1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 2: It's time to place your bets and it's me Joey 3 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 2: p Joe Pi's APA and this is BP NFL. It's 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 2: time to look ahead to the Best Bets four week 5 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 2: Night in the NFL with the Undertaker, Andrew Rickson and 6 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: Terrell Furman Junior, who for the record, was very right 7 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: about the Texans last week, and just want to point 8 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: that out for all you and the YouTube comment thrown 9 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 2: shade of a boy. He was wrong about Mike Tomlin, 10 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 2: which I told him on the show he was gonna 11 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 2: be wrong about Mike Tomlin. But you are right about 12 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 2: the Texans t and I think you could take that 13 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 2: one to the bank. 14 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 3: The Texas defense. But Texans have allowed fourteen point seven 15 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 3: points per game this year. 16 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: Just saying that Texans defense pretty pretty good. 17 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 3: And we're gonna try to get some bets here for 18 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 3: everybody to log in again, make sure you subscribe to 19 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 3: the channel, make sure you drop your comments below like 20 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 3: the video, and that's all you got to do here 21 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 3: to hang with us every single week. And just for 22 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 3: the record, last week for all two and three ericson 23 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 3: nearly perfect four and one ericson the one thing you 24 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 3: got wrong. You were riding high on the Mike Tomlin train, 25 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 3: which I feel like is gonna make it know the 26 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 3: stop in Terrell's station this week. 27 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:04,919 Speaker 1: I got this feeling. I just got this feeling, Andrew. 28 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 4: I mean, when you're going into Sunday night football and 29 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 4: your four and oh, oh, so you're probably not gonna 30 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 4: be five and oh have a minute that I sent 31 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 4: the slack chat to you guys, like guys Steelers cover 32 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 4: away from going five and oh, I knew that the 33 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 4: Steelers were immed. 34 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 5: I mean, if you had just shut up, if you 35 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 5: just shut up and just let it, you didn't say 36 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 5: that's all. That's also if you don't switch don't switch up. 37 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 5: You never get in the chat and say stuff like that. Ever, 38 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 5: this is the first week ever did that. 39 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:34,839 Speaker 1: And then he does. 40 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 3: He's never been four and into the night. And I'm 41 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 3: sure and I'm sure it was Eric dude jinkst that 42 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 3: not the horrendously overpaid Pittsburgh Steelers defense, that crap the 43 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 3: bet of the second half of that game. Shout out 44 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 3: to Jordan Love too not getting enough credit. Everyone's crapping 45 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 3: on the Steelers me included, but shout out to Jordan 46 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 3: Love getting done on the road. Tough spot there for him. 47 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 3: Now both guys are over five for the game was. 48 00:01:58,560 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: Really a rook. 49 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 3: We'll talk about it all right, all right, So let's 50 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 3: talk about your first bets because I know, Terrell, you've 51 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 3: got a lot of feelings here. So let's kick off 52 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 3: with the Falcons and Patriots here. Looks like we're probably 53 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 3: gonna get Michael Pennix back because I don't think anyone 54 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 3: ever wants to see Kirk Cousins play for the Falcons again. 55 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:18,519 Speaker 3: So Torell, what does that mean for the Falcons in 56 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 3: the five and a half. 57 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 5: If the comments gave me crap about the Texans last week, 58 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 5: they're really about to get on to be about the 59 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 5: Falcons this week. And it's me versus the comments right 60 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 5: now and my first double losing weeks of the season. 61 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 5: So they got me, even though I did get the 62 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 5: Texans right and they all killed me. Did did get me? Well, 63 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 5: guess what, we have another closure eyes special. And I 64 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 5: understand where I went wrong last week. It's because I 65 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 5: didn't I didn't take both closer eye specials. 66 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: That's what happened. 67 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 3: That was the issue. I think you mentioned that last 68 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 3: week too. You're like, I'm not gonna do it, and 69 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 3: you should, and you. 70 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:57,079 Speaker 5: Know because there was the outright win the Miami Dolphin. 71 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 5: And it's the gross ones. It's the ones that are 72 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 5: just disgustingly ugly, that is like all they're the ones 73 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 5: you gotta take. 74 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:04,799 Speaker 1: And that is this team. 75 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 5: Because you're taking Michael Pennis and you're taking them outdoors, 76 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 5: taking them up there to Foxborough. This Patriots team is 77 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 5: riding high. They feel really really good about themselves. But 78 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 5: I have to admit I still do like what the 79 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 5: Falcons have on the defensive side of the ball. I 80 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 5: think they can still get that going and get some 81 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 5: momentum there. I also like that their offense can attack 82 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 5: where the Patriots defense is weakest. Yes, the Patriots have 83 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,799 Speaker 5: a very very good run defense, but the linebackers, when 84 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 5: you get them out in coverage against the running backs, 85 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 5: they make plays. This new England Patriots team is twenty 86 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 5: fifth and DVA to the running back position. That is 87 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 5: gonna be Bjon Robinson all day every day. In this game. 88 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 5: I'm expecting him to have a big game in this one. 89 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 5: I think he's gonna help carry that offense is gonna 90 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 5: open things up and make life so much easier for 91 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 5: Michael Pennix in this game. And I think the Falcons 92 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 5: are going to do this weird thing where they just 93 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 5: find ways to get into the ugliest, grossest games that 94 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 5: nobody had them in and find a way to cover. 