1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. 4 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's 5 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: the host for Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul. I am Paul 6 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: Charchy in my co host today, I'm Fantasy Football Weekly 7 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: is Scott Fish. It's your first time in the off season? Yes, 8 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: first off season show? Was it was? It awesome having 9 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: a month off? It was it was. It didn't feel 10 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,239 Speaker 1: like a month off, but it definitely was. Yeah. You know, 11 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: don't have to prep for the show, and so I'm 12 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 1: expecting to bring a lot of excitement, a lot of energy. 13 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: You do do it all right? Yeah, And it's a 14 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: super Bowl edition, the first of two, So first of 15 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 1: two Super Bowls, first of two Fantasy Football Weeklies for 16 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: the Super Bowls, and um, then we'll have to figure 17 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: out all the things we're gonna talk about in the offseason. 18 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: There's enough, you know, I think when when it's you 19 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: and I, I'm I mostly want to talk about gameplay 20 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: variations because you are I think you and I are 21 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: as as excited by different ways to play as anybody 22 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: in the industry pretty much. So, um, I think that 23 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: will be a lot. A lot of the folkus to 24 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: say is we are both pioneers in that field. Well, 25 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe, but there's lots of stuff throwing 26 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 1: off season February, there's combine March, there's free agency starts 27 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 1: new league year April, there's the Draft. We got tons 28 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: of stuff. I'll be at the combine, so we'll have 29 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: a report back from the combine for sure. Niners take on? 30 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: Do you do you hear Niners taken on the Chiefs 31 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl? Interesting? Yeah, I have not heard yet. 32 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 1: This is this should be exciting to hear somebody made 33 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: a fifteen to one bet on the Niners last March. 34 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: Is that somebody saying in the room with me that 35 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: tickets paying for my return earned trip to Las Vegas 36 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 1: on one of those places where you can do anymore. 37 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,920 Speaker 1: I don't know. It was very important distinction. It was 38 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: Niners to make the Super Bowl, So I mean cashing yet, 39 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: but I'm flying to Vegas next week to cash it. 40 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be there for the Super Bowl now and 41 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna pay for the trip, which is great. The 42 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: somebody gave me great advice once. Never bet to win 43 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: the super Bowl. Always bet to make the super Bowl. 44 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 1: Here's why the odds double. So in the case of 45 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: my bet, it was fifteen to one to make the 46 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: super Bowl, thirty to one to win the super Bowl. 47 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 1: Here's why I cash out my fifteen to one to 48 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: make it right. Let's just say it was a bet 49 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: so that if I still love the Niners, I can 50 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: roll the whole fifteen over, roll it into a super 51 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: Bowl bet and make my three grant. If I don't 52 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: think the Niners are gonna win, I just made my 53 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: money and I don't have to make I don't have 54 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: to have any more risks. That's the way to like it. Um, 55 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 1: let's talk Niners in chiefs. Let's break down the game 56 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:04,639 Speaker 1: a little bit. By the way, I think this is 57 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: the best possible Super Bowl. UM, with all due respect 58 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 1: to the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, which would have been great, 59 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 1: But Patrick Mahomes is more ready to win a super 60 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: Bowl and more ready to make it a great game, 61 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:19,799 Speaker 1: I think than Lamar Jacksons, and too too extremely good 62 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: like he's you can almost say he's peaking right now. 63 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,079 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. The last two games has looked just just unreal. 64 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 1: I believe over three hundred and both. Uh I think 65 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: last week, okay, so averaging over I'll go there. Then. 66 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I had had the huge run last week. 67 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: It just seems like he's peaking at the right time. 68 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: And it really does just everything's come together for Patrick Mahomes. Um, 69 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: if we just talk about the clearest avenues to victory 70 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: for these two teams, I mean, clearly for the Chiefs, 71 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: it's um, you get ahead early, you take the running 72 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: game away from the forty nine, which is very possible, right, 73 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: Patrick Homes can get a they haven't the last two games, 74 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: and they but they did take away Derrick Henry last 75 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 1: week and are substantially better defense than the last two 76 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: weeks for the no kidding, not close. Um. And then 77 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: you make Jimmy Garoppolo go win the game, right and 78 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: you know, and I'm not saying he can't. Garoppolo could 79 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 1: that passing game could win What is the three? Is 80 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: the starter or something like that? Jimm Garoppolo and and 81 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: he and and people don't realize this. And I'm gonna 82 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: steal the step from my clay Jimmy Garoppolo average twent 83 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: nine pass attempts per game during the season. It's not 84 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: like he can't throw. He just didn't need to last week, 85 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: and and he threw a lot in the early goings 86 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 1: of the season to win games. He did he did. 87 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:40,679 Speaker 1: Now for the Niners, it's kind of the opposite. They're easy. 88 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: Path to victory is just keep running the ball to 89 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: keep Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines and keep your defense fresh, 90 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: and you run your way to victory, just like they 91 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: did the last two weeks. Um, both are very plausible, Um, Coleman, 92 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 1: we we still don't know. They expect him to play. 93 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: But even if even if, even if they don't, that's 94 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,480 Speaker 1: exactly what I was And even if they don't, Shanahan 95 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 1: schemes so well that it'll be, you know, a little 96 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: extra bread or a little like some news check players 97 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: or whatever, like he'll figure it out. Yeah. Um, I 98 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: do think one of the fascinating elements because the Niners 99 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,679 Speaker 1: have had these early leads and haven't had to pass, 100 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: there's huge portions of the playbook that they haven't had 101 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: to use for for the whole playoffs. On the flip side, 102 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: the Chiefs haven't seen it recently to prep for it, right, 103 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: A lot of truth of that, um, And so I 104 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: think there's a you know, I think there's a sneaky 105 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 1: advantage for the Niners in that they've just been able 106 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: to coast their way and just run, just run the 107 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: ball to these victories. Had an easy, easy path, there's 108 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: no question, no offense to But now I agree this 109 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 1: is it. And honestly, Chiefs path wasn't all that hard either, 110 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:51,159 Speaker 1: have to get through Baltimore, So you know, yeah, all right, anyway, 111 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,720 Speaker 1: let's let's start here from a fantasy standpoints. You break 112 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: down these games. Scott Niners running game, let's let's talk 113 00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 1: about them and the Chiefs run defense Niners, and with 114 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 1: historic playoff performances. Through the two games, they're averaging forty 115 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,160 Speaker 1: one rushing attempts. By the way, this is just the 116 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:13,359 Speaker 1: running backs. I'm not even including any I'm not including 117 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: any quarterback runs. Forty one rushing attempts, two hundred thirty 118 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: six rushing yards, and five point eight yards per carre. 119 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,280 Speaker 1: I was just gonna say that's nearly six yards per 120 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: carrying my mental math, that's insane, it's insane, um. But 121 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:30,600 Speaker 1: that's what Moister was doing. Like all year or two, 122 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: which is the crazy thing. It's insane, and it's you 123 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 1: think it's not sustainable, but he's sustainable. You know. The 124 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: funny thing is he's higher than the five point eight 125 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 1: yards per car So here's where he most dits average 126 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: games since week thirteen when he became the lead back 127 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 1: to the forty nine. And we talked a lot during 128 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,839 Speaker 1: this show during the playoffs and how the fantasy playoffs 129 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,359 Speaker 1: and how he was crushing these fantasy playoff leagues. His 130 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: average game UH since week thirteen six point three yards 131 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 1: per carry for him posted fifteen carries hundred four yards 132 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: and one and a half touchdowns per game per game. 133 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: That's pretty ridiculous. It is pretty ridiculous that one and 134 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: a half touchdowns is buoyed by last week a little bit, 135 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: but it is um But you know, also there was 136 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: the against the Vikings. It was mostly Tevin Coleman and 137 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: so you know, which I think is less of an 138 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: indictment on where he Morris and more that the Niners 139 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: never felt like the Vikings were a threat, and so 140 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: they were like, let's give let's give the fresh legs 141 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: of of Tevin Coleman a long run in this game. Yeah, 142 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: I can easily see that, and maybe they should have 143 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: gave it given him less of an um. Now, the 144 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: Chiefs obviously halted Derrick Henry last week. Nineteen carries for 145 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: sixty nine yards and three points six yards per carry. 146 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: That's it. So the Chiefs really can play run defense. 147 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: And not only that, but this was a Chief's run 148 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 1: defense that was a liability for September, October, November. But 149 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: really from December four ward, here's what the Chiefs are 150 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: giving up per game on the ground. Three point eight 151 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: yards per carry seems good. Zero point seven rushing touchdowns 152 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: per game, that's it. Yeah, so they've been able to 153 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: really turn around their run defense. Yeah. Well, and that's 154 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: that's really what the fos bread and butter is right now, 155 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: that which just makes up for a great matchup because 156 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: the past defense has been top six all year in 157 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: several categories. Yeah. So I think from a just a 158 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: fantasy standpoint here where he moster to me feels if 159 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: we're doing our letter grades, he's a B grade for 160 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: me because the Chiefs run defense is improved enough that 161 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 1: I can't count on him. I don't think Tevin Coleman, 162 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: even if he's active for this game. I don't trust 163 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,839 Speaker 1: him to have a major role in this game I 164 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: have I would put a bench grade on him, and 165 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: if Coleman is out, I put a C grade on 166 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: Matt Brita. How does that feel to you? That feels 167 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: about right? So I'm getting the vibe from you. You 168 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: think that this is an under game, This is not 169 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 1: going to hit over. Get this. I just read this 170 00:08:56,559 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: today of the money is on the over. It's moved 171 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: from fifty two to fifty four. The Vegas. Vegas builds 172 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: casinos on sports, better losses. If I want to be 173 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: on the casino side, I go under. Now the super 174 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 1: Bowls have gone over. Somebody emailed me this today. Well, 175 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 1: I was on the air in cafe. An super Bowl 176 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 1: has gone over thirteen of the last fifteen Super Bowls. Yeah, 177 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: that feels right. It just it feels like a lot 178 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,439 Speaker 1: of high school wins. Do you get kind of like 179 00:09:31,559 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 1: a like, uh, do you remember when the the Seahawks 180 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: took on Peyton Manning's Broncos? Was it and the Broncos 181 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: just offense offense offense and Seahawks great defense? Do you 182 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: get the kind of super Bowl it was? It was 183 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: Broncos and Cam Newton and the Panthers. Panthers, Yeah, do 184 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: you get that kind of vibe from it? The super 185 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: offense and really good defense and now maybe they neutralize 186 00:09:56,679 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 1: or defense wins. I don't, Scott, for the first time 187 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: in my adult life, I don't know who's going to 188 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: win this game. I really don't. It's at one point spread, 189 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: you know, I don't know. I'm paid to have opinions 190 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: on this stuff. I don't know. You know, right now, 191 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: eight days, nine days invented from them it was gonna win. 192 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: I am thinking of the Manning Seahawks two thousand fourteen 193 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, the one where the Seahawks had the best 194 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 1: defense in the league, the Legion of Boot and they 195 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: got a safety on the first play. That's right, That's 196 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: that's on. I'm wondering, Van, it's kind of attractive to 197 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: think about if the defense wins that battle. Well, And actually, 198 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 1: there's two good defenses on the field, and there's one 199 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 1: great offense and one good offense. So alright, let's talk 200 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:45,720 Speaker 1: about the Niners passing game. Is Jimmy Garoppolo ready for 201 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,959 Speaker 1: this moment? Do you think this moment? Well, he's got 202 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: two Super Bowl rings he does. I've got that. It's 203 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 1: got two super Bowl rings. Yeah, it's not like he's 204 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: never been a part of the lead up to the 205 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: super Bowl. Is not of feel um. We had um. 206 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 1: We had John Sullivan on the radio with me today 207 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: and he was the he was the Rams Center. Last 208 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 1: hear that. And you know, the chaos that leads up 209 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,719 Speaker 1: to the super Bowl, it's a massive distraction and it's 210 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 1: unlike anything you've done in any week prior to that. 211 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 1: So the fact that Garoppolo can come in with the 212 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:29,720 Speaker 1: experience of having been through all of that, although not 213 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 1: not as a spotlight player, but still having gone through it, 214 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 1: I think I think there is some value to that. 215 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 1: He's always had this cool, calm collected vibe, Like even 216 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 1: when he took over the starting job in San Francisco, 217 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: they would have those like Mike David's of him just 218 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 1: just being cool and calm collected no matter what the 219 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:47,839 Speaker 1: situation down in late in the fourth it's just it 220 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: doesn't matter to him. I think, I think you're right 221 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: about that, And um, I don't. I don't. I don't 222 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: worry about the moment being too big for at all, 223 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: even though it's you know, he's younger and he has 224 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 1: less playoff experience. UM, but I think he's excited for it. 225 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 1: I'm sure, I'm sure he is. But he's just He's 226 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 1: just always been up for every single big moment throughout 227 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: his career. So I'm not worried about my homes alright. 228 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: So back to the Niners passing game here. UM. Garoppolo 229 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: has barely passed in the two playoff wins. As you know, 230 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:21,959 Speaker 1: we talked about the running. The Niners have run the 231 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:28,440 Speaker 1: ball eighty one times. He's thrown seven passes against two games, 232 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 1: less than his season average in two games. Isn't that nuts? Um? Niners? Um? Well, 233 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: as I mentioned, they've kept a lot of their playbook 234 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 1: under wraps, which I think does give Garoppolo a bit 235 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: of an intangible advantage. His average passing game since Week eight, 236 00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:45,959 Speaker 1: so basically second half of the season has been two 237 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 1: thirty eight yards, which is very low. One almost two touchdowns, 238 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: which is the Vegas over under on him. Is like, 239 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 1: funny how that works? It's not a coincidence, I'm sure, Um, 240 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:01,079 Speaker 1: almost two touchdowns, half an interception of real high completion 241 00:13:01,120 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: percentage of sixty which is great, um, and a pass 242 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: rating of a hundred three. That's those pretty good numbers, 243 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 1: but they're not they're not massive fantasy numbers. Yeah. Yeah, 244 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 1: he's always had that where his touchdowns, but even his 245 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 1: touchdown the interception ratio is not that great over his career. 246 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 1: He's he's not the fantasy stalwart we kind of hoped 247 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:28,400 Speaker 1: he would be. That's Patrick Mahomes. That's Patrick Mahomes right exactly. 248 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 1: The Chiefs allowed the fewest yards to wide receivers this year, 249 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,839 Speaker 1: which is a stunning turn around from the year before. 250 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,320 Speaker 1: I remember, I remember that as we were leading up 251 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: late into the season that they were like middle of 252 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: the pack for a while, and then it just was 253 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 1: like they were one of the best and not allowing 254 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: very many touchdowns at all, which No and fifth fewest, 255 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 1: fifth fewest touchdowns wide receivers, in the fewest yards to 256 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 1: wide receivers. So I'm I don't particularly a good thing. 257 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 1: They're playing a team that doesn't, you know, has middling 258 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 1: wide receivers. How are they on tight ends? Charge We'll 259 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:03,439 Speaker 1: get to that second. Uh Deebo Samuel runs sixty percent 260 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: of his routes from the left or the slot, which 261 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:09,479 Speaker 1: puts him against Brushod Perriman and h Or and Kendall Fuller, respectively, 262 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: both have been pretty good. Breeland has been terrific in 263 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 1: the playoffs. He's allowed two completions on seven passes into 264 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: his coverage. Fuller's allowed one touchdown in his last eleven games. 265 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 1: So Deebo Samuel has been a nice spark plug for them. Um, 266 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 1: this might not be the key. Who's going to get 267 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: it for the passing game on the four nine uh, 268 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders will run from the slot. He's also used 269 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 1: more often than that on the outside and he's on 270 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: the right side. He'll see a lot of chart various 271 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 1: West Who's the best Chiefs cornerback? He's been actually pretty great. 272 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: He's allowed two scores all year and one since Week four. 273 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: That's it. That's that's very little for all of those 274 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: That's that's what That's what it takes to be the 275 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 1: number one pasteven. Not giving up a lot of touchdowns 276 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 1: helps ups a lot. So then let's get to Kittle, 277 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 1: Who's I think about to be on in this He 278 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 1: has to if they want to win this game. He 279 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: has to be sparingly used as a receiver. He loses 280 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: a lot as a blocker in the in the playoffs 281 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:11,040 Speaker 1: so far. Against Minnesota, Kittle was just three catches sixteen yards. 282 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 1: Against Green Bay one catch eighteen yards. Killed The DFS 283 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: players killed them. Um he gets he gets targeted on 284 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: a whopping twenty six percent of his routes run, which 285 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 1: is great. So when he does run routes, there's a 286 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: huge high percentage that he's going to get the ball. 287 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 1: Kansas City ranks. Here's Kansas City's ranks against tight ends 288 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: yards allowed twenty six sorry nine third or fourth worst 289 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 1: receptions allowed to tight ends thirty first by the Chiefs. 290 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 1: Here comes George freaking Kittle. I think they are gonna 291 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: I think for all those passes he didn't get the 292 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: last the last two weeks, they're common baby, and and 293 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:59,480 Speaker 1: I unfortunately agree with the public money on the over, 294 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: well least when it was fifty two and a half. 295 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: I guess it's at fifty four now. So but I 296 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: I feel, I feel a lot of shootout in this battle. 297 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 1: I wonder what kiddles if you have you've got your 298 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 1: computer in front of you. Seventy point five five point 299 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 1: five receptions is his and then seventy point five yards, 300 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 1: so he's had sixteen yards in nineteen yards and they've 301 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 1: set the line at seventy. Yeah. And and he had 302 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 1: top seventy and three straight prior to those two games, 303 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: which doesn't surprise me. Now he Kittle draws a fascinating 304 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: matchup with Tyrone Matthew. I mean, Matthew has been awesome, 305 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: It's been awesome for years. Yep. But Kelsey's got four 306 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 1: inches and fifty pounds on him. Um. Matthews super physical, 307 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 1: isn't afraid to get his jersey dirty. He had eighty 308 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: two tackles this year. Yeah, Matthew did. Yeah, and a 309 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: fantastic pass defender. He hasn't allowed a touchdown in fourteen game. 310 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 1: He's a prepper too, does so much prep work. That's 311 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: why he's I think that's a big part of it. 312 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: They've got to know he's coming. The passer rating against 313 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:09,159 Speaker 1: Matthew sixty eight. Sixty eight is the passer rating. It's unbelievable. 314 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 1: It's it's very low. Uh. Kittles an elite blocking tight end, 315 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: but that we're not going to get fantasy points for that. 316 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:19,359 Speaker 1: I still think at the end of the day, I 317 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,959 Speaker 1: think the volume is coming. They just have to get this. 318 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: They can't depend on Kendricks like they can't know. I 319 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 1: think that, and it's some in some point in this game, 320 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 1: unlike the last two games, they're going to have to 321 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: complete some passes to Kettle. I think they're just not 322 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 1: gonna I just don't think the Niners, You're not. They're 323 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: not gonna keep Andy Reid's offense to like nineteen points. 324 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: This is an offense that average twenty nine game or 325 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: something game. Um And if you think that they're going 326 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 1: to throw the kittle seven times eight times, no, this 327 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 1: he catches of the balls throwing his way. So if 328 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 1: you think he's gonna get seven catches, if it's seven targets, 329 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:03,360 Speaker 1: there's six catches. And you think he's gonna get ten targets, 330 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 1: there's eight catches. I think we're on the same page. Kittles. 331 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: Kittles in for a big game here. I don't I 332 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 1: don't know how much I can trust the other receiver. 333 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:13,959 Speaker 1: Give me a letter grade on Kittle, I'd give him 334 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 1: an all right. How about the receivers benchable? I mean 335 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 1: Sanders maybe a seed, but I'd probably bench them all, 336 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 1: even Deebo Samuel. I know it's I don't love the matchups, 337 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: but Samuel has been awfully good. Yeah, but he has 338 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: also been hit and miss at times. Deebo Samuel's over 339 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 1: under his fifty four point five, which feels fair given 340 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. He's he's caught some balls 341 00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: and he's been very aggressive in pushing downfield when he 342 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: gets them. Not deep speed downfield. I'm talking about, you know, 343 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:45,959 Speaker 1: catching the ball and then turning up field with him 344 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 1: and fighting tackles. Makes sense. Um, Alright, So that's uh, 345 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 1: that is the San Francisco side. When we come back, 346 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 1: we'll break down the Chiefs side of the ball. This 347 00:18:57,160 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: is the more fascinating offense side, the more fascinating fantasy side. 348 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 1: We'll be back in moments with more fantasy football weekly. 349 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 1: All Right, We're back, Paul Charge and Scott Fish breaking 350 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: down the Super Bowl fantasy style you know, next week. 351 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: And I'm not sure who's with me next week. Maybe 352 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 1: it's you. I think it might be Matt Weeps or something. Yeah, 353 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 1: you know, we'll we'll go back and touch on anything 354 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 1: that we think has changed from this um and then 355 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:24,639 Speaker 1: I think we will talk some props. We just talked 356 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: about most or we don't know about Baby Coleman's we 357 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: know more at that time. When Coleman is on the 358 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:34,120 Speaker 1: cart last week, I wasn't feeling real good about most 359 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 1: it's over under his seventy five total yards. Right now, 360 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: it's a pretty good line because it makes me good line. 361 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,200 Speaker 1: It really does make me think, that's totally hard. I'm nervous. 362 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,239 Speaker 1: I'm nervous about that. Okay, let's go to the cheap side. Uh, 363 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,399 Speaker 1: let's start with a rushing attack, which is less interesting. 364 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 1: We'll save the best for last. Patrick problems. Damien Williams 365 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 1: has gotten twenty nine of thirty running back handoffs when 366 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: he's the lead back. He's the lead back, that's and 367 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:07,360 Speaker 1: that's when he's healthy, basically. Um, but get this, he's 368 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 1: running these are they in the playoffs? He's run for 369 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: three point two yards per carry. That's not great, Bob, 370 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 1: That isn't good. Now. Tennessee is a good run defense, 371 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 1: so and looking at those runs, he didn't leave really many, 372 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: if any yards on the table. He was maximizing what 373 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: he could against Tennessee, which in the just it just 374 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:28,000 Speaker 1: wasn't there. Houston is not a great run defense. I 375 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: expected Martin. Now, he was very good through the air 376 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,120 Speaker 1: against those against both teams as a as an important 377 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 1: part of the passing game. Get this, Niners are so 378 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 1: good against receiving running backs. Hang on, here's my numbers 379 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: on that. So Williams through the air, his over under 380 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 1: the Vegas over under, his three point five receptions, which 381 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 1: seems really high, and thirty point five yards through the 382 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 1: air for Damian Williams. Yeah, in receiving for Davian Wiyiams. Well, 383 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 1: here's your stats. You'rer relevant shorts for you. Um, this 384 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,359 Speaker 1: is in the regular season. I just have time to 385 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: add in the playoffs and the regular season, san Francisco allowed. 386 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 1: It allowed the third fewest running back receptions, the second 387 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 1: fewest running back yards, and zero touchdowns through the air 388 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: to running backs. It's not a great manager for his 389 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,919 Speaker 1: Damian Williams to me, is a C grade runner here. 390 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,399 Speaker 1: San Francisco ranked eighth and rushing yards allowed in the 391 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:31,240 Speaker 1: regular season, third in rushing touchdowns allowed. They limited Aaron 392 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: Jones to fifty six rushing yards and they helped Alvin 393 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 1: Cook eighteen. I think you should be putting Williams in 394 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: the same boat as moster in this game, where with 395 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 1: probably a C grade, you know, seventy to nine seventy 396 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 1: to eighty yards. Maybe hope they got most rolling into 397 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: this game. It's six half yards per carry and I 398 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 1: got I got half of that from Damian Williams. Most 399 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:59,400 Speaker 1: most a soft be Williams is a C Almost exactly 400 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: the same over under as far as total yards. Let's 401 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,880 Speaker 1: go to the passing attack with the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes, 402 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:07,879 Speaker 1: as you alluded to at the beginning of the show, 403 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 1: absolutely electric in these two games. UM. As a quick aside, 404 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 1: he's the most talented quarterback I've ever seen based on 405 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 1: what we've seen so far. Yep. I've heard this argument 406 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 1: recently about some people are like, you know, I thought 407 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 1: Rogers was the most just talent, you know, not you know, 408 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: whatever measure you want, but just talent wise, arm talent wise. 409 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:30,479 Speaker 1: A lot of people are on Rogers, and I think 410 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: people are starting to flip to Mahomes, and I think 411 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: I'm there too. You know, there's no there's nothing Mahomes 412 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 1: doesn't do at an extraordinary level. If it's reading defenses, 413 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: if it's arm strength, if it's UH catchable pass, if 414 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 1: it's UM mobility snot Lamar Jackson be super mobile UM. 415 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:57,560 Speaker 1: If it's throwing on the run if it's improvisation, you 416 00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:01,440 Speaker 1: know the crazy how did he do that? You know everything, 417 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:06,120 Speaker 1: it's all there, there's nothing. He is not a an 418 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: eight out of ten, nine out of ten, of ten 419 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 1: out of tenet. It's one of those one of those 420 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:14,439 Speaker 1: where there's just no clear weakness, no weakness in his game. Um, 421 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: all right, so that's you know what he's over under 422 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: a touchdown passes in this game is no? So let 423 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: point two point two point five? Ye? So? Um, so 424 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 1: they're expecting at least two or three touchdowns from him. 425 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 1: I don't know if I could place that bet either way. 426 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,160 Speaker 1: The let's talk ma Holmes. Uh, He's thrown for eight 427 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 1: touchdowns in the playoffs. Eight the game against Houston was 428 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: just no interceptions. I can't think of an interception. Don't 429 00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 1: believe he has any interceptions. Niners were the number one 430 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: past defense this season. So let's let's get to the 431 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,399 Speaker 1: other side of the story here. Number one past defense 432 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:54,200 Speaker 1: this season, allowing a league low one nine passing yards 433 00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,639 Speaker 1: per game, and better than that if you take out 434 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: the month of December when the Niners were racked with injuries. 435 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,800 Speaker 1: They were missing four and five defensive starters. We just 436 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:11,359 Speaker 1: take that month's side, here's the average UM. If you 437 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,640 Speaker 1: take out the month of December, here's the average game 438 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 1: the Niners gave up to opposing quarterbacks one hundred sixty 439 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: one passing yards nothing, zero point eight passing touchdowns. So 440 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 1: they could give up double their average game to Patrick Mahomes. 441 00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,480 Speaker 1: That would be a three yard game and one and 442 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 1: a half touchdowns. And that's a bad game. They're gonna win. 443 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,639 Speaker 1: They'll win if that's all they give up to Patrick 444 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:45,679 Speaker 1: Mahomes is double what they give up to most quarterbacks. Now, 445 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: it's starting to feel more and more like that defense 446 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:52,600 Speaker 1: five gonna take it home, UM, feeling like the under 447 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:56,440 Speaker 1: as well. The two playoff games so far, the quarterbacks 448 00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 1: they faced for the Niners. Kirk Cousins obviously had a 449 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:04,080 Speaker 1: bad game, hundred seventy two yards, one touchdown, six sacks absorbed. 450 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers had the one long bomb to Davante Adams, 451 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,119 Speaker 1: which excused the numbers a little bit, but that got 452 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 1: him up to three passing yards and two touchdowns, three sacks. 453 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,760 Speaker 1: Playing from behind garbage, a lot of it was garbage time, 454 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 1: way way behind, and the long the long bomb to Adams. 455 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 1: He wasn't you know that's when the box score lies. UM, 456 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 1: let's talk about the wide receivers. Tyreek Hill runs seventy 457 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 1: of his routes naturally away from Richard Sherman's side of 458 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,120 Speaker 1: the field. They don't have to change his They don't 459 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,040 Speaker 1: have to change and doesn't have to change what they 460 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:44,879 Speaker 1: ask Tyreek Hill to do at all to just naturally 461 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 1: have him avoid Richard Sherman. It's a big advantage. Yeah, 462 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: Hill is going to get his in this game. I'm 463 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: not worried about Hill. I'm more worried about the other receivers. 464 00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,160 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people, people, especially if you're 465 00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: playing DFS or whatever, are gonna possibly chase Watkins when 466 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,880 Speaker 1: they shouldn't. Well, see this puts Watkins and Watkins runs 467 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:05,919 Speaker 1: a lot from the slot too, but he runs slot 468 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:11,200 Speaker 1: and right. He'll run slot and left mostly Watkins versus Sherman. 469 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 1: Dead dead, no thanks, no way. UM. I know there's 470 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:17,639 Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of people that are gonna remember 471 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:22,680 Speaker 1: that Davante Adams bomb that went right over Sherman. Um, 472 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,120 Speaker 1: that's such an outlier. Sherman has been awesome this year. 473 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 1: I don't know Adams and Watkins are such on the 474 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 1: same level that exactly exactly. Um, alright, let's su and 475 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:37,119 Speaker 1: I don't think Robinson has been a disaster bunch of 476 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:40,440 Speaker 1: drops in the playoffs, and Nicole Hardman just they don't 477 00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: they don't use them enough. I heard somewhere recently that 478 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 1: and I should have double checked this that Robinson hasn't 479 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: had more than three targets like all year, or like 480 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 1: that's in a game all year or something since we 481 00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 1: since Hill came back, since Hill came back. Maybe maybe 482 00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:56,960 Speaker 1: I thought it was since that big, huge week the 483 00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 1: weeks Watkins had the big Week one, Remember all the 484 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:03,639 Speaker 1: poor fantasy owners, Watkins has the giant Week one that 485 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,360 Speaker 1: does nothing on here. Then Robinson he'll go then he'll 486 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: goes down. In week one, Robinson gets all this love 487 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: and Week two and all these all this fab money 488 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: comes in on Robinson a week two that he did 489 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:17,120 Speaker 1: nothing for the rest of the year. And you can't 490 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 1: even blame if fantasy owners who are following those things, 491 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:21,800 Speaker 1: because who doesn't want part of a passing attack, of 492 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 1: a cheaps passing attack that doesn't go through Tyreek Hill anymore. 493 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 1: We talked about it so many weeks, so many week Yeah, 494 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 1: he's only he only topped three catches once since week too. 495 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: That's what it was. Um, Yeah, we talked about so 496 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 1: many weeks, were like should we pick up Nicole Hardman? 497 00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:40,120 Speaker 1: Should we pick up? And we could never pinpoint which 498 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: was the right one. Nobody could. Let's talk Travis Kelsey, 499 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 1: who can be a big difference in this game. The 500 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 1: Niners have been oddly susceptible to tight ends. This is 501 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 1: I'm giving you just some names of guys that have 502 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 1: punished the Niners since Week ten. Tyler Higbee, Jared Cook, 503 00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:01,560 Speaker 1: Mark Andrews, Jacob Hollister all second half of the season. 504 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,360 Speaker 1: You know, relatively recent tight ends that posted meaningful fantasy 505 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 1: games against them. I think the point is a lowed 506 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 1: six or seven touchdowns to ten ends on the season 507 00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 1: and sounds right. Last week Jimmy Graham had a solid 508 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,080 Speaker 1: games and Jimmy Graham's not that good, but he rolled 509 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 1: up four catches for fifty nine yards. I'll take that. 510 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:19,679 Speaker 1: I'll take that too. And by the way, think it 511 00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 1: was four targets four catches Kelsey had. He destroyed Houston 512 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,639 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, then was quiet last week. He had 513 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,400 Speaker 1: a ten catch game against Houston two games ago. It's 514 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: almost like fantasy championships, usually someone has kidl or Kelsey. 515 00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: I'm funny, and here we are talking about him. All right, 516 00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: Let's do some letter grades on members of the passing game. 517 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: Tell me if still start here with Patrick Mahomes, what's 518 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 1: the letter grade you'd give him? At Scott, I am 519 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,160 Speaker 1: still going with an A. I've seen Mahomes throw up 520 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 1: three hundred yards on some of the best defenses the 521 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 1: NFL over the last two years, so I'm still not 522 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 1: scared of it. His the Vegas over under, his three 523 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: oh five two and a half three oh five yards 524 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 1: and two and a half touchdowns, I think that's a 525 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 1: fair line. I'm with Vegas there, and I think that's 526 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:06,280 Speaker 1: a decent fantasy day, So I'm giving him an A. Okay, Um, 527 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 1: let's go to Tyreek Hill. Tyrek Hill, I'm still giving 528 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: an A. Vegas over under on him is seventy nine 529 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: and a half. I think that he's the kind of 530 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:18,680 Speaker 1: guy that could break the game open. He's the kind 531 00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 1: of guy that and T. T Are said he's away 532 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: from Shrman, but he's the kind of guy that it's 533 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 1: just gonna take one play, and I think he's very 534 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 1: likely to get it. And I I weirdly trust Andy 535 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: Reid to be a little creative in this game. Well, 536 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 1: I mean it's not weird, but I expect something creative, 537 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:38,479 Speaker 1: and that would probably mean Tyreek Hill all right, and 538 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 1: any other of the wide receivers for the Chiefs even 539 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 1: get anything other than a bench grade for you, Okay, 540 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: they're all up. Um. You know, if I were in 541 00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: if I were in Vegas and I'm looking for a 542 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: shock prop, you know, Nicole Hardman is is tempting on 543 00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 1: something like first score of the game, where you could 544 00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,920 Speaker 1: probably get you know, fifty two one, uh, because he's 545 00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: another guy like Tyreek Hill that can be just the 546 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: game changing ability. He can turn a ten yard game, 547 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: he can turn the Janiard pass into a seventy yard touchdown, 548 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: because yeah, that's basically what he is. He's like you're 549 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 1: gonna getting you can get an ad R touchdown on 550 00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: or seven yard touchdown, or you can get zero catches. Yes, 551 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: yeah I wanna. I know his line is twenty four 552 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: and a half yards, but I wonder what some of 553 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 1: those other lines for him, like scoring a touchdown or 554 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 1: first score the games, because yeah, those could be uh 555 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 1: some pretty best. It's the best first score of the 556 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,600 Speaker 1: game I've ever hit, and I wonder what it looks 557 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 1: like here in this game was Aaron Rodgers in here's 558 00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: about ten years ago a FC championship. I think it 559 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 1: was here they won the Super Bowl, and I picked 560 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 1: him to be first score the game and hit that 561 00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,600 Speaker 1: one in Vegas at an f S T A conference 562 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 1: and been a couple could have been the Giants one 563 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 1: and oh seven or oh maybe it was, I don't remember. Um, 564 00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: but quarterback, the Vegas always materially underappreciates rushing quarterbacks and 565 00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:03,680 Speaker 1: quarterback rushing opportunity, and um right, it's not like you know, 566 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 1: all you need is a goal to go from the 567 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 1: one and here comes your quarterback rushing touchdown. So Garoppolo 568 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: and even better mahmes, I'd love to I was gonna say, 569 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:18,160 Speaker 1: how many Garoppolo rushing touchdowns are? Not a lot? Probably 570 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 1: probably just a couple. Okay. So then last letter grade 571 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 1: I'm looking for you from you is on Travis kiss 572 00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 1: An that that that's it's a weird thing to say 573 00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,920 Speaker 1: with the Chiefs, that it's like three a's and then 574 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 1: maybe you see for the running back and just nothing else. Yeah, 575 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,280 Speaker 1: but you still expect them to somehow put up thirty 576 00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,000 Speaker 1: five points. You just can't trust or you know what, 577 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: twenty nine points their average. Now you just can't trust 578 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,040 Speaker 1: those other options, even though one of them is bound 579 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 1: to do something. No, I think you're right. Um, I 580 00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,640 Speaker 1: said earlier, at this stage, nine days out, I don't 581 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,640 Speaker 1: know who's going to win. Do you have a Do 582 00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 1: you have a lean or even a strong opinion on 583 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 1: who will win this game? Nope, not at all. I have. 584 00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: I have gone back and forth so many times it's ridiculous. 585 00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 1: And people you're probably listening to this can tell I 586 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 1: feel that way. Like I feel like Andy Reid's offense 587 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:10,000 Speaker 1: is going to figure something out. And I I loved 588 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: you know, if it's a battle an offensive shootout, I 589 00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: like the Chiefs. But that defense is so good that 590 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,160 Speaker 1: I can see queen either way. I defense is so good. 591 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 1: It's it's it is, it's really. I'm excited for this 592 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,560 Speaker 1: game more than I have been in recent years for 593 00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 1: for super Bowls. Like we said at the outset, this 594 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 1: is the best possible super Bowl matchup, This is the 595 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 1: most this is the best NFC team, that's the most 596 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:34,880 Speaker 1: interesting NFC team with the most different ways to win, 597 00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 1: and this is the most ready to win a f 598 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:40,640 Speaker 1: C team. The right team's got to the end, and 599 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 1: that doesn't always happen. Didn't happen last year for that matter. 600 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:45,880 Speaker 1: You know, if you don't have to go back far 601 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 1: to career rushing touchdowns for it. Yes, I hit it 602 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 1: um and you know it at from the one yard line. 603 00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 1: They'll still probably use their running backs because they do, 604 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:56,960 Speaker 1: and so you know, Garppol would be really a shot 605 00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: in the dark. But I bet Mahomes is if you see, 606 00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 1: if you can google this quickly, first player to score 607 00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 1: prop I bet Mahomes is one first player to score, 608 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 1: first player to score, the first player to score. Let's 609 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 1: see to see if you how quickly you can google that. Well, 610 00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 1: I've already got the touchdown props up. Let's see last 611 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 1: touchdown score. Who cares about? Is weird? Alright? I got 612 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 1: it up and it's taking longer to fund than I thought. Well, 613 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: it might not have been a reasonable request on demand. Yeah, 614 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 1: I just think there's I just think there's an angle here. 615 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 1: M m yeah, maybe not. Yeah, I'm not finding it, okay, alright, 616 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,000 Speaker 1: well it's not it's not a big deal. Maybe one 617 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,200 Speaker 1: of our listeners. We'll we'll tell us via Twitter. They 618 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:54,760 Speaker 1: can find you at Scott Fish twenty four at Scott 619 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,760 Speaker 1: Fish four. I am at Paul Charchy and you can 620 00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: tweet us and let us know what is What is 621 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 1: the Patrick Mahomes odds to be first player to score? 622 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,239 Speaker 1: And I don't know if they break that down by 623 00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,120 Speaker 1: team or they just say in the game first player 624 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,680 Speaker 1: to score in the game is you know, and it 625 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,800 Speaker 1: could be players from either team or if it's first 626 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 1: chief to score will be Patrick Mahomes. And I found it? Okay, 627 00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: all right? What is it? Plus two plus two thousands? Alright? 628 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 1: One twenty two one on Patrick Mahomes will be the 629 00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:26,319 Speaker 1: first one to score? Most Yeah, plus five hundred plus 630 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: six hundred? Do I like that? Bad? Oh? I like that? 631 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,720 Speaker 1: That's three Russian time touchdowns in his last seven games. 632 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:38,399 Speaker 1: How about that one? That's that's my new favorite bet 633 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,399 Speaker 1: of the super Bowl? Right there, Patrick Mahomes. And after 634 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:47,200 Speaker 1: this podcast, it'll be like tender one watch it move, Uh, Scott, 635 00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:49,000 Speaker 1: great job today. I hope everybody that's one of the 636 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 1: super Bowl. We'll be back one more time before the 637 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,160 Speaker 1: super Bowl, will recap some of this stuff, talk more 638 00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 1: of the player props that we like. Um next week 639 00:34:56,640 --> 00:35:00,080 Speaker 1: as well. Thanks for listening, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is 640 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,719 Speaker 1: a production of I heart Radio. For more podcasts from 641 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, 642 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.