaker 3>guy that I f like can match up with anybody,

0:34:18.080 --> 0:34:19.920
<v Speaker 3>and they feel that way. And if that's how you're

0:34:19.920 --> 0:34:21.920
<v Speaker 3>gonna play it, you have to say, all right, bet

0:34:21.960 --> 0:34:23.960
<v Speaker 3>we have Tyreek Hill and Jillen Waddell, and if you're

0:34:23.960 --> 0:34:26.160
<v Speaker 3>gonna go one on one against those guys, they're gonna

0:34:26.160 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 3>beat you. That's how you win big games. Your best

0:34:28.200 --> 0:34:30.680
<v Speaker 3>beats their best. But that doesn't mean you should go

0:34:30.719 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 3>after a willy nilly. I mean, I like Kamari Lassiter,

0:34:33.239 --> 0:34:35.280
<v Speaker 3>but he's still a rookie, and if you get safety

0:34:35.280 --> 0:34:37.719
<v Speaker 3>help away from him and he draws ten or seventeen,

0:34:38.040 --> 0:34:40.200
<v Speaker 3>that's a matchup you have to also like and go after.

0:34:40.480 --> 0:34:42.359
<v Speaker 3>And then I think there's some slot matchups you can

0:34:42.360 --> 0:34:45.240
<v Speaker 3>create since they basically bring a safety and I don't

0:34:45.600 --> 0:34:48.520
<v Speaker 3>like Caden Bollock is a really good deep safety. They

0:34:48.600 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 3>like to have Jimmy Ward come down and play some coverage,

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:52.719
<v Speaker 3>maybe even a little bit of Jellan Peatree, but for

0:34:52.800 --> 0:34:54.439
<v Speaker 3>the most part, like they don't really have the cover

0:34:54.520 --> 0:34:57.120
<v Speaker 3>guys in those positions. I think Miami can create some

0:34:57.160 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 3>matchups and go out and win those. My third big

0:34:59.680 --> 0:35:01.879
<v Speaker 3>key here to execute in the red zone. And it's

0:35:01.880 --> 0:35:03.800
<v Speaker 3>sort of a shot at our defense. Like the Texans

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:06.719
<v Speaker 3>offense has been broken for a while. They couldn't do

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:10.000
<v Speaker 3>ish against a terrible Jags defense. But I don't know, man,

0:35:10.440 --> 0:35:13.239
<v Speaker 3>I don't know Jim just with the bye week and

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:15.480
<v Speaker 3>what I think is a bunch of tired legs in

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:18.719
<v Speaker 3>this Miami defense and an old Miami defense. I just

0:35:18.800 --> 0:35:21.600
<v Speaker 3>don't trust us to get consistent stops. And if that's

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:24.600
<v Speaker 3>the case, we're gonna need our elite quarterback and our

0:35:24.719 --> 0:35:27.319
<v Speaker 3>really good skill players to go win the game. We've

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:29.320
<v Speaker 3>been pretty damn good in the red zone since Tua

0:35:29.400 --> 0:35:31.520
<v Speaker 3>came back. In fact, we are fifth with a seventy

0:35:31.600 --> 0:35:34.520
<v Speaker 3>point five percent red zone touchdown rate. But we did

0:35:34.600 --> 0:35:36.839
<v Speaker 3>kick two field goals in low red zone last week,

0:35:36.840 --> 0:35:39.640
<v Speaker 3>and I think that those four point swings will be

0:35:39.719 --> 0:35:41.960
<v Speaker 3>critical in this game. And perhaps this is just a

0:35:42.000 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 3>way of kind of zooming out on a few issues

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:46.680
<v Speaker 3>that I have that have held this offense down, and

0:35:46.680 --> 0:35:48.600
<v Speaker 3>not like in total, but things that could be better. Right,

0:35:48.640 --> 0:35:52.080
<v Speaker 3>Because over that time, we have the most total trips

0:35:52.080 --> 0:35:54.840
<v Speaker 3>into the red zone twenty nine. Nineteen of those possessions

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.800
<v Speaker 3>have ended with a touchdown, and that second behind only Detroit.

0:35:57.840 --> 0:36:00.319
<v Speaker 3>But we also have seven field goals, which is tied

0:36:00.360 --> 0:36:02.839
<v Speaker 3>for the tenth most in the NFL. So even with

0:36:02.880 --> 0:36:05.960
<v Speaker 3>two more touchdowns on those drives would be a big difference, right,

0:36:06.000 --> 0:36:07.480
<v Speaker 3>That could be eight points in this game. I think

0:36:07.520 --> 0:36:09.319
<v Speaker 3>that would be the difference in this game. That's what

0:36:09.360 --> 0:36:11.520
<v Speaker 3>I'm getting at here. If you go deeper into the numbers,

0:36:11.560 --> 0:36:13.799
<v Speaker 3>we run the ball up the seventh lowest rate down there.

0:36:13.960 --> 0:36:16.360
<v Speaker 3>And that's not my issue. I love throwing the football.

0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:18.319
<v Speaker 3>My point is that we've had to dial that back

0:36:18.360 --> 0:36:20.799
<v Speaker 3>because it just hasn't been that effective. We had that

0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:22.920
<v Speaker 3>stand against the Packers and the goal line that was

0:36:22.960 --> 0:36:25.480
<v Speaker 3>the one turnover on downs in that stretch I'm talking about.

0:36:25.640 --> 0:36:27.440
<v Speaker 3>We missed a third and one against the Jets and

0:36:27.520 --> 0:36:29.919
<v Speaker 3>kicked a field goal, had to convert a fourth down

0:36:29.960 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 3>after a third and one got stuffed later in the game.

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:34.239
<v Speaker 3>It's just been a struggle to run the football, but

0:36:34.320 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 3>particularly down there, and that's why I think Raheem Moster

0:36:36.640 --> 0:36:38.719
<v Speaker 3>could be your answer, your red zone answer down here.

0:36:39.239 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 3>I don't think eight Chan's vision and physicality is really

0:36:43.080 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 3>what you want in that part of the field, like

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:46.200
<v Speaker 3>keep them on the field for the screen game. But

0:36:46.280 --> 0:36:48.160
<v Speaker 3>Raheem should get some some red zone carries this week.

0:36:48.160 --> 0:36:49.919
<v Speaker 3>In my opinion, if we could just find a way

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:53.919
<v Speaker 3>to better execute in short yardage, it would produce such

0:36:54.040 --> 0:36:56.759
<v Speaker 3>insane ripple effects in terms of making the offense even

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:59.799
<v Speaker 3>more dangerous than the top five offense it's been since

0:36:59.840 --> 0:37:02.680
<v Speaker 3>the Cardinals game. I am fired up. I think we

0:37:02.719 --> 0:37:04.840
<v Speaker 3>covered it pretty well. What's at stake in this game, guys,

0:37:05.080 --> 0:37:07.560
<v Speaker 3>the entire season, No big deal, that's all win the

0:37:07.640 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 3>whole thing, just the entire season. You know, I vow

0:37:12.280 --> 0:37:15.239
<v Speaker 3>to not talk about playoffs further if we lose this game. Deal,

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:17.200
<v Speaker 3>But I mean, you win this one and you get

0:37:17.239 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 3>to really enjoy multiple slates of football like I just

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:23.160
<v Speaker 3>told you about, all the way through next Sunday into

0:37:23.160 --> 0:37:25.279
<v Speaker 3>the four to twenty five slate. If we win and

0:37:25.320 --> 0:37:28.800
<v Speaker 3>the Colts win, then a big door opens as another

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:30.799
<v Speaker 3>path of the playoffs. The Texans losing to the Chiefs

0:37:30.840 --> 0:37:33.360
<v Speaker 3>and Ravens very possible in my opinion, would mean the

0:37:33.360 --> 0:37:36.240
<v Speaker 3>Colts are just wins over the Jags, Titans, and Giants

0:37:36.280 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 3>away from taking the division away from the Texans. Should

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:41.960
<v Speaker 3>they lose those games, I think they will lose. I

0:37:42.000 --> 0:37:43.719
<v Speaker 3>do think the Colts will get picked off once in there.

0:37:43.760 --> 0:37:46.080
<v Speaker 3>But man, if they beat Denver, we get all of

0:37:46.080 --> 0:37:48.200
<v Speaker 3>that and the one o'clock window for the Niners game

0:37:48.239 --> 0:37:49.799
<v Speaker 3>before we get to put the season back on the

0:37:49.840 --> 0:37:51.920
<v Speaker 3>line against the Niners next week, so it could be

0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:56.279
<v Speaker 3>a really fun like celebration for a week after this

0:37:56.360 --> 0:37:59.440
<v Speaker 3>victory if we get it. So, Dolphins, please pleasease do

0:37:59.600 --> 0:38:02.200
<v Speaker 3>the damn thing. I've watched every big game this team

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:04.799
<v Speaker 3>has played live, like on TV or in person since

0:38:04.840 --> 0:38:07.120
<v Speaker 3>two thousand and four. That's twenty years. We've had some

0:38:07.200 --> 0:38:09.920
<v Speaker 3>big wins, the Jets finale in eight the win in

0:38:09.960 --> 0:38:13.560
<v Speaker 3>Buffalo in twenty sixteen on Christmas Eve, the Cowboys last

0:38:13.600 --> 0:38:16.600
<v Speaker 3>year certainly up there, but those have been so far

0:38:16.640 --> 0:38:18.759
<v Speaker 3>and few between, and while I think the Texans team

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 3>is better than all those teams sans the Cowboys at

0:38:21.160 --> 0:38:24.360
<v Speaker 3>home last year, those were win and in situations, we

0:38:24.440 --> 0:38:26.480
<v Speaker 3>have to win this one just to have the right.

0:38:26.640 --> 0:38:27.520
<v Speaker 2>To go another week.

0:38:27.560 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 3>So please, for a twenty year watcher of every game,

0:38:30.200 --> 0:38:32.880
<v Speaker 3>for a fan of thirty plus years, someone that hasn't

0:38:32.880 --> 0:38:36.040
<v Speaker 3>seen a playoff win for that twenty year span, someone

0:38:36.080 --> 0:38:38.440
<v Speaker 3>that dedicated his entire life and career and moved his

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:40.799
<v Speaker 3>family to South Florida, I implore you on behalf of

0:38:40.880 --> 0:38:44.799
<v Speaker 3>Dolphin's nation. Please come on, guys, I beg of you

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:45.439
<v Speaker 3>get this win.

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:50.760
<v Speaker 2>Please. You must excuse me. I've grown quite.

0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:54.520
<v Speaker 3>Were as we all have range of outcomes. I don't

0:38:54.560 --> 0:38:57.000
<v Speaker 3>think we know show in this game. I don't. It's

0:38:57.000 --> 0:38:59.360
<v Speaker 3>not primetime, it's indoors. It's not a team that I

0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:01.399
<v Speaker 3>think is anywhere. You're the caliber of the teams we've

0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:06.360
<v Speaker 3>seen in those spots, the Bills, Chiefs, and Packers. But

0:39:06.480 --> 0:39:08.520
<v Speaker 3>my heart won't let me go there. I like the

0:39:08.560 --> 0:39:11.320
<v Speaker 3>matchup on tape. That offense has been broken for months.

0:39:11.719 --> 0:39:14.200
<v Speaker 3>I worry they get it sorted out against a thin, tired,

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:16.120
<v Speaker 3>old defense that seems to be on his last leg

0:39:16.200 --> 0:39:18.880
<v Speaker 3>this year. I trust Tua to keep it close and

0:39:18.960 --> 0:39:20.680
<v Speaker 3>to get us our points. If we can win in

0:39:20.719 --> 0:39:23.960
<v Speaker 3>the margins on special teams, those third and twos, those

0:39:23.960 --> 0:39:26.560
<v Speaker 3>little moments that can extend drives and swing games, then

0:39:26.560 --> 0:39:28.520
<v Speaker 3>I think we will win. But wouldn't I be a

0:39:28.560 --> 0:39:31.600
<v Speaker 3>fool to predict that to suddenly change. I think a

0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:34.680
<v Speaker 3>Texans comfortable win is within the range of outcomes. I

0:39:34.680 --> 0:39:37.440
<v Speaker 3>could see us winning by a touchdown or even ten points,

0:39:37.600 --> 0:39:39.600
<v Speaker 3>but I think the difference will be split there. I

0:39:39.640 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 3>think it'll be a good game. I think that they'll

0:39:42.000 --> 0:39:43.800
<v Speaker 3>make a play at the end that beats us. Probably

0:39:43.800 --> 0:39:46.520
<v Speaker 3>on offense, we have struggled to get second half stops

0:39:46.520 --> 0:39:48.120
<v Speaker 3>for a while now, and I think that's a direct

0:39:48.120 --> 0:39:50.920
<v Speaker 3>correlation with our lack of depth on defense. And I

0:39:50.960 --> 0:39:52.920
<v Speaker 3>think we'll have a lead on the final drive for

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:55.240
<v Speaker 3>the Texans and they'll break your heart with a field

0:39:55.239 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 3>goal or a touchdown. Twenty nine twenty seven. Texans win

0:39:58.719 --> 0:40:03.439
<v Speaker 3>this game. Keys the victory and capitalize takeaway opportunities. Number two,

0:40:03.560 --> 0:40:06.600
<v Speaker 3>set hard edges against the Houston ground game Number three,

0:40:06.680 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 3>stay ahead of the chains on offense. You all please

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:11.880
<v Speaker 3>be sure to subscribe, rate review the show, give me

0:40:11.880 --> 0:40:14.280
<v Speaker 3>a follow on social. Check out the fish Tank podcast

0:40:14.320 --> 0:40:16.000
<v Speaker 3>with my guys Seth and Juice Jamie Nails.

0:40:16.000 --> 0:40:17.520
<v Speaker 2>Episode is Nails.

0:40:17.719 --> 0:40:20.720
<v Speaker 3>Check out the YouTube channel for Dolphins HQ, Zach Steeler,

0:40:20.760 --> 0:40:22.439
<v Speaker 3>my guest tonight on the show, as well the Chop

0:40:22.520 --> 0:40:26.360
<v Speaker 3>Robinson Breakdown and DJ Banname's interview as well. Last but

0:40:26.600 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 3>not least, Miami Dolphins dot Com. Until next time, Ben's up,

0:40:29.640 --> 0:40:30.800
<v Speaker 3>Caroline and Cameron Daddy

0:40:31.080 --> 0:40:31.799
<v Speaker 2>He's coming home.