95 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 5: Add that on top of a closure eyes special. Nobody 96 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 5: likes the Falcons here like yes, so give me the 97 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 5: Falcons plus five and a half. I think they're gonna 98 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 5: be able to get your time. This is going to 99 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 5: be a way closer game than everybody expects. 100 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, the Dolphins were plus three three fifty. I think 101 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 3: of the money line last week, three forty three forty 102 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 3: of the moneylight last week, So that would have been 103 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 3: nice return. It would have been nice, But I guess 104 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 3: the less it is. No matter how gross, close your 105 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 3: eyes and bedded. That's what the special is all about. 106 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: Unless it's the Panther. That's the exception. Was going to 107 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 1: the cat every time we have the Panthers closure. 108 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 3: And the Panthers hit this week this year on the 109 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 3: closure I special. 110 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: I thought they did. 111 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 4: Because they were playing the Falcon. 112 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: They did. They did do it even look, you just 113 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: do it. That's it. That's the rule. 114 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 3: All right, Let's talk about Buffalo and the team total here. 115 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 3: Buffalo Kansas City always the marquee matchup of the season 116 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 3: here with those AFC teams. So ericson, how are you 117 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 3: approaching this big giant game that everyone's going to be 118 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 3: doing their TVs. 119 00:04:57,960 --> 00:04:58,799 Speaker 1: Two in the afternoon. 120 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 4: I'm gonna take the Bill scoring over twenty five and 121 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 4: a half points at home because I think that's the 122 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:06,480 Speaker 4: easiest way to bet this game and not sweat the sides. 123 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:08,040 Speaker 4: I think that ultimate is going to come down to 124 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 4: whatever quarterback has the ball last at the end of 125 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 4: the game is probably going to end up winning the game. 126 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 4: And that is not a super confident bet that I'm 127 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 4: going to make. I think it's more of a game 128 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 4: that you can sit back and kind of watch. I 129 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 4: do like the over in general for both sides, but 130 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 4: Bills are getting a better value. I can't remember the 131 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 4: last time their team total was as low when they're 132 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 4: playing at home. It's just because they happen to be 133 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 4: underdogs when Okay, if the Chiefs are the opposing offense, 134 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 4: what does that mean? Okay, the Bills need to be 135 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 4: super aggressive on the offensive side of the ball. They're 136 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 4: not going to be consertive. They know that, hey, we 137 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 4: have to score thirty points, which is what they've done 138 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,919 Speaker 4: in fifteen of the last twenty games when their starters 139 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 4: have played in full so seventy five percent of the 140 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:46,159 Speaker 4: time the Bills are scoring thirty points. Anyway, you factor 141 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:47,840 Speaker 4: in that they're playing at home, which is where they 142 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 4: traditionally play even better and score even more points. It's 143 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 4: actually funny. The last time they're held under twenty five 144 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 4: points at home. You look at it, it was the 145 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 4: Patriots this year, the Patriots last year, Chiefs in the 146 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 4: twenty twenty three playoffs, and then Denver in the middle 147 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 4: of November twenty twenty three. Every other time they've scored 148 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 4: over twenty five points at home. So I think that 149 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 4: this is just an absolute lay up average twenty nine 150 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 4: and a half points. Last two matchups against the Kansas 151 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 4: City Chiefs, and look the Chiefs Gavens looked really great 152 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 4: the last couple weeks they played the Commanders, they played 153 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 4: the Raiders. Okay, Bill's just put up with forty Burger 154 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 4: on the Carolina Panthers. I took the Bills office to 155 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 4: score here, So this way, I don't need to sweat, 156 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 4: the sides to sweat. Oh, who's gonna win this game? 157 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 4: Bill will get to twenty seven and I'll catch my bet, 158 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 4: all right. 159 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 3: JJ McCarthy is going to be under center for the 160 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 3: Minnesota Vikings in the matchup against the Lions this week 161 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 3: on the road. 162 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 1: Uh. 163 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 3: He says he feels one hundred percent confident in his ankle. 164 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 3: The question is, Terrell, do you feel one hundred percent 165 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 3: confident in the Vikings and the plus eight and a half. 166 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 5: I feel one hundred percent confident in his ankle too, 167 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 5: because it was nothing wrong with it in first place. 168 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: It was a soft pitching and it's fine. 169 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 5: Sometimes sometimes players need that. I still have to see 170 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 5: where he got hurt. I still have, but I love 171 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:03,359 Speaker 5: and I'm on his side here because guess what, the 172 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 5: Minnesota Vikings are a close your eye special, and we 173 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 5: get a close your eyes special, and we had a 174 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 5: close your eyes special where they're going against the defense 175 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 5: that has all that injury, all those injuries in the 176 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 5: secondary here for the Detroit Lions. I think that this 177 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 5: offensive line for the Vikings is actually really solid, and 178 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 5: I trust the game plan by Kevin O'Connell to go 179 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 5: ahead and put his young quarterback in good situations. He's 180 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 5: found ways to get good quarterback play out of worse quarterbacks. 181 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 5: I think he can get good quarterback play out of 182 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 5: JJ here, and so I'm expecting him to go ahead. 183 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 5: Can put him in good situations. Get the ball to 184 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 5: Jordan Addison, get the ball to Justin Jefferson, attack that secondary, 185 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 5: push the ball up the field, and we're gonna see 186 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 5: a bunch of points scored in this one. They're gonna 187 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 5: be able to move the football. And so I like 188 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 5: this Vikings team catching all these points. I think it's different. 189 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 5: You know, he played the Bears and he was able 190 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 5: to put up points. It may not have looked pretty, 191 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 5: but he putting up the points. And then he played 192 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 5: that Falcons team, which is tenth in DVOA right now, 193 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 5: so they were a good defense. I don't think this 194 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 5: is one of those great defense that he's running into 195 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 5: in the Detroit Lions, with the issues that they have 196 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 5: in that secondary. So I think they're going to be 197 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 5: even take advantage. I like the points here. I think 198 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 5: this is a closer game. I could see this being 199 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 5: six three. I could see the Vikings even winning out right, 200 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:14,840 Speaker 5: and they you know, get lucky, all. 201 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: Right, Andrew Erickson. 202 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 3: Up next, we have the Seattle Seahawks who are taking 203 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 3: on the Commanders on the road. The Commanders are gonna 204 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 3: be with Altaur McLaurin. They're hoping to get Jaydon Daniels 205 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 3: back for this game, but that Seattle defense has been 206 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 3: really good this year. Sam Donald's been very steady. I 207 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 3: bet Kevin O'Connell, which is he has Sam Donald right now. 208 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: I can tell you that much. 209 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 3: It's funny because he had Sam Donald and Daniel Jones 210 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 3: on that roster last year and now has neither of them. 211 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 3: So it's just kind of interesting food for thought there 212 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 3: to think about as we all have to make choices 213 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 3: in life, and you're making a choice on this game, 214 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 3: and what is it? 215 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: Andrew? 216 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 4: I am taking the Seahawks, laying the three on the road, 217 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 4: because you got a better than the Seahawks when they 218 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 4: go on the road. They've won each of our last 219 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 4: nine road games, they've won ten in a row as 220 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 4: road favorites, and they're ten and one straight up on 221 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,440 Speaker 4: the road since the start of twenty twenty four. So 222 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 4: I look at this Commander's team and I'm thinking, well, 223 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 4: they're coming off a short week against a team that 224 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 4: is coming off a bye week. I mean, the NFL 225 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 4: schedulers could not put the Commanders in a worse spot again. 226 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 4: They are playing at home, but Jane Daniels maybe still 227 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 4: not one hundred percent. Another injury that the Commanders are 228 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 4: dealing with offensive tackle Laremy Tunzel. He got banged up 229 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 4: against the Chiefs. He is their starting left tackle, So 230 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:23,719 Speaker 4: that's a big problem for them if they're going to 231 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 4: try to protect against this nasty Seattle pass rush. Who 232 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 4: the last two times you've seen them play, they have 233 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:32,560 Speaker 4: rushed the opposing passer on fifty percent of their dropbacks. 234 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 4: So I think that j Jal is gonna be under 235 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 4: pressure constantly. I love what I'm seeing from Sam Darnold 236 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 4: and Jacksonbith and Jigba, and I think that the Seahawks 237 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 4: can just establish the run between Ken Walker and Zach Sharboney. 238 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 4: So they're a team that's built to win on the road, 239 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 4: which is why they've had so much success as a 240 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 4: road team. So minus three, I don't think it's enough, 241 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 4: just based on the hurdles that the Commanders have to 242 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 4: overcome and just how hot the Seattle Seahawks have been 243 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 4: coming off the by They're gonna be ready to go. 244 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:58,560 Speaker 3: So I like Seattle. All right, let's go back to 245 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 3: the Vikings and Lions because the guys I have a 246 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:01,959 Speaker 3: lot of feelings about that game, so I want to 247 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 3: get into that. So let's discuss that here, because obviously 248 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:08,119 Speaker 3: Andrew loves to call at the. 249 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 1: Course field of the NFL. 250 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,079 Speaker 3: Historically, there's lots of overs to talk about, and the 251 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 3: number for this game is forty eight and a half, 252 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 3: So to row, are you comfortable with that over? 253 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: Yeah? 254 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 5: Absolutely, it's way too short, man. I think it's probably 255 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 5: because they're looking at the Minnesota Vikings and not thinking 256 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 5: the Vikings offense is going to be able to do anything. 257 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 5: But Kevin McConnell, Kevin O'Connell has shown us time after 258 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 5: time after time after time he's gonna find a way 259 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 5: to get this offense moving. He just had the bye 260 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 5: week to figure things out, to put this in motion, 261 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 5: to get his young quarterback ready for this division game. 262 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 5: I don't think that the offense is going to slide 263 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 5: here at all, not with Justin Jefferson, not with Jordan 264 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 5: Obbs Addison, not with TJ. Hockinson attacking that secondary and 265 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 5: so I love this the potential of JJ here to 266 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 5: go have a really big day, put up points. And 267 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 5: I know Jared Goff is going to put up points 268 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 5: against my guy Brian Floores. He's done in time after time. 269 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 5: I think he averages like thirty point against this Vikings defense. 270 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 5: So I'm all over points here. I think there's gonna 271 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 5: be plenty of points scoring and it's gonna be one 272 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:07,960 Speaker 5: of those shootout games where the last person that gets 273 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 5: the ball wins. 274 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 1: All right. 275 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 3: So with that being said, let's look at the team 276 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 3: totals here. Detroit's a twenty eight and a half. So, Andrew, 277 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:17,719 Speaker 3: do you think they can go over this? With the 278 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 3: Vikings defense that's given up a ton of yards and 279 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 3: a ton of points over the last couple of weeks. 280 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 3: This was supposed to be a really great defense going 281 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 3: into the year. This was the defense that I really 282 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 3: was buying into based off what I saw last year. 283 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: The Vikings have come crashing down. 284 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 3: Heck, even last week Thursday night, after the game, Kevin 285 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 3: O'Connell said, we just weren't prepared. So will they be 286 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 3: prepared to stop the Lions and stop their team total? 287 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 4: I don't think so, because the blitz give it and 288 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 4: the blitz take it away. The points for Brian Flores 289 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 4: in this defense, So I mean firm just laid it 290 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 4: out where Jared Goff and this lines puts up thirty 291 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 4: points per game against the VIKINGSA have averaged over thirty 292 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 4: points per game in the last five times they've played 293 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 4: the Minnesota Vikings, So I think that this one is 294 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 4: a layup, and I just am not as confident about 295 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 4: what we're gonna see from j. J. McCarthy and the 296 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 4: Vikings offense, which is why I'm a little less gun 297 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 4: shy on just the game total completely going over and 298 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 4: just Detroit at home off a bye week. Yeah, they're 299 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 4: gonna score thirty points here, like this is basically what 300 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 4: usually happens when they're coming off of bye. So in 301 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 4: the Vikings, you look at them the last five games, 302 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 4: they've played in five straight overs because of that defense 303 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:23,160 Speaker 4: that's just been really more bust than boom in terms 304 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 4: of them stopping opposing offenses. So you're looking at the 305 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 4: Lions in terms of what they're playing with rest advantage. 306 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 4: So yes, the Vikings are coming off their minibike because 307 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 4: they played on the Thursday night, But the lines are 308 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 4: coming off the legitimate bye week and playing with rest 309 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 4: advantage the Lions fifteen to four towards the over. That's 310 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 4: nearly eighty percent of those games going over. And I 311 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 4: mean you guys know, like when you play at four field, 312 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 4: the total should be starting with a five, not four. 313 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:47,959 Speaker 4: So give them the Lions going over twenty eight and a 314 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 4: half points. 315 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: Don't forget everybody. 316 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 3: If you want more help or more insights, you can 317 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:54,560 Speaker 3: always hit a bart, Discord, bettingpros dot com, slash chat. 318 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:55,559 Speaker 1: It's free, it's fun. 319 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 3: We're talking NBA, NFL, MLB, still still got a couple 320 00:12:58,880 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 3: of days left of that. 321 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: Thank you, Blue Jays. 322 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 3: Boy, what a fun world series this has been. And 323 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 3: of course NHL is kicking up too. So if you 324 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:07,559 Speaker 3: want to talk to some of the expert handicappers, just 325 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 3: join our community as well. You want to picks, you 326 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 3: want props, whatever you want, or just be part of 327 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:16,199 Speaker 3: the game too, join our discord, bettingcros dot com, slash chat. 328 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: That's the place to be. 329 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 3: All right, let's get to number four in the list, 330 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,680 Speaker 3: and of course, once again I can see that train 331 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:24,959 Speaker 3: pulled into the station. Mike Tomlin, Underdog and Terrell Ferban 332 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 3: Junior is the conductor of this train yet again for 333 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 3: week nine. 334 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 5: Yes, very much so. And I will give it to 335 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 5: the Green Bay Packers for being able to knock this 336 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 5: trend off, but it's still very good. Trend continues to 337 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 5: go well, six and four in the last ten games, 338 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 5: thirteen to seven in the last twenty. That's just ats. 339 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 5: He is five and five straight up as a dog 340 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,560 Speaker 5: in the last ten games, twelve and eight in the 341 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 5: last twenty. And you go and you look at what 342 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 5: happened last week and where did things go wrong? Well, first, 343 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 5: things were wrong when everybody walked in the stadium because 344 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 5: the Green Bay Packers fans bought up all the tickets. 345 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 5: They had to go silent count at home. That the 346 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 5: Steelers got a taste of their own karma in medicine 347 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 5: because they go around all other twenty nine NFL team stadiums, 348 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 5: taking over, embarrassing, waving those towels, getting on people's nerves, 349 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 5: and they got it done to them, and you know what, 350 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 5: they paid dearly for it in the second half. I 351 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 5: get it. I understand the defense is wrong, but this 352 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 5: happened early in the season as well. The defense wasn't 353 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 5: looking good Tomlin gets back home, settles them down, gets 354 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 5: them under control. It happens every time. 355 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 1: This team. 356 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 5: He's so good as adult because they don't stay down 357 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 5: for long. And so I don't think they're gonna stay 358 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 5: down for long. They're not gonna have the Packers fans 359 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 5: sitting there forcing them into a silent count at home, 360 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 5: disrupting the offense at home. This time around, there's no 361 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 5: Indianapolis fans that are traveling to this game. So I 362 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 5: think that the terrible towel is gonna wave. This team 363 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 5: is gonna be ready to go. This Colts team struggles 364 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 5: to get pressure in spots. And that's the thing with 365 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers. If you do not get pressure on him, 366 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 5: he's gonna sit back there and he's gonna make the 367 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 5: right decision with the football. And I think that's all 368 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 5: this is. It's going to be the ugly Steelers game 369 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 5: where the defense randomly shows up. Aaron Rodgers is able 370 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 5: to move the football on offense, and they keep this 371 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 5: game close with the chance to win it. Out right, 372 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 5: give me the Steelers plus three yet again, I'm not lavering. 373 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 5: I'm not lavering, all. 374 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 3: Right, Andrew Erickson, You know how I feel about the 375 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 3: Indianapolis Colts. So I'll let you take her away from here. 376 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 3: I told you everybody a couple weeks ago they're not 377 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 3: just AFC South good, They're just good. And I think 378 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 3: once again, you know, I gave you the upset special 379 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 3: a couple weeks. 380 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: Ago on the Chargers, and I just feel like. 381 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 3: This Colts team just I don't think is intimidated by anybody. 382 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 3: I don't think they're intimidated at their opponent this week. 383 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 3: And I think everybody should be very afraid of Jonathan 384 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 3: Taylor considering what he's done in the last few weeks. 385 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 3: So I'll let you take it from here, Andrew, what's 386 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 3: your opinion on the Colts. 387 00:15:49,280 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think that the Mike Tomlin trends are 388 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 4: great when you're citing him as a home underdog, because 389 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 4: like I was on that bandwagon last week too, like 390 00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 4: I was on the Steelers, and they obviously didn't end 391 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 4: up cashing that bet. But the bet that I want 392 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 4: to make this week is on the Colts because of 393 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 4: their trend about Shane Steichen when he's a favorite, because 394 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 4: I think at least recently this trump's what Mike Tomlin 395 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 4: has been done as a home underdog the Colts since 396 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 4: twenty twenty three, So this is with a myriad of 397 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 4: different quarterbacks when they've been favored by the market. Colts 398 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,920 Speaker 4: are sixteen to two straight up as favorites. They've lost 399 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 4: twice when the market says, hey, the Colts are the 400 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 4: better team here, they should win this game. I mean, 401 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 4: that's a trend that I think is just better than 402 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin won. And I love the Mike Tomlin one two, 403 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 4: but it's just not as good as what Shane Stikin 404 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 4: has been able to do when the market is backing 405 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,680 Speaker 4: him as a favorite. Eight and fourgains has spread since 406 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 4: the favorites is the start of twenty twenty four. He 407 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:44,600 Speaker 4: is the second best record against the spread as a 408 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 4: favorite twelve and six since twenty twenty three. I just 409 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 4: think that this is a spot where look for me, 410 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 4: you pointed out a lot of stuff about the Steelers offense, right, Okay, 411 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 4: they're doing silent count. I don't think this has to 412 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 4: do without their offense. It's their defense. 413 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: It sucks. It is so bad, it is so. 414 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 4: Overpaid and is arguably the worst defense in than Mike 415 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 4: Tomlin era. And I think that's why he's not covering 416 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 4: nearly as much as high a rate as a home underdog, 417 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 4: because when your home underdog gets you make these games ugly, 418 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 4: you win with defense, and that's just not the case 419 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 4: with the Pittsburgh Steelers team. So I don't see how 420 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 4: they're gonna stop Jonathan Taylor, like Joe alluded to, And yeah, 421 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:22,760 Speaker 4: I think that Aaron Mardgs can score points on this 422 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 4: Colts defense. I don't think the Colts defense is particularly good, 423 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 4: but I don't think it's gonna matter because they're not 424 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 4: gonna be able to get off the field because the 425 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 4: Colts are gonna score basically on every single drive because 426 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 4: the Steers can't stop anything. So that's why the Colts, 427 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 4: for me is my bet at minus three. 428 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 3: Terrell, does that give you any sort of I don't know, 429 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,119 Speaker 3: feelings or rethinking what your thoughts are about the Tomlin 430 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 3: trend versus the Indianapolis Colts trend that Andrew laid out. 431 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 5: No, because one of the most Mike Tomlin things is 432 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,680 Speaker 5: to play this game to a close game and lose 433 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 5: by less than three. So, like, I mean, if the 434 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:53,919 Speaker 5: Colts go out there, unlet's say that the trend we're 435 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 5: sixteen and two straight up. 436 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: Okay, they win. 437 00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 5: Maybe it's a one point game, maybe it's a two 438 00:17:58,000 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 5: point game. I think that the adjustments are going to 439 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 5: come through. I think that you're getting Daniel Jones to 440 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 5: this team outside in a hostile environment in Pittsburgh with 441 00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 5: a fan base that is very, very upset at this 442 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:12,119 Speaker 5: very same defense. And then I feel like I've watched 443 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 5: Mike Tomlin and this team enough that I know, man, 444 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 5: the defense sucks for a couple of weeks, and then 445 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 5: they go and they have this random get up game 446 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 5: where nobody's given them any credit, and then next thing 447 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,199 Speaker 5: you know, you're like, oh, wait, are they starting to 448 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 5: turn a corner? Sometimes they are, sometimes they're not. But 449 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 5: I think that this is gonna be a very interesting 450 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,639 Speaker 5: game that just doesn't go the way people does. And 451 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,400 Speaker 5: so with that, Steelers plus three still all right? 452 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 3: So Steelers plus three for Terrell Andrew on the other 453 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 3: side here with the minus and the. 454 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,120 Speaker 1: Colts, somebody's gonna be right, somebody's gonna be wrong. 455 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 3: Make sure you tune in next week to find out 456 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 3: who it is. All right, last pay before we get 457 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 3: to the hard Rock Best bets of the Week, here Terrell, 458 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:48,640 Speaker 3: why don't you kick us off with the Broncos here? 459 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 3: And this is the one that I'm. 460 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: In on too. 461 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 3: I mentioned earlier about the Houston Texans giving up fourteen 462 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 3: point seven points per game, and that's where this total 463 00:18:57,720 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 3: comes in here for the Denver Broncos this week at 464 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 3: nineteen and a half, and you're in on the under as well. 465 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 5: Yes, I am give me the Broncos team total under 466 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 5: nineteen and a half. I don't think bo Nicks is 467 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 5: having the best of seasons. I think that this has 468 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 5: been one Bo Nicks attacking some pretty bad defenses. When 469 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 5: he's gotten able to that Giants defense, which isn't playing 470 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 5: great at all this season at all whatsoever, had him 471 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 5: shut out for three quarters until they just completely melted 472 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 5: down the cat. He played the Cowboys defense the last 473 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 5: week and got the confidence back up, But now he's 474 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 5: running into this Houston Texans defense that is the number 475 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 5: one scoring defense. Everybody was giving me so much crap 476 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,200 Speaker 5: for liking the Texans last week because of this defense, 477 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 5: and I like them again here. The only reason that 478 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 5: I am not on the Texans money line or laying 479 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 5: the one and a half here this week is solely 480 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 5: because the Denver Broncos actually do have a pass rush 481 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,639 Speaker 5: that can get the CJ strout, but they're going to 482 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 5: struggle in the secondary if they don't get there, because 483 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 5: Patricks start saying is not in the game. And I 484 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 5: think the defense here for the Texans are going to say, okay, 485 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,400 Speaker 5: Astrial stand on the other side, if we can get 486 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 5: this offense to score some type of points, we are 487 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 5: going to find a way to make sure we win 488 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,880 Speaker 5: this game because we are going to get after Bo Nicks. 489 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:10,239 Speaker 5: We're going to get him off his spot, We're going 490 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,840 Speaker 5: to force him off his first read, and we're gonna 491 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:16,480 Speaker 5: get him uncomfortable with the football, create turnovers, create havoc. 492 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 5: I'm all over this Houston Sexans defense, and so I'm 493 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,280 Speaker 5: going to continue to keep fading other teams one five 494 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 5: and one. Our opposing teams team total when they play 495 00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:29,400 Speaker 5: the Houston Sexons one five and one. I will take 496 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,520 Speaker 5: under nineteen and a half for the Denver Broncos. 497 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 3: So you're, you know, the under for the Broncos team total. Erickson, 498 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 3: You're in the under completely here for the Denver Houston game. 499 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 3: Here under forty and a half. 500 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 4: Yes, because it's just two elite defenses versus two offenses 501 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,879 Speaker 4: that I think are going to dramatically underwhelm in this spot. 502 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 4: We've seen it with c J. 503 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 1: Stroud. 504 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:52,440 Speaker 4: If the offensive line can't give him protection that he 505 00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:54,439 Speaker 4: struggles and they don't really move the ball effectively. And 506 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 4: bow Nicks, he's been a roller coaster. When he faces 507 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,159 Speaker 4: really bad defenses, he looks really good. And when he 508 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,639 Speaker 4: faces really tougher defense, especially when he faces the number 509 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,120 Speaker 4: one defense and scoring on the road, it's just gonna 510 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,440 Speaker 4: be tough sledding for us to get points here. Look 511 00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:10,120 Speaker 4: at the Texans as home favorites. Eleven of their last 512 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 4: twelve games as home favorites has gone under the total. 513 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,439 Speaker 4: The Broncos. Seven of the Broncos last ten games have 514 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 4: gone under the projected total. So I just don't think that, 515 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,880 Speaker 4: even though it's indoors, that this is a game where 516 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 4: there's going to be a ton of points scored. So 517 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 4: even with Certan probably out of this game, you look 518 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:29,359 Speaker 4: at what Dallas did last week. He didn't play for 519 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,320 Speaker 4: a lot of that game. Last week. Dallas' starters, Yes, 520 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:34,119 Speaker 4: they got a garbage time touchdown with Joe Milton, They 521 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 4: scored seventeen points they had everybody, they had Ferguson, they 522 00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 4: had Lamb, they had Pickens, and Dak Prescott could put 523 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:42,399 Speaker 4: up seventeen points and that's all they did against the 524 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 4: Broncos without certain playing in the majority of that game. 525 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 4: So I think that this is an easy spot for 526 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 4: an under. 527 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,439 Speaker 3: All right, So under is there, which brings us to 528 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 3: our hard Rock Bet sportsbook picks of the week. 529 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: So here we go. These are our favorite picks. 530 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 3: I'm gonna start with Jacory Krosskey Merrit under forty five 531 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards at minus one fourteen. I 532 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 3: just think this is a lock this week. He has 533 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 3: not played very well the last couple of weeks. It's 534 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 3: made you kind of question maybe the commander should have 535 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 3: held on to Brian Robinson Junior in this run game. 536 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 3: Just saying, just putting it out there. And I know 537 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 3: it's been tough. They've had Mariota Daniels has been hurt. 538 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,199 Speaker 3: All that is all excuses and they all go out 539 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 3: the window because they're facing the Seattle Seahawks, and the 540 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 3: Seahawks have given up the fewest rushing yards of any 541 00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,120 Speaker 3: team this year. Seahawks are also fresh off of bye 542 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 3: I don't care if it's on the road. I still 543 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 3: think this one's an under. Terrell, talk to me about 544 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 3: your bet of the week here, your hard rock number one. 545 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,200 Speaker 5: I think we were just a week early on Beijon Robinson. 546 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 3: This is gonna be it. 547 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:39,640 Speaker 5: Gimme Bees and Robinson over thirty eight and a half 548 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:43,399 Speaker 5: receiving yards here. And the Patriots defense very good in 549 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 5: the run game. The linebackers close up the holes very well. 550 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 5: I like it all, but they're not as good in coverage. 551 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 5: And this Atlanta Falcons team bruns on Bijon Robinson. They 552 00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 5: get them out in space, they get they throw him 553 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 5: the ball and give him a chance to force linebackers 554 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 5: to miss tackles. He has went and he has played 555 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 5: the twenty eighth and twenty third teams in Dvoa to 556 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 5: the running back position in the Tampa Bay Bucks and 557 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 5: the Washington Commanders. He had one hundred yards against both 558 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 5: in the receiving game. So we're gonna take over thirty 559 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 5: eight and a half. But I'm gonna tell you Hartbrop 560 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 5: bet also has fifty at plus one sixty, sixty five 561 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 5: at plus three fifty eighty at plus six fifty and 562 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 5: one hundred. He did twice this season, Joe twice. One 563 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:31,119 Speaker 5: hundred is ten to one. Come on, Bejon, send us 564 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:31,560 Speaker 5: to the bank. 565 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 3: I still can't believe it didn't get it done against 566 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 3: the Miami Dolphins last week. That was closing close holes 567 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 3: my eyes and never wake up again. 568 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: That's how I feel about last week. 569 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 3: All right, Andrew Ericson, you're the undertaker, but you're taking 570 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 3: an over this week for your best bet. 571 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 1: What is it? 572 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, Buffalo Bill's team total over twenty five and a 573 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 4: half points. This game is gonna be shoot out. The 574 00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 4: last three game between the Chiefs and the Bills have 575 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 4: gone over the projected total. The Bills of average twenty 576 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:55,959 Speaker 4: nine and a half points. In the last two matchups 577 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 4: against the KANSASVIY Chiefs, the Bills score more points and 578 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 4: just played better at home if Thirteen of the last 579 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,440 Speaker 4: fourteen home games their four to oh's home underdogs straight up, 580 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:05,880 Speaker 4: So they're gonna score a lot of points here. Fifteen 581 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 4: of their last twenty games with the starters, they've scored 582 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 4: over thirty points per game. Five of their seven games 583 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 4: this season they have scored thirty plus. Really, the only 584 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 4: team that's held them in check when they play at 585 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 4: home is ironically the New England Patriots like they like like, 586 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,200 Speaker 4: that's the one team they don't score thirty points. Again, 587 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 4: that's a divisional game. So I think in a high 588 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:25,440 Speaker 4: profile matchup against Mahomes, Josh Allen knows, hey, we gotta 589 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 4: put up thirty if we're gonna win this game. So 590 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:28,959 Speaker 4: I think they're gonna be very aggressive, going for it 591 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 4: on fourth down, putting up touchdowns, not settling for field goals, 592 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 4: and ultimately it's going to get them over twenty five 593 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 4: and a half points. So I just think it's just 594 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 4: too low a number for Buffalo playing at home. 595 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,920 Speaker 3: All Right, those are hard Rock Bets Sportsbook picks of 596 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:43,920 Speaker 3: the week, and remember our show is brought to you 597 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,199 Speaker 3: by hard Rock Bets sports Book. Make sure you download 598 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 3: the app today because Week nine kicks off tonight with 599 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:50,680 Speaker 3: Baltimore and Miami. You can check out the streaks too 600 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 3: hard Rock bet stats Hub that you can bet right there. 601 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 3: Derek Henry has scored a touchdown twelve straight games against 602 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 3: the AFC East opponents, and Miami has dropped twelve in 603 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,479 Speaker 3: a row. Is underdogs against the af So you can 604 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 3: bet all of it right now. Place a bet of 605 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 3: five bucks. If you win, you get one hundred and 606 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,440 Speaker 3: fifty in bonus bets for new customers plus your winnings. 607 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 3: And there's new promos every single day, like the Parley 608 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 3: Boost for tonight's Thursday Night football game. 609 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 1: So don't miss out. 610 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 3: Download the hard Rock Bet sports Book Gap today and 611 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,440 Speaker 3: of course check out the promos every day and rewards 612 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,879 Speaker 3: guaranteed every week only at hard Rock Bet Payble and 613 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:22,959 Speaker 3: Bonus Bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole 614 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 3: Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by the Seminal hard 615 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,360 Speaker 3: Rock Digital LLC in other states. Must be twenty one 616 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 3: and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 617 00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,920 Speaker 3: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about 618 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,479 Speaker 3: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it 619 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 3: in Indiana. If you are somebody you know has a 620 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 3: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 621 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:44,360 Speaker 3: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 622 00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 3: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, here's the 623 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 3: upset special of the week. You know, I'm feeling frisky 624 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 3: this week. Last time we saw the Jacksonville Jaguars, they 625 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 3: are getting their buck kicked. I don't know what the 626 00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,400 Speaker 3: health is of Brian Thomas Junior. I don't know what's 627 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,680 Speaker 3: going on there. And they're on the road against the 628 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,920 Speaker 3: Las Vegas Raiders. I'm sure people are minus like, eh, 629 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:05,720 Speaker 3: we're forgetting the Raiders. But I don't want to forget 630 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 3: the Raiders yet, at least not yet, because Brock Bowers 631 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 3: is returning, and that guy is a difference maker. He 632 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,399 Speaker 3: practiced in full this week, and if he's healthy and 633 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,120 Speaker 3: on the field, that is a whole other set of problems. 634 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 3: So I think there's enough here for the Raiders to 635 00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:20,720 Speaker 3: sneak out of victory plus one thirty four on the 636 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:22,920 Speaker 3: money line. So give me the Raiders to upset the 637 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 3: Jacksonville Jaguars home underdogs. That's my pick this week. I'm 638 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,119 Speaker 3: three and five on the year so far with the 639 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:29,919 Speaker 3: upside special, so let's eve we get to four and 640 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,199 Speaker 3: five after this week. And of course you need the 641 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 3: parlay of the week, so let's start here with the 642 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,360 Speaker 3: Los Angeles Chargers minus nine and a half. Here, give 643 00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 3: me the Charges against the low League Titans. I don't 644 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 3: care if it's on the road. Titans are awful, then 645 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 3: give me the Colts on the money line minus one 646 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 3: fifty eight, so everybody knows where I am on the 647 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 3: Colt Steelers game. No surprise there. And then my favorite 648 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 3: bet of the week to Corey Krofsky Merritt under forty 649 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 3: five and a half rushing yards at minus one fourteen. 650 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 3: You put these three things together, you get plus four 651 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 3: eighty five and that's your parlay of the week. And 652 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,639 Speaker 3: make sure you download the betting bets smarter, not harder. 653 00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 1: Use the tools. Don't be a tool. 654 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 3: Let us help you make all the best bets you 655 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 3: possibly can for Week nine and the rest of the season. 656 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:10,960 Speaker 3: And subscribe to our YouTube channel right here a Betting Pros. 657 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 3: That'll do it for us, But the story of the 658 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 3: game goes on for Andrew en Terrell, I'm Joey P. 659 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. 660 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 661 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 662 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 663 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 664 00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,359 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 665 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros