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Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to another episode of the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL podcast. I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can

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Speaker 1: find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. With me

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Speaker 1: as he is every week is Matt Perrault. You can

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Speaker 1: find him on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt Matt. What's

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Speaker 1: going on?

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Speaker 2: Well, we are into the middle part of the year. Now,

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Speaker 2: we gotta get our butts in gear this week.

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Speaker 1: Dan, God that last week. You know, beats happen both ways.

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Speaker 1: You know, you get lucky sometimes, you know. But we

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Speaker 1: turned a four and one week into a two and

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Speaker 1: three week in a way that was just killer. With

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Speaker 1: the Brown's missing the extra point to win by three.

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Speaker 1: We had him at laying three and a half and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks just basically doing the fact. I'm glad they

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Speaker 1: lost that game. I'm glad because they should have covered

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Speaker 1: the three and a half points spread. But we'll get

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Speaker 1: into all of that. There are some games that we

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Speaker 1: both like, although we have not talked about it as

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Speaker 1: we did last week, we decided to you know what,

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Speaker 1: no Leans even beforehand. We're gonna be fresh when we

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Speaker 1: get into this. Hopefully we are on the same side

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Speaker 1: of games because we are not always a couple of

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Speaker 1: things before we get into the week eight slate number

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Speaker 1: one discord. If you listen to the Daily Juice, which

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Speaker 1: you should, you have probably heard about this. You may

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Speaker 1: be in it already. Last I checked, we had I

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Speaker 1: don't know, over six hundred and fifty people in there already.

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Speaker 1: It's just like a chat. Okay, you come in. There

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Speaker 1: are different channels to talk about whatever you want. You

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Speaker 1: can talk about any sport you want. Matt and I

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Speaker 1: are in there popping in, we're talking, we're giving plays,

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Speaker 1: things like that. But generally it's just the community for

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Speaker 1: other people who are on betting pros who want to

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Speaker 1: talk about various things. That's at bettingpros dot com slash chat.

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Speaker 1: You can join, no fee, you don't have to be

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Speaker 1: a subscriber or anything like that. Second, our prop bet

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Speaker 1: sheet sheet, by the way, Matt, that's what we're calling

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Speaker 1: it now, just because I know, all right, that's what

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Speaker 1: that's the name we have settled on prop bet sheet sheet.

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Speaker 1: That's at bettingpros dot com slash props. You can go there.

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Speaker 1: That is going to compare consensus projections to props that

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Speaker 1: are available in the market, and it gives you recommendations

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Speaker 1: based on the delta between the consensus projections and the

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Speaker 1: actual projections given out by the various sportsbook Now, this

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Speaker 1: has just launched, so we are still kind of, you know,

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Speaker 1: working through it, but it's a really interesting tool. We

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Speaker 1: should go check it out again. Bettingpros dot com slash Props.

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Speaker 1: As always, we are going to get into every game

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Speaker 1: on this week's late but as we kind of did,

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Speaker 1: let's recap last week very quickly. Matt and I went

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Speaker 1: two and three, two bad beats. We are now nineteen

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Speaker 1: and sixteen on the season, fifty four point three percent. Okay, Now,

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Speaker 1: if you are a regular sports gambler, that's Good's that

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Speaker 1: you're beating what you want to do. But where we

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Speaker 1: are in the DK Championship is not exactly where we

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Speaker 1: want to be. We are let me see what the

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Speaker 1: number is. I can't find where we are exactly, but

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Speaker 1: we are somewhere in the high two hundredths of the

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Speaker 1: six hundred and ninety one. So we're in the top half.

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Speaker 1: But we've got a long way to go.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: The people who are cashing are I think only two games.

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Speaker 1: I think they might be between two and three games.

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Speaker 1: Ahead of us, Matt, but it's it's mostly people who

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Speaker 1: haven't who have already taken a bye, so their percentages

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Speaker 1: kind of in between two and three games ahead. So

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Speaker 1: we have not buried ourselves by any meanings, but we've

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Speaker 1: got to get going with a four and one week

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Speaker 1: or a five on one week. So last week we

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Speaker 1: just had the wrong side on that Pats game against

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Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, completely wrong side, missed on that one,

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Speaker 1: and we lost on the Browns lanth three and a

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Speaker 1: half to the Bengals on the missed extra point, and

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Speaker 1: we lost on the Seahawks laying three and a half

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Speaker 1: to the Cardinals on about eight different ways that the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks have covered that game. Now, we did win on

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Speaker 1: one of the games that we both really like to start,

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Speaker 1: the Panthers getting seven and a half from the Saints,

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Speaker 1: and we also said that we were not gonna change

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Speaker 1: based on our picks unless something happened. Well, we decided

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Speaker 1: because we are liars essentially to get off the Packers

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Speaker 1: laying three and a half to the Texans was the

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Speaker 1: game that Matt didn't love at the time that we

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Speaker 1: picked it. He was initially on the other side, but

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Speaker 1: we decided to get off that because Aaron Jones was

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Speaker 1: not gonna play, and we Matt came around to what

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Speaker 1: my topic was, which was the Bucks laying two and

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Speaker 1: a half to the Raiders, which hit anyway, so a

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Speaker 1: distinction without a difference. So anyway, I've got it now

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Speaker 1: two hundred and ninety third out of six hundred eighty nine.

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Speaker 1: So we need a big week here, Matt, are you ready?

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Speaker 1: Are you ready?

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Speaker 2: If hear that, I am, I'm just gonna I'm still

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Speaker 2: reeling from your vocabulary the delta. Wow, you're dropping big,

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Speaker 2: big words here.

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Speaker 1: My friend correct, I read words.

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Speaker 2: Podcast or source.

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Speaker 1: I like see words. Good. All right, so let's get

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Speaker 1: into it, Matt, who is your number one picker? Man,

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Speaker 1: I'm so nervous because I'm so terrified because I have

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Speaker 1: like five games that I'm like, I could deal with

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Speaker 1: these games. I'm terrified we're gonna be on the wrong side.

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Speaker 1: So go ahead, stars off.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to weather guys. Yes, this is the point of

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Speaker 2: the year where you must be and you should be.

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Speaker 2: Literally before you put a single dollar down in any bet,

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Speaker 2: you have to look at the weather forecast. The worst

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Speaker 2: weather game of the weekend is going to be in Cleveland, Ohio. Yep,

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Speaker 2: we're having thirty to forty miles per hour wins. We're

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Speaker 2: having cold temperatures. You might say, wow, that's a bad

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Speaker 2: deal for the team from Las Vegas. No, this is

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Speaker 2: a run team. This is a power football team. This

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Speaker 2: is a nasty football team. And they dink and dunk

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Speaker 2: with the best of them. They don't throw deep at all.

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield does not have Odo Beckham Junior. I'm catching

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Speaker 2: two and a half points from the Raiders. Raiders will

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Speaker 2: win this game outright. Raiders plus two and a half

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Speaker 2: is my top pick of the week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so, first of all, I saw you tweeting with

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Speaker 1: I think Kevin Roth. Is that right?

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Speaker 2: Correct?

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Speaker 1: From right? Yes, He, by the way, is a great

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Speaker 1: He's a you know, if you play daily fantasy sports,

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Speaker 1: if you bet on sports, he's a great followup because

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Speaker 1: he's great with the weather. And Yeah, there are I

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Speaker 1: think three games where Wind and you and I talk

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Speaker 1: a lot about it. It's like the one thing that

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Speaker 1: you're worried about when it comes to sports gambling is

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Speaker 1: Wind with football. That's a big difference. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: ahead and write this one in Matt because I'm on

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Speaker 1: that side as well. Doesn't even even without the weather, Matt,

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Speaker 1: I think this is a spot for the Raiders. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Raiders I think are a couple things. Number One,

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Speaker 1: they're a better team than I think the public gives

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Speaker 1: them credit for because I think right they have a

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Speaker 1: stigma of what they were kind of last year, and

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Speaker 1: just generally speaking, they're not a bad team. Their defense

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Speaker 1: not great as of right now, but they had a

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Speaker 1: lot of injuries last week. They had the whole offensive

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Speaker 1: line thing preventing them from practicing, which is why the

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Speaker 1: Bucks I thought were needs to play. And the Bucks

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Speaker 1: are really really good team. I get that they're coming,

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Speaker 1: you know, to there. It's a cross country play here,

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Speaker 1: but for me, I think they're going to win the

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Speaker 1: game out right as well. I think this is a

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Speaker 1: little bit I think the whole the Browns could be

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Speaker 1: better without Odell Beckham Junior talk is silly, like I

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Speaker 1: think that, you know, I just I don't like it.

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Speaker 1: So even without the weather, I like the Raiders here

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Speaker 1: as well because I do think that this is just

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Speaker 1: a game that they're gonna be able to generally speaking,

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Speaker 1: keep tight, and I have confidence in them being able

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Speaker 1: to pull it to pull it out in the end.

