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Speaker 1: All you need to know about the Colts in one place.

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Speaker 1: The Colts Daily Update starts now from the Power Home

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Speaker 1: sold or radio studio. Here's the voice of the Colts,

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Speaker 1: Matt Taylor. Hey, welcome inside the Colts Daily Update tonight.

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Speaker 1: I'm Matt Taylor, with you until at six to fifteen

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Speaker 1: tonight on ninety three five and one oh seven five.

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Speaker 1: The fan instant replay follows us and then at the

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Speaker 1: top of the hour, it's the Pacers and the Nets

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Speaker 1: from Gamebridge Fieldhouse in downtown Indianapolis. Coming up in segment

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Speaker 1: two on this show, I'll chat with Neil Payne from

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Speaker 1: five thirty eight dot com about the Colts playoff odds

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Speaker 1: in Week eighteen against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the Colts

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Speaker 1: face a win and you're in scenario in the final

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Speaker 1: week of the regular season for the third time in

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Speaker 1: four years under Frank Reich. If the Colts beat the

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Speaker 1: Jags on Sunday, the Colts will become the twelfth team

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Speaker 1: since nineteen ninety to make the playoffs after starting one

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Speaker 1: in four or worse, and they would become only the

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Speaker 1: second franchise ever to do it twice, joining the Titans

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Speaker 1: in that regard and Frank Reich would be the first

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Speaker 1: head coach in NFL history to send his team to

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Speaker 1: the playoffs after his team started one and four or

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Speaker 1: worse on two different occasions. Remember, the Colts rebounded to

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Speaker 1: make the playoffs in twenty eighteen after a one in

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Speaker 1: five start. The Jaguars come into the game two and

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Speaker 1: fourteen and they're on an NFL worst eight game losing streak.

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Speaker 1: They lost to the Patriots last Sunday fifty to ten,

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Speaker 1: and they had a ton of players on the COVID

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Speaker 1: list in that game. And if they lose to the Colts,

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Speaker 1: they will secure the first overall pick in the draft

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Speaker 1: for the second straight year. It will also mean the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars will pick in the top five for the eighth

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Speaker 1: time in the last eleven drafts. The Cults were back

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Speaker 1: on the practice field today and they're back to normal

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Speaker 1: as far as their preparation is concerned. After a virtual

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Speaker 1: week last week, the team is back to full mode

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Speaker 1: in person with the meetings this week, and once again

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Speaker 1: on the practice field today for the Colts was wide

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Speaker 1: receiver Paris Campbell. He's been designated to return off of

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Speaker 1: IR has been practicing since late last week, and there's

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Speaker 1: still a chance that he can play on Sunday against

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars and be added to the active roster that

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Speaker 1: according to frank Reich. However, Frank today caution that Paris

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Speaker 1: still has a lot to prove the next few days

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Speaker 1: in practice that he can make it mentally and physically

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Speaker 1: back and be prepared and ready to play in week

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Speaker 1: number eighteen. He's confident that Paris can do it, but

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Speaker 1: did admit that it's a big step for Paris to take,

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Speaker 1: so we'll see on that. And Paris has not played

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Speaker 1: for the Colts since Week six with a foot injury.

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Speaker 1: And injuries have been a theme for Campbell during his career. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: since being drafted in the second round in twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 1: he's only played in fourteen of a possible forty eight

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Speaker 1: regular season games. Elsewhere, the Colts brought Pro Bowl long

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Speaker 1: snapper Luke Rhodes off the COVID nineteen list today. That's

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Speaker 1: good news. That means the Colts no longer have any

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Speaker 1: players on the COVID list after their big breakout last week.

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Speaker 1: As for the Jaguars, like I said, they had a

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Speaker 1: bunch of players out on the COVID list last Sunday

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Speaker 1: in New England. They still have eleven players on their

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Speaker 1: active squad or I should say on their active roster

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Speaker 1: on the COVID list, including three starting offensive lineman. They're

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Speaker 1: also down three starters on defense because of COVID, including

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Speaker 1: starting cornerback Shatt Griffin and starting safety Andrew Winger. Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: is just three and twenty nine since the beginning of

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Speaker 1: last season record wise, but they have some weird mojo

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Speaker 1: as we all know over the Colts in Northern Florida.

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Speaker 1: The Colts have not won in Jacksonville since twenty fourteen

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Speaker 1: and are looking to break a five game losing streak

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Speaker 1: inside TIAA Bank Stadium with the win on Sunday. All right,

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Speaker 1: time for a quick time out, asked, promise We're gonna

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Speaker 1: break down all the playoffs scenarios. Will do that with

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Speaker 1: Neil Payne from five thirty eight dot Com. When we

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Speaker 1: come back, you're listening to the Colts Daily Update. You're

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Speaker 1: on ninety three five and one oh seven five the Fan.

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Speaker 1: We now return to the Colts Daily Update with Matt Taylor,

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Speaker 1: the voice of the Colts from the Power Home Solar

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Speaker 1: Radio Studio. Welcome back on the Colts Daily Update. If

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Speaker 1: the Colts win on Sunday, they're in the playoffs, and

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Speaker 1: what are the odds of that happening. What are the

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Speaker 1: odds they're the fifth seed, the sixth seed, or the

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Speaker 1: last wildcard team. Let's break it down. Let's welcome in

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Speaker 1: Neil Payne, the general editor and senior sportswriter from analytics

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Speaker 1: website five thirty eight dot com. Neil, thanks for the

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Speaker 1: time tonight. How are you. I'm doing great, Thanks Matt,

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Speaker 1: thanks for having me on. Absolutely And we talked about

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Speaker 1: you and I spoke about this time last year and

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Speaker 1: you are a great guest for us, so we decided

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Speaker 1: to bring you back on. But no offense. I was

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Speaker 1: hoping we didn't have to talk to you again this year.

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Speaker 1: That would have meant the Colts were in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: solidly before the regular season finale. But here we are

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Speaker 1: talking about playoffs scenarios again. And you guys do great

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Speaker 1: work there at five thirty eight dot com. Well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: thank you, and yeah, it has kind of come down

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Speaker 1: to sort of deja vu again in terms of thinking

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Speaker 1: about all the different scenarios. And I feel like the

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Speaker 1: scenarios around this one and a lot of people have

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Speaker 1: talked about it already, but are especially kind of just

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Speaker 1: whacky and weird, and is like the situation with the

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Speaker 1: Chargers Raiders game, which we'll get into on Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: where if both teams, if the Colts lose, and then

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Speaker 1: both teams there play for a tie, they both could

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Speaker 1: make it, which has led to people saying, oh, maybe

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Speaker 1: they should just take a knee on every possession of

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Speaker 1: the rest of the game. I think that the league

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Speaker 1: would have a few things to say to both of

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Speaker 1: those teams that they decided to do that. But even

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Speaker 1: something weird like that is on the table this year. Absolutely, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this time year makes you scratch your head and you

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Speaker 1: got to get your calculator out and all that factor

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Speaker 1: in tie. So before we go further, talk to us

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Speaker 1: about what you guys do. What do you guys do

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Speaker 1: there At five thirty eight dot com we always hear

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Speaker 1: about playoffs scenarios and we always reference according to five

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Speaker 1: thirty eight dot com and so on and so forth.

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Speaker 1: So what is five thirty eight and where does the

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Speaker 1: name come from? Well, the name comes from the number

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Speaker 1: of votes in the electoral College, and so that kind

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Speaker 1: of gives you a hint that where we do politics

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Speaker 1: at our site, that's one of the things that we're

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Speaker 1: really known for is predicting, you know, political elections and

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Speaker 1: things like that, but we also do sports. We've you know,

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Speaker 1: we've had the NFL for a long time and the NBA,

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Speaker 1: and those are sort of ones that we're known for,

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Speaker 1: but in recent years we've added the NHL, and we

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Speaker 1: have a model for the college football playoff and the

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Speaker 1: w NBA and pretty much like every sport that you

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Speaker 1: could possibly think of, we have sort of a model

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Speaker 1: to try to predict it. And the NFL one is

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Speaker 1: one that I'm really kind of closely related to because

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Speaker 1: I am the keeper of the starting quarterbacks that I

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Speaker 1: have this giant spreadsheet that I note the odds of

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Speaker 1: each quarterback starting each game on a week by week basis,

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Speaker 1: and we have an adjustment for starting quarterbacks, so if

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Speaker 1: someone's injured, it can kind of play a role. And

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Speaker 1: this year we've seen I believe sixty one different starting quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: which is one of the highest numbers in any season ever.

