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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome on into the Betting Pros College

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Speaker 1: Football look Ahead. I'm Thomas Viola and joining me for

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Speaker 1: the next thirteen weeks of collegiate football action none other

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Speaker 1: than the God of Thunder himself from the land of

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Speaker 1: a thousand Lags, ladies and gentlemen, Thor Nystrom.

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Speaker 2: Thor. How's it going.

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Speaker 3: It's going really well, Thomas. Yesterday, obviously college football kicked off,

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Speaker 3: this season kicked off, and today is my birthday, and

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Speaker 3: now we get to dive into what is a full

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Speaker 3: week one card. So absolutely thrilled and good to be

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Speaker 3: with you.

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Speaker 1: Oh well, happy birthday, my friend. Thank you so much

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Speaker 1: for taking the time today. I am so excited to

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Speaker 1: spend the next three thirteen weeks and change breaking down

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Speaker 1: these college football slates with you. We're going to be

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Speaker 1: coming at you guys here each and every week with

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Speaker 1: Thor's look aheadlines, talking about his favorite games, talking about

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Speaker 1: some of the biggest games, everything you need to know

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Speaker 1: to break down this week's college football slate. And we

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Speaker 1: start off here, of course, with Week one and Thor

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Speaker 1: the first game and that I have up to talk

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Speaker 1: with you about.

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Speaker 2: Here. I want to talk.

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Speaker 1: About Louisiana Monroe versus Texas because it's not going to

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Speaker 1: be a powerhouse battle. But you know, everybody always asks

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Speaker 1: every year is Texas back? And in this game they

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Speaker 1: are thirty eight and a half point favorites. As the

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Speaker 1: line stands right now, you think that there's a slight

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Speaker 1: discrepancy there. But more so, what I want to ask

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Speaker 1: you here leading off, how do you approach betting games

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Speaker 1: like this where you have such a monster point spread?

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Speaker 1: Because as we have non conference play to start the year,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see some of these games between powerhouse teams

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Speaker 1: taking on small teams and you're gonna see monster spreads

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Speaker 1: of thirty, thirty five, even forty points like this in

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Speaker 1: these games.

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Speaker 2: How do you approach betting a game like this?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's sort of like you know someone who shops

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Speaker 3: online a lot, and they start to just look for

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Speaker 3: the cubons and the values. Whatever line I'm looking at,

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Speaker 3: I'm always you know, whether it's a big spread or

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Speaker 3: a small spread, I'm just looking for the biggest what

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Speaker 3: I perceived to be the biggest, you know, value overlay

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Speaker 3: in my advantage. A lot of times that is not

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Speaker 3: on the big spreads, like especially laying the points with

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Speaker 3: a favorite. I almost never do that in college football

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Speaker 3: with a favorite over say twenty five points. There will

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Speaker 3: be spots where I'll pick and choose to take the

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Speaker 3: points with the heavy underdog, specifically in instances where I

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Speaker 3: don't think the favorite is either motivated to lay a

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Speaker 3: number on them, or they want to get out of

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Speaker 3: there quicker and just get the clock rolling and stuff

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Speaker 3: like that, or if there's an indication that they're going

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Speaker 3: to yank the starters earlier than you might think and

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Speaker 3: get into the backup stuff like that, or if the

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Speaker 3: underdog is just super super undervalued by the market. In

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Speaker 3: this case, I don't really see that. You know, I'm

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Speaker 3: a little bit higher on Texas than the market is,

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Speaker 3: but I would also, I mean, you know, going to

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Speaker 3: the very bottom of the barrel, I also think I'm

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Speaker 3: just a bit higher on you all, Monroe, probably than

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Speaker 3: the market. You of monroll back their old offensive coordinator

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Speaker 3: Matt Lubick over the offseason. They had tried to roll

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Speaker 3: it forward with Rich Rodriguez these last couple of years

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Speaker 3: as their offensive coordinator. I don't know what has happened

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Speaker 3: to Rich Rodriguez since he left West Virginia. He failed

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Speaker 3: as a head coach a couple of different times, and

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Speaker 3: now his offenses are not working either as an offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 3: But Matt Lubick is a guy who going back three

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Speaker 3: four years, the last time that Uo monroll was interesting

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Speaker 3: when they had like an offense that could actually score.

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Speaker 3: That's when Matt Lubick was their offensive coordinator. So getting

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Speaker 3: him back, I think is going to be big there.

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Speaker 3: But just as far as this game, you know, my

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Speaker 3: number on it is is pretty close to what the

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Speaker 3: Vegas spread is. Like you said long Horns are favored

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Speaker 3: by thirty eight and a half. My number on it

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Speaker 3: is Longhorns by thirty nine point one. So I'm not

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Speaker 3: showing a ton of value there. For me, this is

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Speaker 3: going to be more of an informational game to get

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Speaker 3: my eyes on Quinn viewers. We've never seen Quinn ewers

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Speaker 3: with the bullets flying during an FBS game college football game.

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Speaker 3: That's what I'm most interested to see is that arm

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Speaker 3: for real. Like people have been saying, is he a

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Speaker 3: young Matt Stafford like like some have claimed, I want

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Speaker 3: to get my eyes on him. We're not going to

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Speaker 3: get a referendum on him this week. Playing Uell Monroe

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Speaker 3: but the next week they play Alabama. So that's why

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Speaker 3: we want to get the information on YOUT this week.

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Speaker 1: I am very much looking forward to that Alabama game.

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Speaker 1: A Texas win, and suddenly even I'm here saying they

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Speaker 1: might indeed be back. I don't think it's probably gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: but we will see, and we will see how this

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Speaker 1: week plays out.

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Speaker 3: First.

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Speaker 1: But one of the things that you just touched on

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Speaker 1: there is value. And some people make the common mistake

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Speaker 1: you especially see it in gambling social media all the time,

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Speaker 1: is they look at a number and they say, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is three to one, therefore it has value. That's

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Speaker 1: not what value means. Value means that you think you

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Speaker 1: are getting a number that is significantly better than what

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Speaker 1: that number should be, not necessarily what it is. It

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Speaker 1: has nothing to do with the payout you're actually getting.

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Speaker 1: We're going to focus a lot on that in how

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Speaker 1: we go over some of these games here over the

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Speaker 1: course of the next thirteen weeks. And one of the

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Speaker 1: biggest games for you when it comes to value on

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Speaker 1: the board right now is Louisiana Tech versus Missouri this week.

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Speaker 1: The spread is nineteen points, and you think that that

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Speaker 1: number is just flat out wrong.

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Speaker 3: I do. Yeah. My number on that is Missouri by

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Speaker 3: eleven point four. So my overlay on it is seven

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Speaker 3: points six points in favor of Louisiana Tech, the underdog.

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Speaker 3: You have a couple of different things going on here.

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Speaker 3: Missouri lost a lot over the offseason. They lost their

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Speaker 3: starting quarterback, they lost some other guys. They're going with

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Speaker 3: a bunch of young guys on offense, you know, both

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Speaker 3: at the quarterback position. Also, I mean throughout the two deep.

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Speaker 3: Like Luther Burden, the five star receiver who's coming in

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Speaker 3: a true freshman. He's gonna get pounded with targets like

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Speaker 3: right from the jump and stuff like that. Drinkowitz has

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Speaker 3: done a decent job of adding talent. They're just not

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Speaker 3: there yet. It's like this is going to be a

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Speaker 3: very young, too deep that Missouri has this coming season.

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Speaker 3: We'll see if Drinkowitz can survive for a couple more

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Speaker 3: years to be able to see this through. But this

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Speaker 3: is not going to be the team where that jumps up.

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Speaker 3: I don't think the Missouri is going to make a

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Speaker 3: ball game this year. Meanwhile, on the Louisiana Tech side,

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Speaker 3: I honestly think the market is a little bit too

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Speaker 3: low on them. You know, they had a coaching change

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Speaker 3: over the offseason. They bring in Sonny Comby. I think

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Speaker 3: that Kemby has a chance to get that system off

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Speaker 3: the ground pretty quickly. He brought in two veteran quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: that he had coached at his previous two stops, you know,

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Speaker 3: like these fifth year senior guys who both are sort

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Speaker 3: of students of the air Raid. So it looks like

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Speaker 3: Matt Downing is going to be the starter there. He

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Speaker 3: knows how to run that system, so it's not like

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Speaker 3: there's going to be something lost in translation where the

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Speaker 3: players are going to take longer to acclimate to the

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Speaker 3: new coaching staff like you see in some other circumstances.

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Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech also has a surprisingly deep receiving core for

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Speaker 3: a G five team that had a win total of

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Speaker 3: like four and a half in Vegas. I think the

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Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech has more talented than his is perceived. And

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Speaker 3: I think that the schematic changes that are being brought

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Speaker 3: were brought to them over the summer, that that's going

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Speaker 3: to tick the team up. So I think these two

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Speaker 3: teams are going back to your point about the value.

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Speaker 3: I think these two teams are closer in reality than

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Speaker 3: the perception that this line is trying to forward.

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Speaker 1: Now, these two teams you think are a lot closer,

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Speaker 1: but flipping the script the other way, teams that you

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Speaker 1: think are a lot further apart than the book is current.

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Speaker 1: Then books are currently putting out Western Michigan and Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: You like the spartis laying twenty here, You think that

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Speaker 1: that number is about ten points too few.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I do, yeah, And you know, obviously Kenneth Walker

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Speaker 3: has gone right, and so I think, you know, the

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Speaker 3: market has has shifted way down on Michigan State. But

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Speaker 3: they did a decent job of reloading, and it's not like,

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Speaker 3: you know, now they're just going to devolve into the

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Speaker 3: team that they were the year before. They brought in

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Speaker 3: a couple starting caliber P five running backs, one of

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Speaker 3: whom was the Peak the Pack Fall player of the

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Speaker 3: Year a couple of years ago, Brissard, and then they

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Speaker 3: got this kid Burger from Wisconsin, you know, just across

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Speaker 3: the way in the Big Ten. Their quarterback also should

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Speaker 3: be really solid and he's absolutely above an above average

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Speaker 3: far for the Big Ten in Peyton Thorn. And they

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Speaker 3: have receivers like you know, that, and I think what

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Speaker 3: you're going to see that this year is a bit

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Speaker 3: more passing out of them. I think the defense could

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Speaker 3: also be a little bit better this but this play

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Speaker 3: is as much against Western in fact, is probably more

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Speaker 3: against Western Michigan than it is for Michigan State. Western

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Speaker 3: Michigan in the past couple of years has been dangerous

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Speaker 3: because he had kleb Ellabie throwing to sky Moore. Those

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Speaker 3: guys are gone now in the NFL, and they weren't

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Speaker 3: the only people the Western Michigan lost. They sort of

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Speaker 3: cratered out the too deep. A lot of new starters

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Speaker 3: on that team. I think it's going to take Western

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Speaker 3: Michigan longer to to sort of get their sea legs

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Speaker 3: under them. And I also don't think we're going to

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Speaker 3: see the same quality of Western Michigan that we've seen

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Speaker 3: in the last couple of years. So the game that

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Speaker 3: the market's looking at this more competitive again, because I

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Speaker 3: think they're looking at Michigan State. You know, maybe it's

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Speaker 3: it's they're gonna be somewhere between where they were the

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Speaker 3: last couple of years and Western Michigan is going to

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Speaker 3: be who they've been. I just don't think that that's

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Speaker 3: actually the case.