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Speaker 1: I'd like it a little more if I could get

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Speaker 1: over three correct, but I do think they're gonna pull

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Speaker 1: it out regards to the win, so I'm gonna write

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Speaker 1: that one in it. It was my fourth pick for

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Speaker 1: this week in terms of content, so I like it.

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Speaker 1: So Raiders getting two and a half, there's a good start,

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Speaker 1: good start, We like the first ride. Let me just

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Speaker 1: check because I think the Let me check what our

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Speaker 1: bet analyzer says about it against the spread, and it

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Speaker 1: looks like it is pretty split. I've got sixty all right,

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Speaker 1: sixty one percent of our experts are taking the Raiders

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Speaker 1: at two point five, so it has not moved from there.

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Speaker 1: I was wondering whether or not the spread was gonna move,

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Speaker 1: but at two and a half, we've got sixty one

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Speaker 1: percent behind us, so that's always a good sign, all right,

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Speaker 1: this one. I'm really interested, Matt in what you think

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Speaker 1: of this one, because I'm looking at our bet analyzer

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Speaker 1: and it's actually one of the more heavily picked games

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Speaker 1: right now the other way. But for me, I know

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Speaker 1: it's a divisional game. I know one of the teams

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Speaker 1: is undefeated, but I've got the Ravens coming off a

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Speaker 1: bye here, and I feel really good at this This

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Speaker 1: is finally the spot to sell the Steelers. Remember last year,

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Speaker 1: I think it was last year when they destroyed your Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I think that was them coming off a bye and

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Speaker 1: that was when they and the Pats were undefeated. I

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Speaker 1: think at that point and you were like, well, what's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen here? And I remember I took the Ravens

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Speaker 1: then I like them.

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Speaker 2: Then.

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Speaker 1: I think having off by I think Lamar Jackson has

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Speaker 1: been limited by this knee injury. I think giving him

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Speaker 1: a week to sort of get better is good. I

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Speaker 1: actually think mark ingram out is probably better for this

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Speaker 1: team because I think it means more JK. Dobbins, and

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Speaker 1: I think that that is very good for this team

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Speaker 1: to go forward because I just think that Dobbins at

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Speaker 1: this point is more explosive. He's gonna get more involved

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Speaker 1: in the passing game. I think this is really when

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Speaker 1: the Ravens are gonna show whose boss right now. I

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Speaker 1: think the loss of Devin Bush, by the way, especially

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Speaker 1: in the running game here, it's gonna hurt the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: It's finally going to show itself again. They came out

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Speaker 1: like a house on fire last week, but then you

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Speaker 1: saw the Titans just basically dominated the rest of that game.

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Speaker 1: So for me, I don't love the hook more than

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Speaker 1: you know three. But I think the Ravens are going

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Speaker 1: to win this game, and I think they're gonna win

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Speaker 1: in Handley.

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Speaker 2: So you can't see because we're not actually looking at

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Speaker 2: each other as take video, but I've been nodding my

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Speaker 2: head the entire time. Okay, so this is my third play,

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Speaker 2: so put it in pen and I agree with every

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Speaker 2: point you made. I think this is if you are

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Speaker 2: a Daily Juice listener. I talked about this game when

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Speaker 2: I gave out the Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division,

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Speaker 2: because I believe the Pittsburgh Steelers are going to win

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Speaker 2: the North, but they're going to lose this game here

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Speaker 2: against the Ravens. I think they're gonna split home and road,

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Speaker 2: home and home. Basically. I I think Pittsburgh wins in Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 2: I think Baltimore wins in Baltimore. Ye. I think that

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Speaker 2: Jackson has been held back and they've been keeping him

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Speaker 2: in check their play calling, keeping him in check due

218
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Speaker 2: to the knee injury basically leading up to this game.

219
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Speaker 2: This is time to let Lamar Jackson go. And I

220
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Speaker 2: just think this defense is going to be able to

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Speaker 2: shut down this offense for Pittsburgh. Look. I like the

222
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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh offense. I just don't think it's as explosive as

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Speaker 2: everybody thinks it is. And I mean Claypool's come out

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Speaker 2: of kind of nowhere here and become this incredible weapon. So,

225
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Speaker 2: I mean hardball is off of a bye. I believe

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Speaker 2: the number is nine and three against the spread off

227
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Speaker 2: of a bye.

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Speaker 1: That's right, Okay.

229
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Speaker 2: Something really stupid that he just him with extra time

230
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Speaker 2: is like Belichick with extra time. It's just And the

231
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Speaker 2: first line was six, okay, so it was Baltimore minus six.

232
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Speaker 2: All the money came in. This is the Black and

233
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Speaker 2: Blue Division. This is always a three point game one

234
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Speaker 2: way or the other. I know the hook there stinks.

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Speaker 2: It's a little bit dicey for that one reason. If

236
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Speaker 2: I bet it, when I do bet it, I'm probably

237
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Speaker 2: gonna buy the half a point because I think three

238
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Speaker 2: is a much much better number. It's the most expensive

239
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Speaker 2: thing to do at a sports book is to buy

240
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Speaker 2: it from three and a half to three. It's probably

241
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Speaker 2: mist one forty to go ahead and do it, but

242
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Speaker 2: I think it's worth it. I'll play it in the contest.

243
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Speaker 2: I'll lay the three and a half. With money, I'll

244
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Speaker 2: lay three. But I like the Ravens two.

245
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and again they these teams play close. That is

246
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Speaker 1: what they do. So I get when you see anything

247
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Speaker 1: over a field goal, it makes you nervous either way.

248
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Speaker 1: But I really think that they're gonna come out and

249
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Speaker 1: this is going to be their spot. They're gonna come

250
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Speaker 1: out and they're gonna be like, oh, do you do

251
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Speaker 1: you think that this is gonna be your division right now?

252
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Speaker 1: We're gonna show it off of by I just I

253
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Speaker 1: really liked it when I first looked at the game,

254
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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. My first instinct was like, ooh,

255
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Speaker 1: because I have been honest. I was on the Steelers

256
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Speaker 1: last week. Man, I like them, you like the Titans.

257
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Speaker 1: I leaned towards the Steelers last week.

258
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Speaker 2: But you realized that Gezkowski is why that gave didn't

259
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Speaker 2: go to overtime.

260
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Speaker 1: That is that.

261
00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,480
Speaker 2: Hatred of My hatred of Guzkowski has just quadrupled, and

262
00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:22,800
Speaker 2: he is.

263
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Speaker 1: The poster boy for your anger in this betting season.

264
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Speaker 1: That game actually made me like the Steelers a little

265
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Speaker 1: less like I mean their offense. Of course, you've got

266
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Speaker 1: the three wide receivers. But Ben doesn't look you know,

267
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Speaker 1: intimidating right now with where he is. He just kind

268
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Speaker 1: of think.

269
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Speaker 2: I think that's why when you saw the reaction of

270
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Speaker 2: Roethlisberger when he when the miskick happened, I think he

271
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Speaker 2: knew in overtime they were gonna lose. Yeah, I think

272
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Speaker 2: he knew all everything was going against them, the momentum,

273
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Speaker 2: everything was going to the Titans. All you needed was

274
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Speaker 2: Gaskowski to make that forty eight yard kick, which he

275
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Speaker 2: does not so and that gave the game to the Steelers.

276
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Speaker 2: So I think this is a paper tiger six to

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Speaker 2: oh Steelers team, and I think they get their first loss.

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Speaker 1: I love it, all right, So this is weird, but

279
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Speaker 1: we are in agreement on our first two. Go to

280
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Speaker 1: youre next one, all right?

281
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Speaker 2: One in three are off the board for me already

282
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Speaker 2: here on my list Number two is. Look, I get

283
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Speaker 2: why people are gonna go Matt the number stinks, and

284
00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:19,880
Speaker 2: you don't know what two is gonna do. But I

285
00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,480
Speaker 2: got a rookie quarterback going up against Aaron Donald. I'm

286
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Speaker 2: gonna bet. I don't care where this game is being

287
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Speaker 2: played on the moon. It doesn't matter to me. Rams

288
00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,760
Speaker 2: minus four and a half against two a tag of Valoa.

289
00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:34,000
Speaker 2: Given that defense, with one touchdown being given up in

290
00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:37,040
Speaker 2: the second half, that offensive line's not good for Miami.

291
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,319
Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick got the football out fast, two was not gonna

292
00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,680
Speaker 2: do that. He's accurate, but he's not gonna be able

293
00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,440
Speaker 2: to read defenses the way that Fitzpatrick can read defenses.

294
00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:47,640
Speaker 2: He's not gonna have any time. He's gonna have Aaron

295
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,240
Speaker 2: Donald in his lap the entire time. And they don't

296
00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:52,920
Speaker 2: want him to run because he's brittle. So he can't

297
00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:54,959
Speaker 2: even use his legs in his first start because he'll

298
00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,880
Speaker 2: get hit and break. So to me, look, I like

299
00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,520
Speaker 2: the Rams a lot more than most people do. I

300
00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,440
Speaker 2: know it's on the road. I like the Rams to

301
00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,160
Speaker 2: win this game by seven, and they may win it

302
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Speaker 2: by even more, maybe a complete blowout here. I know

303
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:08,760
Speaker 2: it's a trap game because they've got a big game

304
00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,480
Speaker 2: coming up next week back at home. So people are saying, Oh,

305
00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,920
Speaker 2: they're gonna overlook the Dolphins. Okay, they might.