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Speaker 1: Some of that's COVID, some of that's just the way

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Speaker 1: the league seems to be trending in recent years, and

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Speaker 1: so it's been a busy season in that regard, but

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Speaker 1: it's I've stayed on top of a lot of like

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Speaker 1: very minute details in the league as a result of that,

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Speaker 1: which has been kind of fun to keep up with.

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Speaker 1: And So sixty one different starting quarterbacks and only one

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Speaker 1: starting quarterback this year so far for the Colts, and

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Speaker 1: that's Carson Wentz. What do you do You have any

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Speaker 1: big picture numbers you can give us analytics wise on

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Speaker 1: Carson Wentz so far this year for the Colts. Oh, well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I was thinking about Carson Wentz, you know, thinking about

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Speaker 1: this interview ahead of time and about how one of

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Speaker 1: the things is and you don't need numbers, certainly your

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Speaker 1: listeners don't need numbers to know this. But he's he's

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Speaker 1: definitely one of the guys that seems to be one

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Speaker 1: of the most volatile quarterbacks in the league on not

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Speaker 1: just a game to game basis. Sometimes it feels like

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Speaker 1: a quarter to quarter or even play to play basis,

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Speaker 1: so you never really know what you're gonna be getting

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Speaker 1: out of him. He's had great games, he's had some

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Speaker 1: bad games. He's had some really bad plays in the

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Speaker 1: middle of otherwise great games. And so I think that

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Speaker 1: that plays into sort of the maybe a feeling of

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Speaker 1: trepidation about the game on Sunday, because, like you mentioned

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Speaker 1: at the top of the segment, it is a win

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Speaker 1: and you're in situation it is against the Jaguars, who

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Speaker 1: are arguably the worst team in the league. You can

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Speaker 1: make maybe the case for a few other teams, but

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Speaker 1: I think the Jaguars are down there. And so that's

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Speaker 1: a situation where you look at it in a vacuum

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Speaker 1: and you think the Colts should win this game. They

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Speaker 1: should make the playoffs, especially given the season that they've

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Speaker 1: had and some of the players that've had, you know,

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, the performance he's had, you would expect this

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Speaker 1: team to make the playoffs. And yet at the same time,

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Speaker 1: when it's Carson Wentz, you really can't count on, you know,

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Speaker 1: having him show up and play to the fullest of

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Speaker 1: his capabilities in any given week. But again, he could

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Speaker 1: come out and have an amazing game too and nobody

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Speaker 1: would be surprised. So that's sort of the inherent chaotic

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Speaker 1: factor that goes into that game that you know, maybe

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Speaker 1: it's a good thing that the Colts have all these

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Speaker 1: kind of backdoor firewall type you know scenarios in place

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Speaker 1: if they do lose that game, which again, to be clear,

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Speaker 1: they should win. We give them an eighty nine percent

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Speaker 1: chance of winning, and I think everyone you know, the

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Speaker 1: expectation is rightly that they sho should win that and

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Speaker 1: clinch a playoff birth and not have to go through

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Speaker 1: any of the extra drama. That's Neil Payne from five

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Speaker 1: thirty eight dot com. All right, So, like you said,

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Speaker 1: if the Colts win, they're in, but they're seating in

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Speaker 1: their playoff matchup is affected by two other games. Colts

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Speaker 1: fans are gonna be watching the Patriots and Dolphins game

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Speaker 1: in Miami and the Chargers and Raiders game in Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas on Sunday nights. So the Dolphins they can't make

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, they've been eliminated, so they're playing for pride.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots are in the playoffs, but they're also playing

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Speaker 1: for seating and they still have a chance to win

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Speaker 1: the AFC East. If Buffalo loses, the best case scenario

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Speaker 1: for the Colts, right is they get the fifth seed.

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Speaker 1: In order for that to happen, Neil, the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: the Chargers would have to win their respective games. So

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Speaker 1: what is the likelihood of that happening where the Colts

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Speaker 1: would get the five seed. Yeah, good, that's correct. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and the Jets game also factors into that. That's correlated

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Speaker 1: with them getting the five seeds. So for this, I

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Speaker 1: do to tend to like I got to give a

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Speaker 1: shout out to one of our sort of other sites

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Speaker 1: in the space that we work in. The New York

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Speaker 1: Times has a good playoffs simulator type of thing where

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Speaker 1: you can actually drill down into the seatings and look

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Speaker 1: at the games that affect that the most. And so, yeah,

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Speaker 1: if the Colts win, they would have a twenty percent

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Speaker 1: chance to get the five seed in or a twenty

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Speaker 1: four percent chance to get the five seed in that situation.

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Speaker 1: But then, like you said, they have to have all

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Speaker 1: of these other kind of dominoes fall into place. And

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Speaker 1: I think that the Patriots Dolphins game is really interesting

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Speaker 1: just in general, also because it plays into the Colts

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Speaker 1: chances of making the playoffs at all. And there's a

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Speaker 1: whole other factor in that where you know, you mentioned

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Speaker 1: the Patriots have a chance to get the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: It's a kind of a remote chance, but it hinges

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Speaker 1: on what happens to some degree in the Chiefs game

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Speaker 1: on Saturday afternoon, So then you get into the situation

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Speaker 1: of sort of like look at that and being like, well,

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Speaker 1: you do need them. If the Chiefs win and the

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Speaker 1: Patriots chances of getting the one seat out, maybe they

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Speaker 1: would be a little less motivated, you know, and not

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Speaker 1: play fully. Again, you mentioned the AFC East backer that

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Speaker 1: plays in as well, But that game against the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: and with the Patriots is at four pm on Sunday afternoon,

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Speaker 1: so sort of you'll know the Colts result already. You

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Speaker 1: also know the Ravens and the Steelers result, which is

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Speaker 1: very important if the Colts do happen to lose, and

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Speaker 1: then you'll be watching that game with the Patriots and

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins, knowing you need the Dolphins to win that game,

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Speaker 1: and then thinking about like, oh, you know how much

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are going to be motivated. All of which

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Speaker 1: leads up to that eight o'clock game and Sunday night

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Speaker 1: with the Chargers and the Raiders, and the Raiders could

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Speaker 1: potentially go into that game knowing that they've already clinched

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, not really a whole lot to play for,

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Speaker 1: but everything for the Colts could be riding on that

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Speaker 1: as well, So sort of the Raiders serving as a

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Speaker 1: proxy for the Colts in that matchup against the Chargers,

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Speaker 1: and there's a boatload away for the Colts to be

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Speaker 1: the number six seed, the Patriots, Jets, and Raiders would

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Speaker 1: have to win the Patriots, Bills and Chargers would have

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Speaker 1: to win. The biggest probability coming up this weekend, Neil,

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Speaker 1: is that the Colts ultimately wind up being the sixth seed.

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Speaker 1: What do the numbers say about the chances of the

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Speaker 1: Colts coming home with the six spot in the playoffs? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that one is about a forty percent chance, and it

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Speaker 1: goes to fifty percent if they win against the Jaguar. So,

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Speaker 1: like you said, that one is the one that's the

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Speaker 1: most likely destination for them, which if you think about

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Speaker 1: the type of season that they've had, maybe you would

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Speaker 1: feel a little disappointed that they're not higher in the

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Speaker 1: pecking order than that based on everything. But again, there's

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Speaker 1: so many moving pieces, and I think that's the nature

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Speaker 1: of the AFC this season in particular, is you know,

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Speaker 1: there haven't been that many really stellar, stand out, like

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Speaker 1: season long, clear favorite type teams. Yeah. At the same time,

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Speaker 1: there is this log jam of teams that are sort

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Speaker 1: of above five hundred pretty good teams, and really it

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Speaker 1: does feel like the the Culture team that their their

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Speaker 1: spot in that pecking order among that group of teams

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Speaker 1: has kind of gone up and down and you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of bounced around quite a bit throughout the entire season,

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Speaker 1: and we're even seeing that in the past couple of weeks,

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Speaker 1: and then everything kind of leading up to this finale

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Speaker 1: because again, the every team's chances seem to be so interconnected,

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Speaker 1: almost unusually interconnected. Some of that's the product of adding

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Speaker 1: the extra playoff team that they did before last season

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Speaker 1: and sort of the extra implications from that. Certainly it

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Speaker 1: makes the last week of the season exciting, more exciting,

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Speaker 1: I think, and then yeah, it's it's a one more

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Speaker 1: week also to the regular season than we're accustomed to.

