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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into week sixteen?

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Speaker 1: If you can believe that? And this is the last

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Speaker 1: regular season conversation you're gonna get for us, Pat Fitz Morrison,

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Speaker 1: Mount Perrault, we are here to break down if you

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Speaker 1: are alive in survivor pools, grav Vo, if you've made

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Speaker 1: it to week sixteen, you are most likely either in

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Speaker 1: the money or you are close to getting into the money.

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Speaker 1: We also have three bets we're gonna give to you,

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Speaker 1: guys that you can make right now, and one locket

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Speaker 1: in that you want to bet right now, like today,

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Speaker 1: because that line might be moving on you. Pat, how

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Speaker 1: are you crazy weekend? Last weekend with the injuries so

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Speaker 1: much topsy turvinus in the markets at the moment, because well,

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Speaker 1: who's playing quarterback for a bunch of these teams going forward?

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Speaker 1: How are you on this Tuesday doing well?

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Speaker 2: Tough losses for both of our teams, Matt. The Patriots

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Speaker 2: and Packers both took it on the chin and the

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Speaker 2: two biggest games of the weekend, But at least the

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Speaker 2: Patriots are fundamentally intact after that game, whereas the Packers

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Speaker 2: pretty much lost too much manpower for them to now

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Speaker 2: have any Super Bowl aspirations.

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Speaker 1: I think, yeah, it's interesting because the Patriots also were

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Speaker 1: without their two best run stoppers in the game against

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Speaker 1: the Bills, and I don't think that story's being talked

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Speaker 1: about nearly enough that Roberts Bulane missed the game, which

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Speaker 1: is the best run stopping linebacker for the Patriots. He's

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Speaker 1: not a very good cover linebacker, but he's tremendous to

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Speaker 1: stopping the run. And obviously, Milton Williams was the number

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Speaker 1: one free agent acquisition that they spent all the money on.

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Speaker 1: So when you're missing those two guys, James Cook went

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Speaker 1: crazy in the second half against that Patriots defense. And

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Speaker 1: when if they ever play again, the Patriots will hopefully

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Speaker 1: have their two best run stoppers back. So that's the

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Speaker 1: one benefit I think from a If you watch that

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Speaker 1: game and like, how did the Patriots blow a twenty

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Speaker 1: one dozering lead, Well, defensively they were a mess, but

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Speaker 1: they should be better come the playoffs with those two

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Speaker 1: players back. And I'm not saying that the Patriots punted

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Speaker 1: on that game by any means. They wanted to win

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Speaker 1: that game, but they know that they can send the

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Speaker 1: Bills have some tough games left. The Eagles game is

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Speaker 1: gonna be tough for Buffalo. They got the Jets and

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins as long as the Patriots and the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: are at home. We saw them last night in the cold.

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Speaker 1: They can't handle the cold. I don't care how much

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Speaker 1: they play the psychological game and we can play in

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Speaker 1: the cold. No, they can't. So I'm not as down

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Speaker 1: on the Patriots as so many other people are as

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Speaker 1: to what their future is gonna look like. And I'm

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Speaker 1: equally not that down on you guys in the Packers either.

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Speaker 1: I know Michael Parsons is a gigantic loss for that defense,

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Speaker 1: but you still have the running game, and you still

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Speaker 1: have Jordan Love, you still have the tight ends. I

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Speaker 1: don't think you guys are just done about yet. I

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Speaker 1: know it's gonna be hard to make a run to

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Speaker 1: San Francisco, but I'm not as down on your team.

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Speaker 1: Even in the wake of the Micah Parsons injury. You

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Speaker 1: still have some very good players.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's some supporting cast members who have heard, you know,

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Speaker 2: losing Devonte wy At, our best defensive tackle, losing Zach

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Speaker 2: Tom in that Denver game. I'm not sure how long

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Speaker 2: he's gonna be out, but he was our.

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Speaker 3: Best offensive line.

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Speaker 2: And you know, if Christian Watson, the early reports are

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Speaker 2: that his injury wasn't maybe that serious and could conceivably

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Speaker 2: play this week against the Bears. But they need him

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Speaker 2: because after they lost Tucker Craft, I mean, he was

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Speaker 2: such a key weapon. To be without Craft and Watson

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Speaker 2: would be pretty hard.

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Speaker 1: All Right, We're not going to talk about these games

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Speaker 1: because these aren't bets, but I think let's just dive

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Speaker 1: quickly into it because this is a crazy week of

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Speaker 1: Thursday and two games on Saturday that are absolutely massive.

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Speaker 1: The Thursday game and I'm not going to hold you

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Speaker 1: to this, but just your first blush with Seattle let

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Speaker 1: home against the Rams. It's a pick. It's forty four. Like,

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Speaker 1: this is the best regular season game of the year

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Speaker 1: and we get it on a Thursday. How does that

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Speaker 1: impact your handicap.

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Speaker 3: That we're getting in on a Thursday.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I just feel like Seattle is not in

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Speaker 2: a great spot right now. And they really struggled again

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Speaker 2: a Philip Rivers led Colts team that has been just

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Speaker 2: decimated by Andrews. Not only did they not have their

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Speaker 2: starting quarterback for that game, the Colts didn't have their

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Speaker 2: two best cornerbacks with Sauce Gardner and Tarvarius Ward, and

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Speaker 2: yet Seattle still struggled to move the ball on them,

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Speaker 2: and it seems like their passing game has kind of

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Speaker 2: hit a slump now. So we already saw the Rams

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Speaker 2: beat Seattle head to head in a really good game,

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Speaker 2: but I feel like the Rams have continued to play

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Speaker 2: their best ball, just went a really tough game in Detroit,

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Speaker 2: and Seattle is kind of limping along here. So I

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Speaker 2: like the Rams in this one. I don't know that

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Speaker 2: the Thursday does that affect the way you see it, Matt,

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Speaker 2: Does that fundamentally change the way you look at this?

