1 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,799 Speaker 1: The show goes on. This is the official show on 2 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 1: the fish Stripes podcast channel with me Eli Susman, the 3 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: managing editor of fish Stripes, where we cover your Miami 4 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: Marlins every day in our own way. Be sure to 5 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: follow all of our fish Stripes coverage wherever you can 6 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: get it. Of course, subscribe to the podcast wherever you 7 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 1: get your pods to get my official show, fish Stripes Unfiltered, 8 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: a new one coming up this weekend and throughout the week. 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 1: We have our small pods with Andrew Bernall and Daniel Rodriguez. 10 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,839 Speaker 1: On social media, you can find us at fish Stripes 11 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: on Twitter, on Instagram, TikTok, Facebook, YouTube. We are getting 12 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: close to my one thousand subscriber goal on YouTube. If 13 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 1: everybody that subscribes to the pod right here just does 14 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: the same thing on YouTube where we have some exclusive 15 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,839 Speaker 1: content that you won't get here on the pod, then 16 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: that'd be perfect. That would get us to that milestone. 17 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: Help us out and go ahead and do that as well. 18 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: Of course, all the content all the time leads back 19 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: to Fishstripes dot com. That's the mothership. Go bookmarket, go 20 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 1: check it out throughout the season, even during off days 21 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: like today when I'm recording this even during the off 22 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: season as well. We are all about the Marlins all 23 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,639 Speaker 1: the time. The one thing that I haven't really done 24 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,760 Speaker 1: at length is discuss what I'm seeing from the Marlins 25 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: minor league system so far in this twenty twenty two season. 26 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 1: I weave them into all the Monday official shows naming 27 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: my prospects of the week, and we work it into 28 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: almost all of the live streams on Fish Stripes Live 29 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: as well. But I wanted to take what probably half 30 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: an hour or so just to ramble, if you will, 31 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: but hopefully in a useful way, about what I'm seeing 32 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,559 Speaker 1: from Marlin's prospects. We are just past the one quarter 33 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: mark of the minor league season this year. The minor 34 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 1: league season started right about the same time as the 35 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: major league one, and it's not quite as long, but 36 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,799 Speaker 1: it's actually longer than it was, certainly in twenty twenty one, 37 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: so the sample sizes to this point are already pretty substantial, 38 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: and coming off what was a pretty normal twenty twenty 39 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 1: one season, this is a lot of fun. This is 40 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: the time where you could draw some more useful conclusions, 41 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 1: I believe, from these players than you could during the 42 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one season, which came on the heels, of course, 43 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: of the canceled twenty twenty Minor League season due to COVID. Anyway, 44 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: so here we are, COVID is not completely out of 45 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 1: the picture. In fact, on the Marlin's affiliates had a 46 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: game postponed due to health and safety protocols. Nonetheless, I 47 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: feel that we have gleaned so much useful information enough 48 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: that I was able to update my Marlin's Top thirty 49 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: prospects list at Fish Stripes. I put it up originally 50 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,239 Speaker 1: on April fifth, and I keep a pride of it. 51 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: Look as well, I updated for my own purposes internally 52 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 1: how I feel about the top thirty prospects, and I 53 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: go deeper than that as well. I have some just mists, 54 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: if you want to be honest, I probably keep almost 55 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: every single minor leaguer in the Marlins farm system. I've 56 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: ranked in an arbitrary way, And the reality is that 57 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: once you get deep enough, far past thirty to fifty, 58 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: you get to a point where it is really just 59 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 1: splitting hairs between these players even during even for a 60 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: high quality farm system. And I would say that the 61 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: Marlins farm system is certainly above average relative to the 62 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: others in Major League Baseball at this moment. With a 63 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: nice drive class potentially on deck as well, those only 64 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: go so far. There's only so many players in this 65 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: farm system that realistically are going to be viable big 66 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: league players, anything more than replacement level players. And the 67 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: reason why thirty is such a popular cutoff is that 68 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: I think you can look at probably thirty guys in 69 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: this farm system right now now that should be or 70 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 1: have a good chance to be better than replacement level 71 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: players at the big league level. They have a chance 72 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: to be somebody to play a part, either with the 73 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: Marlins or with another team. So my updates, almost everybody 74 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: moved a little bit on this list. You'll be ailit 75 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: to see the other one. I'm keeping it pins on 76 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,479 Speaker 1: the fish Stripes homepage to make it easy to find. 77 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: You could also go to fish stripes dot com slash 78 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: prospects for a specific section where we focus on the prospects. 79 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: It's even easier to find that all year long where 80 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: I stand on the top thirty, The one that was 81 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: easiest is the top spot. Urie Perez keeping him at 82 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: number one. He solidified himself as number one to this 83 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: early point in the year, getting what we thought was 84 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: an exceptionally aggressive move to go up to double A 85 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 1: to start the season to make his double A debut 86 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: before his nineteenth birthday. Even though the era is still bloated, 87 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 1: the peripherals look even better than his outstanding twenty twenty 88 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: one season. Strikeout rate is up, ground ball rate is up. 89 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 1: He's looking spectacular, throwing harder than he was before adding 90 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: a new slider as well. So what I feel I'd 91 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: done differently with my prospect list compared to others is 92 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: I wanted to include game footage of just about everybody, 93 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: a mix of game footage. In a few cases I 94 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: just use silly gifts gifts as well, but for the 95 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 1: most part, game footage in case you're not able to 96 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: watch the games on a consistent basis to get a 97 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: better idea of what these young players are capable of. 98 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: So in the case of Uri, in the case of 99 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 1: Max Meyer, my number two guy, you can go to 100 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: them their pages and actually see each of their individual 101 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 1: pitches and understand what they're trying to accomplish on the mounds. 102 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 1: I split up my top thirty in tiers as well, 103 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:55,159 Speaker 1: keep it to about six tiers and there could be 104 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: some flexibility moving forward. I feel at this moment that 105 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 1: there are six distinct tiers of Marlin's prospects. It relates 106 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: closely to what they do at Fangraphs in terms of 107 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: future value, where you weigh all the factors together when 108 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: evaluating these players. What I mean by that is, of 109 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,160 Speaker 1: course they're ceiling, you know, the realistic best case scenario 110 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: for their careers, their floor. On the other end, the 111 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: injury risk, the position they play, the room for development's 112 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: ability to adjust, and intangibles. Mix that all together and 113 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 1: come up with doesn't have to be purely scientific. A 114 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: little art to it as well, with bundling it down 115 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 1: to the probabilities of those various outcomes, and once you 116 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: put it all together, exactly how valuable that player should be. 117 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 1: How much they are quote worth as an asset. And 118 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: I hate to assign that title to a player. The 119 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 1: reality is that's kind of what prospects are treated as 120 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: in professional baseball, trying to weigh how much how likely 121 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 1: they are to succeed with you, and whether that's worth 122 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:07,479 Speaker 1: actually moving them for a more proven commodity at a 123 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: certain time. So what that said, one other factor I 124 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: put in there is the player's roster status if you will, 125 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: or you know exactly how many minor league options they 126 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: have left, what position, where they stand on the depth 127 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: chart in the Marlins organization right now. These things that 128 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: are frankly out of their control can have a large 129 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: role in whether or not they are ultimately successful in 130 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: the majors. What we're trying to do is, yeah, project 131 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 1: how much major league value they are going to produce 132 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: during their careers, and that stuff is not all about talents. 133 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: There are so many of these miscellaneous factors that go 134 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: into it as well. I already mentioned Yuri. He is 135 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: not only the top prospect of the Marlins system, but 136 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: I do believe he is a tier on his own, 137 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: that there is a pretty significant gap between him and 138 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: his potential and everybody else in this farm system ready. 139 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 2: To deal the one to two to angular and the 140 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: pitch check swang gotta one two on the way to 141 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 2: Anthony mulryan and the pick swinging a miss strike three 142 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 2: ninety eight. 143 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: Going back to Fangrafts, on a twenty to eighty scouting scale, 144 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: they try to come up with a single future value number, 145 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: where fifty is an average starting player at the major 146 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: league level, and of course eighty is the Mic Trouts 147 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 1: of the world, and the twenties are the Isan Diazz 148 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: of the world. You can never really see that coming 149 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,679 Speaker 1: with a player, but that's kind of what I mean 150 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: in terms of somebody that actually hurts the team as well, 151 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: and I believe the Marlins at this time have it's 152 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: the top thirty list. I would say about thirty six 153 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: players in this organization are a forty or higher where 154 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 1: I can see them being something more than replacement level players, 155 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: and they are. They're more beyond that that are worth 156 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 1: focusing on in terms of the ones worth prioritizing at 157 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,319 Speaker 1: the moments, and this thing is pretty fluid. That's kind 158 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: of where I was at right narrat it down to 159 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: about thirty six, and I included the six last men 160 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 1: out in the write up on fish stripes dot Com 161 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:19,080 Speaker 1: as well. If you're interested, I urate in his own tier. 162 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 1: I feel that his future value is it's like a 163 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,719 Speaker 1: high fifty five. Maybe you could look at it as 164 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 1: a sixty as a firm above average major league player, 165 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: where the ceiling the best case scenario is obviously higher 166 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 1: than that with how complete he is as a pitcher 167 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: and although just everything he has working in his favor, 168 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: how unique he is. Frankly among current major league pictures. 169 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 1: He could be a perennial All Star, and what the 170 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: best picture that the Marlins have had since Jose Fernandez. 171 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: That's not an exaggeration. There's also, of course, the risk 172 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 1: involved with that with any pitcher. That's something that I 173 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: rest with understanding the way that baseball is handled, the 174 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:07,959 Speaker 1: workloads that players receive. Position players at their finests are 175 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 1: going to be more important to your team than any 176 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: individual pitcher. Pitchers just do not have the freedom to 177 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: work as many endings as they used to. They are 178 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: handled very carefully because of that, they just aren't quite one. 179 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: They're not as predictable one year after another, and even 180 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:30,439 Speaker 1: at their very best, they don't alter the direction of 181 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: your franchise quite as much as they used to. That 182 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: thing said, at this time, I still think the very 183 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: top of the Marlin system is pitching heavy, and so 184 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:41,959 Speaker 1: that speaks to how well they are developing these pitchers 185 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: and also how there's still something more they need to 186 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: do in terms of getting the most out of their 187 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: position player talent. You're a number one. I also have 188 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: Max in his own tier as well, So I don't 189 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 1: think this is going to be typical moving forward to 190 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: this farm system to have both those players in their 191 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: own tier. But I think Max is the one other 192 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: guy in this farm system that is notably above an 193 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: average player. If I'm projecting forward, I think his future 194 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: value is above a fifty, a high fifty, maybe a 195 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 1: fifty five. Despite what he's done in the last two 196 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: outings coming into this ranking at the minor league level. 197 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 1: That has been well publicized is how much he has 198 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 1: struggled in those two outings. It does not really alter 199 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 1: my evaluation of him at this time. I think you 200 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 1: can see how he how much he has improved even 201 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 1: since last season despite the overall stats. He's throwing harder, 202 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 1: his change up is better, his slider is exactly what's 203 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 1: supposed to be, and he does so many of the 204 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 1: little things that I absolutely love, controlling the running game, 205 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: fielding his position, getting efficient outs, understanding that balance between 206 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: one and two strike everybody out, and wanting to work 207 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: deep into games. So we've seen him work deep into games. 208 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,840 Speaker 1: We've seen him work on four days rest, on regular 209 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:01,439 Speaker 1: rest at trip, even though he didn't get much of 210 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 1: an opportunity to do that the year before. So that's 211 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 1: enough on the on the top end. From here, I'm 212 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: just going to bounce around to some of the other 213 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:10,960 Speaker 1: notable movers that I had in my top thirty. The 214 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: next tier was Khalil Watson, the infielder top draft pick 215 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: last year, along with Edward Cabrera, and the outfielders the Kylee. 216 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 1: Alferlders from twenty nineteen who are finally knocking on the 217 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 1: door to the big leagues, Peyden Burdick, and JJ Blode. 218 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 1: I move Berdick ahead of blue Day for the first 219 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: time this year, and you could read up on why 220 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: the rest of the list going to tiers four and below. 221 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 1: I didn't really write out my thoughts, and that's kind 222 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,199 Speaker 1: of why I'm recording the podcast, is to focus on 223 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: some of these other guys that are very notable and 224 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 1: can be you can really be huge pieces of the future, 225 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: even if they're not at the very top of the list. 226 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: I still have Jake Eeder at number seven, the left 227 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 1: hander from the twenty twenty draft who was missing all 228 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: this year due to Tommy jay On surgery. What he 229 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:06,439 Speaker 1: did at Double A in twenty twenty one was absolutely 230 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: mind blowing, in his professional debut, and with Tommy John surgery, fortunately, 231 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:17,839 Speaker 1: it's a little bit more predictable to project, to look 232 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 1: at the recovery, and it's safer to assume that a 233 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: player that undergoes Tommy John will come out on the 234 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: other side and be either a similar version of themselves 235 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 1: or in some cases actually a little bit better if 236 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 1: they spend all that downtime focusing on the right things. 237 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 1: He's followed by Jose Salas and Ian Lewis. Ian Lewis 238 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: is one to watch it because he finally got into 239 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: some games recently earlier this month after staying back at 240 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:49,079 Speaker 1: extended spring training, and his numbers are off the charts. 241 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 1: So first career to this point, he's hitting like three 242 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 1: forty or something around there for a nineteen year old 243 00:13:56,240 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: switch hitting infielder. He has really high side. It's just 244 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: that we need more of a sample before going really overboard. 245 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 1: That's somebody that I feel has a lot of helium 246 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 1: to them. What else do we have in here? So 247 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: my criteria for ranking prospects is a little bit different 248 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 1: than everybody else's, So I still have label ideas as 249 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 1: prospect eligible at number eleven. That's something that's explained in 250 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: the intro on fish stripes, because the standard that the 251 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 1: industry uses is fifty ennings pitched in the major leagues 252 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 1: or one hundred and thirty at bats for position players 253 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 1: to graduate from prospect eligibility, and I just feel that's 254 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 1: kind of an archaic definition that we should standardize it 255 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: for both position players and pitchers. The magic number that 256 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: I use is two hundred for batters faced or for 257 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 1: played appearances, So in most cases that actually means these 258 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 1: guys stay prospect eligible a little longer than the normal 259 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: system does. And that's you know, so that's my choice. 260 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: That's something to keep in mind. So for Leywin, the 261 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 1: way that the team has been handling him, you know, 262 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: I'm as frustrated as anybody is about that and why 263 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 1: they didn't make arrangements to have him in a semi 264 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: everyday role entering this season and instead have now had 265 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: him in the big leagues for exactly one day to 266 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: this point in the season. Nothing left to prove down 267 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: in the minor leagues. But I did have to move 268 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:30,080 Speaker 1: him down just for this is keeping in mind the 269 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: factors out of a player's control that he is unlikely 270 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: to get significant playing time in the majors at least 271 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 1: for the next couple months, and that they are using 272 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 1: his final minor league option year for Layowen here in 273 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, which means that moving forward, it's it 274 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: puts him in a position where there's more pressure to perform. 275 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: He's not going to have that luxury of an option 276 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: to fall back on. You know, they won't be able 277 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: to send him down to the minors in a future 278 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 1: season if without if you know, he's struggling, and that 279 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 1: is sometimes a necessary thing to get the best out 280 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: of a player. But the way that they've handled him, 281 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 1: I think it certainly hurts that. The bottom line is, 282 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:21,040 Speaker 1: I think it hurts his likelihood of success. It's disappointing. 283 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 1: So I've had him pretty consistently in the past as 284 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: somewhere between number seven and number nine prospect in the organization, 285 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 1: even with a lot of graduations in recent years. For 286 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: this Marvelin's organization, I've been moving down the list because 287 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: the longer they keep him down and he continues to 288 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: do the same things, it's not a limitless clock that 289 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,760 Speaker 1: you have to prove yourself, especially at a position like 290 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 1: first base, and then the next one in that area 291 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,359 Speaker 1: that I want to touch on is six dough Sanchez, 292 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 1: who you know, I've been extremely high on in the 293 00:16:56,160 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: past before his injury and even early after his shoulder 294 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: injury in twenty twenty one. So he's now at this 295 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 1: point fourteen months removed from facing live hitters, and he 296 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: still has a ways to go before he's able to 297 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: do that again. But I kept him on the list 298 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: at least in the top thirty because he has made 299 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,479 Speaker 1: some progress with his throwing program. Most recent report up 300 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: to ninety feet, which is something that he didn't reach 301 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: last year prior to undergoing his surgery. So they're being 302 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 1: very methodical, as is the case with Langwin. They are 303 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: you know, the clock is ticking. This is his final 304 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: option year as well. So when six zero comes back, 305 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,359 Speaker 1: whether it's towards the end of this season or in 306 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, it's just he is in an uncomfortable position. 307 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 1: They are not prioritizing him. They're not making him a 308 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 1: priority for this organization, even though they were just a 309 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,880 Speaker 1: couple of years ago, and with him obviously coming off 310 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: this injury, I needed to dock him for that. It's 311 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 1: different than Tommy John. It's not as routine when they 312 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: go inside the shoulder and repair a tear there. As 313 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,479 Speaker 1: we've seen with his recovery, it has taken longer than 314 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 1: a typical Tommy John would recover. The expectation of all 315 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 1: his stuff coming back to what it used to be. 316 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:19,360 Speaker 1: That's no guarantee either. It is far from a guarantee 317 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: that six to oh is sitting ninety eight ninety nine 318 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: with his fastball velocity on the other side of the 319 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: shoulder injury. I still think that the upside and all 320 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 1: the traits that he has as a starting pitcher or 321 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: give him a nice upside that not many players in 322 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 1: this organization had the upside of six to do if 323 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: he does put it back together and if everything between 324 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 1: his ears is pushing in the right direction. It's no 325 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:54,400 Speaker 1: secret that the team has had concerns about his focus, 326 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,760 Speaker 1: about his motivation, about his work ethic, and I think 327 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 1: all those have been fair concerns at this point. And 328 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 1: that goes into whether he'll be the best version of 329 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 1: himself once his body permits him to be. The rest 330 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:09,879 Speaker 1: of this top thirty some other notables they want to 331 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: point out, is the biggest riser on this list since 332 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 1: the start of the season Harra and Karnacion. He started 333 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:21,199 Speaker 1: this year repeating double a Pensacola. That's something that's a 334 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: red flag for me. When a player starts one season 335 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 1: at a level, spends most of the season at that level, 336 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: and then repeats it the next year. It just means 337 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,680 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say a red flag. I would say it 338 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 1: changes the way I interpret their performance. So her last 339 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: year at Pensacola, he was a slightly below league average hitter. 340 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 1: He's a well below average defender at the corner outfield 341 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: spots and at first base. He's a slow runner, and 342 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: he also got hurt during that year as well. The 343 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 1: underlying stats were really scary, the spike and his strikeout rate. 344 00:19:57,800 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 1: He was striking out more than a third of the 345 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: time I think was thirty eight percent of the time 346 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. That's the kind of number that 347 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: over a considerable sample, that's a red flag because it's 348 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 1: unlikely for a player to be whipping that often against 349 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,880 Speaker 1: minor league pitching and to be expecting anything different once 350 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 1: they eventually get to the major leagues. To his credit, 351 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:25,199 Speaker 1: he has looked absolutely phenomenal so far this season. He 352 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 1: was leading the farm system in home runs prior to 353 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,720 Speaker 1: his promotion to Triple A and just in the past 354 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,480 Speaker 1: few days as I'm recording this, he got home runs 355 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: in each of his first two Triple A Jacksonville games, 356 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: one of them a no doubter to the opposite field. 357 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: How often do you hear that? It was about fifteen 358 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,360 Speaker 1: rows deep to right field for this right handed hitter. 359 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 2: To two and then Carnassi owned swings puts a charge 360 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,199 Speaker 2: into that one, back up the track and right field. 361 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:56,399 Speaker 2: That one is on a here well, first triple A 362 00:20:56,640 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 2: home run for Yerar and Carnacion, and Jacksonville's on the 363 00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:03,640 Speaker 2: board here in the bottom of. 364 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 1: The eighth in it. And the next day the only 365 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 1: offense for Jacksonville on Wednesday was a tank to left 366 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: field that he pulled. They said the track man estimate 367 00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: was four hundred and thirty three feet. I made a 368 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: whole highlight reel of him that's available on our YouTube 369 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 1: channel of his longest home runs, and if I went 370 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,439 Speaker 1: back and edited that video now, I'd have to include 371 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: his most recent one. He does have special power. During 372 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: his breakout season of twenty nineteen, I did liken him 373 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 1: to someone like Garrett Cooper. I think there's a lot 374 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: in common with Cooper on all really every element. He's 375 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 1: about that kind of humongous size and has some of 376 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 1: the same concerns as well in terms of durability, in 377 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 1: terms of defensive fit. And he's on the forty man roster, 378 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:57,520 Speaker 1: so his clock is ticking a little bit as well 379 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,280 Speaker 1: in terms of when they'll get opportunities and if those 380 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,399 Speaker 1: opportunities are not coming in Miami in the near term future. 381 00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: Considering all the veterans, all the veteran right handed mashers 382 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 1: on this roster, then I this is something that Alex 383 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,600 Speaker 1: Carver Fish on the pharm I suggested it is exactly 384 00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,119 Speaker 1: whether he'd be best used as a trade ship during 385 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: this summer or at the end of the year, because 386 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 1: he doesn't have a whole lot left to prove in 387 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 1: the minors. Now that he has bounced back looking very 388 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: much like that exciting prospect that he was in twenty nineteen, 389 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,480 Speaker 1: someone that was unranked in my top thirty coming off 390 00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,119 Speaker 1: the year that he had, and I'm seeing a lot 391 00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 1: of the things that I loved about him a few 392 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: years ago to restore that faith in him in that 393 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,960 Speaker 1: same area of the list. This is what Harrar is 394 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,639 Speaker 1: in tier five. Yeah, so the division I have is 395 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,719 Speaker 1: right after six to six Dough. I have him at 396 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: the end of the fourth tier of players, ones who 397 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:58,280 Speaker 1: right close to a fifty future value just a little 398 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:02,479 Speaker 1: bit below, and then so that next list's other guys 399 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: that if they were to become average big league regulars, 400 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,719 Speaker 1: then that's a win. None of these guys beyond the 401 00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 1: top twelve I think you should be penciling in as 402 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 1: starting players. That's just the reality of player development is 403 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: that everybody from Joe Mack and Victor Mason, Junior, Yeadicape, 404 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: Zach mccamberly on down, these guys are exciting for a 405 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,920 Speaker 1: variety of reasons. It's just that as overall players, there 406 00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: are enough obstacles that they have to overcome. In my opinion, 407 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 1: this is all my opinion, of course, to be to 408 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,239 Speaker 1: be stars in the big leagues, to be even like 409 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:44,440 Speaker 1: stable starters in the big leagues. We have Ancharnasion at eighteen. 410 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 1: Paul McIntosh I put him at number twenty three, the catcher, 411 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 1: undrafted free agent less than one year ago, mashed for 412 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: low Way Jupiter, really impressed during spring training and got 413 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:03,159 Speaker 1: bumped up right to double a Pensacola playing against competition 414 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,880 Speaker 1: his own age, and continues to hit really well, continues 415 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:13,639 Speaker 1: to run surprisingly well for a catcher, and defensively behind 416 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 1: the plate. A lot of the results that you're seeing 417 00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: from the Pensacola team speak for themselves. That was a 418 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,959 Speaker 1: team that got to a relatively slow start, and as 419 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: I'm talking about them, are in the midst of one 420 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 1: of the longest winning streaks in the minors. Pitching exceptionally well, 421 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 1: not just like prime ticket, prime talent starters like Perez, 422 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:39,679 Speaker 1: but also all these relievers that are having career years 423 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:44,200 Speaker 1: at their pen and more often than not throwing to McIntosh. 424 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: So he's doing really well on all sides of the ball, 425 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:50,879 Speaker 1: and the way he impacts the ball and hits it 426 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: to all fields is exciting. You don't see that very 427 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:57,000 Speaker 1: often from catchers as well. I think there's a pretty 428 00:24:57,040 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 1: strong chance that he has a big career in a 429 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: significant one as well, and one that could start in 430 00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,879 Speaker 1: the relatively near future. Some other guys breaking through. Brian 431 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 1: Hoeing I put him at number twenty six, made some 432 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: fascinating adjustments coming off last year. In twenty twenty one, 433 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: he led all my Marlins minor leaguers and innings pitched. 434 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 1: It's just that the actual effectiveness of those innings wasn't 435 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: anything to write home about. Got promoted to double A, 436 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,399 Speaker 1: got to such an extraordinary start that they moved him 437 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: to Jacksonville as well. Right now, I think he's a 438 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 1: really well rounded pitcher that has some true rotation upside. 439 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,719 Speaker 1: At number twenty eight, I went with Josh Simpson. I 440 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: wanted to make sure to stick him in. He is 441 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:45,240 Speaker 1: one of those Pensacola relievers that is having a career year. 442 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 1: He is having as good a year as any reliever 443 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: in minor league baseball, as well as anybody in Major 444 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: League Baseball as well. He's been pretty much perfect. He 445 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: has not allowed a run in eighteen and two thirds 446 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 1: endings pitched. He gives me very strong Alex Vesia vibes. 447 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: Of course, Vesia was dominant across every level of the 448 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: Marlins minor league system, and shortly after debuting got traded 449 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 1: to the Dodgers. Since then, he has gone on to 450 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: become a really useful middle reliever for them. It's always 451 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: tricky to know exactly where to slot relievers in prospect 452 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 1: rankings alongside players that you know are going to be 453 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:30,640 Speaker 1: on the field on the mounds a lot more often 454 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 1: than them. But in my opinion, certainly in the back 455 00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,399 Speaker 1: half of a top thirty, even in this Marlins farm system, 456 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,400 Speaker 1: that you can put a reliever there if you feel 457 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 1: very confident in what they're going to bring and that's 458 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 1: going to translate to the majors. There's few things that 459 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: are easier to translate than you swing and miss relievers 460 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 1: in the minors and how they'll do in the majors. 461 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 1: And I think Simpson this has sort of come out 462 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 1: of nowhere because he was at the Arizona Fall League 463 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: last year. He was under the micro scope and nothing 464 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,480 Speaker 1: really popped to me there. Clearly something has changed entering 465 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:11,119 Speaker 1: this season. It's the fastball commands, the slider, late break, 466 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 1: and the fact that he's getting into all these good counts. 467 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: He's just as good against righties as he is against lefties, 468 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,400 Speaker 1: even though the velocity is not anything that stands out 469 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: too much. It's the characteristics of that fastball and his 470 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 1: ability to tunnel those pitches together that is a simple 471 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 1: formula that has worked very often for other relievers. It's 472 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 1: the kind of player that the Marlins need on their 473 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 1: major league bullpen, bullpen that just doesn't have a whole 474 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: lot of swing and miss when they absolutely need it. 475 00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,239 Speaker 1: I think you could see him in any day now. 476 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,200 Speaker 1: You could see him moved up to Triple A as well. 477 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 1: So and some other relievers that didn't make my top thirty, 478 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:57,160 Speaker 1: but at least cross my mind are Andrew Nrdi, another 479 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 1: lefty reliever who did get promoted to Jacksonville, and also 480 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: Anthony Maldonado. I was high on him coming into twenty 481 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,879 Speaker 1: twenty one, and unfortunately injuries set him back. He is 482 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:10,359 Speaker 1: back on track to this point in the season, but 483 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: Simpson is the one that slips in into my top 484 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,880 Speaker 1: thirty at twenty eight. I have George Soriano at twenty nine, 485 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: twenty three year old right hander who's been in the 486 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: organization a long time, just hasn't really had the endings 487 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 1: to pile up until last year and still has some 488 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: things to iron out with his control as well. So 489 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,159 Speaker 1: I'm not getting too carried away, but I Squinton, you 490 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: see a guy that could be a back end starting pitcher. 491 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 1: Rounding out the top thirty, I had to make room 492 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 1: for infielder, slash outfielder slash, pure hitter Charles LeBlanc. He 493 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: falls into that category of guys that he's repeating a 494 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 1: level he played the previous year, so you can't take 495 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: all the stats at their word. Otherwise he'd be in 496 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: the majors right now. If we saw a guy opsing 497 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 1: one thousands at TRIPAA and getting on bays virtually every game, 498 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 1: playing all these different positions, if you just look at 499 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: the raw numbers, then you'd think he'd be even higher 500 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 1: on the list. I think this is a fair compromise 501 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: for a guy who's about to turn twenty six. He 502 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: was unprotected by the Rangers in the minor league phase 503 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:21,480 Speaker 1: of the Rule five drafts. It just shows you how 504 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 1: low he was regarded by his old organization at that time. 505 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 1: It seems it's apparent immediately that the Marlin's got a 506 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,800 Speaker 1: good value but that minor league pick, and I would 507 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 1: think it's extremely likely that we do see LeBlanc in 508 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 1: the big leagues before the end of the year, depending 509 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: on what positions open up due to injury and on 510 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: him sustaining this a little bit. He really does have 511 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 1: a great feel for hitting, it seems, and that is 512 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,120 Speaker 1: surprising considering how often he struck out at this time 513 00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 1: just a year ago, playing at the same level, he's 514 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 1: been impressive. He I need to give him some love 515 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: here as a player who could be I don't think 516 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 1: he's going to hit home runs in the big leagues, 517 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: but his versatility is important. We'll see whether he can 518 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 1: play shortstop. I was talking to Alex Carver about this. 519 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: I'm still not convinced that he is a viable defensive shortstop, 520 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 1: even in emergency settings, and that's a key ingredient if 521 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 1: you're going to be a long time utility player in 522 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: the majors, a good value. Nonetheless, some players that dropped 523 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 1: out of the top thirty Evan Fitterer. I like his pitchability. 524 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 1: I like a lot about him. He's just not healthy 525 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 1: and he's not efficient right now. Jordan Holloway. I still 526 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 1: have him as prospects eligible, but he is somebody that 527 00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 1: is kind of running out of time and running out 528 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:45,240 Speaker 1: of opportunities, partially due to injury. O Cyrus Johnson's still 529 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:47,680 Speaker 1: only twenty one years old. It's just that he's not 530 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:51,120 Speaker 1: producing whatsoever. He's now had three different cracks at low 531 00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 1: A and he's a bad first player who doesn't have 532 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 1: a bat even though it feels like he should. It 533 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 1: just does not translate to game setting. Troy Johnston won 534 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 1: the top performers in this minor league system in twenty 535 00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: twenty one. He was just a joy to watch at 536 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 1: the plate. I was suspect about his power, especially for 537 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:12,840 Speaker 1: a guy that's already at the bottom of the defensive 538 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 1: spectrum so far this year, not hitting for power at all, 539 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,680 Speaker 1: So I think he's just the ceiling is not high 540 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 1: enough to justify him cracking the top thirty and Tanner Allen, 541 00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:26,400 Speaker 1: super popular draft pick coming out of Mississippi State. He 542 00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: was a college star. He's I like watching him hit. 543 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,720 Speaker 1: I don't see where the power is going to come from. 544 00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 1: He is smaller than I expected at the plate as well, 545 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 1: so we'll wait to see on him. But I have 546 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 1: not been wowed by him to match his reputation coming 547 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:49,360 Speaker 1: out of Mississippi State. Another update sure to come to 548 00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: this prospect list in just a matter of weeks. Peyton 549 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:56,040 Speaker 1: Henry is on the verge of graduating from prospect eligibility 550 00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: by my definition. A couple of these other pictures they 551 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: get called up. Braxton Garrett could because he seems to 552 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 1: be closing in on the rehab trail. He's close to 553 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: graduating from eligibility as well, and maybe we see a 554 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: bold trade for this Marlins team. As much as they 555 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: would like to incorporate so much of these young players 556 00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: into their actual major league roster, you know that's not 557 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 1: how it works, especially for a team that has some 558 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:25,200 Speaker 1: urgency to be a contending team. They have to use 559 00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 1: some of these young players in order to solidify their 560 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:33,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two roster. They might do it so we 561 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,520 Speaker 1: could see some shake ups there as well in the 562 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 1: very near future. Before I leave you, circling back to 563 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 1: my number two prospect, Max Meyer. He had been struggling 564 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 1: in each of his last two starts, especially the most 565 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 1: recent one, getting knocked around for eight runs, simply not 566 00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,520 Speaker 1: locating any of his pitches the way that we're accustomed 567 00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: to doing and getting hit uncharacteristically hard as a result. 568 00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,920 Speaker 1: As first reported by George McPherson of the Miami Herald, 569 00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 1: he's going on the minor league injured list with an 570 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:08,400 Speaker 1: ulnar nerve irritation. He's going to miss at least one 571 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 1: start before being re evaluated. Jordan says the organization does 572 00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: not believe it to be a serious injury. That being said, 573 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:21,200 Speaker 1: if it is his throwing elbow that is something to 574 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 1: keep an eye on, then you can be pretty sure 575 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 1: that they're not going to rush him back to the field. 576 00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: This makes it easier to understand his most recent start, 577 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 1: where he simply was not throwing the ball like himself, 578 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 1: and there was it would seem to be this physical 579 00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: thing holding him back from doing it. There was no 580 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 1: circumstance where he was going to be making what like 581 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,840 Speaker 1: thirty starts this season. It's just there was. Even though 582 00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,160 Speaker 1: they stretch him out quite a bit last year, there 583 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: was still a gap between that and having a legitimate 584 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,239 Speaker 1: major league starters workload. This was going to be that 585 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 1: gap year, kind of in between. So I guess what 586 00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 1: you hope is that this is this is true, you know, 587 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,960 Speaker 1: a very mild situation, and that they're doing this out 588 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 1: of an abundance of caution to preserve those endings for 589 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:09,960 Speaker 1: later in the year. I've been pretty clear about how 590 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:14,400 Speaker 1: I feel about Max being major league ready to this 591 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,200 Speaker 1: point and as a starter, so it was disappointing that 592 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 1: he wasn't called up already, and I feel bad for 593 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,280 Speaker 1: him that he goes on the minor league al instead 594 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:28,879 Speaker 1: of collecting major league paychecks on the MLB IL as well. Nonetheless, 595 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,359 Speaker 1: fingers crossed that this isn't serious and you know, based 596 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,759 Speaker 1: on these early indications, I have no reason to move 597 00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 1: him in my rankings one way or another. Just stay 598 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,839 Speaker 1: patients with his recovery, and then as soon as he 599 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,239 Speaker 1: is back and fully recovered, he's going to once again 600 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 1: have a rock solid case for contributing to this Marlins 601 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,840 Speaker 1: major league pitching staff. The Marlins heading into the weekends 602 00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:57,320 Speaker 1: at seventeen and twenty hosting the Braves, you know, muddled 603 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: National League East Division, finishing up a long homestand we're 604 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,799 Speaker 1: gonna have all your coverage in the usual places on 605 00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,799 Speaker 1: Fish Stripes. I'll be back on the other side of 606 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 1: the weekends with the new official show. Lots of good 607 00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:15,479 Speaker 1: stuff come in covering your Marlins team in the heart 608 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 1: of the Major league and the minor league season, So 609 00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 1: I don't be sure to check in more with these 610 00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 1: minor league pods sporadically throughout the year, and we'll find 611 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: plenty of written coverage about Marlin's minor league affiliates as 612 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,480 Speaker 1: well on fishstripes dot com. Thanks as always for listening, 613 00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:42,160 Speaker 1: Go Fish