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Speaker 1: That's Neil Payne from five thirty eight dot com. He's

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Speaker 1: breaking down the analytics for the Cults setting into Week

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Speaker 1: eighteen and their odds of making the playoffs, and then

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Speaker 1: talking about what seeding they might be. He's the general

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Speaker 1: editor and senior sportswriter at five thirty eight dot com.

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Speaker 1: So correct me if I'm wrong. I think the only

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Speaker 1: scenario where the Colts would be the number seven seed

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Speaker 1: then in the AFC playoffs would be if the Patriots, Bills,

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Speaker 1: and the Raiders all win. So what's the likelihood of

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Speaker 1: that happening where the Colts finish as the last wildcard. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so it's about twenty three percent overall would be their

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Speaker 1: chance to get the seven seed, twenty five percent if

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Speaker 1: they win, and eleven percent if they somehow do lose

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Speaker 1: against the Jaguars. And that's the one where you know

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Speaker 1: they do need all of this help all of a

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Speaker 1: sudden just to be able to make it and sneak

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Speaker 1: in as a seven seed. And that's when we start

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Speaker 1: really getting into talking about the Ravens and the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: and the Raiders ultimately and not having a tie in

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Speaker 1: that last game. All right, So, if the Colts do

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Speaker 1: make the playoffs, I know we're getting ahead of ourselves

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Speaker 1: a little bit, But let's say they do make the postseason. Neal,

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Speaker 1: from your standpoint and the numbers that you crunch, how

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Speaker 1: likely are the Cults for a big run in the

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Speaker 1: postseason based on your analytics? Well, yeah, that's a great

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Speaker 1: question because according to our ratings, sort of conditional on

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Speaker 1: making the playoffs, they have a strong chance of winning

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl going to the Super Bowl, you know,

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Speaker 1: as strong as as some of the other teams in

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Speaker 1: that sort of tier that they're in, as much as

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Speaker 1: you can say for a team that is currently sitting

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Speaker 1: at nine and seven. But we think that their power

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Speaker 1: rating with Carson Wentz healthy and sort of at full

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Speaker 1: strength for the team, we would rank them sixth best

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Speaker 1: in the league, so really only trailing the Rams, the Bills,

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Speaker 1: the Bucks, the Chiefs, and the Packers, and we would

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Speaker 1: have them basically kind of even with the Cowboys, a

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Speaker 1: little bit ahead of the Patriots, ahead of the Titans

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Speaker 1: for sure. And the Titans are a weird team because

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Speaker 1: they could be the number one seed, yet they don't

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Speaker 1: have the point differential of a team that we would

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Speaker 1: expect to have their record, so they're sort of a

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Speaker 1: team that I think the analytics are a little bit

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Speaker 1: down on. And so the Colts, you know, on paper,

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Speaker 1: seems as strong as any of those teams, and maybe

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Speaker 1: the tier right underneath the sort of clear top teams

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Speaker 1: like we're talking about the Packers and you know, the

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Speaker 1: Bills and the Chiefs and teams like that. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't see any reason why they can't. But again,

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Speaker 1: some of that comes back to just the reliability factor

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Speaker 1: with how Wentz is going to play in any given week.

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Speaker 1: We even saw that a little bit in the previous

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Speaker 1: matchup with the Jaguars. Team. Top of mind for the

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Speaker 1: Colts and their fans right now is like, he didn't

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Speaker 1: have the greatest game in that previous game, and they won,

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Speaker 1: but it was, you know, not a convincing victory in

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Speaker 1: the end, and so I think that that's again sort

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Speaker 1: of the fear of like what version of him are

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Speaker 1: you going to get in any given week? And can't

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Speaker 1: he string together multiple great games in the playoffs? Even

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Speaker 1: going back to the Eagles days, we didn't when they

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Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl. We did not actually see him

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Speaker 1: do that in the playoffs because he got hurt. So

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Speaker 1: it's still kind of a question and answered question about

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Speaker 1: them about about his ability to kind of do it

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Speaker 1: and get on a hot streak and really stay consistent.

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Speaker 1: And the Colts being how they're set up and the

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Speaker 1: way that the team is built, that's really the biggest

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Speaker 1: question that I have because you know, you basically know

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Speaker 1: what you're going to get for the rest of the team.

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Speaker 1: It's just a matter of whether he can kind of

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Speaker 1: not screw it up in some ways. Neil Payne, right

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Speaker 1: there from five thirty eight dot com. This is probably

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Speaker 1: a weird question. I don't know if you have the

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Speaker 1: answer on it, but I'll ask you anyways, go back

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Speaker 1: if you can. Where did you guys have the Colts

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Speaker 1: after three weeks when they started the season oh and three? Neil,

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Speaker 1: how improbable was a playoff season for the Colts according

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Speaker 1: to five thirty eight dot com after an O and

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Speaker 1: three start? That is a great question. I actually do

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Speaker 1: have that number, and you can get that at our

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Speaker 1: interactive that we have so you can kind of go

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Speaker 1: back and look what the playoff odds were at any

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Speaker 1: given point of the season. So we said there odds

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Speaker 1: and making the playoffs. We're twenty two percent after they

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Speaker 1: started out oh and three, and obviously there are a

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Speaker 1: lot higher. Right now at eighty nine percent is what

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Speaker 1: the current number is. But again there have been, like

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Speaker 1: I was saying earlier, there's been a lot of twists

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Speaker 1: and turns. Even in that I think there were higher

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Speaker 1: than eighty nine percent just a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: and certainly again after that start, they were much lower

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Speaker 1: than eighty nine percent. All right, what are the final thing, Neil?

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Speaker 1: What do the numbers say about the parody inside the AFC?

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Speaker 1: Is there any analytical data that explains the parody inside

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Speaker 1: this conference? Right? I mean, every team in the AFC

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Speaker 1: playoffs last year won at least eleven games. You've got

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Speaker 1: a bunch of double digit win teams again this season.

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Speaker 1: You've got a bunch of eight and nine win teams

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Speaker 1: so far this year. There's just not a lot of

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Speaker 1: bad football teams, if you will. Inside the AFC. It's

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Speaker 1: a very top to bottom strong conference. Do you do

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Speaker 1: you have anything that supports that analytically and do you

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Speaker 1: think the parody inside the AFC is here to stay? Oh,

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Speaker 1: that's a good question as to whether it's here to stay,

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Speaker 1: because I do think some of it was caused by,

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Speaker 1: you know, the team, like the Chiefs, they've been very

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Speaker 1: strong recently. Didn't quite get the job done last week,

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Speaker 1: but you know, they seemed to have righted the ship.

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Speaker 1: But there was a time in the middle of the

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Speaker 1: season when they were very disappointing and people were kind

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Speaker 1: of having a lot of questions about them. U the

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Speaker 1: Ravens have been one of the most disappointing teams. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: they had Lamar Jackson injured or ill for you know,

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Speaker 1: a number of games during the season, but they've also

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Speaker 1: been a team that they were not winning pretty when

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Speaker 1: they were winning, and now they're not. They're just not

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Speaker 1: winning period, it seems like recently. But that was a

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Speaker 1: team that was expected to be really good, and so

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Speaker 1: I think we've had, you know, some of the teams

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Speaker 1: that were expected to be dominant have hit snags and

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Speaker 1: they've sort of all kind of happened at once in

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Speaker 1: this season. And I think also another factor This was

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Speaker 1: a stat that I looked up the other day. So

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Speaker 1: normally there's a pretty strong relationship between between a team's

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Speaker 1: point differential and its record, which makes sense, like, you know,

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Speaker 1: the teams that outscore opponents by the most ten win

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Speaker 1: That is kind of how things typically work. But this

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Speaker 1: year was the sixth lowest correlation between a team's point

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Speaker 1: differential and a team's winning percentage across the whole league

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Speaker 1: since the merger in nineteen seventy, which means that there's

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Speaker 1: been a lot of disconnects. I mentioned the Titans as

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Speaker 1: sort of the poster children for this. According to their

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Speaker 1: point differential, they would really have no business having eleven

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Speaker 1: and five record. You see over in the NFC, the

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Speaker 1: Falcons are another team that you know they've been eliminated

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Speaker 1: from the playoffs, but even the fact that there's seven

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Speaker 1: and nine makes no sense given their point differential. And

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Speaker 1: so you see a lot of teams where there's just

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Speaker 1: this disconnect between their record and maybe they're the way

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Speaker 1: that they've played their dominance, their underlying talent. And I

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Speaker 1: think that has gone a long way towards sort of

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Speaker 1: dragging down the most dominant teams towards the middle, and

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Speaker 1: then boosting up some teams that maybe don't look that

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Speaker 1: great according to the deeper stats and pulling them towards

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Speaker 1: the middle too. And then you have what you mentioned

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Speaker 1: a second ago, which is just the deep amount of parody,

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Speaker 1: but with a lot of teams sort of jockeying the

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Speaker 1: position only separated by one win or maybe no wins

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Speaker 1: at all, if you're looking at the AFC playoff landscape.

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Speaker 1: It's Neil Payne from five thirty eight dot com, the

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Speaker 1: general editor and senior sportswriter five thirty eight dot com,

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Speaker 1: and he's been breaking down the Colts odds to beat

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars in week number eighteen and the Colts seating

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Speaker 1: odds if they make the postseason. Very informative, very insightful,

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Speaker 1: per usual, Neil, thanks again for the time today, my man.

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Speaker 1: Give everybody one final heads up on how they can

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Speaker 1: find your work and check out your stuff on the internet. Sure, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they can find me at five thirty eight dot com.

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Speaker 1: And that is each word is spelled out completely, not

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Speaker 1: as the numbers. And uh yeah, I generally write about,

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Speaker 1: you know, two or three things a week. We have,

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Speaker 1: you know, I write about a bunch of different sports.

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Speaker 1: We have a weekly NFL chat that we do on

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Speaker 1: Mondays that's pretty fun that people can kind of keep

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Speaker 1: up with. And then we're probably going to do a

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Speaker 1: live blog during the Super Bowl too, so if people

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Speaker 1: want to kind of fall all along with that. But

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Speaker 1: again that's that's a ways away. I'm really looking forward, though, Tom,

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Speaker 1: just this finale to the regular season and Sunday just

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Speaker 1: a lot of scoreboard watching. And I think, um, you know,

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Speaker 1: the Colts and their fans are going to be doing

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Speaker 1: a lot of scoreboard watching throughout the entire day. I

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Speaker 1: think it's it's just gonna be wall to wall football

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Speaker 1: and that can be nerve wracking, but also you know,

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Speaker 1: that's that's why we're fans of this great game. I

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Speaker 1: think at the end of the day, the NFL is

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Speaker 1: the best thing going because it's the best reality TV

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Speaker 1: there is And for the Colts, good batter in different

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Speaker 1: Colts fans are gonna have to wait until late Sunday

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Speaker 1: night to find out what seed the Colts are if

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Speaker 1: they win coming up on Sunday against the Jacksonville Jaguars

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Speaker 1: and make the postseason again. Neil Payne five thirty eight

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Speaker 1: dot com. Great stuff, my man, Thanks again for the time,

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Speaker 1: Keep up the good work and enjoy the playoffs coming up.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for having me. Have a good one, Neil Payne

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Speaker 1: five thirty eight dot com. With all the playoff odds

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Speaker 1: and scenarios for the Colts and the regular season finale.

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Speaker 1: We'll have more on the Colts and the Jaguars matchup

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Speaker 1: tomorrow in stint replay is coming up next, followed by

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Speaker 1: Pacer Hoops at seven. Talk to you tomorrow night at

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Speaker 1: six more on the Colts then on the daily Update.

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Speaker 1: You're on ninety three five and one oh seven Five

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Speaker 1: to fan