306
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Speaker 1: Now they have they have a buye Matt, Oh they.

307
00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:17,600
Speaker 2: Well think, well, yeah, but they have after but after

308
00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,120
Speaker 2: the bye, they've got a game against Seattle. Seattle, so

309
00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,160
Speaker 2: it's a big divisional game. But okay, find me going

310
00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:24,720
Speaker 2: into a bye. Maybe they want to stay in Miami

311
00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:25,160
Speaker 2: and party.

312
00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:27,439
Speaker 1: I don't know, but to me, but sometimes going into

313
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Speaker 1: a bye, by the way, like teams do look at

314
00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:31,160
Speaker 1: that and just sort of are like, all right, we

315
00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,120
Speaker 1: just got a last one. We just got to get there.

316
00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,280
Speaker 1: And their head is in the game. I get it ahead.

317
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Speaker 2: So sometimes they can but I or they can just

318
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Speaker 2: say less it's on load because we got to weak off. No,

319
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Speaker 2: we won't worry about it. I just I'm taking this.

320
00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,600
Speaker 2: This entire pick is on the Rams defense going up

321
00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:45,800
Speaker 2: against a rookie quarterback, and I just think they're going

322
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Speaker 2: to destroy Tua. It's gonna be a bad game for Tua.

323
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Speaker 1: Okay, So I I definitely am not. Basically, this was

324
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Speaker 1: a game where I don't have a lean, mainly because

325
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Speaker 1: I don't. I mean, are you confident, Matt, Like, how

326
00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:00,880
Speaker 1: do we know what to expect from Tua in this game?

327
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Speaker 1: Like I other than of course whatever you've seen from

328
00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:04,439
Speaker 1: him in Coe.

329
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Speaker 2: Because they're being forced to play him. I don't think

330
00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,680
Speaker 2: this was the plan. I think this was all because

331
00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:11,559
Speaker 2: Dolphin fans are mad because Justin Herbert looks legitimate and

332
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:13,200
Speaker 2: they're worried they pick the wrong quarterback.

333
00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,200
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, no no. This had to have

334
00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:17,640
Speaker 1: been the plan because they are doing so much better.

335
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:19,760
Speaker 2: So you're telling me the plan was to start against

336
00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:21,720
Speaker 2: Aaron Donald the career of two attag of a looa

337
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,320
Speaker 2: mister brittle. The plan was to have him start against

338
00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:26,240
Speaker 2: the La Rams.

339
00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:28,720
Speaker 1: I think the plan was to have him start after

340
00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:30,760
Speaker 1: the bye. That's exactly what I think it was. I

341
00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,440
Speaker 1: think they were gonna because otherwise, First of all, if

342
00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:35,960
Speaker 1: you're a Dolphins fan right now, you can't be mad

343
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 1: at what you got. You they're in contention for the division.

344
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,960
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick is playing well, there's no so.

345
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 2: You can don't want to be there. They want to

346
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:46,320
Speaker 2: lose what but why because they don't want They because

347
00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:49,000
Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick is a guy. If he plays well, he could

348
00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:50,720
Speaker 2: have a stake to the job, if.

349
00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,280
Speaker 1: Not long term and at least for one more.

350
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,120
Speaker 2: Year if they go to the playoffs. I mean that's

351
00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:56,920
Speaker 2: the problem. They want to lose and they want to

352
00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:58,880
Speaker 2: see what they've gotten to and they've gotten tons of

353
00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:01,600
Speaker 2: pressure because the numberumber one pick has been great, and

354
00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:03,840
Speaker 2: the number six pick has been great, and the number

355
00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:04,800
Speaker 2: five pick hasn't played.

356
00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:08,280
Speaker 1: Okay, So just to make sure I fully understand this,

357
00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,160
Speaker 1: your theory is that they are making this switch to

358
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:16,280
Speaker 1: Tua because Dolphins fans are outraged because of the fact

359
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,440
Speaker 1: that the other rookie quarterbacks look good. Yes, and they

360
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:19,240
Speaker 1: should be playing to it.

361
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:21,760
Speaker 2: Yes. And I believe that they know that Fitzpatrick is

362
00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:23,560
Speaker 2: the short term deal and they want to know what

363
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,800
Speaker 2: they've got, so they're going to go ahead. Because if

364
00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:29,000
Speaker 2: they were actually planning on doing this, they didn't tell Fitzpatrick,

365
00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:32,560
Speaker 2: which is basically malpractice. Yeah, so he didn't he didn't know.

366
00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:35,720
Speaker 2: He was crying, he was so upset about it. My

367
00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 2: heart's broken. I've been benched before, but never like this.

368
00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 1: I mean, that's why that's why I think it was.

369
00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:43,000
Speaker 1: I agree that didn't tell him, but I think that's

370
00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,040
Speaker 1: why it was their plan, no matter how well he played,

371
00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:46,920
Speaker 1: because he was playing as well as you know, he

372
00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:48,720
Speaker 1: was the good fits here for a couple of weeks

373
00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:52,120
Speaker 1: and they were legitimately in contention. I can't seem well anyway.

374
00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:53,760
Speaker 2: Look, they've got to ever fence right now. This number

375
00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:56,760
Speaker 2: one in the NFL in third down conversion. You get off,

376
00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,000
Speaker 2: They get off the field like crazy right now in Miami.

377
00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,160
Speaker 2: Their defense is hard to go up against that The

378
00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,200
Speaker 2: forty nine ers couldn't do anything against their defense. I

379
00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,920
Speaker 2: just think that they believe that they have a playoff

380
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 2: caliber team, and that's not really what they wanted to

381
00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:10,600
Speaker 2: go ahead and do. So they say, all right, if

382
00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:13,360
Speaker 2: we're gonna go to the playoffs, let's play Tua because

383
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:15,640
Speaker 2: maybe we do have something here, and let's see what

384
00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,960
Speaker 2: Tua can do. I just can't believe they're going up

385
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,400
Speaker 2: against one of the top four, top five defenses in

386
00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 2: the NFL and they're choosing to start him in this

387
00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:27,240
Speaker 2: type of environment where their offensive line doesn't block very well. Okay, look,

388
00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,000
Speaker 2: I could be dead wrong, but I'm telling you this.

389
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say this. Ryan Fitzpatrick is back starting for

390
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,440
Speaker 2: this football team within three weeks.

391
00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:38,600
Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, your Dolphins takes are hot right now.

392
00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,320
Speaker 1: All right, So here's the deal. I'm not gonna take

393
00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:42,560
Speaker 1: that one off the table. I'm not gonna put it

394
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,920
Speaker 1: in yet because I don't have a good line, a

395
00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,240
Speaker 1: good lean on the game. Part of me but everything

396
00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,240
Speaker 1: you're saying makes sense. Two things make me nervous. One

397
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:56,400
Speaker 1: is again the cross country trip to Miami on a

398
00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:59,400
Speaker 1: short week makes me a little nervous. Number two is

399
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 1: I don't like variables Matt like I do like when

400
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,400
Speaker 1: there is somebody who I haven't like. I will tell

401
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:08,400
Speaker 1: you the truth. I thought, justin Herbert, if I knew

402
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,200
Speaker 1: that he was going to be starting early this year,

403
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,760
Speaker 1: I would have bet significant money that he would have

404
00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,639
Speaker 1: been terrible because I did not think that he looked ready,

405
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:16,320
Speaker 1: and he's.

406
00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,840
Speaker 2: Hard knocks proved it. He couldn't call a play. I

407
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,240
Speaker 2: mean he could take a snap under center. He couldn't

408
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,159
Speaker 2: take a snap under center at hard knock. So I

409
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 2: mean what they showed us was that might have been

410
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,359
Speaker 2: sandbagging there, but they show that he wasn't ready.

411
00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,000
Speaker 1: Well that's what I'm saying that I don't know what

412
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 1: it's gonna look like when these rookies get on the

413
00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:35,160
Speaker 1: field for the first time. So I don't hate it,

414
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 1: I'm not off it. And seventy the line the consensus

415
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,439
Speaker 1: line is three and a half, but seventy one percent

416
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,640
Speaker 1: of experts are on the rams in this one, so

417
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,000
Speaker 1: that that certainly you know you're not alone in that,

418
00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:47,800
Speaker 1: although I will say again I said that the Steelers

419
00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 1: were the other way. Seventy six percent are on the

420
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:51,680
Speaker 1: Steelers getting three and a half. I'm totally fine to

421
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:53,800
Speaker 1: fade that, yep. But yeah, that's I'm gonna put that

422
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 1: one to maybe ket because I don't hate it. I

423
00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 1: had that one in a bucket of Matt can convince

424
00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 1: me if we're sort of there, But I definitely don't

425
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:02,800
Speaker 1: hate it. And I think if I had to pick

426
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 1: a side, it would be with the Rams. That's what

427
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 1: I had. So we'll put that one in the maybe categories.

428
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,120
Speaker 1: So not doing terrible, Okay. I'm interested to know how

429
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 1: you feel about this game, and that is the Saints

430
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,240
Speaker 1: laying four and a half to the Bears in Chicago.

431
00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:18,280
Speaker 1: Now there's gonna be wind in. This is one of

432
00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:19,359
Speaker 1: the win games. I believe it is a.

433
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,879
Speaker 2: Right the games, the worst weather games.

434
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 1: It's one of the worst weather games. I kind of feel,

435
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,400
Speaker 1: and I may be wrong, maybe it doesn't. I kind

436
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:29,520
Speaker 1: of feel number one it goes for the under. But

437
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 1: I alan Robinson. I don't know if he's gonna play

438
00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 1: right now. He has missed practice. He's in the concussion protocol.

439
00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,359
Speaker 1: He has missed practiced both days this week. If Alan

440
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:42,560
Speaker 1: Robinson doesn't play, who is getting the ball other than

441
00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 1: David Montgomery? I mean, is it Moody? Is Anthony Miller

442
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:50,560
Speaker 1: gonna play? Jimmy Cram This Bears offense, and you saw

443
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,399
Speaker 1: it on Monday night. And that's why I liked the

444
00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:56,080
Speaker 1: Rams giving six and I picked it on the bettingpros

445
00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:00,800
Speaker 1: dot Com in the platform. The Bears can't move the

446
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 1: ball man, and the Saints can stop the run. They

447
00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,280
Speaker 1: have a very solid run defense. So they think they're

448
00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,639
Speaker 1: just going to rely on Dave Montgomery, whether it's passing

449
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,680
Speaker 1: the ball to the running backs, whether it's running the ball.

450
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:11,920
Speaker 1: I don't really see it happening. And the good thing

451
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: about the wind is that what can you do in

452
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 1: the wind. You can run the ball, and you can

453
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,080
Speaker 1: kind of dink and dunk. And that is all the

454
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,679
Speaker 1: Saints do right now with Drew Brees is dink and

455
00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:24,439
Speaker 1: dunk their way to putting up thirty five points a

456
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: game every single game. Michael Thomas Meanwhile, I'm not even

457
00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,640
Speaker 1: expecting Michael Thomas or Emmanuel Senders to play. I don't care.

458
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,639
Speaker 1: But Michael Thomas has returned to practice right now. He

459
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:35,679
Speaker 1: may play. If he plays, I really like it at

460
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 1: four and a half. Even if he doesn't, this is

461
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,440
Speaker 1: as much of a bet against the Bears right now

462
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 1: as it is in favor of the Saints. So for me,

463
00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,399
Speaker 1: I like the Saints laying four and a half on

464
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:45,520
Speaker 1: the road in Chicago.

465
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 2: Yeah. I was really annoyed because I tease that game

466
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 2: perfectly and if you know the pick in the end zone,

467
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 2: I need two more points. They lost play fourteen. I

468
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 2: tease it to twelve, and I just it was so

469
00:19:56,560 --> 00:20:00,040
Speaker 2: frustrating because the interception that Nick Folls through in and

470
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 2: the end zone was awful. The one he threw on

471
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,640
Speaker 2: the sideline was awful, and then he had a wide

472
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 2: open receiver at the end of the game where if

473
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 2: he just put the ball out there, it was an

474
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:10,399
Speaker 2: easy walking touchdown. He's just awful. Okay, He's just straight

475
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,800
Speaker 2: up awful. I I'm gonna this will be a maybe

476
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,120
Speaker 2: for me. I very much prefer the the Alvin Kamara

477
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 2: prop bets on this game, So like, that's where I'm

478
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 2: gonna be betting. Is Kamara like crazy? So I'm not

479
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,159
Speaker 2: gonna bet this game, but I am gonna bet the

480
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 2: Kamara has a monster game doing I mean, having running

481
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,600
Speaker 2: and receiving yardage. This is his game, Okay. Yeah, And

482
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 2: my only question is, you know, do we see any snow?

483
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 2: Do we see anything wet? Any real wet? You know

484
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 2: it's supposed to be wet, soggy, and windy, Okay, which

485
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,639
Speaker 2: is a really nasty combination to play football in. So

486
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,919
Speaker 2: I my initial thought when I started breaking down this

487
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 2: game was to take the Bears at home getting four

488
00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 2: and a half points.

489
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,760
Speaker 1: Oh interesting, that was my initial Bears in your initial lead.

490
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,640
Speaker 2: But but as we as I went through looked at

491
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 2: the injuries, and I looked at the defense. In running,

492
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,160
Speaker 2: you're you're aboute right about the Rams. Sorry, the Saints

493
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,120
Speaker 2: against the run, they are very good stopping the run.

494
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 2: They're not great through the air, but if there's wind

495
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 2: and rain, you're not throwing the ball very much. In

496
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 2: Nick Fan, they can pass anyway, man, Like I mean,

497
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 2: if Alan runs in Jimmy Graham looks like he's running

498
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:17,200
Speaker 2: in slow motion.

499
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 1: He is still a great red zone threat when he's

500
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 1: when you're at the end zone, great, he can still

501
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 1: sort of wrestle that ball away. But other than that, no,

502
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:27,479
Speaker 1: and again Alan Robinson, he's a big deal right now.

503
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 1: They have nobody else that wide. I mean, Tagan still

504
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 1: plays football and he'll get more work if he's if

505
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,359
Speaker 1: you know. And they can't push it deep. They just

506
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,879
Speaker 1: can't in that weather. I mean, I just this just

507
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 1: strikes me. And again, this is more of a spot

508
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 1: where you sort of typically would be thinking about about

509
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 1: the Bears. I mean, they're they're favored by four and

510
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 1: a half at home, They're coming off and embarrassing loss.

511
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,360
Speaker 1: They're on a short week too, though, I mean, it's

512
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 1: really it's just.

513
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,800
Speaker 2: Well, I think the idea of that not being able

514
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 2: to score as accuratecause they scored three points in perfect

515
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 2: conditions in Los Angeles, Okay, and that's a very good defense,

516
00:21:57,720 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 2: like the Rams better than the Saints. But the Saints

517
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: is not that far behind and the defensive lines out

518
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 2: that far behind the Rams. So I I that's where

519
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 2: I think it's the right sidecause it could be a

520
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 2: seven to three, you know, it could be a ten

521
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:09,400
Speaker 2: to three victory.

522
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 1: For I think. And the one thing that I will

523
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,240
Speaker 1: say is again, the Saints are essentially built for something

524
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 1: where you can't push the ball downfield, that's how their

525
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 1: entire offense works. They don't push the ball downfield on

526
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 1: a good day, So what difference does it make it

527
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 1: they can't do so here they'll find I mean, Peyton's

528
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 1: gonna find creative ways to get Kamara in space, or

529
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 1: they'll do something with you know.

530
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 2: What, Taysom Hill's got to stop man this.

531
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're gonna see a lot of Tasom Hill in

532
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 1: this game.

533
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 2: That's absolutely.

534
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,479
Speaker 1: That is going to be obnoxious, but you are going

535
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: to see it.

536
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: But they're going to design plays and design runs, and

537
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 2: they're gonna try to take advantage of Khalil Mack getting

538
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 2: up the field and all the things that you think

539
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 2: of what they're going to try to do, they're gonna do.

540
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,080
Speaker 2: I think it's in the maybe category.

541
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 1: I okay, well, but that's fine, that's fine.

542
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 2: It's possible. It's definitely possible. For all.

543
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 1: Right, go to your next one.

544
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 2: My next one is and I'm gonna kind of hold

545
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 2: my nose here because I hate the number. But I'm

546
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 2: gonna take Seattle laying three and a half here, and

547
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,119
Speaker 2: I think Seattle, I don't love this Seattle team. At

548
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 2: the moment. I'm a little concerned about Seattle just because

549
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 2: of their defense. But San Francisco is not as good

550
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 2: as the Patriots made them look. Okay, that was just

551
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 2: an awful performance for the Patriots. But I mean I

552
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 2: look at Seattle's offense, I look at DK metcalf, I

553
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: look at the way that Russell Wilson's playing. I just

554
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 2: think that they were more talented team than San Francisco.

555
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,440
Speaker 2: Jimmy Garoppolo is I mean, he threw he should have

556
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,600
Speaker 2: thrown at least two interceptions that game against the Patriots,

557
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 2: and he just the balls were just straight up dropped

558
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 2: or not played properly by the Patriots defense. Stefan Gilmour,

559
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,200
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with him. I think

560
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 2: I think the trade talks are really bothering him, and

561
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 2: he's just not mentally sharp right now, and that's a

562
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 2: big concern. But to me, I'm only gonna lay three

563
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 2: and a half points against San Francisco. I'm taking Seattle,

564
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 2: all right.

565
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: This is another game that I don't have a great

566
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,680
Speaker 1: lean one to the extent I go one way or

567
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,359
Speaker 1: the other. It is with the Seahawks, and the reason

568
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: is the one with Deebo. Samuel is out for this game. Okay,

569
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 1: so it's gonna be George Kittle and and for the

570
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 1: Seahawks aren't terrible against tight ends, but Kittle's not. You

571
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 1: can't consider Kittle like a normal tight end. The Seahawks

572
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: are generally not good against the past. They can stop

573
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 1: the run, though, And who's going to be running for

574
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 1: the ball for the forty nine Ers. I don't really know.

575
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess to Michael Hasty and is Jack

576
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 1: McKinnon actually going to get any carries? I don't really know.

577
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:29,920
Speaker 1: The Seahawks, meanwhile, can put a points on anyone. And

578
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers defense is not not what it

579
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:35,200
Speaker 1: what we thought it would be coming into the season

580
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: with all the injuries. So I don't hate it. I

581
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 1: don't love a divisional game, and I don't love that.

582
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 1: I feel like Matt and maybe correct me if I'm wrong.

583
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 1: I feel like you and I have not had a

584
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 1: good read on the forty nine Ers for the most part.

585
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 1: The one game that we had them in was was

586
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 1: it they were getting three and a half from the

587
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:52,160
Speaker 1: Rams maybe.

588
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 2: And they and the one that came out right, yeah

589
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 2: tw weeks right, we had to.

590
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: So that right, that was the one that we had

591
00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 1: we I feel like we take them every week. We

592
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 1: didn't have them against the Patriots. We didn't have that one.

593
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 1: You know, maybe that was the patriotswe didn't have well.

594
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: But either way, I'm okay with it. I'm not crazy

595
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 1: about it. It's a maybe right now. So there are

596
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 1: none where I'm on the other side on this one.

597
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 1: So that one, oddly enough, that is the most one

598
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 1: sided game in our bet analyzer, and it is the Seahawks. Now,

599
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: the Seahawks are only laying three in the consensus line

600
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 1: and so a little bit different, but that is the

601
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 1: one that has the most. By the way, I'm not

602
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 1: sure if I gave the numbers for the Saints, sixty

603
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 1: six percent of experts to put in picks like the

604
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:32,919
Speaker 1: Saints at four and a half. So I'll put that

605
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 1: one in the maybe. So we've we've gone through five picks.

606
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 1: We've got two in and we've got three maybes, and

607
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 1: we've got so if these are our five picks, we

608
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:42,120
Speaker 1: will live with it, which is a great sign already

609
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 1: through five games. So here's my next pick. We'll get

610
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 1: to and I you know what, Matt, when I look

611
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 1: at this line, I feel like the line should be more,

612
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: and so the fact that it isn't makes me concerned.

613
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,639
Speaker 1: And then I look at our bet and it is

614
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,479
Speaker 1: the game that experts are most split on, and that

615
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:09,400
Speaker 1: is the Colts laying two and a half to the Lions.

616
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 2: Now.

617
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,439
Speaker 1: I get that it's in Detroit. I get that the

618
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 1: we hate the Colts in a lot of ways. But

619
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 1: you're basically telling me that the Colts, who are coming

620
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: off a buye and are getting healthier. Darius Lennard is healthy,

621
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,199
Speaker 1: he's going to play Michael Pittman Junior, which this was

622
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 1: the target the whole time, is probably gonna play Trey

623
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 1: Burton has helped that offense coming in versus a Matt

624
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:41,159
Speaker 1: Patricia coach Lions team that's under a field goal. To me,

625
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 1: this seems like an obvious spot for the Colts, but

626
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,239
Speaker 1: I do not. That's not what the you know, the

627
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:48,439
Speaker 1: market is saying. I from what I've looked at, the

628
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,120
Speaker 1: money is not coming in that way. So I must

629
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: be missing something. Tell me what I'm missing.

630
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,440
Speaker 2: I don't know if you're missing anything, as much as

631
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 2: you're trying to trust bad football teams, and you.

632
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 1: Think that the Colts are a bad had football team

633
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 1: right now, yeah, I don't think so. I I just

634
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 1: isn't impressive. But their defense is legitimate.

635
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 2: Okay, but the overall, you gotta play both sides, and

636
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: I just I think in in the in the in

637
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 2: the division that they're in, they can't just play defense.

638
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 2: You gotta score.

639
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 1: And that's true.

640
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 2: I I just so I just don't think, you know,

641
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 2: when you look at even in this game, I mean,

642
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 2: I think you're gonna have to score in this game.

643
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 2: I mean I think their defense is gonna give up

644
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:24,160
Speaker 2: some points.

645
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: So I don't know how many points there. I mean

646
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: maybe why are do you trust? I mean you you

647
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: have faith in the Lions to.

648
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 2: I just think I just think in terms of games

649
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 2: like this, I look at who has the better quarterback? Right,

650
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 2: it's better coaches and better quarterbacks, and the coaching side

651
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 2: is probably a wash.

652
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: But what what what what what is happening? The coaching

653
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 1: side from against the Lions is a wash.

654
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 2: I look, I'm not a frank right guy. I mean,

655
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 2: I just I'm not, and I never have been. I

656
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 2: just I think it's a great offensive mine, but I

657
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 2: think he's got a bum quarterback. So I just I'm

658
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 2: not really on that.

659
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: Well to be clear, the quarterback does not impact the coaching.

660
00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 1: I mean, the coaching is the coaching.

661
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 2: Correct, but the quarterback can't The coach can't do much

662
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:08,080
Speaker 2: with this quarterback. I mean they have tied their themselves

663
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 2: to an anvil.

664
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:12,880
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, you know that if Todd Gurley

665
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 1: had managed to fall down an inch earlier. Uh, the

666
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,600
Speaker 1: Lions lose to the Falcons last week?

667
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 2: Right sure? Like like the Falcons were able to do.

668
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:23,520
Speaker 2: I mean, the Lions were able to do what you're

669
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 2: supposed to do when you're given a break, go take

670
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 2: advantage of it. They went right down the field and

671
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 2: got a two point conversion. So I mean, look, I'm

672
00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 2: not saying you're wrong about this side. I'm just saying

673
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 2: that I don't trust this Colts team to do just

674
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 2: about anything right now. I missed on them. I thought

675
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 2: they were going to be a contender to win the AFC.

676
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 2: They're not even a contender to win the Vision.

677
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: I agree with you there that they've been to me,

678
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,640
Speaker 1: it's mostly on Rivers. It's mostly because Rivers looks toast.

679
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 1: I agree with that, But I do think that you

680
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: give them by. I think you're gonna see so much

681
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor in this.

682
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 2: Game, I dontake. I don't know if it's any good.

683
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 1: I he Admittedly, I'm not going to deny that he

684
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: has not looked great in the first several games.

685
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: He looks like a running back who had way too

686
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 2: many carries in college, which he did, and he hit

687
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 2: the NFL and he doesn't have that half a second

688
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: more speed you need to get away from the defenders

689
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 2: that you've got, like with like a Jacob's right, didn't

690
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 2: didn't get used at all in college, hit the NFL

691
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 2: fresh as a daisy, and look what he's doing. I mean,

692
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:31,200
Speaker 2: I just think he was Wisconsin rides and drives their

693
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 2: running backs into the ground, and I don't think this

694
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 2: guy's got much left in the tank. It's really unfortunate

695
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 2: because I love the kid in college.

696
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: But I'm not willing to draw that conclusion from you know,

697
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 1: a few games in the pros and the fact that

698
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: he's had whatever.

699
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,719
Speaker 2: Runs into the line he hetside reads.

700
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 1: You know him a fantasy man, all right. I'm I've

701
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,600
Speaker 1: been extremely frustrated in watching him what looks like run

702
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: directly into his offensive fall down. I agree with you.

703
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I think there's more to him,

704
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: and I think that there go. I think he's somebody

705
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 1: who probably needs like additional Don't give me Jordan Wilkins

706
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 1: or Nai Minds anymore. Please give it to Taylor. Let him.

707
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:10,240
Speaker 1: Let me see what he can do with twenty carries

708
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 1: as he gets warmed up and he beats them the

709
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 1: defense little bit. But that's fine, It's okay. And again,

710
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: you are not on the island. I am on the island,

711
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: and I'm like, and I'm like planning my flag on

712
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 1: this island, and I am willing to basically call it

713
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: the Dan Harris Island. And that is because I am

714
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,600
Speaker 1: taking the Colts and I feel completely fine about it,

715
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:29,560
Speaker 1: and I appear to be the only one. So that's fine.

716
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 1: We'll move that one off. That one because you don't

717
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: like that game as much as you say, with like

718
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 1: the Saints, if you had to pick between the two,

719
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: the Saints thing four and a half, right, yeah, you

720
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: would rather that one, yes, the way, So I'll put

721
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:40,960
Speaker 1: the Colts away. Go to your next game if you

722
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: have any left that you like, just one more, okay,

723
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 1: And this is this is the biggest.

724
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty play of all Okay, in any other season,

725
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 2: I would never, and I mean capitol n never pick

726
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,200
Speaker 2: this game. But I'm gonna lay nineteen and a half

727
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:59,479
Speaker 2: points and take the Casey Chiefs at home against the Jets.

728
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 1: Oh oh my goodness. Okay, and here's why.

729
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 2: Okay, the weather's gonna be awful. Okay, it's it's got

730
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 2: the potential. It's right now, it's leaning towards that like

731
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 2: orange yellow category. It may be okay by game time,

732
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 2: we'll see, but it's still gonna be late October early

733
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: November at Arrowhead Stadium. It's not really a great place

734
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 2: to go and play. It's cold. But you've got a

735
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 2: team in the Jets that are just done. That was

736
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 2: their game last week. They had a chance to play

737
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 2: the Bills. They had a chance to potentially win that

738
00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 2: game against the Bills, and they didn't do it. They

739
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 2: are deflated, They demoralized, and I think the Chiefs are

740
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 2: gonna run the ball down their throat and I just

741
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 2: think they're gonna put up thirty thirty five points and

742
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 2: win this thing thirty five to three.

743
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: Okay, So that is the side I am on as well.

744
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 2: Somehow, it was twenty one when it opened. It was

745
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 2: back down because the numbers for twenty point favorites since

746
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: nineteen eighty eight, teams that have been favored by twenty

747
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 2: points or more are I believe, one and eight against

748
00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: the spread. So was this nineteen and a half? This

749
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 2: is not twenty So let's blow that twenty point threshold.

750
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 1: So you I mean, I worry slightly maybe about the

751
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:12,959
Speaker 1: the you know, last minute cover if it's basically pull everybody,

752
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: of course, but I do like it because they the

753
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 1: Jets are not going to be able to stop the

754
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:22,640
Speaker 1: Chiefs under any part of their game. You know, Le'Veon

755
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 1: Bell is going to score at least one, if not

756
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 1: two touchdowns in a revenge game, and the Jets can't

757
00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 1: put up real points on anybody. So for me, I

758
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 1: really don't dislike this game. And there's one additional reason

759
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 1: why I kind of like it in this contest, Matt.

760
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 1: It's because I don't think it's going to be heavily picked.

761
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 1: I think people are going to take the points with

762
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: the Jets. What if you look at the way it's

763
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 1: broken down, the the you know, the value plays, now

764
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 1: that we've gotten into it a little bit, the most

765
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:53,960
Speaker 1: heavily picked side are often the value plays that I've

766
00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 1: seen like sometimes you're like, wow, that's a really public play.

767
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 1: That seems to be what it is doing in the beginning.

768
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 1: Especially lately, I feel like the people who are in

769
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 1: this contest, or at least the people who are doing

770
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,960
Speaker 1: well in the contest, are taking the value plays. So

771
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 1: I think it's a little contrarian here to do it,

772
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 1: which is why I actually like it for the contest. So,

773
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if we could put it in.

774
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 1: We could just put it in. It's okay with me,

775
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 1: all right, whatever, Yeah, let's just put it in. Chiefs

776
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 1: laying nineteen and a half to the Jets. Man, where

777
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: are we twenty twenty? Okay?

778
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: Right? Any other year, There's no way I would ever.

779
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,880
Speaker 2: I would lay the Jets every single time, just blindly

780
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 2: bet it. You give me nineteen points, twenty points, I'm

781
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 2: betting the dog every single time. But this is just

782
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 2: a very unique circumstances, and you up a great point.

783
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 2: The Le'Veon Bell revenge bleep U factor is high in

784
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 2: this game.

785
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: What's the prop? We are going to look up the prop?

786
00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 1: I'm Leveon Bell squares a touchdown and you are going

787
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 1: we are going to tell people.

788
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,640
Speaker 2: To bet it might be like minus one twenty. I mean,

789
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 2: I'm serious, it might not even be like plus money.

790
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 2: Normally it's like plus four hundred for an indivital touchdown,

791
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 2: Like you have to lay juice, lay down juice to

792
00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 2: bet Le'Veon bell because they're gonna force feed in that

793
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:06,440
Speaker 2: football every time in the red zone.

794
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: Seventy percent of experts are on the Chiefs, like nineteen

795
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 1: and a half bet. That's crazy. Okay, So that's it

796
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 1: for your game. So look, we'll put in the Raiders

797
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: getting two and a half from the Browns, the Ravens

798
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 1: laying three and a half points to the Steelers, and

799
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,799
Speaker 1: the gross Chiefs laying nineteen and a half points to

800
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:27,239
Speaker 1: the Jets. So those are our three that will put in.

801
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 1: That's fine, and you're done with the games that you.

802
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 2: Like, Yeah, that's it for me.

803
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: Okay. So I don't love any of these remaining games.

804
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw them out and let's talk through them

805
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 1: and see if we like any others. Other than that,

806
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,800
Speaker 1: We've got three that are right now on the table

807
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 1: that we don't hate. So we're gonna have picks this week.

808
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: We'll be Okay, how do you feel about the Eagles

809
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 1: laying seven and a half to the Ben Denucci led

810
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 1: Cowboys in Philadelphia.

811
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 2: I hate the hook. Yeah, if it was seven, I

812
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 2: would say yes, But I don't like the seven and

813
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: a half. I just feel like that's a little bit

814
00:34:55,960 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: too heavy. And I mean, look the Cowboys offense. I

815
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,359
Speaker 2: don't know what. He didn't look good when he came

816
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 2: in for for Andy Dalton. He didn't look good.

817
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: So now he's got a week to prepare to get better.

818
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,800
Speaker 1: It's a little different and the offensive line is healthier,

819
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: so that will help. But I can't have faith in

820
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 1: bend to Nucci. I don't love the game at at all,

821
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,879
Speaker 1: so I'm not I don't think I like it more

822
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 1: than the rest of our games. If I lean one way,

823
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 1: even with the hook, I still like the Eagles.

824
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 2: But if we're going primetime games, I would prefer that

825
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:28,560
Speaker 2: the Bucks laying ten and a half.

826
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 1: I don't think that game either. By the way, there's

827
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: the COVID concerns right now with their offensive line going on,

828
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 1: so that's fine. Interesting. The consensus line is up to

829
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 1: eight and a half for this Eagles game, and still

830
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,719
Speaker 1: are experts Seventy six percent are picking Eagles, but I don't.

831
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 1: I don't.

832
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,080
Speaker 2: You know that's gonna crash come game day, by the way,

833
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 2: because because Dallas Cowboys money will come in like crazy,

834
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,840
Speaker 2: you might be able to get that in seven closer

835
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 2: to game time, the Cowboys fans will just bet that

836
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:55,479
Speaker 2: like nuts.

837
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:57,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, So I'm fine with that game. I don't.

838
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 1: I don't have a particular preference for it over any

839
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 1: of the other games we talked about. What how do

840
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:03,799
Speaker 1: you feel about the Chargers laying three and a half

841
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:05,320
Speaker 1: to the Broncos in Denver?

842
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,919
Speaker 2: I hate it in Denver because historically the Chargers don't

843
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 2: play well there.

844
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:08,920
Speaker 1: Yep.

845
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 2: And you know, with Denver you're always worried about those

846
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 2: freak snowstorms popping up and changing things that could happened

847
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 2: last week. Herbert's not really a guy that I'm gonna

848
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,479
Speaker 2: trust in the I don't think he's fine in the cold,

849
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 2: in the in the in the rain, but in the snow.

850
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 2: I don't know if you ever played a snow game before.

851
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 2: So I'm a little concerned about him there. And look,

852
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 2: they have to pass the football, they got to throw

853
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:28,759
Speaker 2: a keeling a key and Allen was outstanding last week

854
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 2: for them, so he was huge, so they're gonna have

855
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 2: to throw the ball. So I'm a little concerned about

856
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,120
Speaker 2: the weather. You know, if I had to pick it,

857
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 2: I would say the Chargers, But historically speaking, I'm a

858
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:40,400
Speaker 2: little concerned about them on the road at Denver.

859
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 1: That's how I feel too, that the side that I

860
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 1: lean is the Chargers, but I don't love it, like

861
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 1: I'll probably, you know, take them. The consensus line is

862
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: actually down to three, so I'll definitely take them Drew

863
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 1: lock I you know, I don't trust Drew Locke. He's

864
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: not good under pressure. They're gonna get a lot of pressure.

865
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 1: As they've gotten healthier, they've gotten Ingram back on that line.

866
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: So I do think that the Chargers are ultimately going

867
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 1: to come away with it. But I really don't like

868
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,760
Speaker 1: taking road teams in Denver. It's just like a natural

869
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 1: thing because I just it's an environment that I just

870
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 1: never feel comfortable in. So that's fine, let's go to

871
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:12,120
Speaker 1: how do you feel about this one? Because you know,

872
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 1: I feel like the quote unquote sharp side is with

873
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 1: the Vikings, but I kind of like the Packers laying

874
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,080
Speaker 1: six and a half to the Vikings in Green Bay.

875
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 2: I believe this is the worst weather game of the weekend,

876
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 2: is it not.

877
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is one where weather's going to factor in.

878
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 2: Yes, I think it's gonna be bitterly cold and really

879
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:34,400
Speaker 2: really nasty. So, I mean, this is a Dome team

880
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: on the road. I can't I can't get behind anybody

881
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 2: but green Bay here.

882
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:43,439
Speaker 1: I like green Bay, That's what I'm saying. The other

883
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 1: you know, the generally, and look, they're probably gonna be down.

884
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones here, he hasn't practiced, but you saw Jamal Williams. Yeah,

885
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:52,080
Speaker 1: he and Alan Lazard, by the way, is suddenly practicing.

886
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 1: I didn't even realize that he had a chance. I

887
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 1: don't know if he has a chance to play this

888
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 1: week or anything, but if he does, that obviously helps.

889
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 1: I just think that you could see because I believe

890
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 1: that the Packers. One of the reasons why I'm a

891
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 1: little hesitant on it is I think the Packers have

892
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 1: a Thursday night game following against San Francisco that could

893
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:12,919
Speaker 1: certainly be something where they could be looking ahead where

894
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,120
Speaker 1: even though it's the Vikings, the Vikings are a terrible

895
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:17,240
Speaker 1: football team right now, there's all this talk of selling.

896
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 1: I could see the Packers basically coming up with a

897
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 1: short week, kind of not focusing on it as much

898
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 1: and letting the Vikings hang around a little bit. And

899
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,840
Speaker 1: I could see if Dalvin Cook is fully healthy, the

900
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,160
Speaker 1: Vikings having a lot of because Green Bay really can't

901
00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 1: stop the run, having a lot of success keeping it

902
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 1: close running the ball that I could see it. But

903
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: overall the Vikings, man, they can't. They've got Their defense

904
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: is horrific. Right now, Rogers is playing really well. You know,

905
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 1: I would take the Packers, although they're off a bye

906
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 1: and Zimmer usually has them playing well off of by.

907
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 2: So here's here's the weather. It's a high thirty eight.

908
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 2: The number that everybody, if you're new a sports gambling

909
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 2: the number you have to look at are sustained wins

910
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 2: at twenty five miles or higher. Okay, that's the number,

911
00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 2: not gusts. Don't worry about gusts as much. You want

912
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 2: sustained wins. These are sustained wins for twenty five to

913
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,400
Speaker 2: thirty five miles per hour, with occasional wind gusts between

914
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 2: forty and forty five miles per hour. Okay. That is

915
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,759
Speaker 2: a significant weather game for the Green Pay Packers and

916
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:22,480
Speaker 2: screams under Okay, screaming under for Green Bay and Minnesota.

917
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: I just if i'm I would never bet the Vikings.

918
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 2: I would never bet Kirk Cousins in a weather game

919
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 2: at Green Bay. No, no, So.

920
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. If there's any side that we

921
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 1: would take care, it would be the Packers. But that

922
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 1: the weather also makes me a little just it's a variable.

923
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:39,759
Speaker 1: You know, you don't know what it's going to do

924
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 1: necessarily to the game. So if you came in and

925
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 1: you like the Packers are one of your pick, I

926
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 1: would write it in. But you know, if it's something

927
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:46,760
Speaker 1: where it's.

928
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 2: Put it in the maybe category, I mean, i'm, I'm,

929
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 2: I'm because of the weather, you know, I do think

930
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 2: the Vikings are going to struggle on the score in

931
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 2: that gas.

932
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:58,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. Okay, that is good. All right, let's

933
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 1: finish up with the rest of the slate just so

934
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 1: we could talk it out. Oh boy, this is probably

935
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 1: your nightmare. How do you feel about the Bills laying

936
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 1: three and a half to the Patriots in Buffalo?

937
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:11,720
Speaker 2: So I'm probably gonna bet the Patriots, And the reason

938
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 2: is the weather, which is gonna be ra This is

939
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:16,840
Speaker 2: one of the games where it's gonna be windy and wet,

940
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 2: so it's not just gonna be cold. It's not just

941
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,400
Speaker 2: gonna be windy. It's gonna be wet, windy, and cold.

942
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 2: So that leans towards a Patriot game because the Bills

943
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:28,320
Speaker 2: are not built for this step of weather anymore. Okay,

944
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 2: they are an offense that has to throw the ball

945
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 2: down the field. They have become a warm weather team

946
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 2: playing in Buffalo, New York, which is really kind of

947
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 2: a strange decision. But I mean, Digs isn't bad. But

948
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,560
Speaker 2: Diggs has he played indoors with the Vikings and play outdoors,

949
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 2: so he has experienced, but not as much as you

950
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,400
Speaker 2: would think coming over from Minnesota. This is you know,

951
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 2: Alan played at Wyoming, but he hasn't looked good in weather,

952
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 2: so it's kind of weird. It's like, didn't you play

953
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 2: your football at Wyoming? But he hasn't looked great. Patriots

954
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 2: are gonna run the ball, their offensive line is healthy.

955
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 2: I think they lose the game by three. I like

956
00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 2: the hook there. Patriots lose to the Bills by three

957
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 2: and when't and cover that Reno point spread.

958
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:03,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is the game. I have absolutely no desire

959
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 1: to bet, right, You know.

960
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 2: I mean we're talking because the Edelman news is gigantic,

961
00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:08,880
Speaker 2: and I don't know how the fan, how the team's

962
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 2: going to react to Edelman being out for at least

963
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 2: a couple of weeks exactly.

964
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I might. I don't think we're gonna see Edelman

965
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 1: maybe at all for the rest of the season.

966
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 2: It wouldn't shock me. I think Patris may have shut

967
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 2: him down and just say, why play him this year

968
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:23,279
Speaker 2: because this year is a wash. She'll let's just get

969
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 2: ready for next year.

970
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's exactly how I feel. But again, I'm at

971
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: the point where I don't I don't trust the Bills

972
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 1: right now. I mean, no, congratulations you have won, yeah, or.

973
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:36,359
Speaker 2: Really there, I mean they came back down to earth

974
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 2: with a big old.

975
00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 1: I had to watch that game closely last week because

976
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 1: it was against the Jets, and my daughter likes the

977
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 1: Bills because she likes animals and they're from Buffalo, so

978
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 1: she likes the Bills, and so we were all rooting

979
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: for the Bills because I'm rooting for the Jets to

980
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 1: lose at this point, to go on sixteen and I

981
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 1: was like, I was like screaming. I was like, what

982
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 1: are you doing? Right now.

983
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 2: Why you know, that was the weirdest teaser sweat I've

984
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 2: had in a long time. I'll tell you that that

985
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:02,240
Speaker 2: is of all the games I've teased in my life.

986
00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:06,040
Speaker 2: That was really weird. To have Bill's minus four and

987
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:07,840
Speaker 2: to sweat that thing the way they had to sweat

988
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:10,479
Speaker 2: that thing out. That was just ridiculous watching that bat

989
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,800
Speaker 2: of football being played and being concerned about not winning

990
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:14,240
Speaker 2: my bet.

991
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, the consensus generally is going with Buffalo, which

992
00:42:18,040 --> 00:42:20,239
Speaker 1: the consensus line is minus four, but it's not a

993
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,759
Speaker 1: game that I want at this point at all. Last

994
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:24,840
Speaker 1: game that we haven't talked about, which you briefly mentioned,

995
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:26,840
Speaker 1: is the Bucks laying ten and a half to the Giants.

996
00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:28,560
Speaker 1: I think we're both on the same side, which is,

997
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 1: if we're forced to pick a side, we'd go with

998
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: the Bucks. Yeah, is that right?

999
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 2: I don't hit. I mean, I'm not even forced. I

1000
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:35,799
Speaker 2: think the Bucks You're gonna win that game and just

1001
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 2: na name the number to me. So it just spent

1002
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 2: upon what the Giants are gonna give up because the

1003
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 2: Giants aren't gonna score much.

1004
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, I don't. I don't think

1005
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 1: it matters. The fact really that god Win is out

1006
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 1: because I think they're gonna be able. The Bucks are

1007
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 1: gonna be able to do whatever they want. There's no Brown,

1008
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:53,880
Speaker 1: so it's really just Evans, who you know, looks gimpy,

1009
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:56,160
Speaker 1: but it doesn't really matter at that point.

1010
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:58,720
Speaker 2: Dick Mike Evans gets traded.

1011
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,399
Speaker 1: Nope, I don't. I think they they write it out.

1012
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 1: I I think that Okay.

1013
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 2: So if that happens, yeah, who punches who first? Brown

1014
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 2: punches him first or Evans punches him first.

1015
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 1: No, I think it's gonna be a mutual one where

1016
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:13,880
Speaker 1: they're both going to do it exactly. It's gonna be

1017
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 1: like Rocky Rock Rock.

1018
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 2: Three, right, Yeah, simultaneous. I'll buy that because Antonio Brown's

1019
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,239
Speaker 2: gonna take every single touch that Michael Mike Evans is

1020
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:22,799
Speaker 2: supposed to have.

1021
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,839
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, to be fair, Mike Evans hasn't gotten that

1022
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 1: many touches in games.

1023
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 2: Because he can't run roats. Brady won't pro to you.

1024
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 2: If you're not gonna run run the route that Brady

1025
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 2: wants you to, he's not thrown it to you. And

1026
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:35,959
Speaker 2: that's we've seen you know this, We've seen so many

1027
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 2: receivers come to New England and get frozen out, and

1028
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,360
Speaker 2: you're like, why why, And it's Brady. And if you

1029
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 2: don't do it the way Brady wants, he goes to

1030
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:44,479
Speaker 2: Gronk every darn time.

1031
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,359
Speaker 1: Yep. And so you are right, and Gronk, by the way,

1032
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:48,840
Speaker 1: looking much better.

1033
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:51,359
Speaker 2: That's how we should have looked the whole time. I mean,

1034
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,240
Speaker 2: it's just they weren't using him properly. Now they finally are.

1035
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: All right, So let's talk it out. We've got three

1036
00:43:57,120 --> 00:44:00,399
Speaker 1: in pen, the Raiders getting two and a half from

1037
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,160
Speaker 1: the Browns, the Ravens lanth three and a half to

1038
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:05,120
Speaker 1: the Steelers, the Chiefs laying nineteen and a half points

1039
00:44:05,160 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 1: of Jets. Wow, welcome to twenty twenty. And so here

1040
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:10,520
Speaker 1: are the games that are under consideration, the ones. We've

1041
00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:12,920
Speaker 1: got two that you like and two that I kind

1042
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 1: of like. So maybe we'll go one and one. There.

1043
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 1: You like the Seahawks laying three and a half to

1044
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers and the Rams laying four and

1045
00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: a half to the Dolphins. All the Rams lank four

1046
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:23,200
Speaker 1: and a half the Dolphins. Is one of your topics?

1047
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:24,000
Speaker 2: Yeah right, yep.

1048
00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 1: So that my guess is that's the one you want.

1049
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 2: If I'm gonna I'm gonna be Yeah, if you tell

1050
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 2: me to pick well of that group, it would be

1051
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 2: the Rams.

1052
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 1: Yes, all right, so let let's let's keep going with

1053
00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 1: my two. First, I like the Saints lank four and

1054
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 1: a half to the Bears and the Packers lank six

1055
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 1: and a half to the Vikings. So I like both

1056
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:41,800
Speaker 1: of those games pretty evenly. I'm good to pick one

1057
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 1: of of yours and one of mine, if you're good

1058
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:45,399
Speaker 1: with that.

1059
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I I don't mind taking both of yours. Actually,

1060
00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:54,400
Speaker 2: just because it's under seven the weather comes in is

1061
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 2: a factor we're fading the Vikings.

1062
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 1: Yep.

1063
00:44:57,000 --> 00:45:00,120
Speaker 2: I mean, if I'm as we're talking this out, if

1064
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:01,959
Speaker 2: I'm going to stack the game, I probably would stack

1065
00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: your two above my Rams. Okay, in terms of just

1066
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 2: in terms of in the contest where we're kind of

1067
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,640
Speaker 2: trying to eliminate, like you mentioned variables, and the two

1068
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:12,640
Speaker 2: thing is, if I'm wrong about two and he sets

1069
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 2: the world on fire, I'm done. The BET's done. Yeah.

1070
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 2: So I feel more confident saying that the Packers at

1071
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 2: home with Aaron Rodgers with a crap weather game will

1072
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 2: win and win handily over the Vikings than I am

1073
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 2: about taking on a quarterback who I have no idea

1074
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 2: what he'll look like. Really, I'm banking him on him sucking,

1075
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 2: but if he doesn't, I'm in trouble.

1076
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:33,399
Speaker 1: What I like about these also is that I really

1077
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:34,680
Speaker 1: think they are going to be a few games that

1078
00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:37,239
Speaker 1: we're not on the main side. Like I think a

1079
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 1: great majority of people are going to take the Vikings

1080
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:40,719
Speaker 1: because that seems to be the sharp side. There's no

1081
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 1: way I'm doing it. But from everything I'm sort of

1082
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:45,160
Speaker 1: looking at and the way the money's coming in right now,

1083
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 1: it's been on the Vikings, I don't get it. I

1084
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 1: don't think that the Chiefs are going to be heavily picked.

1085
00:45:49,080 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 1: I think that people are going to take the points

1086
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 1: with the Jets. I think people are going to like

1087
00:45:52,080 --> 00:45:54,200
Speaker 1: the Steelers in this game getting three and a half

1088
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:56,439
Speaker 1: given where they are. So I think we've got good ones. Okay,

1089
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:57,960
Speaker 1: so that's it. So there our last two them will

1090
00:45:58,000 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: be the Saints slaying four and a half to the

1091
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: Browns and the Packers laying six and a half to

1092
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 1: the Vikings.

1093
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 2: No Saints to the Bears, I mean to the Bears.

1094
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:06,800
Speaker 1: What did I say, the Browns? Yeah? Yes, I should

1095
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,080
Speaker 1: read my own writing better. I'm sorry, we are taking

1096
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:10,239
Speaker 1: the Raiders getting to and a half.

1097
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, the only games I stand on tables for the

1098
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 2: Raiders and in the Ravens, those are those are games

1099
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:17,280
Speaker 2: I'm betting. Those are games that that that I'm putting

1100
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,799
Speaker 2: money behind, and I like them the most. I'm gonna

1101
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 2: bet the Rams game as well, But I'm not just

1102
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 2: sitting on the table as I am about the Raiders.

1103
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,799
Speaker 2: In the Baltimore Ravens, those I feel strong about those

1104
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:26,440
Speaker 2: two plays.

1105
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 1: I think in the end, you're probably right about the Rams,

1106
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 1: but I'd rather sit back and see what's gonna happen, now, right,

1107
00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:32,759
Speaker 1: that's fair?

1108
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:33,239
Speaker 2: I agree?

1109
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 1: All right, So those are five picks. I feel okay

1110
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 1: about these, Matt. It's going to be fun to be

1111
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:41,360
Speaker 1: ruining just for the Jets. God help me. If the

1112
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 1: Jets miraculously something were to happen and they won this game,

1113
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:48,279
Speaker 1: oh could you imagine? Like it would legitimately be my

1114
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:50,719
Speaker 1: nightmare because all I need them to do is lose

1115
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:51,880
Speaker 1: out and then I'm taking them.

1116
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:53,920
Speaker 2: And then everybody who has the Chiefs left over and

1117
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 2: the survivor pools are done.

1118
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: Oh my god, that that that is right?

1119
00:46:57,960 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 2: Because if you have the Chiefs on the board. Still,

1120
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 2: this is the game you're playing the chief song.

1121
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 1: I'm just trying to find the Chiefs are minus twenty

1122
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: five hundred on the money line. So yeah, that sounds

1123
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: about right. I just wanted to say what it is,

1124
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:11,000
Speaker 1: but you could go Jets plus twelve whatever. All right,

1125
00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 1: so good picks as always. Follow me on Twitter at

1126
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:16,239
Speaker 1: Dan Harris Adi and Matt at Sports dooc Matt if

1127
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,040
Speaker 1: we make any changes, which we really are going to

1128
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 1: try not to do unless something some big news happens,

1129
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:24,000
Speaker 1: because we find that the original bets are almost always

1130
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 1: better than anything we've changed them too, I will let

1131
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 1: you know on Twitter again. Go subscribe and listen to

1132
00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast, my favorite podcast, which you can

1133
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 1: find on Betting Pros dot com, slash Daily Juice, or

1134
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,440
Speaker 1: anywhere you listen to podcasts Betting Pros dot com, slash

1135
00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:40,879
Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros always mix it Up.

1136
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,279
Speaker 1: You can see Matt's live stream Sunday mornings eleven to

1137
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:46,879
Speaker 1: twelve on at Eastern Center Time and go to Betting

1138
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,279
Speaker 1: Pros dot com slash Chat join our discord, talk to me,

1139
00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:51,839
Speaker 1: talk to Matt, talk to everybody else who loves sports betting.

1140
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,200
Speaker 1: In the meantime, good luck with your bets this weekend

1141
00:47:54,239 --> 00:48:03,840
Speaker 1: and we will talk to you next weeks.

1142
00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:04,320
Speaker 2: Had