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Speaker 1: It doesn't fundamentally change it. But it is a quick

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Speaker 1: turn for the Rams without DeVante Adams to have to

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Speaker 1: create offensive plays. And I know mcvay's extremely good at

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Speaker 1: doing this, but like, it just feels like if this

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Speaker 1: was a Sunday game, they would have more of an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to create plays in offense that could make up

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Speaker 1: for DeVante Adams being out. So you know that Puka

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Speaker 1: Nakua is going to be the main focus of this

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Speaker 1: defense and the running game for the Rams. I think

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Speaker 1: the under might be the best play in the game,

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Speaker 1: because I think you're right about Seattle watching that offense.

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Speaker 1: It was so good early. And there are certain teams

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Speaker 1: like the Patriots where they kind of came out of nowhere,

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Speaker 1: like Jacksonville's the same way. Right, We've got teams with

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Speaker 1: double digit wins sitting here in December and we're like,

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Speaker 1: where did that come from? Like Seattle's, you know, obviously

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Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the NFC. Jacksonville is

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Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the AFC, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the AFC, and I

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Speaker 1: feel like there is a little bit of a December

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Speaker 1: swoon going on. So without Adams and on Thursday, you're

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Speaker 1: absolutely right about the offense and in fact that Mike

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Speaker 1: McDonald at home is not good against the spread. Like

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Speaker 1: Mike McDonald is an awesome road coach. At home, it

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Speaker 1: just hasn't gone very well for him. And you saw it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they should have lost the game to the

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Speaker 1: Colts if Indianapolis had kept the clock running and not

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Speaker 1: had given the ball back with about forty five seconds

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Speaker 1: to go, that's a loss. So Philip Rimers did an

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Speaker 1: incredible job. So I'm with you. I think the Rams

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Speaker 1: is the side, but I think the under forty four

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Speaker 1: is probably the best look for the game on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: I like that call too, and we do sometimes see

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Speaker 2: disjointed Thursday games where the offenses seem a little bit

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Speaker 2: out of whack and the defenses seem like they're ahead.

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Speaker 2: So I agree that the under is probably the best

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Speaker 2: player there.

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Speaker 1: Do you agree with your team being favorite at Chicago

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Speaker 1: on Saturday?

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Speaker 3: No, I do not.

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Speaker 1: I'm surprised. I was very surprised.

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Speaker 3: It's a curious line.

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Speaker 2: And I've gotten a couple of texts from fellow Packer

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Speaker 2: fan friends who are shocked that we are road favorites

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Speaker 2: for that game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it opened to three. It's down to one already.

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Speaker 1: So the first move was the Bears. They gobbled up

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Speaker 1: the threes as a whole dog. I saw it and

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Speaker 1: I was like, wait, what what am I missing? And

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Speaker 1: I think it's the Matt Lafleur domination over Chicago and

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Speaker 1: domination in December. I mean, the guy just wins in December.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the historic trends. I mean, it is crazy that

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Speaker 2: the Packers. I mean since the late nineties when I

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Speaker 2: moved to Chicago since I moved to Chicago, the Packers

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Speaker 2: are forty five and fourteen against the Bears.

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Speaker 1: I believe.

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Speaker 2: Wow, Like that is a crazy trend of So maybe

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Speaker 2: that's why people are reluctant, just the way this series

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Speaker 2: has gone.

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Speaker 3: But it also didn't go so well last season.

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Speaker 2: And I'd be okay with this line if the Packers

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Speaker 2: had lost to the Broncos, but they didn't lose any

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Speaker 2: of their key players. But having lost what they just lost,

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Speaker 2: to have this line be what it is doesn't make

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Speaker 2: any sense to me.

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Speaker 1: This game is one of your plays. The game the

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Speaker 1: next game is also one of my plays. So let's

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Speaker 1: start talking about your best play here. You're gonna fade

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Speaker 1: your team?

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Speaker 3: Huh?

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Speaker 1: You really do like the Bears on Saturday?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And so two weeks ago, Matt, we saw the

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Speaker 2: Bears lose to the Packers by seven points up in

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Speaker 2: Green Bay. But they were on the Packers fourteen yard

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Speaker 2: line with under a minute left when Caleb Williams through

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Speaker 2: an interception on a play that really should have been

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Speaker 2: a touchdown, but Caleb waited a split second too long

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Speaker 2: before making the throw in it let Keishaw Nixon recover

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Speaker 2: and make the interception in the end zone.

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Speaker 3: The Bears are going to have revenge on.

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Speaker 2: Their minds, and the Packers have just lost so many

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Speaker 2: key players. Micah Parsons obviously the headliner, a five star

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Speaker 2: pass rusher, the guy who's leading the league in hurries gone,

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Speaker 2: Christian Watson getting hurt last week in Denver, who they need.

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Speaker 2: Maybe there's a chance he suits up. I tend to

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Speaker 2: doubt it. So they're without him there, without Tucker Craft,

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Speaker 2: their best defensive tackle, DeVante Wyatt, their best offensive lineman,

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Speaker 2: Zach tom I mentioned those guys earlier.

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Speaker 3: They're both out.

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Speaker 2: And losing in Denver and losing so many important players

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Speaker 2: in the process was just a morale crusher, you would

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Speaker 2: have to think, because they had Super Bowl aspirations to

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Speaker 2: that point and now, boy, it would take a miracle

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Speaker 2: to get to or win the Super Bowl. So meanwhile,

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Speaker 2: the Bears know that they can take the division lead

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Speaker 2: right back from the Packers by winning on their home

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Speaker 2: turf and avenging the loss to Green Bay two weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: and the Bears are five and one at home this season.

