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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you? Welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and welcome to the

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Speaker 1: birthday episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. Yes, today is

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Speaker 1: my forty ninth birthday. And for some of you who

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Speaker 1: are my age, you know that, well, forty nine is

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Speaker 1: kind of anticlimactic. Maybe some of you guys have friends

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Speaker 1: or maybe you've turned twenty one recently, Like you hit

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Speaker 1: twenty one and then there's thirty and then forty and

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Speaker 1: then fifty and then there's not much else. So I

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Speaker 1: have like one more milestone birthday left to go that

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Speaker 1: would be next year. Forty nine is kind of like

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Speaker 1: turning twenty. It's like, oh boy, you don't get all

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Speaker 1: the hooplah that you get for your fifty yet when

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Speaker 1: everyone's like, wow, you're turning fifty, Well today you're forty nine.

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Speaker 1: So good day yesterday. I don't know what that means

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Speaker 1: for today, but we haven't had one of them in

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Speaker 1: a while. Oh my, where'd that go? Hold on, we

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Speaker 1: got to put this up. Wait a minute, Wait a minute,

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Speaker 1: wait a minute. We gotta we gotta make sure that

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Speaker 1: we're getting this correct, because my gosh, just you can't

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Speaker 1: have that type of day and not put it on

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Speaker 1: the screen. We have not swept the board in a while,

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Speaker 1: boys and girls, and we did yesterday. Pirates money Line

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Speaker 1: Celtics fly over their team total. I was nervous about

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Speaker 1: that sixty one and a half, but we got there

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Speaker 1: and then the the Red Sox and the Padre stayed

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Speaker 1: under for us. So we go up three point one

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Speaker 1: units on the day. We have not had a three

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Speaker 1: point one unit day in a while. That calms things down,

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Speaker 1: at least for this week. That puts some water on

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Speaker 1: the fire that was my bank roll, because it was

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Speaker 1: getting hairy there for a little bit. I didn't think

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Speaker 1: I was gonna get it. I mean it's been a minute.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie to you, it's been a minute.

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Speaker 1: So that feels extremely good to get that. To have

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Speaker 1: it happen on the day before my birthday even better.

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Speaker 1: And so we roll into today with three bets and

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Speaker 1: a hard rock bet of the day, so four bets

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Speaker 1: in total to give you guys here today We've got

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Speaker 1: basketball and baseball is what we're going to focus on,

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Speaker 1: and I am going to tell you here at the top,

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Speaker 1: we are focusing on the teams that I care about,

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Speaker 1: that I am interested in, that I'm invested in. Why

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Speaker 1: because they've been good to us. The Celtics, the Red Sox,

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Speaker 1: we got the Bruins right earlier in the week. We

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Speaker 1: got creating Basketball today, and we've got some other stuff

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Speaker 1: happening in the college basketball ranks that I'm going to

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Speaker 1: get to here in just one second. Before I give

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Speaker 1: you the picks, though, let's remind you about the offer

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Speaker 1: six and make smarter picks. Okay, let's start here talking

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Speaker 1: about the game in the Crown that I will be at.

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Speaker 1: I am going to the semi final between the Creighton

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays and the West Virginia Mountaineers. This number is

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Speaker 1: one and a half. According to Kempom, this is a

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Speaker 1: one point win for West Virginia. But I found it

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Speaker 1: interesting to see some of the handicapping being done in

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Speaker 1: this game and people saying that West Virginia has gone

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Speaker 1: through a gauntlet in the Big Twelve and Creighton's strength

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Speaker 1: of schedule was not as good. Well, by ken Pom standards,

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Speaker 1: the Jay's actually played a harder schedule than West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: So I went and took a look at them. I

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Speaker 1: didn't see much of the game, but I did go

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Speaker 1: into the box corps. I liked Stanford to beat West Virginia,

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Speaker 1: and it went to overtime in West Virginia one eighty

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Speaker 1: two to seventy seven. In overtime. Honor Huff played forty

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Speaker 1: one minutes in that game, the five foot ten guard

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Speaker 1: for West Virginia, the senior. He shot thirteen free throws.

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Speaker 1: He scored eleven of his twenty one points from the

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Speaker 1: three point line. West Virginia was atrocious in this game

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Speaker 1: from behind the three point arc. They were two of

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Speaker 1: twenty from behind the three point line. Now, look, the

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Speaker 1: Jays have really struggled from behind the arc, but they

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Speaker 1: don't foul. They're not gonna put West Virginia on the

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Speaker 1: free throw line for twenty six free throws like they

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Speaker 1: shot against Stanford. That's just not the way Greg McDermott coaches.