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Speaker 1: Now, a team in orange and blue with Tommy DeVito

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Speaker 1: at quarterback actually impressed this last Saturday, and I am very,

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Speaker 1: very sad that it was no longer my orange, but

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Speaker 1: Illinois the fighting a line. I now go on to

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Speaker 1: face the Hoosiers of Indiana and this line is in

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Speaker 1: Indiana minus three and a half. And you're saying the

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Speaker 1: book is completely wrong. This should be three points going

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Speaker 1: the other way.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the book's wrong on this. And by

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Speaker 3: the way, I did think of you yesterday when I

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Speaker 3: was watching Illinois and Wyoming and Devino I actually looked

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Speaker 3: pretty good. And he also, by the way, after the game,

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Speaker 3: he sort of took a little bit of a shot

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Speaker 3: at Syracuse. I wasn't sure how I felt about that.

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Speaker 3: But DeVito is telling reporters, He's like, he's I didn't

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Speaker 3: get sacked today. When's the last time you could say

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Speaker 3: that about one of my games. It's like, wow, Like

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Speaker 3: the Syracuse offensive lines watching it like we're catching strays

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Speaker 3: out here. We weren't even playing today.

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Speaker 1: To be fair, fully deserved, they deserved that shot. He

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Speaker 1: the protection for him was horrible, and I'm glad to

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Speaker 1: see him succeeding somewhere.

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Speaker 2: I'll give him that shot.

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Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, I mean it definitely was fair. And you know,

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Speaker 3: with this team, you know, I think both the things

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Speaker 3: you were encouraged about the Wyoming game, de Vito's performance,

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Speaker 3: and then also, you know, to his point, we knew

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Speaker 3: that their offensive line was the mauling you know, run game,

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Speaker 3: you know, sort of a thing like they averaged three

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Speaker 3: hundred and twenty pounds per starter across the five line

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Speaker 3: spots Illinois does. You didn't know how much it would

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Speaker 3: translate to pass pro in recent years, or I guess

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Speaker 3: last year would be the analogous one. Their pass protection

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Speaker 3: was not as good. So the fact that it was

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Speaker 3: in the first game, now you could say, oh, you know,

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Speaker 3: it's just Wyoming. You toss that out. Well, Craig Balls

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Speaker 3: a pretty good defensive coach, so you know, I mean

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Speaker 3: the fact that Wyoming's offense stinks, that just is what

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Speaker 3: it is. But Wyoming typically is better on defense. So

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Speaker 3: I like the performance on both of those sides. And

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Speaker 3: it does seem like Illinois does not have to play

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Speaker 3: the one way that they played last year. I'm still

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Speaker 3: I can't get fully on board with the idea that

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Speaker 3: Brett Bielama is going to go up tempo, you know,

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Speaker 3: like all in all the games, like he was promising.

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Speaker 3: But whereas last year they played at a pace slow,

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Speaker 3: so slow that it was like paint drying. Now you

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Speaker 3: can you can start to vary the tempos a little

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Speaker 3: bit as situations dictate, which is a good thing for Illinois.

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Speaker 3: And then as far as this game, you look like

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Speaker 3: we were saying, I just think that the spread is off,

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Speaker 3: and it's what's weird to me, is you know, and

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Speaker 3: we were even looking over this before the show where

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Speaker 3: I had to go back and double check the spread

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Speaker 3: that I had inputed for this game to make sure

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Speaker 3: that the Vegas spread it was the correct team that

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Speaker 3: was favored, because I really feel like the correct line

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Speaker 3: on this game it's it's it's Illinois minus three or

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Speaker 3: minus three and a half. Illinois brought back most of

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Speaker 3: the guys from last season's team that went five and

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Speaker 3: seven and had a series of close losses, like you know,

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Speaker 3: they it was like, you know, of those seven games,

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Speaker 3: it was like four or five of them were single

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Speaker 3: digit losses, whereas on the other side with Indiana, they

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Speaker 3: stunk last year and they lost a whole bunch of

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Speaker 3: guys like Michael Pennix that the you know, the quarterback,

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Speaker 3: and he had been injured for a lot of last year,

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Speaker 3: but the offense devolved into Haiti's land without him, right

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Speaker 3: and now you bring in Connor Bayslot. We were just

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Speaker 3: talking about Missouri. They brought him in as their quarterback.

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Speaker 3: But they don't appear to have a running game again

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Speaker 3: that it looks like they're going to go with Sean

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Speaker 3: Shivers this year, who they signed from Auburn, just sort

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Speaker 3: of like last year they had gone with Stephen Carr,

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Speaker 3: who they'd signed from usc Carr didn't really add an

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Speaker 3: explosive element to the offense. I don't think that Shivers

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Speaker 3: is going to add, you know, another dimension that that

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Speaker 3: concerns defenses. And and Tom Allen. The other issue for

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Speaker 3: him is a couple of years ago when during the

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Speaker 3: COVID season where they had that really solid season for

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Speaker 3: a little bit it looked like the Hoosiers could make

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Speaker 3: the Big Ten title games, sort of under flukey circumstances,

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Speaker 3: but still they had that really really solid defense, and

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Speaker 3: they sent like four guys to the NFL. They were

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Speaker 3: all these kids from Florida that Tom Allen had discovered

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Speaker 3: like under the radar, like these mid three stars that

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Speaker 3: he'd sort of like, you know, found them and then

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Speaker 3: polished them whatever. What we've seen these last couple of

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Speaker 3: years is not as much of that. He has not

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Speaker 3: been finding the steals and then polishing them up. Indiana's

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Speaker 3: got to get back to that or else they're going

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Speaker 3: to devolve right back into the drain. And as a

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Speaker 3: Kansas fan, I can speak to this personally because when

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Speaker 3: Kansas was good, it was when Mark Mangino was finding

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Speaker 3: three stars from around the country who've been overlooked for

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Speaker 3: one reason or another. Todd Reesing, you know, for a

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Speaker 3: quarterback five foot ten and ninety pounds, he came from Austin.

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Speaker 3: Todd Reesing did Texas didn't want anything to do with

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Speaker 3: him because of his size. He goes to Kansas, he

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Speaker 3: starts four years, wins an Orange Bowl. You know. Keep

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Speaker 3: Talib was another one who's like super raw whatever. It's

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Speaker 3: the same thing here with Indiana. They got to get

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Speaker 3: the player development back and or the identification back to scouting,

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Speaker 3: and then the development should sort of go with that.

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Speaker 3: But I think identifying the recruits is something they've been missing.

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Speaker 3: In recent years.

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Speaker 1: Now a game it's Week one, but you know it's

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Speaker 1: college football. There are still must win games and one

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Speaker 1: that is absolutely must win here for Oregon going up

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Speaker 1: against Georgia. They are getting seventeen and a half points

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Speaker 1: in this game. We saw them pull off an upset

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Speaker 1: over Ohio State last year, and to be quite frank,

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Speaker 1: especially in the Pac twelve, if you want any chance

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Speaker 1: at the college football playoff, Oregon has to win this game.

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Speaker 2: You actually like them a little bit more than the books.

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Speaker 1: Though seventeen and a half is their line, the adjusted

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Speaker 1: door line closer to eleven it is.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so you know, I do see some value on

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Speaker 3: Oregon in this game. I am a little bit surprised

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Speaker 3: is that Vegas is giving Georgia this much respect, Like

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Speaker 3: certainly I expected Georgia to be a double digital favorite. Like,

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Speaker 3: you know, no problem there, but seventeen and a half.

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Speaker 3: You have gone now over several key thresholds after you

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Speaker 3: just lost a historic amount of talent to the NFL.

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Speaker 3: You know, was a five first round defenders and what

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Speaker 3: ten kids overall or whatever it was. They lost a

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Speaker 3: couple of running backs and you know, the whole thing

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Speaker 3: pickens you know, et cetera, et cetera. You know, of

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Speaker 3: course they're going to reload. They still have one of

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Speaker 3: the nation's one, two or three best defenses. However you

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Speaker 3: want to parse that in the preseason, definitely might still

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Speaker 3: be the best. Well, we'll see about that. In the offense,

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Speaker 3: you know, they still certainly have pieces, obviously sets and

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Speaker 3: Bennett's back. The running back room is going to be reloaded,

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Speaker 3: you know, because last year they were playing four guys.

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Speaker 3: This year they can either just cut it to two

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Speaker 3: because the two left, or you know, they're bringing in

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Speaker 3: all these stud freshmen, the sophomores from last or whatever.

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Speaker 3: You could tick that back up. And then what's going

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Speaker 3: to be really interesting about their offense this year is

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Speaker 3: they're going to have the best tight end room that

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Speaker 3: we've seen in college football since Iowa had TJ. Hogkinson

337
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Speaker 3: and Noah fan Because you got Brock Bauers, who last year,

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Speaker 3: you know, may have been the best tight end in

339
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Speaker 3: college football, especially with Mayor being on again, off again

340
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Speaker 3: hurt with Notre Dame. You can probably say that about Bauers.

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Speaker 3: Then you're getting Eric Gilbert, who incredibly Georgia won the

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Speaker 3: title last year without him after signing him from LSU,

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Speaker 3: and so you add him to that. Eric Gilbert is

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Speaker 3: the closest thing the college football has seen to Kyle

345
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Speaker 3: Pitts since Kyle Pitts left. Eric Gilbert is the replacement

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Speaker 3: for George Pickens. It's not one of the receivers on

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Speaker 3: George's two D. It's Eric Gilbert. He is the guy

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Speaker 3: that is going to be stretching the field. And then

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Speaker 3: they have a third NFL tight end on their team

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Speaker 3: in Darnell Washington, who is this jumbo jumbo essentially a

351
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Speaker 3: third offensive tackle on the field at all times, not

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Speaker 3: as much of a receiver, but for that downhill running game,

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Speaker 3: it's just devastating. So you know, they got a lot

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Speaker 3: of stuff going on there. Whereas with with Oregon, what

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Speaker 3: makes this this matchup so fascinating is the architect of

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Speaker 3: that defense, or that you know, the understudy to the architect.

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Speaker 3: However you want to say that with Kirby's mart Dan

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Speaker 3: Lanning the defensive coordinator for Georgia last year, he goes

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Speaker 3: to Oregon over the offseason that they hire him to

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Speaker 3: replace Mario Pristaval, who of course had gone back to Miami.

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Speaker 3: So you bring in Lanning landing his first game in Oregon.

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Speaker 3: Now he's got to travel down to face Georgia, this

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Speaker 3: schal he just left in Atlanta in this huge marquee,

364
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Speaker 3: you know, showcase game where all of the eyes of

365
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Speaker 3: college football are going to be on them, and he's

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Speaker 3: going to war with bow Knicks, who has been one

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Speaker 3: of the most you know, the last two plus years,

368
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Speaker 3: was like the most maligned SEC quarterback. So you're going

369
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Speaker 3: to war with bow Knicks against what still should be

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Speaker 3: this devastating defense. It's going to be really interesting to

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Speaker 3: see the way that that plays out. But I think

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Speaker 3: the rest of Oregon's skill talent is probably better than

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Speaker 3: people think. Like they lost Travis Died, I actually don't

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Speaker 3: care about that, even though I think Die is pretty good,

375
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Speaker 3: because Byron Cardwell, who was the backup last year, might

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Speaker 3: be better. He's certainly more explosive, and they have a

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Speaker 3: whole bunch of Ballyhood freshmen and sophomores behind him, so

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Speaker 3: their running back room is still fine. They still have

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Speaker 3: plenty of talent there. I do like, you know, Oregon

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Speaker 3: to probably keep this one within the spread, But this

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Speaker 3: is one that I'm going to be starting a lot

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Speaker 3: more this week. And I'm also going to be paying

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Speaker 3: very close attention to the comments coming both out of

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Speaker 3: the Oregon camp with Dan Lanning and then also the

385
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Speaker 3: Georgia camp with Kirby smart Hit, his former mentor.