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Speaker 2: Haven't lost at Soldier Field since blowing a lead against

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Speaker 2: the Vikings way back in Week one.

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Speaker 3: So I do think the Bears win this one.

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Speaker 1: I would agree, And I think when you look at

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Speaker 1: and I last week, I was on the Browns last week,

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Speaker 1: same and I thought the hook was the good play

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Speaker 1: plus seven and a half. I like that. And the

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Speaker 1: defense was probably the biggest surprise for me in that game.

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Speaker 1: And not that the Browns couldn't do very much because

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Speaker 1: it's an offense, it's somewhat questionable, and you've got a

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Speaker 1: third string quarterback now and should or Sandras looked all

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Speaker 1: the part of a rookie quarterback in that game. It

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Speaker 1: was just the pass rush that the Bears were able

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Speaker 1: to generate. They were really causing problems for anyone who's

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Speaker 1: going to play quarterback, whether it be Sanders or anyone else.

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Speaker 1: They would have had a tough time moving the ball

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Speaker 1: on that Bears defense. The weather being at home. I

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Speaker 1: think it all factors in. I think that there's a

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Speaker 1: confidence in that building with Ben Johnson that they now

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Speaker 1: believe that they are one of the best teams in

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Speaker 1: the NFC. And much like the Patriots where everybody and

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Speaker 1: I did it too, with the Bears, like who have

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Speaker 1: you played? Who have you beaten? There is something to

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Speaker 1: be said for the wins you are stacking and the

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Speaker 1: confidence that comes from that when you get wins and

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Speaker 1: you're starting to appreciate and frankly believe that you should

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Speaker 1: win every game you play. I don't think the Packers

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Speaker 1: are going to match that. I think they're coming in

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Speaker 1: as you mentioned, with all these injuries short week, you're

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Speaker 1: on the road Saturday. I think you're right. Chicago wins, yeah.

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Speaker 3: And I mean I think part of it.

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Speaker 2: And one thing I regret about being on the Browns

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Speaker 2: last week was I think their offensive line was maybe

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Speaker 2: just too banged up to deal with the Chicago defense.

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Speaker 2: I mean, not having Joel Beatonio, and I think Jack

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Speaker 2: Conklin might have been out too, and maybe one other starter.

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Speaker 2: But then again, the Packers offensive line is not at

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Speaker 2: full staff either with Zach Tomaut yeah their best lineman.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it just seems like I think the Bears

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Speaker 2: get even I wouldn't surprise me if it's a close game,

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Speaker 2: but I do think the Bears win this one.

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Speaker 1: My first play of the week is taking Philadelphia and

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Speaker 1: laying it before it gets to seven. It's currently six

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Speaker 1: and a half. It opened up at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was steamed directly to six and a half, where

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Speaker 1: it since stopped with the Eagles on the road against

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Speaker 1: the Commanders and Marcus Mariota playing quarterback now for the

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Speaker 1: rest of the season as Jayden Daniels has been shut down.

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Speaker 1: I think there is a psychological issue here. When you

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Speaker 1: shut down Jayden Daniels, it's a signal to the rest

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Speaker 1: of the team. And hey, by the way, these games

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Speaker 1: don't really matter all that much. We're just gonna play

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Speaker 1: it out. And I think the Commanders would prefer to

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Speaker 1: lose these games because of the fact that they want

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Speaker 1: a better draft pick and they want to improve their thing,

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Speaker 1: their standings for April. The Eagles get a huge win

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Speaker 1: against the Raiders, but that's the Raiders. But they looked

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Speaker 1: the part again of a playoff caliber team with a

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Speaker 1: playoff caliber defense, shutting out and allowing sixty four yards

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Speaker 1: passing last week to Kenny Pickett. And you could say

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Speaker 1: that's Kenny Pickett, fine, but sixty four yards is still

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Speaker 1: sixty four yards. I'll lay the six and a half

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Speaker 1: with the Eagles. It's a road favorite, kind of scary.

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Speaker 1: But without Jaydon Daniels, Marcus Mariota has not been successful

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Speaker 1: this year, not against good defenses. Give me the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: I like this at seven points. I like it a

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Speaker 2: lot at six and a half points. And I kind

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Speaker 2: of saw this line for the first time and wondered

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Speaker 2: why it was what it was. I mean, I know

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Speaker 2: the Commanders just beat the Giants, not that that is

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Speaker 2: any great feat whatsoever, because their defense makes everyone look great.

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Speaker 2: And I know the Eagles have been very uneven this season,

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Speaker 2: but I think that defense plays no matter what the

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Speaker 2: offense is doing. And Lord knows, the Eagles offense has

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Speaker 2: sputtered this season. It is operated in fits and spurts.

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Speaker 2: But I think the Commanders also have the sort of

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Speaker 2: defense that makes opponents look good. And I would be

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Speaker 2: pretty surprised if Washington seriously made a run at winning

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Speaker 2: this game. So I am with you in liking the

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Speaker 2: Eagles and laying the points even on the road.

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Speaker 1: Bet number two for you this week? Where are we going?

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Speaker 2: We are going with the Chargers and Cowboys under forty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half Matt and since Joe Alt went

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Speaker 2: uninjured reserve the Chargers star left tackle, they're averaging twenty

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Speaker 2: points a game. Their passing game looks very limited. Because

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Speaker 2: that offensive line just can't protect Justin Herbert, and the

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Speaker 2: Chargers are becoming run heavier, which makes for hastens the

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Speaker 2: pace it yeah makes for unders. And since the Joe

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Speaker 2: Alt injury, all of the Chargers games have come in

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Speaker 2: at forty five points or fewer, so I realize this

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Speaker 2: total is largely about the Cowboys.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 2: The average total in a Cowboys game this season is

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Speaker 2: fifty nine point one points, which makes the over seem

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Speaker 2: like a value, right. But the Cowboys defense has gotten

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Speaker 2: better upfront with the addition of Quinn Williams, and like

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Speaker 2: every other defense, I think the Dallas defense can win

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Speaker 2: against the Chargers offensive line.