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Speaker 1: The Jays don't play that way. So I found that

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Speaker 1: to be a little bit interesting. When I looked at

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Speaker 1: the box score for Rutgers, the Jays shot eight for

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Speaker 1: twenty eight from behind the arc. That's not great. I'm

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Speaker 1: not saying that that's outstanding that you twenty nine percent

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Speaker 1: from behind the three point line, but that's better than

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Speaker 1: two for twenty with what West Virginia shot. I don't

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Speaker 1: mind looking at the total for this game and potentially

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Speaker 1: betting the under on this. But because they're moving to

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Speaker 1: T Mobile, arena. Now this is not an MGM grand

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Speaker 1: They are now going to T Mobile, But this is

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Speaker 1: the type of environment that the Jays play in every

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Speaker 1: home game. I mean T Mobile is the same size, basically,

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Speaker 1: it's a little bit bigger. But I mean the chie

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Speaker 1: Center seats about eighteen thousand. The game tonight, they'll be

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Speaker 1: eighteen thousand seats. They might be eighteen people there. I mean,

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Speaker 1: no one's going to be at this game. Let's be

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Speaker 1: frank here. So it really comes down to who wants

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Speaker 1: to be there and who wants to play well. The

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Speaker 1: Jays are playing for something. They're playing for Greg McDermott.

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Speaker 1: They want to win the crown to send coach McDermott

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Speaker 1: out as a champion. He will retire after sixteen seasons

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Speaker 1: of being the coach of the Jays. Coming up after

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Speaker 1: this tournament is over, the Jays would play today and

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Speaker 1: then they'd play the final tomorrow. I don't think that

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Speaker 1: either West Virginia or Creighton will beat the winner of

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma or Baylor. I think both those teams are better

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Speaker 1: than the Jays in West Virginia, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: West Virginia is going to have nearly the success that

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Speaker 1: they had against Stanford here against Creighton. I mean, you

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Speaker 1: just look at even though Rutgers did end up shooting

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Speaker 1: twenty six free throws, Tarik Francis shot twelve free throws

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Speaker 1: in that game. It was an unusual game for the Jays.

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Speaker 1: They normally don't play that type of physical basketball, and

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Speaker 1: I think it had a lot to do with the

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Speaker 1: time off. I think it had a lot to do

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Speaker 1: with just reaching in and not playing typical Creighton basketball

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Speaker 1: and the way the Jays normally will play. I don't

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Speaker 1: think West Virginia when you start breaking down the numbers

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Speaker 1: here in the matchup, I mean, their offense is not good.

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Speaker 1: They're two hundred and sixty seventh in three point shooting.

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Speaker 1: We saw it against Stanford. They're one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: fourth in two point shooting. They're awful at the foul line.

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Speaker 1: They're three hundred and eighteenth at the free throw line

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Speaker 1: sixty eight point four percent. The Creighton defense is not outstanding,

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Speaker 1: but they're ninety sixth and two point defense. They're two

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty third in three point defense. But West

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Speaker 1: Virginia doesn't shoot the three very well. The Jays on offense,

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Speaker 1: they're going to face a very efficient defense. West Virginia

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Speaker 1: is seventeenth in efficiency their forty first and effective field

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Speaker 1: goal percentage, but they're two hundred and fifteenth and three

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Speaker 1: point shooting. This comes down to whether Creton hit the

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Speaker 1: three point shot or not. And I think they're going

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Speaker 1: to be able to hit enough threes here to create

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Speaker 1: a problem, because look, Nick Graves went off and did

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Speaker 1: something that we haven't seen at Creighton Blue Jay do

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Speaker 1: in a really long time. Nick Graves scored twenty eight points.

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Speaker 1: He had five raw, he had six rebounds, and he

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Speaker 1: had how many ascisity wun up having he ended up

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Speaker 1: having let's see, eight assists in five rebounds. He had

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Speaker 1: twenty eight and five. Twenty eight to eight and five.

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Speaker 1: That's a hell of a line for a senior who

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Speaker 1: does not want his career to end. He was the

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Speaker 1: best player of the game, He was the MVP of

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Speaker 1: the game, and he had three points in the first half.