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Speaker 1: Now, the next game up here is one with a

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Speaker 1: very very big name brand that everybody is familiar with.

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Speaker 1: We have Rice, the team that everybody loves to love,

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Speaker 1: going up against this small school in Southern California, University

390
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Speaker 1: of Southern California. I don't know, thirty four and a

391
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Speaker 1: half points is the line here for USSE And you

392
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Speaker 1: think that that line is just a touchoff?

393
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Speaker 3: I do. Yeah. My line on that one is USC

394
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Speaker 3: minus twenty eight and a half, So I guess I

395
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Speaker 3: have a six point discrepancy on that. This one is

396
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Speaker 3: a peer and simple tax. If you're going to bet

397
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Speaker 3: on USC and lay the points in this game, you

398
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Speaker 3: were paying a six point tax to bet on the Trojans.

399
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Speaker 3: And you know most of that is from the excitement

400
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Speaker 3: over the offseason bringing Lincoln Riley, bringing in Caleb Williams,

401
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,360
Speaker 3: Mario Williams, that you know, Travis Dye, the Jordan Addison,

402
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Speaker 3: the bullet Nikoff winner, the whole thing. You know that

403
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Speaker 3: there's been obviously a ton of excitement there. Me and

404
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Speaker 3: my numbers specifically, because that's what we're talking about. We're

405
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Speaker 3: high on USC, and you know, in relation to what

406
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Speaker 3: they have been. In fact, they were tied for the

407
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Speaker 3: highest jump in my Power ratings from the end of

408
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Speaker 3: last year to the start of this year. They jumped

409
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Speaker 3: up thirty nine spots. So it's not that my system

410
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Speaker 3: is too low on USC. I dragged them up about

411
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Speaker 3: as far as you can from a year over year proposition.

412
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Speaker 3: But people got to keep in mind he's roster, and

413
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Speaker 3: if you add the changes between a coaching staff and

414
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Speaker 3: a roster and a two deep year over year, USC

415
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Speaker 3: is going through one of the most the biggest changes

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Speaker 3: that we've ever seen for a team that is considered

417
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Speaker 3: a title contender. You know, I think that's fair to say.

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Speaker 3: There's some people do at least a conference title contender

419
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Speaker 3: in the Power five. We haven't really seen a seismic

420
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Speaker 3: roster change like this for a team that the people

421
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Speaker 3: are still confident in, So that one is just too

422
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Speaker 3: many points for me to lay. Even though obviously I

423
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Speaker 3: don't really love Rice. Although Mike Bloomgren, the former Stanford

424
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator he was the offensive coordinator when McCaffrey was there.

425
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Speaker 3: He's been there long enough now where at least his

426
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Speaker 3: systems are in place, and he's doing a lot of

427
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Speaker 3: that same stuff that he used to do under David Shaw.

428
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Speaker 3: By the way, when Stamford was good. I know a

429
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 3: lot of people out there might not remember this because

430
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Speaker 3: Stanford's stunk the last several years sort of coincided with

431
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Speaker 3: Bloomgren leaving. What he wants to do is shorten the game.

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Speaker 3: So those two guys are Riley and Bloomgren, are going

433
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Speaker 3: to have opposite strategies in this game. Bloomgrens will work

434
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 3: if USC's defense has not jumped up. USC's defense changed

435
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 3: just as much as its offense. It's just it didn't

436
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 3: get the star caliber players on defense. So that's the

437
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,000
Speaker 3: one part of that team where there's the open questions

438
00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 3: about it. I've been reading a lot of quote. I've

439
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 3: been just fascinated by specifically the defense, because I believe

440
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 3: that the USC's offense is just going to be awesome

441
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 3: from the jump, especially because there was so much continuity,

442
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 3: you know, moving over there. The defense is more interesting

443
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 3: to me, and so I you know, I've been looking

444
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 3: up like quotes from Alex Grench and the different position

445
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 3: coaches and stuff. Publicly, they sound pessimistic about the Trojans'

446
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:51,919
Speaker 3: defense's progress to this point. At least those are the

447
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,160
Speaker 3: comments that they're forwarding to the media. Now, those might

448
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 3: be you might be trying to send a message to

449
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 3: your players and be like, you guys are not hot.

450
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 3: You know hot. I didn't want to swear, but you're

451
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 3: you're not you know the huge deal you don't read

452
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 3: the newspaper clippings before we've even had a chance to

453
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 3: play a game. Or if that's like a legitimate concern

454
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 3: that that they're not really gelling right now and you

455
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 3: have all these moving parts and they're still looking for

456
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 3: people to actually win starting jobs and stuff like that.

457
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 3: But if if right now, I would be betting Rice

458
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 3: plus those points. It's just too many points. Now.

459
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 1: Another team that you want to talk about here, TCU

460
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 1: versus Colorado. The line is ten and a half right

461
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 1: now in favor of Texas Christian.

462
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 2: And you think that's not enough points?

463
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't. Yeah, MyD just the line on that

464
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 3: one is fifteen point two. Yeah, I got a difference

465
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 3: of almost five points on that line. This is an

466
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 3: example of a week one game where the favorite, I'm

467
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 3: higher on them than the market, you know, over the

468
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 3: over this where I was doing like my win totals,

469
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 3: you know, and doing the research for stuff like that,

470
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 3: team by team, and I could tell that I was

471
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 3: higher on usc than the market for reasons I'll get

472
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 3: into it in a second. And I am definitely lower

473
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,439
Speaker 3: on Colorado than the market. And it's not like the

474
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 3: market is super high on Colorado. But the win total

475
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,880
Speaker 3: on Colorado was like three and a half for most

476
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,399
Speaker 3: of the summer at most bucks some books. Now it

477
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 3: has gone down to three. But I think that they're

478
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 3: going to go one and eleven. And I do not

479
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 3: believe that Carl Durell is going to survive the fall.

480
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 3: Colorado is going to be very, very bad this year.

481
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 3: We were just talking about us, see how they're going

482
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,119
Speaker 3: to you know, they're having this historic roster remake and

483
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:47,360
Speaker 3: coaching staff you know, you know, remodeling and stuff like that,

484
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 3: and how that's going to lead to this jump up.

485
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 3: Colorado is sort of the opposite, although they did keep

486
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:57,199
Speaker 3: the coaching staff mostly intact, but with the roster, you

487
00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 3: had this offseason of unprecedented player movement. And this is

488
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 3: something by the way, that Nick Saban had warned college

489
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,200
Speaker 3: football about a couple of years ago. If you lift

490
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 3: the restrictions on transfers, if you just lift it up,

491
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,879
Speaker 3: Nick Saban told us, I promise you, it is not

492
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,439
Speaker 3: going to help the bad teams. It is going to

493
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 3: help the halves. Right, Like, they're just going to start

494
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 3: picking the players off the bad rosters. And we sort

495
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 3: of started Darty see that, like, you know, it's it

496
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 3: sucks that saved sort of always right with stuff like this.

497
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 3: But Carl Durrell saw it right, you know, close up

498
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 3: his roster. They were picking guys off. I mean they

499
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 3: didn't have the most stars, but anyone that someone wanted

500
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: off of Colorado, they were just going in there. By

501
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 3: the way, Lincoln got Brendan Rice. He might have gotten

502
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 3: one other guy from from Colorado as well, but wasn't

503
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 3: the only coach that was going in there. They're picking

504
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 3: guys off. So Carl Durell had to turn around. He

505
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,919
Speaker 3: had to go heavily into the transfer portal essentially just

506
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 3: to replace guys on the way out. You know, it's

507
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 3: like this revolving door of Colorado where he's like, oh, man,

508
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 3: you know, one of my receivers just left. You know,

509
00:24:58,280 --> 00:24:59,959
Speaker 3: we gotta we gotta go into the portal. Now we're

510
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 3: signing R. J. Sneaed you know who was you know,

511
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 3: very disappointing at Baylor last year to replace rights and

512
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 3: you know, and there was all these other different ones

513
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 3: where it's like a one for one, but every single

514
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 3: time you were getting worse. Do you remember that movie

515
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 3: Multiplicity with uh with Michael Keaton, and it's like he's

516
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,640
Speaker 3: he's making copies of himself, but every time he makes

517
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 3: a copy, it gets worse and worse and worse and like,

518
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 3: but like by the the seventh time he makes himself,

519
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 3: it's like, you know, a super stupid version of Michael Keaton.

520
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 3: It was sort of like that with with the Colorado

521
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 3: at the at this thing anyway, they're they're roster. Now

522
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: it's like, you know, the three times for multiplicities beyond

523
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 3: even what it was at the end of last year.

524
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 3: You do have a little bit of a continuity, but

525
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 3: it's not very much. Like they got the quarterback back,

526
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 3: but he's not very good and and you know the

527
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,880
Speaker 3: defense was picked apart too, so I I don't love them.

528
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 3: And then on the other side. The reason that I

529
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 3: like TCU more than the market is the Gary Patterson era.

530
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 3: You know, obviously, the way the end was very unfortunate

531
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,120
Speaker 3: and it was sort of like a tire fire there

532
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 3: at the end. Their defense, which for a decade plus

533
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,919
Speaker 3: had been awesome, last year was awful, like the wheels

534
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 3: fell off. It was terribly like they gave up like

535
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 3: twelve points more per game than they had from from

536
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 3: the year before. And the other thing was they couldn't

537
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 3: pass because Max Dugan, their quarterback. He's this this strapping

538
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:26,280
Speaker 3: dual threat who has a good arm, but his accuracy

539
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 3: is awful, Like it's like Nucleo Looche, you know, for

540
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 3: both Dremi's like hitting people in the stands and stuff

541
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,360
Speaker 3: like that. So even though TCU could run the ball

542
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 3: last year they ran it really well, their offense was

543
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 3: horribly inefficient because of the accuracy issues of Dugan, and

544
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 3: then the turnovers they came out of Dugan's inaccuracy. And

545
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 3: then meanwhile, every time you put your defense in a

546
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 3: bad position, it was just a matador allowing the opposing

547
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,679
Speaker 3: offense to score. Now you bring in a new coaching staff.

548
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,920
Speaker 3: Sonny Dykes has come in famous, you know, Guru of

549
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:03,400
Speaker 3: the air Rai. He addresses and some of the additions

550
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 3: and returning addresses the very specific weaknesses that last year's

551
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 3: team had. Your primary one was the passing game. Now

552
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: you're going for am Max Dugan. The accuracy of versus

553
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 3: Max Dugan to where they're Morris the chandler. Morris, the

554
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:21,919
Speaker 3: guy who had started out last year as the backup,

555
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 3: but he took over at the very end and was

556
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 3: very impressive. You know, this kid was a four star recruit.

557
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:31,120
Speaker 3: He is your more at least from a collegiate perspective.

558
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 3: You're more prototypical pocket passing type passer, and he likes

559
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,120
Speaker 3: the field spread. He's a perfect fit for the air

560
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 3: raid offense. TCU has plenty of weapons, like literally stocked

561
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 3: with him, which is why I was so unfortunate that

562
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,880
Speaker 3: Dugan was so inaccurate. They have one of the best

563
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 3: receivers in the nation in Quentin Johnston, and even the second, third,

564
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,719
Speaker 3: fourth are pretty solid in comparison to like other teams.

565
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 3: So you're talking about you know, top twenty receiving core,

566
00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 3: maybe top fifteen in the entire and then you know

567
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:03,919
Speaker 3: the running back room should be pretty solid too. But

568
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 3: that you know, this year they're going to be catching

569
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 3: a lot of passes. Zach Evans left. Maybe that's a

570
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 3: part of the reason why the market was a little

571
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,199
Speaker 3: bit lower. He was the five star running back that

572
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,119
Speaker 3: they'd had. He had a lot of usage for that

573
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 3: team last year, so maybe the market was a bit tepid.