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Speaker 3: And on the other side of the ball, the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: Have one of the best pass defenses in the league,

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Speaker 2: so I think they can at least slow down Dak Prescott,

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Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb, George Pickens. I think this one plays under

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Speaker 2: forty nine.

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Speaker 1: And a half. So there's a couple really interesting things

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Speaker 1: about this game. The first is that Quinn Williams went

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Speaker 1: into the protocol for concussions after the game on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: so his statut says for this game is a little

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Speaker 1: bit questionable. If he doesn't play. I think I would

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Speaker 1: be a little bit nervous about the total bit, but

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Speaker 1: I think if you look at the Charger, they need

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Speaker 1: this game. Okay, this is a much bigger game. Dallas

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Speaker 1: has a path that is like as narrow as narrow

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Speaker 1: can be. They must win the division, so the Eagles

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Speaker 1: have to lose out So if the Eagles win on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys will know that they have been eliminated

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Speaker 1: from the playoffs on Sunday. So that also I think

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Speaker 1: factors into the game plan for Dallas as to how

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Speaker 1: they play, because they may not be motivated. Like the

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Speaker 1: team total for the Dallas Cowboys went under last week.

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Speaker 1: It's now eleven and three on the year. To the

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Speaker 1: over from a team total perspective, it was twenty seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. It landed twenty six last week for Dallas.

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Speaker 1: I think you're right. I think you'd be going against

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Speaker 1: the trends and how everyone's gonna run and say, okay,

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Speaker 1: bet the over. Dallas won't care. I'd go the other way.

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Speaker 1: I think the Chargers defense has to rise up and

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Speaker 1: play really well because the offense is so inefficient at

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Speaker 1: the moment without their starting left tackle. I think under

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Speaker 1: forty nine. In fact, I don't think that number will

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Speaker 1: be there come Sunday morning, because I would assume the

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Speaker 1: under gets bet if the Eagles win on Saturday. I

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Speaker 1: think the unders are really good.

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Speaker 2: Play on Sunday, Yeah, getting it early before that Eagles game.

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Speaker 2: Maybe that's the play taken. Now, Yes, Sunday morning, I'm.

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Speaker 1: Gonna go to a game that people aren't going to

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Speaker 1: talk about all that much. But I think it's a

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Speaker 1: play that I I'm looking to get in fade as

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Speaker 1: many bad teams that have quit that I can, and

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Speaker 1: the Jets have quit. They fired Steve Wilkes, the defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 1: They're playing Brady Cook, They're playing a quarterback who has

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Speaker 1: no business being quarterback in the NFL. Maybe Tyrod Taylor

337
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Speaker 1: comes back in this game, but most likely no. This

338
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Speaker 1: number tells me he's not opened a two and a half.

339
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Speaker 1: We're up to four for the Saints, who clearly are

340
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Speaker 1: playing really well, and they don't want to play or

341
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Speaker 1: tank for a playoff for a draft choice. They want

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Speaker 1: to go and play because they get wins and back

343
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Speaker 1: to back weeks over two quasi playoff teams in the

344
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Speaker 1: Bucks and the Panthers and the Saints are at home.

345
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Speaker 1: What do the Jets care about it? I mean, this

346
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Speaker 1: is the New Orleans flu, this is burn Street. Go

347
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Speaker 1: have a good time. And oh yeah, by the way,

348
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Speaker 1: I'm playing in a football game. I like the Saints

349
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Speaker 1: minus four in this game against the Jets. Where are

350
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Speaker 1: you in this game?

351
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Speaker 3: I had to do a double takement.

352
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Speaker 2: I saw the Saints favored by four or four and

353
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Speaker 2: a half points in a game, but seeing who the

354
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Speaker 2: opponent is.

355
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Speaker 3: If I know Brady Cook is going to be.

356
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Speaker 2: The starting quarterback, I love this play. The only thing

357
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Speaker 2: that terrifies me is that maybe Tyrod Taylor is cleared

358
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Speaker 2: or maybe justin Field's plays, and I know I wouldn't feel.

359
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,320
Speaker 1: Only they'll play him again? I probably why would you

360
00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:34,040
Speaker 1: play him? Like? It doesn't make any I think Taylor

361
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:37,160
Speaker 1: is the is the issue Tyron Taylor's playing, then yes,

362
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Speaker 1: I wouldn't make this bet. But I don't think they're

363
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Speaker 1: going to play either quarterback. I think that they want

364
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Speaker 1: to tank. I mean the Giants right now are getting

365
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Speaker 1: the first pick in the draft. There is some competition

366
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Speaker 1: going on between you know, Giants fans will get some

367
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Speaker 1: level of excitement from having the first pick in the draft.

368
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Speaker 1: That makes Jets fans feel even worse. So, like, I

369
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Speaker 1: think the Jets want the best pick as they can get.

370
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Speaker 2: Do you think we're still getting this game at four

371
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Speaker 2: or four and a half this weekend if Brady Cook

372
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Speaker 2: is announced the starter or.

373
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Speaker 3: Do you think it's gonna be already climbing? Yeah?

374
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Speaker 1: No, I think the number opening up at two and

375
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,920
Speaker 1: a half and being bet to four yea and one

376
00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,960
Speaker 1: books at four and a half already. It tells me

377
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Speaker 1: that Brady Cook is going to be the starter. That

378
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,200
Speaker 1: so this thing is just gonna climb. It's just gonna

379
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 1: keep on going up, up, up, because I think they

380
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 1: are gonna play Brady Cook at quarterback and he was

381
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Speaker 1: horrible last week.

382
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Speaker 3: Yeah he was. You sold me, You sold me.

383
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Speaker 1: So number three, where are we going?

384
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Speaker 2: Can't wait to see what you think about this one, Matt.

385
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,439
Speaker 2: I'm taking the Patriots plus two and a half against

386
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Speaker 2: the Ravens. I want to get this at Patriots plus three,

387
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:41,919
Speaker 2: and I think you might be able to on some

388
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,480
Speaker 2: sites because at plus two and a half you're getting

389
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,719
Speaker 2: even money. So I think it's going to move to three.

390
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,159
Speaker 2: It's a bounce back spot for the Patriots after the

391
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:54,840
Speaker 2: tough loss to the Bills, and the Patriots are six

392
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,280
Speaker 2: and oh straight up and five and one against the

393
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,320
Speaker 2: spread on the road this season. Ravens are three and

394
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 2: five straight up at home, two and six against the spread.

395
00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 2: And are we really buying the idea that the Ravens

396
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,159
Speaker 2: have hammered the wheels back on just because of the

397
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,280
Speaker 2: twenty four to nothing win against the Bengals in an

398
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 2: extraordinarily poor game for Joe Burrow, like the offense still

399
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,360
Speaker 2: didn't play well in that game for the Ravens. I'll

400
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 2: take the Patriots and the points, but again, I want

401
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,640
Speaker 2: this at three and not two and a half. Are

402
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 2: you with me on this one, Matt?

403
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 1: I am, except I do not like the fact and

404
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 1: it's early, so let's see where where the numbers come in.

405
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 1: Because the public continues to get just annihilated. When we

406
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 1: have games with sixty percent or more of the tickets

407
00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 1: being on one side, the public just keeps on losing.

408
00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,119
Speaker 1: It's hitting on a thirty five percent clip. That's one

409
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,680
Speaker 1: of the lowest we've seen in the last thirty years.

410
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 1: It's been a really bad year for groupthink in the public,

411
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 1: and people think, like we do, the Patriots are going

412
00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 1: to bounce back. They're six and zh straight up, they're

413
00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 1: five to one. Good spread. Like you mentioned, on the road,

414
00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,280
Speaker 1: this is the game of the year for Patriot fans

415
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 1: who are on the fence about how good this team

416
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,880
Speaker 1: really is. This is the game of the year. This

417
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,400
Speaker 1: is when we learn about Drake may and we learn

418
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 1: about Mike Vrabel because how do they get these guys

419
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 1: who were so down after blowing that lead to Buffalo

420
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,000
Speaker 1: in the second half? What is the game plan to

421
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 1: stop a superstar quarterback? Because Josh Allen destroyed the Patriots

422
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: defense in the second half, and if Lamark Jackson does

423
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:31,879
Speaker 1: it as well. This was always the two game stretch

424
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 1: for Patriot fans where we did the whole schedule. You're

425
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 1: like bye week Buffalo Baltimore. Uh oh, like that Buffalo

426
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,640
Speaker 1: road game. That Baltimore road game has been circled all

427
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 1: year for New England. If they can go and beat

428
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:49,240
Speaker 1: harbaughn Company on the road in Baltimore, I think a

429
00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:51,199
Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna say, all right, you can

430
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 1: invest emotionally in this team. Let's see what they do

431
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 1: in the postseason. They're gonna win the division and they're

432
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 1: gonna have a home playoff game. But if they lose

433
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Speaker 1: this game, uh oh, there's gonna be a lot of

434
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 1: people who are gonna start to be very concerned about

435
00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:06,160
Speaker 1: where the Patriot season ends.

436
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:08,679
Speaker 2: That's a good way of looking at it. And I

437
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 2: do trust Mike Frabel. Some head coaches are great x's

438
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 2: and o's guys, and then there are some guys who

439
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,640
Speaker 2: are just great CEO coaches, And I think Mike Frable

440
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 2: is in the CEO class as a coach, and I

441
00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 2: trust him to have morale and focus where.

442
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,600
Speaker 3: It should be for the Patriots in this game.

443
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: My final game is again to fade the Raiders. They

444
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,880
Speaker 1: are horrible. The Raiders are the worst team in football.

445
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 1: They are most likely going to play Kenny Pickett again.

446
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: We'll see what ends up happening with Genal Smith, but

447
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 1: there is no reason to play Genal Smith again the

448
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 1: rest of the year. You should just try to tank.

449
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 1: If Pete Carroll wants to come back, that's fine, But

450
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 1: the offensive line for the Raiders has been an absolute

451
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 1: train wreck the entire season. And now we're up against

452
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 1: the Texans team that's going to need it, and they're

453
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: going to pin their ears back in going to annihilate

454
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 1: the Raiders. Whatever the team total is for the Raiders,

455
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:11,479
Speaker 1: bet under the game I think goes under Texans mins fourteen. Fine,

456
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,640
Speaker 1: I'll lay it with the Texans for two touchdowns. Much

457
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,440
Speaker 1: like last week a thirty one tohering loss on the road,

458
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 1: It's going to be very similar. I think I'll be

459
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,199
Speaker 1: very surprised if the Raiders score more than three points

460
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: in this game. Their offense. Calling it broken is being

461
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 1: nice as to what's going on. They've already fired the

462
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 1: ropinsive coordinator. They've got a second string quarterback. They traded

463
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 1: away Jacobe Meyers last week. That was it. I was like, Okay,

464
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: rest of the year, we're fading the Raiders. Give me

465
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 1: the Texans laying fourteen.

466
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 2: They had seventy five yards of offense against the Eagles

467
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:48,960
Speaker 2: last Sunday, seventy five man And yeah, I mean does

468
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 2: it Does it scare it all to lay this many

469
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 2: points in a game with a total of thirty seven

470
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 2: and a half or do you just think no, because

471
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: I expect the thirty seven and a half to be

472
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: ten points or fewer for the Raiders.