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Speaker 1: He exploded in the second half for the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays up against Rutgers. I'll take the point in a half.

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Speaker 1: Give me the to not foul, to not have, you know,

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Speaker 1: And I don't think offensively West Virginia can keep up

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Speaker 1: if the Jays get hot from the outside, and sometimes

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Speaker 1: playing for something matters. Creighton's playing for something here up

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Speaker 1: against the West Virginia Mountaineers. I'm taking Creighton plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half for one point one units in a

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Speaker 1: game that everyone's going to be watching. And remember we

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Speaker 1: have the era the Yukon plus six fifty to win

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Speaker 1: the championship on Monday, so we have a money line

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Speaker 1: play on Yukon already going. So we need Yukon to

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Speaker 1: win that game. Whether you take the point and a

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Speaker 1: half or not, it's Yukon money line that we're hoping for.

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Speaker 1: But everyone's on Illinois. I mean, there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: people who are on Illinois that the trends all factor

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Speaker 1: into taking Yukon plus the points fourteen and h for

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Speaker 1: Dan Hurley, the Yukon program being unbelievable in the Final four,

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Speaker 1: six to zero in the championship game straight up and ats.

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Speaker 1: Dan Hurley's got three final fours. The team that has

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Speaker 1: the coach with better Final four experience is seventy two

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Speaker 1: and forty six straight up in the Final four. So

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Speaker 1: all the trends are pourting towards Yukon. That doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: we're going to win it. Okay, doesn't mean Illinois is

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Speaker 1: not going to win that game. I know a lot

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Speaker 1: of people that like Illinois to win in knockout Yukon

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Speaker 1: very very possible. So we got that bet going for

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Speaker 1: the first game. For the second game, though, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Arizona, and let's talk about the fact that Arizona

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Speaker 1: up against Michigan. The Arizona Wildcats are seventeen and oh

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Speaker 1: this year in the non conference. They have beaten every

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Speaker 1: non conference opponent, including Florida in the first game of

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Speaker 1: the year. The defending champs, Arizona has been awesome. Tommy

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Speaker 1: Lloyd turning down North Carolina to stay at Arizona is huge.

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Speaker 1: Kempom has this as a one point loss, eighty to

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Speaker 1: seventy nine. The number is one and a half. I

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Speaker 1: don't mind just turning around and taking an Arizona money

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Speaker 1: line play here, but here is why I think Arizona

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Speaker 1: wins the game. Michigan in the NSAA tournament is shooting

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Speaker 1: at about forty five percent from behind the arc. The

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Speaker 1: reason teams are collapsing on the inside trying to take

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Speaker 1: away the interior offense for Michigan. The size that they

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Speaker 1: have in the paint. Well, Arizona doesn't need to do that.

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Speaker 1: Arizona's bigs can take care of the bigs for Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They're both huge teams. The guard play for Arizona, I

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Speaker 1: like it a little bit more than I like Michigan,

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Speaker 1: and I think the guards are going to get out

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Speaker 1: and not allow three point shots to go down for Michigan.

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Speaker 1: So if Michigan doesn't hit the three, now Michigan has

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Speaker 1: to go back to trying to go to the inside

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Speaker 1: and shoot twos. And while they can do that and

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Speaker 1: they're an effective team dribble driving and opening up kickout threes,

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Speaker 1: I just think against this Arizona defense where they're second

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Speaker 1: inefficiency and second effective field goal percentage, second and two

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Speaker 1: point defense, I mean these defense these two teams defensively

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Speaker 1: are tremendous. Michigan is the number one most efficient defense,

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Speaker 1: Arizona's number two. Effective field goal percentage Michigan's number one,

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Speaker 1: Arizona's number two. This is the third best two point

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Speaker 1: defense in basketball, Arizona's number two. So like we're talking

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Speaker 1: about two teams that are right next to each other defensively,

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Speaker 1: the difference very well might come down to the offenses,

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Speaker 1: and Michigan's offense has been great. They're fifth inefficiency, Arizona's

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Speaker 1: fourth inefficiency. Arizona is thirty fifth in effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: Michigan is sixth in effective field goal percentage. Michigan also

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Speaker 1: is second in two point shooting. Arizona's fifty second two

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Speaker 1: point shooting in thirty six and three point shooting, where

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Speaker 1: Michigan is now up to thirtieth shooting thirty six point

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Speaker 1: nine percent. The difference is Michigan gets about thirty two

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Speaker 1: percent of their offense from behind the arc. Arizona is

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Speaker 1: twenty percent of their offense. They are heavily at the

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Speaker 1: free throw line, and they are heavily with two pointers,

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Speaker 1: and at Lucas Oil Stadium, offenses have been better than

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Speaker 1: people think, shooting lines better than people think. I just

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Speaker 1: think Arizona's talent wins out here over Michigan, and I

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Speaker 1: don't think Michigan will have as good of a night

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Speaker 1: shooting from behind the three point line as they have.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the points. Give me seventeen to zero. Tommy

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Speaker 1: Lloyd in the non conference to keep himself undefeated in

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Speaker 1: the non conference, We're going to Arizona plus one and

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Speaker 1: a half at minus one ten, final bet for the

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Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the day. And we go to

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Speaker 1: baseball where the A's and the Astros are playing. As

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Speaker 1: we speak, it's eleven to two A's in the home

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Speaker 1: opener against Sacramento. So now we have this second game,

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Speaker 1: and it's a day game going on here between these

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Speaker 1: two teams and the A's last year, we're an absolute

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Speaker 1: barn burner over team at home to four. That game

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Speaker 1: just went final. That game flew over Astros in the A's.

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Speaker 1: This number is set at ten, and he might gulp

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Speaker 1: a bit and go, my gosh, that's a high total. Well,

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Speaker 1: the starting pitchers for both these teams Morales in I

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Speaker 1: may well their first two starts, and I think I'm

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Speaker 1: saying that guy tatsu I May. I think it is

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Speaker 1: right handed pitcher for the Astros. Don't know much about

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Speaker 1: him except that in his first outing he went two

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Speaker 1: and two thirds, walked four guys, got lit up in

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Speaker 1: his era is thirteen point five. Now, Luis Morales equally

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Speaker 1: didn't pitch well. In his first start. He went four

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Speaker 1: and a third and gave up five K's three home

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Speaker 1: runs in a home run Ballpark in Sacramento, where the

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Speaker 1: temperatures are going to be in the eighty degree mark

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Speaker 1: over eighties. It's going to be overcast, but it's going

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Speaker 1: to be very warm, very pleasant during the day, and

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Speaker 1: potentially when the sun comes out, the sun may burn

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Speaker 1: off all the cla and you might get sunshine coming

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Speaker 1: up for a day game, a day game in Sacramento

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Speaker 1: off of a night game last night in which they

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Speaker 1: combined for fifteen runs. I think we see it run

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Speaker 1: back right away. I just think it's overtime here. I

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Speaker 1: like the A's to win the game as well. But

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Speaker 1: this is about offense. This is about home runs. This

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Speaker 1: is about healthy batters, and the A's who struck out

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Speaker 1: a ton in their first games on the road this season.

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Speaker 1: They go home, they get some home cooking, and they

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Speaker 1: score eleven runs in the home opener. This is exactly

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Speaker 1: what Oakland needed to go home in front of the

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Speaker 1: home crowd. They were betting, you know, one fifty or

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Speaker 1: less most guys, now, that's one to seventy seven as

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Speaker 1: a team, a three to zero three slugging. That is

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Speaker 1: not what this team is going to do. This team

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Speaker 1: is built to hit home runs with guys like Nick Kurtz,

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Speaker 1: I think we see home runs. I think we see offense,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go ahead and bet the over ten

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Speaker 1: for the A's and the Astros at minus one to ten.

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Speaker 1: Here for today, time now for the hard Rock Bet

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Speaker 1: of the Day, being brought to you by hard Rock Bet.

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Speaker 1: It is here the round of four and hard Rock

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Speaker 1: Bet is ready to go as we decide who will

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Speaker 1: cut down the nets on Monday for it all in Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: A lot of good things going on at hard Rock

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Speaker 1: Bet that daily dancing boosts. They've got their live profit

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Speaker 1: boosts and a parlay profit boost, more ways to get

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00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,280
Speaker 1: involved for you with their boosted odds when the stakes

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Speaker 1: are at their highest if you haven't joined hard rock

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Speaker 1: Bet yet, they're going to double new signups winnings when

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Speaker 1: their first ten bets max of fifty dollars. So that

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Speaker 1: means if you would have won one hundred, they'll double

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Speaker 1: it now it's two hundred. Don't sit on the bench.