574
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 3: The offense wasn't good, then they lose, you know, one

575
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,359
Speaker 3: of their best players, if not the best player. But

576
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 3: I actually don't mind that Zach Evans ended up going

577
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 3: to Mississippi signed with Lane Kiffin in the transfer portal.

578
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 3: Zach Evans is a very good fit for that system

579
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 3: because mostly because Lane Kiffin knew that that he's not

580
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:34,880
Speaker 3: a third down back, and he signed Ulysses Bentley from

581
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 3: SMU to be the airback, the receiving back for that team. TCU.

582
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 3: Now that's all they want. They want the receiving running back. Miller,

583
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 3: the guy who was you know, back and forth with

584
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 3: with Evans last year and on a perch touch basis,

585
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 3: was actually I think a little bit better. He's the

586
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 3: guy who's going to get all the touches this year

587
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 3: and in this system. He like I said, he's a

588
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 3: better fit for it. TCU has a metric ton of

589
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 3: starters coming back in total, you know, it's something like

590
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 3: eighteen or nineteen like something like that. I'm specifically on

591
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 3: defense that they're bringing back, just a ton of guys.

592
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 3: The defense is going to be better. It cannot be

593
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 3: as bad as it was last like literally, mathematically it's

594
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 3: not possible. So it is going to be better. And

595
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 3: you know that again, the biggest issue from last year's

596
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 3: offense that it has been addressed as you know, spot

597
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 3: on as you could possibly address an issue. I think

598
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 3: TCU is going to jump up this year, Thomas. You

599
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 3: remember just a second ago when I said USC was

600
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,719
Speaker 3: tied for the biggest jump from my power ratings from

601
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 3: the end of last year to the start of this year.

602
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 3: The team they're tied with his TCU.

603
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 2: All right, that makes sense, TCU.

604
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 1: You're going with them over Colorado here at the very

605
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: least say that the point differential is not quite what

606
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:43,680
Speaker 1: it should be.

607
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, TCU, for sure. I think TCU blows out Colorado here.

608
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 3: And again, I don't think Carl Durella is going to

609
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 3: last the entire fall. I think Colorado is going to

610
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 3: go oh on three in their non cons because they

611
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 3: scheduled an unfortunately a tragically hard non conference schedule, and

612
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 3: there go into the Pac twelve. It's going to be

613
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 3: a rough year for Carl Durella and Colorado, and I

614
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 3: think it starts off against CCU.

615
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 1: Now thor, I want to talk about some of these

616
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 1: bigger matchups, not necessarily the largest differences, and then I'm

617
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 1: gonna hit you with some rapid fire before we get

618
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: to your hammer of the week. But first let's start

619
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 1: off here a big team taken on a matchup. We've

620
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:26,440
Speaker 1: got Colorado State going up against Michigan. Michigan twenty seven

621
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites here, and you think that

622
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 1: isn't even enough.

623
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know this is a lot of these

624
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 3: games are fascinating matchups, and it's not just because I'm

625
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 3: a college football sicco This year again, you know, I

626
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 3: go back to it with the offseason of unprecedented movement.

627
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 3: You have these rosters where they're just totally different from

628
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 3: last year. And then you know there was a lot

629
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 3: of the coaching changes as well, more than usual, and

630
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 3: so you have these enormous schematic changes going along with

631
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 3: the rosters being totally different in a way that we've

632
00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 3: never seen before in college football literally college football history.

633
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 3: Colorado State is one of those cases that was a

634
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 3: team where the last couple of years it had gone

635
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 3: stale under Steve Dazio. Steve Dazio is one of those

636
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 3: coaches that, how do I put this? His players don't

637
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 3: like him, and the media doesn't like him. Most people

638
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 3: that beat Steve Dazio did. I talked to you don't

639
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 3: seem to like Steve Dazio, And it was like this

640
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 3: thing with with you know, I talked about this in

641
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 3: a previous shows with Randy Ytzel at Yukon was another

642
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 3: one where the roster had started to hate the coach

643
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 3: and just switching it out. You knew that the team's

644
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 3: performance and and their their effort that they were putting in,

645
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 3: you know, just by definition, it was going to jump

646
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 3: up for the new guy. And we saw that yesterday

647
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 3: with Jim Mora, where Yukon was playing harder and we'd

648
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 3: seen them playing in years. Colorado State. Now they go

649
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 3: to Jay Norvell, who these last several years has been

650
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 3: in Nevada. He brought Nevada Nevada had sort of descended

651
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 3: into the creator. He brought them out of that you know,

652
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 3: and he was you had that high flying offensive attack,

653
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 3: you know, Carson Strong and Romeo Dubes and Cole Turner

654
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 3: and that whole thing at the air raid. You know,

655
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 3: he's another air rate guy. He's bringing that to Colorado State.

656
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 3: And he brought a ton of guys from Nevada with him,

657
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 3: including his quarterback, including either two or three receivers. And

658
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 3: then they weren't all the guys that he brought with

659
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 3: him from from Nevada. So that team is totally different.

660
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 3: When you're thinking about this handicap, you cannot even think

661
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 3: about the last couple of Colorado State teams that you

662
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 3: know that are in your mind, because not only is

663
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 3: the personnel super different, the offensive strategy and the defense

664
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 3: strategy is super different too. A Dazio you remember, like

665
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 3: before he was at Colorado State, he was at Boston College.

666
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,479
Speaker 3: He was AJ Dillon's coach. What he loves to do

667
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 3: is just pound the run. You know, it's just pounded, pounded, pounded.

668
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 3: Last year it was about forcing the ball to Trey McBride,

669
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 3: but he was by far the best player that they had.

670
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 3: Whereas now you're spreading the field out, you know, I mean,

671
00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 3: you know, you're not going to have all the tight

672
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 3: ends at Dozio had, you know, and stuff like that,

673
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,760
Speaker 3: more playing big slots and then the three receivers across

674
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 3: the field, so you have that on the one side. Michigan,

675
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,440
Speaker 3: you know, of course you lost especially the edge rushers.

676
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: You know, that's that's the big thing. They lost the Courus,

677
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 3: Hutchinson and and Ojabo. So some of the other losses

678
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:20,640
Speaker 3: they had. You know, guys that were drafted are more

679
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 3: easily replaced, like Hassan Haskins was an awesome college player,

680
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 3: but they should be able to replace him easily enough

681
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 3: because you have Blake Korhum coming back. He's one of

682
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 3: the I mean, certainly one of the nation's most explosive runners,

683
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 3: one of the Big ten's best runners just overall. And

684
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 3: and then you know he's gonna plattum with Edwards and

685
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 3: he's really good as well. So they should be able

686
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 3: to replace that. What's going to be interesting with them

687
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 3: is in the early part of the schedule is watching

688
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 3: the way that this quarterback situation plays out. Jim Mora,

689
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, Jim Harbaugh. Yesterday or the day before, I

690
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 3: forgot what daya was, but he announced something Visa VIA's

691
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,479
Speaker 3: quarterback situation that I've never seen in college football. It's

692
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 3: hard to do something where I've never seen it before,

693
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 3: but he did. He announced Cad McNamara, who is the

694
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,840
Speaker 3: incumbent starter, he announced that he will be the week

695
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 3: one start. But he did not stop there because he

696
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,879
Speaker 3: announced that JJ McCarthy, who was McNamara's backup last year,

697
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 3: that he will be starting in week two and that

698
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,879
Speaker 3: the Wolverines will name their permanent starter in Week three.

699
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 3: You know that they won. It's really weird. It's really

700
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 3: really weird, and you know, I think that this is

701
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 3: you know, I don't have any inside information on this,

702
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:29,799
Speaker 3: but you have to assume that the reason that this

703
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 3: is happening is Harbaugh was concerned over the off season,

704
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 3: again going back to the unprecedented player movement that we

705
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 3: were seeing in the transfer portal, with the lifting of

706
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,239
Speaker 3: those restrictions. He had to be just absolutely terrified that

707
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 3: JJ McCarthy was going to walk on him to a

708
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 3: place where he could start immediately, where there was going

709
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 3: to be no questions asked. He was going to start

710
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 3: twelve games this season. And so I think, you know,

711
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 3: over the offseason, you're trying to convince McCarthy, like, dude,

712
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,040
Speaker 3: I know I said in the past that it would be

713
00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 3: an open competition, and I meant it then, but I

714
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:02,879
Speaker 3: really mean it now, like I mean it even more

715
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 3: than I did. That you know, you'll be given a

716
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 3: fair shake. All the beat writers say that it was

717
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 3: pretty even like McNamara, he's going to give you basically,

718
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: you go with McNamara for the higher floor. He's going

719
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 3: to give you more cost certainty. But he doesn't have

720
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 3: the physical tools that McCarthy has. So McCarthy's the guy

721
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:25,440
Speaker 3: who raises the ceiling of the offense potentially at a

722
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,320
Speaker 3: higher variance, right, And so that's sort of the interesting

723
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 3: decision on that, and Hardbot he got what he wanted.

724
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 3: Both the quarterbacks stayed and now you see whoever ends

725
00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 3: up losing that and is on the bench to start

726
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:39,959
Speaker 3: Week three, they're not going to transfer in the middle

727
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 3: of the season. So mission accomplished on you know, as

728
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 3: far as that goes. But yeah, I mean, as far

729
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 3: as this game. The live line Thomas will was the

730
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 3: live line in this one again.

731
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 2: Live long well.

732
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:55,280
Speaker 1: The line right now sits at twenty seven and a half.

733
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 3: Twenty seven and a half, Yeah, and my line on

734
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 3: that was, I have Michigan in minus thirty two point three.

735
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,800
Speaker 3: So you know, that's one where my numbers are pointing

736
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 3: at Michigan as a value. But it's possible that my numbers,

737
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 3: you know, because these you know, these are based on

738
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 3: a lot of results, specifically from from last year. The

739
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 3: data from from last year certainly have been modulated with

740
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 3: returning experience and stuff like that that they have not

741
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 3: come high enough on Colorado State. But you know, again

742
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 3: because of all the movement and stuff like that. But

743
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 3: I need to see it with them. I need to

744
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:32,719
Speaker 3: see Norvell with these new guys, and I need to

745
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 3: see the way that that passing attack looks. And I

746
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,720
Speaker 3: also need to see, if you know, for instance, on defense,

747
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 3: are the Rams going to give more effort for this

748
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,840
Speaker 3: new coaching staff than they were giving last year for

749
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 3: a Dazio. Those are things that I just don't know yet.

750
00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:49,799
Speaker 3: But they are a team that could tick up in

751
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 3: their performance if a couple of these open questions are answered.

752
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:58,280
Speaker 1: Now, another big game coming up this weekend the official

753
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 1: team of any Bag of Donuts Utah. The Utes are

754
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 1: going up against Florida. Here Florida two and a half

755
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:09,800
Speaker 1: point dogs at home in this spot, how the mighty

756
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 1: have fallen for me growing up? And I apologize to

757
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 1: the listeners of this podcast who might feel old now,

758
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 1: but for me growing up was the urban Meyer, Tim

759
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 1: Tebow absolute powerhouse Florida Gator years and now all of

760
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:25,720
Speaker 1: a sudden the Utes favored in this matchup here?

761
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 2: What say you on this one, thor I like.

762
00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,919
Speaker 3: Utah a lot. I like Utah a lot. I loved

763
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,680
Speaker 3: them earlier in the summer when the book's mistaken, Well,

764
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:36,760
Speaker 3: the books didn't think they were making a mistake apparently,

765
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 3: but they opened Florida as a favorite. Now was a mistake.

766
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 3: That was a big mistake. Utah is a legitimate national

767
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 3: title contender. I think Utah is going to be in

768
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 3: the college football playoff. Florida they're another interesting team that

769
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:51,759
Speaker 3: hated their coach last year. And it wasn't just that

770
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:54,879
Speaker 3: they hated dam On It was that team was horribly mismanaged.

771
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 3: And I won't get into that because people have heard

772
00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 3: plenty about that on Twitter. If you see date, every

773
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 3: time Damian Pierce touches the ball or breathes or anything,

774
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 3: people are talking about, how Dan Mullen, you're just criminally

775
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:09,520
Speaker 3: under used HI last year, which is true, It's absolutely true.

776
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 3: But like you know, there was all sorts of problem.

777
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:14,200
Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson probably should have been the starter last year

778
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:16,520
Speaker 3: as oppost to Emery Drugs. Some of those things are

779
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,319
Speaker 3: going to be corrected just by Billy Napier coming in,

780
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:21,560
Speaker 3: you would you would imagine also that this team is

781
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 3: going to get better effort overall. Certainly this team is

782
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 3: going to be better coached on offense. I hate to laugh,

783
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 3: but man Todd Grantham. Todd Grantham should not be in

784
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 3: charge of of an FBS defense. Again, left a lot

785
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,759
Speaker 3: of guys on Islands specifically, it was really unfair to

786
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 3: toakare Elam. So you know, now you're gonna get into

787
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 3: a situation where where it should be you know, more

788
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 3: back to basics and stuff like that, where you're not

789
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,120
Speaker 3: going to see your team get ripped for for as

790
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 3: many long games and stuff like that. But we still

791
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: have to see some of it come together. And the

792
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 3: other thing is it's not like Florida has like you know,

793
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 3: the talent on hand where they can be like you know,

794
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:05,359
Speaker 3: like a contender for the SEC. They just don't, right

795
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:09,879
Speaker 3: Like Richardson, Richardson's a solid collegiate talent. This stuff about

796
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 3: him be at a top ted NFL like, I'm sorry

797
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 3: to people in the NFL draft industry because you know

798
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:16,840
Speaker 3: a lot of them are my friends. But the idea

799
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,920
Speaker 3: that he's a top ten or at top fifteen overall

800
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 3: NFL draft prospect in the preseason is absolutely ludicrous. The

801
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 3: guy's accuracy averse. He's been to this point in his career,

802
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 3: he struggles to even tick it up over fifty. I

803
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 3: do think he's a good fit in aper system because

804
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 3: Napier makes very good use of his quarterbacks legs even

805
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:38,799
Speaker 3: when they are not running, you know, beyond the line

806
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:40,719
Speaker 3: of scrimmage, Like you saw this a lot with Levi

807
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 3: Lewis at Louis on la Fayette where they do a

808
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:46,880
Speaker 3: lot of they do a lot of motion stuff and

809
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:49,080
Speaker 3: then they do the play action boot leg stuff and

810
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:50,800
Speaker 3: you're going to see a lot of that with Richardson.

811
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:53,399
Speaker 3: And then you know, if his options aren't open, that's

812
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:55,799
Speaker 3: going to open up these possibilities for him to run

813
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 3: and he can rip off some explosive runs. So you

814
00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,399
Speaker 3: know there's some stuff there. But like Florida's running back room,

815
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:03,719
Speaker 3: they have four different guys. They can't decide on a

816
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,359
Speaker 3: running back, mostly because like these guys were like all

817
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 3: like high four stars, low five stars, but none of

818
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,360
Speaker 3: them they've been they've all been in college for several years.

819
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:14,280
Speaker 3: None of them have differentiated themselves. So I'm not super

820
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:17,080
Speaker 3: you know, bullish on them. I don't love their their

821
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:20,279
Speaker 3: receiving corps. Their offensive line is stunk for the last

822
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:21,919
Speaker 3: couple of years that you know, that was the other

823
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:23,880
Speaker 3: thing that was Maligne grant them, and then the other

824
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 3: one is the offensive line. Coach Mullen tried to save

825
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,800
Speaker 3: himself by firing both of them early last November and

826
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 3: it didn't work. But you know, we'll have to see

827
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 3: if they can fix some of that stuff. But like

828
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,839
Speaker 3: I said that, that's probably gonna take a little bit

829
00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 3: of time. And when you're facing the team that's a

830
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 3: legitimate contender to not only make the college football playoffs,

831
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 3: but potentially to do something there to win a game,

832
00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 3: maybe even make that the national title game, there's just

833
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 3: a discrepancy, you know, with with these two teams. Utah

834
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,360
Speaker 3: their coach, he's one of the longest ten year coaches

835
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 3: in college football. When winning him, you know that there's

836
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:57,879
Speaker 3: like one or two guys that have been at their

837
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 3: stops longer than him. He has been building towards this

838
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 3: moment for a decade plus. Now. This is the best,

839
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 3: the most talented team that he's had at Utah. He's had.

840
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 3: You know, there is a team that he had that

841
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:12,560
Speaker 3: was undefeated and stuff like that. This team probably won't

842
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:14,480
Speaker 3: end up undefeated. They're probably not going to run the

843
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 3: table and win the title. But if you put those

844
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,680
Speaker 3: teams and just stack them up, if those two teams played,

845
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:23,759
Speaker 3: this team twenty twenty is winning. They have a really

846
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 3: good defense again, even though they lost Devin Lloyd, they

847
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 3: actually stole a linebacker from from Florida that's going to

848
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 3: fit right in this dep bodykit NFL prospect for sure.

849
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:34,479
Speaker 3: They have a very good secondary, they're good up front,

850
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,280
Speaker 3: well coached on defense that they don't make the mistakes

851
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,880
Speaker 3: I was talking about with Florida. And then on offense,

852
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 3: you have one of the nation's best running backs in

853
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,919
Speaker 3: Tavi on to Thomas who had over twenty touchdowns last year,

854
00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 3: and then Cam Rising's back and when they switched the

855
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,799
Speaker 3: offense from Charlie Brewer at the beginning of last year

856
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 3: to Cam Rising. Everything changed, right because before you were

857
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,359
Speaker 3: limited and people could stack the box on you. Once

858
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 3: Rising was in there, you couldn't do that anymore. Rising

859
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 3: can throw the ball down the field, he can hit

860
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:03,919
Speaker 3: the tight ends up the seam, and Utah has two

861
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 3: good ones so that they can do all that sort

862
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:08,240
Speaker 3: of stuff. And then the other thing is he doesn't

863
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 3: only stretch the defense vertically, he stretches it horizontally because

864
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 3: he's a dual threat. He has good legs, so you

865
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 3: have to worry about Thomas and then him, you know,

866
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 3: on the ground. In addition, now to the air game

867
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 3: in a way that you didn't with Charlie Brook as

868
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 3: Charlie Burrooke can throw the ball beyond twenty yards downfield.

869
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:25,799
Speaker 3: I really like this Utah team. I think they're going

870
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:27,440
Speaker 3: to go in and that they're going to beat Florida

871
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:27,839
Speaker 3: for sure.

872
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 1: Two teams that definitely were again like Florida powerhouses several

873
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: years ago, but recently have been a little underwhelming. Florida

874
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 1: State and LSU are going out of this weekend as well.

875
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 1: LSU three and a half point favorites here. But you

876
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 1: think the Seminoles should be more of a pick them.

877
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 3: I do yeah, now this is this, you know, for

878
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:53,880
Speaker 3: informational purposes. This one is going to be one that

879
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 3: I'm going to be watching very closely because it would

880
00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 3: be hard to know exactly or to feel one hundred

881
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 3: percent confident in what you read is on LSU right

882
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:08,240
Speaker 3: this second. You know, obviously the end of the coach

883
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 3: era was not very good, and then they fired him

884
00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 3: early so they could get a jump on the coaching search.

885
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 3: So the end of last year, it's data that's sort

886
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 3: of unusable. And in addition to that, they had injuries

887
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,799
Speaker 3: to keep players last year that change the way that

888
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 3: they played. You know, for instance, on offense, Kayshawn Butte

889
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 3: last year at this time, I mean, you would have

890
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:32,160
Speaker 3: bet your life, you'd have bet the mortgage, you'd have

891
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 3: bet your house, you'd bet everything. The Kishan Butte would

892
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,360
Speaker 3: have been a first round pick in April's draft. But

893
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 3: he ends up getting injured early for the season. And

894
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 3: now now he's back, you know, he because he wants

895
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 3: to get back up to that. He probably didn't like

896
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 3: the you know what he had heard back from the

897
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 3: NFL coming off that injury. How high he goes he's

898
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 3: a top if not top ten overall guy, a top

899
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,279
Speaker 3: fifteen overall guy. In my opinion, he should be in

900
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 3: the discussion for best receiver in the nation. Typically people

901
00:43:58,200 --> 00:43:59,799
Speaker 3: just say Jackson Smith and jigb but for that and

902
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 3: then just move on. I think Boute, you got to

903
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 3: put him right up there. He needs to be in

904
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,359
Speaker 3: that discussion. So you have that, and then it's gonna

905
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 3: be interesting to see who Kelly goes with at at quarterback,

906
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 3: you know, to to try to feed him and then

907
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 3: the other guys the ball. It's down to the Arizona

908
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,920
Speaker 3: State transfer Jaydon Daniels, and then sort of the carryover

909
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,919
Speaker 3: but carry over back up and Garrett nus Meyer. Nuss

910
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:24,719
Speaker 3: myyer Is is the pocket passer that doesn't have the

911
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:29,640
Speaker 3: mobility Jaydon Daniels. He's all mobility and his his his

912
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:33,319
Speaker 3: throwing game. How do I put it, It's it's been

913
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:36,439
Speaker 3: his pocket game has been the Benjamin Button of college

914
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:38,800
Speaker 3: football the last three years. His best season was that,

915
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 3: ironically was as a true freshman. He got worse as

916
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 3: a sophomore, and last year was by far the worst

917
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 3: season that he had throwing the ball. He had a

918
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 3: couple of games last year where it was like, you know,

919
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 3: put a sheet over the television. It was it was

920
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 3: so bad. They've been working on Daniels's accuracy that they

921
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:57,399
Speaker 3: you know, this summer and you know and stuff like that.

922
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,680
Speaker 3: They they talked very openly with that about with the

923
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 3: media about that, where they're working on his footwork and

924
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 3: different you know, it's a lot of mechanics stuff. You're

925
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 3: trying to rebuild Daniels from the ground up. But are

926
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 3: you going to go with the dual threat there? You know,

927
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:13,800
Speaker 3: we've seen Kelly you know that there's been times where

928
00:45:13,840 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 3: he's had to du Ian buck sort of. Was Buckner

929
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,440
Speaker 3: that the guy that they had signed before he's more

930
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 3: of a dual threat or is he going to go

931
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,840
Speaker 3: more with the pocket passers sort of like Jack Cone was?

932
00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,560
Speaker 3: You know this past year. I do think that LSU

933
00:45:27,719 --> 00:45:29,880
Speaker 3: is going to be better than they were last year.

934
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 3: But Florida State absolutely is going to be better than

935
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 3: they were, you know, over over the entire course of

936
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 3: last season. And we started to see it down the stretch,

937
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:41,520
Speaker 3: you know, like the way that the season started for

938
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 3: Florida State last year, I didn't think Norbel was going

939
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 3: to make the end of the regular season. They lost

940
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,920
Speaker 3: that game to the FCS team, and they started one

941
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 3: in three or zhe four, whatever it was. But then

942
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:55,760
Speaker 3: down the stretch short up magically and lo and behold

943
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 3: Jordan Travis, their quarterback, who previously had been like one

944
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 3: of these guys who I'm talking about, who was like

945
00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:04,239
Speaker 3: a dual threat who couldn't hit the broadside of a

946
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:08,280
Speaker 3: barn down the stretch, he actually started to make real

947
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 3: legitimate progress as a thrower. And the reason that that

948
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 3: was such a huge deal was Florida State's running attack

949
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,359
Speaker 3: had already made it. It's just we weren't noticing it

950
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,080
Speaker 3: because you know, the offense would devolve into these long

951
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 3: periods of inefficiency because the passing game was so bad.

952
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:28,920
Speaker 3: But you remember when Mike Norvell was at Memphis how

953
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 3: explosive those running games were. You know, with all the

954
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 3: different guys they had, you know, Darryl Henderson and Tony

955
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 3: Pollard and Gibson played more in the slot there, but

956
00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 3: you know, like they had all these different guys and

957
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 3: the rushing attack was just always super duper explosive. And

958
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 3: again that's already taken off at Florida State. The key

959
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:51,239
Speaker 3: thing was getting the quarterback play, being able to pass

960
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 3: the ball now it looks like they're able to do that.

961
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:57,960
Speaker 3: Their defense also took a huge step forward. In twenty twenty,

962
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 3: they were just awful. They were in a bomb nation.

963
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:03,800
Speaker 3: The first four games of last year they were also awful,

964
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 3: But after that, I don't think they gave up more

965
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 3: than thirty points in any game in their last eight games.

966
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:11,799
Speaker 3: And you know that was a stretch where they went

967
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:15,120
Speaker 3: I think five and three down the stretch. So they

968
00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,439
Speaker 3: are ticking up. There's reasons to think that they will

969
00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 3: continue to tick up, that this is a progression going forward.

970
00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 3: This line live it's LSU minus three and a half,

971
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 3: which I understand from a public perspective perception because Florida

972
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 3: State's been down in the dumps for so long. But

973
00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:36,560
Speaker 3: I think these two teams qualitatively are closer in reality

974
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 3: than people do. And I absolutely think that this line

975
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 3: should be closer to a pick on than it is now.

976
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,319
Speaker 1: One of the biggest games of the weekend here will

977
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 1: hit on before we do a little bit of rapid fire,

978
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 1: but it doesn't get bigger than this. When it comes

979
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:53,360
Speaker 1: to the brand names involved Ohio State, I'm sorry, the

980
00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 1: Ohio State universe.

981
00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 3: Is that trademark? Thomas they spend some money on it,

982
00:47:57,680 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 3: you got to use.

983
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:03,320
Speaker 1: It takes on the fighting Irish of Notre Dame, although

984
00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:07,440
Speaker 1: apparently Notre Dame not interestingly enough, the official the official

985
00:48:07,480 --> 00:48:10,040
Speaker 1: College of Ireland.

986
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 2: They're apparently Nebraska fans. I don't know if you've seen.

987
00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:16,759
Speaker 1: That going around, but apparently in Ireland, when you're a

988
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:20,359
Speaker 1: new driver, you have this big n sticker that.

989
00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 2: You put on your car to signal to people that

990
00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 2: you're a new.

991
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:26,800
Speaker 1: Driver, and it's the exact Nebraska sticker. So a whole

992
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:30,840
Speaker 1: bunch of Nebraska fans that over there that teams recently

993
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 1: found out as they went to Dublin this weekend for

994
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,759
Speaker 1: a game. But in this one, we got Notre Dame

995
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 1: versus Ohio State laying seventeen points with the Buckeyes here,

996
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: what do you think of this? Are people undervaluing Notre

997
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: Dame or is Ohio State very much that that far

998
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 1: ahead of them?

999
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 3: I think that Ohio State is that far ahead of them.

1000
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:54,400
Speaker 3: And then it's not like I'm super duper low on

1001
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 3: Notre Dame. You know my power raise, you know, they're

1002
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 3: like they're seventh. I got them seventh in the preseas,

1003
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 3: So it's not like I'm super good or low on them.

1004
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,799
Speaker 3: But for me, this at least in the preseason right now,

1005
00:49:04,840 --> 00:49:07,360
Speaker 3: the way that I see it, you have your in

1006
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 3: college football, yeah, but a tier of two teams at

1007
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,560
Speaker 3: the very top, Alabama and Ohio State, and then the

1008
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 3: second tier is a team under its Georgia. You know,

1009
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 3: there's a step down from those top two, but there's

1010
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:20,919
Speaker 3: no one else that's that's there. And then I got

1011
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,719
Speaker 3: Clemson a bit below Georgia, and I sort of have

1012
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 3: Clemson in their own tier, and then you're dropping down

1013
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:30,799
Speaker 3: to the sort of what becomes then a clump like

1014
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 3: after that, and Notre Dame is in that clump like

1015
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 3: with Michigan, with Utah who we were just talking about

1016
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:38,840
Speaker 3: with A and m you know, a couple of different

1017
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:41,919
Speaker 3: teams like that Ohio State they you know, of course

1018
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 3: they lost the two first round receivers, you know, like

1019
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,360
Speaker 3: you know, so you know you have that, but you

1020
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 3: have you know, arguably the nation's best quarterback. If he's not,

1021
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:54,040
Speaker 3: he's number two, you know, Bryce Young and Stroud. We're

1022
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 3: not going to get into that argument right now. You

1023
00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:58,359
Speaker 3: also have it's the same thing a running back, either

1024
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 3: the nation's pastor that I would call on the second

1025
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 3: and Trayvon Henderson I prefer bees on a bit, but

1026
00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:07,760
Speaker 3: like Travion, absolute monster talent. So your backfield is amazing

1027
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:10,680
Speaker 3: and your receiving corps is going to remain amazing because

1028
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:13,520
Speaker 3: even though you lost lost the two first rounders, Jackson

1029
00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:16,080
Speaker 3: Smith and Jig but comes back, who arguably is the

1030
00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:17,799
Speaker 3: best receiver in the nation if now one of the

1031
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,959
Speaker 3: top two. And then Marvin Harrison Junior, now the five

1032
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,160
Speaker 3: star who's been waiting his turn. He's going to get

1033
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,560
Speaker 3: a starting drub. He's going to do you know, he's

1034
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:27,719
Speaker 3: probably gonna go over a thousand yards in his first year.

1035
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 3: And then you have a couple other five stars that

1036
00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:32,359
Speaker 3: you can decide on for the third job, whether that's

1037
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:35,920
Speaker 3: Julian Fleming or whether that's a BUCA. Right, and they

1038
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:38,640
Speaker 3: got guys beyond that too, So like they're they're doing

1039
00:50:38,719 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 3: just fine there that their offensive line looks good and

1040
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,200
Speaker 3: where that team can improve this year, they're just hoping

1041
00:50:45,280 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 3: like their offense is already awesome and you should have

1042
00:50:47,280 --> 00:50:51,160
Speaker 3: remain awesome where they could improve a bit, and they're

1043
00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:54,120
Speaker 3: going to have to be to beat Alabama. Like again,

1044
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:56,000
Speaker 3: I think those two teams are in a neighborhood of

1045
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 3: their own. But for Ohio State to be able to

1046
00:50:58,040 --> 00:50:59,959
Speaker 3: do that this year, the defense has to be better.

1047
00:51:00,360 --> 00:51:02,560
Speaker 3: And they knew it did right, That's why they went

1048
00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:06,840
Speaker 3: out and they hired the Oklahoma State defensive coordinator. They've

1049
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,200
Speaker 3: gone in there and that you know, I was talking

1050
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:11,400
Speaker 3: about the quotes that we were getting from the USC

1051
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 3: defensive coaches that were a little bit tepid. It's been

1052
00:51:14,560 --> 00:51:17,120
Speaker 3: sort of the opposite at Ohio State. And again it's

1053
00:51:17,120 --> 00:51:19,280
Speaker 3: an interpretation thing where I don't know if it's bluster

1054
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:22,759
Speaker 3: or if it's if it's if it's real, But like,

1055
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:25,040
Speaker 3: they really think that they're going to have a top

1056
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:28,360
Speaker 3: ten defense this year, you know, or maybe even a

1057
00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:30,120
Speaker 3: top five like that, you know. I mean, they are

1058
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:33,879
Speaker 3: dreaming high. They certainly have a ton of talent there.

1059
00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 3: But but we have seen that defense struggle in some

1060
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:39,080
Speaker 3: big spots these past couple of years. The one that

1061
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 3: jumps to mind from from last fall was when they

1062
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 3: were playing Michigan and I mentioned Hassan Haskins earlier, and

1063
00:51:44,600 --> 00:51:47,200
Speaker 3: he cut through them like a hot knife through butter

1064
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:49,480
Speaker 3: last year. So they're gonna have to fortify that that

1065
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:52,480
Speaker 3: front seven for sure. But yeah, I just think that

1066
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:55,360
Speaker 3: they have too many weapons for Notre Dame in this game.

1067
00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:58,280
Speaker 3: With Notre Dame, it's the first game of the Marcus

1068
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:01,600
Speaker 3: Freeman era. Of course he's a holdover and and most

1069
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:04,920
Speaker 3: of the staff that you know, they retained most of

1070
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:07,360
Speaker 3: the staff, so he lost Brian Kelly, but you're keeping

1071
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 3: most of them. But you know, Freeman's in this spot

1072
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:12,520
Speaker 3: for the first time in his life. It's you know,

1073
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 3: I you know, I'd be surprised if right away it's

1074
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,360
Speaker 3: it's exactly you know what he is going to become

1075
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:19,839
Speaker 3: as a head coach. And then you have the a

1076
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:23,680
Speaker 3: new starting quarterback and some like Buckner's, you're gonna have

1077
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,120
Speaker 3: to work him in. Buckner is the guy that that

1078
00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 3: that he had plat tuned in behind Jack Cohne last year.

1079
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:32,239
Speaker 3: They really need him to be like a star like

1080
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 3: you know this coming season, and then that's how they

1081
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 3: could potentially be a playoff contender. But I just I

1082
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:40,000
Speaker 3: don't see them competing with Ohio State in this game.

1083
00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:42,360
Speaker 3: My line on this one is Ohio State minus nineteen

1084
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 3: point seven.

1085
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:46,480
Speaker 1: Now, thor, let's hit on some rapid fire here before

1086
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:49,520
Speaker 1: we finish off with the hammer of the week. I'm

1087
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 1: gonna give you five games here that you have some

1088
00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 1: of your biggest discrepancies on. I just want you to

1089
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 1: hit on him real quick, minute or less. We're gonna

1090
00:52:57,200 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 1: start off middle Tennessee versus James Madison. James Madison's laying

1091
00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:02,319
Speaker 1: six and a half right now. You think it should

1092
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 1: be half a point?

1093
00:53:03,600 --> 00:53:05,320
Speaker 3: I do, yeah, I think that one should be closer

1094
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 3: to a pick them James Madison. You know last year,

1095
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:09,279
Speaker 3: these past couple of years, we had one hundred and

1096
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 3: thirty FBS teams. Now we have one hundred and thirty

1097
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 3: one James Madison. You know, this is a team that's

1098
00:53:13,520 --> 00:53:16,520
Speaker 3: coming up to the FBS this year. The books are

1099
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:21,080
Speaker 3: shockingly bullish on James Madison this year, going back to

1100
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 3: the win total thing. James Madison is only playing eleven

1101
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:26,359
Speaker 3: games this regular season because they're on what what do

1102
00:53:26,360 --> 00:53:29,200
Speaker 3: you call it? Not probationary is not the right word,

1103
00:53:30,080 --> 00:53:32,399
Speaker 3: you know, like for one year you have to what's

1104
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 3: the word?

1105
00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:35,839
Speaker 2: I would say probationary is probably the right term.

1106
00:53:35,960 --> 00:53:38,279
Speaker 3: Oh okay, well, so they're on that for a year.

1107
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,480
Speaker 3: They got like the FBS training wheels on for a year.

1108
00:53:40,520 --> 00:53:43,359
Speaker 3: So they're only playing eleven regular season games, and yet

1109
00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 3: they're they're win total is set at six and a half,

1110
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,759
Speaker 3: which which really caught my eye because and now they

1111
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:52,279
Speaker 3: were a power at the FCS. But in previous years,

1112
00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:54,400
Speaker 3: the powers that have come up, they have not started

1113
00:53:54,520 --> 00:53:58,120
Speaker 3: that quickly, you know, like Appalachian State, Georgia Southern, some

1114
00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:00,160
Speaker 3: of those different teams that we've seen come up have

1115
00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:03,160
Speaker 3: not been as strong in year one. Middle Tennessee is

1116
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:04,920
Speaker 3: a team that has a lot of guys back. They

1117
00:54:04,920 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 3: have their quarterback back, they have a ton of their

1118
00:54:06,760 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 3: receivers back. This year they're going to more of a

1119
00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:11,920
Speaker 3: true air raid system. I think that suits what they

1120
00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:14,040
Speaker 3: have coming back. I think that that game should be

1121
00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:15,400
Speaker 3: a pick them. I view it as a coin for

1122
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,400
Speaker 3: the by like Middle Tennessee.

1123
00:54:17,320 --> 00:54:19,719
Speaker 2: Troy versus All Miss. All Miss is twenty two and

1124
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:20,800
Speaker 2: a half point favorites.

1125
00:54:21,400 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, that one is fascinating to see if is Jared

1126
00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 3: Diaggy going to be starting on Troy. Jareddeggy had this

1127
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:30,719
Speaker 3: just crazy offseason where he started at West Virginia. It

1128
00:54:30,719 --> 00:54:33,400
Speaker 3: didn't seem like West Virginia wanted him back. He transferred

1129
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 3: to Western Kentucky to take over for Bailey Zappy and

1130
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 3: was told, you know, ten days ago that he was

1131
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 3: not going to win that starting job. He lost it

1132
00:54:40,200 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 3: to this kid who would come up from D two.

1133
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 3: So then he transferred down to Troy. But there's a

1134
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:48,640
Speaker 3: very short turnaround here. Although Troy was the school that

1135
00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:51,600
Speaker 3: Neil Brown, the West Virginia coach, had come from previously,

1136
00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 3: so it's schematically it attributes stuff that he is at

1137
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 3: least familiar with. But we'll see if that's a quick

1138
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 3: enough turnaround time where he's going to be able to

1139
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:02,120
Speaker 3: start right away. And then as far as all miss

1140
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 3: the whole team is, you know, it's one of those

1141
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:06,000
Speaker 3: things where a lot of the team is remade because

1142
00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:09,400
Speaker 3: the portal King lang Kiffin signed everybody. You know, Jackson

1143
00:55:09,480 --> 00:55:12,279
Speaker 3: Dart was an awesome signing from USC. I talked about

1144
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:17,239
Speaker 3: the backs before. So yeah, there's a lot of on

1145
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:20,040
Speaker 3: both sides. You're gonna have a much different thing. My

1146
00:55:20,080 --> 00:55:23,640
Speaker 3: adjusted line on that is minus seventeen point three. I

1147
00:55:23,680 --> 00:55:25,319
Speaker 3: think this is a similar thing where some of the

1148
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:28,440
Speaker 3: excitement that was generated by lang Kiffin over the offseason

1149
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:30,840
Speaker 3: it might be leading to a bit of an objective

1150
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 3: tax that you're gonna have to pay if you want

1151
00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:34,439
Speaker 3: to bet on Mississippi.

1152
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:38,120
Speaker 1: Maryland versus Buffalo Maryland, same thing, twenty two and a

1153
00:55:38,160 --> 00:55:40,520
Speaker 1: half point favorite, you think it should be seventeen point three.

1154
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I want you to bribe a little

1155
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:47,440
Speaker 3: bit lower. People are excited about Maryland this year. They

1156
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:51,440
Speaker 3: have Tacob I loa to his brother is coming back

1157
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 3: at quarterback, and they have a really nasty receiver room

1158
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:57,399
Speaker 3: where they're gonna have three or four of those kids

1159
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,920
Speaker 3: get drafted into the NFL. So you have that's the

1160
00:56:00,120 --> 00:56:02,360
Speaker 3: going for him, and that's that's great. They're their passing

1161
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:05,080
Speaker 3: attack is going to be very good. I still need

1162
00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:09,440
Speaker 3: to see them put forth a rushing attack to complement

1163
00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:12,040
Speaker 3: that that I'm confident in. And then the other thing

1164
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,759
Speaker 3: is that the defense is just, you know, going. That's

1165
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 3: the one thing that Locksley needs to fact. Buffalo. They're

1166
00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,399
Speaker 3: they're you know, they're going to try to shorten the game,

1167
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,719
Speaker 3: establish the run. It's what they've done since Leopold, it's

1168
00:56:24,760 --> 00:56:27,120
Speaker 3: what they're still doing now. So to get over this

1169
00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:29,279
Speaker 3: twenty two and a half number against a Maryland team

1170
00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:32,319
Speaker 3: that's not a juggernaut by any means, does Maryland get

1171
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:35,160
Speaker 3: enough possessions in this game. To have an opportunity to

1172
00:56:35,200 --> 00:56:36,359
Speaker 3: do that would be my biggest question.

1173
00:56:37,200 --> 00:56:40,480
Speaker 1: Reno takes on Texas State and the wolf Pack minus

1174
00:56:40,520 --> 00:56:41,880
Speaker 1: four and a half in this one.

1175
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, Nevada. The last I was what I was watching

1176
00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:49,760
Speaker 3: Nevada and New Mexico State, and that was the Vada

1177
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:54,120
Speaker 3: did win that game. They they were as much given

1178
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:57,320
Speaker 3: it as as they they won. New Mexico State started

1179
00:56:57,360 --> 00:56:59,919
Speaker 3: quarterback Diego Pavia, who is a He was a juke

1180
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:03,000
Speaker 3: you know previously, he turned the ball over four times

1181
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:04,920
Speaker 3: in the first half and I thought he was going

1182
00:57:05,000 --> 00:57:07,400
Speaker 3: to get yanked. At that point, Jerry Kill decided not

1183
00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:09,320
Speaker 3: just pull the plug on him, and he threw another

1184
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:12,160
Speaker 3: interception immediately coming out of halftime, So then they pulled

1185
00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:15,239
Speaker 3: the plug on him. But that's probably not your referendum

1186
00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:17,480
Speaker 3: game on this this new look Nevada team. We were

1187
00:57:17,480 --> 00:57:20,360
Speaker 3: talking before about how Jay Norvell had gone from Nevada

1188
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 3: to Colorado State and then Nevada was just a crater.

1189
00:57:24,760 --> 00:57:28,480
Speaker 3: You know, they're starting Illinsworth at quarterback. Nevada is a

1190
00:57:28,560 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 3: kid who would come over from Oklahoma State. He looked

1191
00:57:30,880 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 3: okayish against New Mexico State, but New Mexico State is

1192
00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:35,439
Speaker 3: one of the tourst teams in the FBS, and after

1193
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:37,480
Speaker 3: what I saw, I mean the last game, I actually

1194
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,480
Speaker 3: toocked him down to be in one thirty one, the

1195
00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 3: lowest team on the totem pole. So again, don't don't

1196
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 3: jump too high over yourself over that one. I think

1197
00:57:44,760 --> 00:57:47,600
Speaker 3: maybe that's a part of that explains this line, both

1198
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:49,440
Speaker 3: the fact that Nevada won on the road in the

1199
00:57:49,440 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 3: opener and then also people's memories of those teams going

1200
00:57:52,640 --> 00:57:55,240
Speaker 3: back a couple of years. I think that explains, you know,

1201
00:57:55,400 --> 00:57:57,760
Speaker 3: sort of attacks on Nevada. But yeah, my numbers are

1202
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:01,440
Speaker 3: saying that that Texas State should probably be the extremely

1203
00:58:01,520 --> 00:58:05,440
Speaker 3: slight favorite. My numbers favorite Texas State by point six points.

1204
00:58:05,440 --> 00:58:07,440
Speaker 3: So I see this one as a coin flip and

1205
00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:09,040
Speaker 3: I'll probably have money on Texas State.

1206
00:58:10,240 --> 00:58:12,680
Speaker 1: The next one up here, last one in a rapid

1207
00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 1: fire Cincinnati, the former playoff contenders going up against the

1208
00:58:17,000 --> 00:58:20,360
Speaker 1: Arkansas Razorbacks here Razorbacks Land five and a half.

1209
00:58:21,120 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, the the market might be overreacting a bit to Cincinnati.

1210
00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:30,120
Speaker 3: That what Cincinnati lost, you know, between Desmond Redder, Jerome Ford,

1211
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:33,440
Speaker 3: and Alec Pierce, that the guys that they lost on defense.

1212
00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 3: Obviously last year, you know, the historic season went with

1213
00:58:36,360 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 3: the College Football Playoff and everything. But I think that

1214
00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,480
Speaker 3: there's this thought that they caught, you know, Luke Fickle

1215
00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:43,720
Speaker 3: caught lightning in a bottle, and now you lose all

1216
00:58:44,000 --> 00:58:46,160
Speaker 3: these studs, and now they're just going to revert back

1217
00:58:46,160 --> 00:58:48,240
Speaker 3: to being, you know, like a good G five team,

1218
00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:51,080
Speaker 3: but maybe not being a really really really awesome G

1219
00:58:51,200 --> 00:58:53,720
Speaker 3: five team. I think there's still a really really awesome

1220
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:57,080
Speaker 3: G five team. The quarterback that they should be able

1221
00:58:57,080 --> 00:58:59,439
Speaker 3: to maybe you're you're not going to get a guys

1222
00:58:59,440 --> 00:59:01,920
Speaker 3: as good as but Ben Bryant was a really solid

1223
00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:04,240
Speaker 3: starter for Eastern Michigan last year. The other kid that

1224
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:07,160
Speaker 3: he's competing with in camp was a solid four star recruit.

1225
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:09,919
Speaker 3: They also got a local kid from he had signed

1226
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 3: with LSU coming out of high school as Corey Kiner

1227
00:59:11,840 --> 00:59:14,720
Speaker 3: kid at running back to help replace Jerome Ford. They

1228
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:16,680
Speaker 3: like a couple. They have two different running backs named

1229
00:59:16,680 --> 00:59:19,040
Speaker 3: Montgomery who have been on the depth chart that they

1230
00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:20,600
Speaker 3: like both of them, so that they're going to have

1231
00:59:20,640 --> 00:59:22,560
Speaker 3: a sort of stable of backs. And I think the

1232
00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 3: defense is going to remain really really solid. It always

1233
00:59:25,320 --> 00:59:28,800
Speaker 3: is Underfitble and they still have plenty of guys on there.

1234
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,160
Speaker 3: My line on this is much much closer. It's another

1235
00:59:31,160 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 3: one where my system sees this game is more of

1236
00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 3: a pick them, whereas Vegas or the market I suppose

1237
00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:40,840
Speaker 3: more accurate accurately stated is you know they're making a

1238
00:59:40,840 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 3: call on which side they like. My line on this

1239
00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 3: game is Arkansas minus one.

1240
00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 2: All right, it is time now Thor's Hammer of the Week.

1241
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:52,960
Speaker 2: We've saved the best for last. What is your favorite

1242
00:59:52,960 --> 00:59:54,120
Speaker 2: play on the slate this week?

1243
00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:56,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, looking over the early lines that we

1244
00:59:56,440 --> 01:00:00,280
Speaker 3: have right now, it's Pittsburgh, you know, playing against West

1245
01:00:00,360 --> 01:00:04,120
Speaker 3: Virginia in their annual rivalry game, and you have a

1246
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:07,400
Speaker 3: couple of different things going on here where with West Virginia.

1247
01:00:07,920 --> 01:00:12,080
Speaker 3: West Virginia is hanging a lot of their hopes and dreams,

1248
01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:16,160
Speaker 3: and Neil Brown is almost hanging his continued employment upon

1249
01:00:16,240 --> 01:00:19,720
Speaker 3: the idea that JT. Daniels can be what people were

1250
01:00:19,800 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 3: dreaming on him being several years ago at USC. And

1251
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:26,160
Speaker 3: now you know, since then, there's been several injuries, he

1252
01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:29,680
Speaker 3: was run out of USC, he had outright lost the

1253
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:32,680
Speaker 3: starting job at Georgia. We have not seen him on

1254
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:35,440
Speaker 3: the field much these past couple of years. Now, you

1255
01:00:35,480 --> 01:00:38,160
Speaker 3: bring him in here and you're sort of Neil Brown.

1256
01:00:38,160 --> 01:00:40,560
Speaker 3: It seems like he sort of expected where he needs JT.

1257
01:00:40,680 --> 01:00:43,960
Speaker 3: Daniels to help save his job. I think that they're

1258
01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:47,040
Speaker 3: going to have problems there the running game. I'm not

1259
01:00:47,080 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 3: sure what they're going to get there either. They had

1260
01:00:48,800 --> 01:00:51,360
Speaker 3: signed lynd J. Dixon in the transfer portal from Clemson.

1261
01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:55,400
Speaker 3: Dixon left. They're gonna start this kid named Tony Mathis,

1262
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,320
Speaker 3: but I don't think they have a lot of backfield

1263
01:00:57,400 --> 01:01:00,760
Speaker 3: depth either. I don't love their defense either. Like for me,

1264
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 3: West Virginia is more like a team that's going to

1265
01:01:03,360 --> 01:01:06,240
Speaker 3: finish like four and eight than maybe what the common

1266
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:09,520
Speaker 3: perception is. Whereas with Pittsburgh, I think the market is

1267
01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:13,000
Speaker 3: expecting them to fall way off after all the losses

1268
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:15,760
Speaker 3: they had over the offseason, and that's in a lot

1269
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:18,400
Speaker 3: of ways understandable. You know, you lose the only guy

1270
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:20,600
Speaker 3: that was taking the only quarterback that was taken in

1271
01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:23,160
Speaker 3: the first two rounds in Kenny Pickett. You lose the

1272
01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:26,880
Speaker 3: Bolitnikov winner in Jordan Addison. They lost other guys in

1273
01:01:26,880 --> 01:01:28,880
Speaker 3: addition to that, but those are two, which is megan

1274
01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:31,920
Speaker 3: mega losses, and then you also lost your offensive coordinator,

1275
01:01:31,920 --> 01:01:34,200
Speaker 3: the architect of it, and Mark Whipple, and then sort

1276
01:01:34,200 --> 01:01:36,600
Speaker 3: of the core architect of it in their wide receiver

1277
01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 3: coach Brennan Mary and so you have all those losses.

1278
01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 3: I understand why the market might be a little bit

1279
01:01:41,560 --> 01:01:45,320
Speaker 3: down on them. I'm certainly I certainly believe the Pittsburgh

1280
01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:48,080
Speaker 3: is going to take a step back, slight step back

1281
01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:50,919
Speaker 3: this year, but not nearly as much as the market

1282
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:54,360
Speaker 3: seems to be anticipating. The reason why is they bring

1283
01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:56,880
Speaker 3: in Keyton Slovas. I don't think Slovas is as big

1284
01:01:56,920 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 3: of a drop off from Kenny Pickett as is commonly believed.

1285
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:03,360
Speaker 3: Slovis was a kid a couple of years ago who

1286
01:02:03,400 --> 01:02:06,560
Speaker 3: was great at USC, and he's someone whose skill set

1287
01:02:06,600 --> 01:02:08,960
Speaker 3: is very conducive to what Pittsburgh does, where it's like

1288
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:11,800
Speaker 3: the quick hitting stuff where you know the sideline to

1289
01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:14,440
Speaker 3: sideline and then you sort of keep stretching the defense

1290
01:02:14,480 --> 01:02:17,080
Speaker 3: out intermediate and that now we're going deep and stuff

1291
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:19,440
Speaker 3: like that. Slovis can definitely do that. And then the

1292
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:22,440
Speaker 3: guy they brought into to try to replace Addison. It's

1293
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:23,880
Speaker 3: not going to be a one for one, but I

1294
01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:25,480
Speaker 3: don't think it's going to drop off as much as

1295
01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:29,040
Speaker 3: people think. Is Connata Mumpfield from Akron who finished this

1296
01:02:29,080 --> 01:02:31,880
Speaker 3: is according to PFF and the ninety seven percentile last

1297
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:35,160
Speaker 3: year in terms of separation gained against man coverage. So

1298
01:02:35,520 --> 01:02:37,800
Speaker 3: you have that going on. The passing game will go

1299
01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:39,840
Speaker 3: down a little bit, but again maybe not as much

1300
01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 3: as people think. But then on, you know, you look

1301
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:44,520
Speaker 3: at some of the other metrics. The running game is

1302
01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:46,440
Speaker 3: certainly going to go up. You know, they had a

1303
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 3: deep backfield last year. All those guys are back. They

1304
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:51,360
Speaker 3: go three four deep in the backfield, so they're going

1305
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:53,439
Speaker 3: to be running the ball more this year. They should

1306
01:02:53,480 --> 01:02:56,320
Speaker 3: be running it more effectively, and ARDOZI wanted to do

1307
01:02:56,360 --> 01:02:57,880
Speaker 3: that anyway. You know, that was part of the reason

1308
01:02:57,880 --> 01:03:00,080
Speaker 3: I think why why Whipple left. The other thing is

1309
01:03:00,120 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 3: their defense is probably going to be better. They have

1310
01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:05,760
Speaker 3: seven defenders back this year. Last year they were very

1311
01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:09,080
Speaker 3: good at specific things. Havoc was one of them. I

1312
01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:11,520
Speaker 3: think they finished number two in the nation in sacks

1313
01:03:11,520 --> 01:03:14,720
Speaker 3: per game. Now with all these defenders back, you're hoping

1314
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:16,640
Speaker 3: that you can improve the efficiency a little bit, and

1315
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,520
Speaker 3: I think that they'll be able to do that. So

1316
01:03:18,680 --> 01:03:20,080
Speaker 3: you're going to go down a little bit in the

1317
01:03:20,080 --> 01:03:22,080
Speaker 3: passing attack, you're going to go up with the rushing

1318
01:03:22,160 --> 01:03:25,240
Speaker 3: and go up in the defense. You know, hopefully it's

1319
01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:28,440
Speaker 3: around two. You know, just a slight step back overall

1320
01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:31,120
Speaker 3: because you're losing that trump card of your passing attack.

1321
01:03:31,400 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 3: And then in this matchup again, you know, going back

1322
01:03:34,480 --> 01:03:37,000
Speaker 3: to how we started off the show, you're just looking

1323
01:03:37,040 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 3: for value and generally that comes when your perception of

1324
01:03:40,920 --> 01:03:43,240
Speaker 3: one team it's way off from the market, and then

1325
01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:45,959
Speaker 3: on the other side as well, when it can start

1326
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:48,680
Speaker 3: to accelerate. And that's what it is with this one.

1327
01:03:49,040 --> 01:03:51,720
Speaker 3: I'm lower on West Virginia than the market, probably a

1328
01:03:51,720 --> 01:03:55,160
Speaker 3: bit higher on Pittsburgh than the market is. This line

1329
01:03:55,200 --> 01:03:57,760
Speaker 3: live right now is minus seven and a half. My

1330
01:03:57,840 --> 01:04:01,640
Speaker 3: line on this one is Pittsburgh seventeen point eight, so

1331
01:04:01,720 --> 01:04:04,360
Speaker 3: I have an overlay of over ten points. And by

1332
01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 3: the way, if you look at at some of the

1333
01:04:06,280 --> 01:04:08,920
Speaker 3: betting data out there publicly right now, it seems like

1334
01:04:08,960 --> 01:04:11,479
Speaker 3: the sharps these past couple weeks and this month leading

1335
01:04:11,520 --> 01:04:14,000
Speaker 3: up to the season, that they've been hitting Pittsburgh on

1336
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:16,040
Speaker 3: this line as well. So I'm not sure that that

1337
01:04:16,160 --> 01:04:18,760
Speaker 3: line is going to stay at Pittsburgh minus seven and

1338
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:20,120
Speaker 3: a half. I think you're probably going to see it

1339
01:04:20,120 --> 01:04:21,280
Speaker 3: closer to ten by kick.

1340
01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:22,520
Speaker 2: Well.

1341
01:04:22,640 --> 01:04:25,320
Speaker 1: Thank you so much, Thor for all of the valuable

1342
01:04:25,360 --> 01:04:28,080
Speaker 1: insight today. Again, guys, we are going to be back

1343
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:32,160
Speaker 1: at it every week of the college football season, every Sunday.

1344
01:04:33,080 --> 01:04:35,480
Speaker 1: The show is probably going to drop on Monday, so

1345
01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:38,040
Speaker 1: watch out for it early in the week to start

1346
01:04:38,080 --> 01:04:40,880
Speaker 1: your week off and get the idea of what the

1347
01:04:41,000 --> 01:04:43,440
Speaker 1: college football landscape for the weekend is going to look like,

1348
01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:46,080
Speaker 1: what you should be betting on. Get a head start

1349
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:50,040
Speaker 1: attacking those lines early. Thor, where can they find all

1350
01:04:50,160 --> 01:04:52,920
Speaker 1: of the awesome work you're doing throughout the college football season.

1351
01:04:53,320 --> 01:04:56,320
Speaker 3: You can find me on Twitter at Thor koh Rku,

1352
01:04:56,880 --> 01:04:59,000
Speaker 3: and you can find my work on Fantasy Pros and

1353
01:04:59,200 --> 01:04:59,880
Speaker 3: Betting Pros.

1354
01:05:00,680 --> 01:05:03,240
Speaker 2: All right, thank you so much guys. Once again, you

1355
01:05:03,360 --> 01:05:04,160
Speaker 2: know the drill.

1356
01:05:04,680 --> 01:05:08,800
Speaker 1: Follow at Betting Pros on the Twitter, and of course,

1357
01:05:09,080 --> 01:05:10,680
Speaker 1: give us that five star review.

1358
01:05:10,760 --> 01:05:15,720
Speaker 2: If you like us, tell your friends seriously like, subscribe, like, subscribe,

1359
01:05:15,800 --> 01:05:18,240
Speaker 2: and share. You know how it goes.

1360
01:05:18,520 --> 01:05:21,280
Speaker 1: Thor, thank you so much for joining us today and guys,

1361
01:05:21,320 --> 01:05:23,080
Speaker 1: best of luck all week.

1362
01:05:23,520 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 2: Let's catch those tickets