473
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is an I thing for me that this

474
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 1: is not a trend number. This is not this is

475
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 1: just me watching this team in my backyard and I've

476
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:12,919
Speaker 1: been saying it for a month that the Raiders are

477
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 1: the worst team in football. They are the worst coached

478
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,959
Speaker 1: team in football. They have I really do think that

479
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,879
Speaker 1: if this Raiders team we always talk about Raiders like

480
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 1: the worst team in the NFL against the best team

481
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:28,439
Speaker 1: in college like, what would look like. Look at the roster.

482
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,479
Speaker 1: There are so many fifth round and sixth round picks

483
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,240
Speaker 1: who are on this roster. There are so many guys

484
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,360
Speaker 1: who do not belong in the NFL that are currently

485
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: on the this roster. This has been a unbelievable year

486
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 1: to watch the roster and how it has gone for

487
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 1: the Raiders. Injuries have been a major problem. Their offensive

488
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,359
Speaker 1: line can't stay healthy, so that's a huge issue. But

489
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:55,720
Speaker 1: Ashton Genty, he can't. He's a receiver, like you drafted

490
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,680
Speaker 1: him to be the bell cow running back and they

491
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 1: won't run him. They didn't run him with chim Kelly,

492
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 1: they're not running him now. He just because there's no

493
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 1: push from the offensive line. So he's a receiver because

494
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 1: they want the ball into his hands, and the other

495
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 1: teams know this and they just take him away and

496
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 1: then you're asking a quarterback who can hit the broadside

497
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 1: of a barn in Kenny Pickett, to try to hit him.

498
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 1: And there were numerous times in that game against the

499
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 1: Eagles where he threw the ball at the feet of

500
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: the receiver like he was just a horrible throw. This

501
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: is a bad situation against this defense.

502
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:30,920
Speaker 3: This is bad.

503
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 2: It's a below average offensive line to begin with, and

504
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 2: then they lose Colton Miller and Jackson Powers Johnson probably

505
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 2: their two best offensive linemen. Will Anderson is going to

506
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 2: pick his teeth with this offensive line. It is not

507
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,919
Speaker 2: going to be pretty. I would not I would not

508
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 2: want to be you know, Kenny Pickett or his parents

509
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,080
Speaker 2: with legitimate concern for their son's life in this game.

510
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 3: I fense.

511
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: I do a Raiders podcast every week, and I've been

512
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 1: you know, Raider freds are very mad at me because

513
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 1: I'm saying, you know this to them. Your team gets

514
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 1: gone awful. But now it's about getting the top three pick.

515
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,399
Speaker 1: Like as of right now they lose out, they'll have

516
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 1: a top three pick, and so you would think you

517
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: draft the quarterback. It might be Mendoza, it might be

518
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 1: somebody else that you have access to draft in the

519
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,719
Speaker 1: top three because you assume the Giants are not going

520
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,199
Speaker 1: to take a quarterback at the top, so if you

521
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: wind up with the two pick, you're going to have

522
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 1: your selection of quarterbacks to be your franchise. So there

523
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 1: is a very big incentive for the Raiders to lay

524
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 1: down and do not win the rest of the way,

525
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: like do not play competitive football the rest of the way.

526
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 1: And yeah again, team total Raiders under game under Houston

527
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 1: lay fourteen is the way I will be betting this game,

528
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 1: like I bet it last week with the Eagles. If

529
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,399
Speaker 1: you are a live in survivor and we do this

530
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: all the time, but if you are alive, bravo. But

531
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 1: options for survivor for you this week? Pat, Where should

532
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 1: folks be looking at they have access to the team?

533
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we agree that Texans would be the

534
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 2: dream against the Raiders. We'd probably feel pretty good about

535
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 2: the Lions at home against the Steelers on a short

536
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 2: week for the Steelers, Buffalo in Cleveland. You know the

537
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 2: weather is not going to be an issue for Buffalo.

538
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 2: If there is whether in Cleveland, how would you feel

539
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,439
Speaker 2: now those options may well be off the table right

540
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 2: the few people who have made it this far, would

541
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,119
Speaker 2: you feel pretty good about the Saints against the Jets,

542
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 2: because I yeah, I would imagine some people probably have

543
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 2: that available as an option to them.

544
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, my gut tells me you have the Saints again, though,

545
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,399
Speaker 1: it comes down to the entry, right, what's the entry worth?

546
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 1: So if you're one of the ten people left for

547
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,959
Speaker 1: Circus Survivor, it's worth one point eight million dollars, are

548
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: you comfortable laying? Are you putting one point eight million

549
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:46,919
Speaker 1: dollars down on the Saints?

550
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean, well, the all of a bet.

551
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 2: The other options are probably like unless you want to

552
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,400
Speaker 2: go to that Atlanta Arizona game, and I'm not even

553
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 2: sure who you'd taken that one.

554
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: Uh. I can't do divisional games, yes, that that would

555
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 1: be my only recommendation for this week is just do

556
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 1: not pick a divisional game. Yeah, I mean I don't

557
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 1: not in December.

558
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 2: I don't trust the Dolphins against the Angles or vice

559
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 2: versa for that matter. So yeah, I mean I think

560
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: you can.

561
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: I think you can take a look at certain games.

562
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 1: I think San Francisco, if you still have them available,

563
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: that may be a decent option to jump into on

564
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 1: Monday night. We'll get to that game here in a second.

565
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 1: But you know I wouldn't touch Tampa and Carolina. I

566
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 1: wouldn't touch Yeah. I mean, if you have Houston, Houston's

567
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 1: the play. That's the play. Houston's to play. Everything else

568
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:45,199
Speaker 1: is tough. I mean, Ram Seattle, Philadelphia, Washington, Green Bay, Chicago. No, like,

569
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 1: just absolutely if you can Tampa Bay Carolina, just absolutely no.

570
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 1: Is there a game with a number you would lock

571
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: in right now?

572
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,119
Speaker 2: Pat, Yes, I know we don't feel great about taking

573
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 2: anyone from Tampa Bay Carolina in a survivor pool, but

574
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,360
Speaker 2: if you're gonna give me the Panther at home catching

575
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:05,719
Speaker 2: three points against the Buccaneers, yes, I will take that.

576
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 2: So and right now it is Panthers plus three. I

577
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,880
Speaker 2: don't think that's gonna last because it's minus one fifteen

578
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 2: to get the Panthers at plus fIF plus three, So

579
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,399
Speaker 2: I want to grab it now before it slips to

580
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:20,160
Speaker 2: two and a half. The Buccaneers are one in five

581
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 2: in their last six games straight up, oh win six

582
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 2: against the spread. The Panthers coming off a disappointing loss

583
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 2: to the Saints, but the Panthers are five and one

584
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 2: off losses this season. Haven't lost two straight games since

585
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 2: the first two weeks of the season. So give me

586
00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 2: the points. Give me the home underdog against the slumping

587
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 2: Buccaneers who can't stop tripping over their own feet. The

588
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 2: Buccaneers match just gave up three hundred and seventy three

589
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,400
Speaker 2: yards in three touchdowns to Kirk freaking Cousins, who didn't

590
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 2: even have Drake London in that game. The Buccaneers defense

591
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 2: is given up an average of twenty nine point three

592
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 2: points and three hundred and eighty four yards over its

593
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,959
Speaker 2: last six games. Like, what are the Buccaneers if they

594
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 2: can't play defense under Todd Bowles? And it seems like

595
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 2: fair Bulls is kind of losing his handle on this

596
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 2: team right now.

597
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 3: So big game for both teams.

598
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 2: If you're gonna give me the Panthers catching points at

599
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 2: home against a team that just has not been playing

600
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 2: very well, I'll take it.

601
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 1: I have a pretty big position on the Bucks to

602
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:20,920
Speaker 1: win the South. I will be on your side here.

603
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 1: I will take the points. I'll pray for a Bucks

604
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 1: win by one and a Panther's cover. But the Panthers

605
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 1: at home are a totally different animal than they are

606
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 1: on the road. I'm with you. I think this is

607
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: a bad this is a bad spot for the Bucks

608
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 1: here to go on the road against the Panthers. This

609
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 1: is not where you want to be. Before I give

610
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: you my lock and in play reminder of the today's

611
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:43,680
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Speaker 1: I am going to go to Monday Night and I

637
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 1: want the Niners at five and a half, before we

638
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: get to sick and before we get to six and

639
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: a half or hire. This is going to be a

640
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: very difficult game for Philip Rivers. He's at home, Okay.

641
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:11,080
Speaker 1: I love the story. I'm forty eight years old. I

642
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: love the guy. But against Robert Sala's defense, with a

643
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 1: full week to prepare, more than a full week to

644
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 1: prepare for what Philip Rivers is able to do. We

645
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 1: saw it in the game against Seattle. He cannot push

646
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: the ball down the field, so there's going to be

647
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 1: no fear at all of a deep threat and a

648
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 1: deep throw coming from Philip Rivers. You know, this defensive

649
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 1: pass rush and these linebackers are going to be licking

650
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: their chops at this defense, going, okay, we stop Jonathan

651
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 1: Taylor and what do you have to hurt us? With nothing?

652
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,760
Speaker 1: Low scoring game. I like the way Brock Purty is playing,

653
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 1: but it's more of a fade on this offense and

654
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: the limitations of Philip Rivers playing quarterback for Indianapolis. I

655
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,080
Speaker 1: want the five and a half before it moves. Give

656
00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 1: me San Francisco minus five and a half.

657
00:31:58,520 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 3: I'm with you.

658
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 2: Offense, like rock Perty's got cooking right now, going against

659
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 2: a Colts defense that's banged up in the secondary, so

660
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have an easier time scoring than

661
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 2: the Seahawks had against the Colts last week. And I'm

662
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 2: with you, Matt. I mean Philip Rivers. He played admirably

663
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: against a really good Seattle defense, but the it does

664
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 2: sort of constrict the offense. They cannot there are no

665
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 2: big plays to be had with Philip Rivers at quarterback,

666
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 2: and that does kind of squeeze things for Jonathan Taylor

667
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 2: and force him to run against stack boxes.

668
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that.

669
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 2: Is the right play here for sure, and I think

670
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers probably win by a touchdown or more.

671
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm excited to watch it. I mean, it's good,

672
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 1: it'll be fun. Love the story. But I like way

673
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: the Niners are playing at the moment for sure. All Right, guys,

674
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 1: reminder that we're off the next two weeks because of

675
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 1: the holidays, so you won't see us for week seventeen

676
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 1: and week eighteen, so on the way out, pat is

677
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 1: there a prediction you want to make before we get

678
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 1: out of here that you can go and run around

679
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 1: and pound your chest on during the playoffs?

680
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 3: Is there any sort of prediction. I don't know that

681
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 3: I have one that comes to mind.

682
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 2: Is there anything you have as far as like unexpected

683
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 2: playoff qualifiers or someone making a late charge to get in.

684
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 1: I think the Texans are going to have a real

685
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: shot at playing in San Francisco. I think you look

686
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: at the AFC and how wide open it is. I

687
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 1: like defense, I like pass rushers. I like defense, and

688
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:37,239
Speaker 1: I like a quarterback that has been somewhat underappreciated. I

689
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 1: don't like bo Nicks, but I think CJ. Stroud has

690
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 1: a chance to remind everybody that we were talking about

691
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 1: him as ascending to one of the best quarterbacks in

692
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: the game. And he's got Nico Collins, he's got a

693
00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: decent running game, his offensive lines relatively healthy. But the

694
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,840
Speaker 1: defense for the Texans is on another level. I think

695
00:33:57,840 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 1: the Texans are going to be in the Super Bowl.

696
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:00,959
Speaker 3: I like it.

697
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 2: I mean I would not have thought this a month

698
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 2: and a half ago because of the Texans offensive line,

699
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 2: but that offensive line has improved to the point where

700
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:14,440
Speaker 2: it's at least adequate right now, and adequate might be

701
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 2: enough with that defense, which is the best in the NFL.

702
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch the NFC playoffs because no

703
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 1: Ma Homes, no Burrow a really decent shot, No Lamar

704
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,800
Speaker 1: Jackson like a really decent shot that he's missing the playoffs.

705
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 1: And so we've got an offense in AFC with offices

706
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:42,319
Speaker 1: being led by very young and inexperienced playoff quarterbacks, and

707
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 1: that with Bonix and Drake May and CJ. Stroud like

708
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: this is I don't know if CBS really loves this.

709
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 1: I'm not sure if the networks are all like this

710
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 1: is great, keep this going guys, because of I mean,

711
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,760
Speaker 1: if you paid you know, your Netflix, and you paid

712
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 1: a bazillion dollars for the for the for the Christmas

713
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 1: Day games that we're supposed to be unbelievable, and you

714
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 1: have a Broncos chief game without Patrick Mahomes and a

715
00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 1: team in the Chiefs that has been eliminated, that is

716
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 1: not what you paid for. You did not pay that

717
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 1: money for that game, Like the Broncos were supposed to

718
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,840
Speaker 1: be the bad team, not the Chiefs. So that I

719
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:20,439
Speaker 1: think is gonna be very interesting to see how these

720
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 1: how these players, these young quarterbacks handle the pressure and

721
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 1: the attention of the postseason, because it's going to be different.

722
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 2: Here's one prediction for the playoffs, Matt that that opening

723
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 2: Texans game you're excited to watch, you're gonna be watching

724
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 2: that on Saturday afternoon.

725
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:34,280
Speaker 3: Not exactly every.

726
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 2: Old prediction, because every year that is the Matt shewb

727
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:41,360
Speaker 2: Memorial playoff start time for for the Texans, it's always

728
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 2: got to be the Saturday afternoon game.

729
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 1: So here's my question. I do agree with you, okay,

730
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:49,000
Speaker 1: but here's my question. Are they going to make the

731
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:53,360
Speaker 1: two seed. If it's the Patriots play on Saturday, because

732
00:35:53,400 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 1: that is that the two seven game is what we're

733
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 1: talking about. Yeah, because Patriots of the two seed and

734
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 1: are probably gonna be the two seed and they play

735
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,919
Speaker 1: this and so the Texans, No, the Texans will play

736
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 1: in the four to five game, right, So the Texans

737
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 1: would end up they would end up playing at the moment,

738
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 1: and this is you know, Tuesday of week sixteen. At

739
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,439
Speaker 1: the moment, the Texans are no, it's a two seven game.

740
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 1: It's they're the seven seed. If they don't take they

741
00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:22,720
Speaker 1: don't catch Jacksonville. The Patriots would play on Saturday against

742
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 1: the Texans. And I'm telling you right now, the Patriots

743
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 1: will lose that game. If the Patriots have to play

744
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 1: the Texans, they lose that game. They won't be able

745
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,240
Speaker 1: to handle their offensive line, cannot handle the Texans defense.

746
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 1: Like that would be That's a great matchup for Damico

747
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: Ryan's defense to get the Patriots would be gigantic. That's

748
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: a kryptonite game for New England. I as a Patriot fan,

749
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,239
Speaker 1: I want nothing to do with the Texans. But let's

750
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: see what Jacksonville does. Because Jacksonville might lose this week

751
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 1: on the road against Denver, and if that happens, we're

752
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 1: wide open in the South here because we're gonna have

753
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:59,120
Speaker 1: a ten and five Jaguars and a ten and five

754
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,719
Speaker 1: Texans team with two weeks to go, still a lot

755
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: to sort out, Colts and Titans. The schedule for the

756
00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 1: for the Jags, though, they play the colt in they

757
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 1: play the Colts and they play teams. Are the Texans

758
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 1: play the Raiders and the Chargers. Oh my gosh, the

759
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 1: Chargers on the road and then they play the Colts.

760
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 1: So they play at the Chargers and home for the

761
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 1: Colts at the end of the year. So if it

762
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 1: is going to be a two game sprint, you have

763
00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 1: to like the Jaguars chances of making the playoffs and winning.

764
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,799
Speaker 1: If the Charging Man Texans to win on the road

765
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 1: at LA, I might be asking a lot and that

766
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 1: might cause the division to not go their way. So

767
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:45,959
Speaker 1: three weeks ago, so much football. Thank you guys for watching.

768
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 1: We appreciate it. He's Patpis Morris. I'm Att Peroultz Again.

769
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:50,359
Speaker 1: We're off the next two weeks. We could be back

770
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 1: for the postseason depending on how things shake out, So

771
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 1: stay tuned. We'll make that announcement later on, but thank

772
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 1: you for watching HIT. Subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube

773
00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 1: channel if you have not as well, so you get

774
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,600
Speaker 1: all of our content as we head towards the playoffs

775
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,680
Speaker 1: for the twenty twenty five and twenty twenty six NFL season.

776
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

777
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,000
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778
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,440
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779
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,360
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780
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:21,080
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781
00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:31,600
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