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Speaker 1: Download the hard Rock Bet app today and let's get

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Speaker 1: the party started. I told you it's my birthday. We're

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Speaker 1: taking the creaton Blue Jays and we are taking the

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Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox. Now, if you want to get a

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Speaker 1: little squirrely, okay, and you want to get a little

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Speaker 1: bit on the like the wild side, if you would like,

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Speaker 1: you can if you want Red Sox Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: There is no basketball game for the Celtics, so you

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Speaker 1: could potentially have gone in and say, let's go ahead

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Speaker 1: and take the Celtics. You can't do that. However, the

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Speaker 1: Boston Bruins are playing at the Tampa Bay Lightning, so

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Speaker 1: you could do a Creighton Boston Bruins and Boston Red

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Speaker 1: Sox parlay if you want. And that's the Paral Birthday

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Speaker 1: special if you would like to go ahead and bet those.

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Speaker 1: I do not recommend it. I'm not suggesting it. I'm

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Speaker 1: just presenting it as a potential if you want to

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Speaker 1: get really kind of crazy. Let me tell you. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to run the numbers here as to if you

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Speaker 1: would like to do that, I'll give it to you

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Speaker 1: live here. The Red Sox on the money line, the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays. Oh, we can't do that. Hold on

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Speaker 1: a second. You know it's funny. Certain books, I know

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Speaker 1: you guys saw this. Certain books are willing to have

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Speaker 1: the crown and other ones are not. There are other

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Speaker 1: books who aren't going to have the crown, which is

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Speaker 1: somewhat surprising because it's basketball, so wouldn't you want to

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Speaker 1: always have the crown? But I don't know. It just

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Speaker 1: seems like more games, more chances to bet. I would

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Speaker 1: jump in on that and bet that, but not every

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Speaker 1: book is doing that. So that Red Sox Ruins Creighton

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Speaker 1: basketball moneyline parlay is a plus seven to fifty parlay.

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Speaker 1: If you want to jump in on that Red Sox

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Speaker 1: to win, Bruins to win, and the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 1: to win for a birthday parlay. If you want to

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Speaker 1: get involved with that, that's not official. That's just an

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Speaker 1: option in case if you want to jump on in

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Speaker 1: and have some fun with it. What is official was

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Speaker 1: the hard rock bet of the day involving the Boston

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Speaker 1: Red Sox because the Red Sox are now back at

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Speaker 1: home against the San Diego Padres, and boy did they

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Speaker 1: need the win yesterday. Five two win for Boston and

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Speaker 1: now they're throwing out the kid who really need needs

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Speaker 1: to get off to a good start here. He wasn't

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Speaker 1: awful on his first start. First start, Conley Early was

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Speaker 1: great last year three to two loss to the Reds

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Speaker 1: in his first start, he went five and a third,

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Speaker 1: gave up one earned run. Red Sox gave him no

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Speaker 1: run support. But they're at home and it's going to

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Speaker 1: be a typical day like today. It's going to be

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Speaker 1: a day game. It's going to be a sunny you know,

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Speaker 1: fifty five sixty degree temperature at Fenway Park, and it

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Speaker 1: might get a little bit chilly at the start, So

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Speaker 1: I don't mind a bet on the under. In this game.

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Speaker 1: Randy Vasquez is going for the Padres. He's one to

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Speaker 1: zero after a six inning shutout performance against the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: He was tremendous. But I think the Red Sox can

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Speaker 1: find a way to scrap, scrape across enough runs to

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Speaker 1: win this again. Under is a good play here, But

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Speaker 1: it's my birthday. I think I'm betting against the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: Dream on Red Sox money line here on the hard

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Speaker 1: Rock bet of the Day. We need a w because

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Speaker 1: we're twenty one, twenty and one for the record of

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Speaker 1: the hard rock bet. We've missed three in a row.

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Speaker 1: So we lose this one, we go back to five

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty one, twenty one and twent one rather

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Speaker 1: and that's not good because we'll be down the juice

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Speaker 1: on the hard rock bet of the day, so Red

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Speaker 1: Sox money line here for that, We're taking the the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Arizona Diamonbacks Arizona Wildcats in the Final four at

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half, the Creighton Blue Jays plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half in the Crown in the A's,

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Speaker 1: and the Astros over ten here for their game in

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Speaker 1: Sacramento coming up today. My name is Matt Paroltz. You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice in